Case Interview Fundamentals: Lesson 20 [Drill: Building a Port in Africa] — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00This is not your typical business case.
- 0:03It is a case about an entrepreneur of a
- 0:05growing African country trying to decide
- 0:08if he should build a port in this
- 0:10country or not. It's a pretty tough
- 0:12case. Uh and we're going to structure it
- 0:15today so we can stretch your abilities
- 0:18of adapting the three C's and creating a
- 0:21structure for pretty much any business
- 0:23problem. So, if you can build a good
- 0:25structure for this case, you can be
- 0:28quite sure that you're going to be able
- 0:31to build a structure for pretty much any
- 0:33business case in your case interviews.
- 0:36And we're going to talk about public
- 0:38sector in a later video. So, uh pay
- 0:42attention to this drill. Try to do it
- 0:44with all your heart and then watch my
- 0:47answer and try to absorb as much as you
- 0:49can. Now, here are some guidelines
- 0:52regarding time. The same from the other
- 0:54drills. If you're on skill building
- 0:56modes, if you're trying to learn how to
- 0:58create, how to adapt your frameworks,
- 1:01well, take 10 to 15 minutes to structure
- 1:04this case. There's no need to rush and
- 1:07later you can improve your timing when
- 1:09you're doing mock interviews. I'd say
- 1:12more than 95% of you guys are in skill
- 1:15or should be in skill building mode.
- 1:17Now, if you already know how to
- 1:19structure really well and you're just
- 1:21trying to improve your times, then two
- 1:23to three minutes to structure, which is
- 1:25how much you get in an interview. A lot
- 1:28of people come to me to ask, "Hey,
- 1:30Bruno, some people are saying that I
- 1:31only have a minute to structure in an
- 1:34interview." Uh, so let me quickly
- 1:37address this here. You get two to three
- 1:40minutes before your interviewer gets
- 1:42impatient.
- 1:44if you're taking those minutes to write
- 1:47down a lot of ideas on paper and they
- 1:49can see it because they're right in
- 1:51front of you. So if you're taking a
- 1:53little longer than a minute, two, three
- 1:56minutes and they can see from your
- 1:59writing that you're doing a good job,
- 2:01they're not going to get bothered of
- 2:03giving you a bit more time. They very
- 2:06much prefer uh a candidate that takes a
- 2:09bit longer to structure and comes up
- 2:11with a really good structure than one
- 2:14that takes a minute and falls into the
- 2:16guidelines that are not written anywhere
- 2:19really uh and come up with a structure
- 2:22that is really not really good. So, oh
- 2:26and by the way, I have never met a
- 2:28candidate who can do a good structure in
- 2:30just one minute. Not even I can do that.
- 2:34you to do a good structure that's
- 2:35exhaustive. You need to have ideas. You
- 2:38need to write them down. You need to
- 2:40cover a lot of stuff. So regardless of
- 2:42if you're doing a case at McKini, at
- 2:43Bane, at BCG, if they say even if the
- 2:46interviewer tells you you just have a
- 2:48minute, you can safely ignore that. Uh
- 2:51I've done that in my interviews. I've
- 2:53recommended that to all my coaching
- 2:55clients and none of them uh did poorly
- 2:57because they took two, three minutes. No
- 2:59one's really counting the time anyway.
- 3:02Uh, all the interviewer wants is you not
- 3:04wasting your time and most candidates
- 3:08waste their time because they don't know
- 3:09how to structure. But that's not you.
- 3:11You're going to know how to structure.
- 3:13So, take your time to structure well in
- 3:15your interview. In this drill, however,
- 3:17take a bit more. Take 10 to 15 minutes
- 3:20so you can learn how to actually build
- 3:22them before you can learn how to do it
- 3:24quickly. So, let's jump into the case.
- 3:27The case question is pretty simple.
- 3:30Should an African entrepreneur build a
- 3:33port in his country?
- 3:36And that's all you get. I mean, you
- 3:39could ask clarifying questions, of
- 3:41course, which is what we're doing next.
- 3:44So, let's jump into that. A structure is
- 3:47a plan to solve a problem. That's the
- 3:50basic definition. Clarifying questions
- 3:52are only needed when you don't know
- 3:55exactly what the problem is. when you
- 3:57need to define the problem and if so you
- 4:00can't build a plan to structure a
- 4:02problem because you don't know this
- 4:04problem. So my two clarifying questions
- 4:07for this case are there because these
- 4:09are two areas that could change the
- 4:12nature of the problem that we need to
- 4:14solve and so my structure to solve it.
