Daily Bias That Actually Works (Using Only Highs and Lows) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Every single highquality trade starts
- 0:02with framework off of the higher time
- 0:04frames. And this is not something that
- 0:06you need to know many concepts to get
- 0:08right. All you need to know are highs
- 0:11and lows. But the question still remains
- 0:13of which highs and lows do I actually
- 0:15focus on? And this is where the idea of
- 0:17relevant swings comes into play. This is
- 0:20something that is the absolute
- 0:22foundation of my system and is included
- 0:24in every single trade that I place. It
- 0:27tells me if there's opportunity in the
- 0:29market, where the opportunity exists,
- 0:32and which side of the market I should be
- 0:33focused on, while completely removing
- 0:36all the unnecessary noise. Getting right
- 0:38into this, it's first important to
- 0:40understand the actual goal of relevant
- 0:42swings. The idea is that we want to
- 0:44remove the guesswork, the doubt, the
- 0:46ambiguity from identifying certain highs
- 0:48and lows from the normal way that most
- 0:50traders would approach this. We're going
- 0:52to be focusing on the highs and lows
- 0:54that exist at the extremes relative to
- 0:56the current market. And what that does
- 0:59is that when something is at the
- 1:00extremes and the market engages it, we
- 1:03know without a doubt that what happens
- 1:05there is meaningful. And you're going to
- 1:07get to that understanding of how we
- 1:09identify them using a very simple
- 1:11three-step process, but also the simple
- 1:14reactions that we look for at these
- 1:16points that give us a bias going
- 1:18forward. The problem most traders face
- 1:20when trying to identify highs and lows
- 1:22is that they are all over different time
- 1:24frames. They're trying to mark out
- 1:26session highs and lows, highs and lows
- 1:28above and below opening prices around
- 1:31all these different times. These are
- 1:33things that add confusion. They add
- 1:35doubt and there's no certainty in the
- 1:38sense of what we should be looking for.
- 1:40We are going to be completely removing
- 1:41that noise by doing a few simple things.
- 1:44First, we want to be focusing on the
- 1:46right time frames. We are only going to
- 1:49be using the daily chart for identifying
- 1:51relevant swings. And as you can see
- 1:53here, you have the option to go below
- 1:56where there's the 4 hour and the 1 hour.
- 1:58But that gives you too much detail. When
- 2:00we go above the daily to the weekly or
- 2:03the monthly, that is too little detail
- 2:05in price. The daily hits this sweet spot
- 2:08for intraday trading where we are going
- 2:10in and out of the market within the same
- 2:12day, holding trades for a few minutes to
- 2:15a few hours, getting in and out. This is
- 2:17where we want to be focused on because
- 2:19it gives us enough detail to be fluid
- 2:21and biased, but also not giving us so
- 2:23much detail in price that we are seeing
- 2:26too many things at once and we're not
- 2:28actually able to identify the areas that
- 2:30matter. And on the opposite spectrum,
- 2:32the weekly and monthly, it is too high
- 2:34of a time frame to see the current
- 2:36development, to adjust a bias, to go day
- 2:39by day, and it's really not something
- 2:41that you want to be focused on for day
- 2:42trading. The first and truly most
- 2:44important concept of identifying
- 2:46relevant swings is going to be
- 2:48understanding what a failure swing is.
- 2:51The concept of failure swings is
- 2:53extremely simple. It's when we set
- 2:55either a high or low in this current
- 2:57example in the market. An initial low is
- 3:00formed and following that we make deep
- 3:03runs back into that initial low
- 3:06following that point. And these deep
- 3:08runs that get back into that low are
- 3:11considered failure swings. The reason
- 3:13being is that when we create a low in
- 3:15the market that could be reversed off
- 3:17of, it should not make deep runs back
- 3:20into that point. Once price reverses, it
- 3:23should expand away, make shallow
- 3:25retracements. That is a sign of an
- 3:27expansion or a continuation. when we
- 3:30make deep runs back down into it, that
- 3:32invalidates that point of reversal and
- 3:35shows that lack of wanting to turn in
- 3:37the market. So, anytime we see an
- 3:39initial low formed like this here, that
- 3:42is the first low formed. Then we have
- 3:45price come up, retrace deep back into
- 3:48that low and then again deep back into
- 3:51this low. These deep runs back in are
- 3:54considered failure swings. failure swing
- 3:57and that is the initial low in the
- 3:59market that we would want to be focused
- 4:00on. This here is what we would consider
- 4:02the extreme of the lows. So this low is
- 4:05not a failure swing to any other daily
- 4:08low to the left, but we have these
- 4:10failure swings that follow it. We want
- 4:12to look for that initial high or low
- 4:14that was formed. And we can show you an
- 4:16example on the other side of the market.
