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Big ideas begin here: Sergey Brin at Stanford — Transcript

by Stanford University School of Engineering · 10,436 words · 1,467 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:02(upbeat music)
  2. 1:06(upbeat music continues)
  3. 1:21(people clapping)
  4. 1:26- Welcome everybody.
  5. 1:28This is the closing event of our centennial year.
  6. 1:32It's pretty exciting.
  7. 1:33I'm Jennifer Widom.
  8. 1:35I'm the 10th Dean of Engineering,
  9. 1:37and you can do a little math there
  10. 1:38and figure out we deans like to stay around
  11. 1:40for a while here.
  12. 1:43It's been a great year.
  13. 1:44It's been a year of celebration, reflection.
  14. 1:47Looking to the future.
  15. 1:49For those of you
  16. 1:50who haven't heard about the history,
  17. 1:52we've had engineering at Stanford
  18. 1:54since the beginning of the university, 1891.
  19. 1:57We started with chemical engineering,
  20. 1:59electrical engineering, mechanical engineering,
  21. 2:02and mining and metallurgy.
  22. 2:04And it was in 1925, 100 years ago,
  23. 2:07when those four departments were brought together
  24. 2:09to form a school.
  25. 2:11And those four departments are still with us today.
  26. 2:13One of them has been renamed,
  27. 2:15it's now Material Science and Engineering,
  28. 2:17rather than metallurgy.
  29. 2:19And we have five more departments
  30. 2:21and many, many interdisciplinary programs.
  31. 2:24We've had events throughout the year
  32. 2:26to celebrate the centennial.
  33. 2:28They've been fantastic.
  34. 2:30We started with a panel with the five deans
  35. 2:34of the 10 who are still with us.
  36. 2:36That panel was moderated by Jerry Yang,
  37. 2:38who I think is here today, a great friend of the school.
  38. 2:41Our second event was on May 15th.
  39. 2:44We had a big party out on the quad.
  40. 2:47We expected 2000 people.
  41. 2:48We got 3000.
  42. 2:49And we didn't run out of food.
  43. 2:51We had a great showcase of projects and research.
  44. 2:56The next event was a fireside chat
  45. 2:58with Jensen Huang and John Hennessy.
  46. 3:00That was actually on this very stage,
  47. 3:02around the end of May.
  48. 3:05We partnered with Stanford football
  49. 3:07and had a school of engineering themed football game.
  50. 3:11Nobody told me when I took the job as Dean that one
  51. 3:14of my jobs would be
  52. 3:16to drive a motorized couch on national TV
  53. 3:20with Andrew Luck as my passenger,
  54. 3:22but I nailed it and that that was great.
  55. 3:27We had on Reunion weekend,
  56. 3:29a trivia contest on the history of the school.
  57. 3:32The alums enjoyed it.
  58. 3:33And now this is our closing event.
  59. 3:37If we look back on the hundred years
  60. 3:39of the School of Engineering,
  61. 3:40obviously the formation of Google was a shining moment.
  62. 3:44Sergey Brin, who you'll soon meet,
  63. 3:47met Larry Page when he visited to think about coming
  64. 3:50to our PhD program.
  65. 3:51That was in 1995.
  66. 3:53They worked together on a project called Digital Libraries
  67. 3:57that was funded by the National Science Foundation.
  68. 4:00So if you ever have any doubt about the impact
  69. 4:03of federal funding,
  70. 4:04Google came directly from an NSF project.
  71. 4:07We all know what happened next.
  72. 4:09They developed an algorithm called BackRub,
  73. 4:12which became PageRank.
  74. 4:14And by the way, that server right there is the first server
  75. 4:18that ran the PageRank algorithm.
  76. 4:20So a bit of history right in front of you.
  77. 4:22We're gonna hear more about that time shortly.
  78. 4:25But I do wanna say that's only one example
  79. 4:27of the entrepreneurship that has happened across the decades
  80. 4:31and the the year,
  81. 4:33the century of Sanford Engineering.
  82. 4:35Thousands of other companies have been founded
  83. 4:38by students, by faculty, by alumni.
  84. 4:41They've generated literally trillions
  85. 4:43of dollars in economic growth.
  86. 4:45And that foundation was laid by the third Dean
  87. 4:48of the School of Engineering,
  88. 4:49someone by the name of Fred Terman.
  89. 4:52Fred mentored William Hewlett and David Packard.
  90. 4:55He also mentored the Varian Brothers,
  91. 4:57and he also helped establish the Stanford Industrial Park,
  92. 5:01which is now known as the Stanford Research Park.
  93. 5:04Still going strong today.
  94. 5:07So many breakthroughs over the years
  95. 5:09in Stanford engineering in aeronautics,
  96. 5:11electricity transmission,
  97. 5:13microwave radar, semiconductor work
  98. 5:15that really sparked Silicon Valley, cybersecurity,
  99. 5:19that all of us rely on,
  100. 5:20internet transmission protocols
  101. 5:22that all of us rely on,
  102. 5:23the foundations of AI, bio electronics,
  103. 5:26lithium ion batteries.
  104. 5:27The list goes on and on, and there's surely more to come.
  105. 5:31Now, I do wanna acknowledge
  106. 5:33that when we look at the work that we do,
  107. 5:35a lot of the details are really done by students.
  108. 5:39And today's event is also a class.
  109. 5:42More than half of the room here are students
  110. 5:44in the Entrepreneurial Thought Leaders Program at Stanford.
  111. 5:47And I just wanna say to the students,
  112. 5:50you're the sequel to our histories.
  113. 5:52So thank you students for coming.
  114. 5:55(people clapping)
  115. 6:00And today's conversation is also really about students.
  116. 6:03John Levin, the president, who you'll meet shortly,
  117. 6:06and Sergey Brin, we're Stanford students
  118. 6:09just like all of you.
  119. 6:10Today, they're helping define the future
  120. 6:12of technology and the future of education.
  121. 6:15So this is really an ideal way to close our centennial.
  122. 6:19Now I wanna set the stage
  123. 6:21of the early 1990s when Sergey Brin arrived
  124. 6:24as a CS PhD student, computer science.
  125. 6:28Email was just becoming the way all
  126. 6:30of us were communicating.
  127. 6:32Entrepreneurship was just beginning to accelerate.
  128. 6:35The sixth Dean of the School of Engineering, Jim Gibbons,
  129. 6:38hatched the idea
  130. 6:40for the Stanford Technology Ventures program,
  131. 6:42which hosts the class that's here today.
  132. 6:45The Science and Engineering Quad
  133. 6:46was on drafting paper at best, maybe just in people's minds.
  134. 6:50And by the way, I arrived the same year that Sergey did.
  135. 6:53I joined as an assistant professor in 1993.
  136. 6:57There was also an undergraduate at Stanford
  137. 6:59beginning his senior year that same time.
  138. 7:02And that was John Levin.
  139. 7:04And one wonders was he thinking
  140. 7:05he'd eventually become the president?
  141. 7:07Who knows.
  142. 7:09John was an undergraduate in math and English here.
  143. 7:12He went to get his PhD at MIT
  144. 7:15and returned as a faculty member in 2000.
  145. 7:18He was chair of the Economics Department,
  146. 7:20the Dean of the Business School,
  147. 7:21and became Stanford's 13th president in August of 2024.
  148. 7:26I wanna say that John is really a wonderful champion
  149. 7:30of the School of Engineering.
  150. 7:31He's been so helpful throughout our centennial year.
  151. 7:34He deeply understands our culture
  152. 7:36and our spirit of entrepreneurship.
  153. 7:39So it is my pleasure now to bring John Levin,
  154. 7:43president of Stanford, and Sergey Brin,
  155. 7:45to join our conversation.
  156. 7:47(people clapping)
  157. 7:51- I'm John Levin.
  158. 7:51It's great to see all of you here
  159. 7:54and to have this chance to celebrate the final event
  160. 7:58of the engineering school's centennial year.
  161. 8:02We have an extraordinary guest
  162. 8:05and fitting guests for the final event
  163. 8:08of the centennial with Sergey Brin,
  164. 8:11who really needs very little introduction.
  165. 8:14But I thought I might just start
  166. 8:18before we get into questions with Sergey,
  167. 8:20to roll the clock back to,
  168. 8:23as Jennifer just did.
  169. 8:25She gave such a wonderful sweeping history of the school,
  170. 8:29but to roll the clock back to that particular moment
  171. 8:31in the 1990s when Sergey came
  172. 8:35to Stanford in 1993 as a PhD student.
  173. 8:38Jennifer was a new faculty member.
  174. 8:41I was a Stanford undergraduate at that time.
  175. 8:44I was a senior in the fall of 1993.
  176. 8:48And some years ago
  177. 8:52a reporter for the New York Times
  178. 8:53wrote an article about my Stanford graduating class,
  179. 8:57which was the class of 94.
  180. 8:59And the gist of the article was,
  181. 9:01it was,
  182. 9:04I hope that's better.
  183. 9:06The gist of the article was that it was the most fortunate
  184. 9:09grad college graduating class of all time,
  185. 9:12because we graduated at a moment that was on the cusp
  186. 9:15of the internet and technology taking off.
  187. 9:18And we were right in the middle of it in Silicon Valley.
  188. 9:20And the reporter called me
  189. 9:22when they were writing that article,
  190. 9:23it was about 10 years ago,
  191. 9:25and said, "I wanted to talk to you about this."
