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DANGER: Iowa State Set To SHOCK Utah In First Game Of Big 12 Play, Utes Have A TOUGH Game Ahead — Transcript

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  1. 0:00the internet, sports media, really the
  2. 0:03entire world trying to convince me that
  3. 0:05Utah will defeat Iowa State this
  4. 0:07weekend. Well, it doesn't really feel
  5. 0:09like it's going to go that way. In fact,
  6. 0:11Iowa State beating Utah feels less like
  7. 0:13an upset at this point and more like the
  8. 0:15expectation.
  9. 0:21You are Locked on Cyclones, your daily
  10. 0:24podcast on the Iowa State Cyclones, part
  11. 0:27of the Locked On podcast network, your
  12. 0:30team every day.
  13. 0:33>> Hello, my name is Nick Marvitz and
  14. 0:35today's episode is brought to you by
  15. 0:36Kouchy. For a limited time, download KIH
  16. 0:38and use code locked on to get $25 when
  17. 0:40you trade $25. Koshi trade what's next.
  18. 0:43Today we are talking about Iowa State
  19. 0:45versus Utah. The Clones first game in
  20. 0:49Big 12 play. Same for the Utes. This is
  21. 0:52a real test on both sides of the ball.
  22. 0:55And uh we're going to talk about how I
  23. 0:57really I I said it in the opener. I
  24. 1:00don't think this is necessarily an upset
  25. 1:02for Iowa State if they win this game.
  26. 1:04Now, of course, if they lose, like, you
  27. 1:05know, it's
  28. 1:07No, but if they if everything goes to
  29. 1:10plan, I feel like Iowa State should win
  30. 1:12this game. So, we're going to break down
  31. 1:14why I feel that way in segment number
  32. 1:16one. Then, in segment number two, we're
  33. 1:18going to talk about how can Iowa State
  34. 1:20max out their odds. Um, not necessarily
  35. 1:23if everything went their way. How could
  36. 1:25a few things uh go in Utah's favor even,
  37. 1:28but Iowa State's flip the script in such
  38. 1:31a way that they will still win the game?
  39. 1:34We'll talk about that to uh to lead us
  40. 1:36into our final segment, which is is this
  41. 1:40game the biggest game of all time. We're
  42. 1:43going to break down just how big this
  43. 1:45first conference game is for Iowa State,
  44. 1:47for Jimmy Rogers, for the future of the
  45. 1:49program, for all of that. Um, I can't
  46. 1:51wait to get to all of that and more, but
  47. 1:53first we have to really kind of go
  48. 1:55through the concept that this is not so
  49. 1:57much of an upset for Iowa State as it is
  50. 1:59the expectation to win. I have on the on
  51. 2:02the sidebar here upset brewing because
  52. 2:05yes, technically right now Iowa State is
  53. 2:09not favored. Um, right now I'm seeing a
  54. 2:11line at about eight and a half. Um just
  55. 2:14over then an underdog by a touchdown or
  56. 2:17just just over a touchdown underdog I
  57. 2:20guess is how you word that. Um not quite
  58. 2:22as much as the Iowa game. I'm certainly
  59. 2:24remembering that line, but still more
  60. 2:27than a touchdown. Looking at probably a
  61. 2:29twocore um line here and I just don't
  62. 2:32see that as the case. I really don't. Um
  63. 2:35it's a factor of or it's a multitude of
  64. 2:37factors here. Utah I don't think is the
  65. 2:40best team in the world. Okay. Um, Utah
  66. 2:43fans, please hold on to your hats. I'm
  67. 2:46not coming at you the way I did last
  68. 2:47year. All right. I still think you guys
  69. 2:49are solid, but I don't think you guys
  70. 2:50are top 15 in the country material, to
  71. 2:53be honest. Um, and Iowa State is better
  72. 2:56than they were given credit for. I think
  73. 2:58there is a little bit of hangover from
  74. 3:00this off season where Iowa State was so
  75. 3:05doubted. Iowa State was looked at as
  76. 3:07literally the worst team of all time,
  77. 3:09which is crazy. It is crazy when we
