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經濟學人2026.10.24《中國亞洲版Podcast》中國高校面臨財政緊縮與論文工廠亂象;中共五中全會肅清風暴;印尼總統滿意度暴跌;不丹狂犬病清零奇蹟;美國制裁ICC掀外交風波;印度邊境擴建爭議。 — Transcript

by 海格讀書會(每周更新)專注財經及經濟學人分享 · 15,147 words · 2,714 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Welcome everyone to the Hai Reading
  2. 0:02Club podcast. Today, I’d like to
  3. 0:05share nine fascinating articles from
  4. 0:07the China and Asia section of The
  5. 0:09Economist, published on October 24th.
  6. 0:12>> Mm, this issue is really packed with
  7. 0:14heavy-hitting content.
  8. 0:15>> Exactly. Imagine this: suddenly, 100
  9. 0:17million people in the world's largest
  10. 0:20democracy lose their right to vote. Or,
  11. 0:22professors at the world's top
  12. 0:23universities having to pay out of their
  13. 0:25own pockets to fake research just to
  14. 0:27keep their jobs. Sounds absurd, right?
  15. 0:30There’s even a ruler who, facing a
  16. 0:31collapse in poll numbers, plans to hand
  17. 0:34out free mobile phones to the entire
  18. 0:35population to put out the fire.
  19. 0:37>> Yes, it sounds exactly like the plot of
  20. 0:40some dystopian novel. But this is
  21. 0:42actually what is happening today,
  22. 0:44October 23, 2026, as serious upheavals
  23. 0:47unfold across Asia. To give you a
  24. 0:50comprehensive overview of what we’ll
  25. 0:52be discussing, I will read out the
  26. 0:54Chinese titles of the nine articles we
  27. 0:56are about to cover. Sounds good.
  28. 0:58>> First: Chinese universities are wealthy
  29. 1:01, yet they are facing a funding crunch.
  30. 1:03Second: China’s attempt to restart
  31. 1:06the Long March. Third: The Chinese
  32. 1:08Communist Party elite gather, with an
  33. 1:10eye on purges and competition.
  34. 1:12>> Next, there is the section on
  35. 1:14technology and Southeast Asia.
  36. 1:15>> Right. Fourth: Is China truly
  37. 1:18prioritizing AI speed over safety?
  38. 1:21Fifth: Indonesia’s populist
  39. 1:23experiment is faltering. Sixth: Not
  40. 1:25just a strategy for solving the stray
  41. 1:27dog problem.
  42. 1:28>> Finally, there is the international
  43. 1:30situation and the focus on India.
  44. 1:31>> Correct. Seventh: America’s attack on
  45. 1:33the International Criminal Court is
  46. 1:35giving Japan a major headache. Eighth:
  47. 1:37India is pouring massive amounts of
  48. 1:39funds and concrete into the Sino-Indian
  49. 1:41border. And finally, the ninth: The
  50. 1:43rights of the Indian people have been
  51. 1:45continuously eroded for decades.
  52. 1:46>> The content is truly very rich. Indeed.
  53. 1:49>> Now, let’s move into the first
  54. 1:51article: Chinese universities are
  55. 1:52well-funded, yet they face a dilemma of
  56. 1:54budget constraints.
  57. 1:55>> Mm.
  58. 1:56>> Today, we’ll help our listeners
  59. 1:57deconstruct this contrasting data to
  60. 1:59see the underlying logic behind the
  61. 2:01surface figures. If you’ve been
  62. 2:03following the current American academic
  63. 2:05scene, you should have noticed a strong
  64. 2:06sense of anxiety.
  65. 2:08>> It is indeed quite anxious. Yes, after
  66. 2:10all, it is 2026 now, and under
  67. 2:11President Trump’s administration and
  68. 2:13the federal government’s drastic
  69. 2:15funding cuts, many American scholars
  70. 2:17feel this is nothing short of
  71. 2:19self-sabotage.
  72. 2:20>> Right, like last year, a top scholar at
  73. 2:22Harvard vented their frustrations,
  74. 2:24feeling that the U.S. government’s
  75. 2:25constant budget cuts to universities
  76. 2:27are essentially handing over future
  77. 2:29supremacy in fields like AI and quantum
  78. 2:31computing directly to China on a silver
  79. 2:33platter. However, when we lay out the
  80. 2:35data at hand today and compare it with
  81. 2:37the current situation within China,
  82. 2:39this is actually a major misconception
  83. 2:41from the outside. When we zoom in on
  84. 2:43Chinese campuses, faculty members are
  85. 2:45currently facing an exceptionally
  86. 2:47severe reality of funding constraints.
