Binance Cancelling! Crypto Collapse CONFIRMED — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00oh man the drama drama drama continues
- 0:04uh BTC sitting at about 17 000 right now
- 0:06very important level if we break this
- 0:08level things could get
- 0:10ugly and there's the possibility of
- 0:12binance canceling on FTX let's talk
- 0:15about this I just want to give a very
- 0:17clear uh upfront warning that the FTX
- 0:21near bankruptcy affects the
- 0:23international version of FTX the US
- 0:25version is supposedly okay personally I
- 0:29don't buy it if I or having any money
- 0:34right any money in FTX I don't want to
- 0:36contribute to a bank run here but let's
- 0:38just say
- 0:39I wouldn't keep any money in it okay I'd
- 0:42be like not let me take my money out
- 0:43they got it all figured out maybe I'll
- 0:45come back okay now look I know on the
- 0:47channel we've talked about FTX before in
- 0:49the past
- 0:51I'm giving you a fair heads up now just
- 0:53like I did yesterday okay so what's
- 0:56going on so yesterday CZ who's not
- 1:00exactly uh you know got the best
- 1:01reputation for transparency according to
- 1:04that video we made yesterday just
- 1:05watched the last 13 minutes you'll see a
- 1:07complete breakdown uh of why people
- 1:09believe that CZ doesn't have the best
- 1:11potential reputation for transparency
- 1:13yesterday binance and owner and founder
- 1:16CZ suggested they have written a letter
- 1:18of intent to acquire FTX and now we're
- 1:22hearing that FTX actually before going
- 1:25to their competitor binance actually
- 1:27first went to okx uh and a SAM bankman
- 1:31freed reached out to them on Monday uh
- 1:34hoping to uh to get uh a deal before
- 1:37having to go to binance well okay X
- 1:42declined and now FTX wrote a letter of
- 1:46intent to take over a letter of intent
- 1:48it lets you open up the books at FTX and
- 1:50go oh okay let's see what's going on
- 1:52here
- 1:53in yesterday's video on this topic
- 1:56I mentioned that here's what happens
- 2:00if binance opens up the books and says
- 2:02okay you guys need to provide 500
- 2:06million dollars in withdrawals you only
- 2:08have 300 million dollars binance has to
- 2:12look at that and say okay we'll give you
- 2:14that 200 million but we want your book
- 2:16of business right we want we want our
- 2:17all your clients but then you have to
- 2:19evaluate is that 200 million dollars
- 2:21worth the clients are getting and if all
- 2:23the clients are fleeing then the number
- 2:26of clients you might be getting is
- 2:27actually shrinking so the deal becomes
- 2:29less interesting and if you open up the
- 2:31books and the numbers are actually way
- 2:33worse and you potentially have to pay
- 2:35billions of dollars because we think
- 2:37outflows are somewhere between three to
- 2:39five billion dollars at this point from
- 2:41binance and if binance or if from FTX
- 2:43and if FTX maybe only had 500 million in
- 2:46the books binance might look and go dude
- 2:48we're not giving you guys four and a
- 2:49half billion dollars to bail out your
- 2:51customers forget that cancel the deal
- 2:53well now we have reports from uh
- 2:56coindesk that people familiar with the
- 2:59matter are suggesting that binance is
- 3:02now strongly leaning towards scrapping
- 3:04the FTX bailout after first glance at
- 3:09the books look nothing gets better after
- 3:12the first glance of books this is bad
- 3:14this is really bad because that that
- 3:16means you know when when the bail the
- 3:19one company doing the bailouts is like
- 3:21yeah no you're way too toxic that's
- 3:24really bad so and again personally not
- 3:27trying to create fear I would just even
- 3:29though this is the FTX international
- 3:31branch I would get my money out of FTX
- 3:34us I understand that could potentially
- 3:36lead to a run uh uh you know if
- 3:39everybody did that it would lead to a
- 3:41run on the U.S and a collapse of the U.S
- 3:42business as well but this is business
- 3:45you have to look out for yourself uh and
- 3:48I think that would be prudent but anyway
- 3:50cryptocurrency exchange binance is
- 3:52highly likely highly unlikely to go
- 3:55through with its proposed acquisition of
