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[風流Club_天地創造] 제3강 주식의 원리를 정립하고싶다면 지금이라도 시작하라 — Transcript

by 풍류Club · 6,772 words · 987 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:07Hello, nice to meet you. Making the
  2. 0:09world righteous and warm, this is the 7
  3. 0:11th-anniversary special of Edaily TV, "
  4. 0:13Stock World Creation," with me,
  5. 0:15Seong-ryeol So. This is our third
  6. 0:17session today. I've moved to the main
  7. 0:21studio today. For the first two
  8. 0:24lectures, I was standing. Today, I've
  9. 0:26opened up the HTS, or the charts, for
  10. 0:29you all. I moved spots because I'm
  11. 0:32planning to reveal a secret tip. Now,
  12. 0:35for today’s third lecture. Actually,
  13. 0:38there isn’t one. It’s been an
  14. 0:40interval. Let’s jump right to the
  15. 0:42screen. I will give you an explanation.
  16. 0:45Moving to the screen now. In the
  17. 0:49investment opinions of brokerage firms,
  18. 0:52you only see "buy" and never "sell."
  19. 0:56That’s how it is. There are no "sell"
  20. 0:58ratings in brokerage firm investment
  21. 0:59reports. Only "buy" recommendations
  22. 1:02exist. I briefly mentioned this in my
  23. 1:05first lecture. This isn’t just
  24. 1:08something I said. It finally happened
  25. 1:10recently. During the national audit,
  26. 1:12Assemblyman Kim Sang-min of the Saenuri
  27. 1:14Party brought it up on the 15th. At the
  28. 1:16National Assembly's National Policy
  29. 1:17Committee audit of the Financial
  30. 1:18Services Commission on the 15th. He
  31. 1:22pointed out that among the 20,027
  32. 1:24corporate research reports issued by
  33. 1:27the five major brokerage firms—Daewoo
  34. 1:30, Woori, Samsung, Korea Investment, and
  35. 1:33Hyundai—over the last three years,
  36. 1:36there wasn’t a single "sell" rating.
  37. 1:41When I saw this, I was truly surprised.
  38. 1:44Usually, these kinds of issues are
  39. 1:46pointed out by the opposition party.
  40. 1:49I’m actually a fan of Assemblyman Kim
  41. 1:50Sang-min from the opposition party. Yes
  42. 1:52. But he went on to say something else.
  43. 1:55During the same period, yes. During
  44. 1:57that same period, foreign brokerage
  45. 1:59firms issued 2,122 reports. Out of
  46. 2:04those reports, 186 were "sell" ratings
  47. 2:07—what’s the percentage? It’s 8.8%
  48. 2:10. It’s 8%. Oh, really? In the reports
  49. 2:14issued by foreign brokerage firms,
  50. 2:17there are clearly "sell" ratings. So,
  51. 2:20for those of you who listened well
  52. 2:21during the first lecture, you probably
  53. 2:23understand what this means, right?
  54. 2:26Personally, Assemblyman Kim Sang-min is
  55. 2:29actually a bachelor. For those of you
  56. 2:32who don’t know much about him, seeing
  57. 2:34this made me feel really moved. If we
  58. 2:38had more lawmakers like him—there are
  59. 2:40300 members in the National Assembly—
  60. 2:43if even just over half were like him, I
  61. 2:46think our country would become a much
  62. 2:48healthier and cleaner place. I heard
  63. 2:51he’s getting married early next year.
  64. 2:54He’s marrying former KBS announcer
  65. 2:57Kim Kyung-ran. If you send me an
  66. 2:59invitation, I will definitely be there.
  67. 3:02Now, another interesting thing. He
  68. 3:04disclosed his assets, and it’s
  69. 3:06negative 6 million won. Does that mean
  70. 3:07he had no assets? Well, that’s not
  71. 3:09quite it. He had wealth, but he donated
  72. 3:10it to social charities and the like. He
  73. 3:12is truly an impressive member of our
  74. 3:14National Assembly. Wow, such people,
  75. 3:16though. When Saenuri Party member Kim
  76. 3:18Sang-min dared to point this out while
  77. 3:21having Financial Services Commission
  78. 3:23Chairman Shin Je-yoon seated before him
  79. 3:25. I thought, "Wow, this is how the
  80. 3:28world finally sets things right." But
  81. 3:30the surprising part is this. Now, I
  82. 3:31will put the screen up for you.
  83. 3:33Chairman Shin Je-yoon of the FSC said,
  84. 3:36"Oh, I see." That is what he said. He
  85. 3:38added that this wasn't just a thorn
  86. 3:40under the nail, but a much bigger thorn
  87. 3:42. He said he would implement measures
  88. 3:45for the sake of investor protection.
  89. 3:47That is what he said. But here, I have
  90. 3:50one question. And that is this. Who
  91. 3:53exactly does he mean by "investor
  92. 3:55protection"? Is it institutional
  93. 3:57investors? Or is it foreigners? The
  94. 3:59state? Other corporate entities? As far
  95. 4:01as I know, he seemed to be talking
  96. 4:02about implementing measures to protect
  97. 4:04individual investors. Isn't that what
  98. 4:06he meant? Right? Now, what did I say
  99. 4:07securities firms have? Right. They have
  100. 4:09research centers. Now, who do we call
  101. 4:11them? Analysts. And fund managers use
  102. 4:13those reports to—that's right. They
  103. 4:16buy and sell based on the stocks. I
  104. 4:18told you they move their own company
  105. 4:20funds and the entrusted funds you have
  106. 4:22deposited with them. However. The
  107. 4:25parliamentary audit has concluded.
  108. 4:27Since it was the 15th of last month.
  109. 4:29Even now, there is no news anywhere
  110. 4:31about what measures the commission has
  111. 4:34prepared. My dear Edaily family members
  112. 4:38. So. I tried calling them myself. To
  113. 4:42the financial authorities. And do you
  114. 4:43know what they said? They know the
  115. 4:45cause of the problem. Yes. They know
  116. 4:48the cause, but they said there is no
  117. 4:50clear countermeasure because it is a
  118. 4:52matter to be resolved by market
  119. 4:54autonomy. Ah, that is what they said.