  87. 2:49>> Exactly, this is a textbook example of
  88. 2:52survivor bias. The reason everyone has
  89. 2:54this misconception is because they only
  90. 2:55fixate on the Chinese government's
  91. 2:57high-profile promotion of specific
  92. 2:58technology sectors.
  93. 2:59>> They only see the major projects on the
  94. 3:01surface. Exactly, while ignoring that
  95. 3:02their overall pool of higher education
  96. 3:04resources is actually shrinking
  97. 3:06significantly. On the surface, it does
  98. 3:08appear they are pushing hard for
  99. 3:09artificial intelligence or robotics—
  100. 3:11fields listed as national strategic
  101. 3:13priorities.
  102. 3:14>> It feels like these specific fields
  103. 3:15have endless funding.
  104. 3:16>> Yes, but if you examine the underlying
  105. 3:18logic of how state funds are actually
  106. 3:20distributed, the official criteria have
  107. 3:22become unprecedentedly strict. It’s
  108. 3:24no longer the case that just being a
  109. 3:25university guarantees funding; instead,
  110. 3:27the capital is undergoing a brutal and
  111. 3:29extreme redistribution. Wow, to help
  112. 3:31everyone understand how intense this
  113. 3:33redistribution is, let’s look at the
  114. 3:34specific actions taken by China's
  115. 3:36Ministry of Education in recent years.
  116. 3:38In just a few years, they have
  117. 3:40aggressively canceled as many as 12,200
  118. 3:42degree programs.
  119. 3:43>> That is really not a small number.
  120. 3:44>> Right, and the vast majority of those
  121. 3:46cut were soft disciplines like business
  122. 3:47management or public relations. After
  123. 3:49these departments were closed, the
  124. 3:51resources freed up were forcibly
  125. 3:52redirected by the authorities toward
  126. 3:53science and engineering majors like AI.
  127. 3:55>> It's basically a "phasing out the
  128. 3:57humanities" concept. Exactly. When I
  129. 3:59was looking at this data, the image
  130. 4:01that came to mind was like an
  131. 4:02aggressive restructuring of a large
  132. 4:04public company: cutting off all
  133. 4:06non-core businesses and dumping the
  134. 4:08entire company budget into a single R&D
  135. 4:10department.
  136. 4:10>> That’s a quite accurate metaphor. But
  137. 4:12this raises an interesting question.
  138. 4:14Listeners might wonder, since resources
  139. 4:16are now concentrated in science and
  140. 4:18engineering, are these natural science
  141. 4:20departments able to live comfortably
  142. 4:22now?
  143. 4:22>> That’s how it should look on the
  144. 4:24surface, but if we dig deep into the
  145. 4:26real situation inside those
  146. 4:27laboratories, the answer is quite the
  147. 4:29opposite.
  148. 4:30>> How so?
  149. 4:31>> Even traditional key natural science
  150. 4:33departments like physics and chemistry
  151. 4:35are now struggling just as much for
  152. 4:36funding. There is a key macroeconomic
  153. 4:38data point here that explains the
  154. 4:40reason.
  155. 4:41>> Uh-huh. In the late 2010s, the annual
  156. 4:43growth rate of science and technology
  157. 4:45spending by the Chinese central and
  158. 4:47local governments could still be
  159. 4:49maintained at around 10%.
  160. 4:51>> 10%is actually very high.
  161. 4:52>> But in recent years, this figure has
  162. 4:55plummeted, falling to just 3.5%now, and
  163. 4:58everyone should note that even this 3.5
  164. 5:00%growth is inflated.
  165. 5:02>> Ah, inflated.
  166. 5:03>> Because it covers everything from
  167. 5:04building museums to social sciences and
  168. 5:06other peripheral non-scientific areas.
  169. 5:08If you look strictly at the government
  170. 5:10funding received by the core natural
  171. 5:12sciences sector, growth has actually
  172. 5:14stagnated.
  173. 5:14>> The real purchasing power might even be
  174. 5:16in decline, right? And this chilling
  175. 5:19wind isn't just blowing toward ordinary
  176. 5:21universities; this September, even
  177. 5:22Peking University, ranked 13th globally
  178. 5:25by THE, and Tsinghua University, ranked
  179. 5:2711th, were ordered by officials to
  180. 5:29practice frugality and tighten their
  181. 5:31belts.
  182. 5:31>> These two are currently the
  183. 5:33highest-ranked top-tier universities in
  184. 5:35Asia. When I saw some top research
  185. 5:37institutions even starting to cut
  186. 5:39researchers 'salaries and benefits, I
  187. 5:41really found it incredible.
