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Bonds | Pricing a Bond | At Par / Premium / Discount — Transcript

by Joefessor · 2,150 words · 357 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00hello there in this video we are going
  2. 0:02to discuss the basics of bonds
  3. 0:05we're going to start with understanding
  4. 0:07some of the basic terminology behind
  5. 0:09bonds
  6. 0:10and we're going to learn the differences
  7. 0:12between bonds and stocks or shares and
  8. 0:16later we look at how to price a bond
  9. 0:19and also understand what yield to
  10. 0:21maturity is in detail so that we can
  11. 0:23clearly understand what it means
  12. 0:26when they say that a bond trades at
  13. 0:28power or at premium or at discount okay
  14. 0:31so to begin with bonds are instruments
  15. 0:34of fixed income okay
  16. 0:36a bond can be issued by a company or the
  17. 0:39government or different sections of the
  18. 0:41government such as municipalities for
  19. 0:42example
  20. 0:43okay the structure of a bond is very
  21. 0:46similar to that of a loan
  22. 0:48so instead of borrowing money from the
  23. 0:49bank if a firm needs a huge amount of
  24. 0:52money
  25. 0:53they could ideally issue bonds to
  26. 0:55potential investors okay who who pay the
  27. 0:59price of the bond to buy today
  28. 1:01and in return they collect these
  29. 1:03interest payments in the which in the
  30. 1:05case of bonds are known as coupon
  31. 1:07payments
  32. 1:08and they keep collecting these coupon
  33. 1:10payments until the bond matures after a
  34. 1:12certain period of time let's say five
  35. 1:14years or ten years right okay
  36. 1:17so what's the difference between a bond
  37. 1:19issued by a firm or stock or shares
  38. 1:22issued by a firm okay a bond
  39. 1:25offers periodic coupon payments okay
  40. 1:27this is fixed it doesn't change okay if
  41. 1:29the bond says okay
  42. 1:31the firm can offer 10 every year that's
  43. 1:34fixed okay if you're invest if
  44. 1:37if you invest in this particular bond
  45. 1:39you get a return of 10 every year okay
  46. 1:43but on the other hand if you invest in
  47. 1:45stock or shares you don't expect
  48. 1:47periodic payments as in the case of
  49. 1:49bonds okay
  50. 1:51if you invest in shares or stock you
  51. 1:53could potentially get dividend payments
  52. 1:56which can be regular or irregular
  53. 1:58nothing is guaranteed or you could also
  54. 2:00make money if the stock appreciates in
  55. 2:02value and you could sell them but in
  56. 2:04this case of bonds they are an
  57. 2:06instrument of fixed income
  58. 2:08these coupon payments are regular but
  59. 2:10again they are not guaranteed right
  60. 2:13let's say this bond is issued by a
  61. 2:15corporation which is presumed to have
  62. 2:17high risk
  63. 2:18if at some point in time if this company
  64. 2:21goes bankrupt then the chances of you
  65. 2:23recovering the remaining coupon payments
  66. 2:25or the face value can drastically go
  67. 2:28down okay
  68. 2:30so let's start with looking at some of
  69. 2:31the terminology behind pawns okay
  70. 2:35face value or par value okay so each
  71. 2:38bond has a face value or power value
  72. 2:40which is the amount you receive
  73. 2:42when the bond matures
  74. 2:44okay this is usually a rounded value
  75. 2:46like a hundred dollars or a thousand
  76. 2:48dollars okay so if the bond is let's say
  77. 2:51for five years at the end of five years
  78. 2:53if you are a bond holder you receive
  79. 2:55this amount it can be that hundred
  80. 2:57dollars or a thousand dollars
  81. 2:59maturity date
  82. 3:01is the date at which the bond matures
  83. 3:03like i said if the bond is issued for
  84. 3:05let's say five years or ten years the
  85. 3:07maturity date would be five years from
  86. 3:09now or ten years from now
  87. 3:12coupon rate
  88. 3:14like we discussed earlier is the
  89. 3:15interest rate right so if you borrow
  90. 3:18if you buy a bond today you are entitled
  91. 3:21to a coupon payment
  92. 3:23if it's an annual bond you get it every
  93. 3:25year or if it's a semi-annual bond which
  94. 3:27is usually the case you get a coupon
  95. 3:29payment every six months okay remember
  96. 3:32this is very similar to the interest
  97. 3:34payment being made on the loan okay
  98. 3:37into maturity
  99. 3:39as the term itself implies it's the
  100. 3:41yield you make until the bond matures
  101. 3:45okay
  102. 3:46it's the return it's the expected return
  103. 3:49if you hold the bond until maturity we
  104. 3:52will see how this is different from the
  105. 3:53coupon rate later when we look at
  106. 3:55examples of how to price a bond okay
  107. 3:59when bonds are issued they are typically
  108. 4:01issued at par
  109. 4:02what i mean by at par is that if the
  110. 4:05face value of a bond is a hundred
  111. 4:06dollars
  112. 4:08the issue price is also a hundred
  113. 4:10dollars
