Complete Guide on Futures Contracts (Orderflow Full Course Beginner to Advanced EP.1) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00these are trading charts how you've
- 0:02always seen them these instead are
- 0:03trading charts how you've always dreamed
- 0:05you could see them it's basically like
- 0:07having xray vision and seeing the
- 0:09anatomy of Market movements and these
- 0:11are orderflow charts in this orderflow
- 0:14video course series I'm making on this
- 0:16channel I will take you step by step
- 0:18from knowing literally zero about
- 0:20orderflow to being able to read it and
- 0:21interpret it correctly and after back
- 0:23testing it properly boost your Edge and
- 0:25your profits and I will also give you a
- 0:27simple but effective trading strategy
- 0:30based on an orderflow manipulation
- 0:32pattern that you can start back testing
- 0:33right away and some other Logics that
- 0:35you can apply or Implement in your price
- 0:37setion strategy to optimize the daily
- 0:40bias The Zone refinement process and the
- 0:42entry trigger reading orderflow can give
- 0:44you an almost unfair advantage on all
- 0:47price action Traders showing you
- 0:48information that 90% of retails are not
- 0:51even aware of this stuff I'm about to
- 0:52show you is usually not used completely
- 0:55neglected actually by retail Traders but
- 0:57if you take a look at how day Traders or
- 0:59scalpers are mostly trading in the
- 1:01professional environment in the
- 1:02institutional side of the market they
- 1:04will most likely use these charts
- 1:06instead using price action is like
- 1:08trying to hit the target with a normal
- 1:09bow and arrow orderflow instead is like
- 1:11having a ballistic bow in both of these
- 1:13cases you have to be the one who shoots
- 1:16properly and the ballistic one can be
- 1:18kind of more expensive and maybe takes a
- 1:19little bit more time to learn the basics
- 1:21but once you've mastered the ballistic
- 1:22option you have a higher chance to hit
- 1:24the target be more precise and more
- 1:26accurate or it's the same as using a
- 1:28normal sniper rifle and a sniper rifle
- 1:30that also has a night vision heat
- 1:32scanner that shows you enemies in the
- 1:34dark in both of these cases you have to
- 1:36be a nice sniper but there are some
- 1:38things that you will only be able to see
- 1:40with night vision and let's say you're
- 1:41using price action Concepts like ICT or
- 1:44smart money Concepts using real
- 1:46orderflow is literally like putting
- 1:48those Concepts on steroids you probably
- 1:50heard of order blocks or fair value or
- 1:53liquidity grab or stop hunts these are
- 1:56all actually orderflow patterns and
- 1:58while yes with price action you can
- 2:00figure them out with a fairly good
- 2:02accuracy with real orderflow you can
- 2:04have 100% objectivity on them you don't
- 2:07have to guess that this is a stop run
- 2:09you can literally see stop orders being
- 2:11triggered and sweeping the book and you
- 2:13can see if there's a lot of small stop
- 2:15losses or it's one big stop order from a
- 2:18hedge fund or a bank you don't have to
- 2:19guess that the fair value Gap is from
- 2:21one Wick to the next one you can be
- 2:23actually way more accurate and draw it
- 2:25where there's an actual Gap in Fair
- 2:27Value you don't have to guess hey and
- 2:29probably this candle there is an order
- 2:31block which is a block of orders because
- 2:33with order flow you can actually see
- 2:35every single one of those blocks of
- 2:36orders in other words you can make these
- 2:38Concepts way more objective and very
- 2:41often have a more reliable confirmation
- 2:43for your entries so buckle up take paper
- 2:46and pencil and subscribe to the channel
- 2:48to be notified as soon as the next
- 2:50episode is coming out cuz this is a
- 2:52series of videos anyway I will link the
- 2:54whole playlist for this course down
- 2:55below now this course will work
- 2:56something like this in this first
- 2:58introduction lesson we will go deep deep
- 3:00into what orderflow is what are Futures
- 3:02contracts and the advantages of using
- 3:04these contracts in the next videos we
- 3:06will take a look at how real Market
- 3:08Mechanics Work in depth how the single
- 3:11orders are matched by the CME algorithms
- 3:14and how the auction of these order works
- 3:16then we will see how footprint or