  192. 9:29At the time, I was a faculty member at Stanford.
  193. 9:32And she said, "You're the first person
  194. 9:36that I'm calling about this article."
  195. 9:38And I said, "Look, I'm, I'm really sorry to disappoint you.
  196. 9:41It's true, I was at Stanford in the early nineties.
  197. 9:44I was in the class of 1994,
  198. 9:47but I was clueless at the time.
  199. 9:51And in fact, I left Stanford in 1994,
  200. 9:54and I went to be a graduate student at Oxford in England,
  201. 9:58a country where they had forgotten the technology
  202. 10:00for the ice cube.
  203. 10:04And by the time I made it back to Stanford,
  204. 10:06which was a few years later in 2000, you know,
  205. 10:09things had already taken off.
  206. 10:10So I really can't help you."
  207. 10:12And she said, "Well, don't worry about that.
  208. 10:14I like to start these articles by talking
  209. 10:15to people on the periphery, and then I work my way in."
  210. 10:18(people laughing)
  211. 10:20So if I was on the periphery, there were a few people
  212. 10:24who were at the absolute core
  213. 10:27of the internet revolution.
  214. 10:30And and there's no one
  215. 10:31who was more at the center than Sergey Brin,
  216. 10:34who did see the potential
  217. 10:36and the future of where technology could go
  218. 10:39and did something extraordinary and world changing,
  219. 10:42of the kind that we, you know,
  220. 10:44we hope many people,
  221. 10:45has been done many times from the engineering school,
  222. 10:47and we hope will happen many times
  223. 10:48in the school's next century.
  224. 10:49So, Sergey, thank you for being here to be part
  225. 10:54of this celebration of the school.
  226. 10:56- Okay, you guys are flattering me way too much.
  227. 10:59I think there was a huge amount of luck there,
  228. 11:01but anyway, thank you for hosting me.
  229. 11:03It's a pleasure to be here.
  230. 11:05- So let's go back to that time
  231. 11:08and take us back to, you're a graduate student at Stanford.
  232. 11:14Tell us a little bit what it was like
  233. 11:16to be at the engineering school
  234. 11:19and how it helped to shape you
  235. 11:21and open up the opportunity to create Google.
  236. 11:26- In hindsight, maybe I didn't appreciate it at the time,
  237. 11:29but it was a very creative and free time,
  238. 11:35I would say.
  239. 11:36We started in,
  240. 11:38or I started my PhD program in Margaret Jacks Hal.
  241. 11:40So on the main quad actually.
  242. 11:43And this old kind of building with, you know,
  243. 11:47creaky little rooms and doors.
  244. 11:50I learned how to pick locks there
  245. 11:54thanks to the MIT guy to lock picking.
  246. 11:58And yeah, I'm kind of surprised honestly
  247. 12:02how much freedom I was given in hindsight,
  248. 12:07because I, you know, I could spend my time.
  249. 12:11Initially I was trying to reverse shredders,
  250. 12:15like, you know, you shred your documents
  251. 12:17and then scan it and put it back together.
  252. 12:18I never fully got that working, actually,
  253. 12:21but I don't know, nobody ever told me not to do that.
  254. 12:25I had a couple advisors over the years,
  255. 12:28Hector, I'm sorry, he's passed away,
  256. 12:31but what a sweet heart he is.
  257. 12:34Yeah, what a nice guy.
  258. 12:35And then Jeff Ullman.
  259. 12:38And they, I don't know,
  260. 12:39I guess they would periodically ask me what I was doing.
  261. 12:43Yeah, they didn't really put many limits.
  262. 12:48When we moved to the new building,
  263. 12:50the gates building of computer science at SAIL,
  264. 12:52it was a little bit naughty back then.
  265. 12:55So I knew my lock picking days were over
  266. 12:58because you had these electronic keys with the little,
  267. 13:01you know, infrared things.
  268. 13:02Do you still have those?
  269. 13:04Or did they change 'em out?
  270. 13:06Still?
  271. 13:07- They're there.
  272. 13:08- Okay, so they were, the locks are not actually networked,
  273. 13:12so it actually trusts the key
  274. 13:15to tell it if it can open the lock,
  275. 13:17or at least back then they weren't networked.
  276. 13:18And I doubt they've changed since.
  277. 13:21But nevertheless, they were electronic and complicated.
  278. 13:25So just when we were moving into the building,
  279. 13:29there was a scaffolding outside.
  280. 13:31They were still finishing some stuff,
  281. 13:34but all the the doors, all the offices,
  282. 13:36they were locked with these electronic locks
  283. 13:38that I couldn't pick,
  284. 13:39except the balcony lock
  285. 13:43to the room that had the computer
  286. 13:44that would stamp out the keys.
  287. 13:47(people laughing)
  288. 13:49So I climbed out, I know the statute
  289. 13:51of limitations has passed.
  290. 13:52I hope so.
  291. 13:53I could tell the story.
  292. 13:54I climbed out, you know, from my office on the scaffolding.
  293. 13:59Like we, you know, I had to do this.
  294. 14:00I knew they were gonna take the scaffolding
  295. 14:01down like in the next week,
  296. 14:03- [Jennifer] Weren't we on the fourth floor?
  297. 14:04- Yeah. - [Jennifer] Okay.
  298. 14:06- But it was like a real, you know, scaffolding
  299. 14:08with like all the, I don't know, seems say I don't,
  300. 14:12I was a kid.
  301. 14:13That was the judgment I had.
  302. 14:14So anyway, I climbed over to the balcony,
  303. 14:17picked, that one was a physical lock,
  304. 14:19probably still is.
  305. 14:21Got into the computer there.
  306. 14:24I think I made a copy of all the software
  307. 14:27on the computer,
  308. 14:28like made myself a master key
  309. 14:30and then erased the copy.
  310. 14:32And then for a while the master key worked
  311. 14:34for kind of everything, but.
  312. 14:40- And I thought all you were doing was rollerblading up
  313. 14:42and down the hallways, which you were also doing.
  314. 14:44But yeah, okay.
  315. 14:45- But the scaffolding I didn't try with skates on,
  316. 14:48that would've been,
  317. 14:50that would've been too much.
  318. 14:52- Your career could have gone
  319. 14:54in so many different directions given the.
  320. 14:56(people laughing)
  321. 14:57- [Sergey] Yeah.
  322. 14:58- Education you were getting at the engineering school.
  323. 15:01But it didn't go in any, just any,
  324. 15:03the lock picking and career as a CIA agent or something,
  325. 15:10it didn't fully materialize.
  326. 15:13Tell us about how it did materialize.
  327. 15:17The, I mean.
  328. 15:18- I think what, you know, we worked on the ideas
  329. 15:22behind Google for a number of years,
  330. 15:24starting probably like in 95,
  331. 15:27and kudos to Larry to like really focusing
  332. 15:29on the link structure of the web.
  333. 15:32But at the time, the web was the new thing
  334. 15:35and everybody would do, you know,
  335. 15:38it was so easy to create some new idea.
  336. 15:42Like I think my first moneymaking idea
  337. 15:46was this pizza ordering, you know,
  338. 15:49it seemed crazy at the time
  339. 15:50that you could order food online.
  340. 15:51Nowadays we take it for granted.
  341. 15:54And as a joke, I like put a coke ad at the top.
  342. 15:57I thought it was ha, ha so funny.
  343. 15:58There'd be internet ads.
  344. 16:01But obviously, yeah.
  345. 16:03Turned out to be not that funny.
  346. 16:06(people laughing)
  347. 16:07Anyway, it failed quite profoundly
  348. 16:09because like the way it worked is you'd put in your order
  349. 16:13to the website and then, you know,
  350. 16:15pizza places were not online generally speaking,
  351. 16:18but I had this idea they had fax machines,
  352. 16:21so it would automatically send them a fax with the order.
  353. 16:24But then I realized they don't actually check their faxes
  354. 16:26very often and it flopped from there, so.
  355. 16:30That didn't particularly pan out,
  356. 16:32but it was, you know, at the time,
  357. 16:34like I guess all of us probably
  358. 16:38in the computer science department,
  359. 16:39like understood how the internet worked pretty well.
  360. 16:43How, you know, web servers worked.
  361. 16:44Like you could whip one of these out really quickly.
  362. 16:48So everybody was just drawing stuff on the web.
  363. 16:52It was just a very creative period.
  364. 16:54Anyway, so Larry was focused on the link structure.
  365. 16:56I was working on data mining at the time
  366. 17:01and we joined forces.
  367. 17:03And you know, soon enough we found we had something
  368. 17:07that was pretty useful for search,
  369. 17:11but we spent a while just experimenting with it at Stanford
  370. 17:15and like thinking to make an academic project or not.
  371. 17:19We tried to, you know, license it
  372. 17:21to various internet companies.
  373. 17:26One time we had pitched it to Excite
  374. 17:30and Vinod Khosla to his credit thought,
  375. 17:32hey, this is great,
  376. 17:33you guys should buy this.
  377. 17:34But Excite wasn't very interested.
  378. 17:36But we had an email back and forth with Vinod
  379. 17:39and we sent a note and said, okay, we'll you know,
  380. 17:44We'll license you the technology for $1.6 million.