  114. 4:11okay but bonds because they are traded
  115. 4:14in the market their price can fluctuate
  116. 4:16for a variety of reasons
  117. 4:18and if the price exceeds the face value
  118. 4:21or if the price is higher than the face
  119. 4:23value
  120. 4:24then the bond is said to be trading at
  121. 4:25premium
  122. 4:27or if the price is less than that of the
  123. 4:28face value let's say ninety dollars for
  124. 4:31a bond with the face value of a hundred
  125. 4:32dollars then the bond is said to be
  126. 4:35trading at discount okay we'll look at
  127. 4:37those in detail
  128. 4:39when we calculate how to price a bond
  129. 4:42okay we're going to start with a very
  130. 4:44simple example here
  131. 4:45with an example of a zero coupon bond
  132. 4:48okay what do i mean by zero coupon bond
  133. 4:51is a bond which does not pay coupons
  134. 4:54okay or the coupons are zero
  135. 4:57okay so what you get when the bond
  136. 4:59matures is the face value and you do not
  137. 5:02get any coupon payments in between so
  138. 5:05let's assume an example where the face
  139. 5:07value of a zero coupon bond is a hundred
  140. 5:09dollars
  141. 5:10okay
  142. 5:12and the yield to maturity is five
  143. 5:14percent okay so that's the expected
  144. 5:16return of the bond if you hold it to
  145. 5:19maturity okay
  146. 5:21the maturity so the date of maturity for
  147. 5:24the particular bond is six years from
  148. 5:26the issue date okay the price of this
  149. 5:29bond can be calculated using the present
  150. 5:32value function pv
  151. 5:34the rate is the rate of return which is
  152. 5:36five percent the number of periods is
  153. 5:39six years
  154. 5:41there are no
  155. 5:42regular payments so pmt is going to be
  156. 5:45zero
  157. 5:46every the future value is hundred which
  158. 5:48is the amount you receive at the end of
  159. 5:50six years okay
  160. 5:53i've made another video where i
  161. 5:54discussed these finance functions pv fv
  162. 5:58rate number of periods and so on in a
  163. 6:01separate video i'll link that below in
  164. 6:02the
  165. 6:03description so you can check that out if
  166. 6:05you are interested
  167. 6:06okay
  168. 6:08so the price of this bond is
  169. 6:09approximately 74
  170. 6:11okay
  171. 6:12next we are going to look at a bond with
  172. 6:14coupon payments okay we're going to
  173. 6:16continue
  174. 6:18with a similar example but in this case
  175. 6:21a bond has coupon payments
  176. 6:23okay
  177. 6:24let's assume that the bond has a face
  178. 6:26value of a hundred dollars again okay
  179. 6:29the yield to maturity is 10
  180. 6:31and the coupon payment is again
  181. 6:3310
  182. 6:34or 10 every year
  183. 6:36the maturity date is six years from now
  184. 6:39okay
  185. 6:40how do you calculate the price of this
  186. 6:42bond we use the pv function again
  187. 6:44okay so the rate
  188. 6:48is 10
  189. 6:50and the number of periods is six years
  190. 6:53now we have an annual payment of ten
  191. 6:55dollars every year
  192. 6:58which is the payment and then the future
  193. 7:00value is the face value which we get at
  194. 7:03the end of
  195. 7:04the six years okay
  196. 7:06in this case the price of the bond is
  197. 7:08exactly the same as the face value of
  198. 7:10the point
  199. 7:11this is because the yield to maturity is
  200. 7:13exactly the same as the coupon rate okay
  201. 7:16we would later look at examples to see
  202. 7:19how this changes when the intermaturity
  203. 7:21changes
  204. 7:22okay
  205. 7:23as we discussed earlier bonds provide
  206. 7:26a fixed income right so ten dollars
  207. 7:29every year is being fixed
  208. 7:31for a period of six years okay
  209. 7:34but in the market interest rates can
  210. 7:36fluctuate up or down and because of
  211. 7:39these fluctuations the effective yield
  212. 7:41you get from this particular bond can
  213. 7:44change over time
  214. 7:46now let's expand this example a little
  215. 7:48bit okay let's keep the same numbers
  216. 7:50let's assume this is a bond issued by a
  217. 7:52company called firm x okay
  218. 7:55now firm x
  219. 7:56issues a bond at par at a hundred
  220. 7:59dollars okay offering a coupon payment
  221. 8:02of ten dollars every year
  222. 8:04and the bond matures in six years
  223. 8:06okay
  224. 8:07now let's assume that two years have
  225. 8:09passed by
  226. 8:11since the issue of this bond okay so
  227. 8:13let's we're at this time point in time
  228. 8:16okay so the time left to maturity for
  229. 8:18this bond is now
  230. 8:21only four years okay i'm going to remove
  231. 8:23that first
  232. 8:24so we just have four more years to
  233. 8:26maturity
  234. 8:28in these two years let's assume that the
  235. 8:30interest rate in the market has gone up
  236. 8:32okay what do i mean by that
  237. 8:35if there are other firms in the market
  238. 8:37which are similar to firmax in in terms
  239. 8:40of their risk profile
