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Advanced MMXM Logic: Continuations — Transcript

by Afyz · 9,632 words · 1,592 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:02[music]
  2. 0:05>> Um, we have defined so far swing
  3. 0:07formations, guys, in context of these
  4. 0:09market maker models. And we said that
  5. 0:12the reversal occurs where? So, I'm going
  6. 0:15to We're going to go interactive back
  7. 0:17and forth just to check your knowledge,
  8. 0:19right? Check your understanding.
  9. 0:21To Mr. V's model next. Yeah. He did some
  10. 0:24crazy YouTube video with like a whole
  11. 0:25bunch of streamers. I was watching it.
  12. 0:27Key level, what is going to be that key
  13. 0:29level?
  14. 0:37Swings or gaps, right? ERL or IRL,
  15. 0:40right? And if we're talking about the
  16. 0:41daily range, yes, right? The 4-hour gap
  17. 0:44or 1-hour order pair range. Okay, cool.
  18. 0:46So, swing extremes are what we've gotten
  19. 0:48really proficient at identifying. These
  20. 0:51C2 candles. And we use cracks in
  21. 0:53correlation as your first filter to
  22. 0:56define a swing formation. So, when we
  23. 0:59have key levels that we're looking to
  24. 1:01trade reversals from with higher time
  25. 1:03frame sponsorship, we then go and use
  26. 1:06things like cracks in correlation and
  27. 1:08candle profiles, open high low close,
  28. 1:12protraction profiles to get on side
  29. 1:15these universal models, right? So, the
  30. 1:17order of operations is always expansion
  31. 1:20requires a swing, which is a candle two
  32. 1:22candle three formation. Swing formations
  33. 1:25are these market maker models that
  34. 1:27you've learned about, which are forms of
  35. 1:29liquidity. And when we identify swings,
  36. 1:32we
  37. 1:33filter them with cracks in correlation
  38. 1:35and candle profiles. Now, we're going to
  39. 1:37get into this next part, which is
  40. 1:39trading away from these true reversals.
  41. 1:43So, once we identify areas of extreme in
  42. 1:46market maker models, meaning the smart
  43. 1:49money reversal, right? We now want to
  44. 1:51look at how we can trade away from those
  45. 1:53established swing points towards the
  46. 1:55opposing side of the draw. So, before we
  47. 1:58get into today's lecture, I have two
  48. 2:00more qualifying questions.
  49. 2:02Okay. What types of candle closures can
  50. 2:06be reversal candles? So, if we don't
  51. 2:09trade reversal, but instead look to wait
  52. 2:12and see reversal being confirmed by a
  53. 2:14candle closure, what types of closures
  54. 2:17do we typically see? What What are the
  55. 2:18three types?
  56. 2:25Who knows?
  57. 2:27Right? So, we're not trading that C2,
  58. 2:30right? That swing extreme. We're now
  59. 2:31looking to trade away from it. What are
  60. 2:34we How are we going to confirm that we
  61. 2:35have a
  62. 2:37a swing formation without trading that
  63. 2:39reversal candle?
  64. 2:46Well, this this is your first lecture,
  65. 2:48right? What What do we learn about? It's
  66. 2:49It's candle It's candle two formations,
  67. 2:51right? There's C3 closures, C2 reversal
  68. 2:54expansions, and C2 reversal candles,
  69. 2:56right? So, characteristically,
  70. 2:59right? What I'm trying to emphasize at
  71. 3:01this point, guys, is that whether or not
  72. 3:04we have a true reversal at a swing
  73. 3:07formation when trading continuation is
  74. 3:09rather irrelevant. So, if we have a
  75. 3:14two-stage crack and correlation paired
  76. 3:17with a key level at this C2 extreme up
  77. 3:20in here, what does that become? What
  78. 3:22What word do we use for this reversal
  79. 3:24candle? What is this called?
  80. 3:26When it's a two-stage crack and
  81. 3:27correlation in the key level followed by
  82. 3:30that candle closure, what do we call
  83. 3:31that?
  84. 3:33Yeah, it's a C2 reversal, but it's also
  85. 3:34a true reversal, right? That is where we
  86. 3:37have the appropriate cracks in
  87. 3:39correlation, right? To say this candle's
  88. 3:41high should be intact before what?
  89. 3:45We can only say true reversal when a
  90. 3:47candle's higher or low is going to stay
  91. 3:48intact before what?
  92. 3:53Before it closes, right?
  93. 3:55Think about trading reversals. Reversals
  94. 3:57really require you to establish a swing
  95. 4:00point before the candle closes. Does
  96. 4:02that make sense? Do we all agree with
  97. 4:03that?
  98. 4:05When you're trading a reversal, has the
  99. 4:07higher time frame swing point closed as
  100. 4:09a reversal candle yet?
  101. 4:12No, right? It's still printing. So, we
  102. 4:15utilize our filters,
  103. 4:18right? So,
  104. 4:19we utilize
  105. 4:21our filters, which are cracks in
  106. 4:24correlation,
  107. 4:25key level,
  108. 4:27and candle profile
  109. 4:29to trade the reversal candle
  110. 4:33as
  111. 4:36it prints
  112. 4:39before it confirms the swing via
  113. 4:42closure.
  114. 4:44This is the key caveat of trading
  115. 4:47reversals. Is that we are assuming that
  116. 4:51this high is going to stay in place.
  117. 4:53Now, once this candle closes, a swing
  118. 4:56point is confirmed, okay? And the logic
  119. 5:00we're going to utilize for trading
  120. 5:02continuations is going to extensively
  121. 5:04rely on the idea that a swing point is
  122. 5:08confirmed here, okay? So, once we
  123. 5:11confirm a swing here like this,
  124. 5:14with this candle two closure,
  125. 5:18once this is confirmed, right?
  126. 5:20We don't need to have the same necessary
  127. 5:24confluences to trade away from that
  128. 5:27swing point. And this is where we're
  129. 5:28going to talk about the idea of cracks
  130. 5:31in correlation and using it as a
  131. 5:33function, right? Of swing profiling. And
  132. 5:36I know this might sound complex, but
  133. 5:37it's it's really really logical. When we
  134. 5:40have less information about a candle,
  135. 5:42right? Meaning when it's forming an
  136. 5:44extreme, what do you guys think? Do we
  137. 5:46require more or less
  138. 5:48confluences to say that's the high if we
  139. 5:50have not closed the candle yet?
  140. 5:53More, right? Simply because the candle
  141. 5:57closure itself is a mechanical reversal.
  142. 6:00Meaning in all cases, once this candle
  143. 6:02closes, you can say that this is a C2
  144. 6:04candle. Now, what are the instances,
  145. 6:07guys, where a C2 candle ends up doing
  146. 6:09something like this? It prints an
  147. 6:11intra-candle high, but then eventually
  148. 6:13ends up creating a new high. Have you
  149. 6:15guys seen that happen before?
  150. 6:21Yes. And that is typically when
  151. 6:24reversals fail because they lack the
  152. 6:26necessary confluences for us to trade
  153. 6:29away from them. What our eye draws to
  154. 6:32for the for this lecture today, guys, is
  155. 6:35this candle, okay? And any candles
  156. 6:38thereafter until what? We frame
  157. 6:40continuation until what is hit?
  158. 6:47The draw. Let's use even more specific
  159. 6:49words. The draw is what in the case of
  160. 6:53liquidity imbalance theory,
  161. 6:56right?
  162. 6:57The universal model has two types of
  163. 6:59liquidity. What are those two types of
  164. 7:01liquidity?
  165. 7:05Yes. So, what is that second word in
  166. 7:08both of those variants of liquidity?
  167. 7:13What is the second word in ERL and IRL?
  168. 7:18Nope.
  169. 7:19It's not internal relevant
  170. 7:22low or high.
  171. 7:24It's range. So, when we are trading
  172. 7:26continuation, we frame continuation
  173. 7:29until what is met?
  174. 7:31The opposing side of the range. It's
  175. 7:35always a range.
  176. 7:38It is always
  177. 7:42a range.
  178. 7:43Always.
  179. 7:46Whole, I cannot spell, guys.
  180. 7:49Okay? So, when we trade continuation, we
  181. 7:52trade continuation away from one side of
  182. 7:56the range towards the opposing side of
  183. 8:00the range. The language we use is very
  184. 8:01important here. Because
  185. 8:04if this is not the opposing side of the
  186. 8:06range down here, but instead we have
  187. 8:07another candle, and this is just a
  188. 8:09short-term low, is this the draw on
  189. 8:11liquidity?
  190. 8:12Or is the real draw on liquidity the
  191. 8:14opposing side of the range here?
  192. 8:19Where is the draw on liquidity? Here or
  193. 8:21the opposing side of the range?
  194. 8:25Yes. And what determines
  195. 8:29We're moving or moving a bit ahead, but
  196. 8:30this is coming in the future. What
  197. 8:32determines if I'm going to call this low
  198. 8:35the relevant swing or some low below it
  199. 8:39the relevant swing? What What determines
  200. 8:42that that? So, what determines what the
  201. 8:44opposing side of the range is?
  202. 8:47There's one good word. It starts with
  203. 8:49the word P.
