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5 Stocks To BUY NOW In November 2026 — Transcript

by ZipTrader · 5,006 words · 710 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Folks, I hope you're ready because it is
  2. 0:01time to buy the dip. And in today's
  3. 0:03video, we're going to break down five
  4. 0:05stocks that I believe are perfect
  5. 0:06candidates for this. Each one of these
  6. 0:08stocks has a a business that's growing
  7. 0:10like crazy. B, a stock price that's been
  8. 0:13absolutely hammered. C, some really
  9. 0:15fascinating chart history behind it. D,
  10. 0:17it's actually making real money or is
  11. 0:19close to it and scaling rapidly. And
  12. 0:21most importantly, E, it's at a valuation
  13. 0:23that's way cheaper than it was just a
  14. 0:25few months ago. I'll make the case for
  15. 0:27each of these. and as always, let you be
  16. 0:28the judge. And then at the end of
  17. 0:30today's video, we're going to go on to
  18. 0:31our sponsored segment on our bond, which
  19. 0:33goes by bond, ticker symbol OBAI on the
  20. 0:36NASDAQ. They've built an AI powered
  21. 0:39personal security platform that big
  22. 0:40companies are already buying for their
  23. 0:42employees. This company's advisory bench
  24. 0:45is also really deep for a company this
  25. 0:46size. It includes a former US Secretary
  26. 0:49of Commerce, a former director of the
  27. 0:51Secret Service, a former deputy director
  28. 0:53of the FBI, a former New York City
  29. 0:55Police Commissioner, and a three-star
  30. 0:57Army general. I'll break down the
  31. 0:59company and why you may want to put it
  32. 1:00on your radar. And as always, folks, if
  33. 1:02you're the one taking the ultimate risk,
  34. 1:03you better be the one doing the ultimate
  35. 1:05frisk. Always do your own due diligence
  36. 1:07on all ideas presented. Okay, number
  37. 1:09five, SoFi Sofi. So, what is SoFi
  38. 1:12Charlie, and why is it so fly? Well,
  39. 1:14think about everything you'd normally go
  40. 1:16to a bank for. Your checking account,
  41. 1:18your savings, a personal loan,
  42. 1:19refinancing your student loans, a credit
  43. 1:21card, even investing. SoFi puts all of
  44. 1:23that inside one app on your phone, and
  45. 1:25it has its own bank charter. So, it's a
  46. 1:27real bank just without the branches. And
  47. 1:29the more of those products a member
  48. 1:30uses, the more money SoFi makes off of
  49. 1:33them. Now, pay attention to this part.
  50. 1:34So, last quarter, SoFi added a record
  51. 1:361.2 million new members. That's about
  52. 1:3913,000 new members every single day.
  53. 1:41It's now at 17.1 million members, up 35%
  54. 1:45from a year ago. And revenue is growing
  55. 1:47right along with it. It was up 44% to a
  56. 1:50record 1.4 billion in profit a year ago
  57. 1:53so far made $139 million. This quarter
  58. 1:55it made $241 million. So for every
  59. 1:57dollar of profit it made a year ago,
  60. 1:59it's now making about $1.73. And they
  61. 2:02raised their guidance for the year
  62. 2:03again. So why has the stock been cut
  63. 2:05almost in half? It peaked at $32.73
  64. 2:08last November and it closed at $16.75 on
  65. 2:12November 9th. Now, there's a few reasons
  66. 2:14this happened. Interest rates, as you
  67. 2:15know, have been rising and rising rates
  68. 2:17squeeze lenders like SoFi. So, the whole
  69. 2:19banking group has been getting sold.
  70. 2:20There's also a short seller report and
  71. 2:22hit piece. I'd argue one part of the
  72. 2:24business, the technology platform it
  73. 2:26sells to other banks and fintech
  74. 2:27companies, shrank 24% after one single
  75. 2:30big client left. And on November 5th,
  76. 2:33when the whole market got smacked, SoFi
  77. 2:35fell almost 8% in a day. So that's
  78. 2:37basically why it's down so much. But I
  79. 2:39think that's a deal. If you just look at
  80. 2:40the numbers, profit is up 73%, members
  81. 2:42are up 35%, and the stock is down almost
  82. 2:45half. Management is guiding to 90 cents
  83. 2:48of earnings per share next year, which
  84. 2:50puts the stock at about 18 and a half
  85. 2:52times 2027 earnings. I'd argue the
  86. 2:54market is treating SoFi like any other
  87. 2:56bank getting squeezed by rates. And I
  88. 2:58think that's a mistake for a company
  89. 2:59that's actually growing members by 35%
  90. 3:02per year. Okay, let's break out the
  91. 3:03chart. So, we've been here before. If
  92. 3:05you go back to April of last year,
  93. 3:06during the tariff crash, SoFi got cut
  94. 3:09almost in half, down some 44% dough from
  95. 3:12its December high to $9.50.
