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connecting convo ben bret 01 — Transcript

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  1. 0:00thank you for joining us for this
  2. 0:01disinformation misinformation and fake
  3. 0:04news teachout
  4. 0:05my name is benjamin morse and i'm with
  5. 0:07the center for academic innovation at
  6. 0:08the university of michigan
  7. 0:10and one of the members that designed
  8. 0:12this this teachout
  9. 0:13i will be moderating this connecting
  10. 0:15conversation today between ben nemo
  11. 0:17and brett shaffer two of our teachout
  12. 0:20experts and
  13. 0:21the connecting conversations are really
  14. 0:23designed to incorporate both
  15. 0:24your insights and questions as learners
  16. 0:27into the experience
  17. 0:28and create a unique opportunity for our
  18. 0:30guest experts to engage with each other
  19. 0:33so over the next 15 to 20 minutes we're
  20. 0:35going to talk through some of the
  21. 0:36connections that you
  22. 0:38and our other learners have made between
  23. 0:40the various videos that ben and brett
  24. 0:42had created for this teach out
  25. 0:44so ben and brett would you mind just
  26. 0:46reintroducing yourselves for our
  27. 0:47teachout learners starting with
  28. 0:49with you ben thank you i'm ben nimmo i'm
  29. 0:52the director of
  30. 0:54investigations at graphica which is a
  31. 0:56new york social media analytics company
  32. 0:59and i specialize in studying large-scale
  33. 1:02fake and online disinformation activity
  34. 1:06and i'm brett shafer i'm the media and
  35. 1:08digital disinformation fellow at the
  36. 1:09alliance for
  37. 1:10securing democracy which is a think tank
  38. 1:12in dc
  39. 1:13and i primarily look at state-backed
  40. 1:16information operations on social media
  41. 1:20wonderful well it's a pleasure to have
  42. 1:22both of you rejoin us for this
  43. 1:23conversation so
  44. 1:25just to jump right into it as we were
  45. 1:27going through the discussion forums and
  46. 1:29the teach out
  47. 1:30learners were commenting on how much uh
  48. 1:32brett's uh
  49. 1:33information laundering scenario matched
  50. 1:35up with different sections of ben's 4d
  51. 1:37model so what do both of you think about
  52. 1:40that
  53. 1:41uh does information laundering align
  54. 1:43with one of the four d's can you unpack
  55. 1:45us
  56. 1:45unpack that for us a little bit i would
  57. 1:48say i i look at them as being very
  58. 1:49different i'll let ben obviously cover
  59. 1:51the 4d since he created them
  60. 1:53but uh you know the information
  61. 1:55laundering is really about
  62. 1:56distribution where the four d's are more
  63. 1:59about the messaging
  64. 2:01itself so there's also another
  65. 2:03difference in that the four ds
  66. 2:05can happen kind of in the overt space or
  67. 2:07the covert space
  68. 2:08but i think you know many of the
  69. 2:09examples that that ben gave when he
  70. 2:11wrote that
  71. 2:12came from russian embassies around the
  72. 2:14world and from
  73. 2:15rt and sputnik when you look at
  74. 2:17information laundering that's usually
  75. 2:18something that's happening more in the
  76. 2:19covert space so that's effort
  77. 2:21to conceal a connection to a piece of
  78. 2:24information
  79. 2:25so for example uh when they hacked the
  80. 2:27podesta
  81. 2:28emails and wanted to leak those online
  82. 2:30they couldn't do that through rt and
  83. 2:31sputnik because they didn't want their
  84. 2:32fingerprints on it
  85. 2:33so they had to go through the process of
  86. 2:36getting that information
  87. 2:37into the information ecosystem and then
  88. 2:39moving it around so eventually
  89. 2:41it was picked up by you know major
  90. 2:43western
  91. 2:44media outlets obviously state back
  92. 2:46outlets have had a role in that and they
  93. 2:48continue to kind of
  94. 2:49give a little oxygen to it but uh you
  95. 2:51know i look at the two things
  96. 2:52as being quite different um although
  97. 2:55you know they obviously work in some
  98. 2:56ways in parallel but i guess the main
  99. 2:58difference is one is about distribution
  100. 3:00and one is about
  101. 3:01uh the messaging itself yeah i
  102. 3:04completely agree with that the
  103. 3:07the reason i developed the 4ds in the
  104. 3:08first place was as a predictive model
  105. 3:11but the question i was trying to answer
  106. 3:12is what are they going to say next um
  107. 3:14when i was
  108. 3:15developing the model that they in
  109. 3:16question was was the russian state
  110. 3:18because i developed it shortly after the
  111. 3:20annexation of crimea
  112. 3:22um one of the things which has come out
  113. 3:24with with studies since then is how many
  114. 3:26different actors
  115. 3:27use the same kind of model and use the
  116. 3:28same kind of pattern but the idea of the
  117. 3:31four d's is it's really answering the
  118. 3:32question
  119. 3:34what is the threat actor going to try
  120. 3:35and say um whereas with
  121. 3:37with um brett's study on on information
  122. 3:39laundering it's much more about
  123. 3:41how are they going to try and get it in
  124. 3:42front of people without people realizing
  125. 3:45that this is actually a model from from