  204. 8:51Proximity, yep. This is where you'll see
  205. 8:53me say the word proximity matters,
  206. 8:55right? In trading.
  207. 8:56The spacing in between swing points is
  208. 8:59what makes them ranges. I'll say it
  209. 9:01again. The space between swing points is
  210. 9:05what establishes ranges. One more time.
  211. 9:07The space between swing points is what a
  212. 9:09range is. That's what a range is. Or
  213. 9:11else the market wouldn't have ranges.
  214. 9:13We'd just have price action. Okay? The
  215. 9:16reason why we have ranges is because the
  216. 9:19spacing between swing formations
  217. 9:24is relevant. That means that because
  218. 9:28proximity here is sufficiently large,
  219. 9:31this swing, if it is manipulated, can
  220. 9:34see a reaction to the other what? What
  221. 9:36would this be called here?
  222. 9:38The
  223. 9:40opposing side of the range, right?
  224. 9:44This is why we call
  225. 9:47manipulation ranges order paired ranges.
  226. 9:50They're You're order pairing levels
  227. 9:52always in the market. And this This
  228. 9:55might seem trivial to think about, but
  229. 9:57it is exactly how we view, right, swing
  230. 10:00formations as ranges. And uh again,
  231. 10:04it's not random when we say stuff like
  232. 10:06this, okay? And the reason why I spend
  233. 10:07time em- emphasizing this theory is
  234. 10:09because, look,
  235. 10:12right? Swing formations are market maker
  236. 10:14models.
  237. 10:16Right? And that's a very important
  238. 10:18concept because these market maker
  239. 10:19models are ranges, internal and external
  240. 10:22ranges, okay?
  241. 10:25And we can trade candles away from
  242. 10:28extremes towards opposing side of ranges
  243. 10:31using the sequences I'm going to teach
  244. 10:33you today. So, that is our logic, okay?
  245. 10:35Is everyone understanding how we're
  246. 10:36building from the previous lecture
  247. 10:37content now into continuation? Or are
  248. 10:40there any questions about this core
  249. 10:42logic?
  250. 10:50Yes. Yes.
  251. 10:52No major questions?
  252. 10:53Okay, good. That's very important. We
  253. 10:55need to understand that this core logic
  254. 10:57in order for us to move forward, or else
  255. 10:59it becomes very difficult, right, as we
  256. 11:01get into some of the nuances, right?
  257. 11:03These nuances or filters are all going
  258. 11:05to be based on the fundamental model.
  259. 11:07Okay, perfect. Let's keep going, guys.
  260. 11:09So, I'm glad you guys understand that. I
  261. 11:11I spend time emphasizing that for a
  262. 11:12reason. So, let's take a look at the
  263. 11:15first, right, component of our logic,
  264. 11:18which is the universal model, also known
  265. 11:21as IRL and IRO. And let's look at where
  266. 11:23continuations are framed within this.
  267. 11:26So, in any higher time frame, right,
  268. 11:29order paired range, whether you're going
  269. 11:31from internal to external, external to
  270. 11:33external, right, external to internal as
  271. 11:36a retracement, we're going to be forming
  272. 11:38these swings.
  273. 11:39And uh on the lower time frame, you're
  274. 11:41going to always see a C2 C3 definition,
  275. 11:45right? Now, C1 is always going to be
  276. 11:49defined as the candle range that is
  277. 11:52manipulated.
  278. 11:53Okay, this is why there's a there's a
  279. 11:55there's a type of trading called candle
  280. 11:56range theory. It's talking about
  281. 11:58manipulation of a key level. Now, what
  282. 12:00is critical about candle one? What does
  283. 12:04it have to be in relation to based on
  284. 12:06the universal model and this framework
  285. 12:07I've given you? So, as opposed to
  286. 12:09trading, you know, candle range theory,
  287. 12:11which randomly looks at every single C1
  288. 12:13C2 C3, what filter is very critical for
  289. 12:16our analysis?
  290. 12:21What do we use that gives our candle
  291. 12:24range theory real logic behind it? Yeah,
  292. 12:26key levels, right? Yes. And those key
  293. 12:28levels are gaps or swings, okay? We're
  294. 12:31not looking at candle 1 2 3 formations
  295. 12:33anywhere. That's quite simply just
  296. 12:36asinine. That's not how that's not how
  297. 12:37markets book price, right? It wouldn't
  298. 12:39make sense for markets to do that. They
  299. 12:40need to be in context of a relevant
  300. 12:42level for a swing to form, or else a
  301. 12:44swing won't form there, or it will form
  302. 12:46and it will be traded against, right?
  303. 12:49Every true swing formation delivers the
  304. 12:51opposing side of the range. Every false
  305. 12:54swing formation, right, fails to do
  306. 12:56that. Simple as that. We want to trade
  307. 12:58the true swing formations. I'll say it
  308. 13:00again, every true swing formation will
  309. 13:03deliver the other side of the range
  310. 13:05because that is liquidity imbalance
  311. 13:06theory. An opposing side of range must
  312. 13:09be delivered from the key level if it's
  313. 13:11a real swing formation, or else it's
  314. 13:12going to look like this. And you guys
  315. 13:13have seen it all the time, right?
  316. 13:17And then we'll do like this, right?
  317. 13:19We'll end up forming this fake swing,
  318. 13:21we'll end up liquidating it, and then
  319. 13:22we'll deliver the other side of the
  320. 13:23range, but the true swing will always
  321. 13:26deliver the opposing side of the range.
  322. 13:28And that is very powerful logic because
  323. 13:30we're going to be filtering via key
  324. 13:31level, cracks in correlation, all that
  325. 13:34good stuff. You guys at this point are
  326. 13:36sufficiently, right,
  327. 13:38good, or I would say you guys are quite
  328. 13:40honestly experts at filtering this
  329. 13:42candle. So, again, we're going to be
  330. 13:44doing active recall checks.
  331. 13:46What
  332. 13:48elements of a C2 candle do you guys use
  333. 13:51to filter it? To define it as a true
  334. 13:53swing formation. Give me several.
  335. 13:57Write write these several in the chat
  336. 13:58that you you've learned from me to
  337. 14:00utilize.
  338. 14:05Key level, absolutely.
  339. 14:08V-shape, absolutely. Two-stage cracks in
  340. 14:11correlation, yes. We haven't talked
  341. 14:12about string switching yet, but that's
  342. 14:14something as well. What about What about
  343. 14:16the type of uh
  344. 14:18What about the two components of a
  345. 14:20candle, these axial components, which is
  346. 14:22going to be time and price?
  347. 14:24Right, gaps, yes. Displacement, small
  348. 14:27wick, yes. Open high low close or open
  349. 14:30low high close confirmed by wick size,
  350. 14:32absolutely. So, you guys are very good
  351. 14:35at filtering candle twos. Now, we're
  352. 14:37going to be using a similar logic,
  353. 14:39right, for candle three. However, I'm
  354. 14:41going to convince you of an equation
  355. 14:43shortly as to why candle three is uh
  356. 14:47requires less confluence and why we look
  357. 14:50for it to form in specific areas. So,
  358. 14:52we're going to get into that next.
  359. 14:54Okay? This is an example of a universal
  360. 14:57model fractalized
  361. 14:59utilizing candle one, two, and three
  362. 15:01logic. So, for every higher time frame
  363. 15:04swing formation, we are going to have
  364. 15:06What is this called in here to the
  365. 15:07right? What is this called, guys?
  366. 15:12Okay, why is my pen not working?
  367. 15:16Oh, my pen's broken. That sucks.
  368. 15:19This is a market maker model, yes, which
  369. 15:21involves areas of reversal,
  370. 15:24reaccumulation,
  371. 15:25and liquidation of an original
  372. 15:28consolidation. My question for you is
  373. 15:30what phase of market maker models is
  374. 15:33candle two, and what phase of market
  375. 15:35maker models are candle threes?
  376. 15:38Or candle fours?
  377. 15:47C2 is reversal, C3 is continuation, yes.
  378. 15:51Now, can we have the case where
  379. 15:54continuation also happens within the
  380. 15:56reversal candle on a lower time frame?
  381. 16:01Ab- absolutely. What types of candles
  382. 16:04are those called? What type of candle
  383. 16:06closure is that as a reversal candle
  384. 16:07called?
  385. 16:09Where the reversal candle both reverses
  386. 16:10and then ex- exactly. It's in the name,
  387. 16:13guys. It reverses and expands, right?
  388. 16:16Both phases of price from redistribution
  389. 16:19and uh reversal occur within one candle,
  390. 16:22which is why we call it a C2 reversal
  391. 16:24into expansion. Expansion is
  392. 16:27continuation. Okay? Reversal is
  393. 16:30expansion with expansion creating wicks.
  394. 16:32So, sometimes you'll get exaggerated
  395. 16:33candles that both involve a reversal
  396. 16:36phase and an expansion away from that
  397. 16:38reversal, typically defined by your, you
  398. 16:40know, intra-candle CSDs and and whatnot.
  399. 16:43We've talked about this, right? You guys
  400. 16:44are experts at this so far. Okay, you're
  401. 16:46you're starting to piece together some
  402. 16:47of this logic.
