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Case Interview Fundamentals: Lesson 20 [Drill: Building a Port in Africa] — Transcript

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  1. 0:00This is not your typical business case.
  2. 0:03It is a case about an entrepreneur of a
  3. 0:05growing African country trying to decide
  4. 0:08if he should build a port in this
  5. 0:10country or not. It's a pretty tough
  6. 0:12case. Uh and we're going to structure it
  7. 0:15today so we can stretch your abilities
  8. 0:18of adapting the three C's and creating a
  9. 0:21structure for pretty much any business
  10. 0:23problem. So, if you can build a good
  11. 0:25structure for this case, you can be
  12. 0:28quite sure that you're going to be able
  13. 0:31to build a structure for pretty much any
  14. 0:33business case in your case interviews.
  15. 0:36And we're going to talk about public
  16. 0:38sector in a later video. So, uh pay
  17. 0:42attention to this drill. Try to do it
  18. 0:44with all your heart and then watch my
  19. 0:47answer and try to absorb as much as you
  20. 0:49can. Now, here are some guidelines
  21. 0:52regarding time. The same from the other
  22. 0:54drills. If you're on skill building
  23. 0:56modes, if you're trying to learn how to
  24. 0:58create, how to adapt your frameworks,
  25. 1:01well, take 10 to 15 minutes to structure
  26. 1:04this case. There's no need to rush and
  27. 1:07later you can improve your timing when
  28. 1:09you're doing mock interviews. I'd say
  29. 1:12more than 95% of you guys are in skill
  30. 1:15or should be in skill building mode.
  31. 1:17Now, if you already know how to
  32. 1:19structure really well and you're just
  33. 1:21trying to improve your times, then two
  34. 1:23to three minutes to structure, which is
  35. 1:25how much you get in an interview. A lot
  36. 1:28of people come to me to ask, "Hey,
  37. 1:30Bruno, some people are saying that I
  38. 1:31only have a minute to structure in an
  39. 1:34interview." Uh, so let me quickly
  40. 1:37address this here. You get two to three
  41. 1:40minutes before your interviewer gets
  42. 1:42impatient.
  43. 1:44if you're taking those minutes to write
  44. 1:47down a lot of ideas on paper and they
  45. 1:49can see it because they're right in
  46. 1:51front of you. So if you're taking a
  47. 1:53little longer than a minute, two, three
  48. 1:56minutes and they can see from your
  49. 1:59writing that you're doing a good job,
  50. 2:01they're not going to get bothered of
  51. 2:03giving you a bit more time. They very
  52. 2:06much prefer uh a candidate that takes a
  53. 2:09bit longer to structure and comes up
  54. 2:11with a really good structure than one
  55. 2:14that takes a minute and falls into the
  56. 2:16guidelines that are not written anywhere
  57. 2:19really uh and come up with a structure
  58. 2:22that is really not really good. So, oh
  59. 2:26and by the way, I have never met a
  60. 2:28candidate who can do a good structure in
  61. 2:30just one minute. Not even I can do that.
  62. 2:34you to do a good structure that's
  63. 2:35exhaustive. You need to have ideas. You
  64. 2:38need to write them down. You need to
  65. 2:40cover a lot of stuff. So regardless of
  66. 2:42if you're doing a case at McKini, at
  67. 2:43Bane, at BCG, if they say even if the
  68. 2:46interviewer tells you you just have a
  69. 2:48minute, you can safely ignore that. Uh
  70. 2:51I've done that in my interviews. I've
  71. 2:53recommended that to all my coaching
  72. 2:55clients and none of them uh did poorly
  73. 2:57because they took two, three minutes. No
  74. 2:59one's really counting the time anyway.
  75. 3:02Uh, all the interviewer wants is you not
  76. 3:04wasting your time and most candidates
  77. 3:08waste their time because they don't know
  78. 3:09how to structure. But that's not you.
  79. 3:11You're going to know how to structure.
  80. 3:13So, take your time to structure well in
  81. 3:15your interview. In this drill, however,
  82. 3:17take a bit more. Take 10 to 15 minutes
  83. 3:20so you can learn how to actually build
  84. 3:22them before you can learn how to do it
  85. 3:24quickly. So, let's jump into the case.
  86. 3:27The case question is pretty simple.
  87. 3:30Should an African entrepreneur build a
  88. 3:33port in his country?
  89. 3:36And that's all you get. I mean, you
  90. 3:39could ask clarifying questions, of
  91. 3:41course, which is what we're doing next.
  92. 3:44So, let's jump into that. A structure is
  93. 3:47a plan to solve a problem. That's the
  94. 3:50basic definition. Clarifying questions
  95. 3:52are only needed when you don't know
  96. 3:55exactly what the problem is. when you
  97. 3:57need to define the problem and if so you
  98. 4:00can't build a plan to structure a
  99. 4:02problem because you don't know this
  100. 4:04problem. So my two clarifying questions
  101. 4:07for this case are there because these
  102. 4:09are two areas that could change the
  103. 4:12nature of the problem that we need to
  104. 4:14solve and so my structure to solve it.
