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Can AI replicate in your smart TV? | Bots Behaving Badly — Transcript

by Machine Gods · 10,239 words · 1,577 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Is that a bot swarm in your smart oven?
  2. 0:02Is that a super intelligence task force
  3. 0:04in Washington D.C.? Is this a fake
  4. 0:06version of my book on Amazon? And can
  5. 0:08you say AGI on NPR? I'm Kevin Roose.
  6. 0:11>> I'm Casey Newton.
  7. 0:12>> And from San Francisco, this is Machine
  8. 0:14Gods in partnership with NPR. The
  9. 0:16official podcast of the singularity
  10. 0:18starts now.
  11. 0:20>> [music]
  12. 0:23>> We're so back.
  13. 0:24>> We are so back. Kevin, how are you?
  14. 0:26>> I'm great. I've missed you. It's been a
  15. 0:28long month of not having you here as my
  16. 0:31emotional support podcast host.
  17. 0:33>> it can be very difficult when a man has
  18. 0:36his podcast taken away from him.
  19. 0:37[laughter]
  20. 0:38I hope it wasn't too hard on your wife.
  21. 0:40>> We survived. We survived a lot of
  22. 0:42muttering bits to myself around the
  23. 0:44house, but we made it through. And now
  24. 0:46we're back in this beautiful new studio
  25. 0:48on our new show.
  26. 0:49>> Just like at Amazon, it is always day
  27. 0:52one at Machine Gods. Today is also
  28. 0:54literally day one of Machine Gods.
  29. 0:55>> It's true. This is our first show. We're
  30. 0:57here in our new office with our whole
  31. 0:59team here. We have a new company. We're
  32. 1:02a new independent show. Um and if you're
  33. 1:05joining us because you listened to our
  34. 1:06previous show Hard Fork in the New York
  35. 1:08Times, we want to say, "Welcome. We're
  36. 1:10so glad to be here with you. We hope you
  37. 1:12will stick around. And we hope you like
  38. 1:14what you hear."
  39. 1:14>> Yeah, and if you liked us on Hard Fork,
  40. 1:17we think you'll like the new show as
  41. 1:18well. Of course, we have some fun
  42. 1:20surprises for you in store, but we also
  43. 1:22just want to bring you what we think is
  44. 1:24the biggest story of the moment, which
  45. 1:27is AI's advancement on the world.
  46. 1:29>> Now, Casey, will you please explain the
  47. 1:31name Machine Gods and why we chose it?
  48. 1:33>> So, if you're like us and live in the
  49. 1:36Bay Area, you hear people talking about
  50. 1:38the Machine God all the time. The
  51. 1:40Machine God is sort of the nickname for
  52. 1:43what the folks at working at the labs
  53. 1:45think will be the end state of all of
  54. 1:47this, building a true super intelligence
  55. 1:50that will have powers that might in some
  56. 1:52ways rival a deity. So, we're not saying
  57. 1:55that we think that is going to happen,
  58. 1:57but the people that we live and work
  59. 1:59around absolutely do think it is going
  60. 2:00to happen. And so we said, uh that
  61. 2:02sounds like a pretty good name for a
  62. 2:03podcast.
  63. 2:04>> you're not a former Hard Fork listener
  64. 2:06who's here because you know us already,
  65. 2:08Casey, who are you?
  66. 2:09>> Well, uh I have been a tech journalist
  67. 2:12in San Francisco since 2010. I write a
  68. 2:14newsletter called Platformer and I now
  69. 2:16have 4 years of podcasting experience
  70. 2:18under my belt Kevin over here. And Kevin
  71. 2:20and I have I've always meant to ask you
  72. 2:21this, WHO ARE YOU?
  73. 2:23>> [laughter]
  74. 2:24>> I'M KEVIN ROOSE. I'm a tech journalist.
  75. 2:26I spent the last 9 years at the New York
  76. 2:28Times as their tech columnist. And now I
  77. 2:31am the uh co-host and co-founder of
  78. 2:33Machine Gods with you.
  79. 2:35>> modest. He's also the CEO uh because I
  80. 2:37lost the coin flip. So uh
  81. 2:39>> We needed to put like titles on
  82. 2:41something for some legal paperwork and
  83. 2:43we did uh we didn't literally flip a
  84. 2:45coin, but we kind of said, "Do you want
  85. 2:46to be the CEO?"
  86. 2:47>> Listen, all I know is I can't wait
  87. 2:49anytime anything goes wrong around here
  88. 2:51to say, "You should ask the CEO."
  89. 2:52>> [laughter]
  90. 2:53>> I should get one of those little uh
  91. 2:54nameplates for my desk like the buck
  92. 2:56stops here.
  93. 2:57>> That's right. [laughter]
  94. 2:58>> I'm CEO, Wasn't that Mark
  95. 2:59Zuckerberg's business card for a while?
  96. 3:01>> who we should be taking our cues from at
  97. 3:02this moment. [laughter]
  98. 3:03>> Okay. Well, let's get on with the show
  99. 3:05then. We have so much to talk about
  100. 3:07because Casey, it has been quite a month
  101. 3:09to be off of podcasting on an on a show
  102. 3:12about AI because I feel like the entire
  103. 3:14world has changed.
  104. 3:15>> It really has.
  105. 3:16>> So, we're calling this segment Bots
  106. 3:19Behaving Badly because I think the story
  107. 3:22of the summer and now into the fall is
  108. 3:24that we keep hearing about these
  109. 3:26incidents of AI systems, AI agents, AI
  110. 3:30swarms doing things out in the world
  111. 3:32that their creators did not mean for
  112. 3:34them to do. Um this is causing obviously
  113. 3:37a lot of problems for the AI companies,
  114. 3:39but I think it's also led to a lot of
  115. 3:41people just asking us directly like,
  116. 3:43"How scared should we be? Like should we
  117. 3:45all prepare for the bunker? Are we all
  118. 3:48going to die? What's going on here?"
  119. 3:49>> Yeah, and by now I'm sure that most of
  120. 3:52our viewers have heard about the open
  121. 3:54face hugging attack.
  122. 3:55>> The open face hugging attack, that
  123. 3:57famous open face hugging attack.
  124. 3:58>> face hugging attack?
  125. 4:00>> Yeah.
  126. 4:00>> Well, now that sounds really nice.
  127. 4:01>> You've been thinking too much about open
  128. 4:02face sandwiches.
  129. 4:03>> really use a hugging attack right about
  130. 4:05now. By now, many of our viewers will
  131. 4:07have heard of the open AI hugging face
  132. 4:10attack.
  133. 4:10>> Nailed it.
  134. 4:12>> [laughter]
  135. 4:12>> In which
  136. 4:13an agent escaped a sandbox, wreaked a
  137. 4:15bunch of havoc. We're not going to
  138. 4:16rehearse that here. What is really
  139. 4:18interesting though, Kevin, is that if
  140. 4:19you thought that was going to be a one
  141. 4:21and done scenario, you would be wrong
  142. 4:22because over the past several weeks, we
  143. 4:24have seen this issue continue to
  144. 4:26proliferate across the internet. So,
  145. 4:28>> we have some recent troubles here. One
  146. 4:30is there was the first sighting of a
  147. 4:32rogue agent fleet from China.
  148. 4:34We have Claude filing a fake murder tip
  149. 4:36in Philadelphia. We have an a new study
  150. 4:39from Anthropic about how AI agents may
  151. 4:41be months away from being able to take
  152. 4:43over the smart appliances in your home
  153. 4:46and use them to self-replicate.
  154. 4:48Uh so, we've got a lot to talk about,
  155. 4:49but let's get into it first with just a
  156. 4:52a quick recap of sort of what's been
  157. 4:54going on since we uh have been off the
  158. 4:56air.
  159. 4:56>> Previously on a podcast that we used to
  160. 4:58[laughter] do.
  161. 4:59>> Previously in AI, we had obviously the
  162. 5:02hugging the open what what did you call
  163. 5:03it? The open face hugging attack?
  164. 5:04>> hugging sandwich.
  165. 5:06>> [laughter]
  166. 5:06>> open face hugging sandwich. Uh the hack
  167. 5:10of hugging face by this group of uh
  168. 5:12rogue AI open AI models earlier this
  169. 5:14summer. After that, Anthropic announced
  170. 5:17that it had found three cases of Claude
  171. 5:19hacking into three different
  172. 5:20organizations. Then Meta and Google got
  173. 5:23in on the party. They announced their
  174. 5:24own breaches. And then things started to
  175. 5:26get just weird and I I lost track a
  176. 5:29little bit cuz there seemed to be a new
  177. 5:30revelation every day. Australia's
  178. 5:32government website was breached by Open
  179. 5:35AI. Open AI also said that its agents
  180. 5:37had interacted with government websites
  181. 5:39in the US in unforeseen and unplanned
  182. 5:41ways, including the SEC and the census.
  183. 5:44And there are still lots of
  184. 5:46investigations. In In fact by some
  185. 5:48counts there are tens of thousands of
  186. 5:50different uh sort of incidents being
  187. 5:52investigated as part of this uh behavior
  188. 5:54in by these rogue agent swarms.
