Did West Underestimate Iran? Dr. Abbas Milani & Tom Ginsburg Explain US-Iran Tensions | 4K — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:01Well, thank you so much for coming, Dr.
- 0:04Milani. It's just an enormous honor for
- 0:06us. For those who've not read his work,
- 0:08I encourage you. It's
- 0:09It's not only the authoritative
- 0:11historian of modern Iran, but a
- 0:13beautiful writer and obviously a very
- 0:16humane person voice that comes through.
- 0:19So, it's great to have you here to help
- 0:20us unpack this. I actually want to start
- 0:22not with the current situation or even
- 0:24the history that leads up to it, but
- 0:26with you, with your life. Cuz I noticed
- 0:28in reading your memoir that we have
- 0:29something in common. You might not know.
- 0:31We were both in Berkeley in 1968.
- 0:34And I was exactly 1 year old. You were a
- 0:37student activist. You were in protest.
- 0:38We were probably at some of the same
- 0:40protests, me on my parents' shoulders
- 0:42and such. But I wonder if you could talk
- 0:44about what it was like to come from Iran
- 0:46to the Bay Area and what that experience
- 0:49meant for you as a young person. How did
- 0:51it change your perspective?
- 0:53>> Well, first of all, it's a great honor
- 0:54to be here, truly, and be in
- 0:56conversation with you.
- 0:58Um
- 0:59I have a great debt to the Chicago
- 1:03tradition of inquiry, free inquiry.
- 1:06Um
- 1:07I've translated actually the work of
- 1:09Kolakowski.
- 1:10The three volumes of Kolakowski's work,
- 1:13Main Currents of Marxism.
- 1:15And my then wife, 45 years ago,
- 1:18translated
- 1:19Saul Bellow's Herzog.
- 1:22So,
- 1:23I have lived in this atmosphere
- 1:25intellectually and benefited from it.
- 1:28I also thought that I've learned a lot
- 1:30from your father,
- 1:31but ChatGPT was lying.
- 1:34I thought his father was
- 1:36Carlo. Uh
- 1:38And it wasn't. I've learned a great deal
- 1:41from him.
- 1:43So, I I came to Berkeley
- 1:46as a 15-year-old.
- 1:48Uh 15 and a half to be exact.
- 1:51Uh and I came from a fairly protected
- 1:54atmosphere, sort of a bourgeois
- 1:57upbringing.
- 1:58Um I went a French school. Uh,
- 2:02at that time the only co-educational
- 2:04school, one of the only co-educational
- 2:06schools. Um, and uh, from there I was
- 2:10thrust into Berkeley, 1964. That's when
- 2:14I first came.
- 2:16My first entry into Berkeley uh, was
- 2:19when
- 2:20uh,
- 2:21Mario Savio was leading the student
- 2:25demonstrations. And to come from that
- 2:28atmosphere in Iran
- 2:30to this atmosphere
- 2:31and then 3 years later to see Mario
- 2:34Savio as a bus boy in a bar
- 2:37in Berkeley.
- 2:39It showed me aspects of America and
- 2:41aspects of what it means to live in a
- 2:43democratic society, in a free society.
- 2:46That just changed me drastically and
- 2:49very soon I joined the group of uh,
- 2:51students who were opposed to the Shah.
- 2:54Uh, very small uh, Maoist group of all
- 2:59brands of Marxism in the world. Um, and
- 3:02um,
- 3:03I became active.
- 3:04>> Mhm.
- 3:04>> Uh, but I always wanted to go back to
- 3:07Iran. So, my activism was not uh,
- 3:10open because we were afraid of SAVAK
- 3:13what SAVAK might do.
- 3:15So, I went back in '75.
- 3:17Um,
- 3:19and began teaching at two universities,
- 3:21the the National University at the time
- 3:24and Tehran University Faculty of Law and
- 3:26Political Science.
- 3:27Um,
- 3:29where I know you served in the uh, Hague
- 3:33and some of the people who were coming
- 3:35from the Iranian side were actually my
- 3:37colleagues. And some of them later on my
- 3:39students. So, I taught there till '87,
- 3:41but before that in '76,
- 3:45I spent a year in prison.
- 3:46>> Mhm.
- 3:47>> Uh, as a Maoist. Uh,
- 3:50and uh, for 6 months of it I was in Evin
- 3:54prison. Um,
- 3:56the cell block that was holding the
- 3:58future leaders of Iran.
- 4:00Uh,
- 4:01almost everybody with exception of
- 4:03Khomeini Khomeini and Khomeini
- 4:06Khomeini was out of the country.
- 4:08Khomeini was in exile.
- 4:11But Montazeri, Taleqani, Rafsanjani,
- 4:14Haqqani they were all there. We spent 6
- 4:17months with them. It was extremely
- 4:19educational.
- 4:20>> Mhm.
- 4:21>> Uh
- 4:21in many ways.
- 4:24Evin has been called the university, but
- 4:26this one was a university in a very
- 4:28profoundly different way.
- 4:29>> [laughter]
- 4:31>> Could you see where they were going? I
- 4:32mean, you were
- 4:34obviously you couldn't predict the
- 4:35future, which side would win if the Shah
- 4:37ever fell, but did did you have a sense
- 4:39of that group of people, how radical
- 4:41they would become?
- 4:43>> I knew how radical they were.
- 4:44>> Mhm.
- 4:45>> Uh most of them. There were a couple of
- 4:47them who were profoundly
- 4:49uh human, profoundly open. Mr. Taleqani,
- 4:52I've written about Taleqani in a book
- 4:54called Seymour. Taleqani was as
- 4:56open-minded as any person I've ever
- 4:58seen.
- 4:59Uh but there were others who were just
- 5:01truly remarkable. But at that time, this
- 5:04is 2 and 1/2 year before the revolution.
- 5:07If you had told any of these people, any
- 5:10of them, that within 2 and 1/2 years you
- 5:12would rule Iran, they would suggest you
- 5:14go see a psychiatrist.
- 5:16>> Mhm.
- 5:17>> [laughter]
- 5:18>> They had not a dream even.
- 5:21And you know, this isn't just true about
- 5:23Iran. Other revolutions are the same. I
- 5:25mean, Trotsky was on his way to America
- 5:27when the revolution happened. They
- 5:29didn't think that the Bolsheviks had a
- 5:33distant possibility.
- 5:35Um
- 5:36but not only they didn't know,
- 5:39the remarkable thing is that the Shah's
- 5:41regime had no clue.
- 5:42>> Mhm.
- 5:43>> The Shah's regime believed that their
- 5:46main enemy were the left, which was a
- 5:48minor small group, or the Mossadeghists,
- 5:51which were larger in number, but still
- 5:53no threat. And they thought the clergy
- 5:56are their allies in the fight against
- 5:58these two.
- 6:002 years before the revolution.
- 6:03And I heard this and I've said this long
- 6:05ago before and it's been confirmed from
- 6:07many other sources. 2 and 1/2 years
- 6:09before the revolution, the SAVAK gave
- 6:12these clergy,
- 6:13the future leaders of the revolution,
- 6:16the option
- 6:18to sign a note that says, "We will
- 6:21criticize the regime as much as we
- 6:24criticize the left and Mossadeghist. If
- 6:26you sign that petition, they'll let you
- 6:28go."
- 6:322 and 1/2 years.
- 6:34And some of them signed
- 6:36and were let go.
- 6:37>> Mhm.
- 6:38>> That's how wrong they were
- 6:40strategically.
- 6:41>> Mhm. [clears throat]
- 6:42>> The CIA missed it just as much. The
- 6:44British intelligence missed it just as
- 6:46much. These are the two sources that
- 6:49I've had access to.