  105. 4:17So let's jump into the clarifying
  106. 4:19questions themselves. I have two of
  107. 4:21them. Who is this entrepreneur and does
  108. 4:24he have the capital and the connections?
  109. 4:27And second, what is the economy
  110. 4:30structure? What is the economic
  111. 4:32structure of this country? What does the
  112. 4:34economy of this country look like? Now,
  113. 4:36let's check the answers. Let's say this
  114. 4:38entrepreneur is a rich and influential
  115. 4:40businessman who wants to remain
  116. 4:43anonymous and that you can assume that
  117. 4:44he's got the capital and the connections
  118. 4:47to do so. And the answer to the second
  119. 4:50question is that this country's primary
  120. 4:53economic activities are agriculture,
  121. 4:56mining, and the oil industries.
  122. 4:59Now, let me just go through really
  123. 5:01quickly the reasoning behind these two
  124. 5:04clarifying questions. My two clarifying
  125. 5:06questions are there because these are
  126. 5:08two areas that could change the nature
  127. 5:10of the problem and so my structure to
  128. 5:13solve it. Your clarifying questions may
  129. 5:15be different and still be good. For
  130. 5:17example, you could ask if this country
  131. 5:19already has a port or if this is going
  132. 5:21to be the first port in this country or
  133. 5:24how do they export their stuff
  134. 5:26currently. I honestly think that this
  135. 5:29case doesn't need any clarifying
  136. 5:31questions to be solved, but it's still
  137. 5:34safer to ask a couple of good ones
  138. 5:36because it shows your interviewer that
  139. 5:39you're aware that you need to define
  140. 5:41well the problem before attempting to
  141. 5:44solve it. So, even if you're pretty sure
  142. 5:46about the nature of the problem, it's
  143. 5:47still better to confirm a couple things
  144. 5:49so that you're signaling to your
  145. 5:51interviewer that you understand that
  146. 5:53this is really important. Now, pause the
  147. 5:56video, take your time, uh write down
  148. 5:59your structure, and preferably record it
  149. 6:02in your smartphone, your delivery of it,
  150. 6:04and then come back to the video and
  151. 6:06watch my answer just so you can compare
  152. 6:08it with yours and gain some insights
  153. 6:11along the way. So here we go. Uh I'll
  154. 6:15start my answer and I'll do that as in
  155. 6:18other drills. First listing the
  156. 6:20categories then uh talking through my
  157. 6:23issues or key questions. It's another
  158. 6:25way to to call them. And then the third
  159. 6:28step is to in each issue or in each key
  160. 6:31question mention what's the underlying
  161. 6:34hypothesis or the underlying reason why
  162. 6:36we need that information.
  163. 6:39And from now on, I'm going to speak as I
  164. 6:41would to the interviewer. So to help
  165. 6:44this African entrepreneur decide if he
  166. 6:46should build a port in this country or
  167. 6:48not, I have to analyze five categories.
  168. 6:51The first is the demand for port
  169. 6:54services in this country. And I'd focus
  170. 6:56on exports because it seems like a
  171. 6:59country that exports a lot of raw
  172. 7:01materials. So exports, demand for ports
  173. 7:05is probably larger than imports. Then I
  174. 7:09want to know what is this port like? I
  175. 7:11imagine they have uh this entrepreneur
  176. 7:13has a specific port in mind or if he
  177. 7:16doesn't what could be uh reasonable
  178. 7:18ports to build in this country like. The
  179. 7:21third category I want to understand
  180. 7:23other competing ports national and
  181. 7:26international.
  182. 7:27So other parts that uh agricultural
  183. 7:30producers or mines or oil uh producers
  184. 7:34in this country use to export their
  185. 7:37products.
  186. 7:38Next fourth category I want to
  187. 7:41understand what are the national issues
  188. 7:42in the country that might influence this
  189. 7:44decision. I mean a port is a huge
  190. 7:47infrastructure project for a developing
  191. 7:50country. So we need to understand if the
  192. 7:53country itself is quote unquote uh
  193. 7:57worthy of this port and then finally I
  194. 8:01want to double check this entrepreneur
  195. 8:03just to see if he's the right person to
  196. 8:05do that. So let's start with the demand
  197. 8:08for port services. There are three main
  198. 8:12things that I want to look at here. The
  199. 8:15first one is I want to get a sense of
  200. 8:18what the exports and the imports and the
  201. 8:21domestic economy is like. So what are
  202. 8:24the types of industries exporting
  203. 8:26importing and in the domestic economy
  204. 8:28and the volumes of this I need to know
  205. 8:31how much is exported, how much is
  206. 8:33imported and so on. And there are two
  207. 8:36reasons for this. The first one is to
  208. 8:38size the current demand of exports and
  209. 8:40imports. And then the domestic economy
  210. 8:43part is to see the potential for latent
  211. 8:46export or import mainly export demand
  212. 8:49due to high operations costs or
  213. 8:52logistical bottlenecks. So the
  214. 8:54hypothesis here is that if this country
  215. 8:56had a new port that is cheaper to
  216. 8:58operate and thus has cheaper fees or
  217. 9:02that could expand the capacity that they
  218. 9:04could export more or move their domestic
  219. 9:08economy more. Now the second issue I
  220. 9:11want to analyze is demand growth and
  221. 9:14here there are two things as well. First
  222. 9:17is the expected growth from current
  223. 9:20industries. So we have some uh crops
  224. 9:22that we cultivate some types of mines in
  225. 9:24this country. What is the expected
  226. 9:27growth from these industries? This could
  227. 9:29be from more demands internationally or
  228. 9:33from currency shifts that make other
  229. 9:36countries preferably buy from this
  230. 9:38country because it's cheaper due to a
  231. 9:40currency shift or even productivity
  232. 9:43improvements. I also want to know what
  233. 9:46are the new mining, agriculture or oil
  234. 9:50projects in this country. If there are
  235. 9:52current uh mines being built or other uh
  236. 9:56type of land being developed, we can
  237. 9:59pretty uh not precisely but we can
  238. 10:03pretty confidently uh size the the the
  239. 10:06growth of demand for port services. So
  240. 10:09the growth of exports in this country.