  381. 17:47And we got a reply like 15 minutes later saying that,
  382. 17:51"Oh, that's a lot of moolah," but okay.
  383. 17:54And we're like excited.
  384. 17:55To graduate students, that was a lot of money.
  385. 17:58And then our friend Scott at the time,
  386. 17:59there were four us working on it.
  387. 18:02Scott and Alan were the other two.
  388. 18:04They went off to start their own companies.
  389. 18:06Anyway, Scott comes in laughing hysterically
  390. 18:09and it turns out he had faked the reply.
  391. 18:11'Cause back then you could,
  392. 18:12(people laughing)
  393. 18:14you couldn't send an email from anybody.
  394. 18:18So yeah, that deal didn't come to pass, obviously.
  395. 18:23But eventually Larry and I just decided that,
  396. 18:25hey, to scale this up,
  397. 18:27it would be really good to, you know, get actual money.
  398. 18:32And eventually we found some angels, which was very easy.
  399. 18:36And you know, my advisor Jeff,
  400. 18:39because for me, I was leaving a PhD program.
  401. 18:42My parents were disappointed,
  402. 18:44but he was like, well, why don't you just give it a try
  403. 18:46and if it doesn't work out, you come back.
  404. 18:48So I'm still on leave of absence technically,
  405. 18:50might still come back.
  406. 18:52We'll see how it goes.
  407. 18:53- I'm gonna come back to that later to see.
  408. 18:55- [Sergey] Yeah.
  409. 18:56- See if you might wanna think about coming
  410. 18:57back to get your degree.
  411. 19:00I love that part of the story.
  412. 19:03and it actually, it's interesting
  413. 19:04to think about in the context of today
  414. 19:06that entrepreneurship was sort of the last option to explore
  415. 19:09after you went out and tried to license and so forth.
  416. 19:14I mean you actually probably contributed
  417. 19:16a lot to changing that in some ways.
  418. 19:20- Yeah, I don't know.
  419. 19:21I mean, our journey was its own particular one.
  420. 19:26I mean, both Scott and Alan went off
  421. 19:28to run their own companies.
  422. 19:30That was part of the reason they left.
  423. 19:31Maybe they were impatient with us trying to take it out,
  424. 19:36but it wasn't like, you know, at the time a lot
  425. 19:39of people were starting companies, quite honestly.
  426. 19:43And like I said, they, Alan was kind of involved already
  427. 19:47with this weather company.
  428. 19:50I guess now known as Weather Underground,
  429. 19:51I think it got bought by,
  430. 19:53I can't remember, weather.com
  431. 19:54or one of the other ones recent, well, like in recent years.
  432. 19:57And Scott had this company that was archiving mailing lists
  433. 20:02and it was e-Groups
  434. 20:03and eventually got bought by Yahoo and so forth.
  435. 20:06But it was pretty common.
  436. 20:08But yeah, I don't know.
  437. 20:09We kind of, we probably took longer to make that kind
  438. 20:14of decision than a lot of other people would've.
  439. 20:19- So you, from that start, I mean, you look back now,
  440. 20:22of course, and Google's a $4 trillion company
  441. 20:26and you process 10 million searches every minute
  442. 20:32and are in a huge number of, I mean,
  443. 20:35just the enormous number of different product
  444. 20:38and so forth.
  445. 20:41At the time that you and Larry went to start the company.
  446. 20:47I mean, that none of that was obvious,
  447. 20:51at least to most people.
  448. 20:53And that's why I wasn't licensed and so forth.
  449. 20:56An you must have, you must have,
  450. 21:00you obviously made a lot of good decisions over the years
  451. 21:03to get from where you started to where the company ended up.
  452. 21:06Are there things that you did right at the beginning
  453. 21:09when you were creating Google that you look back
  454. 21:12and you think that was really important that we did
  455. 21:14that right from the start of the company?
  456. 21:24- I mean, I think early on,
  457. 21:28well, Larry was always very ambitious.
  458. 21:31He still is.
  459. 21:32In fact, there's almost no plan you can
  460. 21:34suggest to him that he won't say like,
  461. 21:37"Oh, that's not ambitious enough."
  462. 21:39You need, you know, not just the solar system,
  463. 21:41the galaxy, you know?
  464. 21:45So I think that's a little bit of sort of his passion.
  465. 21:51And, so yeah, we did have fairly early on the, you know,
  466. 21:56very ambitious mission statement.
  467. 21:59You know, to organize all the world's information
  468. 22:01and so forth.
  469. 22:05And, you know,
  470. 22:07I think that was a good kind
  471. 22:10of philosophy to start a company on.
  472. 22:14And also, we did start a fairly academic,
  473. 22:20I guess, minded company.
  474. 22:21I mean, we both came out of the PhD program,
  475. 22:25like a lot of the startups at the time
  476. 22:26were kind of out of college.
  477. 22:29I just do think that sort of shifts
  478. 22:32how you think about things a little bit.
  479. 22:36And you know, there are many phenomenal companies,
  480. 22:38just to be clear, that have come out of college.
  481. 22:43But you know, the investment in sort
  482. 22:46of foundational R&D and so forth,
  483. 22:48I do think was a part
  484. 22:49of the culture quite early on.
  485. 22:51- You hired a lot of PhDs as well,
  486. 22:53so it wasn't just the two of you.
  487. 22:56- Yeah, very much.
  488. 22:57I mean, I remember Urs Hölzle,
  489. 22:59who was one of our earliest guys.
  490. 23:02I knew him because I was on the Stanford, you know,
  491. 23:06the professor search committee.
  492. 23:08Like, like I'd already interviewed him.
  493. 23:11He got turned down for the Stanford job
  494. 23:14for, I don't know, whatever.
  495. 23:15It's complicated.
  496. 23:16You got a lot of good candidates.
  497. 23:17But like the moment he sent me a note, I was like,
  498. 23:21can you start tomorrow?
  499. 23:22I mean, because I already knew him
  500. 23:25and all of his qualifications.
  501. 23:30- I mean, you built, probably,
  502. 23:33I think there's a good argument
  503. 23:34that Google's been the most innovative company
  504. 23:38of the last 25 years in the whole world.
  505. 23:43And I mean, you can, and that by both in terms
  506. 23:45of product innovation,
  507. 23:48if you look,
  508. 23:48and a lot of great decisions went in there
  509. 23:51like building out video with YouTube
  510. 23:53and advertising with DoubleClick and Waymo
  511. 23:57and technical innovation going back to the beginning.
  512. 24:00But even now with chips, and and so forth.
  513. 24:06I'm curious about how you've,
  514. 24:08it's really hard for large companies
  515. 24:10to stay hugely innovative.
  516. 24:13Everyone has struggled with that
  517. 24:15and you've managed to do it.
  518. 24:17And many people, you know, attribute you personally
  519. 24:20with having a big impact there.
  520. 24:22How do you think about fostering a culture
  521. 24:25of innovation and your role in it?
  522. 24:28- Well, okay, thank you.
  523. 24:29You keep flattering me.
  524. 24:34I think that, well, first of all,
  525. 24:37we've definitely flopped on a bunch of things.
  526. 24:39We don't need to get into all of them right now,
  527. 24:42but we've had a long list of failures at the same time.
  528. 24:45So, you know, part of it is just trying.
  529. 24:49I think that because of the kind of academic roots,
  530. 24:58maybe we were more inclined to try hard things.
  531. 25:03And I think kind
  532. 25:07of coming into this last decade or so,
  533. 25:10especially the hard things have become more
  534. 25:12and more valuable.
  535. 25:16I guess I'm gonna, you know, if you look at AI,
  536. 25:19which obviously a huge trend,
  537. 25:21but like just, you know, the amount of computing that has
  538. 25:24to go into that,
  539. 25:26the amount of kind of deep math that has to go into that,
  540. 25:32those are all,
  541. 25:36you know, technically deep and challenging problems.
  542. 25:40And I guess it's just kind of a twist of fate
  543. 25:46that that turns out
  544. 25:48to be important at this stage in the world.
  545. 25:50I mean, there was a while where, you know, you could do,
  546. 25:52there was like pets.com, you remember?
  547. 25:54You can put anything on.com.
  548. 25:56It wasn't really that technically deep,
  549. 25:57marginal understanding of the web
  550. 25:59and you can do whatever.com.
  551. 26:02And you know, fortunately we were doing search,
  552. 26:05which did require some deeper technical skills,
  553. 26:12but the technical sophistication level has only gone up.
  554. 26:16And in fact, well now the people we hire are just,
  555. 26:21well, they're much more qualified than I am,
  556. 26:23or I was at the time.
  557. 26:25I was kind of a mathy computer science major
  558. 26:28because I had, like, during college,
  559. 26:31I did both math and computer science,
  560. 26:34which was somewhat unusual in my class.
  561. 26:40But nowadays, as we like hire people out of Stanford,
  562. 26:45and, you know, all the other top programs.
  563. 26:48Like these people are pretty sharp mathematically
  564. 26:53and computer science wise,
  565. 26:54and a bunch of 'em are physicists,
  566. 26:55because physicists kind of have to do the hard math
  567. 27:00and a lot of the stuff they do
  568. 27:02is like very computationally limited.
  569. 27:04So they need to kind of have some degree
  570. 27:06of the computation skills.