  403. 16:49Right?
  404. 16:50Part one re-tapping. Okay, we're going
  405. 16:51to just recap what defines a true
  406. 16:53reversal. I I don't think I need to ask
  407. 16:55this again seeing that we've done it
  408. 16:56like 10 times, but humor me. What What
  409. 16:59defines a true reversal, guys?
  410. 17:04Cuz again, I I I can't really move
  411. 17:06forward until you guys understand this
  412. 17:09better than anybody else.
  413. 17:14Two-stage CIC.
  414. 17:16Key level.
  415. 17:18Appropriate wick size, right? And
  416. 17:21displacement. Okay.
  417. 17:23You guys understand this better than
  418. 17:24anybody else in our space, as you
  419. 17:27should. This is entirely mechanical,
  420. 17:30right? Most people use subjectivity to
  421. 17:33define reversals, you no longer do that.
  422. 17:35So, once you identify the reversal, your
  423. 17:38job is now to understand how to trade
  424. 17:40this candle in continuation. Now, at
  425. 17:42this point, I want to step back and ask
  426. 17:44you another question.
  427. 17:46If we do not see the relevant true
  428. 17:50reversal signature at candle two's
  429. 17:53extreme,
  430. 17:55and it closes as a mechanical reversal
  431. 17:58candle, can we still trade continuation
  432. 18:01away from candle two's low?
  433. 18:04And this is really the power of what
  434. 18:06you're learning.
  435. 18:11Yes.
  436. 18:13Because once we confirm a swing as a
  437. 18:17mechanical closure,
  438. 18:20what do we print in the range of candle
  439. 18:23two?
  440. 18:24What do we print?
  441. 18:28Use the I word. Yeah, yeah. It could be
  442. 18:31a gap, it could be an order paired
  443. 18:32range, but what does it become?
  444. 18:36An invalidation.
  445. 18:39That is to say, if you ever distrust the
  446. 18:43area of reversal,
  447. 18:45what you can do is allow the reversal to
  448. 18:48form,
  449. 18:50and then trade from a new invalidation.
  450. 18:54So, an invalidation, definitionally, is
  451. 18:57this.
  452. 18:59An invalidation
  453. 19:02I don't know why I went to white, that's
  454. 19:03weird. Let me just change this font back
  455. 19:05to black.
  456. 19:09An invalidation
  457. 19:11is mechanically defined
  458. 19:13as
  459. 19:15a swing formation where price will not
  460. 19:18return
  461. 19:20before delivering the opposing
  462. 19:24side of the range. It's a It's a
  463. 19:26mouthful, but that is what an
  464. 19:28invalidation is mechanically defined as.
  465. 19:31So, if we ever encounter
  466. 19:34a candle two extreme with no clear
  467. 19:38invalidation, we wait for the mechanical
  468. 19:42closure and a new invalidation to print
  469. 19:46in a continuation. That means we don't
  470. 19:49need to trade away from this swing, we
  471. 19:52need to trade away from a new
  472. 19:53established relevant invalidation, not
  473. 19:57the original one which we distrust. Tell
  474. 20:01me some reasons why I may distrust
  475. 20:06a C2
  476. 20:08extreme.
  477. 20:09What are some reasons I would want to
  478. 20:11avoid trading at reversal and instead
  479. 20:14trade continuation?
  480. 20:15The biggest one is the presence of
  481. 20:18failure swings.
  482. 20:20So failure swings are a large red flag.
  483. 20:24Why? What is failing to be paired with
  484. 20:26failure swings?
  485. 20:32Orders, liquidity, and which it becomes
  486. 20:34your key level, right?
  487. 20:36Yes, the the opposing range. Yes,
  488. 20:37exactly. You're failing to offer an
  489. 20:40opposing side of the range and reversing
  490. 20:42off of, you know, failure swings or a
  491. 20:45failure to manipulate liquidity. That is
  492. 20:48probably the single most telling
  493. 20:50mechanical invalidation of a swing that
  494. 20:53you would want to not trade away from.
  495. 20:54Meaning you don't want to trade away
  496. 20:56from failure swings and you'll hear that
  497. 20:57used like as a heuristic quite
  498. 20:59frequently by educators, right? We don't
  499. 21:01trade away from failure swings. Instead,
  500. 21:02we wait for, you know, expansion away.
  501. 21:05Now, once we expand away from failure
  502. 21:07swings, of course, we're going to have
  503. 21:08gaps and whatnot. These become your new
  504. 21:10invalidations, which you guys
  505. 21:11understand. What else could be
  506. 21:14um
  507. 21:15an invalid What else could give you a
  508. 21:17hesitation about trading the extreme of
  509. 21:19a reversal besides failure swings?
  510. 21:24What other filters would you consider
  511. 21:26that would maybe be lower probability?
  512. 21:31S.
  513. 21:32Shitty lower time frame slow Sisti
  514. 21:34accumulation failure to manipulate,
  515. 21:36right? So So the red flags, right? The
  516. 21:39red flag. I mean, just copy this.
  517. 21:42The red flags for trading C2,
  518. 21:45right? Trading away from C2 before it
  519. 21:48closes.
  520. 21:50Biggest one is failure swings.
  521. 21:52Another one is lower time frame
  522. 21:54dynamics, which you guys are talking
  523. 21:55about. Dynamics just means the way price
  524. 21:57delivers, right?
  525. 21:59This is going to be seen as a
  526. 22:01failure to manipulate, right? Or a
  527. 22:05continuation signature.
  528. 22:07Number three is a lack of
  529. 22:11CIC. In this case, two stage, okay? So a
  530. 22:14lack of true reversal logic, right? With
  531. 22:17a two stage crack and correlation with
  532. 22:19failure swings, right? With unfavorable
  533. 22:22lower time frame dynamics, these are
  534. 22:25going to give you a harder time trading
  535. 22:28at that extreme, right? At that order
  536. 22:30paired extreme. Instead, it will be
  537. 22:32beneficial to then wait for candle three
  538. 22:34to open, form a new invalidation, and
  539. 22:37thereafter trade expansion, okay?
  540. 22:40What else
  541. 22:42could filter you out of candle two,
  542. 22:44right? On the topic. So we we've talked
  543. 22:45about a couple of them. What else could
  544. 22:47I add to this list?
  545. 22:49Think about candle profiling.
  546. 22:53Mhm.
  547. 22:55An exaggerated protraction phase of this
  548. 22:57candle. We know there is an inverse
  549. 23:00proportion between the size or the depth
  550. 23:03of manipulation and the expected
  551. 23:05expansion of a candle.
  552. 23:07There's an inverse proportion to that.
  553. 23:09The larger the wick, the smaller the
  554. 23:12body
  555. 23:13because more time is spent in that
  556. 23:15manipulation phase. So the last
  557. 23:18confluence we can add is going to be an
  558. 23:21exaggerated
  559. 23:22a large wick or you could say
  560. 23:25large protraction
  561. 23:28phase
  562. 23:29of a candle. Again, uh generically
  563. 23:31speaking, it is better to use this word,
  564. 23:33like these words, than simply just
  565. 23:35saying large wick. That doesn't really
  566. 23:37mean much. We define protraction
  567. 23:39mechanically as the distance, right?
  568. 23:42Between the opening price and the low or
  569. 23:45high of a candle. That is what we want
  570. 23:46to use, right? So that large wick is
  571. 23:49also based in time, right? Not just
  572. 23:52not just the depth of this wick. It's
  573. 23:54not just the depth of it. It's also
  574. 23:56based on when this wick forms over time.
  575. 23:59For example, if we close back the
  576. 24:01candle,
  577. 24:02right? And we have lots of time. Say we
  578. 24:04have another 3 hours left in this
  579. 24:06candle. Does this wick size mean as much
  580. 24:09as if we have 1 hour left? What do you
  581. 24:11guys think?
  582. 24:16If there's more time left in the candle
  583. 24:17despite the large wick, is it more or
  584. 24:19less permissible?
  585. 24:25Yeah, it's it's obviously more
  586. 24:26permissible because there is more time
  587. 24:28for the candle to print expansion, okay?
  588. 24:31So we don't pattern trade these things
  589. 24:33ever. We never pattern trade anything,
  590. 24:34right? Clearly.
  591. 24:36Um
  592. 24:36But but there is a there is a more
  593. 24:38defined reasoning, right? So we're going
  594. 24:40to talk about protraction in both time
  595. 24:42and price, not just the size of a wick.
  596. 24:45You'll notice many large wick candles
  597. 24:48eventually, in some cases, do indeed
  598. 24:50form expansion candles that look like
  599. 24:52this, dude. You'll see it all the time.
  600. 24:54Okay?
  601. 24:55And that is usually because of drivers,
  602. 24:57volatility, time, right? Order pairing,
  603. 25:00all this good stuff.
  604. 25:02Okay.
  605. 25:03So this is how we define We're going to
  606. 25:04recall some reversal sequences now.
  607. 25:07We're going to define our major reversal
  608. 25:08sequences. We have PSPs confirming SMTs.
  609. 25:12That is where the candle closure
  610. 25:14confirms the swing.