  241. 10:12Finally, I want to know what is the
  242. 10:14customer satisfaction with the current
  243. 10:17exporting infrastructure.
  244. 10:20What is the cost to use the ports they
  245. 10:22use today? If there are time delays, if
  246. 10:24there's company specific bureaucracy
  247. 10:27that we could avoid, or if the current
  248. 10:29ports are losing cargo or something that
  249. 10:32may disrupt this business's activities,
  250. 10:35my next step after analyzing this demand
  251. 10:39with these three key questions is to
  252. 10:42understand what is the sport like? And
  253. 10:45now there are three questions that I
  254. 10:48want to ask again. The first one is
  255. 10:51regarding location. Are we close to the
  256. 10:54demand? Are we going to be close to the
  257. 10:56mines or to the uh agriculture fields or
  258. 11:00to the oil uh
  259. 11:03to the oil producers and then also I
  260. 11:06want to know the quality of the demand.
  261. 11:08So regarding the proximity, the
  262. 11:11hypothesis is that for agriculture
  263. 11:14products, for mining products, even oil,
  264. 11:17there's high land transportation costs
  265. 11:20compared to the value of the uh product.
  266. 11:24So logistics is really important. If we
  267. 11:26build a port too far away from them,
  268. 11:28they may still use other options because
  269. 11:30it's cheaper to take the products to the
  270. 11:32port. Regarding quality, it's basically
  271. 11:35if the waters are deep enough to receive
  272. 11:37cargo ships, if they're calm enough for
  273. 11:39the port to be operating day in and day
  274. 11:42out. Now, the next issue here is the
  275. 11:45projected capacity either in containers
  276. 11:47or ships per year. I don't know how they
  277. 11:50measure capacity in this industry, but
  278. 11:52the idea here is to compare with latent
  279. 11:54demand or with demand growth to project
  280. 11:58the utilization rate. So we need to
  281. 12:00balance our our capacity the capacity of
  282. 12:03the market and growth in demand to know
  283. 12:06how much of the port is going to be
  284. 12:07utilized uh given the competitiveness of
  285. 12:10this port against other ports. Finally
  286. 12:13the technology
  287. 12:15how good are we going to be able to
  288. 12:17handle products? So maybe we will have
  289. 12:21technology that makes we handle liquids
  290. 12:23such as oil or uh food products such as
  291. 12:28agriculture products better than our
  292. 12:30competitors and also the technology
  293. 12:34related to productivity. So if we are
  294. 12:37going to be a more productive port,
  295. 12:40I have an hypothesis that this is really
  296. 12:42important because it if a ship comes and
  297. 12:46we can load it much faster than other
  298. 12:48ports, this ship's going to be being
  299. 12:51utilized. It's going to be sailing for
  300. 12:53more days in the year. If I were a ship
  301. 12:55operator, I'd like to go to a port that
  302. 12:58can quickly unload my ship, reload it
  303. 13:01with other goods, and start sailing as
  304. 13:04soon as possible because I want that
  305. 13:06ship to be sailing more time and waiting
  306. 13:09for products to be loaded less time. And
  307. 13:12this is related to the port
  308. 13:13productivity. So if we are a port with
  309. 13:15more productivity than other ports,
  310. 13:17other competing ports, we will probably
  311. 13:20get a lot more business than if we're as
  312. 13:23productive or less productive than other
  313. 13:25ports. So these are the three issues
  314. 13:28related to port uh location, the
  315. 13:31capacity and the technology. Now I also
  316. 13:34want to analyze the other competing
  317. 13:36ports, the ports that get business from
  318. 13:38this agriculture, mining and oil
  319. 13:40companies in this country. The first
  320. 13:42thing is I'd look into the same three
  321. 13:44things as in our part and then I'd also
  322. 13:47look into three other things. The first
  323. 13:49is can they improve their productivity?
  324. 13:53So say they're less productive than our
  325. 13:56part will be which will bring business
  326. 13:58to us. Can they improve this
  327. 14:00productivity to be competitive again?