  120. 4:57Right. I didn't actually call them
  121. 4:58myself. It was originally in an article
  122. 5:01. I am explaining it to you after
  123. 5:03reading the newspaper article. I am
  124. 5:05telling you this for those who haven't
  125. 5:07seen the article. They expressed
  126. 5:10difficulty, saying that the authorities
  127. 5:12cannot force the mandatory ratio of "
  128. 5:15sell" reports. As I mentioned in the
  129. 5:18first session, there is Samsung
  130. 5:20Electronics and the Hyundai Motor Group
  131. 5:22, and these two companies also operate
  132. 5:24securities firms, investment trusts,
  133. 5:26and insurance companies. So, I referred
  134. 5:29to these as institutional investors in
  135. 5:32the first session. My dear Edaily
  136. 5:34family members, individual investors, I
  137. 5:37too. Occasionally, I tell you things
  138. 5:39like this. I sometimes talk on air
  139. 5:43about small-cap, large-cap, and
  140. 5:45bottom-chart trading, regardless of the
  141. 5:48index. However. I noticed that I'm not
  142. 5:53the only one talking about this; if you
  143. 5:55look at newspapers or financial TV
  144. 5:56programs. It turns out I'm not the only
  145. 5:59one saying these things on stock market
  146. 6:01shows. So for today. This is a really
  147. 6:04fantastic broadcast for you all. This
  148. 6:07one hour today. If you stay tuned and
  149. 6:09watch this broadcast closely, you'll be
  150. 6:11able to realize, "Ah, that's what that
  151. 6:13means." Now, there is the word "life."
  152. 6:18You all know the word "life." Let me
  153. 6:21turn the screen now. The word "life"
  154. 6:24contains "if." So, I will mention this
  155. 6:29briefly again today, but with four
  156. 6:32candles, depending on what sits in the
  157. 6:35middle, there is an amazing technique
  158. 6:39called the "Life Technique" that helps
  159. 6:42you identify whether it's a bottom or a
  160. 6:46peak. So, life is, well, life. 3. "My
  161. 6:51life," that's it. But it has "if" in
  162. 6:54the middle. This means "what if." So,
  163. 6:58for your stock market life, the reason
  164. 7:00"if" is included is because, in our
  165. 7:03lives—in our stock trading lives—
  166. 7:05there is always potential. I want to
  167. 7:09tell you this. What I want to tell you
  168. 7:12all is this. It's something like this.
  169. 7:14There is no royal road to stock
  170. 7:18investment. There is a saying like that
  171. 7:20in stock market wisdom. There is no
  172. 7:21royal road to stock investment. What is
  173. 7:23a royal road? It's the path the king
  174. 7:25takes. The path the king takes is
  175. 7:27usually a smooth one. If the king is
  176. 7:29traveling, you wouldn't want there to
  177. 7:30be potholes or gravel on the road,
  178. 7:32right? Right? So, originally, well,
  179. 7:34these days, the royal road isn't
  180. 7:36exactly a smooth path. President Park
  181. 7:39Geun-hye's path is quite rough right
  182. 7:41now. Ah, and before that, President Roh
  183. 7:44Moo-hyun also mentioned that on a
  184. 7:45broadcast once. Right? Ah, the
  185. 7:47president's job is just shaky like that
  186. 7:49. But what I am saying is this. I mean
  187. 7:52that there is no smooth, easy path. The
  188. 7:55path of stock investment. There is no
  189. 7:57royal road. It is unknowable. And you
  190. 8:00must always spend your own time
  191. 8:02learning the theories. You also have to
  192. 8:05gain experience. Only by getting used
  193. 8:08to various scenarios can you never lose
  194. 8:11in the stock market. That way, you
  195. 8:15won't fall into reckless investments.
  196. 8:18It means you won't be swayed by others
  197. 8:20and suffer losses. We are in the age of
  198. 8:23information. Through various media like
  199. 8:26mobile texts or KakaoTalk, the
  200. 8:29information and stock tips pouring into
  201. 8:32your ears are like a flood. Whenever
  202. 8:35that happens, I will help you clearly
  203. 8:39determine whether this is a stock you
  204. 8:42should buy or one you should skip. So,
  205. 8:45the lecture for today is this. The
  206. 8:48title is, well, the 777 Chart. The
  207. 8:52chart we will work with today is this.
  208. 8:54I will be broadcasting on the topic of
  209. 8:57the 777 Chart. Let's take a quick look
  210. 8:59at the screen. Looking at this screen
  211. 9:01here. There are three colors for you to
  212. 9:03see. The first one is this. It is black
  213. 9:06. Black represents strong support.
  214. 9:10Black represents strong support, and
  215. 9:12then. The red line in the middle is
  216. 9:15what. We call a golden cross, right? I
  217. 9:18designate that as the gold line. Then.
  218. 9:22The blue line is naturally the dead
  219. 9:24line. You've been using 5, 10, 20, 60-
  220. 9:29day moving averages, setting the 5-day
  221. 9:32in red, the 20-day in blue or black, or
  222. 9:36whatever color you prefer to trade with
  223. 9:39, but you often set the 5-day to black
  224. 9:43and the 20-day to red, or vice versa.
  225. 9:47We will carefully examine that part
  226. 9:49today as well. So, what is the lecture
  227. 9:51content I will share with you today?
  228. 9:54Today is part 3; yes, if you want to
  229. 9:57systematically and sophisticatedly
  230. 10:00establish the principles of the stock
  231. 10:03market, please spend this hour with me.
  232. 10:08Shall we move to the next screen? This
  233. 10:10is the most important part. Now, don't
  234. 10:12be surprised, everyone. Was it three
  235. 10:14years ago? Or two years ago? I don't
  236. 10:18remember exactly, but I once gave a
  237. 10:21lecture to you all regarding the
  238. 10:24closing index figures 3714 and 2856. To
  239. 10:29our viewers and individual investors
  240. 10:31who have supported, loved, and
  241. 10:33cherished me, today I am finally
  242. 10:36revealing the details about this. I
  243. 10:39have been watching, too. I've been
  244. 10:42waiting to see when this era would come
  245. 10:44, when the stock market conditions
  246. 10:45would finally arrive in our country,
  247. 10:47and it turns out it will happen early
  248. 10:48next year, everyone. Now, if you add
  249. 10:52374 and 286 together. It becomes 108.