- 4:18Here we look at the highs. We have this
- 4:20initial high that was formed, the
- 4:22highest high in this current range. And
- 4:24then following that, price made deep
- 4:26runs back into that high. Deep runs back
- 4:29into it and it created a failure swing,
- 4:32another failure swing, and that final
- 4:34initial high. And again, this point is
- 4:37what we would consider the extreme of
- 4:39highs. These are the points in the
- 4:41market that we want to be focused on.
- 4:43Anything that is considered a failure
- 4:45swing, these deep runs are not
- 4:47considered and they would be irrelevant
- 4:50for us to be noting them out. we simply
- 4:52block them out of our perspective and
- 4:54focus on the extremes. Just to reiterate
- 4:56that point, any reactions that we see at
- 4:59those failure swings, not the extreme
- 5:01highs or lows is considered irrelevant.
- 5:04We don't want to care about it. We don't
- 5:06want to focus on it because that is what
- 5:08we consider the noise that we are trying
- 5:10to filter out. The extremes in that
- 5:12market is where we know without a doubt
- 5:15that once price engages that point the
- 5:18reaction there is going to hold weight
- 5:20and significance for what should happen
- 5:22going forward. The second step that we
- 5:24have to understand in identifying daily
- 5:26relevant swings is price separation. So
- 5:29you understand what a failure swing is
- 5:31when we have that initial higher low
- 5:33that was formed and any deep runs back
- 5:35into it are considered failure swings
- 5:37and should be ignored. Our focus remains
- 5:40on the extremes. Now when we bring that
- 5:42to a real daily chart, we have to
- 5:44understand price separation to help us
- 5:46identify which highs and lows are going
- 5:49to matter. Here in this example, we'd be
- 5:51on a daily time frame. And our first
- 5:53instinct should be where are the extreme
- 5:56highs and lows of this current range.
- 5:58We're going to be focusing on the lows
- 6:00here. And we can just go one by one. We
- 6:02have a low that is set. Is this an
- 6:05extreme of the lows? No, because this is
- 6:08just a failure swing to this next daily
- 6:10low. We have that deep run back into
- 6:13this initial low that was set. So, we
- 6:15are not going to note this out. But this
- 6:17in itself could be considered an extreme
- 6:19of the low. We look even further left.
- 6:22We have another daily low. Would we
- 6:24consider this an extreme of price? No,
- 6:27because it has this deep run back into
- 6:29this initial low. This here in itself is
- 6:33not a failure swing to anything else to
- 6:34the left. So this could be considered
- 6:36another extreme of the low here. We have
- 6:39both of these potential relevant lows
- 6:41noted out on the chart. This low here,
- 6:43this one here, ignoring the failure
- 6:46swings, focusing on that extreme. The
- 6:48question here, and this is where the
- 6:50idea of price separation comes into
- 6:52play, is that we want to be thinking in
- 6:55the case that the market engages this
- 6:57first and initial relevant low, would
- 6:59that create a failure swing to this next
- 7:02relevant low? That is the idea that we
- 7:05really want to be taking into account.
