$BBBY Trade Recap — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00hey what's going on guys jack kellogg
- 0:02here
- 0:03just going to do a review on my bbby
- 0:07first green day slash bounce swing trade
- 0:11where i locked in
- 0:12almost 123 000
- 0:15over um a few days
- 0:19and i just really wanted to go over this
- 0:20trade
- 0:21because it really reminded me of a trade
- 0:25i had last year on gme
- 0:28in the same sector of these
- 0:29quote-unquote meme stocks
- 0:32and over the last couple years these
- 0:34have been my biggest trades
- 0:37now bbby breakout and
- 0:41short day i missed because i was
- 0:44traveling i tried to uh short it
- 0:47at the top near 2627 but unfortunately
- 0:51it ended up
- 0:53falling in the last 20 minutes where i
- 0:55had already exited my position so that
- 0:56was a little frustrating
- 0:58but since we had a beautiful sell-off i
- 1:00knew the bounce would be
- 1:02a good opportunity to make a bit on this
- 1:05ticker
- 1:07so right here you can see that my trade
- 1:09is verified
- 1:11and something also that i always get
- 1:13people are like oh you entered 278 000
- 1:16shares at this price no guys that is
- 1:19just an average of my trades throughout
- 1:22the entire three or four days
- 1:24so i like locking pieces in re-adding
- 1:26locking another piece in etc
- 1:29um
- 1:30which gives me the ability to
- 1:32not just be in a position where i have
- 1:34one position it either goes up or it
- 1:36goes down there's a little bit of an art
- 1:38with trading and i think the people who
- 1:40can position themselves and manage their
- 1:42trades the best
- 1:45are usually the best traders because
- 1:48they're able to put themselves in a
- 1:50situation where you're losing a little
- 1:52if you're wrong and you're maximizing
- 1:53your winners if you're right
- 1:56so getting into
- 1:58bbby here you can see that back here
- 2:02last year we had a run from
- 2:0420 bucks to 53 when the meme stops
- 2:07meme stocks were moving so we can
- 2:09classify this one as a meme stock it
- 2:12didn't move as crazy as
- 2:15gme but it still followed
- 2:18pretty much the same
- 2:20pattern and now getting into this year
- 2:26a much much cleaner pattern where
- 2:29we had this original breakout over
- 2:33six dollars and fifty cents
- 2:35had a nice run
- 2:36and uh gap up and spike
- 2:38when we were getting the the big bounce
- 2:40in august on the entire market and then
- 2:42we came back down
- 2:44held really well and then created this
- 2:47nice
- 2:48green candle which should have been
- 2:51along all day over 11 12
- 2:54um and you get this nice rip to 16 and
- 2:57then if you're super patient
- 2:59um really nice move to 26 so i ended up
- 3:02missing that but that was an awesome
- 3:04opportunity
- 3:06and the stock ended up crashing this day
- 3:09and uh
- 3:10the next day it gapped up and if you go
- 3:13back on the chart
- 3:15you can see that this 30
- 3:18area of resistance
- 3:19was where it ended up failing at that
- 3:22whole
- 3:22whole dollar
- 3:24level which is key
- 3:26and then we got this really nice one two
- 3:29three four day sell-off
- 3:31and
- 3:32something that i want to take in
- 3:33consideration is a lot of people like
- 3:36would be like oh it already had a first
- 3:38green day whatever it is but
- 3:41all these candles are red
- 3:44and they close below the open price to
- 3:46me right
- 3:48whereas if you look at the
- 3:51the
- 3:51action that the stock has like green
- 3:53green green green green green green and
- 3:56then red red red green green green
- 3:59and then all these reds
- 4:01so for me
- 4:02the key indicator and potentially that
- 4:05there was a reversal coming was i would
- 4:07call all this the backside even though
- 4:09it went green on the day here
- 4:11um
- 4:12and looks like a little bit here but and
- 4:14it gapped up this way but closed below
- 4:16the open price so
- 4:18everybody got super excited on this day
- 4:20you could see a volume increase and then
- 4:22you kind of see it loses its volume and
- 4:24you can see this wick where it kind of
