Bitcoin: Bitte, nimm diese Zeichen ernst!😳 — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:00Welcome, dear friends. Investor Newcer.
2. 0:02What is going on here? Are we actually
3. 0:04living in a simulation? Is everything
4. 0:07we've seen so far repeating itself, just
5. 0:09with a small anomaly?
6. 0:11I will show you that in the charts at
7. 0:13the end of the video. But what is
8. 0:15happening here right now is terrifying
9. 0:17again. Yes, the 3rd. November isn't even
10. 0:19over yet and there have already been
11. 0:21conflicts between Iran and the USA.
12. 0:23After hearing what has been going on
13. 0:26again between Ukraine and Russia
14. 0:28yesterday and the day before, these are
15. 0:30absolutely not positive pieces of
16. 0:32information.
17. 0:33Gold is also currently continuing to
18. 0:36collapse, and the question now arises:
19. 0:39will some of that potentially flow into
20. 0:41the stock market or into the crypto
21. 0:44space?
22. 0:45Yes, I have positive information on that
23. 0:48as well, because I have a chart that I
24. 0:50will share with you which ultimately
25. 0:52shows that the S&P 500 is actually on
26. 0:55the verge of a breakout, and
27. 0:56consequently, Bitcoin and the altcoin
28. 0:59market are actually following this
29. 1:01movement. That and much more in this
30. 1:03video, my dears, so let's dive in, but
31. 1:04before we do, like the video if you like
32. 1:06what you see and subscribe to the
33. 1:07channel for more content like this one.
34. 1:09If you want to buy but don't know where
35. 1:11, you are cordially invited to use our
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54. 1:47I mainly buy here, and you are cordially
55. 1:49invited to follow me. And the USA is
56. 1:51shelling an Iranian island. Yes, what is
57. 1:54this about?
58. 1:56It is said that the Iranians attacked US
59. 1:59ships first and that this is the
60. 2:02reaction from the American side.
61. 2:06Whether someone is telling the truth or
62. 2:08not remains to be seen.
63. 2:10As small individuals, we will never know
64. 2:12anyway, because as soon as we look at an
65. 2:14article like that, it is no longer a
66. 2:16message or the reality that we see, but
67. 2:18it is news ("Nachricht"), and it is "
68. 2:20re-directed"("nachgerichtet"), as the
69. 2:22name suggests in German.
70. 2:24And the question is, of course, who is
71. 2:27the financial backer of this news?
72. 2:29And yes, that’s why I don’t know what I
73. 2:32should believe or not. Who actually
74. 2:34started it first, or did they?
75. 2:36There are many, many opinions saying
76. 2:38that the USA ultimately wants to cut
77. 2:40Saudi Arabia down to size and
78. 2:44wants to take over power there as well.
79. 2:47Whether that corresponds to the truth, I
80. 2:48can't tell you either. What we do see,
81. 2:50however, is that the Saudis have
82. 2:53actually lost so much through this war
83. 2:55with Iran.
84. 2:57The USA is no longer standing by their
85. 2:59side, even though they promised security
86. 3:00.
87. 3:01The Houthis are completely shredding
88. 3:04their lines.
89. 3:06Be it drones, the airports are being
90. 3:08bombed, the oil pipelines, the
91. 3:10refineries—in other words, the lifeblood
92. 3:12of Saudi Arabia, the money vein is
93. 3:14completely bleeding out.
94. 3:17Yes, while Iran is actually still
95. 3:19holding up relatively stably, you just
96. 3:21have to say it like that. One would have
97. 3:24expected the US attacks to have much
98. 3:25stronger consequences, that they would
99. 3:27have been brought to their knees much
100. 3:29faster, but it looks quite different.
101. 3:32Trump also stated in an interview that
102. 3:34even the British and everyone else
103. 3:35should see for themselves how they want
104. 3:37to get oil.
105. 3:38If you want fuel, we in the USA have
106. 3:40enough of it, you can buy it from us.
