Clip 4 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:06So let us see the risk management means
- 0:10development of or strengthening of the
- 0:13risk management systems in an
- 0:15organization or in a bank.
- 0:18How a bank can strengthen the risk
- 0:20management systems. I'm giving broadly a
- 0:23few aspects. There could be some more is
- 0:27certainly can be added. This is not
- 0:29always an exhaustive list.
- 0:32Number one is a credit information
- 0:35companies which are available in the
- 0:37system or market is a largely helpful
- 0:40for banking credit systems. Credit risk
- 0:44risk systems. What is this civil score?
- 0:48Civil score is credit information.
- 0:51This is helpful for the bank in
- 0:53assessing the borrower's
- 0:56ability. borrowers solveny, borrowers
- 1:00creditability. So, credit information
- 1:02systems are needed and over a period of
- 1:05time in our country, credit information
- 1:08systems are strengthening and today's
- 1:10civil has become a more and more uh are
- 1:15covering larger part of the borrowers on
- 1:17the basis of the bank card. So credit
- 1:20information system is helpful for the
- 1:23banks in mitigating the credit risk
- 1:26especially with reference to retail
- 1:28loans. So today many banks are
- 1:31comfortable in providing the retail
- 1:33loans on the basis of the civil score
- 1:37either it may be for vehicle or it may
- 1:40be for education or it may be for
- 1:42personal requirements and all these
- 1:44things.
- 1:46So this is an ecosystem
- 1:49part of the ecosystem. Civil in apart
- 1:51from civil there are other companies
- 1:54also. In fact uh the there is an act
- 1:57credit information companies act is also
- 1:59there and these companies are coming
- 2:02under that one. So they are having uh
- 2:05established uh and providing credit
- 2:08rating of individual borrowers or credit
- 2:11scoring of individual borrowers.
- 2:15The second important uh system which is
- 2:18needed in a bank and in a financial
- 2:21market to mitigate the credit risk or to
- 2:24quantify the credit risk appropriately
- 2:26is a credit rating models
- 2:31or credit ratings can be external credit
- 2:34ratings that means the ratings provided
- 2:36by some agencies.
- 2:41It may be cry and various other type of
- 2:45in international context standard and
- 2:47pan modis are providing they provide the
- 2:50rating of uh instruments financial
- 2:53instruments. Suppose if a company is
- 2:56coming out with a bond and the credit
- 2:58rating is given by these external credit
- 3:00rating agencies. These external credit
- 3:02rating agencies also providing the
- 3:05rating of the bank loans also. If a
- 3:08company is approaching the bank for a
- 3:10bank a short-term loan or a long-term
- 3:12loan or a term loan whatever it is uh it
- 3:15can obtain credit rating from the credit
- 3:18rating agency and the bank takes this as
- 3:21a very valuable input or information to
- 3:24assess the creditworthiness of the
- 3:26borrower. So credit rating models uh
- 3:29credit rating systems which are needed
- 3:32for a in a bank or in a financial market
- 3:35if external credit rating agencies are
- 3:37there these are helpful in
- 3:39quantification of the credit risk
- 3:42or internally a bank can develop the
- 3:45credit rating models.
- 3:47So these are called internal credit
- 3:49rating models. Suppose the bank is
- 3:52having a wider portfolio of the sets
- 3:55like uh providing loans to vehicle,
- 3:58providing loans against the property,
- 4:01providing loans to the trader, small
- 4:03borrowers, large companies and a bank
- 4:07can have different type of the internal
- 4:09rating models suitable to different
- 4:11borrowers are designed for different
- 4:14products.
- 4:16So there are banks which are having 15
- 4:19to 18 credit rating models for
- 4:22assessment of uh various borrowers. So
- 4:25the quantification of the credit risk is
- 4:27possible more and more precisely more
- 4:30and more accurately through internal
- 4:33credit rating models. Of course the
- 4:36external credit rating agencies will
- 4:38also provide some information. So put
- 4:41together in some cases these two can be
- 4:44combined. In some cases it is internal
- 4:47rating models are sufficient enough to
- 4:49provide the information for risk
- 4:51information to the bank.