- 3:18orderflow candles work how heat Maps
- 3:20work how to identify and use actual
- 3:23liquidity zones then we will learn how
- 3:25to interpret different orderflow
- 3:26patterns and different orderflow types
- 3:28of action and then we will learn how to
- 3:30give all of this a context and how to
- 3:32implement it in a price action strategy
- 3:35or in a purely volume-based strategy as
- 3:37well and last but not least we will
- 3:38learn about the best platforms the best
- 3:40brokers and the best prop firms so now
- 3:43let's start with the basics so when
- 3:44we're talking about order flow we're
- 3:46talking about a flow of orders and we're
- 3:48talking about buy and sell orders aka
- 3:51the supply and the demand so seeing
- 3:53order flow means seeing the supply and
- 3:55the demand interacting with each other
- 3:57these are also known as volumes so when
- 3:59we're talking about volume usually we
- 4:01refer to the total transaction between
- 4:03supply and demand usually with order
- 4:05flow we can be more specific about who
- 4:07is more aggressive but what you need to
- 4:09understand is that in order to see order
- 4:11flow you need access to the exchange so
- 4:13if you want to see all the volume all
- 4:14the transaction traded in the Nvidia
- 4:16stock in order to see the order flow of
- 4:18the market participant in Nvidia you
- 4:20need to go to the NASDAQ which is the
- 4:21exchange that Nvidia is traded in and
- 4:23access it through a data feed but with
- 4:26stuff like euro dollar or GBP JPY these
- 4:29are Forex payers these are currencies
- 4:31and they are not traded in the same
- 4:33place when we're talking about Forex
- 4:35currencies are mostly traded in the
- 4:37interbank spot market and unfortunately
- 4:40we don't have any data on this volume
- 4:42for orderflow you need a centralized
- 4:44exchange whether it is for stocks or for
- 4:47futures contracts and it's also
- 4:48important to clarify the difference
- 4:49between underlying asset and contract or
- 4:52derivative so the underlying assets
- 4:54usually are subdivided in asset classes
- 4:56so you have stocks or equities you have
- 4:58currencies you have bonds you have
- 5:00Commodities you got cryptos these are
- 5:02all asset classes in stocks you got
- 5:04individual stocks or index funds with
- 5:07currencies you have majors and minors
- 5:09with bonds you have treasury bonds and
- 5:10corporate Bonds in Commodities you have
- 5:12precious metals energy materials and so
- 5:15on and so forth these are asset classes
- 5:18so unless you want to day trade all of
- 5:20these things physically which is not
- 5:22necessarily the best way Brokers and
- 5:24Banks created derivatives so you got
- 5:26cfds you got Futures you got options and
- 5:29so on and so so forth so let's say we're
- 5:30taking a currency pair like euro dollar
- 5:33you can choose to use the cfd which
- 5:35usually is named exactly euro dollar or
- 5:37you can choose the Futures which is 6E
- 5:40that's a slightly different name with
- 5:41gbpusd you're going to have 6B if you
- 5:44click here on trading View and you press
- 5:46six you will see that all the currency
- 5:47Futures has a six at the beginning and
- 5:49then the first letter Euro British pound
- 5:52Japanese Yen Australian dollar Canadian
- 5:54dollar Swiss frank New Zealand dollar
- 5:56and that's pretty much it so you only
- 5:58have futures of some currencies but just
- 6:01paired with a dollar you don't have a
- 6:03lot of currency Pairs and even though as
- 6:04you can see these Futures are traded in
- 6:06the CME which is the Chicago mertile
- 6:08Exchange their volume is really low the
- 6:11Futures volume traded in currencies is
- 6:14really low in fact in the latest report
- 6:16of the bank of international settlements
- 6:17if you go to the PDF at page six you
- 6:19will see Foreign Exchange Market
- 6:21turnover by instrument and you will see
- 6:23the spot Market is around 30% the
- 6:25outright forwards are around 15% most of
- 6:28the volume is in Forex swaps currency
- 6:31swaps are just 2% options and other
- 6:33products which includes cfds constitutes
- 6:36a very small part of it so cfd Forex
- 6:39Traders are a very small percentage of
- 6:42that 5% and also usually cfd Traders are
- 6:45not even trading in this interbank
- 6:47market they're actually trading against
- 6:49their Brokers or against their prop