  240. 8:42these firms
  241. 8:43offer a higher return on their bonds
  242. 8:46okay
  243. 8:47so now the bond offered by firm x
  244. 8:50is no longer attractive if it trades at
  245. 8:53a hundred dollars okay remember we
  246. 8:55mentioned that bonds can trade every day
  247. 8:57in the market
  248. 8:59and somebody who's looking to buy a bond
  249. 9:01with a similar risk profile would now
  250. 9:03prefer
  251. 9:05to invest in these other bonds let's say
  252. 9:07which offer a return of 12
  253. 9:10but firm x only offers a return of 10
  254. 9:12percent and hence it's not attractive
  255. 9:15anymore okay so what happens now is that
  256. 9:18firm x which has a similar risk profile
  257. 9:22should also offer a similar return as
  258. 9:25compared to these other firms
  259. 9:27so if the yield offered by the other
  260. 9:28bonds are 12
  261. 9:30then firm x also offers a yield of
  262. 9:3412
  263. 9:36how does this happen
  264. 9:37it happens in the market through a price
  265. 9:40adjustment okay
  266. 9:41the bond from firm x no longer trades at
  267. 9:44hundred dollars
  268. 9:45it trades at new price which can be
  269. 9:47calculated again using the same pv
  270. 9:50function
  271. 9:51the rate now is 12 instead of 10
  272. 9:55the number of periods we only have four
  273. 9:57more years to go
  274. 9:58the payment stays the same the bond
  275. 10:01still keeps offering the 10 coupon
  276. 10:03payment
  277. 10:04and the face value of a hundred dollars
  278. 10:08now we can see that the bond trades at
  279. 10:11approximately ninety four dollars
  280. 10:14okay why did the price go down
  281. 10:17so that an investor who still keeps
  282. 10:19getting the ten dollar coupon payments
  283. 10:21and the hundred dollar face value at the
  284. 10:23end of the sixth year okay would
  285. 10:25effectively
  286. 10:26get a return of 12
  287. 10:29if you look at the table here on the
  288. 10:31right this example corresponds to the
  289. 10:33last one here
  290. 10:34where the coupon rate is less than the
  291. 10:36yield to maturity so in this case 10
  292. 10:38percent was less than the 12 which is
  293. 10:40the effective return
  294. 10:42so the price adjusted itself downward as
  295. 10:45compared to the face value okay in this
  296. 10:48case the bond is said to be
  297. 10:50trading at a discount
  298. 10:52what happens if the interest rate in the
  299. 10:54market
  300. 10:55goes down okay effectively
  301. 10:58let's say
  302. 10:59the other
  303. 11:00the other bonds which are similar to
  304. 11:02firm x offer a return of
  305. 11:05eight percent
  306. 11:06instead of twelve percent okay
  307. 11:08now our bond from firm x becomes much
  308. 11:12more attractive
  309. 11:13why
  310. 11:14because offering a 10 coupon rate at a
  311. 11:17price of 100
  312. 11:19gives an effective return of 10 percent
  313. 11:21and that's very attractive so now the
  314. 11:23demand for the bond from firm x
  315. 11:26increases and this results in an upward
  316. 11:29adjustment of the price okay
  317. 11:32as you can see now the price is around
  318. 11:35107
  319. 11:37this upward adjustment in the price
  320. 11:39happened because the bond from firm x
  321. 11:42was still offering a coupon of 10
  322. 11:44percent which has been fixed
  323. 11:46but the effective return in the market
  324. 11:48is only to eight percent okay so firm x
  325. 11:52ends up offering a return which is
  326. 11:53similar to this other firms with the
  327. 11:55same risk profile in the market
  328. 11:58bonds also typically offer coupons on a
  329. 12:02semi-annual basis rather than on an
  330. 12:04annual basis okay now let's quickly see
  331. 12:06how to make these adjustments in the
  332. 12:08formula to reflect the semi-annual
  333. 12:10payments okay so we keep the same pv
  334. 12:12function
  335. 12:13okay now the rate which is eight percent
  336. 12:16is an annual rate i'm going to divide
  337. 12:18that by two to get the semi-annual rate
  338. 12:23the number of periods is four years i'm
  339. 12:25going to multiply that by two
  340. 12:27to get eight time periods
  341. 12:30the coupon payment is ten dollars per
  342. 12:32year i have to divide that by two to get
  343. 12:34to reflect five dollars every six months
  344. 12:37and the face value
  345. 12:38is at the end of
  346. 12:41the four years okay if you get
  347. 12:43semi-annual payments
  348. 12:45the price of the bond from firmax is
  349. 12:47approximately 106 dollars
  350. 12:49this price instead of using the pv
  351. 12:51function you could also calculate it
  352. 12:53using the npv function i already have
  353. 12:56another video on how to calculate npv
  354. 12:59and irr and so on i'll link that in the
  355. 13:01description below and if you're
  356. 13:03interested you can check that out
  357. 13:06thank you for watching this video cheers

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