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Daily Bias That Actually Works (Using Only Highs and Lows) — Transcript

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  1. 0:00Every single highquality trade starts
  2. 0:02with framework off of the higher time
  3. 0:04frames. And this is not something that
  4. 0:06you need to know many concepts to get
  5. 0:08right. All you need to know are highs
  6. 0:11and lows. But the question still remains
  7. 0:13of which highs and lows do I actually
  8. 0:15focus on? And this is where the idea of
  9. 0:17relevant swings comes into play. This is
  10. 0:20something that is the absolute
  11. 0:22foundation of my system and is included
  12. 0:24in every single trade that I place. It
  13. 0:27tells me if there's opportunity in the
  14. 0:29market, where the opportunity exists,
  15. 0:32and which side of the market I should be
  16. 0:33focused on, while completely removing
  17. 0:36all the unnecessary noise. Getting right
  18. 0:38into this, it's first important to
  19. 0:40understand the actual goal of relevant
  20. 0:42swings. The idea is that we want to
  21. 0:44remove the guesswork, the doubt, the
  22. 0:46ambiguity from identifying certain highs
  23. 0:48and lows from the normal way that most
  24. 0:50traders would approach this. We're going
  25. 0:52to be focusing on the highs and lows
  26. 0:54that exist at the extremes relative to
  27. 0:56the current market. And what that does
  28. 0:59is that when something is at the
  29. 1:00extremes and the market engages it, we
  30. 1:03know without a doubt that what happens
  31. 1:05there is meaningful. And you're going to
  32. 1:07get to that understanding of how we
  33. 1:09identify them using a very simple
  34. 1:11three-step process, but also the simple
  35. 1:14reactions that we look for at these
  36. 1:16points that give us a bias going
  37. 1:18forward. The problem most traders face
  38. 1:20when trying to identify highs and lows
  39. 1:22is that they are all over different time
  40. 1:24frames. They're trying to mark out
  41. 1:26session highs and lows, highs and lows
  42. 1:28above and below opening prices around
  43. 1:31all these different times. These are
  44. 1:33things that add confusion. They add
  45. 1:35doubt and there's no certainty in the
  46. 1:38sense of what we should be looking for.
  47. 1:40We are going to be completely removing
  48. 1:41that noise by doing a few simple things.
  49. 1:44First, we want to be focusing on the
  50. 1:46right time frames. We are only going to
  51. 1:49be using the daily chart for identifying
  52. 1:51relevant swings. And as you can see
  53. 1:53here, you have the option to go below
  54. 1:56where there's the 4 hour and the 1 hour.
  55. 1:58But that gives you too much detail. When
  56. 2:00we go above the daily to the weekly or
  57. 2:03the monthly, that is too little detail
  58. 2:05in price. The daily hits this sweet spot
  59. 2:08for intraday trading where we are going
  60. 2:10in and out of the market within the same
  61. 2:12day, holding trades for a few minutes to
  62. 2:15a few hours, getting in and out. This is
  63. 2:17where we want to be focused on because
  64. 2:19it gives us enough detail to be fluid
  65. 2:21and biased, but also not giving us so
  66. 2:23much detail in price that we are seeing
  67. 2:26too many things at once and we're not
  68. 2:28actually able to identify the areas that
  69. 2:30matter. And on the opposite spectrum,
  70. 2:32the weekly and monthly, it is too high
  71. 2:34of a time frame to see the current
  72. 2:36development, to adjust a bias, to go day
  73. 2:39by day, and it's really not something
  74. 2:41that you want to be focused on for day
  75. 2:42trading. The first and truly most
  76. 2:44important concept of identifying
  77. 2:46relevant swings is going to be
  78. 2:48understanding what a failure swing is.
  79. 2:51The concept of failure swings is
  80. 2:53extremely simple. It's when we set
  81. 2:55either a high or low in this current
  82. 2:57example in the market. An initial low is
  83. 3:00formed and following that we make deep
  84. 3:03runs back into that initial low
  85. 3:06following that point. And these deep
  86. 3:08runs that get back into that low are
  87. 3:11considered failure swings. The reason
  88. 3:13being is that when we create a low in
  89. 3:15the market that could be reversed off
  90. 3:17of, it should not make deep runs back
  91. 3:20into that point. Once price reverses, it
  92. 3:23should expand away, make shallow
  93. 3:25retracements. That is a sign of an
  94. 3:27expansion or a continuation. when we
  95. 3:30make deep runs back down into it, that
  96. 3:32invalidates that point of reversal and
  97. 3:35shows that lack of wanting to turn in
  98. 3:37the market. So, anytime we see an
  99. 3:39initial low formed like this here, that
  100. 3:42is the first low formed. Then we have
  101. 3:45price come up, retrace deep back into
  102. 3:48that low and then again deep back into
  103. 3:51this low. These deep runs back in are
  104. 3:54considered failure swings. failure swing
  105. 3:57and that is the initial low in the
  106. 3:59market that we would want to be focused
  107. 4:00on. This here is what we would consider
  108. 4:02the extreme of the lows. So this low is
  109. 4:05not a failure swing to any other daily
  110. 4:08low to the left, but we have these
  111. 4:10failure swings that follow it. We want
  112. 4:12to look for that initial high or low
  113. 4:14that was formed. And we can show you an
  114. 4:16example on the other side of the market.