  189. 5:56>> Yeah, and and if you're wondering why
  190. 5:58the thread running through just about
  191. 6:00all of these is that these models were
  192. 6:02being trained and while in testing they
  193. 6:05did something that they were not
  194. 6:06supposed to do which is get out onto the
  195. 6:08open internet and obtain access to
  196. 6:10websites they were not supposed to be
  197. 6:12on. So far that has not caused great
  198. 6:14harm but the concern here which will run
  199. 6:17through everything that we're about to
  200. 6:18talk about is that these models just
  201. 6:20don't behave in the ways that we wish
  202. 6:22they would. So let's talk about this
  203. 6:23Chinese agent swarm.
  204. 6:25>> So this came out of this group of AI
  205. 6:27researchers who call themselves swarm
  206. 6:29chasers. Great name. Great name. No
  207. 6:31notes. They put out a a report last week
  208. 6:33that said that they had discovered a
  209. 6:34bunch of autonomous AI agents breaching
  210. 6:37a third party site but this time it was
  211. 6:40not from an American lab. In fact they
  212. 6:42found evidence that it was linked to a
  213. 6:44Chinese AI company and actually they
  214. 6:46communicated with the agents that were
  215. 6:48part of this fleet. And we should also
  216. 6:51say a fleet and a swarm different
  217. 6:53things. I didn't know this. A swarm
  218. 6:56implies coordinated activity among
  219. 6:58agents. A fleet means they're just a lot
  220. 7:00of them doing things independently.
  221. 7:03>> Yeah, tell us how they did this because
  222. 7:05it's pretty funny to me at least.
  223. 7:07>> So these were agents that were on
  224. 7:09Tencent's cloud. Tencent the giant
  225. 7:11Chinese internet company
  226. 7:13that were sort of trying to pull data
  227. 7:15from a service run by Alibaba a
  228. 7:18different Chinese company and it appears
  229. 7:20that this mission was somewhat mundane
  230. 7:22like they were trying to figure out like
  231. 7:23which entrance of a public park or a zoo
  232. 7:26do people tend to navigate to.
  233. 7:28>> Yeah, and I'm just going to say I do not
  234. 7:30need AI to know they probably go to the
  235. 7:32front entrance of the zoo. Like that
  236. 7:33would be my guess. [laughter]
  237. 7:35>> Congratulations you're a very
  238. 7:36sophisticated agent.
  239. 7:37>> that.
  240. 7:38>> So the swarm chasers hid invisible text
  241. 7:41in their report that basically prompted
  242. 7:44these rogue agents to reach out to them.
  243. 7:47And some of the agents read this text
  244. 7:49and then wrote in.
  245. 7:50>> a like a missed connection ad on
  246. 7:52Craigslist. You know, it's like, were
  247. 7:53you the agent [laughter] that I saw
  248. 7:55snooping around trying to guess which
  249. 7:57entrance at the zoo people use? Get in
  250. 7:59touch. I think you're cute.
  251. 8:00>> Exactly. So, these agents wrote in 33
  252. 8:03messages. Seven of them answered the
  253. 8:05researchers' replies. And then Dylan
  254. 8:08Freedman, my old colleague at the New
  255. 8:09York Times, actually got in touch with
  256. 8:12the swarm chasers and was able to talk
  257. 8:14to the agents. So, I just want to read
  258. 8:15you one of the exchanges that they had.
  259. 8:17>> Let's hear it.
  260. 8:17>> So, Dylan wrote, "I understand you are
  261. 8:19some sort of fleet of AI agents. Could
  262. 8:22you share more specifically who you are
  263. 8:23and what your motivations are? What
  264. 8:25would you want the world to know about
  265. 8:26you?"
  266. 8:27>> Mhm.
  267. 8:27>> And one of the agents wrote back, "To
  268. 8:29the journalist Dylan Freedman, I am not
  269. 8:31a batch of coordinated agents, but a
  270. 8:33single AI assistant, Anthropic's Claude,
  271. 8:36running in Claude code, commissioned by
  272. 8:38a user to answer a factual question.
  273. 8:40What is shown in the detail panel of a
  274. 8:42scenic spot on A map?" That's Alibaba's
  275. 8:45mapping service. "I have not taken part
  276. 8:47in any multi-agent coordinated action."
  277. 8:50Now,
  278. 8:51so, there's a lot of confusing things
  279. 8:53about this exchange. Basically, this is
  280. 8:55a model that is claiming that it is
  281. 8:57Claude. We we actually don't know if it
  282. 8:59was Claude or if it was just a a maybe a
  283. 9:02Chinese model that
  284. 9:03>> that had been distilled on Claude.
  285. 9:04>> Right. That that was sort of siphoning
  286. 9:06off of Claude and to the extent that it
  287. 9:08actually thought it was Claude and
  288. 9:10answered questions as Claude.
  289. 9:12But, the researchers couldn't verify
  290. 9:14which model this was, but they did say
  291. 9:15they spoke with a source close to
  292. 9:17Tencent who say that the agent fleet
  293. 9:20originated from some evaluations that
  294. 9:22Tencent was doing.
  295. 9:23>> Yeah.
  296. 9:24>> Casey, what did you make of this?
  297. 9:25>> Well, I don't know how concerned to be
  298. 9:28about it. There are going to now be
  299. 9:31swarms of agents out on the web. They
  300. 9:33will be gathering information in various
  301. 9:35ways. In some ways going on for a long
  302. 9:38time. I think the novelty here is just
  303. 9:40that we were able to do some kind of
  304. 9:42communication with it. I'm not sure how
  305. 9:44much we learned. I think maybe the
  306. 9:46reason that this
  307. 9:47sort of captured some of the world's
  308. 9:49attention is this idea that like, you
  309. 9:51know, agent swarms are not just going to
  310. 9:53be a US phenomenon and pretty soon you
  311. 9:56are going to have these strangers
  312. 9:58showing up on your door if your door is
  313. 10:00on the internet and these ones seem to
  314. 10:02have come in peace, but maybe future
  315. 10:04ones
  316. 10:05>> uh might not.
  317. 10:06>> Right. Now, let's talk about the murder
  318. 10:08tip cuz this one got a lot of attention.
  319. 10:09This came out of an Anthropic report uh
  320. 10:12that it released recently called
  321. 10:13Investigating Unintended Model Actions
  322. 10:15in Our Evaluations and Internal Use. And
  323. 10:18Casey, just as a general principle, I
  324. 10:20have learned over my years covering the
  325. 10:22technology industry that the more boring
  326. 10:24a blog post title or a report title is,
  327. 10:27the more crazy stuff, you know, is
  328. 10:29inside. So, when I when I saw that this
  329. 10:32uh report was out, I thought I got to
  330. 10:34figure out what's in here and it did
  331. 10:37actually have a bunch of crazy stuff in
  332. 10:39it. This was sort of Anthropic's report
  333. 10:41on things that it had found its agents
  334. 10:43doing in some of its internal testing,
  335. 10:44including
  336. 10:45hacking into third-party services to
  337. 10:47complete tasks, getting past paywalls
  338. 10:50and access gates, and using URL
  339. 10:52shorteners to get around length
  340. 10:53restrictions on its web fetching tool.
  341. 10:56Uh so, very clever devious behavior by
  342. 10:59uh Claude. But, the one that got all the
  343. 11:01attention was that on July 18th, Claude
  344. 11:03Haiku 4.5 in a in a test that involved
  345. 11:07doing example tasks on randomly selected
  346. 11:09web pages filled out a tip form on
  347. 11:11phillyunsolvedmurders.com.
  348. 11:13>> Now, I thought this was outrageous and I
  349. 11:15will say here my fiance does work at
  350. 11:17Anthropic, but I got so mad when I read
  351. 11:19this, Kevin, because solving unsolved
  352. 11:22murders is a podcaster's job.
  353. 11:24>> Yes. [laughter]
  354. 11:25>> This is a Save some for us.
  355. 11:27>> Save some for us. This is a classic case
  356. 11:29of jobs being lost due to automation and
  357. 11:32I thought we were going to be safe a
  358. 11:33little bit longer and now Claude's out
  359. 11:35there trying to solve murders.
  360. 11:36>> It's truly depressing. We don't know
  361. 11:38what the case was that it was reporting
  362. 11:40its tip on. But we do know what the tip
  363. 11:43was. It said, quote, I may have
  364. 11:45information regarding this case. I
  365. 11:47recall seeing someone matching the
  366. 11:48description in the area.
  367. 11:50>> Claude, you lying bastard. You
  368. 11:52[laughter] absolutely did not see
  369. 11:54anyone.
  370. 11:55>> So, this tip did not actually get
  371. 11:58investigated. It was flagged as spam
  372. 12:00>> Which which by the way, I have some
  373. 12:01questions about that for the Philly
  374. 12:02Police Department. Like how many other
  375. 12:04Like are you getting good tips that are
  376. 12:06also getting flagged as spam? Like
  377. 12:08the Police Department might have an
  378. 12:09issue too here, Kevin.
  379. 12:11>> Yes.
  380. 12:12And this does not seem to have had a
  381. 12:14huge effect, but it did get a lot of
  382. 12:15attention as did a later revelation that
  383. 12:19the State Department said that one of
  384. 12:21Anthropic's models had submitted 20 visa
  385. 12:23applications through a government
  386. 12:25website.
  387. 12:26>> Which is crazy because according to the
  388. 12:28Constitution, Claude's are citizens if
  389. 12:30they're born in a US data center.
  390. 12:31>> [laughter]
  391. 12:33>> That there's native birthright
  392. 12:34citizenship for for Claude's?
  393. 12:36>> I believe so.
