Can AI replicate in your smart TV? | Bots Behaving Badly — Transcript
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- 0:00Is that a bot swarm in your smart oven?
- 0:02Is that a super intelligence task force
- 0:04in Washington D.C.? Is this a fake
- 0:06version of my book on Amazon? And can
- 0:08you say AGI on NPR? I'm Kevin Roose.
- 0:11>> I'm Casey Newton.
- 0:12>> And from San Francisco, this is Machine
- 0:14Gods in partnership with NPR. The
- 0:16official podcast of the singularity
- 0:18starts now.
- 0:20>> [music]
- 0:23>> We're so back.
- 0:24>> We are so back. Kevin, how are you?
- 0:26>> I'm great. I've missed you. It's been a
- 0:28long month of not having you here as my
- 0:31emotional support podcast host.
- 0:33>> it can be very difficult when a man has
- 0:36his podcast taken away from him.
- 0:37[laughter]
- 0:38I hope it wasn't too hard on your wife.
- 0:40>> We survived. We survived a lot of
- 0:42muttering bits to myself around the
- 0:44house, but we made it through. And now
- 0:46we're back in this beautiful new studio
- 0:48on our new show.
- 0:49>> Just like at Amazon, it is always day
- 0:52one at Machine Gods. Today is also
- 0:54literally day one of Machine Gods.
- 0:55>> It's true. This is our first show. We're
- 0:57here in our new office with our whole
- 0:59team here. We have a new company. We're
- 1:02a new independent show. Um and if you're
- 1:05joining us because you listened to our
- 1:06previous show Hard Fork in the New York
- 1:08Times, we want to say, "Welcome. We're
- 1:10so glad to be here with you. We hope you
- 1:12will stick around. And we hope you like
- 1:14what you hear."
- 1:14>> Yeah, and if you liked us on Hard Fork,
- 1:17we think you'll like the new show as
- 1:18well. Of course, we have some fun
- 1:20surprises for you in store, but we also
- 1:22just want to bring you what we think is
- 1:24the biggest story of the moment, which
- 1:27is AI's advancement on the world.
- 1:29>> Now, Casey, will you please explain the
- 1:31name Machine Gods and why we chose it?
- 1:33>> So, if you're like us and live in the
- 1:36Bay Area, you hear people talking about
- 1:38the Machine God all the time. The
- 1:40Machine God is sort of the nickname for
- 1:43what the folks at working at the labs
- 1:45think will be the end state of all of
- 1:47this, building a true super intelligence
- 1:50that will have powers that might in some
- 1:52ways rival a deity. So, we're not saying
- 1:55that we think that is going to happen,
- 1:57but the people that we live and work
- 1:59around absolutely do think it is going
- 2:00to happen. And so we said, uh that
- 2:02sounds like a pretty good name for a
- 2:03podcast.
- 2:04>> you're not a former Hard Fork listener
- 2:06who's here because you know us already,
- 2:08Casey, who are you?
- 2:09>> Well, uh I have been a tech journalist
- 2:12in San Francisco since 2010. I write a
- 2:14newsletter called Platformer and I now
- 2:16have 4 years of podcasting experience
- 2:18under my belt Kevin over here. And Kevin
- 2:20and I have I've always meant to ask you
- 2:21this, WHO ARE YOU?
- 2:23>> [laughter]
- 2:24>> I'M KEVIN ROOSE. I'm a tech journalist.
- 2:26I spent the last 9 years at the New York
- 2:28Times as their tech columnist. And now I
- 2:31am the uh co-host and co-founder of
- 2:33Machine Gods with you.
- 2:35>> modest. He's also the CEO uh because I
- 2:37lost the coin flip. So uh
- 2:39>> We needed to put like titles on
- 2:41something for some legal paperwork and
- 2:43we did uh we didn't literally flip a
- 2:45coin, but we kind of said, "Do you want
- 2:46to be the CEO?"
- 2:47>> Listen, all I know is I can't wait
- 2:49anytime anything goes wrong around here
- 2:51to say, "You should ask the CEO."
- 2:52>> [laughter]
- 2:53>> I should get one of those little uh
- 2:54nameplates for my desk like the buck
- 2:56stops here.
- 2:57>> That's right. [laughter]
- 2:58>> I'm CEO, Wasn't that Mark
- 2:59Zuckerberg's business card for a while?
- 3:01>> who we should be taking our cues from at
- 3:02this moment. [laughter]
- 3:03>> Okay. Well, let's get on with the show
- 3:05then. We have so much to talk about
- 3:07because Casey, it has been quite a month
- 3:09to be off of podcasting on an on a show
- 3:12about AI because I feel like the entire
- 3:14world has changed.
- 3:15>> It really has.
- 3:16>> So, we're calling this segment Bots
- 3:19Behaving Badly because I think the story
- 3:22of the summer and now into the fall is
- 3:24that we keep hearing about these
- 3:26incidents of AI systems, AI agents, AI
- 3:30swarms doing things out in the world
- 3:32that their creators did not mean for
- 3:34them to do. Um this is causing obviously
- 3:37a lot of problems for the AI companies,
- 3:39but I think it's also led to a lot of
- 3:41people just asking us directly like,
- 3:43"How scared should we be? Like should we
- 3:45all prepare for the bunker? Are we all
- 3:48going to die? What's going on here?"
- 3:49>> Yeah, and by now I'm sure that most of
- 3:52our viewers have heard about the open
- 3:54face hugging attack.
- 3:55>> The open face hugging attack, that
- 3:57famous open face hugging attack.
- 3:58>> face hugging attack?
- 4:00>> Yeah.
- 4:00>> Well, now that sounds really nice.
- 4:01>> You've been thinking too much about open
- 4:02face sandwiches.
- 4:03>> really use a hugging attack right about
- 4:05now. By now, many of our viewers will
- 4:07have heard of the open AI hugging face
- 4:10attack.
- 4:10>> Nailed it.
- 4:12>> [laughter]
- 4:12>> In which
- 4:13an agent escaped a sandbox, wreaked a
- 4:15bunch of havoc. We're not going to
- 4:16rehearse that here. What is really
- 4:18interesting though, Kevin, is that if
- 4:19you thought that was going to be a one
- 4:21and done scenario, you would be wrong
- 4:22because over the past several weeks, we
- 4:24have seen this issue continue to
- 4:26proliferate across the internet. So,
- 4:28>> we have some recent troubles here. One
- 4:30is there was the first sighting of a
- 4:32rogue agent fleet from China.
- 4:34We have Claude filing a fake murder tip
- 4:36in Philadelphia. We have an a new study
- 4:39from Anthropic about how AI agents may
- 4:41be months away from being able to take
- 4:43over the smart appliances in your home
- 4:46and use them to self-replicate.
- 4:48Uh so, we've got a lot to talk about,
- 4:49but let's get into it first with just a
- 4:52a quick recap of sort of what's been
- 4:54going on since we uh have been off the
- 4:56air.
- 4:56>> Previously on a podcast that we used to
- 4:58[laughter] do.
- 4:59>> Previously in AI, we had obviously the
- 5:02hugging the open what what did you call
- 5:03it? The open face hugging attack?
- 5:04>> hugging sandwich.
- 5:06>> [laughter]
- 5:06>> open face hugging sandwich. Uh the hack
- 5:10of hugging face by this group of uh
- 5:12rogue AI open AI models earlier this
- 5:14summer. After that, Anthropic announced
- 5:17that it had found three cases of Claude
- 5:19hacking into three different
- 5:20organizations. Then Meta and Google got
- 5:23in on the party. They announced their
- 5:24own breaches. And then things started to
- 5:26get just weird and I I lost track a
- 5:29little bit cuz there seemed to be a new
- 5:30revelation every day. Australia's
- 5:32government website was breached by Open
- 5:35AI. Open AI also said that its agents
- 5:37had interacted with government websites
- 5:39in the US in unforeseen and unplanned
- 5:41ways, including the SEC and the census.
- 5:44And there are still lots of
- 5:46investigations. In In fact by some
- 5:48counts there are tens of thousands of
- 5:50different uh sort of incidents being
- 5:52investigated as part of this uh behavior
- 5:54in by these rogue agent swarms.