- 4:17So let's jump into the clarifying
- 4:19questions themselves. I have two of
- 4:21them. Who is this entrepreneur and does
- 4:24he have the capital and the connections?
- 4:27And second, what is the economy
- 4:30structure? What is the economic
- 4:32structure of this country? What does the
- 4:34economy of this country look like? Now,
- 4:36let's check the answers. Let's say this
- 4:38entrepreneur is a rich and influential
- 4:40businessman who wants to remain
- 4:43anonymous and that you can assume that
- 4:44he's got the capital and the connections
- 4:47to do so. And the answer to the second
- 4:50question is that this country's primary
- 4:53economic activities are agriculture,
- 4:56mining, and the oil industries.
- 4:59Now, let me just go through really
- 5:01quickly the reasoning behind these two
- 5:04clarifying questions. My two clarifying
- 5:06questions are there because these are
- 5:08two areas that could change the nature
- 5:10of the problem and so my structure to
- 5:13solve it. Your clarifying questions may
- 5:15be different and still be good. For
- 5:17example, you could ask if this country
- 5:19already has a port or if this is going
- 5:21to be the first port in this country or
- 5:24how do they export their stuff
- 5:26currently. I honestly think that this
- 5:29case doesn't need any clarifying
- 5:31questions to be solved, but it's still
- 5:34safer to ask a couple of good ones
- 5:36because it shows your interviewer that
- 5:39you're aware that you need to define
- 5:41well the problem before attempting to
- 5:44solve it. So, even if you're pretty sure
- 5:46about the nature of the problem, it's
- 5:47still better to confirm a couple things
- 5:49so that you're signaling to your
- 5:51interviewer that you understand that
- 5:53this is really important. Now, pause the
- 5:56video, take your time, uh write down
- 5:59your structure, and preferably record it
- 6:02in your smartphone, your delivery of it,
- 6:04and then come back to the video and
- 6:06watch my answer just so you can compare
- 6:08it with yours and gain some insights
- 6:11along the way. So here we go. Uh I'll
- 6:15start my answer and I'll do that as in
- 6:18other drills. First listing the
- 6:20categories then uh talking through my
- 6:23issues or key questions. It's another
- 6:25way to to call them. And then the third
- 6:28step is to in each issue or in each key
- 6:31question mention what's the underlying
- 6:34hypothesis or the underlying reason why
- 6:36we need that information.
- 6:39And from now on, I'm going to speak as I
- 6:41would to the interviewer. So to help
- 6:44this African entrepreneur decide if he
- 6:46should build a port in this country or
- 6:48not, I have to analyze five categories.
- 6:51The first is the demand for port
- 6:54services in this country. And I'd focus
- 6:56on exports because it seems like a
- 6:59country that exports a lot of raw
- 7:01materials. So exports, demand for ports
- 7:05is probably larger than imports. Then I
- 7:09want to know what is this port like? I
- 7:11imagine they have uh this entrepreneur
- 7:13has a specific port in mind or if he
- 7:16doesn't what could be uh reasonable
- 7:18ports to build in this country like. The
- 7:21third category I want to understand
- 7:23other competing ports national and
- 7:26international.
- 7:27So other parts that uh agricultural
- 7:30producers or mines or oil uh producers
- 7:34in this country use to export their
- 7:37products.
- 7:38Next fourth category I want to
- 7:41understand what are the national issues
- 7:42in the country that might influence this
- 7:44decision. I mean a port is a huge
- 7:47infrastructure project for a developing
- 7:50country. So we need to understand if the
- 7:53country itself is quote unquote uh
- 7:57worthy of this port and then finally I
- 8:01want to double check this entrepreneur
- 8:03just to see if he's the right person to
- 8:05do that. So let's start with the demand
- 8:08for port services. There are three main
- 8:12things that I want to look at here. The
- 8:15first one is I want to get a sense of
- 8:18what the exports and the imports and the
- 8:21domestic economy is like. So what are
- 8:24the types of industries exporting
- 8:26importing and in the domestic economy
- 8:28and the volumes of this I need to know
- 8:31how much is exported, how much is
- 8:33imported and so on. And there are two
- 8:36reasons for this. The first one is to
- 8:38size the current demand of exports and
- 8:40imports. And then the domestic economy
- 8:43part is to see the potential for latent
- 8:46export or import mainly export demand
- 8:49due to high operations costs or
- 8:52logistical bottlenecks. So the
- 8:54hypothesis here is that if this country
- 8:56had a new port that is cheaper to
- 8:58operate and thus has cheaper fees or
- 9:02that could expand the capacity that they
- 9:04could export more or move their domestic
- 9:08economy more. Now the second issue I
- 9:11want to analyze is demand growth and
- 9:14here there are two things as well. First
- 9:17is the expected growth from current
- 9:20industries. So we have some uh crops
- 9:22that we cultivate some types of mines in
- 9:24this country. What is the expected
- 9:27growth from these industries? This could
- 9:29be from more demands internationally or
- 9:33from currency shifts that make other
- 9:36countries preferably buy from this
- 9:38country because it's cheaper due to a
- 9:40currency shift or even productivity
- 9:43improvements. I also want to know what
- 9:46are the new mining, agriculture or oil
- 9:50projects in this country. If there are
- 9:52current uh mines being built or other uh
- 9:56type of land being developed, we can
- 9:59pretty uh not precisely but we can
- 10:03pretty confidently uh size the the the
- 10:06growth of demand for port services. So
- 10:09the growth of exports in this country.
