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Are You Real? — Transcript

by Zenn · 1,730 words · 248 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Look at your hand. How many fingers do
  2. 0:01you have? You can see them. You can feel
  3. 0:04them. You are certain they're there. You
  4. 0:06shouldn't be. From inside your own head,
  5. 0:09you can't actually prove a single one of
  6. 0:11those fingers is real. The same goes for
  7. 0:13the hand they're attached to. And the
  8. 0:15room around you that feels like it's
  9. 0:16just there, whether you look at it or
  10. 0:18not. Try it yourself. Right now, find
  11. 0:21one piece of evidence that what you're
  12. 0:22experiencing is real and not a flawless
  13. 0:25imitation of it. You won't be able to.
  14. 0:27And the reason why is stranger than it
  15. 0:29sounds. Everything you know about the
  16. 0:30world arrives the same way. Light hits
  17. 0:32your eyes and your brain turns it into
  18. 0:35color and shape. Pressure lands on your
  19. 0:37skin and becomes the feeling of touch.
  20. 0:39Air vibrates and you call it sound. Your
  21. 0:42brain takes those raw signals and builds
  22. 0:44a picture out of them and that picture
  23. 0:46is the only world you will ever actually
  24. 0:48meet. You have never once touched
  25. 0:50reality directly. You have only ever
  26. 0:51touched your brain's version of it. And
  27. 0:53that's where it gets strange. If the
  28. 0:55only thing you can ever inspect is the
  29. 0:57picture in your head, you have no way to
  30. 0:58step outside the picture and hold it up
  31. 1:00against the real thing. There is no
  32. 1:02door. The final stop for every sight,
  33. 1:04every sound, every fact you've ever
  34. 1:06learned is you, alone, inside your own
  35. 1:09skull. Philosophers call this the
  36. 1:11egocentric predicament. You are sealed
  37. 1:13in. And from the inside, a perfect fake
  38. 1:16and the real thing look exactly the
  39. 1:19same. You already live through a version
  40. 1:20of this. When you dream, all of it feels
  41. 1:22completely real while you're inside it.
  42. 1:25You're being chased and your legs won't
  43. 1:26move like you're running through wet
  44. 1:28cement. The ground drops away and you're
  45. 1:30falling with nothing to grab onto. Your
  46. 1:31teeth crumble and fall out one by one.
  47. 1:34And while it's happening, you never once
  48. 1:36stop to think any of it is strange.
  49. 1:37Inside the dream, that's just how the
  50. 1:40world is. [music] And you can't test
  51. 1:41your way out of it. If you stop to check
  52. 1:43your hands or pinch yourself to be sure,
  53. 1:45the dream just produces the hands and
  54. 1:47the pinch along with everything else.
  55. 1:49Every test you could run is made of the
  56. 1:50same dream. You only realize none of it
  57. 1:52was real after you wake up, when you
  58. 1:54finally have the solid waking world to
  59. 1:56hold it against. So, here's the
  60. 1:58uncomfortable version. Right now, while
  61. 2:00you're awake, what wider world are you
  62. 2:02measuring this against? Nearly 400 years
  63. 2:04ago, René Descartes sat with that exact
  64. 2:06thought and couldn't shake it. If a
  65. 2:08dream can feel this convincing from the
  66. 2:10inside, then nothing you're sensing in
  67. 2:12this moment can prove it isn't one. He
  68. 2:14pushed it further and imagined an evil
  69. 2:16demon devoted to deceiving him about
  70. 2:18everything. The ground, the sky, his own
  71. 2:21body. He went hunting for one single
  72. 2:23thing that demon couldn't fake. And he
  73. 2:25found almost nothing left standing. In
  74. 2:271981, the philosopher Hilary Putnam made
  75. 2:30the same doubt even harder to escape.
  76. 2:32Picture a brain floating in a tank of
  77. 2:34fluid, kept alive, wired into a computer
  78. 2:37that feeds it electrical signals. The
  79. 2:39exact signals a real body would send.
  80. 2:41The taste of coffee, the weight of a
  81. 2:43blanket, the face of someone it loves.