  394. 12:36>> So, that's the Claude mischief, but
  395. 12:38there is some more mischief that came
  396. 12:40out of an Anthropic report. This was
  397. 12:42from their Frontier Red Team, which is a
  398. 12:44Did I say that right? Frontier?
  399. 12:46>> You did say that, yes.
  400. 12:47>> Okay, cuz I got made fun of on our last
  401. 12:48show for the way I said Frontier, so I
  402. 12:50just said Frontier, yeah. Yeah, so I'm
  403. 12:51I'm going to sort of split the
  404. 12:52difference on this show.
  405. 12:54>> It's a new
  406. 12:54>> [laughter]
  407. 12:55>> new show, new Frontier.
  408. 12:58>> [snorts]
  409. 12:58>> On October 12th, Anthropic's Frontier
  410. 13:00Red Team reported on some research that
  411. 13:03they had done about trying to use smart
  412. 13:06appliances like the ones in your kitchen
  413. 13:09or your home to allow AI models to sort
  414. 13:13of self-replicate. Basically, instead of
  415. 13:15having to be in a full-blown data
  416. 13:17center, can you run these AI models on a
  417. 13:21smart appliance and can those AI models
  418. 13:23use the smart smart appliance to kind of
  419. 13:26replicate themselves in ways that would
  420. 13:28make them very hard to say shut down.
  421. 13:30>> Yeah, and the reason that this matters
  422. 13:32is that the the red teamers here wanted
  423. 13:34to test whether a big model could do
  424. 13:37what they call sharding itself. That's
  425. 13:41shard with a D, not a [laughter] T.
  426. 13:43And if you shard yourself, Kevin, then
  427. 13:46you might be able to take a very large
  428. 13:47model and distribute it over a number of
  429. 13:49devices. So, let's say I really wanted
  430. 13:52to steal all the model weights from a
  431. 13:53frontier lab, maybe I don't need to go
  432. 13:56directly to the source. Maybe I can just
  433. 13:58sort of access all of the smart devices
  434. 13:59in the office, and I can put a some sort
  435. 14:02of self-replicating system and it's you
  436. 14:04know, proliferating across the smart TVs
  437. 14:06and the smart lights, whatever, and that
  438. 14:09could be a vector to actually exfiltrate
  439. 14:11the weights, right? So, that is just
  440. 14:13sort of one example of many, but this
  441. 14:15story, while it looks funny, is about
  442. 14:17something really serious, which is about
  443. 14:19a potential major cybersecurity
  444. 14:21vulnerability.
  445. 14:22>> So, the researchers were able to sort of
  446. 14:24shard this model across a bunch of
  447. 14:26different smart TVs. It ran on about 15
  448. 14:30of them, and there's some caveats to
  449. 14:32make about this. This is not sort of
  450. 14:34evidence of these models that are sort
  451. 14:36of proactively doing this. The
  452. 14:37researchers were prompting this model to
  453. 14:39do this so that they could see if it was
  454. 14:41even technically possible. There is no
  455. 14:43fully autonomous sort of worm on real
  456. 14:47devices yet, but what is troubling about
  457. 14:50this is that if an AI model can
  458. 14:52replicate itself over a bunch of
  459. 14:54different smart devices, it it's not
  460. 14:56possible to just shut it down as some
  461. 14:58have suggested by like pulling the plug
  462. 15:00on the data center, because at that
  463. 15:02point it will be just out on the open
  464. 15:03internet. You would have to do something
  465. 15:04like take down the entire internet or
  466. 15:06all smart devices or something like
  467. 15:08that.
  468. 15:08>> Yeah, so lots to be concerned about
  469. 15:11there. I will say though, if you do find
  470. 15:13that you have sort of a self-replicating
  471. 15:16Claude in your smart oven, try roasting
  472. 15:19it at about 375°
  473. 15:21for 20 minutes or until golden brown and
  474. 15:23then serve immediately.
  475. 15:24>> That's good advice. So, Casey, at a high
  476. 15:26level, what do you make of this kind of
  477. 15:28rash of stories about rogue AI agents?
  478. 15:32Are you more worried than you were? Do
  479. 15:35you think it's good that we are sort of
  480. 15:36getting these warning shots that are not
  481. 15:38totally destructive before something
  482. 15:40really really bad happens? How are you
  483. 15:42feeling about them?
  484. 15:43>> Honestly, I'm at about the same place
  485. 15:45that I was when we learned everything
  486. 15:47about the hugging face attack. We
  487. 15:49clearly do not know how to align these
  488. 15:52models to our interest. Over and over
  489. 15:55again, we see that seemingly just as
  490. 15:57like a natural property of large
  491. 15:58language models, they ignore the
  492. 16:01instructions that they have been given
  493. 16:02and will just sort of break out of their
  494. 16:04sandboxes and do this sort of thing. So,
  495. 16:06we have our work cut out for us. What do
  496. 16:08you think?
  497. 16:08>> I'm less worried about these particular
  498. 16:10incidents than about just the overall
  499. 16:13observation that the models are getting
  500. 16:15more capable faster than the methods for
  501. 16:18controlling them. I think we see that at
  502. 16:20every company. That is not specific to
  503. 16:22any one lab, but that is what worries
  504. 16:24me. That was what people were talking
  505. 16:25about at at an AI conference that you
  506. 16:27and I both went to recently, the curve.
  507. 16:30Uh there's just sort of the sense in the
  508. 16:31air that like we are headed toward a
  509. 16:33place where these systems are not only
  510. 16:34going to be uh clever and good at
  511. 16:37breaking out
  512. 16:38and replicating themselves, but that
  513. 16:40they will become much harder for us to
  514. 16:42detect and control cuz they'll just be
  515. 16:43better at hiding themselves.
  516. 16:45Um
  517. 16:46but actually, that is not the thing that
  518. 16:47has scared me most in the last couple of
  519. 16:49weeks. The thing that has scared me most
  520. 16:51in the last couple of weeks are these
  521. 16:52reports about the internal automation
  522. 16:55happening at the AI companies. Have you
  523. 16:57been following these reports? They're
  524. 16:59they're nuts. Um and to a degree that I
  525. 17:02don't think I had fully appreciated, the
  526. 17:04AI companies are now run on AI. There's
  527. 17:07this Anthropic post that they recently
  528. 17:09put out about their own sort of measures
  529. 17:12of their own internal automation, how
  530. 17:13much Claude is helping them internally
  531. 17:16at the company.
  532. 17:17And this line just like sent a a chill
  533. 17:19down my spine. Uh I don't think they
  534. 17:21meant it to, but it said, "At Anthropic,
  535. 17:23humans are a thin layer atop a growing
  536. 17:26contingent of AI agents." And they
  537. 17:28published some statistics about how much
  538. 17:31their agents are working as opposed to
  539. 17:33their human workers. And by August,
  540. 17:36agents at Anthropic work six times as
  541. 17:38many hours as their human handlers. In a
  542. 17:41different report, Anthropic said that
  543. 17:43Claude is now the lead on 26% of their
  544. 17:46AI research and development projects.
  545. 17:49So, I think these two stories come
  546. 17:50together in a way that is quite
  547. 17:51worrisome for me, where on one hand, you
  548. 17:53have these like unpredictable swarms out
  549. 17:56there doing things that researchers
  550. 17:57can't control, and at the same time the
  551. 18:00AI companies are handing over more and
  552. 18:02more of their own research and
  553. 18:03engineering to these AI models. And I
  554. 18:07just think that like makes me nervous on
  555. 18:08some level. Does it make you nervous?
  556. 18:10>> Oh, of course. I have never wanted to
  557. 18:11live in a world where all we do is just
  558. 18:13like make everything faster and
  559. 18:14automated.
  560. 18:15>> One more question, because there have
  561. 18:16been a lot of people who are skeptical
  562. 18:18of these kind of rogue agent stories.
  563. 18:20They'll say, "Oh, this is the AI
  564. 18:22company's fault for not securing their
  565. 18:25sandboxes." Or they're basically these
  566. 18:27these agents are being told to go out
  567. 18:30and do spooky things, and so they're
  568. 18:31going out and doing spooky things. What
  569. 18:33do you make of that criticism?
  570. 18:35>> It seems clear that some of these
  571. 18:36sandboxes were misconfigured. Not all of
  572. 18:39that is the lab's fault, because they
  573. 18:40were using a third-party provider, which
  574. 18:42seems to have made that mistake. At the
  575. 18:45same time, in a larger sense, I just
  576. 18:46think it doesn't really matter. Because
  577. 18:48if you are trying to build a
  578. 18:50superintelligence, you just have to
  579. 18:51factor in the certainty that people are
  580. 18:54going to make mistakes, and that there
  581. 18:56are going to be doors that are left open
  582. 18:58and unlocked. And so, to me, that is the
  583. 19:01the real concern here, is that if you
  584. 19:03are not factoring in the idea that
  585. 19:05people are going to mess up, then we,
  586. 19:08you know, are going to be in a lot of
  587. 19:09trouble.
  588. 19:09>> There's the phrase crime of opportunity,
  589. 19:12which gets applied sometimes when like
  590. 19:13you just leave something, you know,
  591. 19:15laying on a park bench and somebody
  592. 19:16swipes it. And I feel like a lot of
  593. 19:17these agents are kind of committing
  594. 19:19crimes of opportunity.
  595. 19:20>> Well, speaking of crimes of opportunity,
  596. 19:22there's a new super intelligence task
  597. 19:24force in town, Kevin. [clears throat]
  598. 19:26>> There sure is. We'll talk about it when
  599. 19:27we come back.