- 4:26comes back and we start holding this
- 4:30um key level of 950 right very key level
- 4:34and then you can see that we get this
- 4:36curl day and this is actually where i
- 4:39entered the trade on this friday where
- 4:42you see the best runners usually from a
- 4:45friday into monday over the weekend when
- 4:48there's going to be um a lot of news
- 4:50flow a lot of people hearing about the
- 4:52stock etc and that's when we tend to see
- 4:54the best runners friday into monday
- 4:56if you have uh studied you'll also see
- 4:59that as well
- 5:02so my comparison like i was saying to
- 5:04gme
- 5:05where you can see that
- 5:08gme kind of had the same thing where
- 5:10okay people get excited this day but
- 5:12it's really selling off and then it
- 5:14looks like it's trying to base here but
- 5:16it hasn't still perked above this 14 15
- 5:19area and then we sell off more
- 5:22and then you can see
- 5:23very clearly right here that um we
- 5:26actually gap up just like
- 5:28we did on um
- 5:32see the gap up right here just like
- 5:35bbby and then we end up holding it very
- 5:38similar candle right we hold this key
- 5:40area at 10 bucks
- 5:43and um
- 5:46oh god
- 5:49then you end up getting this
- 5:52huge green candle here and huge gap up
- 5:55and fail the next day
- 5:57so beautiful beautiful first green day i
- 5:59ended up
- 6:00buying it somewhere in here
- 6:02um and i sold it for i think like 100
- 6:05percent near um
- 6:06the top of this bar did not hold
- 6:08overnight
- 6:11so now getting back into bby now you can
- 6:13kind of see that comparison where we
- 6:15have the gap up and then it holds and it
- 6:17uh
- 6:18kind of has that first green day so
- 6:23now getting into
- 6:24let's do a
- 6:27intraday chart of
- 6:3210 days one minute
- 6:39let's zoom in to
- 6:41this day right here
- 6:44so as i said this was the day it gapped
- 6:46up and spiked and
- 6:48everyone was like oh it's going to fail
- 6:50but as you see like we created a nice
- 6:53base at the pre-market level
- 6:56the next day it gaps up a bit and then
- 6:58we fail and we hold
- 7:00uh just a little bit lower and we're
- 7:01kind of creating the base
- 7:03and then it comes back and at that point
- 7:06at this day everyone kind of wanted to
- 7:08go right away
- 7:10so you kind of see people like
- 7:13here you want to go you want to go here
- 7:15people really probably want to go right
- 7:16here
- 7:17but you notice
- 7:19that we're still holding a bit higher on
- 7:22the day and it's a friday so i ended up
- 7:26taking an overnight position seeing the
- 7:27spike into the clothes around this 10 i
- 7:30think i bought it right here at 1070
- 7:32just at the close 10 000 shares
- 7:35and my plan was to risk
- 7:39this
- 7:40low a day right here at 10 1 so risking
- 7:42about 6 grand on the trade
- 7:44um
- 7:46and then we got the gap up and my plan
- 7:48is to okay and now i want to see a
- 7:50morning dip for an ad so we have this
- 7:52huge uh tank
- 7:54here
- 7:56and as you can see the yesterday's key
- 7:58level um that 1080 held it to a t
- 8:03and
- 8:04i ended up adding i think at 11 another
- 8:0710 000 shares and after this held right
- 8:10here i moved my risk to low a day
- 8:12because at this point i want to see it
- 8:13work
- 8:14work this day
- 8:16and now i have 20 000 shares from 1090
- 8:19with a 1080 stop which is 2 000 risk
- 8:24and as we spike back over high day come
- 8:26back down i decided that over this 1150
- 8:30we're creating a very nice level
- 8:32which is also the open-ish price
- 8:35so at this level i blasted uh another 20
- 8:38000 shares and got my average up to
- 8:4111 18ish and
- 8:44i ended up just dumping 10 000 shares
- 8:46just into this little push because i
- 8:48wasn't super sure the trade
- 8:51because
- 8:53it just hadn't been strong for the first
- 8:56hour
- 8:57and uh just sold 10 000 shares just to
- 8:59get a little realized cushion so i'm
- 9:01left with
- 9:02uh 30 000 shares from 1014 still risking
- 9:05that 1080 potential area to downsize at
- 9:0710 14.
