BUY These 5 BROKEN Stocks (including Nvidia)? — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:00So, there are some massive names that
2. 0:02you guys have been asking me about that
3. 0:03have just cratered down in stock price
4. 0:05in a very short period of time. And you
5. 0:08guys want to know, are these stocks a
6. 0:10massive opportunity or are they not an
7. 0:13opportunity at all and there is big
8. 0:14trouble? And guess what guys, that
9. 0:16includes Nvidia as well with Jensen
10. 0:18leaving just this morning. So, we have
11. 0:21to talk about that stock too. And
12. 0:22actually, it is at a 52- week low. So,
13. 0:25definitely one we can discuss. So, let's
14. 0:27get into all this today, right after you
15. 0:30like the video. If you like getting the
16. 0:31truth, out the hype, that's exactly what
17. 0:32you're going to get today, guys. That's
18. 0:33exactly what this channel is all about.
19. 0:35Hey, I got to get you guys the truth on
20. 0:37this sort of stuff from a long-term
21. 0:38investor. And I'm also been trying my
22. 0:41best to give you guys some education
23. 0:42from a guy with almost 30 years
24. 0:44experience in the markets, okay? When I
25. 0:47make pure education videos, they they
26. 0:48honestly they go nowhere. I'm sorry. Uh,
27. 0:50nobody likes to click on them. So, I'm
28. 0:51trying to sprinkle them in here and
29. 0:53there, a lot of different educational
30. 0:54tips and everything. So, kind of bear
31. 0:55with me as I know it's a little bit
32. 0:57hunky junky or it's kind like, hey, I
33. 0:58just want the list. Okay, I got it. But
34. 1:00I do have other folks that also want to
35. 1:02learn something as well in addition to
36. 1:04the list because it's vital you
37. 1:06understand this next point as an
38. 1:08investor in regards to buying a stock
39. 1:10from one of these lists. 52- week low
40. 1:12list, um, top beaten down stocks,
41. 1:15doesn't matter. Any other list you can
42. 1:16think of, you have to understand this,
43. 1:18okay? Uh, I don't care about 52- week
44. 1:21lows, just like I don't care about 52-
45. 1:24week highs. Okay, here's the reason why.
46. 1:27I can get a list like this, 52- week low
47. 1:28stocks, uh, you know, 10 stocks on a big
48. 1:30discount, you know, best five AI stocks
49. 1:32on a discount, doesn't matter. Okay,
50. 1:34because here's the bottom line. A stock
51. 1:36can still be significantly overvalued
52. 1:39even at a 52- week low. And vice versa,
53. 1:42it can still actually be undervalued at
54. 1:44a 52- week high. So, it doesn't tell me
55. 1:46if there's opportunity or not or
56. 1:48anything else. Doesn't tell me that. All
57. 1:50it does is simply it simply gives me a
58. 1:52list of stocks to start to look at.
59. 1:55That's it. It means nothing beyond that.
60. 1:58I bought stocks at 52- week highs
61. 2:00because of valuation. And vice versa, I
62. 2:03have avoided stocks at 52-E lows because
63. 2:05they were still significantly
64. 2:07overvalued. So, it can be a place to
65. 2:10start, but it has no bearing on if it's
66. 2:12a great deal or not as an investor. So,
67. 2:15keep that in mind anytime you're looking
68. 2:17at any list. Valuation is where it
69. 2:19starts and ends. The the list itself is
70. 2:21completely irrelevant. All I can do is
71. 2:22just give you a set of stocks to then
72. 2:24start doing some due diligence on. Okay,
73. 2:26so let's start with the first stock and
74. 2:28that one is Chipotle. And I know we
75. 2:30talked about this one before. Um, they
76. 2:32got business problems. Again, they were
77. 2:34part of the whole we're just going to
78. 2:36run earnings up. we're just going to
79. 2:37raise prices to unsustainable levels.
80. 2:39And in the meantime, you got to get
81. 2:40higher and higher and higher um profits.
