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Anomaly - Advanced Course - Lesson 4 - Sessions Killzone — Transcript

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  1. 0:04Hello everybody. Welcome to the anomaly
  2. 0:06course core constant lesson four. Here
  3. 0:09we're going to be covering if then
  4. 0:11statements using profiling. So,
  5. 0:15if Asia consolidates,
  6. 0:18what should we expect London to do?
  7. 0:19Reverse, right? Off of Asia's low. And
  8. 0:23if London reverses, then we should be
  9. 0:25expecting a New York continuation using
  10. 0:28key levels that London created after it
  11. 0:31expanded away. So, as you can see,
  12. 0:33London reverses, expands away.
  13. 0:36Here we have our gap.
  14. 0:38That is going to be our key level for
  15. 0:40New York to continue. As you can see, we
  16. 0:43have some order blocks for continuation
  17. 0:46as well. So, now,
  18. 0:47what happens if
  19. 0:49Asia nor London reverse?
  20. 0:52Well, it's pretty simple, right?
  21. 0:54We're going to reverse off of London's
  22. 0:56low. So, as you can see, London prints a
  23. 0:59low, which is the current low of day. If
  24. 1:01neither of the previous sessions
  25. 1:02reversed, then you have to create a
  26. 1:05reversal profile, right? So, it's pretty
  27. 1:07simple. Previous sessions didn't
  28. 1:09reverse,
  29. 1:10then we're expecting a
  30. 1:12reversal profile for the session that
  31. 1:14you're trading.
  32. 1:16If the previous sessions did reverse and
  33. 1:18hit a key level, then you're expecting a
  34. 1:21continuation profile for your session.
  35. 1:24Here we're going to be covering the if
  36. 1:25then statements for sessions with an
  37. 1:28example.
  38. 1:29Here we're going to be covering
  39. 1:30Asia/London
  40. 1:32session. So, if Asia consolidates and
  41. 1:35doesn't form an established low or high
  42. 1:37of the day, we're going to use the Asia
  43. 1:40session high to reverse off of, right?
  44. 1:43So, if we play price forward,
  45. 1:45as you can see, London forms an
  46. 1:47established high of day. It forms that
  47. 1:50V-shape signature and hourly change
  48. 1:52state of delivery.
  49. 1:55So, if London forms the high of the day,
  50. 1:58what can we expect New York to do if
  51. 2:00they're still in open draw?
  52. 2:01We would expect it to continue.
  53. 2:04And where should we expect it to
  54. 2:05continue from? It's from a key level
  55. 2:08that London actually created. So, if we
  56. 2:11just zoom in here
  57. 2:12back from the previous session's range
  58. 2:15here. Right now, it's 9:00.
  59. 2:17We can see that we have this gap here.
  60. 2:19And really, this is the only area to
  61. 2:20continue from if New York is going to
  62. 2:22continue. So, let's play price forward.
  63. 2:25And as you can see,
  64. 2:26we expand
  65. 2:28away from London's high and close near
  66. 2:31the lows, forming a reversal into
  67. 2:33expansion daily candle.
  68. 2:35So, now let's go ahead and go over an
  69. 2:37if-then statement where Asia and London
  70. 2:40do not reverse. So, if they do not
  71. 2:42reverse, then you have to expect a New
  72. 2:44York reversal. So, as you see, Asia does
  73. 2:46nothing. What does London do? London
  74. 2:49kind of just consolidates at this low,
  75. 2:52right? So, that's not really an
  76. 2:53established low of the day. So, ideally,
  77. 2:55we come back down here
  78. 2:57and manipulate this relevant low. As you
  79. 2:59can see, the space in this low
  80. 3:01and these lows down here make it
  81. 3:03relevant. We have failure swings
  82. 3:05on the opposing side over here that we
  83. 3:07can use for targets. So, let's see what
  84. 3:10price does.
  85. 3:12So, as you can see, price doesn't really
  86. 3:13trade into anything up here.
  87. 3:15We come back lower. We use Asia's low to
  88. 3:18reverse from. And there's actually an
  89. 3:21SMT divergence here as well with this
  90. 3:24overall low. And now, we can expect Asia
  91. 3:26to continue to our draw on liquidity.
  92. 3:29And as you can see,
  93. 3:30since the previous session didn't
  94. 3:31reverse, we're going to demand New York
  95. 3:33session to reverse off of those levels
  96. 3:36for our invalidation level. So, now
  97. 3:38let's go over an overview of the session
  98. 3:41kill zone times. So, for London session,
  99. 3:43you're going to be trading one 4-hour
  100. 3:45candle.
  101. 3:46Which candles are we mainly concerned
  102. 3:48with? That is the 2:00 a.m., the 3:00
  103. 3:50a.m., and the 4:00 a.m. candle. Not so
  104. 3:52much the candle that runs from 5:00 to
  105. 3:546:00 a.m. That's not really the most
  106. 3:55relevant time um in the day.
  107. 3:58So, here's the 30-minute as well. It's
  108. 4:00going to be those first six out of eight
  109. 4:03candles that make up a 4-hour candle.
  110. 4:06Now, let's go over the relevant timing
  111. 4:07within a 6:00 a.m. 4-hour candle. That
  112. 4:10is going to be 8:00 a.m. to 9:00 a.m.
  113. 4:136:00 and 7:00 a.m. Again, no volatility,
  114. 4:17not relevant. Why is 8:00 a.m. to 9:00
  115. 4:19a.m. relevant? Because those are where
  116. 4:21the drivers exist, right? 8:30 red
  117. 4:24folder news, we have 9:30 equities open.
  118. 4:27You want to be positioning yourself in
  119. 4:29the market with high volatility.