  611. 25:17Candle closure confirms the second stage
  612. 25:19crack and correlation of the swing.
  613. 25:22We have SMT confirming precision swing
  614. 25:24points. That is typically when candle
  615. 25:26one engages a key level or creates a key
  616. 25:30level. So this is where either one
  617. 25:33Right? No, it's
  618. 25:36I don't know why this is.
  619. 25:41We'll see C1
  620. 25:43engage a key level
  621. 25:46IRL YRL.
  622. 25:50Right? C2 sweep.
  623. 25:53That is one permutation of a candle one
  624. 25:57PSP with SMT. Alternatively, candle one
  625. 26:00could create the key level.
  626. 26:06Right?
  627. 26:08One of those two things. And again,
  628. 26:11we're going to talk more about that
  629. 26:12logic of there is a definitive sequence
  630. 26:15that will occur at every single
  631. 26:16continuation. It's either SMT in a gap,
  632. 26:20is SMT with a gap, or it's SMT in and
  633. 26:23with a gap. And it's the same way C1 and
  634. 26:25C2 can form. C1 is either going to be
  635. 26:27forming at like look, see how this C1
  636. 26:29here forms in the key level? Yeah, it
  637. 26:31should be better if I showed it to you
  638. 26:32like this. Look.
  639. 26:37See how this C1 trades into a key level
  640. 26:39and then C2 sweeps and we get a
  641. 26:41reversal? That is because C1 does not
  642. 26:43have time in this case to form a C2
  643. 26:46because it trades into the key level. It
  644. 26:47doesn't reverse yet. So candle two
  645. 26:49requires what? What do we require to to
  646. 26:52to form uh
  647. 26:54expansion?
  648. 26:56What do we require to form expansion?
  649. 27:01A swing, right?
  650. 27:03So then we'll see candle one trade into
  651. 27:04the key level.
  652. 27:05Candle two will form the swing and
  653. 27:07expand. Sometimes we'll see candle one
  654. 27:10create the key level and then candle two
  655. 27:13reverses off of it. It's only ever one
  656. 27:15of those two. It's never anything else.
  657. 27:17It's never been anything else. It never
  658. 27:19will be anything else. And if you can
  659. 27:21find an example of anything else, then
  660. 27:23the entire logic we built falls apart,
  661. 27:25right? It is one of those two things.
  662. 27:28We either reverse off of a candle in a
  663. 27:30key level or we create a key level via a
  664. 27:34candle formation and reverse off of it.
  665. 27:36No other ways do swing forms. There's
  666. 27:37never been a chart that's shown you
  667. 27:39otherwise, okay?
  668. 27:41And the last one, of course, is going to
  669. 27:42be your two stage, right? SMTs. And this
  670. 27:45really is where we're going to later
  671. 27:47involve the concept of
  672. 27:49strength switching. And and we're not
  673. 27:51going to touch too much on strength
  674. 27:52switching yet because it's a more of an
  675. 27:53advanced confluence, but we will get
  676. 27:55there. But for now, we are looking at
  677. 27:57these generic types of two stages. Just
  678. 27:59remember that strength switching in
  679. 28:01particular has a more of a application
  680. 28:05in respect to two stage, okay? SMT.
  681. 28:08This roof shape that you're used to
  682. 28:09seeing, right? Something like this or
  683. 28:11this, okay? But we're going to touch on
  684. 28:13this later. So this will be your
  685. 28:14strength switch application and it'll
  686. 28:15come later, not yet. Just remember that
  687. 28:17this is a way that swings can also form.
  688. 28:20Okay.
  689. 28:23We're now going to get into swing
  690. 28:24invalidations, right?
  691. 28:28And again, the reason why I make you
  692. 28:29watch the lecture beforehand, guys, is
  693. 28:31because my job is to add color to the
  694. 28:35concepts and then reinforce them.
  695. 28:38Everything is out there for you, but I
  696. 28:39want you guys to understand this better
  697. 28:41than anybody else and I want you to
  698. 28:42understand it from not a pattern based
  699. 28:44perspective. It needs to be highly
  700. 28:46rational for you, right? So these are
  701. 28:47invalidations that you have, which are
  702. 28:49logical invalidations, right? Things
  703. 28:51like equilibrium of previous candles
  704. 28:54wick of previous candles ranges. If we
  705. 28:56are going to expand away from a low,
  706. 28:59what should we not be doing?
  707. 29:01What does expansion not offer?
  708. 29:09Deep retracement. So equilibrium and the
  709. 29:12PD arrays, right? The price delivery
  710. 29:14arrays, in this case fair value gaps
  711. 29:15near EQ of the range, become the most
  712. 29:18critical key levels. You want to look
  713. 29:21for gaps in the upper half of the
  714. 29:23previous candle range near the opening
  715. 29:26price of the new candle. We don't want
  716. 29:28gaps near the opening price of the
  717. 29:30previous candle. That would be referring
  718. 29:32to gaps way down here. Think about it.
  719. 29:35Time and price. The opening of a higher
  720. 29:37time frame candle is going to form its
  721. 29:39wick and ideally it will expand away
  722. 29:41from that. You want to look for gaps
  723. 29:42near the open
  724. 29:44in the upper half of the range. Two
  725. 29:46axial filters, guys. Time
  726. 29:48and price, okay? There's a logic to it.
  727. 29:51It doesn't want to form a deep wick in
  728. 29:53price. That's also going to be wasting
  729. 29:55time coming well back into the range,
  730. 29:57okay?
  731. 29:58This is why we use equilibrium. It's a
  732. 30:00very, very solid filter for both X and Y
  733. 30:04axis, time and price, okay?
  734. 30:08And you can see, when we have these
  735. 30:10large wicks, they don't support
  736. 30:12expansion, then you will often use the
  737. 30:14candle three continuation, right? As a
  738. 30:18new invalidation. So, we'll look for
  739. 30:20candle four to expand.
  740. 30:22Tell me also why you wouldn't want to
  741. 30:24trade continuation in this case, in this
  742. 30:26C3.
  743. 30:27Away from candle two's low.
  744. 30:30What concept in here would you be
  745. 30:32hesitant to trade based on this
  746. 30:34formation?
  747. 30:36Yes, large wick
  748. 30:38and failure swings, right? Expansion
  749. 30:41does not offer deeper retracements into
  750. 30:44the range. Failure swings are very low
  751. 30:46probable to trade away from. So, we wait
  752. 30:50for what? The candle to confirm, staying
  753. 30:52in respective of the low, for the new
  754. 30:54candle to open, form its wick in a key
  755. 30:56level, and expand, right? There you go.
  756. 30:59Same exact logic as above, utilizing a
  757. 31:02filter of that, right? Previous candle's
  758. 31:05range.
  759. 31:06Cool.
  760. 31:08Now, we need to look at the idea of
  761. 31:13swing grading, okay? This This is better
  762. 31:15known as swing grading. If I have an
  763. 31:18opposing side of the range here,
  764. 31:21and I have a point of reversal here,
  765. 31:24it is reasonable to assume that there
  766. 31:26will be several failure swings on the
  767. 31:29left-hand side of the curve.
  768. 31:31These failure swings are not anticipated
  769. 31:34to form reversals from,
  770. 31:36right? So, what do we expect to see when
  771. 31:39price trades into a failure swing on the
  772. 31:41left-hand side of this market maker
  773. 31:43model?
  774. 31:45What do we expect to form?
  775. 31:48Remember, we're looking to trade into
  776. 31:49the opposing side of the range.
  777. 31:52A new phase of price,
  778. 31:54right?
  779. 31:55We're looking to trade into the opposing
  780. 31:57side of the range, so this side of the
  781. 31:59range will be a new phase of price. I
  782. 32:01have done uh the liberty here of just
  783. 32:04making that a bit more obvious, right?
  784. 32:06And you can see what those signatures
  785. 32:08are. These are continuation signatures,
  786. 32:12right? For order flow.
  787. 32:14Retracement, consolidation. Namely, you
  788. 32:17are not seeing that V-shape, right?
  789. 32:20You're not seeing expansion met with
  790. 32:22expansion, wherein price is reversing
  791. 32:25from a key level, right?
  792. 32:29Likewise,
  793. 32:31do you think that any SMTs that form
  794. 32:35like this are going to hold
  795. 32:38if we see
  796. 32:39uh signatures like this, away from a
  797. 32:41true reversal?
  798. 32:45No. This is where we will extensively uh
  799. 32:48introduce asset synchronization in the
  800. 32:50future. So, we will introduce the idea
  801. 32:53of
  802. 32:54uh
  803. 32:55asset sync
  804. 32:57paired with strength switching in
  805. 32:59continuation, okay? And this will be
  806. 33:02something that we spend a couple weeks
  807. 33:04on. It's a very powerful logic utilizing
  808. 33:07asset synchronization to break old highs
  809. 33:10and lows that were asymmetrically
  810. 33:12created. Meaning, when one asset trades
  811. 33:15into a high or a low, and the other
  812. 33:17asset has yet to do that, we will
  813. 33:19utilize the idea of asset
  814. 33:22synchronization to get there, okay?
  815. 33:26All right. Here is another invalidation.