107. 3:43Yes, and if you want oil and uh fuel,
108. 3:45then go and take back the Strait of
109. 3:48Hormuz yourselves. Yes.
110. 3:51Yes.
111. 3:52The British wanted it exactly like that
112. 3:54, yes, for the USA to produce a war that
113. 3:56wasn't even there with an oil crisis
114. 3:58that didn't exist before.
115. 4:01And now he says, "Yes, now you can sort
116. 4:02that out yourselves." Yes, go and fight
117. 4:04them yourself. Yes, fascinating. The
118. 4:06Kobesiletter and some others are posting
119. 4:09this chart that you see in orange. Tom
120. 4:11McClellan has now overlapped the whole
121. 4:13thing with the S&P 500.
122. 4:16The orange chart actually shows us the
123. 4:18leveraged futures positions.
124. 4:21Yes, and when these have repeatedly gone
125. 4:24vertical, we see, if we overlap that
126. 4:27with the S&P 500, just as Tom McClellan
127. 4:29did here, that we have always found
128. 4:32ourselves at local bottom areas when
129. 4:34these strong leveraged ETF funds have
130. 4:37been pumped up or when a lot of money
131. 4:40and volume has flowed in there.
132. 4:42And now take a look at the peak that we
133. 4:44are forming right now.
134. 4:45Is this a sign that we are setting a
135. 4:49local bottom for the S&P 500 and that we
136. 4:52might reach a massive top in 2026, as
137. 4:56Mr. Benner showed in his Benner Cycle,
138. 4:59is this the buildup to a massive upward
139. 5:03move? While the gold price continues to
140. 5:05fall, funds might now be flowing in here
141. 5:07, pumping up the stock market, and
142. 5:09Bitcoin, along with the altcoins, is
143. 5:11naturally getting its share here too.
144. 5:13Let's wait and see. Coinglass is also
145. 5:15giving us a wonderful signal here. Yes,
146. 5:17just look at this. Spot purchases—
147. 5:19admittedly this is the 15-minute chart,
148. 5:21but nevertheless, it is a short-term
149. 5:24indicator—are outweighing futures
150. 5:26purchases in percentage terms. Yes, and
151. 5:28that is a good sign. We don't always
152. 5:31want high leverage positions pushing the
153. 5:33Bitcoin price up, only to have it
154. 5:34completely collapse again due to
155. 5:36liquidations.
156. 5:38We want the spot buying volume in
157. 5:40percent to exceed this.
158. 5:43This means that actual Bitcoins are
159. 5:45being bought, instead of futures-related
160. 5:48purchases in the background, which often
161. 5:50lead to a stronger dump in the end.
162. 5:53Just like we saw here last time. Futures
163. 5:56and spot prices were relatively high.
164. 5:59What happened then? We went from the 81
165. 6:01, 000 mark down to the 76,000 mark.
166. 6:03Both dropped, but now spot buying is
167. 6:05overshadowing futures buying, and that
168. 6:07is a very, very good sign.
169. 6:09However, as investors, we have to look
170. 6:12at many perspectives. Yes, why?
171. 6:14It’s not about going through every
172. 6:16scenario just to be able to say in the
173. 6:18end, I was right.
174. 6:19That is absolutely no longer my goal.
175. 6:21I know some people keep claiming in the
176. 6:23comments, oh, you just cover every
177. 6:24scenario so you can say in the end that
178. 6:25you were right.
179. 6:27It is absolutely not about me being
180. 6:28right, my dear friends. It is about us
181. 6:30being prepared and understanding what we
182. 6:32are actually doing here.