  571. 27:08So I just think somehow it has happened to be the case
  572. 27:12that some of the deep part tech
  573. 27:15has become increasingly important.
  574. 27:16And I think we just kind of lucked out
  575. 27:18on having set the bit early on in that direction.
  576. 27:22- That's an interesting observation
  577. 27:25that the technical problems have come to the fore again,
  578. 27:30as a competitive advantage for companies.
  579. 27:33So let's talk about AI for a minute.
  580. 27:35I mean, everyone's thinking about it.
  581. 27:37You're back at Google working on it.
  582. 27:42You guys are at the forefront in a whole bunch of ways,
  583. 27:46and it's incredibly competitive.
  584. 27:47I mean, the amount of capital
  585. 27:50that's going into AI infrastructure
  586. 27:52is hundreds of billions of dollars,
  587. 27:54even at the level of individual companies.
  588. 27:57It's really extraordinary.
  589. 27:59How are you seeing the landscape right now
  590. 28:01for what's going on in AI?
  591. 28:05- Okay, let me think how to answer
  592. 28:06that without just pounding my own chest.
  593. 28:12I mean, yes, it's a huge amount of investment for sure.
  594. 28:18I guess I would say in some ways we
  595. 28:23for sure messed up in that we underinvested
  596. 28:26and sort of didn't take it as seriously as we should have,
  597. 28:30say eight years ago when we published the transformer paper.
  598. 28:34We actually didn't take it all that seriously
  599. 28:36and didn't necessarily invest in scaling the compute.
  600. 28:39And also we were too scared to bring it to people
  601. 28:41because chatbots say dumb things.
  602. 28:44And you know, OpenAI ran with it, which good for them.
  603. 28:48It was a super smart insight
  604. 28:49and it was also our people like Ilya
  605. 28:53who went there to do that.
  606. 28:58But I do think we still have benefited
  607. 29:03from that long history.
  608. 29:04So we had a lot of the research
  609. 29:06and development of neural networks kind
  610. 29:10of going back to Google Brain.
  611. 29:13That was also kind of lucky.
  612. 29:16It wasn't, you know, it wasn't luck that we hired Jeff Dean.
  613. 29:20I mean, we were lucky to get him,
  614. 29:22but we were in this sort of mindset
  615. 29:25that deep technical things mattered.
  616. 29:27And so we hired him.
  617. 29:28We hired a lot of people from Deck,
  618. 29:30honestly, because they had the top research labs
  619. 29:34at the time.
  620. 29:37But he was passionate about neural networks
  621. 29:40and it stemmed,
  622. 29:42I think from actually his college experiment.
  623. 29:45I don't know, he's like, he was like, whatever,
  624. 29:47curing third world disease
  625. 29:49and figuring out neural networks when he was like 16.
  626. 29:52And he's done crazy things,
  627. 29:53but he was passionate about it.
  628. 29:57He built up a whole effort.
  629. 30:00And actually in my division at the time in Google X,
  630. 30:04we had him, but I didn't, I was like,
  631. 30:07okay, Jeff, you do whatever you want.
  632. 30:09He's like, "Oh, we can tell cats from dogs."
  633. 30:10I'm like, oh, okay, cool.
  634. 30:13(people laughing)
  635. 30:17But you know,
  636. 30:18you also trust your technical people.
  637. 30:21And soon enough they were developing all these algorithms,
  638. 30:24these neural nets that were, you know,
  639. 30:26doing some of our search.
  640. 30:27And then, you know, Nome came up with a transformer
  641. 30:31and we were able to do more and more.
  642. 30:34But yeah, I mean we, so we had the underpinnings.
  643. 30:36We had the RD.
  644. 30:38We did underinvest for a number of years
  645. 30:40and didn't take it as seriously as we should have.
  646. 30:44But we also, at the time, we had developed the chips for it,
  647. 30:49like the TPUs go back, I don't know,
  648. 30:5112 years or something like that.
  649. 30:52Initially we were using GPUs
  650. 30:55or probably also among the earliest use GPUs.
  651. 30:58And then we used FPGAs,
  652. 31:01and then we tried to develop our own chips,
  653. 31:03which have now evolved through a bazillion generations.
  654. 31:08So I guess it was that
  655. 31:13the trust into going
  656. 31:14after the deep tech, getting the more computation out,
  657. 31:18developing the algorithms.
  658. 31:20And in parallel we were big investors
  659. 31:24in compute for a long time.
  660. 31:26So we've had the data centers for a long, long time,
  661. 31:29kind of on a scale that I don't think,
  662. 31:31well Amazon AWS also,
  663. 31:33it does have very sizable data centers,
  664. 31:35but very few have, you know, that scale
  665. 31:39of data center.
  666. 31:41You know, have their own semiconductors.
  667. 31:44Have, you know, the deep learning algorithms
  668. 31:48and so forth to kind of all the components of the stack
  669. 31:51to be able to perform at the forefront of modern AI.
  670. 31:57- How are you thinking about,
  671. 31:59I mean, the technology keeps getting better every year.
  672. 32:03There's a set of people who,
  673. 32:06and there's a lot of different visions
  674. 32:08for what artificial intelligence is gonna look like.
  675. 32:13Like are AI's really gonna be able
  676. 32:15to do everything humans can do,
  677. 32:17at least in front of a computer and maybe more broadly.
  678. 32:21What will that world look like?
  679. 32:22Do you have a view on that,
  680. 32:23on where the technology is going?
  681. 32:27- I mean, it is absolutely amazing just the rate
  682. 32:31of innovation and it's hugely competitive,
  683. 32:34now, obviously, as all of you see
  684. 32:36between the top US companies, the top Chinese companies,
  685. 32:43and it's, yeah, I mean, like, you know,
  686. 32:45if you skip the news in AI for a month,
  687. 32:47you're like way behind.
  688. 32:48Like, you know.
  689. 32:52So where is it going to go?
  690. 32:55I mean, I don't, you know, I think we just don't know.
  691. 32:57Is there a ceiling to intelligence?
  692. 33:00I guess in addition to the question that you raised,
  693. 33:02like, can it do anything a person can do?
  694. 33:05There's the question like what things can it do
  695. 33:07that a person cannot do?
  696. 33:09- [Jonathan] Yeah.
  697. 33:09- That's sort of a super intelligence question.
  698. 33:11- [Jonathan] Yeah.
  699. 33:12- And I think that's just not known,
  700. 33:14like how smart can a thing be?
  701. 33:19You know, we've had however many hundreds of thousands
  702. 33:22of years of human evolution
  703. 33:24and I don't know, whatever, millions of primate,
  704. 33:26but that's a pretty slow process compared
  705. 33:33to what's going on with AI.
  706. 33:35- Do you think we're ready for the speed
  707. 33:37at which the technology is advancing?
  708. 33:40- Are we ready for the speed the technology is advancing?
  709. 33:46I mean, look, so far I think people are getting,
  710. 33:49you know, definitely great use out of technology.
  711. 33:51I think even though there
  712. 33:54are doom and gloom forecasts here and there,
  713. 33:56like everybody's pretty well empowered.
  714. 34:00And the AI's, truth be told,
  715. 34:03are periodically dumb enough
  716. 34:06that you're always like supervising them anyway.
  717. 34:11But occasionally they're brilliant
  718. 34:12and give you a great idea.
  719. 34:14And occasionally, especially as a non-expert,
  720. 34:22well like, whatever,
  721. 34:23if I want to figure out how to create a new AI chip,
  722. 34:26I guess I could talk
  723. 34:27to our expert designers and stuff.
  724. 34:29But as a base case, I can at least,
  725. 34:31I can whip on my phone,
  726. 34:32I can talk to an AI about it.
  727. 34:34It'll probably give me a 90%, 80%, 90% decent sort
  728. 34:39of overview and understand it,
  729. 34:43or whatever, my health questions or whatnot.
  730. 34:47I mean, I do think it makes individuals very empowered,
  731. 34:51because generally speaking, you don't have
  732. 34:55like experts in X, Y, Z all around you all the time.
  733. 34:59And I think that empowerment can create a lot of potential,
  734. 35:04whether it's, you know, career or enterprise
  735. 35:08or health or living well.
  736. 35:12So look, I mean I don't think I have all the answers.
  737. 35:15I just do think it has a huge potential
  738. 35:17to improve individual capability.
  739. 35:20- Yeah, that's certainly the positive vision.
  740. 35:23That it could be an incredible augmenter
  741. 35:26of human capability.
  742. 35:28It's great that you're thinking about it that way.
  743. 35:31Let me ask a question, I think, which is always
  744. 35:34asked in the entrepreneurial thought leaders class,
  745. 35:39but is maybe particularly salient with the discussion of AI.
  746. 35:43Because one of the things I think every student at Stanford,
  747. 35:47and probably every college age student
  748. 35:49in the country is thinking about,
  749. 35:51is how will this technology affect
  750. 35:53their careers and their job opportunities
  751. 35:56and what they might go on to do.
  752. 35:59I'm curious if you have any advice for the students
  753. 36:01about what they ought to be studying
  754. 36:03or what they ought to be thinking about as they look at it,
  755. 36:06the job market and the future.
  756. 36:09- I mean, I think it's super hard
  757. 36:11to predict exactly what'll happen.
  758. 36:13I think, you know, if we look at from the advent
  759. 36:16of the web to cell phones and so forth,
  760. 36:19those have transformed our society profoundly,
  761. 36:22have transformed the kinds of jobs and careers
  762. 36:26and studies people do for sure.
