Change In State Of Delivery [CISD] - Orderblock Formation - ICT Concepts — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:04[Music]
2. 0:10how's it going everyone this video is
3. 0:12going to be over the change in stated
4. 0:14delivery we'll first go over the PDF to
5. 0:16learn what that is before going to the
6. 0:18charts and finding some examples at the
7. 0:20end I will combine it with standard
8. 0:21deviations and AMD to create an entry
9. 0:24model so here we are in the PDF and what
10. 0:27is the change in state of delivery well
11. 0:29the change State delivery is when price
12. 0:31goes from bullish to bearish or from
13. 0:33bearish to bullish now let's go through
14. 0:36this example here price is moving up
15. 0:38into a higher time frame PD array or
16. 0:41important level this up close candle
17. 0:43here gets closed below here and that is
18. 0:46when the change in state of delivery
19. 0:48occurs when the opening price of this up
20. 0:51closed candle or series of up closed
21. 0:53candles gets closed below after being
22. 0:55closed below I can anticipate price to
23. 0:57trade lower similarly down here price
24. 1:00puts in a swing low raids the sell stops
25. 1:03and then closes over the series or
26. 1:06single down Clos candle changing the
27. 1:08state of delivery when price returns I
28. 1:11can anticipate a reaction to trade
29. 1:13higher now let's take a look at two more
30. 1:15examples now when there is more than one
31. 1:17up closed candle or a series of up
32. 1:19closed candles I use the opening price
33. 1:22of the first candle so I will look for
34. 1:24this price to be closed below and then
35. 1:27when price returns I can anticipate it
36. 1:29to trade lower similarly down here there
37. 1:32are three down Clos candles into the
38. 1:34important level I will use the opening
39. 1:37price of the first candle as my change
40. 1:39in state of delivery so let's go into
41. 1:41the charts and look at a few examples of
42. 1:42this so here we are with our first
43. 1:44example and I'm going to go ahead and
44. 1:45Mark out our buy side liquidity resting
45. 1:48above these old highs I'm then going to
46. 1:50drop down to a 5 minute time frame and
47. 1:53here we are just before New York open
48. 1:55let's go ahead and watch and see what
49. 1:58happens
50. 2:00so you can see price displaces up over
51. 2:04this high and then displaces back into
52. 2:06the range now I generally prefer a lower
53. 2:08time frame Sweep with my entry models
54. 2:10but we'll go ahead and Mark it out
55. 2:11without one so what I'm looking for here
56. 2:13are the series or single up close candle
57. 2:16that made the new high before displacing
58. 2:18and closing below now where would that
59. 2:20be right here we have one two candles
60. 2:24that made the new high before the
61. 2:26displacement down and I'd want to see a
62. 2:27close below here
63. 2:31so you can see price is failing to close
64. 2:33below this
65. 2:35level and then now we get a new sweep of
66. 2:38a high so now where would I look for
67. 2:41price to change the state of delivery
68. 2:43I'd want to see price close below these
69. 2:45series of up close candles
70. 2:49here and you can see price does close
71. 2:52below those candles now that we have
72. 2:54changed the state of delivery from
73. 2:56bullish to bearish I can be looking for
74. 2:58price to trade lower where is lower well
75. 3:02we have London lows resting below right
76. 3:04here so with that idea in mind I could
77. 3:06be looking for price to retest the order
78. 3:08block with my stop on the high targeting
79. 3:12these London lows now since this is 1.66
80. 3:15r and I generally prefer a minimum of 2
81. 3:17R what can I do I can take what we
82. 3:20learned in the previous projection video
83. 3:22project out this manipulation leg and
84. 3:24then look for the -2 so letting this
85. 3:27play out let's see what happens
86. 3:30you can see it tags the order block
87. 3:33respects this fair value Gap in
88. 3:35Here and Now price trades and closes
89. 3:38below this candle here which is now
90. 3:41validating it as an order
91. 3:54clock and there you go we hit the -2 to
