Best Values - SP Population and Value Analysis Part 2 (One Piece TCG) — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:00Hello and welcome to One Piece of
2. 0:02Insight. In today's video, we will be
3. 0:04taking another look at more SPs to look
4. 0:07at their population and see where we
5. 0:08might be able to find some value. This
6. 0:10is essentially part two of the video
7. 0:12that we released on Thursday. Also, stay
8. 0:14tuned to the end because I'm going to be
9. 0:15giving a summary of my favorite SPs
10. 0:18across all of the sets. As always, this
11. 0:20is intended to be interesting and
12. 0:22informative, but not financial advice.
13. 0:24So, with that, let's jump right in.
14. 0:25We'll start with a quick refresher of
15. 0:27typical populations for cards. So, for
16. 0:29mangas, you have between 1 and 10,000,
17. 0:31depending on what set you're in. For
18. 0:33SPs, which is what we're going to be
19. 0:34focusing on in this video, the
20. 0:35population ranges from about 4,000 to
21. 0:3712,500.
22. 0:39Then we have leaders that are slightly
23. 0:41more common than that at 8,000 to
24. 0:4225,000. And finally, we have alt arts
25. 0:45ranging from about 6,000 to 35,000. I'm
26. 0:47going to be using a color-coded system
27. 0:49to talk about value and to talk about
28. 0:51rarities. Yellow generally means I'm
29. 0:53okay with overpaying. It's not great.
30. 0:55Blue is sort of a middle tier. I think
31. 0:56it's reasonable. Light green is pretty
32. 0:58good, you know, a fair price with
33. 1:00upside. And then, uh dark green
34. 1:02obviously is, you know, the best of the
35. 1:03best.
36. 1:04So, the range of population of SPs, as I
37. 1:07said, ranges from about 4,000 to 12,500.
38. 1:10So, anything under 5,000, I'm going to
39. 1:11say is a very small population. Uh
40. 1:13anything that goes between 5,000 and 7.5
41. 1:16thousand, I'm going to say is pretty
42. 1:17small. Anything above that is going to
43. 1:19be medium. So, 7.5 to 9K. And then
44. 1:22finally, we have our large populations
45. 1:24of SPs, which is 9,000 to 12.5K. Okay,
46. 1:27so in the last video, we went through
47. 1:29the sets where I feel like I have a
48. 1:30pretty good sense of what the population
49. 1:32is. But in this video, we're going to
50. 1:33mostly talk about sets that I feel like
51. 1:35I don't have a good understanding of
52. 1:37what the population is. Typically, this
53. 1:38is because the sets are too new for us
54. 1:40to be able to use the methods we
55. 1:41typically use to estimate population.
56. 1:44So, I'm going to give my best guess. I'm
57. 1:46going to explain to you how I came up
58. 1:48with that reading the limited data that
59. 1:49we have available to us. So, but
60. 1:51understand to take all of this with a
61. 1:53massive grain of salt, please. So, let's
62. 1:55start by talking about PRB02. And PRB02
63. 1:58is one of the most confusing sets that
64. 2:00has ever been printed from a trying to
65. 2:01understand pull rates perspective. The
66. 2:04big issue here is the Sanji manga. So,
67. 2:06for every single set that we've looked
68. 2:08at, except for this one, which is why
69. 2:10it's so confusing,
70. 2:12mangas appear to be one in three cases
71. 2:14unless there are multiple mangas, and
72. 2:16then those are divided, right? So, if
73. 2:19there's three mangas, then they're one
74. 2:21in nine cases. If there's four, they're
75. 2:22one in 12 cases. Obviously, like the
76. 2:24special mangas have different rarity,
77. 2:26but like the Sanji is the first normal
78. 2:29manga that we've seen that does not
79. 2:31appear to have that rarity. And so, for
80. 2:33that reason, it's super difficult for me
81. 2:35to get an estimate of how many there
82. 2:38actually are. My best guess is that it's
83. 2:40like, you know, one in seven cases or
84. 2:42something, but that is like basically
85. 2:44just a guess. So, I wanted to come up
86. 2:46with a different way to try to calculate
87. 2:47the population for PRB02. And so, I
88. 2:50looked at the PSA and BGS populations of
89. 2:52Gum-Gum Giant and the Luffy SP. That's a
90. 2:55little bit flawed because it's like a
91. 2:57newer set, and those cards aren't as
92. 2:59expensive as the manga, so it's hard to
93. 3:01know what the population would be. So, I
94. 3:03ended up taking three different metrics,
95. 3:04and I'll tell you what all of them are,
96. 3:06and you can tell me which one you think
97. 3:07is the best. So, the first option I
98. 3:09looked at was to assume that 33% of the
99. 3:12cards have been graded by PSA or BGS.
