Can America Win Back India's Trust? Trump's Former NSA John Bolton Answers — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:05[music]
- 0:10>> Hello and welcome back to The Hindustan
- 0:11Times podcast. I'm your host Shashank
- 0:13Mattoo reporting from Washington, D.C.
- 0:15The India-US relationship, it can be
- 0:16fairly said now, is in a state of
- 0:19crisis. We've had tariffs damaging the
- 0:21Indian economy, the deaths of Indian
- 0:22sailors in the US Iran war, Trump's
- 0:25growing closeness to Pakistan, and the
- 0:27rising anti-Indian rhetoric that we've
- 0:29all seen coming out of the United
- 0:30States. All of this has led to a massive
- 0:32upsurge in anger in India against the
- 0:35United States. But despite that, you
- 0:37have a high-profile meeting taking place
- 0:39between Prime Minister Modi and
- 0:40President Trump on the sidelines of the
- 0:42G7, and it seems there are people on
- 0:44both sides in India and the United
- 0:46States who are determined to preserve
- 0:48this partnership, who understand that
- 0:49this relationship is important. But that
- 0:51leaves us the question about where
- 0:52exactly we are in the India-US
- 0:54relationship, and where both sides
- 0:56stand. Joining me now to unpack this
- 0:58relationship and where we are right now
- 1:00is Ambassador John Bolton, former US
- 1:02National Security Advisor to President
- 1:04Trump in his first term, and one of the
- 1:05men who built the US-India relationship.
- 1:07Ambassador Bolton, thank you so much for
- 1:09joining us here on HD. You played an
- 1:11extremely key role over the years in
- 1:13building the US-India relationship. Is
- 1:15it fair to say now, in your assessment,
- 1:17that we are in a state of crisis?
- 1:20>> Well, I think it's
- 1:21I wouldn't necessarily describe it as
- 1:23crisis, but it's certainly very fraught.
- 1:25There's no doubt about it, and
- 1:27I hope I hope we can find ways through
- 1:29it. I'm sure we can cover all the
- 1:31different issues, but it is a fact that
- 1:34I think
- 1:35Trump and Modi have a good personal
- 1:37relationship, and certainly where
- 1:39Trump's concerned,
- 1:41personal relationships between the
- 1:43leaders
- 1:44are important. I I think the ties
- 1:46between the two countries below the
- 1:47level of leader are also good and
- 1:50growing, and in fact, it's the ups and
- 1:52downs in the relationships between the
- 1:54leaders that sometimes make it look like
- 1:57the relationship is in more trouble than
- 1:59it is because I think at the at the more
- 2:01basic level of commerce and trade and
- 2:03interaction on a whole variety of
- 2:07ways and means these things are
- 2:09improving albeit with some bumps in the
- 2:11road.
- 2:12>> Can I ask you something about the first
- 2:14Trump administration? Of course, you
- 2:15were national security advisor then and
- 2:17that was a point of time where the
- 2:19India-US relationship improved
- 2:20substantially. In fact, when President
- 2:22Trump came back to office, people
- 2:23thought that
- 2:25you know this would be a very friendly
- 2:26administration to India precisely
- 2:28because of the record that was built up
- 2:29in the first administration. Now, there
- 2:31seems to be the sense that India is just
- 2:34much less of a priority for the
- 2:36president. We have not seen anything
- 2:37major come off the major technology
- 2:39partnership between India and the United
- 2:40States. We've seen of course the deaths
- 2:42of Indian sailors. There was a response
- 2:44to that from the US government that was
- 2:46seen as extremely insensitive to the
- 2:47sentiments of you know the families but
- 2:49also the Indian public. Of course, this
- 2:51conversation about Trump's closeness to
- 2:53Pakistan. Across the board, it seems
- 2:55that while Washington may want a good
- 2:57relationship with India, it isn't
- 2:59necessarily committed to a good
- 3:00relationship with India or making the
- 3:02hard choices that it takes to build that
- 3:03relationship. Can I ask you about Do you
- 3:05think something has changed? Has India
- 3:06been deprioritized for Washington?