- 9:10and we just get this nice volume and i'm
- 9:12not selling any because i know this has
- 9:14a lot of range to the upside
- 9:17and going back to the daily chart
- 9:20i have this 16 area in mind because
- 9:23if you look
- 9:24um
- 9:26here where it held like this was the gap
- 9:28gap area where it held perfectly right
- 9:31here
- 9:32um it held that nice gap area and um
- 9:36yeah so it really reacts well to daily
- 9:39support and resistance so i thought like
- 9:40i drew my line and this was like a big
- 9:42area of this was where the gap was right
- 9:45a big area of um resistance so that was
- 9:48my kind of target in my head
- 9:55let me just get this
- 9:57daily back up so
- 10:00i didn't sell any and then as we started
- 10:02ripping i think i sold my first small
- 10:05piece right here uh 1340 and then it
- 10:08dipped back down and i feel this is
- 10:09where shorts got involved
- 10:11um you know we're up two bucks without a
- 10:13significant pullback
- 10:15and it i just saw it kind of rebound
- 10:17like come back right away i was like wow
- 10:19this is really nice i think it's going
- 10:20to squeeze and then ended up doing a big
- 10:23squeeze all the way up to 1480s and i
- 10:25dumped a bunch up here
- 10:28and then it came back down and i added
- 10:30shares back on and these dips that i
- 10:34sold because i'm thinking this is still
- 10:35going to go higher
- 10:37um
- 10:38oops
- 10:39so
- 10:40ended up adding some shares on and
- 10:44um and then i forget where but i think i
- 10:48i downsized some into like th this area
- 10:52i knew that it would take a longer time
- 10:53to develop but i didn't want to sit in
- 10:54it for an additional three hours so i
- 10:56took this
- 10:57uh breakevenish sell on the ads so i had
- 11:01locked in a small profit and then we got
- 11:02this nice
- 11:04area of consolidation
- 11:06and um i think this area really like
- 11:09shook out a lot of longs but when you
- 11:11want to swing stuff you want to see it
- 11:12close a little bit weaker if it closes
- 11:15strong it's kind of harder to gap up and
- 11:18hold and you want to shake the longs out
- 11:20and get shorts confident to hold
- 11:21overnight
- 11:22so ended up adding a bunch more shares
- 11:25at 1280 to 13ish 1340s
- 11:28and swung 30 000 overnight full position
- 11:31size that i had on
- 11:33and we started gapping up in after hours
- 11:35and then woke up at 4am just to monitor
- 11:38my position
- 11:39um and this nice rip i ended up blocking
- 11:42some in
- 11:44and uh that was it
- 11:46and then in this area i was holding
- 11:47super nice pre-market and uh
- 11:50i thought we'd get like a seven seven
- 11:52a.m rip
- 11:53so i ended up adding my shares back on
- 11:55that i sold here and uh it looked like a
- 11:58chat room kind of just came in and
- 11:59stuffed it this was kind of the area
- 12:01where i wanted to see okay we're at 15.
- 12:03i want to see that morning spike to 1617
- 12:05dump my entire position
- 12:08and unfortunately we just got a week
- 12:10open
- 12:11um and i ended up locking in almost
- 12:13everything here at 1480 because i didn't
- 12:15know how low it would go
- 12:17and there was a lot of air underneath
- 12:191480 so let me show you what i mean by
- 12:21that
- 12:23so you have like the real like key level
- 12:25i would say like 14 uh 20s and like this
- 12:28area at 1480 once it gets under it's
- 12:31just a lot of air you see there's not
- 12:33much um support
- 12:35so i dumped all my shares thinking that
- 12:37i could buy back 50 cents lower if i
- 12:39wanted to
- 12:40um so dump my shares here this was
- 12:43mainly me uh selling
- 12:45and then this morning dip was perfect i
- 12:46was thinking 14 20 to 14. adding my
- 12:48shares back on
- 12:50uh at 14 10 14 20 and we got that nice
- 12:52morning spike and uh i was feeling good
- 12:55about it
- 12:56and then came back down and i was
- 12:58thinking it would test us again i added
- 13:00some more shares at 14 20 14 30 and then
- 13:03as it came down and consolidated i ended
- 13:06up locking in the rest for a loss
- 13:09on the ads around this 14 area
- 13:12and i think i had locked in like
- 13:16um
- 13:17i'm not quite sure how much but i think
- 13:19it was