  120. 4:31So, what is the relevant timing within a
  121. 4:3310:00 a.m. 4-hour candle?
  122. 4:35Ideally, that's going to be 10:00 a.m.
  123. 4:38to 11:00 a.m. especially when trading a
  124. 4:40reversal candle. Ideally, it's the early
  125. 4:43hours within that candle, right? So,
  126. 4:45here's the 30-minute candle. It's going
  127. 4:47to be about half of that time span. P.M.
  128. 4:49session really starts at 12:00 a.m. So,
  129. 4:52it's a totally different kill zone. If
  130. 4:54you're a New York A.M. trader, you
  131. 4:56really want to cut off your trading at
  132. 4:58about 12:00 o'clock.
  133. 5:00So, now we're going to view sessions
  134. 5:02through 4-hour candles. We're going to
  135. 5:03really simplify it. We're going to view
  136. 5:05a 4-hour candle as a session, right? So,
  137. 5:08there's 1 2 3 4 5 6 4-hour candles
  138. 5:12within a daily candle, and each candle
  139. 5:15will represent a specific session. So,
  140. 5:17the Asia session
  141. 5:19is going to be made up of two 4-hour
  142. 5:21candles.
  143. 5:22So, if you're looking to trade an
  144. 5:24expansion within your session, you're
  145. 5:26essentially looking to trade a 4-hour
  146. 5:29expansion candle, right? That represents
  147. 5:31the session that you want to trade. So,
  148. 5:33if you want to trade an Asia reversal /
  149. 5:36continuation,
  150. 5:38then you're looking to trade the 1800 /
  151. 5:402200 expansion candle. It's pretty much
  152. 5:42that simple, right? So, when can we
  153. 5:43expect an Asia
  154. 5:46continuation? That is either when
  155. 5:49late in the day the previous day 1400
  156. 5:52reverses and the day is opening up
  157. 5:55within a C3 on the 4-hour time frame.
  158. 5:58So, essentially PM session late in the
  159. 6:00day previous day reverses.
  160. 6:03So, you're going to expect an early day
  161. 6:04expansion, right?
  162. 6:06Late day reversal, early expansion
  163. 6:081800 expanding. If you get that nice
  164. 6:11closure, you're expecting 2200 to expand
  165. 6:13if there is a draw on liquidity open
  166. 6:16or if the first half of Asia session, so
  167. 6:19the first 4-hour candle within the day
  168. 6:23prints a C2 reversal hits a key level
  169. 6:26and all that good stuff
  170. 6:27then you can expect 2200 to expand and
  171. 6:30continue. So, now let's talk about Asia
  172. 6:32reversals. So, here would be on the left
  173. 6:34side would be some negative conditions.
  174. 6:36We wouldn't do not want to really
  175. 6:37participate in these Asia reversals
  176. 6:40especially within the first half, you
  177. 6:42know, if 1800 forms a low day but has a
  178. 6:45large wick you're not going to trade
  179. 6:46this this first half of Asia. You're
  180. 6:48going to trade that 2200 continuation.
  181. 6:52If 1800 doesn't form a low day but 2200
  182. 6:55does but has that large wick you're not
  183. 6:57going to trade a Asia reversal. You
  184. 6:59would trade a London continuation,
  185. 7:01right?
  186. 7:02This is the way you can trade in Asia
  187. 7:04reversal, right? If you hit a key level
  188. 7:06we have that small wick maybe 1800 hits
  189. 7:09the key level or it doesn't hit the key
  190. 7:10level but it simply doesn't reverse then
  191. 7:13you're going to want to reverse off of
  192. 7:141800 low, right? If it has that small
  193. 7:16wick either or then you're pretty much
  194. 7:18good to go.
  195. 7:20So, now let's go over how to trade the
  196. 7:21Asia session. So, firstly let's go over
  197. 7:24Asia continuation.
  198. 7:26So, this is either where 1400 reverses
  199. 7:29and 1800 continues or 1800 reverses and
  200. 7:322200 continues. Here we're talking about
  201. 7:35the 4-hour candles, right? So, as you
  202. 7:36can see here, we have this low put in
  203. 7:38the market. We have an SMT divergence.
  204. 7:41Now, when was the low of the day put in
  205. 7:43over here?
  206. 7:44Let's go to the 4.
  207. 7:45So, as you can see,
  208. 7:471400 prints AC2. So, 1400 prints AC2
  209. 7:51after hitting a relevant level, this is
  210. 7:53where we can expect 1800 to actually
  211. 7:55expand.
  212. 7:57And it doesn't really have to create
  213. 7:58some like crazy open low. All it has to
  214. 8:01do is respect the previous 4-hour
  215. 8:03candle. So, what we're going to do is
  216. 8:05look for a refined key level in the
  217. 8:07previous 4-hour candle range. So, let's
  218. 8:09drop down to the hourly time frame.
  219. 8:11So, here within that previous range, you
  220. 8:13can see that we have an hourly gap. And
  221. 8:15this is the only level to reverse from.
  222. 8:17This is the very rare case you're going
  223. 8:19to you can actually use an hourly gap as
  224. 8:22your refined key level. And that's when
  225. 8:25you make that reversal really late in
  226. 8:29the day. As you can see, the low of the
  227. 8:31day is 1400 here.
  228. 8:32Um and if we're not going to stick out
  229. 8:33that previous day's low,
  230. 8:35then we pretty much have to use this
  231. 8:37gap, right? So, we're going to expect
  232. 8:391800 to open low. So, here's the open
  233. 8:42right now. Let's mark that out.
  234. 8:45Here.
  235. 8:46So, it opens low first,
  236. 8:48prints that C2 candle.
