Advanced MMXM Logic: Continuations — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:02[music]
- 0:05>> Um, we have defined so far swing
- 0:07formations, guys, in context of these
- 0:09market maker models. And we said that
- 0:12the reversal occurs where? So, I'm going
- 0:15to We're going to go interactive back
- 0:17and forth just to check your knowledge,
- 0:19right? Check your understanding.
- 0:21To Mr. V's model next. Yeah. He did some
- 0:24crazy YouTube video with like a whole
- 0:25bunch of streamers. I was watching it.
- 0:27Key level, what is going to be that key
- 0:29level?
- 0:37Swings or gaps, right? ERL or IRL,
- 0:40right? And if we're talking about the
- 0:41daily range, yes, right? The 4-hour gap
- 0:44or 1-hour order pair range. Okay, cool.
- 0:46So, swing extremes are what we've gotten
- 0:48really proficient at identifying. These
- 0:51C2 candles. And we use cracks in
- 0:53correlation as your first filter to
- 0:56define a swing formation. So, when we
- 0:59have key levels that we're looking to
- 1:01trade reversals from with higher time
- 1:03frame sponsorship, we then go and use
- 1:06things like cracks in correlation and
- 1:08candle profiles, open high low close,
- 1:12protraction profiles to get on side
- 1:15these universal models, right? So, the
- 1:17order of operations is always expansion
- 1:20requires a swing, which is a candle two
- 1:22candle three formation. Swing formations
- 1:25are these market maker models that
- 1:27you've learned about, which are forms of
- 1:29liquidity. And when we identify swings,
- 1:32we
- 1:33filter them with cracks in correlation
- 1:35and candle profiles. Now, we're going to
- 1:37get into this next part, which is
- 1:39trading away from these true reversals.
- 1:43So, once we identify areas of extreme in
- 1:46market maker models, meaning the smart
- 1:49money reversal, right? We now want to
- 1:51look at how we can trade away from those
- 1:53established swing points towards the
- 1:55opposing side of the draw. So, before we
- 1:58get into today's lecture, I have two
- 2:00more qualifying questions.
- 2:02Okay. What types of candle closures can
- 2:06be reversal candles? So, if we don't
- 2:09trade reversal, but instead look to wait
- 2:12and see reversal being confirmed by a
- 2:14candle closure, what types of closures
- 2:17do we typically see? What What are the
- 2:18three types?
- 2:25Who knows?
- 2:27Right? So, we're not trading that C2,
- 2:30right? That swing extreme. We're now
- 2:31looking to trade away from it. What are
- 2:34we How are we going to confirm that we
- 2:35have a
- 2:37a swing formation without trading that
- 2:39reversal candle?
- 2:46Well, this this is your first lecture,
- 2:48right? What What do we learn about? It's
- 2:49It's candle It's candle two formations,
- 2:51right? There's C3 closures, C2 reversal
- 2:54expansions, and C2 reversal candles,
- 2:56right? So, characteristically,
- 2:59right? What I'm trying to emphasize at
- 3:01this point, guys, is that whether or not
- 3:04we have a true reversal at a swing
- 3:07formation when trading continuation is
- 3:09rather irrelevant. So, if we have a
- 3:14two-stage crack and correlation paired
- 3:17with a key level at this C2 extreme up
- 3:20in here, what does that become? What
- 3:22What word do we use for this reversal
- 3:24candle? What is this called?
- 3:26When it's a two-stage crack and
- 3:27correlation in the key level followed by
- 3:30that candle closure, what do we call
- 3:31that?
- 3:33Yeah, it's a C2 reversal, but it's also
- 3:34a true reversal, right? That is where we
- 3:37have the appropriate cracks in
- 3:39correlation, right? To say this candle's
- 3:41high should be intact before what?
- 3:45We can only say true reversal when a
- 3:47candle's higher or low is going to stay
- 3:48intact before what?
- 3:53Before it closes, right?
- 3:55Think about trading reversals. Reversals
- 3:57really require you to establish a swing
- 4:00point before the candle closes. Does
- 4:02that make sense? Do we all agree with
- 4:03that?
- 4:05When you're trading a reversal, has the
- 4:07higher time frame swing point closed as
- 4:09a reversal candle yet?
- 4:12No, right? It's still printing. So, we
- 4:15utilize our filters,
- 4:18right? So,
- 4:19we utilize
- 4:21our filters, which are cracks in
- 4:24correlation,
- 4:25key level,
- 4:27and candle profile
- 4:29to trade the reversal candle
- 4:33as
- 4:36it prints
- 4:39before it confirms the swing via
- 4:42closure.
- 4:44This is the key caveat of trading
- 4:47reversals. Is that we are assuming that
- 4:51this high is going to stay in place.
- 4:53Now, once this candle closes, a swing
- 4:56point is confirmed, okay? And the logic
- 5:00we're going to utilize for trading
- 5:02continuations is going to extensively
- 5:04rely on the idea that a swing point is
- 5:08confirmed here, okay? So, once we
- 5:11confirm a swing here like this,
- 5:14with this candle two closure,
- 5:18once this is confirmed, right?
- 5:20We don't need to have the same necessary
- 5:24confluences to trade away from that
- 5:27swing point. And this is where we're
- 5:28going to talk about the idea of cracks
- 5:31in correlation and using it as a
- 5:33function, right? Of swing profiling. And
- 5:36I know this might sound complex, but
- 5:37it's it's really really logical. When we
- 5:40have less information about a candle,
- 5:42right? Meaning when it's forming an
- 5:44extreme, what do you guys think? Do we
- 5:46require more or less
- 5:48confluences to say that's the high if we
- 5:50have not closed the candle yet?
- 5:53More, right? Simply because the candle
- 5:57closure itself is a mechanical reversal.
- 6:00Meaning in all cases, once this candle
- 6:02closes, you can say that this is a C2
- 6:04candle. Now, what are the instances,
- 6:07guys, where a C2 candle ends up doing
- 6:09something like this? It prints an
- 6:11intra-candle high, but then eventually
- 6:13ends up creating a new high. Have you
- 6:15guys seen that happen before?
- 6:21Yes. And that is typically when
- 6:24reversals fail because they lack the
- 6:26necessary confluences for us to trade
- 6:29away from them. What our eye draws to
- 6:32for the for this lecture today, guys, is
- 6:35this candle, okay? And any candles
- 6:38thereafter until what? We frame
- 6:40continuation until what is hit?
- 6:47The draw. Let's use even more specific
- 6:49words. The draw is what in the case of
- 6:53liquidity imbalance theory,
- 6:56right?
- 6:57The universal model has two types of
- 6:59liquidity. What are those two types of
- 7:01liquidity?
- 7:05Yes. So, what is that second word in
- 7:08both of those variants of liquidity?
- 7:13What is the second word in ERL and IRL?
- 7:18Nope.
- 7:19It's not internal relevant
- 7:22low or high.
- 7:24It's range. So, when we are trading
- 7:26continuation, we frame continuation
- 7:29until what is met?
- 7:31The opposing side of the range. It's
- 7:35always a range.
- 7:38It is always
- 7:42a range.
- 7:43Always.
- 7:46Whole, I cannot spell, guys.
- 7:49Okay? So, when we trade continuation, we
- 7:52trade continuation away from one side of
- 7:56the range towards the opposing side of
- 8:00the range. The language we use is very
- 8:01important here. Because
- 8:04if this is not the opposing side of the
- 8:06range down here, but instead we have
- 8:07another candle, and this is just a
- 8:09short-term low, is this the draw on
- 8:11liquidity?
- 8:12Or is the real draw on liquidity the
- 8:14opposing side of the range here?
- 8:19Where is the draw on liquidity? Here or
- 8:21the opposing side of the range?
- 8:25Yes. And what determines
- 8:29We're moving or moving a bit ahead, but
- 8:30this is coming in the future. What
- 8:32determines if I'm going to call this low
- 8:35the relevant swing or some low below it
- 8:39the relevant swing? What What determines
- 8:42that that? So, what determines what the
- 8:44opposing side of the range is?
