Candlestick Patterns Don't Work (Unless You Do This) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00This is a candlestick. And if formed in
- 0:02a specific formation, it can tell you a
- 0:04story of what the market is planning to
- 0:06do next. But what if I told you
- 0:09everything you know about candlestick
- 0:10patterns is a lie. Hammers, dogeis,
- 0:13engulfing candles, all of it. None of
- 0:15this will work unless you pair it with
- 0:17this secret trick. You see, most retail
- 0:19traders treat candlestick patterns like
- 0:21cheat codes. They grab their little
- 0:23candlestick pattern mouse pads that they
- 0:25bought on Amazon and blindly look at
- 0:27trades with the same chart pattern. And
- 0:29while yes, candlestick patterns can be
- 0:30used for predicting price, a lot of
- 0:32people use them completely wrong. They
- 0:34see a bullish engulfing candle and they
- 0:36think, "Great, what a great time to
- 0:38buy." But then the price tanks. But what
- 0:40if I told you there's a strategy you can
- 0:42execute in order to know when this was
- 0:45about to happen. Every candle you see is
- 0:47one of these three types of candles:
- 0:49Indecision candles, control shift
- 0:51candles, and strength candles. Let's
- 0:53start with the most powerful one, the
- 0:55strength candle. These candles have
- 0:56large bodies and small wicks. This is a
- 0:59strength candle and shows that buyers or
- 1:01sellers are in complete control at this
- 1:04time. But this candle can get even
- 1:06stronger. Oh my god. If a strength
- 1:09candle is printed with a large body and
- 1:11no upper wick for a bullish candle, this
- 1:13is an extremely strong candle as it's
- 1:16showing that buyers had absolutely no
- 1:18resistance from sellers at this point.
- 1:20It's the exact opposite for bearish
- 1:22candles. If the candle has a large red
- 1:24body with no lower wick, that shows
- 1:26sellers had no resistance from buyers at
- 1:29this point. Now, these candles are
- 1:30pretty rare in the market, but if seen,
- 1:32it shows extreme buyer or seller
- 1:34control. But just like most things in
- 1:36life, size matters. For example, you
- 1:38could get this strength candle in
- 1:40different sizes. Here we have four
- 1:41examples. And all of these examples are
- 1:44strength candles with uninterrupted
- 1:46buying. But the largest strength candle
- 1:48is the strongest and the best indication
- 1:50that buyers are in control. Even though
- 1:52candle number four is still a strength
- 1:54candle, it's a lot weaker indication
- 1:56than candle number one. Large strength
- 1:58candles show massive buying, small
- 2:00strength candles show less aggressive
- 2:02buying. But what happens when that
- 2:04control suddenly shifts. That brings us
- 2:06to candle number two. This candle shows
- 2:08who's losing the battle and who's about
- 2:10to take over. These are also called
- 2:12control shift or reversal candle. Candle
- 2:14wicks show rejected price action. So if
- 2:16you have a large upper wick that shows
- 2:18buyers tried to move the price up but
- 2:20got rejected and sellers took over and
- 2:23brought the price down. These control
- 2:25shift candles have long wicks with small
- 2:27body. For this candle, the body of the
- 2:29candle is pretty irrelevant. It doesn't
- 2:31matter if the candle's green or red.
- 2:33What tells you the real story is the
- 2:35wick. So oftent times these candles can
- 2:37show reversal points. With candles
- 2:39showing large lower wicks, we can expect
- 2:41price to move up. If we see candles
- 2:43showing large upper wicks, we can expect
- 2:45price to move down. Now, when no one's
- 2:47in charge, the candle looks very
- 2:49different. That brings us to candle
- 2:51number
- 2:53three. This candle means no one's in
- 2:56control. An indecision candle looks like
- 2:58this. They have wicks on both sides with
- 3:01small bodies. They show equal effort
- 3:03from both buyers and sellers, but no
- 3:05real progress. Now, there's a lot of
- 3:07different ways this can look. It could
- 3:09look like this, this, this, or this. All
- 3:12of these are indecision candles. Main
- 3:14thing you have to remember is there's a
- 3:15small body with equal wicks on either
- 3:18side. People often call these dogeis,
- 3:20but these candles usually appear before
- 3:22major breakouts or reversals because the
- 3:24market is trying to decide what it wants
- 3:26to do next, but hasn't completely
- 3:28decided on which way it wants to go yet.
- 3:30You should never trade purely based off
- 3:32these candles because this candle
- 3:34doesn't tell us who's in control. But
- 3:36when paired with this next candle, that
- 3:38completely changes everything. For
- 3:40example, if an indecision candle is
- 3:43printed, but then directly after a
- 3:45control shift candle is printed, this
- 3:47shows us that buyers have won in the
- 3:49indecision battle and we can wait for
- 3:51price to do a pullback to this
- 3:52indecision candle and enter here. You
- 3:55can also use it as a clear reversal
- 3:57point. For example, price drops strong
- 3:59down to this area of demand, but right
- 4:01when it reaches it, some indecision
- 4:03candles showed up showing that price is
- 4:05hesitating. And if paired with a
- 4:07strength candle, it can show buyers are
- 4:09starting to step in. But all of this
- 4:11began with the indecision candle showing
- 4:13signs of slowing down the sellers. So
- 4:16let's put all we've learned to the test
- 4:18and do a real life chart example. But
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- 5:08use my link. You're welcome. Now, let's
- 5:10take all three candle types and drop
- 5:12them into a real trading example. So,
- 5:15here we have some price action forming.