- 10:12Finally, I want to know what is the
- 10:14customer satisfaction with the current
- 10:17exporting infrastructure.
- 10:20What is the cost to use the ports they
- 10:22use today? If there are time delays, if
- 10:24there's company specific bureaucracy
- 10:27that we could avoid, or if the current
- 10:29ports are losing cargo or something that
- 10:32may disrupt this business's activities,
- 10:35my next step after analyzing this demand
- 10:39with these three key questions is to
- 10:42understand what is the sport like? And
- 10:45now there are three questions that I
- 10:48want to ask again. The first one is
- 10:51regarding location. Are we close to the
- 10:54demand? Are we going to be close to the
- 10:56mines or to the uh agriculture fields or
- 11:00to the oil uh
- 11:03to the oil producers and then also I
- 11:06want to know the quality of the demand.
- 11:08So regarding the proximity, the
- 11:11hypothesis is that for agriculture
- 11:14products, for mining products, even oil,
- 11:17there's high land transportation costs
- 11:20compared to the value of the uh product.
- 11:24So logistics is really important. If we
- 11:26build a port too far away from them,
- 11:28they may still use other options because
- 11:30it's cheaper to take the products to the
- 11:32port. Regarding quality, it's basically
- 11:35if the waters are deep enough to receive
- 11:37cargo ships, if they're calm enough for
- 11:39the port to be operating day in and day
- 11:42out. Now, the next issue here is the
- 11:45projected capacity either in containers
- 11:47or ships per year. I don't know how they
- 11:50measure capacity in this industry, but
- 11:52the idea here is to compare with latent
- 11:54demand or with demand growth to project
- 11:58the utilization rate. So we need to
- 12:00balance our our capacity the capacity of
- 12:03the market and growth in demand to know
- 12:06how much of the port is going to be
- 12:07utilized uh given the competitiveness of
- 12:10this port against other ports. Finally
- 12:13the technology
- 12:15how good are we going to be able to
- 12:17handle products? So maybe we will have
- 12:21technology that makes we handle liquids
- 12:23such as oil or uh food products such as
- 12:28agriculture products better than our
- 12:30competitors and also the technology
- 12:34related to productivity. So if we are
- 12:37going to be a more productive port,
- 12:40I have an hypothesis that this is really
- 12:42important because it if a ship comes and
- 12:46we can load it much faster than other
- 12:48ports, this ship's going to be being
- 12:51utilized. It's going to be sailing for
- 12:53more days in the year. If I were a ship
- 12:55operator, I'd like to go to a port that
- 12:58can quickly unload my ship, reload it
- 13:01with other goods, and start sailing as
- 13:04soon as possible because I want that
- 13:06ship to be sailing more time and waiting
- 13:09for products to be loaded less time. And
- 13:12this is related to the port
- 13:13productivity. So if we are a port with
- 13:15more productivity than other ports,
- 13:17other competing ports, we will probably
- 13:20get a lot more business than if we're as
- 13:23productive or less productive than other
- 13:25ports. So these are the three issues
- 13:28related to port uh location, the
- 13:31capacity and the technology. Now I also
- 13:34want to analyze the other competing
- 13:36ports, the ports that get business from
- 13:38this agriculture, mining and oil
- 13:40companies in this country. The first
- 13:42thing is I'd look into the same three
- 13:44things as in our part and then I'd also
- 13:47look into three other things. The first
- 13:49is can they improve their productivity?
- 13:53So say they're less productive than our
- 13:56part will be which will bring business
- 13:58to us. Can they improve this
- 14:00productivity to be competitive again?