- 6:51Every evidence is that the Soviets
- 6:53missed it.
- 6:54The Israelis missed it.
- 6:58Um
- 6:59so
- 7:00>> [clears throat]
- 7:01>> that sort of a chasm between the reality
- 7:05>> Mhm.
- 7:06>> and the Shah's perception of who his
- 7:09enemies were,
- 7:11I think is one key to understanding why
- 7:13the revolution happened and why the
- 7:15clergy won.
- 7:16>> Mhm.
- 7:17I mean, it's a reminder obviously of the
- 7:19contingency that history throws up for
- 7:21us. When the moment came in 1979, as I
- 7:24understand from your memoir, you you
- 7:25weren't outside. You stayed at home even
- 7:28though you kind of had this sense that
- 7:29historical events were happening around
- 7:32you.
- 7:33What was your impulse to not go out in
- 7:34the street and and act with everyone
- 7:37else?
- 7:37>> I I went out into the streets to watch,
- 7:40but I wasn't at all happy that the Shah
- 7:43was going.
- 7:43>> Mhm.
- 7:44>> Uh
- 7:45because I knew what was coming. And I
- 7:47wasn't alone. I think anybody who wasn't
- 7:51uh
- 7:52befuddled by the romanticism of a
- 7:54revolution,
- 7:56by the sort of the riotous joys of a
- 7:59carnival that a revolution almost
- 8:01invariably is,
- 8:02>> Mhm.
- 8:02>> but could see that what is coming is
- 8:05fascism.
- 8:06Uh
- 8:07the person who introduced modern
- 8:09sociology to Iran,
- 8:11one of the most eminent scholars in
- 8:14social history of modern Iran, the the
- 8:16Dr. Sadegh Zibakalam.
- 8:18Uh,
- 8:19it's just a remarkable profile in
- 8:21courage. Very few people know of him.
- 8:23This is the guy who was uh one of the
- 8:25most devout fans of Mosaddegh.
- 8:28Had been in prison. Had never accepted a
- 8:31job in the government. Taught at the
- 8:33university.
- 8:35And on the eve of the revolution, he
- 8:36accepted to form a cabinet
- 8:39to save the country from what he says is
- 8:42the coming fascism of the sandstorm.
- 8:46And Shah for varieties of reasons, some
- 8:48of which we know, some of them which we
- 8:49don't know,
- 8:51didn't appoint him the prime minister.
- 8:54Because Sadegh had the brilliance, the
- 8:57patriotism to recognize that if he wants
- 8:59to save Iran, the Shah has to stay in
- 9:01Iran.
- 9:05Both the Americans
- 9:07and Bakhtiar insisted that the Shah
- 9:10leave Iran.
- 9:11The Carter administration, in spite of
- 9:14all the good he has done,
- 9:16and he changed my life in ways that I
- 9:18mean that I knew the day in prison that
- 9:21Carter was elected.
- 9:22Because the day after, our daily life
- 9:25changed for the better.
- 9:27Torture almost stopped immediately.
- 9:30>> Really?
- 9:31>> Oh, absolutely. I have I'm not saying
- 9:33this now, but
- 9:35I've written about it many times. Yeah.
- 9:38You know, when uh
- 9:40they put soap on the bathroom,
- 9:44they used to take us in blindfold to go
- 9:46to the bathroom. When I went to the
- 9:48bathroom and saw a soap, I said Carter
- 9:50must have I knew elections were coming.
- 9:52No, I really mean that. And then it
- 9:54began to change. They began changing the
- 9:56carpets and everything. But
- 9:58in spite of all this good, uh I think he
- 10:01has a
- 10:03a lot to answer in history
- 10:05>> Mhm.
- 10:05>> for missing the boat,
- 10:07for having no policy,
- 10:09and for eventually, with the help of
- 10:11Britain,
- 10:12deciding that Iran's future is better in
- 10:14the hands of the mullahs
- 10:16than in the hands of anybody else.
- 10:18>> One of my interests is how people in
- 10:20academia, how academics can survive
- 10:23under authoritarian regimes, under
- 10:25dictatorships, what strategies we
- 10:27employ. And of course, the first few
- 10:29years you were there, you were in the
- 10:30universities,
- 10:32and so what was that like? Did you have
- 10:34some sense of academic freedom in the
- 10:36first few years before you left for
- 10:38exile?
- 10:39>> Uh I didn't have a sense of academic
- 10:42freedom either under the Shah or
- 10:45certainly under the Islamic Revolution.
- 10:47Uh in the revolution, when the
- 10:49revolution came, they threw me out of
- 10:52the university after about a year and a
- 10:54half.
- 10:55At the law school where I taught, out of
- 10:5744 faculty, they threw out 40 of us
- 11:01because we were literally the first
- 11:03group to write statements against
- 11:05torture, the introduction of torture,
- 11:08against the new criminal
- 11:10>> [clears throat]
- 11:10>> code that they had written, an eye for
- 11:12an eye instead of the other.
- 11:14So I didn't feel like there was academic
- 11:17freedom,
- 11:18but there was more academic freedom on
- 11:20both regimes than it appears from
- 11:22outside if you know how to play the
- 11:25game.
- 11:27Uh I was a Marxist at the time,
- 11:30>> [clears throat]
- 11:30>> and students were in love
- 11:33about learning about Marxism.
- 11:36You couldn't say Marxism says this,
- 11:39we would say sociology, scientific
- 11:42sociology teaches us this.
- 11:45The students knew what I was talking
- 11:47about, I knew what I was talking about,
- 11:48and SAVAK knew,
- 11:50but they let it go.
- 11:51And if you navigated these,
- 11:54there was
- 11:56And
- 11:57the other thing that in retrospect I
- 12:00recognize about Iran
- 12:02is how much cultural freedom there was
- 12:05under the Shah
- 12:07uh as compared to, for example, the
- 12:10regime afterwards.
- 12:13The left, particularly and Mossadeghists
- 12:16still and the clergy, the opposition,
- 12:18defined freedom as the ability to
- 12:21criticize the Shah in their own terms.
- 12:24You, unless you can criticize the Shah
- 12:26directly, then this is not a democratic
- 12:29system.
- 12:30Well,
- 12:31not being able to criticize the Shah
- 12:33should be criticized.
- 12:35But Iranian woman had more freedom under
- 12:37the Shah than ever.
- 12:39Iranian Jews had more freedom under the
- 12:41Shah than ever.
- 12:43Iranian Baha'is had more freedom under
- 12:45the Shah than ever.
- 12:47Iranian arts developed more under the
- 12:49Shah than ever.
- 12:51Why are not those democratic
- 12:54uh freedoms? Why is democratic freedom
- 12:56only the right to
- 12:58organize
- 13:00as a Marxist?
- 13:02The constitution doesn't Iranian laws
- 13:05didn't allow us actually to form
- 13:07organization.
- 13:09But even if they did,
- 13:11we weren't allowed,
- 13:13but the clergy were allowed.
- 13:15The clergy had developed this remarkable
- 13:18network. No one paid attention to it.
- 13:21The
- 13:22CIA missed it, the SAVAK missed it, the
- 13:24intelligence
- 13:25missed it. As far as we know, the
- 13:26Israelis missed it.
- 13:29Because they thought, well, it's okay to
- 13:31have a school that teaches the Quran.
- 13:34Well, it depends what they teach in the
- 13:35Quran.
- 13:37And if you don't allow me
- 13:39to have my mind to speak my mind,
- 13:44uh
- 13:45why are you allowing the people who are
- 13:47attacking me
- 13:49a a free hand?