  237. 8:50That C2 candle should form the low of
  238. 8:53the 4-hour candle um as GXT
  239. 8:57confirmation, right? But, it's also
  240. 8:59technically forming the low of the day
  241. 9:00as well, right? So, as you can see,
  242. 9:03that 4-hour candle
  243. 9:05expands 1800.
  244. 9:07Now, here's an example of a 1800
  245. 9:10reversal and 2200
  246. 9:13uh continuation. So, here on the daily
  247. 9:16chart, we have SMT with the previous
  248. 9:18day's high.
  249. 9:20You have a previous day's close as a C2.
  250. 9:23So, what are we going to do?
  251. 9:24Look within this wick for a refined key
  252. 9:27level. Let's first drop to the 4-hour
  253. 9:29time frame. So, here we are on the
  254. 9:304-hour time frame. And as you can see,
  255. 9:34we have a key level close to the daily
  256. 9:36open. This is going to be that daily
  257. 9:37open.
  258. 9:39And yes, we do.
  259. 9:41As you can see with that forward gap.
  260. 9:42So, that's going to be our refined key
  261. 9:44level. And this is when you can expect
  262. 9:46Asia reversals, guys. Is when the day
  263. 9:49the daily open is actually opening near
  264. 9:52the refined key level, right? Because if
  265. 9:53if it's opening near that refined key
  266. 9:55level,
  267. 9:56then of course Asia's going to hit it
  268. 9:58likely. So, Asia can actually reverse.
  269. 10:00It's pretty much as simple as that. So,
  270. 10:02you can see that this new 4-hour
  271. 10:04candle's opening near it. So, you can
  272. 10:05expect an Asia reversal. That's how you
  273. 10:08trade Asia reversal. As long as it has
  274. 10:10that small wick,
  275. 10:11you're pretty much good to trade that
  276. 10:124-hour candle, right?
  277. 10:14And as you can see, we have our candle
  278. 10:16closure at um 1800. So, as long as you
  279. 10:21have a drawing liquidity, you can trade
  280. 10:22continuation. It's as simple as that.
  281. 10:25So, we This is how you can expect a 2200
  282. 10:27candle
  283. 10:28to continue as an 1800 reverses. And as
  284. 10:31you can see,
  285. 10:32it's going to reach this target and even
  286. 10:34further. Now, let's talk about London
  287. 10:36session. We're going to be viewing
  288. 10:38London session in 1 4-hour candle, which
  289. 10:40ranges from 2:00 a.m. to 6:00 a.m. So,
  290. 10:43what would that look like for a London
  291. 10:45continuation? That is either where Asia
  292. 10:47puts in the low of the day. That can
  293. 10:49happen two ways, whether 1800 puts the
  294. 10:52low of day in, then you have to have
  295. 10:542200 expand, or if 1800 doesn't put the
  296. 10:58low of day in, but 2200 does, then you
  297. 11:00can trade C3 continuation. Then you can
  298. 11:03trade C3 London continuation on the
  299. 11:064-hour. Now, let's get into some chart
  300. 11:08examples of covering the London session.
  301. 11:11Firstly, we're going to be covering the
  302. 11:12London continuation. Here's an example
  303. 11:15where 1800 is actually the high of the
  304. 11:18day.
  305. 11:18This is honestly the perfect example
  306. 11:20because 1800 expands very largely. So,
  307. 11:24when a session expands very large, you
  308. 11:27really don't want to trade continuation
  309. 11:30um for the next session. But, we can see
  310. 11:33the first half of Asia expands, the
  311. 11:35second half retraces.
  312. 11:38That creates a gap on the closure of the
  313. 11:402200 candle, which
  314. 11:43the London session is opening near,
  315. 11:44right? So, if it's opening near it, we
  316. 11:46can create that uh reversal to expansion
  317. 11:48candle. And this candle can actually
  318. 11:50expand,
  319. 11:51and this retracement,
  320. 11:53or the current low of day, is actually a
  321. 11:55draw on liquidity that we can use.
  322. 11:59So, here we have an example of London
  323. 12:00continuation where the low of the day is
  324. 12:04created at 2200. So, here is the daily
  325. 12:07open, right? Opens low first. That's
  326. 12:09what we want to see for a bullish
  327. 12:10reversal. We have this sweep of a low.
  328. 12:15It doesn't have to close a perfect um
  329. 12:18you know, C2 candle where we have to
  330. 12:20close back inside this candle. Has that
  331. 12:22large wick respecting it, right? As long
  332. 12:25as you have those um lower time frame
  333. 12:26reversal signatures, you're pretty much
  334. 12:28good. And as you can see, we can trade
  335. 12:30this continuation because we have that
  336. 12:32small wick. We have no established high
  337. 12:34of the day and
  338. 12:37an established low of the day with a
  339. 12:39draw open. Now, let's talk about London
  340. 12:41reversal. This is where the previous
  341. 12:43sessions do not reverse, so you're
  342. 12:45essentially going to be reversing off of
  343. 12:472200 low, and it's all about wick size,
  344. 12:49man. You see this wick size? We're
  345. 12:51trading very far beyond this low. That
  346. 12:54is creating that large wick, which is an
  347. 12:56invalidation, right? We want that
  348. 12:58reversal to expansion candle at all
  349. 12:59times. We ideally want to be trading
  350. 13:01expansion candles.
  351. 13:03Now, let's go ahead and go over a London
  352. 13:06reversal. So, here we have a C2 candle.
  353. 13:10So, what are we going to do? We're going
  354. 13:11to mark out the previous candle's range
  355. 13:13cuz we have this C2 candle on the daily
  356. 13:15time frame. We're going to look for a
  357. 13:16refined key level in the lower half of
  358. 13:19the previous candle's range.