- 8:47There's one good word. It starts with
- 8:49the word P.
- 8:51Proximity, yep. This is where you'll see
- 8:53me say the word proximity matters,
- 8:55right? In trading.
- 8:56The spacing in between swing points is
- 8:59what makes them ranges. I'll say it
- 9:01again. The space between swing points is
- 9:05what establishes ranges. One more time.
- 9:07The space between swing points is what a
- 9:09range is. That's what a range is. Or
- 9:11else the market wouldn't have ranges.
- 9:13We'd just have price action. Okay? The
- 9:16reason why we have ranges is because the
- 9:19spacing between swing formations
- 9:24is relevant. That means that because
- 9:28proximity here is sufficiently large,
- 9:31this swing, if it is manipulated, can
- 9:34see a reaction to the other what? What
- 9:36would this be called here?
- 9:38The
- 9:40opposing side of the range, right?
- 9:44This is why we call
- 9:47manipulation ranges order paired ranges.
- 9:50They're You're order pairing levels
- 9:52always in the market. And this This
- 9:55might seem trivial to think about, but
- 9:57it is exactly how we view, right, swing
- 10:00formations as ranges. And uh again,
- 10:04it's not random when we say stuff like
- 10:06this, okay? And the reason why I spend
- 10:07time em- emphasizing this theory is
- 10:09because, look,
- 10:12right? Swing formations are market maker
- 10:14models.
- 10:16Right? And that's a very important
- 10:18concept because these market maker
- 10:19models are ranges, internal and external
- 10:22ranges, okay?
- 10:25And we can trade candles away from
- 10:28extremes towards opposing side of ranges
- 10:31using the sequences I'm going to teach
- 10:33you today. So, that is our logic, okay?
- 10:35Is everyone understanding how we're
- 10:36building from the previous lecture
- 10:37content now into continuation? Or are
- 10:40there any questions about this core
- 10:42logic?
- 10:50Yes. Yes.
- 10:52No major questions?
- 10:53Okay, good. That's very important. We
- 10:55need to understand that this core logic
- 10:57in order for us to move forward, or else
- 10:59it becomes very difficult, right, as we
- 11:01get into some of the nuances, right?
- 11:03These nuances or filters are all going
- 11:05to be based on the fundamental model.
- 11:07Okay, perfect. Let's keep going, guys.
- 11:09So, I'm glad you guys understand that. I
- 11:11I spend time emphasizing that for a
- 11:12reason. So, let's take a look at the
- 11:15first, right, component of our logic,
- 11:18which is the universal model, also known
- 11:21as IRL and IRO. And let's look at where
- 11:23continuations are framed within this.
- 11:26So, in any higher time frame, right,
- 11:29order paired range, whether you're going
- 11:31from internal to external, external to
- 11:33external, right, external to internal as
- 11:36a retracement, we're going to be forming
- 11:38these swings.
- 11:39And uh on the lower time frame, you're
- 11:41going to always see a C2 C3 definition,
- 11:45right? Now, C1 is always going to be
- 11:49defined as the candle range that is
- 11:52manipulated.
- 11:53Okay, this is why there's a there's a
- 11:55there's a type of trading called candle
- 11:56range theory. It's talking about
- 11:58manipulation of a key level. Now, what
- 12:00is critical about candle one? What does
- 12:04it have to be in relation to based on
- 12:06the universal model and this framework
- 12:07I've given you? So, as opposed to
- 12:09trading, you know, candle range theory,
- 12:11which randomly looks at every single C1
- 12:13C2 C3, what filter is very critical for
- 12:16our analysis?
- 12:21What do we use that gives our candle
- 12:24range theory real logic behind it? Yeah,
- 12:26key levels, right? Yes. And those key
- 12:28levels are gaps or swings, okay? We're
- 12:31not looking at candle 1 2 3 formations
- 12:33anywhere. That's quite simply just
- 12:36asinine. That's not how that's not how
- 12:37markets book price, right? It wouldn't
- 12:39make sense for markets to do that. They
- 12:40need to be in context of a relevant
- 12:42level for a swing to form, or else a
- 12:44swing won't form there, or it will form
- 12:46and it will be traded against, right?
- 12:49Every true swing formation delivers the
- 12:51opposing side of the range. Every false
- 12:54swing formation, right, fails to do
- 12:56that. Simple as that. We want to trade
- 12:58the true swing formations. I'll say it
- 13:00again, every true swing formation will
- 13:03deliver the other side of the range
- 13:05because that is liquidity imbalance
- 13:06theory. An opposing side of range must
- 13:09be delivered from the key level if it's
- 13:11a real swing formation, or else it's
- 13:12going to look like this. And you guys
- 13:13have seen it all the time, right?
- 13:17And then we'll do like this, right?
- 13:19We'll end up forming this fake swing,
- 13:21we'll end up liquidating it, and then
- 13:22we'll deliver the other side of the
- 13:23range, but the true swing will always
- 13:26deliver the opposing side of the range.
- 13:28And that is very powerful logic because
- 13:30we're going to be filtering via key
- 13:31level, cracks in correlation, all that
- 13:34good stuff. You guys at this point are
- 13:36sufficiently, right,
- 13:38good, or I would say you guys are quite
- 13:40honestly experts at filtering this
- 13:42candle. So, again, we're going to be
- 13:44doing active recall checks.
- 13:46What
- 13:48elements of a C2 candle do you guys use
- 13:51to filter it? To define it as a true
- 13:53swing formation. Give me several.
- 13:57Write write these several in the chat
- 13:58that you you've learned from me to
- 14:00utilize.
- 14:05Key level, absolutely.
- 14:08V-shape, absolutely. Two-stage cracks in
- 14:11correlation, yes. We haven't talked
- 14:12about string switching yet, but that's
- 14:14something as well. What about What about
- 14:16the type of uh
- 14:18What about the two components of a
- 14:20candle, these axial components, which is
- 14:22going to be time and price?
- 14:24Right, gaps, yes. Displacement, small
- 14:27wick, yes. Open high low close or open
- 14:30low high close confirmed by wick size,
- 14:32absolutely. So, you guys are very good
- 14:35at filtering candle twos. Now, we're
- 14:37going to be using a similar logic,
- 14:39right, for candle three. However, I'm
- 14:41going to convince you of an equation
- 14:43shortly as to why candle three is uh
- 14:47requires less confluence and why we look
- 14:50for it to form in specific areas. So,
- 14:52we're going to get into that next.
- 14:54Okay? This is an example of a universal
- 14:57model fractalized
- 14:59utilizing candle one, two, and three
- 15:01logic. So, for every higher time frame
- 15:04swing formation, we are going to have
- 15:06What is this called in here to the
- 15:07right? What is this called, guys?
- 15:12Okay, why is my pen not working?
- 15:16Oh, my pen's broken. That sucks.
- 15:19This is a market maker model, yes, which
- 15:21involves areas of reversal,
- 15:24reaccumulation,
- 15:25and liquidation of an original
- 15:28consolidation. My question for you is
- 15:30what phase of market maker models is
- 15:33candle two, and what phase of market
- 15:35maker models are candle threes?
- 15:38Or candle fours?
- 15:47C2 is reversal, C3 is continuation, yes.
- 15:51Now, can we have the case where
- 15:54continuation also happens within the
- 15:56reversal candle on a lower time frame?
- 16:01Ab- absolutely. What types of candles
- 16:04are those called? What type of candle
- 16:06closure is that as a reversal candle
- 16:07called?
- 16:09Where the reversal candle both reverses
- 16:10and then ex- exactly. It's in the name,
- 16:13guys. It reverses and expands, right?
- 16:16Both phases of price from redistribution
- 16:19and uh reversal occur within one candle,
- 16:22which is why we call it a C2 reversal
- 16:24into expansion. Expansion is
- 16:27continuation. Okay? Reversal is
- 16:30expansion with expansion creating wicks.
