4 Stocks On Watch for Monday Morning! — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00What's up everyone? All right, in
- 0:02today's episode, I'm going to break down
- 0:03my watch list for Monday morning and the
- 0:05game plan for the week ahead. After a
- 0:07max loss red day on Friday, where I gave
- 0:10back three times my daily hot market
- 0:12goal, daily hot market goal is 20 grand.
- 0:15I was read $64,000.
- 0:18I now have a little bit of work cut out
- 0:20for me this week to try to get myself
- 0:22back on track. And this is very familiar
- 0:24because this is a repeat of exactly what
- 0:26happened last week. Last Friday, the
- 0:28Friday before, I was read $73,000. And
- 0:31then on Monday, I came back with an
- 0:33$84,000 green day, which was amazing. I
- 0:37don't know that I could hope for
- 0:38something like that again this Monday.
- 0:41It's very unlikely. It really is. But if
- 0:43I can keep my head down, we get a couple
- 0:45good opportunities, I'll chip away at
- 0:47this loss. And the best way to do it
- 0:49initially is to build a cushion with
- 0:51smaller share size. And once I've got a
- 0:53cushion on the day, depending on how big
- 0:55the cushion is, I'll keep trading until
- 0:57that stock rolls over. And then once
- 0:59that stock rolls over, then hands off,
- 1:01take the profit, be grateful for it, and
- 1:03come back and do it again the next day,
- 1:05focusing primarily on trading the
- 1:07leading gainers. But we've noticed that
- 1:10when the leading gainer has made a big
- 1:12move, so I'll give you a little example.
- 1:14So, the leading gainer, let's say 4:00
- 1:15a.m., makes a really big move and then
- 1:19we come down and it's like 7 a.m. here
- 1:21and it's on a pullback. Then sometimes
- 1:24that number one leading gainer, the the
- 1:26one in the top spot. Well, it's not
- 1:28really set up very well, maybe for a
- 1:30curl, but there's a number two or maybe
- 1:32a number three leading gainer that has
- 1:34just come out with breaking news kind of
- 1:36like this did at 7 am and is really
- 1:38squeezing. And that's where people are
- 1:40going to focus. And when that happens,
- 1:42this often kind of fades as the
- 1:44attention shifts to I'll draw it in a
- 1:46different color to the new stock. And so
- 1:48then this one moves from, you know,
- 1:50position three up to two and then
- 1:52eventually could displace the leading
- 1:54gainer. Uh and then when this one rolls
- 1:56over, well then maybe all of a sudden
- 1:58attention comes back and we end up
- 2:00getting a curl on this one back to the
- 2:01high. So traders definitely have this um
- 2:06you know, kind of approach of a little
- 2:08bit of hot potato. you know, jumping on
- 2:10one stock, it looks good, and then the
- 2:12second it doesn't look good, they're off
- 2:13it, looking for the next one, the next
- 2:15one looks good, they're jumping on that.
- 2:16So, a lot of jumping around. And the
- 2:19risk there for us certainly is that when
- 2:22the market is like that, you have to be
- 2:25really careful holding something that's
- 2:26getting extended because if something
- 2:28else pops up, all of a sudden, the
- 2:30attention could shift quickly. That's
- 2:32more likely to happen when they're
- 2:33extended because shorts will sort of see
- 2:35this as like, oh, here's the here's the
- 2:37cue. something else is popping up.
- 2:39Everyone's gonna abandon ship and so you
- 2:42get that shift in sentiment. You'll I'm
- 2:45sure you've noticed that, but if you
- 2:46haven't, look out for it because you're
- 2:48you're going to see it. It happens
- 2:49pretty much every day. [snorts] All
- 2:51right, so um obviously Friday was
- 2:54disappointing. Um a fairly avoidable
- 2:57loss. It really didn't need to be that
- 2:59bad. It should have been just an $18,000
- 3:01red day. Uh but I made matters worse by
- 3:05um you know getting emotionally
- 3:07compromised and continuing to trade in
- 3:09frustration.
