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Die ganze Welt wird rechts! Warum? — Transcript

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0:01Have you seen that viral clip of the
0:02guy who complains on ZDF about being a
0:04young AfD member and not getting any
0:05dates anymore because he's right-wing?
0:09As soon as they notice you're somehow
0:11conservative, right-wing, or even just
0:12a Christian, it's looked down upon, and
0:14as a man, as a right-wing man, you're
0:16immediately out. That's typical Germany
0:19again; there's a firewall everywhere,
0:21even on Tinder. You can't even swipe
0:23right anymore. The thing is, this isn't
0:26just a German phenomenon. Worldwide,
0:28men have become more right-wing and
0:30women more left-wing over the last 20
0:32years. Not just in Germany, but also in
0:35the USA, England, and even South Korea,
0:37for example. We've known for a while
0:40that this is the case in Germany, given
0:41the AfD's election results. But isn't
0:44it strange that this is happening
0:46globally? In a few days, there's a
0:50state election in Saxony-Anhalt, and
0:52the AfD's manifesto there states the
0:53following: Prices for electricity, fuel
0:55, and groceries have continued to rise.
0:58Likewise, taxes and levies. We can
1:00afford less and less with our wages.
1:03Our pensions are no longer enough to
1:05live on, and of course, only you can
1:08help, because the old parties are to
1:10blame. Interestingly, they are also to
1:13blame in England, according to the
1:15right-wing populist party Reform UK.
1:27And in the USA, according to Trump,
1:30Biden was to blame. And in the
1:45Netherlands, right-wing populist Geert
1:47Wilders also complains about the
1:49current Dutch government, saying
1:51everything is getting expensive quickly
1:53. Sorry, I don't speak Dutch. It is, of
1:57course, a fact that everything has
1:59become more expensive worldwide because
2:01of COVID, the Ukraine war, and recently
2:03a bit because of the Iran conflict. But
2:05as you can see from these statements,
2:07everyone around the world has felt all
2:09of that. Not just us here in Germany.
2:13Here, for example, are the current
2:14grocery prices in the USA. This is
2:16something that has fascinated me for a
2:18long time. If you look at political
2:21debates in other countries, they are
2:23often discussing identical issues. But
2:27while Merkel or the "Ampel" coalition
2:29supposedly ruined Germany here, in
2:31other countries it was whatever party
2:34was in power at the time. And yet, our
2:39debates often revolve around whether
2:40the AfD is becoming more successful
2:42because they were invited to talk shows
2:44too often, whether it has to do with
2:46East Germany, or because they make
2:47better TikToks than Friedrich Merz.
2:52Hello, this is Friedrich Merz.
2:54Hello.
2:55Hello. Greetings. Hello.
2:57Hello, guys. So, how's the mood?
3:00Pretty good, right? Great atmosphere.
3:02Yes,
3:02very good. And, of course, these are
3:05all valid points, especially the bad
3:07TikToks. And of course, there isn't
3:09just one reason. The topic is super
3:11complex. People choose parties for very
3:13individual reasons. But could it be,
3:16nonetheless, that the general growth of
3:18the AfD follows a global trend that has
3:21less to do with Germany alone? And if
3:24that's the case, what does it mean for
3:27our society and what might we learn
3:29from it? That's what I want to take a
3:31look at in this video. Chapter 1: A
3:33shift to the right across the globe.
3:36These here are election results of
3:38right-wing populist parties in Europe
3:40over the last 20 years. RN in France,
3:44Lega and FDI in Italy, the FPÖ and
3:46BZÖ in Austria, the PVV in the
3:48Netherlands, UKIP and Reform in England
3:50, Chega in Portugal, the Sweden
3:52Democrats in Sweden, Fidesz in Hungary,
3:55PiS in Poland, and many others. If you
3:59look at it all together, there is a
4:01clear trend. Of course, with nuances.