- 3:08>> Well, I think it it is a variety of
- 3:10factors in play. As you say, let's take
- 3:12trade to begin with.
- 3:14In in the first term, I and many other
- 3:17people were trying to get more progress
- 3:20made with the Asian security quad
- 3:23initially a project of Prime Minister
- 3:25Shinzo Abe of Japan but obviously
- 3:28involving Japan, India, Australia, and
- 3:29the US. We didn't make as much progress
- 3:33as I wanted to because Trump was so
- 3:35focused on talking about trade and and
- 3:38he had trade disputes with Australia, he
- 3:40had trade disputes with Japan, he had
- 3:42trade disputes with India.
- 3:44And we never had really time I think to
- 3:47to engage on more strategic issues.
- 3:49That's gotten worse in the second term
- 3:52beginning in April of 2025 with the
- 3:54so-called liberation day tariffs. I
- 3:56mean, my view on that is is fairly
- 3:59fairly straightforward. I'm opposed to
- 4:00all these tariffs. I don't think they
- 4:02make any sense for the United States,
- 4:05let alone for most of the countries
- 4:07they're being imposed upon. I think
- 4:09there are problems in international
- 4:10trade in the world. I would say China is
- 4:12the principal problem with international
- 4:14trade in the world for a whole variety
- 4:16of of reasons. But what Trump did was
- 4:19declare war on everybody, all almost
- 4:22every trading partner of the United
- 4:23States had, which to me made no sense
- 4:25whatsoever. And then specifically in the
- 4:28case of India, when we came to questions
- 4:31like the reaction to purchases of
- 4:35sanctioned Russian oil, Trump's response
- 4:39was to
- 4:41really disproportionately penalize
- 4:43India. Didn't didn't increase the
- 4:45tariffs on China at all or on Pakistan.
- 4:48And and I think that was a that's a very
- 4:51significant mistake. So I can certainly
- 4:53understand how those trade tariff
- 4:56related factors have damaged the
- 4:58relationship. I think as I say, there's
- 5:01actually a pretty simple way to correct
- 5:03this, which is just abolish all of the
- 5:05Trump tariffs. That obviously won't
- 5:07happen in his term, but I think
- 5:10the odds of a successor president,
- 5:12Republican or Democrat, are
- 5:15much more likely, maybe not as quickly
- 5:17as we would prefer, but much more likely
- 5:18to see the end of those tariffs. So
- 5:20that's that's one major area. There are
- 5:22obviously others as well.
- 5:24>> Right. You know, if I could ask you
- 5:25ambassador about Pakistan, this is a
- 5:27country that you've dealt with a great
- 5:28deal. And I think when you talk to
- 5:30people in Delhi, when you talk to people
- 5:32on the street, the sense sometimes is
- 5:33that this is becoming one of those major
- 5:35irritants, has been for a long time, but
- 5:37it's really becoming again one of the
- 5:38major irritants in the US-India
- 5:40relationship. And when I came to
- 5:41Washington, and I was talking to people,
- 5:43the sense was that look, there are
- 5:45enough people in Washington who
- 5:47recognize the past Pakistan's role in
- 5:49Afghanistan. Many people convinced here
- 5:51in Washington that Pakistan was
- 5:53responsible in part for
- 5:55helping lose America the Afghanistan
- 5:57war. But now it seems that President
- 5:59Trump seems to have forgotten that
- 6:00history or is putting it to the wayside.
- 6:03Could I ask you a little bit about that?
- 6:05Is America forgetting history a little
- 6:06bit when it comes to its relationship
- 6:08with Pakistan?
- 6:09>> Well, Trump doesn't know any history. So
- 6:11So you don't have to worry about him
- 6:12forgetting it. He never never learned it
- 6:14in the first place. I I I thought in the
- 6:16George W. Bush administration we made a
- 6:18very
- 6:19significant point of progress when when
- 6:22as as the phrase was used at the time we
- 6:25had de-linked India and Pakistan. That
- 6:27is to say in US relations we treated
- 6:29each on their own merits.
