Best Day Trading Strategy (Stacking Confluence) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00There's a difference between a break
- 0:02even trader and a profitable trader. And
- 0:05it's not just discipline, it's
- 0:07confluence. The ability to stack
- 0:10confirmations and multiple indicators
- 0:12and multiple levels of price action for
- 0:15the cleanest setup. In this video, I'm
- 0:17going to show you exactly how to do it.
- 0:19Sigma, this video is for you. And for
- 0:21those of you that don't know, every
- 0:23single week I make a personalized video
- 0:25response to one of your questions in the
- 0:27comments of the previous video. Sigma
- 0:29asks, "Can you please make a video on
- 0:31confluences?" Putting it all together.
- 0:34Absolutely, bro. Let's get into it.
- 0:36Confluence just means multiple things
- 0:38pointing in the same direction. When
- 0:41price, trend, indicators, and structure
- 0:45are all aligned, you have a high
- 0:47probability setup. When they're mixed or
- 0:50conflicting, that's where most traders
- 0:52get chopped up. The key things you want
- 0:55to look for here when looking for
- 0:56multiple confluences is structure,
- 1:00support and resistance, candlestick
- 1:03confirmation, indicators like the RSI,
- 1:07moving averages, or any custom
- 1:09indicators you're using, volume and
- 1:11liquidity, as well as session timing.
- 1:15The more confluences you have, the more
- 1:17confidence you should feel. But there's
- 1:19a balance. Too many signals equals
- 1:23analysis paralysis. Here's how I
- 1:26personally stack confluences before
- 1:28entering a trade. Step one, structure
- 1:30and trend. Top-down analysis. Start with
- 1:34the higher time frames like the 1 hour
- 1:36or the 4hour and ask yourself, is the
- 1:40market trending or is the market
- 1:42ranging? Step two, key levels, support
- 1:45and resistance. You want to mark up
- 1:48these levels of support and resistance
- 1:51because over time if you mark the
- 1:53previous highs and lows, the breaks and
- 1:55the retest zones, the fair value gaps or
- 1:58the liquidity pools, you will start
- 2:01seeing the patterns over time and what
- 2:03levels price likes to reject at or
- 2:06reverse from. Step three, candlestick
- 2:09confirmation. This is going to be your
- 2:11entry trigger. rejection wicks,
- 2:13engulfing candles, or breaks of
- 2:15structure, or if you guys have been
- 2:17watching me for a long time, you know I
- 2:20love the candlestick pattern, the
- 2:22threeline strike. Step four, indicators
- 2:25for confirmation. This is optional for
- 2:27those of you that prefer naked trading.
- 2:30I, however, like to use the RSI. I like
- 2:33to have a 200 smoothed moving average on
- 2:36my chart to keep my trend analysis in
- 2:40the right direction. I also really like
- 2:43happy trail, but that's another video.
- 2:45And my go-to trading strategy is using
- 2:49divergences. I want to catch the full
- 2:52swing of the trend whenever I can so
- 2:54that I'm comfortable in my trade for an
- 2:56extended period of time. Divergences
- 2:59give me that outlet. All of these things
- 3:02that you're looking at, you need to look
- 3:04for agreement, not contradictions. Let
- 3:07me walk you through a real chart and
- 3:09show you how I would use all of these
- 3:11confluences in action. This is gold on
- 3:14the 1 hour time frame. You can see the
- 3:16time frame up here at the top. First, I
- 3:18want to mark up my support and
- 3:20resistance using horizontal lines on the
- 3:22higher time frame. These are the key
- 3:24levels of support and resistance that I
- 3:25want to focus on. The highs, the lows,
- 3:28and the mid structure where price has
- 3:30rejected off of multiple times and or
- 3:33bounced off of. Then I draw up my trend
- 3:36line so that I can see historical data
- 3:38of where the price has been trending
- 3:40over the last few months. Now I can zoom
- 3:43in to where it is right now. But let me
- 3:46show you really quick on the 1 hour time
- 3:48frame. We are on a downtrend pulling
- 3:50back to this level of support. Yet we
- 3:52have broken this downtrend with a double
- 3:55bottom and a divergence. I'm keeping
- 3:57that in mind as I'm jumping down to the
- 3:59lower time frame on the 15-minute chart.
