Anomaly - Advanced Course - Lesson 7 - Asset sync — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:04Hello everybody. Welcome to the Anomaly
- 0:06course core content lesson 7. Here we're
- 0:10going to be going over SMT breaks for
- 0:13reversals. So the first step is you're
- 0:16going to create an SMT with a correlated
- 0:19market. And what will make it obvious
- 0:21that the assets are likely to break this
- 0:24SMT is if the SMT is in close proximity.
- 0:28As you can see the failure swing high is
- 0:31in close proximity with the high that is
- 0:33being manipulated on the leading asset.
- 0:36Now the next step over here is the SMT
- 0:39actually is going to break. So that SMT
- 0:42is not going to hold because that
- 0:43proximity is very very close. Once this
- 0:46asset breaks the SMT that's essentially
- 0:49a trigger for the market to actually
- 0:52reverse. So, as you can see, here is a
- 0:54depiction of that happening, right? As
- 0:56soon as that middle asset, it's
- 0:58typically going to be the middle asset,
- 1:00breaks that SMT, this is when that
- 1:02leading asset actually starts to
- 1:04reverse.
- 1:05In the ideal scenario is this triad
- 1:08sequence where the leading asset creates
- 1:10SMT with the middle and lagging asset.
- 1:14It doesn't hold. That middle asset
- 1:16breaks the SMT, but that lagging asset
- 1:18actually does hold that SMT. It doesn't
- 1:21matter if it's close proximity S&T or
- 1:23not on the sitting asset. This is
- 1:25exactly ideally how we want to see this
- 1:27sequence play out. Now, let's go over
- 1:30another ideal scenario for S&T brick
- 1:32reversal. And this is a two-stage SMT in
- 1:36the form of a string switch. It's going
- 1:38to create a high, as you can see, a high
- 1:40on this asset, a high on this asset, and
- 1:43then that lagging asset actually goes
- 1:44ahead and breaks that SMT and
- 1:47simultaneously creates a new one. As you
- 1:50can see, this asset breaks the overall
- 1:52SMT, but creates a new one with the high
- 1:55that was actually created
- 1:57with that first stage SMT. It kind of
- 1:59looks like a roof SMT, but it's in the
- 2:02form of a strength switch, right?
- 2:03Because this asset over here was
- 2:05stronger as you can see because it took
- 2:07out the high, but now it's showing
- 2:08weakness as it could not take out this
- 2:11high. So, it's showing weakness and
- 2:13creating that SMT divergence while also
- 2:16breaking that original SMT, which is a
- 2:19trigger for reversal. Now, let's go
- 2:22ahead and go over some examples of every
- 2:24concept within asexization.
- 2:27First concepts we're going to be
- 2:28covering is SMT break for reversals. So,
- 2:33as you can see, how do we know when SMT
- 2:34is likely to break? When a leading asset
- 2:36runs deep through a low or a high. So
- 2:40you can see this asset fails to
- 2:41manipulate slow that means the middle
- 2:43asset which is going to be over here ES
- 2:46right if YM is the uh weakest then ES
- 2:50will be the middle asset that's when the
- 2:51middle asset is likely to run out that
- 2:53same low and when it runs out that low
- 2:56that is when price can reverse in the
- 2:59most high probable sequence is when the
- 3:02strongest asset is actually not even
- 3:04taking out that low it's actually
- 3:05creating SMT so this is the triad
- 3:08sequence for SMT break reversal. Now
- 3:12let's go over another high probability
- 3:14sequence for SMT break reversal. This is
- 3:18in the form of a strength switch. So you
- 3:20can see what is going to happen is that
- 3:22price is going to make an original SMT,
- 3:25right? And we know this is likely to
- 3:26break because of how close proximity
- 3:28this SMT is. This asset runs to the
- 3:30high, right? It's going to print a swing
- 3:33high.
- 3:34this asset, this lagging asset is going
- 3:36to break that overall SMT and actually
- 3:39create a new SMT with the high that was
- 3:43created on the the asset that was
- 3:46originally stronger that created that
- 3:47original SMT. So, it looks like that
- 3:49roof SMT uh and this is another way
- 3:52assets can reverse for SMT break. So now
- 3:56let's talk about when we expect the SMT
- 3:59to actually break within the middle
- 4:01asset and that is when we create close
- 4:03proximity SMT. So you really really see
- 4:06this when the leading asset here trades
- 4:10through a low and you can see this when
- 4:12we drop down to lower time frame. You
- 4:14can see when we engage with this low
- 4:15here we failed to manipulate it. We
- 4:17consolidated. When that happens and
- 4:19you're creating this close proximity
- 4:21SMT. So check out this close proximity
- 4:23SMT that we once created right here.
- 4:26At one point this was close proximity
- 4:29SMT as you guys can see
- 4:33right there. Um we know this is likely
- 4:35going to break if we do not reverse here
- 4:38right and I know there's a strength just
- 4:39PSP here guys but it happens at 1500 so
- 4:42very very late in the day so it just
- 4:44doesn't end up holding. Um but yeah as
- 4:47you see price clearly doesn't manipulate
- 4:48it. So that means that the trigger for
- 4:51this SMT to hold is going to be when ES
- 4:55the middle asset breaks, right? And we
- 4:58went over this and SMT break for
- 5:00reversal. So as soon as ES breaks the
- 5:02SMT, look what happens. We reverse while
- 5:06the middle assets is doing what? Holding
- 5:08it inside of a gap. So this is when we
- 5:12typically require that SMT break to
- 5:14happen.
- 5:16Now, let's go ahead and cover advanced
- 5:18premium discount. Advanced premium
- 5:20discount is really simple. It's all
- 5:22about proximity in the space between
- 5:25SMT. So, as you can see, the asset that
- 5:27creates a failure swing is essentially
- 5:29going to create its failure swing in
- 5:32premium of the range or an EQ, right?
- 5:35That's ideally where you want it to be
- 5:37created. And ideally this asset is
- 5:40creating its fair swing inside of a gap
- 5:42while that lagging asset is actually
- 5:44manipulating that range low. Right? So
- 5:46really simple this asset is in premium
- 5:49of the range or in discount while this
- 5:50asset is manipulating the range low
- 5:52creating that spaced out SMT. Really
- 5:55simple. So now let's view this within a
- 5:57triad where we have three correlated
- 6:00markets. This is ideally how we want it
- 6:02to look is that strongest asset that
- 6:05leading one will be creating its S&T in
- 6:08premium. This asset the middle asset
- 6:11this middle asset over here is going to
- 6:13be creating its low in equilibrium while
- 6:16that lagging asset is going to be
- 6:19manipulating that range low. Now this is
- 6:22more of a negative condition. this asset
- 6:24is maybe in premium or equilibrium and
- 6:27that middle asset makes a really deep
- 6:29run back into that range low and this
- 6:32asset is actually making a deep
- 6:34manipulation through this low. So when
- 6:37we have that sequence, this is what
- 6:38we're going to wait for right here.
