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Anomaly - Advanced Course - Lesson 7 - Asset sync — Transcript

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  1. 0:04Hello everybody. Welcome to the Anomaly
  2. 0:06course core content lesson 7. Here we're
  3. 0:10going to be going over SMT breaks for
  4. 0:13reversals. So the first step is you're
  5. 0:16going to create an SMT with a correlated
  6. 0:19market. And what will make it obvious
  7. 0:21that the assets are likely to break this
  8. 0:24SMT is if the SMT is in close proximity.
  9. 0:28As you can see the failure swing high is
  10. 0:31in close proximity with the high that is
  11. 0:33being manipulated on the leading asset.
  12. 0:36Now the next step over here is the SMT
  13. 0:39actually is going to break. So that SMT
  14. 0:42is not going to hold because that
  15. 0:43proximity is very very close. Once this
  16. 0:46asset breaks the SMT that's essentially
  17. 0:49a trigger for the market to actually
  18. 0:52reverse. So, as you can see, here is a
  19. 0:54depiction of that happening, right? As
  20. 0:56soon as that middle asset, it's
  21. 0:58typically going to be the middle asset,
  22. 1:00breaks that SMT, this is when that
  23. 1:02leading asset actually starts to
  24. 1:04reverse.
  25. 1:05In the ideal scenario is this triad
  26. 1:08sequence where the leading asset creates
  27. 1:10SMT with the middle and lagging asset.
  28. 1:14It doesn't hold. That middle asset
  29. 1:16breaks the SMT, but that lagging asset
  30. 1:18actually does hold that SMT. It doesn't
  31. 1:21matter if it's close proximity S&T or
  32. 1:23not on the sitting asset. This is
  33. 1:25exactly ideally how we want to see this
  34. 1:27sequence play out. Now, let's go over
  35. 1:30another ideal scenario for S&T brick
  36. 1:32reversal. And this is a two-stage SMT in
  37. 1:36the form of a string switch. It's going
  38. 1:38to create a high, as you can see, a high
  39. 1:40on this asset, a high on this asset, and
  40. 1:43then that lagging asset actually goes
  41. 1:44ahead and breaks that SMT and
  42. 1:47simultaneously creates a new one. As you
  43. 1:50can see, this asset breaks the overall
  44. 1:52SMT, but creates a new one with the high
  45. 1:55that was actually created
  46. 1:57with that first stage SMT. It kind of
  47. 1:59looks like a roof SMT, but it's in the
  48. 2:02form of a strength switch, right?
  49. 2:03Because this asset over here was
  50. 2:05stronger as you can see because it took
  51. 2:07out the high, but now it's showing
  52. 2:08weakness as it could not take out this
  53. 2:11high. So, it's showing weakness and
  54. 2:13creating that SMT divergence while also
  55. 2:16breaking that original SMT, which is a
  56. 2:19trigger for reversal. Now, let's go
  57. 2:22ahead and go over some examples of every
  58. 2:24concept within asexization.
  59. 2:27First concepts we're going to be
  60. 2:28covering is SMT break for reversals. So,
  61. 2:33as you can see, how do we know when SMT
  62. 2:34is likely to break? When a leading asset
  63. 2:36runs deep through a low or a high. So
  64. 2:40you can see this asset fails to
  65. 2:41manipulate slow that means the middle
  66. 2:43asset which is going to be over here ES
  67. 2:46right if YM is the uh weakest then ES
  68. 2:50will be the middle asset that's when the
  69. 2:51middle asset is likely to run out that
  70. 2:53same low and when it runs out that low
  71. 2:56that is when price can reverse in the
  72. 2:59most high probable sequence is when the
  73. 3:02strongest asset is actually not even
  74. 3:04taking out that low it's actually
  75. 3:05creating SMT so this is the triad
  76. 3:08sequence for SMT break reversal. Now
  77. 3:12let's go over another high probability
  78. 3:14sequence for SMT break reversal. This is
  79. 3:18in the form of a strength switch. So you
  80. 3:20can see what is going to happen is that
  81. 3:22price is going to make an original SMT,
  82. 3:25right? And we know this is likely to
  83. 3:26break because of how close proximity
  84. 3:28this SMT is. This asset runs to the
  85. 3:30high, right? It's going to print a swing
  86. 3:33high.
  87. 3:34this asset, this lagging asset is going
  88. 3:36to break that overall SMT and actually
  89. 3:39create a new SMT with the high that was
  90. 3:43created on the the asset that was
  91. 3:46originally stronger that created that
  92. 3:47original SMT. So, it looks like that
  93. 3:49roof SMT uh and this is another way
  94. 3:52assets can reverse for SMT break. So now
  95. 3:56let's talk about when we expect the SMT
  96. 3:59to actually break within the middle
  97. 4:01asset and that is when we create close
  98. 4:03proximity SMT. So you really really see
  99. 4:06this when the leading asset here trades
  100. 4:10through a low and you can see this when
  101. 4:12we drop down to lower time frame. You
  102. 4:14can see when we engage with this low
  103. 4:15here we failed to manipulate it. We
  104. 4:17consolidated. When that happens and
  105. 4:19you're creating this close proximity
  106. 4:21SMT. So check out this close proximity
  107. 4:23SMT that we once created right here.
  108. 4:26At one point this was close proximity
  109. 4:29SMT as you guys can see
  110. 4:33right there. Um we know this is likely
  111. 4:35going to break if we do not reverse here
  112. 4:38right and I know there's a strength just
  113. 4:39PSP here guys but it happens at 1500 so
  114. 4:42very very late in the day so it just
  115. 4:44doesn't end up holding. Um but yeah as
  116. 4:47you see price clearly doesn't manipulate
  117. 4:48it. So that means that the trigger for
  118. 4:51this SMT to hold is going to be when ES
  119. 4:55the middle asset breaks, right? And we
  120. 4:58went over this and SMT break for
  121. 5:00reversal. So as soon as ES breaks the
  122. 5:02SMT, look what happens. We reverse while
  123. 5:06the middle assets is doing what? Holding
  124. 5:08it inside of a gap. So this is when we
  125. 5:12typically require that SMT break to
  126. 5:14happen.
  127. 5:16Now, let's go ahead and cover advanced
  128. 5:18premium discount. Advanced premium
  129. 5:20discount is really simple. It's all
  130. 5:22about proximity in the space between
  131. 5:25SMT. So, as you can see, the asset that
  132. 5:27creates a failure swing is essentially
  133. 5:29going to create its failure swing in
  134. 5:32premium of the range or an EQ, right?
  135. 5:35That's ideally where you want it to be
  136. 5:37created. And ideally this asset is
  137. 5:40creating its fair swing inside of a gap
  138. 5:42while that lagging asset is actually
  139. 5:44manipulating that range low. Right? So
  140. 5:46really simple this asset is in premium
  141. 5:49of the range or in discount while this
  142. 5:50asset is manipulating the range low
  143. 5:52creating that spaced out SMT. Really
  144. 5:55simple. So now let's view this within a
  145. 5:57triad where we have three correlated
  146. 6:00markets. This is ideally how we want it
  147. 6:02to look is that strongest asset that
  148. 6:05leading one will be creating its S&T in
  149. 6:08premium. This asset the middle asset
  150. 6:11this middle asset over here is going to
  151. 6:13be creating its low in equilibrium while
  152. 6:16that lagging asset is going to be
  153. 6:19manipulating that range low. Now this is
  154. 6:22more of a negative condition. this asset
  155. 6:24is maybe in premium or equilibrium and
  156. 6:27that middle asset makes a really deep
  157. 6:29run back into that range low and this
  158. 6:32asset is actually making a deep
  159. 6:34manipulation through this low. So when
  160. 6:37we have that sequence, this is what
  161. 6:38we're going to wait for right here.
  162. 6:40We're going to wait for that middle
  163. 6:41asset to manipulate that range low and
  164. 6:44break SMT just like we went over
  165. 6:46previously. And that will be the trigger
  166. 6:48for the market to reverse. Now, let's go
  167. 6:51over an example where we can use the
  168. 6:52previous candle as our range high and
  169. 6:55low. And this is typically going to
  170. 6:57happen in the form of a PSP when they're
  171. 7:00expanding in opposite directions. So,
  172. 7:02why does that naturally happen? Because
  173. 7:04this candle is opening up in premium of
  174. 7:06the previous candle range and this
  175. 7:07candle is opening up in discount of the
  176. 7:09previous candles range. This asset is
  177. 7:10going to run out that low creating a
  178. 7:12two-stage PSP. This asset is not. It
  179. 7:14stays up into premium/ EQ of the
  180. 7:17previous range. that naturally just
  181. 7:19creates that space out SMT that we're
  182. 7:22looking for. Now, let's go ahead and go
  183. 7:24over advanced pre and discount. This is
  184. 7:26essentially what we want to see, a space
  185. 7:28out SMT. It's where one asset takes a
  186. 7:31range high, manipulates it, while the
  187. 7:33lagging asset is either in discount or
  188. 7:36around EQ. We don't really want it to be
  189. 7:38in deep discount because that's creating
  190. 7:40the close proximity SMT. We want that
  191. 7:42SMT that is more so spaced out. And
  192. 7:46ideally the asset that's creating the
  193. 7:48filler swing or not taking out the high
  194. 7:50is actually in a fair value gap. So this
  195. 7:53is a great way we can mechanically
  196. 7:55define space SMT by using the premium
  197. 7:58discount tool. And ideally the way we
  198. 8:00trade this is we have a string switch at
  199. 8:04the point of reversal. Now you don't
  200. 8:06need a string switch at the point
  201. 8:08reversal if the asset taking the high is
  202. 8:11actually printing those V-shaped
  203. 8:13signatures and actually manipulating the
  204. 8:15high. But if it actually runs deep
  205. 8:17through a high or not really reversing,
  206. 8:20you absolutely need a string switch.