  78. 3:12think back to that and uh you look at
  79. 3:14other teams around the country that
  80. 3:15lost, you know, similar to to Iowa State
  81. 3:18or maybe um I I I couldn't say more. I
  82. 3:21think Iowa State lost the most. I don't
  83. 3:23know if Oklahoma State was very close. I
  84. 3:24don't know what the exact numbers were,
  85. 3:26but other teams that lost a ton of
  86. 3:28players, right? Other teams that lost
  87. 3:29their head coach, Iowa State was viewed
  88. 3:32in an entirely different league. Really,
  89. 3:35it wasn't Iowa State's a part of all
  90. 3:37these teams that lost everybody. It's
  91. 3:39like there, you know, the college
  92. 3:40football's out of control. There's all
  93. 3:42these teams that lost everybody and then
  94. 3:43look at Iowa State. I mean, this team is
  95. 3:45just, they lost their head coach, Matt
  96. 3:47Campbell, and they're not going to be
  97. 3:49able to recover. Look at the squad they
  98. 3:51put together. I don't feel like the last
  99. 3:54in the Big 12 projection, the dead last
  100. 3:57in all college football projection holds
  101. 3:59up at this point in the season. So I I
  102. 4:02think the 8 and a half line is still
  103. 4:04kind of relying on that as opposed to
  104. 4:09where Iowa State is at really. And to
  105. 4:12just kind of sum it up if there are any
  106. 4:13Utah fans watching, Iowa State is a
  107. 4:17tough tough tough defensive team. Um
  108. 4:21I've been saying this week that they've
  109. 4:22only given up 30 points. I am incorrect
  110. 4:24in that. I'm just unable to do math.
  111. 4:27They have given up 33 points. Okay. on
  112. 4:29the season. 10 to Southeast Missouri
  113. 4:31State, 16 to Iowa, and seven to Bowling
  114. 4:34Green. Jesse Bobett's goal is for this
  115. 4:37team to only average 14 points a game on
  116. 4:39the entire season, obviously meeting
  117. 4:41that so far. And I I I don't think it's
  118. 4:43impossible that they do it. This
  119. 4:45defensive line is so good, just so
  120. 4:48ridiculously talented. And you know, I
  121. 4:52think a lot of people when they look at
  122. 4:53defensive lines, whether it's in the NFL
  123. 4:55or in in college, you look at one
  124. 4:57player, um, a lot of teams will have a
  125. 5:00standout guy and some role players. And
  126. 5:02so you're saying, well, what can this
  127. 5:04one standout player do? What is And for
  128. 5:06Iowa State, you might say it's Isaac
  129. 5:07Terrell, right? So what what can Isaac
  130. 5:09Terrell do for Iowa State? Well, Isaac
  131. 5:11Terrell is great. Um, but the reason he
  132. 5:14is so awesome is because of the rest of
  133. 5:16the line. the rest of this defensive
  134. 5:19line. Jack Janikowski, Zamir Hawk, um
  135. 5:22you those are just two names like there
  136. 5:24are a Bryson Lamb, like there are is a
  137. 5:26plethora Kaden Crawford of names, Jace
  138. 5:29Gilbert of the of these guys, Max
  139. 5:32Balloon that really
  140. 5:34create this whole experience, if you
  141. 5:36will. Um all of these guys give Isaac
  142. 5:39Terrell the platform to succeed and
  143. 5:41Isaac Terrell being who he is gives all
  144. 5:44of these guys a chance to succeed. So
  145. 5:46there is there is talent, there is depth
  146. 5:50at the defensive line position. And you
  147. 5:53know, this so far this season, Iowa
  148. 5:56State has six sacks. They did all come
  149. 5:58against Southeast Missouri State. But if
  150. 6:00you watch the tape back, um it wasn't
  151. 6:03that that was the only game that this
  152. 6:04defensive line was good in. In fact, um
  153. 6:09against Iowa, I felt like it was one of
  154. 6:11the biggest reasons Iowa State was in
  155. 6:12that game. Yes, there were a few throws
  156. 6:14that were made. um on plays where Iowa
  157. 6:17State didn't get good pressure, but even
  158. 6:18on plays where Iowa State did get good