- 6:40We're going to wait for that middle
- 6:41asset to manipulate that range low and
- 6:44break SMT just like we went over
- 6:46previously. And that will be the trigger
- 6:48for the market to reverse. Now, let's go
- 6:51over an example where we can use the
- 6:52previous candle as our range high and
- 6:55low. And this is typically going to
- 6:57happen in the form of a PSP when they're
- 7:00expanding in opposite directions. So,
- 7:02why does that naturally happen? Because
- 7:04this candle is opening up in premium of
- 7:06the previous candle range and this
- 7:07candle is opening up in discount of the
- 7:09previous candles range. This asset is
- 7:10going to run out that low creating a
- 7:12two-stage PSP. This asset is not. It
- 7:14stays up into premium/ EQ of the
- 7:17previous range. that naturally just
- 7:19creates that space out SMT that we're
- 7:22looking for. Now, let's go ahead and go
- 7:24over advanced pre and discount. This is
- 7:26essentially what we want to see, a space
- 7:28out SMT. It's where one asset takes a
- 7:31range high, manipulates it, while the
- 7:33lagging asset is either in discount or
- 7:36around EQ. We don't really want it to be
- 7:38in deep discount because that's creating
- 7:40the close proximity SMT. We want that
- 7:42SMT that is more so spaced out. And
- 7:46ideally the asset that's creating the
- 7:48filler swing or not taking out the high
- 7:50is actually in a fair value gap. So this
- 7:53is a great way we can mechanically
- 7:55define space SMT by using the premium
- 7:58discount tool. And ideally the way we
- 8:00trade this is we have a string switch at
- 8:04the point of reversal. Now you don't
- 8:06need a string switch at the point
- 8:08reversal if the asset taking the high is
- 8:11actually printing those V-shaped
- 8:13signatures and actually manipulating the
- 8:15high. But if it actually runs deep
- 8:17through a high or not really reversing,
- 8:20you absolutely need a string switch.
- 8:22Now, this is the most ideal scenario
- 8:24when looking at a triad um when viewing
- 8:28a premium discount range. So, this is
- 8:31where the lagging asset takes out the
- 8:33range low. We're going to look at where
- 8:35the Feder swings are being printed on
- 8:37the middle assets and the leading
- 8:39assets. So, look at this leading asset.
- 8:42Where is it at? it is in high in
- 8:44premium, right? Very very high in
- 8:46premium while the middle asset is more
- 8:48in discounts or EQ area. This is
- 8:51perfect, right? Um this is the most
- 8:53ideal scenario when trading uh advanced
- 8:57premium discount. So now we're going to
- 8:59go over another way we use advanced
- 9:01premium discount and that is going to be
- 9:03using the previous candles higher low as
- 9:06a range higher low. So, typically we're
- 9:09only going to do this, not always. It
- 9:11can be with any candle really. You're
- 9:13going to see it mostly happen when it
- 9:15the previous candle is a PSP because you
- 9:18have one candle opening near the low end
- 9:22of the previous candle's range. Well,
- 9:23this candle is opening near the high end
- 9:25of its previous candle's range. So,
- 9:27naturally, you create that two-stage PSP
- 9:30and you create that separated SMT,
- 9:32right? So, we drop down lower time
- 9:34frame. So, here we are on the hourly
- 9:36time frame. What do we see? This asset
- 9:38is running the previous candles range.
- 9:40This asset is not creating that space
- 9:44that S&P want to see. And what is this
- 9:46asset creating low in inside of a gap?
- 9:50So now let's go ahead and talk about
- 9:52failure swing SMT where we actually
- 9:54don't have really an advanced premium
- 9:56discount. So what we're going to wait
- 9:58for is the GXT universe sequence which
- 10:01is really simple. After price creates
- 10:03that failure swing SMT, just wait for
- 10:05price to expand away and create a
- 10:0750-minute or above gap. We're going to
- 10:10use this gap. We're going to wait for it
- 10:11to be confirmed with an SMT fill, some
- 10:13type of form of SMT, and then we can
- 10:15trust to trade away from these fair
- 10:17swings. As price has showed us the
- 10:19willingness to trade away, creating that
- 10:21gap that is the mechanical way to define
- 10:24displacements and once that gap is
- 10:26confirmed, we can assume continuation
- 10:28away from this fair swing S&T. Now, here
- 10:30we are viewing price within a tri again.
- 10:33This is we're going to have that failure
- 10:34swing SMT with that middle asset which
- 10:36is what you're going to see in most
- 10:38cases actually where this asset might be
- 10:40in premium. This assets way in deep
- 10:42discount creating that flare swing SMT
- 10:45while that lagging asset is creating
- 10:47that deep manipulation. So, what you're
- 10:49going to be waiting for is a strength
- 10:50switch between that leading asset and
- 10:52lagging asset. Once you have that
- 10:54typically that means that this asset is
- 10:56not going to reach these lows because
- 10:58the lagging asset the weakest one is
- 11:00switching strength and actually
- 11:01reversing. So if this asset is reversing
- 11:04then this asset is also going to
- 11:06reverse.
- 11:07And now here is the last way we can tell
- 11:10if price is likely to leave this flare
- 11:12swing SMT and that is when the lagging
- 11:15asset over here is actually manipulating
- 11:17the range low not making that deep run.
- 11:19If it's making that deep run through the
- 11:21low, then that means typically that
- 11:23middle asset is also going to break the
- 11:24SMT. But if it the lagging asset is
- 11:27actually manipulating it, then of course
- 11:29if the weakest asset is going to reverse
- 11:31here, then of course that middle asset
- 11:34will not reach this low, right? So it's
- 11:36really simple. If we're actually
- 11:37manipulating that range low with that
- 11:39lagging asset, the middle asset will not
- 11:42break this SMT. So now let's go ahead
- 11:44and talk about failure swing SMT. We can
- 11:48definitely trade away from fair swing
- 11:50SMT. It's going to happen like this a
- 11:52lot, right? We're not always going to
- 11:53have that space at SMT. So, we can trade
- 11:55this, but we need extra confirmation.
- 11:57So, let's go over some of the things we
- 11:59can require to do so. So, the first
- 12:02thing is a crack and correlation in the
- 12:05form of a strength switch at the point
- 12:07of reversal. So, notice how this asset
- 12:09takes a low. This asset gets really
- 12:11close to this low. If we mark that out,
- 12:13check that out. Very, very close
- 12:15proximity. If you have a strength switch
- 12:16there, you could typically trust it. I
- 12:19like to wait for a clear Vshape away on
- 12:21lower time frames creating fair value
- 12:24gaps. So, as you can see, clear Vshape
- 12:26creating gaps. I actually took this
- 12:28trade right here from this gap. I took
- 12:30it exactly right there. Um, and that
- 12:33lower time frame expansion away is
- 12:35showing displacement away. So, the
- 12:36intent to reverse, um, you're typically
- 12:39good there. Or you could wait for price
- 12:42to keep expanding away and create that
- 12:45gap in price on the 15-minute or above.
- 12:48So check this out. Here we have a
- 12:5115-minut or above gap and you're
- 12:53essentially going to trade that
- 12:54continuation sequence, right? Where
- 12:56you're just waiting for price to really
- 12:58expand away, create those gaps on the
- 13:00higher time frame. You're going to use
- 13:01these gaps to then uh trade away into
- 13:05your draw liquidity, right? So if you
- 13:07play price as you can see we get that
- 13:10SMT fill this asset does not tra the gap
- 13:14this asset does. So now that is your
- 13:17extra confirmation to go ahead and
- 13:18target all these highs and trade away
- 13:21from this fair swing SMT. You really
- 13:23have two options, right? Like I said,
- 13:26you either trade the reversal and wait
- 13:29for a strength switch or let price
- 13:31expand away, create a couple of
- 13:33expansion candles, that's going to
- 13:35create the higher gap, and that's what
- 13:37you're going to use to trade away from
- 13:38this fer swing SMT. So, if this assets
- 13:42that is the weakest does not actually
- 13:44reject this low, right, it fails to
- 13:46manipulate it when you create SMT, maybe
- 13:48consolidates, whatever, maybe trades
- 13:50right through it. That's when we expect
- 13:52ES to also break this SMT and be the
- 13:54trigger for the reversal potentially,
- 13:57right? Well, maybe YM holds that SMT.
- 14:00But if you have a strength trait between
- 14:02the weakest asset in the strongest
- 14:04assets, that is when we can trust that
- 14:09ES will not break this SMT because that
- 14:12means that in Q the weakest asset is
- 14:15actually reversing and YM can uh also
- 14:18expand of course, right? So you can
- 14:20actually see that here except this asset
- 14:23manipulated. So it's not like we need
- 14:24the strength switch anyways. But you
- 14:27only need that like I said if in Q
- 14:29failed to reverse here. You can see that
- 14:30this asset the low is Tuesday um here
- 14:35and the low over here is indeed
- 14:37Wednesday. So that is another scenario
- 14:40where you would have to require that
- 14:42strength switch.
