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Can America Win Back India's Trust? Trump's Former NSA John Bolton Answers — Transcript

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  1. 0:05[music]
  2. 0:10>> Hello and welcome back to The Hindustan
  3. 0:11Times podcast. I'm your host Shashank
  4. 0:13Mattoo reporting from Washington, D.C.
  5. 0:15The India-US relationship, it can be
  6. 0:16fairly said now, is in a state of
  7. 0:19crisis. We've had tariffs damaging the
  8. 0:21Indian economy, the deaths of Indian
  9. 0:22sailors in the US Iran war, Trump's
  10. 0:25growing closeness to Pakistan, and the
  11. 0:27rising anti-Indian rhetoric that we've
  12. 0:29all seen coming out of the United
  13. 0:30States. All of this has led to a massive
  14. 0:32upsurge in anger in India against the
  15. 0:35United States. But despite that, you
  16. 0:37have a high-profile meeting taking place
  17. 0:39between Prime Minister Modi and
  18. 0:40President Trump on the sidelines of the
  19. 0:42G7, and it seems there are people on
  20. 0:44both sides in India and the United
  21. 0:46States who are determined to preserve
  22. 0:48this partnership, who understand that
  23. 0:49this relationship is important. But that
  24. 0:51leaves us the question about where
  25. 0:52exactly we are in the India-US
  26. 0:54relationship, and where both sides
  27. 0:56stand. Joining me now to unpack this
  28. 0:58relationship and where we are right now
  29. 1:00is Ambassador John Bolton, former US
  30. 1:02National Security Advisor to President
  31. 1:04Trump in his first term, and one of the
  32. 1:05men who built the US-India relationship.
  33. 1:07Ambassador Bolton, thank you so much for
  34. 1:09joining us here on HD. You played an
  35. 1:11extremely key role over the years in
  36. 1:13building the US-India relationship. Is
  37. 1:15it fair to say now, in your assessment,
  38. 1:17that we are in a state of crisis?
  39. 1:20>> Well, I think it's
  40. 1:21I wouldn't necessarily describe it as
  41. 1:23crisis, but it's certainly very fraught.
  42. 1:25There's no doubt about it, and
  43. 1:27I hope I hope we can find ways through
  44. 1:29it. I'm sure we can cover all the
  45. 1:31different issues, but it is a fact that
  46. 1:34I think
  47. 1:35Trump and Modi have a good personal
  48. 1:37relationship, and certainly where
  49. 1:39Trump's concerned,
  50. 1:41personal relationships between the
  51. 1:43leaders
  52. 1:44are important. I I think the ties
  53. 1:46between the two countries below the
  54. 1:47level of leader are also good and
  55. 1:50growing, and in fact, it's the ups and
  56. 1:52downs in the relationships between the
  57. 1:54leaders that sometimes make it look like
  58. 1:57the relationship is in more trouble than
  59. 1:59it is because I think at the at the more
  60. 2:01basic level of commerce and trade and
  61. 2:03interaction on a whole variety of
  62. 2:07ways and means these things are
  63. 2:09improving albeit with some bumps in the
  64. 2:11road.
  65. 2:12>> Can I ask you something about the first
  66. 2:14Trump administration? Of course, you
  67. 2:15were national security advisor then and
  68. 2:17that was a point of time where the
  69. 2:19India-US relationship improved
  70. 2:20substantially. In fact, when President
  71. 2:22Trump came back to office, people
  72. 2:23thought that
  73. 2:25you know this would be a very friendly
  74. 2:26administration to India precisely
  75. 2:28because of the record that was built up
  76. 2:29in the first administration. Now, there
  77. 2:31seems to be the sense that India is just
  78. 2:34much less of a priority for the
  79. 2:36president. We have not seen anything
  80. 2:37major come off the major technology
  81. 2:39partnership between India and the United
  82. 2:40States. We've seen of course the deaths
  83. 2:42of Indian sailors. There was a response
  84. 2:44to that from the US government that was
  85. 2:46seen as extremely insensitive to the
  86. 2:47sentiments of you know the families but
  87. 2:49also the Indian public. Of course, this
  88. 2:51conversation about Trump's closeness to
  89. 2:53Pakistan. Across the board, it seems
  90. 2:55that while Washington may want a good
  91. 2:57relationship with India, it isn't
  92. 2:59necessarily committed to a good
  93. 3:00relationship with India or making the
  94. 3:02hard choices that it takes to build that
  95. 3:03relationship. Can I ask you about Do you
  96. 3:05think something has changed? Has India
  97. 3:06been deprioritized for Washington?