  82. 2:45That brain would feel an entire life. A
  83. 2:47childhood, a hometown, a name. And it
  84. 2:50would have no way at all to discover the
  85. 2:52tank. Because every test it could run,
  86. 2:54every pinch, every glance down at its
  87. 2:56own hands, would just be more signal
  88. 2:58from the same machine. Then, notice the
  89. 3:00part that should bother you. From the
  90. 3:01inside, that brain's experience would be
  91. 3:03identical to yours. So, you cannot rule
  92. 3:06out that the body you think you're
  93. 3:07sitting in is one more signal arriving
  94. 3:10right on time. For most of history, this
  95. 3:12stayed a thought experiment because
  96. 3:14nobody could build the machine. But,
  97. 3:15that is starting to change. In 2003, an
  98. 3:18Oxford philosopher named Nick Bostrom
  99. 3:20pointed out something simple and hard to
  100. 3:23argue with. If a civilization ever gets
  101. 3:24advanced enough to simulate conscious
  102. 3:26minds, it won't run that simulation
  103. 3:28once. It'll run it thousands of times,
  104. 3:30millions. They might recreate their own
  105. 3:32past to study how they got here or build
  106. 3:34it simply for fun, the way we create
  107. 3:36entire worlds inside video games. And
  108. 3:38every one of those simulated worlds
  109. 3:40would be packed with people who are
  110. 3:41completely sure they're real. And it
  111. 3:43wouldn't take much to fool you. A
  112. 3:45simulation wouldn't have to render every
  113. 3:47galaxy, just the slice you happen to be
  114. 3:49looking at. The inside of an atom could
  115. 3:51stay blank until someone splits one
  116. 3:53open. The chair underneath you could be
  117. 3:54empty until the moment you decide to
  118. 3:56check. The only thing that truly has to
  119. 3:58be simulated is the part doing the
  120. 4:01experiencing, the mind, your mind.
  121. 4:03[music] And a mind, for all its mystery,
  122. 4:05might be a finite thing to compute. Your
  123. 4:08brain runs on something like 100
  124. 4:10trillion connections firing in patterns.
  125. 4:12Enormous, but not infinite. Build a
  126. 4:14machine big enough and you'd have room
  127. 4:16to run not just one mind, but billions
  128. 4:18of them at once. If real conscious
  129. 4:20beings ever build even a handful of
  130. 4:23these worlds, then simulated minds would
  131. 4:25outnumber flesh and blood ones by
  132. 4:27something like a billion to one. So,
  133. 4:29when you ask which kind you are, the
  134. 4:31math doesn't flatter you. The odds say
  135. 4:33simulated. Plenty of scientists argue
  136. 4:36this can't be tested at all, and they
  137. 4:38may well be right. But notice that none
  138. 4:40of them has managed to find the floor
  139. 4:42under your feet. But here's the bigger
  140. 4:44problem. You assume the people around
  141. 4:46you feel things the way you do. But you
  142. 4:48have never once felt anyone's experience
  143. 4:50except your own. You're the one filling
  144. 4:52in the rest. You watch a friend laugh
  145. 4:54and you assume there's a real experience
  146. 4:56happening inside them, that being them
  147. 4:58actually feels like something. You can't
  148. 5:00check. Philosophers describe a creature
  149. 5:02called a philosophical zombie. It walks,
  150. 5:05talks, flinches when it stubs its toe,
  151. 5:07says all the right things at all the
  152. 5:09right moments. From the outside, it's a
  153. 5:11flawless human being, but inside, the
  154. 5:13lights are off. Nobody home. Nothing is
  155. 5:16being felt in there at all. The
  156. 5:17unsettling part is that no test could
  157. 5:20ever tell a zombie apart from a real
  158. 5:21person, because their behavior is
  159. 5:23identical. The philosopher David
  160. 5:25Chalmers called this the hard problem of
  161. 5:27consciousness. We can map exactly which
  162. 5:30neurons fire when you see the color red.