  96. 3:157 months later, it was over $32. It more
  97. 3:18than tripled. Then it gave a lot of that
  98. 3:20back all the way down to about $14 this
  99. 3:22October. And look at what happened on
  100. 3:24this last earnings report. So on October
  101. 3:2627th, the stock jumped 13% in one day
  102. 3:29from $1446 to $16.40.
  103. 3:32And this was on 161 million shares, more
  104. 3:35than 3.5 times its normal volume. So the
  105. 3:37buyers showed up on these numbers. Now,
  106. 3:39one thing to look for, a close above
  107. 3:41$17.74,
  108. 3:43the November 4th high, which sits right
  109. 3:46on top of the 200 day moving average at
  110. 3:48$17.51.
  111. 3:50Get above that and SoFi is back above
  112. 3:52its long-term trend line and it's back
  113. 3:54to being SoFi SoFi. Okay, number four,
  114. 3:56Reddit. RDDT. Now, as you know, Reddit
  115. 3:59is basically the world's biggest
  116. 4:01collection of message boards. There's a
  117. 4:03community for literally everything.
  118. 4:05Stocks, cooking, fixing your car,
  119. 4:07strange hobbies, your favorite TV show,
  120. 4:09you name it. And if you've ever Googled
  121. 4:10the question and type the word Reddit at
  122. 4:12the end to get a real answer from a real
  123. 4:14person, well, you already get why it's
  124. 4:16so valuable. But anyh who, Reddit makes
  125. 4:18most of its money from ads. And it also
  126. 4:20licenses all of that human conversation
  127. 4:22to AI companies like Google and OpenAI
  128. 4:24to help train their models. Now, here's
  129. 4:26what's crazy, folks. So, last quarter,
  130. 4:28revenue was up 53% to $895 million.
  131. 4:32Profit was 283 million, up 74%. So, out
  132. 4:35of every dollar that Reddit brings in,
  133. 4:37about 32 cents ends up as pure profit.
  134. 4:40And it's sitting on three bill of cash
  135. 4:42with only about $31 million of debt. so
  136. 4:46it could pay off all of its debt almost
  137. 4:47100 times over. That's a lot of moola.
  138. 4:50And on the day after that report on
  139. 4:51October 30th, the stock fell 29% in a
  140. 4:55single day from $129.60
  141. 4:57to $91.73.
  142. 4:59So why? What the heck is going on here?
  143. 5:01Well, the number of people using Reddit
  144. 5:03every day in the US actually went down
  145. 5:05last quarter from 53.2 million to 50.7
  146. 5:08million. And a lot of that is Google.
  147. 5:10You see, now that Google answers so many
  148. 5:12questions with AI right at the top of
  149. 5:13the search page, fewer people click
  150. 5:15through to Reddit and their revenue
  151. 5:17forecast for the holiday quarter came in
  152. 5:19a little below what Wall Street wanted.
  153. 5:20Now, a lot of people are going to say,
  154. 5:21"Charlie, are you cray cray? Isn't this
  155. 5:24a dying platform? Why would this be a
  156. 5:26top stock?" Well, worldwide, daily users
  157. 5:28were still up 12% from a year ago to
  158. 5:32130.3 million. And the forecast that
  159. 5:34disappointed Wall Street is 1 billion to
  160. 5:361.03 billion in revenue for the quarter.
  161. 5:38The same quarter a year ago though was
  162. 5:41$726 million. So the disappointing guide
  163. 5:44that people are freaking out about is
  164. 5:45actually about 40% growth. So here's the
  165. 5:48deal folks. Look, this is a company
  166. 5:49that's trading at 11 times forward
  167. 5:51earnings and growing revenue at over 50%
  168. 5:54with basically no debt. Even if user
  169. 5:56growth in certain markets slows down for
  170. 5:58a couple quarters, well, I'm not so
  171. 6:00concerned. Okay, let's break out the
  172. 6:02chart because Reddit has done this exact
  173. 6:03thing before. So in February of last
  174. 6:05year, Reddit was at $225. By early April
  175. 6:08during the tariff crash, it was down to
  176. 6:10$86.91.