- 6:32And behavior toward one was not
- 6:34dependent on behavior toward the other.
- 6:36I think I think that's the right way to
- 6:38do it. I think it's consistent with the
- 6:40strong long-standing Indian position
- 6:44that relations with Pakistan are a
- 6:46bilateral matter between
- 6:49Pakistan and India and and others can
- 6:51stay out of it. And and I understand
- 6:53that and I think that's a correct
- 6:55approach for the for the US to take.
- 6:57I think what's happened here has
- 6:59surprised a lot of people in Washington.
- 7:03And it goes back to the point I made a
- 7:04moment ago of this notion Trump has that
- 7:07you can sum up relationships between
- 7:10states
- 7:11by the relations between heads of state.
- 7:13So General Munir getting very good
- 7:15advice from somebody told Trump early on
- 7:18he would nominate him for the Nobel
- 7:20Peace Prize. And this is one of Trump's
- 7:22major motivating factors in the second
- 7:25term. And
- 7:26Munir has played on that and
- 7:29very successfully to to advance
- 7:32Pakistani interest.
- 7:34Trump has has also
- 7:37I think made diplomatic missteps when
- 7:39referring to the uh resolution of uh of
- 7:43conflict between India and Pakistan over
- 7:46terrorist attacks from Pakistan into
- 7:48India, he basically took credit for
- 7:51resolving it. And I I can tell you from
- 7:53an analogous uh incident back in 2019,
- 7:57uh we were in Hanoi at the time for
- 7:59Trump to meet with Kim Jong Un, and
- 8:01there was terrorist attacks uh emanating
- 8:03from Pakistan into India. We we were
- 8:06concerned about it. Uh Mike Pompeo, the
- 8:09Secretary of State, and I stayed up much
- 8:11of the night in Hanoi talking to folks
- 8:13in uh
- 8:14uh India and Pakistan and back in
- 8:16Washington, and uh uh it uh the issue
- 8:20was resolved between uh New Delhi and
- 8:22Islamabad. That That's what happened. It
- 8:24wasn't because of anything we did. Uh we
- 8:26were we were there to be helpful to the
- 8:28extent we could, and we certainly didn't
- 8:30run out the next morning and take credit
- 8:32for it. I think I think this is an
- 8:33example of Trump
- 8:35just not understanding the background of
- 8:38things and uh not not really caring,
- 8:40unfortunately. It's not a reflection, I
- 8:42think, of any broader sentiment in the
- 8:44United States about Pakistan. I'm I'm
- 8:47have to say I'm concerned at the moment
- 8:49as we look at the situation in the Gulf
- 8:51and the Strait of Hormuz about uh
- 8:54mediation being carried out by by
- 8:57countries that uh that also have a stake
- 8:59in it and the and the role and the
- 9:01background of uh of all this of China.
- 9:04So, it's uh
- 9:05I think this is uh uh largely this
- 9:08question of uh uh of a tilt toward
- 9:11Pakistan, as some call it. I think it's
- 9:12largely a question of the aberration of
- 9:14Trump himself.
- 9:15>> Right. And the question, of course, that
- 9:16a lot of people are asking is, "Okay,
- 9:18where does the American relationship
- 9:20with Pakistan go under President Trump
- 9:22uh from here on out?" Is it, for
- 9:24example, uh possible that Washington
- 9:26will consider weapon sales uh to
- 9:28Pakistan again as was his policy um uh
- 9:30for decades in the past? Because that is
- 9:32a significant area of concern. And do
- 9:34you also see, Ambassador, how the
- 9:36American closeness to Pakistan in the
- 9:38Trump administration makes India trust
- 9:40America less.
- 9:41>> Well, I think I think the the issue of
- 9:43how to deal with Pakistan, in my view,
- 9:46is heavily colored by the Chinese
- 9:49efforts to use Pakistan as a surrogate.