100. 3:15Now, this is below our normal metric of
101. 3:17around 50%, but that is for cards that
102. 3:20are much older, cards that are more
103. 3:21expensive. I thought this was like the
104. 3:23highest possible percentage that I could
105. 3:26justify. That would give us a number of
106. 3:274,300. I also looked at an assumption of
107. 3:3025% of these being graded, which I think
108. 3:33is much more likely, frankly, than the
109. 3:3533%. That gave us a total of 5,600. And
110. 3:39then, just to add a third data point to
111. 3:40the mix, I looked at the TCGplayer sales
112. 3:43for the Luffy SP and used the metric
113. 3:46that I used in the promo video, and that
114. 3:48gave us a number of 7,600.
115. 3:51So, that leaves us with either this is a
116. 3:54very small population, a small
117. 3:56population, or a medium population. I
118. 3:59recognize not very helpful.
119. 4:01If I had to guess, I would say that this
120. 4:03is like
121. 4:05in the very small to small population
122. 4:08category. And the reason [snorts] is
123. 4:10because while I think there actually is
124. 4:11a fair amount of PRB02 that was printed,
125. 4:13you essentially have nine cards that
126. 4:16qualify as SPs. So, the other thing
127. 4:17that's weird about PRB02 is that unlike
128. 4:20most other sets where the event cards
129. 4:22are characterized as alt arts, the event
130. 4:24cards in PRB02 are characterized as SPs.
131. 4:27So, if you open your case of PRB02, you
132. 4:29could get two of the event mangas, you
133. 4:31could get two of the SPs that look like
134. 4:33Luffy, you could get one of each. I even
135. 4:35saw a case that only had one SP and had
136. 4:37three gold on. I don't know what to make
137. 4:38of that. I'm assuming that's just a
138. 4:39collation error.
139. 4:41But [laughter]
140. 4:42PRB02 is kind of a mess to try to
141. 4:44understand. So, all that is to say, for
142. 4:47the purposes of my analysis here, I'm
143. 4:48assuming that this is like, you know, a
144. 4:51small population of SPs. Because there
145. 4:54are so many SPs in the set, even though
146. 4:56it has a reasonably large print run, I
147. 4:57still think it's holding the population
148. 4:59of each individual card down pretty low.
149. 5:01So, Gum-Gum Giant, obviously $900 for an
150. 5:04SP is pretty expensive. This is one of
151. 5:07the most expensive SPs that are out
152. 5:08there. I don't think that's like
153. 5:10ridiculous given that this is probably
154. 5:12one of the lower print run SPs, but I
155. 5:14don't necessarily think it's like
156. 5:15undervalued. The big thing that I think
157. 5:17is undervalued here is this Luffy. You
158. 5:19know, we see Luffy prices going way more
159. 5:22expensive in a lot of other categories.
160. 5:24I know that he has a lot of SPs.
