중국 2030년까지 AI데이터센터 5배 더 짓는다 한국 증시 수혜 종목 분석 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:01Hello. I am a small-cap investor.
- 0:04Today is Sunday. On this Sunday morning
- 0:07, my interest
- 0:10is on Telegram. With 15,000 followers,
- 0:14the channel is doing well. Someone
- 0:16shared this, so I took a look, and
- 0:19yesterday news came out that South Korea
- 0:22is racing to build AI data centers.
- 0:25I checked the content, and it said they
- 0:28would increase capacity by a massive
- 0:30fivefold. So, I decided to make a video
- 0:33about it. I saw in the comments that the
- 0:37microphone sound wasn't very clear.
- 0:40So, I bought a new microphone this time
- 0:43. It's like a condenser mic,
- 0:47so I hope the sound quality improves,
- 0:49and I apologize for any inconvenience
- 0:52caused.
- 0:54Let's briefly go over the news and
- 0:58comments. Here is the news.
- 1:02It seems it aired on the TBS 9 o'clock
- 1:04news. The 9 o'clock news reports an
- 1:06aggressive expansion of infrastructure.
- 1:08It mentions "abundant electricity."
- 1:11This is all solar power. It's incredibly
- 1:14convenient since China has a lot of land
- 1:17. They have a lot of land, especially in
- 1:19the west, and the rivers.
- 1:21They are installing solar panels there,
- 1:24and the same goes for wind power in the
- 1:27west.
- 1:28Both the front and back of these solar
- 1:31panels require PET films.
- 1:34Films are used in all of them, so the
- 1:37current expectation is
- 1:42not just for GCL, a famous Korean solar
- 1:44company, but various solar companies.
- 1:49CSI, a Nasdaq-listed company with large
- 1:52factories, is also involved. They are
- 1:55also making solar panels
- 1:58directly.
- 2:02So, they say they are expanding AI
- 2:04infrastructure.
- 2:06Inside these data centers, on every wall
- 2:11and floor, there are films, specifically
- 2:15heat dissipation films, and there are
- 2:19chips, and high-end chips.
- 2:23They naturally require heat dissipation
- 2:25.
- 2:31The same applies to MLCCs.
- 2:36For CC film, you attach and detach it.
- 2:43But in the manufacturing process,
- 2:48currently, S Electric's costs
- 2:52if it passes the test, my expectations
- 2:57if it doesn't...
- 3:03They are currently testing it, and even
- 3:06if it's lacking, they might pass the
- 3:08call test.
- 3:10If they do, why would it be a positive
- 3:12factor?
- 3:15Because in the CCC, S Electric is the
- 3:18top...
- 3:22When going to sell MLCCs to companies
- 3:24like those in China or Japan, they say
- 3:26they check if the product is used in S
- 3:28Electric.
- 3:30It hasn't entered yet, but until...
- 3:35Until...
- 3:49Renewable energy like solar or ESS is
- 3:54the same.
- 3:57The secondary battery sector.
- 4:00The good thing about China is its
- 4:02balanced development strategy. The
- 4:05conclusion for the inland regions is...
- 4:09Looking at the US, for example, Texas,
- 4:12there are existing industrial and
- 4:15residential complexes,
- 4:20and they were built right next to them.
- 4:25First of all, the noise, the noise is
- 4:27severe.
- 4:31Electricity rates rise.
- 4:33Costs rise.
- 4:36It's not just that; it's serious, and
- 4:39housing prices are falling.
- 4:45Not only that, but invisible
- 4:47electromagnetic waves,
- 4:50waves, carbon emissions, emissions.
- 4:54The heat also goes up.
- 4:57But more importantly, since China lacks
- 5:00power, they say they are installing
- 5:03these small, makeshift gas turbines.
- 5:06The noise is no joke; data centers by
- 5:09themselves aren't very loud. But the
- 5:12sound of the turbines running is so loud
- 5:15that it's becoming a major issue.
- 5:21Since it's that region, there aren't
- 5:22many people. But it has to be built.
- 5:24It has to be built for power generation
- 5:26.