  359. 13:21As you can see on the forward chart, we
  360. 13:23have no refined key level, so we're
  361. 13:25going to drop down to the hourly.
  362. 13:27In here, Asia session consolidates, that
  363. 13:30consolidation creates a uh relevant
  364. 13:33swing in the market. Where this relevant
  365. 13:36swing is positioned in the lower half of
  366. 13:38the pre-stage range. As you can see, we
  367. 13:41tag this key level
  368. 13:43and we print a C2 candle, right? So, now
  369. 13:46you're going to ask yourself, does the
  370. 13:474-hour wick support expansion? Let's go
  371. 13:49see. Yes, it does. Very, very small
  372. 13:51wick. So, that means that this specific
  373. 13:54candle can actually expand.
  374. 13:57Now, let's go over London reversal where
  375. 13:59we cannot engage within this 4-hour time
  376. 14:01window or within the 2:00 a.m. 4-hour
  377. 14:03candle. And that is simply because when
  378. 14:06we take out this key level, what do we
  379. 14:08do? We have this large run away from the
  380. 14:12opening price, which creates that very,
  381. 14:14very large wick.
  382. 14:15So, you're not going to be trading the
  383. 14:16London reversal. You're going to be
  384. 14:18trading the 6:00 a.m. continuation.
  385. 14:21Now, let's go over the New York a.m.
  386. 14:23session,
  387. 14:24which is created from two 4-hour
  388. 14:26candles, but specifically, we're first
  389. 14:28going to be talking about the 6:00 a.m.
  390. 14:304-hour candle.
  391. 14:31So, now let's go over New York
  392. 14:33continuation. Ideally, this is where the
  393. 14:35day opens low, 2:00 reverses, creating
  394. 14:38that C2. Then you can trade that 4-hour
  395. 14:416:00 a.m. continuation as a C3. Now,
  396. 14:44let's talk about New York reversal.
  397. 14:46Essentially the same thing, right? The
  398. 14:47previous sessions do not reverse, so you
  399. 14:50know that this 6:00 a.m. 4-hour candle
  400. 14:52must reverse. If it has that large wick,
  401. 14:55you're not going to be trading that.
  402. 14:56You're going to be trading 10:00 a.m. If
  403. 14:58it has a small wick, you can engage with
  404. 15:00this reversal profile. Now, let's talk
  405. 15:02about the second half of New York a.m.
  406. 15:04session, and that is going to be the
  407. 15:0610:00 a.m. 4-hour candle. What will that
  408. 15:08look like in most cases, or the most
  409. 15:11ideal case, is where 6:00 a.m. hits that
  410. 15:14key level, reverses, but has that large
  411. 15:16wick. So, we're not really going to be
  412. 15:17participating in this. We're going to
  413. 15:19wait for 10:00 a.m. to open because
  414. 15:20that's when the expansion will occur.
  415. 15:23So, how to trade a New York reversal,
  416. 15:26right? Same thing on all of these
  417. 15:28candles, man.
  418. 15:30Large wick, you're not going to trade
  419. 15:31it. That's an invalidation for this
  420. 15:33reversal profile or this time window to
  421. 15:35reverse. If it has a small wick, then we
  422. 15:38know that this candle can indeed expand
  423. 15:40and we can participate in that New York
  424. 15:43reversal profile. Now, let's talk about
  425. 15:45the New York PM session, which is
  426. 15:47composed of one 4-hour candle, which
  427. 15:50opens up at 14:00.
  428. 15:52So, now let's cover the New York
  429. 15:53continuation. And one thing that is
  430. 15:55absolutely crucial about trading the New
  431. 15:57York continuation for PM session is
  432. 16:00there needs to be an open draw
  433. 16:03no matter what, right? Because this is
  434. 16:05towards the end of day, especially when
  435. 16:07it is a large expansion candle.
  436. 16:09The day is most likely capped off at
  437. 16:12that point. So, you trying to trade on
  438. 16:14an already existing expansion candle,
  439. 16:17right? That ADR could be already capped
  440. 16:19off. And you could just consolidate in
  441. 16:21this 4-hour candle. So, it's really
  442. 16:23important that there's an open draw
  443. 16:24liquidity.
  444. 16:25And as you can see here, 10:00 a.m.
  445. 16:26reverses, what do we have at 14:00?
  446. 16:29When it opens, it's an open draw, and
  447. 16:31that's where we can look to trade a New
  448. 16:34York continuation.
  449. 16:36Now, let's go ahead and cover the PM
  450. 16:37session trading the 14:00 4-hour candle.
  451. 16:41So, here we're going to be going over
  452. 16:42continuation. That is when 10:00 a.m.
  453. 16:44reverses, as you can see the profile
  454. 16:47here is very ideal. Where we open high
  455. 16:49first into a low high, create SMT there.
  456. 16:54And the most important thing for trading
  457. 16:55continuation is there is an open draw in
  458. 16:58close proximity to the 14:00 open,
  459. 17:01which is right here.
  460. 17:05As you can see,
  461. 17:06there is plenty of time in the day to
  462. 17:08get to the strong liquidity, and that's
  463. 17:10really what you need to trade
  464. 17:11continuation. So, now let's go over the
  465. 17:14New York reversal for PM session. So,
  466. 17:18typically, this is going to be happening
  467. 17:20when you're trading a reversal candle.
  468. 17:23Let me explain. So, over here to the
  469. 17:25left, as you can see, this daily candle
  470. 17:28is likely going to print that large
  471. 17:29wick, right? So, here, price expands
  472. 17:31away from the opening price, which is
  473. 17:33creating that very, very large wick when
  474. 17:35price returns back to the opening price.