- 9:51And we see this in a lot of ways, the
- 9:54construction of an oil terminal
- 9:57in Pakistan so that oil from the Middle
- 9:59East can
- 10:00come out of the Strait of Hormuz or come
- 10:02out of wherever it's coming from
- 10:04and not have to go through the Indian
- 10:06Ocean and the Strait of Malacca, but can
- 10:07go to this
- 10:09port in Pakistan, be offloaded there,
- 10:11and then and then sent by pipeline north
- 10:14through Pakistan, and then east across
- 10:16Chinese territory.
- 10:18And I think the weapons relationship
- 10:21between China and Pakistan is very
- 10:23troubling, too, and and something that
- 10:25uh
- 10:26is disturbing to the US from a strategic
- 10:30point of view, and obviously disturbing
- 10:32to India as well. So, I think it's
- 10:34important to be careful here,
- 10:36and I think you've got a situation as
- 10:38well in Pakistan. Obviously, the
- 10:40military has had a
- 10:43dominant role in Pakistan since
- 10:45partition. I don't think anybody
- 10:47disputes that. It's now not even
- 10:49pretending not to be in control. And
- 10:52it's been the consistent US position
- 10:54that that a democratically elected
- 10:56Pakistani government, understanding the
- 10:59military's often referred to as the
- 11:01steel skeleton in Pakistan, but a
- 11:03democratically elected government is
- 11:05what we prefer. Obviously, we're not
- 11:08there at this point.
- 11:09>> Could I ask you a little bit about Iran
- 11:10now, just to shift gears a little bit
- 11:12because because we've just had
- 11:14the ceasefire in the conflict. It's been
- 11:17shaky, but so far, at least we haven't
- 11:19seen an active resumption of
- 11:21hostilities. Could I ask you a little
- 11:22bit about the impact that the Iran war
- 11:24has also had on the US-India
- 11:25relationship because what the war did,
- 11:27of course, was it did send energy prices
- 11:30uh
- 11:31rising everywhere around the world, led
- 11:32to shortages in India which of course
- 11:35directly affected Indian citizens. The
- 11:36deaths of the three Indian sailors in
- 11:39the US Navy strikes. Of course there was
- 11:41a sense that when it came to handling
- 11:42the matter sensitively, I think the
- 11:44State Department put out when it came to
- 11:46conversation between Secretary Rubio and
- 11:47Dr. Jaishankar on this very question. It
- 11:50was a very harsh statement sort of
- 11:51saying that look yes these people have
- 11:52died but you can't violate a US blockade
- 11:55on Iran. So again one of those in a time
- 11:58of a fraught relationship as you said
- 12:00the US Iran war does not seem to have
- 12:02hurt the relationship. Could I ask you
- 12:04to maybe comment on what you see the war
- 12:07as playing a role in the in the India US
- 12:09relationship?
- 12:10>> Well there's there's a lot to criticize
- 12:13in Trump's conduct of the war. Number
- 12:15one I to this day don't know what his
- 12:16objectives were.
- 12:18I I make no bones about it. I've said
- 12:20for decades there will never be peace
- 12:22and stability in the Middle East while
- 12:23that regime remains in power in Tehran.
- 12:26Was Trump trying to change the regime?
- 12:28It sounded like it at the beginning but
- 12:30he denied it later and I think that's
- 12:33part of the the problem and part of the
- 12:34reason we're in a
- 12:36a very difficult dangerous stage now is
- 12:39that he didn't think all this through.
- 12:40Another another thing that Trump didn't
- 12:42do before
- 12:43launching military activity was consult
- 12:46with our friends and allies. Didn't
- 12:48consult with NATO. We didn't consult
- 12:50with the Gulf Arab states. We didn't
- 12:52consult with countries in the
- 12:54Indo-Pacific that
- 12:56rely heavily on exports of oil from the
- 12:59Gulf to say
- 13:01you know not to reveal the detailed
- 13:02plans of what we're about to do but to
- 13:04say this very serious and
- 13:07we're we're looking at taking steps that
- 13:09could affect you. Let's talk about how
- 13:11we're going to deal with that. He didn't
- 13:12do any of that. He didn't do a lot of
- 13:14other things either. He didn't consult
- 13:15with the opposition inside Iran probably
- 13:18the biggest mistake of all to find out
- 13:19what help they needed what we could give
- 13:21them how they could participate if this
- 13:23this really were an effort to change the
- 13:26regime.