  328. 14:03And if so with low or with high
  329. 14:05investment. So the hypothesis here is
  330. 14:08that there's uh they're going to react
  331. 14:11to our product being more productive if
  332. 14:14they can because if they're losing
  333. 14:16business because of productivity issues,
  334. 14:18they're going to react. They're going to
  335. 14:20invest, especially if it's a low
  336. 14:22investment thing. Now, maybe they can't
  337. 14:25be more productive at all. Even if they
  338. 14:28invest because of the way the part is
  339. 14:30set up and the bay they chose to to
  340. 14:33build the sport. You get the idea. Maybe
  341. 14:35they can't improve productivity even
  342. 14:38with high investment which would be
  343. 14:39really good for us or maybe then they
  344. 14:42can easily improve productivity which
  345. 14:44would take that advantage away from us.
  346. 14:46Now, the other thing that I'd look at is
  347. 14:49the current utilization rate just to see
  348. 14:53if they're fully utilized, which means
  349. 14:56there's room for an expense in capacity,
  350. 15:00or if they're they have low utilization,
  351. 15:03which means that they could uh basically
  352. 15:07do price wars against. So, if they have
  353. 15:09high utilization, we can capture demand
  354. 15:11e more easily. And if they have low
  355. 15:14utilization and we build a port, they're
  356. 15:16probably going to be uh even lower in
  357. 15:19utilization unless they drop prices
  358. 15:21because this is a fixed costheavy
  359. 15:24business, they will be able to drop
  360. 15:26prices further. Uh I mean probably if
  361. 15:30they're pricing above marginal cost,
  362. 15:31they will and they will want to do that
  363. 15:33because they can't afford to lose
  364. 15:35business. Finally, I want to know what
  365. 15:38their operational problems are. what if
  366. 15:42anything is bringing customer uh
  367. 15:44dissatisfaction
  368. 15:46down? So if the customers are not
  369. 15:49satisfied with timeliness or loss of
  370. 15:53cargo or costs all the stuff that uh
  371. 15:57we've explored in the demand side of the
  372. 15:59analysis here on the competition side of
  373. 16:02the analysis I want to know what are the
  374. 16:04operational problems that are leading
  375. 16:07these parts these competing parts to uh
  376. 16:11have their customers dissatisfied
  377. 16:13because maybe they're easy fixes or
  378. 16:16maybe They're really tough things to
  379. 16:18change. If it's tough, then bringing a
  380. 16:20new port to the market will make even
  381. 16:22more sense. Now, I don't want to build a
  382. 16:25port in a country unless I know that
  383. 16:29that country doesn't have any issues
  384. 16:32that might negatively influence this
  385. 16:35building of the port because a port is
  386. 16:38an infrastructure project. I can't just
  387. 16:40take it away of the country if something
  388. 16:42happens and move it to other country. I
  389. 16:44just will lose the investment. And there
  390. 16:46are a few things that I want to look at
  391. 16:47here. First is the political stability.
  392. 16:52My hypothesis is that if the country is
  393. 16:54not stable politically, it's not worth
  394. 16:57the risk of making a long-term fixed
  395. 16:59investment here because what if there's
  396. 17:02a government takeover and we just lose
  397. 17:05the port due to political reasons? Might
  398. 17:08as well build a port in a neighboring
  399. 17:10country that's more stable politically.
  400. 17:12Second, what are the required permits to
  401. 17:16build a port and to operate a port?
  402. 17:18Third, is there civil or political
  403. 17:21corruption? And here the idea or the
  404. 17:24hypothesis that in order to build and
  405. 17:27operate this port with certain degree of
  406. 17:30stability, the entrepreneur might need
  407. 17:32someone's favor quote unquote to do the
  408. 17:34project. It is an African country. uh I
  409. 17:38don't know which one but many of them
  410. 17:40are plagued with corruption and I'm not
  411. 17:42saying the entrepreneur should get this
  412. 17:45favors quote unquote from people but uh
  413. 17:48the idea is we need to know beforehand
  414. 17:50so that the the entrepreneur does
  415. 17:52whatever he feels comfortable doing I
  416. 17:55don't know anything about this country
  417. 17:57but the thing is if there's corruption
  418. 17:59and if this corruption is so ingrained
  419. 18:02in the system that the they can't
  420. 18:04operate apart without doing borderline
  421. 18:09illegal stuff or even illegal stuff.
  422. 18:10It's better to know it beforehand and
  423. 18:13we're not lawyers, but we need to to
  424. 18:16make the client aware of that if he's
  425. 18:18not already. Then we need to check about
  426. 18:21the unions. Uh port operations required
  427. 18:25really specific people to work at it.
  428. 18:28These people are probably unionized
  429. 18:31because of the nature of the job. And if
  430. 18:34the unions are really strong in this
  431. 18:36country and tend to be aggressive, we
  432. 18:38run the risk of not operating well.