  126. 3:47a hostile state
  127. 3:48and there are various ways that that can
  128. 3:50be done um and to be in money laundering
  129. 3:52itself is a a useful parallel to look at
  130. 3:55i also love the idea of smurfs we have
  131. 3:57trolls and we have bots but we don't yet
  132. 3:58have smurfs in the disinformation
  133. 4:00space so i think we need to develop the
  134. 4:01smurf model of this info
  135. 4:03because anything which makes it more
  136. 4:05light-hearted at this point is a good
  137. 4:06thing
  138. 4:07but with um with the way the message
  139. 4:10spreads you're looking at a
  140. 4:11at a a different problem set and it
  141. 4:13really is as brett said
  142. 4:15from the point of view of the state
  143. 4:16actor how do you get your messaging in
  144. 4:18front of somebody
  145. 4:19without them realizing that it's coming
  146. 4:21from you so that's much more about
  147. 4:23obfuscation it's about disguise it's
  148. 4:25about using
  149. 4:26various different degrees of cutouts
  150. 4:28sometimes it's really clumsy i mean
  151. 4:30there was a there was an iranian
  152. 4:31operation called iuvm
  153. 4:33the international union union for
  154. 4:34virtual media which would basically take
  155. 4:37official iranian government statements
  156. 4:40it would take pronouncements from the
  157. 4:41ayatollahs
  158. 4:42website it would take stories from the
  159. 4:44official iranian state media
  160. 4:46and then launder them through a series
  161. 4:48of websites but but the content was
  162. 4:49verbatim
  163. 4:50what you were getting was more iranian
  164. 4:51government messaging just with the
  165. 4:52iranian government label removed
  166. 4:55it's really crude what we've seen in
  167. 4:58particularly the um
  168. 4:59the more disruptive russian operations
  169. 5:01it's not so much about landing
  170. 5:03russian information in front of you as
  171. 5:06disruptive or divisive
  172. 5:08information more generally so there are
  173. 5:10there are degrees to which
  174. 5:11the the distribution is is covert
  175. 5:15but ultimately the 4ds are about what
  176. 5:17they're going to say
  177. 5:19information laundering is much more
  178. 5:20about how are they then going to try and
  179. 5:21land it in front of the audience
  180. 5:24yeah and thank you for both of those
  181. 5:26answers i think that
  182. 5:27uh you know that provides a lot of of
  183. 5:30context and a really strong foundation
  184. 5:32for folks to start making sense of this
  185. 5:34space
  186. 5:34and how information flows and how
  187. 5:37certain actors
  188. 5:38you know actively and intentionally
  189. 5:39create these campaigns
  190. 5:41one of the pieces that we saw come
  191. 5:43through in the discussion forums
  192. 5:45is learners relaying personal
  193. 5:46difficulties with helping
  194. 5:48friends family colleagues interpret
  195. 5:51misinformation
  196. 5:52disinformation and fake news so thinking
  197. 5:55of kind of the
  198. 5:56the individual and what their role is in
  199. 5:59this what advice or thoughts do you have
  200. 6:01on how
  201. 6:01those people can encourage their
  202. 6:03personal circles to be more information
  203. 6:05literate
  204. 6:07that's one of the really tricky problem
  205. 6:10sets because you're
  206. 6:11at that point you're not just dealing
  207. 6:12with information you're dealing with
  208. 6:13emotion
  209. 6:14you're dealing with individuals who
  210. 6:16might have a particular reason for
  211. 6:17wanting to believe something
  212. 6:19and something we see a lot with
  213. 6:20disinformation campaigns is they try and
  214. 6:22leverage people's emotions they try and
  215. 6:24make people angry or they try and make
  216. 6:25them afraid
  217. 6:26because when somebody's angry or afraid
  218. 6:28they're much less able to
  219. 6:30analyze something rationally and they're
  220. 6:31much easier to manipulate
  221. 6:33and so when you're dealing with somebody
  222. 6:35who's already if you like ingest a piece
  223. 6:37of disinformation it's
  224. 6:39believing it's true the first thing you
  225. 6:41really need to do if it's particularly
  226. 6:43if it's somebody close to you is
  227. 6:44actually listen
  228. 6:45and ask them well why do you think that
  229. 6:47why do you believe that
  230. 6:49did this come to you in an unknown email
  231. 6:52chain or was it a whatsapp group did you
  232. 6:54find it on
  233. 6:55on facebook how did this get to you why
  234. 6:57do you believe it why do you think it's
  235. 6:58true
  236. 6:59and as you drill in you might find that
  237. 7:00actually they want to believe that
  238. 7:03because it answers something else
  239. 7:04they're worried about
  240. 7:05and and added to that you have the the
  241. 7:08the human feature none of us likes to be
  242. 7:09told we're wrong
  243. 7:11none of us likes to be told that we've
  244. 7:12been fooled particularly if it's fooled
  245. 7:13by a foreign information operation
  246. 7:16and so if you just tell somebody hey
  247. 7:18you're an idiot you fell for that one
  248. 7:20you're probably not actually going to
  249. 7:21engage their sympathy so you need to
  250. 7:23find a way of