  250. 10:56Right? When you add them all up, you
  251. 10:58get the number 108, and I've labeled it
  252. 11:01with a percent sign below. If you look
  253. 11:04at the percentage, the content I've
  254. 11:06given you so far is. It's a percentage.
  255. 11:09Now. 108—this time, think of a
  256. 11:14baseball player. When a pitcher throws
  257. 11:17a ball, they grip the seams to throw it
  258. 11:19. Do you know how many seams there are?
  259. 11:21There are 108. And also. Do you like
  260. 11:23golf? I don't have the time for golf. I
  261. 11:26never learned it in the first place, so
  262. 11:29I can't play golf. Oh, and one more
  263. 11:30thing. There is something called a golf
  264. 11:33hole cup. Do you know that the hole cup
  265. 11:36is 108mm? It is 108mm. As for me. I
  266. 11:39prepared this today, but I don't play
  267. 11:42golf. I don't point fingers like this.
  268. 11:44Right? Why are you poking? You
  269. 11:46shouldn't be poking. Right? Now, let's
  270. 11:48see. Go back to the screen. We are
  271. 11:50going to learn this today and move on.
  272. 11:53Listen carefully. Citizens of South
  273. 11:55Korea watching this broadcast. From the
  274. 11:58beginning of next year. Starting early
  275. 12:01next year, the current price limit
  276. 12:04range. Will be adjusted upward from 15%
  277. 12:09to 30%. But what is surprising is. We
  278. 12:13have less than two months left in 2015
  279. 12:16for this part. Yet, I haven't seen any
  280. 12:21broadcast or newspaper talk about this
  281. 12:25seriously. I was surprised. In the past
  282. 12:29. It was 6%. This price limit, which
  283. 12:32was 6%in the past. Was gradually
  284. 12:36increased to the current 15%level. But
  285. 12:41now, this range is becoming 30%. For
  286. 12:45now, they say it will only apply to
  287. 12:48KOSPI early next year. The stock market
  288. 12:50, right? And for the KOSDAQ market,
  289. 12:52depending on the situation. They say
  290. 12:54they will decide whether to apply it
  291. 12:57later. Should we be happy about this,
  292. 12:59everyone? Or is it something to be
  293. 13:02worried about? For me. To be honest,
  294. 13:06the percentage is 30%. If the stock
  295. 13:10price starts and drops to the lower
  296. 13:11limit. And then goes to the upper limit
  297. 13:13. The maximum swing can be up to 60%.
  298. 13:18Now, as for me. Watching this
  299. 13:20administration closely. I'm surprised.
  300. 13:23In my opinion. This is my personal
  301. 13:24thought. Don't be surprised. The Park
  302. 13:26Geun-hye administration. Truly has an
  303. 13:28amazing policy. Sometimes when you read
  304. 13:32newspapers or media outlets. There are
  305. 13:36many critical views about the current
  306. 13:37administration. At first, it was about
  307. 13:39economic democratization and what
  308. 13:41creative economy is. Aren't they doing
  309. 13:42a creative stock thing? But they say
  310. 13:44those things. Economic revitalization,
  311. 13:48this is economic revitalization,
  312. 13:50everyone. Everyone, listen to me
  313. 13:53carefully. The truly amazing thing is.
  314. 13:57It is being discussed as part of
  315. 13:59measures to revitalize investment, but
  316. 14:02above all, safety nets or control
  317. 14:04devices need to be reinforced. Because
  318. 14:07if a disaster like America's Black
  319. 14:09Monday happens. It will have an
  320. 14:12irreparable and massive destructive
  321. 14:15power for our country's economy. If
  322. 14:18this happens. How many points will the
  323. 14:20stock price go to? My beloved Daily
  324. 14:22family, think about it. Do you know?
  325. 14:24There are investment caution stocks.
  326. 14:26And there are investment warning stocks
  327. 14:28. Nevertheless, if the stock price
  328. 14:30surges, trading is suspended for a day.
  329. 14:33But look closely at this. The stock
  330. 14:35price, I mean. Now, the 3714 2856
  331. 14:38figures, let me explain while looking
  332. 14:40at the screen. This is the most
  333. 14:43important part. Shall I explain while
  334. 14:45looking at this screen? It's 3%, 7%,
  335. 14:47and 14%. What is 14%? That's the upper
  336. 14:51limit. Wait, the upper limit is 15%,
  337. 14:53isn't it? No. The upper limit ends at
  338. 14:5714.56%, you see. If you cut 15%in half,
  339. 15:01what percentage is it? Right? It's 7.5%
  340. 15:05. Because 7.25 plus 0.5 is 15%. Shall I
  341. 15:09give you a problem? If you divide 7.5%
  342. 15:11in half, what percentage is it? One,
  343. 15:14two, three. Exactly. You don't know, do
  344. 15:17you? It's 3.75%. The secret lies right
  345. 15:22here. There is a secret here, so take a
  346. 15:25good look. 28%is 30%minus 2%. And also.
  347. 15:32It’s the amplitude. If it goes from
  348. 15:34the lower limit to the upper limit,
  349. 15:36it's 60%. Subtracting 4%. This is a
  350. 15:40matter you need to join me in
  351. 15:42considering very seriously. So, I dare
  352. 15:47to say this to you here today. If this
  353. 15:50is implemented next year. Where will
  354. 15:54the stock index go? 3,000 points? Well.
  355. 15:58Will it reach 4,000 points? I’m
  356. 16:00talking about the multiples here. Even
  357. 16:02if you just close your eyes and think
  358. 16:04like an elementary schooler. This is
  359. 16:07going to go up. Why? Because the market
  360. 16:09cap goes up. Right? Whether it's an
  361. 16:12investment caution or a warning. It
  362. 16:14increases by the multiple. Now, we call
  363. 16:16it BPS. We call this liquidation value.
  364. 16:18So, what is liquidation value? I run a
  365. 16:20chicken restaurant. I run it, then I
  366. 16:22quit. Why? Because I got a job. Then I
  367. 16:25settle everything. Pay the overdue rent
  368. 16:28, pay the delivery part-timer, and then
  369. 16:30the ingredients, the chicken, the chili
  370. 16:32paste, and the seasonings. After paying
  371. 16:35all that, I have some money left over.
  372. 16:39And the stock market is essentially.