4:04In Greece, for example, there are three
4:06right-wing populist parties in
4:08parliament, and together they have
4:10about 15%. In Hungary, the
4:12then-governing party Fidesz became
4:14increasingly right-wing populist over
4:16time and effectively took the job away
4:19from the Jobbik party, which had
4:21previously defined right-wing populism
4:23there. Once again, it's the foreigners
4:25'fault that the job was taken away. In
4:28Ireland, there is no major right-wing
4:29populist party in parliament. However,
4:32in the last presidential election,
4:34almost 13%spoiled their ballots in
4:36protest. Often because there was no
4:39right-wing candidate to choose from.
4:41But even if there are such local
4:43differences, fundamentally there is a
4:44trend, and it exists not only in Europe
4:46. In the USA, which realistically only
4:49has two parties, the trend is that the
4:51Republicans became more right-wing
4:52populist, first with the Tea Party
4:54movement and then with MAGA and Trump.
4:57During this time, there has also been
4:58an increasing shift toward right-wing
5:00populists in South America in recent
5:02years. Bolsonaro in Brazil, Bukele in
5:04El Salvador, Milei in Argentina, but
5:06also in Chile, Colombia, and Peru. In
5:09Japan, a populist party recently grew
5:11from one to 14 seats in 3 years with 12
5:14%of the vote. So there is obviously a
5:17global trend toward right-wing populism
5:18, even if there are exceptions and
5:20local differences. And now the question
5:23is, why? But before we get to that,
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6:57save. Okay, what could be a reason that
7:00we are seeing a global trend toward
7:02right-wing populism? Chapter 2: 20
7:04years of crisis. Worldwide, people have
7:08become angrier, sadder, more anxious,
7:10and more stressed over the last 20
7:12years. And if you look at this time
7:14period, the same period during which
7:16right-wing populism has grown around
7:18the world, the century started with the
7:20dot-com bubble, then came September
7:2111th. September, then the 2008
7:23financial crisis, then the Euro crisis,
7:25Corona and the lockdowns, then the war
7:27in Ukraine, war in Gaza, and most
7:29recently the Iran war. All crises that
7:31just happen without us having any form
7:34of control over them. Crises that often
7:37had massive economic consequences,
7:39often worldwide. The thing is, after
7:42financial crises and higher inflation,
7:44right-wing parties usually gain ground,
7:47because populism works when inequality
7:49grows and people are afraid of losing
7:51their status. They feel powerless, and
7:54that’s where right-wing parties step
7:56in.
7:57The glorification of powerlessness is a
8:00central tool of this movement. This
8:02means the individual is persuaded. You
8:06can’t do anything anyway except
8:08support us, and that ultimately only a
8:10strong party, a strong leader, a strong
8:13movement can provide salvation.
8:15Economic inequality is bad for
8:18democracy. We see this here, for
8:20example, especially in East Germany,
8:22but also in the USA, for example. There
8:25it’s the Midwest versus the wealthy
8:27coastal regions, and in other EU
8:29countries, you see that too. map shows
8:32GDP per capita per German states and
8:34this map shows where people mostly
8:36voted for the rightwing populist party
8:39AFD. When we look at leaders like
8:41Marine Le Pen and Viktor Orbán, we see
8:44that they often struggle to gain
8:45traction in thriving, rich urban
8:47centers, but they dominate the vote in
8:50rural and declining areas.
8:52The corona crisis was an additional
8:54factor that reduced trust in science
8:56and government for some. In part
8:59because of the sheer amount of
9:00misinformation, but also because it was
9:02just a really awful time and the whole
9:04situation never really felt under
9:06control. Many felt powerless again, and
9:09right-wing parties stepped in. Crisis
9:12can also be a catalyst, and naturally,
9:15the so-called refugee crisis is a
9:17factor that cannot be ignored. This, of
9:20course, drove people who are critical
9:22of migration into the arms of
9:24right-wing populist parties. But just
9:27as you cannot ignore this factor, it
9:29would be just as wrong to see it as the
9:30only factor. Voters Voters who have
9:42concerns about immigration are economic
9:45people.