- 4:55Bank can constitute an expert team in
- 4:57assessing the loan proposals.
- 5:00Suppose if the bank intends to take uh
- 5:06widen its business or expand its
- 5:08business in a particular area. Area
- 5:11means industry.
- 5:15Then the bank can for example
- 5:16infrastructure.
- 5:18Infrastructure business is alltogether
- 5:20different from regular commercial
- 5:22banking business. Bank may require an
- 5:25expert team which can assess the power
- 5:27projects or which can assist the
- 5:31building up of the airports
- 5:33ports.
- 5:35The expert team can be constituted by a
- 5:38bank in assessing the specialized loan
- 5:41proposals like infrastructure or
- 5:44long-term project finance or a specific
- 5:47industries which are high-risk
- 5:49industries.
- 5:50The bank may constitute a expert team
- 5:54and bank may develop different loan
- 5:57pricing models.
- 5:59As we have said discussed that pricing
- 6:02is one of the mechanisms of mitigating
- 6:05the risk.
- 6:07Either credit information or rating or
- 6:10constitution of expert team is helpful
- 6:13for assessment of the risk or
- 6:15quantification of the risk.
- 6:18Whereas pricing is helpful for
- 6:20mitigating the risk.
- 6:23So the bank can develop different loan
- 6:25pricing models.
- 6:27They can keep some of the loans on the
- 6:29basis of the external benchmark lending
- 6:31rate.
- 6:32Some loans on the basis of the marginal
- 6:35cost lending. Some loans on the basis of
- 6:38the base price
- 6:40prime subprime above the prime. And they
- 6:44can also keep what should be the spread
- 6:47or the base rate. It may be 2%, 3%, 4%
- 6:53depends upon the rating of the borrower.
- 6:56So the load pricing mechanism, load
- 6:59pricing models are a very helpful
- 7:02information for the bank in mitigating
- 7:05the credit risk.
- 7:09As we have the different type of the
- 7:10rating models, different type of the
- 7:12loan pricing models are also available.
- 7:16Currently in India, banks can price on
- 7:18the basis of the external benchmark rate
- 7:21or there is also other mechanism called
- 7:23marginal cost lending rate which is
- 7:25called MCLR. Banks may price some loads
- 7:29on floating rate basis, some on fixed
- 7:32rate basis. So all this flexibility
- 7:35which deregulation of interest rates has
- 7:38given to banks. Banks have opportunity
- 7:41to develop different type of the loan
- 7:43pricing models and banks have indeed
- 7:46having the loan pricing different loan
- 7:48pricing models.
- 7:51Then uh documentation part of it.
- 7:54How do you document a loan is a contract
- 7:57between the borrower and the bank.
- 8:00The contract is to be strengthened by
- 8:02appropriate documents.
- 8:06The contract is to enforce the contract
- 8:09should have the feature of the illegal
- 8:11enforcability.
- 8:14So appropriate terms and conditions are
- 8:16to be put up by the bank and should be
- 8:19acceptable by the borrower.
- 8:22Bank should have right to recover some
- 8:24of the loan amount either through sale
- 8:26of the assets or through other legal
- 8:29mechanism.
- 8:31So all this comes documentation.
- 8:34Documentation helpsful for mitigating
- 8:37the credit risk. In fact a robust
- 8:41documentation is helpful for mitigating
- 8:44the operational risk also.
- 8:48So documentation is helping the bank in
- 8:51reducing not only credit risk but also
- 8:54operational risk
- 8:58and part of the documentation of course
- 9:00the loan term sheet will be there. Loan
- 9:02covenants will be there. Covenants are
- 9:06terms and conditions given by the bank
- 9:08to the borrower.
