d3: personal risk & copying strategies — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00so in this video I want to talk about
- 0:02managing risk a little bit and I'm not
- 0:04talking about the typical managing of
- 0:05risk you know most people are managing
- 0:07risk inside of they're trading and they
- 0:09think about like taking making sure
- 0:12their stop loss is in there right and
- 0:14take profit is in there right so um I
- 0:16talked about that a little bit before
- 0:18but I want to talk about a different
- 0:20type of risk a risk of being a human
- 0:22right we you might be here because you
- 0:24are an emotional Trader or you just want
- 0:26to automate your trading system either
- 0:28way there is a risk there right you're
- 0:30trying to avoid you're trying to avoid
- 0:32the risk of missing a trade if you're
- 0:33trying to automate your tradeing you're
- 0:34trying to avoid the risk of missing a
- 0:36trade because you're not your computer I
- 0:37get it we can't all be at our computer
- 0:39all day long looking at all of these
- 0:41symbols so that's might be one reason
- 0:43you're here in this boot camp or another
- 0:45is you're trying to manage your
- 0:47emotional risk now we know our
- 0:49competition is not managing their
- 0:50emotional risk they're waking up every
- 0:52single day and they're moving with the
- 0:54market they move the market really
- 0:56because it's their emotions that we see
- 0:57in these charts you see this huge volume
- 1:00Spike right here that is very
- 1:03abnormal and that's simply a liquidation
- 1:06that's why I showed you how to build
- 1:07this liquidation map here so you can see
- 1:09all the liquidations that come through
- 1:12and then it stores the big ones here but
- 1:14that's why I had you build that project
- 1:16is
- 1:16because this will help you see all of
- 1:19everybody else's emotions just remember
- 1:21it's another person just like you on the
- 1:23other side of the screen so it's really
- 1:26about managing uh not only trading risk
- 1:29with stop losses and take profits all
- 1:30that good stuff we might talk about
- 1:32later in this training but I wanted to
- 1:33take a quick moment to manage your
- 1:36actual real risk which is you right and
- 1:39it's me and I'm talking from a place of
- 1:41Love here and uh I'm just talking my
- 1:43experiences because I'm sure we're
- 1:45fairly similar right we're both trading
- 1:47crypto and anyways to manage that
- 1:50emotional risk it's all about uh
- 1:52fine-tuning your personal algorithm
- 1:55whatever that is you know I when I got
- 1:57into this stuff I spent 4 hours per day
- 2:00day learning how to code and that was
- 2:01challenging learning anything for 4
- 2:03hours per day straight is challenging I
- 2:05know we went to school for 6 to 8 hours
- 2:07so I know you can do
- 2:08it but one of the biggest risks that I
- 2:11come across in my personal algorithm is
- 2:13outside input you know you wake up and
- 2:16you start scrolling Twitter and you are
- 2:18literally putting that stuff into your
- 2:20subconscious first thing in the morning
- 2:22when your brain is the most Malu and
- 2:24that's a huge huge risk because if you
- 2:26look at your timeline and everybody is
- 2:28bearish well throughout the day you're
- 2:30going to build Bots that are bearish if
- 2:32you see everybody is bullish on the
- 2:34timeline then you're going to build Bots
- 2:35that are bullish so you're building
- 2:37biases and so I wanted to talk about
- 2:39this just a little bit you know really
- 2:41focus on your personal algorithm as one
- 2:44of your biggest Risk Managers because if
- 2:46you input the wrong stuff into your mind
- 2:48at the start of the day that's going to
- 2:50be uh put into your back test your
- 2:53algorithms everything we build
- 2:54throughout the day so what I would I'm
- 2:57not trying to recommend how you do your
- 2:59life life or anything but the way I got
- 3:01through this is I said hey I'm not going
- 3:03to take any input at the start of the
- 3:05day I'm not going to open Twitter I'm
- 3:07not going to open my text messages I