- 3:57struggling rival FTX less than a day of
- 3:59reviewing after less than a day of
- 4:01reviewing the company
- 4:02a person familiar with the matter said
- 4:04finance's non-binding letter of intent
- 4:06for the Takeover announced Tuesday
- 4:07appeared
- 4:09um as as ftx's financial position
- 4:11appeared to be spiraling out of control
- 4:13hinged on binance performing due
- 4:15diligence roughly half a day into that
- 4:18process after reviewing ftx's internal
- 4:21data and Loan commitments has led
- 4:22binance to strongly lean against
- 4:25completing the transaction binance
- 4:28declined to comment on the status so did
- 4:30FTX after coindesk released the story
- 4:34losses in the crypto Market uh worsened
- 4:37BTC visited its 2022 low of around 17
- 4:40100 which we saw yesterday ether back to
- 4:451160. wow really did we get that low
- 4:48hold on a sec let me see here so I know
- 4:50BTC is sitting at 17-2 right now let's
- 4:52look at eth USD weren't they like 1600
- 4:55just like a day ago uh
- 4:57um yes they literally were they were at
- 5:011600 now they're under 1200. this is
- 5:03remarkable
- 5:05um that's pretty painful uh all right so
- 5:07uh definitely get some pain here now CZ
- 5:10did release a letter this morning and
- 5:11what I thought was really interesting is
- 5:14yesterday in my finance video especially
- 5:17sort of my CZ uh expose dare I say uh in
- 5:23that video I talked about how binance
- 5:26was talking about this seifu fund which
- 5:30is their insurance bailout fund uh in
- 5:33the event there's any kind of issue with
- 5:35their their customers being able to
- 5:36withdraw funds uh that bailout fund was
- 5:41previously estimated to have a billion
- 5:43dollars of uh of assets in it but those
- 5:46are all b and a lot of those are B and B
- 5:48which is now worth a lot less and so
- 5:50yesterday we were estimating that there
- 5:52was maybe only about
- 5:53460 million dollars actually in that
- 5:57account not anywhere close to a billion
- 5:59dollars since we could see the wallets
- 6:01and so uh just a few hours ago actually
- 6:0410 hours ago which is about what maybe
- 6:07eight hours after I posted my video uh
- 6:10binance's CZ has come out and posted the
- 6:13following to adjust for recent price
- 6:16fluctuations binance has topped up the
- 6:18seafood Insurance Fund to one billion
- 6:20dollars again now that's interesting
- 6:22because this this uh uh Insurance
- 6:26account has been underfunded under a
- 6:29billion dollars for like 10 months of
- 6:32the year
- 6:33and within 10 hours of me bitching about
- 6:37it in a video they filled it up again
- 6:39now I'm not trying to take credit for
- 6:41that I'm sure many people were
- 6:42complaining about this I just think it's
- 6:44interesting that it's like really you
- 6:46kind of let it suffer that long all year
- 6:49and and all of a sudden now you top it
- 6:51off okay but again it's being topped off
- 6:53with with Bitcoin and BNB and if the
- 6:56value of these collapses then again the
- 6:58value of the insurance goes down uh here
- 7:00we've got his letter to uh uh you know
- 7:04basically the binance staff he just
- 7:06posted this uh to everyone given the
- 7:07events that have transpired over the
- 7:09last couple days I want to reiterate a
- 7:10few points we did not master plan this
- 7:12or anything related to this this is
- 7:14because there are rumors that basically
- 7:16binance purposely tried to bankrupt FTX
- 7:18to get rid of their competition
- 7:20you've got uh uh uh CZ here saying I had
- 7:24very little knowledge about the internal
- 7:26state of what was going on at FTX until
- 7:28SPF sandbagment freed called him send
- 7:30bankman freed by the way has not had a
- 7:32had a good day last couple days uh Wall
- 7:35Street Journal
- 7:36has a piece out uh indicating that his
- 7:39net worth collapsed from 16 billion
- 7:41dollars to potentially under 1 billion
- 7:44dollars uh within a day now marking a 94
- 7:49Wipeout the biggest one-day collapse
- 7:51ever amongst billionaires tracked by
- 7:54Bloomberg Bloomberg index gave a value
- 7:57of just one dollar to FTX and Alameda
- 8:00research
- 8:01and the only reason