- 9:10For example, a bank may say that always
- 9:14the assets against the loan should be
- 9:16kept loan asset coverage ratio should be
- 9:20some 50% or 70% or 80%age or maybe
- 9:24100%age some percentage they may
- 9:26indicate.
- 9:28So the bank company has to maintain that
- 9:31one or the bank may insist that always
- 9:35the interest coverage ratio should be a
- 9:37particular level.
- 9:39This is a part of covenants.
- 9:42Covenants is a condition terms and
- 9:45condition built up by the bank to the
- 9:48borrower and a welld designigned
- 9:51covenants are helpful for the banks in
- 9:54mitigating the risk quickly
- 9:58and other type of the credit risk
- 9:59mitigation techniques can be collaterals
- 10:02guarantees
- 10:04personal guarantees
- 10:06various other mechanisms can be put up
- 10:09by the bank uh in mitigating the risk.
- 10:11It can be taking the assets or it can be
- 10:14providing the guarantees. These are
- 10:16helpful for the bank
- 10:19and bank systems, credit risk management
- 10:22system should have early warning signals
- 10:25also
- 10:26because lot of information every about
- 10:29every company is available in the
- 10:33market. Daily companies are entering
- 10:35into different type of the transactions
- 10:38and if a bank has given loan to a
- 10:41particular company, it is increasingly
- 10:43difficult for a bank to monitor all
- 10:46these type of the transactions in
- 10:48reference to a particular company. What
- 10:50contracts are entered? What contracts
- 10:52are withdrawn? Whether the order book is
- 10:54building up or not, is the company
- 10:56facing some risk out of any other
- 10:58counterparty
- 11:00or is there any risk because of the
- 11:02global factors
- 11:04or is there any risk because of some
- 11:05geographical factors.
- 11:09All this is to be captured and these are
- 11:12called early warning signal systems.
- 11:16That means a larger part of the
- 11:18information is being processed
- 11:22and some summary is being provided to
- 11:25the bank and the bank can take an
- 11:28appropriate action or a quick action to
- 11:31mitigate the loss. For example, if a
- 11:34company's orders are withdrawn,
- 11:37assume that if a company has faced the
- 11:40risk of
- 11:41order whatever it is having the orders,
- 11:44it must have withdrawn.
- 11:46Then what is the opportunity for the
- 11:48bank? Immediately the bank may ask the
- 11:51company to restrict the loan withdrawals
- 11:55also.
- 11:57Otherwise the company may take
- 11:59opportunity of entire loan amount and
- 12:02possibility is there loan may be
- 12:04diversified for other purposes then
- 12:07there is a risk for the bank because
- 12:09such loan cannot be recovered quickly as
- 12:11it is used for other non- businesses uh
- 12:16aspects or it may be used for in a
- 12:18different way. So any type of the
- 12:20diversification can be mitigated. So
- 12:23early warning signals are very very
- 12:25important and today technology is
- 12:28facilitating processing of all this
- 12:31information.
- 12:32So one of the areas where continuously
- 12:36technology companies can work is how
- 12:39this early warning systems can be
- 12:41strengthened.
- 12:44Quarterly information is available from
- 12:46the financial statements are reported to
- 12:49the stock exchange.
- 12:52Various other corporate events are
- 12:53reported to the stock exchange
- 12:56or even other type of the information is
- 12:58available about the contracts and
- 13:00expansion investment decisions and other
- 13:03borrowings. So much of the information
- 13:06even CEO resignation
- 13:08by a company if the bank has given loan
- 13:11to a particular company assume that the
- 13:14CEO of that company has been resigned or
- 13:17some of the key employees have resigned
- 13:19from that company. Is it a risk to the
- 13:21business? Yes. Is it a warning signal to
- 13:23the bank? Yes. Is it to be captured by
- 13:26the bank? Yes. How do they capture it?
- 13:29Appropriately designing the early
- 13:31warning signals.