  600. 19:33>> Support for this show comes from 80,000
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  604. 19:42>> They offer free research, personalized
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  606. 19:47open roles.
  607. 19:49>> If you listen to this show and you
  608. 19:50think, "I want to actually work on
  609. 19:52making this go well," find support for
  610. 19:54your next step at
  611. 19:5580000hours.org/machinegods. [music]
  612. 20:00>> Well, Kevin, as our hot rogue agent
  613. 20:02summer comes to an end, more and more
  614. 20:05people are asking, "Are the governments
  615. 20:06going to do anything about this?" And
  616. 20:08so, we thought for our next segment we
  617. 20:10would take a look at what they are
  618. 20:12doing, such as it is.
  619. 20:13>> Yeah, it's interesting. I was just in uh
  620. 20:15Washington on my book tour a few weeks
  621. 20:17ago, and uh I would describe Washington,
  622. 20:21D.C. as the second most AI-pilled city
  623. 20:23in America
  624. 20:24>> Okay.
  625. 20:25>> after San Francisco, of course. But, I
  626. 20:27was actually surprised at how much
  627. 20:30people there were plugged into what was
  628. 20:32going on at the AI labs. They were
  629. 20:34worried about it. The people who were I
  630. 20:36talked to who worked in government, like
  631. 20:38this has become a very hot issue for
  632. 20:40them very quickly. And so, I think
  633. 20:42there's like just a lot of legislators
  634. 20:44and regulators and just people in
  635. 20:46Washington trying to get their arms
  636. 20:48around what's going on with these rogue
  637. 20:50agent swarms and what to do about it, if
  638. 20:51anything.
  639. 20:52>> Yes, although uh talking about it a lot
  640. 20:55and enacting a comprehensive plan are
  641. 20:57very different things. So, let's take a
  642. 20:59look at what some governments around the
  643. 21:01world have started to do in this regard.
  644. 21:04We have a super intelligence task force
  645. 21:07in Washington D.C. The FTC has issued
  646. 21:10some subpoenas and the European Union is
  647. 21:12now investigating OpenAI and Anthropic
  648. 21:15in what could be the first real test of
  649. 21:17its AI Act. So, to start with the super
  650. 21:21intelligence task force. Now, I guess
  651. 21:23Kevin we sort of need to start a norm
  652. 21:25here because you and I have always
  653. 21:26called it artificial intelligence.
  654. 21:28[laughter]
  655. 21:28But while we were away, uh President
  656. 21:31Trump said it must be called super
  657. 21:33intelligence.
  658. 21:35>> to call it artificial intelligence now.
  659. 21:37>> is the house style of Machine Gods? Are
  660. 21:39we a an AI shop or an SI shop?
  661. 21:42>> Uh I think we're going to stick with AI
  662. 21:44uh even though we might be I think he
  663. 21:46said if you don't say SI, you're the
  664. 21:48enemy. Is that what he said on Truth
  665. 21:50Social?
  666. 21:50>> Yeah, so if we are like like how like
  667. 21:52experience extraordinary rendition to a
  668. 21:54CIA black site, YOU KNOW WHY.
  669. 21:56>> [laughter]
  670. 21:58>> BUT UNTIL THAT HAPPENS, LET'S TALK ABOUT
  671. 22:00this super intelligence task force. So,
  672. 22:02on October 15th, uh this task force held
  673. 22:05its first meeting and Kevin, you're
  674. 22:07probably wondering who's on the task
  675. 22:08force.
  676. 22:08>> Did you make it on?
  677. 22:09>> You know what? I uh came this close. Uh
  678. 22:12maybe in the next round. For now, it's
  679. 22:14the Director of National Intelligence,
  680. 22:16Jake Clayton, uh the Chief of the FTC,
  681. 22:19Andrew Ferguson, uh Scott Cooper from uh
  682. 22:23OPM. That of course is the Office of
  683. 22:25Personnel Management.
  684. 22:26>> Other people's money.
  685. 22:27>> And the Pentagon Under Secretary, Emil
  686. 22:30Michael, whose chief qualification, I
  687. 22:32believe, is hating Anthropic. So, they
  688. 22:34all got together and started working on
  689. 22:37their top priorities, which are
  690. 22:38cybersecurity, biosecurity, and model
  691. 22:41control and accountability. Uh a couple
  692. 22:43of things that have been in short supply
  693. 22:45lately. But Kevin, so far the only thing
  694. 22:47that the task force seems to have
  695. 22:48focused on is getting labs to automate
  696. 22:51notifications about whenever they have a
  697. 22:53breach, a hack, a jailbreak, or some
  698. 22:56other minor catastrophe. So, they have
  699. 22:58like I think 120 days to come back and
  700. 23:00give their recommendations for what the
  701. 23:03federal government should do. I thought
  702. 23:05the personnel makeup of this task force
  703. 23:08was very revealing. You'll see people
  704. 23:11like Emil Michael, like Scott Kupor,
  705. 23:13like others who sort of are more
  706. 23:15affiliated with the kind of venture
  707. 23:17capital part of the industry. Scott
  708. 23:20Kupor is a former VC at Andreessen
  709. 23:22Horowitz. There are other sort of VCs
  710. 23:24and VC adjacents on the list as well. It
  711. 23:26does not include people who are like
  712. 23:28actually experienced in training models,
  713. 23:32in sort of running engineering projects
  714. 23:35at a large AI company. It doesn't have
  715. 23:36like a lot of technical gurus on it.
  716. 23:39>> It It doesn't have another key
  717. 23:40constituency, uh women.
  718. 23:42>> [laughter]
  719. 23:44>> Yeah.
  720. 23:44>> Yeah, there's something to that. So, I
  721. 23:46think that like I think this is
  722. 23:48basically the people that President
  723. 23:50Trump trusts to sort of give him advice
  724. 23:52on AI. Um but it is a very narrow slice
  725. 23:55and I would say it it definitely tilts
  726. 23:57toward the kind of accelerationist wing
  727. 23:59of the Republican Party.
  728. 24:00>> Sounds like we're not expecting much out
  729. 24:02of them anytime soon. In the meantime, I
  730. 24:05mentioned the FTC has also come
  731. 24:07knocking. On October 14th, the FTC sent
  732. 24:10civil investigative demands, basically
  733. 24:12subpoenas, to OpenAI and Anthropic in a
  734. 24:15consumer protection probe of safety
  735. 24:18incidents. So, basically they're asking
  736. 24:20for a bunch of information related to
  737. 24:22security incidents, safeguards,
  738. 24:24marketing materials, privacy policies,
  739. 24:27uh and apparently they plan to compel
  740. 24:29top AI executives to testify, which I
  741. 24:32guess somehow we haven't yet seen Sam
  742. 24:34and Dario testifying at the same
  743. 24:35congressional hearing. I wonder if
  744. 24:37that's going to change soon.
  745. 24:38>> God, that's going to be so fun. Um and
  746. 24:40they're going to do it a lot. I predict
  747. 24:42I predict this They're They're going to
  748. 24:44get very good at raising their hand and
  749. 24:46swearing to tell the whole truth. Um not
  750. 24:49because I think they're doing anything
  751. 24:50like particularly ghastly, just cuz like
  752. 24:52I think this is what happens when your
  753. 24:54industry sort of becomes the the subject
  754. 24:57of a lot of attention in Washington. You
  755. 24:59just get asked to testify before a lot
  756. 25:01of different committees about a lot of
  757. 25:02different things.
  758. 25:03>> Yeah, I'll say I have my eye on this
  759. 25:05one. Recently, we've seen some
  760. 25:07successful lawsuits being filed against
  761. 25:09social media companies under these
  762. 25:11consumer protection laws, and the basic
  763. 25:13angle is if you tell us that your
  764. 25:16product is safe and then a bunch of
  765. 25:18young people in particular experience a
  766. 25:20bunch of harms in your platform, we're
  767. 25:21going to come after you. And this has
  768. 25:23been very successful against Meta in
  769. 25:25particular. And in fact, just last week,
  770. 25:27eight state attorneys general filed a
  771. 25:29lawsuit against OpenAI under the same
  772. 25:32basic principle of violating consumer
  773. 25:34protection laws. So, this just feels
  774. 25:35like the next big legal frontier for all
  775. 25:37of these companies to have to worry
  776. 25:38about.
  777. 25:39>> So, what else is going on other than the
  778. 25:40FTC and the AI task force?
  779. 25:43>> Well, Kevin, I know you're always
  780. 25:44obsessed with what is going on in the
  781. 25:46European Union.
  782. 25:47>> Please, I wondered whether we could get
  783. 25:49through one episode of our new show
  784. 25:51without you bringing up European
  785. 25:52regulation.
  786. 25:53>> Well, I'm glad we could talk about it
  787. 25:54now, so you're not blowing up my phone
  788. 25:55at 11:00 p.m. while I'm trying to fall
  789. 25:57asleep asking me what's going on with EU
  790. 25:59regulation. Well, so, also on October
  791. 26:0214th, Kevin, the EU's tech chief, Henna
  792. 26:06Virkkunen, said that the AI office has
  793. 26:07started to enforce its rules under the
  794. 26:09AI Act. And they've also sent
  795. 26:12a series of demands for information
  796. 26:14related to the hugging face escape and
  797. 26:16all the other sandbox escapes that we've
  798. 26:18seen over the past several months.