161. 5:26I know that like the big things that are
162. 5:28spiking in the world of Luffy are like
163. 5:29the mangas and the promo cards, but I
164. 5:33don't really understand why it hasn't
165. 5:34translated as well to the SPs. I think
166. 5:37for a small print run, this being only
167. 5:39$620 is like wildly undervalued.
168. 5:43Now, I will admit that I'm biased. I
169. 5:45think this is one of the coolest looking
170. 5:46cards, in person, uh that I've ever
171. 5:48seen. But, even if I set my own personal
172. 5:51biases aside, this is less than the
173. 5:53Luffy wanted poster, even though I think
174. 5:55the population of the Luffy wanted
175. 5:56poster could easily be close to double
176. 5:58this. I just think that this is really,
177. 6:00really underpriced at $620.
178. 6:03Uh and obviously, like, you know,
179. 6:04there's playability aspects of Gum Gum
180. 6:06Giant and things like that to take into
181. 6:08account, but the fact that it's so far
182. 6:10below that, I think it's pretty
183. 6:11surprising and unjustified. Then we have
184. 6:13My Era Begins. Like, I don't really have
185. 6:15a great comp um for what this card
186. 6:17should cost, to be honest. So, I'm going
187. 6:19to go ahead and say that because it's
188. 6:21reasonably similar to the other event
189. 6:23manga SPs in PRB-02, that it's fairly
190. 6:25valued, but I don't really have a strong
191. 6:27sense of what I think this one should be
192. 6:29worth. So, moving on to OP-13. So,
193. 6:31OP-13, like OP-09, had two different
194. 6:34types of SPs, and you were going to get
195. 6:36one of each in a case. So, you had the
196. 6:38gold background, like the Luffy on the
197. 6:40right, and then you had the wanted
198. 6:41posters, of course. There were fewer
199. 6:42wanted posters than there were of the
200. 6:44gold background ones, so the wanted
201. 6:46posters are less rare. So, my assumption
202. 6:49was to take the population from OP-09.
203. 6:53If I did that, then it would be 6,400
204. 6:55for the Luffy with the purple
205. 6:57background, and 9,450 for the wanted
206. 7:00posters. But, I also feel like OP-13
207. 7:02probably had a bigger print run than
208. 7:04OP-09. I don't have evidence to support
209. 7:07that, other than just my observations
210. 7:10about how much was available. So, I
211. 7:12added another data point of assuming it
212. 7:15was 25% larger. If that were the case,
213. 7:18then the purple Luffy would be a
214. 7:19medium-sized print run, and the wanted
215. 7:21posters would be a large print run, uh
216. 7:24one of the largest print runs that we've
217. 7:25ever seen. So,
218. 7:27for that reason, I think that the Ace
219. 7:30wanted poster is still too expensive. I
220. 7:32know it's come down quite a long ways,
221. 7:34and I know that the new cases have an
222. 7:36errata version, which in theory makes
223. 7:38this at least some amount more scarce,
224. 7:40cuz the original print run of OP3N was
225. 7:42massive, frankly. Um, but I just think
226. 7:45it's too niche. I don't know that people
227. 7:47are going to care that much. So, I think
228. 7:49in the short to medium term this
229. 7:50probably comes down further, but maybe
230. 7:52I'm just underestimating how many people
231. 7:54really care about error cards. I
232. 7:55personally think this is the least
233. 7:57desirable of the Luffy, especially given
234. 7:59the population of it. So, I'm not
235. 8:00surprised that this is the least
236. 8:02expensive of the Luffy cards. And then
237. 8:03the same thing with the purple Luffy
238. 8:05here. Um, obviously this used to be way
239. 8:08more expensive, but I think the size of
240. 8:09the print runs really hurting it here
241. 8:11compared to some of the other Luffy's.