183. 6:33Investment is not something where you
184. 6:35throw your money in and are in the green
185. 6:37forever. Yes, investment is something
186. 6:40where you invest long-term but try to
187. 6:42buy in at as low a level as possible or
188. 6:45in a range—a low trading range—which can
189. 6:48mean that if a scenario occurs where a
190. 6:51further correction comes and we set a
191. 6:53new low, we have still invested well,
192. 6:56accepting the risk of being in the red
193. 6:59with our portfolio in the short term,
194. 7:01but being able to take strong profits in
195. 7:04the long term. Yes, that is investment,
196. 7:06and not "I'll invest now and my
197. 7:07investment will immediately shoot
198. 7:09through the roof" and "you go through
199. 7:10every scenario just so you can say in
200. 7:12the end that you were right." Absolutely
201. 7:14, absolutely no, that is not what it is
202. 7:16about.
203. 7:17No one can really be right here. We can
204. 7:19only invest long-term and realize
205. 7:21profits, and then we are successful.
206. 7:24That is what we want to be. We don't
207. 7:25want to sit here and say, I was right.
208. 7:28With my analysis.
209. 7:29Absolutely wrong. I am not interested in
210. 7:32being right. I am interested in having
211. 7:34the money I invested turn into more than
212. 7:37what I put in at the end. And that is
213. 7:39why we have to go in with specific
214. 7:41strategies, and that is why I repeat
215. 7:42myself over and over.
216. 7:43Therefore, my friends, yes, in my
217. 7:46opinion, these are good areas to buy,
218. 7:48which is what I have done.
219. 7:51Does that mean we can never fall again,
220. 7:52or that my portfolio will always stay in
221. 7:54the green from now on? No, that is not
222. 7:55what it means.
223. 7:57I know full well from the experience of
224. 7:59the last 10 years that after buying, I
225. 8:02might briefly go into the red, but if I
226. 8:04invest long enough and in the right
227. 8:06assets, legit projects, I can see from
228. 8:09the past that in the long term, I will
229. 8:11always be among the winners.
230. 8:14That is why we are now going to listen
231. 8:15to what Cryptocon has to say.
232. 8:17He is of the opinion that the human
233. 8:19psyche will always be the same.
234. 8:21Yes, at the moment when we got the ETFs
235. 8:23back then, for example. Yes, they said:
236. 8:26"Hey, we will never correct again," and
237. 8:29what happened? We dipped really well
238. 8:32again, had an 8-month-long flat phase
239. 8:34before the price pumped upwards.
240. 8:37Yes, and time and again, when these are
241. 8:40relatively good areas, most scream: "No
242. 8:43, we are going further down," and
243. 8:45whenever they are relatively bad areas
244. 8:48to buy, most scream we are going to the
245. 8:51moon.
246. 8:51"This will not stop rising." Yes, and
247. 8:54based on this, uh, yeah, approach, he
248. 8:57says here: "No, this is not yet the
249. 9:00start of a bull run." Yes, he also made
250. 9:03that red box there with "Bottom is in,
251. 9:06we did it."
252. 9:07And then now, the next red box that he
253. 9:10put in. Bull market is back.
254. 9:13And he thinks now, yes, the next
255. 9:15correction will come, and then everyone
256. 9:18will scream: "Bitcoin will never recover
257. 9:20, reason XY."
258. 9:22Yes, it can happen.
259. 9:25Yes, as I said, I told you I left the
260. 9:27box right where I expect the price to go
261. 9:30or where I expected the price to go
262. 9:32based on the Gann Box analysis and my
263. 9:34Fibonacci analysis, which does not mean
264. 9:37that it absolutely has to happen.
265. 9:40But I am of the opinion that as long as
266. 9:42we are still in Q4 and potentially
267. 9:44January
268. 9:47it can happen.
269. 9:48Why is that? If it happens, I know
270. 9:50exactly what I am doing.
271. 9:52If it doesn't happen, I have already
272. 9:55made my purchases and will see where I
273. 9:57might initiate my remaining budget
274. 9:59further into the market.
275. 10:01In the 7-day chart, not much has changed
276. 10:03within one day.
277. 10:05We have 6.18 billion at the 85,000 mark
278. 10:07that we can take with us here in shorts
279. 10:09.