82. 2:43And of course, they were part of those
83. 2:44companies that were openly telling you,
84. 2:45hey, yeah, we're kind of screwing over
85. 2:46our consumer a little bit, but we have
86. 2:48unlimited demand, so we're going to
87. 2:49continue to do it. And of course, that
88. 2:51means as you reach for more and more
89. 2:53profits means you start lowering quality
90. 2:56and things of that nature. Now, um you
91. 2:58know, I used to be a big eater of
92. 2:59Chipotle. I don't anymore. It just I
93. 3:01found other alternatives because as the
94. 3:02quality went down, wasn't worth the
95. 3:04price, especially as competitors cropped
96. 3:06up, I decided to go with them for now at
97. 3:08least, their ingredients are higher
98. 3:10quality. And how does Chipotle turn this
99. 3:12business around? I'm not sure. More
100. 3:13importantly, with food inflation and a
101. 3:15lot of other things like that happening
102. 3:16right now. Um, that makes this problem
103. 3:19infinitely harder. So, for me, it's one
104. 3:20I don't really have any interest in just
105. 3:22due to all those different factors in
106. 3:24regards to that. It's going to take a
107. 3:25while to get this ship turned around.
108. 3:26Now that my feeling on that stock is
109. 3:28completely different than number two and
110. 3:30that stock is Uber and with Uber I I
111. 3:33think I think people have it wrong. I
112. 3:34just do to think that they're just going
113. 3:36to sit by and do nothing as you know
114. 3:38robo taxi with Tesla and obviously you
115. 3:41know Amazon in the space obviously um
116. 3:44you know Google being in that space as
117. 3:45well they're just going to sit back and
118. 3:46do nothing and more importantly those
119. 3:48companies and their race to get
120. 3:50approvals to get u in some of the
121. 3:52hightra areas and a lot of those cities
122. 3:54where Uber has already fought the battle
123. 3:56and won heck of a lot easier to simply
124. 3:58partner with Uber than it is and
125. 3:59especially if you want to get ahead of
126. 4:01your competition right you're going to
127. 4:02cut a maybe not so sweet deal with Uber
128. 4:04in the short term in order to get ahead
129. 4:06of your competition over the long run
130. 4:08there. And that puts Uber in a prime
131. 4:10position and I don't believe this
132. 4:11management team is just going to sit
133. 4:12back and just say, "Well, we'll just
134. 4:13wait and see what happens with
135. 4:14Autonomous. We're going to continue
136. 4:15right on as is." Don't think that's the
137. 4:17case at all. So, I do believe um that
138. 4:20narrative is way overblown. Um Uber's
139. 4:22numbers are not terrible or anything
140. 4:24else that nature. I do believe Uber is
141. 4:25going to be around in the next 10 years.
142. 4:26Sorry, I know Tesla bull fans like to
143. 4:28say, "Oh, Tesla's going to kill that.
144. 4:29It's supposed to have killed like 25
145. 4:31industries by now." Hadn't killed any so
146. 4:33far. My guess is Uber is going to be
147. 4:34just fine over the long run there. But
148. 4:36do you trust management's vision for
149. 4:38that future and to execute on those?
150. 4:40That's really what you're looking at
151. 4:41there. Now, moving on to stock number
152. 4:43three, and it's one that uh creates a
153. 4:45lot of churn there in the comments.
154. 4:46Can't wait to read them. And that stock
155. 4:48would be NEO. And this is one I I don't
156. 4:51know. I don't know what to tell you
157. 4:52guys. At some point in time, NEO was
158. 4:54moving in the right direction. And then
159. 4:56they got sidetracked with NEO houses
160. 4:59and, you know, spend and everything else
161. 5:00of that nature. And I warned about how
162. 5:02when you promise you're going to make
163. 5:04profitability the focus and then you
164. 5:07move away from that. That is a problem
165. 5:09for large investors. A massive problem.
166. 5:11And it creates distrust. That's one of
167. 5:13the reasons why I was out on it was
168. 5:15because of that. You kept telling me
169. 5:16earnings call after earnings call. Yeah.
170. 5:18Yeah. Yeah. We know we didn't do it this
171. 5:19quarter, but next quarter it's going to
172. 5:20be better. And by the end of the year,
173. 5:22you'll see the path to profitability.