- 16:32So, sometimes you'll get exaggerated
- 16:33candles that both involve a reversal
- 16:36phase and an expansion away from that
- 16:38reversal, typically defined by your, you
- 16:40know, intra-candle CSDs and and whatnot.
- 16:43We've talked about this, right? You guys
- 16:44are experts at this so far. Okay, you're
- 16:46you're starting to piece together some
- 16:47of this logic.
- 16:49Right?
- 16:50Part one re-tapping. Okay, we're going
- 16:51to just recap what defines a true
- 16:53reversal. I I don't think I need to ask
- 16:55this again seeing that we've done it
- 16:56like 10 times, but humor me. What What
- 16:59defines a true reversal, guys?
- 17:04Cuz again, I I I can't really move
- 17:06forward until you guys understand this
- 17:09better than anybody else.
- 17:14Two-stage CIC.
- 17:16Key level.
- 17:18Appropriate wick size, right? And
- 17:21displacement. Okay.
- 17:23You guys understand this better than
- 17:24anybody else in our space, as you
- 17:27should. This is entirely mechanical,
- 17:30right? Most people use subjectivity to
- 17:33define reversals, you no longer do that.
- 17:35So, once you identify the reversal, your
- 17:38job is now to understand how to trade
- 17:40this candle in continuation. Now, at
- 17:42this point, I want to step back and ask
- 17:44you another question.
- 17:46If we do not see the relevant true
- 17:50reversal signature at candle two's
- 17:53extreme,
- 17:55and it closes as a mechanical reversal
- 17:58candle, can we still trade continuation
- 18:01away from candle two's low?
- 18:04And this is really the power of what
- 18:06you're learning.
- 18:11Yes.
- 18:13Because once we confirm a swing as a
- 18:17mechanical closure,
- 18:20what do we print in the range of candle
- 18:23two?
- 18:24What do we print?
- 18:28Use the I word. Yeah, yeah. It could be
- 18:31a gap, it could be an order paired
- 18:32range, but what does it become?
- 18:36An invalidation.
- 18:39That is to say, if you ever distrust the
- 18:43area of reversal,
- 18:45what you can do is allow the reversal to
- 18:48form,
- 18:50and then trade from a new invalidation.
- 18:54So, an invalidation, definitionally, is
- 18:57this.
- 18:59An invalidation
- 19:02I don't know why I went to white, that's
- 19:03weird. Let me just change this font back
- 19:05to black.
- 19:09An invalidation
- 19:11is mechanically defined
- 19:13as
- 19:15a swing formation where price will not
- 19:18return
- 19:20before delivering the opposing
- 19:24side of the range. It's a It's a
- 19:26mouthful, but that is what an
- 19:28invalidation is mechanically defined as.
- 19:31So, if we ever encounter
- 19:34a candle two extreme with no clear
- 19:38invalidation, we wait for the mechanical
- 19:42closure and a new invalidation to print
- 19:46in a continuation. That means we don't
- 19:49need to trade away from this swing, we
- 19:52need to trade away from a new
- 19:53established relevant invalidation, not
- 19:57the original one which we distrust. Tell
- 20:01me some reasons why I may distrust
- 20:06a C2
- 20:08extreme.
- 20:09What are some reasons I would want to
- 20:11avoid trading at reversal and instead
- 20:14trade continuation?
- 20:15The biggest one is the presence of
- 20:18failure swings.
- 20:20So failure swings are a large red flag.
- 20:24Why? What is failing to be paired with
- 20:26failure swings?
- 20:32Orders, liquidity, and which it becomes
- 20:34your key level, right?
- 20:36Yes, the the opposing range. Yes,
- 20:37exactly. You're failing to offer an
- 20:40opposing side of the range and reversing
- 20:42off of, you know, failure swings or a
- 20:45failure to manipulate liquidity. That is
- 20:48probably the single most telling
- 20:50mechanical invalidation of a swing that
- 20:53you would want to not trade away from.
- 20:54Meaning you don't want to trade away
- 20:56from failure swings and you'll hear that
- 20:57used like as a heuristic quite
- 20:59frequently by educators, right? We don't
- 21:01trade away from failure swings. Instead,
- 21:02we wait for, you know, expansion away.
- 21:05Now, once we expand away from failure
- 21:07swings, of course, we're going to have
- 21:08gaps and whatnot. These become your new
- 21:10invalidations, which you guys
- 21:11understand. What else could be
- 21:14um
- 21:15an invalid What else could give you a
- 21:17hesitation about trading the extreme of
- 21:19a reversal besides failure swings?
- 21:24What other filters would you consider
- 21:26that would maybe be lower probability?
- 21:31S.
- 21:32Shitty lower time frame slow Sisti
- 21:34accumulation failure to manipulate,
- 21:36right? So So the red flags, right? The
- 21:39red flag. I mean, just copy this.
- 21:42The red flags for trading C2,
- 21:45right? Trading away from C2 before it
- 21:48closes.
- 21:50Biggest one is failure swings.
- 21:52Another one is lower time frame
- 21:54dynamics, which you guys are talking
- 21:55about. Dynamics just means the way price
- 21:57delivers, right?
- 21:59This is going to be seen as a
- 22:01failure to manipulate, right? Or a
- 22:05continuation signature.
- 22:07Number three is a lack of
- 22:11CIC. In this case, two stage, okay? So a
- 22:14lack of true reversal logic, right? With
- 22:17a two stage crack and correlation with
- 22:19failure swings, right? With unfavorable
- 22:22lower time frame dynamics, these are
- 22:25going to give you a harder time trading
- 22:28at that extreme, right? At that order
- 22:30paired extreme. Instead, it will be
- 22:32beneficial to then wait for candle three
- 22:34to open, form a new invalidation, and
- 22:37thereafter trade expansion, okay?
- 22:40What else
- 22:42could filter you out of candle two,
- 22:44right? On the topic. So we we've talked
- 22:45about a couple of them. What else could
- 22:47I add to this list?
- 22:49Think about candle profiling.
- 22:53Mhm.
- 22:55An exaggerated protraction phase of this
- 22:57candle. We know there is an inverse
- 23:00proportion between the size or the depth
- 23:03of manipulation and the expected
- 23:05expansion of a candle.
- 23:07There's an inverse proportion to that.
- 23:09The larger the wick, the smaller the
- 23:12body
- 23:13because more time is spent in that
- 23:15manipulation phase. So the last
- 23:18confluence we can add is going to be an
- 23:21exaggerated
- 23:22a large wick or you could say
- 23:25large protraction
- 23:28phase
- 23:29of a candle. Again, uh generically
- 23:31speaking, it is better to use this word,
- 23:33like these words, than simply just
- 23:35saying large wick. That doesn't really
- 23:37mean much. We define protraction
- 23:39mechanically as the distance, right?
- 23:42Between the opening price and the low or
- 23:45high of a candle. That is what we want
- 23:46to use, right? So that large wick is
- 23:49also based in time, right? Not just
- 23:52not just the depth of this wick. It's
- 23:54not just the depth of it. It's also
- 23:56based on when this wick forms over time.
- 23:59For example, if we close back the
- 24:01candle,
- 24:02right? And we have lots of time. Say we
- 24:04have another 3 hours left in this
- 24:06candle. Does this wick size mean as much
- 24:09as if we have 1 hour left? What do you
- 24:11guys think?
- 24:16If there's more time left in the candle
- 24:17despite the large wick, is it more or
- 24:19less permissible?
- 24:25Yeah, it's it's obviously more
- 24:26permissible because there is more time
- 24:28for the candle to print expansion, okay?
- 24:31So we don't pattern trade these things
- 24:33ever. We never pattern trade anything,
- 24:34right? Clearly.
- 24:36Um
- 24:36But but there is a there is a more
- 24:38defined reasoning, right? So we're going
- 24:40to talk about protraction in both time
- 24:42and price, not just the size of a wick.
- 24:45You'll notice many large wick candles
- 24:48eventually, in some cases, do indeed
- 24:50form expansion candles that look like
- 24:52this, dude. You'll see it all the time.