242. 8:13Although at the same time, given that
243. 8:15its population is probably between like
244. 8:176,400 and 8,000,
245. 8:19I'm a little bit surprised that it's
246. 8:21this much less than the OP15 one. I know
247. 8:23people like that one better, but the gap
248. 8:25has gotten pretty wide. So, again, I
249. 8:27think this is a pretty fair price. I
250. 8:29wouldn't say that it's undervalued, but
251. 8:30I could see an argument why it might be
252. 8:32more expensive. Moving on to OP14. So,
253. 8:35again, I'm trying to guess the size of
254. 8:37the print run here. I used OP11 as a
255. 8:39benchmark for what I think the print run
256. 8:41might be for OP14, but as with all of
257. 8:44the rest of these, I don't really have
258. 8:45any good data to substantiate it. So,
259. 8:47I'm just using it like as a straw person
260. 8:50to try to have a conversation about what
261. 8:52I think these might be worth. So, if
262. 8:54that's the case, because EB04 and OP14
263. 8:57were both in the same set, you had more
264. 8:59SPs than usual. Unlike OP13, where you
265. 9:02were going to get one of each type of
266. 9:04SP, these appear to be like completely
267. 9:06randomized. So, I assume that all of the
268. 9:09SPs in this set have approximately the
269. 9:10same size print run. You know, so we
270. 9:13have the Zoro here at $950.
271. 9:15Obviously this is up from its recent
272. 9:17bottom. I do think this is one of the
273. 9:19most desirable SPs, and I think the fact
274. 9:21that it's like either a small or a
275. 9:23medium print run justifies this price.
276. 9:25So, this feels pretty fair to me. The
277. 9:27Boa, I'll be honest, I went back and
278. 9:29forth between whether I thought this was
279. 9:31like a tiny bit undervalued or whether I
280. 9:33thought this was just like a totally
281. 9:35fair price for it. I landed on it being
282. 9:37a tiny bit undervalued given how much
283. 9:39the other Boa cards are, but I also
284. 9:41think it's possible that like Boa cards
285. 9:43across the board are a little bit
286. 9:44overvalued and maybe that this is the
287. 9:46only one that isn't. So, I would just
288. 9:48take this with a grain of caution. I
289. 9:49think that while I could see an argument
290. 9:51for this being higher, I don't think
291. 9:53it's like wildly undervalued. And
292. 9:55finally, we have the Mihawk here, which
293. 9:57I think could be like a few dollars too
294. 9:58expensive, but seems to fall basically
295. 10:01in the range of what we expect for like
296. 10:02a second third tier character with solid
297. 10:05art in this type of population. So,
298. 10:07moving on to EBO3, which is I'm sure
299. 10:09what a lot of people have been waiting
300. 10:10for. So, my guess for EBO3 here was
301. 10:14based on two sets of graded card
302. 10:16population assumptions. As I did with
303. 10:19PRBO2, I looked at an assumption of 33%,
304. 10:22I looked at an assumption of 25%.
305. 10:24Given how new this set is, it is really
306. 10:27really hard to tell uh what percentage
307. 10:29of the population has been graded. It
308. 10:31could be much lower than this. So, the
309. 10:33population could be much higher, but I
310. 10:36think given what's been graded so far,
311. 10:39it seems pretty reasonable to assume
312. 10:41that the population here is in the very
313. 10:43small category or maybe in the low end
314. 10:46of the small category. Either way, given
315. 10:49that there were so many of the SPs in
316. 10:51this set and that I think it was a lower
317. 10:54print run than most other sets, even
318. 10:56though it was like definitely a bigger
319. 10:58print run than the other EBs, I do think
320. 11:00that these are genuinely pretty rare and
321. 11:03there's not going to be like a massive
322. 11:04population of these. That said, you
323. 11:07know, these are by far the most
324. 11:09expensive of the SPs and I am not sure
325. 11:12that that is justified by the
326. 11:13population. This Boa went from being
327. 11:16like $900 back to like $1,700 in the
328. 11:19span of 2 weeks. I do agree that it is
329. 11:21relatively rare um and I do agree
330. 11:24obviously that there are a lot of Boa
331. 11:26collectors who are going to find this
332. 11:27card desirable, but I think it being
333. 11:29like $600 more expensive than the Boa
334. 11:31Lisa, like this strikes me as too much.