  207. 8:22Now, this is the most ideal scenario
  208. 8:24when looking at a triad um when viewing
  209. 8:28a premium discount range. So, this is
  210. 8:31where the lagging asset takes out the
  211. 8:33range low. We're going to look at where
  212. 8:35the Feder swings are being printed on
  213. 8:37the middle assets and the leading
  214. 8:39assets. So, look at this leading asset.
  215. 8:42Where is it at? it is in high in
  216. 8:44premium, right? Very very high in
  217. 8:46premium while the middle asset is more
  218. 8:48in discounts or EQ area. This is
  219. 8:51perfect, right? Um this is the most
  220. 8:53ideal scenario when trading uh advanced
  221. 8:57premium discount. So now we're going to
  222. 8:59go over another way we use advanced
  223. 9:01premium discount and that is going to be
  224. 9:03using the previous candles higher low as
  225. 9:06a range higher low. So, typically we're
  226. 9:09only going to do this, not always. It
  227. 9:11can be with any candle really. You're
  228. 9:13going to see it mostly happen when it
  229. 9:15the previous candle is a PSP because you
  230. 9:18have one candle opening near the low end
  231. 9:22of the previous candle's range. Well,
  232. 9:23this candle is opening near the high end
  233. 9:25of its previous candle's range. So,
  234. 9:27naturally, you create that two-stage PSP
  235. 9:30and you create that separated SMT,
  236. 9:32right? So, we drop down lower time
  237. 9:34frame. So, here we are on the hourly
  238. 9:36time frame. What do we see? This asset
  239. 9:38is running the previous candles range.
  240. 9:40This asset is not creating that space
  241. 9:44that S&P want to see. And what is this
  242. 9:46asset creating low in inside of a gap?
  243. 9:50So now let's go ahead and talk about
  244. 9:52failure swing SMT where we actually
  245. 9:54don't have really an advanced premium
  246. 9:56discount. So what we're going to wait
  247. 9:58for is the GXT universe sequence which
  248. 10:01is really simple. After price creates
  249. 10:03that failure swing SMT, just wait for
  250. 10:05price to expand away and create a
  251. 10:0750-minute or above gap. We're going to
  252. 10:10use this gap. We're going to wait for it
  253. 10:11to be confirmed with an SMT fill, some
  254. 10:13type of form of SMT, and then we can
  255. 10:15trust to trade away from these fair
  256. 10:17swings. As price has showed us the
  257. 10:19willingness to trade away, creating that
  258. 10:21gap that is the mechanical way to define
  259. 10:24displacements and once that gap is
  260. 10:26confirmed, we can assume continuation
  261. 10:28away from this fair swing S&T. Now, here
  262. 10:30we are viewing price within a tri again.
  263. 10:33This is we're going to have that failure
  264. 10:34swing SMT with that middle asset which
  265. 10:36is what you're going to see in most
  266. 10:38cases actually where this asset might be
  267. 10:40in premium. This assets way in deep
  268. 10:42discount creating that flare swing SMT
  269. 10:45while that lagging asset is creating
  270. 10:47that deep manipulation. So, what you're
  271. 10:49going to be waiting for is a strength
  272. 10:50switch between that leading asset and
  273. 10:52lagging asset. Once you have that
  274. 10:54typically that means that this asset is
  275. 10:56not going to reach these lows because
  276. 10:58the lagging asset the weakest one is
  277. 11:00switching strength and actually
  278. 11:01reversing. So if this asset is reversing
  279. 11:04then this asset is also going to
  280. 11:06reverse.
  281. 11:07And now here is the last way we can tell
  282. 11:10if price is likely to leave this flare
  283. 11:12swing SMT and that is when the lagging
  284. 11:15asset over here is actually manipulating
  285. 11:17the range low not making that deep run.
  286. 11:19If it's making that deep run through the
  287. 11:21low, then that means typically that
  288. 11:23middle asset is also going to break the
  289. 11:24SMT. But if it the lagging asset is
  290. 11:27actually manipulating it, then of course
  291. 11:29if the weakest asset is going to reverse
  292. 11:31here, then of course that middle asset
  293. 11:34will not reach this low, right? So it's
  294. 11:36really simple. If we're actually
  295. 11:37manipulating that range low with that
  296. 11:39lagging asset, the middle asset will not
  297. 11:42break this SMT. So now let's go ahead
  298. 11:44and talk about failure swing SMT. We can
  299. 11:48definitely trade away from fair swing
  300. 11:50SMT. It's going to happen like this a
  301. 11:52lot, right? We're not always going to
  302. 11:53have that space at SMT. So, we can trade
  303. 11:55this, but we need extra confirmation.
  304. 11:57So, let's go over some of the things we
  305. 11:59can require to do so. So, the first
  306. 12:02thing is a crack and correlation in the
  307. 12:05form of a strength switch at the point
  308. 12:07of reversal. So, notice how this asset
  309. 12:09takes a low. This asset gets really
  310. 12:11close to this low. If we mark that out,
  311. 12:13check that out. Very, very close
  312. 12:15proximity. If you have a strength switch
  313. 12:16there, you could typically trust it. I
  314. 12:19like to wait for a clear Vshape away on
  315. 12:21lower time frames creating fair value
  316. 12:24gaps. So, as you can see, clear Vshape
  317. 12:26creating gaps. I actually took this
  318. 12:28trade right here from this gap. I took
  319. 12:30it exactly right there. Um, and that
  320. 12:33lower time frame expansion away is
  321. 12:35showing displacement away. So, the
  322. 12:36intent to reverse, um, you're typically
  323. 12:39good there. Or you could wait for price
  324. 12:42to keep expanding away and create that
  325. 12:45gap in price on the 15-minute or above.
  326. 12:48So check this out. Here we have a
  327. 12:5115-minut or above gap and you're
  328. 12:53essentially going to trade that
  329. 12:54continuation sequence, right? Where
  330. 12:56you're just waiting for price to really
  331. 12:58expand away, create those gaps on the
  332. 13:00higher time frame. You're going to use
  333. 13:01these gaps to then uh trade away into
  334. 13:05your draw liquidity, right? So if you
  335. 13:07play price as you can see we get that
  336. 13:10SMT fill this asset does not tra the gap
  337. 13:14this asset does. So now that is your
  338. 13:17extra confirmation to go ahead and
  339. 13:18target all these highs and trade away
  340. 13:21from this fair swing SMT. You really
  341. 13:23have two options, right? Like I said,
  342. 13:26you either trade the reversal and wait
  343. 13:29for a strength switch or let price
  344. 13:31expand away, create a couple of
  345. 13:33expansion candles, that's going to
  346. 13:35create the higher gap, and that's what
  347. 13:37you're going to use to trade away from
  348. 13:38this fer swing SMT. So, if this assets
  349. 13:42that is the weakest does not actually
  350. 13:44reject this low, right, it fails to
  351. 13:46manipulate it when you create SMT, maybe
  352. 13:48consolidates, whatever, maybe trades
  353. 13:50right through it. That's when we expect
  354. 13:52ES to also break this SMT and be the
  355. 13:54trigger for the reversal potentially,
  356. 13:57right? Well, maybe YM holds that SMT.
  357. 14:00But if you have a strength trait between
  358. 14:02the weakest asset in the strongest
  359. 14:04assets, that is when we can trust that
  360. 14:09ES will not break this SMT because that
  361. 14:12means that in Q the weakest asset is
  362. 14:15actually reversing and YM can uh also
  363. 14:18expand of course, right? So you can
  364. 14:20actually see that here except this asset
  365. 14:23manipulated. So it's not like we need
  366. 14:24the strength switch anyways. But you
  367. 14:27only need that like I said if in Q
  368. 14:29failed to reverse here. You can see that
  369. 14:30this asset the low is Tuesday um here
  370. 14:35and the low over here is indeed
  371. 14:37Wednesday. So that is another scenario
  372. 14:40where you would have to require that
  373. 14:42strength switch.