- 14:44Now, we're going to be covering asset
- 14:45signalization going over reversals. And
- 14:49the trigger for asset signalization is
- 14:51going to be a concept that I created
- 14:53called string switching. And this is how
- 14:56we typically confirm reversals. Um, this
- 14:59is how we confirm S&T breaks. Um, it is
- 15:03a two-stage S&T, but it is the most
- 15:06powerful type of two-stage S&T. And we
- 15:09are going to be covering every single
- 15:10type here. So firstly, let's go over the
- 15:12strength switch PSP. So it's just like
- 15:15any two-stage SMT where you have an SMT
- 15:19with the key level and you have a PSP,
- 15:22but it is a strength switch. So how is
- 15:25it a strength switch? Well, look here.
- 15:27This asset by not taking out the low,
- 15:29right? The asset that is um creating the
- 15:32failure swing SMT is showing strength,
- 15:34right? These assets are showing weakness
- 15:36over here because it's taking out the
- 15:38low. But the confirmation, the two-stage
- 15:41confirmation being a PSP is now showing
- 15:44weakness by this closure here. You see
- 15:46that bearish close? Well, these assets
- 15:48are now showing sudden strength with
- 15:50this close, right? Showing weakness,
- 15:52showing strength by this bullish close.
- 15:55Weakness, right? That is your strength
- 15:57switch. Now, this typically means that
- 15:59all assets are set to reverse. Right? My
- 16:03personal favorite reversal confirmation
- 16:05is a strength PSP. It's the easiest,
- 16:07right? you have the candle closure. Um,
- 16:10you have the strength switch, you have
- 16:11the key level SMT, it's just great. So,
- 16:14this typically means that all assets are
- 16:17going to expand typically and reach the
- 16:19same drill liquidity. Not always, but it
- 16:22is typically the case um, depending on
- 16:25the narrative. Yeah, this is my favorite
- 16:27type of reversal confirmation. Super
- 16:29simple. Now, let's go over the next
- 16:31confirmation for strength switch
- 16:33reversals. This is where we have that
- 16:34key level SMT and the next stage SMT
- 16:38that strength switch is going to be with
- 16:41the swing point right the swing point
- 16:43that's essentially created SMT right or
- 16:46the lowest point uh at reversal right so
- 16:48you can see this C2 is the lowest point
- 16:50and then this asset over here takes out
- 16:53that C2 candle low well these assets
- 16:55over here do not right and which assets
- 16:57do we want to trade by the way it's
- 16:59always going to be this asset here right
- 17:01because it's closest to the draw
- 17:02liquidity it's overall stronger. So, we
- 17:04want to trade this asset here. Okay.
- 17:08Now, let's go over the last type of
- 17:10strength switch for reversal, and that
- 17:13is going to be with swing highs and
- 17:15lows, SMT. So, essentially, we're going
- 17:17to create an SMT divergence. We're going
- 17:20to print a low, right? So, you can see
- 17:21there's no two-stage here at all. Um,
- 17:24and that second stage SMT is simply
- 17:27going to be with that swing low that was
- 17:28created. As you can see, it looks like a
- 17:31roof, right? Okay, like an inverted roof
- 17:33is kind of what it looks like for that
- 17:35strength switch. Um, and what this
- 17:37really is honestly, dude, is a higher
- 17:39time frame swing point low. It's
- 17:41literally the last slide basically. Um,
- 17:44but when you view on the lower time
- 17:45frame, it looks like this. But really,
- 17:48you can visualize maybe that this is a
- 17:50new 4hour open, for example. This is the
- 17:52previous 4-hour low and it's simply
- 17:54swing SMT, but this swing low is a
- 17:57higher time frame is a higher time frame
- 17:59candles low. That's typically how it
- 18:01would look, but it's essentially the
- 18:03same thing as the last slide. Yeah,
- 18:05really simple. So, here we are going to
- 18:07be covering what is a strength switch.
- 18:09So, strength switch is a second stage
- 18:11SMT confirmation, but it is essentially
- 18:14where we get a short-term strength
- 18:16switch between correlated markets. And
- 18:19once we have that, that means that all
- 18:21assets are essentially ready to expand.
- 18:24So, let's go over these string switch
- 18:25variants. There is three variants. The
- 18:27first one here, which is my favorite, is
- 18:29a strength PSP. So, as you can see, the
- 18:32asset that was originally stronger
- 18:35because it took out the high, closes
- 18:37bearish, showing short-term weakness,
- 18:39and the asset that was originally weaker
- 18:41because it fails to take out the high
- 18:42shows short-term strength as it closes
- 18:44bullish. This is a high probability
- 18:48reversal signature.
- 18:50And one thing you will see about
- 18:51strength switching a reversal is when
- 18:53all assets start to expand away from
- 18:55that, they typically all reach the same
- 18:57draw on liquidity. Now, let's go over
- 19:00another example of a strength switch.
- 19:02So, here just going over a little bit of
- 19:03narrative. We have a two-stage SMT fill
- 19:06here. We can see this candle is a PSP.
- 19:10The high of the PSP is a gap. So, you
- 19:12have that SMT fill. This says that's
- 19:14bearish. So, there is our first stage
- 19:16SMT. In this strength switch variant is
- 19:18where you get swing SMT confirming the
- 19:21overall larger time frame SMT. So as you
- 19:25can see this asset shows strength
- 19:27because it is sweeping at the high. Then
- 19:29it shows short-term weakness as it fails
- 19:31to take out the swing high. And over
- 19:34here you have that weakness creating a
- 19:36failure swing and that short-term
- 19:38strength allowing both assets to expand
- 19:40towards draw liquidity. And as you can
- 19:42see both assets are pretty much
- 19:43V-shaping away. So what does that mean?
- 19:45They're probably both going to reach
- 19:47that overall draw on liquidity. Now,
- 19:50this is the last strength switch variant
- 19:52is very similar to the last one is where
- 19:55you have your overall SMT with your key
- 19:57level. Price prints a swing high and
- 20:01then price strength switches with that
- 20:03swing high. So, you can see the highest
- 20:05point here is 10:00 a.m. The highest
- 20:07point over here is 12 p.m. Now, let's
- 20:11cover asset synchronization
- 20:13SMT filtering. So now we're going to go
- 20:16ahead and cover assetization
- 20:18SMT filtering and this is how we can
- 20:20tell which SMTs are typically going to
- 20:23hold in the market. So this is really
- 20:26simple, right? So when you have all
- 20:28assets reversing, right? They all hit a
- 20:31key level, they all two-stage SMT, no
- 20:33strength switch, but the important thing
- 20:34we're seeing is that they're all
- 20:36expanding away and then this asset
- 20:38reached on liquidity first. This is
- 20:41going to happen every single time the
- 20:43market reverses. Every single time the
- 20:45market reverses, the leading asset is
- 20:47going to hit the drilling first and make
- 20:49an opposing SMT. So, it's like which S&T
- 20:51do you trust? Do you trust the ones at
- 20:53the lows or the highs? And this is what
- 20:55we're going to be going over. So, now
- 20:57we're going to talk about how to
- 20:58anticipate SMTs to break. And there's a
- 21:01couple things we're going to look at.
- 21:03So, the first step is, is there a
- 21:05two-stage SMT at the point of reversal?
- 21:07Yes, that's what you want to see, right?