  251. 7:26getting them to understand what's
  252. 7:28happened without making them feel like
  253. 7:30they've been a fool as soon as you tell
  254. 7:32somebody you're an idiot
  255. 7:33or you you've just got it wrong you need
  256. 7:36to be able to
  257. 7:38soften the blow somehow again
  258. 7:39particularly if it's somebody who's
  259. 7:40close to you
  260. 7:41because otherwise what you'll do is they
  261. 7:43they will hunker down they will think
  262. 7:44actually no i'm going to prove that i'm
  263. 7:45right and they'll
  264. 7:46they'll become their own amplifier of
  265. 7:48the disinformation and so so much of
  266. 7:50what you have to do is actually start by
  267. 7:51listening
  268. 7:53rather than saying straight out that's a
  269. 7:54full story that came from the russian
  270. 7:55troll farm
  271. 7:57start by asking how did you get there
  272. 7:59where did you find that how did it come
  273. 8:01to you
  274. 8:02why do you think it's true when all this
  275. 8:05evidence over here says it's not
  276. 8:06why do you believe it what's happening
  277. 8:08and it's it's it's slow and it's
  278. 8:10painstaking we've not yet found a way to
  279. 8:12reproduce it at scale
  280. 8:14which is a big challenge but the
  281. 8:16question is how do you engage with the
  282. 8:18human being
  283. 8:20who is trying to in digest that piece of
  284. 8:22information
  285. 8:23not just engaging with the information
  286. 8:25itself
  287. 8:27yeah i mean you know what ben was
  288. 8:28outlining is the the backfire effect
  289. 8:31if you tell someone they're wrong
  290. 8:32particularly in a way that
  291. 8:34uh causes them to become defensive you
  292. 8:36you often will harden their beliefs so i
  293. 8:38think the advantage you have it is
  294. 8:39someone
  295. 8:40you know um particularly you know
  296. 8:42someone who presumably trusts you
  297. 8:45you can have that conversation you know
  298. 8:47offline or at least in a sort of private
  299. 8:49chat in a way that doesn't have to
  300. 8:51publicly embarrass them
  301. 8:52so if you're going to have that
  302. 8:54conversation a i'd recommend
  303. 8:55not doing it in sort of a public feed
  304. 8:57where this is going to play out in a
  305. 8:59sort of tit-for-tat kind of way
  306. 9:01you know ping them offline and say hey
  307. 9:03you know i saw you post this
  308. 9:05just you know fyi you know i came across
  309. 9:09this piece of information questioning
  310. 9:11that i mean you know it's all about the
  311. 9:12context and understanding who the person
  312. 9:14is and
  313. 9:15you know if it is someone who generally
  314. 9:17you don't think is prone to believing in
  315. 9:20sort of conspiracy theories but
  316. 9:21seems to be promoting one um and if by
  317. 9:24presenting the facts you think that
  318. 9:26would be effective
  319. 9:26and kind of changing their mind then
  320. 9:28that would be an approach but ben is
  321. 9:30right that like
  322. 9:31the first step is is always listening i
  323. 9:33mean that when we talk about public
  324. 9:34diplomacy you know that's always sort of
  325. 9:37the
  326. 9:37the top of the chart is listening and
  327. 9:39kind of understanding where people are
  328. 9:40coming from
  329. 9:41and then the other thing you you need to
  330. 9:42be cautious of is you know sort of
  331. 9:44another thing the
  332. 9:45streisand effect so if you are kind of
  333. 9:49calling more attention to something
  334. 9:51getting into a public fight and public
  335. 9:53debate
  336. 9:54uh you know on your kind of facebook
  337. 9:56feed more people from your community are
  338. 9:58going to start paying attention
  339. 10:00to this you know rumor or piece of
  340. 10:02misinformation or disinformation so i
  341. 10:04guess the number one kind of strategy i
  342. 10:05would
  343. 10:06take it offline or at least take it into
  344. 10:08a private chat where it doesn't play out
  345. 10:09in any kind of public forum because it's
  346. 10:11unhelpful in many different ways
  347. 10:15that's that's incredibly helpful i think
  348. 10:16that we can all listen a little bit more
  349. 10:19these days and i think take
  350. 10:20take a moment to step back and recognize
  351. 10:22our our own backgrounds our own
  352. 10:24personal biases that we bring into any
  353. 10:26of those situations so
  354. 10:27that's incredibly helpful um zooming out
  355. 10:30to a much
  356. 10:32higher level in this topic um you know
  357. 10:35there's there's been a great deal of
  358. 10:37discussion within the connecting
  359. 10:38conversations forum specifically
  360. 10:41about the spread of disinformation uh
  361. 10:43specifically about how
  362. 10:44it can take on a life that's of its own
  363. 10:47and how it moves across these different
  364. 10:49platforms that we see and how we even
  365. 10:51see
  366. 10:51it getting picked up in uh you know
  367. 10:54legislative
  368. 10:55uh events and like actually turning into
  369. 10:58law
  370. 10:58in some instances uh so you know how do
  371. 11:01you think we can avoid allowing these
  372. 11:03pieces of information to take on lives
  373. 11:05of their own
  374. 11:06as they disseminate throughout our
  375. 11:07communities well
