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24 октября 2026 г. — Transcript

by Sofia Tokareva · 5,588 words · 845 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01Welcome to lesson five of corporate
  2. 0:04finance. In this class, we're going to
  3. 0:06be covering
  4. 0:09everything about long-term financial
  5. 0:12planning and growth for business
  6. 0:13sustainability.
  7. 0:15It's extremely important that you have
  8. 0:18the awareness as a corporate finance
  9. 0:20manager of the importance of long-term
  10. 0:24in finance. Okay, we're talking about
  11. 0:26finance planning and growth, but in
  12. 0:29finance, the concept of long-term is
  13. 0:32extremely important because it's where
  14. 0:34you allocate the resources and the pro
  15. 0:38the the situation with long-term
  16. 0:40planning and every time that you
  17. 0:42allocate any resources in the long term,
  18. 0:45it represents capital, a substantial
  19. 0:49amount of capital that you are
  20. 0:50investing. Plus the most uh challenging
  21. 0:54part of this is that uh when you
  22. 0:57allocate capital in the long term it's
  23. 0:59extremely difficult to move. Okay, if
  24. 1:02you want to change your plan that's why
  25. 1:03you have to think it very well and too
  26. 1:05much. So whenever you are planning to
  27. 1:07allocate some capital in the long term,
  28. 1:10just try to make sure that the capital
  29. 1:12investment or the budgeting calculation
  30. 1:14that you're doing is the right one
  31. 1:16because changing from that particular
  32. 1:19decision to a decision to another
  33. 1:21decision. Let's say that you want to buy
  34. 1:23an asset, you want to buy a building,
  35. 1:25and then you decided not to buy the
  36. 1:27building, but to buy uh an office space,
  37. 1:30or let's say that you decided to uh
  38. 1:32build or expand your uh floor sales uh
  39. 1:37like you are a business and you want to
  40. 1:38have more uh stores open and then
  41. 1:41suddenly you decided not to but you want
  42. 1:44to go online. Whenever you make those
  43. 1:46decisions, those decision cost money.
  44. 1:48Those decisions are long-term and you
  45. 1:50have to be very aware and this is part
  46. 1:53of the importance. Okay, we're going to
  47. 1:55see the concepts of sustainable internal
  48. 1:57growth rate and we are uh going to check
  49. 2:01on the considerations for building a
  50. 2:04business long-term financial planning.
  51. 2:06Okay.
  52. 2:08So the a financial decision refers to
  53. 2:12decision concerning financial matters of
  54. 2:15a business concern. Decisions regarding
  55. 2:18the scope and magnitude of funds to be
  56. 2:21invested to enable a parent to
  57. 2:23accomplish any goal or the goal that
  58. 2:26they are planning to do. The kind of
  59. 2:28asset that you want to be acquired. Do
  60. 2:29you want to be you want to acquire a
  61. 2:31building? Do you want to acquire a land?
  62. 2:34you want to acquire an office space or
  63. 2:36any other asset. It could be it could be
  64. 2:39a security. Okay. Um um pattern of
  65. 2:44capitalization, pattern of distribution
  66. 2:46of f of firms income and similar other
  67. 2:49matters. It's extremely important that
  68. 2:52those decisions are decisions that are
  69. 2:54very heavily impacted and the um the
  70. 2:58matter of this is not the impact in
  71. 3:00terms of capital only because the
  72. 3:02difficulty to change back those
  73. 3:06decisions that's why you have to make
  74. 3:07sure that if that decision you're taking
  75. 3:09at a particular time it's a decision
  76. 3:12that you took all the considerations to
  77. 3:14make it. So long-term financial planning
  78. 3:17combines financial forecasting. We don't
  79. 3:19guess here in finance probably will take
  80. 3:22a little bit of um what we call
  81. 3:25intuition but b all of the financial
  82. 3:29planning and financial um financial uh
  83. 3:32matters decisions are based on
  84. 3:34forecasting. Okay forecasting with
  85. 3:37strategy it's a collaborative process
  86. 3:40because you have to count on all the
  87. 3:43areas. So if you are a manager, a
  88. 3:46corporate finance manager, probably you
  89. 3:48want to take account, you want to take
  90. 3:49into consideration the legal department,
  91. 3:52you want to take into consideration the
  92. 3:53engineering department, you want to take
  93. 3:55into the accounting department, all the
  94. 3:57department. That's why it's
  95. 3:58collaborative. Okay? So they will have a
  96. 4:01different scope and we will have
  97. 4:03different mindsets to set the possible
  98. 4:05scenarios that we will have. What
  99. 4:08scenarios are we going to have in the
  100. 4:10next year, in the next five years, in
  101. 4:12the next 10 years? When you have
  102. 4:13multiddisciplinary teams, they will come
  103. 4:16up with a better solution. Different
  104. 4:18mindsets, different interest, and
  105. 4:20different way of viewing the future.