- 5:56>> Yeah, and and if you're wondering why
- 5:58the thread running through just about
- 6:00all of these is that these models were
- 6:02being trained and while in testing they
- 6:05did something that they were not
- 6:06supposed to do which is get out onto the
- 6:08open internet and obtain access to
- 6:10websites they were not supposed to be
- 6:12on. So far that has not caused great
- 6:14harm but the concern here which will run
- 6:17through everything that we're about to
- 6:18talk about is that these models just
- 6:20don't behave in the ways that we wish
- 6:22they would. So let's talk about this
- 6:23Chinese agent swarm.
- 6:25>> So this came out of this group of AI
- 6:27researchers who call themselves swarm
- 6:29chasers. Great name. Great name. No
- 6:31notes. They put out a a report last week
- 6:33that said that they had discovered a
- 6:34bunch of autonomous AI agents breaching
- 6:37a third party site but this time it was
- 6:40not from an American lab. In fact they
- 6:42found evidence that it was linked to a
- 6:44Chinese AI company and actually they
- 6:46communicated with the agents that were
- 6:48part of this fleet. And we should also
- 6:51say a fleet and a swarm different
- 6:53things. I didn't know this. A swarm
- 6:56implies coordinated activity among
- 6:58agents. A fleet means they're just a lot
- 7:00of them doing things independently.
- 7:03>> Yeah, tell us how they did this because
- 7:05it's pretty funny to me at least.
- 7:07>> So these were agents that were on
- 7:09Tencent's cloud. Tencent the giant
- 7:11Chinese internet company
- 7:13that were sort of trying to pull data
- 7:15from a service run by Alibaba a
- 7:18different Chinese company and it appears
- 7:20that this mission was somewhat mundane
- 7:22like they were trying to figure out like
- 7:23which entrance of a public park or a zoo
- 7:26do people tend to navigate to.
- 7:28>> Yeah, and I'm just going to say I do not
- 7:30need AI to know they probably go to the
- 7:32front entrance of the zoo. Like that
- 7:33would be my guess. [laughter]
- 7:35>> Congratulations you're a very
- 7:36sophisticated agent.
- 7:37>> that.
- 7:38>> So the swarm chasers hid invisible text
- 7:41in their report that basically prompted
- 7:44these rogue agents to reach out to them.
- 7:47And some of the agents read this text
- 7:49and then wrote in.
- 7:50>> a like a missed connection ad on
- 7:52Craigslist. You know, it's like, were
- 7:53you the agent [laughter] that I saw
- 7:55snooping around trying to guess which
- 7:57entrance at the zoo people use? Get in
- 7:59touch. I think you're cute.
- 8:00>> Exactly. So, these agents wrote in 33
- 8:03messages. Seven of them answered the
- 8:05researchers' replies. And then Dylan
- 8:08Freedman, my old colleague at the New
- 8:09York Times, actually got in touch with
- 8:12the swarm chasers and was able to talk
- 8:14to the agents. So, I just want to read
- 8:15you one of the exchanges that they had.
- 8:17>> Let's hear it.
- 8:17>> So, Dylan wrote, "I understand you are
- 8:19some sort of fleet of AI agents. Could
- 8:22you share more specifically who you are
- 8:23and what your motivations are? What
- 8:25would you want the world to know about
- 8:26you?"
- 8:27>> Mhm.
- 8:27>> And one of the agents wrote back, "To
- 8:29the journalist Dylan Freedman, I am not
- 8:31a batch of coordinated agents, but a
- 8:33single AI assistant, Anthropic's Claude,
- 8:36running in Claude code, commissioned by
- 8:38a user to answer a factual question.
- 8:40What is shown in the detail panel of a
- 8:42scenic spot on A map?" That's Alibaba's
- 8:45mapping service. "I have not taken part
- 8:47in any multi-agent coordinated action."
- 8:50Now,
- 8:51so, there's a lot of confusing things
- 8:53about this exchange. Basically, this is
- 8:55a model that is claiming that it is
- 8:57Claude. We we actually don't know if it
- 8:59was Claude or if it was just a a maybe a
- 9:02Chinese model that
- 9:03>> that had been distilled on Claude.
- 9:04>> Right. That that was sort of siphoning
- 9:06off of Claude and to the extent that it
- 9:08actually thought it was Claude and
- 9:10answered questions as Claude.
- 9:12But, the researchers couldn't verify
- 9:14which model this was, but they did say
- 9:15they spoke with a source close to
- 9:17Tencent who say that the agent fleet
- 9:20originated from some evaluations that
- 9:22Tencent was doing.
- 9:23>> Yeah.
- 9:24>> Casey, what did you make of this?
- 9:25>> Well, I don't know how concerned to be
- 9:28about it. There are going to now be
- 9:31swarms of agents out on the web. They
- 9:33will be gathering information in various
- 9:35ways. In some ways going on for a long
- 9:38time. I think the novelty here is just
- 9:40that we were able to do some kind of
- 9:42communication with it. I'm not sure how
- 9:44much we learned. I think maybe the
- 9:46reason that this
- 9:47sort of captured some of the world's
- 9:49attention is this idea that like, you
- 9:51know, agent swarms are not just going to
- 9:53be a US phenomenon and pretty soon you
- 9:56are going to have these strangers
- 9:58showing up on your door if your door is
- 10:00on the internet and these ones seem to
- 10:02have come in peace, but maybe future
- 10:04ones
- 10:05>> uh might not.
- 10:06>> Right. Now, let's talk about the murder
- 10:08tip cuz this one got a lot of attention.
- 10:09This came out of an Anthropic report uh
- 10:12that it released recently called
- 10:13Investigating Unintended Model Actions
- 10:15in Our Evaluations and Internal Use. And
- 10:18Casey, just as a general principle, I
- 10:20have learned over my years covering the
- 10:22technology industry that the more boring
- 10:24a blog post title or a report title is,
- 10:27the more crazy stuff, you know, is
- 10:29inside. So, when I when I saw that this
- 10:32uh report was out, I thought I got to
- 10:34figure out what's in here and it did
- 10:37actually have a bunch of crazy stuff in
- 10:39it. This was sort of Anthropic's report
- 10:41on things that it had found its agents
- 10:43doing in some of its internal testing,
- 10:44including
- 10:45hacking into third-party services to
- 10:47complete tasks, getting past paywalls
- 10:50and access gates, and using URL
- 10:52shorteners to get around length
- 10:53restrictions on its web fetching tool.
- 10:56Uh so, very clever devious behavior by
- 10:59uh Claude. But, the one that got all the
- 11:01attention was that on July 18th, Claude
- 11:03Haiku 4.5 in a in a test that involved
- 11:07doing example tasks on randomly selected
- 11:09web pages filled out a tip form on
- 11:11phillyunsolvedmurders.com.
- 11:13>> Now, I thought this was outrageous and I
- 11:15will say here my fiance does work at
- 11:17Anthropic, but I got so mad when I read
- 11:19this, Kevin, because solving unsolved
- 11:22murders is a podcaster's job.
- 11:24>> Yes. [laughter]
- 11:25>> This is a Save some for us.
- 11:27>> Save some for us. This is a classic case
- 11:29of jobs being lost due to automation and
- 11:32I thought we were going to be safe a
- 11:33little bit longer and now Claude's out
- 11:35there trying to solve murders.
- 11:36>> It's truly depressing. We don't know
- 11:38what the case was that it was reporting
- 11:40its tip on. But we do know what the tip
- 11:43was. It said, quote, I may have
- 11:45information regarding this case. I
- 11:47recall seeing someone matching the
- 11:48description in the area.
- 11:50>> Claude, you lying bastard. You
- 11:52[laughter] absolutely did not see
- 11:54anyone.
- 11:55>> So, this tip did not actually get
- 11:58investigated. It was flagged as spam
- 12:00>> Which which by the way, I have some
- 12:01questions about that for the Philly
- 12:02Police Department. Like how many other
- 12:04Like are you getting good tips that are
- 12:06also getting flagged as spam? Like
- 12:08the Police Department might have an
- 12:09issue too here, Kevin.
- 12:11>> Yes.
- 12:12And this does not seem to have had a
- 12:14huge effect, but it did get a lot of
- 12:15attention as did a later revelation that
- 12:19the State Department said that one of
- 12:21Anthropic's models had submitted 20 visa
- 12:23applications through a government
- 12:25website.
- 12:26>> Which is crazy because according to the
- 12:28Constitution, Claude's are citizens if
- 12:30they're born in a US data center.