9:56Economic uncertainty is being exploited
9:58to play people against one another. The
10:02first obvious conclusion is that AfD
10:04voters have economic hardships and
10:07fears of social decline. This is
10:11projected onto the idea that, oh God,
10:13the people coming from the outside want
10:15to take something away from me. I am
10:18doing so poorly because they are coming
10:20. And the AfD has mastered that game
10:23perfectly. That does not mean that it
10:25cannot be a legitimate opinion to say
10:27that migration should be better managed
10:29. But when talking about the topic of
10:32migration, it is often more about fears
10:34and feelings than about facts.
10:36Right-wing parties continue to grow,
10:37even though the number of asylum
10:39applications has been steadily
10:40declining in recent years. In an MDR
10:42interview, the lead AfD candidate from
10:44Saxony-Anhalt was confronted with the
10:46fact that there are half as many crimes
10:48today as there were in the 90s. And
10:50this was his response. I want people to
10:53feel safe as well, regardless of any
10:55theoretical statistics from the 90s.
10:57It is more about the feeling than the
10:59statistics. And I can even understand
11:02that a little bit, because, of course,
11:04in the end it doesn't matter if I
11:05factually know that an airplane is the
11:07safest mode of transport if I have a
11:09fear of flying anyway. You usually
11:12cannot win against feelings with facts.
11:15And it is unfortunately the case that
11:17the world feels increasingly unstable.
11:19It is initially irrelevant what it is
11:21that you are afraid of. I also look to
11:23the future with skepticism. Everything
11:24is getting more expensive, everything
11:25is getting more complex, everyone is
11:26yelling at each other more. And I also
11:29believe that we often fail socially and
11:31politically to offer good solutions
11:32here. So I do not want to deny that
11:36this plays a role, but it cannot be the
11:38only reason, because crises existed in
11:40the past as well. My thesis is
11:42therefore that it is not the crises
11:44themselves that have changed, but the
11:46discourse surrounding them and how
11:48these crises are being exploited. If
11:51you look at all these right-wing
11:53populist parties, you notice that they
11:55don't just share growth, but often a
11:58few other things as well, for example,
12:00this thing. Elon Musk, chapter 3: Rich
12:09and right-wing. I probably don't need
12:11to tell you that Elon Musk is a big
12:13Donald Trump fan and is spending
12:15hundreds of millions for a Republican
12:17victory. Or that Elon Musk actively
12:19promotes the AfD, probably not either.
12:23AfD. Really best Germany. But did you
12:34know that Elon Musk also supports the
12:36right-wing in England and in Spain,
12:38that he was first close with Meloni in
12:40Italy before joining in with the other
12:42right-wing party there, and not just
12:45the AfD; that he meets with Viktor
12:47Orbán from Hungary, meddles with the
12:49conservatives in Canada, or that he is
12:52such a big supporter of Milei from
12:55Argentina that he even mimics his
12:57chainsaw move? Bureaucracy.
13:07The world’s first trillionaire loves
13:10to promote right-wing populist parties.
13:13Just like his colleague Peter Thiel and
13:15many, many other very rich men. NIUS,
13:18basically the unofficial press office
13:20of the AfD, is financed by one of the
13:22richest people in Germany, and not
13:24because it’s a good business that
13:26brings him a lot of money. On the
13:28contrary, NIUS probably couldn't stay
13:30afloat without him. A major donor to
13:33the AfD is a billionaire. Bolsonaro in
13:35Brazil was supported by one of the
13:37richest people there. In France, the
13:39billionaire Stérin finances the
13:40right-wing there. And in England, the
13:43right-wing populist Nigel Farage
13:45recently had to step down because he "
13:47forgot" to mention that he had just
13:49been gifted 5 million pounds by the
13:51sixth-richest person in Great Britain.
13:54He was re-elected anyway, but at least
13:57that convinced 27%of the voters to vote
13:59for a literal trash can instead of him.
14:03We are heading into 2026. In the same
14:06period that we see a rise in right-wing
14:09populism, we also see that the rich
14:11have been getting richer and richer.