- 5:28In the case of the US, they should have
- 5:31planned it from the start to be built in
- 5:33deserts or inland areas.
- 5:36But because they built them in places
- 5:38like Texas where people live, it's hard
- 5:40to manage now, similar to these areas in
- 5:42Korea. Mostly here, this...
- 5:46Yes, it's the Inner Mongolia region.
- 5:47Even here...
- 5:50Since it's a developed region, it's
- 5:51impossible for there to be none at all.
- 5:54These are the two most developed areas
- 5:56around Guangzhou; this is Jiangsu
- 5:58Province and this is Guangdong, and
- 6:00their GDP is number one here.
- 6:03This one is first and this is second,
- 6:04but they are similar.
- 6:06They've almost caught up now, since
- 6:08Jiangsu is so big.
- 6:12In very developed regions, it's slightly
- 6:16lower.
- 6:20In a way, there's no justification to
- 6:22oppose it here. The citizens can't
- 6:24oppose it, and since it's a communist
- 6:25system, they wouldn't be able to anyway
- 6:27. It seems it will move forward at a
- 6:30good speed.
- 6:34AI data centers, that's what it is. It's
- 6:37right here.
- 6:44Since it's a positive region, there
- 6:45would be no reason for them to oppose
- 6:47this.
- 6:48There's no reason, no power to oppose it
- 6:50, and that seems to be the situation.
- 6:52As you can see, the AI data center
- 6:55capacity is set to increase fivefold,
- 6:58and the statement says by 2030, which is
- 7:02basically ten years from now, meaning
- 7:05they'll increase it five times over.
- 7:10Currently, the factories...
- 7:15The factories...
- 7:20Increasing fivefold by 2030.
- 7:24There are many cars, and if you look at
- 7:26an AI data center, you see buildings
- 7:29like this.
- 7:32Construction notes are similar, and
- 7:35naturally, the notes...
- 7:39Everything goes in there, but it's not
- 7:41just about what goes in.
- 7:45We have to deal with electromagnetic
- 7:46waves and block the towers.
- 7:48This board goes in, and the GPU goes in
- 7:52, and that's why we're worried about
- 7:55this.
- 7:56I was worried if five factories would
- 7:58generate enough revenue.
- 8:01Looking at it, I have the same thought.
- 8:05If you look closely at the loans.
- 8:09This is the situation in the US. In the
- 8:11US, the citizens are pushing back; I
- 8:16heard that 41 states are currently
- 8:20opposing it. It's a situation where
- 8:22there is opposition in every region.
- 8:25What's a shame is that it would have
- 8:27been better if they had built them in
- 8:29desert areas or places with fewer people
- 8:31from the start.
- 8:34It seems they built them in places like
- 8:36Texas where many people live to save on
- 8:39costs because there were no roads or
- 8:41infrastructure there, and because there
- 8:43were no proper regulations, they didn't
- 8:46even disclose information and just built
- 8:48them.
- 8:50Initially, the public didn't strongly
- 8:53oppose companies like Amazon coming in,
- 8:56for example. But after it was built, the
- 9:00noise was unbearable and property values
- 9:03plummeted.
- 9:06They are currently voicing their
- 9:06grievances.
- 9:09The US government and those companies
- 9:12...
- 9:15It feels like they might have rushed the
- 9:17administration.
- 9:22If they had vast land like China, they
- 9:24could go to unpopulated areas.
- 9:29Europe is the same. Even in Europe, they
- 9:31are...
- 9:33They are building them, but there are
- 9:35protests; Europe is facing huge backlash
- 9:37right now.
- 9:40This is a comment from that news video.
- 9:44"I thought there would be a lot of China
- 9:46here, but surprisingly, about 70%will be
- 9:48China."
- 9:49That kind of...
- 9:51They selected it. In that, in that...
- 9:58There isn't any. Regulations are, in
- 9:59fact...
- 10:02China doesn't really have regulations,
- 10:04so maybe that's why they plan more
- 10:06systematically, avoiding data center
- 10:08backlash.
- 10:10For example, in China's case, they would
- 10:12have places like Xinjiang.