  373. 16:43Since listed stocks were issued, we
  374. 16:46divide the remaining money by the
  375. 16:48current issued stocks. So, let's assume
  376. 16:53it's 1,000 won. Let's assume it's 1,000
  377. 16:56won. We call that BPS. And we represent
  378. 17:00this as a multiple. As a ratio. That's
  379. 17:03why we call it PBR. Back in '97 and '98
  380. 17:06, our KOSPI 200 stocks had a PBR of. 1
  381. 17:10time or 0.5 times. At that time,
  382. 17:13foreign investors bought in massively.
  383. 17:15They made a lot of money. But think
  384. 17:17about it carefully. Right now,
  385. 17:19developed markets. They say our country
  386. 17:21is currently undervalued. It is
  387. 17:22undervalued. Saying our stock market is
  388. 17:25undervalued means that when we
  389. 17:27calculate based on liquidation value,
  390. 17:29it's at the 1x level. So, if it rises 2
  391. 17:33or 2.5 times—for instance, assuming a
  392. 17:36BPS of 10,000 won—once it hits 20,000
  393. 17:39to 25,000 won. That's the peak. Take a
  394. 17:42good look. Entertainment or gaming
  395. 17:45stocks are a bit different. They can go
  396. 17:47up to seven times. They cost a lot of
  397. 17:48money. Developing just one game costs
  398. 17:51about 70 to 80 billion won. So if it
  399. 17:54fails, you're broke. If it succeeds,
  400. 17:56it's a jackpot. Just think about it.
  401. 17:58That's why they can go up to seven
  402. 18:00times. Now, the BPS you are all aware
  403. 18:03of—if you look at any stock, at that
  404. 18:06price range—which I'll explain next
  405. 18:09time—it goes to 2.5 times, meaning a
  406. 18:1210,000 won stock hits 25,000 or 30,000
  407. 18:15won, peaks, and then comes back down.
  408. 18:18And as it comes down, there are tons of
  409. 18:21stocks that have fallen below their BPS
  410. 18:24, trending downward to even 0.5. There
  411. 18:27are so many of them. So, what will
  412. 18:30happen next year? Moving forward. In
  413. 18:32developed markets. 2.5 times BPS is the
  414. 18:36floor. It doesn't go below that. If it
  415. 18:38falls below that, the company is likely
  416. 18:41facing delisting or some massive,
  417. 18:43hidden bad news we don't know about yet
  418. 18:45. Do you understand so far? But no
  419. 18:47matter how much I search through any
  420. 18:50broadcast or financial newspaper.
  421. 18:52Nothing about that is ever mentioned. I
  422. 18:55will state clearly through this
  423. 18:57broadcast. This Park Geun-hye
  424. 18:59administration. Starting next year. For
  425. 19:03the first time in our history of
  426. 19:06investing, we will see a market rally
  427. 19:09of this magnitude. Right? If you raise
  428. 19:16the daily limit to 30%, the investment
  429. 19:19warning or caution levels also double.
  430. 19:23Then naturally, the market cap
  431. 19:25increases. And if the market cap
  432. 19:27increases, the KOSPI index naturally
  433. 19:29goes up. So if you look at the recent
  434. 19:31trends. KOSPI has volatility, but
  435. 19:33KOSDAQ isn't moving, right? It's
  436. 19:37obvious. Because they say it won't be
  437. 19:38implemented for KOSDAQ until next year.
  438. 19:40But this is happening for the first
  439. 19:41time in 16 years, everyone. It's
  440. 19:44happening in 16 years. In any case, I
  441. 19:46welcome it. Regardless, who are the
  442. 19:49wealthy? They have accurate information
  443. 19:51and plenty of money. They. Well, I
  444. 19:54suppose patience is a virtue. Yes.
  445. 19:56Patience may be a virtue, but for
  446. 19:58individual investors. It is actually
  447. 20:00quite hard to hold on. It may involve
  448. 20:03risks, but on the flip side, you could
  449. 20:07hit a jackpot. I, to you, that message,
  450. 20:12yes. I really want to emphasize this
  451. 20:14point, so let me give you one more
  452. 20:16analogy. I’m a master of analogies,
  453. 20:18aren't I? Let's say I'm playing a game
  454. 20:19of Go-Stop at 100 won a point, right?
  455. 20:21Oh, really? This is suitable for
  456. 20:23broadcast. We play Go-Stop during the
  457. 20:25holidays, right? Right? While playing,
  458. 20:28my brother-in-law cornered me with a "
  459. 20:31pibak." He had 5 points. So how much is
  460. 20:33that? It's 1,000 won. But if I raise
  461. 20:37the stakes to 200 won. If he gets 5
  462. 20:41points, the penalty I pay becomes 2,000
  463. 20:44won. You understand, right? It's simple
  464. 20:47. As I mentioned earlier today, the
  465. 20:50chart I'm revealing to you is this.
  466. 20:52It’s called the 37 chart. I'll head
  467. 20:55into the HTS now to show you what that
  468. 20:57chart looks like. I will explain it to
  469. 21:00you carefully, one step at a time. Now.
  470. 21:04For those watching this broadcast,
  471. 21:05please stand up from your seats for a
  472. 21:07moment. Go to the kitchen or the break
  473. 21:10room and grab a cup of tea. I will be
  474. 21:14back in exactly 60 seconds. See you in
  475. 21:18a bit. Alright, everyone, from now on.
  476. 21:21I will go into the chart and explain it
  477. 21:24to you directly. Uh, You need to get
  478. 21:29smart. What I want to tell you all is
  479. 21:31this. You need to become smarter. For
  480. 21:34South Korea to survive. We need to be
  481. 21:37smarter. Individual investors, stay
  482. 21:39strong. Now, let's look at the screen.
  483. 21:41I will explain it to you. I’ll zoom
  484. 21:44in a bit, too. Let me explain. If you
  485. 21:48look over here. There is something
  486. 21:49called the 777 chart. I’m going to
  487. 21:52explain the 777 chart. As I do this
  488. 21:55broadcast today. What I’m using right
  489. 21:58now is this mouse. Double-click the
  490. 22:01left mouse button here. Just
  491. 22:03double-click it. You know what I mean?
  492. 22:06Double-click. Then right-click. You can
  493. 22:09just right-click. It’s not difficult.
  494. 22:12Now, with the HTS open. First, place
  495. 22:16your mouse over the candle and
  496. 22:18double-click. Then. When you place the
  497. 22:22mouse on the candle and double-click.