  115. 4:18Here we look at the highs. We have this
  116. 4:20initial high that was formed, the
  117. 4:22highest high in this current range. And
  118. 4:24then following that, price made deep
  119. 4:26runs back into that high. Deep runs back
  120. 4:29into it and it created a failure swing,
  121. 4:32another failure swing, and that final
  122. 4:34initial high. And again, this point is
  123. 4:37what we would consider the extreme of
  124. 4:39highs. These are the points in the
  125. 4:41market that we want to be focused on.
  126. 4:43Anything that is considered a failure
  127. 4:45swing, these deep runs are not
  128. 4:47considered and they would be irrelevant
  129. 4:50for us to be noting them out. we simply
  130. 4:52block them out of our perspective and
  131. 4:54focus on the extremes. Just to reiterate
  132. 4:56that point, any reactions that we see at
  133. 4:59those failure swings, not the extreme
  134. 5:01highs or lows is considered irrelevant.
  135. 5:04We don't want to care about it. We don't
  136. 5:06want to focus on it because that is what
  137. 5:08we consider the noise that we are trying
  138. 5:10to filter out. The extremes in that
  139. 5:12market is where we know without a doubt
  140. 5:15that once price engages that point the
  141. 5:18reaction there is going to hold weight
  142. 5:20and significance for what should happen
  143. 5:22going forward. The second step that we
  144. 5:24have to understand in identifying daily
  145. 5:26relevant swings is price separation. So
  146. 5:29you understand what a failure swing is
  147. 5:31when we have that initial higher low
  148. 5:33that was formed and any deep runs back
  149. 5:35into it are considered failure swings
  150. 5:37and should be ignored. Our focus remains
  151. 5:40on the extremes. Now when we bring that
  152. 5:42to a real daily chart, we have to
  153. 5:44understand price separation to help us
  154. 5:46identify which highs and lows are going
  155. 5:49to matter. Here in this example, we'd be
  156. 5:51on a daily time frame. And our first
  157. 5:53instinct should be where are the extreme
  158. 5:56highs and lows of this current range.
  159. 5:58We're going to be focusing on the lows
  160. 6:00here. And we can just go one by one. We
  161. 6:02have a low that is set. Is this an
  162. 6:05extreme of the lows? No, because this is
  163. 6:08just a failure swing to this next daily
  164. 6:10low. We have that deep run back into
  165. 6:13this initial low that was set. So, we
  166. 6:15are not going to note this out. But this
  167. 6:17in itself could be considered an extreme
  168. 6:19of the low. We look even further left.
  169. 6:22We have another daily low. Would we
  170. 6:24consider this an extreme of price? No,
  171. 6:27because it has this deep run back into
  172. 6:29this initial low. This here in itself is
  173. 6:33not a failure swing to anything else to
  174. 6:34the left. So this could be considered
  175. 6:36another extreme of the low here. We have
  176. 6:39both of these potential relevant lows
  177. 6:41noted out on the chart. This low here,
  178. 6:43this one here, ignoring the failure
  179. 6:46swings, focusing on that extreme. The
  180. 6:48question here, and this is where the
  181. 6:50idea of price separation comes into
  182. 6:52play, is that we want to be thinking in
  183. 6:55the case that the market engages this
  184. 6:57first and initial relevant low, would
  185. 6:59that create a failure swing to this next
  186. 7:02relevant low? That is the idea that we
  187. 7:05really want to be taking into account.