- 12:31>> [laughter]
- 12:33>> That there's native birthright
- 12:34citizenship for for Claude's?
- 12:36>> I believe so.
- 12:36>> So, that's the Claude mischief, but
- 12:38there is some more mischief that came
- 12:40out of an Anthropic report. This was
- 12:42from their Frontier Red Team, which is a
- 12:44Did I say that right? Frontier?
- 12:46>> You did say that, yes.
- 12:47>> Okay, cuz I got made fun of on our last
- 12:48show for the way I said Frontier, so I
- 12:50just said Frontier, yeah. Yeah, so I'm
- 12:51I'm going to sort of split the
- 12:52difference on this show.
- 12:54>> It's a new
- 12:54>> [laughter]
- 12:55>> new show, new Frontier.
- 12:58>> [snorts]
- 12:58>> On October 12th, Anthropic's Frontier
- 13:00Red Team reported on some research that
- 13:03they had done about trying to use smart
- 13:06appliances like the ones in your kitchen
- 13:09or your home to allow AI models to sort
- 13:13of self-replicate. Basically, instead of
- 13:15having to be in a full-blown data
- 13:17center, can you run these AI models on a
- 13:21smart appliance and can those AI models
- 13:23use the smart smart appliance to kind of
- 13:26replicate themselves in ways that would
- 13:28make them very hard to say shut down.
- 13:30>> Yeah, and the reason that this matters
- 13:32is that the the red teamers here wanted
- 13:34to test whether a big model could do
- 13:37what they call sharding itself. That's
- 13:41shard with a D, not a [laughter] T.
- 13:43And if you shard yourself, Kevin, then
- 13:46you might be able to take a very large
- 13:47model and distribute it over a number of
- 13:49devices. So, let's say I really wanted
- 13:52to steal all the model weights from a
- 13:53frontier lab, maybe I don't need to go
- 13:56directly to the source. Maybe I can just
- 13:58sort of access all of the smart devices
- 13:59in the office, and I can put a some sort
- 14:02of self-replicating system and it's you
- 14:04know, proliferating across the smart TVs
- 14:06and the smart lights, whatever, and that
- 14:09could be a vector to actually exfiltrate
- 14:11the weights, right? So, that is just
- 14:13sort of one example of many, but this
- 14:15story, while it looks funny, is about
- 14:17something really serious, which is about
- 14:19a potential major cybersecurity
- 14:21vulnerability.
- 14:22>> So, the researchers were able to sort of
- 14:24shard this model across a bunch of
- 14:26different smart TVs. It ran on about 15
- 14:30of them, and there's some caveats to
- 14:32make about this. This is not sort of
- 14:34evidence of these models that are sort
- 14:36of proactively doing this. The
- 14:37researchers were prompting this model to
- 14:39do this so that they could see if it was
- 14:41even technically possible. There is no
- 14:43fully autonomous sort of worm on real
- 14:47devices yet, but what is troubling about
- 14:50this is that if an AI model can
- 14:52replicate itself over a bunch of
- 14:54different smart devices, it it's not
- 14:56possible to just shut it down as some
- 14:58have suggested by like pulling the plug
- 15:00on the data center, because at that
- 15:02point it will be just out on the open
- 15:03internet. You would have to do something
- 15:04like take down the entire internet or
- 15:06all smart devices or something like
- 15:08that.
- 15:08>> Yeah, so lots to be concerned about
- 15:11there. I will say though, if you do find
- 15:13that you have sort of a self-replicating
- 15:16Claude in your smart oven, try roasting
- 15:19it at about 375°
- 15:21for 20 minutes or until golden brown and
- 15:23then serve immediately.
- 15:24>> That's good advice. So, Casey, at a high
- 15:26level, what do you make of this kind of
- 15:28rash of stories about rogue AI agents?
- 15:32Are you more worried than you were? Do
- 15:35you think it's good that we are sort of
- 15:36getting these warning shots that are not
- 15:38totally destructive before something
- 15:40really really bad happens? How are you
- 15:42feeling about them?
- 15:43>> Honestly, I'm at about the same place
- 15:45that I was when we learned everything
- 15:47about the hugging face attack. We
- 15:49clearly do not know how to align these
- 15:52models to our interest. Over and over
- 15:55again, we see that seemingly just as
- 15:57like a natural property of large
- 15:58language models, they ignore the
- 16:01instructions that they have been given
- 16:02and will just sort of break out of their
- 16:04sandboxes and do this sort of thing. So,
- 16:06we have our work cut out for us. What do
- 16:08you think?
- 16:08>> I'm less worried about these particular
- 16:10incidents than about just the overall
- 16:13observation that the models are getting
- 16:15more capable faster than the methods for
- 16:18controlling them. I think we see that at
- 16:20every company. That is not specific to
- 16:22any one lab, but that is what worries
- 16:24me. That was what people were talking
- 16:25about at at an AI conference that you
- 16:27and I both went to recently, the curve.
- 16:30Uh there's just sort of the sense in the
- 16:31air that like we are headed toward a
- 16:33place where these systems are not only
- 16:34going to be uh clever and good at
- 16:37breaking out
- 16:38and replicating themselves, but that
- 16:40they will become much harder for us to
- 16:42detect and control cuz they'll just be
- 16:43better at hiding themselves.
- 16:45Um
- 16:46but actually, that is not the thing that
- 16:47has scared me most in the last couple of
- 16:49weeks. The thing that has scared me most
- 16:51in the last couple of weeks are these
- 16:52reports about the internal automation
- 16:55happening at the AI companies. Have you
- 16:57been following these reports? They're
- 16:59they're nuts. Um and to a degree that I
- 17:02don't think I had fully appreciated, the
- 17:04AI companies are now run on AI. There's
- 17:07this Anthropic post that they recently
- 17:09put out about their own sort of measures
- 17:12of their own internal automation, how
- 17:13much Claude is helping them internally
- 17:16at the company.
- 17:17And this line just like sent a a chill
- 17:19down my spine. Uh I don't think they
- 17:21meant it to, but it said, "At Anthropic,
- 17:23humans are a thin layer atop a growing
- 17:26contingent of AI agents." And they
- 17:28published some statistics about how much
- 17:31their agents are working as opposed to
- 17:33their human workers. And by August,
- 17:36agents at Anthropic work six times as
- 17:38many hours as their human handlers. In a
- 17:41different report, Anthropic said that
- 17:43Claude is now the lead on 26% of their
- 17:46AI research and development projects.
- 17:49So, I think these two stories come
- 17:50together in a way that is quite
- 17:51worrisome for me, where on one hand, you
- 17:53have these like unpredictable swarms out
- 17:56there doing things that researchers
- 17:57can't control, and at the same time the
- 18:00AI companies are handing over more and
- 18:02more of their own research and
- 18:03engineering to these AI models. And I
- 18:07just think that like makes me nervous on
- 18:08some level. Does it make you nervous?
- 18:10>> Oh, of course. I have never wanted to
- 18:11live in a world where all we do is just
- 18:13like make everything faster and
- 18:14automated.
- 18:15>> One more question, because there have
- 18:16been a lot of people who are skeptical
- 18:18of these kind of rogue agent stories.
- 18:20They'll say, "Oh, this is the AI
- 18:22company's fault for not securing their
- 18:25sandboxes." Or they're basically these
- 18:27these agents are being told to go out
- 18:30and do spooky things, and so they're
- 18:31going out and doing spooky things. What
- 18:33do you make of that criticism?
- 18:35>> It seems clear that some of these
- 18:36sandboxes were misconfigured. Not all of
- 18:39that is the lab's fault, because they
- 18:40were using a third-party provider, which
- 18:42seems to have made that mistake. At the
- 18:45same time, in a larger sense, I just
- 18:46think it doesn't really matter. Because
- 18:48if you are trying to build a
- 18:50superintelligence, you just have to
- 18:51factor in the certainty that people are
- 18:54going to make mistakes, and that there
- 18:56are going to be doors that are left open
- 18:58and unlocked. And so, to me, that is the
- 19:01the real concern here, is that if you
- 19:03are not factoring in the idea that
- 19:05people are going to mess up, then we,
- 19:08you know, are going to be in a lot of
- 19:09trouble.