14:14With Elon Musk, we even had the first
14:16trillionaire this year. I could cite
14:19all sorts of statistics here, for
14:21example, that 60,000 people possess
14:23three times as much wealth as the
14:25entire bottom half of humanity, or that
14:27billionaires alone have accumulated
14:29more wealth since 2020. But I don’t
14:32think that’s necessary, because it is
14:34clear to us all that there is great
14:36inequality, and while everything is
14:37becoming more expensive, the richest
14:39are getting richer and we are not. I
14:41would claim that most of you do not
14:43have 81%more money than you did in 2020
14:46. But did you know that, according to
14:50Oxfam, billionaires are 4,000 times
14:52more likely to hold political office?
14:55I'll gladly say it again. Economic
14:57inequality is one reason why
15:00democracies fail. That wealth confers
15:02power, whether through political
15:04donations, lobbying, or contacts and so
15:06on, we all know that. But I think it
15:08has rarely been this blatantly obvious.
15:12as it is with Elon Musk, whether
15:14through his role in the US government,
15:16his manipulation of Twitter, the
15:18massive donations he makes, or by
15:20supporting right-wing populist parties
15:22in at least 18 countries. Why does he
15:25do it? Why do so many wealthy people do
15:27it? Maybe because having political
15:29alliances makes them even richer. Maybe
15:32it's because more left-leaning parties
15:34advocate for higher taxes on the
15:36wealthy, and billionaires often dislike
15:39that, like the Google co-founder who
15:41was able to spend over 100 million on
15:43ads to make sure California wouldn't
15:45introduce a wealth tax. Perhaps wealthy
15:49people like Elon Musk are also
15:50genuinely convinced that the world is
15:52better if every country becomes more
15:54nationalistic. In fact, there is a
15:57group of people around Peter Thiel and
15:59Elon Musk who are followers of Curtis
16:01Yarvin, an influential Silicon Valley
16:03thought leader who argues that
16:05democracy must be abolished. Maybe it's
16:09a mix of all of the above, but it’s a
16:12funny coincidence that Elon Musk acts
16:14out a version of this cartoon every
16:16week. Watch out, the foreigner wants
16:20your cookie. To sum it up briefly. Yes,
16:23there have been crises in the last 20
16:25years. While these crises had economic
16:27impacts on most people, wealthy
16:29individuals grew ever richer during the
16:31same time and increased their influence
16:33. And some of them apparently use this
16:36growing influence and wealth to divide
16:38society by poisoning the discourse
16:40surrounding these crises. Perhaps out
16:43of conviction, perhaps because it helps
16:45them protect or increase their wealth.
16:47Perhaps both, but Elon Musk isn't the
16:50only thing these parties have in common
16:52. There is also Chapter 4: Russia. Many
16:57right-wing populist parties in Europe
16:59don't just share Elon Musk as a common
17:01friend, but also Vladimir Putin. Marine
17:04Le Pen from France, a friend of Putin.
17:06The FPÖ in Austria, friends of Putin.
17:09Lega in Italy, friends of Putin. Viktor
17:11Orbán from Hungary, a friend of Putin.
17:14Wilders in the Netherlands, Putin likes
17:16him. The AfD, Putin is a fan. We know
17:20that Russia supports and promotes
17:21various right-wing populist parties, be
17:23it in 2016 through influence on Donald
17:25Trump's election or the manipulation of
17:27the election in Romania two years ago.