  177. 6:12That's down 61 whopping percent. And
  178. 6:15then about five and a half months later,
  179. 6:17it hit 270. It more than tripled. So
  180. 6:20what now? Well, from that 270 high, it's
  181. 6:22down 63% again. That's almost the exact
  182. 6:26same size drop. And on that earnings
  183. 6:28day, it traded 33.4 million shares, more
  184. 6:31than four times its normal volume.
  185. 6:33That's a lot of people throwing in the
  186. 6:35towel all at once. So, what would tell
  187. 6:37you the worst is over? Well, a close
  188. 6:38above 101 and 89 cents, the highest
  189. 6:41close since the earnings drop. Above
  190. 6:42that, there's a big gap all the way up
  191. 6:44to 129 and some 60s. Gaps love to be
  192. 6:48filled. Nvidia CEO would know a lot
  193. 6:50about that. We're going to talk about
  194. 6:52Nvidia a little bit later, but if it
  195. 6:53closes below $8928,
  196. 6:55the post earnings low, the selling isn't
  197. 6:57done yet. So, just from a technical
  198. 6:59standpoint, there you got the good and
  199. 7:00the bad. Longterm though, I think Reddit
  200. 7:02is a great buy. Number three, Microchip
  201. 7:03Technology, MCHP. Now, Microchip makes
  202. 7:07chips you've probably never heard of,
  203. 7:08but you use them every single day. Think
  204. 7:10about your car. You press a button and
  205. 7:11the window goes down. Your seat heater
  206. 7:13kicks on. Your brakes know when to work.
  207. 7:15There's a little chip in there telling
  208. 7:17each of those things what to do, and
  209. 7:18there's a good chance a company like
  210. 7:20Microchip or Microchip itself made it.
  211. 7:22They make these small control chips that
  212. 7:24you see here for cars, factory
  213. 7:26equipment, appliances, defense systems,
  214. 7:28and more and more data centers. They're
  215. 7:29not the flashy AI chips that are all the
  216. 7:31hoot right now, but they are in a lot of
  217. 7:34stuff. The profit is the part I really
  218. 7:36want you to see. A year ago, Microchip
  219. 7:37was making about $450,000 a day in
  220. 7:40profit. And now all of a sudden,
  221. 7:41whoop-dedoo, it's making about $4.4
  222. 7:44million a day. That's almost 10 times
  223. 7:46more profit from the same company in one
  224. 7:48year. So, what happened? Why did the
  225. 7:49stock just drop some 22.6% in 2 days?
  226. 7:53Well, their guidance for next quarter
  227. 7:54came in basically flat. management says
  228. 7:55a big part of that is some one-time
  229. 7:57sales from September that won't repeat,
  230. 7:59but they gave no guidance at all for
  231. 8:01March and it all landed right as the
  232. 8:03whole market was getting smacked. Okay,
  233. 8:04so pull up the chart on November the
  234. 8:076th. Just a few days ago, Microchip
  235. 8:09closed more than 40% below its all-time
  236. 8:12high. I went back to 1996. Yes, 1996. I
  237. 8:17went back 30 years. I was born in 96.
  238. 8:19And that's what happened eight other
  239. 8:21times. A year later, the stock was
  240. 8:23higher all eight times, up 54.9%
  241. 8:27on average. But it usually didn't bounce
  242. 8:29right away. On average, it fell another
  243. 8:3222% first. And it's not the first time
  244. 8:34that Microchip got hit this hard this
  245. 8:36fast. Since 1994, in fact, it's dropped
  246. 8:3915% or more in 2 days, 20 different
  247. 8:42times. A year later, the stock was
  248. 8:44higher in 15 of those 20. The most
  249. 8:47recent one was the tariff crash in April
  250. 8:49of last year. And a year later, it was
  251. 8:50up about 66%. But it's no guarantee.
  252. 8:54After the drop in August 2024, it was
  253. 8:56still down about 12% a year later. But
  254. 8:58bigger picture here, I'd argue this is a
  255. 9:00great buy for the long term, and these
  256. 9:02prices are very juicy. Okay, number two,
  257. 9:04Applied Digital, APLD. So, what the heck
  258. 9:07is Applied Digital, Charlie? Can you
  259. 9:08apply some knowledge to our brains?