- 24:54Okay?
- 24:55And that is usually because of drivers,
- 24:57volatility, time, right? Order pairing,
- 25:00all this good stuff.
- 25:02Okay.
- 25:03So this is how we define We're going to
- 25:04recall some reversal sequences now.
- 25:07We're going to define our major reversal
- 25:08sequences. We have PSPs confirming SMTs.
- 25:12That is where the candle closure
- 25:14confirms the swing.
- 25:17Candle closure confirms the second stage
- 25:19crack and correlation of the swing.
- 25:22We have SMT confirming precision swing
- 25:24points. That is typically when candle
- 25:26one engages a key level or creates a key
- 25:30level. So this is where either one
- 25:33Right? No, it's
- 25:36I don't know why this is.
- 25:41We'll see C1
- 25:43engage a key level
- 25:46IRL YRL.
- 25:50Right? C2 sweep.
- 25:53That is one permutation of a candle one
- 25:57PSP with SMT. Alternatively, candle one
- 26:00could create the key level.
- 26:06Right?
- 26:08One of those two things. And again,
- 26:11we're going to talk more about that
- 26:12logic of there is a definitive sequence
- 26:15that will occur at every single
- 26:16continuation. It's either SMT in a gap,
- 26:20is SMT with a gap, or it's SMT in and
- 26:23with a gap. And it's the same way C1 and
- 26:25C2 can form. C1 is either going to be
- 26:27forming at like look, see how this C1
- 26:29here forms in the key level? Yeah, it
- 26:31should be better if I showed it to you
- 26:32like this. Look.
- 26:37See how this C1 trades into a key level
- 26:39and then C2 sweeps and we get a
- 26:41reversal? That is because C1 does not
- 26:43have time in this case to form a C2
- 26:46because it trades into the key level. It
- 26:47doesn't reverse yet. So candle two
- 26:49requires what? What do we require to to
- 26:52to form uh
- 26:54expansion?
- 26:56What do we require to form expansion?
- 27:01A swing, right?
- 27:03So then we'll see candle one trade into
- 27:04the key level.
- 27:05Candle two will form the swing and
- 27:07expand. Sometimes we'll see candle one
- 27:10create the key level and then candle two
- 27:13reverses off of it. It's only ever one
- 27:15of those two. It's never anything else.
- 27:17It's never been anything else. It never
- 27:19will be anything else. And if you can
- 27:21find an example of anything else, then
- 27:23the entire logic we built falls apart,
- 27:25right? It is one of those two things.
- 27:28We either reverse off of a candle in a
- 27:30key level or we create a key level via a
- 27:34candle formation and reverse off of it.
- 27:36No other ways do swing forms. There's
- 27:37never been a chart that's shown you
- 27:39otherwise, okay?
- 27:41And the last one, of course, is going to
- 27:42be your two stage, right? SMTs. And this
- 27:45really is where we're going to later
- 27:47involve the concept of
- 27:49strength switching. And and we're not
- 27:51going to touch too much on strength
- 27:52switching yet because it's a more of an
- 27:53advanced confluence, but we will get
- 27:55there. But for now, we are looking at
- 27:57these generic types of two stages. Just
- 27:59remember that strength switching in
- 28:01particular has a more of a application
- 28:05in respect to two stage, okay? SMT.
- 28:08This roof shape that you're used to
- 28:09seeing, right? Something like this or
- 28:11this, okay? But we're going to touch on
- 28:13this later. So this will be your
- 28:14strength switch application and it'll
- 28:15come later, not yet. Just remember that
- 28:17this is a way that swings can also form.
- 28:20Okay.
- 28:23We're now going to get into swing
- 28:24invalidations, right?
- 28:28And again, the reason why I make you
- 28:29watch the lecture beforehand, guys, is
- 28:31because my job is to add color to the
- 28:35concepts and then reinforce them.
- 28:38Everything is out there for you, but I
- 28:39want you guys to understand this better
- 28:41than anybody else and I want you to
- 28:42understand it from not a pattern based
- 28:44perspective. It needs to be highly
- 28:46rational for you, right? So these are
- 28:47invalidations that you have, which are
- 28:49logical invalidations, right? Things
- 28:51like equilibrium of previous candles
- 28:54wick of previous candles ranges. If we
- 28:56are going to expand away from a low,
- 28:59what should we not be doing?
- 29:01What does expansion not offer?
- 29:09Deep retracement. So equilibrium and the
- 29:12PD arrays, right? The price delivery
- 29:14arrays, in this case fair value gaps
- 29:15near EQ of the range, become the most
- 29:18critical key levels. You want to look
- 29:21for gaps in the upper half of the
- 29:23previous candle range near the opening
- 29:26price of the new candle. We don't want
- 29:28gaps near the opening price of the
- 29:30previous candle. That would be referring
- 29:32to gaps way down here. Think about it.
- 29:35Time and price. The opening of a higher
- 29:37time frame candle is going to form its
- 29:39wick and ideally it will expand away
- 29:41from that. You want to look for gaps
- 29:42near the open
- 29:44in the upper half of the range. Two
- 29:46axial filters, guys. Time
- 29:48and price, okay? There's a logic to it.
- 29:51It doesn't want to form a deep wick in
- 29:53price. That's also going to be wasting
- 29:55time coming well back into the range,
- 29:57okay?
- 29:58This is why we use equilibrium. It's a
- 30:00very, very solid filter for both X and Y
- 30:04axis, time and price, okay?
- 30:08And you can see, when we have these
- 30:10large wicks, they don't support
- 30:12expansion, then you will often use the
- 30:14candle three continuation, right? As a
- 30:18new invalidation. So, we'll look for
- 30:20candle four to expand.
- 30:22Tell me also why you wouldn't want to
- 30:24trade continuation in this case, in this
- 30:26C3.
- 30:27Away from candle two's low.
- 30:30What concept in here would you be
- 30:32hesitant to trade based on this
- 30:34formation?
- 30:36Yes, large wick
- 30:38and failure swings, right? Expansion
- 30:41does not offer deeper retracements into
- 30:44the range. Failure swings are very low
- 30:46probable to trade away from. So, we wait
- 30:50for what? The candle to confirm, staying
- 30:52in respective of the low, for the new
- 30:54candle to open, form its wick in a key
- 30:56level, and expand, right? There you go.
- 30:59Same exact logic as above, utilizing a
- 31:02filter of that, right? Previous candle's
- 31:05range.
- 31:06Cool.
- 31:08Now, we need to look at the idea of
- 31:13swing grading, okay? This This is better
- 31:15known as swing grading. If I have an
- 31:18opposing side of the range here,
- 31:21and I have a point of reversal here,
- 31:24it is reasonable to assume that there
- 31:26will be several failure swings on the
- 31:29left-hand side of the curve.
- 31:31These failure swings are not anticipated
- 31:34to form reversals from,
- 31:36right? So, what do we expect to see when
- 31:39price trades into a failure swing on the
- 31:41left-hand side of this market maker
- 31:43model?
- 31:45What do we expect to form?
- 31:48Remember, we're looking to trade into
- 31:49the opposing side of the range.
- 31:52A new phase of price,
- 31:54right?
- 31:55We're looking to trade into the opposing
- 31:57side of the range, so this side of the
- 31:59range will be a new phase of price. I
- 32:01have done uh the liberty here of just
- 32:04making that a bit more obvious, right?
- 32:06And you can see what those signatures
- 32:08are. These are continuation signatures,
- 32:12right? For order flow.
- 32:14Retracement, consolidation. Namely, you
- 32:17are not seeing that V-shape, right?
- 32:20You're not seeing expansion met with
- 32:22expansion, wherein price is reversing
- 32:25from a key level, right?
- 32:29Likewise,
- 32:31do you think that any SMTs that form
- 32:35like this are going to hold
- 32:38if we see
- 32:39uh signatures like this, away from a
- 32:41true reversal?