  376. 11:09ben's work at grafica uh you know he'd
  377. 11:11probably be best positioned
  378. 11:13to answer this at the sort of network
  379. 11:14level but i would say that the strategy
  380. 11:16of people running disinformation
  381. 11:18campaigns is to get that piece of
  382. 11:19disinformation to take on a life of its
  383. 11:21own
  384. 11:22um so it's very much kind of built in
  385. 11:25to what they're trying to do is to get
  386. 11:27real people to pick it up and run with
  387. 11:29it because
  388. 11:30you know that's where people start
  389. 11:32really kind of believing in a conspiracy
  390. 11:34is when their friends and their
  391. 11:36neighbors start talking about it if a
  392. 11:37bunch of russian trolls and bots were
  393. 11:39just talking to each other
  394. 11:40and it closed kind of ecosystem it
  395. 11:42wouldn't matter so there
  396. 11:43there is an intentional effort to try to
  397. 11:45reach people particularly influencers
  398. 11:47some members of the media
  399. 11:49celebrities politicians because once you
  400. 11:52get one of those
  401. 11:53genuine domestic voices to kind of pick
  402. 11:56up and run with that narrative
  403. 11:57the work of the original kind of
  404. 11:59disinformation agent for lack of a
  405. 12:00better term is done
  406. 12:01because now the wildfire has started
  407. 12:04spreading
  408. 12:05and the information ecosystem will just
  409. 12:07do the work for them
  410. 12:09that's right and and really the first
  411. 12:11rule is don't be a spreader yourself
  412. 12:14there's never a good reason for publicly
  413. 12:16sharing a piece of disinformation even
  414. 12:18if you found it and you thought hey look
  415. 12:19this one is really wacky
  416. 12:21everybody have a look at this one
  417. 12:22because it's really funny don't share it
  418. 12:25because somebody somewhere is going to
  419. 12:26fall for it and and something we've seen
  420. 12:29with many different operations from many
  421. 12:31different actors is that they will try
  422. 12:32and land it in front of journalists or
  423. 12:34celebrities or politicians or amplifiers
  424. 12:37who will then do the work for them and
  425. 12:39you know we know that the russian troll
  426. 12:40farm in 2016 was particularly good at
  427. 12:42getting itself picked up by the
  428. 12:44mainstream press for example
  429. 12:46we know that in 2019 operation secondary
  430. 12:49infection tried really hard to land a
  431. 12:50bunch of
  432. 12:51us uk trade leagues in front of
  433. 12:54opposition politicians in the uk just
  434. 12:56before the election
  435. 12:57because that was where they were wanting
  436. 12:58to get the amplification done
  437. 13:00so the first rule is really don't be a
  438. 13:02spreader
  439. 13:03if you see a piece that you think is a
  440. 13:05fake don't just start shouting it from
  441. 13:07the rooftops
  442. 13:08think hard about how you might engage
  443. 13:10with this and then that comes back to
  444. 13:12the engagement point do you then
  445. 13:14contact the the source offline if you
  446. 13:16know who they are if it's something that
  447. 13:18you're seeing publicly it's more
  448. 13:20difficult
  449. 13:21you might want to think of if there's a
  450. 13:23if there's a debunk out there already
  451. 13:25attach that to the conversation you'd
  452. 13:27run the risk of the blowback effect from
  453. 13:29the backfire effect effect from the
  454. 13:31person whom you're debunking
  455. 13:33but if you're attaching that into the
  456. 13:35conversation itself
  457. 13:36at least you're getting it marked as
  458. 13:38here is something where there is another
  459. 13:39point of view
  460. 13:41but it's really about but you know the
  461. 13:42first step is watch out for
  462. 13:45being targeted yourself and it
  463. 13:46particularly applies to journalists
  464. 13:48celebrities politicians they are high
  465. 13:51value amplifiers
  466. 13:53that information operations we know
  467. 13:55directly target we've seen
  468. 13:57too many cases of this where an
  469. 13:58operation will at mention a politician
  470. 14:01on twitter or they'll
  471. 14:02email them or they'll try and reach out
  472. 14:03to a celebrity to try and get celebrity
  473. 14:05endorsement and there's a reason
  474. 14:06celebrity endorsement is a thing
  475. 14:09but if you think as a celebrity if
  476. 14:10you're endorsing what turns out to be a
  477. 14:11piece of
  478. 14:12disinformation you've spread it far
  479. 14:15further through the ecosystem
  480. 14:17so the first step is really don't be a
  481. 14:20spreader
  482. 14:20and then when you beyond that step again
  483. 14:24think about how you can engage with the
  484. 14:25people who are spreading it in a way
  485. 14:27which is not going to explode in your
  486. 14:28face try and find a way to insert
  487. 14:32a more accurate portrayal of events into
  488. 14:34the story
  489. 14:35that's really helpful so kind of a
  490. 14:37follow-up thinking about the evolution
  491. 14:39that we're that we're kind of
  492. 14:41experiencing right now so we're less
  493. 14:42than 50 days away
  494. 14:44from the u.s presidential election among
  495. 14:46other major elections here in the u.s