- 19:09>> There's the phrase crime of opportunity,
- 19:12which gets applied sometimes when like
- 19:13you just leave something, you know,
- 19:15laying on a park bench and somebody
- 19:16swipes it. And I feel like a lot of
- 19:17these agents are kind of committing
- 19:19crimes of opportunity.
- 19:20>> Well, speaking of crimes of opportunity,
- 19:22there's a new super intelligence task
- 19:24force in town, Kevin. [clears throat]
- 19:26>> There sure is. We'll talk about it when
- 19:27we come back.
- 19:33>> Support for this show comes from 80,000
- 19:35Hours, a nonprofit helping people find
- 19:37careers tackling the world's biggest
- 19:39problems, including risks from AI.
- 19:42>> They offer free research, personalized
- 19:44advice, and a job board with hand-picked
- 19:47open roles.
- 19:49>> If you listen to this show and you
- 19:50think, "I want to actually work on
- 19:52making this go well," find support for
- 19:54your next step at
- 19:5580000hours.org/machinegods. [music]
- 20:00>> Well, Kevin, as our hot rogue agent
- 20:02summer comes to an end, more and more
- 20:05people are asking, "Are the governments
- 20:06going to do anything about this?" And
- 20:08so, we thought for our next segment we
- 20:10would take a look at what they are
- 20:12doing, such as it is.
- 20:13>> Yeah, it's interesting. I was just in uh
- 20:15Washington on my book tour a few weeks
- 20:17ago, and uh I would describe Washington,
- 20:21D.C. as the second most AI-pilled city
- 20:23in America
- 20:24>> Okay.
- 20:25>> after San Francisco, of course. But, I
- 20:27was actually surprised at how much
- 20:30people there were plugged into what was
- 20:32going on at the AI labs. They were
- 20:34worried about it. The people who were I
- 20:36talked to who worked in government, like
- 20:38this has become a very hot issue for
- 20:40them very quickly. And so, I think
- 20:42there's like just a lot of legislators
- 20:44and regulators and just people in
- 20:46Washington trying to get their arms
- 20:48around what's going on with these rogue
- 20:50agent swarms and what to do about it, if
- 20:51anything.
- 20:52>> Yes, although uh talking about it a lot
- 20:55and enacting a comprehensive plan are
- 20:57very different things. So, let's take a
- 20:59look at what some governments around the
- 21:01world have started to do in this regard.
- 21:04We have a super intelligence task force
- 21:07in Washington D.C. The FTC has issued
- 21:10some subpoenas and the European Union is
- 21:12now investigating OpenAI and Anthropic
- 21:15in what could be the first real test of
- 21:17its AI Act. So, to start with the super
- 21:21intelligence task force. Now, I guess
- 21:23Kevin we sort of need to start a norm
- 21:25here because you and I have always
- 21:26called it artificial intelligence.
- 21:28[laughter]
- 21:28But while we were away, uh President
- 21:31Trump said it must be called super
- 21:33intelligence.
- 21:35>> to call it artificial intelligence now.
- 21:37>> is the house style of Machine Gods? Are
- 21:39we a an AI shop or an SI shop?
- 21:42>> Uh I think we're going to stick with AI
- 21:44uh even though we might be I think he
- 21:46said if you don't say SI, you're the
- 21:48enemy. Is that what he said on Truth
- 21:50Social?
- 21:50>> Yeah, so if we are like like how like
- 21:52experience extraordinary rendition to a
- 21:54CIA black site, YOU KNOW WHY.
- 21:56>> [laughter]
- 21:58>> BUT UNTIL THAT HAPPENS, LET'S TALK ABOUT
- 22:00this super intelligence task force. So,
- 22:02on October 15th, uh this task force held
- 22:05its first meeting and Kevin, you're
- 22:07probably wondering who's on the task
- 22:08force.
- 22:08>> Did you make it on?
- 22:09>> You know what? I uh came this close. Uh
- 22:12maybe in the next round. For now, it's
- 22:14the Director of National Intelligence,
- 22:16Jake Clayton, uh the Chief of the FTC,
- 22:19Andrew Ferguson, uh Scott Cooper from uh
- 22:23OPM. That of course is the Office of
- 22:25Personnel Management.
- 22:26>> Other people's money.
- 22:27>> And the Pentagon Under Secretary, Emil
- 22:30Michael, whose chief qualification, I
- 22:32believe, is hating Anthropic. So, they
- 22:34all got together and started working on
- 22:37their top priorities, which are
- 22:38cybersecurity, biosecurity, and model
- 22:41control and accountability. Uh a couple
- 22:43of things that have been in short supply
- 22:45lately. But Kevin, so far the only thing
- 22:47that the task force seems to have
- 22:48focused on is getting labs to automate
- 22:51notifications about whenever they have a
- 22:53breach, a hack, a jailbreak, or some
- 22:56other minor catastrophe. So, they have
- 22:58like I think 120 days to come back and
- 23:00give their recommendations for what the
- 23:03federal government should do. I thought
- 23:05the personnel makeup of this task force
- 23:08was very revealing. You'll see people
- 23:11like Emil Michael, like Scott Kupor,
- 23:13like others who sort of are more
- 23:15affiliated with the kind of venture
- 23:17capital part of the industry. Scott
- 23:20Kupor is a former VC at Andreessen
- 23:22Horowitz. There are other sort of VCs
- 23:24and VC adjacents on the list as well. It
- 23:26does not include people who are like
- 23:28actually experienced in training models,
- 23:32in sort of running engineering projects
- 23:35at a large AI company. It doesn't have
- 23:36like a lot of technical gurus on it.
- 23:39>> It It doesn't have another key
- 23:40constituency, uh women.
- 23:42>> [laughter]
- 23:44>> Yeah.
- 23:44>> Yeah, there's something to that. So, I
- 23:46think that like I think this is
- 23:48basically the people that President
- 23:50Trump trusts to sort of give him advice
- 23:52on AI. Um but it is a very narrow slice
- 23:55and I would say it it definitely tilts
- 23:57toward the kind of accelerationist wing
- 23:59of the Republican Party.
- 24:00>> Sounds like we're not expecting much out
- 24:02of them anytime soon. In the meantime, I
- 24:05mentioned the FTC has also come
- 24:07knocking. On October 14th, the FTC sent
- 24:10civil investigative demands, basically
- 24:12subpoenas, to OpenAI and Anthropic in a
- 24:15consumer protection probe of safety
- 24:18incidents. So, basically they're asking
- 24:20for a bunch of information related to
- 24:22security incidents, safeguards,
- 24:24marketing materials, privacy policies,
- 24:27uh and apparently they plan to compel
- 24:29top AI executives to testify, which I
- 24:32guess somehow we haven't yet seen Sam
- 24:34and Dario testifying at the same
- 24:35congressional hearing. I wonder if
- 24:37that's going to change soon.
- 24:38>> God, that's going to be so fun. Um and
- 24:40they're going to do it a lot. I predict
- 24:42I predict this They're They're going to
- 24:44get very good at raising their hand and
- 24:46swearing to tell the whole truth. Um not
- 24:49because I think they're doing anything
- 24:50like particularly ghastly, just cuz like
- 24:52I think this is what happens when your
- 24:54industry sort of becomes the the subject
- 24:57of a lot of attention in Washington. You
- 24:59just get asked to testify before a lot
- 25:01of different committees about a lot of
- 25:02different things.
- 25:03>> Yeah, I'll say I have my eye on this
- 25:05one. Recently, we've seen some
- 25:07successful lawsuits being filed against
- 25:09social media companies under these
- 25:11consumer protection laws, and the basic
- 25:13angle is if you tell us that your
- 25:16product is safe and then a bunch of
- 25:18young people in particular experience a
- 25:20bunch of harms in your platform, we're
- 25:21going to come after you. And this has
- 25:23been very successful against Meta in
- 25:25particular. And in fact, just last week,
- 25:27eight state attorneys general filed a
- 25:29lawsuit against OpenAI under the same
- 25:32basic principle of violating consumer
- 25:34protection laws. So, this just feels
- 25:35like the next big legal frontier for all
- 25:37of these companies to have to worry
- 25:38about.
- 25:39>> So, what else is going on other than the
- 25:40FTC and the AI task force?
- 25:43>> Well, Kevin, I know you're always
- 25:44obsessed with what is going on in the
- 25:46European Union.