- 32:45No. This is where we will extensively uh
- 32:48introduce asset synchronization in the
- 32:50future. So, we will introduce the idea
- 32:53of
- 32:54uh
- 32:55asset sync
- 32:57paired with strength switching in
- 32:59continuation, okay? And this will be
- 33:02something that we spend a couple weeks
- 33:04on. It's a very powerful logic utilizing
- 33:07asset synchronization to break old highs
- 33:10and lows that were asymmetrically
- 33:12created. Meaning, when one asset trades
- 33:15into a high or a low, and the other
- 33:17asset has yet to do that, we will
- 33:19utilize the idea of asset
- 33:22synchronization to get there, okay?
- 33:26All right. Here is another invalidation.
- 33:29This is going to be directly paired with
- 33:31your understanding of phase of price.
- 33:34When we are looking for reversals,
- 33:36right? Which a lower time frame
- 33:38continuation
- 33:40Sorry, a higher time frame continuation
- 33:42from a key level is still going to be a
- 33:43what? This is your C2 extreme,
- 33:46and this is your C3 extreme from a key
- 33:48level. What is that still going to be on
- 33:50the lower time frame?
- 33:54Reversal, which is why I extensively
- 33:56taught you reversals before
- 33:58continuations because the signatures of
- 34:00price are still going to be utilized.
- 34:02You want to trade V-shape recoveries,
- 34:05the creation of gaps, which indicate
- 34:08institutional sponsorship of a price
- 34:10leg. You do not want to trade choppy
- 34:14consolidation like signatures out of key
- 34:17levels. That's unlikely to offer you
- 34:19that lower time frame
- 34:21reversal, which will be the higher time
- 34:23frame continuation that you're
- 34:25observing, okay? It's very important not
- 34:27to neglect these reversal signatures.
- 34:30This signature here is the fundamental
- 34:32truth by which all key levels are
- 34:34filtered.
- 34:35This signature right here is the
- 34:37fundamental truth by which all key
- 34:40levels are filtered in the market. You
- 34:42pair this with your cracks in
- 34:44correlation, your filters. You pair this
- 34:47with asset synchronization, strength
- 34:49switching, everything I will teach you,
- 34:50but this fundamental truth does not
- 34:52change. This is what a reversal looks
- 34:54like on any asset, on any time frame,
- 34:57right? From any level. Be it an old high
- 35:00or old low or gap. It is this. It is not
- 35:04this.
- 35:05Very important, okay? Here is your
- 35:07relevant swing, right? That is forming.
- 35:10Here is that lower time frame signature.
- 35:12Please pay attention to your CSDs, your
- 35:14creation of gaps, the time spent below a
- 35:18key level. Think about this.
- 35:20Would you want that to be long time or a
- 35:22little time? If we are spending time
- 35:25below this key level, is that a higher
- 35:27or lower probability reversal?
- 35:35Price does not linger at key levels. Uh
- 35:37you guys are all right. It does not
- 35:39linger. It will form a V-shape recovery
- 35:41for this wick formation. If not, it is
- 35:44more likely that the body of this candle
- 35:47will close inside of the range of that
- 35:50key level,
- 35:51and therefore, we may need to do what to
- 35:53reverse? Because what is required for
- 35:56expansion? We may need to form a new
- 35:58swing.
- 35:59That is a failure to manipulate. Ah, so
- 36:03when this happens,
- 36:05when price trades into a key level and
- 36:07starts to accumulate, remember that this
- 36:09candle body is actually forming like
- 36:11this,
- 36:13and we are not forming a wick out of
- 36:15that level.
- 36:16So, the next candle is likely to open,
- 36:19form the wick, right?
- 36:21And then expand away, right? That is the
- 36:24key understanding is that consolidation
- 36:28signatures in a key level are likely to
- 36:31see a swing formation form from them as
- 36:34a what type of universal model? What
- 36:35would that be? What would this universal
- 36:37model be?
- 36:44An order paired range. Yes, because
- 36:48look, just like we talked about earlier,
- 36:51if C1 trades into the key level,
- 36:55but does not reverse,
- 36:57it is going to be consolidating, maybe.
- 36:59And in this case, candle two, if candle
- 37:02one is consolidating into the level, can
- 37:04form the swing formation with a small
- 37:06wick and expand, right? This is so
- 37:09critical to understand is that when you
- 37:11fail to see that reversal signature, you
- 37:14create what? What does candle one's low
- 37:16become?
- 37:18And I'm actually going to share this
- 37:20lecture with all of Latherus, right? And
- 37:22even probably social media because this
- 37:24concept is not taught well, guys. And
- 37:26it's a It's a disservice because you are
- 37:28looking for reversals here, but you're
- 37:30not looking for the signature. I see so
- 37:32many of my students fail to look for
- 37:33this signature, right? Because they
- 37:35simply have the key level. What does
- 37:37this become in here, guys?
- 37:41When you when you engage this, again,
- 37:43think of proximity. Think of the key
- 37:45level. What does this become?
- 37:48This manipulation.
- 37:49Yes, you create a relevant
- 37:54swing,
- 37:55okay? That is a relevant swing because
- 37:57it's in your key level, right? It's
- 38:00order pairing this lower time frame
- 38:02consolidation,
- 38:03and you could expand. So, do not trade
- 38:06those lower time frame dynamics that are
- 38:08offering you, right? Consolidation
- 38:10because it's likely to be swept
- 38:13to create the swing that you want to
- 38:15trade away from. Um you guys would be
- 38:18astonished how many of your losses are
- 38:19just a function of trading consolidation
- 38:23reversals or consolidations out of key
- 38:25levels. Uh wait for order pairing and
- 38:27significant displacement, and you will
- 38:29see your You will see your uh trade
- 38:32strike rate uh increase rapidly, um
- 38:35exponentially even, right? For me, that
- 38:37was very key when I was learning this
- 38:39stuff was to understand that this here
- 38:42is really the the king. And it pairs
- 38:44with every logic I will teach you,
- 38:46right? Uh in our curriculum. It always
- 38:48comes back to signatures of price and or
- 38:50what we call them phases of price, okay?
- 38:53Reversal is a phase of price.
- 38:55Awesome.
- 38:56Let's get into sequences. So, now you
- 38:59have learned, you know,
- 39:00what continuation is, where it exists
- 39:03within market maker models. We'll now
- 39:05continue to understand um
- 39:07Let's make sure this is in place. We'll
- 39:09now continue to understand what these
- 39:11sequences look like, okay?
- 39:13So, let's get into it.
- 39:16Here is a sequence that I will teach
- 39:18you.
- 39:19When we engage a key level, right? This
- 39:22higher time frame reversal expansion
- 39:23candle, we talked about it, is going to
- 39:25be a market maker model. But more
- 39:27importantly, no matter where a swing is
- 39:30forming, what is required for a swing
- 39:32formation? Irrespective of whether it's
- 39:34candle two
- 39:36or it's candle three, what is required
- 39:38for a swing formation?
- 39:41For wicks, where do wicks get created,
- 39:43guys?
- 39:48In key levels.
- 39:51What did we say about swing formations
- 39:54that are created at random levels, i.e.
- 39:57not relevant swings in the market, not
- 40:00fair value gaps?
- 40:02That's just candle range theory and it's
- 40:04garbage, right? It's not relevant.
- 40:07We need key levels.
- 40:09Therefore,
- 40:10the logic precedes that any form of
- 40:13continuation is always going to be what?
- 40:17It's on the page. It's listed for you.
- 40:18What's going to be?
- 40:20A model within a model.
- 40:22You're going to be forming some form of
- 40:26internal model to get to an external
- 40:29opposing side of the range.
- 40:32Remember, what do we define a true
- 40:35reversal as?
- 40:38A swing formation that delivers what?
- 40:42The opposing side of the range. That's a
- 40:46true reversal.
- 40:47So, therefore, it follows that a
- 40:50continuation
- 40:52away from the extreme of a true reversal
- 40:55will form a model within the higher time
- 40:58frame model to bring you to that
- 41:00opposing range. This is going to be one
- 41:03of two types. Type one is a order a type
- 41:07one is a retracement into expansion
- 41:09signature, which creates the
- 41:12continuation low inside of a what?