17:30Here, too, the candidate was an
17:31ultra-right-winger, or through the
17:33influence on Brexit in favor of the
17:35right-wing populist party UKIP, or
17:37through direct payments to an AfD
17:38member of parliament. We know that
17:41Russia specifically uses social media
17:43to divide society and stir people up
17:44against each other. For example, in the
17:47USA in the context of the Black Lives
17:49Matter movement and through a large
17:51disinformation strategy. At this very
17:53moment, a disinformation campaign is
17:55running with the goal of influencing
17:58state elections in favor of the AfD and
18:00the BSW. And the origin is likely
18:03Russia. Okay, so am I trying to tell
18:05you that Russia and Elon Musk are to
18:07blame for the growing right-wing
18:08populism around the world? Absolutely
18:11not. Russia also supports some
18:13left-wing populists. Much of this video
18:15applies to populism in general. Russia
18:19simply benefits from parties that
18:21oppose Ukraine. But even apart from the
18:24war in Ukraine, Russia strategically
18:26benefits from a fractured society in
18:28Europe and the USA. When the EU or NATO
18:30do not stick together, but are instead
18:32divided by infighting. When the
18:34political landscape does not pull
18:37together on important issues, then
18:39Russia wins. That is why I do believe
18:42that Russia certainly contributes to
18:44strengthening right-wing populists
18:46worldwide, just as Elon Musk does for
18:48his own interests. To what extent is
18:50hard to say, but for my point, that is
18:52completely irrelevant. The reason I
18:55mention Elon Musk and Russia here is
18:58because they show us most clearly what
19:00I believe is the real problem, by
19:02exploiting it most obviously. Social
19:07media. Chapter 5. The internet. is
19:10breaking us. Elon Musk on Twitter or
19:13disinformation campaigns from Russia.
19:15The internet has made all of that
19:17possible. Corona divided society
19:20because it was a highly complex
19:21situation, but also because we were all
19:23suddenly just glued to our phones at
19:25home and arguing with each other. I
19:28would even argue that we have all
19:29become angrier, sadder, more anxious,
19:31and more stressed worldwide. Not
19:33because of the crises, because as I
19:35said, those have always existed, but
19:36because of the time we have been
19:38spending on social media ever since.
19:41Even without unpacking specific studies
19:43here, I think it is clear to everyone
19:45that social media has made a massive
19:47contribution worldwide to dividing and
19:49radicalizing society. Whether it is
19:52recommendation algorithms that
19:53supposedly create so-called rabbit hole
19:56effects, meaning people are shown
19:57increasingly radical content. However,
19:59it is also debated whether that
20:01actually exists. It could also be the
20:02opposite, that people are confronted
20:04with more extreme opposing opinions
20:06that make them angry. Whether it's the
20:09attention economy, meaning clickbait
20:11and wildly emotional statements are
20:13rewarded by us with clicks, or that we
20:15only read headlines that increasingly
20:17show how terrible everything is, which
20:19distorts our perception, or that
20:21because everyone suddenly has a voice,
20:23the absolute extremes of the opinion
20:26spectrum—the Overton window, meaning
20:29what is considered socially acceptable
20:31—have expanded so drastically that we
20:33are confronted with populist statements
20:36every single day. Regardless of what
20:38all the ultimate reasons are, according
20:41to one study, the mere existence of
20:43mobile internet access promotes
20:44right-wing populism because it fosters
20:47tribalism and causes you to start
20:48disliking strangers. I think anyone who
20:51has ever looked at the internet can
20:52understand that. You really start to
20:54hate other people if you ever look at
20:57the comments. Well, except for you guys
20:59, of course. You are cool, and this
21:01isn't even the internet's fault; rather
21:02, we as humans are just like this. We
21:05love belonging to a tribe and showing
21:07everyone in our tribe that we think the
21:09others are really stupid. I am doing
21:12the same thing right now with this
21:13video. The internet also makes it so
21:15much easier, because in real life you
21:17would have interrupted my monologue
21:19here at least ten times. The same
21:21mechanisms that make social media
21:22successful are dividing society. And
21:25that doesn't even take into account
21:27that the internet has made it so
21:28incredibly easy to spread
21:30disinformation everywhere. My argument
21:33is therefore not that Russia or Elon
21:35Musk are to blame, but that they are
21:37the most obvious example of the actual
21:39global problem. The internet has
21:42screwed up our society. And because men
21:45and women often consume different
21:47content on the internet, this would,
21:49for example, also explain why the same
21:50crises have different outcomes and
21:52right-wing dudes can't get dates
21:54anymore. Chapter 6. Okay, but what do
21:57we do with this info now? We know that
21:59similar things are happening globally.