  475. 17:38What do we know about large wick
  476. 17:39candles? They cannot expand, especially
  477. 17:41beyond the opening price. So, when 10:00
  478. 17:44a.m. comes up here and dips above that
  479. 17:46opening price,
  480. 17:471400 is going to have a very hard time
  481. 17:50expanding beyond this level of this
  482. 17:53daily open, right? So, looking for a New
  483. 17:54York reversal back into the range is
  484. 17:57often a pretty good trade. Now, let's go
  485. 18:00ahead and go over this reversal
  486. 18:01scenario.
  487. 18:02It's somewhat similar to this, but it's
  488. 18:04a it's actually a little bit different.
  489. 18:05This is more so with a daily profile.
  490. 18:08This over here is really showing, you
  491. 18:10know, hitting an actual key level. So,
  492. 18:13when the day when a daily candle hits a
  493. 18:16key level,
  494. 18:17this is where we can
  495. 18:19obviously get a reaction, right? And
  496. 18:21what you're really looking for this day
  497. 18:22to kind of do
  498. 18:23is ideally, you know, close back within
  499. 18:26this range. You know, that's going to be
  500. 18:28the reaction off that key level. Maybe
  501. 18:29it's a form of C2, right? A C2 candle
  502. 18:32typically closes back within this daily
  503. 18:33range to form that large wick. That's
  504. 18:35what this is creating right now, right?
  505. 18:37The daily open's here, price is coming
  506. 18:39back into the daily open to form that
  507. 18:42large wick. So, you're kind of
  508. 18:43anticipating that to happen. You could
  509. 18:45view it maybe as this as well. Maybe
  510. 18:47three expansion candles in a row into a
  511. 18:49key level, coming back in the range, or
  512. 18:51maybe ERL is a key level, IRL is your
  513. 18:53drawing liquidity.
  514. 18:55Whatever Whatever you view it as, uh it
  515. 18:57can be a good scenario for a 1400
  516. 18:59reversal.
  517. 19:01Now, let's go over how to trade a 1400
  518. 19:03reversal.
  519. 19:04And this is going to be using a specific
  520. 19:06profile that is a delayed retraction
  521. 19:08profile, just like we went over for
  522. 19:12the 10:00 a.m. candle.
  523. 19:13And as you can see here,
  524. 19:15the daily candle opens low first, right?
  525. 19:19But, what's the problem here?
  526. 19:20We can't trade continuation. Why? Cuz
  527. 19:22price has made a very significant move
  528. 19:26away from the daily open, creates that
  529. 19:27large wick, right? So, price going to
  530. 19:29have a really hard time expanding beyond
  531. 19:31the high. So, we can use that to our
  532. 19:33advantage and understand that the 14:00
  533. 19:35candle is not actually likely to
  534. 19:37continue higher. It's probably going to
  535. 19:38close back inside of the range. And we
  536. 19:41can trade a little countertrend trade.
  537. 19:43Maybe you can target EQ or a gap within
  538. 19:46the previous 4-hour candle. So, it's
  539. 19:48really like trading IRL to IRL
  540. 19:51countertrend, basically. And as you can
  541. 19:53see, price reverses
  542. 19:55off of the previous candle's high
  543. 19:57at 14:00, and you can look to target
  544. 20:00some of these gaps.
  545. 20:02Now, I'm going to be talking about the
  546. 20:04most ideal way to trade a 14:00 New York
  547. 20:07reversal.
  548. 20:09And that is when the day expands into a
  549. 20:12relevant level. This is very important
  550. 20:14to understand because what we're trying
  551. 20:17to go for
  552. 20:19is the anticipation of a daily reversal
  553. 20:22candle forming, right? Where we hit a
  554. 20:24key level late in the day,
  555. 20:26and that day is going to be capped off
  556. 20:28by 14:00 to come back into the daily
  557. 20:31range, to kind of close back inside of
  558. 20:34the previous day's range, or kind of
  559. 20:35create that wick that the next day will
  560. 20:37use to continue off of. So, as you can
  561. 20:39see, this is even better when all three
  562. 20:42sessions prior
  563. 20:43all expand the same direction. Because
  564. 20:45when you have all three
  565. 20:47sessions expanding the same direction,
  566. 20:49PM session is not going to continue,
  567. 20:51usually.
  568. 20:52It's really going to cap off its daily
  569. 20:53range and come back into the the range
  570. 20:55here. But, when it's all three sessions
  571. 20:57into a key level,
  572. 20:59I mean, that's even better, man. Um
  573. 21:01really, you don't want to see two
  574. 21:03sessions expand in the same direction. I
  575. 21:05would avoid that next session. But,
  576. 21:07that's what you see here, man, every
  577. 21:08single 4-hour candle prior is an
  578. 21:10expansion candle. So we're expecting
  579. 21:13that reversal off of the 1400 low. We
  580. 21:16can trade that continuation.
  581. 21:18We can trade that reversal back into the
  582. 21:20day range targeting gaps or any gaps in
  583. 21:23this previous
  584. 21:244-hour candle.
  585. 21:26In this specific logic also works very
  586. 21:29well if 10:00 a.m. reverses off of a
  587. 21:32daily key level and you trade 1400
  588. 21:34continuation back into the range.
  589. 21:37So now let's go ahead and show you guys
  590. 21:38how to put it together using the daily
  591. 21:41and the 4-hour chart. We'll be covering
  592. 21:43how to trade a reversal day, right?
  593. 21:45Using IRL to ERL. So how to trade a
  594. 21:48reversal candle, you always need a key
  595. 21:50level. So IRL is our key level. And what
  596. 21:54are we going to confirm the low of this
  597. 21:55reversal day is a 4-hour swing, right?