  260. 9:10Well, of course I can. So, picture a
  261. 9:12giant building in the middle of North
  262. 9:14Dakota packed wallto-wall with AI chips
  263. 9:16running 24 hours a day. Apply Digital
  264. 9:19builds those buildings, brings in the
  265. 9:21power and the cooling, and then rents
  266. 9:23them out to AI companies. So, you could
  267. 9:25think of it like a landlord for AI. Now,
  268. 9:27here's a key thing to understand about
  269. 9:28this, though. So, imagine you own an
  270. 9:30apartment building where all 100 units
  271. 9:33are already rented out, but only about
  272. 9:3518 of the tenants have actually moved
  273. 9:37in. Well, that's Applied Digital right
  274. 9:38now. It has leases signed for 1.4 41
  275. 9:41gawatt and only 250 megawatts of that is
  276. 9:44up and running. So most of the rent
  277. 9:46hasn't even started coming in yet. And
  278. 9:48with only those 18 tenants move in, look
  279. 9:50at what's already happening. For every
  280. 9:51dollar that Applied Digital brought in a
  281. 9:53year ago, it's now bringing in about
  282. 9:55$4.23.
  283. 9:57Now, if you do a little bit of research,
  284. 9:58you'll find that the Bears love to point
  285. 10:00out that it lost $221 million on paper
  286. 10:04last quarter. But if you do a little bit
  287. 10:06more digging, a big chunk of that was
  288. 10:08non-cash stuff. a loss on warrants and
  289. 10:11some one-time stock compensation. Strip
  290. 10:13that out and Ibata was positive $64
  291. 10:15million. So misleading as the bears
  292. 10:18usually are. So why has the stock been
  293. 10:20beaten down to oblivion though? Well, it
  294. 10:22peaked at $50.72 back in May and it's
  295. 10:26down 67% since then. And this is a
  296. 10:28company that, let's be real, we've liked
  297. 10:30since very tiny prices, like you could
  298. 10:33see here. And it went up massively to
  299. 10:35over $50 just back in May. And now look
  300. 10:38at where it is back at what I'd say is a
  301. 10:40crazy buying opportunity. But why is it
  302. 10:42down? Well, a few reasons. The whole AI
  303. 10:43data center group has been absolutely
  304. 10:45destroyed in the last couple of months.
  305. 10:47And then right after the midterms, data
  306. 10:49centers turned into a real political
  307. 10:50issue. In the NBC exit poll, 76% of
  308. 10:53voters said they don't want one built in
  309. 10:55their area. So when people are getting
  310. 10:56nervous about AI buildouts, well
  311. 10:58obviously this is going to be one that
  312. 10:59gets sold off massively. While a lot of
  313. 11:01bears are expecting that the government
  314. 11:02actually goes in and decides that we're
  315. 11:04just not going to allow data center
  316. 11:05buildout or any tech future here in the
  317. 11:08US. Well, I'd argue that's a great
  318. 11:09buying opportunity because it's
  319. 11:11nonsense. In my opinion, the market is
  320. 11:13pricing this like the buildings won't
  321. 11:14get finished or the financing falls
  322. 11:16apart, but the leases are signed.
  323. 11:18Management expects 300 megawws live in
  324. 11:20North Dakota by the end of this year.
  325. 11:22And every time a new building turns on,
  326. 11:24a signed lease turns into actual
  327. 11:26revenue. So, if they keep delivering on
  328. 11:28schedule, I'd argue the stock is way,
  329. 11:30way, way too cheap down here. And if you
  330. 11:32open the chart a little bit, since April
  331. 11:33of last year, the stock has gone from
  332. 11:35$3.31 to $40, got cut in half, ran up to
  333. 11:38$50.72,
  334. 11:40and then at its low last week, it was
  335. 11:42all the way down to $13.11.
  336. 11:45That's down some 74% high to low. And
  337. 11:48here's the part that I find interesting.
  338. 11:50So, the last time APLD traded at $13 was
  339. 11:52September 8th of last year, 2025. About
  340. 11:555 weeks later though, it was at $40. And
  341. 11:58I remember talking about this back last
  342. 12:00year and people were like, "This can
  343. 12:01never go up again. It can never go up
  344. 12:03again. Data centers are dead. There's no
  345. 12:05need for data centers because it's all a
  346. 12:07bubble and AI is going to be a fad like
  347. 12:08the Teletubbies." Well, it actually
  348. 12:10turns out that they were wrong, very
  349. 12:12surprisingly. And 5 weeks later, again,
  350. 12:14it was at $40. That doesn't mean that
  351. 12:16this is going to happen again, but I
  352. 12:17think the case is pretty good for a
  353. 12:19resurgence either by the end of the year
  354. 12:21or an early Q1. And if you just look at
  355. 12:23the bigger picture, I mean, since APLD
  356. 12:25came onto the NASDAQ in 2022, it has
  357. 12:28fallen 60% or more from a high five
  358. 12:31other times. A year later, it was higher
  359. 12:34all five times. But here is the catch.