  188. 7:06So this is a visual of that price
  189. 7:08separation between the two potential
  190. 7:10relevant lows. And this would be
  191. 7:12considered valid separation. The reason
  192. 7:15being here is again if we were to think
  193. 7:17about price coming down manipulating
  194. 7:20this relevant low and trading higher off
  195. 7:22of that, would we just leave behind
  196. 7:25failure swing lows? And the case would
  197. 7:27be no. because the distance between
  198. 7:29these two daily lows has enough
  199. 7:32separation to the point that this is not
  200. 7:34a deep run into that next daily low. So
  201. 7:37they remain separate and individual of
  202. 7:40themselves. So at this point we'd be
  203. 7:42working with two separate extremes of
  204. 7:43the market. This is engaging a relevant
  205. 7:46low. And if this were to be the case of
  206. 7:48a manipulation because it didn't leave
  207. 7:50failure swings off the lows, which we
  208. 7:52know is irrelevant. And another rule is
  209. 7:54we don't want to trade away from failure
  210. 7:56swings. Then this would be a valid
  211. 7:58manipulation. This is a valid relevant
  212. 8:01swing and we could trade the
  213. 8:02continuation away from this low. Now
  214. 8:05let's think about another example. We're
  215. 8:07going to go through that same exact
  216. 8:09process again focusing on the lows for
  217. 8:11these here. We're going to be looking at
  218. 8:12this initial daily low. Thinking about
  219. 8:15is this an extreme of the lows. This
  220. 8:18would be no because we look to the left
  221. 8:20and we have another daily low. that
  222. 8:22initial low that we went really deep
  223. 8:25back into creating a failure swing to
  224. 8:28this low here. So, we have a potential
  225. 8:30relevant low in the market. Some
  226. 8:32separation to this next one, but we look
  227. 8:34to the left again. Would this be an
  228. 8:37extreme of the lows? No, because this is
  229. 8:39a very deep run back down into this
  230. 8:41initial daily low. So, we have two
  231. 8:44potential daily relevant lows here that
  232. 8:47we could think about marking out, but we
  233. 8:49have to bring in that idea of price
  234. 8:50separation. With these two points now
  235. 8:53noted out on the chart, we have this
  236. 8:54visual that we can consider. We want to
  237. 8:56again think about if price were to come
  238. 8:58down and engage this first relevant low,
  239. 9:02would that just create a failure swing
  240. 9:04to this next daily relevant low? Because
  241. 9:06in that case, if we do have a failure
  242. 9:08swing, then we can't trade this to the
  243. 9:10upside. we have an irrelevant point
  244. 9:12because again failure swings are
  245. 9:13irrelevant and we completely filter them
  246. 9:15out. So let's consider this here. Again
  247. 9:18this is our separation visualized and
  248. 9:20this would be a case of invalid
  249. 9:22separation between two potential daily
  250. 9:25relevant swings here. We can envision
  251. 9:27price trading down into this potential
  252. 9:29relevant low. That run only creates a
  253. 9:33failure swing to these next daily lows.
  254. 9:35And that changes the dynamic of what we
  255. 9:37would be considering a reaction here. As
  256. 9:40we note this out, this only creates a
  257. 9:42failure swing to this low. This low is
  258. 9:45just a failure swing to this low. And
  259. 9:47this is the actual extreme of the lows.
  260. 9:50This is our relevant swing that we want
  261. 9:52to be thinking about because the price
  262. 9:53separation here is not enough that a
  263. 9:56reaction here would be considered
  264. 9:58relevant only because it just ends up
  265. 10:00creating more failure swings. And when
  266. 10:03we have failure swings off the lows, we
  267. 10:05can't trade that higher and failure
  268. 10:07swings in themselves are irrelevant and
  269. 10:09we should not be focused on them in the
  270. 10:11market. We want to point our focus to
  271. 10:13the extremes. And if the market were to
  272. 10:15come down and engage here, then we would
  273. 10:18consider that reaction valid and
  274. 10:20something that we would weigh heavily
  275. 10:21for what should happen going forward.
  276. 10:23The third and final step of identifying
  277. 10:25relevant swings on the daily chart is we
  278. 10:28want to set a look back period. What
  279. 10:30this means is how many daily candles in
  280. 10:32the past we're actually going to
  281. 10:34consider and look for our daily relevant
  282. 10:37swings. That number for us is going to
  283. 10:39be 30 daily candles in the past, not 30
  284. 10:42calendar days, 30 daily candles. And you
  285. 10:46can draw back on your charts and use
  286. 10:48that range to say anything within here
  287. 10:51can be considered for noting out and
  288. 10:54identifying relevant swings. But
  289. 10:55anything that falls outside of this
  290. 10:5730-day look back period, we are not
  291. 11:00going to be considering as relevant at
  292. 11:02all, regardless of what price looks
  293. 11:04like. And the reason for doing this is
  294. 11:06to not get caught looking so far back in
  295. 11:08the past action of price that you're
  296. 11:10starting to look at highs and lows that
  297. 11:12are months and months and maybe even
  298. 11:15years in the past that don't hold the
  299. 11:18same significance on the current market.