- 13:52And again, I don't say this now after
- 13:5550 years. Uh
- 13:57our trial because
- 13:59when we were put on trial because there
- 14:01were some of us who were professors like
- 14:02me and a couple of others, and it would
- 14:04and the amnesty came and it was a big
- 14:08And
- 14:09there is a
- 14:10tape of my
- 14:12defend that trial.
- 14:15Uh
- 14:16parts of it have been broadcast and
- 14:18there I say
- 14:20"Why should I I said all I wanted is to
- 14:22contribute to a better democratic Iran.
- 14:25You haven't allowed me to organize
- 14:27legally.
- 14:29If you had allowed me to have
- 14:30a you know a social democratic group, I
- 14:33wouldn't have gone underground."
- 14:36So
- 14:38when I go back, I think we essentially
- 14:41um
- 14:42we being the opposition and I I should
- 14:45only speak for myself. I'm sure many in
- 14:48in the opposition don't don't share
- 14:49that. I missed the boat on what the
- 14:53democracy means. Democracy doesn't just
- 14:55mean the right of a small minority to
- 14:58speak their mind. It does mean that
- 15:00but it's not limited to that.
- 15:02>> Mhm.
- 15:02>> If I had to go back I would absolutely
- 15:06give up my right to speak directly about
- 15:09Marxism for the right of Iranian Jews to
- 15:11live in more freedom than they had ever
- 15:13done.
- 15:14>> Mhm.
- 15:14>> The Iranian Baha'i, the Iranian woman,
- 15:16the Iranian Sunnis,
- 15:18every other
- 15:20of that period lived a better life than
- 15:24they had done before or they had done
- 15:26after.
- 15:27>> Mhm.
- 15:28>> There was a gay marriage in Iran, folks,
- 15:31in 1975.
- 15:34>> Mhm.
- 15:35>> Where people hired a carriage
- 15:38and covered it with flowers
- 15:41and one of them was very close to the
- 15:44court of the Shah.
- 15:46He was neither thrown out of the court
- 15:48nor
- 15:51there was a gay bar when the police went
- 15:54and beat on the gays. The queen
- 15:57literally went to the Shah.
- 15:59We have this from the American archives.
- 16:01They said, "What kind of brutality is
- 16:03this? These people are in a bar enjoying
- 16:05themselves. Let them have their
- 16:08That to me in retrospect is as important
- 16:11as my right to be able to openly talk
- 16:14about Marxism in class.
- 16:15>> Mhm.
- 16:17I want to turn to sort of the macro,
- 16:18like how did we get here? The countries
- 16:21are at war.
- 16:22Uh and you know, as I sort of think
- 16:24about the history, I I often describe it
- 16:26as like two particles in physics which
- 16:29are, you know, repelling each other but
- 16:31still entangled. They they're they're
- 16:33connected somehow
- 16:34uh and their histories are bound up
- 16:36together and sort of obsessed with each
- 16:38other.
- 16:39>> [laughter]
- 16:39>> As you read the history, I mean it's a
- 16:41huge question, but how how did we get
- 16:43here? How What is the source of such
- 16:45misunderstanding?
- 16:47>> Well,
- 16:48um again, um
- 16:50when you read some of the academicians
- 16:53in the West and when you read some of
- 16:55the media in the West,
- 16:58you get a very different answer than
- 17:00what I'm about to give you.
- 17:02Uh I think the source of this has to go
- 17:04back to the rise of Khomeini to power
- 17:08that basically decided, for reasons that
- 17:10I don't understand, I I certainly don't
- 17:12agree,
- 17:13uh
- 17:15that
- 17:16US is Iran's mortal enemy
- 17:19and that the destruction of Israel is
- 17:22one of the prime goals of Iran's foreign
- 17:24policy.
- 17:25I don't agree with that.
- 17:27Uh
- 17:28I think the Shah had a much better
- 17:30policy on Israel.
- 17:32The Shah criticized Israel's occupation
- 17:34of the Palestinian territories. The Shah
- 17:37repeatedly demanded that the
- 17:39Palestinians be given
- 17:41state of their own,
- 17:43but also had diplomatic relations with
- 17:45Israel.
- 17:47Uh
- 17:48Israel uh Iranian Jews have lived in
- 17:50Iran for 3,000 years.
- 17:53They Jews have not had a place
- 17:57healthier for them than Iran. Read
- 18:00Bernard Lewis, who is no friend of Iran.
- 18:03>> Mhm.
- 18:04>> And
- 18:05suddenly change that and say the
- 18:07destruction of the state of Israel is
- 18:09our prime goal and that death to America
- 18:12is
- 18:13uh our policy and that I initially
- 18:16Khomeini, then I Khomeini, ban a direct
- 18:20negotiations with the US. Why? First of
- 18:22all, what is the difference between a
- 18:24direct negotiation and an indirect
- 18:26negotiation? It sounds like a childish
- 18:29game we play in high elementary school.
- 18:32I don't talk to you, so don't touch me.
- 18:34If you want to send a message, send a
- 18:35message. I don't know whether they did
- 18:37this in high elementary schools here. We
- 18:39certainly didn't in Iran.
- 18:42Don't touch me. This is the
- 18:44They wasted weeks. People are dying in
- 18:47Iran.
- 18:48But we don't talk to Americans directly.
- 18:50We send a message to Omani's Prime
- 18:52Minister, and he sends back to us.
- 18:55The time that is lost, the precision
- 18:57that is lost.
- 18:59Why?
- 19:00And if you continuously say
- 19:04and do things
- 19:06against Israel and the United States, as
- 19:09Iran did, occupy the embassy.
- 19:11As Iran did, arming the Hezbollah
- 19:13against Israel. Well, obviously, when
- 19:16Israel thinks you're weakest, Israel is
- 19:18going to attack you.
- 19:20When you have a president like Trump and
- 19:21he sees you at the weakest and has close
- 19:24relationship with
- 19:26Netanyahu, they might use that occasion
- 19:29of your weakness. They have destroyed
- 19:32all your proxies.
- 19:35They have overthrown your ally Assad,
- 19:37for whom you have spent $70 billion
- 19:40dollars.
- 19:41You put 100,000 missiles there. They
- 19:43virtually Israelis have taken all of
- 19:45this out. Before all of this.
- 19:48Why are you continuing on this policy?
- 19:52So,
- 19:53uh
- 19:54Why Khamenei and Khomeini have it? I
- 19:57think it's a complicated story. It's a
- 19:58very different story. Khomeini,
- 20:00I think, had more a visceral dislike.
- 20:04Khamenei had a theoretical dislike.
- 20:06Khamenei had read Sayyid Qutb
- 20:10uh of Muslim Brotherhood.
- 20:13Khamenei had translated Sayyid Qutb.
- 20:16Uh what is very little known about him
- 20:18is that Khamenei has translated four of
- 20:21Qutb's books.
- 20:23Four.
- 20:26You read virtually every profile of
- 20:29Khomeini written in the last 40 years.
- 20:31There's no reference
- 20:33to the fact that
- 20:34this guy translated for all and he's a
- 20:37good translator.
- 20:39He was very
- 20:40Khomeini was a very eloquent speaker.
- 20:45Why? Because in Qutb he found something
- 20:48that he
- 20:50conceptually wanted to formalize.
- 20:53Anti-modernity.
- 20:55You have to understand Iran as
- 20:57essentially a battle between modernity
- 21:00and its foes.
- 21:01>> Mhm.
- 21:03>> That to me is the
- 21:05same expanded out.
- 21:07That's the battle of the last century in
- 21:09Iran.