  360. 12:37In four of those five, it fell another
  361. 12:3832% to 51% first. So, this one can get
  362. 12:42uglier before it gets better. But again,
  363. 12:44this is why we're big believers in
  364. 12:45buying good assets at good prices over
  365. 12:46time and not worrying about getting the
  366. 12:48exact deal that is the best. If it goes
  367. 12:51down more, you're happy because you get
  368. 12:52a better deal. And if it goes up right
  369. 12:54away, you're happy because your position
  370. 12:55went up. So that's how you look at
  371. 12:57things as a win-win. And when you're
  372. 12:58buying these for the long term, you can
  373. 12:59look at it that way. Okay. Now, the one
  374. 13:01that everybody's been waiting for. Drum
  375. 13:02roll, please. Boom, boom, boom, boom,
  376. 13:04boom, boom, boom. Nvidia NVDA. Now, I
  377. 13:07know this one doesn't need introducing,
  378. 13:08but just in case, Nvidia makes the chips
  379. 13:10that power artificial intelligence. When
  380. 13:12OpenAI trains Chat GPT, or when
  381. 13:14Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Google
  382. 13:15build out their AI data centers, they're
  383. 13:17mostly buying Nvidia chips and Nvidia
  384. 13:19networking gear to do it. And these
  385. 13:21days, Nvidia sells those chips in giant
  386. 13:23server racks, each one packed with a
  387. 13:25dozen of them. Now, nobody knows racks
  388. 13:27like Nvidia, and that knowing of racks
  389. 13:29goes all the way to the top, right at
  390. 13:31Jensen Hong. Rumor has it he personally
  391. 13:33inspects as many racks as possible. And
  392. 13:34don't take me the wrong way here or take
  393. 13:36me out of context. I'm literally talking
  394. 13:38about the Blackwell racks. They are game
  395. 13:40changers. And folks, the numbers are
  396. 13:41just absurd. Revenue more than doubled
  397. 13:43in a year. Last quarter, Nvidia made
  398. 13:46$59.7 billion in profit, which is about
  399. 13:49$649 million a day, about $27 million an
  400. 13:53hour. So anywh who, why is the stock
  401. 13:54down some 26.6% from its October 6th
  402. 13:58high? Well, it took two hits back to
  403. 13:59back. So on November 5th, after the
  404. 14:01midterms, the whole AI trade sold off on
  405. 14:03fears about new rules for data centers
  406. 14:05and Nvidia itself dropped some 9.3%
  407. 14:08that day. Then on November 8th, the
  408. 14:10board opened an investigation into Jeten
  409. 14:13Hong's relationship with a woman US
  410. 14:14officials believe passed information to
  411. 14:16China. Jensen admitted to the affair.
  412. 14:19Now look, Jensen Hong has a whole
  413. 14:21history of screwing Chinese models, but
  414. 14:23this takes it to a whole other level.
  415. 14:25The board says it has no reason to
  416. 14:26believe national security or company
  417. 14:28secrets were compromised. and Jensen
  418. 14:30himself said he'll cooperate fully. This
  419. 14:32is a man that's very cooperative, likes
  420. 14:34to do a lot of cooperating. Needless to
  421. 14:36say, I believe this is a great buying
  422. 14:37opportunity. An easy way to value Nvidia
  423. 14:39is to look at their PE. So, at about 11
  424. 14:41times Ford earnings, if Nvidia made what
  425. 14:44analysts expect over the next year and
  426. 14:46handed every dollar of it to you, you'd
  427. 14:48get your money back in about 11 years.
  428. 14:50So, here's where it gets juicy, and not
  429. 14:51in the way that Jensen Hang thinks of
  430. 14:53it, but in the way that we think of it
  431. 14:54as investors. I went back through
  432. 14:56Nvidia's financials all the way to 2009
  433. 14:59based on the profit it actually made
  434. 15:01over the last 12 months. The stock is
  435. 15:03the cheapest it's been since May 2019.
  436. 15:06That's before the pandemic and before
  437. 15:08Chat GBT even existed. And on next
  438. 15:10year's expected earnings, if analysts
  439. 15:12are right, you'd have to go back to
  440. 15:14early 2016 to find Nvidia this cheap.