  496. 14:49how have we seen tactics change and how
  497. 14:52have we seen
  498. 14:53the role of say social media platforms
  499. 14:55for example change
  500. 14:57as we lead up to this this election
  501. 15:00what we've seen is particularly if you
  502. 15:02compare it with 2016
  503. 15:05there's been a fairly fundamental change
  504. 15:07in
  505. 15:08the environment that we're operating in
  506. 15:10i mean i think
  507. 15:12brett will will share my pained feelings
  508. 15:15of 2016 when there were a few of us out
  509. 15:17there who were raising the alarm of what
  510. 15:18was going on and
  511. 15:19and there just didn't seem to be
  512. 15:21awareness that this was a thing
  513. 15:23in 2020 we have much more awareness by
  514. 15:26the media by the research community by
  515. 15:27the platforms
  516. 15:29as to what's going on or what what the
  517. 15:31potential dangers are
  518. 15:33and you've got much more attempt by all
  519. 15:35the different parts of the community
  520. 15:37to catch this stuff early and and get it
  521. 15:39dealt with and there was a very good
  522. 15:41example a couple of weeks back where
  523. 15:43the fbi tipped off various platforms
  524. 15:45including facebook twitter and linkedin
  525. 15:47that they had found hostile state
  526. 15:50activity on the platform
  527. 15:52you then had all the different platforms
  528. 15:53reacted to it relatively quickly
  529. 15:56by early september you had the
  530. 15:57announcement of the takedowns it was
  531. 15:58attributed to
  532. 15:59people who used to be associated with
  533. 16:01the internet research agency in russia
  534. 16:03there was some very very strong
  535. 16:06reporting
  536. 16:08very thoughtful reporting by the
  537. 16:10mainstream media on here's how this
  538. 16:11operation worked
  539. 16:12and you you had a body of journalists
  540. 16:16who were actually willing to ask the
  541. 16:17questions like
  542. 16:18so how is this different from the last
  543. 16:19takedown what was the impact like
  544. 16:22it wasn't a sense of the reporting where
  545. 16:24people were saying oh my god it's the
  546. 16:25russians again it was
  547. 16:27okay interesting it's the russians again
  548. 16:30what's happening this time how is it
  549. 16:31different so you've got a much more
  550. 16:34experienced and if you like educated
  551. 16:38body of reporters there's much more
  552. 16:40research going into this um the
  553. 16:42platforms are certainly double down on
  554. 16:43trying to find this kind of thing law
  555. 16:44enforcement was double down on this kind
  556. 16:46of thing
  557. 16:46so so if you like the defensive game is
  558. 16:48much stronger than it was
  559. 16:50and what we've seen is that the
  560. 16:51operations they haven't given up they
  561. 16:52haven't gone away
  562. 16:54um but they're having to find the gaps
  563. 16:56that they can work through
  564. 16:57so just as an example back in 2016
  565. 17:01the most effective of the russian troll
  566. 17:02farm's twitter accounts tennessee gop
  567. 17:05was registered to a russian mobile phone
  568. 17:06number but it claimed to be the twitter
  569. 17:08account of the republican party in
  570. 17:10tennessee
  571. 17:11and somehow it survived well into 2017.
  572. 17:14you look back on it and just think
  573. 17:15how did that happen it happened back
  574. 17:18then i think it's fair to say that a
  575. 17:19signal like that
  576. 17:21this year would be a pretty bitter big
  577. 17:22red flag right away
  578. 17:24so what we've seen is that the
  579. 17:26operations are trying harder
  580. 17:29they're creating smaller groups of
  581. 17:30personas that they're trying to make a
  582. 17:32bit more believable
  583. 17:33they're creating the same persona on
  584. 17:34multiple platforms so in the latest
  585. 17:36takedown
  586. 17:38they were running fake personas which
  587. 17:41claimed to be journalists but they had
  588. 17:43their bios on a website they had their
  589. 17:44own facebook accounts they had their own
  590. 17:46twitter accounts they were on linkedin
  591. 17:48they were trying to create these more
  592. 17:49believable coherent personalities
  593. 17:52but the challenge for an information
  594. 17:54operation is twofold one if you're doing
  595. 17:55that you're putting a lot of investment
  596. 17:57into each asset
  597. 17:58which means you don't have the time to
  598. 17:59create so many assets
  599. 18:01and two is that if you send up one full
  600. 18:04signal actually when you get caught
  601. 18:05you've lost a lot of value if you spent
  602. 18:07months building up one persona
  603. 18:09and you lose it it's not just a question
  604. 18:11of creating one fake account and
  605. 18:13starting again
  606. 18:14you've got to start back at the
  607. 18:15beginning and start building that
  608. 18:16account again
  609. 18:17so what we've seen is
  610. 18:21the let's say the more sophisticated
  611. 18:23operations
  612. 18:25are putting in more and more obfuscation
  613. 18:26levels but what that means is that
  614. 18:29they're going to grow more slowly they
  615. 18:32have to work harder to get the same
  616. 18:33amount of impact
  617. 18:34and the critical thing is we're now less