  98. 3:08>> Well, I think it it is a variety of
  99. 3:10factors in play. As you say, let's take
  100. 3:12trade to begin with.
  101. 3:14In in the first term, I and many other
  102. 3:17people were trying to get more progress
  103. 3:20made with the Asian security quad
  104. 3:23initially a project of Prime Minister
  105. 3:25Shinzo Abe of Japan but obviously
  106. 3:28involving Japan, India, Australia, and
  107. 3:29the US. We didn't make as much progress
  108. 3:33as I wanted to because Trump was so
  109. 3:35focused on talking about trade and and
  110. 3:38he had trade disputes with Australia, he
  111. 3:40had trade disputes with Japan, he had
  112. 3:42trade disputes with India.
  113. 3:44And we never had really time I think to
  114. 3:47to engage on more strategic issues.
  115. 3:49That's gotten worse in the second term
  116. 3:52beginning in April of 2025 with the
  117. 3:54so-called liberation day tariffs. I
  118. 3:56mean, my view on that is is fairly
  119. 3:59fairly straightforward. I'm opposed to
  120. 4:00all these tariffs. I don't think they
  121. 4:02make any sense for the United States,
  122. 4:05let alone for most of the countries
  123. 4:07they're being imposed upon. I think
  124. 4:09there are problems in international
  125. 4:10trade in the world. I would say China is
  126. 4:12the principal problem with international
  127. 4:14trade in the world for a whole variety
  128. 4:16of of reasons. But what Trump did was
  129. 4:19declare war on everybody, all almost
  130. 4:22every trading partner of the United
  131. 4:23States had, which to me made no sense
  132. 4:25whatsoever. And then specifically in the
  133. 4:28case of India, when we came to questions
  134. 4:31like the reaction to purchases of
  135. 4:35sanctioned Russian oil, Trump's response
  136. 4:39was to
  137. 4:41really disproportionately penalize
  138. 4:43India. Didn't didn't increase the
  139. 4:45tariffs on China at all or on Pakistan.
  140. 4:48And and I think that was a that's a very
  141. 4:51significant mistake. So I can certainly
  142. 4:53understand how those trade tariff
  143. 4:56related factors have damaged the
  144. 4:58relationship. I think as I say, there's
  145. 5:01actually a pretty simple way to correct
  146. 5:03this, which is just abolish all of the
  147. 5:05Trump tariffs. That obviously won't
  148. 5:07happen in his term, but I think
  149. 5:10the odds of a successor president,
  150. 5:12Republican or Democrat, are
  151. 5:15much more likely, maybe not as quickly
  152. 5:17as we would prefer, but much more likely
  153. 5:18to see the end of those tariffs. So
  154. 5:20that's that's one major area. There are
  155. 5:22obviously others as well.
  156. 5:24>> Right. You know, if I could ask you
  157. 5:25ambassador about Pakistan, this is a
  158. 5:27country that you've dealt with a great
  159. 5:28deal. And I think when you talk to
  160. 5:30people in Delhi, when you talk to people
  161. 5:32on the street, the sense sometimes is
  162. 5:33that this is becoming one of those major
  163. 5:35irritants, has been for a long time, but
  164. 5:37it's really becoming again one of the
  165. 5:38major irritants in the US-India
  166. 5:40relationship. And when I came to
  167. 5:41Washington, and I was talking to people,
  168. 5:43the sense was that look, there are
  169. 5:45enough people in Washington who
  170. 5:47recognize the past Pakistan's role in
  171. 5:49Afghanistan. Many people convinced here
  172. 5:51in Washington that Pakistan was
  173. 5:53responsible in part for
  174. 5:55helping lose America the Afghanistan
  175. 5:57war. But now it seems that President
  176. 5:59Trump seems to have forgotten that
  177. 6:00history or is putting it to the wayside.
  178. 6:03Could I ask you a little bit about that?
  179. 6:05Is America forgetting history a little
  180. 6:06bit when it comes to its relationship
  181. 6:08with Pakistan?
  182. 6:09>> Well, Trump doesn't know any history. So
  183. 6:11So you don't have to worry about him
  184. 6:12forgetting it. He never never learned it
  185. 6:14in the first place. I I I thought in the
  186. 6:16George W. Bush administration we made a
  187. 6:18very
  188. 6:19significant point of progress when when
  189. 6:22as as the phrase was used at the time we
  190. 6:25had de-linked India and Pakistan. That
  191. 6:27is to say in US relations we treated
  192. 6:29each on their own merits.