- 13:27Uh so, this is now uh
- 13:30come to a memorandum of understanding
- 13:33that Trump signed not for any
- 13:34geostrategic reasons, but because he
- 13:37wanted oil to flow out of the Gulf into
- 13:40global markets to bring the price at the
- 13:42pump of gasoline in the United States
- 13:44down. That is the motivating factor.
- 13:48And and yet that is not occurring. You
- 13:51know, Iranian oil is coming through
- 13:52because the blockade has been lifted,
- 13:54but oil from the Gulf Arab side is now
- 13:57still restricted a little bit, but not
- 13:59nearly pre-war production. So, the the
- 14:02global spot market prices have come way
- 14:04down because because people are
- 14:06optimistic. I wouldn't be so optimistic,
- 14:08actually. I think there's more to worry
- 14:09about here.
- 14:11But, I'm still not sure we've done
- 14:12enough uh to work with countries
- 14:14affected by it. And uh you don't have to
- 14:17sign up to the entire coalition and all
- 14:19of its activities, but but not to take
- 14:21into account the impacts that we we uh
- 14:25we we are seeing uh it is just uh a
- 14:28violation of diplomacy 101. Now, on on
- 14:31the deaths of the three Indian sailors,
- 14:34uh
- 14:35look, it's uh it's a tragedy. There's no
- 14:37doubt about it. It it clearly was not
- 14:40handled well. I I would just say this,
- 14:42the the the fact of the blockade was
- 14:44well known.
- 14:45Um
- 14:46uh and when you're in a situation like
- 14:49that, the captain's responsibility of a
- 14:51commercial vessel
- 14:53uh is to think of his good ship and
- 14:55crew.
- 14:56And the captain was given an order uh
- 14:59to stop heading toward Iran, to go to
- 15:02the parking place out in the Gulf of
- 15:03Oman where a lot of ships were interned.
- 15:06And he didn't do it.
- 15:07Uh he was given several warnings and uh
- 15:10and told what we would do, which is fire
- 15:13into the engine room of the ship and
- 15:15disable it. And then we would take it
- 15:16over to the parking lot. And that that
- 15:19is what happened.
- 15:21Uh it's it's uh it it a it it obviously
- 15:24we understand the humanitarian concern
- 15:26in India. I would put more
- 15:27responsibility on the captain for not
- 15:30considering his responsibilities.
- 15:33Uh,
- 15:34commercial vessels can't fight warships.
- 15:36It's it's it's a lose proposition and he
- 15:38should have known that.
- 15:40>> Question I wanted to ask you more
- 15:41broadly about the conflict is that the
- 15:44criticism in India is that over the last
- 15:4615-20 years we have given up a
- 15:49relationship with Iran in favor of
- 15:52closer ties with the United States. We
- 15:54also saw before this conflict there was
- 15:55a sense in this with this commentary in
- 15:57India that India very clearly aligned
- 15:59itself with the United States and Israel
- 16:03during this conflict with Iran and the
- 16:05sense now is that we've had the deaths
- 16:07of these sailors, we've got energy
- 16:09prices skyrocketing and of course
- 16:11at the same time there's the sense that
- 16:14Washington and Israel were not
- 16:15fundamentally able to achieve their aims
- 16:17in the first place. So, what was the
- 16:18point of aligning with America first
- 16:20place did this not fundamentally hurt
- 16:22our interest and this in the minds of
- 16:25many critics of the US-India
- 16:26relationship is what happens when you
- 16:28get too close to Washington. Your view
- 16:30on this.