- 7:06So this is a visual of that price
- 7:08separation between the two potential
- 7:10relevant lows. And this would be
- 7:12considered valid separation. The reason
- 7:15being here is again if we were to think
- 7:17about price coming down manipulating
- 7:20this relevant low and trading higher off
- 7:22of that, would we just leave behind
- 7:25failure swing lows? And the case would
- 7:27be no. because the distance between
- 7:29these two daily lows has enough
- 7:32separation to the point that this is not
- 7:34a deep run into that next daily low. So
- 7:37they remain separate and individual of
- 7:40themselves. So at this point we'd be
- 7:42working with two separate extremes of
- 7:43the market. This is engaging a relevant
- 7:46low. And if this were to be the case of
- 7:48a manipulation because it didn't leave
- 7:50failure swings off the lows, which we
- 7:52know is irrelevant. And another rule is
- 7:54we don't want to trade away from failure
- 7:56swings. Then this would be a valid
- 7:58manipulation. This is a valid relevant
- 8:01swing and we could trade the
- 8:02continuation away from this low. Now
- 8:05let's think about another example. We're
- 8:07going to go through that same exact
- 8:09process again focusing on the lows for
- 8:11these here. We're going to be looking at
- 8:12this initial daily low. Thinking about
- 8:15is this an extreme of the lows. This
- 8:18would be no because we look to the left
- 8:20and we have another daily low. that
- 8:22initial low that we went really deep
- 8:25back into creating a failure swing to
- 8:28this low here. So, we have a potential
- 8:30relevant low in the market. Some
- 8:32separation to this next one, but we look
- 8:34to the left again. Would this be an
- 8:37extreme of the lows? No, because this is
- 8:39a very deep run back down into this
- 8:41initial daily low. So, we have two
- 8:44potential daily relevant lows here that
- 8:47we could think about marking out, but we
- 8:49have to bring in that idea of price
- 8:50separation. With these two points now
- 8:53noted out on the chart, we have this
- 8:54visual that we can consider. We want to
- 8:56again think about if price were to come
- 8:58down and engage this first relevant low,
- 9:02would that just create a failure swing
- 9:04to this next daily relevant low? Because
- 9:06in that case, if we do have a failure
- 9:08swing, then we can't trade this to the
- 9:10upside. we have an irrelevant point
- 9:12because again failure swings are
- 9:13irrelevant and we completely filter them
- 9:15out. So let's consider this here. Again
- 9:18this is our separation visualized and
- 9:20this would be a case of invalid
- 9:22separation between two potential daily
- 9:25relevant swings here. We can envision
- 9:27price trading down into this potential
- 9:29relevant low. That run only creates a
- 9:33failure swing to these next daily lows.
- 9:35And that changes the dynamic of what we
- 9:37would be considering a reaction here. As
- 9:40we note this out, this only creates a
- 9:42failure swing to this low. This low is
- 9:45just a failure swing to this low. And
- 9:47this is the actual extreme of the lows.
- 9:50This is our relevant swing that we want
- 9:52to be thinking about because the price
- 9:53separation here is not enough that a
- 9:56reaction here would be considered
- 9:58relevant only because it just ends up
- 10:00creating more failure swings. And when
- 10:03we have failure swings off the lows, we
- 10:05can't trade that higher and failure
- 10:07swings in themselves are irrelevant and
- 10:09we should not be focused on them in the
- 10:11market. We want to point our focus to
- 10:13the extremes. And if the market were to
- 10:15come down and engage here, then we would
- 10:18consider that reaction valid and
- 10:20something that we would weigh heavily
- 10:21for what should happen going forward.
- 10:23The third and final step of identifying
- 10:25relevant swings on the daily chart is we
- 10:28want to set a look back period. What
- 10:30this means is how many daily candles in
- 10:32the past we're actually going to
- 10:34consider and look for our daily relevant
- 10:37swings. That number for us is going to
- 10:39be 30 daily candles in the past, not 30
- 10:42calendar days, 30 daily candles. And you
- 10:46can draw back on your charts and use
- 10:48that range to say anything within here
- 10:51can be considered for noting out and
- 10:54identifying relevant swings. But
- 10:55anything that falls outside of this
- 10:5730-day look back period, we are not
- 11:00going to be considering as relevant at
- 11:02all, regardless of what price looks
- 11:04like. And the reason for doing this is
- 11:06to not get caught looking so far back in
- 11:08the past action of price that you're
- 11:10starting to look at highs and lows that
- 11:12are months and months and maybe even
- 11:15years in the past that don't hold the
- 11:18same significance on the current market.
- 11:20We want to be focused on more recent
- 11:22times. Again, recalling back to this is
- 11:24day trading. We're focused on the daily
- 11:26chart. We want to be fluid and bias. We
- 11:29don't need to be taking in that much
- 11:30information. So, we're going to cut it
- 11:32off at 30 daily candles into the past.