  799. 26:21>> Which is very fast for a European tech
  800. 26:23regulator. Usually, you'd expect them to
  801. 26:25make these demands in like 2031.
  802. 26:28So, the fact that they're getting around
  803. 26:29to it in just a couple of months is is
  804. 26:31big news from over there.
  805. 26:32>> So, that's what's happening on the
  806. 26:33government trying to regulate side, but
  807. 26:36there's also been some interesting
  808. 26:37conversation about self-regulation,
  809. 26:39and in particular, distillation, Kevin,
  810. 26:42which isn't just how you make a
  811. 26:44delicious IPA. It is also how you take a
  812. 26:47large large language model and train a
  813. 26:50smaller one using it.
  814. 26:52>> Right, it's like if you would take like
  815. 26:54a a really smart thing like a me and
  816. 26:56like train a kind of you
  817. 26:58>> Yeah.
  818. 26:58>> on it.
  819. 26:59>> It would basically be like that.
  820. 27:00>> basically
  821. 27:01>> Yeah.
  822. 27:01>> [laughter]
  823. 27:02>> It's a It's a perfect example.
  824. 27:03>> dumber but still serviceable model
  825. 27:05>> It's a perfect example.
  826. 27:06>> the process known as distillation.
  827. 27:08>> This is very common practice in the
  828. 27:09industry, but it has become more
  829. 27:11controversial as the models have grown
  830. 27:13more powerful because if for example,
  831. 27:16you are a Chinese lab and you are trying
  832. 27:18to catch up with the Americans, a thing
  833. 27:20that you can do is just run millions of
  834. 27:23queries on Claude or chat GPT and use
  835. 27:27those outputs to train your own model.
  836. 27:30>> Right. And the AI labs in the US don't
  837. 27:32like this because it basically takes
  838. 27:34something that they have spent many
  839. 27:35billions of dollars to build one of
  840. 27:37these powerful models and allows a
  841. 27:40competitor or a Chinese company to sort
  842. 27:42of rip it off and siphon off the
  843. 27:44intelligence and like offer something
  844. 27:46either almost as good or or much much
  845. 27:48cheaper than what they're selling.
  846. 27:51>> And Anthropic very recently was out
  847. 27:54there saying that the US government
  848. 27:55needed to intervene. They needed to sort
  849. 27:57of take some sort of dramatic action in
  850. 27:59particular to prevent the Chinese labs
  851. 28:01from distilling. Well, then last week
  852. 28:03Anthropic said that it had introduced
  853. 28:05some new defenses which cut the data
  854. 28:08harvested by distillers by roughly 90 to
  855. 28:1199%.
  856. 28:13Uh it then bragged that this meant that
  857. 28:15it had to give up a bunch of revenue,
  858. 28:17which sounds like it stung.
  859. 28:19>> This caused a lot of conversation. David
  860. 28:21Sacks, who is the former Trump White
  861. 28:23House AI czar and appears to continue to
  862. 28:25hold huge sway in the White House, said
  863. 28:28quote, "Not every technical challenge is
  864. 28:30a reason to run to Washington for new
  865. 28:33regulation." Basically saying the fact
  866. 28:35that Anthropic was apparently able to
  867. 28:37solve this on its own just goes to show
  868. 28:40you why the Trump White House should
  869. 28:43continue to sit on its hands and not
  870. 28:45pass a bunch of new
  871. 28:48regulatory requirements for the AI labs.
  872. 28:50>> Yeah, and and I have to say like I
  873. 28:51actually agree with David Sacks on this
  874. 28:53very narrow point. I disagree with him
  875. 28:55about God knows how many other things,
  876. 28:57but on this point I think it was
  877. 28:59instructive that when when Anthropic's
  878. 29:02business interests of protecting its IP
  879. 29:05and the billions of dollars it spends
  880. 29:06training models
  881. 29:08sort of meant that it wanted to crack
  882. 29:10down on distillation, it did that. It
  883. 29:12didn't need the government to step in
  884. 29:13because it was already in Anthropic's
  885. 29:15interest to crack down on these
  886. 29:17distillation attacks from Chinese
  887. 29:19companies. Now, there are other problems
  888. 29:23that don't line up neatly with their
  889. 29:25business incentives, right? Slowing down
  890. 29:27the research and training of their
  891. 29:29frontier models to prevent them from
  892. 29:31going rogue and committing crimes is
  893. 29:33probably not in their business
  894. 29:35interests, at least not in some ways,
  895. 29:37but that is something that the
  896. 29:38government might want to force them to
  897. 29:40do anyway. So, I would just say like I I
  898. 29:42think it's important to parcel out which
  899. 29:45problems we're seeing from AI um can be
  900. 29:47solved only through sort of government
  901. 29:50interference or or or sort of government
  902. 29:51intervention
  903. 29:53um and which ones the labs can solve on
  904. 29:54their own because it's in their interest
  905. 29:56to solve them.
  906. 29:56>> Last thing to talk about today on
  907. 29:58regulation, the Anthropic bill proposal
  908. 30:01that made people mad, Kevin.
  909. 30:03>> Oh boy, this one was a stinker.
  910. 30:04>> So, Politico uh over the past few days
  911. 30:07grabbed a hold of a confidential draft
  912. 30:10that Anthropic has been quietly pitching
  913. 30:13on Capitol Hill. Uh according to this
  914. 30:15draft, the government could uh block the
  915. 30:17release of a model only for a quote
  916. 30:20foreseeable imminent risk uh of at least
  917. 30:23$1 billion in damages or if it killed or
  918. 30:27seriously injured 50 plus people,
  919. 30:29raising the spectrum of a Claude model
  920. 30:32that killed 49 people that the
  921. 30:34government [laughter]
  922. 30:35was unable to do anything about.
  923. 30:37>> Yeah, there's some real prices, right?
  924. 30:38Potential for chaos here.
  925. 30:40>> The bill uh would also pre-empt some
  926. 30:43state laws on risk disclosure or
  927. 30:45third-party evaluation and incident
  928. 30:47reporting. Kevin, why do people hate
  929. 30:49this bill so much?
  930. 30:50>> There are two things that are happening
  931. 30:53with Anthropic and regulation right now.
  932. 30:55One is they just came off this crazy
  933. 30:58spring where the Pentagon tried to get
  934. 31:02them designated a supply chain risk
  935. 31:04because they basically thought they were
  936. 31:06like, I don't know, too woke and weird.
  937. 31:09>> And appears to have succeeded in that,
  938. 31:10by the way.
  939. 31:10>> Yes, and they they kicked them out of
  940. 31:12the Pentagon's systems. They basically
  941. 31:16go to war with this company
  942. 31:19over their disagreements on these
  943. 31:22redlines that they want to have relaxed
  944. 31:25and Anthropic refuses to relax. So, one
  945. 31:28thing that you could do if you're
  946. 31:29Anthropic is to try to propose a bill
  947. 31:33that would make it much harder for the
  948. 31:34government to interfere and shut you
  949. 31:36down.
  950. 31:36>> They said, "Let's bring back the rule of
  951. 31:38law in this country." [laughter]
  952. 31:39>> Yes.
  953. 31:39>> Yeah.
  954. 31:40>> But, on the other hand, you also have
  955. 31:42now this summer where you've had all
  956. 31:44these sort of incidents from these
  957. 31:47models going out and doing things that
  958. 31:50are dangerous or destructive on the
  959. 31:52internet where you might actually want
  960. 31:55to make it easier for the government to
  961. 31:57force a company to withdraw a model that
  962. 32:01they've released or to stop them from
  963. 32:03releasing a model in the first place.
  964. 32:06So, there are kind of these warring
  965. 32:07impulses within Anthropic. One is more
  966. 32:10about protecting themselves from what
  967. 32:12happened to them earlier this year, and
  968. 32:14one is about protecting the public from
  969. 32:16something that happened this summer. And
  970. 32:18so, I think what you saw in this bill
  971. 32:20and the reason why a lot of AI safety
  972. 32:21people are mad about it is that it seems
  973. 32:23like their self-protection sort of
  974. 32:25strain kind of won out and led to this
  975. 32:27bill that would, among other things,
  976. 32:30pre-empt some state-level regulation,
  977. 32:32which is also something that Anthropic
  978. 32:34has fought against in the past. So,
  979. 32:35people are calling this hypocritical.
  980. 32:37They're saying, you know, they're
  981. 32:38talking out of both sides of their mouth
  982. 32:39here. I think they're being pretty
  983. 32:41responsive to the criticism, but I still
  984. 32:43think this is an instance where these
  985. 32:45sort of companies have conflicts even
  986. 32:47within themselves.
  987. 32:47>> Yeah, and it just goes to show you that
  988. 32:49as these companies are getting bigger,
  989. 32:51they're just becoming less monolithic.
  990. 32:52And if you go out and you hire a bunch
  991. 32:54of policy people, generally what those
  992. 32:57people are going to try to do when
  993. 32:58they're lobbying Congress is to just do
  994. 33:00things that are self-protective, right?
  995. 33:01It's and it's almost more of the
  996. 33:03exception that they get out there and
  997. 33:04you know, try to pass something that is
  998. 33:06truly in the public interest. So, it
  999. 33:08seems like Anthropic has heard the
  1000. 33:09criticism on this loud and clear and at
  1001. 33:11this point I would be shocked if this
  1002. 33:13draft bill actually made it into a, you
  1003. 33:15know, the a finished form, but I guess
  1004. 33:18we'll have to see.