- 8:03Sam bankman freed might actually have
- 8:05still relatively a close to maybe one
- 8:09billion dollar uh net worth is because
- 8:11of his investment into Robin Hood
- 8:14Sam begman freed invested in a Robin
- 8:15Hood when it was like seven or eight
- 8:17dollars I think the thing's trading for
- 8:18like 12 bucks now or something and uh he
- 8:21invested quite a a good chunk of change
- 8:24uh and uh yeah well actually wow dude
- 8:27even Robin Hood just fell look at this
- 8:29Robin Hood's down 9.9 today never mind
- 8:32there goes the rest of his net worth
- 8:34well at least it's preserved some of it
- 8:36I think he bought it like 750 or
- 8:38something like that but it's at 877 now
- 8:40wow uh Sam bankman freed Robin Hood
- 8:44investment let me see this was somewhere
- 8:46in April
- 8:48uh he uh he uh even suggested
- 8:51potentially buying the company he has a
- 8:547.6 stake in Robin Hood 56 million
- 8:58shares May 12. 56 million and if we
- 9:03multiply 56 million shares by 878 he has
- 9:07about oh that is not even close to what
- 9:11the Wall Street Journal is estimating
- 9:12anymore if his other businesses are
- 9:14bankrupt he's only worth about 491
- 9:16million right now and that's all thanks
- 9:19to Robinhood who would have thought that
- 9:22Sam bankman freed could thank Vlad tenev
- 9:26to help him continue to stay rich
- 9:29who would have thought anyway
- 9:31um wild let's go back to that letter
- 9:34though and continue to see what CZ is
- 9:37arguing here
- 9:39which is right here
- 9:41all right so as the due diligence for
- 9:43the deal is ongoing I want to remind
- 9:45everyone do not trade the FTX tokens if
- 9:49you have a bag you have a bag do not buy
- 9:52or sell as soon as I finish the call
- 9:54with Sam bankman freed yesterday I asked
- 9:56our team to stop selling as an
- 9:57organization so keep this in mind over
- 10:00the weekend CZ said we're gonna dump
- 10:03like 500 million coins of the FTX token
- 10:06that was before this collapse and now
- 10:09with his call after his call with Sam
- 10:11bankman freed where who knows maybe Sam
- 10:13bankman freed is basically begging CZ
- 10:15not to sell Finance tokens or the FTX
- 10:18tokens now CZ is recommending that if
- 10:21you're losing money on the FTX token
- 10:23don't worry just wait I mean that sounds
- 10:26like a bunch of BS to me but whatever
- 10:28yeah exactly only 490 mil what a peasant
- 10:32exactly
- 10:35um how safe are funds with binance you
- 10:37know I don't trust binance I said this
- 10:40yesterday as well and the problem is if
- 10:43binance doesn't buy FTX you're going to
- 10:46have massive Liquidations in not only is
- 10:50the FTX token going to go to zero but
- 10:52you're going to see pressure on the
- 10:53binance token you're going to see
- 10:55pressure on bitcoin and ethereum more
- 10:57than you've already seen if we break
- 10:59this 17 000 level on BTC you could see
- 11:02BTC fall lower in fact in my video
- 11:05yesterday I put in a little quote of me
- 11:07saying the only thing holding BTC up at
- 11:09around nineteen thousand dollars then is
- 11:11is s uh is FTX same bank but freed and
- 11:15the bailouts like if and I even said if
- 11:17he runs out of money
- 11:19TBD that's what I said if he runs
- 11:21Automotive TBD in other words like it's
- 11:23probably gonna get bad and that's
- 11:24literally what's happening right now
- 11:26which is
- 11:27kind of scary so the problem is
- 11:30binance says they're good but I don't
- 11:33trust them if BTC drops under ten
- 11:36thousand dollars I would not be
- 11:38surprised
- 11:39it's entirely possible you see CZ take a
- 11:42few bill disappear binance collapses
- 11:45not saying it's gonna happen I'm not
- 11:48making any guarantees but let me put it
- 11:50this way would I move my money from FTX
- 11:52to binance hell no if I had money in
- 11:55crypto it would either be cold wallet
- 11:57like not your keys not your coin right
- 12:00not your crypto I'd have my money out of
- 12:02any kind of centralized exchange or I
- 12:05just wouldn't be in crypto while these
- 12:07uh these collapses are happening around
- 12:09because it's going to put downward