22:01This suggests that there are perhaps
22:03similar causes globally and that we
22:05might need to do something about it
22:06globally as well. We have known for
22:09years how social media negatively
22:11affects society. We have known for
22:13years that Russia influences our
22:15politics through social media. The
22:17points I am addressing here have been
22:19discussed for at least 10 years, at the
22:22latest since the first election of
22:24Donald Trump, but partly even longer—
22:26already in 2005 there was a study on
22:28political blogs. Does anyone even
22:31remember blogs? And it came to the
22:34conclusion that even back then
22:35polarization could be seen among
22:36bloggers, and moderate centrist blogs
22:38had hardly any success. But even though
22:41we know this, somehow nobody changes
22:43anything. This video won't change
22:46anything for anyone either. The problem
22:49I'm creating in this video is that I'm
22:51trying to explain why people have what
22:53I consider to be wrong opinions, and in
22:55doing so, I'm somehow denying that they
22:58are genuinely angry. Someone just made
23:01them angry, so angry that they are
23:02prepared to vote for a party that is in
23:04parts confirmed to be right-wing
23:06extremist. Social media is to blame,
23:09Russia, the fake news, and not the
23:11reality, the bad policy that is making
23:13them angry. This video will convince no
23:16one. This video changes nothing about
23:18the feeling. A feeling that exists in
23:21reality because we are all exhausted.
23:23And it would be naive to believe that
23:25everyone who votes for the AfD was
23:27simply misguided. Of course not. Many
23:29are convinced by the right-wing
23:31extremist positions, but the majority
23:33of people who voted for the AfD for the
23:35first time in the last federal election
23:37actually do so not out of conviction,
23:39but out of disappointment. And there
23:42are many approaches on how one could
23:43win these people back. In my video on
24:05the last federal election, I already
24:06said it: Germany isn't doing all that
24:07badly yet. The money is just not
24:10distributed very evenly and growth
24:12could be a bit better, but we are still
24:14the third-largest economy in the world.
24:17Politics just has to prove that a
24:19positive future lies ahead of us, that
24:21one can trust the government. That is
24:24the job of the politicians. But we as a
24:27society can also do something. "Der
24:29Spiegel" interviewed five experts on
24:31this a few weeks ago. What helps
24:33against right-wing extremists? Spoiler
24:35alert: it's not a "Spiegel" cover. One
24:38of the experts said that we need a
24:40movement for change where everyone
24:42sticks together through an honest
24:43description of the problems, a vision
24:45that makes you want to get started,
24:47through the feeling that everyone can
24:49contribute through community. Another
24:52expert in the article also reaches a
24:54similar conclusion by citing an example
24:56. In France, it was found that support
25:00for right-wing populists increases when
25:03the local bar closes and decreases when
25:06a new bar opens. The next expert said
25:09there is a need for more low-threshold
25:11opportunities for participation in real
25:13life. Clubs, neighborhood projects,
25:16citizens' forums, and the next expert
25:18says again that more community is
25:20needed. And the last expert recommends:
25:22clubs. Isn't it strange that
25:25polarization is increasing worldwide at
25:27the same time? From the moment we all
25:31increasingly hole up in our phones
25:33worldwide, doomscrolling and hurling
25:35insults at anonymous people, while
25:38polarization apparently decreases when
25:40we all meet in real life, encounter
25:42real people, and work together on the
25:45problems of our time. Perhaps that is
25:48one reason why the AfD wants to abolish
25:50NGOs. In closing, I would like to leave
25:52you with one thing before the state
25:54election. It may be that over 40%of
25:56people end up voting for the AfD, and
25:58for the first time in the history of
26:00the Federal Republic, we might have a
26:02far-right party in government there.
26:06But 60%do not want them. It may be that
26:10nationwide the AfD is currently at 28%
26:12in the polls, but that also means 72%do
26:14not want a party that is in parts
26:16far-right. We must also not make the
26:19AfD and this global trend larger than
26:22it is. What we should make larger is
26:25what the right-wing populists do not
26:27offer, but what we all—even AfD
26:28voters—actually want. More community
26:32and a better future.

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