Best Diet Confirmed by 5,248,916 Person-Year Study — Transcript
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- 0:00A new study that tracked over 5 million
- 0:02person-years of follow-up has confirmed
- 0:03the best diet for your health, and this
- 0:05is such a relief after all of the
- 0:07flip-flops. So, we had the fat-free
- 0:08craze in the '90s, then we had the
- 0:10low-carb Atkins explosion in the early
- 0:122000s. Now, there's keto influencers and
- 0:14these high-protein cheese puffs on your
- 0:16grocery shelves. There have been decades
- 0:18of nutrition advice and billions in
- 0:20revenue raked up by food industry who
- 0:22are only too eager to cash in on these
- 0:23trends, and people are still confused.
- 0:26So, which diet is best when it comes to
- 0:27your heart health? Should we aim for low
- 0:29fat or should we target low carbs? And
- 0:31is this whole debate just been a
- 0:33distraction? So, the conversation around
- 0:35diet and heart health began decades ago
- 0:37in the 1950s. So, a dramatic shift was
- 0:39happening, and suddenly everyone was
- 0:41talking about heart disease. So, in
- 0:43England, two Oxford researchers at the
- 0:45time, they were carefully examining
- 0:47official records and documented a
- 0:48shocking increase in the numbers of
- 0:50deaths from heart attacks and strokes.
- 0:52They were killing adults in 1945 at a
- 0:54rate of, and get this, 15 times greater
- 0:57than in 1921. And the same pattern was
- 1:00playing out in the US. So, deaths from
- 1:02heart disease, they were quite rare in
- 1:041900, and then they were the leading
- 1:06cause of death by the mid-century. So,
- 1:08there was an urgent need to understand
- 1:09what exactly was going on. And one
- 1:11theory that emerged identified diet as a
- 1:14key culprit. Specifically, it suspected
- 1:16that eating more saturated fat produced
- 1:18higher LDL cholesterol levels in the
- 1:20blood, and that higher LDL cholesterol
- 1:22was an essential ingredient for plaque
- 1:24accumulation within blood vessel walls.
- 1:26So, a researcher by the name of Ancel
- 1:28Keys put this theory on the map through
- 1:30a groundbreaking research project. He
- 1:32set out to find groups of people living
- 1:34in different places who had very
- 1:35different dietary patterns. So, in
- 1:37particular, he was interested in how
- 1:39much fat they ate. So, he ended up
- 1:41assembling a massive data set of 16
- 1:43cohorts of healthy men from select
- 1:45populations across seven countries,
- 1:47including several in Europe plus the US
- 1:50and Japan. So, it was called the Seven
- 1:52Countries Study, and the first findings
- 1:54dropped in 1970. In that study, heart
- 1:57disease was linked to blood cholesterol
- 1:58levels, and those in turn were linked to
- 2:00saturated fat in the diet. So, numerous
- 2:03studies continued to examine the data
- 2:05over the years as the cohorts aged, and
- 2:07the relationship held. A 25-year
- 2:09follow-up saw the same strong link
- 2:11between saturated fat intake and heart
- 2:13disease. So, Ancel Keys' research
- 2:15pointed to saturated fat, not just any
- 2:17fat, as the problematic element in the
- 2:19diet. But the nuance was easily lost,
- 2:22and guidelines often recommended
- 2:24slashing total fat intake, so fat of any
- 2:26kind. So, a statement, for example, from
- 2:28the American Heart Association in 1986
- 2:31pushed a reduction of saturated fat and
- 2:34total fat, and it recommended that we
- 2:36replace those fat calories with complex
- 2:38carbs. And when the flawed food pyramid
- 2:40in 1992 was released, it proclaimed the
- 2:42same message. It guided consumers to
- 2:44minimize all fats. It also graphically
- 2:47represented refined carbs as the
- 2:49foundation for a healthy diet, which is
- 2:51wild. This picture dominated for decades
- 2:53that the best way to beat heart disease
- 2:55was to eat low fat. But in the
- 2:57background, other researchers were
- 2:59quietly exploring an alternative story.