- 12:11valuation pressure on on the coins uh
- 12:14I'm sure many of you remember this but I
- 12:18have regularly been asked about hey what
- 12:21about
- 12:22um you know the uh the potential for uh
- 12:26nfts to maintain value right and people
- 12:28were always wondering like Kevin when
- 12:29are you going to get into holding nfts
- 12:31more long-term I'm like I'm not because
- 12:32here's what happens when you get in this
- 12:34I've always said this even in the bull
- 12:36run when nfts were killing it right I'm
- 12:38like the problem is if you go into a
- 12:41recession the last thing that has
- 12:43liquidity is going to be an nft
- 12:45and it's going to be the first thing
- 12:47that gets dumped the same is going to be
- 12:50true for a lot of other assets you have
- 12:52to look at when companies have to
- 12:54liquidate they have to dump assets and
- 12:56when liquidity goes down price plummets
- 12:59even faster it's really scary so uh you
- 13:02know I'm not trying to like fear Monger
- 13:03here but like I just want to be clear
- 13:06I would not and I said this yesterday
- 13:08too I wouldn't have any money in FTX the
- 13:10us or International Version and I
- 13:12wouldn't have any money in uh in binance
- 13:15uh I also right before Voyager digital
- 13:18went bankrupt I made it very clear on
- 13:21the channel get your money out of stable
- 13:22coins they're not safe right now and
- 13:25then all of a sudden we get the Terra
- 13:26Luna collapse and everything it's crazy
- 13:28uh and I'm not trying to like Pat myself
- 13:29on the back for like oh you know
- 13:31predicting or whatever I'm just I'm
- 13:32trying to provide warnings that's all
- 13:33I'm trying to do and I'm trying to be
- 13:35even more clear because like when I said
- 13:37cell Peloton at 113 I'm dumping it
- 13:39because things are changing people then
- 13:40later made slander's videos about me
- 13:43going haha look Kevin's investment
- 13:44Peloton went to twenty dollars or ten
- 13:46dollars it's like
- 13:47I guess you missed all the warnings so I
- 13:49just want to be even more clear but then
- 13:50again people are always going to hate
- 13:51but they just hate us so okay what else
- 13:55do we know let's go back to that letter
- 13:56uh so I again I think this is nonsense
- 14:00this is just CZ oops this is CZ trying
- 14:03to tell his friend that uh hey I'm
- 14:06helping you try to make sure there's
- 14:08liquidity for uh the finance token by
- 14:11encouraging people not to sell uh
- 14:14um okay U.S Finance Regulators are now
- 14:18investigating whether FTX properly
- 14:20handled customer funds yeah this is
- 14:22going to lead to a lot of Investigations
- 14:25U.S probes FTX over handling of client
- 14:28funds uh well yeah no kidding
- 14:32so let me see here
- 14:38okay yeah so continuing on with the
- 14:40letter three obviously do not comment on
- 14:43the deal publicly or internally you know
- 14:44it's kind of funny that like hours after
- 14:46this letter comes out of CZ saying oh
- 14:48please don't comment on the deal
- 14:49somebody comments on the deal to
- 14:51coindesk and and the story leaks right
- 14:54away duh FTX is FTX going down is not
- 14:58good for the entire industry we don't
- 15:00view it as a win for us user confidence
- 15:02is severely shaken Regulators will
- 15:03scrutinize exchanges even more licenses
- 15:06will be harder to get yeah you're going
- 15:08to end up having a Federal Reserve that
- 15:10has to supervise all this stuff because
- 15:11nobody's going to trust it
- 15:15not to mention price swings and
- 15:17insurances blah blah blah speaking of
- 15:19prices ignore the prices let's keep our
- 15:21heads down and focus on Building
- 15:22Products people use dude nobody uses
- 15:25Bitcoin
- 15:27just as an example right you don't
- 15:29transact with it at least not yet maybe
- 15:31in the future you go to lightning and
- 15:33stuff but like blockchain technology is
- 15:35so good but there's still a fundamental
- 15:38disconnect between how much blockchain
- 15:41Technologies actually worth
- 15:45and how much tokens are trading for
- 15:47which obviously have voting ownership in
- 15:49the blockchains
- 15:50but I I don't know really proud of every