- 41:15What do you guys see here?
- 41:20A gap. This is the highest probability
- 41:25continuation signature the market will
- 41:27offer you. This was taught to you by the
- 41:30MMxM trader as internal to external
- 41:32range liquidity. It was taught to you by
- 41:35through ICT as the 2022 model, right?
- 41:38Liquidity sweep, break of structure,
- 41:40fair value gap. It was taught to you by
- 41:43Garrett's GXT as the universal sequence
- 41:46and it's being taught to you now by me
- 41:48as a type one continuation. These are
- 41:51all of the same things. They are all
- 41:53representing a model within a model and
- 41:55it's all derived from the exact same
- 41:58logic we've used to define every type of
- 42:00swing delivery.
- 42:01Okay?
- 42:03So, whatever you want to call it, I
- 42:04don't care what you want to call it. I
- 42:06don't It doesn't matter. It's a type one
- 42:08continuation. It is the highest
- 42:09probability
- 42:11continuation sequence in the market that
- 42:13you will learn. It is based on the
- 42:14universal model. It is internal range
- 42:16liquidity on a lower time frame,
- 42:19right? To the higher time frame swing
- 42:21formation you are trading away from a
- 42:23true reversal.
- 42:25Recall, this is your true reversal.
- 42:28You now have a gap away from that that
- 42:31you trade a lower time frame
- 42:34reversal.
- 42:36Here is where I'm going to introduce an
- 42:38equation. Okay? And this is the only
- 42:40time we're going to use math for the
- 42:41entire lecture and I know you guys
- 42:43don't necessarily take study with me to
- 42:46learn math, but it's important logic,
- 42:48okay? So, bear with me. One equation.
- 42:53The number
- 42:54of cracks in correlation you require
- 42:59to validate or in this case you could
- 43:01say to filter
- 43:02a swing is going to be equal to
- 43:06n, okay?
- 43:08We're going to call that just n.
- 43:14The most number of cracks we will ever
- 43:16need
- 43:19the highest number of cracks
- 43:21we will need is at a reversal.
- 43:25True reversal.
- 43:28That is going to be when n
- 43:31is equal
- 43:34to two.
- 43:36Okay?
- 43:37For every continuation away from that
- 43:42true reversal
- 43:45n
- 43:46is going to equal So, this is going to
- 43:48be like what is called this
- 43:51a big n. Order Again, this is the only
- 43:53time I'm going to use math because
- 43:54there's just a general logic to this,
- 43:56right? It's going to be n minus one.
- 44:01What does that mean?
- 44:03For any continuation away from that true
- 44:05reversal, we need n minus one
- 44:09cracks in correlation.
- 44:11Okay, I can zoom in. Yes, of course. I
- 44:13didn't realize.
- 44:14And there's a reason why my brain thinks
- 44:16like this cuz I just got into
- 44:17engineering, guys, and I come from a
- 44:18background in math. This makes more
- 44:19sense than me just saying you need one
- 44:21crack in correlation here. That seems
- 44:23just like random pattern. It just
- 44:26doesn't have a got a lot of logic to it.
- 44:27I'd rather spend just 5 minutes with you
- 44:30and convince you of why this math, you
- 44:32know, this equation makes sense.
- 44:34The number of cracks in correlation we
- 44:36need to filter a swing is going to be
- 44:37defined as n.
- 44:38The highest number of cracks, which is a
- 44:39constant, this is a constant, is going
- 44:42to be two and that's at a true reversal.
- 44:45Every continuation away from that true
- 44:47reversal is going to require one less
- 44:50than that true reversal. So, n minus
- 44:52one. Okay?
- 44:54So, that means in
- 44:56layman's terms
- 44:58Let me draw something here.
- 45:04Okay.
- 45:08This is the higher time frame key level.
- 45:11How many cracks in correlation do I need
- 45:13at this extreme C2?
- 45:19Two. We always know that at true
- 45:21reversal we need two.
- 45:24In a continuation
- 45:26in the higher in the higher time frame,
- 45:28so this is candle three. This is candle
- 45:29two.
- 45:31This is candle three, right? Some of
- 45:32that.
- 45:33How many cracks in correlation do I need
- 45:34in this gap for a type one continuation?
- 45:37How many
- 45:38cracks in correlation do I need?
- 45:40n minus one
- 45:43one
- 45:46For continuation
- 45:48away from this, so look, if I zoom in
- 45:50here now, look, zoom zoom zoom zoom. I'm
- 45:52going to use this little
- 45:53This is going to be a magnifying glass.
- 45:55We're going to look at this and we're
- 45:56going to zoom in. It's going to look
- 45:57like this, okay?
- 46:03How many cracks in correlation do I need
- 46:05in this fair value gap on the lower time
- 46:08frame to the continuation?
- 46:17zero
- 46:20Right?
- 46:22This is why I never look for cracks in
- 46:26correlation on my what time frame
- 46:27charts, guys?
- 46:31Do you ever see me look for an M3 SMT
- 46:34fill?
- 46:35Do you ever see me look for an M3 CSD
- 46:39SMT or an M3 PSP or an M1 SMT? Do you
- 46:44ever see me do that ever?
- 46:48Have you ever seen it?
- 46:50in any of my recaps?
- 46:52Everyone should answer with a resounding
- 46:54no.
- 46:55Have I ever done that? The answer is no.
- 46:56I've never gone and been like, now I
- 46:58have a 3-minute PSP I'm entering off of.
- 47:00No, because the logic is consistent to
- 47:04profile swings based on cracks in
- 47:07correlation to the entry time frame.
- 47:10By the time I'm at my entry time frame,
- 47:13I'm no longer using cracks in
- 47:15correlation.
- 47:17Okay? I'm going to write this out.
- 47:24So, at a higher time frame reversal
- 47:28I need two CIC, okay?
- 47:32At a higher time frame continuation, I
- 47:33need how many cracks in correlation?
- 47:40one CIC
- 47:43At a lower time frame continuation,
- 47:46which is exactly the same thing as this,
- 47:47okay?
- 47:48So, a lower time frame continuation
- 47:51right?
- 47:52is going to be based on that higher time
- 47:54frame, right?
- 47:56So, it's going to be that lower time
- 47:57frame reversal, you could say,
- 47:59right? In here, that lower time frame
- 48:01reversal from this higher time frame
- 48:02continuation. How many cracks in
- 48:04correlation do I need?
- 48:06zero CIC
- 48:08Okay?
- 48:10So, for every continuation away from the
- 48:13reversal, I need one less the true
- 48:15reversal. So, when the higher time frame
- 48:17forms its swing down here, guys, look.
- 48:18Higher time frame is forming its swing
- 48:20down here.
- 48:23How many cracks in correlation do I need
- 48:24right here? Two.
- 48:26I need two cracks in correlation here.
- 48:29Now, when we come into this higher time
- 48:31frame continuation, which is going to be
- 48:32what in this case? What is it going to
- 48:34be?
- 48:36What is this here?
- 48:39a gap
- 48:41Right?
- 48:43Okay. When we come into the higher time
- 48:44frame gap, I need one crack in
- 48:47correlation. This on the lower time
- 48:49frame looks like this, guys.
- 48:55How many cracks in correlation do I need
- 48:57if I enter on a fair value gap here?
- 48:59How many cracks in correlation do I need
- 49:01on my lower time frame reversal here?
- 49:04zero
- 49:07This filters swing formations via crack
- 49:11in correlation down to the entry time
- 49:15frame.
- 49:16On the entry time frame, I am not
- 49:18requiring a crack in correlation.
- 49:22I utilize that filter to find a swing
- 49:26that I can trade continuation away from.
- 49:28At which point, once I have that crack
- 49:30in correlation, I look for what? My
- 49:33lower time frame reversal signature,
- 49:37which is right here. Okay? You learned
- 49:39it right in here.