- 6:51firms so stating that in the euro dollar
- 6:53there's been a liquidity sweep of retail
- 6:56Traders stop- loss is complete
- 6:58and this is not an opinion this is based
- 7:00on data this is facts all right let's
- 7:02say gold the classic cfd is X Au USD the
- 7:06future is going to be GC for an index
- 7:08fund like an SNP 500 which always
- 7:11remember is an index so the underlying
- 7:13asset actually can't be traded other
- 7:16than with derivatives like with ETFs or
- 7:18futures or options or cfds so usually
- 7:21the cfd will be something like us 500
- 7:23and the Futures will be the micro
- 7:25contract of SP which is es and so on and
- 7:28so forth So when you say that you are a
- 7:30Forex Trader but you actually trade gold
- 7:32probably you mean that you are a cfd
- 7:34Trader I mean if you're using meta
- 7:36Trader 4 and cfd prop firms or a Forex
- 7:39broker you are trading cfds you're a cfd
- 7:41Trader not a currency Trader if you are
- 7:43a currency Trader you could also use
- 7:46Futures not necessarily cfds so let's
- 7:48start to put things in their place all
- 7:50right Forex is the asset class cfds is
- 7:54the derivative now there are some clear
- 7:56advantages in using Futures instead of
- 7:58cfds cuz Futures are traded in one place
- 8:01hence you have access to real volume
- 8:03they are regulated they're more
- 8:04transparent there is no spread markup
- 8:06from the broker the cons are that margin
- 8:09requirements are actually a little bit
- 8:10higher you need to pay for the data feed
- 8:12so to access the order flow of the
- 8:14exchange you have to pay a little
- 8:16monthly fee and also you need a platform
- 8:18that can take this data and show it to
- 8:20you in an understandable way and here
- 8:22you have Footprints and heat Maps I will
- 8:24show you exactly which platform I use
- 8:26later on this video cfds instead are
- 8:28traded in a decentralized Network so you
- 8:30don't have a single exchange where you
- 8:32can take the volume and the data hence
- 8:34they're not that transparent they're
- 8:35non-regulated they're banned in a lot of
- 8:37countries your broker is adding spread
- 8:40in most cases you also pay a swap for
- 8:42overnight positions so maybe for a swing
- 8:44Trader they're not always optimal and
- 8:46yes you can choose Islamic account in
- 8:48some cases in some Brokers but you
- 8:49probably end up paying more in
- 8:50commissions so Futures especially if
- 8:52you're a long-term Trader are much more
- 8:54convenient then it's also true that swap
- 8:56can be positive but in most cases if
- 8:58you're following a trend the the swap is
- 8:59not going to be on your favor Pros are
- 9:01access is easier prop firm has more
- 9:04competitive and more doable I would say
- 9:06challenge conditions but but these
- 9:08things are not necessarily good yes
- 9:10access is easier to the retail Traders
- 9:12but it also means that newbies and
- 9:14uninformed Traders can open an account
- 9:16so easily with 50 with one to 2,000
- 9:20leverage because I forgot to write
- 9:22leverage can be way higher so if you are
- 9:24a Ludo Maniac like most of you are you
- 9:26have easier access to self-destruction
- 9:29so not necessarily good same thing with
- 9:31leverage which sometimes is crazy a high
- 9:33and the fact that the platforms are
- 9:35basically free bro if something is free
- 9:37it's because you are the product because
- 9:39you're paying with your spread with your
- 9:41commission and with your losses or in
- 9:43case of social medias and porn with your
- 9:44attention and yes prop firms are more
- 9:46competitiv but as we saw exactly because
- 9:50rules can be too easy the financial
- 9:52models of prop fir is very risky so when
- 9:54you open a trade in Futures you are
- 9:56sending the order through the broker the
- 9:59broker ER also through the data feed is
- 10:01sending the order to The Exchange and
- 10:04the exchange through so-called matching
- 10:06algorithms finds you a counterparty in
- 10:09the market so the exchange finds you a
- 10:11counterparty confirms the order to the
- 10:13broker which gives you back the contract
- 10:15with cfds instead you're sending your
- 10:17order to your broker and most likely the
- 10:19broker will put your order in the
- 10:20so-called B book which means actually
- 10:22the broker is your counterparty and even
- 10:25if the broker says we are an STP broker