  300. 11:20We want to be focused on more recent
  301. 11:22times. Again, recalling back to this is
  302. 11:24day trading. We're focused on the daily
  303. 11:26chart. We want to be fluid and bias. We
  304. 11:29don't need to be taking in that much
  305. 11:30information. So, we're going to cut it
  306. 11:32off at 30 daily candles into the past.
  307. 11:35If you want to know how to do this
  308. 11:36quickly on your Trading View chart, you
  309. 11:38would go and hover over the current
  310. 11:40daily candle, hold shift on your
  311. 11:42keyboard, leftclick on your mouse, and
  312. 11:45drag to the left until you see -30 on
  313. 11:48the daily candles. You can put a line
  314. 11:50there if you want or just get a general
  315. 11:52idea, but that is going to be your
  316. 11:5430-day look back period where you look
  317. 11:56to identify daily relevant highs and
  318. 11:58lows. So just as a recap to understand
  319. 12:01relevant swings, it's not an overly
  320. 12:03complicated process. If you understand
  321. 12:06failure swings where we have initial
  322. 12:08highs and lows that are set in the
  323. 12:09market and then we have deep runs back
  324. 12:12into it, those deep runs, what we call
  325. 12:14failure swings are irrelevant and we
  326. 12:17don't want to trade away from those
  327. 12:18areas in the market because they are
  328. 12:20unestablished reversals. But when we
  329. 12:22focus on that extreme in price, that is
  330. 12:25your relevant swing. Then we bring in
  331. 12:26the idea of price separation. When
  332. 12:29you're looking at your daily chart and
  333. 12:30you have all these candles here, you're
  334. 12:32identifying potential relevant swings
  335. 12:35using your idea of failure swings, the
  336. 12:37extremes of the market, noting those
  337. 12:40points out, but thinking, is this enough
  338. 12:42separation between one daily relevant
  339. 12:44swing to the next that if I were to
  340. 12:47engage this point, is it the true
  341. 12:49extreme or will it just create a failure
  342. 12:51swing to that next daily high and low?
  343. 12:53we would not want to be considering that
  344. 12:55reaction. Then finally, we have our look
  345. 12:57back period looking 30 daily candles
  346. 13:00into the past from the current day. And
  347. 13:03that's that range you're going to want
  348. 13:04to be focused on. Anything that falls
  349. 13:06outside of that, you don't want to be
  350. 13:08considering at all. Now that you have
  351. 13:10your foundational knowledge down on how
  352. 13:12to identify relevant swings, we're going
  353. 13:15to move into some real chart examples.
  354. 13:17These are daily charts from actual
  355. 13:20markets that we are going to walk
  356. 13:21through. Not only to show you how to
  357. 13:23identify them in different scenarios
  358. 13:25across the chart, but also showing you
  359. 13:27the reactions and what that means for
  360. 13:29price going forward because that is how
  361. 13:31you set your bias. Starting here, it's
  362. 13:33important to remember that your first
  363. 13:35instinct should always be I want to look
  364. 13:37left off the highs and the lows and I
  365. 13:40want to be seeing if I can identify any
  366. 13:42extremes in the market that the current
  367. 13:44price has already engaged. And what did
  368. 13:46it do there? Or can engage soon in the
  369. 13:49future because that's where the
  370. 13:50opportunity exists. When we see here, we
  371. 13:52have an initial low that is close in the
  372. 13:55market. So, I could potentially mark
  373. 13:57this out. But I also want to draw my
  374. 13:59eyes further left. We have a potential
  375. 14:02deep run back into this initial low that
  376. 14:05was set here. The question is, is this a
  377. 14:08failure swing? The potential is to say
  378. 14:10yes. But we could even consider the idea
  379. 14:12of invalid separation because in the
  380. 14:15case that this following day were to
  381. 14:17come in and manipulate that low. What
  382. 14:20would that do? That would only create a
  383. 14:22failure swing to that extreme and
  384. 14:24initial low in the market. And we do not
  385. 14:27trade away from failure swings in that
  386. 14:29sense. So this would be invalid
  387. 14:31separation. So what that means for us is
  388. 14:34this is not a relevant low. Instead,
  389. 14:36this is the true extreme of the market
  390. 14:39that we want to be marking out. Now once
  391. 14:41we see this reaction at this relevant
  392. 14:43low, we clearly have a manipulation. So
  393. 14:46the daily candle drops down into this
  394. 14:49relevant low and what it does there
  395. 14:51matters because this is the extreme and
  396. 14:53we can think without a doubt this ways
  397. 14:56in the market. We have a manipulation
  398. 14:58and a strong close in the opposing
  399. 15:00direction. This means I want to be
  400. 15:02trading away from this low. And this is
  401. 15:05the time where I'd be looking on the
  402. 15:06other side of the market for a potential
  403. 15:08draw or something to trade into. We look