  106. 4:23Okay? And of course, it helps business
  107. 4:25to navigate through challenges, which is
  108. 4:27the most important challenges. We're
  109. 4:29going to face it all the time. We we're
  110. 4:31not um we shouldn't be uh afraid or
  111. 4:37scared about challenges what they come
  112. 4:39because they come all the time. The most
  113. 4:41important part is you to be prepared.
  114. 4:44They don't get you by surprise that you
  115. 4:47expect them and if you expect them you
  116. 4:49know how to act and that's the planning
  117. 4:51is so important in here. So if with that
  118. 4:54you must have that included in your
  119. 4:58business strategic plan. I really
  120. 5:01encourage all the students for the
  121. 5:03business that they are uh evaluating for
  122. 5:08the final or the sumitative um
  123. 5:10sumitative assessment the group
  124. 5:12assessment or the individual check on
  125. 5:14the business that you are researching
  126. 5:17the strategic plan. Usually it's not
  127. 5:20very well detailed because it's a
  128. 5:21strategy and who wants to develop an
  129. 5:24exposure the strategy but they will give
  130. 5:26you a few um a few uh hints like for
  131. 5:31instance a Starbucks uh strategic plan
  132. 5:34is to uh expand and develop the
  133. 5:38experience on the clients in the floor
  134. 5:40of their shops. Okay. So they really put
  135. 5:44a lot of effort, resources and planning
  136. 5:47and most of the uh of the resources go
  137. 5:49to having the the customer the great
  138. 5:52experience having a coffee in one of
  139. 5:54their shops. Okay. Try to um try to um
  140. 5:59expand your knowledge in here. Try to
  141. 6:01see what the strategic plan is and see
  142. 6:03how the long-term concept copes in
  143. 6:06there. Okay. So financial planners is a
  144. 6:08plus of aligning the business financial
  145. 6:11capacity. the financial capacity it's or
  146. 6:14the expected capacity because you can
  147. 6:16have a capacity today and maybe next
  148. 6:19year because of some decisions that
  149. 6:21you're taking it could be bigger
  150. 6:24hopefully or can be smaller because you
  151. 6:26want to be more efficient. It would
  152. 6:28depends on the strategy at this point.
  153. 6:30Whatever decision big or small the most
  154. 6:33important part is that you expect the
  155. 6:35particular size. Okay. And it has to be
  156. 6:37aligned the long-term objective which is
  157. 6:40the business strategy with the financial
  158. 6:42capacity plan. You have to adjust that.
  159. 6:45If you is there is a mismatch there you
  160. 6:48will have if you don't have enough
  161. 6:50financial resources to um to cover your
  162. 6:54strategic plan that's going to be
  163. 6:56trouble because you're not going to be
  164. 6:58able to execute what you're planning to
  165. 7:00do in order to grow. And on the other
  166. 7:03hand, if you have the resources but not
  167. 7:05the planning, then you will have idle
  168. 7:07resources which means you're losing time
  169. 7:10and you're losing money. Okay. The main
  170. 7:12objective of financial planning and I
  171. 7:13want you to open your mind regarding
  172. 7:16this because we talked now about health
  173. 7:19financial health of the business how the
  174. 7:22business how can you assess the business
  175. 7:24the corporate finance manager we we have
  176. 7:26covered all of those term. But in
  177. 7:28finance, the concept of long short-term
  178. 7:32planning is good. It's something really
  179. 7:33good. But short-term planning, you can
  180. 7:35change it really fast. Okay? The impact
  181. 7:37in the company is not that matter that
  182. 7:41big. But in the long term, you have to
  183. 7:43make sure that you know exactly where
  184. 7:45you're going or at least you have a very
  185. 7:47good sense of where you're going.
  186. 7:48Because the main objective of financial
  187. 7:51planning is that sufficient funds should
  188. 7:53be available in the company for the
  189. 7:56different purposes that you have decided
  190. 7:58for the company to be like if you want
  191. 8:00to buy a building, [snorts] you must
  192. 8:03have the cash flow to buy that
  193. 8:05particular business. Especially if you
  194. 8:07want to finance that. Okay. of you want
  195. 8:10to meet your day-to-day expenses. In
  196. 8:13other words, it ensures timely
  197. 8:17available resources especially financial
  198. 8:21resources which is that we're talking
  199. 8:23about uh to meet whatever the
  200. 8:25expectations are.
  201. 8:28So the
  202. 8:30financial decisions also refers to
  203. 8:32decision concerning financial matters of
  204. 8:35a business regarding the magnitude of
  205. 8:37funds to be invested to enable a field
  206. 8:41to accomplish their ultimate goal. The
  207. 8:45ultimate goal is where do they want to
  208. 8:47be? Strategic plan. Where do you want to
  209. 8:50be in order to expand your business in
  210. 8:53order to sustain your business over
  211. 8:55time? the kind of assets to be acquired.