- 21:10Between advocates of modernity
- 21:13and foes of modernity. And there is no
- 21:15foe more determined
- 21:18against modernity than the clergy.
- 21:21There is no one who has formulated
- 21:24an anti-modern
- 21:25narrative
- 21:28very very sophisticated
- 21:30than Khomeini
- 21:33and Sayyid Qutb.
- 21:34They basically say modernity is a
- 21:37Jewish-Christian trick.
- 21:39Verbatim.
- 21:41We don't want it. We want our Islam.
- 21:46>> I wonder
- 21:47I'm so I'm a constitutional lawyer and
- 21:49and it's a very novel our constitutional
- 21:51arrangement as you know in which there's
- 21:53an elected government which reflects the
- 21:56mood of the people within a bounded set
- 21:57of
- 21:59you know possible people to elect and
- 22:01then the supreme leader. And I wonder if
- 22:03there was ever a moment maybe around
- 22:05Khomeini's time or something like that
- 22:07where our side could have done more to
- 22:10encourage that modernity within the
- 22:12regime if you will to the the
- 22:14empowerment of the the more moderate
- 22:16elements and a softening of that view or
- 22:19was it always destined to be this way?
- 22:21Because if you say it's Khomeini then it
- 22:23seems like well there's not any options
- 22:25on our side.
- 22:27>> Well, I think there were options.
- 22:29Again, there are academicians, there are
- 22:31journalists who blame the failure of an
- 22:34improvement in this relationship always
- 22:36on America. That America didn't do
- 22:37enough.
- 22:39Uh
- 22:39and there are people who basically say
- 22:41the Iranian regime was never willing to
- 22:44do enough. I think the answer is a
- 22:46little more complicated, but there were
- 22:48things they could do. I think that
- 22:50the first thing that the US I think
- 22:52needs to do
- 22:54is develop a strategy about Iran.
- 22:57>> Mhm.
- 22:58>> The US has political
- 23:01reactions.
- 23:03The last time the US had a strategy on
- 23:05Iran was Richard Nixon.
- 23:08Say what you will about him. You can
- 23:10disagree with his agreement and theory.
- 23:13His view was that Iran
- 23:16next to Israel and next to Saudi Arabia,
- 23:19which at that time was a minor player,
- 23:22are keys to the future of the Middle
- 23:24East and we should support the Shah.
- 23:26>> Mhm.
- 23:26>> [clears throat]
- 23:27>> Don't talk to him about human rights.
- 23:30Don't talk to him about buying too much
- 23:32arm. Give him every piece of
- 23:34weaponry he wants except nuclear.
- 23:38After that,
- 23:40what was Carter's policy on Iran?
- 23:45Within the span of 6 months, he said
- 23:48that Iran is a despotic regime.
- 23:51It's a one-bullet state.
- 23:53It needs to have human rights.
- 23:55To say Iran is a island of security.
- 23:58>> Mhm.
- 23:58>> To say we should support the Shah.
- 24:01To say the Shah has to leave Iran.
- 24:04What was Reagan's policy?
- 24:06He said we never negotiate with these
- 24:08terrorists and negotiated with them.
- 24:12Every American administration have since
- 24:14then negotiated with this regime.
- 24:17Given it arms.
- 24:19If the US has decided that Iran should
- 24:23stay,
- 24:24well, that's one policy.
- 24:27But if the US has decided as every US
- 24:30administration has said that Iran is its
- 24:31biggest threat,
- 24:33if you look at these national security
- 24:35statements,
- 24:36what
- 24:37what are you doing about it?
- 24:39Do you have a long-term view?
- 24:42I That's to me the first thing.
- 24:45Uh
- 24:47in the case of Khatami, uh
- 24:50in the case of the Green Movement, I
- 24:52think Obama absolutely missed an
- 24:54opportunity.
- 24:56Uh
- 24:57at that time I say this because Mike
- 25:00McFaul has written about it. Mike McFaul
- 25:01is a very dear friend of mine. He and I
- 25:03are colleagues. We have written things.
- 25:05Mike McFaul was very close to Obama. And
- 25:08through Mike McFaul, repeatedly we told
- 25:10him
- 25:11that you need to now come out and say
- 25:14very strongly that the Iranian people
- 25:16can take the sword to the Green
- 25:18Movement.
- 25:19He didn't do it.
- 25:23Because he wanted the deal.
- 25:26And and the deal he got, I was for the
- 25:29nuclear deal, but I thought it was a
- 25:31flawed deal because it didn't include
- 25:33the human rights issue.
- 25:34>> [snorts and clears throat]
- 25:35>> And it didn't include the issue of the
- 25:37proxies.
- 25:38And I
- 25:39wrote it down. I don't say it now.
- 25:42Uh
- 25:43Trump walking away from the deal to me
- 25:45was wrong.
- 25:48Uh
- 25:49the deal was flawed, but walking away
- 25:52from it wasn't the way to solve it. Nor
- 25:55is the invasion. I I I've always
- 25:58believed, and I've written this hundred
- 26:00times, from 2008 you can read it in the
- 26:03media,
- 26:04that I, although find this regime to be
- 26:08absolutely disastrous for Iran, I have
- 26:11never supported the attack of Iran.
- 26:14If Iran is to have democracy, it has to
- 26:17be built by the people of Iran for the
- 26:19people of Iran.
- 26:21The US neither has the moral right nor
- 26:24the possibility of forcing its will on
- 26:27the people of Iran.
- 26:29>> But now we're in the midst of attempting
- 26:31to do precisely that. And uh so I want
- 26:34to ask you maybe obviously no one can
- 26:37know the future, but we have a regime
- 26:38that looks like it will survive uh at
- 26:41least for the moment. Um and how and
- 26:44with even less support from the people
- 26:46than it ever had.
- 26:47Uh but
- 26:48they can repress for quite a while. I
- 26:51mean, do you see any um
- 26:53Well, I read something which described
- 26:55you a 10-year-old article said the
- 26:57Iranian optimist. So, is there any sign
- 26:59that there might be some moderation or
- 27:01anything like that? How do you see this
- 27:02kind of playing out?
- 27:04>> Uh I hate to do this, but I have to
- 27:05correct you.
- 27:06>> Yeah.
- 27:07>> They didn't say the Iranian optimist.
- 27:09They say the lunatic optimist.
- 27:11>> [laughter]
- 27:13>> And you know who was the guy who said
- 27:15the lunatic optimist?
- 27:16>> No.
- 27:16>> The head of the CIA desk
- 27:20in uh the US government.
- 27:22>> Okay.
- 27:23>> Married to the head of the Iran desk in
- 27:25the State Department.
- 27:27>> [laughter]
- 27:28>> They were writing uh the Stanford
- 27:30magazine was writing a profile of me,
- 27:32and they hired this journalist, and he
- 27:34said, "Can we talk to somebody who can
- 27:36say bad things about you?" I said, "Go
- 27:38talk to this guy."
- 27:39>> [laughter]
- 27:40>> And he said, "Milani is a lunatic
- 27:41optimist."
- 27:43I am a lunatic optimist.
- 27:45No, I I I truly am. Uh
- 27:47maybe I'm not lunatic optimist, but I'm
- 27:49an optimist. I absolutely believe that
- 27:51Iran will be democ- a democracy.
- 27:54Uh
- 27:55not a democracy imposed from outside. I
- 27:57don't believe that that's
- 27:59I I did desirable or possible.
- 28:01Uh but I think the Iranian people led by
- 28:04woman
- 28:06want democracy.