  188. 5:44>> For Chinese scholars accustomed to the
  189. 5:47golden age of the past 20 years, this
  190. 5:49is truly a painful and shocking lesson.
  191. 5:52You know, since the 1990s, China's
  192. 5:54higher education has been expanding at
  193. 5:57full throttle.
  194. 5:58>> Mhm, and international rankings have
  195. 6:00been soaring as well.
  196. 6:01>> Mhm. International rankings have been
  197. 6:04soaring, that's right. Along with the
  198. 6:06rise in universities' international
  199. 6:08status, while China only had two
  200. 6:10universities in the global top 100 in
  201. 6:122017, by this year, 2026, that number
  202. 6:14has increased to eight. During this
  203. 6:16period, academic staff became
  204. 6:18accustomed to the good old days where
  205. 6:20if you could write a proposal, you were
  206. 6:21guaranteed to get substantial funding.
  207. 6:23Now that the budget has suddenly shrunk
  208. 6:25, this sense of loss—going from
  209. 6:27riches to rags—not only hits morale
  210. 6:29but directly impacts ongoing long-term
  211. 6:31research projects.
  212. 6:32>> Absolutely. Now let's broaden our view
  213. 6:34to look at the funding structure of the
  214. 6:36entire higher education system. The 75
  215. 6:38elite universities directly funded by
  216. 6:41the central government are already the
  217. 6:43"national team" at the very top of the
  218. 6:45pyramid.
  219. 6:45>> They are the group with the most
  220. 6:47abundant resources. Although their
  221. 6:49median budget grew by 6.8%this year, a
  222. 6:51closer look at the financial reports
  223. 6:53reveals that one-fifth of these
  224. 6:55institutions actually suffered budget
  225. 6:57cuts.
  226. 6:58>> Even one-fifth of the national team had
  227. 7:00their budgets slashed.
  228. 7:01>> Exactly. Some graduate scholarships
  229. 7:03have not only had their quotas reduced,
  230. 7:04but the funding amounts have even been
  231. 7:06cut in half. Wow, I'm just wondering,
  232. 7:08if even these 75 top universities are
  233. 7:10struggling so much, how are the
  234. 7:12remaining 2,000-plus ordinary
  235. 7:13universities out of China's total 2,900
  236. 7:16universities supposed to survive?
  237. 7:18>> This brings us to a structural issue
  238. 7:20that is easily overlooked: the
  239. 7:21symbiotic relationship between local
  240. 7:23finances and higher education. As many
  241. 7:26as 95%of these 2,900 universities are
  242. 7:28actually highly dependent on funding
  243. 7:30from local governments, not the central
  244. 7:32government.
  245. 7:33>> Oh. You can think of this as a
  246. 7:35franchise system, where the central
  247. 7:37government is the headquarters managing
  248. 7:39only the 75 flagship stores, while the
  249. 7:42remaining 95%are franchises supported
  250. 7:44by local governments.
  251. 7:45>> Everyone knows that China's real estate
  252. 7:47market has been in a prolonged slump
  253. 7:49for years, and land sales were the
  254. 7:51primary source of income for local
  255. 7:52governments. That's right. When the
  256. 7:54property market collapses and local
  257. 7:56governments are mired in debt, unable
  258. 7:58to even pay civil servant salaries, the
  259. 8:00budgets of universities dependent on
  260. 8:02local funding are naturally the first
  261. 8:03to be cut.
  262. 8:04>> That franchise analogy is truly spot on
  263. 8:07.
  264. 8:07>> It's a direct domino effect: the
  265. 8:09collapse of the property market crushes
  266. 8:11local finances, and ultimately crashes
  267. 8:13down on university laboratories.
  268. 8:15>> It really does come crashing down just
  269. 8:17like that. We’ve seen from internal
  270. 8:20documents that even in tech-heavy,
  271. 8:22state-supported hubs like Shenzhen and
  272. 8:24Hangzhou, the budgets for local
  273. 8:26universities have been cut by over 5%
  274. 8:28this year.
  275. 8:30>> This means the chilling effect of the
  276. 8:31real estate crisis has genuinely blown
  277. 8:33into these scholars 'research labs—
  278. 8:35and unfortunately, this chill has
  279. 8:37coincided with an even larger social
  280. 8:38crisis.
  281. 8:39>> Are you referring to the labor market
  282. 8:41issues?
  283. 8:41>> Yes. The pressure from the labor market
  284. 8:43is surging back into the campuses.