  441. 15:17That's about 10 years. And just for fun,
  442. 15:18a year after that early 2016 spot, the
  443. 15:21stock was up 213%
  444. 15:23though. A year after that May 2019 spot,
  445. 15:26it was up 141% though. It's a different
  446. 15:29market and a much bigger company now.
  447. 15:31So, I wouldn't count on a complete
  448. 15:32repeat of those numbers. But it is
  449. 15:34interesting, isn't it? Now, the bears
  450. 15:36will say, Charlie, what about China?
  451. 15:38Every few months, a new Chinese AI model
  452. 15:40comes out and everybody screams that
  453. 15:41Nvidia is finished and now you have this
  454. 15:44situation with the models in China and
  455. 15:46Jensen Hong. Well, remember Deepsee? In
  456. 15:48January of last year, a Chinese lab said
  457. 15:51it trained a top AI model for a fraction
  458. 15:53of the cost and Nvidia lost 17% in a
  459. 15:56single day. A year later, the stock was
  460. 15:58up 32%. And the funny thing is, look,
  461. 16:00Deepseek trained its model on Nvidia
  462. 16:02chips in the first place. And Huawei,
  463. 16:04Hawaii, or Huaha, which I'll which I'll
  464. 16:07be honest, I never learned how to
  465. 16:08pronounce this, but let's just say
  466. 16:09Huawei, has been trying to build a chip
  467. 16:12to replace Nvidia in China for years,
  468. 16:14too. And meanwhile, Nvidia's profit just
  469. 16:17grew 126%. So yes, Jensen and Nvidia has
  470. 16:20had a rough week with China, but China
  471. 16:22still hasn't figured out how to replace
  472. 16:24him. At worst, China's going to send him
  473. 16:26some more women, and then we'll have
  474. 16:27some more sell-offs based on that. And
  475. 16:28people have been trying to copy Nvidia's
  476. 16:30chips for years, but nobody can even get
  477. 16:32close because it's so damn complex.
  478. 16:34>> Jensen can develop the most complex
  479. 16:36computer chip in the world that nobody
  480. 16:38can copy for 10 years.
  481. 16:39>> Okay, let's break out the chart. So,
  482. 16:40since the AI boom started, Nvidia has
  483. 16:42fallen 25% from its high three times,
  484. 16:44and this is the third. August 2024, a
  485. 16:47year later, it was up 80%. March of last
  486. 16:49year, it fell another 14.7% first into
  487. 16:52the tariff crash. And then a year later,
  488. 16:53it was up 65.2% though. Now, it's not
  489. 16:57always that clean, though. Go back to
  490. 16:58January 2022 and Nvidia fell another
  491. 17:0153.5%
  492. 17:02and was still down a year later. But
  493. 17:04back then, its profits were about to
  494. 17:06shrink. Right now, profits just grew
  495. 17:08126%. So, what matters from here? Well,
  496. 17:11earnings on November 17th, and I went
  497. 17:13back and looked at every time Nvidia
  498. 17:15went into earnings, already down more
  499. 17:17than 20% from its 52- week high. And
  500. 17:19since 2002, that has happened 36 times.
  501. 17:22The day after the report, the stock was
  502. 17:24up 22 times and down 14. So, a little
  503. 17:27bit better odds than a coin flip. But a
  504. 17:29year later, it was higher in 27 of those
  505. 17:3136, up 53% on average. Now, earnings
  506. 17:34almost always are a coin flip, quite
  507. 17:35frankly. So, I wouldn't try to guess the
  508. 17:37report, but historically, the bigger
  509. 17:38move came over the following year. So,
  510. 17:40that puts Nvidia squarely and
  511. 17:42historically backed at a great buying
  512. 17:44area today. For what it's worth, I went
  513. 17:46back and I looked at seven times a big
  514. 17:48company CEO became the headline like
  515. 17:50this. And the first day of the sell-off
  516. 17:52was rarely the bottom, but still on a
  517. 17:54good company. Long-term, it's a good
  518. 17:55buy. Anyways, folks, there you have it.
  519. 17:56Let us know what you think about these
  520. 17:58ideas down below. Are you buying the
  521. 18:00dip? Let us know below. Okay, and now
  522. 18:01it's time for our sponsored segment on
  523. 18:04our bond, which goes by Bond, ticker
  524. 18:06symbol OBAI, on the NASDAQ. And the
  525. 18:08segment is disseminated on behalf of our
  526. 18:10Bond Inc. So, what is Bond, Charlie?