- 3:11It's it's a mistake and that was that
- 3:13was my own fault. So uh anyways now I've
- 3:16got this draw down here and I've got to
- 3:18work to recover it. But big picture here
- 3:21last 90 days I'm I'm in a really good
- 3:24spot. So I can tolerate um you know gosh
- 3:27if I couldn't tolerate this kind of draw
- 3:28down I don't know. I wouldn't be able to
- 3:29keep trading at all. Uh, but I could
- 3:31tolerate this. So, I just need to make
- 3:33sure I get back on track on Monday
- 3:34morning. So, um, so now is there
- 3:37anything perhaps before we jump into the
- 3:40watch list to learn from the last seven
- 3:43days? Let's just say the last seven
- 3:44days. Well, maybe let's go back a little
- 3:46bit more. Let's do the last 10 days. Um,
- 3:49this is just sort of, you know, the
- 3:50month of August. Are there themes that
- 3:51we can pick up on here? So, uh, for me
- 3:56clearly, this is one of the worst, um,
- 3:58things that you could see is that I have
- 4:00an inverted profit to loss ratio because
- 4:02I've taken like four or five huge losses
- 4:05and my winners are 6,500, but my losers
- 4:08are 8,400. Uh, that year to date, um,
- 4:13well, let's see, we go just last year,
- 4:15just for example. So, last year, my
- 4:17average losers were $2,000. So, um, you
- 4:20know, just during this little range
- 4:21here, the last 30 days, my average
- 4:24losers have gotten a lot bigger from,
- 4:26you know, just this handful of, uh, big
- 4:28losses. So, my accuracy has remained
- 4:30pretty high, 68 70%, which is good, but
- 4:34those big losses are certainly hurting
- 4:35my my average. Fridays have been really
- 4:37bad. [laughter]
- 4:39Uh, don't know what to say about that.
- 4:41Uh, but it's been really bad. Um, some
- 4:44big losses there after uh 10:00 a.m.
- 4:47something to pay attention to. Price and
- 4:49volume.
- 4:51Um, I don't think there's I think this
- 4:54one for some reason this one just
- 4:56doesn't seem to populate correctly. Um,
- 4:58so anyways, I don't think there's
- 4:59anything there instrument.
- 5:02Uh, [sighs]
- 5:04yeah, I mean I think more than anything
- 5:07um, you know. So, well, let's look at a
- 5:10couple of the stocks that I've lost
- 5:11quite a bit on. So, DSY, STKH, and OFO.
- 5:14So, DSY
- 5:16was Chinese. Uh, STKH
- 5:20was Israeli. Of was a US company. Nami
- 5:26was a Chinese company. Some of my
- 5:28biggest winners, Jwell, this one's
- 5:30Chinese. YXT, that one's uh
- 5:35Let's just double check that. Thought
- 5:38that was Chinese also. Yep, that's
- 5:40Chinese.
- 5:41Um,
- 5:43let's see. Then we've got CLRO, SCT.
- 5:46Now, SCT was a US company. Socket. Um,
- 5:50CLRO,
- 5:52that one is a US company. HY FM, that
- 5:56one's a US company. FRT,
- 6:00Cal, Canadian, not California. RMCF,
- 6:03that's a US company. XHG,
- 6:07that one was Chinese. That was a bit of
- 6:08a wild card. INLF, that one was Chinese.
- 6:12WHG, that was Chinese. WTO, that was
- 6:17Chinese. So, you know, if we just said,
- 6:21"Oh, get rid of all the Chinese." Well,
- 6:23you know, you'd get rid of a lot of the
- 6:24winners, you know, and you'd get rid of
- 6:26this one loser. The loser would be
- 6:27great, but then you'd lose the winners
- 6:28as well. Um, the stock that I've made
- 6:30the most on in total was 61,000. The
- 6:34stock I lost the most on was 52,000.