  433. 18:41Finally, the tax the tax and finances of
  434. 18:44this country both taxation for port
  435. 18:47services because that's part of the the
  436. 18:49work but primarily is this country
  437. 18:52economically
  438. 18:54uh stable in the long run because I
  439. 18:57don't want to make a huge long-term
  440. 18:59investment in a country that is probably
  441. 19:03going to have it an economic crisis in
  442. 19:06the next few years or so on. So I
  443. 19:08checked that as well. And finally, the
  444. 19:10entrepreneur.
  445. 19:12There's a few things that I want to know
  446. 19:14about him, and we've checked a bit in
  447. 19:16the clarifying question, but I just want
  448. 19:18to make sure that he has the knowledge,
  449. 19:21the connections, and the access to
  450. 19:23capital to build and operate a port.
  451. 19:27Uh, I found it strange at the case
  452. 19:29question that it is an entrepreneur and
  453. 19:32not a conglomerate or an infrastructure
  454. 19:35company or a private equity. It's one
  455. 19:38person. Uh, and it's weird because I
  456. 19:41mean maybe a really rich and influential
  457. 19:43person, but a port is a billion plus
  458. 19:47dollar project. Usually it is. It's a
  459. 19:50huge project and can one person do it.
  460. 19:54Uh, and the dimensions I analyze is
  461. 19:58knowledge, connections and access to
  462. 20:00capital. So that's how I would structure
  463. 20:03this problem and tackle this idea of
  464. 20:06building a port in this country. And the
  465. 20:09first thing I would look at here
  466. 20:12[snorts] would probably the demand for
  467. 20:14port services in the country. Uh I think
  468. 20:17if there's no demand, it makes no sense
  469. 20:19to build this port. And if we find that
  470. 20:22there is no demand then I would look at
  471. 20:25the competition just to make sure that I
  472. 20:29mean maybe there is no latent or excess
  473. 20:31demand uh but we can still be profitable
  474. 20:34because the competition is so bad and
  475. 20:36they can't do anything about it. So if
  476. 20:38we build this we will get all the market
  477. 20:40share in this market and we can be
  478. 20:42successful even if demand doesn't grow.
  479. 20:44So these are the two areas that I'd
  480. 20:46start with. Uh actually before I start
  481. 20:49doing that I'd ask a few questions about
  482. 20:52the national issues because if it's a
  483. 20:54politically charged environment maybe it
  484. 20:58doesn't make sense even if the man grows
  485. 21:00it's too risky of an investment although
  486. 21:03I'd assume this entrepreneur knows what
  487. 21:05he's doing in this side. So yeah let me
  488. 21:07circle back and let's start with the man
  489. 21:09first.
  490. 21:10Now let's debrief this case and this is
  491. 21:14kind of the more tactical debrief and
  492. 21:16then we'll do a business sense debrief
  493. 21:18as well for to talk about the specific
  494. 21:20issues that were in this case. So the
  495. 21:23first theme here is that this structure
  496. 21:25is the adapted 3C's which makes sense
  497. 21:27because we're in the part of the uh
  498. 21:30course where we adapt the three C's.
  499. 21:34However, this case was pretty tough to
  500. 21:38adapt. I mean, it's a stretch. The
  501. 21:41structure doesn't look much like the
  502. 21:44three C's. And here's the adaptions I
  503. 21:47made just so you can make sense of it.
  504. 21:49The first one is instead of calling
  505. 21:51customers, I called it demand. And the
  506. 21:55reason is a lot of parts will have
  507. 21:59specific customers that they deal with,
  508. 22:02but others I mean, and some of the
  509. 22:04customers are kind of unknown. Let's
  510. 22:06call it like that. uh there's a mess of
  511. 22:11products and uh cargo that needs to come
  512. 22:15into the country and leave the country
  513. 22:17and in this case
  514. 22:20the port offers the infrastructure to do
  515. 22:23so. So they don't really know their
  516. 22:25customers that well uh or at least many
  517. 22:28of the customers. So and they should
  518. 22:31think about aggregate demand how much
  519. 22:33stuff is leaving and getting in the
  520. 22:36country. The second change I did is
  521. 22:38instead of calling the company
  522. 22:41uh I broke it down into the port and the
  523. 22:43entrepreneur and the reason is there is
  524. 22:45no company yet but there's a port or
  525. 22:48there's going to be a port and there is
  526. 22:51an entrepreneur.
  527. 22:52So there's the infrastructure side of
  528. 22:54the company and there is the person or
  529. 22:57the people side of the company which in
  530. 22:59this case is just one person and there
  531. 23:01are specific things I want to know about
  532. 23:03each but there's no company yet and it
  533. 23:06wouldn't make sense to have a company
  534. 23:08bucket asking about organizational
  535. 23:10structure or culture or competitive
  536. 23:13advantages because there is no company
  537. 23:15we need to know about the part and about
  538. 23:17the entrepreneur
  539. 23:19uh also I called competition the other
  540. 23:22ports or the other export import
  541. 23:25infrastructure for this kind of uh goods
  542. 23:29agriculture oil and mining. Now, you
  543. 23:33could argue that, you know, you can
  544. 23:35export and import via airplane or by
  545. 23:38land, but because it's an African
  546. 23:41country and I assume that they're not
  547. 23:44exporting and importing a lot by land,
  548. 23:47it might be a wrong assumption and
  549. 23:49actually it's something that I check
  550. 23:50with the interviewer, but my assumption
  551. 23:53is that they're exporting to other
  552. 23:54continents who buys uh food and oil and
  553. 24:01mine products from Africa. Usually a
  554. 24:04more developed countries. Uh although I
  555. 24:07could be wrong here. Now airplane
  556. 24:08doesn't make sense at all because of the
  557. 24:10type of product we're talking about.