- 15:53one of you blah blah blah blah blah yeah
- 15:55whatever
- 15:57um I don't know man I'm glad you guys CZ
- 16:00and binance I'm glad they topped off uh
- 16:03their uh their Insurance Fund because
- 16:06that was a joke uh yesterday he was
- 16:09pitching how great seifu is and I'm like
- 16:12dude what are you talking about it's
- 16:13worth a whole lot less than what it used
- 16:14to be uh they're obviously using this as
- 16:16a marketing pitch uh here he is saying
- 16:19he likes being bald basically because
- 16:21it's kind of like a zero and they have
- 16:23zero fees for BTC it's an ad what I put
- 16:26money into this right now hell no like
- 16:28let the cards fall where they may and
- 16:31then if you want to go invest back into
- 16:32crypto you can do that uh
- 16:36oh yeah yeah what will happen to Voyager
- 16:38they were being bought by FTX I don't
- 16:40know I thought Voyager was going through
- 16:42bankruptcy I didn't know that FTX was a
- 16:44potential Suitor uh that's possible
- 16:46though because through bankruptcy you
- 16:48could see that uh occur customers of
- 16:53bankrupt crypto lender Voyager
- 16:56uh
- 16:57um
- 16:58oh yeah Voyager to October oh that's
- 17:01very interesting yeah uh FTX was
- 17:03considered one of the potential
- 17:05purchasers for Voyager
- 17:07customers of bankrupt crypto lender
- 17:09Voyage or could recover 72 percent of
- 17:11their funds if FTX sale is approved too
- 17:13bad now FTX is going bankrupt so there
- 17:16goes that there goes the potential of
- 17:17getting 72 percent of your money back on
- 17:19on Voyager oops
- 17:25nope
- 17:28Bankruptcy Court approved an arrangement
- 17:30where Voyager can scrap the FTX deal of
- 17:33a better offer materializes yeah right
- 17:35fdx's offer would just went away
- 17:38oh yeah yeah
- 17:41uh yeah I I am hearing a lot of Solana
- 17:44drama
- 17:46I actually don't know much about this
- 17:49uh but um I'm happy to do some research
- 17:53into Solana and see what's going on uh
- 17:56let's take a look at coindesk over here
- 17:58salana
- 18:01Solana continues its plunge okay Monday
- 18:04war on Solana sunk deeper and deeper uh
- 18:07okay why investors speculated about its
- 18:10paw about its possible place in the
- 18:12ongoing drama around FTX okay
- 18:14a copy of the Alameda balance sheet seen
- 18:17by coindesk shows that Alameda holds 292
- 18:21million of unlocked Solana and 863
- 18:24million of locked Solana and 41 million
- 18:27of Solana collateral one theory is
- 18:30Alameda might try to dump its Soul
- 18:31tokens in a bid to raise liquidity of
- 18:33course of course if they're going to go
- 18:36bankrupt and this is true that Alameda
- 18:38holds all the Solana it's all going to
- 18:40get dumped that's what I said is is when
- 18:42you have these liquidity problems you're
- 18:45going to see a dumping of whatever
- 18:47assets you could possibly get your hands
- 18:49onto
- 18:50uh this now oh my gosh this was 21 bucks
- 18:54yesterday it's at 16 now
- 18:57year-to-date Solana down from 170 bucks
- 19:00to now 16 look at its move here it was
- 19:0437 November 5th four days ago
- 19:07it's it's down more than 60 percent in
- 19:10four days
- 19:11ah
- 19:14ah
- 19:16yeah the Tom Brady partnership with FTX
- 19:18you know one thing I will say and we'll
- 19:21end it on this but this was remarkable
- 19:22and no it's not yes we have the Black
- 19:24Friday coupon code down below email
- 19:26kevin.com if you have questions about
- 19:28bundles or the courses although it's
- 19:30pretty self-explanatory in the link down
- 19:31below here's the big crazy thing okay I
- 19:35remember asking sponsor companies I'm
- 19:37like how the hell does FTX have all this
- 19:41money they're being stupid with how
- 19:43they're spending their advertising money
- 19:45and this is because I was seeing what
- 19:46was going on in the YouTube community
- 19:47and they said well their boss told them
- 19:50you have the money spend it and I'm like
- 19:53that's not how to run a company so the
- 19:55red flags were there I wish I made a
- 19:57video about that oh well anyway see ya
- 19:58good luck
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