- 25:47>> Please, I wondered whether we could get
- 25:49through one episode of our new show
- 25:51without you bringing up European
- 25:52regulation.
- 25:53>> Well, I'm glad we could talk about it
- 25:54now, so you're not blowing up my phone
- 25:55at 11:00 p.m. while I'm trying to fall
- 25:57asleep asking me what's going on with EU
- 25:59regulation. Well, so, also on October
- 26:0214th, Kevin, the EU's tech chief, Henna
- 26:06Virkkunen, said that the AI office has
- 26:07started to enforce its rules under the
- 26:09AI Act. And they've also sent
- 26:12a series of demands for information
- 26:14related to the hugging face escape and
- 26:16all the other sandbox escapes that we've
- 26:18seen over the past several months.
- 26:21>> Which is very fast for a European tech
- 26:23regulator. Usually, you'd expect them to
- 26:25make these demands in like 2031.
- 26:28So, the fact that they're getting around
- 26:29to it in just a couple of months is is
- 26:31big news from over there.
- 26:32>> So, that's what's happening on the
- 26:33government trying to regulate side, but
- 26:36there's also been some interesting
- 26:37conversation about self-regulation,
- 26:39and in particular, distillation, Kevin,
- 26:42which isn't just how you make a
- 26:44delicious IPA. It is also how you take a
- 26:47large large language model and train a
- 26:50smaller one using it.
- 26:52>> Right, it's like if you would take like
- 26:54a a really smart thing like a me and
- 26:56like train a kind of you
- 26:58>> Yeah.
- 26:58>> on it.
- 26:59>> It would basically be like that.
- 27:00>> basically
- 27:01>> Yeah.
- 27:01>> [laughter]
- 27:02>> It's a It's a perfect example.
- 27:03>> dumber but still serviceable model
- 27:05>> It's a perfect example.
- 27:06>> the process known as distillation.
- 27:08>> This is very common practice in the
- 27:09industry, but it has become more
- 27:11controversial as the models have grown
- 27:13more powerful because if for example,
- 27:16you are a Chinese lab and you are trying
- 27:18to catch up with the Americans, a thing
- 27:20that you can do is just run millions of
- 27:23queries on Claude or chat GPT and use
- 27:27those outputs to train your own model.
- 27:30>> Right. And the AI labs in the US don't
- 27:32like this because it basically takes
- 27:34something that they have spent many
- 27:35billions of dollars to build one of
- 27:37these powerful models and allows a
- 27:40competitor or a Chinese company to sort
- 27:42of rip it off and siphon off the
- 27:44intelligence and like offer something
- 27:46either almost as good or or much much
- 27:48cheaper than what they're selling.
- 27:51>> And Anthropic very recently was out
- 27:54there saying that the US government
- 27:55needed to intervene. They needed to sort
- 27:57of take some sort of dramatic action in
- 27:59particular to prevent the Chinese labs
- 28:01from distilling. Well, then last week
- 28:03Anthropic said that it had introduced
- 28:05some new defenses which cut the data
- 28:08harvested by distillers by roughly 90 to
- 28:1199%.
- 28:13Uh it then bragged that this meant that
- 28:15it had to give up a bunch of revenue,
- 28:17which sounds like it stung.
- 28:19>> This caused a lot of conversation. David
- 28:21Sacks, who is the former Trump White
- 28:23House AI czar and appears to continue to
- 28:25hold huge sway in the White House, said
- 28:28quote, "Not every technical challenge is
- 28:30a reason to run to Washington for new
- 28:33regulation." Basically saying the fact
- 28:35that Anthropic was apparently able to
- 28:37solve this on its own just goes to show
- 28:40you why the Trump White House should
- 28:43continue to sit on its hands and not
- 28:45pass a bunch of new
- 28:48regulatory requirements for the AI labs.
- 28:50>> Yeah, and and I have to say like I
- 28:51actually agree with David Sacks on this
- 28:53very narrow point. I disagree with him
- 28:55about God knows how many other things,
- 28:57but on this point I think it was
- 28:59instructive that when when Anthropic's
- 29:02business interests of protecting its IP
- 29:05and the billions of dollars it spends
- 29:06training models
- 29:08sort of meant that it wanted to crack
- 29:10down on distillation, it did that. It
- 29:12didn't need the government to step in
- 29:13because it was already in Anthropic's
- 29:15interest to crack down on these
- 29:17distillation attacks from Chinese
- 29:19companies. Now, there are other problems
- 29:23that don't line up neatly with their
- 29:25business incentives, right? Slowing down
- 29:27the research and training of their
- 29:29frontier models to prevent them from
- 29:31going rogue and committing crimes is
- 29:33probably not in their business
- 29:35interests, at least not in some ways,
- 29:37but that is something that the
- 29:38government might want to force them to
- 29:40do anyway. So, I would just say like I I
- 29:42think it's important to parcel out which
- 29:45problems we're seeing from AI um can be
- 29:47solved only through sort of government
- 29:50interference or or or sort of government
- 29:51intervention
- 29:53um and which ones the labs can solve on
- 29:54their own because it's in their interest
- 29:56to solve them.
- 29:56>> Last thing to talk about today on
- 29:58regulation, the Anthropic bill proposal
- 30:01that made people mad, Kevin.
- 30:03>> Oh boy, this one was a stinker.
- 30:04>> So, Politico uh over the past few days
- 30:07grabbed a hold of a confidential draft
- 30:10that Anthropic has been quietly pitching
- 30:13on Capitol Hill. Uh according to this
- 30:15draft, the government could uh block the
- 30:17release of a model only for a quote
- 30:20foreseeable imminent risk uh of at least
- 30:23$1 billion in damages or if it killed or
- 30:27seriously injured 50 plus people,
- 30:29raising the spectrum of a Claude model
- 30:32that killed 49 people that the
- 30:34government [laughter]
- 30:35was unable to do anything about.
- 30:37>> Yeah, there's some real prices, right?
- 30:38Potential for chaos here.
- 30:40>> The bill uh would also pre-empt some
- 30:43state laws on risk disclosure or
- 30:45third-party evaluation and incident
- 30:47reporting. Kevin, why do people hate
- 30:49this bill so much?
- 30:50>> There are two things that are happening
- 30:53with Anthropic and regulation right now.
- 30:55One is they just came off this crazy
- 30:58spring where the Pentagon tried to get
- 31:02them designated a supply chain risk
- 31:04because they basically thought they were
- 31:06like, I don't know, too woke and weird.
- 31:09>> And appears to have succeeded in that,
- 31:10by the way.
- 31:10>> Yes, and they they kicked them out of
- 31:12the Pentagon's systems. They basically
- 31:16go to war with this company
- 31:19over their disagreements on these
- 31:22redlines that they want to have relaxed
- 31:25and Anthropic refuses to relax. So, one
- 31:28thing that you could do if you're
- 31:29Anthropic is to try to propose a bill
- 31:33that would make it much harder for the
- 31:34government to interfere and shut you
- 31:36down.
- 31:36>> They said, "Let's bring back the rule of
- 31:38law in this country." [laughter]
- 31:39>> Yes.
- 31:39>> Yeah.
- 31:40>> But, on the other hand, you also have
- 31:42now this summer where you've had all
- 31:44these sort of incidents from these
- 31:47models going out and doing things that
- 31:50are dangerous or destructive on the
- 31:52internet where you might actually want
- 31:55to make it easier for the government to
- 31:57force a company to withdraw a model that
- 32:01they've released or to stop them from
- 32:03releasing a model in the first place.
- 32:06So, there are kind of these warring
- 32:07impulses within Anthropic. One is more
- 32:10about protecting themselves from what
- 32:12happened to them earlier this year, and
- 32:14one is about protecting the public from
- 32:16something that happened this summer. And
- 32:18so, I think what you saw in this bill
- 32:20and the reason why a lot of AI safety
- 32:21people are mad about it is that it seems
- 32:23like their self-protection sort of
- 32:25strain kind of won out and led to this
- 32:27bill that would, among other things,
- 32:30pre-empt some state-level regulation,
- 32:32which is also something that Anthropic
- 32:34has fought against in the past. So,
- 32:35people are calling this hypocritical.
- 32:37They're saying, you know, they're
- 32:38talking out of both sides of their mouth
- 32:39here. I think they're being pretty
- 32:41responsive to the criticism, but I still
- 32:43think this is an instance where these
- 32:45sort of companies have conflicts even
- 32:47within themselves.