174. 5:24And it just hasn't held true. And even
175. 5:25whenever they hit profitability this
176. 5:27past uh I think it was quarter or two
177. 5:28ago, it was the same exact narrative. I
178. 5:31was getting all kinds of comment in my
179. 5:32group here on YouTube. Oh look, they're
180. 5:33profitable now. Now are you going to
181. 5:34jump back in? I'm like, no, they got to
182. 5:35prove it. Like I don't trust them. Uh
183. 5:37well, they said they're going to be I
184. 5:39don't care what they said. They've
185. 5:39broken their word like 12 times. Like it
186. 5:42doesn't matter at that stage. And sure
187. 5:43enough, what happened the very next
188. 5:44earnings call? They didn't do what they
189. 5:47said they were going to do. Right back
190. 5:48to the same stuff again. And of course,
191. 5:50that's the reason why you're seeing it
192. 5:51just make 52- week low after 52- week
193. 5:53low after 52- week low. Again, I think
194. 5:56the product is great. I I love the
195. 5:58market they're in right there in regards
196. 5:59to China pushing everybody to EVs by
197. 6:002030. Every single metric lines up for
198. 6:03them as a business, but as a company, in
199. 6:07regards to how they're executing on that
200. 6:08bottom line, they're mismanaging that
201. 6:10company in regards to giving investors
202. 6:12what they want for it being a viable
203. 6:14investment for me as an investor. or so
204. 6:16at that stage. Yeah, it's one I have no
205. 6:17interest in until they put together
206. 6:18multiple quarters of not only being
207. 6:20profitable, but showing that that
208. 6:22profitability is increasing and the
209. 6:24nonsense that they pull is behind them.
210. 6:26But as of right now, there is no
211. 6:27indication of that whatsoever. So, I'm
212. 6:29definitely out on Neoto. But number four
213. 6:32is one that I've uh gotten a few
214. 6:33questions about. It's not nearly as
215. 6:34popular as I thought it would be, but
216. 6:36that would be Dutch Bros. And the
217. 6:38numbers for this company are all moving
218. 6:39in the right direction. Everything is
219. 6:41improving. Revenue increasing. um EPS
220. 6:43increasing obviously same store growth
221. 6:45uh is driving a lot of that growth as
222. 6:48well but that's part of being a newer
223. 6:49company right I mean how many years does
224. 6:50Starbucks have uh a lot of the growth
225. 6:52was contributed to all the stores that
226. 6:53were popping up everywhere you know now
227. 6:55that now you can't walk five steps it
228. 6:56seems while hitting a Starbucks but
229. 6:58nonetheless that's okay that's part of
230. 7:00their growth thinguation is really the
231. 7:03only concern with the stock right now
232. 7:04even at these 52- week lows it's trading
233. 7:06in the mid30s right now and that's just
234. 7:09too high of a multiple for a coffee
235. 7:11company in the end, right? Which, of
236. 7:13course, we all know whenever a recession
237. 7:15hits or something else of that nature,
238. 7:16people are going to cut back on those
239. 7:18smaller daily luxuries. Uh maybe they
240. 7:20take a few more coffees at home. Maybe
241. 7:21they take a few more um you know, in the
242. 7:24office instead of you know, paying the
243. 7:25premium. I understand it's not quite the
244. 7:26premium Starbucks. Understand that
245. 7:27completely. But still, it's one of those
246. 7:29things to where I'm paying a high
247. 7:31multiple right now when I don't have a
248. 7:33clear runway moving forward in regards
249. 7:34to that. So, that one may have a little
250. 7:36bit more room to fall. Again, it's not a
251. 7:37bad business at all. All the numbers
252. 7:39look great. I don't see any, you know,
253. 7:41really red flag concerns outside of it
254. 7:43being mildly overvalued. Especially
255. 7:44whenever you look at the valuation of
256. 7:46some of the AI players and some of the
257. 7:48big tech players that are putting up
258. 7:49ridiculous numbers and are going to put
259. 7:51up ridiculous numbers into the future
260. 7:53there. That that's definitely for me
261. 7:55personally where my money's going
262. 7:56instead. But let's move on to number
263. 7:59five and where all the controversy lies
264. 8:01and that is Nvidia. And as you guys saw
265. 8:05um earlier this morning, obviously
266. 8:06Jensen stepping down as CEO of um Nvidia
267. 8:11there. Uh we actually went live this
268. 8:12morning there in my group. It's one of
269. 8:13the benefits. Just pin comment down
270. 8:15there. Um when major news happens, not
271. 8:17only did I make videos about it, not
272. 8:19only did our coaches discuss it with our
273. 8:20investors as well, I also just went live
274. 8:23this morning after the news broke and
275. 8:24just simply answered questions uh you
276. 8:26know for more than an hour from group
277. 8:27members. Just it's one of the benefits
278. 8:29there of it. and Nvidia in regards to a
279. 8:32company. Uh this would be expected,
280. 8:34right? Uh the whole spy thing, uh that's
281. 8:37a separate little category there. But
282. 8:38having a side girlfriend doesn't really
283. 8:40uh cause you to have to step away.