  598. 21:58So as you can see,
  599. 21:59once we engage with this 4-hour key
  600. 22:01level, this candle doesn't reverse. So
  601. 22:04what do we expect? A reversal off of
  602. 22:06this previous candle's low. Once we
  603. 22:08create that and get our confirmations,
  604. 22:09we can trade this candle here, right?
  605. 22:12You can It can be any session, right?
  606. 22:14Maybe this is the London session. Maybe
  607. 22:15this is 1800, 2200. This is 2:00 right
  608. 22:18here. If it has a small wick, you can
  609. 22:20trade it, right? If you have that
  610. 22:22drawing including the open, we're
  611. 22:23expecting that New York continuation,
  612. 22:25right? And this swing formation, this C2
  613. 22:28candle is confirming the low of this
  614. 22:314-hour candle. We can even trade this
  615. 22:33candle before it closes because it has
  616. 22:35that small wick, right? So as you can
  617. 22:36see, we're kind of aligning expansion
  618. 22:38candles, right? Daily reversal to
  619. 22:40expansion candle, 4-hour expansion
  620. 22:42candles. Now let's go over the same
  621. 22:44thing using IRL to ERL, but a
  622. 22:46continuation day. This is where the
  623. 22:49previous day expands. We're going to
  624. 22:50mark out equilibrium of that previous
  625. 22:53day's range. A refined key level within
  626. 22:55the upper half will be a fair value gap.
  627. 22:57And when we engage with that level, if
  628. 22:59we have that small wick, we can trade
  629. 23:00it, right? Aligning expansion candles in
  630. 23:03the same direction. Now, let's go over a
  631. 23:05reversal day using manipulation ranges.
  632. 23:07This is where the daily candle engages
  633. 23:09with a range low,
  634. 23:11and the low of the day is printed from a
  635. 23:134-hour C2 candle. We can look to trade
  636. 23:16back to the daily open, right? What do
  637. 23:19we want this data form like? Open low
  638. 23:21first, has a very large wick. So, what
  639. 23:23are we going to do? We're going to go
  640. 23:24ahead and target that opening price,
  641. 23:26right? Which is right here. As you can
  642. 23:28see, price can have trouble trading
  643. 23:30beyond that level. Now, let's go ahead
  644. 23:32and cover a continuation day using
  645. 23:35manipulation ranges. This is where the
  646. 23:37previous day reverses a refined key
  647. 23:39level within the upper half is a
  648. 23:41relevant swing. That relevant swing is
  649. 23:44your manipulation ranges. Going to
  650. 23:46reverse off that relevant swing. 4-hour
  651. 23:48reversal candle confirm the low of day.
  652. 23:50We're going to be looking to trade that
  653. 23:51continuation into the opposing range
  654. 23:54high, which is the previous high, and
  655. 23:56potentially to further objectives.
  656. 23:58Now, let's go over manipulation ranges.
  657. 24:00Manipulation ranges you can use on any
  658. 24:03time frame. It doesn't have to be a
  659. 24:05daily key level. It can be a 4-hour. It
  660. 24:08could be the 1-hour. It just has to form
  661. 24:11a high of day. The key level will be
  662. 24:12used to form the high of day. So, here
  663. 24:15it can be a reversal candle,
  664. 24:16continuation candle. Here, we're just
  665. 24:18going to be going over a reversal candle
  666. 24:19first. So, as you can see, we take out
  667. 24:22the previous high, which if we drop down
  668. 24:24to lower time frame, this is a relevant
  669. 24:27high.
  670. 24:28Um you can see the market profile. We
  671. 24:30trade into this relevant low. We do not
  672. 24:32manipulate it. So, we're likely to
  673. 24:33continue lower. We are in seek and
  674. 24:35destroy conditions. So,
  675. 24:37when we engage with this high at the
  676. 24:38external range, uh it is likely to
  677. 24:41continue that movement lower. So,
  678. 24:43essentially, it's expansion,
  679. 24:44consolidation, expansion. So, dropping
  680. 24:47down to lower time frame, what do we
  681. 24:49have? A relevant high. You can see a C2
  682. 24:52candle forms the high of the day at
  683. 24:5410:00 a.m. So, we can expect a 1400
  684. 24:57continuation as the low of the day is
  685. 24:59currently 1,800, which is a fair swing
  686. 25:01to the previous day's low. So, the low
  687. 25:03of day wasn't created from anything
  688. 25:04relevant. We have a bunch of fair
  689. 25:05swings, that's a perfect recipe for it,
  690. 25:09a draw on liquidity.
  691. 25:10Now, here we are on the daily chart. You
  692. 25:12can see on the higher time frame we're
  693. 25:13trading I R L to E R L technically.
  694. 25:16That's our draw on liquidity, but this
  695. 25:17is a continuation day using manipulation
  696. 25:19ranges. We have a valid C2 candle here.
  697. 25:22We're going to mark out the whole
  698. 25:24candle's range. And we're going to look
  699. 25:25for a low that we can use to trade away
  700. 25:29from and create the low of the day to
  701. 25:31get to our overall draw on liquidity.
  702. 25:34So, let's go ahead and drop up to the
  703. 25:35hourly time frame.
  704. 25:37So, as you guys can see, here we are on
  705. 25:38the hourly time frame. You can see the
  706. 25:40current low of day was London session.
  707. 25:42We had no reversal prior to the low of
  708. 25:45day or the high of day. So, this is
  709. 25:47essentially a manipulation range, right?