  763. 36:28And AI will a hundred percent change that.
  764. 36:31But I think it's very hard right now
  765. 36:35in a rapidly shifting landscape to say exactly what.
  766. 36:39And also the AI we have today is very different
  767. 36:42from the AI that we well had five years ago,
  768. 36:45or the AI we are going to have in five years.
  769. 36:49So, yeah, I don't know.
  770. 36:53I think it's tough to really forecast.
  771. 36:56I mean, I would for sure use AI to your benefit.
  772. 36:58There are just so many things that you can do.
  773. 37:05Yeah, I mean, just myself as an individual,
  774. 37:07like I just, whether it's, you know,
  775. 37:11choosing a gift for my friends or family
  776. 37:14or brainstorming new ideas for products
  777. 37:17or what have you, or for art or something like that.
  778. 37:21Like I just turn to AI all the time now
  779. 37:23and it doesn't do it for me,
  780. 37:27because I always, you know, I typically will ask,
  781. 37:29give me five ideas, blah, blah, blah.
  782. 37:30And you know, probably three
  783. 37:32of them are gonna be junk in some way
  784. 37:33that I'll just be able to tell.
  785. 37:35But two will have some grain of brilliance,
  786. 37:41and you know, or possibly put it in perspective for me
  787. 37:46or something like that, that I'll be able to refine,
  788. 37:49think through my ideas.
  789. 37:51- Let me jump in with a really concrete question.
  790. 37:53So we have about 250 students out there.
  791. 37:56A lot of them are undergraduates.
  792. 37:58A great number of them have not selected their major yet
  793. 38:01because we give them a lot of flexibility here at Stanford
  794. 38:04for the undergraduates as well.
  795. 38:07A few years ago we could predict
  796. 38:09that a large number would choose computer science
  797. 38:12as their major.
  798. 38:13Are you recommending they pick,
  799. 38:14continue to pick computer science as their major
  800. 38:17and they're listening closely?
  801. 38:20- I mean, I chose computer science
  802. 38:23because I had a passion for it.
  803. 38:24So it was kind of a no-brainer for me.
  804. 38:30I guess you could say
  805. 38:31I was also lucky,
  806. 38:32because I was also in such a transformative field.
  807. 38:42I wouldn't like not choose computer science
  808. 38:45just because, you know,
  809. 38:48AI can be decent at coding nowadays.
  810. 38:54AI is pretty decent at a lot of things.
  811. 38:57Coding just happens to have like a lot of market value,
  812. 38:59which is why a lot of people pursue it.
  813. 39:01And furthermore, you know,
  814. 39:05better coding makes for better AI.
  815. 39:06So a lot of the companies like our own,
  816. 39:08that work on it care a lot about it.
  817. 39:10Like we use it a lot for our own coding
  818. 39:13and even for our algorithmic ideas and so forth.
  819. 39:18But that's because it's such an important thing.
  820. 39:22So I guess I wouldn't,
  821. 39:28I wouldn't go off and like switch to comparative literature
  822. 39:32because you think the AI is good at coding.
  823. 39:35The AI is probably even better comparative literature,
  824. 39:38just to be perfectly honest anyway.
  825. 39:39- [Jonathan] Yeah. - Like, I don't mean
  826. 39:43to disrespect comparative literature majors,
  827. 39:45but just like, you know, when you,
  828. 39:49when the AI writes the code,
  829. 39:51and just be honest, sometimes doesn't work,
  830. 39:52like it'll make a mistake that's pretty significant.
  831. 39:56Like, you know,
  832. 39:57getting sentence wrong in your essay about comparative
  833. 39:59literature isn't gonna like really have that consequence.
  834. 40:01So it's honestly easier for AI to do some
  835. 40:05of the, you know, creative things.
  836. 40:08- I think it's a very interesting observation
  837. 40:10about the technology.
  838. 40:11'Cause I think, you know, one inclination
  839. 40:13to say about AI is it's gonna be really good at solving
  840. 40:17these technical problems,
  841. 40:18but it won't necessarily do
  842. 40:19the things we associate with humans.
  843. 40:21Like being empathetic in a conversation.
  844. 40:24And if you ask one of these AI engines to say,
  845. 40:28simulate a conversation,
  846. 40:29it's actually pretty good at doing a lot of sort
  847. 40:32of giving you the structure for a complicated conversation.
  848. 40:35So I think that actually, I like that you're pointing
  849. 40:39to that uncertainty.
  850. 40:42One more question and then I wanna open up
  851. 40:44to the audience so that we give people a chance
  852. 40:46to ask questions.
  853. 40:47So this is the hundredth anniversary
  854. 40:49of the School of Engineering.
  855. 40:53If you were,
  856. 40:57if you were Jennifer
  857. 40:59and had to launch the school's second century,
  858. 41:02what would you be thinking about for the second century
  859. 41:05of the school of engineering?
  860. 41:07- Wow, okay.
  861. 41:08That's a big responsibility to like kind of plan.
  862. 41:13- [Jennifer] The dean job will come open.
  863. 41:15- It's a big responsibility.
  864. 41:16(people laughing)
  865. 41:25I mean, I guess I just would rethink what it means
  866. 41:31to have a university.
  867. 41:33I mean I know that sounds kind of annoying.
  868. 41:37(people laughing)
  869. 41:37That's the kind of thing Larry would say
  870. 41:39and I would be really annoyed with him.
  871. 41:41But you know,
  872. 41:43I mean we have this geographically concentrated thing
  873. 41:46and there's like the buildings
  874. 41:49and the fancy lecture halls.
  875. 41:54That really annoying blinking light, sorry, can't help it.
  876. 41:58You guys need to fix your,
  877. 42:01but realistically now, you know,
  878. 42:07information spreads very quickly.
  879. 42:09And many of the universities have, you know, obviously,
  880. 42:12whatever gone online, including Stanford.
  881. 42:14But, you know, MIT with the open courseware early on
  882. 42:17and all these startups that have gone this way, whatever,
  883. 42:21Coursera, Udacity, you name it.
  884. 42:23So the teaching is sort of getting spread
  885. 42:28and anybody can go online now and learn about it.
  886. 42:30You know, you can talk to an AI or take one of these classes
  887. 42:35and watch the YouTube videos.
  888. 42:40So I guess, yeah, what does it mean to have a university?
  889. 42:45Are you trying to maximize the impact in that case?
  890. 42:50You know, probably just limiting the geographically
  891. 42:53is not gonna be so effective.
  892. 42:55To be fair, I guess, you know,
  893. 43:00in the Bay area is kind of a special place.
  894. 43:02But yeah, I mean, I know I'm kind of rambling here
  895. 43:07and thinking through, but yeah,
  896. 43:11I just, I don't know that
  897. 43:12for the coming century that, you know,
  898. 43:15the idea of school of engineering
  899. 43:17and the university is gonna mean the same thing
  900. 43:21as it used to.
  901. 43:22I mean, people move around, work remotely,
  902. 43:26collaborate across.
  903. 43:30It's a little bit at odds,
  904. 43:30'cause we're trying to get people actually into the office
  905. 43:32and I think they do work better in person together,
  906. 43:35but that's at a certain particular scale.
  907. 43:40Like at some level if you have a hundred people together
  908. 43:43over there, it's like kind of fine.
  909. 43:45They don't have to be at the same place
  910. 43:46as these other a hundred people.
  911. 43:54And increasingly I do see sort of individuals kind
  912. 43:57of who create new things sort of regardless of degree.
  913. 44:04I mean, in as much as we've hired a lot of academic stars,
  914. 44:08we've hired tons of people who don't have bachelor's degrees
  915. 44:11or anything like that and they just figure things out,
  916. 44:16you know, on their own in some weird corner.
  917. 44:21I don't know. I, I think it's really a hard question.
  918. 44:25Yeah, I guess I don't feel like I'm gonna magically deliver
  919. 44:28you like the new recipe,
  920. 44:29but I just think this format is likely to be
  921. 44:35the one for the next a hundred years.
  922. 44:41- You took that in a deeper direction than I was.
  923. 44:44- [Sergey] Oh, sorry.
  924. 44:45- No, it was great actually.
  925. 44:46It was a bit deeper.
  926. 44:47- It sounded more presidential than Dean like.
  927. 44:49I think he's talking to you.
  928. 44:52- I agree.
  929. 44:53- It applies to the whole university.
  930. 44:54- You actually surface
  931. 44:56the most fundamental questions about the university.
  932. 44:58Which is that that the, you know, part
  933. 45:00of the university is about the creation
  934. 45:03and transmission of knowledge.
  935. 45:04That's the fundamental mission.
  936. 45:06Those can be done in different ways as technology advances.
  937. 45:10And then there's a question about the model of having kind
  938. 45:13of a density of talent all in one place,
  939. 45:15bumping into each other, sort of, you know,
  940. 45:17which, of course, was what led to you creating Google
  941. 45:20and has led to a lot of great things.
  942. 45:21And will there be substitutes for that
  943. 45:26kind of ecosystem that gets created on a university campus
  944. 45:30and, or, you know, how fundamental is that?
  945. 45:35And will it continue to be?
  946. 45:36So I actually thought that was,
  947. 45:38I appreciate that you surface such a deep question
  948. 45:40in this session.