  816. 33:29This is going to be directly paired with
  817. 33:31your understanding of phase of price.
  818. 33:34When we are looking for reversals,
  819. 33:36right? Which a lower time frame
  820. 33:38continuation
  821. 33:40Sorry, a higher time frame continuation
  822. 33:42from a key level is still going to be a
  823. 33:43what? This is your C2 extreme,
  824. 33:46and this is your C3 extreme from a key
  825. 33:48level. What is that still going to be on
  826. 33:50the lower time frame?
  827. 33:54Reversal, which is why I extensively
  828. 33:56taught you reversals before
  829. 33:58continuations because the signatures of
  830. 34:00price are still going to be utilized.
  831. 34:02You want to trade V-shape recoveries,
  832. 34:05the creation of gaps, which indicate
  833. 34:08institutional sponsorship of a price
  834. 34:10leg. You do not want to trade choppy
  835. 34:14consolidation like signatures out of key
  836. 34:17levels. That's unlikely to offer you
  837. 34:19that lower time frame
  838. 34:21reversal, which will be the higher time
  839. 34:23frame continuation that you're
  840. 34:25observing, okay? It's very important not
  841. 34:27to neglect these reversal signatures.
  842. 34:30This signature here is the fundamental
  843. 34:32truth by which all key levels are
  844. 34:34filtered.
  845. 34:35This signature right here is the
  846. 34:37fundamental truth by which all key
  847. 34:40levels are filtered in the market. You
  848. 34:42pair this with your cracks in
  849. 34:44correlation, your filters. You pair this
  850. 34:47with asset synchronization, strength
  851. 34:49switching, everything I will teach you,
  852. 34:50but this fundamental truth does not
  853. 34:52change. This is what a reversal looks
  854. 34:54like on any asset, on any time frame,
  855. 34:57right? From any level. Be it an old high
  856. 35:00or old low or gap. It is this. It is not
  857. 35:04this.
  858. 35:05Very important, okay? Here is your
  859. 35:07relevant swing, right? That is forming.
  860. 35:10Here is that lower time frame signature.
  861. 35:12Please pay attention to your CSDs, your
  862. 35:14creation of gaps, the time spent below a
  863. 35:18key level. Think about this.
  864. 35:20Would you want that to be long time or a
  865. 35:22little time? If we are spending time
  866. 35:25below this key level, is that a higher
  867. 35:27or lower probability reversal?
  868. 35:35Price does not linger at key levels. Uh
  869. 35:37you guys are all right. It does not
  870. 35:39linger. It will form a V-shape recovery
  871. 35:41for this wick formation. If not, it is
  872. 35:44more likely that the body of this candle
  873. 35:47will close inside of the range of that
  874. 35:50key level,
  875. 35:51and therefore, we may need to do what to
  876. 35:53reverse? Because what is required for
  877. 35:56expansion? We may need to form a new
  878. 35:58swing.
  879. 35:59That is a failure to manipulate. Ah, so
  880. 36:03when this happens,
  881. 36:05when price trades into a key level and
  882. 36:07starts to accumulate, remember that this
  883. 36:09candle body is actually forming like
  884. 36:11this,
  885. 36:13and we are not forming a wick out of
  886. 36:15that level.
  887. 36:16So, the next candle is likely to open,
  888. 36:19form the wick, right?
  889. 36:21And then expand away, right? That is the
  890. 36:24key understanding is that consolidation
  891. 36:28signatures in a key level are likely to
  892. 36:31see a swing formation form from them as
  893. 36:34a what type of universal model? What
  894. 36:35would that be? What would this universal
  895. 36:37model be?
  896. 36:44An order paired range. Yes, because
  897. 36:48look, just like we talked about earlier,
  898. 36:51if C1 trades into the key level,
  899. 36:55but does not reverse,
  900. 36:57it is going to be consolidating, maybe.
  901. 36:59And in this case, candle two, if candle
  902. 37:02one is consolidating into the level, can
  903. 37:04form the swing formation with a small
  904. 37:06wick and expand, right? This is so
  905. 37:09critical to understand is that when you
  906. 37:11fail to see that reversal signature, you
  907. 37:14create what? What does candle one's low
  908. 37:16become?
  909. 37:18And I'm actually going to share this
  910. 37:20lecture with all of Latherus, right? And
  911. 37:22even probably social media because this
  912. 37:24concept is not taught well, guys. And
  913. 37:26it's a It's a disservice because you are
  914. 37:28looking for reversals here, but you're
  915. 37:30not looking for the signature. I see so
  916. 37:32many of my students fail to look for
  917. 37:33this signature, right? Because they
  918. 37:35simply have the key level. What does
  919. 37:37this become in here, guys?
  920. 37:41When you when you engage this, again,
  921. 37:43think of proximity. Think of the key
  922. 37:45level. What does this become?
  923. 37:48This manipulation.
  924. 37:49Yes, you create a relevant
  925. 37:54swing,
  926. 37:55okay? That is a relevant swing because
  927. 37:57it's in your key level, right? It's
  928. 38:00order pairing this lower time frame
  929. 38:02consolidation,
  930. 38:03and you could expand. So, do not trade
  931. 38:06those lower time frame dynamics that are
  932. 38:08offering you, right? Consolidation
  933. 38:10because it's likely to be swept
  934. 38:13to create the swing that you want to
  935. 38:15trade away from. Um you guys would be
  936. 38:18astonished how many of your losses are
  937. 38:19just a function of trading consolidation
  938. 38:23reversals or consolidations out of key
  939. 38:25levels. Uh wait for order pairing and
  940. 38:27significant displacement, and you will
  941. 38:29see your You will see your uh trade
  942. 38:32strike rate uh increase rapidly, um
  943. 38:35exponentially even, right? For me, that
  944. 38:37was very key when I was learning this
  945. 38:39stuff was to understand that this here
  946. 38:42is really the the king. And it pairs
  947. 38:44with every logic I will teach you,
  948. 38:46right? Uh in our curriculum. It always
  949. 38:48comes back to signatures of price and or
  950. 38:50what we call them phases of price, okay?
  951. 38:53Reversal is a phase of price.
  952. 38:55Awesome.
  953. 38:56Let's get into sequences. So, now you
  954. 38:59have learned, you know,
  955. 39:00what continuation is, where it exists
  956. 39:03within market maker models. We'll now
  957. 39:05continue to understand um
  958. 39:07Let's make sure this is in place. We'll
  959. 39:09now continue to understand what these
  960. 39:11sequences look like, okay?
  961. 39:13So, let's get into it.
  962. 39:16Here is a sequence that I will teach
  963. 39:18you.
  964. 39:19When we engage a key level, right? This
  965. 39:22higher time frame reversal expansion
  966. 39:23candle, we talked about it, is going to
  967. 39:25be a market maker model. But more
  968. 39:27importantly, no matter where a swing is
  969. 39:30forming, what is required for a swing
  970. 39:32formation? Irrespective of whether it's
  971. 39:34candle two
  972. 39:36or it's candle three, what is required
  973. 39:38for a swing formation?
  974. 39:41For wicks, where do wicks get created,
  975. 39:43guys?
  976. 39:48In key levels.
  977. 39:51What did we say about swing formations
  978. 39:54that are created at random levels, i.e.
  979. 39:57not relevant swings in the market, not
  980. 40:00fair value gaps?
  981. 40:02That's just candle range theory and it's
  982. 40:04garbage, right? It's not relevant.
  983. 40:07We need key levels.
  984. 40:09Therefore,
  985. 40:10the logic precedes that any form of
  986. 40:13continuation is always going to be what?
  987. 40:17It's on the page. It's listed for you.
  988. 40:18What's going to be?
  989. 40:20A model within a model.
  990. 40:22You're going to be forming some form of
  991. 40:26internal model to get to an external
  992. 40:29opposing side of the range.
  993. 40:32Remember, what do we define a true
  994. 40:35reversal as?
  995. 40:38A swing formation that delivers what?
  996. 40:42The opposing side of the range. That's a
  997. 40:46true reversal.
  998. 40:47So, therefore, it follows that a
  999. 40:50continuation
  1000. 40:52away from the extreme of a true reversal
  1001. 40:55will form a model within the higher time
  1002. 40:58frame model to bring you to that
  1003. 41:00opposing range. This is going to be one
  1004. 41:03of two types. Type one is a order a type
  1005. 41:07one is a retracement into expansion
  1006. 41:09signature, which creates the
  1007. 41:12continuation low inside of a what?
  1008. 41:15What do you guys see here?
  1009. 41:20A gap. This is the highest probability
  1010. 41:25continuation signature the market will
  1011. 41:27offer you. This was taught to you by the
  1012. 41:30MMxM trader as internal to external
  1013. 41:32range liquidity. It was taught to you by
  1014. 41:35through ICT as the 2022 model, right?
  1015. 41:38Liquidity sweep, break of structure,
  1016. 41:40fair value gap. It was taught to you by
  1017. 41:43Garrett's GXT as the universal sequence
  1018. 41:46and it's being taught to you now by me
  1019. 41:48as a type one continuation. These are
  1020. 41:51all of the same things. They are all
  1021. 41:53representing a model within a model and
  1022. 41:55it's all derived from the exact same
  1023. 41:58logic we've used to define every type of
  1024. 42:00swing delivery.