- 10:27we are an ecn broker
- 10:3099.9% of the time they are not they may
- 10:32be offering you ecn prices your order
- 10:35might go also straight through a process
- 10:38your order might actually be processed
- 10:40straight through but not straight
- 10:41through the liquidity providers straight
- 10:43to the b-book no dealing desk Brokers
- 10:45which are very few the only one I'm 100%
- 10:48sure is a no dealing desk broker is
- 10:50elmax and trust me you're not getting
- 10:52into these Brokers with $500 deposit
- 10:54most of ecn broker only provides you ecn
- 10:57prices but not an ecn execution the only
- 11:00way they will provide an ecn execution
- 11:02is if they put you in the aook cuz then
- 11:04in the ecn which is the electronic
- 11:06communication Network they will match
- 11:08your order with a liquidity provider
- 11:10which is usually a bank and by the way
- 11:12the same goes for prop firms but I think
- 11:14that with prop firms the percentage of
- 11:15people that are being actually a booked
- 11:17are even lower than normal Brokers so in
- 11:19the Futures Market the conflict of
- 11:21interest you have with the broker is
- 11:22only based on commissions which is okay
- 11:24so their interest is that you trade as
- 11:26frequently as with highest size as
- 11:29possible in cfds the conflict of
- 11:31interests is commissions spreads
- 11:33eventually swamps if there's a markup
- 11:34also there and counterparty gain because
- 11:36being your counterparty the broker is
- 11:38earning money when you lose same with
- 11:41prop firms so cfds are the big Casino
- 11:44they are dipped in conflict of interest
- 11:46but at the end of the day who gives a
- 11:48if you're profitable you're
- 11:49profitable both in Futures and in cfds
- 11:51so in Futures you have clear advantages
- 11:53like yes you don't pay a spread to the
- 11:55broker there's no swap you can have
- 11:57access to the order flow and it's a bit
- 11:59more more romantic if you want because
- 12:00you can access the market you could be
- 12:02actually trading against the bank or any
- 12:05other retail Trader against navinda Sara
- 12:07in his bedroom or against Umar ashra or
- 12:09any other retail Trader in the world so
- 12:11it can be more romantic in a way but
- 12:13it's not really a big deal at the end of
- 12:14the day you just need to be profitable
- 12:16but what are Futures as we discussed
- 12:18Futures are derivative contracts they
- 12:20were originally born in the field of
- 12:22Commodities in fact the cftc still holds
- 12:26the name of Commodities Futures Trading
- 12:29commission and they weren't necessarily
- 12:31created for a speculative purpose like
- 12:33cfds because cfds means contract for
- 12:37difference so it's been creating for
- 12:41gaining a profit speculating on the
- 12:44difference between entry price and exit
- 12:46price it's created for that Futures
- 12:49contracts instead were originally
- 12:50created for hedging purposes because
- 12:52let's say you're a company you're Ikea
- 12:54and you use a lot of wood and because of
- 12:56a problem in the supply chain of wood
- 12:58you expect the price of wood to get
- 12:59higher and higher in the next month or
- 13:01in the next year so instead of buying
- 13:03now a huge supply of wood that you
- 13:06wouldn't know where to put you can buy a
- 13:09Futures Contract today which basically
- 13:11entitles you at the end of the contract
- 13:13which can be three 6 months one year to
- 13:16buy that big pile of wood at this price
- 13:19so they were created for hedging
- 13:20purposes some of you may have heard
- 13:22about the coot report that's the reason
- 13:24why in the coot report which is the
- 13:26commitment of Traders report which is a
- 13:28cftc document that reports all the
- 13:30position of big players in each of the
- 13:32Commodities Market in each of the
- 13:34Futures Market there still is the
- 13:36commercial side of participants because
- 13:38they're using futures for hedging
- 13:41purposes for commercial purposes not for
- 13:43speculation so as I said you buy the
- 13:45Futures now because you think that in
- 13:47the future is going to go up so you want
- 13:48to cover yourself you want to head
- 13:50yourself from future price movements so
- 13:52you buy a future contract and at the
- 13:54deadline when the contract is expired
- 13:57you can take the under line commodity