- 14:03And if so with low or with high
- 14:05investment. So the hypothesis here is
- 14:08that there's uh they're going to react
- 14:11to our product being more productive if
- 14:14they can because if they're losing
- 14:16business because of productivity issues,
- 14:18they're going to react. They're going to
- 14:20invest, especially if it's a low
- 14:22investment thing. Now, maybe they can't
- 14:25be more productive at all. Even if they
- 14:28invest because of the way the part is
- 14:30set up and the bay they chose to to
- 14:33build the sport. You get the idea. Maybe
- 14:35they can't improve productivity even
- 14:38with high investment which would be
- 14:39really good for us or maybe then they
- 14:42can easily improve productivity which
- 14:44would take that advantage away from us.
- 14:46Now, the other thing that I'd look at is
- 14:49the current utilization rate just to see
- 14:53if they're fully utilized, which means
- 14:56there's room for an expense in capacity,
- 15:00or if they're they have low utilization,
- 15:03which means that they could uh basically
- 15:07do price wars against. So, if they have
- 15:09high utilization, we can capture demand
- 15:11e more easily. And if they have low
- 15:14utilization and we build a port, they're
- 15:16probably going to be uh even lower in
- 15:19utilization unless they drop prices
- 15:21because this is a fixed costheavy
- 15:24business, they will be able to drop
- 15:26prices further. Uh I mean probably if
- 15:30they're pricing above marginal cost,
- 15:31they will and they will want to do that
- 15:33because they can't afford to lose
- 15:35business. Finally, I want to know what
- 15:38their operational problems are. what if
- 15:42anything is bringing customer uh
- 15:44dissatisfaction
- 15:46down? So if the customers are not
- 15:49satisfied with timeliness or loss of
- 15:53cargo or costs all the stuff that uh
- 15:57we've explored in the demand side of the
- 15:59analysis here on the competition side of
- 16:02the analysis I want to know what are the
- 16:04operational problems that are leading
- 16:07these parts these competing parts to uh
- 16:11have their customers dissatisfied
- 16:13because maybe they're easy fixes or
- 16:16maybe They're really tough things to
- 16:18change. If it's tough, then bringing a
- 16:20new port to the market will make even
- 16:22more sense. Now, I don't want to build a
- 16:25port in a country unless I know that
- 16:29that country doesn't have any issues
- 16:32that might negatively influence this
- 16:35building of the port because a port is
- 16:38an infrastructure project. I can't just
- 16:40take it away of the country if something
- 16:42happens and move it to other country. I
- 16:44just will lose the investment. And there
- 16:46are a few things that I want to look at
- 16:47here. First is the political stability.
- 16:52My hypothesis is that if the country is
- 16:54not stable politically, it's not worth
- 16:57the risk of making a long-term fixed
- 16:59investment here because what if there's
- 17:02a government takeover and we just lose
- 17:05the port due to political reasons? Might
- 17:08as well build a port in a neighboring
- 17:10country that's more stable politically.
- 17:12Second, what are the required permits to
- 17:16build a port and to operate a port?
- 17:18Third, is there civil or political
- 17:21corruption? And here the idea or the
- 17:24hypothesis that in order to build and
- 17:27operate this port with certain degree of
- 17:30stability, the entrepreneur might need
- 17:32someone's favor quote unquote to do the
- 17:34project. It is an African country. uh I
- 17:38don't know which one but many of them
- 17:40are plagued with corruption and I'm not
- 17:42saying the entrepreneur should get this
- 17:45favors quote unquote from people but uh
- 17:48the idea is we need to know beforehand
- 17:50so that the the entrepreneur does
- 17:52whatever he feels comfortable doing I
- 17:55don't know anything about this country
- 17:57but the thing is if there's corruption
- 17:59and if this corruption is so ingrained
- 18:02in the system that the they can't
- 18:04operate apart without doing borderline
- 18:09illegal stuff or even illegal stuff.
- 18:10It's better to know it beforehand and
- 18:13we're not lawyers, but we need to to
- 18:16make the client aware of that if he's
- 18:18not already. Then we need to check about
- 18:21the unions. Uh port operations required
- 18:25really specific people to work at it.
- 18:28These people are probably unionized
- 18:31because of the nature of the job. And if
- 18:34the unions are really strong in this
- 18:36country and tend to be aggressive, we
- 18:38run the risk of not operating well.
