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Candlestick Patterns Don't Work (Unless You Do This) — Transcript

by TradingLab · 1,925 words · 279 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00This is a candlestick. And if formed in
  2. 0:02a specific formation, it can tell you a
  3. 0:04story of what the market is planning to
  4. 0:06do next. But what if I told you
  5. 0:09everything you know about candlestick
  6. 0:10patterns is a lie. Hammers, dogeis,
  7. 0:13engulfing candles, all of it. None of
  8. 0:15this will work unless you pair it with
  9. 0:17this secret trick. You see, most retail
  10. 0:19traders treat candlestick patterns like
  11. 0:21cheat codes. They grab their little
  12. 0:23candlestick pattern mouse pads that they
  13. 0:25bought on Amazon and blindly look at
  14. 0:27trades with the same chart pattern. And
  15. 0:29while yes, candlestick patterns can be
  16. 0:30used for predicting price, a lot of
  17. 0:32people use them completely wrong. They
  18. 0:34see a bullish engulfing candle and they
  19. 0:36think, "Great, what a great time to
  20. 0:38buy." But then the price tanks. But what
  21. 0:40if I told you there's a strategy you can
  22. 0:42execute in order to know when this was
  23. 0:45about to happen. Every candle you see is
  24. 0:47one of these three types of candles:
  25. 0:49Indecision candles, control shift
  26. 0:51candles, and strength candles. Let's
  27. 0:53start with the most powerful one, the
  28. 0:55strength candle. These candles have
  29. 0:56large bodies and small wicks. This is a
  30. 0:59strength candle and shows that buyers or
  31. 1:01sellers are in complete control at this
  32. 1:04time. But this candle can get even
  33. 1:06stronger. Oh my god. If a strength
  34. 1:09candle is printed with a large body and
  35. 1:11no upper wick for a bullish candle, this
  36. 1:13is an extremely strong candle as it's
  37. 1:16showing that buyers had absolutely no
  38. 1:18resistance from sellers at this point.
  39. 1:20It's the exact opposite for bearish
  40. 1:22candles. If the candle has a large red
  41. 1:24body with no lower wick, that shows
  42. 1:26sellers had no resistance from buyers at
  43. 1:29this point. Now, these candles are
  44. 1:30pretty rare in the market, but if seen,
  45. 1:32it shows extreme buyer or seller
  46. 1:34control. But just like most things in
  47. 1:36life, size matters. For example, you
  48. 1:38could get this strength candle in
  49. 1:40different sizes. Here we have four
  50. 1:41examples. And all of these examples are
  51. 1:44strength candles with uninterrupted
  52. 1:46buying. But the largest strength candle
  53. 1:48is the strongest and the best indication
  54. 1:50that buyers are in control. Even though
  55. 1:52candle number four is still a strength
  56. 1:54candle, it's a lot weaker indication
  57. 1:56than candle number one. Large strength
  58. 1:58candles show massive buying, small
  59. 2:00strength candles show less aggressive
  60. 2:02buying. But what happens when that
  61. 2:04control suddenly shifts. That brings us
  62. 2:06to candle number two. This candle shows
  63. 2:08who's losing the battle and who's about
  64. 2:10to take over. These are also called
  65. 2:12control shift or reversal candle. Candle
  66. 2:14wicks show rejected price action. So if
  67. 2:16you have a large upper wick that shows
  68. 2:18buyers tried to move the price up but
  69. 2:20got rejected and sellers took over and
  70. 2:23brought the price down. These control
  71. 2:25shift candles have long wicks with small
  72. 2:27body. For this candle, the body of the
  73. 2:29candle is pretty irrelevant. It doesn't
  74. 2:31matter if the candle's green or red.