- 3:01So, at the same time that Ancel Keys was
- 3:03launching his famed Seven Countries
- 3:05Study, a British researcher by the name
- 3:07of John Yudkin was pouring over the
- 3:09statistics related to heart disease
- 3:11deaths. So, just like Ancel Keys, he
- 3:13spotted an interesting link between the
- 3:15rate of heart disease and dietary
- 3:17patterns. But the thing that jumped out
- 3:19from the data that he was looking at
- 3:20wasn't fat or even saturated fat. It was
- 3:23sugar. So, Yudkin's focus on carbs
- 3:25instead of fat as the driver of heart
- 3:27disease, it didn't gain much traction at
- 3:29the time. But in the late 1980s, a
- 3:31landmark lecture began to change the
- 3:33conversation. So, it was delivered by
- 3:35Gerald Reaven, who was receiving the
- 3:37prestigious Banting Award for diabetes
- 3:39research. In that lecture, he argued
- 3:41that insulin resistance was intimately
- 3:43linked to heart disease and related
- 3:45problems like high blood pressure. And
- 3:46the driver of insulin resistance? Well,
- 3:48in animal studies, it was a high-sugar
- 3:51diet. So, by the year of 2000, more
- 3:53important observational evidence was
- 3:55starting to come in from human clinical
- 3:56trials. So, a cohort of about 75,000
- 3:59women had been followed up for 10 years,
- 4:02and the researchers looked at the
- 4:03relationship between heart disease and
- 4:05glycemic load. Now, glycemic load is a
- 4:08measure of how much food impacts blood
- 4:10sugar levels. So, a high-impact glycemic
- 4:12load, that raises blood sugar levels
- 4:14more sharply. And at the top of the list
- 4:16of the types of foods with a high
- 4:18glycemic index are things like white
- 4:20rice, white potatoes, white bread, and
- 4:21sugary drinks. So, the results here were
- 4:24stark. The diets with the highest
- 4:25glycemic loads were associated with
- 4:28double the risk of heart disease. And
- 4:30this was even after taking into account
- 4:32other common risk factors. And as this
- 4:34research was happening in the
- 4:35background, a cardiologist by the name
- 4:37of Dr. Robert Atkins popularized a new
- 4:39narrative inspired by it. His book, The
- 4:42Diet Revolution, sold millions of
- 4:44copies. It painted carbs as the enemy
- 4:46when it came to heart disease and weight
- 4:48loss, and it advocated for minimizing
- 4:50them in the diet. But fat consumption?
- 4:52Well, it was no problem according to
- 4:53Atkins. So, we ended up with two
- 4:55competing pictures. One says low fat is
- 4:58the key to heart health, the other one
- 5:00says it's low carb. And this debate
- 5:02actually suited the food industry
- 5:03nicely. So, they've been all too happy
- 5:05to play along with these trends that
- 5:07focus on specific macronutrients. When
- 5:09low fat was the focus, they lined the
- 5:11shelves with low fat products, and we
- 5:13can see the same today with low carb.
- 5:15And more recently, it's now the
- 5:16high-protein craze. But this whole
- 5:18approach is missing something profoundly
- 5:20important, as we'll see in a moment.
- 5:22Now, it seems like it should be an easy
- 5:23matter to figure out which of these
- 5:25positions is correct. But as the actual
- 5:27data has come in, the picture has been
- 5:28messy. The results have been mixed. So,
- 5:31for example, one massive randomized
- 5:33clinical trial that included nearly
- 5:3550,000 participants with follow-up data
- 5:37of 8 years, the researchers looked at
- 5:39the impact of reducing total fat intake.
- 5:42And that's important, they looked at
- 5:43total fat intake, not just saturated
- 5:45fat. The impact of reducing total intake
- 5:48turned out to be extremely modest. Heart
- 5:50disease risk did not budge, even though
- 5:52there were some improvements in risk
- 5:54factors. On the other hand, a different
- 5:56trial put low fat and low carb diets
- 5:59head to head. So, those on the low-carb
- 6:01diet, they lost more weight over a
- 6:026-month follow-up period, but there
- 6:04didn't appear to be any advantage in
- 6:06terms of heart disease risk metrics. All
- 6:08of these mixed results has prevented any
- 6:10clear winner from emerging, and the
- 6:11debate has continued. And the food
- 6:13industry has just cashed in on this
- 6:15confusion. And all of this probably
- 6:17shouldn't be a surprise, because there's
- 6:18a serious problem that's often muddied
- 6:20the waters when it comes to studies
- 6:22investigating the linkages between these
- 6:24diets and heart health. So, the problem
- 6:27is this. Low fat and low carb, they're
- 6:30just broad descriptions that can be
- 6:31applied to many different kinds of
- 6:33eating patterns. So, a low-fat diet, for
- 6:35instance, that could mean a person is
- 6:37anchoring their meals in things like
- 6:39chickpeas and vegetables. A low-carb
- 6:41meal, on the other hand, that could be
- 6:42salmon, avocado, and spinach. Or, it
- 6:45could be eggs fried in butter with a big
- 6:47side of bacon. Now, of course, we would
- 6:49expect to see profoundly different
- 6:50health outcomes with these different
- 6:52kinds of diets. It's not just the mix of
- 6:54macronutrients that's important, it's
- 6:56the quality of those macronutrients that
- 6:58matters, too. And past studies on diet
- 7:00and heart health, they've often not paid
- 7:02careful attention enough to that
- 7:04distinction. That's obviously critical.