  1025. 42:01Okay?
  1026. 42:03So, whatever you want to call it, I
  1027. 42:04don't care what you want to call it. I
  1028. 42:06don't It doesn't matter. It's a type one
  1029. 42:08continuation. It is the highest
  1030. 42:09probability
  1031. 42:11continuation sequence in the market that
  1032. 42:13you will learn. It is based on the
  1033. 42:14universal model. It is internal range
  1034. 42:16liquidity on a lower time frame,
  1035. 42:19right? To the higher time frame swing
  1036. 42:21formation you are trading away from a
  1037. 42:23true reversal.
  1038. 42:25Recall, this is your true reversal.
  1039. 42:28You now have a gap away from that that
  1040. 42:31you trade a lower time frame
  1041. 42:34reversal.
  1042. 42:36Here is where I'm going to introduce an
  1043. 42:38equation. Okay? And this is the only
  1044. 42:40time we're going to use math for the
  1045. 42:41entire lecture and I know you guys
  1046. 42:43don't necessarily take study with me to
  1047. 42:46learn math, but it's important logic,
  1048. 42:48okay? So, bear with me. One equation.
  1049. 42:53The number
  1050. 42:54of cracks in correlation you require
  1051. 42:59to validate or in this case you could
  1052. 43:01say to filter
  1053. 43:02a swing is going to be equal to
  1054. 43:06n, okay?
  1055. 43:08We're going to call that just n.
  1056. 43:14The most number of cracks we will ever
  1057. 43:16need
  1058. 43:19the highest number of cracks
  1059. 43:21we will need is at a reversal.
  1060. 43:25True reversal.
  1061. 43:28That is going to be when n
  1062. 43:31is equal
  1063. 43:34to two.
  1064. 43:36Okay?
  1065. 43:37For every continuation away from that
  1066. 43:42true reversal
  1067. 43:45n
  1068. 43:46is going to equal So, this is going to
  1069. 43:48be like what is called this
  1070. 43:51a big n. Order Again, this is the only
  1071. 43:53time I'm going to use math because
  1072. 43:54there's just a general logic to this,
  1073. 43:56right? It's going to be n minus one.
  1074. 44:01What does that mean?
  1075. 44:03For any continuation away from that true
  1076. 44:05reversal, we need n minus one
  1077. 44:09cracks in correlation.
  1078. 44:11Okay, I can zoom in. Yes, of course. I
  1079. 44:13didn't realize.
  1080. 44:14And there's a reason why my brain thinks
  1081. 44:16like this cuz I just got into
  1082. 44:17engineering, guys, and I come from a
  1083. 44:18background in math. This makes more
  1084. 44:19sense than me just saying you need one
  1085. 44:21crack in correlation here. That seems
  1086. 44:23just like random pattern. It just
  1087. 44:26doesn't have a got a lot of logic to it.
  1088. 44:27I'd rather spend just 5 minutes with you
  1089. 44:30and convince you of why this math, you
  1090. 44:32know, this equation makes sense.
  1091. 44:34The number of cracks in correlation we
  1092. 44:36need to filter a swing is going to be
  1093. 44:37defined as n.
  1094. 44:38The highest number of cracks, which is a
  1095. 44:39constant, this is a constant, is going
  1096. 44:42to be two and that's at a true reversal.
  1097. 44:45Every continuation away from that true
  1098. 44:47reversal is going to require one less
  1099. 44:50than that true reversal. So, n minus
  1100. 44:52one. Okay?
  1101. 44:54So, that means in
  1102. 44:56layman's terms
  1103. 44:58Let me draw something here.
  1104. 45:04Okay.
  1105. 45:08This is the higher time frame key level.
  1106. 45:11How many cracks in correlation do I need
  1107. 45:13at this extreme C2?
  1108. 45:19Two. We always know that at true
  1109. 45:21reversal we need two.
  1110. 45:24In a continuation
  1111. 45:26in the higher in the higher time frame,
  1112. 45:28so this is candle three. This is candle
  1113. 45:29two.
  1114. 45:31This is candle three, right? Some of
  1115. 45:32that.
  1116. 45:33How many cracks in correlation do I need
  1117. 45:34in this gap for a type one continuation?
  1118. 45:37How many
  1119. 45:38cracks in correlation do I need?
  1120. 45:40n minus one
  1121. 45:43one
  1122. 45:46For continuation
  1123. 45:48away from this, so look, if I zoom in
  1124. 45:50here now, look, zoom zoom zoom zoom. I'm
  1125. 45:52going to use this little
  1126. 45:53This is going to be a magnifying glass.
  1127. 45:55We're going to look at this and we're
  1128. 45:56going to zoom in. It's going to look
  1129. 45:57like this, okay?
  1130. 46:03How many cracks in correlation do I need
  1131. 46:05in this fair value gap on the lower time
  1132. 46:08frame to the continuation?
  1133. 46:17zero
  1134. 46:20Right?
  1135. 46:22This is why I never look for cracks in
  1136. 46:26correlation on my what time frame
  1137. 46:27charts, guys?
  1138. 46:31Do you ever see me look for an M3 SMT
  1139. 46:34fill?
  1140. 46:35Do you ever see me look for an M3 CSD
  1141. 46:39SMT or an M3 PSP or an M1 SMT? Do you
  1142. 46:44ever see me do that ever?
  1143. 46:48Have you ever seen it?
  1144. 46:50in any of my recaps?
  1145. 46:52Everyone should answer with a resounding
  1146. 46:54no.
  1147. 46:55Have I ever done that? The answer is no.
  1148. 46:56I've never gone and been like, now I
  1149. 46:58have a 3-minute PSP I'm entering off of.
  1150. 47:00No, because the logic is consistent to
  1151. 47:04profile swings based on cracks in
  1152. 47:07correlation to the entry time frame.
  1153. 47:10By the time I'm at my entry time frame,
  1154. 47:13I'm no longer using cracks in
  1155. 47:15correlation.
  1156. 47:17Okay? I'm going to write this out.
  1157. 47:24So, at a higher time frame reversal
  1158. 47:28I need two CIC, okay?
  1159. 47:32At a higher time frame continuation, I
  1160. 47:33need how many cracks in correlation?
  1161. 47:40one CIC
  1162. 47:43At a lower time frame continuation,
  1163. 47:46which is exactly the same thing as this,
  1164. 47:47okay?
  1165. 47:48So, a lower time frame continuation
  1166. 47:51right?
  1167. 47:52is going to be based on that higher time
  1168. 47:54frame, right?
  1169. 47:56So, it's going to be that lower time
  1170. 47:57frame reversal, you could say,
  1171. 47:59right? In here, that lower time frame
  1172. 48:01reversal from this higher time frame
  1173. 48:02continuation. How many cracks in
  1174. 48:04correlation do I need?
  1175. 48:06zero CIC
  1176. 48:08Okay?
  1177. 48:10So, for every continuation away from the
  1178. 48:13reversal, I need one less the true
  1179. 48:15reversal. So, when the higher time frame
  1180. 48:17forms its swing down here, guys, look.
  1181. 48:18Higher time frame is forming its swing
  1182. 48:20down here.
  1183. 48:23How many cracks in correlation do I need
  1184. 48:24right here? Two.
  1185. 48:26I need two cracks in correlation here.
  1186. 48:29Now, when we come into this higher time
  1187. 48:31frame continuation, which is going to be
  1188. 48:32what in this case? What is it going to
  1189. 48:34be?
  1190. 48:36What is this here?
  1191. 48:39a gap
  1192. 48:41Right?
  1193. 48:43Okay. When we come into the higher time
  1194. 48:44frame gap, I need one crack in
  1195. 48:47correlation. This on the lower time
  1196. 48:49frame looks like this, guys.
  1197. 48:55How many cracks in correlation do I need
  1198. 48:57if I enter on a fair value gap here?
  1199. 48:59How many cracks in correlation do I need
  1200. 49:01on my lower time frame reversal here?
  1201. 49:04zero
  1202. 49:07This filters swing formations via crack
  1203. 49:11in correlation down to the entry time
  1204. 49:15frame.
  1205. 49:16On the entry time frame, I am not
  1206. 49:18requiring a crack in correlation.
  1207. 49:22I utilize that filter to find a swing
  1208. 49:26that I can trade continuation away from.
  1209. 49:28At which point, once I have that crack
  1210. 49:30in correlation, I look for what? My
  1211. 49:33lower time frame reversal signature,
  1212. 49:37which is right here. Okay? You learned
  1213. 49:39it right in here.
  1214. 49:41In this lower time frame reversal
  1215. 49:44signature from a gap, I do not need to
  1216. 49:47see an SMT fill. I do not need to see a
  1217. 49:50PSP. I do not need to see any cracks in
  1218. 49:53correlation. What am I instead using
  1219. 49:55here? What concept is this? Exclusively.
  1220. 50:03The phase of price, the reversal
  1221. 50:07signature. Because it is fractal by the
  1222. 50:10point at which I've already filtered
  1223. 50:12this as a continuation from a gap.
  1224. 50:15Okay? Away from a reversal down here.