  75. 2:33What tells you the real story is the
  76. 2:35wick. So oftent times these candles can
  77. 2:37show reversal points. With candles
  78. 2:39showing large lower wicks, we can expect
  79. 2:41price to move up. If we see candles
  80. 2:43showing large upper wicks, we can expect
  81. 2:45price to move down. Now, when no one's
  82. 2:47in charge, the candle looks very
  83. 2:49different. That brings us to candle
  84. 2:51number
  85. 2:53three. This candle means no one's in
  86. 2:56control. An indecision candle looks like
  87. 2:58this. They have wicks on both sides with
  88. 3:01small bodies. They show equal effort
  89. 3:03from both buyers and sellers, but no
  90. 3:05real progress. Now, there's a lot of
  91. 3:07different ways this can look. It could
  92. 3:09look like this, this, this, or this. All
  93. 3:12of these are indecision candles. Main
  94. 3:14thing you have to remember is there's a
  95. 3:15small body with equal wicks on either
  96. 3:18side. People often call these dogeis,
  97. 3:20but these candles usually appear before
  98. 3:22major breakouts or reversals because the
  99. 3:24market is trying to decide what it wants
  100. 3:26to do next, but hasn't completely
  101. 3:28decided on which way it wants to go yet.
  102. 3:30You should never trade purely based off
  103. 3:32these candles because this candle
  104. 3:34doesn't tell us who's in control. But
  105. 3:36when paired with this next candle, that
  106. 3:38completely changes everything. For
  107. 3:40example, if an indecision candle is
  108. 3:43printed, but then directly after a
  109. 3:45control shift candle is printed, this
  110. 3:47shows us that buyers have won in the
  111. 3:49indecision battle and we can wait for
  112. 3:51price to do a pullback to this
  113. 3:52indecision candle and enter here. You
  114. 3:55can also use it as a clear reversal
  115. 3:57point. For example, price drops strong
  116. 3:59down to this area of demand, but right
  117. 4:01when it reaches it, some indecision
  118. 4:03candles showed up showing that price is
  119. 4:05hesitating. And if paired with a
  120. 4:07strength candle, it can show buyers are
  121. 4:09starting to step in. But all of this
  122. 4:11began with the indecision candle showing
  123. 4:13signs of slowing down the sellers. So
  124. 4:16let's put all we've learned to the test
  125. 4:18and do a real life chart example. But
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  147. 5:08use my link. You're welcome. Now, let's
  148. 5:10take all three candle types and drop
  149. 5:12them into a real trading example. So,
  150. 5:15here we have some price action forming.
  151. 5:16We started with a slight downtrend, but
  152. 5:18if you look closely, something very
  153. 5:20interesting is happening. During this
  154. 5:22downtrend, we got three indecision
  155. 5:24candles showing price is hesitating at
  156. 5:26this price and doesn't know whether it
  157. 5:28wants to go up or down from here. One
  158. 5:30key thing to note though is that this
  159. 5:32red candle has a large lower width,
  160. 5:34meaning sellers tried to get the price
  161. 5:36lower, but buyers stepped in and brought
  162. 5:38the price back up. Which means buyers
  163. 5:41are showing interest at this price
  164. 5:42level. After this, price prints a
  165. 5:44strength candle showing buyers are
  166. 5:46showing massive interest now. So, we can
  167. 5:48expect price to start heading upwards
  168. 5:50from here. Price does exactly as we
  169. 5:52expect and does a sharp upwards move,
  170. 5:54printing multiple strength candles.
  171. 5:56Another key thing to note, if you take a
  172. 5:57close look, it took a while for sellers
  173. 5:59to get the price down to here. But when
  174. 6:01the buyers stepped in, they erased all
  175. 6:03of that work that the sellers did within
  176. 6:05a couple of candles. So, in essence, it
  177. 6:07took sellers 22 candles to get down to
  178. 6:10this point, while the buyers did the
  179. 6:12same amount of work within four candles.
  180. 6:14So, that's very important to understand.
  181. 6:17So knowing that buyers are showing more
  182. 6:19strength, we can expect the buyers to
  183. 6:21continue this control and keep moving
  184. 6:23the price upward, which is exactly what
  185. 6:25happened. Since price started a strong
  186. 6:27upwards move from this point, we can
  187. 6:29call this area our area of demand. We
  188. 6:31can mark this area of demand by marking
  189. 6:33the low of the candle that started that
  190. 6:35move to the high of that same candle.