- 11:35If you want to know how to do this
- 11:36quickly on your Trading View chart, you
- 11:38would go and hover over the current
- 11:40daily candle, hold shift on your
- 11:42keyboard, leftclick on your mouse, and
- 11:45drag to the left until you see -30 on
- 11:48the daily candles. You can put a line
- 11:50there if you want or just get a general
- 11:52idea, but that is going to be your
- 11:5430-day look back period where you look
- 11:56to identify daily relevant highs and
- 11:58lows. So just as a recap to understand
- 12:01relevant swings, it's not an overly
- 12:03complicated process. If you understand
- 12:06failure swings where we have initial
- 12:08highs and lows that are set in the
- 12:09market and then we have deep runs back
- 12:12into it, those deep runs, what we call
- 12:14failure swings are irrelevant and we
- 12:17don't want to trade away from those
- 12:18areas in the market because they are
- 12:20unestablished reversals. But when we
- 12:22focus on that extreme in price, that is
- 12:25your relevant swing. Then we bring in
- 12:26the idea of price separation. When
- 12:29you're looking at your daily chart and
- 12:30you have all these candles here, you're
- 12:32identifying potential relevant swings
- 12:35using your idea of failure swings, the
- 12:37extremes of the market, noting those
- 12:40points out, but thinking, is this enough
- 12:42separation between one daily relevant
- 12:44swing to the next that if I were to
- 12:47engage this point, is it the true
- 12:49extreme or will it just create a failure
- 12:51swing to that next daily high and low?
- 12:53we would not want to be considering that
- 12:55reaction. Then finally, we have our look
- 12:57back period looking 30 daily candles
- 13:00into the past from the current day. And
- 13:03that's that range you're going to want
- 13:04to be focused on. Anything that falls
- 13:06outside of that, you don't want to be
- 13:08considering at all. Now that you have
- 13:10your foundational knowledge down on how
- 13:12to identify relevant swings, we're going
- 13:15to move into some real chart examples.
- 13:17These are daily charts from actual
- 13:20markets that we are going to walk
- 13:21through. Not only to show you how to
- 13:23identify them in different scenarios
- 13:25across the chart, but also showing you
- 13:27the reactions and what that means for
- 13:29price going forward because that is how
- 13:31you set your bias. Starting here, it's
- 13:33important to remember that your first
- 13:35instinct should always be I want to look
- 13:37left off the highs and the lows and I
- 13:40want to be seeing if I can identify any
- 13:42extremes in the market that the current
- 13:44price has already engaged. And what did
- 13:46it do there? Or can engage soon in the
- 13:49future because that's where the
- 13:50opportunity exists. When we see here, we
- 13:52have an initial low that is close in the
- 13:55market. So, I could potentially mark
- 13:57this out. But I also want to draw my
- 13:59eyes further left. We have a potential
- 14:02deep run back into this initial low that
- 14:05was set here. The question is, is this a
- 14:08failure swing? The potential is to say
- 14:10yes. But we could even consider the idea
- 14:12of invalid separation because in the
- 14:15case that this following day were to
- 14:17come in and manipulate that low. What
- 14:20would that do? That would only create a
- 14:22failure swing to that extreme and
- 14:24initial low in the market. And we do not
- 14:27trade away from failure swings in that
- 14:29sense. So this would be invalid
- 14:31separation. So what that means for us is
- 14:34this is not a relevant low. Instead,
- 14:36this is the true extreme of the market
- 14:39that we want to be marking out. Now once
- 14:41we see this reaction at this relevant
- 14:43low, we clearly have a manipulation. So
- 14:46the daily candle drops down into this
- 14:49relevant low and what it does there
- 14:51matters because this is the extreme and
- 14:53we can think without a doubt this ways
- 14:56in the market. We have a manipulation
- 14:58and a strong close in the opposing
- 15:00direction. This means I want to be
- 15:02trading away from this low. And this is
- 15:05the time where I'd be looking on the
- 15:06other side of the market for a potential
- 15:08draw or something to trade into. We look
- 15:11left from this high. And we see this
- 15:14first initial daily high. Is that the
- 15:16extreme? Clearly not because we have
