تحلیل انس جهانی — Transcript

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1. 0:01Hello, hello friends!
2. 0:03I hope you are all doing well.
3. 0:07Today is Tuesday, November 3rd; let's
4. 0:10examine global gold together.
5. 0:14We have considered the one-hour
6. 0:16timeframe for today to perform an
7. 0:18analysis on it.
8. 0:24As you know, after the heavy drop that
9. 0:26occurred on Friday, the market was able
10. 0:28to form a reversal and correction
11. 0:30yesterday following news of peace
12. 0:32between Iran and the U.S. and a drop in
13. 0:34oil prices.
14. 0:45That is one of the reasons; the second
15. 0:47reason is that the 400 level was a
16. 0:49strong psychological number for gold,
17. 0:51and it was predictable that buyers
18. 0:53wouldn't let it go so easily and would
19. 0:55consider good numbers to buy gold at
20. 0:57this 400 level.
21. 1:04Well, we see it broke through powerfully
22. 1:07, and candles with similar strength were
23. 1:09formed again yesterday during the U.S.
24. 1:11session.
25. 1:13In the New York session, as you can see
26. 1:15by the size of the candles, it was able
27. 1:17to have a good reversal.
28. 1:25It seems it has taken steps to at least
29. 1:27reach the 400 level; if we zoom in on
30. 1:30the chart, we see that the trend of gold
31. 1:32is making lower highs and lower lows; so
32. 1:34, something that is crystal clear to us
33. 1:37is that we are still in a downtrend.
34. 1:47And as long as gold cannot break this
35. 1:50range and stabilize itself above 4100,
36. 1:52we remain sellers of gold at important
37. 1:55and good levels.
38. 2:02But for now, at this level we are at,
39. 2:04since we are day traders and need to
40. 2:06take our few pips of profit from the
41. 2:08market and exit, we can currently
42. 2:10register our good R: Rs for heavy sells
43. 2:12until it reaches any of these numbers.
44. 2:20For today, the first level we had was
45. 2:23this 3919 level, which was our first
46. 2:26risky buy.
47. 2:28Note that any buy signal we consider, we
48. 2:31are entering a high-risk trade.
49. 2:36So we must definitely have small stops
50. 2:38and at least be able to get an R: R so
51. 2:40that if we lose, it can be compensated.
52. 2:49Unfortunately, by the time of our video
53. 2:52, we missed the 3919 level, which was
54. 2:54able to give us nearly 60 pips, and
55. 2:56behind the candle itself on a lower
56. 2:59timeframe, we could have taken an R: 2
57. 3:01with a three-dollar stop.
58. 3:09Well, we are waiting for now; this was
59. 3:11our first level, so we don't have it for
60. 3:13a buy anymore.
61. 3:16Our second buy level is 3901; it has a
62. 3:19better situation, we can also expect 50
63. 3:22pips from this with a small SL, for
64. 3:24which we can set a zone.
65. 3:30If you consider these two Doji candles,
66. 3:33it’s clear there was some confusion
67. 3:34between buyers and sellers here.
68. 3:43Provided that strong bearish candles
69. 3:45don't form—like the ones on Friday—if
70. 3:48candles with that specific strength
71. 3:50appear, which we saw an example of this
72. 3:52morning, then we won't enter any buy
73. 3:54positions at these levels, because as
74. 3:56I’ve said, buying at this stage is
75. 3:58extremely risky.
76. 4:05So, our second level, which again I must
77. 4:08stress is risky for a buy, is the zone—
78. 4:11let me give you the exact number—
79. 4:14between 3898.8 and 3901, where we could
80. 4:17even enter a buy with a 1-minute or 5-
81. 4:20minute candle confirmation.
82. 4:25Of course, we have a gap here from
83. 4:27Monday's market open, and there's a
84. 4:29possibility that this gap might get
85. 4:30filled.
86. 4:34Now, why are you asking, if you say the
87. 4:37market is bearish, why are you talking
88. 4:39about buying opportunities?
89. 4:43Look, we don’t know where gold is going
90. 4:45to stop; at our current levels, we
91. 4:47cannot take any action to sell just yet
92. 4:50.
93. 4:54For selling, we must wait for the 400
94. 4:56level or the area I believe is between
95. 4:58480 and 4100, to see what the reaction
96. 5:01is; because we don’t know where this
97. 5:03drop will stop and whether this
98. 5:05correction—given the strong candles that
99. 5:07have appeared, which are highly
100. 5:09dependent on fundamental news—will
101. 5:11require us to see where we can look for
102. 5:14pullbacks.
103. 5:19For now, considering the size of these
104. 5:21candles today, we are choosing
105. 5:23medium-risk to nearly high-risk buy
106. 5:25trades with very small stop losses.
107. 5:29We have these three levels.
108. 5:32If we want to enter a selling phase, our
109. 5:353870 level must be broken with strength
110. 5:38.
111. 5:40If it breaks, whether with a candle
112. 5:42confirmation or a pullback to this same
113. 5:44zone, I believe we could have a reliable
114. 5:47sell trade.
115. 5:49If
116. 5:53we want to have more zones for selling,
117. 5:55the ones I am mentioning to you must
118. 5:57definitely be accompanied by lower
119. 5:59timeframe candle confirmation.
120. 6:04We see that at the 400 number, which is
121. 6:07a very important psychological level, we
122. 6:09have our 61.8 level, and between this
123. 6:12area and the 0.7 level, we can enter a
124. 6:15sell again with candle confirmation.
125. 6:20Given the scalping we do, I think with a
126. 6:235 or 15-minute timeframe confirmation
127. 6:25and a stop loss behind the candle, I
128. 6:27think we can easily get an R: R from it
129. 6:30.
130. 6:33Take it.
131. 6:34So, let’s review the important numbers
132. 6:37we have for today one more time. For
133. 6:39buying, we have these three levels and
134. 6:41numbers, for which we must have candle
135. 6:43confirmation. For selling, it depends on
136. 6:47a strong break of 3870 or our price
137. 6:49action moving towards 400.
138. 6:55Between 400 and 4020, we enter a sell
139. 6:58trade upon a candle signal, and for a
140. 7:01good risk-to-reward buy, we must wait
141. 7:03until
142. 7:10our previous ceiling is broken and a
143. 7:12change of character roughly forms so we
144. 7:14can enter those areas.
145. 7:18I wish you success and high profits.