- 13:33So these are all the various types of
- 13:36the components of the a robust risk
- 13:40management system.
- 13:43In fact, regulator like regulator orb is
- 13:47created a system called krillic.
- 13:50That means if a particular loan has
- 13:54become a bad loan in one of the banks
- 13:57accounts,
- 13:59other banks may not be knowing about
- 14:01this one. So RBI is asking the banks to
- 14:05report on a particular system. So this
- 14:08system is accessible to the banks only.
- 14:11So banks knows that so and so company
- 14:14has defaulted on a particular loan to a
- 14:17particular bank
- 14:19that indicates another early warning.
- 14:22So over a period of time in the
- 14:25financial system the credit risk
- 14:27ecosystem is strengthening tit.
- 14:33It is out of the credit uh information
- 14:36companies. Establishment of the credit
- 14:39rating models and credit rating agencies
- 14:43and proper monitoring of these credit
- 14:45rating agencies
- 14:48and wide opportunity for loan pricing
- 14:51models and strengthening of the
- 14:54documentation
- 14:55and credit risk mitigation techniques
- 14:58and uh early warning signals can be
- 15:01processed or early warning signals can
- 15:03be developed out of processing of the
- 15:06information. Now we have the opportunity
- 15:09of application of all AI models
- 15:13different type of the AI models in early
- 15:16warning signal information processing
- 15:18because information may be available
- 15:20from manual reports press statements
- 15:23communication of other through other
- 15:25channels or maybe one of the companies
- 15:30senior management team or maybe CEO of
- 15:33the company is continuously traveling
- 15:36You may get some photos on other social
- 15:39media. That is also an early warning
- 15:41signal. Why he or family is traveling
- 15:44continuously?
- 15:48Is it any way bank is facing going to
- 15:51face the risk out of this one? Is the
- 15:53bank money is going to be used for this
- 15:55purpose?
- 15:58So technology plays a great role in uh
- 16:02strengthening of the risk management
- 16:04systems especially credit rating credit
- 16:07risk management systems uh in an economy
- 16:11in a financial system and specific to a
- 16:14bank also.
- 16:15So what opportunities are available?
- 16:18Wider opportunities are available in the
- 16:20strengthening of this uh credit rating
- 16:23systems or credit risk management
- 16:25systems in a bank and in general in the
- 16:28financial system out of processing of
- 16:30the information coming from various
- 16:32sources. Then uh how to manage the
- 16:37market risk as well as the liquidity
- 16:40risk and uh interest rate risk.
- 16:45This system available is asset liability
- 16:48management system in a bank. It is being
- 16:52reported to alco committee. Asset
- 16:55liability management committee. This
- 16:57committee is expected to meet very
- 16:59periodically. Normally this committee
- 17:01meets uh once in fortnite or in some
- 17:04large banks even it may meet in once in
- 17:07a week also.
- 17:10So what this committee will do? This
- 17:12committee will discuss about changes
- 17:15taking place in the deposits market,
- 17:18interest rates of the deposits markets
- 17:21and what interest rates are to be
- 17:23charged
- 17:25based upon the external scenario in the
- 17:27market. What is the opportunity
- 17:29available for the bank to meet the
- 17:31liquidity requirement? Should the bank
- 17:34be a lender of the liquidity? Should the
- 17:36bank be a borrower of the liquidity?
- 17:41Borrower of the liquidity bank is
- 17:43borrowing liquidity from various sources
- 17:46or lender of the liquidity bank is
- 17:49lending excess money with to other
- 17:51mechanisms.
- 17:53So asset liability management system is
- 17:55helpful in
- 17:58identifying the inflows and outflows and
- 18:00risk arising out of that one. That is
- 18:03where liquidity risk is largely being
- 18:05monitored.
- 18:07Also the repricing risk.