  558. 24:12We're talking about raw materials and
  559. 24:15exporting via airplane would be too
  560. 24:17expensive. So I called competition the
  561. 24:18other parts which makes sense.
  562. 24:23And then I added a category called the
  563. 24:26country or national issues. And this is
  564. 24:29kind of a broader category where I put
  565. 24:31in every other player, every other
  566. 24:34decision maker that could influence this
  567. 24:38and they're part of the country. So the
  568. 24:40unions and the corrupt or potentially
  569. 24:44corrupt government officials or
  570. 24:47politicians and the country's finances
  571. 24:51and so on.
  572. 24:53And the second issue that's important
  573. 24:56for you to take away from this case in
  574. 24:58terms of how to build the case, how to
  575. 25:00present the framework is that I
  576. 25:02explained all the major issues. And I
  577. 25:05did so using three main tools. First is
  578. 25:08wise, second is hypothesis, and third is
  579. 25:11examples. And they're pretty much
  580. 25:13they're cousins. They're they're
  581. 25:15similar. So wise is basically well I
  582. 25:18need to know this information because
  583. 25:22this this and this. So it's an why way
  584. 25:24to explain it. Another one is
  585. 25:26hypothesis. So basically scenarios I
  586. 25:29need to know this information because
  587. 25:31this scenario could happen. I have this
  588. 25:34hypothesis of what could happen and in
  589. 25:36this case this information would be
  590. 25:38highly relevant and we don't know if
  591. 25:40this scenario is true or not. That's why
  592. 25:42it's a hypothesis. But we want to know
  593. 25:46and then examples. So you can say well
  594. 25:48uh I need to know
  595. 25:51if there's any
  596. 25:54source of latent demand or any growth in
  597. 25:58demand that we might know of for example
  598. 26:01new mines being built in the country or
  599. 26:03new oil extraction platforms or anything
  600. 26:07like that.
  601. 26:09Okay. So this is the debrief for this
  602. 26:12case structures the adapted three C's
  603. 26:16and explain major issues with wise
  604. 26:18hypothesis and examples. You can stretch
  605. 26:21the three C's a lot if you want and you
  606. 26:24get a completely different structure
  607. 26:25from the three C's but that still makes
  608. 26:27sense. Just use the technique that we
  609. 26:30taught in the video explaining how to
  610. 26:32adapt the three C's. Now let's move on
  611. 26:34to the business sense debrief where I
  612. 26:37will explain to you what are the issues
  613. 26:39that you couldn't have missed.
  614. 26:42What are some issues that will add value
  615. 26:45uh and make you outstanding as a
  616. 26:48candidate in terms of business sense and
  617. 26:50then there's one specific issue that I
  618. 26:52want to talk about uh because of being
  619. 26:55sensitive to the client and to the issue
  620. 26:58at hand. So let's start with three
  621. 27:00required issues to do well in this case.
  622. 27:03The first one is future demand. Building
  623. 27:07a port is a very long-term investment.
  624. 27:11If you as a candidate just ask, well,
  625. 27:13what is the demand for port services
  626. 27:15now? And it's projected growth in terms
  627. 27:18of a number. Ah, it's growing 3% per
  628. 27:21year. Oh, that's cool. That's not an
  629. 27:24insightful way to do it. You need to do
  630. 27:25it better. You need to know where does
  631. 27:28this future demand come from? And you
  632. 27:30need to make the interviewer aware that
  633. 27:31you know that future demand is perhaps
  634. 27:35more important than current demand.
  635. 27:37We're talking about building a port.
  636. 27:39It's not something that goes away in a
  637. 27:41few years. It's something that lasts for
  638. 27:43decades. Second issue, capacity. You
  639. 27:47need to have mentioned capacity of the
  640. 27:49port of the other ports versus the
  641. 27:52demand. So the whole capacity of the
  642. 27:55market after you build the sport should
  643. 27:58be wellsized versus the demand. What
  644. 28:00does wellsized mean is subject to other
  645. 28:04analysis. So but basically you need to
  646. 28:07be profitable. If you're building a port
  647. 28:09in a country that has excess capacity
  648. 28:11for ports, it's probably not going to be
  649. 28:14profitable. Third, stability of the
  650. 28:17country. That's the main source of risk.