- 49:41In this lower time frame reversal
- 49:44signature from a gap, I do not need to
- 49:47see an SMT fill. I do not need to see a
- 49:50PSP. I do not need to see any cracks in
- 49:53correlation. What am I instead using
- 49:55here? What concept is this? Exclusively.
- 50:03The phase of price, the reversal
- 50:07signature. Because it is fractal by the
- 50:10point at which I've already filtered
- 50:12this as a continuation from a gap.
- 50:15Okay? Away from a reversal down here.
- 50:20I do not need to see more cracks in
- 50:23correlation on this time frame. That is
- 50:25simply noise and it is irrelevant. Okay?
- 50:28The logic is very simple. We filter
- 50:31cracks in correlation to find swings
- 50:34down to our entry time frame, at which
- 50:37point we simply take entries.
- 50:40Okay? So, I hope that little aside of
- 50:42that 5 minutes of math is helpful,
- 50:44because there's a logic to it, right? We
- 50:46are using one less crack in correlation
- 50:49to filter each confirmed swing. Why?
- 50:52What is What is more confirmed? A lower
- 50:55time frame reversal or a higher time
- 50:58frame continuation? Which one has more
- 50:59confirmation?
- 51:03The lower time frame reversal, right?
- 51:05The lower time frame reversal gives you
- 51:06that immediate confirmation with that V
- 51:08shape, right?
- 51:10Think about it. What what By the time
- 51:12you come into a key level like a gap,
- 51:15if you're going to confirm a swing here,
- 51:17right?
- 51:18What's going to confirm the swing more?
- 51:20That candle closure, right?
- 51:22Which you're going to be seeing in the
- 51:23lower time frame as that V shape out of
- 51:25it. So, that is obviously more confirmed
- 51:29in price action than the simple swing
- 51:31formation itself. Just like at the low,
- 51:34you're requiring two stages because it's
- 51:37the most premium, right?
- 51:39This is the most
- 51:41extreme of the market maker model. Look
- 51:43Look down here, guys. Right? Where you
- 51:45are at in the market maker model down
- 51:47here is the point of reversal. The point
- 51:50of reversal is the most unconfirmed in
- 51:53what?
- 51:54Market structure. By the time you've
- 51:56expanded away from the point of
- 51:58reversal, you have more confirmation of
- 52:00market structure. So, the continuation
- 52:03that you're seeing is more confirmed.
- 52:05It's in a gap. But, you still want to
- 52:07make sure that that higher time frame
- 52:08continuation is going to form from that
- 52:10gap. So, you require that one stage of
- 52:12crack in correlation. By the time that
- 52:14one stage of crack in correlation forms
- 52:16in the gap away from the low, when you
- 52:18already have structure, do you need to
- 52:20see the lower time frame here? Like 3
- 52:23minute, 1 minute, 5 minute give you more
- 52:25indication? No. It's the most confirmed
- 52:27because it looks like this away from
- 52:28that swing point, right?
- 52:30This is why we don't require a 3 minute
- 52:32PSP or a 3 minute SMT. You mean you can
- 52:35see it sometimes. Sometimes you'll get
- 52:36this SMT fill, right? Or you'll get a
- 52:39PSP in a gap like this. This will be a
- 52:40PSP in here. But, it doesn't mean you
- 52:42need to see that cuz this is the most
- 52:45confirmed, right? And then the reversal
- 52:47down here is the least Where is it? The
- 52:50least confirmed. You need the most
- 52:53filters,
- 52:54second most filters, no filters by the
- 52:56time you get into here. Okay? There is a
- 52:58logic to this The second type of
- 53:01continuation, guys, is order paired
- 53:03ranges. And this is simply when candle
- 53:06two does not do what? It reverses, but
- 53:09what what does it What does it do after
- 53:10reversal? So, the phase of price in in
- 53:12this variation is reversal into
- 53:15expansion into retracement into
- 53:17expansion.
- 53:19Okay?
- 53:20What is the phase of price here? We have
- 53:22reversal into
- 53:26What phase of price?
- 53:27Are you saying in here?
- 53:31Consolidation.
- 53:33Yes. So, that means your type two
- 53:36continuation, which again is taught to
- 53:38you as many things, whether you call
- 53:40them manipulation ranges, order paired
- 53:42ranges, ERLs ERL, I don't care. I want
- 53:45you to think of the logic of what is
- 53:47happening. We are trading away from the
- 53:49established true reversal. We are
- 53:50forming a range, and you're pairing one
- 53:53low to get to a failure swing high,
- 53:56which is going to be what? A model
- 53:58within a model. Think about why we call
- 54:00the models within a model.
- 54:04This is your drawing liquidity, okay?
- 54:07What does this high in here become?
- 54:11When you order pair the low, what is
- 54:12this high become? This is your internal
- 54:16model draw.
- 54:19The IMD. And we're not going to use more
- 54:21acronyms. This is your internal model
- 54:24draw. I don't care what you call it. In
- 54:26this case, right? We have a higher time
- 54:28frame draw. We have
- 54:30reversal into expansion into retracement
- 54:33into expansion. What is this high
- 54:34become?
- 54:35Guys, from the gap.
- 54:37What is this high?
- 54:39Your internal
- 54:42model draw. Does that make sense to
- 54:44everybody? How these are models within
- 54:47models? Does that word Is that language
- 54:50make a lot more sense when we consider
- 54:51it like this? It's a model within a
- 54:54model. Okay?
- 54:56This is why it's so powerful to trade
- 54:58continuation because you have
- 54:59established points of reversal, and
- 55:01you're trading to these failure swings
- 55:04to the draw. So, these internal draws
- 55:07are always failure swings. Always. Every
- 55:09single time. They will never be
- 55:11a non-failure swing to the higher time
- 55:14frame draw, which gives you two pools of
- 55:16liquidity to draw into, both the
- 55:18internal high and the external high,
- 55:21which makes it extremely extremely high
- 55:24probability, folks. Extremely high
- 55:26probability. Okay? So, this is your
- 55:28universal model logic. It is either
- 55:31going to be, right? An order paired
- 55:33range or it's going to be internal to
- 55:36external. As these internal models
- 55:38before we get to the relevant objective,
- 55:40which is the opposing side of the draw.
- 55:42Which one of these would I prefer you
- 55:44guys to trade as my students?
- 55:47Type one or type two?
- 55:53Type one. Type one is always going to be
- 55:56preferable because what is it showing
- 55:59you in candle two?
- 56:04Away from the true reversal. It is
- 56:06showing you expansion phase of price
- 56:09away from the true reversal followed by
- 56:11retracement signature into the gap.
- 56:14We'll talk about re-signatures a bit
- 56:15more um in a future lecture. And then
- 56:17expansion [clears throat]
- 56:18signature away from the gap. As opposed
- 56:20to seeing expansion met with
- 56:21consolidation, where we could get
- 56:23something like this and actually reverse
- 56:26off an order paired range, right? This
- 56:28signature of retracing into a gap shows
- 56:30us the market wants to go higher. Right?
- 56:32Institutionally sponsored moves higher
- 56:34creating gaps. So, type one is where I
- 56:37want you to focus, guys. Spend all of
- 56:40your energy and we're going to do a
- 56:41type, okay? Exclusively. And we'll We'll
- 56:43look at these, but these are not ideal.
- 56:45These are less They're sub sub-optimal.
- 56:46Lower probability. Yeah?
- 56:50Yeah.
- 56:51Um especially because you'll notice in
- 56:53some cases, does price need to pair this
- 56:56low in all cases?
- 56:59The answer is no. Price can go You saw
- 57:01this last week on your Nasdaq charts in
- 57:04the 4-hour. You'll see.
- 57:07I want to point your eye to what
- 57:08happened last week. Let me get rid of
- 57:10all this.
- 57:12Um Look at what happened here.
- 57:15Right? We had expansion.
- 57:19We had a range being created. And we had
- 57:22a failure of all correlated markets.