- 18:10If the bank is having huge floating rate
- 18:13loans and fixed rate liabilities, the
- 18:16bank should expose opportunities explore
- 18:19the opportunities of mitigating the
- 18:22liquidity risk repricing risk arising
- 18:25out of these floating rate loans as well
- 18:27as fixed rate liabilities. So asset
- 18:30liability management system is also part
- 18:32of the risk management system of a bank.
- 18:36In this asset liability management
- 18:37system even the bank can build up the
- 18:40market risk management system or bank
- 18:42may keep separately market risk
- 18:44management system. Market risks
- 18:46management system is quantifying the
- 18:49potential loss out of the trading.
- 18:53So the market risk management system
- 18:55consist continuously evaluates on what
- 18:58would be the potential loss to the bank
- 19:01if the market price of particular
- 19:03financial asset is coming down. If there
- 19:07is a 1%age fall in the either in the
- 19:10bond prices or in the currency prices or
- 19:14in the equity prices, what should be the
- 19:17mechanism the bank should have? What
- 19:20type of the potential loss the bank is
- 19:21going to face once it is quantified? How
- 19:24the bank can mitigate that one? what
- 19:27flexibility is available in either in
- 19:30hedging on balance sheet basis or on off
- 19:33balance sheet basis or preparing keeping
- 19:36a capital amount ideally for that one.
- 19:39So this is where market risk is being
- 19:42managed. So bank should have credit risk
- 19:45management system, asset liability
- 19:48management system and market risk
- 19:50management system. So separate
- 19:53department mentally can be constituted
- 19:56for the purpose of the market risk
- 19:57management where banks can concentrate
- 20:00on this uh management of the market
- 20:03risk. In addition to that bank should
- 20:06have super appropriate internal audit
- 20:09and concurrent audit systems.
- 20:13The auditors it have to identify the
- 20:16loopholes
- 20:18and plug bank should give an opportunity
- 20:21for the bank to strengthen this uh
- 20:25loophole to to plug these loopholes
- 20:29to address these weaknesses.
- 20:31So audit system is very very important
- 20:34in a bank which is very helpful for
- 20:37strengthening the risk management
- 20:38system.
- 20:40A bank may use very sophisticated
- 20:43models. But unfortunately, if the audit
- 20:46systems are not good or audit systems
- 20:48are unable to identify the weaknesses
- 20:52or failures
- 20:54then these sophisticated models are not
- 20:56going to protect the bank from the
- 20:58losses
- 21:00because the actions are possible out of
- 21:02the identification of the failures which
- 21:05will come out of audit systems. So
- 21:09current concurrent audit system or
- 21:11internal audit systems are very much
- 21:13important for a bank in developing the
- 21:16risk management system.
- 21:20Apart from that finally the governance
- 21:24is very much important.
- 21:26How the governance is bank governance is
- 21:29there. Bank governance means
- 21:31it is a chairman of the bank, managing
- 21:35director or CEO of the bank, other
- 21:38executive full-time directors,
- 21:40independent directors, shareholder
- 21:43directors
- 21:45and in Indian corp governance system for
- 21:47banks is very very comprehensive. In
- 21:50public sector banks, a director is
- 21:54appointed by the government of India
- 21:56called as a CA director. He's a
- 21:58chartered accountant or she's a
- 22:00chartered accountant. Her job is to see
- 22:04mostly relating to accounting and audit
- 22:06systems. Often this CA director is a
- 22:10head of the audit committee also.
- 22:14So audit committee is consisting of
- 22:18independent directors
- 22:20other functional full-time directors but
- 22:23not managing director.
- 22:27Audit committee is not having the
- 22:29managing director as a member.
- 22:32Managing director is always out of audit
- 22:34committee.
- 22:36So governance system in a bank is very
- 22:39very important and over a period of time
- 22:42reserve bank of India and companies act
- 22:46and sebi with reference to all listed
- 22:48entities listed banks have enhanced have
- 22:51been focusing on strengthening of the
- 22:54governance system governance system a
- 22:56suitable government corporate governance
- 22:58a strong governance system is very very
- 23:01essential for
- 23:03excellent building up of the risk
- 23:05management system. Who reports to whom?