335. 11:34I personally think the Boa Hancock is a
336. 11:36more desirable card even though it has a
337. 11:37larger print run. I feel more between
338. 11:40like the thousand and maybe thirteen
339. 11:41hundred dollar range feels reasonable
340. 11:43for this card. The other thing I would
341. 11:45say too is that I kind of expect this to
342. 11:46be the third most expensive of these
343. 11:49three cards and it currently is the most
344. 11:50expensive. So that's part of the reason
345. 11:52why I think it's likely overpriced. Next
346. 11:54up we have the Nico Robin and I'll be
347. 11:55honest I feel less confident in my
348. 11:56assessment of this one both because I
349. 11:58think that this is like
350. 12:01more standout art of Robin who's had
351. 12:03fewer cards than Boa and also because at
352. 12:06fifteen hundred dollars it's like much
353. 12:07closer to what I think is like a
354. 12:08reasonable range for these cards. To me
355. 12:10this should be either the most expensive
356. 12:12or the second most expensive of these so
357. 12:14like if this had been thirteen hundred
358. 12:17dollars maybe even fourteen hundred
359. 12:18dollars I could have argued that it was
360. 12:20reasonably priced but I do think it is
361. 12:22still pretty expensive at fifteen
362. 12:23hundred. I would personally expect it to
363. 12:25fall lower but again
364. 12:28when you're talking about a relatively
365. 12:29small population it's really really hard
366. 12:30to tell. And then finally we have the
367. 12:32Nami which again I would have expected
368. 12:34to be either the most or the second most
369. 12:35expensive so at thirteen hundred dollars
370. 12:38I still think it's like a little bit on
371. 12:39the pricey side but I think it's much
372. 12:41closer to what I think the fair value
373. 12:43should be for these being in like the
374. 12:45thousand to thirteen hundred dollar
375. 12:46range. You know maybe I could see an
376. 12:48argument up to fifteen hundred dollars
377. 12:50if it turns out the population really is
378. 12:52on the lower end of these. Next up we
379. 12:54have OP15. Now as with OP14 I used the
380. 12:57same assumptions
381. 12:58that we took the OP11 population and we
382. 13:01used that as one assumption and then we
383. 13:02took the OP11 population and increased
384. 13:04it by 25% to make our other assumption
385. 13:07so I think these SPs are likely either a
386. 13:09small or a medium population given that
387. 13:12there are nine of them in the set same
388. 13:13as with OP14. I think the Boa here is
389. 13:17pretty reasonable. I think it's probably
390. 13:18slightly more desirable than the OP14
391. 13:21Boa but which you prefer I feel like is
392. 13:23kind of a toss up so I think the fact
393. 13:25that it's similarly priced means it's
394. 13:27pretty fair. This Zeus card, part of me
395. 13:29feels it's like a little bit expensive
396. 13:31because it's Zeus and not Nami, but at
397. 13:33the same time like obviously this is a
398. 13:35very funny scene and you have a whole
399. 13:36bunch straw hats on the card, so I do
400. 13:38understand the argument for its
401. 13:39desirability. So, I'm going to go ahead
402. 13:41and say that I think that this is like
403. 13:43fairly priced with where it's at. And
404. 13:45then we have the Luffy here.
405. 13:47Again, I'm like a little bit surprised
406. 13:50that this Luffy is this expensive. Like
407. 13:52I would so much rather have the PRB02 uh
408. 13:55gold Luffy compared to this one and
409. 13:57that's even before considering the fact
410. 13:58that there's likely fewer of those than
411. 14:00there are of these.