- 6:38So, just some interesting insights
- 6:39there. Chinese stocks continuing to
- 6:42dominate um the uh the top gainer
- 6:45scanner pretty much each day. Wetto on
- 6:47Friday. And you know, I should have
- 6:50finished up $26,000 on this one, but I
- 6:52went back for it because became
- 6:54emotionally compromised and made some
- 6:56poor decisions. So anyways, um, so then
- 7:00MDHXH,
- 7:02MD, sorry, MDXH,
- 7:05this one, uh, 32 million share float was
- 7:08up on Friday, kind of rolled over. CAPR,
- 7:10this one was easy to borrow. BNL, CAPR
- 7:13is a US company. BNL, Malaysian, WTO,
- 7:17this one was Chinese. Uh, HHS, this was
- 7:20US. Okay. Um, we didn't end up having a
- 7:24penny stock on Friday that did something
- 7:26like XHG did. Um, this is something you
- 7:29definitely want to keep your eyes open
- 7:31for. Um, sub $1 stocks. So, they've got
- 7:34to be below a dollar. Then they squeeze
- 7:37and when they hold above a dollar, pay
- 7:39attention because that was the move that
- 7:41gave us this like nearly 18 well 16
- 7:44point squeeze. It was the same kind of
- 7:45thing that gave us a four-point squeeze
- 7:47on socket. So, just pay attention to
- 7:50those sub um $1 stocks if they can hold
- 7:54over $1 a share. That's something
- 7:56definitely pay attention to. The window
- 7:58for this one was around 9:00 a.m. uh on
- 8:00uh whatever that was, Tuesday,
- 8:02Wednesday. Um XHG that made its big move
- 8:06also a little bit later in the morning.
- 8:07It was around uh 8:40 in the morning. So
- 8:118:40 to 9 9:15 still uh a window where
- 8:15we're seeing a lot of traders
- 8:16participating and um a decent amount of
- 8:19opportunity. So that was that one. Um
- 8:22now for after hours top gainers from
- 8:24Friday uh we didn't have anything that
- 8:26was really big. Uh TRUG this one popped
- 8:28up US company 1 million share float from
- 8:31a dollar to $150. Um was technically
- 8:34below a$1.90 just below a dollar. So,
- 8:38ends up squeezing up here. Um, you know,
- 8:42unfortunately, it's it's hard for me to
- 8:44have high expectations. True golf. Um, I
- 8:48just I don't I don't have any reason to
- 8:51think that this is going to work really
- 8:52well into Monday. Uh, it doesn't really
- 8:54fit the theme or sector. Yes, it's a
- 8:57lower float, but I don't know. I just
- 8:59don't think it's the right one. Sky E if
- 9:02it was Chinese and it was up a bit more
- 9:04but 52% it's not bad but we've seen
- 9:07we've seen better Sky E um this one 22
- 9:11million share floats a little on the
- 9:12higher side 63 cents uh 200 moving
- 9:15average up there around a dollar
- 9:16probably not going to work f this one's
- 9:20again um got a lower float 2.6 6 million
- 9:23shares. Um it, you know, it's not bad.
- 9:27You've got this nice move here. Um but
- 9:30you know, just looking at this, uh UBS
- 9:32AG London branch ETN. I don't know. That
- 9:36seems a little weird. Um
- 9:38see what is this?
- 9:43I'm not sure about that. Um
- 9:49curious about where they are operating.
- 9:54doesn't really look like.
- 9:57We'll check one of the filings here.
- 10:02Um,
- 10:03Japan. Yeah.
- 10:06Huh. So,
- 10:09not totally sure about that one. Um,
- 10:12but, you know, it's a nice price range
- 10:14where you could potentially, if it opens
- 10:16up, get 50 cents or a dollar a share.
- 10:20daily chart. Let's see about this.
- 10:24That's very interesting the way it's
- 10:26just kind of kept like grinding higher
- 10:28there. I'm g switch to a a bigger time
- 10:31frame. Let's go to the one hour.
- 10:36So, we had this move from back here that
- 10:38I wanted to look at.
- 10:40Popped up and came all the way back
- 10:41down. Yeah, I sort of don't think it's
- 10:44going to work. I just I don't know.