- 4:01Now let's analyze this price. We had a
- 4:04large wick right here, then an engulfing
- 4:07candle to capture liquidity as price
- 4:09shot up. This level right here is now an
- 4:12A+ level. Price used this level to break
- 4:16the downtrend and come back into it,
- 4:18retesting the downtrend as well as that
- 4:20same level. Zooming in a little bit
- 4:22closer, you can see right here we had a
- 4:25double bottom, wick down, retest, and a
- 4:28strong rejection. And looking at the
- 4:30RSI, we had a divergence. If I was
- 4:33watching this move, I probably would
- 4:34have got it on this candle with my stop
- 4:37loss below. But since I can't go back in
- 4:39time, let's mark this up. The next level
- 4:41of support and resistance is a 0.62
- 4:44risk-to-reward. Not worth my risk. You
- 4:47always want a 1 one or higher. And
- 4:50seeing the RSI that we're at the top of
- 4:52the range, we don't want to get into
- 4:53that trade. You have to know when it's
- 4:55not worth your risk-to-reward to get
- 4:57into a trade after a move has already
- 4:59gone. So going back in time, this would
- 5:02have been right at market open, giving
- 5:04you nearly a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
- 5:07That's a good trade. At that time,
- 5:09everything lined up. All of your
- 5:11confluences were telling you one thing,
- 5:14go long. And again, this is not needed,
- 5:16but if you use the happy trail indicator
- 5:18on the 5-minute time frame looking for
- 5:20scalping, knowing that it rejected off
- 5:22of that double bottom, this would have
- 5:24been your entry candle. And because
- 5:26scalping is tighter stop- losses and
- 5:28shorter position times, your trade setup
- 5:30would have looked like this. Happy trail
- 5:32signal after the double bottom
- 5:34rejection, breaking the previous
- 5:36downtrend, looking left for your target,
- 5:38the previous swing high, stop-loss below
- 5:41the previous swing low, 1 to 1.8
- 5:44risk-to-reward. A quick warning, don't
- 5:46get addicted to needing seven different
- 5:48confluences. You'll hesitate, you'll
- 5:51miss entries, and you'll overthink and
- 5:53underexecute. Pick three to four key
- 5:56confluences that you trust and get good
- 5:59at spotting them quickly. Here are some
- 6:02quick tips. Don't wait for perfection.
- 6:04It's never going to happen. Trust your
- 6:06system. And most importantly, track your
- 6:09setups and learn what worked over time.
- 6:11We're focusing on consistency here.
- 6:13Trading with confluences gives you
- 6:16something more than just trades with
- 6:18good entries. It gives you confidence.
- 6:21the confidence that keeps you from FOMO,
- 6:24that keeps you from panicking, and that
- 6:26keeps you in the trade. The goal isn't
- 6:28to be right all the time. It's to stack
- 6:31the odds in your favor every single day
- 6:35over and over. Master confluences and
- 6:38you'll stop guessing and start
- 6:40executing. And if you're still
- 6:41struggling getting into a trade because
- 6:43you keep secondguessing yourself, go
- 6:45check out our new earn as you learn
- 6:48program where we provide you the trade
- 6:50setups so that you can see what good
- 6:53trades look like and feel like to make
- 6:56those profits. And while you're
- 6:58executing those trades, you can learn
- 7:00about day trading. So now you don't have
- 7:02to wait 6 months until you can start
- 7:03trading. You can do it from day one as
- 7:06you're learning. Check out the earn as
- 7:07you learn program at trdfloor.com. I
- 7:10hope this video helped you guys out. And
- 7:12if you have questions that you want
- 7:13answered in a video response, put them
- 7:15in the comment section down below.
- 7:17Thanks so much for watching and we'll
- 7:18see you in the next one.
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