- 15:18that deep run into this initial high. So
- 15:21this is not a relevant swing because it
- 15:23is only a failure swing to this initial
- 15:26high. This is the extreme that we would
- 15:28want to be noting out in the market. And
- 15:30what we have here is this following day
- 15:33we could be trading the continuation
- 15:35assuming price should draw up into this
- 15:38high. We have a failure to fully
- 15:40continue. There is likely an opportunity
- 15:43to trade up close into that high. But
- 15:45this following day, if it either fails
- 15:47to confirm or we don't trade that
- 15:49opportunity, what we have on this
- 15:51following day is still a one-sided
- 15:54opportunity. We've left failure swings
- 15:57off the highs because we look here, we
- 15:59have deep runs but not quite going
- 16:01through this initial high. So, we have
- 16:04failure swings off the highs. That is
- 16:06not only a draw, but it's also something
- 16:08meaning that this following day, we
- 16:10can't trade away from this high because
- 16:13it's left behind failure swings. We
- 16:16still have this low that is a
- 16:17manipulation. So, we want to be thinking
- 16:20expansion to the upside. We are still
- 16:22assuming continuation up until this
- 16:24point here. The question remains, how do
- 16:26we actually get there? We look to the
- 16:29left because now we're considering the
- 16:30lows. We look at this daily low and we
- 16:33could note that out because we know
- 16:35inside of this daily candle because of
- 16:37how close this closed to that daily low,
- 16:41we know it's not likely that this next
- 16:43day is going to turn higher without
- 16:45taking this out. And we also think this
- 16:47is a daily low with deep separation
- 16:50between this next daily low. So this is
- 16:52valid separation. This is considered the
- 16:55extreme low of the current range. And
- 16:58that is a relevant swing in itself. So
- 17:01we see this next day come through open
- 17:03into that low forming and expanding off
- 17:06of that up into the failure swing highs.
- 17:09This is valid framework for us to be
- 17:11using this as a relevant low and this as
- 17:14a relevant high. Failure swings above.
- 17:17This is a one-sided expansion that we
- 17:19would want to be trading again. The
- 17:21following day, we still have these
- 17:23failure swings above in the market. We
- 17:24could trade the continuation assuming
- 17:27price should draw up into that high and
- 17:29that would be that completed move. And
- 17:31now we would reset because we've reached
- 17:33that opposing relevant swing. Just to
- 17:36clear this out for a more simple
- 17:37perspective, we know we have this daily
- 17:39relevant high that is now being engaged,
- 17:42but we can see later in this price
- 17:44action that we start to develop these
- 17:46following days that don't quite continue
- 17:49or reverse. We're creating new failure
- 17:52swings in the market. As we can see
- 17:54here, we have this following day that
- 17:56creates a deep run into this initial
- 17:59high. So, we start to create failure
- 18:01swings off the highs. Same with this day
- 18:03here. deep run into this high. So, we're
- 18:06creating failure swings which are not
- 18:07relevant. But because this is the
- 18:09initial high in the extreme of the
- 18:11current range, this becomes a new
- 18:14relevant high. Now, we look off the
- 18:16lows. We see there's a lack of
- 18:17continuation. We're creating more
- 18:19failure swings off the lows. We have a
- 18:22deep run down into this low. This is a
- 18:25failure swing to this low here. Now, we
- 18:28can start thinking about valid
- 18:29separation again. we have this next
- 18:31daily low that we can mark out. Is this
- 18:34considered valid separation? And the
- 18:37answer is yes. Because as we see this
- 18:39manipulation take place on a potential
- 18:41relevant low, we have that deep
- 18:44separation between the two points that
- 18:46this low is not creating a failure swing
- 18:48to that next daily low. So this here is
- 18:51a valid manipulation. This is a valid
- 18:54relevant low and we can use this
- 18:55reaction to consider this meaningful in
- 18:58the market. And we again see price drop
- 19:00down into this relevant low, expand off
- 19:03of that as a manipulation, and then we
- 19:05have a second type of reaction. So
- 19:08manipulation off the low is how we see
- 19:10price trade higher, but we're also
- 19:12getting a close daily relevant high.