  159. 6:20pressure, you saw a few solid throws
  160. 6:22anyway. So, Iowa State um and this
  161. 6:25defensive line were able to create
  162. 6:26pressure with a four-man front or able
  163. 6:28to bring a blitz here and there in the
  164. 6:29four-man front. The stunts they run were
  165. 6:31able to get um at least pressure on the
  166. 6:33quarterback and I think that made an
  167. 6:35impact um on that Iowa game. And then
  168. 6:37against Bowling Green, I felt like it
  169. 6:39was a big deal as well. So, do not sleep
  170. 6:42on this defensive line. This team is
  171. 6:44very tough defensively. I've spent too
  172. 6:46much time talking about the defensive
  173. 6:48line, but they directly impact the
  174. 6:49linebackers. Sullivan Schlimkin, Carson
  175. 6:52Willig, Breland Goodwin, like just to
  176. 6:55name a few. This this linebacking core
  177. 6:58is incredible. It's way better than I
  178. 7:00thought it was going to be. They fly
  179. 7:02around. They defend the pass well. Um,
  180. 7:05they are disciplined. They are
  181. 7:07incredible. They really, really are. And
  182. 7:09all of that to say, you know, I'm not
  183. 7:11trying to take anything away from the
  184. 7:12linebackers here. I set points I need to
  185. 7:13make. This defense is way, way, way
  186. 7:18tougher than anybody thought it was
  187. 7:20going to be. And I think a lot of people
  188. 7:22I say that even knowing that I think a
  189. 7:24lot of people thought the defense was
  190. 7:26going to be the strong suit for Iowa
  191. 7:27State this upcoming year. Oh, so then
  192. 7:29this offense must absolutely stink if
  193. 7:31this defense is one of the best in the
  194. 7:33country. Well, I do say that jokingly,
  195. 7:35but Iowa State is like 12th best in
  196. 7:36yards allowed and like 13th best in
  197. 7:38points per game. So, they are definitely
  198. 7:39one of the best in the country. U I know
  199. 7:41it's week three or I suppose week four.
  200. 7:44We're through week three, but yeah, the
  201. 7:46offense is not on the the best um
  202. 7:49amongst the best in the country. Uh but
  203. 7:51it it gets the job done. And you know,
  204. 7:54you want to talk about how bad the pass
  205. 7:56game is. I'm going to be right here with
  206. 7:57you. I don't think Jaylen Rainer has
  207. 7:59impressed in the way that I thought he
  208. 8:01or hoped he would. Um I don't think the
  209. 8:03wide receivers have answered the call.
  210. 8:06Actually, to an extent, the wide
  211. 8:07receivers have done okay. I wonder if
  212. 8:09it's more play calling and Jaylen Rener,
  213. 8:11but nonetheless, you know, Mari Hayes
  214. 8:13has been great over B's been pretty
  215. 8:14solid. Um, but Iowa State's only
  216. 8:17completed 31 passes, right? You've only
  217. 8:19attempted 52 times. I don't feel like
  218. 8:21the pass game is there, but it also
  219. 8:23hasn't lost Iowa State any games. Jaylen
  220. 8:26Rers's one interception came against
  221. 8:28Bowling Green on a deep shot that was
  222. 8:29underthrown. Like, it was early in the
  223. 8:32game. It did not lose them that game.
  224. 8:33and Jaylen Rer has been very good at
  225. 8:35avoiding sacks at the very least. You
  226. 8:38know, he's getting out, rushing for a
  227. 8:40few yards, getting out throwing the ball
  228. 8:41away. Is Iowa State's pass game winning
  229. 8:44them games? Absolutely not. It is not a
  230. 8:47threat right now. Um, and hopefully as
  231. 8:49we get into Big 12 play, you know, I'll
  232. 8:51talk about this in the third segment,
  233. 8:52but that changes. But for right now,
  234. 8:55Iowa State's offense could be defined
  235. 8:57as, you know, it will wear down your
  236. 8:59defense because of the
  237. 9:01very obvious um favorite, you know, I
  238. 9:04guess favoritism towards the run game.