  618. 18:36than two months out from the election
  619. 18:38if they've just been taken down they're
  620. 18:40going to really struggle to build
  621. 18:42up a significant operation in the next
  622. 18:44six weeks
  623. 18:45and get it back up to scale and really
  624. 18:47that that's one of the key things if you
  625. 18:49think about
  626. 18:50the difference between the ira and 2016
  627. 18:52and the latest ira takedown now
  628. 18:55the 2016 ira was taken down the
  629. 18:57september after the election
  630. 18:59the latest bunch were taken down the
  631. 19:00september before the election
  632. 19:02and that makes a really important
  633. 19:03difference as to what they can achieve
  634. 19:05around the election itself
  635. 19:07yeah i mean i would agree with ben that
  636. 19:09our defenses are certainly
  637. 19:10much much better now um but i think the
  638. 19:13difference that ben also kind of laid
  639. 19:15out is in 2016 and even through 2017 we
  640. 19:18were seeing this sort of carpet bombing
  641. 19:20approach
  642. 19:20where now we're looking at really these
  643. 19:22sort of surgical strikes
  644. 19:24and you know my fear is some of the
  645. 19:26surgical strikes can still be
  646. 19:27quite impactful particularly if you're
  647. 19:28talking about a hack and leak
  648. 19:30kind of operation i think it's almost
  649. 19:32impossible that we'll see
  650. 19:33a kind of recreation of the tennessee
  651. 19:36gop account just because it wouldn't be
  652. 19:38able to stay up
  653. 19:39long enough to gain that amount of
  654. 19:41followers and and you know when we also
  655. 19:43talk about the like
  656. 19:44massive amounts of accounts that were
  657. 19:46pretending to be black activists
  658. 19:48for example i think it'd be very
  659. 19:50difficult to carry that out now
  660. 19:52but for an account to come online uh and
  661. 19:55to at least start the
  662. 19:56fire of spreading um something around
  663. 19:58hacked or leaked information that that
  664. 20:00can certainly still happen
  665. 20:01and i get you know if i'm also being a
  666. 20:03bit pessimistic i think
  667. 20:05the place that we're in now where it's
  668. 20:07different from 2016 2016 we really were
  669. 20:09only concerned about the russians
  670. 20:11um you know a few other players maybe
  671. 20:14now
  672. 20:15um the sort of threat landscape has
  673. 20:17exploded
  674. 20:18so you know just yesterday i think there
  675. 20:20was news about
  676. 20:22some of the takedowns around a um you
  677. 20:24know trump-connected kind of youth
  678. 20:26organization that was doing some of the
  679. 20:27stuff that's quite similar to
  680. 20:29sort of russian troll farm kind of
  681. 20:31activity so we're seeing both on the
  682. 20:32left and right of the political spectrum
  683. 20:34but we're also seeing
  684. 20:35other nation states get involved we're
  685. 20:37now seeing these sort of disinformation
  686. 20:38as a service
  687. 20:39companies pop up everywhere both in the
  688. 20:42u.s but also overseas who will run these
  689. 20:44kind of operations for you if you have a
  690. 20:45little bit of money
  691. 20:47so our defenses have definitely gotten
  692. 20:49way way better
  693. 20:50um obviously the bad actors will sort of
  694. 20:52adapt what they're doing to try to work
  695. 20:54around that
  696. 20:55but i guess the thing that makes me uh
  697. 20:57concerned this time around
  698. 20:59is that just there's a lot more
  699. 21:01disinformation
  700. 21:02players out there in the space so it's
  701. 21:04just kind of harder to police the entire
  702. 21:06world
  703. 21:08and and on top of that the you know the
  704. 21:10danger that brett says about hack and
  705. 21:11leak
  706. 21:12that's the one that's hardest to deal
  707. 21:14with um particularly if the documents
  708. 21:16are genuine
  709. 21:17and they're out there somebody is going
  710. 21:19to argue that there's a public interest
  711. 21:21in having these documents known
  712. 21:23and and particularly in in
  713. 21:27a situation as polarized as the united
  714. 21:29states is right now
  715. 21:31if you have a hack and leak operation
  716. 21:32which makes one side that makes one
  717. 21:34party look bad
  718. 21:37the temptation for the other party to
  719. 21:38jump on it and say we don't care where
  720. 21:40it came from it's important it's going
  721. 21:42to be
  722. 21:42huge and so that's an open door for a
  723. 21:45hack and leak operation to jump into
  724. 21:47and and the problem is that that's not
  725. 21:49something that you can
  726. 21:51you know you can't drop it on guys like
  727. 21:52brett and me you can't drop it on the
  728. 21:53platforms and just say
  729. 21:54hey prove that this is fake and make it
  730. 21:56go away if they're real documents then
  731. 21:58sure we will do the research to say how
  732. 22:00did they get online in the first place
  733. 22:01who spread them what's the amplification
  734. 22:03pattern can we trace this back
  735. 22:05to a known operator but ultimately it
  736. 22:08goes
  737. 22:09far beyond that you need to ask the
  738. 22:10mainstream media how are you going to
  739. 22:12handle this