  498. 22:24You'll see a chart like this. This
  499. 22:27image appears after setting the price
  500. 22:29chart. If you look here, there’s "
  501. 22:31Fill Area," right? Yes, I currently
  502. 22:33have "Fill Area" unchecked. I’ll
  503. 22:35check the box to fill the area. I'll
  504. 22:37fill the area and then hit "Confirm."
  505. 22:40And then. You see the colors, right?
  506. 22:42The disadvantage here is this. You
  507. 22:46can't see the moving averages hidden
  508. 22:49behind it. That’s why I’m telling
  509. 22:53you this. Now, double-click again to
  510. 22:56uncheck "Fill Area." Click "Confirm"
  511. 22:59again, and you’ll get an image like
  512. 23:02this. So, I will zoom in and provide a
  513. 23:05detailed explanation. Now, right here.
  514. 23:08What I mentioned earlier is. I called
  515. 23:11this the branch line. And what is the
  516. 23:15red line? It’s the gold line. We call
  517. 23:18it the golden cross, right? The gold
  518. 23:19line. And the blue line is. What we
  519. 23:22call the dead line. Right? Now, this
  520. 23:25text here. I am writing this while
  521. 23:28moving my mouse cursor. It’s amazing.
  522. 23:31Now, pay close attention, everyone. We
  523. 23:33call it a golden cross. What a golden
  524. 23:36cross is, as you all know, let’s go
  525. 23:38over it. We have the 5-day moving
  526. 23:40average. Right? Then there is the 20-
  527. 23:43day moving average. When the 5-day
  528. 23:46moving average crosses the 20-day
  529. 23:48moving average and trends upward, we
  530. 23:51call that a golden cross. We consider
  531. 23:54this a prime opportunity to buy, so it
  532. 23:56is presented as a buy signal. That’s
  533. 23:59the point, but listen carefully. A 5-
  534. 24:02day moving average is, listen closely.
  535. 24:04Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,
  536. 24:05Friday. Monday to Friday. There is no
  537. 24:07trading on Saturday and Sunday. None at
  538. 24:09all. Because the market is closed. So,
  539. 24:12a simple 5-day closing average is
  540. 24:15adding up the closing prices from
  541. 24:18Monday to Friday and dividing by 5;
  542. 24:21that’s what we call simple. Then for
  543. 24:2520 days, it’s obviously 5 days.
  544. 24:28It’s the sum of four 5-day periods.
  545. 24:30So we calculate four weeks to consider
  546. 24:3320 days as one month. If the monthly
  547. 24:37average was stuck at 10,000 won and
  548. 24:40suddenly the weekly average jumps to
  549. 24:4212,000 or 13,000 won, wow, that’s a
  550. 24:45surge. Right? So, if the weekly
  551. 24:49performance is better than the average,
  552. 24:52they call that a buy signal. But
  553. 24:55don’t be mistaken. That is not. Not a
  554. 24:58buy. It’s a sell; how could it be a
  555. 25:00buy? It’s not a buy. Once the weekly
  556. 25:04average significantly surpasses the
  557. 25:08monthly average. Something is wrong
  558. 25:11there. Right? So, while what I’m
  559. 25:15sharing today is important, we will go
  560. 25:18through the charts one by one. Now,
  561. 25:22this is a stock called Samjin Pharm.
  562. 25:26Let me zoom in on the screen while I
  563. 25:28explain. If you look over here. What
  564. 25:31I’m telling you is this too. It’s a
  565. 25:33golden cross. When a golden cross
  566. 25:35appears, here is what we do. Tomorrow.
  567. 25:38Tomorrow, once again. When a golden
  568. 25:41cross appears, we buy it
  569. 25:43unconditionally the next day. Don’t
  570. 25:45ask questions, don’t even think about
  571. 25:47it, got it? We buy it no matter what.
  572. 25:50Now, let me move it over. So, when I
  573. 25:53looked at the chart here, what did it
  574. 25:56say? Looking here, it started at -0.72%
  575. 26:00and closed at 0%. So, while you
  576. 26:04technically made a 0.7%profit, you look
  577. 26:07at this and say things like this.
  578. 26:09You're probably thinking, "Will I
  579. 26:10actually make any money with this?" Now
  580. 26:12, if you look closely at the 37 chart
  581. 26:15you see here, the stock price goes up
  582. 26:19by 1.67%next. Then, calculating by
  583. 26:22percentage again, it’s 0.7%, and then
  584. 26:26a bearish candle appears. So, look
  585. 26:28closely. We call this type of pattern a
  586. 26:32"perfect alignment." We learned it that
  587. 26:35way, didn't we? The 5-day, 20-day, and
  588. 26:3660-day moving averages. When the short,
  589. 26:39medium, and long-term lines are all
  590. 26:41lined up and trending upward. We call
  591. 26:44this a perfect alignment. Conversely,
  592. 26:46when this bends, right? When it turns
  593. 26:49downward, you've long been taught that
  594. 26:52it's a "dead cross." But the most
  595. 26:54important thing is this. This part has
  596. 26:57that element as well. So, after the
  597. 27:00cross happens, you buy and proceed, but
  598. 27:02suddenly a bearish candle appears. When
  599. 27:06a bearish candle appears, the gap here
  600. 27:08narrows. Right? When it closes in like
  601. 27:11that, what I want to tell you is this.
  602. 27:14If you double-click on the candle, the
  603. 27:17chart I explained earlier will appear.
  604. 27:21Now, here is the fourth option. There
  605. 27:23is something called a "Closing Price
  606. 27:25Line Chart." There is a closing price
  607. 27:27line chart, so I’ll click it. And for
  608. 27:30the color section, follow along with me
  609. 27:32. Set the color to a light shade of
  610. 27:36gray, okay? Since this is a broadcast,
  611. 27:40I'll pick a slightly darker shade and
  612. 27:42click OK. This image you see right now
  613. 27:45is the closing price line chart. The
  614. 27:51reason I'm showing you the closing
  615. 27:53price line chart is to help you see the
  616. 27:56737 moving average chart precisely.
  617. 28:01However, as of right now, it is not a
  618. 28:04dead cross. If another bearish candle
  619. 28:07appears tomorrow, then you should
  620. 28:09respond by selling, but that's not the
  621. 28:11case right now. It's not time yet. So,
  622. 28:16what you can use is the double-click
  623. 28:18function, the closing price line chart,
  624. 28:21and the candle chart area fill
  625. 28:23mentioned earlier; if you get familiar
  626. 28:25with these today, that would be enough.