- 10:15Because there's a goal for balanced
- 10:16development, the situation is better.
- 10:20They are treating it as a matter of
- 10:21national survival and investing in
- 10:22infrastructure.
- 10:26This isn't an excuse; I think they
- 10:28learned from the mistakes of the US.
- 10:31They made plans and built them to
- 10:33protect people from the impact.
- 10:38Unlike here, they are building in inland
- 10:41areas where there are fewer power plants
- 10:45; it's true.
- 10:47People in the semiconductor industry
- 10:50know how much demand there is;
- 10:52semiconductor demand is huge.
- 10:58None. Something like this.
- 11:01AI.
- 11:04That kind of perspective; actually, I
- 11:08think so too, it's inevitable.
- 11:11They may have defined frontier models
- 11:14separately, but...
- 11:17If you aim for 90%performance, you could
- 11:21call it that. Is...
- 11:25Now, looking at it globally, the US...
- 11:30Probably not to that extent, but...
- 11:33In the future, it might become similar
- 11:35or surpass it.
- 11:38Europe and the US have too much...
- 11:42Dictatorship is bound to be advantageous
- 11:43. In the auto industry, for instance, in
- 11:45autonomous driving...
- 11:49They are doing it, right?
- 11:51There are errors that can cause
- 11:52accidents. Korea keeps rejecting this
- 11:56due to accidents, which is a bit
- 12:00regrettable, and whether it's right to
- 12:05let Hyundai Motor do it or not...
- 12:11It's a field that needs development.
- 12:16Yes. So, now...
- 12:20I saw this kind of comment, this kind of
- 12:22viewpoint.
- 12:23Even the US Democratic Party cannot
- 12:27compete with the data center...While
- 12:31this is true, these people prioritize
- 12:35seizing power over the competition with
- 12:40China. In a democracy, they don't even
- 12:42think about the bigger picture. For
- 12:44example, with China...
- 12:47If they can get elected...
- 12:50Even if it means failing, they are the
- 12:52type of people who would do it if it
- 12:53meant seizing power. Korea is the same.
- 13:01Some...China...
- 13:05Whether they do well or the US does well
- 13:06, as long as we do well...
- 13:13Open weights, that is now...the same
- 13:14thing.
- 13:15In fact, China's open-weight models,
- 13:19like DeepSeek, are about ten times more
- 13:22cost-effective. Due to security issues,
- 13:26in about two or three years,
- 13:31TV users will use local AI instead,
- 13:35which is why the current status might
- 13:40change.
- 13:44That's why East Asia has such
- 13:45well-developed power infrastructure.
- 13:49Isn't it because the US doesn't have
- 13:51infrastructure like this?
- 13:52What surprised me was that I recently
- 13:55visited the Yisu industrial complex in
- 13:59China, where they carve out mountains to
- 14:02build these industrial zones.
- 14:06They are building a GRT factory at the
- 14:09top of a mountain, yet the power grid is
- 14:13already fully equipped.
- 14:15If you watch the video, there's a scene
- 14:19where I'm shocked by the power grid;
- 14:23it’s in a remote rural area, in an
- 14:26industrial park carved out of a mountain
- 14:30, and I was amazed at how well-developed
- 14:34the power grid was.
- 14:46I think that power grid will work out.
- 14:50It’s an AI-driven battle.
- 14:55This is content I left on Telegram.
- 14:57By 2030, it could grow fivefold.
- 15:04With five factories, sales are bound to
- 15:08increase. Not only that, there are
- 15:10semiconductors and many other things.
- 15:15There are robots, too.
- 15:18There are cars as well.
- 15:21With batteries and such a great
- 15:24portfolio, it’s hard to imagine a sharp
- 15:28drop in sales; they went public in 2016
- 15:31, so it's been about 10 years.
- 15:36Sales have never dropped, except for one
- 15:38time. When was it? It dipped briefly
- 15:40during COVID. But they still managed to
- 15:43maintain profits. They didn't record a
- 15:45loss. Even during the COVID period, it
- 15:47dipped briefly and then went back up.