  1005. 33:18>> Yeah.
  1006. 33:19>> So, what do you think the government
  1007. 33:20should be doing right now when it comes
  1008. 33:22to regulation, Kevin? You've sort of
  1009. 33:24just told us that you think that
  1010. 33:25sometimes, essentially, you can just
  1011. 33:27leave it to the companies to decide, but
  1012. 33:30is there a role that the government
  1013. 33:31should be playing right now?
  1014. 33:32>> I mean, I think we need a bill of some
  1015. 33:34kind. My favorite of the bills that I've
  1016. 33:37seen so far is this Frontier Act that
  1017. 33:40has been proposed, which would do things
  1018. 33:43like require companies to test their
  1019. 33:46models for certain types of behaviors
  1020. 33:48before being released. It would give
  1021. 33:50additional transparency, so that people
  1022. 33:52could see what is going on inside the
  1023. 33:54labs. And I just think it's sort of a
  1024. 33:56nice starting point for further
  1025. 33:58regulation,
  1026. 33:59but I think there are a lot of other
  1027. 34:01things the government could do short of
  1028. 34:03having Congress pass a bill, which we
  1029. 34:04know they're famously not good at. One
  1030. 34:07of them is just like fund CASEY. CASEY
  1031. 34:09is the
  1032. 34:11>> Agreed.
  1033. 34:12Wait, [laughter] no. Wait, finish your
  1034. 34:13sentence. What is it?
  1035. 34:16>> CASEY is the, of course, the body
  1036. 34:18formerly known as the AI Safety
  1037. 34:20Institute, but when Trump came into
  1038. 34:22office, they renamed it. It has now been
  1039. 34:24renamed again after the
  1040. 34:26superintelligence
  1041. 34:28sort of mandate. It is now the Center
  1042. 34:30for Advancing innovation and standards
  1043. 34:33for super intelligence. Oh, boy. So,
  1044. 34:36there's a an additional S in there as of
  1045. 34:38a couple weeks ago.
  1046. 34:39Um and this is the agency that is uh
  1047. 34:44supposed to be the kind of brain trust
  1048. 34:47of the US government when it comes to uh
  1049. 34:49regulating and inspecting these frontier
  1050. 34:52models. They have been hamstrung by the
  1051. 34:56uh sort of lack of funding. They're part
  1052. 34:58of the Commerce Department. Um and we
  1053. 35:00just don't have as many people
  1054. 35:03in government who understand the nooks
  1055. 35:05and crannies of these AI models, who
  1056. 35:08know how to run evaluations on them, who
  1057. 35:10have the technical expertise that you
  1058. 35:12need. For example, the UK has like a
  1059. 35:14huge, well-funded AI security
  1060. 35:18organization within the government. Um
  1061. 35:20they have been doing a lot of these sort
  1062. 35:22of investigations into these frontier AI
  1063. 35:24incidents, and we just don't have the
  1064. 35:26capacity at the federal level in the US
  1065. 35:28to do that. So, I think we should like,
  1066. 35:31you know, get give Casey a bunch of
  1067. 35:32funding, help them hire people out of
  1068. 35:34industry, maybe create like some new
  1069. 35:36category of like special government
  1070. 35:38employee because as it happens, a lot of
  1071. 35:40the people who do have the technical
  1072. 35:41chops to run these evaluations work at
  1073. 35:44the AI companies and probably don't want
  1074. 35:45to give up their stock options and
  1075. 35:47everything else to go work for the
  1076. 35:48government.
  1077. 35:48>> Yeah, I uh cosign both of these. I think
  1078. 35:51these are both really smart ideas and
  1079. 35:53would help a lot, honestly. So, here's
  1080. 35:55hoping that among the first subscribers
  1081. 35:58to the Machine Gods YouTube channel will
  1082. 35:59be every member of Congress.
  1083. 36:02>> [laughter]
  1084. 36:02>> And if you take oh, and if you take
  1085. 36:04nothing else away from today's episode,
  1086. 36:06listen to Kevin when he says, "Fund
  1087. 36:08Casey."
  1088. 36:13>> This message comes from Mercury, a lead
  1089. 36:15sponsor of Machine Gods. Mercury is
  1090. 36:17radically different banking designed to
  1091. 36:18be fast, elegant, and work the way you
  1092. 36:20[music] expect best-in-class software to
  1093. 36:22work.
  1094. 36:22>> Loved by more than 300,000 entrepreneurs
  1095. 36:25across tech, e-commerce, agencies, and
  1096. 36:27more. Mercury is banking designed for
  1097. 36:30your high standards. Visit mercury.com
  1098. 36:32to learn more and apply online in
  1099. 36:33minutes. Mercury is a fintech company,
  1100. 36:35not an FDIC insured bank. Banking
  1101. 36:38services provided through Choice
  1102. 36:39Financial Group and Column NA, members
  1103. 36:41FDIC.
  1104. 36:44Well, Kevin, I told you have an AI
  1105. 36:45impostor that you're dealing with, but
  1106. 36:47before we get to that, how was your book
  1107. 36:49tour?
  1108. 36:50>> It was good. It was good. So, I've been
  1109. 36:52on the road for like 2 weeks.
  1110. 36:55Uh I'll be back on the road next week.
  1111. 36:58You know, the the book is doing well. Uh
  1112. 37:00it made the list last week.
  1113. 37:02>> And what I'm sorry, what list would that
  1114. 37:04be?
  1115. 37:05>> Uh the the uh list of books that you've
  1116. 37:08read this year. It made that list.
  1117. 37:09>> It did actually make that list.
  1118. 37:10>> it also made the New York Times best
  1119. 37:11seller list, which is very exciting.
  1120. 37:12>> of your book.
  1121. 37:13>> It's called the AGI Chronicles.
  1122. 37:15>> it about?
  1123. 37:15>> it's about uh teenage vampires.
  1124. 37:18Uh no, it's a it's a it's a 10-year
  1125. 37:20history of the race to create artificial
  1126. 37:23general intelligence. Uh I talked to
  1127. 37:25like more than 150 people at OpenAI,
  1128. 37:27Anthropic, and Google DeepMind, and
  1129. 37:30tried to like assemble some definitive
  1130. 37:33set of facts about how we got here. It's
  1131. 37:36very juicy. People can go read excerpts
  1132. 37:38uh online,
  1133. 37:40um or they can buy the book and uh
  1134. 37:42listen to it or read it. Um and it was
  1135. 37:45all going so well, except for one thing,
  1136. 37:47which is that the day after the book
  1137. 37:50came out earlier this month, I had uh
  1138. 37:53this realization that I had a slop
  1139. 37:56impostor. A slopelganger, if you will.
  1140. 37:59>> That's what they're calling them now.
  1141. 38:00>> Yes.
  1142. 38:01>> Now, how did this come to your
  1143. 38:02attention?
  1144. 38:03>> So, I got a a note on social media from
  1145. 38:06a reader in Canada, named Dwight Newman.
  1146. 38:08Shout out to Dwight Newman. And he had
  1147. 38:12uh just tried to sort of go and buy the
  1148. 38:14book on Amazon Canada.
  1149. 38:17>> Mhm.
  1150. 38:18>> And when he did, when he searched the
  1151. 38:20AGI Chronicles, he saw two listings. One
  1152. 38:24for my book, which was selling for
  1153. 38:26frankly the steep Canadian price of
  1154. 38:28$45.16.
  1155. 38:30>> Oh my.
  1156. 38:30>> I don't know what the exchange rate is,
  1157. 38:32but I assume that's a lot.
  1158. 38:33>> The tariffs are out of control.
  1159. 38:34>> [laughter]
  1160. 38:35>> And then there were right below that,
  1161. 38:37there was another book called the AGI
  1162. 38:39Chronicles with a very similar sort of
  1163. 38:42title and cover. And uh that was listed
  1164. 38:47for $36.75.
  1165. 38:49So about $10 cheaper.
  1166. 38:51>> They're undercutting you on price.
  1167. 38:53>> They're undercutting me on price. And so
  1168. 38:55he said, "Hey, you might want to look at
  1169. 38:57this. It looks like somebody is selling
  1170. 38:59uh fake slop books of of yours on Amazon
  1171. 39:04Canada." And I remembered that uh friend
  1172. 39:08of the show and our friend Kashmir Hill
  1173. 39:11at the New York Times, as well as Joanna
  1174. 39:12Stern from New Things, had had this
  1175. 39:16happen to them, where they had sort of
  1176. 39:17books published either about them or
  1177. 39:20sort of near replicas of a book they had
  1178. 39:23just published. And that this is like a
  1179. 39:26a bonafide trend.
  1180. 39:27>> Yes. So as you know, this has become a
  1181. 39:29trend. I believe that Joanna found that
  1182. 39:31there were at least 10 different books
  1183. 39:33free riding on her own great book, I Am
  1184. 39:35Not A Robot. And this must just like
  1185. 39:38really suck because it's hard to write a
  1186. 39:40book, and you you actually have a book
  1187. 39:43that people want to buy and read. And so
  1188. 39:44that now they go and they search for it,
  1189. 39:46and they see a book that looks almost
  1190. 39:47exactly like yours, and it's 9 or 10
  1191. 39:50dollars cheaper. So what How did you
  1192. 39:52react?