  627. 28:29I've returned to the candle chart. So,
  628. 28:31looking back at the candles, I see it
  629. 28:34turns into a bullish candle next. It
  630. 28:37turns bullish by 2.8%, and since it's
  631. 28:39in a perfectly aligned state, it keeps
  632. 28:41going. Now, I’ve zoomed in on the
  633. 28:45chart, but if you shrink the chart like
  634. 28:47this, you can see a gap in this area,
  635. 28:50right? What could this be? This is
  636. 28:53where the sellers wanting to sell from
  637. 28:56above and the buyers wanting to buy
  638. 28:58from below are in a tight standoff,
  639. 29:01which we call a "cross shape." Right?
  640. 29:04Now, to put it in my own words, I've
  641. 29:06bought the stock here and it's doing
  642. 29:09well, but...A fight broke out here.
  643. 29:11What kind of fight? A gang fight. Over
  644. 29:13there, Group A and Group B are fighting
  645. 29:16. If you're passing by, you need to get
  646. 29:19out immediately. If you watch it and
  647. 29:22something goes wrong, you could get
  648. 29:23dragged into it. What if you get caught
  649. 29:26up in it? You could be charged with
  650. 29:28assault, so watching a fight—is
  651. 29:29something you should never do. Once
  652. 29:31again, in the stock market, watching a
  653. 29:33fight is something you should never do.
  654. 29:36That's what I'm telling you. You
  655. 29:37understand, right? So I'm saying it's
  656. 29:39best to get out at this point. Then
  657. 29:42here, at the opening price where you
  658. 29:45bought. Here, at the closing price,
  659. 29:47it's becoming a dead cross. I will zoom
  660. 29:50in on this to explain it to you. I can
  661. 29:52zoom in on this. Now, if you look at it
  662. 29:54like this. What does the percentage say
  663. 29:56here? It's 5.4%, right? Well, since
  664. 29:59you've made a profit anyway. If this
  665. 30:01pattern appears, you can sell, or
  666. 30:03that's fine too. If you think, "Since
  667. 30:06it's in a perfect alignment, until a
  668. 30:08dead cross happens—""Let me repeat.""
  669. 30:12Since it's in perfect alignment, I'm
  670. 30:14going to hold onto it until a dead
  671. 30:16cross appears," if you think that. You
  672. 30:20can do that. Right? Now, shall we
  673. 30:23proceed a little further here? So,
  674. 30:26you've made a 5%profit. But I want to
  675. 30:29sell at this point, and if a bearish
  676. 30:31candle occurs, and another one follows
  677. 30:33the next day, a dead cross happens
  678. 30:35immediately. What did I say to do to
  679. 30:38check if a dead cross occurred? I
  680. 30:42double-clicked on the candle and
  681. 30:44checked the closing price line chart,
  682. 30:46and if you look here. When you zoom in,
  683. 30:50everyone, this is where the dead cross
  684. 30:52happens. What's the percentage when the
  685. 30:55dead cross occurs? If you hadn't
  686. 30:58watched the fight when it first popped
  687. 31:01up and just quietly left, you would
  688. 31:03have made a 5%profit, but here you
  689. 31:06realize a 3%profit. So, is it over?
  690. 31:10After taking your 5%or 3%profit, you
  691. 31:12watch what happens next, and what do
  692. 31:15you know? This day and that day, it's
  693. 31:18the same day, right? A golden cross,
  694. 31:21almost the same golden cross occurs.
  695. 31:24Then when should you act? You act
  696. 31:27tomorrow. Not today, but tomorrow. Okay
  697. 31:29. You go in thinking, "You're done for.
  698. 31:31" You have to have fun with it.
  699. 31:32Investing in stocks. Now, if you look
  700. 31:35here. What happens the next day? Oh,
  701. 31:37what is this? I bought it, but it's not
  702. 31:40going up and it's down slightly. Yes.
  703. 31:44It's -0.22%. That's okay. It's fine.
  704. 31:48Let's watch it. Oh, I see. So, you
  705. 31:51bought well and made a 3%profit. Right?
  706. 31:54Then, this is—It's not a fight where
  707. 31:56they are evenly matched. It is
  708. 31:58currently finding support. It’s
  709. 32:01finding support, and the candle has
  710. 32:03wicks at both the top and bottom. These
  711. 32:06are okay. Since it’s normal, it’s
  712. 32:10fine to just hold. You can hold it. And
  713. 32:13then, let’s see how much the price
  714. 32:16jumped. 3.4%. My dear Daily family. Now
  715. 32:20, what comes to mind here? Oh, it
  716. 32:22appeared. What do we call this? We call
  717. 32:24it a UFO. An Unidentified Flying Object
  718. 32:27. An Unidentified Flying Object. So,
  719. 32:29when this pattern appears, why do
  720. 32:32buyers and sellers suddenly clash?
  721. 32:35Logically, if the stock is doing well,
  722. 32:39the buyers remain. But if someone
  723. 32:42wanting to sell and take profits
  724. 32:44appears, this pattern emerges. So, what
  725. 32:47should you do? You must sell. You
  726. 32:49should sell. Or maybe not. Maybe
  727. 32:52you’ll say, "I’ll stick to the
  728. 32:53rules." Because it’s a bullish
  729. 32:54alignment. Since it's a bullish
  730. 32:55alignment, I’ll follow the rules. Go
  731. 32:57ahead and try that if you want. But I
  732. 32:59get out around here. The most important
  733. 33:01thing is to sell when it gaps up. When
  734. 33:03it gaps up, sell. When it gaps up, sell
  735. 33:05. That’s the advice I always give:
  736. 33:08sell when it gaps up. It’s like a
  737. 33:10daughter-in-law running away from home.