  212. 8:59Probably if you are in the manu car
  213. 9:00manufacturing business, you are not
  214. 9:02going to spend money in diesel uh and
  215. 9:05diesel uh features for cars. Probably
  216. 9:08you're going to spend it in electric or
  217. 9:10something echofriendly pattern of
  218. 9:12capitalization, distribution of firm
  219. 9:14income among among others. So launch of
  220. 9:17financial planning combines forecasting
  221. 9:20with the strategy. Okay, as we say it's
  222. 9:23a very highly collaborative process and
  223. 9:26the most important part in planning is
  224. 9:29to anticipate all the possible future
  225. 9:33scenarios. So whenever though one of
  226. 9:35those scenarios shows up in a particular
  227. 9:38moment then you have all the way plan
  228. 9:42and the planning to execute in order to
  229. 9:45achieve the goal because you as a
  230. 9:47finance manager you don't take excuses
  231. 9:50and they don't take excuses for you. You
  232. 9:52have to plan ahead forecast understand
  233. 9:55what to do it and try to prepare with
  234. 9:58all the possible scenario. There are
  235. 9:59some scenarios of course that you cannot
  236. 10:02anticipate like for instance the COVID
  237. 10:0419. Um you cannot anticipate September
  238. 10:0811 for some of the fin or or the
  239. 10:10financial service industry um crisis in
  240. 10:142008 in the United States and in 2007 in
  241. 10:19Europe. So those are the uh things that
  242. 10:22you could not anticipate way in advance.
  243. 10:25for those things. Of course, it's
  244. 10:28extremely rare to have it. But uh for
  245. 10:32most of the time, you have to understand
  246. 10:36what are the challenges that the
  247. 10:38business is going to face in the future.
  248. 10:41And what we mean by the future is not
  249. 10:43next year or not two years from now.
  250. 10:46It's at least from five to 10 years. So
  251. 10:49you can navigate through those
  252. 10:50challenges and take it and you cannot
  253. 10:55dev deviate you cannot take away or go
  254. 10:58on the side of what it's planned for the
  255. 11:01business because your plan is one. Okay,
  256. 11:04you have one strategy and that strategy
  257. 11:07has to survive no matter what. Okay. So,
  258. 11:10long-term financial plan is you align
  259. 11:13the business financial capacity or
  260. 11:15expected capacity with long-term
  261. 11:17objective or strategy.
  262. 11:20So, um
  263. 11:22in order for businesses
  264. 11:26uh to be competitive,
  265. 11:28they must tailor a long-term sustain
  266. 11:34sustainable strategy. Like for instance
  267. 11:37applying a prudent and integrated
  268. 11:41financial planning approach that
  269. 11:43identifies and manages risk of the
  270. 11:47business long-term health and credit
  271. 11:50rates. It's extremely important that you
  272. 11:54identify and not only identify you
  273. 11:57anticipate identify anticipate and
  274. 12:00manage the risk
  275. 12:03and what kind type of risk will your
  276. 12:05business face in the long term. Okay?
  277. 12:08You don't want to you don't want to risk
  278. 12:10your health and you don't want to risk
  279. 12:12your credit rating. The business credit
  280. 12:15rating revi it's a a term that it's used
  281. 12:20to beat
  282. 12:22businesses h in the public they are
  283. 12:25rated they are rated by independent
  284. 12:27credit rating agencies like standard and
  285. 12:31poor or fish they give the businesses a
  286. 12:34grade depending on different things okay
  287. 12:37and that that grade is called credit
  288. 12:40rating and credit rating is a highly
  289. 12:43reputable
  290. 12:44grade that these particular businesses
  291. 12:47have. You want to maintain your credit
  292. 12:50rating. Okay. Um the long-term financial
  293. 12:53planning, the long-term as we mentioned
  294. 12:55it involves more it's more uncertain
  295. 12:58than the short run because in the short
  296. 13:00term you can make changes really quick.
  297. 13:03The impact are very low and you can
  298. 13:06anticipate and maneuver but in the long
  299. 13:08term you cannot. Okay? So when you have
  300. 13:11uncertainty in the long term, you have
  301. 13:14additional risk there. Okay? Additional
  302. 13:17risk to project and the decisions that
  303. 13:19are involved in that particular um in
  304. 13:23that particular project. Okay. How would
  305. 13:27you like to approach your survival or
  306. 13:30your business survival with your
  307. 13:32competitors?
  308. 13:34That's something that you have to
  309. 13:36analyze and put it in a piece of paper
  310. 13:38in your strategic plan, in your
  311. 13:40transformational strategy, in your
  312. 13:43operational strategy. You have to put it
  313. 13:45there, understand what to do. But no
  314. 13:48matter what, you have to survive and you
  315. 13:52have to stay outstanding to your
  316. 13:54competition. Think about businesses like
  317. 13:57Amazon. They are constantly growing.