  651. 28:19And I'm talking about political
  652. 28:21stability, economical stability. And the
  653. 28:24key thing here is this is a very
  654. 28:26long-term investment. So this is this
  655. 28:29makes future demand be a critical issue,
  656. 28:32but it also makes stability of the
  657. 28:35country be a critical reason especially
  658. 28:37as you couple that with it being a
  659. 28:39developing African country. So these
  660. 28:42three issues should be in your framework
  661. 28:44in some uh form or shape. And if you
  662. 28:48didn't include them, if you missed it,
  663. 28:50you made a mistake. And you'd probably
  664. 28:53get a call from uh the consulting firm
  665. 28:55or your interviewer telling you, well,
  666. 28:58unfortunately, you're not going to go to
  667. 29:00next round because your business sense
  668. 29:03wasn't good enough. Now, there are three
  669. 29:05standout issues. Three issues that if
  670. 29:07you did mention, you would stand out as
  671. 29:10a candidate. Having a standout issue
  672. 29:12doesn't uh make you bulletproof to not
  673. 29:15saying the required issues. You still
  674. 29:17need the required issues, but as you add
  675. 29:20these standout issues, your interview is
  676. 29:23going to get a sense that you have an
  677. 29:25excellent business sense. And these are
  678. 29:26some examples. There may be others. The
  679. 29:28first one is productivity
  680. 29:31matters because ships want to be
  681. 29:34sailing. So I've gone through that in
  682. 29:36the in the in the framework
  683. 29:39presentation. Let me go through it again
  684. 29:41for those of you who didn't understand
  685. 29:44because I was a bit quick there. So,
  686. 29:46here's the deal. A ship operator likely
  687. 29:50has the option to choose which port to
  688. 29:53get the cargo from. And if you're a ship
  689. 29:56operator, you have a huge cost, which is
  690. 29:59your ship. It's a million millions of
  691. 30:02dollars uh capital expense and you want
  692. 30:06that ship to be sailing because if it's
  693. 30:09stuck in a port because of some
  694. 30:11bureaucracy or lack of productivity in
  695. 30:13the port, you're just losing money just
  696. 30:15like an airline wants its airplanes to
  697. 30:18be flying.
  698. 30:19Uh a ship operator wants its ships to be
  699. 30:23sailing. And one driver of whether a
  700. 30:27ship is parked in the port or not is the
  701. 30:30port productivity. So the ability of the
  702. 30:32port to quickly unload and load your
  703. 30:36ship. Some of it is off the port's
  704. 30:39control, but some of this productivity
  705. 30:41is due to the operation of the port. So
  706. 30:45how organized they are, how much
  707. 30:47technology do they have to load and
  708. 30:49unload? Are their workers skilled? So
  709. 30:53recognizing that your port gets business
  710. 30:57as they are productive and that this
  711. 31:00could be an issue a competitive
  712. 31:02advantage for the sport is something
  713. 31:04that makes you stand out in businesses.
  714. 31:06Now let me make a a side note here. I
  715. 31:09don't even know if in real life this
  716. 31:11actually matters or not. Maybe it
  717. 31:14doesn't matter because all ports are
  718. 31:16prod are as productive and there's
  719. 31:18little difference. Maybe the cargo
  720. 31:21operators, the ship operators can't
  721. 31:23really choose what port to use because I
  722. 31:27don't know some regulation or because
  723. 31:29who chooses is the the person who's
  724. 31:31exporting or or sending the materials. I
  725. 31:35don't even know if this is an issue or
  726. 31:37not. And here's the deal with
  727. 31:39businesses. You don't need to know
  728. 31:41stuff. You don't need to have facts
  729. 31:44about the port operator market or the
  730. 31:47international shipping market. What you
  731. 31:49need to know is have good business
  732. 31:51logic. And I'm saying here that if ship
  733. 31:54operators can choose the port and if
  734. 31:58there is a variance between how long a
  735. 32:01ship is parked there uh regarding
  736. 32:05depending on the port productivity then
  737. 32:07it makes sense that a ship operator uh
  738. 32:12wants to choose a port that is more
  739. 32:14productive and thus this more productive
  740. 32:17port will get a boost in market share.
  741. 32:21Now I'm saying if then statements based
  742. 32:24on business logic and so should you. As
  743. 32:27a consultant you get the chance to talk
  744. 32:29to people who know about uh port
  745. 32:33operations and the shipping market and
  746. 32:35everything else in between. But what
  747. 32:38they're testing in the interview is
  748. 32:40really if you're able to ask the right
  749. 32:42questions to these people and if you're
  750. 32:44able to craft this kind of logic in your
  751. 32:47interview, your interview is going to be
  752. 32:49sure that if you're faced with a similar
  753. 32:51situation, you're going to be able to
  754. 32:52call an expert within the consulting
  755. 32:54firm, outside of the consulting firm, or
  756. 32:56even look look up in Google or ask your
  757. 32:59client uh these questions and this and
  758. 33:02and then come up with the logic that
  759. 33:05shows you know, you're going to be much
  760. 33:07more productive which means you're going
  761. 33:09to get this much market share more. So I
  762. 33:12I was saying all this logic I don't even
  763. 33:14know if the facts are true but if they
  764. 33:16are true then it's important to ask them
  765. 33:19because of this second issue port
  766. 33:22location matters because of low dollar
  767. 33:25value per kilogram or per pound if
  768. 33:27you're American and this happens because
  769. 33:31we're dealing with mining and
  770. 33:32agricultural products. Now, this is
  771. 33:36important because if you're selling
  772. 33:39jewelry, you can afford to transport
  773. 33:43your product for far for longer
  774. 33:45distances through more expensive means,
  775. 33:49airplanes, and everything. If you're
  776. 33:51selling TVs or furniture, you don't care
  777. 33:55too much about the freight costs. I
  778. 33:58mean, you always care, but it's not that
  779. 34:00big of a deal because compared to the
  780. 34:03value of the product you're
  781. 34:04transporting, uh, the freight cost is
  782. 34:07not very relevant. Now, if you're
  783. 34:10selling iron or or soybeans,
  784. 34:13the value per kilogram is not very high.