- 28:08Uh
- 28:10The Iranian woman organized what I think
- 28:12is the most successful civil
- 28:14disobedience movement of the last 50
- 28:17years after the African-American
- 28:18movement in America.
- 28:20And to its shame, I think,
- 28:23much of the left
- 28:25in the world, many of the feminists
- 28:28refused to accept that movement, refused
- 28:30to support it.
- 28:32Many of them came out and said, these
- 28:34are creations of Israel and the United
- 28:36States.
- 28:38Uh I think that's a very genuine
- 28:40movement.
- 28:41I think that movement has continued.
- 28:43It's
- 28:44the reason every day, today, as we
- 28:47speak,
- 28:48as the US is negotiating with Iran,
- 28:52talk to anybody who has any relative in
- 28:54Iran,
- 28:55the constant theme of everyday life in
- 28:58Iran is the regime threatening the
- 29:00people that will kill you if you come
- 29:02out in the streets.
- 29:03We'll expropriate you, your family, if
- 29:07you're even a dissident outside. They're
- 29:09now extending this reign of terror to
- 29:12outside. 400 people have been named that
- 29:15if you are an opponent of the Iranian
- 29:17regime outside,
- 29:19they're now sending text messages to
- 29:21phones
- 29:23in US, in Canada, in Europe, that we
- 29:27have seen you in this demonstration. If
- 29:29you continue, your property is your
- 29:32So, uh
- 29:34the people want change, but making
- 29:36change from this this atmosphere,
- 29:40making a change from a regime that has
- 29:43the capacity to still kill several
- 29:46thousand people within 3 days,
- 29:49as it [clears throat] did almost
- 29:52100 years days ago.
- 29:54Uh it's not easy. It hasn't been done.
- 29:56It certainly can't be done from the air.
- 30:02>> I want [clears throat] to, before
- 30:03opening it up, I want to ask you kind of
- 30:04a meta question if I can. You know, one
- 30:07of the things I'm very interested in at
- 30:08the forum is and one of the reasons we
- 30:10have universities is so that we can
- 30:13encounter new evidence and change our
- 30:14minds.
- 30:16And you are a former Marxist now working
- 30:18at the Hoover Institution, where I don't
- 30:19think there's too many Marxists hanging
- 30:21out. Um a former Maoist, I should say.
- 30:23That's that's really hardcore. Um
- 30:28what was the process of changing your
- 30:30mind? What maybe you could give us some
- 30:31examples of issues on which you changed
- 30:33your mind and and what led you to do
- 30:35that?
- 30:36>> Well, who said I changed my mind?
- 30:38>> [laughter]
- 30:40>> No, I'll get my little red book out and
- 30:42we
- 30:42>> No, no. No, I changed my mind in the
- 30:45sense that
- 30:46I thought
- 30:47Mao was an illiterate Marxist.
- 30:51Um but again to go to
- 30:54Kolakowski,
- 30:55whose work I translated, the
- 30:56three-volume Main Currents of Marxism,
- 30:59he said
- 31:00um traditionally Stalinists and Maoists
- 31:03exit Marxism in a similar fashion.
- 31:07They first translate Gramsci.
- 31:10I translated Gramsci in 1980.
- 31:14I translated a collection of essays from
- 31:16Gramsci called State and Civil Society.
- 31:19Then they try to find a common ground
- 31:22between Freud and Marx.
- 31:25I published a series of essays called
- 31:27Freud and History and Red Brown, Norman
- 31:29Brown.
- 31:30Um
- 31:32and of course
- 31:33the person who's not your father
- 31:35Kolakowski, Ginsberg.
- 31:39And then you realize that um
- 31:42what you thought were the essence of
- 31:45justice seeking
- 31:47in Marxism can't be found in orthodox
- 31:50Marxism. Mao was actually uh
- 31:53willing to kill 20 million people.
- 31:56Stalin was willing to kill 30 million
- 31:59people
- 32:00to force his ideas on society.
- 32:03Uh
- 32:04So in a sense um
- 32:07my
- 32:08uh
- 32:09recognition was that
- 32:11first, what I thought about Iranian
- 32:13society is completely wrong.
- 32:16That the Shah had actually made a lot of
- 32:18changes.
- 32:20Uh that my understanding of Marxism was
- 32:23profoundly flawed.
- 32:25Uh
- 32:26And then uh
- 32:27I think uh
- 32:29the last point is that uh there are in
- 32:32fact some lapsed uh or continued uh
- 32:36Marxists who now work at Hoover.
- 32:39The Mike McFaul
- 32:41works at Hoover. Larry Diamond works at
- 32:44Hoover.
- 32:46Uh
- 32:47the list goes on. The Hoover was uh
- 32:51about 25 years ago
- 32:53a completely a right-wing group.
- 32:56The Stanford said you can't do that.
- 32:59The Hoover became an institution like
- 33:02your institution that is part of the uh
- 33:05Chicago University became part of the
- 33:08university. And the university said that
- 33:10you can't do this kind of uh
- 33:14So, they began expanding the fellowship.
- 33:17Uh and now they have uh 40% The last
- 33:21time they did a count, 40% of the
- 33:23fellows are big D Democrats.
- 33:28>> Well, I do want to open it up. I know
- 33:29there's going to be many questions from
- 33:30the audience. So, we do have some
- 33:32questions that are going to come in
- 33:33online, but um if anyone has a question
- 33:35in the room I'm Marjanouch. Uh and we'll
- 33:38If you could wait for the mic here in
- 33:39the front.
- 33:42And please introduce yourself if you're
- 33:43willing.
- 33:44>> Hi, my name is Marjanouch Sorush, I'm a
- 33:45faculty of archaeology here.
- 33:48Um
- 33:49I totally agree with you that um we
- 33:51should have not um thrown out whatever
- 33:54was achieved under the Shah, the same
- 33:56way that I agree with you that we should
- 33:58not for
- 33:59uh we should not um kind of undermine
- 34:02whatever was achieved these past decades
- 34:05in Iran. But, I would disagree with kind
- 34:08of romanticization of those aspects of
- 34:12modern urban society in Iran that was
- 34:14under the Shah because for from my
- 34:17perspective working on kind of rural
- 34:19landscapes, hydraulic landscapes
- 34:22the contrast of what you're exper- uh
- 34:25explaining is um is extreme poverty that
- 34:29came with a lot of these big development
- 34:31projects, very bad top-down projects
- 34:34that completely
- 34:36destroyed the fabric of the society both
- 34:39economically and culturally. And those
- 34:41kind of hallmarks that
- 34:43looked nice
- 34:45from outside, especially right now,
- 34:47should be seen in the perspective of
- 34:50extremely
- 34:52kind of traditional society that see
- 34:54that
- 34:55as some kind of um
- 34:58humiliation and disrespect that had that
- 35:01backlash.
- 35:02And I see that
- 35:04so uh said repeatedly, for example, that
- 35:06Obama having having elected a black
- 35:09president was not good, and that's why
- 35:11we have this backlash even in the
- 35:13American society. Or like so, this is I
- 35:16I I I I want to say that kind of putting
- 35:19those kind of incidences should be seen
- 35:22as kind of the big picture of Iran in 30
- 35:25years ago, and the fact that a lot of
- 35:26the society didn't like those things.
- 35:30>> W- Well, first of all, uh
- 35:33it's interesting you uh call my view
- 35:35romantic, and then you offer a
- 35:38profoundly romantic view of Iran. You
- 35:40think disrupting the traditional
- 35:43feudalism of Iran
- 35:44uh was a humiliation of the villages.
- 35:47I
- 35:48Well, that's what I That's what
- 35:50romantics believe. That's what
- 35:51romanticism is. That's what Rousseau is.