- 10:45There's something about this. I'm not
- 10:46really not too sure, but uh I could keep
- 10:49it on watch. Xp, we've traded this one
- 10:52before. Uh popped up here. High is five
- 10:56daily chart definitely has some
- 10:58potential if it can start to curl a
- 11:00little bit more. Uh recent reverse split
- 11:03volume on Friday was just from the after
- 11:05hours move. So that's probably one that
- 11:07closed fairly strong that I would
- 11:09imagine traders might be watching
- 11:13for Monday morning. So, I would put
- 11:15let's see, we'll make a list here. So,
- 11:18um
- 11:19X P O N is on the watch list. Um you
- 11:24know, maybe T R U G, but that's sort of
- 11:28a maybe. Um F I E. You know, I'd watch
- 11:32it, but I I don't really know. This one
- 11:34so far is the one that looks the most
- 11:36interesting. Um, even though the gap's
- 11:39not huge, it's um, you can see it's got
- 11:41nice range from 360 to five, then back
- 11:44down here. So, a pop back up to five,
- 11:46that's 50 cents a share. You know, with
- 11:48a,000 shares, that could be 500 bucks.
- 11:51So, that would be nice. IPS,
- 11:55this one, um, a lower float here, US
- 11:58company, daily chart, a curl setup. I
- 12:02don't think that's too bad. So, I'll put
- 12:04that on here. IPST. The only issue is
- 12:07that um none of these are Chinese, which
- 12:10uh again just in the current theme and
- 12:14market, it's been more the Chinese
- 12:15stocks that give us the big surprise 2
- 12:17three 400% moves.
- 12:19Wetto up little after hours and then
- 12:22these ones are all relatively uh smaller
- 12:25gappers. So yeah, I think that um the
- 12:29name of the game each morning is
- 12:31watching the top gainer scanner, asking
- 12:33yourself what is obvious and looking at
- 12:35the top, you know, three or four, top
- 12:37five, just to see, you know, okay, maybe
- 12:40Wetto's a little extended, we can't
- 12:42trade it here, so let it pull back.
- 12:43Maybe something else in the two or three
- 12:45spot is moving a little faster. That
- 12:47could be the one to watch. Then when
- 12:49that rolls over, maybe attention goes
- 12:51back to the second best. So, you got to
- 12:53kind of look at the scan and ask which
- 12:54of these right now is the best looking
- 12:56stock that most other traders are going
- 12:58to look at and think, "Yeah, this is the
- 12:59one I want to trade." Cuz that's the one
- 13:01that's going to be the cleanest. That's
- 13:02the one that's going to have the most
- 13:03volume and that's where you'll have the
- 13:04liquidity to get in and out of it
- 13:06relatively easily. So, I'll be streaming
- 13:09as always tomorrow morning, 7 a.m.,
- 13:11right? So, make sure you guys, if you
- 13:12haven't already checked out a twoe
- 13:13trial, the link is pinned at the top of
- 13:14the comments and in the description. You
- 13:16can join me watching over my shoulder as
- 13:18I'm trading. And you can also use this
- 13:20same exact software here for charting,
- 13:21scanning, and breaking news. You'll be
- 13:23able to open it um in your browser. So
- 13:25whether you're on a Mac or a PC, doesn't
- 13:27matter. Um you can load it and adjust it
- 13:31as you'd like. You'll have your own
- 13:32installation of it. So basically, this
- 13:34is the same thing that I'm using every
- 13:36day for charting, scanning, breaking
- 13:37news, and it's where we have our chat
- 13:39room and my live audio video broadcast.
- 13:41So I hope you guys check it out. Hope to
- 13:42see you in the chat room tomorrow
- 13:44morning. But I'll remind you as always
- 13:45that trading is risky. My results aren't
- 13:47typical, and there's no guarantee you'll
- 13:48find success whether you trade with me
- 13:50or you learn on your own. So, please
- 13:52manage your risk by practicing in a
- 13:54simulator before putting real money on
- 13:57the line. With that, I'll see you guys
- 13:59bright and early tomorrow morning.
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