- 18:41Finally, the tax the tax and finances of
- 18:44this country both taxation for port
- 18:47services because that's part of the the
- 18:49work but primarily is this country
- 18:52economically
- 18:54uh stable in the long run because I
- 18:57don't want to make a huge long-term
- 18:59investment in a country that is probably
- 19:03going to have it an economic crisis in
- 19:06the next few years or so on. So I
- 19:08checked that as well. And finally, the
- 19:10entrepreneur.
- 19:12There's a few things that I want to know
- 19:14about him, and we've checked a bit in
- 19:16the clarifying question, but I just want
- 19:18to make sure that he has the knowledge,
- 19:21the connections, and the access to
- 19:23capital to build and operate a port.
- 19:27Uh, I found it strange at the case
- 19:29question that it is an entrepreneur and
- 19:32not a conglomerate or an infrastructure
- 19:35company or a private equity. It's one
- 19:38person. Uh, and it's weird because I
- 19:41mean maybe a really rich and influential
- 19:43person, but a port is a billion plus
- 19:47dollar project. Usually it is. It's a
- 19:50huge project and can one person do it.
- 19:54Uh, and the dimensions I analyze is
- 19:58knowledge, connections and access to
- 20:00capital. So that's how I would structure
- 20:03this problem and tackle this idea of
- 20:06building a port in this country. And the
- 20:09first thing I would look at here
- 20:12[snorts] would probably the demand for
- 20:14port services in the country. Uh I think
- 20:17if there's no demand, it makes no sense
- 20:19to build this port. And if we find that
- 20:22there is no demand then I would look at
- 20:25the competition just to make sure that I
- 20:29mean maybe there is no latent or excess
- 20:31demand uh but we can still be profitable
- 20:34because the competition is so bad and
- 20:36they can't do anything about it. So if
- 20:38we build this we will get all the market
- 20:40share in this market and we can be
- 20:42successful even if demand doesn't grow.
- 20:44So these are the two areas that I'd
- 20:46start with. Uh actually before I start
- 20:49doing that I'd ask a few questions about
- 20:52the national issues because if it's a
- 20:54politically charged environment maybe it
- 20:58doesn't make sense even if the man grows
- 21:00it's too risky of an investment although
- 21:03I'd assume this entrepreneur knows what
- 21:05he's doing in this side. So yeah let me
- 21:07circle back and let's start with the man
- 21:09first.
- 21:10Now let's debrief this case and this is
- 21:14kind of the more tactical debrief and
- 21:16then we'll do a business sense debrief
- 21:18as well for to talk about the specific
- 21:20issues that were in this case. So the
- 21:23first theme here is that this structure
- 21:25is the adapted 3C's which makes sense
- 21:27because we're in the part of the uh
- 21:30course where we adapt the three C's.
- 21:34However, this case was pretty tough to
- 21:38adapt. I mean, it's a stretch. The
- 21:41structure doesn't look much like the
- 21:44three C's. And here's the adaptions I
- 21:47made just so you can make sense of it.
- 21:49The first one is instead of calling
- 21:51customers, I called it demand. And the
- 21:55reason is a lot of parts will have
- 21:59specific customers that they deal with,
- 22:02but others I mean, and some of the
- 22:04customers are kind of unknown. Let's
- 22:06call it like that. uh there's a mess of
- 22:11products and uh cargo that needs to come
- 22:15into the country and leave the country
- 22:17and in this case
- 22:20the port offers the infrastructure to do
- 22:23so. So they don't really know their
- 22:25customers that well uh or at least many
- 22:28of the customers. So and they should
- 22:31think about aggregate demand how much
- 22:33stuff is leaving and getting in the
- 22:36country. The second change I did is
- 22:38instead of calling the company
- 22:41uh I broke it down into the port and the
- 22:43entrepreneur and the reason is there is
- 22:45no company yet but there's a port or
- 22:48there's going to be a port and there is
- 22:51an entrepreneur.
- 22:52So there's the infrastructure side of
- 22:54the company and there is the person or
- 22:57the people side of the company which in
- 22:59this case is just one person and there
- 23:01are specific things I want to know about
- 23:03each but there's no company yet and it
- 23:06wouldn't make sense to have a company
- 23:08bucket asking about organizational
- 23:10structure or culture or competitive
- 23:13advantages because there is no company
- 23:15we need to know about the part and about
- 23:17the entrepreneur
- 23:19uh also I called competition the other
- 23:22ports or the other export import
- 23:25infrastructure for this kind of uh goods
- 23:29agriculture oil and mining. Now, you
- 23:33could argue that, you know, you can
- 23:35export and import via airplane or by
- 23:38land, but because it's an African
- 23:41country and I assume that they're not
- 23:44exporting and importing a lot by land,
- 23:47it might be a wrong assumption and
- 23:49actually it's something that I check
- 23:50with the interviewer, but my assumption
- 23:53is that they're exporting to other
- 23:54continents who buys uh food and oil and
- 24:01mine products from Africa. Usually a
- 24:04more developed countries. Uh although I
- 24:07could be wrong here. Now airplane
- 24:08doesn't make sense at all because of the
- 24:10type of product we're talking about.