- 21:09You ideally want to see that two-stage
- 21:11SMT at the point of reversal. The next
- 21:13step is all assets expanding away,
- 21:15right? That expansion away is going to
- 21:18create the opposing S&T, right? And if
- 21:21we start to see these things, we can
- 21:23anticipate if it's going to break or
- 21:24not, right? Another thing we want to see
- 21:26is that expansion away on these lagging
- 21:28assets and middle assets here. Where is
- 21:31the fair swing being printed? If it is
- 21:34in close proximity to the high in
- 21:36premium of the range, see how it's in
- 21:37premium of the range here, right? This
- 21:40is a negative condition. If you want to
- 21:42see the S&P hold, right, it's likely to
- 21:44break. So here I have this, you know,
- 21:47showing this proximity here in blue
- 21:49because that's a good thing if if you
- 21:51want to see continuation for this SMT to
- 21:53break. So now let's go over a negative
- 21:56condition and it is quite the opposite
- 21:58of our last slide, right? We have the
- 22:00two-stage SMT at the point of reversal,
- 22:03but what do we not see? We do not see
- 22:05both assets here. you know that middle
- 22:07asset and that lagging asset both
- 22:09expanding away with that litting asset.
- 22:11These assets are very lackluster in
- 22:13price action. It's just consolidating
- 22:15really. And what else can we see? The
- 22:17price didn't really expand and create
- 22:19that close proximity SMT. So this S&
- 22:22that you're seeing here is likely to
- 22:24hold and you're just not likely to see
- 22:25that asset synchronization for those
- 22:27lagging assets to catch up and break the
- 22:29SMT for continuation. Now here we're
- 22:32going to go over as a synchronization
- 22:35trigger for continuation and that is
- 22:37going to be strength switching. Right?
- 22:40So in this first example or variance it
- 22:42happens with an S&T fill where this
- 22:44asset shows momentarily weakness by
- 22:46trading into the gap while that middle
- 22:48and lagging asset shows short-term
- 22:50strength by not tagging the gap. Right?
- 22:53That is a trigger and confirmation to
- 22:55know that this S&T is going to break.
- 22:57And this is when we want to trade that
- 22:59lagging asset now to this exact high
- 23:02that this asset failed to manipulate.
- 23:05Now, here is the second strength switch
- 23:07confirmation for continuation. And that
- 23:10is going to be a strength switch PSP. As
- 23:13you can see, they both hit the gap. So,
- 23:15we don't really have a SMT for our
- 23:17strength switch, but we do have that
- 23:19candle closure as a PSP as our strength
- 23:22switch. As you can see, this asset after
- 23:25engaging with that draw liquidity shows
- 23:28short-term weakness by closing bearish.
- 23:31This asset shows short-term strength by
- 23:34closing bullish. And again, how do we
- 23:37even anticipate this is probably going
- 23:39to happen anyways because these assets
- 23:41are both having two stage SMT. This
- 23:44asset, where is its fair swing SMT being
- 23:46printed in premium? So we already know
- 23:49the asset synchronization is probably
- 23:50going to happen but the strength switch
- 23:52confirms it. So now here is the last
- 23:55form of strength switching to confirm
- 23:58asset signization and continuation and
- 24:00that is simply where we create an SMT
- 24:03divergence. We print a low and you have
- 24:05a strength switch with that low. Right?
- 24:07So as you see both assets print this low
- 24:08right here and here. This asset takes
- 24:11out the low showing short-term weakness.
- 24:13Well, this asset shows short-term
- 24:15strength to confirm that strength switch
- 24:18and break that S&T. This is with the
- 24:20asset you want to trade and target that
- 24:22same high that the leading asset already
- 24:25traded into. So, now let's go ahead and
- 24:27cover asset synchronization
- 24:29continuation. So, this is where ideally
- 24:32you're coming off of some type of
- 24:34reversal where both assets are expanding
- 24:36towards a draw liquidity. There's some
- 24:38things you want to see right when the
- 24:40leading asset reaches that draw
- 24:41liquidity. So as you can see this
- 24:43leading asset reaches the draw liquidity
- 24:47and that is always going to create SMT.
- 24:49As you can see every single time the
- 24:51leading assets reverses it will always
- 24:54reach the drawing query first and create
- 24:56SMT. But we need to decipher which SMT
- 24:59is real and which SMT is fake. So here
- 25:03you can see maybe you think this is
- 25:05strenous PSP to go higher. Maybe you
- 25:07think that, right? But where is the SMT
- 25:11being created? Where's the the failure
- 25:14swing assets um creating that low? It is
- 25:18creating the low in deep deep discounts,
- 25:21right? So when you see this happen, this
- 25:24is typically we're going to see that
- 25:25lagging asset actually catch up, right?
- 25:28And if it is going to catch up, it is
- 25:30going to create that string switch. This
- 25:34is what confirms it for us, right? So
- 25:36there's a couple variants of strength
- 25:38switching we can use. Firstly here with
- 25:41gaps. So as you can see this previous
- 25:43high is a gap on the daily time frame
- 25:48created on both assets. So if this asset
- 25:51is going to catch up, we want it to show
- 25:54shortterm weakness
- 25:56so it can catch up to the low that this
- 25:59asset already took out, right? That
- 26:01leading asset. So you're going to see
- 26:03here what happens. We have a strength
- 26:05switch in the form of an SMT fill,
- 26:09right? Perfect. So, this asset just
- 26:12switches strength to catch up to the
- 26:16asset that already took this low, right?
- 26:18So, doesn't that just make sense? Since
- 26:20this asset's stronger, they want to
- 26:22create the same highs and lows, right?
- 26:24In a core market, that's what price
- 26:25does. They create the same highs and
- 26:27lows. So if they're out of sync, this
- 26:30asset is going to switch weaker to catch
- 26:33up to that stronger asset. And that's
- 26:35what we see here. So now let's go over
- 26:38another example. So this is where you
- 26:39want to see price coming off of some
- 26:41sort for form of SMT divergence. So as
- 26:43you can see with this triad, we have a
- 26:45crack and correlation. And what do you
- 26:47want to see guys? All assets expand
- 26:49away. When all assets expand away, then
- 26:52we create that SMT,
- 26:57right? We're going to look for one
- 26:58thing. Where is the failure swing assets
- 27:01or the lagging assets, the middle asset,
- 27:03where is that fail swing being printed
- 27:05in terms of premium discount? As you can
- 27:08see, deep in premium that is an SMT that
- 27:11is low probability. This SMT, the high
- 27:13is low probability, right? um we can
- 27:16already decipher that this S&P is
- 27:17probably fake and these lag assets are
- 27:19going to catch up because all assets
- 27:21reversed at the lows, right? So this is
- 27:24where we can use SMT ideally in the form
- 27:27of strength switch like we have here
- 27:29with a swing high or low in this case.
- 27:32enter bullish. We want these lagging
- 27:34assets to show strength and not take out
- 27:36a low. While YM, the leading asset,
- 27:38takes out a low, showing short-term
- 27:40weakness, allowing these lagging assets
- 27:42to catch up and break the SMT. And what
- 27:45do you see? This asset over here, the
- 27:48middle asset does not take out the low.
- 27:51The weakest asset does not take out the
- 27:52low, but the strongest asset does. That
- 27:55is a strength switch. That is a
- 27:56confirmation for asset synchronization.