- 19:15When we see a closure through a daily
- 19:18relevant high or low, that deep closure,
- 19:21this is where we can assume continuation
- 19:24because we have both types of reactions
- 19:27taking place. The relevant low has a
- 19:29manipulation. We could trade away from
- 19:31that. But the relevant high also has a
- 19:34breakout signature where we have that
- 19:36deep daily candle closure through. And
- 19:38you see these following days starting to
- 19:41continue. One day of continuation, 2
- 19:43days of continuation, and we just see
- 19:46that trend continuing on from this
- 19:48point. Zooming out on this example
- 19:50quickly, you start to see the logic come
- 19:52together of simply using failure swings,
- 19:55separation, and price, and the type of
- 19:57reaction we're getting here to navigate
- 19:59this price action and filter out the
- 20:02things that are not relevant or should
- 20:04not be considered in the first place to
- 20:06even be trading within certain days.
- 20:08Again, we have this relevant daily low.
- 20:11This one is not relevant because of the
- 20:13lack of price separation between these
- 20:15two points. The reaction at this
- 20:17relevant low shows a manipulation. And
- 20:20when we create failure swings off the
- 20:22highs to this next daily relevant high,
- 20:24we cannot trade the downside. So we look
- 20:27for any ways for price to draw up into
- 20:29that high. This low has a lot of
- 20:32separation to that next daily low. That
- 20:34means this is a relevant swing on its
- 20:36own and we see price manipulate that low
- 20:39to then trade higher the next day
- 20:42continuing into this relevant high. Then
- 20:44again we start to establish a new range
- 20:47where we create failure swings to both
- 20:49sides of the market and we would wait
- 20:51for one side to be engaged and then
- 20:53judge the bias from there. We have a
- 20:56reaction off of this relevant low which
- 20:58has valid separation to this next daily
- 21:01low. So this is a relevant swing
- 21:03manipulation
- 21:05continuation through the highs. That
- 21:07deep closure through is an additional
- 21:09confluence. While not necessarily needed
- 21:12in this case because we already have the
- 21:14manipulation of the low, we also have a
- 21:16deep closure through this relevant high
- 21:18which we then see follow through on the
- 21:20next two days of more continuation and
- 21:23that would be biased to look for inside
- 21:24these days continuation long setups.
- 21:27Moving on to our next real daily chart
- 21:30example, I want to focus in on one
- 21:32specific point here. We're going to look
- 21:34at this area in the market and we're
- 21:36going to be thinking about what is the
- 21:38extreme of lows when we're waiting for a
- 21:40certain type of reaction for this market
- 21:42to become actionable and directional. We
- 21:45see this low here in the market. If we
- 21:47were trading or looking inside this day
- 21:50for extra context on what the bias is,
- 21:52we would think about this low. This is
- 21:54just a previous day low. And when we
- 21:56look left, there is not another daily
- 21:58low until down here and down here. So we
- 22:01have a lot of separation to these next
- 22:03daily lows. In a case like this,
- 22:06previous day low becomes the relevant
- 22:09swing. So we have this noted out here
- 22:11and we're waiting for a reaction to take
- 22:14place. We see that this next day comes
- 22:16in, trades down into that low and closes
- 22:19back up into the range. This is
- 22:21something that would be showing a
- 22:22manipulation. We trade down into it and
- 22:25back up. Closing into the range, that is
- 22:27a sign of a manipulation. And valid
- 22:30manipulation means reversal into
- 22:32continuation. For some added detail to
- 22:35this particular situation, there may be
- 22:37a case like this where this daily
- 22:39closure may not be convincing enough for
- 22:41you to be one-sided on this market or
- 22:43for you to fully call this a
- 22:44manipulation yet. We could wait for one
- 22:47more day of context if needed. So, we
- 22:49have this day here. When we see the
- 22:51market expand away from this low that we
- 22:54could consider a potential valid
- 22:56manipulation, that would be your full
- 22:58confirmation to say we are expanding
- 23:00away from this low and we can trade the
- 23:03continuation. And when we look left,
- 23:05we're looking for that opposing relevant
- 23:07high. We draw our eyes to the extremes,
- 23:09deep runs all the way until we get to
- 23:12this initial high. That is your opposing
- 23:14relevant swing. So that is your draw in