  239. 9:06Um very clear that that's where they're
  240. 9:08trying to win. I mean, you've got jumbo
  241. 9:10packages on like over half of the plays
  242. 9:12called from I from Tyler Roll from Iowa
  243. 9:14State here. Uh very clear that Aiden
  244. 9:16Flor with 38 carries to Jaylen Ray's 52
  245. 9:19attempts. You know, that's just running
  246. 9:20back one. So, um I I think this offense
  247. 9:25is serviceable and if they're able, as
  248. 9:27I've said all year long, and it was huge
  249. 9:29in the Iowa game, and I think it was
  250. 9:31actually relatively accurate. If I was
  251. 9:33if Iowa State's defense can keep them in
  252. 9:35the game, this offense will not throw it
  253. 9:37away and will keep them uh or at least
  254. 9:41it'll keep them in the game. It'll be
  255. 9:42serviceable. Like, you can win a game uh
  256. 9:44because of this defense. They don't need
  257. 9:46to have 1,400 yards by week three. you
  258. 9:50know, they've got just over what a
  259. 9:52thousand 1,50 yards. Um, and I think
  260. 9:55that's that's actually okay. They
  261. 9:58they're doing enough to win the game.
  262. 9:59And honestly, those numbers are kind of
  263. 10:00inflated by Bowling Green being the
  264. 10:02worst defense in college football. Um, I
  265. 10:06do have something else that I didn't get
  266. 10:07to bring up in this segment, so I'm
  267. 10:08going to talk about that in segment
  268. 10:09number two as well, is how can Iowa
  269. 10:10State max out their odds? We'll talk
  270. 10:12about that coming up right here after
  271. 10:13this.
  272. 10:18But first, a word for our friends over
  273. 10:19at Kshi. College football is back and so
  274. 10:22are the predictions. Who makes the
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  280. 10:35far as the Big 12 goes, will Colorado
  281. 10:38defeat Baylor? I mean, right now, uh,
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  283. 10:46probability. I mean, 24% meaning that a
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  285. 10:51trade would pay out to $412
  286. 10:55if they are victorious. Me personally, I
  287. 10:57like Iowa State as an upset this
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  348. 13:08Iowa State's going to upset Utah this
  349. 13:10weekend because
  350. 13:12a lot of different reasons. We just
  351. 13:13broke those down in segment number one.
  352. 13:14And I actually have more that I didn't
  353. 13:16get to get to yet. So, we are going to
  354. 13:18cover those really quickly and then
  355. 13:19we'll transition into how Iowa State can
  356. 13:22maximize. This isn't keys to victory.
  357. 13:24It's not necessary, but these will
  358. 13:26certainly help Iowa State quite a bit.
  359. 13:28Um, I do think that there those are very
  360. 13:30different things. So, I kind of wanted
  361. 13:32to talk about that at some point this
  362. 13:34week. Um, but before we do, I just want
  363. 13:36to remind you that subscribe button down
  364. 13:37below. Completely free and helps us
  365. 13:39prove it's a Cyclone State. We've made
  366. 13:41some good progress. We're still a ways
  367. 13:43away from uh surpassing Lockdown Iowa in
  368. 13:46uh subscribers. Completely free. Just
  369. 13:48throwing that out there. Um, all right.
  370. 13:50Let's go ahead and jump into the last
  371. 13:52reason here. Uh, you know, it's it's
  372. 13:55fall. It's officially fall. I don't know
  373. 13:56if you guys caught that yesterday. It
  374. 13:58was a I think was the first day of fall.
  375. 14:00It's been pretty chilly. Um I'm actually
  376. 14:03wearing my sweatshirt. It's the the cool
  377. 14:0595 spirit. I think it's the spirit
  378. 14:06collection is what it is. Love this
  379. 14:08sweatshirt. Right. Finally back in
  380. 14:10sweatshirt weather. Got me thinking.
  381. 14:13We've got so much rain. What's going on
  382. 14:15this weekend? I feel like we've really
  383. 14:17shifted weather-wise. I swipe over into
  384. 14:19the Ames portion of my weather app here.
  385. 14:22Um Saturday, high of 64.
  386. 14:26It's going to rain basically all day.
  387. 14:28That's what I'm seeing right now. This
  388. 14:30will play a role in this game. And I
  389. 14:32will keep it quick because I know that
  390. 14:33this isn't the most interesting point.