- 35:54The notion that the noble man lives in
- 35:57this village. Uh people who think like
- 35:59you, for example, Dariush Shayegan wrote
- 36:01a book Osyan Darbaraye Gharb.
- 36:04Uh
- 36:05>> That's from an economic we can have a
- 36:06long discussion.
- 36:07>> Yeah. Let's Let's let him answer. No,
- 36:09no, please go ahead. No, go ahead. I I I
- 36:12I You've all heard my view. I
- 36:14I'd like to hear your criticism. But why
- 36:17is it that why is the notion that the
- 36:19continuation of feudalism in Iran,
- 36:22uh as you see it, is better than the
- 36:25disruption of it?
- 36:27The Shah's period
- 36:29brought about uh
- 36:32two of the biggest migrations in Iran's
- 36:363,000-year history.
- 36:39One is from the village to the city.
- 36:42When the Pahlavis took over Iran, almost
- 36:4580% of the Iranians
- 36:47were in the village.
- 36:48When the Pahlavis left Iran,
- 36:51the number was half of that.
- 36:54Today, it's 20%.
- 36:56That's a remarkable movement towards
- 36:58modernity.
- 37:00Everywhere, that's the movement towards
- 37:02modernity. That's what happened in
- 37:03England. Now, the romantics from
- 37:05Rousseau to Dariush Shayegan and maybe
- 37:08you, I don't know enough about your
- 37:10views, but I'm talking about just the
- 37:12view you suggested. Say, "No, no, don't
- 37:14touch this. This is really the noble
- 37:16Iran."
- 37:17You should live in that village that
- 37:18doesn't have drinking water. I told this
- 37:21to Dariush Shayegan when he wrote the
- 37:23book.
- 37:25Transcript of the discussion is there.
- 37:27Dariush Shayegan, Mascoob, uh Davari, uh
- 37:31and uh
- 37:33uh me.
- 37:35And I said, "You want to live in that
- 37:37village that you say is the most
- 37:38beautiful thing and that modernity
- 37:40destroyed it. The Indians would
- 37:41[clears throat] be would have been
- 37:42happier drawing water than this modern
- 37:46I don't. Maybe you do.
- 37:48But my view is no less no more romantic
- 37:52than your view. That's what romanticism
- 37:54with a big R means.
- 37:56The second movement that the Shah
- 37:58Pahlavi era brought about,
- 38:01equally important,
- 38:02is from for woman
- 38:06from the inside the house to the outside
- 38:09the house.
- 38:10Reza Shah made possible the movement of
- 38:13Iranian women in the streets.
- 38:16That is a remarkable movement.
- 38:19Reza Shah put windows in houses
- 38:22so woman can look at the outside. Reza
- 38:25Shah, with absolute brutality,
- 38:28put down the mullahs who didn't want
- 38:30women to go to school.
- 38:33That's
- 38:34from the top.
- 38:36But the women who lived in Iran at the
- 38:38time didn't think like you.
- 38:41Women who lived in Iran at the time
- 38:44read some of their memoirs.
- 38:45They say,
- 38:47"We want to go to school.
- 38:49We want to have the right to be in the
- 38:50streets.
- 38:52We as Jews want to live everywhere in
- 38:55Iran. We don't want to live in our
- 38:57neighborhoods."
- 38:58That's a movement that the Shah Reza
- 39:00Shah broke and Mohammad Reza Shah
- 39:02continued.
- 39:04>> Um we're going to take one from online.
- 39:07>> This question has come in from our uh
- 39:09virtual participants and a reminder for
- 39:11virtual participants to email their
- 39:12questions in.
- 39:14Dr. Milani, you've described the Islamic
- 39:16Republic as fundamentally anti-modern,
- 39:18but at the same time it has become
- 39:20effective at resonating with Western
- 39:22audiences, especially through the
- 39:24language of anti-imperialism and
- 39:26resistance, and often through
- 39:28propaganda.
- 39:29What mechanisms allow this paradox to
- 39:32function?
- 39:34>> Uh the mechanism that has allowed it to
- 39:36function is a very clever
- 39:39um architecture of narrative. Uh
- 39:42Khomeini and Khamenei both completely
- 39:45understood what is going to appeal to
- 39:48the Western left.
- 39:50What is going to appeal to even some of
- 39:53the feminists.
- 39:54What is uh
- 39:56Khomeini um
- 39:59initially appeared
- 40:01>> [clears throat]
- 40:02>> on the political horizon in Iran
- 40:05in I don't know why I'm looking at the
- 40:07speaker
- 40:09like a I think this The voice has
- 40:12come from there, so I must be there.
- 40:16I I I I need to have my IQ checked.
- 40:19>> [laughter]
- 40:21>> So, don't look there.
- 40:22>> Yeah,
- 40:22but the people are out there and they
- 40:24can see you.
- 40:24>> I I know I know I know. I finally
- 40:26realized that that's not where the
- 40:28camera is.
- 40:29>> [laughter]
- 40:31>> Uh
- 40:33what was I saying?
- 40:37>> You narrative and propaganda.
- 40:39>> Khomeini Khomeini appeared on the
- 40:42political horizon
- 40:44on the national level
- 40:46opposing two things.
- 40:48The right of woman to vote
- 40:51and
- 40:52the American uh that law that the Shah
- 40:55passed that gave Americans capitulation
- 40:59rights in Iran.
- 41:01The Shah wanted American military
- 41:03advisers.
- 41:05The Americans says, "Unless you pass
- 41:07this law that the US forces and their
- 41:10families have 24 hours a day immunity."
- 41:14Something far greater than the Vienna
- 41:16Convention. Uh
- 41:18we want certain forces.
- 41:20And I've written in detail about this in
- 41:22the Persian Sphinx. And under direct
- 41:25pressure of the Shah, the Majlis passed
- 41:26the law. Khomeini spoke out against it.
- 41:29He spoke brilliantly, defiantly.
- 41:32And that put him on the map as someone
- 41:34who is a anti-imperialist.
- 41:37To me, he was a xenophobe.
- 41:40But clearly understood that in order to
- 41:43not appear that he's anti-modern, that
- 41:46he's anti-imperialist, he needs to
- 41:49uh
- 41:49sort of uh
- 41:51pick and choose very carefully. Khomeini
- 41:54was a brilliant politician. I know very
- 41:58the only person that compares to
- 41:59Khomeini in terms of his political savvy
- 42:03is Reza Shah.
- 42:05I've just finished a book about Reza
- 42:06Shah.
- 42:0720th century history of Iran is a battle
- 42:09between Reza Shah
- 42:11and Khomeini.
- 42:14And both of them were very careful with
- 42:15the language. Khomeini is brilliant.
- 42:18It's as If you've read about Lenin,
- 42:22people say he was monomaniacally
- 42:24accurate. He always spoke on line. He
- 42:27wouldn't say a word more or a little
- 42:29less. He knew exactly how to say what he
- 42:31wanted. Khomeini exactly knew this. This
- 42:34nonsense that his opponents say that he
- 42:36was ignorant, that he didn't know how to
- 42:37speak, he was a village uh priest.
- 42:41I think it's nonsense. He was very
- 42:43clever. He said things exactly the way
- 42:47he needed to say in order to have the
- 42:49wide disappear
- 42:51appealed.