- 13:21like 110k and then as it came down i
- 13:25started buying the dips uh the dip
- 13:28for a quick scalp maybe like 30 to 50
- 13:30cents
- 13:32bought this dip down here near 1290 and
- 13:36the spy just tanked so i sold here for
- 13:38break even
- 13:40um then got in a little bit here and
- 13:43also sold it again for breakeven
- 13:45and then nailed this dip by down uh 12
- 13:4815-ish entry
- 13:50and locked in the rest at like 1270 for
- 13:53another 15
- 13:55thousand dollars so brought my total
- 13:57to like 123 000
- 14:00and basically just left it alone for the
- 14:02rest of the day
- 14:04um
- 14:05so that was my bounce trade on bbby
- 14:08and i hope you guys
- 14:10saw um
- 14:12how i played it and
- 14:14as you can just see like these meme
- 14:16stocks really are the best to trade
- 14:18because you have great liquidity and the
- 14:20levels hold very well so
- 14:23you have something like uh
- 14:27p
- 14:28x md i think was or pm xd
- 14:32px
- 14:34okay yeah this one on friday
- 14:36like let's just take a look at the chart
- 14:38and look how choppy this is right
- 14:40um
- 14:42like the only clear level i really see
- 14:45is this uh
- 14:47short into this area and cover here
- 14:50and then like this is just so choppy and
- 14:52super unpredictable to trade
- 14:54whereas you have these amc's and gmes
- 14:59and i just think that
- 15:01these make the best traders so one of my
- 15:03goals this year
- 15:04was to not um go big size and stuff that
- 15:08isn't predictable
- 15:09and uh random stocks like i have to be
- 15:12very
- 15:13well known stack for me to size up so we
- 15:15got that opportunity on bbby and
- 15:18unfortunately it just kind of came at
- 15:19the wrong time for me as i was traveling
- 15:21um was traveling one of my bigger trips
- 15:23on the year went to greece
- 15:25with my girlfriend mari and we had a
- 15:27great time
- 15:28so it was okay
- 15:30and uh i was mainly ignoring the market
- 15:32except for this day and this day
- 15:35and then maybe a few scallop days on the
- 15:37other ones but
- 15:39glad to take advantage of this bounce
- 15:41trade and at least make something on it
- 15:43uh but pretty disappointed that i didn't
- 15:45nail the breakout or um the first red
- 15:48day or probably wouldn't have been a
- 15:49half a million dollar ticker for me um
- 15:52instead just about 100
- 15:54or i think after all like my trades on
- 15:56it about up 200 000 on it so pretty good
- 15:59and um yeah it just goes to show me and
- 16:02reminds me that
- 16:04the best trades i have are stocks with
- 16:06insane liquidity and stocks that respect
- 16:09their levels and follow the framework
- 16:11now hkd
- 16:13uh
- 16:14this one was my biggest loss this year
- 16:17earlier
- 16:19uh earlier in august and ended up um
- 16:23just losing on it because it tricked me
- 16:24because it was following the framework
- 16:27of breakout and it was doing decent
- 16:30volume to stay two and a half million
- 16:31shares not great but as you see as i
- 16:33went higher liquidity got worse and
- 16:35worse and um
- 16:36at this point i'd already taken a loss
- 16:38on it and i about uh
- 16:40almost like
- 16:42doubled or tripled my losses by trading
- 16:44on these liquid days
- 16:46and uh yeah just really tough new
- 16:48biggest loss for me on this one haven't
- 16:50seen anything squeeze like from 11 to 2
- 16:52500 before
- 16:53so ended up taking a big loss on that um
- 16:56just wanted to note that but
- 16:59yeah for me it's all about sticking to
- 17:01these stocks with great liquidity and
- 17:02stocks that respect their risk levels so
- 17:05main lesson there for me i will catch
- 17:07you guys later i hope you enjoyed this
- 17:08video it's my first video of the year
- 17:11and um if you like it like comment
- 17:14subscribe and if i get enough feedback
- 17:17maybe i'll i'll make another video
- 17:19um in a month or two
- 17:22more of just kind of reviewing trades
- 17:24versus what i used to do is review uh
- 17:27monthly calendars i think um
- 17:30it might be better just to review trades
- 17:32so let me know what you guys think and
- 17:34have a good labor day weekend i will
- 17:36catch you guys later
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