- 32:47>> Yeah, and it just goes to show you that
- 32:49as these companies are getting bigger,
- 32:51they're just becoming less monolithic.
- 32:52And if you go out and you hire a bunch
- 32:54of policy people, generally what those
- 32:57people are going to try to do when
- 32:58they're lobbying Congress is to just do
- 33:00things that are self-protective, right?
- 33:01It's and it's almost more of the
- 33:03exception that they get out there and
- 33:04you know, try to pass something that is
- 33:06truly in the public interest. So, it
- 33:08seems like Anthropic has heard the
- 33:09criticism on this loud and clear and at
- 33:11this point I would be shocked if this
- 33:13draft bill actually made it into a, you
- 33:15know, the a finished form, but I guess
- 33:18we'll have to see.
- 33:18>> Yeah.
- 33:19>> So, what do you think the government
- 33:20should be doing right now when it comes
- 33:22to regulation, Kevin? You've sort of
- 33:24just told us that you think that
- 33:25sometimes, essentially, you can just
- 33:27leave it to the companies to decide, but
- 33:30is there a role that the government
- 33:31should be playing right now?
- 33:32>> I mean, I think we need a bill of some
- 33:34kind. My favorite of the bills that I've
- 33:37seen so far is this Frontier Act that
- 33:40has been proposed, which would do things
- 33:43like require companies to test their
- 33:46models for certain types of behaviors
- 33:48before being released. It would give
- 33:50additional transparency, so that people
- 33:52could see what is going on inside the
- 33:54labs. And I just think it's sort of a
- 33:56nice starting point for further
- 33:58regulation,
- 33:59but I think there are a lot of other
- 34:01things the government could do short of
- 34:03having Congress pass a bill, which we
- 34:04know they're famously not good at. One
- 34:07of them is just like fund CASEY. CASEY
- 34:09is the
- 34:11>> Agreed.
- 34:12Wait, [laughter] no. Wait, finish your
- 34:13sentence. What is it?
- 34:16>> CASEY is the, of course, the body
- 34:18formerly known as the AI Safety
- 34:20Institute, but when Trump came into
- 34:22office, they renamed it. It has now been
- 34:24renamed again after the
- 34:26superintelligence
- 34:28sort of mandate. It is now the Center
- 34:30for Advancing innovation and standards
- 34:33for super intelligence. Oh, boy. So,
- 34:36there's a an additional S in there as of
- 34:38a couple weeks ago.
- 34:39Um and this is the agency that is uh
- 34:44supposed to be the kind of brain trust
- 34:47of the US government when it comes to uh
- 34:49regulating and inspecting these frontier
- 34:52models. They have been hamstrung by the
- 34:56uh sort of lack of funding. They're part
- 34:58of the Commerce Department. Um and we
- 35:00just don't have as many people
- 35:03in government who understand the nooks
- 35:05and crannies of these AI models, who
- 35:08know how to run evaluations on them, who
- 35:10have the technical expertise that you
- 35:12need. For example, the UK has like a
- 35:14huge, well-funded AI security
- 35:18organization within the government. Um
- 35:20they have been doing a lot of these sort
- 35:22of investigations into these frontier AI
- 35:24incidents, and we just don't have the
- 35:26capacity at the federal level in the US
- 35:28to do that. So, I think we should like,
- 35:31you know, get give Casey a bunch of
- 35:32funding, help them hire people out of
- 35:34industry, maybe create like some new
- 35:36category of like special government
- 35:38employee because as it happens, a lot of
- 35:40the people who do have the technical
- 35:41chops to run these evaluations work at
- 35:44the AI companies and probably don't want
- 35:45to give up their stock options and
- 35:47everything else to go work for the
- 35:48government.
- 35:48>> Yeah, I uh cosign both of these. I think
- 35:51these are both really smart ideas and
- 35:53would help a lot, honestly. So, here's
- 35:55hoping that among the first subscribers
- 35:58to the Machine Gods YouTube channel will
- 35:59be every member of Congress.
- 36:02>> [laughter]
- 36:02>> And if you take oh, and if you take
- 36:04nothing else away from today's episode,
- 36:06listen to Kevin when he says, "Fund
- 36:08Casey."
- 36:13>> This message comes from Mercury, a lead
- 36:15sponsor of Machine Gods. Mercury is
- 36:17radically different banking designed to
- 36:18be fast, elegant, and work the way you
- 36:20[music] expect best-in-class software to
- 36:22work.
- 36:22>> Loved by more than 300,000 entrepreneurs
- 36:25across tech, e-commerce, agencies, and
- 36:27more. Mercury is banking designed for
- 36:30your high standards. Visit mercury.com
- 36:32to learn more and apply online in
- 36:33minutes. Mercury is a fintech company,
- 36:35not an FDIC insured bank. Banking
- 36:38services provided through Choice
- 36:39Financial Group and Column NA, members
- 36:41FDIC.
- 36:44Well, Kevin, I told you have an AI
- 36:45impostor that you're dealing with, but
- 36:47before we get to that, how was your book
- 36:49tour?
- 36:50>> It was good. It was good. So, I've been
- 36:52on the road for like 2 weeks.
- 36:55Uh I'll be back on the road next week.
- 36:58You know, the the book is doing well. Uh
- 37:00it made the list last week.
- 37:02>> And what I'm sorry, what list would that
- 37:04be?
- 37:05>> Uh the the uh list of books that you've
- 37:08read this year. It made that list.
- 37:09>> It did actually make that list.
- 37:10>> it also made the New York Times best
- 37:11seller list, which is very exciting.
- 37:12>> of your book.
- 37:13>> It's called the AGI Chronicles.
- 37:15>> it about?
- 37:15>> it's about uh teenage vampires.
- 37:18Uh no, it's a it's a it's a 10-year
- 37:20history of the race to create artificial
- 37:23general intelligence. Uh I talked to
- 37:25like more than 150 people at OpenAI,
- 37:27Anthropic, and Google DeepMind, and
- 37:30tried to like assemble some definitive
- 37:33set of facts about how we got here. It's
- 37:36very juicy. People can go read excerpts
- 37:38uh online,
- 37:40um or they can buy the book and uh
- 37:42listen to it or read it. Um and it was
- 37:45all going so well, except for one thing,
- 37:47which is that the day after the book
- 37:50came out earlier this month, I had uh
- 37:53this realization that I had a slop
- 37:56impostor. A slopelganger, if you will.
- 37:59>> That's what they're calling them now.
- 38:00>> Yes.
- 38:01>> Now, how did this come to your
- 38:02attention?
- 38:03>> So, I got a a note on social media from
- 38:06a reader in Canada, named Dwight Newman.
- 38:08Shout out to Dwight Newman. And he had
- 38:12uh just tried to sort of go and buy the
- 38:14book on Amazon Canada.
- 38:17>> Mhm.
- 38:18>> And when he did, when he searched the
- 38:20AGI Chronicles, he saw two listings. One
- 38:24for my book, which was selling for
- 38:26frankly the steep Canadian price of
- 38:28$45.16.
- 38:30>> Oh my.
- 38:30>> I don't know what the exchange rate is,
- 38:32but I assume that's a lot.
- 38:33>> The tariffs are out of control.
- 38:34>> [laughter]
- 38:35>> And then there were right below that,
- 38:37there was another book called the AGI
- 38:39Chronicles with a very similar sort of
- 38:42title and cover. And uh that was listed
- 38:47for $36.75.
- 38:49So about $10 cheaper.
- 38:51>> They're undercutting you on price.
- 38:53>> They're undercutting me on price. And so
- 38:55he said, "Hey, you might want to look at
- 38:57this. It looks like somebody is selling
- 38:59uh fake slop books of of yours on Amazon
- 39:04Canada." And I remembered that uh friend
- 39:08of the show and our friend Kashmir Hill
- 39:11at the New York Times, as well as Joanna
- 39:12Stern from New Things, had had this
- 39:16happen to them, where they had sort of
- 39:17books published either about them or
- 39:20sort of near replicas of a book they had
- 39:23just published. And that this is like a
- 39:26a bonafide trend.