  191. 6:38This is our area of demand and shows
  192. 6:40buyers are starting to get interested
  193. 6:42once price reaches this area. So we'll
  194. 6:44also keep that in mind for later. The
  195. 6:46price ends up moving up a bit more and
  196. 6:48then this candle gets printed. A red
  197. 6:51control shift candle with a large upper
  198. 6:53wick. This is saying buyers try to raise
  199. 6:55the price higher but sellers came in and
  200. 6:57brought the price back down showing
  201. 6:59sellers have control up here. Directly
  202. 7:01after that, we have a red strength
  203. 7:03candle, meaning sellers are confident at
  204. 7:06this price and are ready to bring the
  205. 7:07price back down, which is exactly what
  206. 7:09happens. Now that we have a strong move
  207. 7:11to the downside, we can mark our area of
  208. 7:13supply. To do this, we find the start of
  209. 7:15a strong move downwards and mark the low
  210. 7:18to the high of the candle that started
  211. 7:20this move. This is our area of supply
  212. 7:22and shows that sellers started to take
  213. 7:24control once price reaches this area.
  214. 7:27So, we'll also keep that in mind for
  215. 7:29later. Price continues to move down a
  216. 7:31bit from here. So, now we have this
  217. 7:32setup and this chart is telling a very
  218. 7:35clear and interesting story. First, look
  219. 7:37at the speed the buyers got the price
  220. 7:39up. They got the price up extremely
  221. 7:41quick and within only a couple of
  222. 7:42candles, while the sellers still got the
  223. 7:44price back down, but the move is much
  224. 7:46slower and took them a lot of candles to
  225. 7:49get the price back down. So, right off
  226. 7:51the rip, we can see the buyers have more
  227. 7:53control during this time. Another key
  228. 7:55thing to note, price has just hit our
  229. 7:57area of demand, which like I said
  230. 7:58before, a massive amount of buyers
  231. 8:00stepped into this area before, and we
  232. 8:02can expect them to do the same thing
  233. 8:04here. Another key point is while
  234. 8:06touching this area of demand, a green
  235. 8:08control shift candle was printed.
  236. 8:10Meaning sellers tried to drive the price
  237. 8:12down below our area of demand. But just
  238. 8:14like before, buyers stepped in by the
  239. 8:16masses and took control and drove the
  240. 8:18price back up. Not only that, but after
  241. 8:20this control shift candle was printed, a
  242. 8:23green strength candle was printed
  243. 8:24directly after, showing even more signs
  244. 8:27of buyer momentum. So now it's pretty
  245. 8:29clear that buyers have complete control.
  246. 8:31So now we have to take advantage of this
  247. 8:33and find a place to enter. To do this,
  248. 8:35we're going to wait for price to come
  249. 8:37back down to our control shift candle,
  250. 8:39which is exactly what happened. Not only
  251. 8:41that, it printed another control shift
  252. 8:43candle, which is another great sign. We
  253. 8:46enter once price hits our control shift
  254. 8:47candle, set our takerit at the area of
  255. 8:50supply where sellers started to take
  256. 8:51control, then set our stop-loss right
  257. 8:54below our original area of demand. With
  258. 8:56this setup, there's no guessing. We have
  259. 8:58analyzed the chart and found areas where
  260. 9:00buyers and sellers have complete
  261. 9:02control. And just like that, price hits
  262. 9:04our takerit just like we expected. But
  263. 9:06with all that said, there's a key thing
  264. 9:08you should understand. You should never
  265. 9:09enter purely based on a candle. For
  266. 9:11example, you shouldn't enter purely just
  267. 9:14because you see a green strength candle.
  268. 9:16That will not work in the long run.
  269. 9:18Instead, use these candles as like a
  270. 9:20book telling a story. You need to find
  271. 9:22multiple correlations and find areas
  272. 9:24where buyers and sellers show complete
  273. 9:27control based off their candlestick.
  274. 9:29Once you find that, you can easily
  275. 9:30identify the zones where buyers are
  276. 9:32likely to win and where sellers are
  277. 9:34likely to win. Implement this in your
  278. 9:36trading and you will instantly see your
  279. 9:38take-profits getting hit way more often.

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