  949. 45:42All right, I wanna make sure we give some questions
  950. 45:44for other folks out in the audience.
  951. 45:46So Jennifer, I'm gonna turn to you
  952. 45:47to take some questions from the folks out here.
  953. 45:51- Yes, so the students
  954. 45:52in the Entrepreneurial Thought Leaders class
  955. 45:54submitted questions in advance
  956. 45:56and a number of those were selected.
  957. 45:59And so with the time we have left, we're going
  958. 46:01to have a few questions from our students.
  959. 46:04I think the first one is over here.
  960. 46:07- Dean Widom, President Levin and Sergey Brin,
  961. 46:10thank you for your time.
  962. 46:11My name is Rasha Barve from Kansas City
  963. 46:13studying MSENIR.
  964. 46:15And my first question goes out to Sergey.
  965. 46:17It actually just touches on what we were discussing.
  966. 46:20Google largely grew out
  967. 46:21of the academic work you authored on PageRank,
  968. 46:24and with industry now driving so much of today's innovation,
  969. 46:28do you still feel that the academia
  970. 46:30to industry pipeline is crucial?
  971. 46:32And if so, how might you strengthen it?
  972. 46:36- Wow, that's a great question.
  973. 46:40Is the academia to industry pipeline crucial?
  974. 46:46Yeah, I'm gonna give you an I don't know on that,
  975. 46:50because I guess,
  976. 46:55you know, when I was a grad student,
  977. 46:59the sort of time from some new idea
  978. 47:06to it being maybe commercially valuable was many decades.
  979. 47:15If that compresses, then it no longer makes
  980. 47:18as much sense to do.
  981. 47:21I mean, in academia you have freedom
  982. 47:22to think about it for a while.
  983. 47:25Whatever, you apply for grants, you do this and that
  984. 47:27and you can kind of spend couple decades thinking about it
  985. 47:31and then it percolates.
  986. 47:32And then, you know, eventually maybe there's
  987. 47:35some big company or your startup kind of pursues it.
  988. 47:39The question is, does that make sense
  989. 47:43if that timeline shrinks a lot?
  990. 47:48I think there are,
  991. 47:51I think there are certain things
  992. 47:54that for sure make sense
  993. 47:55and I definitely, you know, even within AI,
  994. 48:01you know, periodically keep up with the Stanford research
  995. 48:03and other universities.
  996. 48:06Occasionally we, whatever, hire those folks
  997. 48:10and collaborate with 'em and whatnot.
  998. 48:15But I guess I don't know that they needed to have
  999. 48:20that sort of period of time
  1000. 48:24that they were trying, whatever,
  1001. 48:25some new attention thing let's say.
  1002. 48:28And they spent a couple years experiment
  1003. 48:31and then, you know, they took it
  1004. 48:32to industry in one form or another.
  1005. 48:35I mean obviously industry is also doing all those things.
  1006. 48:38So probably not a huge argument for that.
  1007. 48:42Radical sort of new architectures and things, maybe.
  1008. 48:50But it's sort of, you know, the time
  1009. 48:52that industry will scale, it will be much faster.
  1010. 48:57I guess, you know, quantum computing comes to mind.
  1011. 49:00There was sort of first brainstormed, I dunno,
  1012. 49:04when did Definement, like in the eighties or something
  1013. 49:06kind of postulate this idea
  1014. 49:07of quantum computing
  1015. 49:10and now there are a bunch of companies
  1016. 49:11that are included.
  1017. 49:13They're sort of doing it.
  1018. 49:15There are also university labs
  1019. 49:16that try like new ways to do it.
  1020. 49:20That's kind of like on the fence maybe.
  1021. 49:24I guess I would say if you have some completely new idea,
  1022. 49:28like you're not doing superconducting qubits like we are,
  1023. 49:30or whatever, the trapped ions like a bunch
  1024. 49:35of startups are,
  1025. 49:38but you have some new way.
  1026. 49:42Maybe you need to let it marinate in university
  1027. 49:45for some number of years.
  1028. 49:46Those things are kind of hard.
  1029. 49:48It could make sense,
  1030. 49:51but then at some point if you decide it's really compelling,
  1031. 49:53you're probably gonna go ahead
  1032. 49:54and take it commercial in one way or another.
  1033. 50:00Yeah, I don't know.
  1034. 50:01I want to give you a clear cut answer,
  1035. 50:03because you know,
  1036. 50:06the top companies now do invest
  1037. 50:07in much more fundamental research
  1038. 50:10and I think it's sort of with AI starting
  1039. 50:13to pay off that, you know, those investments are paying off.
  1040. 50:20So I guess it would shift the proportion
  1041. 50:24of endeavors that you would do.
  1042. 50:27But I do think there are still some things that do,
  1043. 50:31that do take, you know, like the decade of kind
  1044. 50:33of more pure research
  1045. 50:36that maybe companies are gonna be more reluctant to pursue
  1046. 50:41because that's just too long in a time to market.
  1047. 50:45- All right, next question I think is over here.
  1048. 50:49- Hi everyone, my name is Arnov
  1049. 50:51and I'm a freshman studying computer science and math.
  1050. 50:54My question is for Sergey Brin.
  1051. 50:57As AI accelerates at this unprecedented rate,
  1052. 51:01what mindset should young aspiring entrepreneurs
  1053. 51:05like myself adopt to avoid repeating earlier mistakes?
  1054. 51:11- Oh, what mindset should you adopt
  1055. 51:13to avoid repeating earlier mistakes?
  1056. 51:26Yeah, when you have it like your cool
  1057. 51:27new wearable device idea, really fully bake it
  1058. 51:31before you have a cool stunt involving
  1059. 51:34skydiving and airships.
  1060. 51:38That's one tip.
  1061. 51:44No, I actually, I like the sort of what we were doing back
  1062. 51:47in the day for Google Glass that's like, you know,
  1063. 51:49an example of prior mistakes.
  1064. 51:52But I think I tried to commercialize it
  1065. 51:54too quickly before, you know,
  1066. 51:58we could make it more, you know,
  1067. 51:59as cost-effectively as we needed to
  1068. 52:01and as polished as we needed to
  1069. 52:02from consumer standpoint and so forth.
  1070. 52:05I sort of, you know, jumped the gun
  1071. 52:07and I thought, oh, I'm the next Steve Jobs,
  1072. 52:09I can make this thing, ta, da.
  1073. 52:14That's probably one.
  1074. 52:15I guess, yeah, if I encapsulate it,
  1075. 52:19yeah, everybody thinks they're the next Steve Jobs.
  1076. 52:21I've definitely made that mistake.
  1077. 52:23But you know, he was a pretty unique kind of guy.
  1078. 52:28So, yeah,
  1079. 52:32I guess I would say, you know,
  1080. 52:34make sure you've baked your idea long and developed it
  1081. 52:38sort of long enough to far enough point before,
  1082. 52:44there's sort of a treadmill you get onto
  1083. 52:46where you're sort of,
  1084. 52:47outside expectations increase, the expenses increase,
  1085. 52:51and you're sort of then,
  1086. 52:52you kind of have to deliver by a certain time.
  1087. 52:57And you might not have that, you know,
  1088. 52:58you might not be able
  1089. 52:59to do everything you to do in that amount of time.
  1090. 53:01You kind of get this snowball, I guess, of expectations
  1091. 53:06that happens and you don't give yourself all the time
  1092. 53:09you need to process them.
  1093. 53:10That's the mistake I would've tried to avoid.
  1094. 53:13- All right. I think we're gonna go over to this side.
  1095. 53:18- I thank you for the talk.
  1096. 53:20This question is, so my name is Esha Bargetag.
  1097. 53:22I'm an undergraduate freshman at Stanford University.
  1098. 53:25This question is for Sergey Brin and Jennifer.
  1099. 53:28So we see a lot of AI companies
  1100. 53:30improving large language models
  1101. 53:31via scaling data and scaling compute.
  1102. 53:34My question is, once we do run out of data
  1103. 53:37and once we do run out of compute,
  1104. 53:39what do you think will be the next direction?
  1105. 53:41Would it be in newer architecture,
  1106. 53:43something an alternative to transformers?
  1107. 53:45Or would it be a better learning method,
  1108. 53:47something better than like supervised learning
  1109. 53:50or RL that we use to train these large language models?
  1110. 53:53Or is it a completely different direction
  1111. 53:55that you have thought of before?
  1112. 53:57Thank you.
  1113. 53:59- Yeah, I take it from my point of view.
  1114. 54:00I mean all of the things that you listed,
  1115. 54:03I would say have already been bigger factors
  1116. 54:07than scaling computer, scaling data.
  1117. 54:11I think that's sort of what people notice the scaling,
  1118. 54:15because you're like building data centers
  1119. 54:17and buying chips and like,
  1120. 54:21well there were all the publications from OpenAI
  1121. 54:25and Anthropic about like different
  1122. 54:27kinds of scaling laws.
  1123. 54:28So I think that attracts a lot of attention.
  1124. 54:31But I think if you carefully line things up,
  1125. 54:34you'll see that actually
  1126. 54:36the algorithmic progress as outpaced,
  1127. 54:39even the scaling, over the last decade or something.
  1128. 54:43At some point, actually a while ago, many,
  1129. 54:45while I was in grad school, I think I saw this kind of plot
  1130. 54:48for like the N-body problem.