  710. 25:48Manipulate the low of the range to
  711. 25:50create the low of the day and target the
  712. 25:52high of day. Now, let's go see if we
  713. 25:544-hour confirmation created the low of
  714. 25:56the day.
  715. 25:57And as you can see here on the 4-hour
  716. 25:59time frame, what do we have?
  717. 26:01A 4-hour C2 candle created at 6:00 a.m.
  718. 26:05The profile opens low first. Once we put
  719. 26:08in that C2 candle, we're assuming that's
  720. 26:10the low of day from our manipulation
  721. 26:12range key level on the hourly or above.
  722. 26:14We can expect 10:00 a.m. to continue
  723. 26:17to expand towards our draw on liquidity
  724. 26:20and creating that C3 daily expansion
  725. 26:22candle for continuation. Now, let's go
  726. 26:24over an example of a reversal day using
  727. 26:26E R L to I R L. This is where the daily
  728. 26:29candle engages E R L
  729. 26:31and we're looking for that to turn into
  730. 26:33a reversal day to target I R L, the low
  731. 26:35of the day again confirmed by a 4-hour
  732. 26:38swing, aligning expansion candles in the
  733. 26:40same direction. And now, this is the
  734. 26:42same thing, a reversal day using E R L
  735. 26:44to I R L, except your I R L will be
  736. 26:47actually found within the previous day's
  737. 26:48range, right? This day here might expand
  738. 26:52into a key level, right? So, you're
  739. 26:54going to reverse off the previous low
  740. 26:55since this candle did not reverse.
  741. 26:57And when you look back within this
  742. 26:59previous day's range, you will find
  743. 27:014-hour gaps.
  744. 27:03So, as you can see, price expands,
  745. 27:05consolidates. Here's that previous low.
  746. 27:08Once you engage that, we're looking for
  747. 27:10our 4-hour reversal into expansion
  748. 27:13candle or our 4-hour C2 candle and we're
  749. 27:16looking to target back to the previous
  750. 27:18range into the IRL as our draw on
  751. 27:20liquidity. Now, here's another way a
  752. 27:23reversal day can form where your IRL
  753. 27:26will be within the current day's range.
  754. 27:29So, as you can see, the day starts off
  755. 27:30by expanding into a key level. We're
  756. 27:34going to get a reaction off of that key
  757. 27:35level.
  758. 27:36That can be your ERL.
  759. 27:39Your IRL will be found, like I said,
  760. 27:41within the current day's range. So, I
  761. 27:43went over this earlier within an example
  762. 27:46with PM session. And this is often when
  763. 27:48you will have this set up here is if the
  764. 27:51net 1400 candle, right? Basically, this
  765. 27:53key level will cap off the daily range.
  766. 27:55Price will come back into the daily
  767. 27:57range and form that large wick or that
  768. 28:00reversal candle.
  769. 28:01Now, let's go ahead and go over ERL IRL
  770. 28:04with some chart examples. As you can
  771. 28:06see, this is going to be a reversal day.
  772. 28:08Every single ERL IRL
  773. 28:10trade you take is pretty much counter
  774. 28:12trend
  775. 28:13um off of a higher low. You're going to
  776. 28:15target a fair value gap. So, this is
  777. 28:17going to be where we trade into a higher
  778. 28:20low on the daily time frame and you're
  779. 28:23going to be targeting the previous day's
  780. 28:25low, which is a
  781. 28:28fair value gap, right? So, technically,
  782. 28:31you don't have to hit a key level on the
  783. 28:33daily time frame as a swing higher low.
  784. 28:36It could technically be this as well
  785. 28:38where maybe you have consecutive days of
  786. 28:40expansion. Maybe you have a fair value
  787. 28:42gap here. And on the lower time frame,
  788. 28:44the previous high is a
  789. 28:48Maybe it's a relevant high, right?
  790. 28:50So, this would be your daily
  791. 28:52you know, the next day opens up, maybe
  792. 28:54consolidates, hits that ERL.
  793. 28:56You know, has SMT or something. This
  794. 28:58will be your ERL. This will be your IRL
  795. 29:00into the precious low, which is a gap.
  796. 29:01Is this is trading back into the
  797. 29:03precious range, which is IRL. But, as
  798. 29:05you can see, this day specifically does
  799. 29:07trade into a daily swing high or low.
  800. 29:11And we're going to print that reversal
  801. 29:13day and target that IRL.
  802. 29:15So, let's go into the 4-hour chart and
  803. 29:17see what forms a high of the day. And as
  804. 29:19you can see, how does this day print? It
  805. 29:22opens high first, which is exactly what
  806. 29:24we want to see.
  807. 29:26What forms a high of the day? 2:00 a.m.
  808. 29:28reversal candle.
  809. 29:30So, what can you expect the next candles
  810. 29:32to do?
  811. 29:33It's make its way back to this
  812. 29:34unestablished low of the day. Very, very
  813. 29:36large wick. So, what do we target as our
  814. 29:38maximum TP? Is the current low of the
  815. 29:40day
  816. 29:41or just beyond it. And that level here
  817. 29:44is the daily fair value gap high. So,
  818. 29:47now let's go over an ERL to IRL example
  819. 29:50where the IRL or the fair value gap
  820. 29:52exists in the previous day's range found
  821. 29:54on the 4-hour time frame generally,
  822. 29:56okay? And this happens where the current
  823. 29:59day is a reversal candle and it either
  824. 30:01reverses off of the previous day's low
  825. 30:04and then we trade into the precious
  826. 30:06range targeting that 4-hour IRL
  827. 30:08or the day trades beyond the precious
  828. 30:10low into a key level like here, like in
  829. 30:13this example,
  830. 30:14reverses and then we target that IRL
  831. 30:17found in the precious range. So, let's
  832. 30:19go ahead and go to the 4-hour time
  833. 30:20frame. So, here as you can see, how does
  834. 30:23the day form? It opens low first.