  391. 14:35But the concept that weather doesn't
  392. 14:39really affect the game because both
  393. 14:41teams have to play in it. I've had
  394. 14:42conversations multiple times with people
  395. 14:44this week. Got to say largely Iowa fans
  396. 14:47that are saying this, which is, you
  397. 14:48know, it is what it is. But um the
  398. 14:51concept that it doesn't affect the game
  399. 14:53because both teams have to play in it to
  400. 14:55me does not apply to every game. Some
  401. 14:57games for sure, but really only where
  402. 15:00both teams um kind of play the same
  403. 15:03style of football.
  404. 15:05Iowa State and Utah do not play the same
  405. 15:07style of football. And Iowa State um the
  406. 15:10style that they play largely um running,
  407. 15:14right? Largely physical. uh this this
  408. 15:17weather will favor Iowa State and Jimmy
  409. 15:19Rogers talked about it a little bit in
  410. 15:21his press conference kind of talking
  411. 15:22about you know end of the season when it
  412. 15:24gets colder that's really like where we
  413. 15:25really gain our advantage but for now
  414. 15:27you know there is at least something to
  415. 15:28be said about this is kind of kind of
  416. 15:31how it goes and when we get to the end
  417. 15:33of the season one of the reasons people
  418. 15:34talk about oh the cold Iowa State has an
  419. 15:37advantage it's because they've been in
  420. 15:38it you know how to practice in the cold
  421. 15:41you know how to hit in the cold you know
  422. 15:43how it feels you know what to expect you
  423. 15:44know what to wear how to prepare Um, I'm
  424. 15:46a poet and I didn't even know it. Like
  425. 15:48that's what makes the difference. It's
  426. 15:50it's the
  427. 15:52acclimatization towards the weather.
  428. 15:56This actually applies relatively well as
  429. 15:58well. Iowa State and Ames and and really
  430. 16:00across the entire state of Iowa has
  431. 16:03gotten so much rain over the last week
  432. 16:04or two. Not really sure what's going on,
  433. 16:07but it's not going to be anything new.
  434. 16:08So, um I feel like that's that's playing
  435. 16:12towards Iowa State's favor here and a
  436. 16:14reason they can absolutely upset Utah in
  437. 16:16this game. Now, uh quickly I have to get
  438. 16:18to a few things that I think Iowa State
  439. 16:20can do to maximize their odds to win
  440. 16:21this game. For one, if they're able to
  441. 16:25find a deep shot somewhere, that will
  442. 16:29that'll be huge. Um against Iowa, you
  443. 16:32were pinned up against, you know, your
  444. 16:34your own end zone almost the entire
  445. 16:35game. Getting a drive going is hugely
  446. 16:38important. Yes. But Jaylen Rener, I
  447. 16:42mean, you just got to find one throw.
  448. 16:44It's It's just one throw at a time.
  449. 16:46Piece them together. Put one in the
  450. 16:48bread basket 30 yards downfield, right?
  451. 16:51Uh I I think that's and we'll get to
  452. 16:53keys to victory on Friday more more than
  453. 16:56today. I have some really good keys that
  454. 16:58I want to get to, but it would maximize
  455. 17:00Iowa State's chances if they're able to
  456. 17:01find an explosive play. I just I don't
  457. 17:05know that Iowa State's going to score 35
  458. 17:07points in this one. So, every point
  459. 17:09matters. And if you're able to rip off a
  460. 17:11huge play that goes for a touchdown,
  461. 17:13that really helps obviously. And if it's
  462. 17:15through the air, it's even more
  463. 17:17unexpected. It's even more not a part of
  464. 17:19how I think Iowa State's going to win
  465. 17:21this game. That will play a huge role.