  1131. 54:51You know, like if you have gravitation,
  1132. 54:52they're all flying around and it actually, you know,
  1133. 54:57there's been huge, you know,
  1134. 54:59Moore's law increase in compute over since people started
  1135. 55:02worrying about that in the fifties to, I don't know,
  1136. 55:04by the time I read about in the nineties,
  1137. 55:06but actually the algorithms to do the N-body problem
  1138. 55:10far outpaced that compute scale up.
  1139. 55:14So I think you're gonna find that, you know,
  1140. 55:17companies like ours are never gonna
  1141. 55:19turn down being at the frontier of compute.
  1142. 55:24But that's, yeah, that's just sort of an,
  1143. 55:29that's the dessert after, you know, your main course
  1144. 55:33and the veggies of actually having
  1145. 55:35done your algorithmic work.
  1146. 55:37- I guess I'll jump in
  1147. 55:39and say that in terms of running out of compute
  1148. 55:43or running out of data,
  1149. 55:44or specifically running out of compute,
  1150. 55:45we're very familiar with that here already.
  1151. 55:48It's actually a issue that it's difficult for a university
  1152. 55:52to have the type of compute that the companies have.
  1153. 55:56We don't even come close.
  1154. 55:57But that does lead us to do quite a bit
  1155. 56:00of innovative work in
  1156. 56:01what happens when you have less compute
  1157. 56:03and how to make, you know, more of less.
  1158. 56:06So we do do a lot of that work here already.
  1159. 56:11Next question I think also on this side,
  1160. 56:15- Hi everyone, my name is Andy Zivortsy.
  1161. 56:18I'm a second year graduate student in chemical engineering.
  1162. 56:21My question is to all the speakers,
  1163. 56:26which emergent technology do you think
  1164. 56:30is seriously being underestimated in terms
  1165. 56:34of its long term impact?
  1166. 56:37Thank you.
  1167. 56:41- Whew, okay.
  1168. 56:42What emergent technology is being seriously underestimated?
  1169. 56:45Wow.
  1170. 56:50Okay, I probably, obviously can't say AI
  1171. 56:52because it's hard to argue.
  1172. 56:53But it could be underestimated.
  1173. 56:55- [Jonathan] It could be underestimated.
  1174. 56:56- It could be underestimated,
  1175. 56:57but probably not emergent at this point.
  1176. 56:59We couldn't use that one.
  1177. 57:01I mean a lot of people do wonder about quantum computing.
  1178. 57:05What it will bring.
  1179. 57:08It's probably not what I would hang my hat on
  1180. 57:10to answer that question.
  1181. 57:12Although I definitely support
  1182. 57:14sort of our efforts in quantum computing and so forth.
  1183. 57:18But there are many unknowns.
  1184. 57:20I mean, technically speaking we don't even know
  1185. 57:23if p is not equal to np.
  1186. 57:25Like on the computation front,
  1187. 57:27there's just so many unanswered questions
  1188. 57:31And the quantum algorithms are, you know,
  1189. 57:33specific for particular,
  1190. 57:36very particular structured problems.
  1191. 57:41That side I'm a big proponent,
  1192. 57:43but it's hard to put my finger on that.
  1193. 57:50I mean, perhaps the applications of both AI,
  1194. 57:53and for that at quantum computing,
  1195. 57:55to materials science,
  1196. 57:57because what could we do with different kinds of materials
  1197. 58:00that are better in a whole host of ways?
  1198. 58:03I mean, kind of the sky's the limit.
  1199. 58:08- I was thinking of materials as well actually,
  1200. 58:10but partly 'cause a lot of,
  1201. 58:13the underestimated is sort of interesting.
  1202. 58:15There's so much attention right now on, you know,
  1203. 58:18like what are the opportunities
  1204. 58:20for technological innovation?
  1205. 58:22So many technologies that aren't there yet,
  1206. 58:24like fusion energy or quantum,
  1207. 58:27they probably, it'd be hard to say
  1208. 58:30that people are missing them
  1209. 58:31and not paying any attention to them right now and AI,
  1210. 58:33but I think materials would be,
  1211. 58:36in my mind, would be one of them.
  1212. 58:39And probably some of the opportunities
  1213. 58:43in biology and health of which there are many
  1214. 58:48in molecular science that that's a.
  1215. 58:52It's probably getting less attention than AI right now.
  1216. 58:54But there's also a huge revolution in molecular science.
  1217. 58:59- Yeah, I was gonna say exactly the same thing.
  1218. 59:00I kind of watched the spotlight move around
  1219. 59:03and the spotlight is very large on AI right now,
  1220. 59:07but it was shining on biology
  1221. 59:10and it shouldn't stop shining on it.
  1222. 59:12There's all kinds of things going on in synthetic biology,
  1223. 59:15very exciting things.
  1224. 59:16So I think we need to broaden that spotlight a little bit.
  1225. 59:21Okay, over here.
  1226. 59:24- Hi, my name is Drew Mi
  1227. 59:25and I'm a student coming from Singapore.
  1228. 59:28My question today is for Sergey
  1229. 59:29and it's a bit more personal.
  1230. 59:32So we all grew up having limiting beliefs
  1231. 59:34and I was curious of what limiting beliefs
  1232. 59:37or deeply held beliefs you had while building Google
  1233. 59:40that you had to change
  1234. 59:42and how did that affect your decision-making?
  1235. 59:44Thank you.
  1236. 59:46- Huh, limiting beliefs.
  1237. 59:51Yeah, I guess like, I, I had a very,
  1238. 1:00:00like my life expanded pretty dramatically
  1239. 1:00:03at a much of stages.
  1240. 1:00:04Like I was born in Moscow in the Soviet Union
  1241. 1:00:08and it was very different.
  1242. 1:00:09You know, very poor, where everybody was very poor.
  1243. 1:00:13And I lived in a little 400 square foot apartment
  1244. 1:00:18with my parents and my grandmother
  1245. 1:00:19and had to walk up five flights of stairs.
  1246. 1:00:25I dunno, didn't really think about the world outside.
  1247. 1:00:29I guess I was lucky that my father kind of got a hint
  1248. 1:00:33of the world outside.
  1249. 1:00:34He, I guess went to some conference in Poland
  1250. 1:00:39where they told him what the western world was like
  1251. 1:00:41and he decided to move us,
  1252. 1:00:43which was very controversial at the time in the family.
  1253. 1:00:49But eventually we got to the US
  1254. 1:00:50and we're still, you know, very poor
  1255. 1:00:53and had to make our way out of having nothing.
  1256. 1:00:58And, you know, at time I had to learn a new language,
  1257. 1:01:01give up, you know, I had to meet, make all new friends.
  1258. 1:01:07So it was sort of challenging transition, but awakening.
  1259. 1:01:11And I think when I came to grad school at Stanford,
  1260. 1:01:13it was sort of a similar,
  1261. 1:01:15like now I had sort of this,
  1262. 1:01:19all this freedom in the way the professors entrusted me
  1263. 1:01:24and just something about California
  1264. 1:01:26that was very freeing and liberating in thought,
  1265. 1:01:31given the tradition of the state.
  1266. 1:01:35One that we're a little bit getting away from in California,
  1267. 1:01:37if I'm being honest.
  1268. 1:01:38But I'm not gonna complain about that.
  1269. 1:01:45But I guess it's this experience, I guess.
  1270. 1:01:54I guess I'm answering question backwards,
  1271. 1:01:56not like really a limiting belief.
  1272. 1:01:58I guess I had had the experience of expanding
  1273. 1:02:03my world in ways that seemed very painful at the times,
  1274. 1:02:07but later paid off just because of my personal history.
  1275. 1:02:13And I guess, you know,
  1276. 1:02:16those challenging transitions can pay off.
  1277. 1:02:26- Right, next question.
  1278. 1:02:28- Hello, thank you to all of you for being here.
  1279. 1:02:32My name is Lu Baba,
  1280. 1:02:33I'm a second year master student
  1281. 1:02:35in management, science and engineering.
  1282. 1:02:37Originally from Casablanca, Morocco.
  1283. 1:02:40My question is also for you Sergey,
  1284. 1:02:41it's also more on the personal side.
  1285. 1:02:44So you've achieved success at a scale
  1286. 1:02:48most people never experience.
  1287. 1:02:51Looking at your life now,
  1288. 1:02:54what is your definition of a good life?
  1289. 1:02:56What does it mean to you beyond all these accomplishments?
  1290. 1:03:01Thank you.
  1291. 1:03:02- Okay, thanks, what is the definition of a good life?
  1292. 1:03:10Well I guess that's, you know,
  1293. 1:03:13being able to enjoy your life, you know,
  1294. 1:03:15whatever you build.
  1295. 1:03:17I like to have family.
  1296. 1:03:19Have one of my kiddos here.
  1297. 1:03:20My girlfriend is here.
  1298. 1:03:23You know, I feel grateful to be able
  1299. 1:03:26to spend quality time with them.
  1300. 1:03:32I do feel quite grateful to be able
  1301. 1:03:35to be intellectually challenged sort of at this stage.
  1302. 1:03:39I actually retired like a month before COVID hit
  1303. 1:03:44and it was like the worst decision.