  318. 14:01Think about businesses like Netflix.
  319. 14:04Think about businesses like Apple that
  320. 14:06they are constantly innovated. Think
  321. 14:09about businesses like um like uh
  322. 14:14I could think about maybe Tesla. Okay,
  323. 14:18they are always innovating about their
  324. 14:21cars. Okay. Uh big businesses,
  325. 14:24businesses that stand out in the in the
  326. 14:27in the market. Nintendo they are always
  327. 14:31innovating. Sony always innovated to be
  328. 14:34sustainable and then to survive among
  329. 14:37the competitors because the competition
  330. 14:39is coming really strong.
  331. 14:43So the finance manager has to exercise
  332. 14:47prudence and all of the skills whenever
  333. 14:51they are taking long-term financial
  334. 14:54decisions because whatever decision they
  335. 14:56take if they take it without prudence
  336. 14:58and without any other assessment of what
  337. 15:02the pros and the cons are they will
  338. 15:05affect the financial health of the
  339. 15:07enterprise over a long term. So bad
  340. 15:11decisions making without judgment,
  341. 15:14without a complete assessment could
  342. 15:17impact the business long term. Okay? If
  343. 15:20you buy an asset that it's being costly
  344. 15:23and you're not going to be using that's
  345. 15:25going to impact your cash flow and
  346. 15:27you're not going to be able to use that
  347. 15:29particular money to do something else
  348. 15:31because it's compromised to a particular
  349. 15:33debt. Okay. So some of the things that
  350. 15:37um that I want you to consider in here
  351. 15:40is the factors that managers have to
  352. 15:43face and the first um uh factor is the
  353. 15:46external factor. External factors
  354. 15:48whenever you have a business you have to
  355. 15:50consider them. There are environmental
  356. 15:52factors that are not in control of the
  357. 15:56manager. Okay? like the economy, the
  358. 15:59phase, the the cycle, the business cycle
  359. 16:02or the cycle that the economy is seeing,
  360. 16:05uh how the capital markets are
  361. 16:07structured, are they developed and they
  362. 16:09are underdeveloped, they're regulatory,
  363. 16:12are they heavily regulated or not? Okay,
  364. 16:15regarding everything that it comes to
  365. 16:18here uh investor expectations in terms
  366. 16:21of safety, liquidity, profitability or
  367. 16:24lending policies or financial
  368. 16:26institution and other
  369. 16:29uh factors whenever they make decision
  370. 16:31that the financial manager has to make
  371. 16:34is the internal factors. They are
  372. 16:36related to the internal conditions of
  373. 16:38the firm. What's the purpose of the
  374. 16:41firm? What's the nature, the age of the
  375. 16:43firm? The older the firm it's supposed
  376. 16:47to have more experience. Okay. So just
  377. 16:49to make sure that if you're a new
  378. 16:51business probably you will have to make
  379. 16:54some consideration if you are a startup.
  380. 16:56Okay. The ownership the asset structure
  381. 16:59the liquidity position. Do you have
  382. 17:01enough cash to cover your cash flow if
  383. 17:04you are a new business? Where are you
  384. 17:07how are you going to finance that? The
  385. 17:09expected return the recent cost. the
  386. 17:12attitude of madame all of that are
  387. 17:15internal factors that you can certainly
  388. 17:18some of them are shortterm some of them
  389. 17:19are long term but they are in control of
  390. 17:22the business okay it's extremely
  391. 17:24important that you can take into
  392. 17:26consideration when making a planning a
  393. 17:28sensible and sensitive and a very um
  394. 17:33open-minded plan and very realistic plan
  395. 17:36challenge but realistic because you have
  396. 17:38to take into cons into consideration the
  397. 17:40external and the internal Usually in the
  398. 17:42external factors you can go with
  399. 17:45resources and tools like the SW
  400. 17:47analysis. There are great analysis to
  401. 17:51make assessment of what it's outside and
  402. 17:53in the internal factors probably you
  403. 17:55will take an an um some other tools like
  404. 18:00the Brio which uh tells you this is for
  405. 18:04strategy right that tells you if you pro
  406. 18:06if your if your business has a
  407. 18:09competitive advantage in terms of uh uh
  408. 18:13innovation rarity creates value and
  409. 18:16things like that. So try to make sure
  410. 18:18that you do a great assessment of where
  411. 18:20you are and from there you start
  412. 18:22planning in the long term base and
  413. 18:25adjust to the resources financial
  414. 18:27resources that you have available.