  193. 6:32And behavior toward one was not
  194. 6:34dependent on behavior toward the other.
  195. 6:36I think I think that's the right way to
  196. 6:38do it. I think it's consistent with the
  197. 6:40strong long-standing Indian position
  198. 6:44that relations with Pakistan are a
  199. 6:46bilateral matter between
  200. 6:49Pakistan and India and and others can
  201. 6:51stay out of it. And and I understand
  202. 6:53that and I think that's a correct
  203. 6:55approach for the for the US to take.
  204. 6:57I think what's happened here has
  205. 6:59surprised a lot of people in Washington.
  206. 7:03And it goes back to the point I made a
  207. 7:04moment ago of this notion Trump has that
  208. 7:07you can sum up relationships between
  209. 7:10states
  210. 7:11by the relations between heads of state.
  211. 7:13So General Munir getting very good
  212. 7:15advice from somebody told Trump early on
  213. 7:18he would nominate him for the Nobel
  214. 7:20Peace Prize. And this is one of Trump's
  215. 7:22major motivating factors in the second
  216. 7:25term. And
  217. 7:26Munir has played on that and
  218. 7:29very successfully to to advance
  219. 7:32Pakistani interest.
  220. 7:34Trump has has also
  221. 7:37I think made diplomatic missteps when
  222. 7:39referring to the uh resolution of uh of
  223. 7:43conflict between India and Pakistan over
  224. 7:46terrorist attacks from Pakistan into
  225. 7:48India, he basically took credit for
  226. 7:51resolving it. And I I can tell you from
  227. 7:53an analogous uh incident back in 2019,
  228. 7:57uh we were in Hanoi at the time for
  229. 7:59Trump to meet with Kim Jong Un, and
  230. 8:01there was terrorist attacks uh emanating
  231. 8:03from Pakistan into India. We we were
  232. 8:06concerned about it. Uh Mike Pompeo, the
  233. 8:09Secretary of State, and I stayed up much
  234. 8:11of the night in Hanoi talking to folks
  235. 8:13in uh
  236. 8:14uh India and Pakistan and back in
  237. 8:16Washington, and uh uh it uh the issue
  238. 8:20was resolved between uh New Delhi and
  239. 8:22Islamabad. That That's what happened. It
  240. 8:24wasn't because of anything we did. Uh we
  241. 8:26were we were there to be helpful to the
  242. 8:28extent we could, and we certainly didn't
  243. 8:30run out the next morning and take credit
  244. 8:32for it. I think I think this is an
  245. 8:33example of Trump
  246. 8:35just not understanding the background of
  247. 8:38things and uh not not really caring,
  248. 8:40unfortunately. It's not a reflection, I
  249. 8:42think, of any broader sentiment in the
  250. 8:44United States about Pakistan. I'm I'm
  251. 8:47have to say I'm concerned at the moment
  252. 8:49as we look at the situation in the Gulf
  253. 8:51and the Strait of Hormuz about uh
  254. 8:54mediation being carried out by by
  255. 8:57countries that uh that also have a stake
  256. 8:59in it and the and the role and the
  257. 9:01background of uh of all this of China.
  258. 9:04So, it's uh
  259. 9:05I think this is uh uh largely this
  260. 9:08question of uh uh of a tilt toward
  261. 9:11Pakistan, as some call it. I think it's
  262. 9:12largely a question of the aberration of
  263. 9:14Trump himself.
  264. 9:15>> Right. And the question, of course, that
  265. 9:16a lot of people are asking is, "Okay,
  266. 9:18where does the American relationship
  267. 9:20with Pakistan go under President Trump
  268. 9:22uh from here on out?" Is it, for
  269. 9:24example, uh possible that Washington
  270. 9:26will consider weapon sales uh to
  271. 9:28Pakistan again as was his policy um uh
  272. 9:30for decades in the past? Because that is
  273. 9:32a significant area of concern. And do
  274. 9:34you also see, Ambassador, how the
  275. 9:36American closeness to Pakistan in the
  276. 9:38Trump administration makes India trust
  277. 9:40America less.
  278. 9:41>> Well, I think I think the the issue of
  279. 9:43how to deal with Pakistan, in my view,
  280. 9:46is heavily colored by the Chinese
  281. 9:49efforts to use Pakistan as a surrogate.