  374. 14:44Now, we're going to be covering asset
  375. 14:45signalization going over reversals. And
  376. 14:49the trigger for asset signalization is
  377. 14:51going to be a concept that I created
  378. 14:53called string switching. And this is how
  379. 14:56we typically confirm reversals. Um, this
  380. 14:59is how we confirm S&T breaks. Um, it is
  381. 15:03a two-stage S&T, but it is the most
  382. 15:06powerful type of two-stage S&T. And we
  383. 15:09are going to be covering every single
  384. 15:10type here. So firstly, let's go over the
  385. 15:12strength switch PSP. So it's just like
  386. 15:15any two-stage SMT where you have an SMT
  387. 15:19with the key level and you have a PSP,
  388. 15:22but it is a strength switch. So how is
  389. 15:25it a strength switch? Well, look here.
  390. 15:27This asset by not taking out the low,
  391. 15:29right? The asset that is um creating the
  392. 15:32failure swing SMT is showing strength,
  393. 15:34right? These assets are showing weakness
  394. 15:36over here because it's taking out the
  395. 15:38low. But the confirmation, the two-stage
  396. 15:41confirmation being a PSP is now showing
  397. 15:44weakness by this closure here. You see
  398. 15:46that bearish close? Well, these assets
  399. 15:48are now showing sudden strength with
  400. 15:50this close, right? Showing weakness,
  401. 15:52showing strength by this bullish close.
  402. 15:55Weakness, right? That is your strength
  403. 15:57switch. Now, this typically means that
  404. 15:59all assets are set to reverse. Right? My
  405. 16:03personal favorite reversal confirmation
  406. 16:05is a strength PSP. It's the easiest,
  407. 16:07right? you have the candle closure. Um,
  408. 16:10you have the strength switch, you have
  409. 16:11the key level SMT, it's just great. So,
  410. 16:14this typically means that all assets are
  411. 16:17going to expand typically and reach the
  412. 16:19same drill liquidity. Not always, but it
  413. 16:22is typically the case um, depending on
  414. 16:25the narrative. Yeah, this is my favorite
  415. 16:27type of reversal confirmation. Super
  416. 16:29simple. Now, let's go over the next
  417. 16:31confirmation for strength switch
  418. 16:33reversals. This is where we have that
  419. 16:34key level SMT and the next stage SMT
  420. 16:38that strength switch is going to be with
  421. 16:41the swing point right the swing point
  422. 16:43that's essentially created SMT right or
  423. 16:46the lowest point uh at reversal right so
  424. 16:48you can see this C2 is the lowest point
  425. 16:50and then this asset over here takes out
  426. 16:53that C2 candle low well these assets
  427. 16:55over here do not right and which assets
  428. 16:57do we want to trade by the way it's
  429. 16:59always going to be this asset here right
  430. 17:01because it's closest to the draw
  431. 17:02liquidity it's overall stronger. So, we
  432. 17:04want to trade this asset here. Okay.
  433. 17:08Now, let's go over the last type of
  434. 17:10strength switch for reversal, and that
  435. 17:13is going to be with swing highs and
  436. 17:15lows, SMT. So, essentially, we're going
  437. 17:17to create an SMT divergence. We're going
  438. 17:20to print a low, right? So, you can see
  439. 17:21there's no two-stage here at all. Um,
  440. 17:24and that second stage SMT is simply
  441. 17:27going to be with that swing low that was
  442. 17:28created. As you can see, it looks like a
  443. 17:31roof, right? Okay, like an inverted roof
  444. 17:33is kind of what it looks like for that
  445. 17:35strength switch. Um, and what this
  446. 17:37really is honestly, dude, is a higher
  447. 17:39time frame swing point low. It's
  448. 17:41literally the last slide basically. Um,
  449. 17:44but when you view on the lower time
  450. 17:45frame, it looks like this. But really,
  451. 17:48you can visualize maybe that this is a
  452. 17:50new 4hour open, for example. This is the
  453. 17:52previous 4-hour low and it's simply
  454. 17:54swing SMT, but this swing low is a
  455. 17:57higher time frame is a higher time frame
  456. 17:59candles low. That's typically how it
  457. 18:01would look, but it's essentially the
  458. 18:03same thing as the last slide. Yeah,
  459. 18:05really simple. So, here we are going to
  460. 18:07be covering what is a strength switch.
  461. 18:09So, strength switch is a second stage
  462. 18:11SMT confirmation, but it is essentially
  463. 18:14where we get a short-term strength
  464. 18:16switch between correlated markets. And
  465. 18:19once we have that, that means that all
  466. 18:21assets are essentially ready to expand.
  467. 18:24So, let's go over these string switch
  468. 18:25variants. There is three variants. The
  469. 18:27first one here, which is my favorite, is
  470. 18:29a strength PSP. So, as you can see, the
  471. 18:32asset that was originally stronger
  472. 18:35because it took out the high, closes
  473. 18:37bearish, showing short-term weakness,
  474. 18:39and the asset that was originally weaker
  475. 18:41because it fails to take out the high
  476. 18:42shows short-term strength as it closes
  477. 18:44bullish. This is a high probability
  478. 18:48reversal signature.
  479. 18:50And one thing you will see about
  480. 18:51strength switching a reversal is when
  481. 18:53all assets start to expand away from
  482. 18:55that, they typically all reach the same
  483. 18:57draw on liquidity. Now, let's go over
  484. 19:00another example of a strength switch.
  485. 19:02So, here just going over a little bit of
  486. 19:03narrative. We have a two-stage SMT fill
  487. 19:06here. We can see this candle is a PSP.
  488. 19:10The high of the PSP is a gap. So, you
  489. 19:12have that SMT fill. This says that's
  490. 19:14bearish. So, there is our first stage
  491. 19:16SMT. In this strength switch variant is
  492. 19:18where you get swing SMT confirming the
  493. 19:21overall larger time frame SMT. So as you
  494. 19:25can see this asset shows strength
  495. 19:27because it is sweeping at the high. Then
  496. 19:29it shows short-term weakness as it fails
  497. 19:31to take out the swing high. And over
  498. 19:34here you have that weakness creating a
  499. 19:36failure swing and that short-term
  500. 19:38strength allowing both assets to expand
  501. 19:40towards draw liquidity. And as you can
  502. 19:42see both assets are pretty much
  503. 19:43V-shaping away. So what does that mean?
  504. 19:45They're probably both going to reach
  505. 19:47that overall draw on liquidity. Now,
  506. 19:50this is the last strength switch variant
  507. 19:52is very similar to the last one is where
  508. 19:55you have your overall SMT with your key
  509. 19:57level. Price prints a swing high and
  510. 20:01then price strength switches with that
  511. 20:03swing high. So, you can see the highest
  512. 20:05point here is 10:00 a.m. The highest
  513. 20:07point over here is 12 p.m. Now, let's
  514. 20:11cover asset synchronization
  515. 20:13SMT filtering. So now we're going to go
  516. 20:16ahead and cover assetization
  517. 20:18SMT filtering and this is how we can
  518. 20:20tell which SMTs are typically going to
  519. 20:23hold in the market. So this is really
  520. 20:26simple, right? So when you have all
  521. 20:28assets reversing, right? They all hit a
  522. 20:31key level, they all two-stage SMT, no
  523. 20:33strength switch, but the important thing
  524. 20:34we're seeing is that they're all
  525. 20:36expanding away and then this asset
  526. 20:38reached on liquidity first. This is
  527. 20:41going to happen every single time the
  528. 20:43market reverses. Every single time the
  529. 20:45market reverses, the leading asset is
  530. 20:47going to hit the drilling first and make
  531. 20:49an opposing SMT. So, it's like which S&T
  532. 20:51do you trust? Do you trust the ones at
  533. 20:53the lows or the highs? And this is what
  534. 20:55we're going to be going over. So, now
  535. 20:57we're going to talk about how to
  536. 20:58anticipate SMTs to break. And there's a
  537. 21:01couple things we're going to look at.
  538. 21:03So, the first step is, is there a
  539. 21:05two-stage SMT at the point of reversal?
  540. 21:07Yes, that's what you want to see, right?
  541. 21:09You ideally want to see that two-stage
  542. 21:11SMT at the point of reversal. The next
  543. 21:13step is all assets expanding away,
  544. 21:15right? That expansion away is going to
  545. 21:18create the opposing S&T, right? And if
  546. 21:21we start to see these things, we can
  547. 21:23anticipate if it's going to break or
  548. 21:24not, right? Another thing we want to see
  549. 21:26is that expansion away on these lagging
  550. 21:28assets and middle assets here. Where is
  551. 21:31the fair swing being printed? If it is
  552. 21:34in close proximity to the high in
  553. 21:36premium of the range, see how it's in
  554. 21:37premium of the range here, right? This
  555. 21:40is a negative condition. If you want to
  556. 21:42see the S&P hold, right, it's likely to
  557. 21:44break. So here I have this, you know,
  558. 21:47showing this proximity here in blue
  559. 21:49because that's a good thing if if you
  560. 21:51want to see continuation for this SMT to
  561. 21:53break. So now let's go over a negative
  562. 21:56condition and it is quite the opposite
  563. 21:58of our last slide, right? We have the
  564. 22:00two-stage SMT at the point of reversal,
  565. 22:03but what do we not see? We do not see
  566. 22:05both assets here. you know that middle
  567. 22:07asset and that lagging asset both
  568. 22:09expanding away with that litting asset.