92. 3:57-2.5 standard deviations
93. 4:00so just to review price goes sweeps an
94. 4:03old high then displaces down however
95. 4:06this can't change the state of delivery
96. 4:08we get a lower time frame sweep which
97. 4:10changes the state of delivery and then
98. 4:12we can anticipate price to trade lower
99. 4:14to London lows and the standard
100. 4:16deviation projection from here I look
101. 4:18for an entry model to gain entry into
102. 4:20the move down so let's hop into the next
103. 4:23example so in this next example we are
104. 4:25going to work top down from the daily
105. 4:27and how you can use the change in state
106. 4:28of delivery on multiple different time
107. 4:30frames so you can see here we have a
108. 4:32daily fair value Gap right here which
109. 4:34would be the draw in
110. 4:36liquidity here you can see price reaches
111. 4:38up into this fair value Gap respects it
112. 4:41and closes down using the next day model
113. 4:44we can anticipate price to move lower
114. 4:46the next day taking out previous day low
115. 4:48but let's hop into the hourly chart to
116. 4:50confirm this bias so here we are on the
117. 4:52hourly chart and ideally we want to see
118. 4:54a change in the state of delivery after
119. 4:56engaging our higher time frame PD array
120. 4:59well here is is our daily fair value Gap
121. 5:00or our higher time frame PD array do we
122. 5:03get a change in the state of delivery
123. 5:04after engaging with it we do as we
124. 5:07displace and close below a series of up
125. 5:09Clos candles here now what else can we
126. 5:11do from my latest videos to give us a
127. 5:14target for this move down we can project
128. 5:16out this manipulation leg from the high
129. 5:19to the low then we can look for the -2
130. 5:21to -2.5 area for a Target so let's get
131. 5:25into the next day and see what
132. 5:28happens
133. 5:30so you can see here we are building a
134. 5:32range and we just put in equal
135. 5:37lows now when we are bearish with price
136. 5:39action a run of an old high is an area
137. 5:42to be looking short so let's hop down to
138. 5:44the lower time frames for this 930 open
139. 5:46in this case we'll use the 2-minute so
140. 5:48here we are on the 2-minute chart let's
141. 5:50go ahead and zoom out so you can see
142. 5:52where we're at we have the old high that
143. 5:54was just tagged right there our equal
144. 5:56lows here and we have a -2 to -2.5 right
145. 6:01here so we'll go ahead and Mark that out
146. 6:03zooming back in let's see what 930 open
147. 6:07does so you can see 930 open manipulated
148. 6:10up closed back in the range so if I'd
149. 6:13want to see this move down I'd want to
150. 6:15see a change in state of delivery or
151. 6:17Price close below the series of up Clos
152. 6:19candles
153. 6:22here here we get that close validating
154. 6:25it as a change in state of delivery so
155. 6:27I'd be looking to enter a short position
156. 6:29here My Stop on this high now what can I
157. 6:31do for targets well I can also project
158. 6:34off this manipulation like here and
159. 6:36let's go ahead and zoom back out now
160. 6:39ideally I'm looking for Targets in the
161. 6:41-2 to -2.5 which we have some equal lows
162. 6:44there we have equal lows as well as the4
163. 6:47to 4.5 there but we also have our hourly
164. 6:50Target here I'm going to go ahead and
165. 6:52put my target just on these equal lows
166. 6:54here but we'll see how these areas react
167. 6:56so let's go ahead and zoom back
168. 6:58in
169. 7:00so here we get tagged
170. 7:03in pretty choppy some displacement
171. 7:10down and zooming back out there we go
172. 7:13and we hit the low you can see we hit
173. 7:17our -2 to -2.5 and our -4 let's see if
174. 7:21we reach for that hourly
175. 7:25Target and we do reach for that hourly
176. 7:28Target now let's go back out to the
177. 7:29hourly chart just to review this we went
178. 7:31from our higher time frame PD array
179. 7:33which in this case was a daily fair
180. 7:35value Gap we waited for the change in
181. 7:37state of delivery on the hourly chart
182. 7:39and then the next day we had a sweep of