  415. 18:33So uh long-term financial planning
  416. 18:36provides tools and information that will
  417. 18:41help management
  418. 18:43taking decisions regarding taking
  419. 18:47decisions and anticipate. Remember that
  420. 18:49the the situation here we're not here
  421. 18:52executors of situations. We are not
  422. 18:56operational here. We are strategy
  423. 18:59people. We are people that we have to
  424. 19:01anticipate and try to anticipate all the
  425. 19:04matters that it can come all the
  426. 19:06situations that can appear. Of course,
  427. 19:08we are not um we don't have magic in our
  428. 19:11hands and we are not 100% certain but
  429. 19:15that's why we have a multicultural and
  430. 19:17multitask team. So we can all have a
  431. 19:20very nice brainstorming and come up with
  432. 19:22a very nice solution. Okay. So in here
  433. 19:26we could understand exactly what are the
  434. 19:28capital requirements for the projects
  435. 19:31that we want to uh build in order to be
  436. 19:34sustainable and when we talk sustainable
  437. 19:36is economic sustainable. We will set
  438. 19:39exercise to invest to invest in the
  439. 19:42right projects the right projects that
  440. 19:44are aligned with our strategy and of
  441. 19:47course our strategy has to be very much
  442. 19:49aligned with what the market is
  443. 19:51demanding. And if the market is not
  444. 19:53demanding, we can create a particular
  445. 19:56need for that market. But for that, it's
  446. 20:00some resources that we have to make some
  447. 20:02extra thinking. It provide managers
  448. 20:04resources to come with the right capital
  449. 20:06mix. Okay, it's extremely important. We
  450. 20:09will see a full chapter about capital
  451. 20:11structure. Uh if whether we're going to
  452. 20:13use bonds, equity, loans, retain
  453. 20:15earnings and help to prevent or
  454. 20:18anticipate future challenges. extremely
  455. 20:20important that you understand that this
  456. 20:22is a the core part. You can do all the
  457. 20:25calculations that you want but the most
  458. 20:27important part is that when you do the
  459. 20:29calculations is to understand why are
  460. 20:32you deviate from your core or from your
  461. 20:36particular strategy. If you are deviate
  462. 20:38something in here did not go well and
  463. 20:41this is something that you have to
  464. 20:42analyze. So the efficient use of the
  465. 20:44financial resources mean more resources
  466. 20:47to other investments are available to
  467. 20:49increase the value of the business
  468. 20:51because do not lose the sense of this
  469. 20:54course. This is a course that we are
  470. 20:56oriented in forprofit business and
  471. 20:59whatever we do as a corporate finance
  472. 21:02manager is to create value for the
  473. 21:05stockholders. That's that's our main
  474. 21:07purpose. Create value. And by creating
  475. 21:10value means create value in terms of
  476. 21:13economic resources. If we want to create
  477. 21:15something that is not economic, at least
  478. 21:18something that it it would enhance our
  479. 21:20reputation like building school for poor
  480. 21:24communities. That's not going to give us
  481. 21:26a dollar in there, but reputationally it
  482. 21:29will work. So this is part of long-term
  483. 21:32financial planning for business. Of
  484. 21:34course, this is non-economical. This is
  485. 21:36more reputational, but this is part of
  486. 21:39the long-term financing and requires, of
  487. 21:41course, money. It requires resources and
  488. 21:45we have to anticipate and understand
  489. 21:48that we have to take the resources from
  490. 21:50our own pockets. Okay. So, we have two
  491. 21:54ways of understanding
  492. 21:57the the this type of growth. Okay. We
  493. 22:01have to grow no matter what. We have to
  494. 22:04grow in order to be sustainable,
  495. 22:06economically sustainable. If we stay
  496. 22:09stuck, we will die. The business will
  497. 22:11die. And this is something that we don't
  498. 22:13like. This is what happened to
  499. 22:15Blockbuster for instance in a particular
  500. 22:18term, a game bo game the game uh store,
  501. 22:23but especially Blockbuster. You remember
  502. 22:25Blockbuster was a video um a video store
  503. 22:29very successful in the United States and
  504. 22:33most of the country was a huge a very
  505. 22:36nice business they were pioneers in the
  506. 22:38market they were pioneers in the
  507. 22:40industry they were very innovative but
  508. 22:43you know what happened they stuck with
  509. 22:44the business model they didn't evolve
  510. 22:47okay so we have to grow and this is the
  511. 22:50most important part whenever you analyze
  512. 22:52a business okay when you analyze the
  513. 22:54business you must understand that this
  514. 22:56business in their core has to have a
  515. 22:59particular way of thinking how are they
  516. 23:01going to grow okay if you don't if a
  517. 23:04business doesn't grow they're going to
  518. 23:05die and I just provide you with an
  519. 23:07example so we have two ways of uh
  520. 23:09calculating or getting funds for growing
  521. 23:13the first one is the internal growth
  522. 23:15rate and refers to growth rate growth
  523. 23:21being bigger that it supported only with
  524. 23:25internal resources, no external
  525. 23:28financing. Okay? They only take the
  526. 23:32retain earnings. So the net profits that
  527. 23:36the business did in the income
  528. 23:39statement. Remember the last line there
  529. 23:42is the net income. Part of that net
  530. 23:46income is given to stockholders in the
  531. 23:50form of dividends which is the profit
  532. 23:52and the other part is reinvested. That
  533. 23:55part reinvested it's retain earnings. So
  534. 23:59in the internal growth rate we are
  535. 24:01counting on our own resources. We are
  536. 24:04not talking on external financing. Okay.