- 24:12We're talking about raw materials and
- 24:15exporting via airplane would be too
- 24:17expensive. So I called competition the
- 24:18other parts which makes sense.
- 24:23And then I added a category called the
- 24:26country or national issues. And this is
- 24:29kind of a broader category where I put
- 24:31in every other player, every other
- 24:34decision maker that could influence this
- 24:38and they're part of the country. So the
- 24:40unions and the corrupt or potentially
- 24:44corrupt government officials or
- 24:47politicians and the country's finances
- 24:51and so on.
- 24:53And the second issue that's important
- 24:56for you to take away from this case in
- 24:58terms of how to build the case, how to
- 25:00present the framework is that I
- 25:02explained all the major issues. And I
- 25:05did so using three main tools. First is
- 25:08wise, second is hypothesis, and third is
- 25:11examples. And they're pretty much
- 25:13they're cousins. They're they're
- 25:15similar. So wise is basically well I
- 25:18need to know this information because
- 25:22this this and this. So it's an why way
- 25:24to explain it. Another one is
- 25:26hypothesis. So basically scenarios I
- 25:29need to know this information because
- 25:31this scenario could happen. I have this
- 25:34hypothesis of what could happen and in
- 25:36this case this information would be
- 25:38highly relevant and we don't know if
- 25:40this scenario is true or not. That's why
- 25:42it's a hypothesis. But we want to know
- 25:46and then examples. So you can say well
- 25:48uh I need to know
- 25:51if there's any
- 25:54source of latent demand or any growth in
- 25:58demand that we might know of for example
- 26:01new mines being built in the country or
- 26:03new oil extraction platforms or anything
- 26:07like that.
- 26:09Okay. So this is the debrief for this
- 26:12case structures the adapted three C's
- 26:16and explain major issues with wise
- 26:18hypothesis and examples. You can stretch
- 26:21the three C's a lot if you want and you
- 26:24get a completely different structure
- 26:25from the three C's but that still makes
- 26:27sense. Just use the technique that we
- 26:30taught in the video explaining how to
- 26:32adapt the three C's. Now let's move on
- 26:34to the business sense debrief where I
- 26:37will explain to you what are the issues
- 26:39that you couldn't have missed.
- 26:42What are some issues that will add value
- 26:45uh and make you outstanding as a
- 26:48candidate in terms of business sense and
- 26:50then there's one specific issue that I
- 26:52want to talk about uh because of being
- 26:55sensitive to the client and to the issue
- 26:58at hand. So let's start with three
- 27:00required issues to do well in this case.
- 27:03The first one is future demand. Building
- 27:07a port is a very long-term investment.
- 27:11If you as a candidate just ask, well,
- 27:13what is the demand for port services
- 27:15now? And it's projected growth in terms
- 27:18of a number. Ah, it's growing 3% per
- 27:21year. Oh, that's cool. That's not an
- 27:24insightful way to do it. You need to do
- 27:25it better. You need to know where does
- 27:28this future demand come from? And you
- 27:30need to make the interviewer aware that
- 27:31you know that future demand is perhaps
- 27:35more important than current demand.
- 27:37We're talking about building a port.
- 27:39It's not something that goes away in a
- 27:41few years. It's something that lasts for
- 27:43decades. Second issue, capacity. You
- 27:47need to have mentioned capacity of the
- 27:49port of the other ports versus the
- 27:52demand. So the whole capacity of the
- 27:55market after you build the sport should
- 27:58be wellsized versus the demand. What
- 28:00does wellsized mean is subject to other
- 28:04analysis. So but basically you need to
- 28:07be profitable. If you're building a port
- 28:09in a country that has excess capacity
- 28:11for ports, it's probably not going to be
- 28:14profitable. Third, stability of the
- 28:17country. That's the main source of risk.