  282. 9:51And we see this in a lot of ways, the
  283. 9:54construction of an oil terminal
  284. 9:57in Pakistan so that oil from the Middle
  285. 9:59East can
  286. 10:00come out of the Strait of Hormuz or come
  287. 10:02out of wherever it's coming from
  288. 10:04and not have to go through the Indian
  289. 10:06Ocean and the Strait of Malacca, but can
  290. 10:07go to this
  291. 10:09port in Pakistan, be offloaded there,
  292. 10:11and then and then sent by pipeline north
  293. 10:14through Pakistan, and then east across
  294. 10:16Chinese territory.
  295. 10:18And I think the weapons relationship
  296. 10:21between China and Pakistan is very
  297. 10:23troubling, too, and and something that
  298. 10:25uh
  299. 10:26is disturbing to the US from a strategic
  300. 10:30point of view, and obviously disturbing
  301. 10:32to India as well. So, I think it's
  302. 10:34important to be careful here,
  303. 10:36and I think you've got a situation as
  304. 10:38well in Pakistan. Obviously, the
  305. 10:40military has had a
  306. 10:43dominant role in Pakistan since
  307. 10:45partition. I don't think anybody
  308. 10:47disputes that. It's now not even
  309. 10:49pretending not to be in control. And
  310. 10:52it's been the consistent US position
  311. 10:54that that a democratically elected
  312. 10:56Pakistani government, understanding the
  313. 10:59military's often referred to as the
  314. 11:01steel skeleton in Pakistan, but a
  315. 11:03democratically elected government is
  316. 11:05what we prefer. Obviously, we're not
  317. 11:08there at this point.
  318. 11:09>> Could I ask you a little bit about Iran
  319. 11:10now, just to shift gears a little bit
  320. 11:12because because we've just had
  321. 11:14the ceasefire in the conflict. It's been
  322. 11:17shaky, but so far, at least we haven't
  323. 11:19seen an active resumption of
  324. 11:21hostilities. Could I ask you a little
  325. 11:22bit about the impact that the Iran war
  326. 11:24has also had on the US-India
  327. 11:25relationship because what the war did,
  328. 11:27of course, was it did send energy prices
  329. 11:30uh
  330. 11:31rising everywhere around the world, led
  331. 11:32to shortages in India which of course
  332. 11:35directly affected Indian citizens. The
  333. 11:36deaths of the three Indian sailors in
  334. 11:39the US Navy strikes. Of course there was
  335. 11:41a sense that when it came to handling
  336. 11:42the matter sensitively, I think the
  337. 11:44State Department put out when it came to
  338. 11:46conversation between Secretary Rubio and
  339. 11:47Dr. Jaishankar on this very question. It
  340. 11:50was a very harsh statement sort of
  341. 11:51saying that look yes these people have
  342. 11:52died but you can't violate a US blockade
  343. 11:55on Iran. So again one of those in a time
  344. 11:58of a fraught relationship as you said
  345. 12:00the US Iran war does not seem to have
  346. 12:02hurt the relationship. Could I ask you
  347. 12:04to maybe comment on what you see the war
  348. 12:07as playing a role in the in the India US
  349. 12:09relationship?
  350. 12:10>> Well there's there's a lot to criticize
  351. 12:13in Trump's conduct of the war. Number
  352. 12:15one I to this day don't know what his
  353. 12:16objectives were.
  354. 12:18I I make no bones about it. I've said
  355. 12:20for decades there will never be peace
  356. 12:22and stability in the Middle East while
  357. 12:23that regime remains in power in Tehran.
  358. 12:26Was Trump trying to change the regime?
  359. 12:28It sounded like it at the beginning but
  360. 12:30he denied it later and I think that's
  361. 12:33part of the the problem and part of the
  362. 12:34reason we're in a
  363. 12:36a very difficult dangerous stage now is
  364. 12:39that he didn't think all this through.
  365. 12:40Another another thing that Trump didn't
  366. 12:42do before
  367. 12:43launching military activity was consult
  368. 12:46with our friends and allies. Didn't
  369. 12:48consult with NATO. We didn't consult
  370. 12:50with the Gulf Arab states. We didn't
  371. 12:52consult with countries in the
  372. 12:54Indo-Pacific that
  373. 12:56rely heavily on exports of oil from the
  374. 12:59Gulf to say
  375. 13:01you know not to reveal the detailed
  376. 13:02plans of what we're about to do but to
  377. 13:04say this very serious and
  378. 13:07we're we're looking at taking steps that
  379. 13:09could affect you. Let's talk about how
  380. 13:11we're going to deal with that. He didn't
  381. 13:12do any of that. He didn't do a lot of
  382. 13:14other things either. He didn't consult
  383. 13:15with the opposition inside Iran probably
  384. 13:18the biggest mistake of all to find out
  385. 13:19what help they needed what we could give
  386. 13:21them how they could participate if this
  387. 13:23this really were an effort to change the
  388. 13:26regime.