  527. 18:13Well, Bond is a personal security
  528. 18:14company. It runs an AI powered platform
  529. 18:17connected to command centers around the
  530. 18:19world, staffed 24 hours a day by trained
  531. 18:22security agents, and you get all of it
  532. 18:24through an app on your phone. The
  533. 18:25company is headquartered here in New
  534. 18:27York and the service is live in 28
  535. 18:29countries in five languages. Think about
  536. 18:31it like this. You're walking to your car
  537. 18:33in a parking garage at night. You could
  538. 18:35put a Bond agent on standby before you
  539. 18:37even step off the elevator. You can have
  540. 18:39Bond track you until you get home. You
  541. 18:41could have a live agent watch over video
  542. 18:42while a stranger is inside your
  543. 18:44apartment, like a repair guy or a
  544. 18:46delivery you weren't expecting. And if
  545. 18:48something actually goes wrong, the agent
  546. 18:50is already watching, already knows where
  547. 18:52you are, and can get police, medics, or
  548. 18:54the fire department moving without you
  549. 18:56having to explain anything. There are 14
  550. 18:58different services inside that one app.
  551. 19:00And beyond the app, Bond also runs an
  552. 19:03airguarding service with first responder
  553. 19:05drones, plus executive protection,
  554. 19:07guarding, and security consulting with
  555. 19:09operations in the US, Israel, and
  556. 19:11France. Now, here's the gap they're
  557. 19:12going after. So, there are roughly 240
  558. 19:15million 911 calls in the US every year.
  559. 19:18And by most estimates, only a fraction
  560. 19:20of those are real emergencies. But
  561. 19:22underneath that, there's a much bigger
  562. 19:24set of moments where people feel unsafe
  563. 19:26and nothing has actually happened yet.
  564. 19:28Walking through a parking garage at
  565. 19:29night, opening the door for a delivery
  566. 19:31you didn't order, sitting in the back of
  567. 19:33a ride share that just turned down the
  568. 19:35wrong street. A Gallup poll found that
  569. 19:37about 40% of Americans say they don't
  570. 19:39feel safe walking alone at night where
  571. 19:41they live. That's well over 100 million
  572. 19:43people. And there's no real product for
  573. 19:45that moment. It's too early to call 911.
  574. 19:47So most people just call a friend who
  575. 19:48can't actually do anything. Personal
  576. 19:50security has always existed, but at $100
  577. 19:52an hour, it was for celebrities and
  578. 19:54executives. Bond's pitch is that it can
  579. 19:56deliver it for about 13 cents a day per
  580. 19:58person. For companies, the argument is
  581. 20:00even more concrete. Businesses have
  582. 20:02spent decades making their building
  583. 20:04secure, but the moment an employee walks
  584. 20:06out the door to a parking lot at 11 at
  585. 20:08night, that protection stops. Estimates
  586. 20:10the company sites put the cost of
  587. 20:12workplace violence at around $2,000 per
  588. 20:15employee per year or roughly $300
  589. 20:17billion a year across American
  590. 20:19businesses. And bond sizes its total
  591. 20:22opportunity, the new preventative market
  592. 20:24plus the existing private security
  593. 20:26market and more than $435 billion. Okay,
  594. 20:29but Charlie, how does it make money?
  595. 20:30Well, Bond sells licenses. A company
  596. 20:33buys a block of them for one team. The
  597. 20:34employees use it and then the company
  598. 20:36comes back for more. Management says
  599. 20:38enterprise retention is around 95% and
  600. 20:41the pattern they describe is land and
  601. 20:43expand. Start with the sales team or the
  602. 20:45night shift, then roll it out across the
  603. 20:47whole workforce and into offices in
  604. 20:49other countries. Earlier this year, one
  605. 20:51of the three biggest telecom companies
  606. 20:53in the US rolled Bond out to one of its
  607. 20:55sales teams in a deal the company says
  608. 20:57could grow past $2 million a year if
  609. 20:59it's adopted across the broader
  610. 21:01workforce. And it's not just companies
  611. 21:03anymore. This year, Bond opened a
  612. 21:05government channel. In June, One City
  613. 21:07bought licenses covering all 270,000 of
  614. 21:10its residents, fully paid for by the
  615. 21:12city. In July, they took the same model
  616. 21:14to higher education with an
  617. 21:15international university covering about
  618. 21:174,000 students, faculty, and staff. And
  619. 21:20also in June, Bond announced a US
  620. 21:22government funded contract that it says
  621. 21:23will add more than $3 million in annual
  622. 21:26recurring revenue once it's deployed.