  404. 15:11left from this high. And we see this
  405. 15:14first initial daily high. Is that the
  406. 15:16extreme? Clearly not because we have
  407. 15:18that deep run into this initial high. So
  408. 15:21this is not a relevant swing because it
  409. 15:23is only a failure swing to this initial
  410. 15:26high. This is the extreme that we would
  411. 15:28want to be noting out in the market. And
  412. 15:30what we have here is this following day
  413. 15:33we could be trading the continuation
  414. 15:35assuming price should draw up into this
  415. 15:38high. We have a failure to fully
  416. 15:40continue. There is likely an opportunity
  417. 15:43to trade up close into that high. But
  418. 15:45this following day, if it either fails
  419. 15:47to confirm or we don't trade that
  420. 15:49opportunity, what we have on this
  421. 15:51following day is still a one-sided
  422. 15:54opportunity. We've left failure swings
  423. 15:57off the highs because we look here, we
  424. 15:59have deep runs but not quite going
  425. 16:01through this initial high. So, we have
  426. 16:04failure swings off the highs. That is
  427. 16:06not only a draw, but it's also something
  428. 16:08meaning that this following day, we
  429. 16:10can't trade away from this high because
  430. 16:13it's left behind failure swings. We
  431. 16:16still have this low that is a
  432. 16:17manipulation. So, we want to be thinking
  433. 16:20expansion to the upside. We are still
  434. 16:22assuming continuation up until this
  435. 16:24point here. The question remains, how do
  436. 16:26we actually get there? We look to the
  437. 16:29left because now we're considering the
  438. 16:30lows. We look at this daily low and we
  439. 16:33could note that out because we know
  440. 16:35inside of this daily candle because of
  441. 16:37how close this closed to that daily low,
  442. 16:41we know it's not likely that this next
  443. 16:43day is going to turn higher without
  444. 16:45taking this out. And we also think this
  445. 16:47is a daily low with deep separation
  446. 16:50between this next daily low. So this is
  447. 16:52valid separation. This is considered the
  448. 16:55extreme low of the current range. And
  449. 16:58that is a relevant swing in itself. So
  450. 17:01we see this next day come through open
  451. 17:03into that low forming and expanding off
  452. 17:06of that up into the failure swing highs.
  453. 17:09This is valid framework for us to be
  454. 17:11using this as a relevant low and this as
  455. 17:14a relevant high. Failure swings above.
  456. 17:17This is a one-sided expansion that we
  457. 17:19would want to be trading again. The
  458. 17:21following day, we still have these
  459. 17:23failure swings above in the market. We
  460. 17:24could trade the continuation assuming
  461. 17:27price should draw up into that high and
  462. 17:29that would be that completed move. And
  463. 17:31now we would reset because we've reached
  464. 17:33that opposing relevant swing. Just to
  465. 17:36clear this out for a more simple
  466. 17:37perspective, we know we have this daily
  467. 17:39relevant high that is now being engaged,
  468. 17:42but we can see later in this price
  469. 17:44action that we start to develop these
  470. 17:46following days that don't quite continue
  471. 17:49or reverse. We're creating new failure
  472. 17:52swings in the market. As we can see
  473. 17:54here, we have this following day that
  474. 17:56creates a deep run into this initial
  475. 17:59high. So, we start to create failure
  476. 18:01swings off the highs. Same with this day
  477. 18:03here. deep run into this high. So, we're
  478. 18:06creating failure swings which are not
  479. 18:07relevant. But because this is the
  480. 18:09initial high in the extreme of the
  481. 18:11current range, this becomes a new
  482. 18:14relevant high. Now, we look off the
  483. 18:16lows. We see there's a lack of
  484. 18:17continuation. We're creating more
  485. 18:19failure swings off the lows. We have a
  486. 18:22deep run down into this low. This is a
  487. 18:25failure swing to this low here. Now, we
  488. 18:28can start thinking about valid
  489. 18:29separation again. we have this next
  490. 18:31daily low that we can mark out. Is this
  491. 18:34considered valid separation? And the
  492. 18:37answer is yes. Because as we see this
  493. 18:39manipulation take place on a potential
  494. 18:41relevant low, we have that deep
  495. 18:44separation between the two points that
  496. 18:46this low is not creating a failure swing
  497. 18:48to that next daily low. So this here is
  498. 18:51a valid manipulation. This is a valid
  499. 18:54relevant low and we can use this
  500. 18:55reaction to consider this meaningful in
  501. 18:58the market. And we again see price drop
  502. 19:00down into this relevant low, expand off
  503. 19:03of that as a manipulation, and then we
  504. 19:05have a second type of reaction. So
  505. 19:08manipulation off the low is how we see
  506. 19:10price trade higher, but we're also
  507. 19:12getting a close daily relevant high.