  285. 8:45China’s current economic growth rate
  286. 8:47is hovering around 4.5%, but this level
  287. 8:49of growth simply cannot create enough
  288. 8:51high-level jobs.
  289. 8:52>> Meaning that businesses cannot absorb
  290. 8:54so many people.
  291. 8:55>> Exactly, which has led to China's
  292. 8:57current youth unemployment rate
  293. 8:59reaching as high as 19%. With a massive
  294. 9:00number of young people unable to find
  295. 9:02jobs, their only choice to avoid the
  296. 9:04brutal job market is to keep drilling
  297. 9:06deeper into academia.
  298. 9:07>> This has triggered a severe bottleneck.
  299. 9:09Data shows that since 2019, the annual
  300. 9:11enrollment for doctoral programs in
  301. 9:13China has nearly doubled. It has now
  302. 9:15reached 200,000 people per year.
  303. 9:17>> 200,000 people—that is truly
  304. 9:19outrageous.
  305. 9:20>> For our listeners, this might just be a
  306. 9:22number, but let’s visualize it: it
  307. 9:24means 200,000 top-tier elites every
  308. 9:25year are staying in academia to fight
  309. 9:27over a pool of government funding that
  310. 9:30is already shrinking.
  311. 9:31>> This is what people often refer to as "
  312. 9:33involution" in recent years.
  313. 9:34>> To put it in plain terms for our
  314. 9:35listeners, it's like being in an
  315. 9:37increasingly crowded movie theater; to
  316. 9:38get the same view of the screen, the
  317. 9:40people in the front stand up, forcing
  318. 9:42you to stand up as well. Right, and in
  319. 9:43the end, everyone is stepping on others
  320. 9:45' shoulders.
  321. 9:46>> Putting in double the effort, yet no
  322. 9:47one gets a better result.
  323. 9:49>> Advancing in academia can now truly be
  324. 9:50called an inhumane and brutal
  325. 9:52elimination tournament.
  326. 9:53>> In the Chinese system, scholars
  327. 9:55generally must secure a national-level
  328. 9:57grant to advance up the academic ladder
  329. 9:59and attain tenure.
  330. 10:01>> Yeah, that's a very rigid benchmark.
  331. 10:03>> Let's examine data from the National
  332. 10:05Natural Science Foundation of China,
  333. 10:08the primary source of central funding
  334. 10:10for the scientific community; since
  335. 10:122021, the volume of major grant
  336. 10:14applications has surged by 80%,
  337. 10:16reaching 200,000.
  338. 10:17>> When I first saw that applications had
  339. 10:19skyrocketed by 80%, my intuitive
  340. 10:21reaction was that the authorities must
  341. 10:23have expanded the funding pool, but
  342. 10:25looking at the actual disbursement data
  343. 10:27, the situation is quite desperate.
  344. 10:29>> It's truly grim, because the funding
  345. 10:31pool didn't just fail to expand
  346. 10:33proportionally; the total amount
  347. 10:35granted increased by a mere 3%. Wow,
  348. 10:37200,000 people fighting over a 3%
  349. 10:40increase.
  350. 10:41>> Exactly, and this directly caused the
  351. 10:43success rate to plummet from 22%in 2013
  352. 10:46to just 12%last year.
  353. 10:48>> Cut in half.
  354. 10:49>> Although the foundation specifically
  355. 10:51increased grants for young researchers
  356. 10:52by 50%this year in an attempt to
  357. 10:54appease the growing frustration at the
  358. 10:56grassroots level. The system-wide
  359. 10:58dilemma of too many monks and not
  360. 10:59enough gruel simply cannot be solved by
  361. 11:02such minor adjustments. This squeeze
  362. 11:04effect has reached an absurd level;
  363. 11:06Chinese universities are increasingly
  364. 11:09adopting the Western hiring model,
  365. 11:11known as "up or out."
  366. 11:13>> The pressure is immense.
  367. 11:14>> Scholars must toil for years as
  368. 11:15contract staff at the bottom, and only
  369. 11:17after meeting targets can they secure
  370. 11:19tenure. But due to budget tightening,
  371. 11:21many universities are now treating
  372. 11:23these young Ph.D.s as disposable labor.
  373. 11:25>> They hire them in large numbers to
  374. 11:27boost the school's overall publication
  375. 11:28output. Right, and from the start,
  376. 11:30there was never a budget for long-term
  377. 11:32positions, forcing a massive amount of
  378. 11:34high-level talent to settle for jobs
  379. 11:35below their qualifications. When we see
  380. 11:37that even high schools like Shenzhen
  381. 11:39Middle School have hired over 100
  382. 11:41teachers with Ph.D.s from top
  383. 11:43universities, doesn't that signify that
  384. 11:45the entire academic career ladder has
  385. 11:47completely broken?