- 28:19And I'm talking about political
- 28:21stability, economical stability. And the
- 28:24key thing here is this is a very
- 28:26long-term investment. So this is this
- 28:29makes future demand be a critical issue,
- 28:32but it also makes stability of the
- 28:35country be a critical reason especially
- 28:37as you couple that with it being a
- 28:39developing African country. So these
- 28:42three issues should be in your framework
- 28:44in some uh form or shape. And if you
- 28:48didn't include them, if you missed it,
- 28:50you made a mistake. And you'd probably
- 28:53get a call from uh the consulting firm
- 28:55or your interviewer telling you, well,
- 28:58unfortunately, you're not going to go to
- 29:00next round because your business sense
- 29:03wasn't good enough. Now, there are three
- 29:05standout issues. Three issues that if
- 29:07you did mention, you would stand out as
- 29:10a candidate. Having a standout issue
- 29:12doesn't uh make you bulletproof to not
- 29:15saying the required issues. You still
- 29:17need the required issues, but as you add
- 29:20these standout issues, your interview is
- 29:23going to get a sense that you have an
- 29:25excellent business sense. And these are
- 29:26some examples. There may be others. The
- 29:28first one is productivity
- 29:31matters because ships want to be
- 29:34sailing. So I've gone through that in
- 29:36the in the in the framework
- 29:39presentation. Let me go through it again
- 29:41for those of you who didn't understand
- 29:44because I was a bit quick there. So,
- 29:46here's the deal. A ship operator likely
- 29:50has the option to choose which port to
- 29:53get the cargo from. And if you're a ship
- 29:56operator, you have a huge cost, which is
- 29:59your ship. It's a million millions of
- 30:02dollars uh capital expense and you want
- 30:06that ship to be sailing because if it's
- 30:09stuck in a port because of some
- 30:11bureaucracy or lack of productivity in
- 30:13the port, you're just losing money just
- 30:15like an airline wants its airplanes to
- 30:18be flying.
- 30:19Uh a ship operator wants its ships to be
- 30:23sailing. And one driver of whether a
- 30:27ship is parked in the port or not is the
- 30:30port productivity. So the ability of the
- 30:32port to quickly unload and load your
- 30:36ship. Some of it is off the port's
- 30:39control, but some of this productivity
- 30:41is due to the operation of the port. So
- 30:45how organized they are, how much
- 30:47technology do they have to load and
- 30:49unload? Are their workers skilled? So
- 30:53recognizing that your port gets business
- 30:57as they are productive and that this
- 31:00could be an issue a competitive
- 31:02advantage for the sport is something
- 31:04that makes you stand out in businesses.
- 31:06Now let me make a a side note here. I
- 31:09don't even know if in real life this
- 31:11actually matters or not. Maybe it
- 31:14doesn't matter because all ports are
- 31:16prod are as productive and there's
- 31:18little difference. Maybe the cargo
- 31:21operators, the ship operators can't
- 31:23really choose what port to use because I
- 31:27don't know some regulation or because
- 31:29who chooses is the the person who's
- 31:31exporting or or sending the materials. I
- 31:35don't even know if this is an issue or
- 31:37not. And here's the deal with
- 31:39businesses. You don't need to know
- 31:41stuff. You don't need to have facts
- 31:44about the port operator market or the
- 31:47international shipping market. What you
- 31:49need to know is have good business
- 31:51logic. And I'm saying here that if ship
- 31:54operators can choose the port and if
- 31:58there is a variance between how long a
- 32:01ship is parked there uh regarding
- 32:05depending on the port productivity then
- 32:07it makes sense that a ship operator uh
- 32:12wants to choose a port that is more
- 32:14productive and thus this more productive
- 32:17port will get a boost in market share.
- 32:21Now I'm saying if then statements based
- 32:24on business logic and so should you. As
- 32:27a consultant you get the chance to talk
- 32:29to people who know about uh port
- 32:33operations and the shipping market and
- 32:35everything else in between. But what
- 32:38they're testing in the interview is
- 32:40really if you're able to ask the right
- 32:42questions to these people and if you're
- 32:44able to craft this kind of logic in your
- 32:47interview, your interview is going to be
- 32:49sure that if you're faced with a similar
- 32:51situation, you're going to be able to
- 32:52call an expert within the consulting
- 32:54firm, outside of the consulting firm, or
- 32:56even look look up in Google or ask your
- 32:59client uh these questions and this and
- 33:02and then come up with the logic that
- 33:05shows you know, you're going to be much
- 33:07more productive which means you're going
- 33:09to get this much market share more. So I
- 33:12I was saying all this logic I don't even
- 33:14know if the facts are true but if they
- 33:16are true then it's important to ask them
- 33:19because of this second issue port
- 33:22location matters because of low dollar
- 33:25value per kilogram or per pound if
- 33:27you're American and this happens because
- 33:31we're dealing with mining and
- 33:32agricultural products. Now, this is
- 33:36important because if you're selling
- 33:39jewelry, you can afford to transport
- 33:43your product for far for longer
- 33:45distances through more expensive means,
- 33:49airplanes, and everything. If you're
- 33:51selling TVs or furniture, you don't care
- 33:55too much about the freight costs. I
- 33:58mean, you always care, but it's not that
- 34:00big of a deal because compared to the
- 34:03value of the product you're
- 34:04transporting, uh, the freight cost is
- 34:07not very relevant. Now, if you're
- 34:10selling iron or or soybeans,
- 34:13the value per kilogram is not very high.