  508. 19:15When we see a closure through a daily
  509. 19:18relevant high or low, that deep closure,
  510. 19:21this is where we can assume continuation
  511. 19:24because we have both types of reactions
  512. 19:27taking place. The relevant low has a
  513. 19:29manipulation. We could trade away from
  514. 19:31that. But the relevant high also has a
  515. 19:34breakout signature where we have that
  516. 19:36deep daily candle closure through. And
  517. 19:38you see these following days starting to
  518. 19:41continue. One day of continuation, 2
  519. 19:43days of continuation, and we just see
  520. 19:46that trend continuing on from this
  521. 19:48point. Zooming out on this example
  522. 19:50quickly, you start to see the logic come
  523. 19:52together of simply using failure swings,
  524. 19:55separation, and price, and the type of
  525. 19:57reaction we're getting here to navigate
  526. 19:59this price action and filter out the
  527. 20:02things that are not relevant or should
  528. 20:04not be considered in the first place to
  529. 20:06even be trading within certain days.
  530. 20:08Again, we have this relevant daily low.
  531. 20:11This one is not relevant because of the
  532. 20:13lack of price separation between these
  533. 20:15two points. The reaction at this
  534. 20:17relevant low shows a manipulation. And
  535. 20:20when we create failure swings off the
  536. 20:22highs to this next daily relevant high,
  537. 20:24we cannot trade the downside. So we look
  538. 20:27for any ways for price to draw up into
  539. 20:29that high. This low has a lot of
  540. 20:32separation to that next daily low. That
  541. 20:34means this is a relevant swing on its
  542. 20:36own and we see price manipulate that low
  543. 20:39to then trade higher the next day
  544. 20:42continuing into this relevant high. Then
  545. 20:44again we start to establish a new range
  546. 20:47where we create failure swings to both
  547. 20:49sides of the market and we would wait
  548. 20:51for one side to be engaged and then
  549. 20:53judge the bias from there. We have a
  550. 20:56reaction off of this relevant low which
  551. 20:58has valid separation to this next daily
  552. 21:01low. So this is a relevant swing
  553. 21:03manipulation
  554. 21:05continuation through the highs. That
  555. 21:07deep closure through is an additional
  556. 21:09confluence. While not necessarily needed
  557. 21:12in this case because we already have the
  558. 21:14manipulation of the low, we also have a
  559. 21:16deep closure through this relevant high
  560. 21:18which we then see follow through on the
  561. 21:20next two days of more continuation and
  562. 21:23that would be biased to look for inside
  563. 21:24these days continuation long setups.
  564. 21:27Moving on to our next real daily chart
  565. 21:30example, I want to focus in on one
  566. 21:32specific point here. We're going to look
  567. 21:34at this area in the market and we're
  568. 21:36going to be thinking about what is the
  569. 21:38extreme of lows when we're waiting for a
  570. 21:40certain type of reaction for this market
  571. 21:42to become actionable and directional. We
  572. 21:45see this low here in the market. If we
  573. 21:47were trading or looking inside this day
  574. 21:50for extra context on what the bias is,
  575. 21:52we would think about this low. This is
  576. 21:54just a previous day low. And when we
  577. 21:56look left, there is not another daily
  578. 21:58low until down here and down here. So we
  579. 22:01have a lot of separation to these next
  580. 22:03daily lows. In a case like this,
  581. 22:06previous day low becomes the relevant
  582. 22:09swing. So we have this noted out here
  583. 22:11and we're waiting for a reaction to take
  584. 22:14place. We see that this next day comes
  585. 22:16in, trades down into that low and closes
  586. 22:19back up into the range. This is
  587. 22:21something that would be showing a
  588. 22:22manipulation. We trade down into it and
  589. 22:25back up. Closing into the range, that is
  590. 22:27a sign of a manipulation. And valid
  591. 22:30manipulation means reversal into
  592. 22:32continuation. For some added detail to
  593. 22:35this particular situation, there may be
  594. 22:37a case like this where this daily
  595. 22:39closure may not be convincing enough for
  596. 22:41you to be one-sided on this market or
  597. 22:43for you to fully call this a
  598. 22:44manipulation yet. We could wait for one
  599. 22:47more day of context if needed. So, we
  600. 22:49have this day here. When we see the
  601. 22:51market expand away from this low that we
  602. 22:54could consider a potential valid
  603. 22:56manipulation, that would be your full
  604. 22:58confirmation to say we are expanding
  605. 23:00away from this low and we can trade the
  606. 23:03continuation. And when we look left,
  607. 23:05we're looking for that opposing relevant
  608. 23:07high. We draw our eyes to the extremes,
  609. 23:09deep runs all the way until we get to
  610. 23:12this initial high. That is your opposing
  611. 23:14relevant swing. So that is your draw in