- 27:58and we can actually trade these lagging
- 28:00assets to the same high. Now, let's go
- 28:03over another example of asset
- 28:04synchronization. You're going to see the
- 28:06same thing happen, right? It always
- 28:08starts with a SMT, both assets expanding
- 28:11away. Once the leading asset reaches
- 28:13that low, you're going to look for where
- 28:16is the lagging assets putting its
- 28:19failure swing at. And clearly, this is
- 28:21extremely deep in discount. So, we know
- 28:24this little SMT here is highly likely to
- 28:26be a fake SMT, right? Um, but these
- 28:29SMTs, what they do is they can be used
- 28:31for retracements. Almost every single
- 28:33retracement reversal in the market has
- 28:35an SMT. So, we know which as we know
- 28:37which SMTs are likely retracements and
- 28:41reversals. We want to trade the
- 28:42reversals, right? Um, so this SMT can be
- 28:45used to retrace price. And where is it
- 28:47going to retrace into a key level? So,
- 28:49as you can see, both assets hit this
- 28:51gap. And then we can use a form of
- 28:55Kraken correlation ideally that creates
- 28:58a strength switch to confirm the next
- 29:02phase of price which is expansion and we
- 29:04want that expansion to go ahead and
- 29:05break the S&T. Right? So in this case
- 29:07the strength switch is in the form of a
- 29:10PSP. This asset closes bearish. This
- 29:12asset closes bullish. That's that
- 29:14short-term weakness that we're looking
- 29:16for for this lagging asset to go ahead
- 29:18and catch up to that leading asset. Now,
- 29:20we're going to be talking about how to
- 29:22anticipate when a SMT is going to break,
- 29:26right? And this side here really shows
- 29:28when the leading asset hits a draw on
- 29:31liquidity, for example. And if there's a
- 29:33reason to continue beyond that draw
- 29:35liquidity, then that lagging asset is
- 29:38probably also going to engage with this
- 29:39high as well. So, another way we can
- 29:42anticipate assets are going to break SMT
- 29:45is by the failure to manipulate. So,
- 29:47here we're going to go over price
- 29:49signatures. over here to the left. If
- 29:51that leading asset just straight up
- 29:53expands through a high, then obviously
- 29:55the S&T is not likely to hold. We might
- 29:58just get an expansion candle through the
- 29:59high. So, the way to confirm that is a
- 30:01lower time frame CSD. As you can see,
- 30:04this candle engages with that relevant
- 30:06high. Once we retrace back through the
- 30:09range and close through, that is your
- 30:11breakout signature and your confirmation
- 30:13for the S& to likely break. Now the
- 30:16second price signature is when price
- 30:18engages with that high creates SMT but
- 30:21then consolidates. We know that
- 30:23consolidation is not a reversal
- 30:25signature and when price consolidates
- 30:27and after SMT we know it's likely to
- 30:29break and those lagging assets are
- 30:31probably going to catch up and break it
- 30:33as well. And the last signature of
- 30:35course is going to be retracement. We
- 30:36know that consolidation retracements are
- 30:38both continuous and signatures. So, as
- 30:40you can see, there's no type of Vshape
- 30:42or nothing like that. Creating fair
- 30:44failure swings and lackluster price
- 30:46action. Know this SMT is not going to
- 30:48break. So, we're essentially just
- 30:49waiting for that confirmation to again
- 30:52trade that expansion through this high.
- 30:54Ideally, you can trade those lagging
- 30:56assets to that same high. And one thing
- 30:59to importantly note is when you have
- 31:01these failure to manipulate signatures,
- 31:04you do not need a shrink switch because
- 31:06we're expecting that leading asset to
- 31:08continue through it. So obviously if
- 31:10it's going to continue through it,
- 31:11there's a reason for the lagging asset
- 31:13to continue higher. So that lagging
- 31:15asset can of course catch up to the same
- 31:17high that the leading asset failed to
- 31:19manipulate. So as you can see, both
- 31:22these assets engage with this gap here.
- 31:24But the candle that engages with the gap
- 31:26also creates SMT with this high, which
- 31:28is a relevant swing, right? And once we
- 31:31break out of this high here and fail to
- 31:34manipulate it with that lower time
- 31:35frame, there's a reason for this asset
- 31:37to continue, which means that we don't
- 31:40really need a strength switch on this
- 31:41lagging asset to just to catch up to
- 31:42this high. Now, once that leading asset
- 31:44engage with this high, it kind of
- 31:46restarts the process, right? Are we
- 31:48going to consolidate, retrace, or just
- 31:49displace through it? If we are, there's
- 31:51a reason to continue even further beyond
- 31:53this high, then again, we can expect
- 31:55this asset to reach this high, right?
- 31:57But if you don't get those signatures,
- 31:59then you would need a string switch to
- 32:00catch up to this high. Now, here's
- 32:03another example of not needing a string
- 32:05switch where that leading asset again
- 32:07has a reason to continue. It
- 32:09consolidates, right? When we have that
- 32:12consolidation, that is our trigger to
- 32:15know that we don't not need that
- 32:16strength switch. It's going to continue,
- 32:18right? Because when you have SMT, you
- 32:20consolidate. That's not a reverse
- 32:22signature, right? So, all you need
- 32:23essentially is an SMT, right? An SMT is
- 32:26the catalyst for every expansion in the
- 32:28market or every high probability
- 32:30expansion or reversal. So that's really
- 32:32all you're waiting for. Here is an
- 32:34example where that fail to manipulate
- 32:36signature is a retracement and then
- 32:38confirmed by a PSP. So now let's talk
- 32:42about signatures within assets
- 32:44organization. This is where we engage
- 32:46with either an internal high or the
- 32:48overall draw liquidity and we print a
- 32:51continuation signature. price either
- 32:53expands right through it showing failure
- 32:55to manipulate, consolidates, or
- 32:58retraces. Either way, those are all
- 33:00failure to manipulate signatures. And
- 33:02that is typically where you expect the
- 33:04lagging asset to catch up to either that
- 33:06internal high at the very least or the
- 33:09overall draw on liquidity. So, in this
- 33:11case, we're going to be looking at an
- 33:13internal high. As you can see here on
- 33:16the daily chart, we engage with this
- 33:18range low and we can target the range
- 33:20high. an internal to that we have an
- 33:23internal high and as you can see price
- 33:25just rips right through that internal
- 33:27high. So at this point we can clearly
- 33:30see that price does not care about this
- 33:32SMT at all. Price is going to go through
- 33:35this internal level and expand to the
- 33:37overall draw on liquidity. And that's
- 33:39where we can expect the lagging asset to
- 33:41at least catch up to this internal high.
- 33:44Now here's another example we've gone
- 33:46through throughout the course. We have
- 33:48an SMT at the lows. Price has expanded
- 33:53into the overall draw liquidity. What
- 33:55does it do? It consolidates. And once it
- 33:58consolidates, it prints any type of
- 34:01continuation signature. This is where we
- 34:03do not need a string switch necessarily.
- 34:05We just need a Kraken correlation to
- 34:08time the expansion and synchronization
- 34:11to the same high. In this case, we do
- 34:13have a string switch. We have a strength
- 34:16switch. Of course, that's better. we
- 34:17don't necessarily need it. As you can
- 34:19see, every asset consolidates. So when
- 34:22you print this SMT, that's not a
- 34:24reversal signature. It's a continuation
- 34:26signature. So as you can see, price will
- 34:28catch up. You can target that same high
- 34:31that the leading asset failed to
- 34:33manipulate. So here we are on the daily
- 34:35chart and what we see is a cracking
- 34:38correlation here and price expand into
- 34:40this internal high and then it gives a
- 34:43retracement signature after creating SMT
- 34:46here.
- 34:47Right? It's creating that really close
- 34:50proximity SMT. So, we already know it's
- 34:51low probability or on the low
- 34:54probability side of things. So, if we
- 34:56print a retracement signature into a
- 34:58daily gap and then print that SMT,
- 35:00right? No string switch. Like I said,
- 35:02you don't need it. Then, we can expand
- 35:04through this SMT. This asset has a
- 35:06reason to continue. And then I say to
- 35:08get to this draw liquidity. Let's go and
- 35:10drop down the 4hour time frame and look
- 35:11at this retracement signature that
- 35:13confirms the retracement to expansion
- 35:17phase of price. So, as you can see here
- 35:19on the 4hour time frame, very very clear
- 35:22retracement phase of price here. Very
- 35:24lackluster price action. Every time we
- 35:27take out a low rejecting price, making
- 35:29these deep runs back in price, there's
- 35:31literally not one there's like not one
- 35:32single fair value gap in this whole move
- 35:34lower. That is an indication of a
- 35:37retracement. So, all you're really
- 35:39waiting for price to do is retrace into
- 35:41a key level, print SMT, and that should
- 35:43be the trigger for price to expand again
- 35:45through this SMT. The lagging asset will
- 35:48catch up and break the SMT while this
- 35:50leading asset trades into a further
- 35:53objective. So, here we are on the daily
- 35:55chart, and as you can see, we have a
- 35:57two-stage cracking correlation. We have
- 35:59an SMT with this low. We have a
- 36:02two-stage PSP out of it. Right? This
- 36:05candle is bullish. This one is bearish.