  623. 21:28According to the company, that's roughly
  624. 21:30a 30% bump to its recurring revenue. And
  625. 21:32the company says that deal could grow a
  626. 21:34lot bigger over time. Now, who's running
  627. 21:36it? Well, the founder and CEO is Doran
  628. 21:38Kemple, a serial tech entrepreneur. The
  629. 21:40two companies he founded before this
  630. 21:42one, both an IT infrastructure, were
  631. 21:44bought by IBM in 2008 and Huelet Packard
  632. 21:46Enterprise in 2017 for a combined value
  633. 21:49of roughly $900 million. According to
  634. 21:51the company, the advisory bench is also
  635. 21:53really deep for a company this size. It
  636. 21:54includes a former US Secretary of
  637. 21:56Commerce, a former director of the
  638. 21:58Secret Service, a former deputy director
  639. 22:00of the FBI, a former New York City
  640. 22:02police commissioner, and a three-star
  641. 22:04Army general. The company says it has
  642. 22:06spent about 8 years and more than $100
  643. 22:08million built in this platform, and it
  644. 22:10has handled about 1.4 million service
  645. 22:13requests and around 10,000 actual
  646. 22:15emergencies. Now, what's new in the last
  647. 22:17month? Well, in October, Bond did a 1
  648. 22:19for20 reverse stock split and got back
  649. 22:21into compliance with NASDAQ's minimum
  650. 22:23price rule. And earlier this month, it
  651. 22:24announced a restructuring that converts
  652. 22:26about $15 million of debt and preferred
  653. 22:28stock into common stock and lines up as
  654. 22:31much as $10 million in new investment.
  655. 22:33The company says that wipes out about
  656. 22:3590% of its stockholders deficit, which
  657. 22:37could clean up the balance sheet quite a
  658. 22:39lot. And the next big date is November
  659. 22:4113th. That's when Bond reports its third
  660. 22:43quarter results before the market opens
  661. 22:45with a business update webinar at 11:00
  662. 22:47a.m. Eastern. That's where you'll want
  663. 22:48to see whether those city and government
  664. 22:50contracts are actually showing up in the
  665. 22:52revenue. Now, it's time to talk about
  666. 22:53some of the risks, and there are some
  667. 22:54real ones. Of course, Bond is a very
  668. 22:56small company at around where it's
  669. 22:57traded right now. The whole company is
  670. 22:59only worth about $3 million over the
  671. 23:01last 12 months. Revenue was about $9.9
  672. 23:04million, roughly flat, and it lost about
  673. 23:06$17.7 million. So, the growth from these
  674. 23:09new contracts still has to actually show
  675. 23:11up. Converting debt into stock and
  676. 23:13raising new money also means a lot more
  677. 23:14shares. And that's dilution for anyone
  678. 23:16who already owns it. And pretty much
  679. 23:18every small cap company gets a ton of
  680. 23:20dilution because these companies are so
  681. 23:21early stage and they need to raise money
  682. 23:23in order to grow into their ambitious
  683. 23:25plans. And I think this one is no
  684. 23:26different. And with a company this
  685. 23:28small, the stock can move a lot on very
  686. 23:30little news in either direction. This
  687. 23:32volatility is something to be aware of.
  688. 23:33Selling a brand new category to
  689. 23:35companies, cities, and governments all
  690. 23:36at once is expensive, and it's never
  691. 23:38guaranteed to work. So, make sure to
  692. 23:39read all of the SEC filings and come to
  693. 23:41your own conclusion. Anyways, to cap it
  694. 23:43off, Bond is a personal security
  695. 23:45company. It runs an AI powered platform
  696. 23:46connected to command centers around the
  697. 23:48world staffed 24 hours a day by trained
  698. 23:50security agents and you get all of it
  699. 23:51through an app on your phone. This
  700. 23:53company's doing some exciting things and
  701. 23:55has already shown some interesting
  702. 23:56results. And if you want to begin doing
  703. 23:58your due diligence into it, I'll put the
  704. 23:59link to the company down below. Anyways,
  705. 24:02have a great rest of your day. We'll see
  706. 24:03you in the next video. Anyways, folks,
  707. 24:05that is it for today. Looks like the sun
  708. 24:07is starting to set here in New York, so
  709. 24:08I'm going to go outside, get some
  710. 24:09dinner. I'll see you in the next

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