  738. 33:12Now, watch closely. Is it true that up
  739. 33:15to here, from the opening price earlier
  740. 33:17? Right? If we draw a line here,
  741. 33:22we’ve made a 7%profit. 7%earlier, and
  742. 33:28if you made 7%profit, you’ve done
  743. 33:30enough. You understand? Now, if you say
  744. 33:33, "I won’t do that." If you think, "
  745. 33:37It’s in a bullish alignment, so
  746. 33:39I’ll just keep holding," then go
  747. 33:41ahead. Look, it’s going higher. Go
  748. 33:45ahead if you want. Look, it’s going
  749. 33:47higher. Go ahead if you want. It
  750. 33:49doesn’t matter to me. But here is a
  751. 33:51part you must remember. Doing it this
  752. 33:56way...You might say, "Director, I
  753. 33:58ignored your 7%rule, stuck to my
  754. 34:00bullish alignment, and now I’m up 20%
  755. 34:03." However, there is something very
  756. 34:06important we shouldn't forget. I’m
  757. 34:08going to shrink the candles. I’ll
  758. 34:11shrink them like this and then zoom in.
  759. 34:14I said it gapped up earlier. Right?
  760. 34:16What’s even scarier than a doji
  761. 34:18candle is this. It is exactly this part
  762. 34:21. Now. There is the candle body. A long
  763. 34:24bottom wick means...Let me say it again
  764. 34:25. I apologize. A long bottom wick means
  765. 34:28...The buying pressure is strong. But
  766. 34:32if a candle with a long upper wick
  767. 34:35appears, it means there are many
  768. 34:38sellers. That’s why the upper wick is
  769. 34:42long. If the upper wick is longer than
  770. 34:45the lower wick, logically speaking,
  771. 34:48that’s just an anomaly. Right? In
  772. 34:51fact, where should a tail be? It’s
  773. 34:54supposed to be on the rear, but if a
  774. 34:56tail is long on the head, it’s a
  775. 34:57mutation, just like when we construct a
  776. 34:59building. We finish the building and
  777. 35:01then put a lightning rod on the very
  778. 35:04top floor, right? So here as well. Even
  779. 35:08if it’s in a perfect alignment, you
  780. 35:10must respond with a sell. Understood?
  781. 35:14Otherwise, you can just let it go. But
  782. 35:17look, in a perfect alignment state, we
  783. 35:20see a bearish candle. Then if this
  784. 35:23happens and a death cross appears, that
  785. 35:26is a sell signal. What kind of chart is
  786. 35:28this? It’s a 3 chart. But let me
  787. 35:31explain one thing here for a moment. I
  788. 35:34mentioned "Life," right? If I have time
  789. 35:38, I’ll explain that in the next
  790. 35:40session. It’s what I call the "
  791. 35:43Wind-Flow Candle.""Life," right? It’s
  792. 35:45"Life," shall I try to pull it out here
  793. 35:47? This chart here, I’ll just throw it
  794. 35:50out for a moment. I clicked with the
  795. 35:53left mouse button to throw it out.
  796. 35:56Looking here, You call this a Wind-Flow
  797. 35:59chart, and to explain it simply, the
  798. 36:02candles are grouped by four. They are
  799. 36:07grouped by four, and I will clearly
  800. 36:10reveal next time the falsehood of the
  801. 36:13techniques we know regarding this part.
  802. 36:17Look forward to that next time. I’m
  803. 36:19giving you a preview. Understood? This
  804. 36:22is the center line of the candle. What
  805. 36:26I value the most is the center line
  806. 36:29itself. I divide the center line into
  807. 36:32three parts. One part, two parts, three
  808. 36:36parts—the one-third point is what the
  809. 36:38Wind-Flow Candle is. Understood? Well,
  810. 36:42I’ll explain more about that next
  811. 36:44time. Let’s move on to the next item
  812. 36:48and I’ll explain it. I don’t need
  813. 36:51this chart, so I’ll remove it. I’ll
  814. 36:53explain the "Creation of Heaven and
  815. 36:55Earth" I mentioned last time when I
  816. 36:57have more time later. The next item is,
  817. 37:00uh, let me explain the stock called
  818. 37:03Leon Kochem. It’s a stock called Leon
  819. 37:05Kochem. Leon Kochem, too. Back around
  820. 37:09March, I watched this one quite closely
  821. 37:13. It was a stock that moved like this.
  822. 37:16Now, it appears with volume as you can
  823. 37:19see. But the most important thing here
  824. 37:22is the percentage. Looking at the
  825. 37:24percentage here, what percentage?
  826. 37:26Remember 13%. It is 3, 7, 14%. But
  827. 37:31it’s good only if it’s formed at 3%
  828. 37:34from the bottom level. Then, after one
  829. 37:37move and a period of compression, when
  830. 37:40the price rises a second time, it
  831. 37:43should hover around 7%for it to be the
  832. 37:45second wave according to Granville's
  833. 37:48Law. So, in this area of the second
  834. 37:52wave, I decide to sell. Then, at the
  835. 37:55peak, the candle becomes significantly
  836. 37:57longer. So this means, "This is the end
  837. 38:00.""Time to get out." Now, I mentioned
  838. 38:02that 3714 is the most important
  839. 38:05percentage. So, when such a large
  840. 38:08percentage appears from the bottom, you
  841. 38:10can wait, because of the mean reversion
  842. 38:12property, the price will pull back to
  843. 38:14the line, so you can wait until then.
  844. 38:18Or, you can choose to buy. Now, the
  845. 38:21next day, you buy without hesitation.
  846. 38:23Why did I say to buy? I told you to buy
  847. 38:28because a golden cross, a gold line,
  848. 38:31appeared. Now, buy the next day. It
  849. 38:34moves into a bullish alignment. Now, as
  850. 38:36it moves into a bullish alignment,
  851. 38:38looking at this part here, it indeed
  852. 38:40pulls back to the line. It does pull
  853. 38:42back to the line. So, by buying here,
  854. 38:44we've made a profit over four days. If
  855. 38:47a bearish candle appears the next day
  856. 38:49and a death cross occurs, you should
  857. 38:51obviously respond by selling. However,
  858. 38:54for now, we just watch and wait. Then,
  859. 38:57you can see it moving just the same the
  860. 38:59next day. Now, if this happens, you can
  861. 39:02sell. Or you can choose to hold. Now,
  862. 39:05looking up to this point, it has gone
  863. 39:07quite far. On this day, the percentage
  864. 39:09went up to 8%. So, as I always say, if
  865. 39:13it rises by less than 3%—2%or 3%—
  866. 39:16from the bottom, and suddenly an 8%rise
  867. 39:20like this occurs, if you're someone who
  868. 39:23doesn't want to be greedy and prefers
  869. 39:26to play it safe, you can take your
  870. 39:29profits around here, then find another
  871. 39:32stock to buy and sell, buy and sell; no
  872. 39:36matter if the market rises or falls,
  873. 39:41the stocks that move will move, and
  874. 39:43those that drop will drop. What’s the
  875. 39:46use of knowing the market conditions or
  876. 39:51knowing the details of the company?