  389. 13:27Uh so, this is now uh
  390. 13:30come to a memorandum of understanding
  391. 13:33that Trump signed not for any
  392. 13:34geostrategic reasons, but because he
  393. 13:37wanted oil to flow out of the Gulf into
  394. 13:40global markets to bring the price at the
  395. 13:42pump of gasoline in the United States
  396. 13:44down. That is the motivating factor.
  397. 13:48And and yet that is not occurring. You
  398. 13:51know, Iranian oil is coming through
  399. 13:52because the blockade has been lifted,
  400. 13:54but oil from the Gulf Arab side is now
  401. 13:57still restricted a little bit, but not
  402. 13:59nearly pre-war production. So, the the
  403. 14:02global spot market prices have come way
  404. 14:04down because because people are
  405. 14:06optimistic. I wouldn't be so optimistic,
  406. 14:08actually. I think there's more to worry
  407. 14:09about here.
  408. 14:11But, I'm still not sure we've done
  409. 14:12enough uh to work with countries
  410. 14:14affected by it. And uh you don't have to
  411. 14:17sign up to the entire coalition and all
  412. 14:19of its activities, but but not to take
  413. 14:21into account the impacts that we we uh
  414. 14:25we we are seeing uh it is just uh a
  415. 14:28violation of diplomacy 101. Now, on on
  416. 14:31the deaths of the three Indian sailors,
  417. 14:34uh
  418. 14:35look, it's uh it's a tragedy. There's no
  419. 14:37doubt about it. It it clearly was not
  420. 14:40handled well. I I would just say this,
  421. 14:42the the the fact of the blockade was
  422. 14:44well known.
  423. 14:45Um
  424. 14:46uh and when you're in a situation like
  425. 14:49that, the captain's responsibility of a
  426. 14:51commercial vessel
  427. 14:53uh is to think of his good ship and
  428. 14:55crew.
  429. 14:56And the captain was given an order uh
  430. 14:59to stop heading toward Iran, to go to
  431. 15:02the parking place out in the Gulf of
  432. 15:03Oman where a lot of ships were interned.
  433. 15:06And he didn't do it.
  434. 15:07Uh he was given several warnings and uh
  435. 15:10and told what we would do, which is fire
  436. 15:13into the engine room of the ship and
  437. 15:15disable it. And then we would take it
  438. 15:16over to the parking lot. And that that
  439. 15:19is what happened.
  440. 15:21Uh it's it's uh it it a it it obviously
  441. 15:24we understand the humanitarian concern
  442. 15:26in India. I would put more
  443. 15:27responsibility on the captain for not
  444. 15:30considering his responsibilities.
  445. 15:33Uh,
  446. 15:34commercial vessels can't fight warships.
  447. 15:36It's it's it's a lose proposition and he
  448. 15:38should have known that.
  449. 15:40>> Question I wanted to ask you more
  450. 15:41broadly about the conflict is that the
  451. 15:44criticism in India is that over the last
  452. 15:4615-20 years we have given up a
  453. 15:49relationship with Iran in favor of
  454. 15:52closer ties with the United States. We
  455. 15:54also saw before this conflict there was
  456. 15:55a sense in this with this commentary in
  457. 15:57India that India very clearly aligned
  458. 15:59itself with the United States and Israel
  459. 16:03during this conflict with Iran and the
  460. 16:05sense now is that we've had the deaths
  461. 16:07of these sailors, we've got energy
  462. 16:09prices skyrocketing and of course
  463. 16:11at the same time there's the sense that
  464. 16:14Washington and Israel were not
  465. 16:15fundamentally able to achieve their aims
  466. 16:17in the first place. So, what was the
  467. 16:18point of aligning with America first
  468. 16:20place did this not fundamentally hurt
  469. 16:22our interest and this in the minds of
  470. 16:25many critics of the US-India
  471. 16:26relationship is what happens when you
  472. 16:28get too close to Washington. Your view
  473. 16:30on this.