  466. 17:24I'm throwing this in here because I
  467. 17:25don't think this is a good thing to
  468. 17:26throw in keys to victory. We've been
  469. 17:28doing this long enough. I just I feel
  470. 17:30like this is a key to victory to every
  471. 17:32game. And so I'm going to say if Iowa
  472. 17:33State's able to find a turnover, that'll
  473. 17:35be a huge like that's the most duh thing
  474. 17:38of all time, right? Um so I'm not even
  475. 17:41going to really harp on that, but I do
  476. 17:43think, you know, giving this offense
  477. 17:44every chance that you can is going to
  478. 17:46play a big role. A lot of the things
  479. 17:48that maximize Iowa State's chances in
  480. 17:51this one are offensive because I trust
  481. 17:53this defense so much. Um I don't think
  482. 17:56that they need anything to like go their
  483. 17:58way or anything. Um, but I will say
  484. 18:00another part of this is the special
  485. 18:02teams. If you can
  486. 18:05piece something together, it doesn't
  487. 18:07need to be a touchdown, but like a a 30
  488. 18:09yard return, a 25 yard return um on a
  489. 18:13punt or potentially a kick return out to
  490. 18:15the 40, you know, that's something that
  491. 18:18it's just it's it's nice to have and it
  492. 18:21really, you know, creates that short
  493. 18:22field where with Kyle Karate as a
  494. 18:24weapon, you can find some points almost
  495. 18:26no matter what. Uh, that's another way
  496. 18:29that Iowa State can maximize their
  497. 18:30points in this one to maximize their
  498. 18:32ability to win because I have all sorts
  499. 18:36of, you know, things that Iowa State
  500. 18:37needs to do. Um, but these are these are
  501. 18:40things that if they do them things,
  502. 18:42it'll help. It'll maximize their odds.
  503. 18:44They don't need to get a deep shot
  504. 18:46downfield to win this game. They don't
  505. 18:47need to return a punt 40 yards. They
  506. 18:49don't necessarily even need a turnover.
  507. 18:52But doing those things, you know, Iowa
  508. 18:54State is nearly a nine-point underdog.
  509. 18:57like they're not favored. They
  510. 18:59shouldn't, you know, dominate in this
  511. 19:01game, but it's very possible that they
  512. 19:03can win. And if they do these things, I
  513. 19:05think they're allowed a little bit more
  514. 19:07leniency on the keys to victory. Of
  515. 19:10course, not a ton. Um, but to an extent
  516. 19:13to where they could still win this game.
  517. 19:15And like I said, keys to victory we'll
  518. 19:17talk about on Friday. So, make sure you
  519. 19:18subscribe, turn on the bell icon to to
  520. 19:20get the notifications when these videos
  521. 19:22go live. um and join the conversation
  522. 19:24down in the comments because I can't
  523. 19:25wait for this game. First game of Big 12
  524. 19:27play. Um and that's really going to lead
  525. 19:28me to my next conversation here. How big
  526. 19:31is this game? Iowa State. Jimmy Rogers
  527. 19:32first game in the Big 12. Well, it's
  528. 19:35bigger than you might think. We'll talk
  529. 19:36about exactly why coming up right here
  530. 19:38after this.
  531. 19:43But first, this episode is sponsored by
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  585. 21:49Iowa State versus Utah isn't the biggest
  586. 21:51game yet of the season. I wouldn't say I
  587. 21:53I would honestly argue that Iowa State
  588. 21:55versus Iowa has been the biggest game so
  589. 21:57far just because of it being week two.
  590. 22:00It be it being, you know, in state on
  591. 22:01the road. Um there's a lot that went
  592. 22:03into that game, but this is certainly a
  593. 22:05bigger game than I think many would I
  594. 22:09don't know. Maybe I guess maybe people
  595. 22:10have the right pulse on this game. I
  596. 22:12haven't been
  597. 22:14I don't know on the internet. I've seen
  598. 22:16a little bit um in person. I haven't
  599. 22:18really heard enough about it. So, I
  600. 22:19wanted to kind of take a second to talk
  601. 22:20about how big this game really is for
  602. 22:22Iowa State because, you know, it's more
  603. 22:24than just Iowa State versus Utah. It's
  604. 22:26more than just this back and forth
  605. 22:29rivalry, whatever. Uh, I don't know if
  606. 22:31you can call it that, but it's obviously
  607. 22:34Jimmy Rogers first conference game.
  608. 22:36That's huge, right? Um, it's a chance
  609. 22:39for for Iowa State to show who they are
  610. 22:41in the conference, but more than that,
  611. 22:45it's Utah who is a a top 15 team right
  612. 22:48now. Do they deserve the top 15 rating?