  835. 30:25A C2 forms a low of the day. What can we
  836. 30:28find in the previous day's range? Is
  837. 30:31that beautiful fair value gap, right?
  838. 30:33So, here is your ERL and here is your
  839. 30:35IRL
  840. 30:36for your universal model putting them
  841. 30:39all together.
  842. 30:40Now, lastly, we're going to be covering
  843. 30:41ERL to IRL when fading a higher time
  844. 30:45frame expansion candle. So, it's going
  845. 30:47to be something like this where
  846. 30:49ideally,
  847. 30:50you have a reason to come back into the
  848. 30:52range, whether that's
  849. 30:54you know, three consecutive expansion
  850. 30:56candles in a row
  851. 30:57to come back into the range and you face
  852. 30:58a price, or just one large expansion day
  853. 31:02into a key level on the daily time frame
  854. 31:04where you're going to cap off that daily
  855. 31:06range, something like that, right? So,
  856. 31:08you can see this daily candle's really,
  857. 31:09really large. We're just coming off of a
  858. 31:11very, very large expansion in general.
  859. 31:13So, you kind of have that logic. You
  860. 31:14need that logic in order to do this. Uh
  861. 31:17we're basically just fading a
  862. 31:19expansion candle back into its own range
  863. 31:22and targeting the IRL that exists uh in
  864. 31:25that range that basically created the
  865. 31:27expansion in the first place,
  866. 31:29um or the expansion candle in the first
  867. 31:30place. We're kind of assuming that it's
  868. 31:32going to close like this wick, right?
  869. 31:34Really just looking for a swing
  870. 31:36formation
  871. 31:37that's going to cap off that higher time
  872. 31:38frame candle's range. We're going to
  873. 31:40look for the expansion back into the
  874. 31:41range. Target the IRL.
  875. 31:44So, now here we are on the 4-hour time
  876. 31:45frame. As you can see, price has
  877. 31:46expanded very far away from the daily
  878. 31:49open, right? Price cannot expand
  879. 31:50forever. So, we're kind of looking for
  880. 31:52this range to be capped off, and that's
  881. 31:54going to happen from a C2. And as you
  882. 31:56can see, 6:00 a.m. candle reverses off
  883. 31:58of 2:00 a.m.'s candle,
  884. 32:00and that creates a level
  885. 32:03for price to target, right? Going from
  886. 32:06ERL to IRL, right? We can trade 10:00
  887. 32:09a.m. continuation as 6:00 a.m. confirms
  888. 32:12that reversal. We can target the IRL
  889. 32:14back into the daily range.
  890. 32:18Now, let's go ahead and put it all
  891. 32:19together. Here, we're going to be
  892. 32:20showing examples on how to trade out of
  893. 32:23universal models on the higher time
  894. 32:25frame, how to confirm the high and low
  895. 32:28of these expansion candles, reversal
  896. 32:30candles, away from these higher time
  897. 32:31frame universal models with 4-hour swing
  898. 32:35formations. So, here we're going to be
  899. 32:37going over IRL ERL first, talking about
  900. 32:40trading a reversal day. You can only
  901. 32:43ever trade a reversal day from IRL on
  902. 32:46the daily time frame. As you can see,
  903. 32:48this daily candle
  904. 32:50is opening low, taking out the previous
  905. 32:52candle's low, so we know it's a reversal
  906. 32:54day. As this day is tagging the IRL,
  907. 32:57we're going to anticipate it to turn
  908. 32:59into a reversal into expansion candle,
  909. 33:02given the small wick making its way
  910. 33:04towards the ERL. So, simply
  911. 33:08IRL
  912. 33:10ERL
  913. 33:12and we want to confirm the low of this
  914. 33:14reversal candle with a 4-hour swing. So,
  915. 33:16let's go ahead and drop down to 4-hour.
  916. 33:18So, as you can see, we are on the
  917. 33:194-hour. How does the day form? How do we
  918. 33:21want reversal days to form or any
  919. 33:23bullish day? We want to open low first
  920. 33:25ideally.
  921. 33:26And as you can see, we get that reversal
  922. 33:29candle on the 4-hour time frame. There's
  923. 33:31plenty of range to go. We can target
  924. 33:33these fair value gaps or the 10:00 a.m.
  925. 33:35continuation.
  926. 33:37Now, we're going to be talking about how
  927. 33:39to trade a expansion candle or a
  928. 33:41continuation from a 4-hour gap, which
  929. 33:45will reside in the previous candle's
  930. 33:47range.
  931. 33:48So, here as you can see, candle one,
  932. 33:50candle two, candle three is then
  933. 33:52confirmed as it closes above C2's open,
  934. 33:57validating a C4 expansion.
  935. 34:00Now, let's go ahead and drop to the
  936. 34:014-hour time frame and look at the 4-hour
  937. 34:04key level that is going to be used to
  938. 34:05create the protraction phase or the wick
  939. 34:08of this higher time frame bullish
  940. 34:10expansion candle.
  941. 34:11So, here is the previous day's range.
  942. 34:14What do we see within it?
  943. 34:16This gap in premium end of that previous
  944. 34:19candle.
  945. 34:20And what are we going to use to confirm
  946. 34:22the low of the day? Is a C2 candle on
  947. 34:25the 4-hour time frame. As you can see,
  948. 34:27London reversal. How does the day form?
  949. 34:30It essentially opens low first. This is
  950. 34:32perfect IRL to ERL using the daily
  951. 34:36profile combining all the concepts
  952. 34:38together.

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