  537. 24:07So a company maximum internal growth
  538. 24:10rate is the highest level of business
  539. 24:14operations that can continue to fund and
  540. 24:18grow the company. It's important for
  541. 24:21startups since it measures the ability
  542. 24:24of the company to increase sales and
  543. 24:27profit without issuing new stock or
  544. 24:32finding new investors. Okay, it's
  545. 24:35extremely important and most of you who
  546. 24:37I know they want to be entrepreneurs.
  547. 24:39It's extremely important that you know
  548. 24:41this that you this resources that you
  549. 24:44find had to come from internal finance
  550. 24:49from the owners of the particular um of
  551. 24:53the particular business. So internal
  552. 24:55growth can be generated by organic
  553. 24:58growth which is adding new product lines
  554. 25:01or expanding the existing one. But in
  555. 25:04any other way the formula it's a very
  556. 25:07simple formula which is return on asset
  557. 25:11times retention rate which is the
  558. 25:15retention rate that you have from from
  559. 25:18the dividends divided by 1 minus return
  560. 25:21on asset times the uh retention rate. So
  561. 25:25this is a a formula that depends on the
  562. 25:28expected or the return on assets. the uh
  563. 25:32retention rate and the difference
  564. 25:35between that. So the drivers on the
  565. 25:37external growth rates are the increase
  566. 25:41or decrease an increase in the retention
  567. 25:45rate. Okay, which is in here or a
  568. 25:49decrease in the dividend payout which is
  569. 25:52this. Okay, the dividend payout. So um
  570. 25:58they show how the company can use the
  571. 26:03resources for more efficient and
  572. 26:06effective use to generate internal
  573. 26:09growth. Like um some companies can use
  574. 26:13like manufacturing companies they can
  575. 26:15use their own resources in their own
  576. 26:18production progress to optimize
  577. 26:19machinery and labor hours. They can do
  578. 26:22labor hours for that. Okay. they can use
  579. 26:24that to boost productivity. So the
  580. 26:27internal growth rate it's growing with
  581. 26:30your own resources. You don't use
  582. 26:32external financing and the formula it's
  583. 26:36depends on retention rate and the
  584. 26:38dividend payout. How much are you from
  585. 26:40the earnings are you retaining for
  586. 26:43reinvesting and how much are you paying
  587. 26:45for payout ratio.
  588. 26:51So uh the sustainable uh we're coming up
  589. 26:53with a sustainable growth rate. It's the
  590. 26:56opposite. The sustainable growth rate is
  591. 27:00the rate of growth that can expect to
  592. 27:02see in the long term. It's an indicator
  593. 27:06of the what the company is in in what
  594. 27:09cycle is it is it the company. Uh the
  595. 27:13growth ratio is used by creditors to
  596. 27:16determine the likelihood of a company to
  597. 27:18default of his loan. The high growth
  598. 27:20rate might indicate that the company is
  599. 27:22focusing on research and development and
  600. 27:26net present value positive projects
  601. 27:28which might delay the repayment of debt.
  602. 27:31A high growth rate company is generally
  603. 27:33considered riskier and is likely to see
  604. 27:36greater earnings volatility from a
  605. 27:39period. Okay. So retention rate it's the
  606. 27:42sustainable um growth rate it's from
  607. 27:46externals. Okay. It's extremely
  608. 27:49important that it's from external and
  609. 27:52the formula it's sustain for sustainable
  610. 27:55growth rate it's retention rate times
  611. 27:58return on equity. It's extremely easy.
  612. 28:01Okay, we calculate the return on equity
  613. 28:03and the return the retention rate. It's
  614. 28:07one minus the dividends pay. Okay. In in
  615. 28:12one or the others, one minor the or the
  616. 28:14net income minus the dividend divided by
  617. 28:17the net income.
  618. 28:21So h for um
  619. 28:25what's the main difference? We we have
  620. 28:27it very clear but I want to put it in a
  621. 28:30very nice slide. The main difference
  622. 28:32between internal and sustainable globe
  623. 28:36grid are um
  624. 28:40uh are uh how are they going to uh get
  625. 28:45the financing? Is it going to get it
  626. 28:48from internal or for external? Okay. Uh
  627. 28:51are are they going to borrow or are they
  628. 28:55going to use their own fundings?
  629. 28:58uh external finances it's allowed but
  630. 29:01only in the proportion of current
  631. 29:04capital mix. The formula of sustainable
  632. 29:07growth rate is similar to the internal
  633. 29:09growth growth rate. The thing is that
  634. 29:12you don't use a return on asset but use
  635. 29:15return on equity. Okay.
