Corporate Profits and recession signal #trading #economy #stocks — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Year-over-year, corporate profits, guys,
- 0:02plain and simple.
- 0:04If you have profit margins growing, it's
- 0:06like what I said about the hedge funds.
- 0:07You have huge window in here. Huge
- 0:10window. So, corporate profits right now
- 0:12up 20%
- 0:15before the recession, but the sell
- 0:18signal, and this was one of the signals.
- 0:19So, again, this is one of my signals for
- 0:21recession. This happened in March-June
- 0:24of '07. Profit margins and corporate
- 0:27profits started to go down. You get
- 0:28profit margins to go down, and then you
- 0:30get the recession. This bar is here is
- 0:32when the recession started. The dot-com
- 0:34bubble,
- 0:35March of 2000, went down. Here you go.
- 0:37In 1990, before the recession, negative
- 0:40before.
- 0:41Negative before 1980. This was a weird
- 0:44period because you had Volcker fighting
- 0:46inflation, but you still went negative.
- 0:48This one didn't break down until later.
- 0:50The main point about this one is it's
- 0:52still going straight up, guys. We have
- 0:54nothing here.
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