- 57:25Look at all correlated markets
- 57:27failed
- 57:29to pair this low. So, if we look at this
- 57:33range, so we had an higher time frame
- 57:34back up here, right? We had all markets
- 57:37fail to pair the low. This was not order
- 57:41paired range logic. This was
- 57:44failure swings that we reversed from,
- 57:46right? You see that?
- 57:47So, we had these targets. We had higher
- 57:49time frame draws up here, and we did not
- 57:51manipulate the range low. Look, failure
- 57:54swings on all assets. Because in
- 57:56expansion, we do not need to manipulate
- 57:59the range low to expand higher. What we
- 58:01can do is we can expand, consolidate,
- 58:04expand, retrace, expand. This is a
- 58:06breakout signature, right? And it does
- 58:08not need to pair the lows. So, when you
- 58:10see expansion met with consolidation,
- 58:13oftentimes it becomes tougher to trade
- 58:15because you can either sometimes
- 58:16manipulate the low or sometimes not
- 58:18manipulate the low.
- 58:20It is better to see something like this.
- 58:22Expansion, retracement, expansion. Like
- 58:23what's better to see this?
- 58:25Okay?
- 58:26So, this this signature here is much
- 58:28more difficult to trade. Not that it
- 58:30doesn't occur. It's just simply more
- 58:32difficult to engage.
- 58:34Okay. So, these are the major sequences
- 58:36I want to teach you. And again, you guys
- 58:38now know these high probability
- 58:40sequences. The last chapter, which we'll
- 58:42go through for notes, right? And
- 58:44whatnot, is going to be these high
- 58:46probability sequences. These are all one
- 58:49stage or two stage cracks in
- 58:53correlation. You don't need to have two
- 58:55stage. You must have a single stage. And
- 58:58we're going to utilize them to filter
- 59:00swings in continuation. You get the idea
- 59:02that N for this is going to equal one.
- 59:05Sometimes it'll be two, but we need at
- 59:07least one. Okay? So, these are the three
- 59:10types of cracks in correlation. It is
- 59:13only ever these three types, guys. Never
- 59:17anything else. It's crack in correlation
- 59:20at a gap. And we're going to focus on
- 59:22gaps. Notice how we're not doing order
- 59:23paired ranges here. I'm focusing on this
- 59:25high probability type one continuation
- 59:27for you, okay? We're focusing on this.
- 59:30It's crack in correlation at a gap. What
- 59:33do we know this as? What is this called?
- 59:37It's called SMT
- 59:40what?
- 59:41Fill.
- 59:42Okay? So, we have SMT fill. And in
- 59:45future lectures, we're going to be
- 59:46building on the idea of strength
- 59:48switching and asset synchronization,
- 59:50okay?
- 59:52Not yet. Today, we're not doing it, but
- 59:55we will talk about these concepts in
- 59:58relation to continuation
- 1:00:00in the future. We're not there yet.
- 1:00:02Trust me, we're going to get there in
- 1:00:03curriculum. I want to teach it to you in
- 1:00:04a way that makes it very easy to
- 1:00:06understand the logic, okay?
- 1:00:08But that for now, we have SMT fills.
- 1:00:10Don't worry about these strength
- 1:00:11switching correlations between them. The
- 1:00:13second one is going to be cracking
- 1:00:15correlation via a closure inside the key
- 1:00:19level. This is known as a what?
- 1:00:25PSP,
- 1:00:27a precision swing point, which is a
- 1:00:30crack in the closure of a candle to
- 1:00:33confirm a swing, okay? This in here is
- 1:00:36the lowest probability
- 1:00:40one stage
- 1:00:42continuation.
- 1:00:43Typically speaking, this is the type of
- 1:00:46continuation where you'd want to see
- 1:00:48something like a type three form from,
- 1:00:51which is going to be a crack in
- 1:00:52correlation paired with
- 1:00:55right? An SMT. So, where you see, you
- 1:00:57know,
- 1:00:58either some form of two stage SMT
- 1:01:01or you see some form of PSP paired with
- 1:01:05another SMT to go higher. A single stage
- 1:01:08PSP is the lowest probability form of
- 1:01:11continuation. That is typically when you
- 1:01:13see type three, which is a crack in
- 1:01:15correlation at the key level via like
- 1:01:18SMT fill.
- 1:01:19And then a crack in correlation with the
- 1:01:21key level or in it, right? Via a candle
- 1:01:24closure. This is much more probable than
- 1:01:27simply a one stage PSP.
- 1:01:29Everyone understand?
- 1:01:30So, there's three types of cracks in
- 1:01:32correlation for continuation. Type one,
- 1:01:35cracking correlation at the key level.
- 1:01:37Type two, cracking correlation in the
- 1:01:40key level either via consecutive
- 1:01:43candles, right? Like SMT in there.
- 1:01:46Or via a swing point closure and a PSP.
- 1:01:50The third is at cracked at the key level
- 1:01:53and in the key level. SMT fill, PSP.
- 1:01:57Right? Stage one SMT, stage two SMT. So,
- 1:02:01that's a crack, right? At the key level
- 1:02:03and then in the key level as well via
- 1:02:05consecutive swings.
- 1:02:07I have them listed for you here. We will
- 1:02:08do this in your tutorial. We will go
- 1:02:10through and I will prove to you that
- 1:02:12concept that continuation always offers
- 1:02:14one of these three cracks.
- 1:02:16Okay? So, these are your high
- 1:02:17probability sequences at, in, or at in.
- 1:02:20I've done the liberty of just showing
- 1:02:22them here to you in a little schematic,
- 1:02:24right? You guys have studied this stuff.
- 1:02:25And then again, this reversal signature,
- 1:02:28right? Do I need to see um question for
- 1:02:30Chris. Do I need to see a CIC on the
- 1:02:33lower time frame now in this reversal
- 1:02:34signature?
- 1:02:36No, right? N is equal to zero. This is
- 1:02:39a, right? Or lower time frame
- 1:02:42reversal
- 1:02:44from a higher time frame
- 1:02:48continuation, yeah? So, this is one
- 1:02:50cracking correlation, this is zero.
- 1:02:53Every time you go up, right? Higher time
- 1:02:54frame reversal.
- 1:02:58Two. You just go down by one every time
- 1:03:00you get more and more market structure.
- 1:03:02This becomes more and more confirmed via
- 1:03:05market structure. That's why we don't
- 1:03:07require a crack in correlation. It's a
- 1:03:09very, very, you know,
- 1:03:11tidy way to to present that logic, okay?
- 1:03:15I'm not going to talk today about asset
- 1:03:17synchronization for you with you guys
- 1:03:19yet because we have an entire lecture on
- 1:03:21asset synchronization in the future. I'm
- 1:03:23also um
- 1:03:26I I'm going to do an entire lecture with
- 1:03:28you guys as well on gap selection and
- 1:03:31utilizing ranges. I want to make sure
- 1:03:33that we have enough time to get into
- 1:03:34some of this stuff because there is a
- 1:03:36lot of nitty-gritty. Advanced premium
- 1:03:38and discount sequence, we're going to be
- 1:03:40tying this concept in to asset sync.
- 1:03:44We're going to be tying um invalidations
- 1:03:46in as its own lecture. This will be a
- 1:03:48new lecture
- 1:03:50in curriculum that I have created for
- 1:03:52you guys. So, we'll do this probably um
- 1:03:54probably next week or the week after.
- 1:03:56We'll do uh gap selection, which is
- 1:03:58going to be filtering continuation. And
- 1:04:00then asset synchronization and strength
- 1:04:02switching is going to come later, okay?
- 1:04:03So, this will probably be like week
- 1:04:05nine. So, I am breaking up the lecture a
- 1:04:08bit because I want to present it to you
- 1:04:10in far more um detail than, you know,
- 1:04:13what is here. And I want to make sure
- 1:04:15you understand the components and how
- 1:04:16they fit together as opposed to simply,
- 1:04:18you know, trying to consume all the
- 1:04:19information. Today, chapters one through
- 1:04:22four are where I'm going to end this uh
- 1:04:24this recording on.
- 1:04:27Okay, we're going to end the recording
- 1:04:28there just over
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