- 15:49Even if something bigger than COVID
- 15:52happens, for example, a local war
- 15:54between the US and China over Taiwan
- 15:56issues, I don't think GRT's sales would
- 15:59be affected.
- 16:01Since they do a lot of things like war,
- 16:05wouldn't it be quite solid? That would
- 16:09be a local war.
- 16:10If a full-scale war breaks out, where
- 16:12the US conducts land operations in China
- 16:14, then obviously that would be a
- 16:16different story.
- 16:17Even if that happens, I...
- 16:22Data ceiling is high.
- 16:25Yes.
- 16:30The important thing is that the
- 16:33specialized film is the first in China
- 16:36to be produced under a patent, which is
- 16:39what I talked about regarding the new
- 16:42factory.
- 16:45In fact, employees said those factories
- 16:47would have very good operating profit
- 16:49margins.
- 16:50They said it would be at least 5
- 16:50percentage points better. They are
- 16:51saying this. Of course, the factory
- 16:53won't improve, but automation...
- 16:57Even the YouTube comments are now...
- 17:01The atmosphere has changed so much in
- 17:03just one year that it's surprising.
- 17:05When it first came to Korea, people were
- 17:08mocking it heavily.
- 17:10It is changing quickly.
- 17:12The price-to-performance ratio is
- 17:15undeniable, even if cars are different.
- 17:22It seems the perception of Korea is
- 17:25changing.
- 17:26The way the U.S. is blocking China is a
- 17:28massive issue right now, isn't it?
- 17:30That's right.
- 17:33A lot of stocks, thousands of them, have
- 17:34plummeted. With the crash in Mexico and
- 17:37elsewhere, China is now building five
- 17:39times as much. Since that news is out,
- 17:43it’s bound to be compared.
- 17:46The AI infrastructure in the U.S. and
- 17:49Korea has surged dozens of times over.
- 17:52Oh, so they’re blocking this now.
- 17:54With China building five times more,
- 17:56shouldn't we invest in China? Don't you
- 17:58think that kind of thought comes to mind
- 18:00?
- 18:02Where will the excitement and
- 18:04anticipation shift toward? I believe it
- 18:06will shift toward Chinese AI
- 18:07infrastructure.
- 18:10I think there will be no other choice
- 18:12but for China to be the biggest
- 18:13beneficiary.
- 18:16So, there are things related to China's
- 18:19AI infrastructure, and
- 18:22NK Electronics as well.
- 18:27It's a company with a broad
- 18:29semiconductor portfolio; it supplies to
- 18:32Korean firms, but it also supplies to
- 18:36Chinese semiconductor firms.
- 18:43AC and Jangjeon, and here—
- 18:47I noticed this electronics company
- 18:48supplies to everyone globally. It’s the
- 18:51same for them; this electronics company
- 18:55is also in infrastructure, and the same
- 18:59goes for others, as they are fully
- 19:02stocked.
- 19:04As for the rest, like Guseong
- 19:06Engineering, Korean parts and equipment
- 19:09suppliers also supply to companies like
- 19:13CXMT.
- 19:15They could be leading stocks, but
- 19:17they’ve surged so much that I'm cautious
- 19:21.
- 19:22For GRT, the valuation hasn't spiked, so
- 19:26as for the top AI infrastructure stock,
- 19:30naturally—
- 19:33Their exposure is almost entirely to
- 19:34China.
- 19:36If so, the growth potential must be high
- 19:38. Their revenue and operating profit are
- 19:41overwhelming.
- 19:43With all their products in data centers
- 19:45, couldn't they become the leading stock
- 19:48?
- 19:50If money flows in little by little and
- 19:53the stock price rises, we call it the
- 19:55principle of trend following.
- 19:58With breakout trading, that kind of
- 20:01capital comes in, so it might
- 20:04consolidate, pull back, and then rise.
- 20:09That is what I am hoping for.
- 20:14I made this video in a bit of a rush
- 20:16over the weekend.
- 20:19Moving forward, I'll change my
- 20:20microphone and improve the video quality
- 20:22.
- 20:24Have a good time. Please leave a like
- 20:26and a comment.
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