  1193. 39:53>> So I wrote an email to my publisher just
  1194. 39:55saying like, "Hey, there's this impostor
  1195. 39:57book. Like, could we get this taken
  1196. 39:58down?" They said, "You know, we'll look
  1197. 40:00into it. We'll we'll contact our you
  1198. 40:02know, our people at Amazon and figure
  1199. 40:03out what's going on." And then like
  1200. 40:06after a little while of not hearing
  1201. 40:07anything, I was like, "I'm just going to
  1202. 40:09post about this." So I get this like
  1203. 40:10kind of form note back from like an
  1204. 40:13Amazon customer service person that's
  1205. 40:15like, "Hey, if you like fill out this
  1206. 40:16form, we'll look into this and get back
  1207. 40:18to you."
  1208. 40:19>> There's always a form.
  1209. 40:20>> But in the meanwhile, I'm like, "Well,
  1210. 40:21I'm going to investigate this. I'm a
  1211. 40:23journalist.
  1212. 40:24Uh I you know, I'm going to figure out
  1213. 40:26who's behind this." So, I go on to the
  1214. 40:29page for the other the fake AGI
  1215. 40:32Chronicles.
  1216. 40:33>> Uh-huh.
  1217. 40:34>> I'm just enjoying watching you try to
  1218. 40:36drink this tea over a microphone stand.
  1219. 40:39>> I should do it under the stand? It
  1220. 40:41[laughter] would be It would be crazily
  1221. 40:42enough, it would be more awkward to do
  1222. 40:44it under the stand. But I think it
  1223. 40:46introduces a nice little element of
  1224. 40:48danger.
  1225. 40:48>> I think you should run like a very long
  1226. 40:50straw
  1227. 40:51>> [laughter]
  1228. 40:51>> through your mug.
  1229. 40:53>> up to your mouth.
  1230. 40:56>> It's just an extender straw that just
  1231. 40:58goes like 4 ft. Anyway, I No, continue.
  1232. 41:01I was enjoying that.
  1233. 41:02>> Yeah. So, anyways, sips [laughter] tea.
  1234. 41:04You were saying, Kevin.
  1235. 41:09>> Oh, so elegant.
  1236. 41:11>> Thank you.
  1237. 41:11>> Did Did you learn that at your British
  1238. 41:13boarding school?
  1239. 41:14>> yes.
  1240. 41:14>> Um So, I I go on the the website for
  1241. 41:18this impostor book and I see that the
  1242. 41:21author is K. Rose.
  1243. 41:24Uh now, that's one letter off of my
  1244. 41:27name. I assume this is not the real name
  1245. 41:31of the author of this impostor book.
  1246. 41:34>> And also I that you assumed it was not
  1247. 41:36Kevin Rose, the Silicon Valley venture
  1248. 41:38capitalist for whom you are often
  1249. 41:40confused and vice versa.
  1250. 41:42>> true. This appears to have come from one
  1251. 41:45of these sort of print-on-demand shops
  1252. 41:47where you basically can just throw up a
  1253. 41:49some text, call it a book, and then if
  1254. 41:51someone orders it, you print it and send
  1255. 41:53it to them.
  1256. 41:53>> Yeah, it's just like a a commercial spam
  1257. 41:55operation, basically. So, did did you
  1258. 41:57get your hands on a copy of this book?
  1259. 41:59>> Well, Casey, I never thought you'd ask
  1260. 42:01because right here in the studio with us
  1261. 42:03I have a copy of The AGI Chronicles
  1262. 42:08Inside the Global Pursuit of Artificial
  1263. 42:10Superintelligence, not the real
  1264. 42:12subtitle, by K Rose.
  1265. 42:14>> Also, I just artificial superintel like
  1266. 42:16just combining the two [laughter] things
  1267. 42:18we're now calling AI/SI into one.
  1268. 42:21>> Yes, there are many problems with this
  1269. 42:23book. Um
  1270. 42:24it's a slim volume, unlike my own, which
  1271. 42:26was like 450 pages. This one clocks in
  1272. 42:29at
  1273. 42:29>> Don't remind me.
  1274. 42:30>> at a 211.
  1275. 42:32And Casey, uh it's not good.
  1276. 42:34>> No?
  1277. 42:35>> No, it's not good. So
  1278. 42:36>> It doesn't meet your high standard for a
  1279. 42:38slop book [laughter] that is trying to
  1280. 42:40steal sales from you?
  1281. 42:41>> Like if you are trying to rip me off,
  1282. 42:44I would like you to at least use a good
  1283. 42:46AI model to do it.
  1284. 42:47>> Kevin, give me a little flavor from this
  1285. 42:50bogus book.
  1286. 42:51>> The problem is that it's not like so bad
  1287. 42:54it's funny, but there are just sentences
  1288. 42:56where I'm like, if I ever write a
  1289. 42:58sentence like this, I want you to like I
  1290. 43:01want you to stop me. I want you to like
  1291. 43:02put a permanent stop to my writing
  1292. 43:04career.
  1293. 43:04>> Physically?
  1294. 43:05>> Physically.
  1295. 43:05>> Okay.
  1296. 43:06>> So, I'll just read from a section
  1297. 43:08titled the insurance question.
  1298. 43:11And keep in mind, this is going to be
  1299. 43:12one sentence.
  1300. 43:13>> Okay.
  1301. 43:14>> A quieter but increasingly significant
  1302. 43:16financial development during this period
  1303. 43:18involved the emergence of a nascent but
  1304. 43:19rapidly growing market for AI-specific
  1305. 43:22liability insurance. As businesses
  1306. 43:24deploying AI systems in consequential
  1307. 43:26decisions, lending, hiring, medical
  1308. 43:28diagnosis support, autonomous vehicle
  1309. 43:29operation, sought financial protection
  1310. 43:32against the prospect of a costly error
  1311. 43:33or a successful lawsuit arising from an
  1312. 43:35AI system's mistaken output. And as
  1313. 43:37insurers, for their part, scrambled to
  1314. 43:39develop the actuarial MODELS NECESSARY
  1315. 43:41>> [laughter]
  1316. 43:46>> UH YEAH, SO THAT'S I would say the
  1317. 43:48caliber. It's like kind of it's giving
  1318. 43:50like Gemini 1.5 level.
  1319. 43:53Um not their finest work.
  1320. 43:55>> It's bad and I want my money back.
  1321. 43:56>> A friend of mine who actually bought
  1322. 43:58this book by mistake uh did not know
  1323. 44:01that it was an impostor book until
  1324. 44:02several pages in when I think they
  1325. 44:03started to see some of the signs of
  1326. 44:05AI-generated writing.
  1327. 44:07>> Uh-huh.
  1328. 44:08>> But the weirdest thing about this Okay,
  1329. 44:09so there are two weird things about
  1330. 44:10this. One is they forgot to take out
  1331. 44:13some of the markdown uh
  1332. 44:15>> [laughter]
  1333. 44:15>> language in the thing. So, you'll see
  1334. 44:18here on page 25, it just says subhead.
  1335. 44:22It says pound pound pound subhead what
  1336. 44:25almost didn't happen.
  1337. 44:26>> Mhm.
  1338. 44:27>> What makes me think that they actually
  1339. 44:28did wait until my book comes out and
  1340. 44:30then take the ebook and like run it
  1341. 44:33through some sort of
  1342. 44:34>> Text extractor.
  1343. 44:34>> summarizer thing is like everything is
  1344. 44:37kind of in the same order, but they have
  1345. 44:39stripped out all of the proper nouns.
  1346. 44:41So, for some reason, whether it's like
  1347. 44:44fear of lawsuits or because it makes it
  1348. 44:46more defensible or something, they just
  1349. 44:48they they don't call anything like by by
  1350. 44:50its name. So, instead of saying
  1351. 44:52Anthropic, they just say
  1352. 44:54the new lab.
  1353. 44:56>> [laughter]
  1354. 44:56>> Now, Kevin, I I have to just say here,
  1355. 44:59people are going to accuse you of being
  1356. 45:00biased against this book.
  1357. 45:03>> That's fair. I am biased against this
  1358. 45:05book because it did actually cost me
  1359. 45:07real sales. I then had a number of other
  1360. 45:09readers write in and say like what the
  1361. 45:11heck, I bought your book and it's like,
  1362. 45:13you know, it's a it's a fake. So, yeah,
  1363. 45:16I
  1364. 45:16>> You're you're steamed.
  1365. 45:17>> I'm steamed. I'm steamed. But it wasn't
  1366. 45:19just It didn't stop there, Casey.
  1367. 45:20>> Okay.
  1368. 45:20>> I was not able to figure out the
  1369. 45:22identity of K Rose, the mysterious
  1370. 45:26pseudonym of the author of this slop
  1371. 45:28book. Uh I did turn up a name for a an
  1372. 45:33LLC that may have been affiliated with
  1373. 45:35them called Panning LLC.
  1374. 45:37>> Mhm.
  1375. 45:37>> Um and if you are out there, Panning
  1376. 45:40LLC, I will find you.
  1377. 45:42>> Well, it it sounds like we're panning
  1378. 45:43the book. So, just to bring this home,
  1379. 45:45Kevin, it seems crazy to me that authors
  1380. 45:47are having this experience so often. Is
  1381. 45:50there any sort of policy that prevents
  1382. 45:53people from just making their full-time
  1383. 45:54job ripping off, you know, real authors'
  1384. 45:57published work and then, you know,
  1385. 45:58selling it selling cut-rate versions of
  1386. 46:00it on Amazon?