  474. 16:31>> Well, I think the the the question of
  475. 16:33Iran
  476. 16:35is one that does have global
  477. 16:37implications and and we can start with
  478. 16:40their support for international
  479. 16:42terrorism. They have for three or four
  480. 16:44decades now been the world's leading
  481. 16:47sponsor of
  482. 16:48terrorism and it's the They're not the
  483. 16:50only source of revenue and weapons and
  484. 16:53training and intelligence for terrorist
  485. 16:54groups, but certainly a lot comes from
  486. 16:57Iran and their their their efforts
  487. 17:00around the world really I think are a
  488. 17:02major threat to stability not just in
  489. 17:04the Middle East, but but
  490. 17:06internationally. Uh, and and their
  491. 17:08pursuit of nuclear weapons
  492. 17:11in advancing this really it's an
  493. 17:13ideological agenda uh, the Middle East
  494. 17:17and and more broadly uh, is very
  495. 17:19troubling, too. It It If If Trump had
  496. 17:22been able to define his goals more
  497. 17:24carefully, if what this a military
  498. 17:26action was intended to be was uh, as the
  499. 17:30Israelis put it, a mowing the lawn of
  500. 17:33Iranian capabilities, uh, that that I
  501. 17:36think people would have seen uh, the the
  502. 17:39uh,
  503. 17:39uh, the the the the understanding of
  504. 17:42what we were up to and and what the
  505. 17:44limits of it were. But But he didn't do
  506. 17:46that. And this is I I think uh, as I
  507. 17:49said before, this reflects confusion in
  508. 17:51his own mind. This is a real problem for
  509. 17:53the United States and for others uh, who
  510. 17:56who say, "Well, we can't even understand
  511. 17:59what the United States is doing." There
  512. 18:01are many cases where we understand what
  513. 18:02they're doing. We may not agree with it,
  514. 18:04but at least we understand it. Here,
  515. 18:06because of the nature of Donald Trump,
  516. 18:09uh, I think uh,
  517. 18:11internationally it's not well
  518. 18:12understood. It's not well understood in
  519. 18:13the United States, either. And And that
  520. 18:16that's a that's a big problem for Trump
  521. 18:18politically, especially among
  522. 18:19Republicans. So, it's uh, I don't think
  523. 18:22you should read Trump's problems as as
  524. 18:25uh, indicating uh, a broader American
  525. 18:29uh, lack of interest in the relationship
  526. 18:31with India uh,
  527. 18:32or in dealing effectively with this
  528. 18:34regime in Iran. Uh, and it's uh, uh,
  529. 18:38>> [clears throat]
  530. 18:38>> it's a matter that I don't I don't think
  531. 18:40it's going to be fixable as long as
  532. 18:42Trump is president. I don't I don't want
  533. 18:44to minimize uh, the downside of his
  534. 18:47erratic uh, and and unpredictable
  535. 18:50behavior. But it's not it's not
  536. 18:53something that that has support in the
  537. 18:55country as a whole. And if he had
  538. 18:57thought about the uh, potential that uh,
  539. 19:00that the Iranians would try and close
  540. 19:02the Strait of Hormuz, uh, then then he
  541. 19:05might have gone about it in a different
  542. 19:06way. It He He says he was surprised that
  543. 19:09they closed the Strait of Hormuz. That
  544. 19:11would make him the only person in the
  545. 19:12world surprised that they tried to do
  546. 19:15that. This has been a problem, potential
  547. 19:17problem, ever since the Ayatollahs took
  548. 19:19over in 1979.
  549. 19:21>> Let me ask you, just to switch gears, on
  550. 19:23um China because I think this is another
  551. 19:25significant um area of doubt or perhaps
  552. 19:28concern with the US-India relationship.
  553. 19:30And that is that for the longest time
  554. 19:31the relationship uh between the United
  555. 19:33States and America, it was felt that the
  556. 19:36the strategic bedrock of that was our
  557. 19:37shared concern about the strategic rise
  558. 19:40um of China. Now it seems like the Trump
  559. 19:42administration has a much uh softer,
  560. 19:45much less competitive view of its
  561. 19:47relationship with China. And therefore,
  562. 19:49it seems like India and forums like the
  563. 19:51Quad, which were built very
  564. 19:52painstakingly over the course of um the
  565. 19:55last decade, they seem to have lost some
  566. 19:56value uh for Washington. Could you give
  567. 19:58us your sense of where the Trump
  568. 19:59administration is on China?