  612. 23:17the market. You could trade this day if
  613. 23:19you initially saw this as a valid
  614. 23:21manipulation. But once we see that
  615. 23:23expansion away on the daily chart, we
  616. 23:25would trade this next day as a
  617. 23:27continuation all the way until we reach
  618. 23:29this opposing relevant high in the
  619. 23:32market. And what do you see as we draw
  620. 23:34up into it? We have these expansion days
  621. 23:36that can be capitalized on, but once we
  622. 23:38engage that opposing relevant high at
  623. 23:40the extremes, that's where you start to
  624. 23:42see opposing reactions. This here could
  625. 23:45be traded to the downside or it can be
  626. 23:48your sign to say I was trading the
  627. 23:49continuation prior. Now I should be
  628. 23:52stopping that bias because I know when
  629. 23:54we react in this way that may be the
  630. 23:56pause in the trend and I need to
  631. 23:58reassess my bias at this point or it may
  632. 24:00be creating a new opportunity to trade
  633. 24:03away from this relevant high seeing this
  634. 24:05as a manipulation and now I want to
  635. 24:07trade the downside in the other
  636. 24:08direction. Moving on to the final daily
  637. 24:11chart example. I want to bring your
  638. 24:13attention to this area here. If we're
  639. 24:15trading in this market, again, that
  640. 24:17first step is always going to be looking
  641. 24:19left off the highs and the lows, looking
  642. 24:21for potential relevant highs and lows
  643. 24:24that we can note out at the extremes
  644. 24:27that can create potential opportunity or
  645. 24:29maybe already setting a bias if we've
  646. 24:31already had that reaction. So, we look
  647. 24:33off the highs and we see a deep run into
  648. 24:36an initial high that was formed. This is
  649. 24:38a failure swing. So I'm not going to
  650. 24:40note it out. This is the initial high.
  651. 24:42This is the area that I want to be
  652. 24:44focused on in the market. Then we look
  653. 24:46to the lows where I see this current
  654. 24:47daily low is a deep run to this next
  655. 24:51daily low. That is where we would call
  656. 24:53it a failure swing. So this low is not
  657. 24:55relevant to be noted out. We are going
  658. 24:57to use this low as a potential relevant
  659. 25:00swing because we look below. We have
  660. 25:02deep separation to these next daily lows
  661. 25:05here. So this would be an independent
  662. 25:07daily relevant low that we could note
  663. 25:10out in the market. And we also have
  664. 25:12these areas below. While price may not
  665. 25:15engage here, it's still worth noting
  666. 25:17them out in the case that this becomes a
  667. 25:19target in the future. So it's still
  668. 25:21something that you'd want to have on
  669. 25:23your chart. Moving back up to this area,
  670. 25:25we see price action starting to play
  671. 25:27out. And again, we're making even deeper
  672. 25:30runs back into these highs. So it's
  673. 25:32creating failure swings off the highs.
  674. 25:34And as price draws lower, because we
  675. 25:37have these failure swings off the highs,
  676. 25:39which is an unestablished reversal,
  677. 25:41something that isn't giving us the
  678. 25:42context for price to move in one
  679. 25:44direction when it starts to fade away
  680. 25:46from these failure swing highs, we are
  681. 25:48not trading this downside or attempting
  682. 25:51any move. And on the other side of the
  683. 25:53market as well, because we also have
  684. 25:55failure swings off the lows up until
  685. 25:57this relevant low here, we're also not
  686. 26:00trying to assume or attempt any upside
  687. 26:03move. So this is what we consider a
  688. 26:05range in price because we have failure
  689. 26:07swings off the highs and off the lows
  690. 26:10and price is trading internally in
  691. 26:12between those points where we are
  692. 26:14completely neutral and are not trying to
  693. 26:16establish a bias here until the market
  694. 26:18either reaches this relevant high or
  695. 26:21this relevant low. Until that happens,
  696. 26:23we are completely handsoff. Eventually
  697. 26:26we do get price first engaging this
  698. 26:28daily relevant low. And what happens
  699. 26:31there because this is the extreme of the
  700. 26:33market we know has weight and we know
  701. 26:36that it matters. Price comes down into
  702. 26:38that daily relevant low and we see that
  703. 26:40wick formation again trading down into
  704. 26:43it closing back up into the range. That
  705. 26:46there is a valid manipulation again. We
  706. 26:48have that separation. So this is not
  707. 26:50creating a failure swing to that next
  708. 26:52daily low. So valid manipulation at a
  709. 26:55relevant low that next day because we've
  710. 26:58already reversed and established it. we
  711. 27:00would assume continuation away from that
  712. 27:03low and that's what we get here. So that
  713. 27:05next day bias is bullish and because we
  714. 27:07have failure swings off the highs, we're
  715. 27:09not going to be shorting anything here.