- 13:59but what I want to be clear here is that
- 14:02there is an expiry so every Futures
- 14:04Contract even the one for S&P 500 for
- 14:07the Euro futures for the gold Futures
- 14:10they have an expiry date usually of 3
- 14:12months in fact if I write es and I open
- 14:15the menu you'll find that I have March
- 14:172025 contract June 2025 September 25
- 14:21December 25 and so on and so forth for
- 14:23the next 5 years and each and every one
- 14:24of those month has a different ticker or
- 14:27name if you will June is this M over
- 14:30here so es M which stands for June 2024
- 14:35U is for September Zed is for December H
- 14:38is for March and so on and so forth
- 14:40let's open the Euro Futures also here
- 14:42you have J which is April K which is May
- 14:45m which is June n which is July and so
- 14:48on and so forth so every one of these
- 14:49contracts has a different expiry date so
- 14:52when you buy a Futures and then you want
- 14:53to keep it also for the next contract
- 14:56for the next expiry you roll the
- 14:58contract what is also known as rollover
- 15:01which basically mean you get rid of this
- 15:02contract and you move on to the next one
- 15:04cuz this one is about to expire so every
- 15:063 months the futures of the S&P 500
- 15:09expires just like with options every
- 15:11single month on Friday options stop
- 15:14trading and they expire on Saturday this
- 15:16is for monthly options the same things
- 15:18happen with Futures so when there is a
- 15:20quarterly expiration of options which
- 15:23usually happens at the end of every 3
- 15:24months this thing is called also Opex
- 15:27option expiration if it happens at the
- 15:29same time that Futures also expires you
- 15:31can see some weird market movement and
- 15:33volatility now if I zoom in in the
- 15:35contract you will notice price is moving
- 15:38only
- 15:390.25 points at the time 50 75 81 8125
- 15:4450. 75 0 and so on and so forth so you
- 15:48have to imagine the price ladder of
- 15:51Futures is not divided in Pips but in
- 15:53ticks so the minimum price difference is
- 15:56one tick which for the ES is 0.25 points
- 16:01okay so to go from 80 to
- 16:0481. 1 Point equals four ticks and how do
- 16:08you calculate risk in Futures every tick
- 16:10usually has a value which is called tick
- 16:12value for S&P 500 is $12.5 per tick for
- 16:17the micro es contract which is the mees
- 16:20The Tick value is
- 16:22$11.25 per tick so if you're starting
- 16:24with the small Capital usually you're
- 16:26going to want to opt for the micro S&P
- 16:28500 or or micro contracts in general
- 16:30they are a little bit more expensive
- 16:32commission wise but they allow you to
- 16:34enter with a smaller size and control
- 16:35risk better another important thing
- 16:37about Futures Contract is that you can't
- 16:39open multiple positions in the same
- 16:41contract let's say price is here you
- 16:43have no open trade your position is flat
- 16:46or zero if you buy one contract your
- 16:49position is plus one so this is exactly
- 16:51the level you're in let's say now price
- 16:53is rising up and you want to increment
- 16:55your position so what you're going to do
- 16:57you're going to buy one more contract
- 16:59here so plus one but in Futures you're
- 17:01not going to have two different one
- 17:03contract positions both of these will be
- 17:06mediated will be averaged into one
- 17:09single position of plus two so these two
- 17:11will go and you'll be left with a single
- 17:13operation exactly in the middle of plus
- 17:16two so your long two contracts at the
- 17:18average of the two prices this is how it
- 17:21works then let's say you want to head
- 17:23yourself against a possible downturn of
- 17:25the price so you choose to sell over
- 17:28here to take this sell movement so what
- 17:30you going to do let's say you're going
- 17:31to sell one contract so your position
- 17:33will be minus one right here but as you
- 17:36press the sell button you're not going
- 17:37to have a sell a new sell position here
- 17:39this minus one will be taken away from
- 17:41the plus two and you're just going to be
- 17:43long one contract so there is no hedging
- 17:46in Futures in the same contract the only
- 17:49way to do this and make it actually work
- 17:51like you imagine it in your mind is if
- 17:53say you open long on the es and then you