- 34:17These are raw materials and
- 34:19transportation costs are driven by how
- 34:22much weight you uh send or volume. It
- 34:26depends. But the key thing here is a
- 34:30trucking operator doesn't care if they
- 34:33transport iron ore or or expensive
- 34:36vehicles. They care about how much it
- 34:39weighs, how what's the volume, and
- 34:41here's the the the cost to transport.
- 34:45And if the port is too far away, maybe
- 34:48it's cheaper to go through that port,
- 34:51but you have to transport your goods for
- 34:53a longer road and thus pay higher land
- 34:57transportation costs. The person who's
- 35:00exporting is looking at total exporting
- 35:02costs, not just what they spend with
- 35:04you. So because this country exports low
- 35:08dollar value per kilogram products,
- 35:12uh port location matters and if you're
- 35:14able to make that logic or something
- 35:16like that, then it will really make you
- 35:19stand out. Third, currency fluctuations.
- 35:22These are an important long-term driver
- 35:25for poor demanding countries with a weak
- 35:28monetary policy. So I don't know if this
- 35:31country has a weak monetary policy or
- 35:33not. I don't even know what country this
- 35:35is, but it's an African country. It's
- 35:38developing. Probably not as strong as
- 35:41the dollar in the US or the euro in
- 35:44Europe. They probably have a weaker
- 35:47monetary policy
- 35:49with their uh exchange rates. And if
- 35:53this is true, then you know what? If
- 35:57their currency appreciates a lot in the
- 35:59short run, that makes the exports drop.
- 36:03which makes the demand for port uh in
- 36:06for for port services in this country
- 36:08lower. So you have to be able to make
- 36:11that logic that connection make sense.
- 36:14Now there's an issue that I want to talk
- 36:16about here which is corruption. It is a
- 36:19sensitive topic that I talked about in a
- 36:22sensitive way and I did so because
- 36:25you're a consultant. You're not a
- 36:26lawyer. You have to talk about the topic
- 36:28because it's important to your client.
- 36:31But you have to be politically neutral
- 36:34and honestly
- 36:35it's even hard to judge if the
- 36:38entrepreneur wants to go through with
- 36:40this uh even if they have to pay some
- 36:43people or whatever because maybe it's
- 36:46the way things work in this country.
- 36:50I personally wouldn't do it but I know
- 36:52that a consulting firm wouldn't uh
- 36:55approve this because
- 36:57it's illegal it's immoral but uh so this
- 37:02topic has to be handled in a very
- 37:04sensitive way in a sensitive way because
- 37:06you can't say yeah go through with this
- 37:08it's fine but you have to handle this
- 37:11this topic because it's important to
- 37:13make the decision now the way this is
- 37:15handled in real projects is by much more
- 37:19senior people probably no one below
- 37:22partner would talk about this but in a
- 37:24case interview if the topic comes up
- 37:27talk about it just make sure you're
- 37:29sensitive and talk in a way frame the
- 37:32discussions as if you were talking to
- 37:34your manager your partner within the
- 37:37consulting firm because it's safer that
- 37:39way if you frame the framework
- 37:42presentation as if you were telling the
- 37:44client this then it raises some I
- 37:47wouldn't say red flags but maybe yellow
- 37:49flex. So this is it for this case. Go
- 37:53through your own framework. Compare with
- 37:55this page of required issues, standout
- 37:57issues, compare with my own answer of
- 38:01the framework. And I hope you've learned
- 38:03something. I hope you've learned how to
- 38:05stretch the three C's and adapt them
- 38:08really well. I hope you've learned how
- 38:09to come up with good issues for your
- 38:13cases, even infrastructure cases if you
- 38:16if you get some of them. But even if you
- 38:18don't, there are ideas here that could
- 38:20be used in other cases as well. Hope
- 38:24you've liked this R. I hope it was
- 38:26useful and I'll see you in the next
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