- 23:17the market. You could trade this day if
- 23:19you initially saw this as a valid
- 23:21manipulation. But once we see that
- 23:23expansion away on the daily chart, we
- 23:25would trade this next day as a
- 23:27continuation all the way until we reach
- 23:29this opposing relevant high in the
- 23:32market. And what do you see as we draw
- 23:34up into it? We have these expansion days
- 23:36that can be capitalized on, but once we
- 23:38engage that opposing relevant high at
- 23:40the extremes, that's where you start to
- 23:42see opposing reactions. This here could
- 23:45be traded to the downside or it can be
- 23:48your sign to say I was trading the
- 23:49continuation prior. Now I should be
- 23:52stopping that bias because I know when
- 23:54we react in this way that may be the
- 23:56pause in the trend and I need to
- 23:58reassess my bias at this point or it may
- 24:00be creating a new opportunity to trade
- 24:03away from this relevant high seeing this
- 24:05as a manipulation and now I want to
- 24:07trade the downside in the other
- 24:08direction. Moving on to the final daily
- 24:11chart example. I want to bring your
- 24:13attention to this area here. If we're
- 24:15trading in this market, again, that
- 24:17first step is always going to be looking
- 24:19left off the highs and the lows, looking
- 24:21for potential relevant highs and lows
- 24:24that we can note out at the extremes
- 24:27that can create potential opportunity or
- 24:29maybe already setting a bias if we've
- 24:31already had that reaction. So, we look
- 24:33off the highs and we see a deep run into
- 24:36an initial high that was formed. This is
- 24:38a failure swing. So I'm not going to
- 24:40note it out. This is the initial high.
- 24:42This is the area that I want to be
- 24:44focused on in the market. Then we look
- 24:46to the lows where I see this current
- 24:47daily low is a deep run to this next
- 24:51daily low. That is where we would call
- 24:53it a failure swing. So this low is not
- 24:55relevant to be noted out. We are going
- 24:57to use this low as a potential relevant
- 25:00swing because we look below. We have
- 25:02deep separation to these next daily lows
- 25:05here. So this would be an independent
- 25:07daily relevant low that we could note
- 25:10out in the market. And we also have
- 25:12these areas below. While price may not
- 25:15engage here, it's still worth noting
- 25:17them out in the case that this becomes a
- 25:19target in the future. So it's still
- 25:21something that you'd want to have on
- 25:23your chart. Moving back up to this area,
- 25:25we see price action starting to play
- 25:27out. And again, we're making even deeper
- 25:30runs back into these highs. So it's
- 25:32creating failure swings off the highs.
- 25:34And as price draws lower, because we
- 25:37have these failure swings off the highs,
- 25:39which is an unestablished reversal,
- 25:41something that isn't giving us the
- 25:42context for price to move in one
- 25:44direction when it starts to fade away
- 25:46from these failure swing highs, we are
- 25:48not trading this downside or attempting
- 25:51any move. And on the other side of the
- 25:53market as well, because we also have
- 25:55failure swings off the lows up until
- 25:57this relevant low here, we're also not
- 26:00trying to assume or attempt any upside
- 26:03move. So this is what we consider a
- 26:05range in price because we have failure
- 26:07swings off the highs and off the lows
- 26:10and price is trading internally in
- 26:12between those points where we are
- 26:14completely neutral and are not trying to
- 26:16establish a bias here until the market
- 26:18either reaches this relevant high or
- 26:21this relevant low. Until that happens,
- 26:23we are completely handsoff. Eventually
- 26:26we do get price first engaging this
- 26:28daily relevant low. And what happens
- 26:31there because this is the extreme of the
- 26:33market we know has weight and we know
- 26:36that it matters. Price comes down into
- 26:38that daily relevant low and we see that
- 26:40wick formation again trading down into
- 26:43it closing back up into the range. That
- 26:46there is a valid manipulation again. We
- 26:48have that separation. So this is not
- 26:50creating a failure swing to that next
- 26:52daily low. So valid manipulation at a
- 26:55relevant low that next day because we've
- 26:58already reversed and established it. we
- 27:00would assume continuation away from that
- 27:03low and that's what we get here. So that
- 27:05next day bias is bullish and because we
- 27:07have failure swings off the highs, we're
- 27:09not going to be shorting anything here.