  386. 11:48>> When a national system forces large
  387. 11:50numbers of top Ph.D.s to teach in
  388. 11:52middle schools, it's not just a
  389. 11:54personal frustration; it’s a severe
  390. 11:56distortion of the country's overall
  391. 11:58academic resource allocation. However,
  392. 12:00there is an interesting contradiction
  393. 12:02here worth exploring.
  394. 12:03>> What contradiction?
  395. 12:04>> If we look solely at the officially
  396. 12:07aggregated data, China's total
  397. 12:09university research expenditure
  398. 12:11actually rose by 11%last year, reaching
  399. 12:14a total of 341 billion RMB, or roughly
  400. 12:1647 billion USD. This is the most
  401. 12:19confusing part. If total funding is
  402. 12:21still growing at a double-digit rate,
  403. 12:23reaching as high as $ 47 billion, why
  404. 12:25is the entire academic circle crying
  405. 12:27poverty? Where is this money coming
  406. 12:29from, and where is it actually going?
  407. 12:31>> The secret lies in the structural
  408. 12:33reorganization of funding sources. In
  409. 12:352024, as much as half of the new
  410. 12:37university research funding came from
  411. 12:40corporations, including private ones.
  412. 12:42>> Half of it is from companies?
  413. 12:44>> That's right. This perfectly explains
  414. 12:46why basic science departments still
  415. 12:48feel like they can't survive. Because
  416. 12:50corporate money is extremely realistic
  417. 12:52and utilitarian. They have zero
  418. 12:54interest in supporting basic academic
  419. 12:56research that takes 10 or 20 years to
  420. 12:58yield results.
  421. 12:59>> They want technology that can be
  422. 13:00converted into commercial profit in the
  423. 13:02short term, right?
  424. 13:03>> Yes, or applied research that directly
  425. 13:05solves the company's current technical
  426. 13:07bottlenecks. Furthermore, corporate
  427. 13:09funding has an extreme "Matthew effect"
  428. 13:11—they are only willing to pour money
  429. 13:13into top-tier universities that are
  430. 13:15already famous and wealthy.
  431. 13:16>> I see. It’s like venture capitalists
  432. 13:18picking targets; everyone is happy to "
  433. 13:19add flowers to the embroidery," but no
  434. 13:21one is willing to "send charcoal in the
  435. 13:23snow." In the era of rapid university
  436. 13:24expansion, academic promotion was
  437. 13:26usually based on the number of papers
  438. 13:28published.
  439. 13:28>> Uh-huh.
  440. 13:29>> Now that university budgets have
  441. 13:30tightened, it should theoretically
  442. 13:32become more discerning, requiring
  443. 13:33scholars to produce truly breakthrough,
  444. 13:35high-quality work. Instead, immense
  445. 13:37pressure for promotion and funding
  446. 13:39quotas have forced out the dark side of
  447. 13:40academic fraud.
  448. 13:41>> That is truly terrible.
  449. 13:43>> The operational mechanism here sounds
  450. 13:45just like an underground black market.
  451. 13:47>> In fact, it has already formed a
  452. 13:49massive industrial chain. To meet the
  453. 13:51promotion thresholds set by the
  454. 13:53university, scholars face the extreme
  455. 13:54pressure of "succeed or perish." Now,
  456. 13:56on well-known e-commerce platforms like
  457. 13:58Taobao, you can even openly purchase
  458. 14:00ghostwriting or even paper-submission
  459. 14:02services provided by paper mills. My
  460. 14:04god, Taobao even sells that?
  461. 14:06>> Yes, and a group of "online detectives"
  462. 14:08specializing in exposing academic
  463. 14:10misconduct has emerged. Many of them
  464. 14:12are actually PhD dropouts who,
  465. 14:13disillusioned with the system, have
  466. 14:15turned to digging up evidence
  467. 14:17everywhere.
  468. 14:17>> Is the goal to pull those professors
  469. 14:19who climbed the ladder through fraud
  470. 14:20off their academic pedestals?
  471. 14:22>> Yes, it's a form of retaliatory justice
  472. 14:24. The most absurd part of this is the
  473. 14:26phenomenon of "fake sponsorship."
  474. 14:28Listeners might wonder, what is fake
  475. 14:29sponsorship? Because schools now
  476. 14:31require scholars to secure a certain
  477. 14:32percentage of corporate funding to get
  478. 14:34promoted.