412. 14:01But, you know, I think what we've seen
413. 14:03so far is that people really like this
414. 14:05artistic style. So, I think if that
415. 14:06holds, I wouldn't be surprised if it
416. 14:08stays around this price. So, I think
417. 14:10this is probably reasonably fair even if
418. 14:13I think it's like a little bit
419. 14:14expensive. And then finally, we have
420. 14:16OP16. So, to guess the population of
421. 14:18OP16, you'll never guess, I did the same
422. 14:20thing as with OP14 and 15. I took OP11
423. 14:24and I took two sets of assumptions, just
424. 14:26OP11, OP11 plus 25%. But, because
425. 14:29there's only six SPs in this set, that
426. 14:32gives us a much larger population of
427. 14:34between 10,000 to 12,500. So, I think
428. 14:37it's fair to say that these are some of
429. 14:39the most populous SPs that we've ever
430. 14:42gotten in the game right up there with
431. 14:43OP05. And so, for that reason, I think
432. 14:47that this Robin having fallen back down
433. 14:50to $720 is pretty fair. I think between
434. 14:54650, $750
435. 14:57given this population is probably a
436. 14:59pretty reasonable price for this. Just
437. 15:01seeing how many I think are out there if
438. 15:03this assumption holds, you know, it's
439. 15:05really really hard to say, right?
440. 15:07Because we know that there is no
441. 15:08collation for OP16. Whether that's
442. 15:11intentional or unintentional, it's
443. 15:13really hard to know how many of these
444. 15:14are out there. So, for that reason, it
445. 15:17probably should be a lower price than I
446. 15:19initially assumed based on the data that
447. 15:20we had. So, you know, I'm sort of
448. 15:22revising my target here to $650 to $750,
449. 15:27you know, down from like $800 to $1,000.
450. 15:30But I still think it's fairly priced at
451. 15:31like 720. Then we have the Ace. This
452. 15:33one's a little bit tough, too, cuz I do
453. 15:35think this is the most desirable Ace SP
454. 15:37that we've gotten, but acknowledging
455. 15:39that it's a really big print run, I'm
456. 15:40comparing it to the Law from OP04, which
457. 15:44again, like there might be almost twice
458. 15:46as many of these Aces as there are of
459. 15:48that Law, and that Law is only $220. But
460. 15:51at the same time, I also think that Law
461. 15:52is really underrated. So, where do we
462. 15:55land with that? I think somewhere in the
463. 15:57ballpark of $200 to $300 is still
464. 16:00probably a pretty fair price for this
465. 16:02SP. So, I think at 265, I would consider
466. 16:06it to be fairly valued. I wouldn't be
467. 16:07shocked if it falls a little bit more,
468. 16:09but I don't think it's like crazy at
469. 16:10this price.
470. 16:11And then we have the Katakuri, which at
471. 16:13$165, I think is too much. You know,
472. 16:16whether you love this art or whether
473. 16:18you're like me and it's not your
474. 16:19favorite, if I compare this to the
475. 16:21Whitebeard from OP04, having about half
476. 16:24the population of this one, and that's
477. 16:26only $130. Again, I do think the
478. 16:29Whitebeard is underrated, but I think
479. 16:31$165 for this also has to be too much,
480. 16:34right? Even if the Whitebeard was $200
481. 16:37or $250,
482. 16:39you know, I would still expect this to
483. 16:40be half the price of that at like 125.
484. 16:43So, for all of those reasons, I think
485. 16:45that the Katakuri is probably going to
486. 16:46continue to fall over the next couple
487. 16:48months. You know, I still like the SPs,
488. 16:50but I do have to acknowledge that there
489. 16:53are way more of these out there than I
490. 16:54had initially thought before I put some
491. 16:57numbers behind it. So, for that reason,
492. 16:58I do understand the argument for
493. 17:00exercising caution, but at the same
494. 17:01time, I do think there's going to be a
495. 17:02lot of demand, particularly for the Miss
496. 17:05All Sunday and for the Ace. So, it'll be
497. 17:07interesting to see where it goes. So, in
498. 17:09terms of the SPs that I like the value
499. 17:11of the most right now, you'll notice a
500. 17:12common trend across them. So, first,
501. 17:14we're going to start with the four
502. 17:15stars. You know, first, we have OP10, we
503. 17:18have the Sanji and the Usopp. Uh and
504. 17:21then we have OP12 with the Zoro Jurouro.