  569. 22:11These assets are very lackluster in
  570. 22:13price action. It's just consolidating
  571. 22:15really. And what else can we see? The
  572. 22:17price didn't really expand and create
  573. 22:19that close proximity SMT. So this S&
  574. 22:22that you're seeing here is likely to
  575. 22:24hold and you're just not likely to see
  576. 22:25that asset synchronization for those
  577. 22:27lagging assets to catch up and break the
  578. 22:29SMT for continuation. Now here we're
  579. 22:32going to go over as a synchronization
  580. 22:35trigger for continuation and that is
  581. 22:37going to be strength switching. Right?
  582. 22:40So in this first example or variance it
  583. 22:42happens with an S&T fill where this
  584. 22:44asset shows momentarily weakness by
  585. 22:46trading into the gap while that middle
  586. 22:48and lagging asset shows short-term
  587. 22:50strength by not tagging the gap. Right?
  588. 22:53That is a trigger and confirmation to
  589. 22:55know that this S&T is going to break.
  590. 22:57And this is when we want to trade that
  591. 22:59lagging asset now to this exact high
  592. 23:02that this asset failed to manipulate.
  593. 23:05Now, here is the second strength switch
  594. 23:07confirmation for continuation. And that
  595. 23:10is going to be a strength switch PSP. As
  596. 23:13you can see, they both hit the gap. So,
  597. 23:15we don't really have a SMT for our
  598. 23:17strength switch, but we do have that
  599. 23:19candle closure as a PSP as our strength
  600. 23:22switch. As you can see, this asset after
  601. 23:25engaging with that draw liquidity shows
  602. 23:28short-term weakness by closing bearish.
  603. 23:31This asset shows short-term strength by
  604. 23:34closing bullish. And again, how do we
  605. 23:37even anticipate this is probably going
  606. 23:39to happen anyways because these assets
  607. 23:41are both having two stage SMT. This
  608. 23:44asset, where is its fair swing SMT being
  609. 23:46printed in premium? So we already know
  610. 23:49the asset synchronization is probably
  611. 23:50going to happen but the strength switch
  612. 23:52confirms it. So now here is the last
  613. 23:55form of strength switching to confirm
  614. 23:58asset signization and continuation and
  615. 24:00that is simply where we create an SMT
  616. 24:03divergence. We print a low and you have
  617. 24:05a strength switch with that low. Right?
  618. 24:07So as you see both assets print this low
  619. 24:08right here and here. This asset takes
  620. 24:11out the low showing short-term weakness.
  621. 24:13Well, this asset shows short-term
  622. 24:15strength to confirm that strength switch
  623. 24:18and break that S&T. This is with the
  624. 24:20asset you want to trade and target that
  625. 24:22same high that the leading asset already
  626. 24:25traded into. So, now let's go ahead and
  627. 24:27cover asset synchronization
  628. 24:29continuation. So, this is where ideally
  629. 24:32you're coming off of some type of
  630. 24:34reversal where both assets are expanding
  631. 24:36towards a draw liquidity. There's some
  632. 24:38things you want to see right when the
  633. 24:40leading asset reaches that draw
  634. 24:41liquidity. So as you can see this
  635. 24:43leading asset reaches the draw liquidity
  636. 24:47and that is always going to create SMT.
  637. 24:49As you can see every single time the
  638. 24:51leading assets reverses it will always
  639. 24:54reach the drawing query first and create
  640. 24:56SMT. But we need to decipher which SMT
  641. 24:59is real and which SMT is fake. So here
  642. 25:03you can see maybe you think this is
  643. 25:05strenous PSP to go higher. Maybe you
  644. 25:07think that, right? But where is the SMT
  645. 25:11being created? Where's the the failure
  646. 25:14swing assets um creating that low? It is
  647. 25:18creating the low in deep deep discounts,
  648. 25:21right? So when you see this happen, this
  649. 25:24is typically we're going to see that
  650. 25:25lagging asset actually catch up, right?
  651. 25:28And if it is going to catch up, it is
  652. 25:30going to create that string switch. This
  653. 25:34is what confirms it for us, right? So
  654. 25:36there's a couple variants of strength
  655. 25:38switching we can use. Firstly here with
  656. 25:41gaps. So as you can see this previous
  657. 25:43high is a gap on the daily time frame
  658. 25:48created on both assets. So if this asset
  659. 25:51is going to catch up, we want it to show
  660. 25:54shortterm weakness
  661. 25:56so it can catch up to the low that this
  662. 25:59asset already took out, right? That
  663. 26:01leading asset. So you're going to see
  664. 26:03here what happens. We have a strength
  665. 26:05switch in the form of an SMT fill,
  666. 26:09right? Perfect. So, this asset just
  667. 26:12switches strength to catch up to the
  668. 26:16asset that already took this low, right?
  669. 26:18So, doesn't that just make sense? Since
  670. 26:20this asset's stronger, they want to
  671. 26:22create the same highs and lows, right?
  672. 26:24In a core market, that's what price
  673. 26:25does. They create the same highs and
  674. 26:27lows. So if they're out of sync, this
  675. 26:30asset is going to switch weaker to catch
  676. 26:33up to that stronger asset. And that's
  677. 26:35what we see here. So now let's go over
  678. 26:38another example. So this is where you
  679. 26:39want to see price coming off of some
  680. 26:41sort for form of SMT divergence. So as
  681. 26:43you can see with this triad, we have a
  682. 26:45crack and correlation. And what do you
  683. 26:47want to see guys? All assets expand
  684. 26:49away. When all assets expand away, then
  685. 26:52we create that SMT,
  686. 26:57right? We're going to look for one
  687. 26:58thing. Where is the failure swing assets
  688. 27:01or the lagging assets, the middle asset,
  689. 27:03where is that fail swing being printed
  690. 27:05in terms of premium discount? As you can
  691. 27:08see, deep in premium that is an SMT that
  692. 27:11is low probability. This SMT, the high
  693. 27:13is low probability, right? um we can
  694. 27:16already decipher that this S&P is
  695. 27:17probably fake and these lag assets are
  696. 27:19going to catch up because all assets
  697. 27:21reversed at the lows, right? So this is
  698. 27:24where we can use SMT ideally in the form
  699. 27:27of strength switch like we have here
  700. 27:29with a swing high or low in this case.
  701. 27:32enter bullish. We want these lagging
  702. 27:34assets to show strength and not take out
  703. 27:36a low. While YM, the leading asset,
  704. 27:38takes out a low, showing short-term
  705. 27:40weakness, allowing these lagging assets
  706. 27:42to catch up and break the SMT. And what
  707. 27:45do you see? This asset over here, the
  708. 27:48middle asset does not take out the low.
  709. 27:51The weakest asset does not take out the
  710. 27:52low, but the strongest asset does. That
  711. 27:55is a strength switch. That is a
  712. 27:56confirmation for asset synchronization.