- 3:08love my family I love my friends but you
- 3:10know one word can really change
- 3:12everything in that first hour of the day
- 3:14I go work out get a meditation in and I
- 3:16start coding four hours boom that's my
- 3:18outgo I already talked about it earlier
- 3:20um so I'm not going to go too deep into
- 3:22it but you have to figure out what is
- 3:25your most productive time of the day
- 3:27because if this is new stuff to you
- 3:28which it probably is
- 3:30um whether you're learning how to code
- 3:32or you're just learning how to algo
- 3:34trade both times they're probably new
- 3:36when you're learning new stuff you got
- 3:38to find the most productive part of your
- 3:39day for me it's in the morning time when
- 3:41I have the most energy most discipline
- 3:44so I put the most important thing for me
- 3:46at the start of the day that's how I do
- 3:48it but whatever your most important time
- 3:50of the day where you can protect your
- 3:52brain from the biases please please
- 3:55please work on this stuff then because I
- 3:57don't want you to have one day where
- 4:00you're like super up and feeling really
- 4:02good and you build a bot and then it's
- 4:04like a super long bot and then the next
- 4:05day you're like a little down so maybe
- 4:07you don't you only work on this stuff
- 4:09for like an hour or you build in some
- 4:10biases in there you see what I'm saying
- 4:12I just want to take some time to do that
- 4:14and then the most important thing is is
- 4:16um I don't believe in copying other
- 4:18people's strategies or copy Bots or
- 4:20anything like that so I just want to
- 4:22tell you why because I always talk about
- 4:24that and throughout this boot camp I
- 4:25will keep reiterating that that like hey
- 4:28this is not a place where you're going
- 4:29to come and just uh jump in and get a
- 4:32profitable trading bot I can't tell you
- 4:34what strategy to run because at the end
- 4:36of the day it's math if everybody is
- 4:39running the same strategy then that
- 4:41strategy is going to go to zero the
- 4:43alpha is going to go to zero because if
- 4:45somebody a whale comes in and they can
- 4:46trade $10 million a day or per trade or
- 4:50whatever it might be then they will all
- 4:53of the alpha will start to go to them
- 4:55and there's no chance for you so that's
- 4:57why I'm a big believer in coming up with
- 4:59your own strategies and throughout this
- 5:01boot camp I'm going to keep showing you
- 5:02ways to come up with more strategies but
- 5:04then you find those strategies and you
- 5:05back test the strategies to make sure
- 5:07they actually work in the past but never
- 5:09use a copy bot never copy somebody
- 5:12else's trades um those are all going to
- 5:14zero if you see things online to buy a
- 5:16bot those are going to zero they're not
- 5:18going to work I'm extremely confident in
- 5:21that the only way that would work that
- 5:23model works is if they raise money right
- 5:25like so for me I have a bunch of
- 5:27profitable trading algorithms the only
- 5:29way I could get it to you or somebody
- 5:31else uh without like detering the edge
- 5:34is if I kept that strategy to myself and
- 5:37I ran it as a fund and I raised money
- 5:39I'm not raising money I won't ever raise
- 5:41money but that's the only way that model
- 5:43Works where it's like yo I have a
- 5:44profitable algo and you know you can run
- 5:47it the only way that works is if they're
- 5:49raising money and they're keeping that
- 5:50algo to themselves nobody's going to
- 5:52share it but I will show you how to come
- 5:55up with your own Edge and build your own
- 5:56algorithms throughout this training and
- 5:59just just be weary when you see like hey
- 6:02you know copy my bot there's another
- 6:04huge thing about copying somebody's bot
- 6:06so you know in the Discord you'll see
- 6:08every once in a while somebody will be
- 6:09like hey you know what's the most
- 6:11profitable strategy I should start
- 6:12running I'm just getting started and
- 6:14it's like uh those guys aren't going to
- 6:16do too well because they're looking for