  785. 34:17These are raw materials and
  786. 34:19transportation costs are driven by how
  787. 34:22much weight you uh send or volume. It
  788. 34:26depends. But the key thing here is a
  789. 34:30trucking operator doesn't care if they
  790. 34:33transport iron ore or or expensive
  791. 34:36vehicles. They care about how much it
  792. 34:39weighs, how what's the volume, and
  793. 34:41here's the the the cost to transport.
  794. 34:45And if the port is too far away, maybe
  795. 34:48it's cheaper to go through that port,
  796. 34:51but you have to transport your goods for
  797. 34:53a longer road and thus pay higher land
  798. 34:57transportation costs. The person who's
  799. 35:00exporting is looking at total exporting
  800. 35:02costs, not just what they spend with
  801. 35:04you. So because this country exports low
  802. 35:08dollar value per kilogram products,
  803. 35:12uh port location matters and if you're
  804. 35:14able to make that logic or something
  805. 35:16like that, then it will really make you
  806. 35:19stand out. Third, currency fluctuations.
  807. 35:22These are an important long-term driver
  808. 35:25for poor demanding countries with a weak
  809. 35:28monetary policy. So I don't know if this
  810. 35:31country has a weak monetary policy or
  811. 35:33not. I don't even know what country this
  812. 35:35is, but it's an African country. It's
  813. 35:38developing. Probably not as strong as
  814. 35:41the dollar in the US or the euro in
  815. 35:44Europe. They probably have a weaker
  816. 35:47monetary policy
  817. 35:49with their uh exchange rates. And if
  818. 35:53this is true, then you know what? If
  819. 35:57their currency appreciates a lot in the
  820. 35:59short run, that makes the exports drop.
  821. 36:03which makes the demand for port uh in
  822. 36:06for for port services in this country
  823. 36:08lower. So you have to be able to make
  824. 36:11that logic that connection make sense.
  825. 36:14Now there's an issue that I want to talk
  826. 36:16about here which is corruption. It is a
  827. 36:19sensitive topic that I talked about in a
  828. 36:22sensitive way and I did so because
  829. 36:25you're a consultant. You're not a
  830. 36:26lawyer. You have to talk about the topic
  831. 36:28because it's important to your client.
  832. 36:31But you have to be politically neutral
  833. 36:34and honestly
  834. 36:35it's even hard to judge if the
  835. 36:38entrepreneur wants to go through with
  836. 36:40this uh even if they have to pay some
  837. 36:43people or whatever because maybe it's
  838. 36:46the way things work in this country.
  839. 36:50I personally wouldn't do it but I know
  840. 36:52that a consulting firm wouldn't uh
  841. 36:55approve this because
  842. 36:57it's illegal it's immoral but uh so this
  843. 37:02topic has to be handled in a very
  844. 37:04sensitive way in a sensitive way because
  845. 37:06you can't say yeah go through with this
  846. 37:08it's fine but you have to handle this
  847. 37:11this topic because it's important to
  848. 37:13make the decision now the way this is
  849. 37:15handled in real projects is by much more
  850. 37:19senior people probably no one below
  851. 37:22partner would talk about this but in a
  852. 37:24case interview if the topic comes up
  853. 37:27talk about it just make sure you're
  854. 37:29sensitive and talk in a way frame the
  855. 37:32discussions as if you were talking to
  856. 37:34your manager your partner within the
  857. 37:37consulting firm because it's safer that
  858. 37:39way if you frame the framework
  859. 37:42presentation as if you were telling the
  860. 37:44client this then it raises some I
  861. 37:47wouldn't say red flags but maybe yellow
  862. 37:49flex. So this is it for this case. Go
  863. 37:53through your own framework. Compare with
  864. 37:55this page of required issues, standout
  865. 37:57issues, compare with my own answer of
  866. 38:01the framework. And I hope you've learned
  867. 38:03something. I hope you've learned how to
  868. 38:05stretch the three C's and adapt them
  869. 38:08really well. I hope you've learned how
  870. 38:09to come up with good issues for your
  871. 38:13cases, even infrastructure cases if you
  872. 38:16if you get some of them. But even if you
  873. 38:18don't, there are ideas here that could
  874. 38:20be used in other cases as well. Hope
  875. 38:24you've liked this R. I hope it was
  876. 38:26useful and I'll see you in the next

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