  713. 27:58and we can actually trade these lagging
  714. 28:00assets to the same high. Now, let's go
  715. 28:03over another example of asset
  716. 28:04synchronization. You're going to see the
  717. 28:06same thing happen, right? It always
  718. 28:08starts with a SMT, both assets expanding
  719. 28:11away. Once the leading asset reaches
  720. 28:13that low, you're going to look for where
  721. 28:16is the lagging assets putting its
  722. 28:19failure swing at. And clearly, this is
  723. 28:21extremely deep in discount. So, we know
  724. 28:24this little SMT here is highly likely to
  725. 28:26be a fake SMT, right? Um, but these
  726. 28:29SMTs, what they do is they can be used
  727. 28:31for retracements. Almost every single
  728. 28:33retracement reversal in the market has
  729. 28:35an SMT. So, we know which as we know
  730. 28:37which SMTs are likely retracements and
  731. 28:41reversals. We want to trade the
  732. 28:42reversals, right? Um, so this SMT can be
  733. 28:45used to retrace price. And where is it
  734. 28:47going to retrace into a key level? So,
  735. 28:49as you can see, both assets hit this
  736. 28:51gap. And then we can use a form of
  737. 28:55Kraken correlation ideally that creates
  738. 28:58a strength switch to confirm the next
  739. 29:02phase of price which is expansion and we
  740. 29:04want that expansion to go ahead and
  741. 29:05break the S&T. Right? So in this case
  742. 29:07the strength switch is in the form of a
  743. 29:10PSP. This asset closes bearish. This
  744. 29:12asset closes bullish. That's that
  745. 29:14short-term weakness that we're looking
  746. 29:16for for this lagging asset to go ahead
  747. 29:18and catch up to that leading asset. Now,
  748. 29:20we're going to be talking about how to
  749. 29:22anticipate when a SMT is going to break,
  750. 29:26right? And this side here really shows
  751. 29:28when the leading asset hits a draw on
  752. 29:31liquidity, for example. And if there's a
  753. 29:33reason to continue beyond that draw
  754. 29:35liquidity, then that lagging asset is
  755. 29:38probably also going to engage with this
  756. 29:39high as well. So, another way we can
  757. 29:42anticipate assets are going to break SMT
  758. 29:45is by the failure to manipulate. So,
  759. 29:47here we're going to go over price
  760. 29:49signatures. over here to the left. If
  761. 29:51that leading asset just straight up
  762. 29:53expands through a high, then obviously
  763. 29:55the S&T is not likely to hold. We might
  764. 29:58just get an expansion candle through the
  765. 29:59high. So, the way to confirm that is a
  766. 30:01lower time frame CSD. As you can see,
  767. 30:04this candle engages with that relevant
  768. 30:06high. Once we retrace back through the
  769. 30:09range and close through, that is your
  770. 30:11breakout signature and your confirmation
  771. 30:13for the S& to likely break. Now the
  772. 30:16second price signature is when price
  773. 30:18engages with that high creates SMT but
  774. 30:21then consolidates. We know that
  775. 30:23consolidation is not a reversal
  776. 30:25signature and when price consolidates
  777. 30:27and after SMT we know it's likely to
  778. 30:29break and those lagging assets are
  779. 30:31probably going to catch up and break it
  780. 30:33as well. And the last signature of
  781. 30:35course is going to be retracement. We
  782. 30:36know that consolidation retracements are
  783. 30:38both continuous and signatures. So, as
  784. 30:40you can see, there's no type of Vshape
  785. 30:42or nothing like that. Creating fair
  786. 30:44failure swings and lackluster price
  787. 30:46action. Know this SMT is not going to
  788. 30:48break. So, we're essentially just
  789. 30:49waiting for that confirmation to again
  790. 30:52trade that expansion through this high.
  791. 30:54Ideally, you can trade those lagging
  792. 30:56assets to that same high. And one thing
  793. 30:59to importantly note is when you have
  794. 31:01these failure to manipulate signatures,
  795. 31:04you do not need a shrink switch because
  796. 31:06we're expecting that leading asset to
  797. 31:08continue through it. So obviously if
  798. 31:10it's going to continue through it,
  799. 31:11there's a reason for the lagging asset
  800. 31:13to continue higher. So that lagging
  801. 31:15asset can of course catch up to the same
  802. 31:17high that the leading asset failed to
  803. 31:19manipulate. So as you can see, both
  804. 31:22these assets engage with this gap here.
  805. 31:24But the candle that engages with the gap
  806. 31:26also creates SMT with this high, which
  807. 31:28is a relevant swing, right? And once we
  808. 31:31break out of this high here and fail to
  809. 31:34manipulate it with that lower time
  810. 31:35frame, there's a reason for this asset
  811. 31:37to continue, which means that we don't
  812. 31:40really need a strength switch on this
  813. 31:41lagging asset to just to catch up to
  814. 31:42this high. Now, once that leading asset
  815. 31:44engage with this high, it kind of
  816. 31:46restarts the process, right? Are we
  817. 31:48going to consolidate, retrace, or just
  818. 31:49displace through it? If we are, there's
  819. 31:51a reason to continue even further beyond
  820. 31:53this high, then again, we can expect
  821. 31:55this asset to reach this high, right?
  822. 31:57But if you don't get those signatures,
  823. 31:59then you would need a string switch to
  824. 32:00catch up to this high. Now, here's
  825. 32:03another example of not needing a string
  826. 32:05switch where that leading asset again
  827. 32:07has a reason to continue. It
  828. 32:09consolidates, right? When we have that
  829. 32:12consolidation, that is our trigger to
  830. 32:15know that we don't not need that
  831. 32:16strength switch. It's going to continue,
  832. 32:18right? Because when you have SMT, you
  833. 32:20consolidate. That's not a reverse
  834. 32:22signature, right? So, all you need
  835. 32:23essentially is an SMT, right? An SMT is
  836. 32:26the catalyst for every expansion in the
  837. 32:28market or every high probability
  838. 32:30expansion or reversal. So that's really
  839. 32:32all you're waiting for. Here is an
  840. 32:34example where that fail to manipulate
  841. 32:36signature is a retracement and then
  842. 32:38confirmed by a PSP. So now let's talk
  843. 32:42about signatures within assets
  844. 32:44organization. This is where we engage
  845. 32:46with either an internal high or the
  846. 32:48overall draw liquidity and we print a
  847. 32:51continuation signature. price either
  848. 32:53expands right through it showing failure
  849. 32:55to manipulate, consolidates, or
  850. 32:58retraces. Either way, those are all
  851. 33:00failure to manipulate signatures. And
  852. 33:02that is typically where you expect the
  853. 33:04lagging asset to catch up to either that
  854. 33:06internal high at the very least or the
  855. 33:09overall draw on liquidity. So, in this
  856. 33:11case, we're going to be looking at an
  857. 33:13internal high. As you can see here on
  858. 33:16the daily chart, we engage with this
  859. 33:18range low and we can target the range
  860. 33:20high. an internal to that we have an
  861. 33:23internal high and as you can see price
  862. 33:25just rips right through that internal
  863. 33:27high. So at this point we can clearly
  864. 33:30see that price does not care about this
  865. 33:32SMT at all. Price is going to go through
  866. 33:35this internal level and expand to the
  867. 33:37overall draw on liquidity. And that's
  868. 33:39where we can expect the lagging asset to
  869. 33:41at least catch up to this internal high.
  870. 33:44Now here's another example we've gone
  871. 33:46through throughout the course. We have
  872. 33:48an SMT at the lows. Price has expanded
  873. 33:53into the overall draw liquidity. What
  874. 33:55does it do? It consolidates. And once it
  875. 33:58consolidates, it prints any type of
  876. 34:01continuation signature. This is where we
  877. 34:03do not need a string switch necessarily.
  878. 34:05We just need a Kraken correlation to
  879. 34:08time the expansion and synchronization
  880. 34:11to the same high. In this case, we do
  881. 34:13have a string switch. We have a strength
  882. 34:16switch. Of course, that's better. we
  883. 34:17don't necessarily need it. As you can
  884. 34:19see, every asset consolidates. So when
  885. 34:22you print this SMT, that's not a
  886. 34:24reversal signature. It's a continuation
  887. 34:26signature. So as you can see, price will
  888. 34:28catch up. You can target that same high
  889. 34:31that the leading asset failed to
  890. 34:33manipulate. So here we are on the daily
  891. 34:35chart and what we see is a cracking
  892. 34:38correlation here and price expand into
  893. 34:40this internal high and then it gives a
  894. 34:43retracement signature after creating SMT
  895. 34:46here.
  896. 34:47Right? It's creating that really close
  897. 34:50proximity SMT. So, we already know it's
  898. 34:51low probability or on the low
  899. 34:54probability side of things. So, if we
  900. 34:56print a retracement signature into a
  901. 34:58daily gap and then print that SMT,
  902. 35:00right? No string switch. Like I said,
  903. 35:02you don't need it. Then, we can expand
  904. 35:04through this SMT. This asset has a
  905. 35:06reason to continue. And then I say to
  906. 35:08get to this draw liquidity. Let's go and
  907. 35:10drop down the 4hour time frame and look
  908. 35:11at this retracement signature that
  909. 35:13confirms the retracement to expansion
  910. 35:17phase of price. So, as you can see here
  911. 35:19on the 4hour time frame, very very clear
  912. 35:22retracement phase of price here. Very
  913. 35:24lackluster price action. Every time we
  914. 35:27take out a low rejecting price, making
  915. 35:29these deep runs back in price, there's
  916. 35:31literally not one there's like not one
  917. 35:32single fair value gap in this whole move
  918. 35:34lower. That is an indication of a
  919. 35:37retracement. So, all you're really
  920. 35:39waiting for price to do is retrace into
  921. 35:41a key level, print SMT, and that should
  922. 35:43be the trigger for price to expand again
  923. 35:45through this SMT. The lagging asset will
  924. 35:48catch up and break the SMT while this
  925. 35:50leading asset trades into a further
  926. 35:53objective. So, here we are on the daily
  927. 35:55chart, and as you can see, we have a
  928. 35:57two-stage cracking correlation. We have
  929. 35:59an SMT with this low. We have a
  930. 36:02two-stage PSP out of it. Right? This
  931. 36:05candle is bullish. This one is bearish.
  932. 36:08You see this? This is the day that
  933. 36:10created the SMT, but we reached up the
  934. 36:12low here
  935. 36:16like so.
  936. 36:18And so we have some internal objectives
  937. 36:19on our way to this overall draw on
  938. 36:22liquidity, right? So we have this here.