280. 10:10If you were to just go to the 75,000
281. 10:13mark here, yes, that is just a little
282. 10:16more than $ 1,000 down, which Bitcoin
283. 10:18can easily do, there is already 2.57
284. 10:21billion here. The last chunk down here
285. 10:24at the 73,200 mark, that would still
286. 10:27cause 3.35
287. 10:30billion in liquidations, while the 30-
288. 10:32day chart hasn't changed much either.
289. 10:35Take a look at that.
290. 10:37Look at these huge liquidations that
291. 10:40would be caused if we went to the 86,900
292. 10:42or 87,000 mark, with 12.18 billion in
293. 10:45short liquidations lying around here.
294. 10:48If we were to take the last chunk here,
295. 10:50at the 73,400 mark there is 3.06
296. 10:54billion.
297. 10:56If we only go to the 75,300 mark, there
298. 10:59is still 2.19 billion here. Okay, my
299. 11:02dear friends. And what did I mean
300. 11:03earlier? Are we living in a simulation?
301. 11:07This here is the 2022 bear market from
302. 11:10the 2021 top, my dear friends.
303. 11:14And I'll copy out this whole area that
304. 11:17went down to the bear market here and
305. 11:20then kept the rise here as well.
306. 11:24Look at that, my dear friends. Yes, it
307. 11:26really looks like it’s a pure simulation
308. 11:30of the past.
309. 11:31Yes, this here is a small anomaly and
310. 11:33here we had a small anomaly like this.
311. 11:36But if I adjust this to the current
312. 11:37trend, yes, look at that.
313. 11:39Look at that.
314. 11:41It looks like an absolute copy, my dear
315. 11:45friends, of the current trend. That is
316. 11:49just crazy. Why is that? Yes, why does
317. 11:53this 2022 bear market resemble the one
318. 11:57we are currently seeing? I think the
319. 12:01last bull and bear markets didn't have
320. 12:03as much liquidity as the 2022 one and
321. 12:06that is probably why the trend is so
322. 12:08similar now.
323. 12:10Yes, how long will this be maintained?
324. 12:14When will the break come?
325. 12:17It actually looks strikingly similar to
326. 12:19the current trend, my dear friends.
327. 12:21Look at that. If I just copy this area
328. 12:24out here, it is really crazy what is
329. 12:26happening right now. Yes.
330. 12:29Um, I will try to make it look a bit
331. 12:31nicer.
332. 12:34So, this is purely about the structural
333. 12:37progression. Yeah, take a look at this.
334. 12:41Take a look at what we've done here.
335. 12:43Yeah,
336. 12:45one moment.
337. 12:49It’s almost the same progression, my
338. 12:52friends. Yes, it is almost, as I said,
339. 12:54in terms of structure, right? I’m just
340. 12:57going to adjust this now so that it
341. 12:58becomes visible.
342. 13:00We’ve followed almost the exact same
343. 13:02path. Yeah, what would a break in this
344. 13:05trend mean now? A break in this trend
345. 13:09would be if we did the following, yeah,
346. 13:13if this line here didn't hold.
347. 13:17Yes, in the last bear market run, we saw
348. 13:20another nice rise upward from here, saw
349. 13:22a double top here, saw a double bottom,
350. 13:24messed around a bit more here, and then
351. 13:27came this massive increase.
352. 13:30This would be the next thing we should
353. 13:32anticipate if it goes up again from here
354. 13:34.
355. 13:36Everyone shouts again at this point: "
356. 13:37Yes, the bull run has begun." From now
357. 13:39on, it only goes up. "Another correction
358. 13:41. We’ll make a double or triple bottom
359. 13:44here, in that sense, and then we go.
360. 13:46That would be almost a copy of the last
361. 13:49progression.
362. 13:50A break would, of course, be if we break
363. 13:53below this thick white line down here at
364. 13:55the 74,000 mark.
365. 13:57If that were to happen, we would see
366. 13:59either a double or a triple bottom here
367. 14:01. Yes, a triple bottom would be this
368. 14:04here.