284. 8:42However, whenever, you know, things are
285. 8:44happening with employees, that's a
286. 8:46different story altogether. It gets in a
287. 8:47bunch of legal stuff and things of that
288. 8:48nature. We don't have time to run down
289. 8:49any of those rabbit holes here in
290. 8:51regards to Nvidia. So for me, um there's
291. 8:53a lot of nuance to this and and again I
292. 8:56don't have an hour to sit here and go
293. 8:57through everything with you guys, but
294. 8:59the bottom line is I think for obviously
295. 9:00the next year or two just based upon the
296. 9:03fact that they are sold out for the next
297. 9:04year or two tells me fundamentals are
298. 9:07going to be strong. Um where it heads
299. 9:10long term because you guys know I'm a
300. 9:11long-term buy and hold investor. That to
301. 9:13me is where the question mark is. and
302. 9:15does this company have the executives to
303. 9:17step in place or can an executive step
304. 9:19in and continue to execute on, you know,
305. 9:22what they have there as an investor?
306. 9:23That to me is what you're looking at,
307. 9:24not what the fundamentals are today,
308. 9:26next quarter, even next year. What are
309. 9:28those fundamentals going to be three
310. 9:30years from now, five years from now?
311. 9:31That to me is what you have to consider
312. 9:32as an investment. Of course, where Wall
313. 9:33Street's going to go in the meantime, we
314. 9:35talked about it uh when I talked about
315. 9:36Nvidia earlier in the week. $100
316. 9:38wouldn't surprise me, and it being back
317. 9:40to all-time high six months later would
318. 9:41not surprise me either. Sorry, it's Wall
319. 9:43Street. I know everybody wants me to
320. 9:44choose a side or tell me what you feel
321. 9:46is going to happen. That's useless. That
322. 9:48that's pure guessing. Um, anybody thinks
323. 9:49they know where that's going that we'd
324. 9:50have trillionaire investors. We don't. I
325. 9:52have no clue. Obviously, there's a big
326. 9:54discussion around valuation. How do you
327. 9:55reset the valuation whenever you have a
328. 9:57founder leave? A lot of those other
329. 9:58things of that nature are just they're
330. 10:00complicated topics. They take a lot of
331. 10:01time to get into. And that's part of
332. 10:03understanding valuation on a high level
333. 10:05and part of obviously what we teach in
334. 10:06our group as well. Uh, we had a long
335. 10:08discussion about it today in regards to
336. 10:10that. But where you place that valuation
337. 10:12and not just now, but obviously with
338. 10:14Jensen being gone, what multiple are you
339. 10:16going to assign to it? That's another
340. 10:17key right there I need you guys to focus
341. 10:18on and then make your assumptions there
342. 10:20based upon the numbers, based upon the
343. 10:22data, not based upon social media
344. 10:24narratives or any other nonsense like
345. 10:26that. You got to get down in those
346. 10:27numbers. And if you want to learn
347. 10:28exactly how to do that for myself, yep,
348. 10:30check out the pin comment down there.
349. 10:31And I may have left something special
350. 10:32for those of you guys that stuck around
351. 10:33on the video this long where you get a
352. 10:36significant discount there on the group
353. 10:37where you can dive into it and figure
354. 10:39out, hey, how the heck do I figure out
355. 10:40what Nvidia should be valued at? How do
356. 10:42I figure out how to integrate that into
357. 10:44my plan? What is my plan? What are my
358. 10:46goals? You know, you get that through
359. 10:47free courses, free coaching, uh
360. 10:48obviously live streams like we did
361. 10:50today, live Q&A we do at least weekly.
362. 10:52Obviously, you can just DM me or post it
363. 10:54right there in a group. We'll answer
364. 10:55your questions almost immediately
365. 10:56because we have the best six, seven,
366. 10:58eight figure Discord out there. those
367. 11:00type members in there helping you. We
368. 11:01have super investors. Get your free
369. 11:03physical AI tool. I give you the max
370. 11:04tier membership for free. They're
371. 11:06they're top tier. You get it completely
372. 11:08for free. Check out the pin comment. See
373. 11:09if a membership is right for you. And
374. 11:11click this video here if you want to see
375. 11:12exactly what I'm buying in this market.
376. 11:13And click here to see my exact plan for
377. 11:15this market. So, thanks for watching and
378. 11:17we'll see you in the next one.