  939. 36:24Let's go ahead and mark that out and
  940. 36:26let's drop to the lower time frame and
  941. 36:28see if we print any continuation
  942. 36:30signatures when we engage with it. So
  943. 36:32here we are on the 4 time frame and you
  944. 36:35see that the daily profile if we zoom in
  945. 36:37is a seek and destroy profile right
  946. 36:40we're opening high first and opening low
  947. 36:42with an SMT here right a seek and
  948. 36:44destroy profile uh is a form of
  949. 36:47consolidation so this adds on to the
  950. 36:50probability that we will continue
  951. 36:52through this high to our overall
  952. 36:55objective and this is actually a
  953. 36:57strength switch not that we need it but
  954. 36:59we do have it and we can expect the next
  955. 37:01candle to expand into our overall draw
  956. 37:05liquidity while this lagging asset
  957. 37:07catches up to that same high that this
  958. 37:10asset failed to manipulate.
  959. 37:12So now we're going to cover relative
  960. 37:14strength with the indices triad. This is
  961. 37:17really the only trade we can really do
  962. 37:19this and it's very important you
  963. 37:20understand this. So it's pretty simple.
  964. 37:23When in Q is the leading assets in this
  965. 37:26example we're bullish, right? when it's
  966. 37:28the leading assets, ES will almost
  967. 37:32always be the middle asset in any
  968. 37:35scenario. If if the market's bearish um
  969. 37:38on INQ or whatever, ES is always the
  970. 37:40middle asset, right? And YM will be the
  971. 37:43weakest. It'll always be the lagging
  972. 37:44asset. If INQ is the leading asset,
  973. 37:46right? If YM is the weakest, then what
  974. 37:49does that mean for INQ? It's the
  975. 37:50strongest. ES is always in the middle.
  976. 37:52So, that's something that's really,
  977. 37:53really important to understand. Now,
  978. 37:55here we're going to go over intermarket
  979. 37:57relations for relative strength. This is
  980. 37:59something we can use to our advantage.
  981. 38:01It's not something we want to
  982. 38:03independently use. This is the way that
  983. 38:05I use it personally. I look for a market
  984. 38:07that is extremely strong in one
  985. 38:09direction. And that's how I gauge
  986. 38:11whether to pair it with my bias. This is
  987. 38:14something you're going to pair with your
  988. 38:15bias. Really, not a solely independent
  989. 38:19thing. Um, you're not going to put too
  990. 38:21much weight on it. It's like a
  991. 38:22confluence. All right. So this is
  992. 38:24typically how markets move together. If
  993. 38:27indices is bullish, typically metals is
  994. 38:30also bullish and oil is bearish and the
  995. 38:33US dollar is bearish, right? If oil is
  996. 38:36bearish, metals is bullish, etc. Right?
  997. 38:38So we can kind of use this to our
  998. 38:40advantage. If I see that oil is
  999. 38:42extremely bearish, right, and I'm not so
  1000. 38:45sure the bias for metals, I'm going to
  1001. 38:47lean bullish because metal because oil
  1002. 38:51is really bearish. So you get how I'm
  1003. 38:53kind of using this. I'm not using
  1004. 38:54intermarket SMT or anything like that.
  1005. 38:57I'm just using it for strength and
  1006. 38:59weakness for a given market. Now let's
  1007. 39:02go ahead and cover relative strength. So
  1008. 39:04here's an example of the indices triad.
  1009. 39:07And this is something we can only view
  1010. 39:08with the indices triad. When NQ is the
  1011. 39:12strongest, YM is the weakest. ES is the
  1012. 39:15middle. And when YM is the strongest, NQ
  1013. 39:17is the weakest and ES is still going to
  1014. 39:19be the middle. is how it pretty much
  1015. 39:21plays out all the time. You barely ever
  1016. 39:23see ES as that uh leading asset. So,
  1017. 39:27first off, when you [snorts] have a
  1018. 39:28crack and correlation like so, let's go
  1019. 39:30and mark that out.
  1020. 39:34It is very important to trade the
  1021. 39:35weakest asset because it is going to get
  1022. 39:38to the draw liquidity first, right? So,
  1023. 39:40let's draw this opposing low.
  1024. 39:43You can see let's draw that same low
  1025. 39:45over here
  1026. 39:47and the middle assets.
  1027. 39:50Okay. So, as you can see, look how much
  1028. 39:53sooner this asset gets to uh that low
  1029. 39:56when compared to INQ and ES. ENQ hasn't
  1030. 39:59even reached it, right? You can see that
  1031. 40:01when INQ is the strongest, as you see,
  1032. 40:03it took the high. It also just closed or
  1033. 40:06it hit this high a lot sooner rather
  1034. 40:08than ES. You can see that, right? And
  1035. 40:10then of course if ENQ is the strongest,
  1036. 40:12YM is the weakest. And you can see that
  1037. 40:15right? You can see even throughout the
  1038. 40:17whole entire day, this is the asset that
  1039. 40:20pretty much filled in the entire gap
  1040. 40:22while this asset didn't even hit half of
  1041. 40:24it really, right? Um it's making it's
  1042. 40:28also filling this gap here. Making
  1043. 40:29deeper runs in price. So it's important
  1044. 40:32to trade that weaker asset. Um this is
  1045. 40:34going to be a lot easier for you. You
  1046. 40:35can see this asset here like almost
  1047. 40:37takes this high out. Um, it's filling in
  1048. 40:39the target gap. Like I said, look at the
  1049. 40:42retracement size. You know, it goes into
  1050. 40:45a premium of this range where this ass
  1051. 40:47over here doesn't even reach it to EQ,
  1052. 40:49right? So, you're going to have a lot uh
  1053. 40:52um easier time to get your draws
  1054. 40:53liquidity, trading the weaker assets.
  1055. 40:56This is the asset that's going to be,
  1056. 40:58you know, sweeping highs at a lot of
  1057. 40:59times, trading into gaps to form SMT to
  1058. 41:03go lower. Right? If there's SMT here,
  1059. 41:05etc. You be trading this weaker asset.
  1060. 41:08Now let's talk about intermarket
  1061. 41:10relations. So this is something we can
  1062. 41:12use as just a confluence. All right. Um
  1063. 41:16and that is the relationship between the
  1064. 41:19three markets that I personally trade
  1065. 41:21which is going to be indices gold and
  1066. 41:24oil over here. Right? So when
  1067. 41:27indices is bullish so will metals be
  1068. 41:31most of the time and
  1069. 41:34oil will be bearish and vice versa.
  1070. 41:37Okay, if uh oil is bullish, then
  1071. 41:40typically indices and gold will will be
  1072. 41:43um bearish, right? And it's something
  1073. 41:46you can use more as a confluence. For
  1074. 41:48example, like if I'm like, you know, on
  1075. 41:51the fence about a bias on a certain
  1076. 41:53assets, right? If I see oil is like
  1077. 41:56two-sided or something, not very clear.
  1078. 41:59I'm not really sure. If I look at
  1079. 42:00indices and it's it's just expanding
  1080. 42:02like with aggression that I'm going to
  1081. 42:04assume I'm going to be bearish on oil
  1082. 42:07because of the intermarket relation
  1083. 42:09right if indices is bullish then oil
  1084. 42:12more times than not will be bullish not
  1085. 42:14always is not always the case it's not
  1086. 42:17something we're going to use you know
  1087. 42:18S&P with or anything like that it's
  1088. 42:20simply a confluence
  1089. 42:22now let's go over decoupling so what is
  1090. 42:25decoupling this is essentially when
  1091. 42:28within a triad of correl correlated
  1092. 42:30markets they are not correlated they're
  1093. 42:32going to be expanding in opposite
  1094. 42:34directions so specifically on the
  1095. 42:36indices market because of the relative
  1096. 42:38strength that we understand if ENQ is
  1097. 42:40expanding higher YM is always expanding
  1098. 42:43lower you always always want to avoid ES
  1099. 42:46within a decoupled market because it's
  1100. 42:49just going to be consolidating because
  1101. 42:51it's the middle asset so when markets
  1102. 42:54are decoupling this is essentially a
  1103. 42:57form of a manipulation it's one asset
  1104. 42:59that's going to a key level while the
  1105. 43:01other asset expands towards the draw
  1106. 43:03liquidity. Right? Think about it. One
  1107. 43:05asset is making the fake move expanding
  1108. 43:08away from the draw liquidity to
  1109. 43:10manipulates to create SMT while the
  1110. 43:13middle asset just waits for the
  1111. 43:14manipulation essentially. And that
  1112. 43:16leading asset is the real move towards
  1113. 43:18the draw liquidity. And this SMT is
  1114. 43:21going to be the trigger for the markets
  1115. 43:23to reync. So with markets expanding in
  1116. 43:27opposite directions that creates
  1117. 43:29expansion candles that close in opposite
  1118. 43:31directions which is a PSP rate. So what
  1119. 43:34is the trigger for markets to reync it's
  1120. 43:37essentially a manipulation rate which is
  1121. 43:38going to manipulation of a range low.