- 7:06And that brings us to the new study that
- 7:08we're going to look at in this video,
- 7:09because it was specifically crafted to
- 7:11fill in this gap in the literature. The
- 7:13study authors examined data from around
- 7:15200,000 people from three separate
- 7:17cohorts, and these cohorts were tracked
- 7:19for a really long time, around 30 years
- 7:22each. So, it is a ginormous data set.
- 7:24And critically, they used food
- 7:26questionnaires to distinguish diets not
- 7:28only in terms of macronutrient quantity,
- 7:30but also macronutrient quality. And they
- 7:32divided the diet into healthy and
- 7:34unhealthy versions of both low fat and
- 7:37low carb diets. In the analysis, healthy
- 7:39meat, for example, plant-based foods
- 7:41versus animal products, or whole grains
- 7:43versus refined grains. So, overall,
- 7:45which dietary pattern won? Was it the
- 7:47low fat or low carb? And we're going to
- 7:49leave out the diet quality just for a
- 7:51second here. So, the lowest carb diets,
- 7:54they had a 5% elevated risk of heart
- 7:56disease compared to those with the
- 7:57highest carb intakes. Those with the
- 8:00lowest fat diets had a 7% risk reduction
- 8:03compared to the highest fat intakes. So,
- 8:05low fat seems to be the number one
- 8:07winner here, but the effects are
- 8:08relatively modest. But all of that
- 8:10changes when we look at diet quality.
- 8:13The picture changes radically. So, those
- 8:15who stuck to the healthy versions of the
- 8:17low-carb diet had a 15% lower risk of
- 8:20heart disease compared to those who were
- 8:21furthest away from that eating pattern.
- 8:24A high-quality low-fat diet also showed
- 8:26nearly the same benefit, cutting the
- 8:28risk by about 13%. And the unhealthy
- 8:30versions of both diets raised risks to a
- 8:33similar degree. And what's more, the
- 8:35healthy versions of both diets, they
- 8:37were linked to lower triglycerides, less
- 8:39inflammation, and other markers of
- 8:41better metabolic health. But before
- 8:43looking about how all of this applies to
- 8:44us, let me just mention some quick
- 8:46caveats. So, first, this is an
- 8:48observational study, so it isn't able to
- 8:50tell us with much confidence about
- 8:52causation. It also didn't look at more
- 8:54extreme diets like a keto diet with
- 8:56exceptionally low carb intake. And
- 8:58finally, it doesn't mean that it never
- 8:59makes sense to think about the
- 9:00macronutrient intakes of our diet. It
- 9:03just suggests that for most people, it's
- 9:05unlikely to be the most helpful thing to
- 9:07concentrate on. So, what's the big
- 9:08lesson here? Well, we need to stop
- 9:10focusing on low fat or low carb. The
- 9:13macronutrient quantity doesn't appear to
- 9:15be the key factor when it comes to heart
- 9:17health. Instead, we have to focus on
- 9:19food quality. We need to prioritize
- 9:21plant-based proteins like chickpeas,
- 9:23lentils, and beans over animal sources.
- 9:26We want to prioritize whole foods over
- 9:28processed, unsaturated fats over
- 9:30saturated or trans fats. So, both low
- 9:33carb and low fat dietary patterns, they
- 9:35can work if we get the quality right.
- 9:38And returning to fat for a moment,
- 9:39there's one aspect of the study that's
- 9:41likely to be quite controversial in the
- 9:42comment sections of this video. So, the
- 9:44fact that they placed animal-based food
- 9:46sources in the unhealthy category. So,
- 9:48this reflects a common understanding
- 9:50that animal products, they're more a
- 9:52problem for heart health because of the
- 9:54saturated fat intake that they have, as
- 9:56well as the lack of fiber, but you'll
- 9:58find plenty of people online who claim
- 9:59that this is just a myth. So, what is
- 10:01the true story when it comes to
- 10:03saturated fat and heart disease? Well,
- 10:05make sure to check out this next video
- 10:06here to find out what the latest data
- 10:08tells us.
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