  479. 14:34>> That rule is truly setting an
  480. 14:36impossible demand.
  481. 14:37>> Exactly. So what do scholars who can't
  482. 14:39secure sponsorship do? They actually go
  483. 14:41as far as borrowing money or paying out
  484. 14:43of their own pockets, privately
  485. 14:44transferring funds to a company, and
  486. 14:46then asking that company to pretend to
  487. 14:47sponsor their research in its name. In
  488. 14:49a government survey targeting specific
  489. 14:51provinces, as many as one-fifth of the
  490. 14:53scholars interviewed admitted to doing
  491. 14:55this or paying middlemen to handle the
  492. 14:57operation for them.
  493. 14:58>> One-fifth.
  494. 14:59>> This is an inevitable byproduct of a
  495. 15:01severely distorted system. Of course,
  496. 15:03under this cruel and cutthroat
  497. 15:05competition that feels like a crucible,
  498. 15:06a small number of entry-level scholars
  499. 15:08do manage to climb to the top of the
  500. 15:10academic pyramid and produce a few
  501. 15:11world-class innovations.
  502. 15:13>> Yeah, it’s just a matter of who can
  503. 15:14hold out until the end. This is very
  504. 15:16similar to the development logic of
  505. 15:17China's past export manufacturing
  506. 15:19industry. But we must see clearly that
  507. 15:20this system is also simultaneously
  508. 15:22destroying academic ethics on a massive
  509. 15:24scale and fostering severe systemic
  510. 15:26corruption.
  511. 15:26>> Next, let’s move on to the second
  512. 15:28article: China’s intention to
  513. 15:29revitalize the Long March.
  514. 15:31>> Oh, this one is very interesting.
  515. 15:33>> Yes, in October, to commemorate the
  516. 15:3590th anniversary of the end of the Long
  517. 15:37March—that is, from 1936 to the
  518. 15:38present 2026—Chinese state media and
  519. 15:40the military each released a
  520. 15:42documentary with completely polar
  521. 15:44opposite styles. The contrast is huge.
  522. 15:47>> If our listeners have seen the
  523. 15:48English-language documentary released
  524. 15:50on overseas platforms, you will notice
  525. 15:52that they hired two foreign hosts to
  526. 15:53film along parts of the route the Red
  527. 15:55Army once took. This film is filled
  528. 15:57with a steady, moderate propaganda tone
  529. 15:59focused on perseverance, unity, and
  530. 16:01hope.
  531. 16:01>> This is the standard foreign propaganda
  532. 16:03playbook. Exactly. Along the way, the
  533. 16:05hosts marvel at the skyscrapers rising
  534. 16:07from remote areas and the modernized
  535. 16:09data centers, even exclaiming that they
  536. 16:11have seen not only history but also the
  537. 16:13future. This is a very standard piece
  538. 16:16of external propaganda.
  539. 16:17>> This English documentary is truly a
  540. 16:19meticulously packaged national
  541. 16:21development narrative, aimed solely at
  542. 16:23showcasing China’s modernization
  543. 16:24achievements to foreigners. But what we
  544. 16:26really want to analyze for you is the
  545. 16:28other one, co-produced by the
  546. 16:29People’s Liberation Army and aimed
  547. 16:31mainly at a domestic audience. This one
  548. 16:33was broadcast domestically, right?
  549. 16:35>> Yes, and it’s a documentary called "
  550. 16:36The Great Journey" that was aired with
  551. 16:38great fanfare during prime time on
  552. 16:40state television. The temperature
  553. 16:41difference between these two
  554. 16:43documentaries is truly chilling.
  555. 16:44>> How so?
  556. 16:45>> Although "The Great Journey" also
  557. 16:46mentions modernization, its visual
  558. 16:48language is filled with intense
  559. 16:49displays of force, including tanks,
  560. 16:51missiles, and helicopters. The core
  561. 16:53message it conveys to the domestic
  562. 16:54public and party members is definitely
  563. 16:56not about embracing the hope of the
  564. 16:57future. Then what is it?
  565. 16:59>> It is raw, murderous, and absolute
  566. 17:01loyalty to the Party and its leaders.
  567. 17:04>> If we deeply dissect this grand
  568. 17:06documentary, we find it spends a
  569. 17:07massive amount of space recreating the
  570. 17:09military line struggles between Mao
  571. 17:11Zedong and other Communists back then.
  572. 17:13>> This is critical.