  1122. 43:41Let's assume the draw liquidity is
  1123. 43:42higher then we know this move away from
  1124. 43:44the draw equity into a key level for
  1125. 43:46example is the fake move right. So we
  1126. 43:49know the SMT at the lows is going to
  1127. 43:50reset the market which is actually the
  1128. 43:52creation of a two-stage PSP.
  1129. 43:55So now let's go over what decoupling is.
  1130. 43:57The coupling is essentially when
  1131. 43:59correlated markets expand in opposite
  1132. 44:01directions. For indices specifically or
  1133. 44:05any any asset in general really any
  1134. 44:07asset class, you're going to avoid the
  1135. 44:08middle assets. You're going to wait for
  1136. 44:10the market to reync. What is going to
  1137. 44:12reync the markets is essentially
  1138. 44:14manipulation. Right? One asset will
  1139. 44:17expand towards a key level and that key
  1140. 44:20level is going to be used to reync
  1141. 44:22price. So as you can see this asset here
  1142. 44:25is expanding higher into a relevant high
  1143. 44:27creating SMT right while this asset
  1144. 44:30expands away from that high right so the
  1145. 44:33asset that is manipulating its job is to
  1146. 44:36decouple into a key level to create SMT
  1147. 44:38to reync price it's that simple right
  1148. 44:41and as you can see many times you will
  1149. 44:44have a two-stage PSP resync price so as
  1150. 44:48price expand opposite directions they
  1151. 44:51close as opposite expand expansion
  1152. 44:52candles. As you can see, this candle
  1153. 44:54here is a bullish expansion candle, and
  1154. 44:56this is a bearish expansion candle. This
  1155. 44:58bullish expansion candle is trading into
  1156. 45:00the high, as you can see. And it's only
  1157. 45:03going to resync when the next candle
  1158. 45:05supports expansion essentially, right?
  1159. 45:07And it's going to turn into a two-stage
  1160. 45:09PSP, right? Obviously, this candle is
  1161. 45:11going to take out this candle's high.
  1162. 45:12So, you have this two-stage piece like
  1163. 45:14that. while this asset creates a filler
  1164. 45:17swing and you're going to wait till this
  1165. 45:19asset uh reverses to reync price. So now
  1166. 45:23let's go over how we can actually
  1167. 45:25anticipate the coupling. In this case,
  1168. 45:28it's going to be reversal. So this is
  1169. 45:30essentially when the market is already
  1170. 45:32decoupled in terms of premium and
  1171. 45:35discount. So notice how this asset
  1172. 45:37before the decoupling is way in in
  1173. 45:39discount, right? Well, this assets in
  1174. 45:42premium above a high. Well, it's in
  1175. 45:44Dremium because it's manipulating the
  1176. 45:46high, right? Creating that space on S&T.
  1177. 45:48So, the market is already decoupled in
  1178. 45:51terms of premium discount and it's going
  1179. 45:54to reync in the form of decoupling.
  1180. 45:57They're going to expand towards each
  1181. 45:58other, right, to actually become
  1182. 46:01correlated again. And this is the
  1183. 46:03creation of a two-stage S&T in the form
  1184. 46:06of a strength switch PSP, right? When
  1185. 46:08this candle closes, it's going to create
  1186. 46:10that bearish close. this asset closes
  1187. 46:13bullish, right? That is the creation of
  1188. 46:16that strength switch become correlated
  1189. 46:18again, right? And we can use context
  1190. 46:20clues to actually understand it's going
  1191. 46:21to happen, right? Because there's no SMT
  1192. 46:23at reversal. Notice how there's no SMT
  1193. 46:25at the lows, right? So, we already know
  1194. 46:27that, you know, this is unlikely to
  1195. 46:30probably catch up, right? Um, and break
  1196. 46:31this SMT up here. And also, in terms of
  1197. 46:34advanced pre discount, this asset is an
  1198. 46:37EQ, right? It's not creating that close
  1199. 46:38proximity SMT, so it's probably not
  1200. 46:40going to catch up, right? So we can
  1201. 46:42actually begin to trade this. We can
  1202. 46:43understand that you know this decoupling
  1203. 46:46move is likely to reync price. So now
  1204. 46:50let's go over decoupling sequence for
  1205. 46:52reversal. So this is going to happen
  1206. 46:54when we decouple
  1207. 46:56into an SMT. Right? So notice how this
  1208. 46:59asset expands higher creating a cracking
  1209. 47:02correlation. This asset expands lower
  1210. 47:05while this asset is manipulating. This
  1211. 47:07is where we can actually trade this
  1212. 47:08asset. you have to use context who's
  1213. 47:10right because we have the advanced pre
  1214. 47:12discount have no SMT at the lows. So we
  1215. 47:14know that the expansion higher is
  1216. 47:17probably just to reync price going to
  1217. 47:19create the SMT and we can actually trade
  1218. 47:21this asset to these lows. And if you
  1219. 47:24want to trade that lagging asset we have
  1220. 47:27to wait for this candle to close again.
  1221. 47:28That's going to create a PSP and
  1222. 47:30obviously this PSP is an expansion
  1223. 47:32candle so it's likely to take out the
  1224. 47:34high to create that two-stage PSP and
  1225. 47:36that'll reync the market rate. Now,
  1226. 47:38let's go ahead and cover decoupling
  1227. 47:40anticipation. First, we're going to go
  1228. 47:42over reversals. So, since we have a
  1229. 47:45decoupling in the form of a strength
  1230. 47:46switch where over here, if I have bar
  1231. 47:49play, the SMT will happen prior to the
  1232. 47:53decoupling happening. So, we already
  1233. 47:56have this S&P in play and then 930 rolls
  1234. 47:59around and the asset that manipulates
  1235. 48:02is going to expand away from that
  1236. 48:03manipulation and the asset that's
  1237. 48:05creating the fair swing is going to
  1238. 48:06expand um towards that SMT high. Uh this
  1239. 48:11usually happens in the form of advanced
  1240. 48:12pre- discount, right? They're just
  1241. 48:13gravitating towards each other,
  1242. 48:15expanding toward each other and it is
  1243. 48:17the creation of a strength switch rate.
  1244. 48:19So, a strength switch PSP is typically
  1245. 48:20what is going to be created. Um, you can
  1246. 48:23actually trade this asset here if you
  1247. 48:26don't want to. You simply just wait for
  1248. 48:27the candle to close and you trade C3.
  1249. 48:29It's simple as that. And remember guys,
  1250. 48:32we're going to be using profiling and
  1251. 48:33narrative to decipher which SMT to
  1252. 48:36trust. So, as you can see, the profile
  1253. 48:38or the low of the day is 1,800 on this
  1254. 48:41asset, which is not a relevant level.
  1255. 48:44that is pretty much supporting our idea
  1256. 48:47of this being a fake move on YM and this
  1257. 48:51being the real move on INQ.
  1258. 48:53So here is an example of price not
  1259. 48:56manipulating prior to the decoupling
  1260. 48:59happening. So here you can see we put in
  1261. 49:00a high here. We put in a high over here
  1262. 49:04as you guys can see have this high here.
  1263. 49:08But what's important to note is on in Q
  1264. 49:12here
  1265. 49:14we have an SMT fill. So you guys see the
  1266. 49:16SMT fill technically SMT fill. So this
  1267. 49:21decoupling move right here um but even
  1268. 49:24if you didn't have that right simply if
  1269. 49:25you have a relevant level put in um and
  1270. 49:29your draw is lower right that relevant
  1271. 49:32level we want this decoupling to
  1272. 49:35manipulate price right so you're
  1273. 49:36automatically going to assume that this
  1274. 49:38is going to cap off the decoupling this
  1275. 49:40is where you can trade this asset
  1276. 49:41towards your draw on liquidity as you
  1277. 49:44see price trades and expands there or
  1278. 49:47you can simply wait and actually confirm
  1279. 49:49decoupling which is the safer move which
  1280. 49:51is often what I do because the coupling
  1281. 49:53markets can be somewhat tricky but this
  1282. 49:56is typically the protocol and the
  1283. 49:57framework that we're going to follow in
  1284. 49:59this course. Um and as you can see that
  1285. 50:01plays up very nicely. You're simply just
  1286. 50:03waiting for the most recent level to be
  1287. 50:07traded into and you're going to assume
  1288. 50:10that that is the area that the
  1289. 50:12decoupling will cap off. Wait for the
  1290. 50:14resync to get back on side with the
  1291. 50:16higher temporary move in line with that
  1292. 50:18daily IRL to ERL universal model. Now
  1293. 50:22let's go over to coupling anticipation
  1294. 50:23for SMT break which is going to be
  1295. 50:26continuation over here. And this is when
  1296. 50:30we come into the market and we have that
  1297. 50:32perfect framework for an SMT break uh
  1298. 50:34continuation where we have two stage at
  1299. 50:36the lows unlike last example. We have
  1300. 50:39that lagging asset also expanding away
  1301. 50:42creating its fair swing in premium right
  1302. 50:44we know this S&P is probably already
  1303. 50:46going to break. So when you see the
  1304. 50:47market decouple back into the range on
  1305. 50:50the leading assets and that middle and
  1306. 50:52lagging assets starting to expand
  1307. 50:53towards draw liquidity this is a
  1308. 50:55strength switch right to become
  1309. 50:56correlated. We we will understand this
  1310. 50:59and know that this is the fake move and
  1311. 51:01this is the real move. Now let's go over
  1312. 51:04decoupling market reync and again the
  1313. 51:07decoupling is going to be in the form of
  1314. 51:09a string switch and this is when we have
  1315. 51:11that same sequence right to say just the
  1316. 51:14highs that leading asset had already
  1317. 51:16reached a draw liquidity and the move
  1318. 51:18higher the decoupling move higher is
  1319. 51:21simply a strength switch right this
  1320. 51:23assets going into a key level while
  1321. 51:25these assets expand away right creating
  1322. 51:28that decoupled move are expanding
  1323. 51:30opposite directions to become correlated
  1324. 51:33Now, let's go ahead and cover how to
  1325. 51:36anticipate the coupling continuation.