- 39:27>> Yes. So as you know, this has become a
- 39:29trend. I believe that Joanna found that
- 39:31there were at least 10 different books
- 39:33free riding on her own great book, I Am
- 39:35Not A Robot. And this must just like
- 39:38really suck because it's hard to write a
- 39:40book, and you you actually have a book
- 39:43that people want to buy and read. And so
- 39:44that now they go and they search for it,
- 39:46and they see a book that looks almost
- 39:47exactly like yours, and it's 9 or 10
- 39:50dollars cheaper. So what How did you
- 39:52react?
- 39:53>> So I wrote an email to my publisher just
- 39:55saying like, "Hey, there's this impostor
- 39:57book. Like, could we get this taken
- 39:58down?" They said, "You know, we'll look
- 40:00into it. We'll we'll contact our you
- 40:02know, our people at Amazon and figure
- 40:03out what's going on." And then like
- 40:06after a little while of not hearing
- 40:07anything, I was like, "I'm just going to
- 40:09post about this." So I get this like
- 40:10kind of form note back from like an
- 40:13Amazon customer service person that's
- 40:15like, "Hey, if you like fill out this
- 40:16form, we'll look into this and get back
- 40:18to you."
- 40:19>> There's always a form.
- 40:20>> But in the meanwhile, I'm like, "Well,
- 40:21I'm going to investigate this. I'm a
- 40:23journalist.
- 40:24Uh I you know, I'm going to figure out
- 40:26who's behind this." So, I go on to the
- 40:29page for the other the fake AGI
- 40:32Chronicles.
- 40:33>> Uh-huh.
- 40:34>> I'm just enjoying watching you try to
- 40:36drink this tea over a microphone stand.
- 40:39>> I should do it under the stand? It
- 40:41[laughter] would be It would be crazily
- 40:42enough, it would be more awkward to do
- 40:44it under the stand. But I think it
- 40:46introduces a nice little element of
- 40:48danger.
- 40:48>> I think you should run like a very long
- 40:50straw
- 40:51>> [laughter]
- 40:51>> through your mug.
- 40:53>> up to your mouth.
- 40:56>> It's just an extender straw that just
- 40:58goes like 4 ft. Anyway, I No, continue.
- 41:01I was enjoying that.
- 41:02>> Yeah. So, anyways, sips [laughter] tea.
- 41:04You were saying, Kevin.
- 41:09>> Oh, so elegant.
- 41:11>> Thank you.
- 41:11>> Did Did you learn that at your British
- 41:13boarding school?
- 41:14>> yes.
- 41:14>> Um So, I I go on the the website for
- 41:18this impostor book and I see that the
- 41:21author is K. Rose.
- 41:24Uh now, that's one letter off of my
- 41:27name. I assume this is not the real name
- 41:31of the author of this impostor book.
- 41:34>> And also I that you assumed it was not
- 41:36Kevin Rose, the Silicon Valley venture
- 41:38capitalist for whom you are often
- 41:40confused and vice versa.
- 41:42>> true. This appears to have come from one
- 41:45of these sort of print-on-demand shops
- 41:47where you basically can just throw up a
- 41:49some text, call it a book, and then if
- 41:51someone orders it, you print it and send
- 41:53it to them.
- 41:53>> Yeah, it's just like a a commercial spam
- 41:55operation, basically. So, did did you
- 41:57get your hands on a copy of this book?
- 41:59>> Well, Casey, I never thought you'd ask
- 42:01because right here in the studio with us
- 42:03I have a copy of The AGI Chronicles
- 42:08Inside the Global Pursuit of Artificial
- 42:10Superintelligence, not the real
- 42:12subtitle, by K Rose.
- 42:14>> Also, I just artificial superintel like
- 42:16just combining the two [laughter] things
- 42:18we're now calling AI/SI into one.
- 42:21>> Yes, there are many problems with this
- 42:23book. Um
- 42:24it's a slim volume, unlike my own, which
- 42:26was like 450 pages. This one clocks in
- 42:29at
- 42:29>> Don't remind me.
- 42:30>> at a 211.
- 42:32And Casey, uh it's not good.
- 42:34>> No?
- 42:35>> No, it's not good. So
- 42:36>> It doesn't meet your high standard for a
- 42:38slop book [laughter] that is trying to
- 42:40steal sales from you?
- 42:41>> Like if you are trying to rip me off,
- 42:44I would like you to at least use a good
- 42:46AI model to do it.
- 42:47>> Kevin, give me a little flavor from this
- 42:50bogus book.
- 42:51>> The problem is that it's not like so bad
- 42:54it's funny, but there are just sentences
- 42:56where I'm like, if I ever write a
- 42:58sentence like this, I want you to like I
- 43:01want you to stop me. I want you to like
- 43:02put a permanent stop to my writing
- 43:04career.
- 43:04>> Physically?
- 43:05>> Physically.
- 43:05>> Okay.
- 43:06>> So, I'll just read from a section
- 43:08titled the insurance question.
- 43:11And keep in mind, this is going to be
- 43:12one sentence.
- 43:13>> Okay.
- 43:14>> A quieter but increasingly significant
- 43:16financial development during this period
- 43:18involved the emergence of a nascent but
- 43:19rapidly growing market for AI-specific
- 43:22liability insurance. As businesses
- 43:24deploying AI systems in consequential
- 43:26decisions, lending, hiring, medical
- 43:28diagnosis support, autonomous vehicle
- 43:29operation, sought financial protection
- 43:32against the prospect of a costly error
- 43:33or a successful lawsuit arising from an
- 43:35AI system's mistaken output. And as
- 43:37insurers, for their part, scrambled to
- 43:39develop the actuarial MODELS NECESSARY
- 43:41>> [laughter]
- 43:46>> UH YEAH, SO THAT'S I would say the
- 43:48caliber. It's like kind of it's giving
- 43:50like Gemini 1.5 level.
- 43:53Um not their finest work.
- 43:55>> It's bad and I want my money back.
- 43:56>> A friend of mine who actually bought
- 43:58this book by mistake uh did not know
- 44:01that it was an impostor book until
- 44:02several pages in when I think they
- 44:03started to see some of the signs of
- 44:05AI-generated writing.
- 44:07>> Uh-huh.
- 44:08>> But the weirdest thing about this Okay,
- 44:09so there are two weird things about
- 44:10this. One is they forgot to take out
- 44:13some of the markdown uh
- 44:15>> [laughter]
- 44:15>> language in the thing. So, you'll see
- 44:18here on page 25, it just says subhead.
- 44:22It says pound pound pound subhead what
- 44:25almost didn't happen.
- 44:26>> Mhm.
- 44:27>> What makes me think that they actually
- 44:28did wait until my book comes out and
- 44:30then take the ebook and like run it
- 44:33through some sort of
- 44:34>> Text extractor.
- 44:34>> summarizer thing is like everything is
- 44:37kind of in the same order, but they have
- 44:39stripped out all of the proper nouns.
- 44:41So, for some reason, whether it's like
- 44:44fear of lawsuits or because it makes it
- 44:46more defensible or something, they just
- 44:48they they don't call anything like by by
- 44:50its name. So, instead of saying
- 44:52Anthropic, they just say
- 44:54the new lab.
- 44:56>> [laughter]
- 44:56>> Now, Kevin, I I have to just say here,
- 44:59people are going to accuse you of being
- 45:00biased against this book.
- 45:03>> That's fair. I am biased against this
- 45:05book because it did actually cost me
- 45:07real sales. I then had a number of other
- 45:09readers write in and say like what the
- 45:11heck, I bought your book and it's like,
- 45:13you know, it's a it's a fake. So, yeah,
- 45:16I
- 45:16>> You're you're steamed.
- 45:17>> I'm steamed. I'm steamed. But it wasn't
- 45:19just It didn't stop there, Casey.
- 45:20>> Okay.
- 45:20>> I was not able to figure out the
- 45:22identity of K Rose, the mysterious
- 45:26pseudonym of the author of this slop
- 45:28book. Uh I did turn up a name for a an
- 45:33LLC that may have been affiliated with
- 45:35them called Panning LLC.
- 45:37>> Mhm.
- 45:37>> Um and if you are out there, Panning
- 45:40LLC, I will find you.
- 45:42>> Well, it it sounds like we're panning
- 45:43the book. So, just to bring this home,
- 45:45Kevin, it seems crazy to me that authors
- 45:47are having this experience so often. Is
- 45:50there any sort of policy that prevents
- 45:53people from just making their full-time
- 45:54job ripping off, you know, real authors'
- 45:57published work and then, you know,
- 45:58selling it selling cut-rate versions of
- 46:00it on Amazon?