- 16:31>> Well, I think the the the question of
- 16:33Iran
- 16:35is one that does have global
- 16:37implications and and we can start with
- 16:40their support for international
- 16:42terrorism. They have for three or four
- 16:44decades now been the world's leading
- 16:47sponsor of
- 16:48terrorism and it's the They're not the
- 16:50only source of revenue and weapons and
- 16:53training and intelligence for terrorist
- 16:54groups, but certainly a lot comes from
- 16:57Iran and their their their efforts
- 17:00around the world really I think are a
- 17:02major threat to stability not just in
- 17:04the Middle East, but but
- 17:06internationally. Uh, and and their
- 17:08pursuit of nuclear weapons
- 17:11in advancing this really it's an
- 17:13ideological agenda uh, the Middle East
- 17:17and and more broadly uh, is very
- 17:19troubling, too. It It If If Trump had
- 17:22been able to define his goals more
- 17:24carefully, if what this a military
- 17:26action was intended to be was uh, as the
- 17:30Israelis put it, a mowing the lawn of
- 17:33Iranian capabilities, uh, that that I
- 17:36think people would have seen uh, the the
- 17:39uh,
- 17:39uh, the the the the understanding of
- 17:42what we were up to and and what the
- 17:44limits of it were. But But he didn't do
- 17:46that. And this is I I think uh, as I
- 17:49said before, this reflects confusion in
- 17:51his own mind. This is a real problem for
- 17:53the United States and for others uh, who
- 17:56who say, "Well, we can't even understand
- 17:59what the United States is doing." There
- 18:01are many cases where we understand what
- 18:02they're doing. We may not agree with it,
- 18:04but at least we understand it. Here,
- 18:06because of the nature of Donald Trump,
- 18:09uh, I think uh,
- 18:11internationally it's not well
- 18:12understood. It's not well understood in
- 18:13the United States, either. And And that
- 18:16that's a that's a big problem for Trump
- 18:18politically, especially among
- 18:19Republicans. So, it's uh, I don't think
- 18:22you should read Trump's problems as as
- 18:25uh, indicating uh, a broader American
- 18:29uh, lack of interest in the relationship
- 18:31with India uh,
- 18:32or in dealing effectively with this
- 18:34regime in Iran. Uh, and it's uh, uh,
- 18:38>> [clears throat]
- 18:38>> it's a matter that I don't I don't think
- 18:40it's going to be fixable as long as
- 18:42Trump is president. I don't I don't want
- 18:44to minimize uh, the downside of his
- 18:47erratic uh, and and unpredictable
- 18:50behavior. But it's not it's not
- 18:53something that that has support in the
- 18:55country as a whole. And if he had
- 18:57thought about the uh, potential that uh,
- 19:00that the Iranians would try and close
- 19:02the Strait of Hormuz, uh, then then he
- 19:05might have gone about it in a different
- 19:06way. It He He says he was surprised that
- 19:09they closed the Strait of Hormuz. That
- 19:11would make him the only person in the
- 19:12world surprised that they tried to do
- 19:15that. This has been a problem, potential
- 19:17problem, ever since the Ayatollahs took
- 19:19over in 1979.
- 19:21>> Let me ask you, just to switch gears, on
- 19:23um China because I think this is another
- 19:25significant um area of doubt or perhaps
- 19:28concern with the US-India relationship.
- 19:30And that is that for the longest time
- 19:31the relationship uh between the United
- 19:33States and America, it was felt that the
- 19:36the strategic bedrock of that was our
- 19:37shared concern about the strategic rise
- 19:40um of China. Now it seems like the Trump
- 19:42administration has a much uh softer,
- 19:45much less competitive view of its
- 19:47relationship with China. And therefore,
- 19:49it seems like India and forums like the
- 19:51Quad, which were built very
- 19:52painstakingly over the course of um the
- 19:55last decade, they seem to have lost some
- 19:56value uh for Washington. Could you give
- 19:58us your sense of where the Trump
- 19:59administration is on China?