- 36:08You see this? This is the day that
- 36:10created the SMT, but we reached up the
- 36:12low here
- 36:16like so.
- 36:18And so we have some internal objectives
- 36:19on our way to this overall draw on
- 36:22liquidity, right? So we have this here.
- 36:24Let's go ahead and mark that out and
- 36:26let's drop to the lower time frame and
- 36:28see if we print any continuation
- 36:30signatures when we engage with it. So
- 36:32here we are on the 4 time frame and you
- 36:35see that the daily profile if we zoom in
- 36:37is a seek and destroy profile right
- 36:40we're opening high first and opening low
- 36:42with an SMT here right a seek and
- 36:44destroy profile uh is a form of
- 36:47consolidation so this adds on to the
- 36:50probability that we will continue
- 36:52through this high to our overall
- 36:55objective and this is actually a
- 36:57strength switch not that we need it but
- 36:59we do have it and we can expect the next
- 37:01candle to expand into our overall draw
- 37:05liquidity while this lagging asset
- 37:07catches up to that same high that this
- 37:10asset failed to manipulate.
- 37:12So now we're going to cover relative
- 37:14strength with the indices triad. This is
- 37:17really the only trade we can really do
- 37:19this and it's very important you
- 37:20understand this. So it's pretty simple.
- 37:23When in Q is the leading assets in this
- 37:26example we're bullish, right? when it's
- 37:28the leading assets, ES will almost
- 37:32always be the middle asset in any
- 37:35scenario. If if the market's bearish um
- 37:38on INQ or whatever, ES is always the
- 37:40middle asset, right? And YM will be the
- 37:43weakest. It'll always be the lagging
- 37:44asset. If INQ is the leading asset,
- 37:46right? If YM is the weakest, then what
- 37:49does that mean for INQ? It's the
- 37:50strongest. ES is always in the middle.
- 37:52So, that's something that's really,
- 37:53really important to understand. Now,
- 37:55here we're going to go over intermarket
- 37:57relations for relative strength. This is
- 37:59something we can use to our advantage.
- 38:01It's not something we want to
- 38:03independently use. This is the way that
- 38:05I use it personally. I look for a market
- 38:07that is extremely strong in one
- 38:09direction. And that's how I gauge
- 38:11whether to pair it with my bias. This is
- 38:14something you're going to pair with your
- 38:15bias. Really, not a solely independent
- 38:19thing. Um, you're not going to put too
- 38:21much weight on it. It's like a
- 38:22confluence. All right. So this is
- 38:24typically how markets move together. If
- 38:27indices is bullish, typically metals is
- 38:30also bullish and oil is bearish and the
- 38:33US dollar is bearish, right? If oil is
- 38:36bearish, metals is bullish, etc. Right?
- 38:38So we can kind of use this to our
- 38:40advantage. If I see that oil is
- 38:42extremely bearish, right, and I'm not so
- 38:45sure the bias for metals, I'm going to
- 38:47lean bullish because metal because oil
- 38:51is really bearish. So you get how I'm
- 38:53kind of using this. I'm not using
- 38:54intermarket SMT or anything like that.
- 38:57I'm just using it for strength and
- 38:59weakness for a given market. Now let's
- 39:02go ahead and cover relative strength. So
- 39:04here's an example of the indices triad.
- 39:07And this is something we can only view
- 39:08with the indices triad. When NQ is the
- 39:12strongest, YM is the weakest. ES is the
- 39:15middle. And when YM is the strongest, NQ
- 39:17is the weakest and ES is still going to
- 39:19be the middle. is how it pretty much
- 39:21plays out all the time. You barely ever
- 39:23see ES as that uh leading asset. So,
- 39:27first off, when you [snorts] have a
- 39:28crack and correlation like so, let's go
- 39:30and mark that out.
- 39:34It is very important to trade the
- 39:35weakest asset because it is going to get
- 39:38to the draw liquidity first, right? So,
- 39:40let's draw this opposing low.
- 39:43You can see let's draw that same low
- 39:45over here
- 39:47and the middle assets.
- 39:50Okay. So, as you can see, look how much
- 39:53sooner this asset gets to uh that low
- 39:56when compared to INQ and ES. ENQ hasn't
- 39:59even reached it, right? You can see that
- 40:01when INQ is the strongest, as you see,
- 40:03it took the high. It also just closed or
- 40:06it hit this high a lot sooner rather
- 40:08than ES. You can see that, right? And
- 40:10then of course if ENQ is the strongest,
- 40:12YM is the weakest. And you can see that
- 40:15right? You can see even throughout the
- 40:17whole entire day, this is the asset that
- 40:20pretty much filled in the entire gap
- 40:22while this asset didn't even hit half of
- 40:24it really, right? Um it's making it's
- 40:28also filling this gap here. Making
- 40:29deeper runs in price. So it's important
- 40:32to trade that weaker asset. Um this is
- 40:34going to be a lot easier for you. You
- 40:35can see this asset here like almost
- 40:37takes this high out. Um, it's filling in
- 40:39the target gap. Like I said, look at the
- 40:42retracement size. You know, it goes into
- 40:45a premium of this range where this ass
- 40:47over here doesn't even reach it to EQ,
- 40:49right? So, you're going to have a lot uh
- 40:52um easier time to get your draws
- 40:53liquidity, trading the weaker assets.
- 40:56This is the asset that's going to be,
- 40:58you know, sweeping highs at a lot of
- 40:59times, trading into gaps to form SMT to
- 41:03go lower. Right? If there's SMT here,
- 41:05etc. You be trading this weaker asset.
- 41:08Now let's talk about intermarket
- 41:10relations. So this is something we can
- 41:12use as just a confluence. All right. Um
- 41:16and that is the relationship between the
- 41:19three markets that I personally trade
- 41:21which is going to be indices gold and
- 41:24oil over here. Right? So when
- 41:27indices is bullish so will metals be
- 41:31most of the time and
- 41:34oil will be bearish and vice versa.
- 41:37Okay, if uh oil is bullish, then
- 41:40typically indices and gold will will be
- 41:43um bearish, right? And it's something
- 41:46you can use more as a confluence. For
- 41:48example, like if I'm like, you know, on
- 41:51the fence about a bias on a certain
- 41:53assets, right? If I see oil is like
- 41:56two-sided or something, not very clear.
- 41:59I'm not really sure. If I look at
- 42:00indices and it's it's just expanding
- 42:02like with aggression that I'm going to
- 42:04assume I'm going to be bearish on oil
- 42:07because of the intermarket relation
- 42:09right if indices is bullish then oil
- 42:12more times than not will be bullish not
- 42:14always is not always the case it's not
- 42:17something we're going to use you know
- 42:18S&P with or anything like that it's
- 42:20simply a confluence
- 42:22now let's go over decoupling so what is
- 42:25decoupling this is essentially when
- 42:28within a triad of correl correlated
- 42:30markets they are not correlated they're
- 42:32going to be expanding in opposite
- 42:34directions so specifically on the
- 42:36indices market because of the relative
- 42:38strength that we understand if ENQ is
- 42:40expanding higher YM is always expanding
- 42:43lower you always always want to avoid ES
- 42:46within a decoupled market because it's
- 42:49just going to be consolidating because
- 42:51it's the middle asset so when markets
- 42:54are decoupling this is essentially a
- 42:57form of a manipulation it's one asset
- 42:59that's going to a key level while the
- 43:01other asset expands towards the draw
- 43:03liquidity. Right? Think about it. One
- 43:05asset is making the fake move expanding
- 43:08away from the draw liquidity to
- 43:10manipulates to create SMT while the
- 43:13middle asset just waits for the
- 43:14manipulation essentially. And that
- 43:16leading asset is the real move towards
- 43:18the draw liquidity. And this SMT is
- 43:21going to be the trigger for the markets
- 43:23to reync. So with markets expanding in
- 43:27opposite directions that creates
- 43:29expansion candles that close in opposite
- 43:31directions which is a PSP rate. So what
- 43:34is the trigger for markets to reync it's
- 43:37essentially a manipulation rate which is
- 43:38going to manipulation of a range low.