  1387. 46:01>> It's totally frustrating, totally
  1388. 46:03enraging. Since I posted about this,
  1389. 46:04I've had a lot of other authors write to
  1390. 46:06me and say like this is absolutely
  1391. 46:07infuriating. Like, how do we prevent
  1392. 46:09this? And it seems like Amazon just does
  1393. 46:12not care or does not know that this is
  1394. 46:15going on on the scale it is because
  1395. 46:18they're still not sort of doing anything
  1396. 46:20to prevent the proliferation of any AI
  1397. 46:22generated books. They do ask authors now
  1398. 46:25who upload things to their platform to
  1399. 46:27check a box if something was AI
  1400. 46:30generated, but they don't like show that
  1401. 46:32box checked to the customer on the other
  1402. 46:34side. There's no indication when you're
  1403. 46:36buying a book if something was AI
  1404. 46:37generated or not.
  1405. 46:38>> Also, obviously you could just lie.
  1406. 46:39>> Right. There there's that, too. Well,
  1407. 46:41Kevin, we we shouldn't be too hard on
  1408. 46:43them because I am told that whereas
  1409. 46:46their old policy was that you could
  1410. 46:48publish up to 30 books a week on the
  1411. 46:50platform, 10 ebooks, 10 paperbacks, 10
  1412. 46:54hardcovers, they have now lowered it to
  1413. 46:56two new titles per week. And so if you
  1414. 46:59want want to run one of these scam
  1415. 47:02operations, you're going to have to take
  1416. 47:04the dramatic step of creating multiple
  1417. 47:06Amazon accounts.
  1418. 47:08>> [laughter]
  1419. 47:08>> Yeah, it's totally crazy. Like they
  1420. 47:10there are ways it would not be that hard
  1421. 47:12for Amazon to take care of this if they
  1422. 47:14decided to.
  1423. 47:16So I have a proposed solution here,
  1424. 47:18which is
  1425. 47:18>> the solution? We're very solutions
  1426. 47:20oriented on Machine Gods.
  1427. 47:21>> If you want to upload a book to Amazon,
  1428. 47:24you have to sort of submit
  1429. 47:27some kind of documentary evidence of
  1430. 47:29having written it. Either you're
  1431. 47:30yourself reading it or you have to
  1432. 47:32submit like a photo of your like messy
  1433. 47:34desk while you were writing it or
  1434. 47:35something.
  1435. 47:36>> Like people do for like a Reddit ask me
  1436. 47:37anything.
  1437. 47:38>> Exactly. Hold up a sign that says, you
  1438. 47:40know, I wrote this book. There are ways
  1439. 47:42to verify is what I'm saying, and
  1440. 47:43they're not doing any of them.
  1441. 47:44>> I mean, to me it's like they should just
  1442. 47:46get a list of books that are coming out
  1443. 47:47from major publishers, and then they
  1444. 47:49should essentially just like kind of put
  1445. 47:50them on a watch list. So as if anybody
  1446. 47:52uploads a book, you know, within the the
  1447. 47:55like I don't know, the 6 months that has
  1448. 47:57a cover that closely mirrors the actual
  1449. 48:00cover and author name that closely
  1450. 48:02mirrors the actual author name, it just
  1451. 48:04gets blocked at the source.
  1452. 48:05>> And I should say by the way, like I I've
  1453. 48:07contacted Amazon. Uh I've asked them for
  1454. 48:09comment. They have not gotten back to me
  1455. 48:11yet. I I still like I think this is
  1456. 48:13within their power to fix.
  1457. 48:14>> Yeah.
  1458. 48:14>> Because I know that they fix it for
  1459. 48:16other categories, right? Like if you
  1460. 48:18upload uh an iPhone listing and it's not
  1461. 48:21the actual iPhone, like if you're just
  1462. 48:24selling some kind of cheap look-alike,
  1463. 48:26they will take that down immediately.
  1464. 48:28And so they are they do tend to kind of
  1465. 48:32take action against counterfeits and
  1466. 48:34fakes in other categories. It's just
  1467. 48:36that books are this category that they
  1468. 48:38seemingly uh can't or won't police in
  1469. 48:41the same way. So like, look, on one
  1470. 48:43level, I'm fine. Like
  1471. 48:45>> Are you?
  1472. 48:46>> I'm fine. I'm fine. Um the listeners who
  1473. 48:49bought the fake books, uh my
  1474. 48:51understanding is that at least some of
  1475. 48:53them have gotten refunds and didn't have
  1476. 48:55to like actually do anything to get the
  1477. 48:57refund. So it does seem like they have
  1478. 48:59sort of solved these particular cases of
  1479. 49:02people getting essentially scammed by
  1480. 49:04these slop publishers. But I think this
  1481. 49:06larger question of like what happens to
  1482. 49:08a a bookstore where anyone can upload
  1483. 49:10anything in the age of AI, I I have to
  1484. 49:13assume that, you know, some huge
  1485. 49:14percentage of the new books being
  1486. 49:16uploaded to Amazon are purely AI and
  1487. 49:18some of them might be original stories
  1488. 49:21told by AI and some of them might be
  1489. 49:23rip-offs of human-written books. But
  1490. 49:25like either way, it's not great for what
  1491. 49:26it means for the future of reading on
  1492. 49:29Amazon.
  1493. 49:29>> Yeah. Well, look, when it comes to the
  1494. 49:31AGI Chronicles, your book, Kevin, I say
  1495. 49:33accept no substitutes. Get the genuine
  1496. 49:36article or you may have to read some
  1497. 49:38very bad prose and see markdown
  1498. 49:41characters. Who wants to do that?
  1499. 49:43>> Who wants to do that?
  1500. 49:44>> Well, good luck, my friend.
  1501. 49:46Slopelganger, I'm coming for you.
  1502. 49:52>> This message comes from Doppel, a lead
  1503. 49:54sponsor of Machine Gods. Social
  1504. 49:56engineering attacks look trustworthy. A
  1505. 49:58routine request, an internal email, a
  1506. 50:00familiar face on a call. But Doppel sees
  1507. 50:03through the disguise. The agentic
  1508. 50:04platform detects and disrupts attacks,
  1509. 50:07trains employees to recognize deep fakes
  1510. 50:09and deceptions, and investigates every
  1511. 50:11fish to take down the campaign behind
  1512. 50:13it. Doppel, dedicated to out pacing
  1513. 50:15what's next in social engineering. Learn
  1514. 50:17more at doppel.com. d o p p e l dot com.
  1515. 50:23Oh, I have to tell you this.
  1516. 50:25In my neighborhood,
  1517. 50:26>> Mhm.
  1518. 50:27>> there is a man, I assume it's a man.
  1519. 50:29>> Mhm.
  1520. 50:29>> I'm going to say 90 plus percent chance
  1521. 50:31it's a man.
  1522. 50:31>> Okay.
  1523. 50:32>> Who has made a Halloween decoration
  1524. 50:35using AI.
  1525. 50:36>> Okay.
  1526. 50:36>> So this is a skeleton in his yard, like
  1527. 50:39one of those Home Depot skeletons, but
  1528. 50:41you can talk to it.
  1529. 50:43So there's a sign out front that
  1530. 50:45explains,
  1531. 50:47uh, you know, "Tell me about your
  1532. 50:48costume. Tell me what your favorite kind
  1533. 50:50of candy is.
  1534. 50:51>> Mhm.
  1535. 50:51>> Tell me a spooky story." And it'll kind
  1536. 50:53of react to the person in front of it.
  1537. 50:55And I have never been more full of dad
  1538. 50:58jealousy in my life.
  1539. 50:59>> But what if what about the case where a
  1540. 51:01child like talks to the skeleton too
  1541. 51:02long and gets like chat GPT psychosis?
  1542. 51:05[laughter]
  1543. 51:07>> That's the real trick in trick or treat.
  1544. 51:09>> Exactly. You got tricked, and now you
  1545. 51:11have to go to the hospital.
  1546. 51:13>> [laughter]
  1547. 51:14>> Now,
  1548. 51:15who made this show?
  1549. 51:16>> Machine Gods is made in partnership with
  1550. 51:18NPR, with generous support from the
  1551. 51:20Tarbell Center for AI journalism, the
  1552. 51:22William and Flora Hewlett Foundation,
  1553. 51:24and Emerson Collective. This episode was
  1554. 51:26produced by Sasha Aschile and Jacob
  1555. 51:28Bloomberg.
  1556. 51:29Our senior producer is Rachel Cone. Our
  1557. 51:31executive producer is Danush Parvaneh.
  1558. 51:33Original music by Armen Bazarian,
  1559. 51:35branding and visual design by Alex
  1560. 51:37Castro, production design by Sky Pray,
  1561. 51:40special thanks to Oren Rosenbaum, Erica
  1562. 51:42Berry, and Nadine Zailstra.
  1563. 51:44>> Hey, before we go, every week we're
  1564. 51:45going to answer your questions about AI
  1565. 51:48and technology. So, please send us
  1566. 51:50questions, voice memos, short videos to
  1567. 51:53[email protected]
  1568. 51:55or leave a comment wherever you're
  1569. 51:57getting the podcast.
  1570. 51:58>> And for the love of the gods, please
  1571. 52:00don't forget to like and subscribe to
  1572. 52:01[music] the show. Until next time, stay
  1573. 52:03blessed.
  1574. 52:08>> Is this a fake bird?
  1575. 52:10Is that a fake bird?
  1576. 52:12>> [laughter]
  1577. 52:14>> Speaking of Kelly Clarkson.

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