  1326. 51:39That is very simple. You must be coming
  1327. 51:42off of a two-stage SMT and you have must
  1328. 51:45have a universal model, right? So,
  1329. 51:47here's the draw liquidity. We already
  1330. 51:49know this is likely going to catch up
  1331. 51:50because this left of screen asset rips
  1332. 51:54right through that level there. And then
  1333. 51:57you're seeing here that this asset's
  1334. 51:59consolidating very high in premium and
  1335. 52:02you actually see the strength switching
  1336. 52:03here.
  1337. 52:07So you're already starting to see some
  1338. 52:09formative decoupling not really
  1339. 52:11expanding is in this side of this wick.
  1340. 52:13This has expanding lower or maybe
  1341. 52:15consolidating while this is more so
  1342. 52:17expanding right kind of gravitating
  1343. 52:19toward each other. That strength switch
  1344. 52:21that's exactly what we want to see is a
  1345. 52:24strength switch. um in the form of the
  1346. 52:27coupling um to break the SMT. So when we
  1347. 52:31drop down to lower time frame on the 30
  1348. 52:34minute here at 9:30, we see the stronger
  1349. 52:38asset to the left that took out that
  1350. 52:40drawing liquidity a long time ago starts
  1351. 52:42to expand lower while this asset on the
  1352. 52:44right which is very very close to the
  1353. 52:46draw on liquidity to break the S&P is
  1354. 52:49expanding higher. So we understand that
  1355. 52:52this asset here is simply going to
  1356. 52:55continue. This is the real move. This is
  1357. 52:58the fake move in the form of a strength
  1358. 53:00switch. So now let's go over decoupling
  1359. 53:03putting all together reversal verse
  1360. 53:06continuation. So firstly let's look at
  1361. 53:08decoupling example at the reversal. So
  1362. 53:11as you can see price had created an S&
  1363. 53:14divergence and then we see decoupling
  1364. 53:16happen right. So decoupling away from
  1365. 53:18the key level is typically the real
  1366. 53:21move. And for continuation, decoupling
  1367. 53:24that happens away from the drawing
  1368. 53:25community is the fake move, right? It's
  1369. 53:27essentially just price expanding to a
  1370. 53:29key level to again reync price to
  1371. 53:33manipulate, right? To manipulate to then
  1372. 53:35get back on side of the price. And that
  1373. 53:37is simply how we decipher which asset is
  1374. 53:40likely the fake move verse the real one.
  1375. 53:44Now let's go over to coupling. We're
  1376. 53:46going to put it all together and you're
  1377. 53:48going to understand how to decipher
  1378. 53:49which asset is manipulating. So here we
  1379. 53:53are on the daily chart and this is going
  1380. 53:55to be going over reversal. So as you can
  1381. 53:58see we have an SMT here, an SMT here. So
  1382. 54:02you have your key level SMT and we have
  1383. 54:06no opposing reversal at the highs. This
  1384. 54:09is important. So why is this important?
  1385. 54:11We have no opposing reversal at the
  1386. 54:13highs, just failure swings. Uh this is
  1387. 54:16important because this is less likely
  1388. 54:19for the lagging asset to actually catch
  1389. 54:21up to this asset down here. You have an
  1390. 54:24established reversal down here, but no
  1391. 54:26established reversal up here. Right?
  1392. 54:28That is exactly what you want for a
  1393. 54:31universal model. You want an established
  1394. 54:33reversal at the point at the key level
  1395. 54:35basically and no established reversal as
  1396. 54:38the draw on liquidity. That's exactly
  1397. 54:40what we have here, man. So when we see
  1398. 54:42price start to decouple when price
  1399. 54:47creates this SMT that is the formation
  1400. 54:49or the creation of a strength switch
  1401. 54:52right where assets are gravitating
  1402. 54:54towards each other to become correlated.
  1403. 54:56So it's not the cleanest example of all
  1404. 54:58time but it's a good example of showing
  1405. 55:01you guys how there's a reversal
  1406. 55:06down here and no reversal up here.
  1407. 55:08That's how you decipher it. Let's drop
  1408. 55:10down to lower time frame so you can kind
  1409. 55:12of see this. So here you can really see
  1410. 55:14it at 9:30. That's when the coupling
  1411. 55:16happens. Typically on indices it's at
  1412. 55:189:30. This asset over here to the right
  1413. 55:21that was once weakest that took out that
  1414. 55:23daily low to the left is expanding
  1415. 55:24higher while INQ is expanding lower. But
  1416. 55:27at this point remember you shouldn't be
  1417. 55:29confused. What you're pretty much
  1418. 55:30waiting for is a manipulation and it
  1419. 55:34doesn't really happen the cleanest. So
  1420. 55:36you can't really do much about it. You
  1421. 55:37have to wait till ENQ engaged with this
  1422. 55:39low and then you can look to uh trade
  1423. 55:42that expansion higher. You get some
  1424. 55:44decent move. You know, you can you can
  1425. 55:46trade that decently with this two-stage
  1426. 55:48SMT here. But you have to be patient.
  1427. 55:51You have to wait for this uh
  1428. 55:53manipulation here. And as you can see,
  1429. 55:55this asset was more so expanding
  1430. 55:57throughout the day. This one's
  1431. 55:58consolidating.
  1432. 55:59um at the end of the day they create
  1433. 56:01that decoupled uh or that change in um
  1434. 56:07candle closures which is a PSP. So
  1435. 56:09they're pretty much moving opposite
  1436. 56:10directions after we engage with the low.
  1437. 56:14But you have to understand that YM is
  1438. 56:17the asset that is trading towards the
  1439. 56:19draw liquidity and that INQ is the asset
  1440. 56:22that is going opposite of the draw
  1441. 56:25liquidity to manipulate to resync price.
  1442. 56:29Now let's go over to coupling for
  1443. 56:31continuation. This is extremely simple.
  1444. 56:34You're going to have a universal model
  1445. 56:36SMT there. So what is our universal
  1446. 56:37model here? Manipulation ranges really.
  1447. 56:39So we have SMT at the lows. This is our
  1448. 56:42draw liquidity which is higher on the
  1449. 56:44daily chart. So it's really simple. Any
  1450. 56:46move away from the draw liquidity is
  1451. 56:49viewed as the asset that's manipulating.
  1452. 56:51Right? So let's go to lower time frame
  1453. 56:53and see this decoupling happening.
  1454. 56:56So here we are on the 4hour time frame
  1455. 56:58again. When does the coupling happen?
  1456. 57:00Typically within the 6 a.m. 4-hour
  1457. 57:02candle at 9:30. That's exactly what
  1458. 57:05happens here, right? This asset starts
  1459. 57:06to expand lower back towards the
  1460. 57:08reversal while this asset expands
  1461. 57:11towards the high. Our universal model
  1462. 57:13draw liquidity. So we already know which
  1463. 57:16asset is the fake move, right? And which
  1464. 57:19asset is the real move. It's clearly YM
  1465. 57:22going towards a draw is the real move.
  1466. 57:24This asset is the faker, right? It's
  1467. 57:27just retracing price, trading into key
  1468. 57:29levels to resync price. So, as you can
  1469. 57:32see, when markets are a couple, they
  1470. 57:35create these expansion candles opposite
  1471. 57:36directions. We want this to be a
  1472. 57:39two-stage PSP to reync price. So, what
  1473. 57:41are we going to require? A manipulation
  1474. 57:43of this low to create that two-stage PSP
  1475. 57:46to resync price. Let's see how that
  1476. 57:47looks.
  1477. 57:49And as you can see, this asset creates a
  1478. 57:51C2 reversal to expansion candle. Well,
  1479. 57:54this asset just continues towards the
  1480. 57:56draw on liquidity.

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