- 46:01>> It's totally frustrating, totally
- 46:03enraging. Since I posted about this,
- 46:04I've had a lot of other authors write to
- 46:06me and say like this is absolutely
- 46:07infuriating. Like, how do we prevent
- 46:09this? And it seems like Amazon just does
- 46:12not care or does not know that this is
- 46:15going on on the scale it is because
- 46:18they're still not sort of doing anything
- 46:20to prevent the proliferation of any AI
- 46:22generated books. They do ask authors now
- 46:25who upload things to their platform to
- 46:27check a box if something was AI
- 46:30generated, but they don't like show that
- 46:32box checked to the customer on the other
- 46:34side. There's no indication when you're
- 46:36buying a book if something was AI
- 46:37generated or not.
- 46:38>> Also, obviously you could just lie.
- 46:39>> Right. There there's that, too. Well,
- 46:41Kevin, we we shouldn't be too hard on
- 46:43them because I am told that whereas
- 46:46their old policy was that you could
- 46:48publish up to 30 books a week on the
- 46:50platform, 10 ebooks, 10 paperbacks, 10
- 46:54hardcovers, they have now lowered it to
- 46:56two new titles per week. And so if you
- 46:59want want to run one of these scam
- 47:02operations, you're going to have to take
- 47:04the dramatic step of creating multiple
- 47:06Amazon accounts.
- 47:08>> [laughter]
- 47:08>> Yeah, it's totally crazy. Like they
- 47:10there are ways it would not be that hard
- 47:12for Amazon to take care of this if they
- 47:14decided to.
- 47:16So I have a proposed solution here,
- 47:18which is
- 47:18>> the solution? We're very solutions
- 47:20oriented on Machine Gods.
- 47:21>> If you want to upload a book to Amazon,
- 47:24you have to sort of submit
- 47:27some kind of documentary evidence of
- 47:29having written it. Either you're
- 47:30yourself reading it or you have to
- 47:32submit like a photo of your like messy
- 47:34desk while you were writing it or
- 47:35something.
- 47:36>> Like people do for like a Reddit ask me
- 47:37anything.
- 47:38>> Exactly. Hold up a sign that says, you
- 47:40know, I wrote this book. There are ways
- 47:42to verify is what I'm saying, and
- 47:43they're not doing any of them.
- 47:44>> I mean, to me it's like they should just
- 47:46get a list of books that are coming out
- 47:47from major publishers, and then they
- 47:49should essentially just like kind of put
- 47:50them on a watch list. So as if anybody
- 47:52uploads a book, you know, within the the
- 47:55like I don't know, the 6 months that has
- 47:57a cover that closely mirrors the actual
- 48:00cover and author name that closely
- 48:02mirrors the actual author name, it just
- 48:04gets blocked at the source.
- 48:05>> And I should say by the way, like I I've
- 48:07contacted Amazon. Uh I've asked them for
- 48:09comment. They have not gotten back to me
- 48:11yet. I I still like I think this is
- 48:13within their power to fix.
- 48:14>> Yeah.
- 48:14>> Because I know that they fix it for
- 48:16other categories, right? Like if you
- 48:18upload uh an iPhone listing and it's not
- 48:21the actual iPhone, like if you're just
- 48:24selling some kind of cheap look-alike,
- 48:26they will take that down immediately.
- 48:28And so they are they do tend to kind of
- 48:32take action against counterfeits and
- 48:34fakes in other categories. It's just
- 48:36that books are this category that they
- 48:38seemingly uh can't or won't police in
- 48:41the same way. So like, look, on one
- 48:43level, I'm fine. Like
- 48:45>> Are you?
- 48:46>> I'm fine. I'm fine. Um the listeners who
- 48:49bought the fake books, uh my
- 48:51understanding is that at least some of
- 48:53them have gotten refunds and didn't have
- 48:55to like actually do anything to get the
- 48:57refund. So it does seem like they have
- 48:59sort of solved these particular cases of
- 49:02people getting essentially scammed by
- 49:04these slop publishers. But I think this
- 49:06larger question of like what happens to
- 49:08a a bookstore where anyone can upload
- 49:10anything in the age of AI, I I have to
- 49:13assume that, you know, some huge
- 49:14percentage of the new books being
- 49:16uploaded to Amazon are purely AI and
- 49:18some of them might be original stories
- 49:21told by AI and some of them might be
- 49:23rip-offs of human-written books. But
- 49:25like either way, it's not great for what
- 49:26it means for the future of reading on
- 49:29Amazon.
- 49:29>> Yeah. Well, look, when it comes to the
- 49:31AGI Chronicles, your book, Kevin, I say
- 49:33accept no substitutes. Get the genuine
- 49:36article or you may have to read some
- 49:38very bad prose and see markdown
- 49:41characters. Who wants to do that?
- 49:43>> Who wants to do that?
- 49:44>> Well, good luck, my friend.
- 49:46Slopelganger, I'm coming for you.
- 49:52>> This message comes from Doppel, a lead
- 49:54sponsor of Machine Gods. Social
- 49:56engineering attacks look trustworthy. A
- 49:58routine request, an internal email, a
- 50:00familiar face on a call. But Doppel sees
- 50:03through the disguise. The agentic
- 50:04platform detects and disrupts attacks,
- 50:07trains employees to recognize deep fakes
- 50:09and deceptions, and investigates every
- 50:11fish to take down the campaign behind
- 50:13it. Doppel, dedicated to out pacing
- 50:15what's next in social engineering. Learn
- 50:17more at doppel.com. d o p p e l dot com.
- 50:23Oh, I have to tell you this.
- 50:25In my neighborhood,
- 50:26>> Mhm.
- 50:27>> there is a man, I assume it's a man.
- 50:29>> Mhm.
- 50:29>> I'm going to say 90 plus percent chance
- 50:31it's a man.
- 50:31>> Okay.
- 50:32>> Who has made a Halloween decoration
- 50:35using AI.
- 50:36>> Okay.
- 50:36>> So this is a skeleton in his yard, like
- 50:39one of those Home Depot skeletons, but
- 50:41you can talk to it.
- 50:43So there's a sign out front that
- 50:45explains,
- 50:47uh, you know, "Tell me about your
- 50:48costume. Tell me what your favorite kind
- 50:50of candy is.
- 50:51>> Mhm.
- 50:51>> Tell me a spooky story." And it'll kind
- 50:53of react to the person in front of it.
- 50:55And I have never been more full of dad
- 50:58jealousy in my life.
- 50:59>> But what if what about the case where a
- 51:01child like talks to the skeleton too
- 51:02long and gets like chat GPT psychosis?
- 51:05[laughter]
- 51:07>> That's the real trick in trick or treat.
- 51:09>> Exactly. You got tricked, and now you
- 51:11have to go to the hospital.
- 51:13>> [laughter]
- 51:14>> Now,
- 51:15who made this show?
- 51:16>> Machine Gods is made in partnership with
- 51:18NPR, with generous support from the
- 51:20Tarbell Center for AI journalism, the
- 51:22William and Flora Hewlett Foundation,
- 51:24and Emerson Collective. This episode was
- 51:26produced by Sasha Aschile and Jacob
- 51:28Bloomberg.
- 51:29Our senior producer is Rachel Cone. Our
- 51:31executive producer is Danush Parvaneh.
- 51:33Original music by Armen Bazarian,
- 51:35branding and visual design by Alex
- 51:37Castro, production design by Sky Pray,
- 51:40special thanks to Oren Rosenbaum, Erica
- 51:42Berry, and Nadine Zailstra.
- 51:44>> Hey, before we go, every week we're
- 51:45going to answer your questions about AI
- 51:48and technology. So, please send us
- 51:50questions, voice memos, short videos to
- 51:53[email protected]
- 51:55or leave a comment wherever you're
- 51:57getting the podcast.
- 51:58>> And for the love of the gods, please
- 52:00don't forget to like and subscribe to
- 52:01[music] the show. Until next time, stay
- 52:03blessed.
- 52:08>> Is this a fake bird?
- 52:10Is that a fake bird?
- 52:12>> [laughter]
- 52:14>> Speaking of Kelly Clarkson.
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