- 20:01>> Well, it's uh it's it's hard to say
- 20:03because it depends on what Trump's
- 20:05thinking is on any given day. He he uh
- 20:08uh he he's very concerned about the
- 20:10Chinese trading practices and and the
- 20:13the subsidies and unfair competition
- 20:15that they engage in, but he's also
- 20:17captivated by Xi Jinping. This this
- 20:19again is another example of the idea
- 20:22that if he's if he's got a good personal
- 20:24relationship with Xi Jinping,
- 20:26everything's fine in China-US relation,
- 20:28which it's not manifestly. Uh and I
- 20:31think that Trump is very impressed by
- 20:34pageantry. I I was with him uh in uh
- 20:37uh the UK in 2018 when uh Prime Minister
- 20:40Theresa May was giving him a lunch at
- 20:42the Chequers and he talked about his
- 20:442017 visit to China and he said Trump
- 20:47said, "You know, they gave me the
- 20:49biggest welcome they have ever given any
- 20:51foreign leader in all of Chinese
- 20:53history."
- 20:54And everybody around the table just
- 20:56remained silent because what do you say
- 20:58to that? That's what affects Trump. Uh
- 21:01and I think uh among uh members of
- 21:04Congress, House and Senate, Republican
- 21:06and Democrat, concern about China is one
- 21:08of the rare things that has strong
- 21:10bipartisan support. And
- 21:13and and the way Trump reacts to China
- 21:15really does not make Republicans or
- 21:18Democrats very happy. So again, I think
- 21:21the underlying interest here of
- 21:24India and the United States facing the
- 21:26problems that China causes remain
- 21:29basically the same. And I I'd like to
- 21:31see ways to make progress even as Trump
- 21:34kind of flits around above above the
- 21:36level of of hard policy discussion.
- 21:39>> Right. Can I ask you just two final
- 21:41questions? One was on something that we
- 21:43saw that made a lot of news, which is
- 21:44the United States Indo-Pacific Command
- 21:46dropping the Indo from its prefix and of
- 21:49course going back to its original name,
- 21:51which was US Pacific Command. Now of
- 21:53course this sounds
- 21:54very technical jargon if a general
- 21:56audience perhaps you could explain the
- 21:58significance of that decision, but also
- 22:00it seemed that when in 2018 the Trump
- 22:03administration was responsible for
- 22:04naming the command the US Indo-Pacific
- 22:06Command. The idea was that look, it
- 22:08signifies the value of India, the value
- 22:11of the Indian Ocean to us, to our
- 22:13broader strategy. And of course as I was
- 22:15saying, this broader sense of concern
- 22:17that the relationship with India has
- 22:19been deprioritized in Washington. This
- 22:21sort of confirms a lot of those fears
- 22:23that you know by dropping the Indo from
- 22:25the Indo-Pacific Command, it seems like
- 22:27a signal of where Washington's head is
- 22:29at. Could you break down the change
- 22:30because it happened during your time in
- 22:32office, but also um
- 22:35what that means on the ground for US
- 22:36commitment to the Indo-Pacific versus
- 22:38relationship with India?
- 22:40>> Right. Well, the Pentagon has the world
- 22:41divided into commands. There's the North
- 22:44American Command, there's the Southern
- 22:45Command, the European Command, and
- 22:48previously there was the Pacific Command
- 22:50or PACOM, which covered
- 22:52everything from the West Coast of the
- 22:55United States, the West Coast of the
- 22:57Americas, all the way across Pacific and
- 23:00the Indian Ocean. So in in the first
- 23:03Trump term, recognizing the geographic
- 23:05reality of of the command's
- 23:08responsibility, but also to signify that
- 23:11it was bigger than the Pacific, we
- 23:13changed it to
- 23:14Indo-Pacom. And I thought it was a good
- 23:16idea at the time. I still think it's a
- 23:18good idea. I think it's just a
- 23:20a a childish uh mistake to change it
- 23:24back. And uh
- 23:26uh it it's
- 23:28I predict it will change back again when
- 23:30we get another president as it should.
- 23:32So, it's it's a you know, it's a Defense
- 23:35Secretary Pete Hegseth apparently made
- 23:37the decision.