369. 14:05Or potentially, in a massive negative
370. 14:08scenario, step into these areas here,
371. 14:10yeah, somewhere down here, and then go
372. 14:13really steep with a V-bottom correction
373. 14:16.
374. 14:17Similar to what we experienced during
375. 14:18the Covid phase. Maybe such an event is
376. 14:20coming now.
377. 14:21Um, I don't know how much faith you can
378. 14:25put in that. Some are even discussing
379. 14:28that the USA, in the worst case, would
380. 14:30drop an atomic bomb on Iran, which I
381. 14:33mean, you never know, right? I think
382. 14:35it’s nonsense, but
383. 14:38this world is so demonized at the moment
384. 14:40, you really don't know what to believe
385. 14:42and what not to. Um, but yeah, well, it
386. 14:44doesn't have to be an atomic bomb, right
387. 14:45? But if the war continues to an extent
388. 14:48that makes global markets completely
389. 14:50collapse, yeah, if things potentially
390. 14:53escalate further in Russia and Ukraine
391. 14:55in parallel, then I can actually imagine
392. 14:58such a strong corrective movement, and
393. 15:01you might too.
394. 15:02The question now is, when will that come
395. 15:04, right?
396. 15:05Um, will we see a massive rise first and
397. 15:08then a correction, or will there be no
398. 15:09correction at all? Yeah, will we really
399. 15:12just see a sideways phase? And Trump is
400. 15:14now doing what he threatened England and
401. 15:17Europe with here. Yes, go take care of
402. 15:20how you get your oil yourself now. I’m
403. 15:23staying out of it now, and we actually
404. 15:25see a recovery, and we do a sideways
405. 15:27flag phase and then move up.
406. 15:30We could go through so many scenarios.
407. 15:32We could go through so many scenarios.
408. 15:36But the question I ask myself is, what
409. 15:39if none of them apply?
410. 15:41Yes, what if Bitcoin and the market are
411. 15:44currently just doing what they have
412. 15:46always done? Yes.
413. 15:49That's why, as I said, I have already
414. 15:52started investing. If the price falls,
415. 15:54then that's just how it is. These are
416. 15:56things that one cannot foresee.
417. 15:59Like a Covid correction, or that
418. 16:01suddenly such lockdowns happen and
419. 16:03people sit in the car with a mask on and
420. 16:06drive, and even justify it, how they sat
421. 16:09around in their own car with a mask, how
422. 16:11they wore those masks in public at bus
423. 16:14stops, yes, in the open air.
424. 16:17Um, we have seen that such madness is
425. 16:18possible, but who would have expected
426. 16:20that people would still go along with it
427. 16:22? Yes. Um, can it happen? Yes.
428. 16:26Okay, then we buy lower down, as I did.
429. 16:29Back then, I also bought nicely in those
430. 16:31areas. I thought those were good areas.
431. 16:33Had I already invested beforehand? Yes,
432. 16:35when it dipped, I left myself a budget
433. 16:37to keep buying.
434. 16:39Just like I have done now. I have left
435. 16:41budget aside. Should such a correction
436. 16:43come, I know what I have to do. I will
437. 16:45buy more. I won't sit around here crying
438. 16:47and saying Bitcoin is going to zero,
439. 16:48coins are going to zero, it has no
440. 16:50future anymore. No, I will buy.
441. 16:53Yes, and that is or that is the reason
442. 16:56why I keep bringing up such topics, so
443. 16:58that we are prepared, so that not again
444. 17:01very, very many panic and sell at a loss
445. 17:03and ultimately, for the next two to
446. 17:06three years, if the bull run continues,
447. 17:08don't kick themselves and move further
448. 17:10and further away from financial freedom
449. 17:13.
450. 17:14In that sense, I wish you all a pleasant
451. 17:17day. God's blessing and peace be with
452. 17:19you. Cryptohenus.