  573. 17:14>> The documentary specifically names
  574. 17:16several historical figures, such as Bo
  575. 17:17Gu, who was trained in the Soviet Union
  576. 17:19; the German military advisor Otto
  577. 17:21Braun; and his rival at the time,
  578. 17:22General Zhang Guotao. When describing
  579. 17:24these historical rifts, the film adopts
  580. 17:27an almost gleeful tone, deliberately
  581. 17:29emphasizing an unquestionable
  582. 17:30conclusion: that Mao Zedong was proven
  583. 17:32correct time and time again.
  584. 17:35>> Why is the government putting so much
  585. 17:37effort into digging up these 90-
  586. 17:38year-old grievances in the year 2026?
  587. 17:40>> This technique of using the past to
  588. 17:42discuss the present is the political
  589. 17:44core of the entire documentary. The
  590. 17:46film describes in detail how Bo Gu and
  591. 17:48Otto Braun were stripped of command in
  592. 17:50early 1935 due to their erroneous line,
  593. 17:52but even more significant is the
  594. 17:54portrayal of Zhang Guotao’s downfall.
  595. 17:56>> Zhang Guotao tried to establish a rival
  596. 17:58central committee back then, right?
  597. 17:59>> Yes, he dared to attempt to set up a
  598. 18:01rival center and led his troops in a
  599. 18:02direction completely different from
  600. 18:04what Mao Zedong advised. The
  601. 18:05documentary ruthlessly displays the
  602. 18:07humiliation Zhang Guotao suffered after
  603. 18:09a disastrous campaign. Hmm.
  604. 18:11>> The camera even deliberately pans
  605. 18:12slowly over the graves of the countless
  606. 18:14soldiers he commanded. This is not
  607. 18:16merely a historical review; it is a
  608. 18:18profound psychological intimidation of
  609. 18:20current personnel within the system.
  610. 18:22>> This intimidation is truly blatant. A
  611. 18:24commentator on social media summarized
  612. 18:26the message of this film quite
  613. 18:27accurately, saying: "When you encounter
  614. 18:29difficulties and don't know what to do,
  615. 18:31turn to Chairman Mao; if you face
  616. 18:32difficulties again, turn to him once
  617. 18:34more."
  618. 18:34>> Hmph, a very realistic comment.
  619. 18:37Interestingly, the first few minutes of
  620. 18:39each episode do not show historical
  621. 18:40footage, but rather current leader Xi
  622. 18:42Jinping. Official media even explicitly
  623. 18:44states that this film is intended to
  624. 18:46guide the entire Party and military to
  625. 18:48unite more closely around the Central
  626. 18:50Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at
  627. 18:51its core.
  628. 18:52>> The motive is too obvious. We all know
  629. 18:54the Chinese military has experienced a
  630. 18:57violent personnel earthquake in recent
  631. 18:59years; this sends such a strong warning
  632. 19:01signal to the current party elite.
  633. 19:03>> This is an extremely overt, completely
  634. 19:05undisguised demand for internal
  635. 19:06discipline, especially targeting the
  636. 19:08military system. In recent years, we
  637. 19:10have seen dozens of Chinese generals
  638. 19:12purged on various charges of corruption
  639. 19:14or disloyalty.
  640. 19:15>> Yeah, we see it on the news all the
  641. 19:17time. By dredging up the story of Zhang
  642. 19:19Guotao for the screen, this documentary
  643. 19:21makes it clear to all current generals
  644. 19:22that the outcome of line struggle is
  645. 19:24disgrace, or even leading their troops
  646. 19:26to their graves.
  647. 19:27>> This is a very stern warning.
  648. 19:30>> This perfectly echoes a remark once
  649. 19:32made by Xi Jinping: every generation
  650. 19:34has its own Long March. The implication
  651. 19:36is that in this current Long March
  652. 19:38belonging to him, everyone must remain
  653. 19:41in absolute lockstep, with no room for
  654. 19:43discussion or deviation from the path.
  655. 19:45To ensure this message of loyalty is
  656. 19:47thoroughly received, the official
  657. 19:49approach is quite extreme. Currently,
  658. 19:51there are 100 million Communist Party
  659. 19:53members in China, and they are now
  660. 19:55mandated to watch this documentary on
  661. 19:57the official "Xuexi Qiangguo" app.
  662. 19:59>> Right, and they can't just let it play
  663. 20:01in the background as a mere formality.
  664. 20:03>> Exactly. The system's backend strictly
  665. 20:05monitors their daily login times and
  666. 20:06viewing progress. For military
  667. 20:08personnel, they are specifically
  668. 20:09required to actively watch it, deeply
  669. 20:11internalize it, and write reports on
  670. 20:13what they've learned. The intensity of
  671. 20:14this surveillance is truly staggering.