  569. 20:01>> Well, it's uh it's it's hard to say
  570. 20:03because it depends on what Trump's
  571. 20:05thinking is on any given day. He he uh
  572. 20:08uh he he's very concerned about the
  573. 20:10Chinese trading practices and and the
  574. 20:13the subsidies and unfair competition
  575. 20:15that they engage in, but he's also
  576. 20:17captivated by Xi Jinping. This this
  577. 20:19again is another example of the idea
  578. 20:22that if he's if he's got a good personal
  579. 20:24relationship with Xi Jinping,
  580. 20:26everything's fine in China-US relation,
  581. 20:28which it's not manifestly. Uh and I
  582. 20:31think that Trump is very impressed by
  583. 20:34pageantry. I I was with him uh in uh
  584. 20:37uh the UK in 2018 when uh Prime Minister
  585. 20:40Theresa May was giving him a lunch at
  586. 20:42the Chequers and he talked about his
  587. 20:442017 visit to China and he said Trump
  588. 20:47said, "You know, they gave me the
  589. 20:49biggest welcome they have ever given any
  590. 20:51foreign leader in all of Chinese
  591. 20:53history."
  592. 20:54And everybody around the table just
  593. 20:56remained silent because what do you say
  594. 20:58to that? That's what affects Trump. Uh
  595. 21:01and I think uh among uh members of
  596. 21:04Congress, House and Senate, Republican
  597. 21:06and Democrat, concern about China is one
  598. 21:08of the rare things that has strong
  599. 21:10bipartisan support. And
  600. 21:13and and the way Trump reacts to China
  601. 21:15really does not make Republicans or
  602. 21:18Democrats very happy. So again, I think
  603. 21:21the underlying interest here of
  604. 21:24India and the United States facing the
  605. 21:26problems that China causes remain
  606. 21:29basically the same. And I I'd like to
  607. 21:31see ways to make progress even as Trump
  608. 21:34kind of flits around above above the
  609. 21:36level of of hard policy discussion.
  610. 21:39>> Right. Can I ask you just two final
  611. 21:41questions? One was on something that we
  612. 21:43saw that made a lot of news, which is
  613. 21:44the United States Indo-Pacific Command
  614. 21:46dropping the Indo from its prefix and of
  615. 21:49course going back to its original name,
  616. 21:51which was US Pacific Command. Now of
  617. 21:53course this sounds
  618. 21:54very technical jargon if a general
  619. 21:56audience perhaps you could explain the
  620. 21:58significance of that decision, but also
  621. 22:00it seemed that when in 2018 the Trump
  622. 22:03administration was responsible for
  623. 22:04naming the command the US Indo-Pacific
  624. 22:06Command. The idea was that look, it
  625. 22:08signifies the value of India, the value
  626. 22:11of the Indian Ocean to us, to our
  627. 22:13broader strategy. And of course as I was
  628. 22:15saying, this broader sense of concern
  629. 22:17that the relationship with India has
  630. 22:19been deprioritized in Washington. This
  631. 22:21sort of confirms a lot of those fears
  632. 22:23that you know by dropping the Indo from
  633. 22:25the Indo-Pacific Command, it seems like
  634. 22:27a signal of where Washington's head is
  635. 22:29at. Could you break down the change
  636. 22:30because it happened during your time in
  637. 22:32office, but also um
  638. 22:35what that means on the ground for US
  639. 22:36commitment to the Indo-Pacific versus
  640. 22:38relationship with India?
  641. 22:40>> Right. Well, the Pentagon has the world
  642. 22:41divided into commands. There's the North
  643. 22:44American Command, there's the Southern
  644. 22:45Command, the European Command, and
  645. 22:48previously there was the Pacific Command
  646. 22:50or PACOM, which covered
  647. 22:52everything from the West Coast of the
  648. 22:55United States, the West Coast of the
  649. 22:57Americas, all the way across Pacific and
  650. 23:00the Indian Ocean. So in in the first
  651. 23:03Trump term, recognizing the geographic
  652. 23:05reality of of the command's
  653. 23:08responsibility, but also to signify that
  654. 23:11it was bigger than the Pacific, we
  655. 23:13changed it to
  656. 23:14Indo-Pacom. And I thought it was a good
  657. 23:16idea at the time. I still think it's a
  658. 23:18good idea. I think it's just a
  659. 23:20a a childish uh mistake to change it
  660. 23:24back. And uh
  661. 23:26uh it it's
  662. 23:28I predict it will change back again when
  663. 23:30we get another president as it should.
  664. 23:32So, it's it's a you know, it's a Defense
  665. 23:35Secretary Pete Hegseth apparently made
  666. 23:37the decision.