- 6:17the quick way the easy way I know you're
- 6:19different though I know you're different
- 6:21you're here because you have you know
- 6:23trading works it's just that you needed
- 6:25to remove yourself from the day-to-day
- 6:27of clicking the buttons right so you'll
- 6:29come up with your own strategy and then
- 6:31back test it to see if it actually works
- 6:33in the past and if it doesn't then you
- 6:35just move on to the next one and you
- 6:36find one that does and then you
- 6:38implement into a bot with small size one
- 6:40of the biggest reasons you can't copy
- 6:42somebody else's strategy is because you
- 6:45don't know the strategy not only is it
- 6:47going to go to zero if a ton of people
- 6:49run it but you don't know the strategy
- 6:51so for example here's just the simplest
- 6:53example I've got a ton of profitable
- 6:55trading alos if I were to say hey Bob
- 6:59here's a profitable trading algo please
- 7:01go run it you'll make a bunch of money
- 7:03well those that algo is going to go
- 7:05similar to how a chart goes It goes up
- 7:07it goes down it goes up and then someday
- 7:10what's going to happen is the algo is
- 7:13going to take a huge draw
- 7:17down so if the algo that you're trusting
- 7:21somebody Bob is trusting Mev with an
- 7:23algo that munda's pitching is like oh
- 7:26it's the perfect algo run this you'll be
- 7:28a millionaire yeah yeah
- 7:30somebody's pitching you that and then
- 7:31you run it even if it is a profitable
- 7:34algo when it draws down 10% you don't
- 7:37know the strategy behind it so you have
- 7:39zero confidence in it and you'll
- 7:41probably turn it off and then it will
- 7:44probably revert see what I'm saying so
- 7:47in order to actually be profitable with
- 7:49algo trading you have to know the exact
- 7:52strategy that your Bot is running and
- 7:54you have to know how to code and you
- 7:57have to be able to make these tweaks
- 7:59because you're not going to have a
- 8:00profitable bot day one so that's why I
- 8:03personally I've spent 15 years in tech
- 8:05building businesses building apps
- 8:08building webs building everything that
- 8:10Tech is needed for right you need to
- 8:12know how to code for all this stuff my
- 8:14whole life I was like no I'm good I'm
- 8:15just going to hire people to do it for
- 8:17me so literally like I'm I'm coming from
- 8:21experience here and just telling you
- 8:22everything so you can use my experience
- 8:25but I was that guy that would just hire
- 8:28Developers probably worked with a 200
- 8:31plus developers I've built over a
- 8:32thousand products and I didn't know how
- 8:34to
- 8:35code but it was very obvious to me for
- 8:39algo training I had to learn how to code
- 8:41because of this reason it's I can't just
- 8:45be like yo bro let me get your Bot and
- 8:46let me run it number one he's not going
- 8:48to give me the the bot and number two if
- 8:50I went and hired somebody off upwork or
- 8:53Fiverr or whatever and I gave him a
- 8:55strategy there's zero chance I mean
- 8:56there's a small small chance there's a
- 8:59tiny tiny chance that that bot's going
- 9:00to work perfectly right off the bat for
- 9:04the rest of my life you know that's near
- 9:06zero chance like essentially the process
- 9:09I've explained it it's to research back
- 9:11test and then Implement so if you don't
- 9:13know how to back test you have to hire
- 9:15somebody for it and then you have to for
- 9:16every single tweak even if it's like
- 9:18changing a number or uh like hey let's
- 9:20buy when it crosses the 25 SMA instead
- 9:24of the 20 SMA or whatever it might be
- 9:26something simple like that if you don't
- 9:28actually know how to code then can't
- 9:29make those those
- 9:31tweaks so on top of any strategy that a
- 9:35ton of liquidity is trading a t ton of
- 9:38size those are going to zero
- 9:41eventually not all of course but for the
- 9:44most part on top of that if you don't
- 9:47know your strategy and don't know how to
- 9:49code then you're not going to be able to
- 9:50make the tiny tweaks that are needed
- 9:52you're going to have to keep iterating