- 23:39I don't know what he thought he was
- 23:40doing,
- 23:41but I would just hope people would say
- 23:43it's not part of some grand design to
- 23:46downplay US-India relations because
- 23:48there isn't any grand design in the
- 23:50Trump administration. It's all ad hoc,
- 23:52seat-of-the-pants decision-making.
- 23:55And and it's just we were right when we
- 23:56changed the name in 2018 to Indo-Pacom,
- 23:59and we just should have left it that
- 24:00way.
- 24:01>> Right.
- 24:02May I just ask very quickly as a
- 24:03follow-up because to a lot of people
- 24:04what it seems like is
- 24:06you know, China has had its problems
- 24:07with the idea of the Indo-Pacific,
- 24:10just very concept of it. And of course
- 24:12and of course groupings like the Quad.
- 24:14And it seems that the sense that some
- 24:17people are getting is that America's
- 24:18decision to remove drop the Indo from
- 24:21Indo-Pacific Command was a sign that
- 24:23look, they don't want to step on China's
- 24:25toes too much. And if you also see at
- 24:27the same time the fact that there has
- 24:28not been a Quad leaders summit uh for
- 24:30the last 1 and 1/2 years. Both of those
- 24:32things coming together seems like
- 24:35America's sort of saying, "Look, we want
- 24:36a much more stable relationship with
- 24:38China. We don't want a competitive
- 24:39relationship. So, we're going to make
- 24:41these superficial changes that reassure
- 24:43China." Do you think that's what's going
- 24:44on or is that overreading into it?
- 24:46>> No, I think that gives the Trump
- 24:47administration too much credit. I I just
- 24:49I just think it's a series of unrelated
- 24:52things. I mean, the concept we were
- 24:53advancing, again, this this is not a US
- 24:55concept. It was from Shinzo Abe
- 24:58who talked about a free and open
- 25:00Indo-Pacific and and I think that
- 25:02remains the objective of of everybody in
- 25:05the quad and many many many others in
- 25:07the region and China may not like that
- 25:10either but but that's that is the
- 25:12concept that I think all of our
- 25:14interests are based on and that's not
- 25:15going to change just because of Donald
- 25:17Trump.
- 25:18>> A last question then Ambassador which is
- 25:19that where do we go from here? Because
- 25:21the word trust I think is used a lot in
- 25:23the India-US relationship and how that
- 25:26seems to have been lost. So the question
- 25:28of course is can America rebuild that
- 25:30lost trust and if it can how does
- 25:33[snorts] that happen?
- 25:34>> Well, I think we can. I mean I I think
- 25:37it's it's it's obviously hard to
- 25:39separate the president from the country
- 25:42and the people but but Trump is an
- 25:44aberration and I think his behavior
- 25:46demonstrates it
- 25:48almost across the board on any given
- 25:50day.
- 25:51I I agree. I think decades of effort by
- 25:54the US and the and the relationship with
- 25:57India have suffered as a result and
- 26:00so I think it's on the part of those of
- 26:03us in the US who think this relationship
- 26:05is important to try and minimize
- 26:07whatever additional damage he may do
- 26:10and then when he's out of office try and
- 26:12rebuild it. So what I what I recommend
- 26:15to friends around the world is grit your
- 26:16teeth and remember that there's a future
- 26:19after Donald Trump's administration is
- 26:21over and keep in mind the big picture
- 26:24threats and challenges that we face that
- 26:27also are are permanent fixtures of of
- 26:30the environment.
- 26:32>> Ambassador John Bolton we've talked
- 26:33about the US-India relationship,
- 26:35the US-Pakistan relationship, the Iran
- 26:37war, China, the Indo-Pacific and the
- 26:39quad. Thank you so much for this excuse
- 26:41me wide-ranging conversation for sharing
- 26:43your thoughts as well as your experience
- 26:44and hopefully our readers our viewers
- 26:46take something away from this. Thank you
- 26:48so much again Ambassador Bolton for
- 26:49joining us here on the Hindustan Times
- 26:50podcast.
- 26:51>> Well, thank you very much for having me.
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