  613. 22:51That will be the question um after Iowa
  614. 22:53State wins. Okay, understand that.
  615. 22:57Understand that when Iowa State wins
  616. 22:58this game, you will see everywhere. Did
  617. 23:01Utah deserve the top 15 ranking? It will
  618. 23:03it will not be was Iowa State
  619. 23:06underrated. it won't be that. So, don't
  620. 23:08be surprised when it doesn't, you know,
  621. 23:10show up that way. Utah has played,
  622. 23:14honestly, effectively nobody. Let's just
  623. 23:16call it how it is. They've played Idaho,
  624. 23:18who they beat 66-4. They've beat
  625. 23:20Arkansas, who not a really good SEC
  626. 23:23school this year. Uh, beat them 43-10,
  627. 23:26and they beat Utah State 33 to nothing.
  628. 23:28So, they did what they needed to do in
  629. 23:30those games. But when Iowa State comes
  630. 23:32in and beats them by 12, um, which would
  631. 23:36be a crazy number, but when they do,
  632. 23:38you're going to see everyone everywhere
  633. 23:39say, "Well, look at who they've played.
  634. 23:41Maybe they didn't deserve that top 15
  635. 23:42rating." At the same time, though, maybe
  636. 23:46we're not going to get that or maybe
  637. 23:47Iowa State won't get that initial
  638. 23:49recognition. You're building a resume.
  639. 23:52you're absolutely building um a season
  640. 23:55where people can look and say, "Well,
  641. 23:58look what they did against Iowa." You
  642. 23:59know, a top 20 team, a a very very close
  643. 24:03game down to the last 15 seconds. Uh
  644. 24:06didn't win it, but didn't have the ball
  645. 24:08last either. Um and then they beat a top
  646. 24:1015 Utah. Like maybe we don't sleep on
  647. 24:14Iowa State anymore. And that's the
  648. 24:15biggest thing with this game is
  649. 24:19I think Iowa State will be perceived
  650. 24:21differently if they beat Utah. And I
  651. 24:23don't think that's a week- toeek thing.
  652. 24:25I think the win over Southeast Missouri
  653. 24:28State and Bowling Green are great, but
  654. 24:30they don't do anything to change Iowa
  655. 24:32State's perceptive or perception, excuse
  656. 24:34me. I think that they're expected. Um,
  657. 24:38nobody really had Iowa State coming out
  658. 24:39of the non-conference with less than two
  659. 24:41wins realistically. uh maybe a few Iowa
  660. 24:44fans, but nobody was wowed by those two
  661. 24:47wins. The loss to Iowa was closer than
  662. 24:49most people thought, but unless you have
  663. 24:50a win in the win column, nobody really
  664. 24:53cares. A win over Utah would change what
  665. 24:56Iowa State's capable of this season,
  666. 24:59would change the perception of Jimmy
  667. 25:01Rodgers, and to be quite frank, changes
  668. 25:03how Iowa State looks for recruits out
  669. 25:07there, changes how Iowa State is
  670. 25:09perceived by coaches around the league.
  671. 25:12um changes the amount of respect that
  672. 25:14they get and and not necessarily just in
  673. 25:16this one game. And I don't want to play
  674. 25:18this too much either, play this up too
  675. 25:20much, but this game is yet another
  676. 25:24opportunity for Iowa State to seize.
  677. 25:26It's not week 10 and they're playing a
  678. 25:29tough opponent and wow. Oh, an upset.
  679. 25:31This is a game where we're still not
  680. 25:36super certain of what Iowa State is. We
  681. 25:38have a pretty good idea, but we don't
  682. 25:40have a locked down ironed out. This is
  683. 25:44who Iowa State is under Jimmy Rodgers.
  684. 25:47We're in week four. All right. Iowa
  685. 25:49State's played one legitimate team to
  686. 25:51this point. No offense to any Bowling
  687. 25:53Green fans out there or any Red Birds
  688. 25:56out there, right? This is an opportunity
  689. 25:58for Jimmy Rogers and Co. to put
  690. 26:01everything on display and for everyone
  691. 26:03to say, "Okay, Iowa State is a legit
  692. 26:07power four opponent." is a legit Big 12
  693. 26:09team. Are they going to win it this
  694. 26:11year? Probably not, right? Just look at
  695. 26:13the off seasonason they had and and all
  696. 26:15of that. Who knows? Maybe they will. But
  697. 26:18next year, Jimmy Rogers gets more of his
  698. 26:20own guys under uh under him, is able to
  699. 26:22build up more through the transfer
  700. 26:24portal. There's no reason why they can't
  701. 26:27they can't be competitive. Um and I do
  702. 26:30think that goes a long way. I really do.