- 43:41Let's assume the draw liquidity is
- 43:42higher then we know this move away from
- 43:44the draw equity into a key level for
- 43:46example is the fake move right. So we
- 43:49know the SMT at the lows is going to
- 43:50reset the market which is actually the
- 43:52creation of a two-stage PSP.
- 43:55So now let's go over what decoupling is.
- 43:57The coupling is essentially when
- 43:59correlated markets expand in opposite
- 44:01directions. For indices specifically or
- 44:05any any asset in general really any
- 44:07asset class, you're going to avoid the
- 44:08middle assets. You're going to wait for
- 44:10the market to reync. What is going to
- 44:12reync the markets is essentially
- 44:14manipulation. Right? One asset will
- 44:17expand towards a key level and that key
- 44:20level is going to be used to reync
- 44:22price. So as you can see this asset here
- 44:25is expanding higher into a relevant high
- 44:27creating SMT right while this asset
- 44:30expands away from that high right so the
- 44:33asset that is manipulating its job is to
- 44:36decouple into a key level to create SMT
- 44:38to reync price it's that simple right
- 44:41and as you can see many times you will
- 44:44have a two-stage PSP resync price so as
- 44:48price expand opposite directions they
- 44:51close as opposite expand expansion
- 44:52candles. As you can see, this candle
- 44:54here is a bullish expansion candle, and
- 44:56this is a bearish expansion candle. This
- 44:58bullish expansion candle is trading into
- 45:00the high, as you can see. And it's only
- 45:03going to resync when the next candle
- 45:05supports expansion essentially, right?
- 45:07And it's going to turn into a two-stage
- 45:09PSP, right? Obviously, this candle is
- 45:11going to take out this candle's high.
- 45:12So, you have this two-stage piece like
- 45:14that. while this asset creates a filler
- 45:17swing and you're going to wait till this
- 45:19asset uh reverses to reync price. So now
- 45:23let's go over how we can actually
- 45:25anticipate the coupling. In this case,
- 45:28it's going to be reversal. So this is
- 45:30essentially when the market is already
- 45:32decoupled in terms of premium and
- 45:35discount. So notice how this asset
- 45:37before the decoupling is way in in
- 45:39discount, right? Well, this assets in
- 45:42premium above a high. Well, it's in
- 45:44Dremium because it's manipulating the
- 45:46high, right? Creating that space on S&T.
- 45:48So, the market is already decoupled in
- 45:51terms of premium discount and it's going
- 45:54to reync in the form of decoupling.
- 45:57They're going to expand towards each
- 45:58other, right, to actually become
- 46:01correlated again. And this is the
- 46:03creation of a two-stage S&T in the form
- 46:06of a strength switch PSP, right? When
- 46:08this candle closes, it's going to create
- 46:10that bearish close. this asset closes
- 46:13bullish, right? That is the creation of
- 46:16that strength switch become correlated
- 46:18again, right? And we can use context
- 46:20clues to actually understand it's going
- 46:21to happen, right? Because there's no SMT
- 46:23at reversal. Notice how there's no SMT
- 46:25at the lows, right? So, we already know
- 46:27that, you know, this is unlikely to
- 46:30probably catch up, right? Um, and break
- 46:31this SMT up here. And also, in terms of
- 46:34advanced pre discount, this asset is an
- 46:37EQ, right? It's not creating that close
- 46:38proximity SMT, so it's probably not
- 46:40going to catch up, right? So we can
- 46:42actually begin to trade this. We can
- 46:43understand that you know this decoupling
- 46:46move is likely to reync price. So now
- 46:50let's go over decoupling sequence for
- 46:52reversal. So this is going to happen
- 46:54when we decouple
- 46:56into an SMT. Right? So notice how this
- 46:59asset expands higher creating a cracking
- 47:02correlation. This asset expands lower
- 47:05while this asset is manipulating. This
- 47:07is where we can actually trade this
- 47:08asset. you have to use context who's
- 47:10right because we have the advanced pre
- 47:12discount have no SMT at the lows. So we
- 47:14know that the expansion higher is
- 47:17probably just to reync price going to
- 47:19create the SMT and we can actually trade
- 47:21this asset to these lows. And if you
- 47:24want to trade that lagging asset we have
- 47:27to wait for this candle to close again.
- 47:28That's going to create a PSP and
- 47:30obviously this PSP is an expansion
- 47:32candle so it's likely to take out the
- 47:34high to create that two-stage PSP and
- 47:36that'll reync the market rate. Now,
- 47:38let's go ahead and cover decoupling
- 47:40anticipation. First, we're going to go
- 47:42over reversals. So, since we have a
- 47:45decoupling in the form of a strength
- 47:46switch where over here, if I have bar
- 47:49play, the SMT will happen prior to the
- 47:53decoupling happening. So, we already
- 47:56have this S&P in play and then 930 rolls
- 47:59around and the asset that manipulates
- 48:02is going to expand away from that
- 48:03manipulation and the asset that's
- 48:05creating the fair swing is going to
- 48:06expand um towards that SMT high. Uh this
- 48:11usually happens in the form of advanced
- 48:12pre- discount, right? They're just
- 48:13gravitating towards each other,
- 48:15expanding toward each other and it is
- 48:17the creation of a strength switch rate.
- 48:19So, a strength switch PSP is typically
- 48:20what is going to be created. Um, you can
- 48:23actually trade this asset here if you
- 48:26don't want to. You simply just wait for
- 48:27the candle to close and you trade C3.
- 48:29It's simple as that. And remember guys,
- 48:32we're going to be using profiling and
- 48:33narrative to decipher which SMT to
- 48:36trust. So, as you can see, the profile
- 48:38or the low of the day is 1,800 on this
- 48:41asset, which is not a relevant level.
- 48:44that is pretty much supporting our idea
- 48:47of this being a fake move on YM and this
- 48:51being the real move on INQ.
- 48:53So here is an example of price not
- 48:56manipulating prior to the decoupling
- 48:59happening. So here you can see we put in
- 49:00a high here. We put in a high over here
- 49:04as you guys can see have this high here.