183. 7:42buy side liquidity which is an area to
184. 7:44get short when price is bearish from
185. 7:47here we looked for the change in state
186. 7:49of delivery on the 2-minute chart to get
187. 7:51short targeting these equal lows on the
188. 7:53hourly chart as well as the projections
189. 7:55from the high of the week now that you
190. 7:57understand the change in state of
191. 7:58delivery how do I combine all this into
192. 8:00an entry model well what I focus on is a
193. 8:04manipulation then a change in state of
194. 8:06delivery and then I focus on order
195. 8:08blocks and fair value gaps to deliver
196. 8:10price to projections so let's go over a
197. 8:12few examples of that so you can see
198. 8:14right here we have created a
199. 8:17range let's see what
200. 8:20happens you can see price is failing to
201. 8:23displace out of this range but that is
202. 8:26the first thing manipulation the next
203. 8:28thing I look for is a in the state of
204. 8:29delivery so I would need price to close
205. 8:32below this last up close
206. 8:35candle so you can see we have not closed
207. 8:37below it
208. 8:39yet and there is our close below so that
209. 8:42is our change in state of delivery now
210. 8:45if I'm looking to take the first entry
211. 8:47looking to enter here at the change of
212. 8:50state of delivery or when it retests the
213. 8:51order block my stop on the manipulation
214. 8:54High which swept and then for targets I
215. 8:57like to project out my targets now here
216. 9:00I have a low I can be targeting but I
217. 9:02can keep in mind the -2 to -2.5 so
218. 9:05ideally it would look something like
219. 9:06this targeting the -2 standard
220. 9:08deviations we're going to go ahead and
221. 9:10just keep it on this
222. 9:14low now we create more up Clos candles
223. 9:17here and close below them and now we
224. 9:20have more order blocks so if I was going
225. 9:22to miss the first entry I'd be looking
226. 9:24for another entry
227. 9:28here
228. 9:29there we make more up close candles so
229. 9:31I'd want to see this continue to support
230. 9:33price
231. 9:34lower and another thing I'll do is I'm
232. 9:37only going to be looking for entries
233. 9:39within a premium of this dealing range
234. 9:42here so above this line
235. 9:47here you can see price is retesting that
236. 9:51order
237. 9:56block and there we go we break that
238. 9:59initial low let's go ahead and Mark out
239. 10:02our -2 to
240. 10:05-2.5 and now let's see if we can find
241. 10:07something in the other
242. 10:12direction so you can see we're building
243. 10:14a
244. 10:17range now we do reach into the -2 to
245. 10:20-2.5 and Below these lows so if this is
246. 10:23going to become manipulation I'd want to
247. 10:26see a change in the state of delivery or
248. 10:28Price close close over the series of
249. 10:30down close candles
250. 10:34here and price does do that so the next
251. 10:37thing I do is I Look to project out this
252. 10:39manipulation I Look to our left what do
253. 10:41we have resting in the -2 to -2.5 we
254. 10:45have an old high so that will be my
255. 10:47first Target so if I'm looking for the
256. 10:49first entry I'm looking to enter on this
257. 10:52change and state of delivery or the
258. 10:54order block with my stop on the
259. 10:57manipulation targeting this
260. 11:06high now what I'm focusing on is a close
261. 11:08over this down close candle so now that
262. 11:11they close over that it is also a valid
263. 11:14order block so I'm looking for that to
264. 11:15support
265. 11:17price and we go reach that high and
266. 11:20let's see how far we
267. 11:25go you can see we consolidate but we do
268. 11:28go end up and hit that negative4
269. 11:30standard deviations so after cleaning up
270. 11:32the chart a little let's go through what
271. 11:34I look for one more time so the first
272. 11:36thing is manipulation so you can see we
273. 11:38have manipulation over an old high
274. 11:41before change in state of delivery once
275. 11:43those two things occur I Look to project
276. 11:45out this manipulation leg to give myself
277. 11:48a Confluence or targets after that