- 42:53And he is after that continued to
- 42:57couch his language his discourse very
- 43:00much in a way that would appeal to the
- 43:02anti-imperialist. The Iranian
- 43:04Confederation of which I was a member
- 43:07you should read some of the stuff that
- 43:09we wrote about Khomeini
- 43:11Khomeini in that period from 1965 when
- 43:14he went into exile
- 43:17elevating him to this person that sort
- 43:19of brings together the brilliance and
- 43:22nationalism and patriotism of Mossadegh
- 43:25with a revolutionary fervor.
- 43:28That's how they
- 43:29approached it.
- 43:31And almost no one
- 43:34had read the book that he had written in
- 43:351971 which is that if I come to power
- 43:39I'm going to create Velayat-e Faqih and
- 43:42whoever is not with me
- 43:44is mofsed-e-fel-arz.
- 43:47The Shah's regime banned this book.
- 43:51I would have taught it at every school
- 43:54in Iran.
- 43:56I'd say
- 43:57this is the option.
- 43:59This is what he says. He says if I come
- 44:01I'm going to have sharia and I'm going
- 44:04to force sharia as I understand it
- 44:06because I'm anointed by God and the rest
- 44:08of you mean nothing. He literally says
- 44:10if not a single Iranian accepts me I am
- 44:12the sole legitimate ruler of the
- 44:14country.
- 44:15You want this?
- 44:17Come and get it.
- 44:19So he was very very careful.
- 44:21And
- 44:22uh
- 44:23what I think we
- 44:25have to face is a to me a kind of a
- 44:28racism in the attitude about Iran.
- 44:31Almost anybody think they can write
- 44:32anything about Iran.
- 44:35Journalists who don't know a single word
- 44:37of Persian
- 44:38scholars who don't read Farsi
- 44:41write eloquently if they think about
- 44:45Iran.
- 44:45If they do that about almost any other
- 44:48non-third world country they would be
- 44:50laughed out of the
- 44:51academy.
- 44:53Can you imagine somebody in American act
- 44:57academia writing about American politics
- 44:59and not knowing English?
- 45:02And getting tenure in American politics.
- 45:07It can't happen, but in Iran it can.
- 45:09Anybody can talk about Iran
- 45:12and write about Iran.
- 45:14One of the best books about '53, one of
- 45:17the most commonly read books about 1953,
- 45:20is written by a journalist, very
- 45:21confident journalist, but knows nothing
- 45:24about Iran other than what he reads in
- 45:26English.
- 45:27He wrote a book about Mosaddegh's uh
- 45:30coup.
- 45:33Based on essentially one document, the
- 45:35CIA.
- 45:37You can't write history, a serious
- 45:40history of that event,
- 45:41without consulting other sources,
- 45:44without consulting Iranian sources.
- 45:47There were Iranians who have written
- 45:49about this.
- 45:51So,
- 45:52the the dilemma we have is that you know
- 45:57often times
- 45:58the most
- 46:00influential pundits in the West
- 46:02uh are people who uh
- 46:04maybe have flown over Iran.
- 46:08Uh
- 46:09but uh
- 46:12Iran is a you know uh
- 46:15when I read the title that I I think you
- 46:17chose for the talk, Unpacking Iran, uh I
- 46:20was really afraid. I said, "This is a
- 46:2312,000 year
- 46:25history.
- 46:28For 12,000 years people have lived
- 46:30there.
- 46:31The Elam culture one of the most
- 46:33remarkable. We just had a gentleman, an
- 46:36anthropologist, give a talk
- 46:38about civilization. He says everybody
- 46:40says Iran has 3,000 year history, wrong
- 46:44by 9,000 years.
- 46:45Iran has 12,000 year history. Iran has
- 46:48given us the first uh monotheistic
- 46:51religion in the world. Iran has given us
- 46:53one of the best architectural tradition
- 46:56traditions in the world.
- 46:58Nietzsche has written one of his most
- 47:00important books inspired by that first
- 47:03monotheist religion.
- 47:05You can't unpack that
- 47:07in an hour.
- 47:10You have to have humility when you come
- 47:12to Iran. This is a complicated place.
- 47:16You can't just think that because as one
- 47:19scholar I asked him said, "You're
- 47:22expertise is in some country in Saudi
- 47:24Arabia. What are you writing about
- 47:25Iran?" He said, "Iran is sexy."
- 47:28You can't write about Iran just because
- 47:30it's sexy. You can,
- 47:32but the fact that they you get published
- 47:34then academic presses publish you.
- 47:39Can you imagine doing that with any
- 47:41other culture?
- 47:46>> We had a question over here somewhere.
- 47:48Please.
- 47:48>> Hi.
- 47:49>> And if you could introduce yourself.
- 47:50>> Absolutely. Uh my name is Sina. I'm a
- 47:52fourth-year PhD student here in here in
- 47:55University of Chicago.
- 47:56Uh in your speech you said that you
- 47:58don't agree with war. So, my question is
- 48:02given that the
- 48:04government just kills people and then
- 48:06won't let any peaceful protest over
- 48:08anything, how do you think that would be
- 48:10possible for people to have a country or
- 48:14have a freedom that they deserve?
- 48:18>> Uh
- 48:19I when I say I don't believe
- 48:22uh that there is a military solution to
- 48:24the problem, I did not mean that the
- 48:26West, the international community,
- 48:28should not or cannot help Iran.
- 48:31They should help Iranians
- 48:33and they
- 48:34fight this battle in a more equitable
- 48:36way.
- 48:38Uh
- 48:38one way is to help the Iranian
- 48:40Democrats.
- 48:41Right now, the only way out of Iran is
- 48:44by Skyland is Starlinks.
- 48:47The United States has the capacity to
- 48:49make this kind of a
- 48:51linkage.
- 48:52The Iran The United States, the West has
- 48:55the capacity to break the Iranian
- 48:57regime's iron hold on social media.
- 49:01They should end that.
- 49:03They should help the Iranian
- 49:06society.
- 49:08And [snorts] they should diminish the
- 49:09ability of the regime to suppress.
- 49:13Cut off their funds.
- 49:16This regime absolutely rely These people
- 49:20who are
- 49:21killing people right now
- 49:23uh
- 49:24are not doing it as far as I understand
- 49:26it because of ideology.
- 49:29They are Sunday's war.
- 49:30They're based on rent.
- 49:33They're based on the
- 49:35money is extra money is possibilities
- 49:38that they get.
- 49:42They're running out of that possibility.
- 49:45They're bringing in people from Hashd
- 49:47al-Shaabi, Kata'ib, Zainabiyoun,
- 49:50Fatemiyoun in the last few weeks.
- 49:54Parading them in the streets,
- 49:56threatening the Iranian people by
- 49:57bringing in these foreign mercenaries.
- 50:00Called the axis of resistance.
- 50:03Make that
- 50:05more difficult.
- 50:06Freeze their assets. Throw them out of
- 50:09international organizations. The fact
- 50:11that Iran would be in the United Nation
- 50:14in a women's rights group
- 50:17is a shame to the United Nations.
- 50:20The fact that, you know,
- 50:22right now
- 50:23uh
- 50:24we can't bring an Iranian dissident to
- 50:26give a talk at Stanford. We can't bring
- 50:28Iranian students to study at Stanford.
- 50:315,000 [snorts]
- 50:32of the best and brightest Iranians are
- 50:34about to be thrown out of this country.
- 50:36That's madness.
- 50:39These are the people who are going to
- 50:41change this regime.
- 50:42Marines are not going to do it.
- 50:45Iranians are going to do it.
- 50:47Throwing these 5,000 is contrary to US
- 50:50interests, contrary to everything
- 50:52America stands for, and absolutely
- 50:55contrary to what Iran needs.
- 50:58Why shouldn't we be able to bring
- 50:59dissidents?