  703. 26:33It's in a lot of nuance ways and ways
  704. 26:35that a lot of people would say probably
  705. 26:37don't matter. You know, how many times
  706. 26:38is not that College Game Day would ever
  707. 26:40come to Iowa State because they are all
  708. 26:42SEC schools um that they're visiting,
  709. 26:45but you know, is big new kickoff coming
  710. 26:47to Iowa State and and what's the
  711. 26:49perception of Iowa State? And it's kind
  712. 26:50of what Iowa State basketball has gone
  713. 26:52through. We talk about this all the
  714. 26:54time, but it's like, well, I want to see
  715. 26:55it materialize. You've seen it in Iowa
  716. 26:56State basketball.
  717. 26:58Iowa State's ridiculous turnaround on
  718. 27:01the hardwood. um and sustained success
  719. 27:04and TJ Ottoberger's personality and all
  720. 27:06of that has led to recruiting seeing a
  721. 27:09massive uptick. Now, the numbers
  722. 27:11obviously as soon as Summer uh commits
  723. 27:13to Iowa State, their numbers just go way
  724. 27:15down and so Iowa State's never able to
  725. 27:17claim, you know, this ridiculous class
  726. 27:20or top 50 or top 10, whatever. But um I
  727. 27:24think you can agree is when you look at
  728. 27:26what Iowa State's been able to recruit
  729. 27:28over the last year or two, it's a lot
  730. 27:29different than what they got in year one
  731. 27:31or two under uh TJ Alberger. And I think
  732. 27:34that the same thing applies to football
  733. 27:35here. And it's all it's really this
  734. 27:38argument is more about perception than
  735. 27:39anything because
  736. 27:42you know realistically you're probably I
  737. 27:45do think there is a momentum argument in
  738. 27:47this game, right? If Iowa State wins
  739. 27:48their first Big 12 game, they're going
  740. 27:50to view West Virginia differently.
  741. 27:51They're going to view BYU differently. I
  742. 27:54don't think that's wrong necessarily,
  743. 27:56but I think at the same time, you got to
  744. 27:57take every game at its at its own value,
  745. 27:59and Iowa State will be tasked with
  746. 28:01winning the rest of the games if they
  747. 28:02win this one. Like, it wasn't a fluke,
  748. 28:04but this game holds more weight than
  749. 28:06just Iowa State at home. Like, this
  750. 28:09would be a huge upset. I think Jack
  751. 28:11Trice, you know, and the white out will
  752. 28:13be on display. I really hope that it
  753. 28:15sells out. I know it's going to be
  754. 28:17nasty. Okay, just talked about the
  755. 28:18weather, but you're kind of expected to
  756. 28:20show out for for Iowa State in this one.
  757. 28:22A top 15 opponent at home. Uh need to
  758. 28:25make the environment rowdy, need to help
  759. 28:27them out. Like how is Iowa State
  760. 28:30perceived? I it will be I I want to say
  761. 28:33largely dictated by this game and the
  762. 28:34Iowa game. Like we've already gone
  763. 28:36through one of them. This is kind of the
  764. 28:37other half of it. So, without a few
  765. 28:40crazy upsets the rest of the year, this
  766. 28:42Utah game will be massive for how Iowa
  767. 28:44State's perceived this year and this off
  768. 28:46season. Um, and I think that's a big
  769. 28:48deal. So, let me know what you think in
  770. 28:50the comments down below. Is Iowa State
  771. 28:52going to win against Utah? I think so. I
  772. 28:53really do. Let me know in the comments
  773. 28:55or on Twitter at nick_marv. That being
  774. 28:58said, that's all I've got for today.
  775. 28:59Until next time, Cyclone fans. Sayanara.

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