- 49:08But what's important to note is on in Q
- 49:12here
- 49:14we have an SMT fill. So you guys see the
- 49:16SMT fill technically SMT fill. So this
- 49:21decoupling move right here um but even
- 49:24if you didn't have that right simply if
- 49:25you have a relevant level put in um and
- 49:29your draw is lower right that relevant
- 49:32level we want this decoupling to
- 49:35manipulate price right so you're
- 49:36automatically going to assume that this
- 49:38is going to cap off the decoupling this
- 49:40is where you can trade this asset
- 49:41towards your draw on liquidity as you
- 49:44see price trades and expands there or
- 49:47you can simply wait and actually confirm
- 49:49decoupling which is the safer move which
- 49:51is often what I do because the coupling
- 49:53markets can be somewhat tricky but this
- 49:56is typically the protocol and the
- 49:57framework that we're going to follow in
- 49:59this course. Um and as you can see that
- 50:01plays up very nicely. You're simply just
- 50:03waiting for the most recent level to be
- 50:07traded into and you're going to assume
- 50:10that that is the area that the
- 50:12decoupling will cap off. Wait for the
- 50:14resync to get back on side with the
- 50:16higher temporary move in line with that
- 50:18daily IRL to ERL universal model. Now
- 50:22let's go over to coupling anticipation
- 50:23for SMT break which is going to be
- 50:26continuation over here. And this is when
- 50:30we come into the market and we have that
- 50:32perfect framework for an SMT break uh
- 50:34continuation where we have two stage at
- 50:36the lows unlike last example. We have
- 50:39that lagging asset also expanding away
- 50:42creating its fair swing in premium right
- 50:44we know this S&P is probably already
- 50:46going to break. So when you see the
- 50:47market decouple back into the range on
- 50:50the leading assets and that middle and
- 50:52lagging assets starting to expand
- 50:53towards draw liquidity this is a
- 50:55strength switch right to become
- 50:56correlated. We we will understand this
- 50:59and know that this is the fake move and
- 51:01this is the real move. Now let's go over
- 51:04decoupling market reync and again the
- 51:07decoupling is going to be in the form of
- 51:09a string switch and this is when we have
- 51:11that same sequence right to say just the
- 51:14highs that leading asset had already
- 51:16reached a draw liquidity and the move
- 51:18higher the decoupling move higher is
- 51:21simply a strength switch right this
- 51:23assets going into a key level while
- 51:25these assets expand away right creating
- 51:28that decoupled move are expanding
- 51:30opposite directions to become correlated
- 51:33Now, let's go ahead and cover how to
- 51:36anticipate the coupling continuation.
- 51:39That is very simple. You must be coming
- 51:42off of a two-stage SMT and you have must
- 51:45have a universal model, right? So,
- 51:47here's the draw liquidity. We already
- 51:49know this is likely going to catch up
- 51:50because this left of screen asset rips
- 51:54right through that level there. And then
- 51:57you're seeing here that this asset's
- 51:59consolidating very high in premium and
- 52:02you actually see the strength switching
- 52:03here.
- 52:07So you're already starting to see some
- 52:09formative decoupling not really
- 52:11expanding is in this side of this wick.
- 52:13This has expanding lower or maybe
- 52:15consolidating while this is more so
- 52:17expanding right kind of gravitating
- 52:19toward each other. That strength switch
- 52:21that's exactly what we want to see is a
- 52:24strength switch. um in the form of the
- 52:27coupling um to break the SMT. So when we
- 52:31drop down to lower time frame on the 30
- 52:34minute here at 9:30, we see the stronger
- 52:38asset to the left that took out that
- 52:40drawing liquidity a long time ago starts
- 52:42to expand lower while this asset on the
- 52:44right which is very very close to the
- 52:46draw on liquidity to break the S&P is
- 52:49expanding higher. So we understand that
- 52:52this asset here is simply going to
- 52:55continue. This is the real move. This is
- 52:58the fake move in the form of a strength
- 53:00switch. So now let's go over decoupling
- 53:03putting all together reversal verse
- 53:06continuation. So firstly let's look at
- 53:08decoupling example at the reversal. So
- 53:11as you can see price had created an S&
- 53:14divergence and then we see decoupling
- 53:16happen right. So decoupling away from
- 53:18the key level is typically the real
- 53:21move. And for continuation, decoupling
- 53:24that happens away from the drawing
- 53:25community is the fake move, right? It's
- 53:27essentially just price expanding to a
- 53:29key level to again reync price to
- 53:33manipulate, right? To manipulate to then
- 53:35get back on side of the price. And that
- 53:37is simply how we decipher which asset is
- 53:40likely the fake move verse the real one.
- 53:44Now let's go over to coupling. We're
- 53:46going to put it all together and you're
- 53:48going to understand how to decipher
- 53:49which asset is manipulating. So here we
- 53:53are on the daily chart and this is going
- 53:55to be going over reversal. So as you can
- 53:58see we have an SMT here, an SMT here. So
- 54:02you have your key level SMT and we have
- 54:06no opposing reversal at the highs. This
- 54:09is important. So why is this important?
- 54:11We have no opposing reversal at the
- 54:13highs, just failure swings. Uh this is
- 54:16important because this is less likely
- 54:19for the lagging asset to actually catch
- 54:21up to this asset down here. You have an
- 54:24established reversal down here, but no
- 54:26established reversal up here. Right?
- 54:28That is exactly what you want for a
- 54:31universal model. You want an established
- 54:33reversal at the point at the key level
- 54:35basically and no established reversal as
- 54:38the draw on liquidity. That's exactly
- 54:40what we have here, man. So when we see
- 54:42price start to decouple when price
- 54:47creates this SMT that is the formation
- 54:49or the creation of a strength switch
- 54:52right where assets are gravitating
- 54:54towards each other to become correlated.
- 54:56So it's not the cleanest example of all
- 54:58time but it's a good example of showing
- 55:01you guys how there's a reversal
- 55:06down here and no reversal up here.
- 55:08That's how you decipher it. Let's drop
- 55:10down to lower time frame so you can kind
- 55:12of see this. So here you can really see
- 55:14it at 9:30. That's when the coupling
- 55:16happens. Typically on indices it's at
- 55:189:30. This asset over here to the right
- 55:21that was once weakest that took out that
- 55:23daily low to the left is expanding
- 55:24higher while INQ is expanding lower. But
- 55:27at this point remember you shouldn't be
- 55:29confused. What you're pretty much
- 55:30waiting for is a manipulation and it
- 55:34doesn't really happen the cleanest. So
- 55:36you can't really do much about it. You
- 55:37have to wait till ENQ engaged with this
- 55:39low and then you can look to uh trade
- 55:42that expansion higher. You get some
- 55:44decent move. You know, you can you can
- 55:46trade that decently with this two-stage
- 55:48SMT here. But you have to be patient.
- 55:51You have to wait for this uh
- 55:53manipulation here. And as you can see,
- 55:55this asset was more so expanding
- 55:57throughout the day. This one's
- 55:58consolidating.
- 55:59um at the end of the day they create
- 56:01that decoupled uh or that change in um
- 56:07candle closures which is a PSP. So
- 56:09they're pretty much moving opposite
- 56:10directions after we engage with the low.
- 56:14But you have to understand that YM is
- 56:17the asset that is trading towards the
- 56:19draw liquidity and that INQ is the asset
- 56:22that is going opposite of the draw
- 56:25liquidity to manipulate to resync price.
- 56:29Now let's go over to coupling for
- 56:31continuation. This is extremely simple.
- 56:34You're going to have a universal model
- 56:36SMT there. So what is our universal
- 56:37model here? Manipulation ranges really.
- 56:39So we have SMT at the lows. This is our
- 56:42draw liquidity which is higher on the
- 56:44daily chart. So it's really simple. Any
- 56:46move away from the draw liquidity is
- 56:49viewed as the asset that's manipulating.
- 56:51Right? So let's go to lower time frame
- 56:53and see this decoupling happening.
- 56:56So here we are on the 4hour time frame
- 56:58again. When does the coupling happen?
- 57:00Typically within the 6 a.m. 4-hour
- 57:02candle at 9:30. That's exactly what
- 57:05happens here, right? This asset starts
- 57:06to expand lower back towards the
- 57:08reversal while this asset expands
- 57:11towards the high. Our universal model
- 57:13draw liquidity. So we already know which
- 57:16asset is the fake move, right? And which
- 57:19asset is the real move. It's clearly YM
- 57:22going towards a draw is the real move.
- 57:24This asset is the faker, right? It's
- 57:27just retracing price, trading into key
- 57:29levels to resync price. So, as you can
- 57:32see, when markets are a couple, they
- 57:35create these expansion candles opposite
- 57:36directions. We want this to be a
- 57:39two-stage PSP to reync price. So, what
- 57:41are we going to require? A manipulation
- 57:43of this low to create that two-stage PSP
- 57:46to resync price. Let's see how that
- 57:47looks.
- 57:49And as you can see, this asset creates a
- 57:51C2 reversal to expansion candle. Well,
- 57:54this asset just continues towards the
- 57:56draw on liquidity.
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