  1304. 1:03:48I had this vision that I was gonna sit in cafes
  1305. 1:03:52and study physics, which was my passion at the time.
  1306. 1:03:56And yeah, that didn't work 'cause there were no more cafes.
  1307. 1:04:01(people laughing)
  1308. 1:04:03And yeah, I don't know, I was just kind of stewing
  1309. 1:04:08and kind of felt myself spiraling,
  1310. 1:04:12kind of not being sharp.
  1311. 1:04:14And then I was like, oh I gotta get back to the office,
  1312. 1:04:17which at the time was closed.
  1313. 1:04:18But you know, after a number of months we started
  1314. 1:04:20to have some folks going to the office
  1315. 1:04:22and I started to do that occasionally
  1316. 1:04:25and then started spending more and more time
  1317. 1:04:28on what later became called Gemini,
  1318. 1:04:31which is super exciting.
  1319. 1:04:32And to be able to have that
  1320. 1:04:35technical creative outlet,
  1321. 1:04:37I think that's very rewarding,
  1322. 1:04:40as opposed to if I'd like stayed retired.
  1323. 1:04:42I think that would've been a big mistake.
  1324. 1:04:46- All right, I think we have time for one or two more.
  1325. 1:04:48I believe over on this side.
  1326. 1:04:51- Hello. thank you guys all so much for being here.
  1327. 1:04:53My name's Stanley Leo.
  1328. 1:04:53I'm a freshman planning on studying
  1329. 1:04:55management, science and engineering.
  1330. 1:04:56And I had a question for all three of you.
  1331. 1:04:58So for some context, like before arriving here,
  1332. 1:05:00I was absolutely terrified.
  1333. 1:05:01'Cause everyone here is like super talented.
  1334. 1:05:02I'm like, what is going on?
  1335. 1:05:04Like I have no clue like why I'm here.
  1336. 1:05:06And everyone just seems way too smart for me.
  1337. 1:05:08But after getting to know people,
  1338. 1:05:09I realized they're all just really
  1339. 1:05:10relatable and normal people.
  1340. 1:05:12So for all three of you, you guys are viewed as like some
  1341. 1:05:14of the best leaders, innovators in the world.
  1342. 1:05:17But if there's one thing you'd like to share
  1343. 1:05:18that is reassuringly relatable
  1344. 1:05:20and human about yourself, what would that be?
  1345. 1:05:22Yeah.
  1346. 1:05:26- You wanna start Sergey?
  1347. 1:05:29(people laughing)
  1348. 1:05:31Okay, I'm gonna share it
  1349. 1:05:32and then I'm going to try to undo it, but okay.
  1350. 1:05:38I realize that sometimes I'm embarrassed to ask things.
  1351. 1:05:41I don't know, but I will go ahead.
  1352. 1:05:44Wait, what is management, science and engineering like?
  1353. 1:05:48(audience laughing)
  1354. 1:05:50Is it like a Dilbert kind of like,
  1355. 1:05:53I'm gonna manage, how does that work?
  1356. 1:05:57- [Stanley] It's the class. - It's a class.
  1357. 1:06:00- [Jennifer] It's a major - [Sergey] Wait, this class?
  1358. 1:06:02- [Jennifer] It's a department.
  1359. 1:06:02- It's a class of management, science.
  1360. 1:06:03- Is that this class?
  1361. 1:06:04I guess I should have read the details more.
  1362. 1:06:06- [Stanley] It's a major.
  1363. 1:06:07- It's called management science and.
  1364. 1:06:09It's the department?
  1365. 1:06:10- It's a department, yes. - But what do you study?
  1366. 1:06:14(people laughing)
  1367. 1:06:17Like what are the classes?
  1368. 1:06:19- So management, science and operate,
  1369. 1:06:22and engineering. I'm going to just.
  1370. 1:06:24- Okay.
  1371. 1:06:25- Say they just had their 25th anniversary,
  1372. 1:06:29but they were the merger of three departments,
  1373. 1:06:32industrial engineering, operations research,
  1374. 1:06:35and engineering economic systems.
  1375. 1:06:36So I think that describes.
  1376. 1:06:39- [Sergey] Okay, okay.
  1377. 1:06:40- That sort gives you a little triangle there
  1378. 1:06:41of what they do.
  1379. 1:06:42So some universities will have an industrial
  1380. 1:06:44engineering or operations research.
  1381. 1:06:46We have this all bundled together here
  1382. 1:06:48in Management Science and Engineering,
  1383. 1:06:50which is the department that sponsors
  1384. 1:06:52the Entrepreneurial Thought Leaders seminar,
  1385. 1:06:55which is what we are.
  1386. 1:06:56- [Sergey] Okay. - Conducting right now.
  1387. 1:07:00- All right, well I guess I didn't really know that,
  1388. 1:07:02so that's my embarrassing truth, but I'm glad I asked.
  1389. 1:07:05- What makes me relatable is that I can explain things
  1390. 1:07:08to Sergey Brin, pay attention to them.
  1391. 1:07:11(people clapping)
  1392. 1:07:16I'll let you off the hook, John,
  1393. 1:07:17and we'll go to our last question.
  1394. 1:07:19Do we have one more question?
  1395. 1:07:22I think we do, yeah.
  1396. 1:07:23- We can ask one more.
  1397. 1:07:24Hi, my name's Zena.
  1398. 1:07:26I'm actually the course assistant for the class.
  1399. 1:07:28So thank you for being here
  1400. 1:07:29and it's a great thing that we can have this last class.
  1401. 1:07:32I'm gonna ask you something that we ask a lot
  1402. 1:07:34of our speakers usually is to give a recommendation
  1403. 1:07:37to the students as to what do you do with your time
  1404. 1:07:41to stay on top of things.
  1405. 1:07:42And you just said you really like staying sharp
  1406. 1:07:44and being on top of what's happening in AI and whatnot.
  1407. 1:07:46So what books do you read?
  1408. 1:07:48What podcasts do you listen to in your car?
  1409. 1:07:52- Okay, I'm gonna try to do this without advertising or so.
  1410. 1:07:55Well, okay, so the thing I like to do,
  1411. 1:07:59but you shouldn't do it now
  1412. 1:08:00because we have like way better version coming,
  1413. 1:08:03but I do talk to Gemini live in the car often and I ask,
  1414. 1:08:08but the publicly available version right now
  1415. 1:08:10is not our good version.
  1416. 1:08:12So like, you shouldn't do it today,
  1417. 1:08:14but give me a few weeks to actually ship
  1418. 1:08:18what I have access to,
  1419. 1:08:20because we have like an ancient model
  1420. 1:08:22behind it in the publicly research version right now.
  1421. 1:08:24It's a little embarrassing, but I do like ask it like,
  1422. 1:08:29you know, whatever, I want to develop a data center,
  1423. 1:08:33you know, whatever, I need how many hundreds of megawatts
  1424. 1:08:37of this kind of power, that kind of power,
  1425. 1:08:38how much it's gonna cost.
  1426. 1:08:40And I just talk to it about stuff on my drive.
  1427. 1:08:45Okay, that does seem kind of self advertising with Gemini.
  1428. 1:08:52I mean, I do periodically listen
  1429. 1:08:53to a whole bunch of podcasts.
  1430. 1:08:56The "All In Guys," are actually one of my favorites
  1431. 1:09:01and they're great hosts.
  1432. 1:09:05We just visited Ben Shapiro, another podcaster down in,
  1433. 1:09:08we were in Florida, got to see his studio.
  1434. 1:09:12I mean a bunch of these podcasters are actually pretty
  1435. 1:09:15fun to meet in person.
  1436. 1:09:18But yeah, I guess, okay,
  1437. 1:09:19that's not how you're gonna learn about it.
  1438. 1:09:22You're gonna,
  1439. 1:09:23but I do just listen to them, see what's up.
  1440. 1:09:26But I do prefer to have an interactive discussion
  1441. 1:09:31on my drive, so that's why I talk to the AI,
  1442. 1:09:33as embarrassing as that sounds.
  1443. 1:09:37- [Jennifer] Okay.
  1444. 1:09:38- [Jonathan] Sort of a glimpse of the future,
  1445. 1:09:39I think actually.
  1446. 1:09:40That's a good way to end.
  1447. 1:09:42We'll probably all be doing it.
  1448. 1:09:43- [Jennifer] So - Soon.
  1449. 1:09:44- Might, yes.
  1450. 1:09:46So thank you John.
  1451. 1:09:47Thank you, Sergey.
  1452. 1:09:49I also wanted to thank Emily Ma.
  1453. 1:09:51Emily is a Stanford adjunct lecturer.
  1454. 1:09:53(people clapping)
  1455. 1:10:01Emily is a co-instructor of the course.
  1456. 1:10:04She's also a Google employee,
  1457. 1:10:06and she saw the potential
  1458. 1:10:07for this event and partnered with us.
  1459. 1:10:09So thank you very much.
  1460. 1:10:10Thank you all for being here,
  1461. 1:10:12for celebrating the School of Engineering's 100th year.
  1462. 1:10:16This was a perfect way to close out our first century
  1463. 1:10:20and let's see what happens next.
  1464. 1:10:22Thank you.
  1465. 1:10:23- [Sergey] Thank you. - [Jonathan] Thank you.
  1466. 1:10:26(people clapping)
  1467. 1:10:27- [Jonathan] Congratulations.

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