- 5:16We started with a slight downtrend, but
- 5:18if you look closely, something very
- 5:20interesting is happening. During this
- 5:22downtrend, we got three indecision
- 5:24candles showing price is hesitating at
- 5:26this price and doesn't know whether it
- 5:28wants to go up or down from here. One
- 5:30key thing to note though is that this
- 5:32red candle has a large lower width,
- 5:34meaning sellers tried to get the price
- 5:36lower, but buyers stepped in and brought
- 5:38the price back up. Which means buyers
- 5:41are showing interest at this price
- 5:42level. After this, price prints a
- 5:44strength candle showing buyers are
- 5:46showing massive interest now. So, we can
- 5:48expect price to start heading upwards
- 5:50from here. Price does exactly as we
- 5:52expect and does a sharp upwards move,
- 5:54printing multiple strength candles.
- 5:56Another key thing to note, if you take a
- 5:57close look, it took a while for sellers
- 5:59to get the price down to here. But when
- 6:01the buyers stepped in, they erased all
- 6:03of that work that the sellers did within
- 6:05a couple of candles. So, in essence, it
- 6:07took sellers 22 candles to get down to
- 6:10this point, while the buyers did the
- 6:12same amount of work within four candles.
- 6:14So, that's very important to understand.
- 6:17So knowing that buyers are showing more
- 6:19strength, we can expect the buyers to
- 6:21continue this control and keep moving
- 6:23the price upward, which is exactly what
- 6:25happened. Since price started a strong
- 6:27upwards move from this point, we can
- 6:29call this area our area of demand. We
- 6:31can mark this area of demand by marking
- 6:33the low of the candle that started that
- 6:35move to the high of that same candle.
- 6:38This is our area of demand and shows
- 6:40buyers are starting to get interested
- 6:42once price reaches this area. So we'll
- 6:44also keep that in mind for later. The
- 6:46price ends up moving up a bit more and
- 6:48then this candle gets printed. A red
- 6:51control shift candle with a large upper
- 6:53wick. This is saying buyers try to raise
- 6:55the price higher but sellers came in and
- 6:57brought the price back down showing
- 6:59sellers have control up here. Directly
- 7:01after that, we have a red strength
- 7:03candle, meaning sellers are confident at
- 7:06this price and are ready to bring the
- 7:07price back down, which is exactly what
- 7:09happens. Now that we have a strong move
- 7:11to the downside, we can mark our area of
- 7:13supply. To do this, we find the start of
- 7:15a strong move downwards and mark the low
- 7:18to the high of the candle that started
- 7:20this move. This is our area of supply
- 7:22and shows that sellers started to take
- 7:24control once price reaches this area.
- 7:27So, we'll also keep that in mind for
- 7:29later. Price continues to move down a
- 7:31bit from here. So, now we have this
- 7:32setup and this chart is telling a very
- 7:35clear and interesting story. First, look
- 7:37at the speed the buyers got the price
- 7:39up. They got the price up extremely
- 7:41quick and within only a couple of
- 7:42candles, while the sellers still got the
- 7:44price back down, but the move is much
- 7:46slower and took them a lot of candles to
- 7:49get the price back down. So, right off
- 7:51the rip, we can see the buyers have more
- 7:53control during this time. Another key
- 7:55thing to note, price has just hit our
- 7:57area of demand, which like I said
- 7:58before, a massive amount of buyers
- 8:00stepped into this area before, and we
- 8:02can expect them to do the same thing
- 8:04here. Another key point is while
- 8:06touching this area of demand, a green
- 8:08control shift candle was printed.
- 8:10Meaning sellers tried to drive the price
- 8:12down below our area of demand. But just
- 8:14like before, buyers stepped in by the
- 8:16masses and took control and drove the
- 8:18price back up. Not only that, but after
- 8:20this control shift candle was printed, a
- 8:23green strength candle was printed
- 8:24directly after, showing even more signs
- 8:27of buyer momentum. So now it's pretty
- 8:29clear that buyers have complete control.
- 8:31So now we have to take advantage of this
- 8:33and find a place to enter. To do this,
- 8:35we're going to wait for price to come
- 8:37back down to our control shift candle,
- 8:39which is exactly what happened. Not only
- 8:41that, it printed another control shift
- 8:43candle, which is another great sign. We
- 8:46enter once price hits our control shift
- 8:47candle, set our takerit at the area of
- 8:50supply where sellers started to take
- 8:51control, then set our stop-loss right
- 8:54below our original area of demand. With
- 8:56this setup, there's no guessing. We have
- 8:58analyzed the chart and found areas where
- 9:00buyers and sellers have complete
- 9:02control. And just like that, price hits
- 9:04our takerit just like we expected. But
- 9:06with all that said, there's a key thing
- 9:08you should understand. You should never
- 9:09enter purely based on a candle. For
- 9:11example, you shouldn't enter purely just
- 9:14because you see a green strength candle.
- 9:16That will not work in the long run.
- 9:18Instead, use these candles as like a
- 9:20book telling a story. You need to find
- 9:22multiple correlations and find areas
- 9:24where buyers and sellers show complete
- 9:27control based off their candlestick.
- 9:29Once you find that, you can easily
- 9:30identify the zones where buyers are
- 9:32likely to win and where sellers are
- 9:34likely to win. Implement this in your
- 9:36trading and you will instantly see your
- 9:38take-profits getting hit way more often.
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