- 23:09For example, risk management system.
- 23:11Risk management function is to be
- 23:13monitored by chief risk officer of the
- 23:16bank. The chief risk officer is directly
- 23:20accountable to the board not to the
- 23:23managing director.
- 23:25That much of the freedom is given to the
- 23:28CRO.
- 23:30What happens? That means the CRO is not
- 23:33influenced by the business decisions.
- 23:35Normally managing director is always
- 23:38focused on the business or CEO is always
- 23:41focused on the business because CEO
- 23:43wanted to increase the business.
- 23:46Once the business is going up, CEOs are
- 23:49happy and business doing well, income is
- 23:52generated, CEO is happy. Suppose income
- 23:55is generated as per the quarterly
- 23:57projections or as per the annual
- 23:59projections. CEO is very happy but is
- 24:02that income coming out of the extra risk
- 24:05or not? Is it coming because of the
- 24:08additional risk? That is to be pointed
- 24:11out by the chief risk officer.
- 24:15So the chief risk officer plays an
- 24:18important role as a governance mechanism
- 24:20in the banking system in the risk
- 24:23management system. So governance is very
- 24:25very important aspect
- 24:28and chief risk officer is independently
- 24:31live is reporting to the board as well
- 24:34as sometimes
- 24:37in a year a couple of times maybe
- 24:40quarterly basis the chief risk officer
- 24:43is
- 24:45meeting the independent directors
- 24:48separately
- 24:50that means functional directors are
- 24:52excluded the chief Risk officer can say
- 24:55to the independent directors risk is
- 24:57coming from these sources or she or he
- 25:00may be facing the risk from the
- 25:04functional directors that can be
- 25:06reported to the chief risk officer
- 25:08reported to the independent director
- 25:10separately
- 25:15also the other important aspect is
- 25:17compliance officer chief compliance
- 25:20officer.
- 25:22So chief compliance officer is seeing
- 25:24that whether the bank is compliant to
- 25:26various things. Compliance is an
- 25:28important aspect. We will come to know
- 25:31only if there is a failure in the
- 25:33compliance. What would be the loss out
- 25:35of that one? As long as things are going
- 25:38on very well, people may think
- 25:40compliance is not okay some accounting
- 25:43function. No, compliance is not only an
- 25:46accounting function. It is a very
- 25:48helpful aspect for the strengthening of
- 25:50the risk management in a bank. So both
- 25:54CRO and CCO these are all expected to be
- 25:58independent positions not influenced by
- 26:01the business decisions and they are
- 26:04directly reporting to the port
- 26:08and even financial statements are first
- 26:11of all directly reported to the auditors
- 26:14are directly reporting to the audit
- 26:16committee. Once they have audited the
- 26:18financial statements
- 26:20then only the audit committee will
- 26:22present the financial statements under
- 26:25the board. Audit committee will uh
- 26:27members will be there in the board also
- 26:29while discussing the financial
- 26:31statements and audit committee can give
- 26:34their opinions when the financial
- 26:36statements are being presented in the
- 26:38board.
- 26:39So the risk mitigation various types of
- 26:42the risks what we have discussed risk
- 26:45identification management and one
- 26:48mitigation depends upon what type of the
- 26:52risk management systems
- 26:54a bank is focusing and there is always a
- 26:57continuous effort due to changes in the
- 27:00global environment because of the Basel
- 27:03committee subsequent to the Basel commit
- 27:08financial crisis in 2008 and subsequent
- 27:11to other changes. Basel committee is
- 27:13consistently emphasizing on
- 27:17continuously emphasizing on
- 27:18strengthening of the risk management
- 27:20systems. Out of that governance of the
- 27:23banks is also an important aspect.
- 27:26Quantification of the risks we can see
- 27:29it in subsequent classes.
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