  740. 22:13are you just going to report what's in
  741. 22:15the leaks or actually are you actually
  742. 22:16going to try and report
  743. 22:17where did they come from was this hacked
  744. 22:20if it was hacked was it hacked by a
  745. 22:21hostile state
  746. 22:23there's a lot of broader conversation
  747. 22:26needs to go on which touches the
  748. 22:28media and it touches the campaigns as
  749. 22:29well so that's a much harder one to
  750. 22:32manage
  751. 22:33and in such a polarized environment
  752. 22:37i think the threat actors know that you
  753. 22:39have a constituency there which are
  754. 22:41really going to have an interest in
  755. 22:42spreading the story for you so coming
  756. 22:44back to the idea of
  757. 22:45of you know a story taking on a life of
  758. 22:48its own
  759. 22:49hack and leak is absolutely one of the
  760. 22:50big dangers in that front
  761. 22:53it also goes to a loophole in how the
  762. 22:55platforms are defending themselves
  763. 22:57against hack and leak operation so both
  764. 22:59twitter and facebook has
  765. 23:00have said if stolen uh material
  766. 23:03is posted to their platform they will
  767. 23:05take it down but that's
  768. 23:07very limited what that means essentially
  769. 23:09is if an account on twitter
  770. 23:11is the first place where a bunch of
  771. 23:13hacked emails show up
  772. 23:15they will take that down but if a media
  773. 23:18organization
  774. 23:19reports on hacked material that first
  775. 23:21appears elsewhere
  776. 23:23then it stays up and i understand that
  777. 23:25honestly from a facebook and twitter
  778. 23:26perspective i mean if there is
  779. 23:28hacked material public interest and the
  780. 23:30new york times covers it we can't expect
  781. 23:31facebook to start
  782. 23:33scrubbing the new york times reporting
  783. 23:35on it but of course i think bad actors
  784. 23:37has been
  785. 23:38alluded to kind of understand this and
  786. 23:39will leak it to the party
  787. 23:41that is going to benefit from that
  788. 23:42information and as soon as that party
  789. 23:45who party or parties who are genuine
  790. 23:48people or genuine news outlets
  791. 23:50report on it post about it then the the
  792. 23:53platform's hands are kind of tied
  793. 23:55in terms of what they can do about it so
  794. 23:57the hack and leak
  795. 23:58kind of operation is what i'm most
  796. 24:00concerned about because i just don't see
  797. 24:04i don't see a great defense for it right
  798. 24:06now because it's been
  799. 24:07mentioned again it pulls in a lot of
  800. 24:09different elements and how you know the
  801. 24:10media reports on it how it's covered
  802. 24:13more broadly so it's just not a simple
  803. 24:16thing
  804. 24:16to deal with thank you so much for that
  805. 24:19that inside both of you my last question
  806. 24:22here is relatively open-ended so
  807. 24:24uh you know as as everyone is you know
  808. 24:26continuing to go through this teach-out
  809. 24:29are there any other thoughts that you'd
  810. 24:30like to share given the moment that
  811. 24:32we're all collectively living through
  812. 24:35i was gonna let you take that first ben
  813. 24:38i have a chance to think about that
  814. 24:41uh yeah i mean so
  815. 24:45for me the biggest thing is ultimately
  816. 24:49whatever comes up keep calm and look at
  817. 24:52the evidence
  818. 24:53so much of disinformation so many
  819. 24:55information operations are designed to
  820. 24:57trigger people
  821. 24:57they're designed to make people afraid
  822. 24:59they're designed to make them angry
  823. 25:01they want you to click on that button
  824. 25:02quickly and share it and as soon as
  825. 25:04we're in that dynamic
  826. 25:05when people start panicking then there's
  827. 25:08so much dis info that can slip through
  828. 25:09the net
  829. 25:10and and fundamentally it's bad for you
  830. 25:12if you're on your phone all day just
  831. 25:14clicking on panic stories then at some
  832. 25:15point you're going to burn out
  833. 25:17so it's really important for all of us
  834. 25:20to
  835. 25:21take a step back and if a really
  836. 25:23sensational story comes in particularly
  837. 25:25if it's got a really frightening or
  838. 25:26really really dramatic headline
  839. 25:29the first question is who's trying to
  840. 25:31manipulate me with this headline
  841. 25:33why are they trying to manipulate me
  842. 25:34what are they trying to get me to do
  843. 25:36is this actually real if it's real then
  844. 25:39yeah it's dangerous and it's a problem
  845. 25:41but actually what's the proof and and
  846. 25:44getting people to to break the emotional
  847. 25:47connection with what they're reading
  848. 25:49is really hard and it goes well beyond
  849. 25:52just
  850. 25:53just the the digital disinformation
  851. 25:55space
  852. 25:56but particularly in a time which is as
  853. 25:59polarized as this
  854. 26:01where there are so many actors who have
  855. 26:02an interest in spreading
  856. 26:04really dangerous scare stories not
  857. 26:06letting yourself get sucked into that
  858. 26:08vortex is hugely important and so it's
  859. 26:12really important as a discipline