- 51:01Why should the regime be able to send
- 51:03its children here to educate, but we
- 51:04can't bring dissidents to
- 51:07have a post doc at Stanford? We can't.
- 51:11>> Can I ask a follow-up question?
- 51:13>> I don't know if we have time. I think
- 51:14there's there's a lot of questions. We
- 51:15have time for maybe one more, really.
- 51:18Um so maybe I'll turn to this young lady
- 51:20in the back. You.
- 51:23We're going to have, by the way, a
- 51:24reception afterwards. We're going to
- 51:25have plenty of time for discussion.
- 51:26>> Hi. Uh thank you. I'm a PhD candidate in
- 51:29the art history department. Um I wanted
- 51:31to ask whether you can elaborate a
- 51:33little bit more on the notion of
- 51:35modernity that you talked about.
- 51:38And also uh I was wondering what is your
- 51:40assessment of opposition groups at the
- 51:43moment. Is it going anywhere
- 51:44[clears throat]
- 51:45or not?
- 51:46>> Yeah.
- 51:46>> Thank you.
- 51:47>> Well, the first one I'm more much more
- 51:48interested in because uh
- 51:50uh I have literally spent much of my
- 51:53adult life writing about that.
- 51:56>> [clears throat]
- 51:57>> Uh
- 51:58I have a view of modernity that is uh
- 52:00almost
- 52:01different than most people have.
- 52:04I don't believe this Eurocentric view
- 52:06that modernity began in the West.
- 52:09That's to me nonsense.
- 52:12We had from 9th century to the 14th
- 52:17century in Iran.
- 52:19And I've written about this in two Farsi
- 52:22books and uh
- 52:24one English book. One is called Lost
- 52:26Wisdom. Uh the other one is called
- 52:28Tajaddud Tajaddud Cities that Iran and
- 52:30the other one is called Sayyid Sayyah.
- 52:33I'm not trying to sell books, obviously.
- 52:36Uh all of these are
- 52:38possible to download for free,
- 52:40fortunately, everywhere.
- 52:42Uh
- 52:45So there is this Eurocentric view that
- 52:48anything that is good has come from the
- 52:50West.
- 52:52And that Iranians, if they want to be
- 52:53modern, Talizadeh famously said they
- 52:55have to become in their bread and bone
- 52:59Western.
- 53:00Nonsense.
- 53:03Humanism, they say, comes from the West.
- 53:08I don't think they have read Saadi.
- 53:10Saadi is a profound humanist. I just
- 53:13wrote a
- 53:14article book with a colleague called
- 53:17Humanism and Saadi.
- 53:18Literally 200 years before the word
- 53:20humanism
- 53:21reaches a political discourse, Saadi
- 53:23talks about humanism.
- 53:25Describes humanism.
- 53:27They say if you want to be modern, you
- 53:29have to learn your historiography from,
- 53:32you know, University of Chicago or other
- 53:34centers. Well, we have to learn from
- 53:36Chicago and other places, but we also
- 53:39have a lot to teach them.
- 53:41We have Bayhaqi,
- 53:43which was 900 years ago one of the most
- 53:47brilliant works of historiography.
- 53:50And part of what happened is that two
- 53:53groups appeared in Iran in the last
- 53:56century
- 53:57who told us modernity is Western.
- 54:00One, the mullahs, who didn't want
- 54:02modernity.
- 54:04Two, the pseudo intellectuals,
- 54:07who said who don't really understand
- 54:09Iran that well, they haven't studied it
- 54:11that well. They said, "Well, we got to
- 54:14emulate the West.
- 54:16Change the alphabet."
- 54:21Self-cognition,
- 54:23self-assertive
- 54:26uh individualism is the core of
- 54:28modernity.
- 54:31We had
- 54:32900 [snorts]
- 54:34years ago
- 54:36the book, let's because it's about
- 54:38modernity and we want to
- 54:40I'm a lunacy optimist. I want to have
- 54:42end on a happy note.
- 54:43>> Yes.
- 54:44>> Uh
- 54:44we had Vis and Ramin.
- 54:48I don't know how many of you have heard
- 54:50the word Vis and Ramin.
- 54:52How many of you have read it?
- 54:55There's now a Farsi translation of it.
- 54:58Uh English translation, Dick Davis has
- 55:00translated.
- 55:01It is more remarkable than Madame Bovary
- 55:05about its assertive woman characters.
- 55:10Iranian Shahnameh is filled with these
- 55:13brilliant women.
- 55:16180
- 55:18years ago, almost 170 years ago, we had
- 55:21Qurratu'l-Ayn.
- 55:23A woman, brilliant, erudite, poet,
- 55:27tears her veil and gives a talk
- 55:30in Iran.
- 55:32And the sight is so remarkable that
- 55:35people of her own faith, the Bábís, one
- 55:38of them is so shocked and surprised,
- 55:42takes the throat to his own at
- 55:44knife to his own throat. Another one
- 55:46tries to attack and these are Bábís.
- 55:48These are the reformers who are trying
- 55:49to reform their religion.
- 55:52That tradition
- 55:54of modernity,
- 55:56that sense of uh
- 55:59language, when you know, they talk about
- 56:01modernity, imagine community, language
- 56:04that is the cement of identity. Well,
- 56:06we've had that for 1,000 years.
- 56:09We had Shahnameh.
- 56:13These pseudo-intellectuals who say,
- 56:15"Well, you know, and not just
- 56:17pseudo-intellectuals,
- 56:19clergy, too. They said the idea of Iran
- 56:22is a Western concoction.
- 56:25Seyed Qutb literally says, he says,
- 56:27"Patriotism, nationalism is a
- 56:30Judeo-Christian trick
- 56:32because they want to undermine ummah."
- 56:35Well, we've had the notion of Iran for
- 56:38over 2,000 years.
- 56:42Who are you, the pseudo-intellectual in
- 56:44the West, whether Iranian or otherwise,
- 56:47to tell us that we shouldn't begin our
- 56:50modernity by understanding ourselves?
- 56:52Modernity, renaissance means rebirth.
- 56:56Study Iranian architecture.
- 57:00Uh you know, read Byron
- 57:03who says,
- 57:05"Almost everything we call Islamic
- 57:07architecture comes from Iran."
- 57:09And Byron, when he wrote this, The Road
- 57:11to Oxiana,
- 57:13that is considered one of the most
- 57:14brilliant
- 57:16art history
- 57:18accounts. He travels to Iran.
- 57:21He can't go to a mosque in Iran. He has
- 57:24to bribe somebody to go to a mosque.
- 57:27The second time he comes back, he can go
- 57:30because Reza Shah has opened the mosque
- 57:33for everyone to visit.
- 57:36He has opened it with brute force,
- 57:40but he's opened it for a different Iran.
- 57:43Maybe I'm romantic,
- 57:45but
- 57:47I'm also a lunatic, so
- 57:49thank you.
About this transcript
This page contains the full transcript of Did West Underestimate Iran? Dr. Abbas Milani & Tom Ginsburg Explain US-Iran Tensions | 4K by CRUX, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 8,303 words across 1,558 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.
What you can do with it
Use the transcript to take notes, quote the speaker, build a study guide, generate a summary with ChatGPT or Claude via the YouTube Summary tool, or export it as a timed subtitle file with YouTube to SRT. You can also re-open it in the transcriber to choose a caption track available on the video.
Free YouTube transcript tool
YouTube2Text is a free YouTube transcript generator — no signup, no daily limit. Paste any YouTube link and get the full transcript instantly, with timestamps, click-to-jump, caption language selection, AI prompts for ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and exports to TXT, SRT, VTT, or Markdown.