505. 17:23And then finally, OP14 with the Boa
506. 17:25Hancock. What do all these things have
507. 17:27in common? They all are relatively
508. 17:29popular or main characters where this is
509. 17:32their lowest price SP. And while I think
510. 17:35there are some reasons why these might
511. 17:38be the lowest price SP, particularly for
512. 17:40the Zoro, I do think that this creates a
513. 17:42pretty stable floor. As the game
514. 17:44continues to grow, as more people become
515. 17:47interested, as some characters like
516. 17:48Sanji and Usopp maybe become more
517. 17:50popular, as the manga evolves in the
518. 17:53case of Usopp, or as uh the live action
519. 17:55gets more seasons in the case of Sanji,
520. 17:58I think there could be a potentially
521. 17:59more of an audience for these cards. So,
522. 18:02none of these cards are like wildly high
523. 18:04population, uh and none of these cards
524. 18:06are wildly expensive. So, I consider
525. 18:08them to be a little bit lower on the
526. 18:10risk side while still retaining some
527. 18:12potential reward. You know, I think the
528. 18:14Boa is probably the riskiest here just
529. 18:16because it's the most expensive, but
530. 18:17given that it is the cheapest Boa, and
531. 18:19we've seen that people are willing to
532. 18:20spend a lot for Boa, I do think that
533. 18:22mitigates the risk uh there a little bit
534. 18:24as well. So, moving on to the cards that
535. 18:26I would consider to be five stars here,
536. 18:29uh again, we're looking at things that I
537. 18:30would mostly characterize as medium
538. 18:32reward, lower risk, maybe a little bit
539. 18:35higher reward than the other ones given
540. 18:37where their prices currently are. But
541. 18:38we're talking about a similar category
542. 18:40of card. We're talking about reasonably
543. 18:41popular characters that are either like
544. 18:44the lowest price SP they have, or in
545. 18:47some cases have like really, really
546. 18:49spectacular art in my opinion. And I
547. 18:51think for me, what distinguishes these
548. 18:53from the previous slide is that these
549. 18:56have really stand out pieces of art. You
550. 18:58know, I think that like this image of
551. 19:00Law could become more iconic in the
552. 19:02future. Same thing with the Newgate. I
553. 19:04think if they keep redoing this style as
554. 19:07they did with OP16, that will actually
555. 19:09create more demand for the OP04 ones
556. 19:12because you'll want to have a bunch of
557. 19:13different characters that go together
558. 19:15and some more artistic styles. You know,
559. 19:17I can imagine having like a portrait
560. 19:19gallery of my favorite characters
561. 19:21in this style. So, I like the potential
562. 19:23for those reasons. This buggy card, I
563. 19:25think really stands out as being
564. 19:27particularly interesting in its artistic
565. 19:29design. Again, this was a really hot
566. 19:31card when it came out and it's fallen
567. 19:33off a bunch since then. So, I do think
568. 19:35it has potential to grow in the future.
569. 19:37And then finally, this Ace. I think this
570. 19:38Ace looks amazing in person. I think
571. 19:40it's a really cool style for the Ace in
572. 19:42particular, given that Ace is made of
573. 19:44fire.