  716. 27:11We have a target, a series of failure
  717. 27:14swings that is drawing our eyes back up
  718. 27:17to this daily relevant high which is an
  719. 27:19opposing objective. So we are going to
  720. 27:21hold that bias until we reach that point
  721. 27:24or some new structure is formed that can
  722. 27:26reshape this scenario. But as we stand,
  723. 27:29we're going to look for that
  724. 27:30continuation. That next day has a
  725. 27:32potential opportunity from that open
  726. 27:34drawing up into that high. But as it
  727. 27:36fails to do so, this leaves another
  728. 27:39failure swing. So we are not trading the
  729. 27:41downside the next day. We are wanting to
  730. 27:43think what needs to happen. What do we
  731. 27:45need to see for price to draw up into
  732. 27:48that opposing relevant high? We have a
  733. 27:50similar situation from that first
  734. 27:52example where we have failure swings off
  735. 27:54the high. So we're not shorting. We're
  736. 27:56still assumed in the continuation, but
  737. 27:59we have a previous day low that has that
  738. 28:01large separation, valid separation from
  739. 28:04these daily lows. So, this in itself,
  740. 28:07previous day low is a relevant swing.
  741. 28:10And when we see price manipulate that
  742. 28:12low on this following day, open low and
  743. 28:16then expansion, we can trade that move.
  744. 28:19And this is our framework for this day
  745. 28:21to trade up into this high. So, that
  746. 28:24would be your bias. That would be your
  747. 28:25framework. And we understand the
  748. 28:27opportunity on this day occurs at
  749. 28:28previous day low. Manipulating that to
  750. 28:31finally get up into our opposing
  751. 28:33objective of this high. So this is an
  752. 28:35example of a range in price where we
  753. 28:38start to create these failure swings off
  754. 28:39the highs, failure swings off the lows
  755. 28:41and we are waiting for the extremes of
  756. 28:43the market and we see true reactions
  757. 28:46that actually matter and it gives us a
  758. 28:48bias and a framework of where to look
  759. 28:50for that opportunity and how to know
  760. 28:52which lows we should be focused on to
  761. 28:54get up into the continuation for this
  762. 28:57high, that opposing objective in the
  763. 28:59market. You now understand the three
  764. 29:01core steps to identifying daily relevant
  765. 29:04swings. We want to know what failure
  766. 29:06swings are and how deep runs back into
  767. 29:08initial highs means we want to
  768. 29:10completely ignore the failure swings and
  769. 29:13focus on the extremes of price because
  770. 29:14that's what actually matters and
  771. 29:16reactions there hold weight in the
  772. 29:18market. The second is valid separation.
  773. 29:21So when we're looking on a daily chart
  774. 29:22and we find potential relevant highs and
  775. 29:25lows that we could be using, we want to
  776. 29:27be considering the separation to that
  777. 29:29next daily high and low. So in the case
  778. 29:31that we do engage it, we're not just
  779. 29:33forming new failure swings. It is
  780. 29:35actually separate from that next
  781. 29:37relevant swing. That's when we know
  782. 29:39we're working at two different extremes.
  783. 29:41So the reaction there will truly matter.
  784. 29:43And finally, the third thing is our look
  785. 29:45back period. Only looking 30 daily
  786. 29:48candles into the past. Anything beyond
  787. 29:50that, we don't want to be considering it
  788. 29:52because it's just added noise when we're
  789. 29:55trading intraday getting in and out of
  790. 29:56the market within a few hours. Now, what
  791. 29:59I want you to do is to go back into your
  792. 30:01charts and start looking for this
  793. 30:03signature. You're going to realize how
  794. 30:05much noise is being removed from the
  795. 30:07charts and focusing on the extremes. The
  796. 30:09reactions there are really going to hold
  797. 30:11a lot of weight for what happens going
  798. 30:13forward. And not only can you go into
  799. 30:15your own charts, but I posted so many of
  800. 30:18my trades on my Instagram, YouTube
  801. 30:20recaps, Twitter from the past that you
  802. 30:23can go back into and look at the highs
  803. 30:25and lows that I'm focused on, the ones
  804. 30:27that I'm identifying and where my best
  805. 30:29opportunities come from because it all
  806. 30:31starts with the relevant swing. With
  807. 30:33that said, that is everything I have for
  808. 30:35you in this video. I hope you found it
  809. 30:37valuable. There will be a lot more to
  810. 30:39come on this topic.

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