  1225. 50:20I do not need to see more cracks in
  1226. 50:23correlation on this time frame. That is
  1227. 50:25simply noise and it is irrelevant. Okay?
  1228. 50:28The logic is very simple. We filter
  1229. 50:31cracks in correlation to find swings
  1230. 50:34down to our entry time frame, at which
  1231. 50:37point we simply take entries.
  1232. 50:40Okay? So, I hope that little aside of
  1233. 50:42that 5 minutes of math is helpful,
  1234. 50:44because there's a logic to it, right? We
  1235. 50:46are using one less crack in correlation
  1236. 50:49to filter each confirmed swing. Why?
  1237. 50:52What is What is more confirmed? A lower
  1238. 50:55time frame reversal or a higher time
  1239. 50:58frame continuation? Which one has more
  1240. 50:59confirmation?
  1241. 51:03The lower time frame reversal, right?
  1242. 51:05The lower time frame reversal gives you
  1243. 51:06that immediate confirmation with that V
  1244. 51:08shape, right?
  1245. 51:10Think about it. What what By the time
  1246. 51:12you come into a key level like a gap,
  1247. 51:15if you're going to confirm a swing here,
  1248. 51:17right?
  1249. 51:18What's going to confirm the swing more?
  1250. 51:20That candle closure, right?
  1251. 51:22Which you're going to be seeing in the
  1252. 51:23lower time frame as that V shape out of
  1253. 51:25it. So, that is obviously more confirmed
  1254. 51:29in price action than the simple swing
  1255. 51:31formation itself. Just like at the low,
  1256. 51:34you're requiring two stages because it's
  1257. 51:37the most premium, right?
  1258. 51:39This is the most
  1259. 51:41extreme of the market maker model. Look
  1260. 51:43Look down here, guys. Right? Where you
  1261. 51:45are at in the market maker model down
  1262. 51:47here is the point of reversal. The point
  1263. 51:50of reversal is the most unconfirmed in
  1264. 51:53what?
  1265. 51:54Market structure. By the time you've
  1266. 51:56expanded away from the point of
  1267. 51:58reversal, you have more confirmation of
  1268. 52:00market structure. So, the continuation
  1269. 52:03that you're seeing is more confirmed.
  1270. 52:05It's in a gap. But, you still want to
  1271. 52:07make sure that that higher time frame
  1272. 52:08continuation is going to form from that
  1273. 52:10gap. So, you require that one stage of
  1274. 52:12crack in correlation. By the time that
  1275. 52:14one stage of crack in correlation forms
  1276. 52:16in the gap away from the low, when you
  1277. 52:18already have structure, do you need to
  1278. 52:20see the lower time frame here? Like 3
  1279. 52:23minute, 1 minute, 5 minute give you more
  1280. 52:25indication? No. It's the most confirmed
  1281. 52:27because it looks like this away from
  1282. 52:28that swing point, right?
  1283. 52:30This is why we don't require a 3 minute
  1284. 52:32PSP or a 3 minute SMT. You mean you can
  1285. 52:35see it sometimes. Sometimes you'll get
  1286. 52:36this SMT fill, right? Or you'll get a
  1287. 52:39PSP in a gap like this. This will be a
  1288. 52:40PSP in here. But, it doesn't mean you
  1289. 52:42need to see that cuz this is the most
  1290. 52:45confirmed, right? And then the reversal
  1291. 52:47down here is the least Where is it? The
  1292. 52:50least confirmed. You need the most
  1293. 52:53filters,
  1294. 52:54second most filters, no filters by the
  1295. 52:56time you get into here. Okay? There is a
  1296. 52:58logic to this The second type of
  1297. 53:01continuation, guys, is order paired
  1298. 53:03ranges. And this is simply when candle
  1299. 53:06two does not do what? It reverses, but
  1300. 53:09what what does it What does it do after
  1301. 53:10reversal? So, the phase of price in in
  1302. 53:12this variation is reversal into
  1303. 53:15expansion into retracement into
  1304. 53:17expansion.
  1305. 53:19Okay?
  1306. 53:20What is the phase of price here? We have
  1307. 53:22reversal into
  1308. 53:26What phase of price?
  1309. 53:27Are you saying in here?
  1310. 53:31Consolidation.
  1311. 53:33Yes. So, that means your type two
  1312. 53:36continuation, which again is taught to
  1313. 53:38you as many things, whether you call
  1314. 53:40them manipulation ranges, order paired
  1315. 53:42ranges, ERLs ERL, I don't care. I want
  1316. 53:45you to think of the logic of what is
  1317. 53:47happening. We are trading away from the
  1318. 53:49established true reversal. We are
  1319. 53:50forming a range, and you're pairing one
  1320. 53:53low to get to a failure swing high,
  1321. 53:56which is going to be what? A model
  1322. 53:58within a model. Think about why we call
  1323. 54:00the models within a model.
  1324. 54:04This is your drawing liquidity, okay?
  1325. 54:07What does this high in here become?
  1326. 54:11When you order pair the low, what is
  1327. 54:12this high become? This is your internal
  1328. 54:16model draw.
  1329. 54:19The IMD. And we're not going to use more
  1330. 54:21acronyms. This is your internal model
  1331. 54:24draw. I don't care what you call it. In
  1332. 54:26this case, right? We have a higher time
  1333. 54:28frame draw. We have
  1334. 54:30reversal into expansion into retracement
  1335. 54:33into expansion. What is this high
  1336. 54:34become?
  1337. 54:35Guys, from the gap.
  1338. 54:37What is this high?
  1339. 54:39Your internal
  1340. 54:42model draw. Does that make sense to
  1341. 54:44everybody? How these are models within
  1342. 54:47models? Does that word Is that language
  1343. 54:50make a lot more sense when we consider
  1344. 54:51it like this? It's a model within a
  1345. 54:54model. Okay?
  1346. 54:56This is why it's so powerful to trade
  1347. 54:58continuation because you have
  1348. 54:59established points of reversal, and
  1349. 55:01you're trading to these failure swings
  1350. 55:04to the draw. So, these internal draws
  1351. 55:07are always failure swings. Always. Every
  1352. 55:09single time. They will never be
  1353. 55:11a non-failure swing to the higher time
  1354. 55:14frame draw, which gives you two pools of
  1355. 55:16liquidity to draw into, both the
  1356. 55:18internal high and the external high,
  1357. 55:21which makes it extremely extremely high
  1358. 55:24probability, folks. Extremely high
  1359. 55:26probability. Okay? So, this is your
  1360. 55:28universal model logic. It is either
  1361. 55:31going to be, right? An order paired
  1362. 55:33range or it's going to be internal to
  1363. 55:36external. As these internal models
  1364. 55:38before we get to the relevant objective,
  1365. 55:40which is the opposing side of the draw.
  1366. 55:42Which one of these would I prefer you
  1367. 55:44guys to trade as my students?
  1368. 55:47Type one or type two?
  1369. 55:53Type one. Type one is always going to be
  1370. 55:56preferable because what is it showing
  1371. 55:59you in candle two?
  1372. 56:04Away from the true reversal. It is
  1373. 56:06showing you expansion phase of price
  1374. 56:09away from the true reversal followed by
  1375. 56:11retracement signature into the gap.
  1376. 56:14We'll talk about re-signatures a bit
  1377. 56:15more um in a future lecture. And then
  1378. 56:17expansion [clears throat]
  1379. 56:18signature away from the gap. As opposed
  1380. 56:20to seeing expansion met with
  1381. 56:21consolidation, where we could get
  1382. 56:23something like this and actually reverse
  1383. 56:26off an order paired range, right? This
  1384. 56:28signature of retracing into a gap shows
  1385. 56:30us the market wants to go higher. Right?
  1386. 56:32Institutionally sponsored moves higher
  1387. 56:34creating gaps. So, type one is where I
  1388. 56:37want you to focus, guys. Spend all of
  1389. 56:40your energy and we're going to do a
  1390. 56:41type, okay? Exclusively. And we'll We'll
  1391. 56:43look at these, but these are not ideal.
  1392. 56:45These are less They're sub sub-optimal.
  1393. 56:46Lower probability. Yeah?
  1394. 56:50Yeah.
  1395. 56:51Um especially because you'll notice in
  1396. 56:53some cases, does price need to pair this
  1397. 56:56low in all cases?
  1398. 56:59The answer is no. Price can go You saw
  1399. 57:01this last week on your Nasdaq charts in
  1400. 57:04the 4-hour. You'll see.
  1401. 57:07I want to point your eye to what
  1402. 57:08happened last week. Let me get rid of
  1403. 57:10all this.
  1404. 57:12Um Look at what happened here.
  1405. 57:15Right? We had expansion.
  1406. 57:19We had a range being created. And we had
  1407. 57:22a failure of all correlated markets.
  1408. 57:25Look at all correlated markets
  1409. 57:27failed
  1410. 57:29to pair this low. So, if we look at this
  1411. 57:33range, so we had an higher time frame
  1412. 57:34back up here, right? We had all markets
  1413. 57:37fail to pair the low. This was not order
  1414. 57:41paired range logic. This was
  1415. 57:44failure swings that we reversed from,
  1416. 57:46right? You see that?