- 27:11We have a target, a series of failure
- 27:14swings that is drawing our eyes back up
- 27:17to this daily relevant high which is an
- 27:19opposing objective. So we are going to
- 27:21hold that bias until we reach that point
- 27:24or some new structure is formed that can
- 27:26reshape this scenario. But as we stand,
- 27:29we're going to look for that
- 27:30continuation. That next day has a
- 27:32potential opportunity from that open
- 27:34drawing up into that high. But as it
- 27:36fails to do so, this leaves another
- 27:39failure swing. So we are not trading the
- 27:41downside the next day. We are wanting to
- 27:43think what needs to happen. What do we
- 27:45need to see for price to draw up into
- 27:48that opposing relevant high? We have a
- 27:50similar situation from that first
- 27:52example where we have failure swings off
- 27:54the high. So we're not shorting. We're
- 27:56still assumed in the continuation, but
- 27:59we have a previous day low that has that
- 28:01large separation, valid separation from
- 28:04these daily lows. So, this in itself,
- 28:07previous day low is a relevant swing.
- 28:10And when we see price manipulate that
- 28:12low on this following day, open low and
- 28:16then expansion, we can trade that move.
- 28:19And this is our framework for this day
- 28:21to trade up into this high. So, that
- 28:24would be your bias. That would be your
- 28:25framework. And we understand the
- 28:27opportunity on this day occurs at
- 28:28previous day low. Manipulating that to
- 28:31finally get up into our opposing
- 28:33objective of this high. So this is an
- 28:35example of a range in price where we
- 28:38start to create these failure swings off
- 28:39the highs, failure swings off the lows
- 28:41and we are waiting for the extremes of
- 28:43the market and we see true reactions
- 28:46that actually matter and it gives us a
- 28:48bias and a framework of where to look
- 28:50for that opportunity and how to know
- 28:52which lows we should be focused on to
- 28:54get up into the continuation for this
- 28:57high, that opposing objective in the
- 28:59market. You now understand the three
- 29:01core steps to identifying daily relevant
- 29:04swings. We want to know what failure
- 29:06swings are and how deep runs back into
- 29:08initial highs means we want to
- 29:10completely ignore the failure swings and
- 29:13focus on the extremes of price because
- 29:14that's what actually matters and
- 29:16reactions there hold weight in the
- 29:18market. The second is valid separation.
- 29:21So when we're looking on a daily chart
- 29:22and we find potential relevant highs and
- 29:25lows that we could be using, we want to
- 29:27be considering the separation to that
- 29:29next daily high and low. So in the case
- 29:31that we do engage it, we're not just
- 29:33forming new failure swings. It is
- 29:35actually separate from that next
- 29:37relevant swing. That's when we know
- 29:39we're working at two different extremes.
- 29:41So the reaction there will truly matter.
- 29:43And finally, the third thing is our look
- 29:45back period. Only looking 30 daily
- 29:48candles into the past. Anything beyond
- 29:50that, we don't want to be considering it
- 29:52because it's just added noise when we're
- 29:55trading intraday getting in and out of
- 29:56the market within a few hours. Now, what
- 29:59I want you to do is to go back into your
- 30:01charts and start looking for this
- 30:03signature. You're going to realize how
- 30:05much noise is being removed from the
- 30:07charts and focusing on the extremes. The
- 30:09reactions there are really going to hold
- 30:11a lot of weight for what happens going
- 30:13forward. And not only can you go into
- 30:15your own charts, but I posted so many of
- 30:18my trades on my Instagram, YouTube
- 30:20recaps, Twitter from the past that you
- 30:23can go back into and look at the highs
- 30:25and lows that I'm focused on, the ones
- 30:27that I'm identifying and where my best
- 30:29opportunities come from because it all
- 30:31starts with the relevant swing. With
- 30:33that said, that is everything I have for
- 30:35you in this video. I hope you found it
- 30:37valuable. There will be a lot more to
- 30:39come on this topic.
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