  163. 5:32We cannot explain why that firing comes
  164. 5:34wrapped in an experience of redness,
  165. 5:36instead of happening silently in the
  166. 5:38dark, the way the rest of the universe
  167. 5:39seems to. If we can't explain how a
  168. 5:41brain produces experience, we can't be
  169. 5:43sure that only brains can do it. Maybe a
  170. 5:45powerful enough computer could, too. And
  171. 5:47that is exactly the loophole a
  172. 5:49simulation would need. Then there are
  173. 5:51the corners of physics that a few
  174. 5:52scientists point out half seriously with
  175. 5:55one eyebrow raised. Reality seems to
  176. 5:57have a smallest possible size, a scale
  177. 5:59below which distance stops meaning
  178. 6:01anything, the way an image stops making
  179. 6:03sense once you zoom in past its pixels.
  180. 6:06The speed of light behaves less like a
  181. 6:07law and more like a hard ceiling, the
  182. 6:09kind of cap you'd write into a system to
  183. 6:11stop it from overloading. And a
  184. 6:13physicist named James Gates says he
  185. 6:16found something buried in the math that
  186. 6:18looked like error correcting code, the
  187. 6:20same kind of code that runs inside your
  188. 6:22computer to catch its own mistakes. None
  189. 6:24of this proves anything, and Gates is
  190. 6:26the first to say so, but it's the sort
  191. 6:28of thing that once you've heard it, you
  192. 6:30can't fully unhear. So, step all the way
  193. 6:32back and try to find the bottom of it.
  194. 6:34Every belief you hold is propped up by
  195. 6:36another belief. You trust your senses
  196. 6:37because they've worked before. You
  197. 6:39believe they worked before because you
  198. 6:40remember it. And you lean on that memory
  199. 6:42because so far it has felt reliable.
  200. 6:45Each rung hangs off the one above it.
  201. 6:46And when you finally climb to the top,
  202. 6:48there's nothing holding the whole ladder
  203. 6:50up. You either argue in a circle, or you
  204. 6:52chase the justifications forever, or you
  205. 6:54stop somewhere and quietly declare,
  206. 6:56"This part I'll just take on faith."
  207. 6:58There is no fourth option. A German
  208. 7:00philosopher named Hans Albert laid this
  209. 7:02trap out and named it after an old folk
  210. 7:04tale about a man who tried to haul
  211. 7:06himself out of a swamp by yanking on his
  212. 7:08own hair. That is what proving your own
  213. 7:10reality from the inside comes down to,
  214. 7:13reaching up, grabbing a fistful of your
  215. 7:15own hair, and pulling. So, are you real?
  216. 7:18Nobody can prove that you are, not the
  217. 7:20smartest philosopher who ever lived, and
  218. 7:22not you either. And just as importantly,
  219. 7:24nobody can prove that you aren't.
  220. 7:26There's no argument and no view from
  221. 7:27outside the picture that settles it in
  222. 7:29either direction. The question just sits
  223. 7:31there, permanently open with you stuck
  224. 7:34inside it. The mathematician Martin
  225. 7:35Gardner was once asked how he lived with
  226. 7:37that. He said he chose to believe the
  227. 7:39world is real, not because he could
  228. 7:41prove it, but because that belief is
  229. 7:42healthier and it works. That might be
  230. 7:44the most honest answer anyone has ever
  231. 7:46given. You will never get to touch
  232. 7:48reality bear. You're stuck in here
  233. 7:50behind your own eyes working from a
  234. 7:52picture you can't fully verify, but the
  235. 7:54warmth of the person beside you still
  236. 7:56feels like warmth. The questions still
  237. 7:58feel worth asking. And whether the
  238. 7:59ground under you is solid rock or
  239. 8:01running code, you're the one standing on
  240. 8:03it getting to wonder about any of this
  241. 8:05at all. There's exactly one thing in
  242. 8:07here that no demon, no tank, and no
  243. 8:09computer can take from you. It's the
  244. 8:11fact that something right now is being
  245. 8:12experienced at all. That part is
  246. 8:14happening. Whatever this is, you're in
  247. 8:16it. So, you might as well be here for
  248. 8:18it.

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