  860. 26:14sometimes just put the phone down and
  861. 26:15walk away from it or put the close the
  862. 26:17laptop and walk away you don't have to
  863. 26:19engage with the stories
  864. 26:21give yourself the space to think okay
  865. 26:23this sounds like a panic story
  866. 26:25so why is somebody trying to panic me
  867. 26:27are they trying to sell me something
  868. 26:28are they trying to get me into trouble
  869. 26:29are they trying to put me in danger are
  870. 26:31they just trying to fool me
  871. 26:33or maybe it's a real story but that
  872. 26:34means it being a real story is one of
  873. 26:36about
  874. 26:37five different options you have so
  875. 26:39before anything else
  876. 26:41keep calm step away from the panic
  877. 26:44stories step away from the stories that
  878. 26:45make you angry
  879. 26:47and think about the actual evidence
  880. 26:48involved what's the source for this
  881. 26:50story where is it coming from
  882. 26:52what's the evidence they're reducing is
  883. 26:54it a single screenshot of a facebook
  884. 26:55post without a link if so
  885. 26:57how do you know it wasn't photoshopped
  886. 26:59how do you know where it's coming from
  887. 27:01it's the piece of evidence somebody told
  888. 27:03me that somebody else told them that
  889. 27:04somebody else told them well that's not
  890. 27:06a reliable chain of custody
  891. 27:08so before anything else particularly as
  892. 27:10november comes around
  893. 27:12just keep calm and take the time to
  894. 27:14actually think things through before you
  895. 27:16read them and before you share them
  896. 27:19i would just add kind of have realistic
  897. 27:21expectations for what you can do
  898. 27:23in the broader fight against false news
  899. 27:25or disinformation i think
  900. 27:26you know it's been my job to look at
  901. 27:29this and to try to fight it and i
  902. 27:31consistently feel overwhelmed with the
  903. 27:33limitations of my own work because in
  904. 27:36the amount of time it takes me
  905. 27:38to try to get to attribution if you can
  906. 27:40do it which often you can't
  907. 27:41but to even just to understand where the
  908. 27:44story is coming from what the intention
  909. 27:46is to do all the work and debunking
  910. 27:47something
  911. 27:48there's 150 news stories that have
  912. 27:51popped up
  913. 27:51that are equally if not more problematic
  914. 27:54so you just sort of constantly feel like
  915. 27:56you're
  916. 27:56you know trying to plug it down with
  917. 27:58your finger but i think
  918. 28:00you know if you're talking about the
  919. 28:01individual what you can do is is just be
  920. 28:03responsible in your own
  921. 28:05space in your own community when i have
  922. 28:06these conversations with
  923. 28:08activists for example you know i try to
  924. 28:10preach to them
  925. 28:11like you are not going to be able to
  926. 28:13fight every piece of false information
  927. 28:15that comes out
  928. 28:16if we're talking in the election context
  929. 28:18for example that deals with the election
  930. 28:20what you can do is make sure
  931. 28:21your family your neighbors whatever
  932. 28:24community groups
  933. 28:24you're involved in that those people
  934. 28:26have accurate information
  935. 28:28and you just kind of own your own space
  936. 28:30to a degree
  937. 28:31and worry about kind of making a
  938. 28:33healthier information
  939. 28:35environment in your local community as
  940. 28:37opposed to the whole of the internet
  941. 28:38because you will feel like you're
  942. 28:39constantly losing
  943. 28:41if that's your goal to somehow uh you
  944. 28:44know
  945. 28:44clean up 4chan and 8chan it's just an
  946. 28:46impossible sort of task
  947. 28:48so i think kind of narrow the scope of
  948. 28:50what you can do be realistic about it
  949. 28:52but take ownership for your own space
  950. 28:54and then going back to a point ben made
  951. 28:56earlier like
  952. 28:57ultimately you are responsible for what
  953. 29:00you share and what you spread and if you
  954. 29:02share a piece of false information you
  955. 29:04become that source for your community
  956. 29:06so you know both work on making sure the
  957. 29:08people around you do better but
  958. 29:10all you know primarily make sure you're
  959. 29:12doing better
  960. 29:13and what you're sharing what you're
  961. 29:14spreading how you're engaging with
  962. 29:16information online
  963. 29:17um you know because if we all kind of
  964. 29:19practice better
  965. 29:20digital media literacy habits um you
  966. 29:23know these kind of campaigns would be
  967. 29:25less effective
  968. 29:28that's incredibly helpful advice and i
  969. 29:30think a wonderful note
  970. 29:31to end this connecting conversation on
  971. 29:33so ben and brett thank you so much for
  972. 29:36joining us thank you thanks very much
  973. 29:41and thank you to our learners for
  974. 29:42joining us in this connecting
  975. 29:44conversation we look forward to
  976. 29:45continuing the discussion with you
  977. 29:47in the disinformation misinformation and
  978. 29:49fake news teach out from the university
  979. 29:51of michigan

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