574. 19:46I think this card captures that really,
575. 19:47really well. So again, I don't think any
576. 19:49of these are like massive upside. None
577. 19:51of these are going to be like grails in
578. 19:53the future. But given that they're
579. 19:54popular characters, they're relatively
580. 19:56cheap, and I think they have standout
581. 19:58art, I think at these prices, they have
582. 20:00pretty low risk and therefore still also
583. 20:03have some medium upside. And then
584. 20:04finally, we have our two cards which I
585. 20:06consider to be the highest upside of the
586. 20:08bunch. There's the O-Nami card from OP07
587. 20:12sitting at $400.
588. 20:14Um this is still the cheapest of the
589. 20:17Nami SPs, so I think it sort of fits the
590. 20:19criteria of the previous two. But I
591. 20:22think one difference here is that this
592. 20:24one I think has more potential for
593. 20:25appreciation because it is so
594. 20:27interesting. Looking at how popular the
595. 20:29Zeus card is, because it has other
596. 20:30characters in it, because it has like a
597. 20:32really fun sort of imagery from the
598. 20:35anime, I think this checks all of those
599. 20:37boxes as well. Obviously not as many
600. 20:40straw hats and not as popular characters
601. 20:42in the background here, but I do think
602. 20:43the art on this one is really, really
603. 20:45amazing. So, this is the type of thing
604. 20:47that I think could be a must-have for
605. 20:48collectors in the future. And I think
606. 20:50this has potential to be much closer in
607. 20:53price to her other SPs. You know, if we
608. 20:55compare this to the OP05 SP, again, I
609. 20:58know that OP05 is iconic, but like I
610. 21:00think the art on this one is frankly
611. 21:02better. And there were twice as many as
612. 21:04the OP05 ones as there are of these,
613. 21:06approximately. So, for all of those
614. 21:08reasons I tend to think that this is a
615. 21:09pretty good value at $400. And while
616. 21:12there is some risk given that it is
617. 21:13already a little bit expensive, I do
618. 21:15think it has a higher potential for
619. 21:16reward than the other ones we've looked
620. 21:18at so far.
621. 21:19And then there's the one that I think is
622. 21:21the highest potential reward of all the
623. 21:22cards that we've looked at, and that is
624. 21:25the PRB02 Luffy SP at $620. At $620 it
625. 21:30already has run up a fair amount, so I
626. 21:32could understand why somebody might push
627. 21:34back and say, "Well, you know, this used
628. 21:35to be a pretty cheap card uh and now
629. 21:37it's really like tripled in price. Why
630. 21:39do you still think this is undervalued?"
631. 21:41Of all the SPs that we've looked at
632. 21:43that, you know, are under $700,
633. 21:47I think this one has the most potential
634. 21:48to be seen as like a grail in the
635. 21:50future, especially if it turns out that
636. 21:53PRB02 does have a pretty low population
637. 21:56for SPs. Like I said, I'm not super
638. 21:58confident in what the population here
639. 22:00is. It's somewhere between very low and
640. 22:03on the low side of average. But if this
641. 22:05ends up being a pretty scarce card, this
642. 22:07card just looks so amazing in person. I
643. 22:10do think this is one of those SPs that
644. 22:12has the potential to elevate at least up
645. 22:14to like Bubble Zoro territory, if not
646. 22:17above. And so for all of those reasons,
647. 22:19I do like the upside of this card better
648. 22:21than any of the other cards that we've
649. 22:22looked at relative to its price. So
650. 22:24that's all I have for today. As always,
651. 22:26you know, let me know what you agree
652. 22:27with, you disagree with in the comments.
653. 22:28I really enjoy engaging with you all. If
654. 22:31you're looking to pick up any of these
655. 22:32cards, you know, we have our TCGPlayer
656. 22:33link and our eBay affiliate storefront.
657. 22:36Uh you know, absolutely no pressure at
658. 22:37all, but if you buy through us, we will
659. 22:39get a small commission which helps us
660. 22:41out a ton. If you found this video
661. 22:42helpful, please give us a like. Uh if
662. 22:44you haven't already subscribed. With
663. 22:45that, as always, I appreciate your time
664. 22:47and I will see you in the next one.