  636. 29:17One assumes no external financing.
  637. 29:20sustainable assumes some external
  638. 29:24financing not to deteriorate the debt to
  639. 29:27equity ratio. So these are like kind of
  640. 29:30a exercises that you want to do with
  641. 29:32your firm. When you do long-term
  642. 29:34planning, uh long-term planning, think
  643. 29:37in long-term planning about uh making
  644. 29:40your firm sustainable over time, making
  645. 29:42a financial financial h financially um
  646. 29:49uh how do you say financially uh calm,
  647. 29:53clear, settled, stable. Okay? And for
  648. 29:57that you can grow your business. Okay?
  649. 30:00Because in order to be to you want to
  650. 30:03plan fine but you want to plan to grow
  651. 30:06you want to plan to stay still you know
  652. 30:08so you can plan with your own resources
  653. 30:11or with your external resources
  654. 30:14depending on what you want to do so
  655. 30:15depending on what the business objective
  656. 30:17is as I mentioned the news usually
  657. 30:19startups are more internal the ones that
  658. 30:22are businesses that are more
  659. 30:24consolidated are more traditional are
  660. 30:27more sustainable
  661. 30:31So uh we have here a small example okay
  662. 30:35we have example of big bow baby it's a
  663. 30:38retail store remember we have to put
  664. 30:40everything in context it was created in
  665. 30:42the 2017 and upper management is
  666. 30:45interesting in knowing the business
  667. 30:47sustainable growth rates for the past
  668. 30:49years so we have some selected financial
  669. 30:52data criteria that was provided by the
  670. 30:55CFO of the business okay We have the
  671. 30:58dividend per share. We have the number
  672. 31:00of common share outstanding. Uh we have
  673. 31:02the dividend payout, the net income, the
  674. 31:05retention rate. And then we have some
  675. 31:08information here to calculate the
  676. 31:10sustainable growth rates. Okay. So when
  677. 31:13we want to understand from 2017 through
  678. 31:1620 uh 20 when we do the calculator based
  679. 31:20on the formula that we show you we say
  680. 31:22that the sustainable growth rate it's
  681. 31:2510% in 2007
  682. 31:289% 8% and again 10% in 2020. So when we
  683. 31:34get uh when we want to make an a small
  684. 31:38assessment and it's a generalization
  685. 31:40from the perspective of internal um from
  686. 31:44internal manager point of view I would
  687. 31:46say that the business more or less has a
  688. 31:50sustainable growth rate from nine to
  689. 31:5410%. Okay, year over year. This is the
  690. 31:57way that they calculate it. Okay, you
  691. 31:59have the information how to calculate in
  692. 32:02the in the past slide. You can try and
  693. 32:05do the exercises. Okay, so to further
  694. 32:08understand the health of a business, uh
  695. 32:10the sustainable growth rate should be
  696. 32:13compared with the number of companies
  697. 32:15that operate in the same industry. I as
  698. 32:18we mentioned in the interest ratios in
  699. 32:20the few lessons back there's nothing
  700. 32:23this information tells you that the
  701. 32:26business is consistent and is constant
  702. 32:29but it doesn't say anything that let's
  703. 32:32say in 2010 the business uh uh the
  704. 32:36retail business grew 20% and you only
  705. 32:39grew as a business 10%. Why businesses,
  706. 32:43why investors want to put money on you
  707. 32:44if they have better returns in another
  708. 32:46place. Okay, some of the film in the
  709. 32:49interest see ratios that are lower than
  710. 32:53uh the big bow baby. Okay, the business
  711. 32:56is growing quickly and outperforming its
  712. 32:59competitors. Just check on that. Okay.
  713. 33:02Uh check on that. Okay. Uh so sometimes
  714. 33:06um
  715. 33:08uh sometimes you have to see that uh
  716. 33:13probably do you want to make sure that
  717. 33:15the business it's um it's a it's a
  718. 33:18business that it's comparable to some of
  719. 33:21the business of their particular or some
  720. 33:25of the business of their particular
  721. 33:26field. Okay, understand this concept.
  722. 33:30Okay.
  723. 33:34So, how what are the considerations when
  724. 33:36you want to build a long-term plan?
  725. 33:38Okay. When you want to build a long-term
  726. 33:40plan, you have to understand the total
  727. 33:43capital requirements. How much money are
  728. 33:45you going to be needing,
  729. 33:47you're have to make a very nice
  730. 33:49assessment of the type of project where
  731. 33:51you want to put the money in. Okay? And
  732. 33:54where you want to put the money has to
  733. 33:56be perfectly aligned with your business.