278. 11:51occurs I look for order blocks and fair
279. 11:53value gaps to support price lower or
280. 11:55higher in this case lower and then the
281. 11:57same thing on the other side over here
282. 11:59we have manipulation once that is
283. 12:01confirmed by changing the state of
284. 12:02delivery I can then look for an entry on
285. 12:05the order block or fair value Gap as
286. 12:07price reaches higher to these projection
287. 12:09targets and liquidity levels last thing
288. 12:11we're going to talk about in this video
289. 12:13is combining AMD or the Box setup with
290. 12:16the change in state of delivery or an
291. 12:18order block formation now I posted on my
292. 12:20community tab this post and so we're
293. 12:23going to go over this example so if you
294. 12:26notice right here we have some sort of
295. 12:28range let's wait for the manipulation
296. 12:30before we identify
297. 12:33that so here we get the manipulation as
298. 12:35it we have an aggressive move out and
299. 12:38then back into a range so going ahead
300. 12:40and marking out this consolidation or
301. 12:43accumulation and we'll also Mark out the
302. 12:46highest body in that accumulation as
303. 12:48that is the Box setup and we'll mark out
304. 12:51the deviation from this range or the
305. 12:53manipulation generally the Box setup is
306. 12:55a retest of these previous highs over
307. 12:58here my stop there and then looking for
308. 13:00targets well how can we get targets we
309. 13:03can project out this manipulation leg
310. 13:05and look for that so this would be the
311. 13:07normal box setup however if I want
312. 13:09confirmation let's see what we would
313. 13:15do so when price comes back up into this
314. 13:18area instead of immediately taking an
315. 13:20entry I'm looking for a formation of an
316. 13:22order block or a change in the state of
317. 13:24delivery right
318. 13:27here
319. 13:29so you can see we have a high here that
320. 13:32gets swept and then where is the series
321. 13:34of up Clos candles that made the high
322. 13:37right here and you can see price already
323. 13:39closed below the opening price of that
324. 13:42validating it as an order block so then
325. 13:44I can look for an entry here and then I
326. 13:47can decide I can either put my stop here
327. 13:49or up here in this case I'm comfortable
328. 13:51putting my stop here as we had a sweep
329. 13:54and then I can look to Target that
330. 13:57original projection so let's see how
331. 13:59this
332. 14:03works and there we
333. 14:07go here we are building a
334. 14:10range as we cannot make new highs or
335. 14:13lows so marking out the lowest bodies in
336. 14:15that range and now go ahead and Mark out
337. 14:17our accumulation our
338. 14:20manipulation now we want to see this
339. 14:22displace back into the range which it
340. 14:24does now if I'm looking for a box setup
341. 14:27my original entry would be on a retest
342. 14:29of this line here my stop on this low
343. 14:32however let's wait for an order block
344. 14:34formation
345. 14:36there so you can see we have a down Clos
346. 14:39candle into that area into the fair
347. 14:41value Gap so then I'm looking for a
348. 14:44close over this
349. 14:47candle here we get a close over this
350. 14:49candle so then I will be looking to
351. 14:51enter long there then I can either put
352. 14:53my stop on this low or here right here I
353. 14:56would have my stop on this low and then
354. 14:59I can project out this manipulation for
355. 15:01a Target and in this case looking for a
356. 15:04previous High here or this fair value
357. 15:07Gap that lines up with the first
358. 15:08standard deviation so we'll just go
359. 15:15here and there you go so that is the
360. 15:18example from the post and I hope that
361. 15:20makes sense and it gives you something
362. 15:21to study I hope you found this video
363. 15:23helpful if you did please consider
364. 15:25liking and subscribing and if you want
365. 15:27to see a more in-depth video on that
366. 15:29entry model please let me know in the
367. 15:31comments below and I'll see you guys
368. 15:33next week have a good
369. 15:42one