- 17:56short the micro contract so in the sing
- 17:59contract you can't hedge and you cannot
- 18:01have multiple different positions in
- 18:02different contracts yes you can also
- 18:04there is a slight difference how stop
- 18:06losses work how take profits Works
- 18:08usually if you buy one lot of euro
- 18:10dollar you just place your stop- loss
- 18:12right below here as your stop- loss and
- 18:14maybe your take profit above here but as
- 18:16I said we're just working on numbers of
- 18:18contracts so since you're long one this
- 18:21will equal minus one and this also would
- 18:23equal minus one so if you think about it
- 18:25if you're buy here and selling here and
- 18:28this is the price if you put a sell
- 18:30because this is minus one above the
- 18:32price it's called a sell limit because
- 18:34it's a sell order that will be triggered
- 18:36once the price reaches this level and
- 18:38hopefully then comes back the one here
- 18:40is instead will be a breakout order so
- 18:42it will be a sell stop so in Futures
- 18:45there's actually no stop loss or take
- 18:47profit these are cfd names in Futures
- 18:50you will just put a sell limit and a
- 18:52sell stop as a stop- loss vice versa of
- 18:54course if this is your sell entry and
- 18:56this is your Target and this is your
- 18:58stop loss and minus one contracts they
- 19:00will be simply in a plus one order and
- 19:03let's say price is here this will be a
- 19:05buy limit and this will be a breakout
- 19:07order so a buy stop as an example this
- 19:10is the order flow platform I'm using to
- 19:12trade Futures and as you can see you can
- 19:14buy market sell Market betas we will see
- 19:16in the next part so say I'm opening a
- 19:18market contract right now so let's make
- 19:20an example on a simulated account to
- 19:23make you understand exactly what I mean
- 19:24now these candles are a little bit
- 19:26different than the one you're used to I
- 19:27know we will discuss the in the next
- 19:29video but let's say we want to sell
- 19:30we're going to set the quantity for
- 19:32example five contract we're going to
- 19:34sell the contract as you can see I have
- 19:36five contracts open right here in order
- 19:38to place myself a stop- loss I will have
- 19:40to put a buy stop let's say Above This
- 19:43High let's see if it's going to be taken
- 19:45okay seems like price is going lower so
- 19:47let's put ourself a take profit how
- 19:48we're going to do it with a buy limit of
- 19:51five contracts right here perfect our
- 19:53take profit has been taken but as you
- 19:55see + 5 equals 0 my position is flat but
- 19:58this this order is still a stop order
- 20:00that I placed myself to cover myself but
- 20:02now I have to remember to remove it
- 20:03which is kind of annoying that's why we
- 20:05use Oco strategies which means one
- 20:08cancels other where I can say okay five
- 20:10dicks below or above you put my stop so
- 20:13we're adding the first bracket and then
- 20:15another Target say 10 ticks below so
- 20:18we're adding this bracket we give a name
- 20:20test we save it and now it's here so now
- 20:22if I sell Market I will put the stop
- 20:25above here the target below here will
- 20:27let the price go to whichever of those
- 20:29perfect as you see it hit the stop loss
- 20:31and the takeprofit didn't stay there it
- 20:33was canceled because one cancels other
- 20:36so as you can see it can be a little bit
- 20:37more complicated to get used to these
- 20:39kind of things at first as with
- 20:40everything it just takes a little bit of
- 20:42time to learn then you set up yourself
- 20:43an ooco strategy and it's done so this
- 20:45was an overview of future contracts how
- 20:48they work what they are in the next
- 20:50video we're going to get deep into what
- 20:52order flow actually is how is it
- 20:54structured in extreme detail and we will
- 20:56fully understand Market mechanics
- 20:59how the market actually works not some
- 21:01weird interbank algorithm no how Market
- 21:04actually work okay so I hope you really
- 21:06understood the power of orderflow and
- 21:08how Futures Contract work if you have
- 21:10any question feel free to comment leave
- 21:11a like if you enjoyed this video And
- 21:13subscribe to the channel so I'll see you
- 21:14in the next video you're welcome by the
- 21:16way ciao
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