  734. 33:58If you are in the hospitality business
  735. 34:01pro most likely you're not going to
  736. 34:03spend in a electric plan okay business
  737. 34:07you'll have to sp spend something that
  738. 34:09is regarding to the business it has to
  739. 34:12come with the resources of managers to
  740. 34:15come with the right capitals bond equity
  741. 34:18bond loan or retainer so the efficient
  742. 34:21use of uh financial resources mean more
  743. 34:25resources to other investments to
  744. 34:27increase the value of the business
  745. 34:29shares and help to prevent or anticipate
  746. 34:33future challenge. It's extremely
  747. 34:34important that we do a very nice
  748. 34:37thinking before executing anything.
  749. 34:42Some of the
  750. 34:44uh the considerations that long-term
  751. 34:46plan should include it's the time
  752. 34:48horizon is more than a year. It's
  753. 34:50between five and 10. There are some
  754. 34:52industry that require more than 10
  755. 34:54years. Those are that are capital
  756. 34:56intensive like uh oil exploration they
  757. 34:59have a very longer timeline the
  758. 35:02dimension okay the scope that you're
  759. 35:04going to be using okay and the
  760. 35:05appropriate funds that you're going to
  761. 35:06be using control and monitor you want to
  762. 35:09control and monitor that plan okay you
  763. 35:11need to make sure that the plan is not
  764. 35:13deviated from the original plan and if
  765. 35:17it's deviate deviated you want to make
  766. 35:19sure that it corrects in the short term
  767. 35:22okay do not leave it longer longer than
  768. 35:24that. So you have to do the internal and
  769. 35:26external analysis of the financial
  770. 35:28environment out there where who are you
  771. 35:31are competing with? What are you facing
  772. 35:32internally? Do you have the resources?
  773. 35:35Is borrowing a lot? Is borrowing
  774. 35:37expensive? Is borrowing cheap? It's uh
  775. 35:41how is the the the
  776. 35:44financial environment is are we in a
  777. 35:46contraction in an expansionary period?
  778. 35:48How we are how we going to operate and
  779. 35:50based on that you make the planning
  780. 35:52decisions. Okay. is debt affordable.
  781. 35:56Okay, it's more equity affordable and
  782. 35:58you decide do you want to have uh that
  783. 36:02particular those particular planning uh
  784. 36:06in in height. No, you want to give them
  785. 36:08visibility. Okay, you want to show
  786. 36:10people where you are internally. Okay,
  787. 36:14you don't want to show your strategy to
  788. 36:16competitors because you don't want
  789. 36:17people to compete with your strategy
  790. 36:19with all your resources. But you want to
  791. 36:22give the stakeholder certain visibility
  792. 36:24and you want to know where you find that
  793. 36:26visibility in the annual report. So
  794. 36:28whenever you do the sumitative
  795. 36:30assessments just check and take a look
  796. 36:32of the annual report. Think about the
  797. 36:34business that you want to develop and
  798. 36:35from there we will see how it goes and
  799. 36:39exactly in details where the funds are
  800. 36:41going to go. The planning should say
  801. 36:43where the funds are going to go, how
  802. 36:45much are they going to cost, where they
  803. 36:46are, where they apply, and if they were
  804. 36:50not spent, why were they not spent in
  805. 36:53full? Because you don't want to you
  806. 36:55don't want to have mistakes h under
  807. 36:57budget. You don't want to go have
  808. 36:59mistakes over budget, but you want to
  809. 37:01make sure that whatever you allocate,
  810. 37:04you spend it. Okay. So um from
  811. 37:09from the perspective uh these are the
  812. 37:12two terms of course the financial
  813. 37:13planning is a it's a extremely important
  814. 37:17task for a financial manager. There are
  815. 37:19some considerations that they're going
  816. 37:21to have. I explained you some of the
  817. 37:22impacts that happens if the um financial
  818. 37:27manager does not take the right
  819. 37:28considerations or the right assessment
  820. 37:31whenever they make decisions and for
  821. 37:33that they have to think of uh growing.
  822. 37:37Okay. Whatever plan they do they have to
  823. 37:39make they have to expand. You can
  824. 37:41expand. A business can expand in so in
  825. 37:43many ways. They can expand by acquiring
  826. 37:46new businesses, by expanding the line of
  827. 37:49businesses, by developing new products,
  828. 37:52by uh buying new products and
  829. 37:55incorporated by merger. They can expand
  830. 37:58many ways, but the way that they want to
  831. 37:59expand is fine. It doesn't matter. They
  832. 38:02have to grow. Business have to grow for
  833. 38:04sustainability. And you can do that by
  834. 38:07using your own resources by calculating
  835. 38:10this the internal growth rate or using
  836. 38:13your sustainable growth rate by asking
  837. 38:15for external resources
  838. 38:18um um the um external resources that you
  839. 38:24want to uh incorporate in your business.
  840. 38:27Okay. So from here, I want you to open
  841. 38:29your mind, expand your mind, think big,
  842. 38:32look the business from 10,000 miles up,
  843. 38:36look down, and from there start planning
  844. 38:39and making decisions for your own
  845. 38:41business.

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