- 9:53on this process things change markets
- 9:55change you need to be able to build your
- 9:57own Bots and then build a second bot and
- 9:59third bot and then test this new idea of
- 10:01this this new strategy you had imagine
- 10:04hiring somebody to do that that's crazy
- 10:06it's going to be like five to 10 G's
- 10:08every single change so it's like okay I
- 10:10want a bot 10 G's boom okay now I want a
- 10:13different bot 10 G's boom so it's like
- 10:15that's why I personally learned how to
- 10:16code because I know this stuff is fairly
- 10:19secretive when you find your
- 10:23Edge so if it's secretive like how are
- 10:25you going to have somebody else do it
- 10:26for you and constantly maintain it for
- 10:28you if you got a ton of cash sure you
- 10:29can hire somebody um but you're going to
- 10:32have to keep paying and keep paying for
- 10:33every change because you know I've been
- 10:35through this process for three and a
- 10:36half years and I know that it's not
- 10:38you're not going to hit a winner right
- 10:40off the bat just like anything else
- 10:41you're not going to be like the best
- 10:43basketball player in the world the first
- 10:44day you do it you're not going to be the
- 10:45best dancer in the world the first time
- 10:46you ever do it so I think it's super
- 10:48important to learn how to code and um I
- 10:50just want to talk about this just a
- 10:51little bit because I see it popping up
- 10:53in Discord of like hey what strategy
- 10:55should I run and it's like what strategy
- 10:57do you come up with you know so I've
- 10:59shown you ways that you can find
- 11:02strategies here on Google Scholar you
- 11:04can use YouTube use your ideas use your
- 11:06training experience and really come up
- 11:09with your own Edge by back testing
- 11:11because you can come up with ideas that
- 11:12don't even comprehend to you right like
- 11:15they don't even make sense to you you
- 11:16can read through these strategies even
- 11:18if they don't fully make sense you can
- 11:19back test them to see if they make
- 11:22profit because that's all we're really
- 11:24looking for at the end of the day so you
- 11:26know go at this for yourself don't try
- 11:29to take the easy way out um never copy
- 11:31somebody else's bot you can work with
- 11:34other people on the Discord I would say
- 11:36that's the closest thing like build a
- 11:38little Clan here two three people on
- 11:40your team Reach Out say hey does anybody
- 11:43want to join my little Clan I'm setting
- 11:46up I don't know about you but I used to
- 11:47play a lot of video games back in the
- 11:48day and my clan was so sick and it
- 11:53really motivated me to do really really
- 11:55well with that video game I'm talking
- 11:57about Socom if you know about it but
- 12:01um it made me Excel like I I got so much
- 12:04better at the video game because I had
- 12:06two or three other people no what was it
- 12:08clans were like maybe even up to five
- 12:09people but not too big and they knew or
- 12:12we knew every day at 8 8:00 p.m. we had
- 12:16you know a clan battle so we need to
- 12:18practice all day long so you know get a
- 12:20little Clan together say hey anybody
- 12:22want to be part of my clan let's work on
- 12:23this every day at 8 a for four hours
- 12:26could be a good idea that's the closest
- 12:28to a copy bot I would say you can get to
- 12:30don't copy other people's strategies
- 12:32sure you can work with a small small
- 12:33group of people but at the end of the
- 12:35day your Edge will be eroded if it is
- 12:38given to too many people so be wary
- 12:40anytime you see somebody trying to sell
- 12:41you a bot or when somebody's like in the
- 12:45Discord saying like hey give me your
- 12:46most profitable strategy they're not
- 12:48going to make it you're going to make it
- 12:49they're not going to make it I can't
- 12:51wait to keep showing you absolutely
- 12:52everything every little thing that I
- 12:54know about Alo trading is covered inside
- 12:55this boot camp so I can't wait to see
- 12:57you in the next video
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