  877. 39:53From now on, we are just travelers. So,
  878. 39:57we leave the world behind and enjoy the
  879. 40:01breeze. I am Seongsu-jang of the Daily
  880. 40:04On Pungryu Club. Thank you. Now, this
  881. 40:06is an advertisement. Shall we look at
  882. 40:08the next screen? Shall we continue? Now
  883. 40:10, it jumped up, right? When it jumps up
  884. 40:12like that, if you can let it go, let it
  885. 40:14go. In this position, if it were me, I
  886. 40:17would sell immediately without a second
  887. 40:20thought. Now, if you still can't bring
  888. 40:23yourself to do it, thinking, "I'll
  889. 40:25stick with the bullish alignment," then
  890. 40:27you can choose to keep holding it. Now,
  891. 40:29let’s continue. But it’s showing
  892. 40:31the same pattern as Samjin
  893. 40:33Pharmaceutical, which I mentioned
  894. 40:34earlier. When a candle like this
  895. 40:37appears, you need to exit here. It's
  896. 40:41like building a house and putting the
  897. 40:44final spire on top. Right? If you think
  898. 40:49of this as a mutation, you should just
  899. 40:52sell; if you always respond by selling,
  900. 40:56you won't have any trouble trading.
  901. 41:00Since that point, it accompanied
  902. 41:02trading volume and brought about a 40%
  903. 41:04profit. Now, are you excited? Once this
  904. 41:07appears. Even if it goes higher, don't
  905. 41:10feel bad. That's what I said in my
  906. 41:12broadcast last Monday. I even drew
  907. 41:15pictures of the mascot in the women's
  908. 41:18restroom and the men's restroom to
  909. 41:20explain it to you. Where should I let
  910. 41:24go? I hope you remember exactly where
  911. 41:27you should let go when you trade. Shall
  912. 41:29we continue? Shall we continue? Shall
  913. 41:32we continue? Well, it happens like this
  914. 41:33. This is a dead cross. If a dead cross
  915. 41:38appears, there’s no need to hold onto
  916. 41:40it for a week or so; there's no reason
  917. 41:42to drag it out. Right? Yes. Anyway,
  918. 41:45once a dead cross appears, you can buy
  919. 41:47here and sell when it triggers. This is
  920. 41:50a 37 chart. Is it over then? No, it's
  921. 41:53not. You just watch and see. I watched,
  922. 41:55and once a pattern like this emerges,
  923. 41:58you buy the next day. Buy the next day.
  924. 42:01Buy unconditionally. If a dead cross
  925. 42:03appears, you sell. Now, what did I say
  926. 42:05the black line was? Since it's a strong
  927. 42:08support line, I told you that even if
  928. 42:10the sky falls, you must respond by
  929. 42:12selling, so we go here. We go. We go.
  930. 42:16Ah, if it turns, you just let it go. If
  931. 42:18it turns, you let it go. Got it? If it
  932. 42:21turns like this, you let it go. Once it
  933. 42:23turns, you just let it go. It's alright
  934. 42:26. Wait, and when the pattern appears
  935. 42:30again, you buy and proceed again. When
  936. 42:33a sell signal like this comes, you sell
  937. 42:35. Now, we are almost out of time for
  938. 42:37this last session. MK Trend is a stock
  939. 42:41we've been tracking since last December
  940. 42:45. The part we were involved in is this
  941. 42:47section. I will just shift the screen.
  942. 42:51Now, looking at this part here. A
  943. 42:55bearish candle occurs and it provides
  944. 42:57strong support. After that. It stays
  945. 43:00within this range, and as you can see,
  946. 43:04the stock price continues to move
  947. 43:07upward. So, when the candles contract
  948. 43:11and a dead cross appears, sell without
  949. 43:13hesitation. Wait, and if a bullish
  950. 43:18candle appears while in a reversed
  951. 43:20array that suggests a turn toward a
  952. 43:23normal array, wait for that moment; if
  953. 43:26you zoom in on this—Once this point
  954. 43:29becomes a golden cross, I’ll enter a
  955. 43:32long position the very next day, and if
  956. 43:35an upper wick appears, you can sell, or
  957. 43:38since it’s in a bullish alignment,
  958. 43:40you can just hold it and keep going. If
  959. 43:45you don't let it go and the alignment
  960. 43:48holds, you wait for a dead cross, and
  961. 43:51when it happens, you sell; if you
  962. 43:54calculate the profit from here, the
  963. 43:57returns are incredible. Starting from
  964. 44:0020%, then here, another 12%; that's one
  965. 44:02wave, two waves, right? Will there be
  966. 44:05one more wave? We wait and see. Oh,
  967. 44:07that's right. If a golden cross occurs,
  968. 44:10I will respond by entering a long
  969. 44:12position again tomorrow. Long, long—
  970. 44:15as long as the bullish alignment
  971. 44:17continues, I will simply proceed. Then,
  972. 44:20if a bearish candle appears like this.
  973. 44:22This is what we mean when we talk about
  974. 44:26wave one, wave two, and wave three. My
  975. 44:29dear Daily family members, I, in the
  976. 44:37time I have, I’ll explain the content
  977. 44:41again and again; although time is short
  978. 44:44, I will definitely spend the one hour
  979. 44:47from 8 PM to 9 PM on Monday given to me
  980. 44:50with you all. Tomorrow, I plan to hold
  981. 44:54a live market broadcast for the Daily
  982. 44:56Wealth Club. Come tomorrow, and we’ll
  983. 45:00continue discussing everything I
  984. 45:01couldn't cover in today's broadcast.
  985. 45:03Have a great afternoon. I was Director
  986. 45:06Seong Myeong-seok of the Daily Wealth
  987. 45:08Club. Thank you. Goodbye.

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This page contains the full transcript of [風流Club_天地創造] 제3강 주식의 원리를 정립하고싶다면 지금이라도 시작하라 by 풍류Club, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 6,772 words across 987 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.

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