  1417. 57:47So, we had these targets. We had higher
  1418. 57:49time frame draws up here, and we did not
  1419. 57:51manipulate the range low. Look, failure
  1420. 57:54swings on all assets. Because in
  1421. 57:56expansion, we do not need to manipulate
  1422. 57:59the range low to expand higher. What we
  1423. 58:01can do is we can expand, consolidate,
  1424. 58:04expand, retrace, expand. This is a
  1425. 58:06breakout signature, right? And it does
  1426. 58:08not need to pair the lows. So, when you
  1427. 58:10see expansion met with consolidation,
  1428. 58:13oftentimes it becomes tougher to trade
  1429. 58:15because you can either sometimes
  1430. 58:16manipulate the low or sometimes not
  1431. 58:18manipulate the low.
  1432. 58:20It is better to see something like this.
  1433. 58:22Expansion, retracement, expansion. Like
  1434. 58:23what's better to see this?
  1435. 58:25Okay?
  1436. 58:26So, this this signature here is much
  1437. 58:28more difficult to trade. Not that it
  1438. 58:30doesn't occur. It's just simply more
  1439. 58:32difficult to engage.
  1440. 58:34Okay. So, these are the major sequences
  1441. 58:36I want to teach you. And again, you guys
  1442. 58:38now know these high probability
  1443. 58:40sequences. The last chapter, which we'll
  1444. 58:42go through for notes, right? And
  1445. 58:44whatnot, is going to be these high
  1446. 58:46probability sequences. These are all one
  1447. 58:49stage or two stage cracks in
  1448. 58:53correlation. You don't need to have two
  1449. 58:55stage. You must have a single stage. And
  1450. 58:58we're going to utilize them to filter
  1451. 59:00swings in continuation. You get the idea
  1452. 59:02that N for this is going to equal one.
  1453. 59:05Sometimes it'll be two, but we need at
  1454. 59:07least one. Okay? So, these are the three
  1455. 59:10types of cracks in correlation. It is
  1456. 59:13only ever these three types, guys. Never
  1457. 59:17anything else. It's crack in correlation
  1458. 59:20at a gap. And we're going to focus on
  1459. 59:22gaps. Notice how we're not doing order
  1460. 59:23paired ranges here. I'm focusing on this
  1461. 59:25high probability type one continuation
  1462. 59:27for you, okay? We're focusing on this.
  1463. 59:30It's crack in correlation at a gap. What
  1464. 59:33do we know this as? What is this called?
  1465. 59:37It's called SMT
  1466. 59:40what?
  1467. 59:41Fill.
  1468. 59:42Okay? So, we have SMT fill. And in
  1469. 59:45future lectures, we're going to be
  1470. 59:46building on the idea of strength
  1471. 59:48switching and asset synchronization,
  1472. 59:50okay?
  1473. 59:52Not yet. Today, we're not doing it, but
  1474. 59:55we will talk about these concepts in
  1475. 59:58relation to continuation
  1476. 1:00:00in the future. We're not there yet.
  1477. 1:00:02Trust me, we're going to get there in
  1478. 1:00:03curriculum. I want to teach it to you in
  1479. 1:00:04a way that makes it very easy to
  1480. 1:00:06understand the logic, okay?
  1481. 1:00:08But that for now, we have SMT fills.
  1482. 1:00:10Don't worry about these strength
  1483. 1:00:11switching correlations between them. The
  1484. 1:00:13second one is going to be cracking
  1485. 1:00:15correlation via a closure inside the key
  1486. 1:00:19level. This is known as a what?
  1487. 1:00:25PSP,
  1488. 1:00:27a precision swing point, which is a
  1489. 1:00:30crack in the closure of a candle to
  1490. 1:00:33confirm a swing, okay? This in here is
  1491. 1:00:36the lowest probability
  1492. 1:00:40one stage
  1493. 1:00:42continuation.
  1494. 1:00:43Typically speaking, this is the type of
  1495. 1:00:46continuation where you'd want to see
  1496. 1:00:48something like a type three form from,
  1497. 1:00:51which is going to be a crack in
  1498. 1:00:52correlation paired with
  1499. 1:00:55right? An SMT. So, where you see, you
  1500. 1:00:57know,
  1501. 1:00:58either some form of two stage SMT
  1502. 1:01:01or you see some form of PSP paired with
  1503. 1:01:05another SMT to go higher. A single stage
  1504. 1:01:08PSP is the lowest probability form of
  1505. 1:01:11continuation. That is typically when you
  1506. 1:01:13see type three, which is a crack in
  1507. 1:01:15correlation at the key level via like
  1508. 1:01:18SMT fill.
  1509. 1:01:19And then a crack in correlation with the
  1510. 1:01:21key level or in it, right? Via a candle
  1511. 1:01:24closure. This is much more probable than
  1512. 1:01:27simply a one stage PSP.
  1513. 1:01:29Everyone understand?
  1514. 1:01:30So, there's three types of cracks in
  1515. 1:01:32correlation for continuation. Type one,
  1516. 1:01:35cracking correlation at the key level.
  1517. 1:01:37Type two, cracking correlation in the
  1518. 1:01:40key level either via consecutive
  1519. 1:01:43candles, right? Like SMT in there.
  1520. 1:01:46Or via a swing point closure and a PSP.
  1521. 1:01:50The third is at cracked at the key level
  1522. 1:01:53and in the key level. SMT fill, PSP.
  1523. 1:01:57Right? Stage one SMT, stage two SMT. So,
  1524. 1:02:01that's a crack, right? At the key level
  1525. 1:02:03and then in the key level as well via
  1526. 1:02:05consecutive swings.
  1527. 1:02:07I have them listed for you here. We will
  1528. 1:02:08do this in your tutorial. We will go
  1529. 1:02:10through and I will prove to you that
  1530. 1:02:12concept that continuation always offers
  1531. 1:02:14one of these three cracks.
  1532. 1:02:16Okay? So, these are your high
  1533. 1:02:17probability sequences at, in, or at in.
  1534. 1:02:20I've done the liberty of just showing
  1535. 1:02:22them here to you in a little schematic,
  1536. 1:02:24right? You guys have studied this stuff.
  1537. 1:02:25And then again, this reversal signature,
  1538. 1:02:28right? Do I need to see um question for
  1539. 1:02:30Chris. Do I need to see a CIC on the
  1540. 1:02:33lower time frame now in this reversal
  1541. 1:02:34signature?
  1542. 1:02:36No, right? N is equal to zero. This is
  1543. 1:02:39a, right? Or lower time frame
  1544. 1:02:42reversal
  1545. 1:02:44from a higher time frame
  1546. 1:02:48continuation, yeah? So, this is one
  1547. 1:02:50cracking correlation, this is zero.
  1548. 1:02:53Every time you go up, right? Higher time
  1549. 1:02:54frame reversal.
  1550. 1:02:58Two. You just go down by one every time
  1551. 1:03:00you get more and more market structure.
  1552. 1:03:02This becomes more and more confirmed via
  1553. 1:03:05market structure. That's why we don't
  1554. 1:03:07require a crack in correlation. It's a
  1555. 1:03:09very, very, you know,
  1556. 1:03:11tidy way to to present that logic, okay?
  1557. 1:03:15I'm not going to talk today about asset
  1558. 1:03:17synchronization for you with you guys
  1559. 1:03:19yet because we have an entire lecture on
  1560. 1:03:21asset synchronization in the future. I'm
  1561. 1:03:23also um
  1562. 1:03:26I I'm going to do an entire lecture with
  1563. 1:03:28you guys as well on gap selection and
  1564. 1:03:31utilizing ranges. I want to make sure
  1565. 1:03:33that we have enough time to get into
  1566. 1:03:34some of this stuff because there is a
  1567. 1:03:36lot of nitty-gritty. Advanced premium
  1568. 1:03:38and discount sequence, we're going to be
  1569. 1:03:40tying this concept in to asset sync.
  1570. 1:03:44We're going to be tying um invalidations
  1571. 1:03:46in as its own lecture. This will be a
  1572. 1:03:48new lecture
  1573. 1:03:50in curriculum that I have created for
  1574. 1:03:52you guys. So, we'll do this probably um
  1575. 1:03:54probably next week or the week after.
  1576. 1:03:56We'll do uh gap selection, which is
  1577. 1:03:58going to be filtering continuation. And
  1578. 1:04:00then asset synchronization and strength
  1579. 1:04:02switching is going to come later, okay?
  1580. 1:04:03So, this will probably be like week
  1581. 1:04:05nine. So, I am breaking up the lecture a
  1582. 1:04:08bit because I want to present it to you
  1583. 1:04:10in far more um detail than, you know,
  1584. 1:04:13what is here. And I want to make sure
  1585. 1:04:15you understand the components and how
  1586. 1:04:16they fit together as opposed to simply,
  1587. 1:04:18you know, trying to consume all the
  1588. 1:04:19information. Today, chapters one through
  1589. 1:04:22four are where I'm going to end this uh
  1590. 1:04:24this recording on.
  1591. 1:04:27Okay, we're going to end the recording
  1592. 1:04:28there just over

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