  667. 23:39I don't know what he thought he was
  668. 23:40doing,
  669. 23:41but I would just hope people would say
  670. 23:43it's not part of some grand design to
  671. 23:46downplay US-India relations because
  672. 23:48there isn't any grand design in the
  673. 23:50Trump administration. It's all ad hoc,
  674. 23:52seat-of-the-pants decision-making.
  675. 23:55And and it's just we were right when we
  676. 23:56changed the name in 2018 to Indo-Pacom,
  677. 23:59and we just should have left it that
  678. 24:00way.
  679. 24:01>> Right.
  680. 24:02May I just ask very quickly as a
  681. 24:03follow-up because to a lot of people
  682. 24:04what it seems like is
  683. 24:06you know, China has had its problems
  684. 24:07with the idea of the Indo-Pacific,
  685. 24:10just very concept of it. And of course
  686. 24:12and of course groupings like the Quad.
  687. 24:14And it seems that the sense that some
  688. 24:17people are getting is that America's
  689. 24:18decision to remove drop the Indo from
  690. 24:21Indo-Pacific Command was a sign that
  691. 24:23look, they don't want to step on China's
  692. 24:25toes too much. And if you also see at
  693. 24:27the same time the fact that there has
  694. 24:28not been a Quad leaders summit uh for
  695. 24:30the last 1 and 1/2 years. Both of those
  696. 24:32things coming together seems like
  697. 24:35America's sort of saying, "Look, we want
  698. 24:36a much more stable relationship with
  699. 24:38China. We don't want a competitive
  700. 24:39relationship. So, we're going to make
  701. 24:41these superficial changes that reassure
  702. 24:43China." Do you think that's what's going
  703. 24:44on or is that overreading into it?
  704. 24:46>> No, I think that gives the Trump
  705. 24:47administration too much credit. I I just
  706. 24:49I just think it's a series of unrelated
  707. 24:52things. I mean, the concept we were
  708. 24:53advancing, again, this this is not a US
  709. 24:55concept. It was from Shinzo Abe
  710. 24:58who talked about a free and open
  711. 25:00Indo-Pacific and and I think that
  712. 25:02remains the objective of of everybody in
  713. 25:05the quad and many many many others in
  714. 25:07the region and China may not like that
  715. 25:10either but but that's that is the
  716. 25:12concept that I think all of our
  717. 25:14interests are based on and that's not
  718. 25:15going to change just because of Donald
  719. 25:17Trump.
  720. 25:18>> A last question then Ambassador which is
  721. 25:19that where do we go from here? Because
  722. 25:21the word trust I think is used a lot in
  723. 25:23the India-US relationship and how that
  724. 25:26seems to have been lost. So the question
  725. 25:28of course is can America rebuild that
  726. 25:30lost trust and if it can how does
  727. 25:33[snorts] that happen?
  728. 25:34>> Well, I think we can. I mean I I think
  729. 25:37it's it's it's obviously hard to
  730. 25:39separate the president from the country
  731. 25:42and the people but but Trump is an
  732. 25:44aberration and I think his behavior
  733. 25:46demonstrates it
  734. 25:48almost across the board on any given
  735. 25:50day.
  736. 25:51I I agree. I think decades of effort by
  737. 25:54the US and the and the relationship with
  738. 25:57India have suffered as a result and
  739. 26:00so I think it's on the part of those of
  740. 26:03us in the US who think this relationship
  741. 26:05is important to try and minimize
  742. 26:07whatever additional damage he may do
  743. 26:10and then when he's out of office try and
  744. 26:12rebuild it. So what I what I recommend
  745. 26:15to friends around the world is grit your
  746. 26:16teeth and remember that there's a future
  747. 26:19after Donald Trump's administration is
  748. 26:21over and keep in mind the big picture
  749. 26:24threats and challenges that we face that
  750. 26:27also are are permanent fixtures of of
  751. 26:30the environment.
  752. 26:32>> Ambassador John Bolton we've talked
  753. 26:33about the US-India relationship,
  754. 26:35the US-Pakistan relationship, the Iran
  755. 26:37war, China, the Indo-Pacific and the
  756. 26:39quad. Thank you so much for this excuse
  757. 26:41me wide-ranging conversation for sharing
  758. 26:43your thoughts as well as your experience
  759. 26:44and hopefully our readers our viewers
  760. 26:46take something away from this. Thank you
  761. 26:48so much again Ambassador Bolton for
  762. 26:49joining us here on the Hindustan Times
  763. 26:50podcast.
  764. 26:51>> Well, thank you very much for having me.

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