  672. 20:16>> Just imagine: forcing 100 million
  673. 20:18people to study a military retreat from
  674. 20:2090 years ago on their phones every day.
  675. 20:22Does this top-down, high-pressure
  676. 20:24ideological synchronization actually
  677. 20:26strengthen a major power's resilience
  678. 20:28against economic and diplomatic
  679. 20:29headwinds, or does it instead expose
  680. 20:31the leadership's deep-seated fear of
  681. 20:33internal instability and even
  682. 20:35disloyalty within the military? This is
  683. 20:37a question well worth our continued
  684. 20:39observation.
  685. 20:40>> That concludes the content of this
  686. 20:41article. Now, let's move on to the
  687. 20:43third article: The elite of the Chinese
  688. 20:45Communist Party gather, focused on
  689. 20:47internal consolidation and competition.
  690. 20:51You must have experienced, or at least
  691. 20:52heard of, those terrifying corporate
  692. 20:54retreats, right?
  693. 20:56>> Oh yes, those off-site closed-door
  694. 20:59meetings.
  695. 20:59>> Exactly. Picture this: standing by the
  696. 21:02hotel buffet, forced to make awkward
  697. 21:04small talk with colleagues from other
  698. 21:06departments you'd normally never speak
  699. 21:08to. Or, mid-presentation, the big boss
  700. 21:11suddenly comes out of nowhere and
  701. 21:13subjects your project to a ruthless,
  702. 21:15soul-searching interrogation.
  703. 21:17>> The pressure is just immense.
  704. 21:19>> Right, not to mention that post-lunch
  705. 21:21carb-induced drowsiness, where you
  706. 21:23don't even dare to zone out or yawn for
  707. 21:25fear of being perceived by the top
  708. 21:27brass as having a poor attitude. Now,
  709. 21:30take the pressure of that kind of
  710. 21:31corporate meeting and multiply it by
  711. 21:3310,000. That is the reality facing
  712. 21:36about 300 members of the CCP Central
  713. 21:38Committee next week. They are about to
  714. 21:40attend what could be described as the
  715. 21:42most suffocating, high-stakes executive
  716. 21:44closed-door meeting on the planet.
  717. 21:46>> What is most intriguing here is that
  718. 21:48the setting itself is filled with an
  719. 21:50intense sense of psychological
  720. 21:51oppression. The venue where these 300-
  721. 21:53plus senior officials are meeting is
  722. 21:55the Jingxi Hotel in Beijing. If you've
  723. 21:57ever seen the building, it's steeped in
  724. 21:58a heavy, Soviet-style architectural
  725. 22:00aesthetic and is directly managed by
  726. 22:02the military.
  727. 22:03>> Being managed by the military sounds
  728. 22:04quite out of the ordinary. Exactly,
  729. 22:06which means that the moment these
  730. 22:07officials step through those doors,
  731. 22:09they are completely cut off from the
  732. 22:11outside world. The smartphones that
  733. 22:12people rely on today are strictly
  734. 22:14prohibited from being brought in.
  735. 22:15>> Wow, you can't even bring a phone.
  736. 22:17>> Furthermore, to maintain absolute
  737. 22:19sobriety and strict discipline, alcohol
  738. 22:21and cigarettes are also strictly
  739. 22:23forbidden. Every high-ranking official
  740. 22:25attending must internalize one extreme
  741. 22:27premise for the next few days. That is,
  742. 22:30every word they utter will be recorded
  743. 22:32verbatim by onsite note-takers, or even
  744. 22:35captured by hidden recording devices.
  745. 22:38>> This is a high-pressure surveillance
  746. 22:40environment with no blind spots and
  747. 22:42zero personal privacy. Just hearing
  748. 22:44about this atmosphere is enough to make
  749. 22:46one breathless. Imagine being locked in
  750. 22:48a militarized hotel for four days
  751. 22:49without a phone, being monitored every
  752. 22:51single moment. Before we dive into this
  753. 22:53upcoming 5th Plenary Session of the
  754. 22:5520th Central Committee, to be held next
  755. 22:57week from October 26th to 29th, 2026,
  756. 22:59we must note that today's discussion
  757. 23:01involves highly sensitive political
  758. 23:02situations and forecasts from various
  759. 23:04think tanks. As professional analysts,
  760. 23:06we are not taking sides here; we are
  761. 23:08simply here to help you deconstruct the
  762. 23:10underlying logic behind these reports
  763. 23:11and perspectives.
  764. 23:12>> Right, staying neutral and objective—
  765. 23:14what is most fascinating here is the
  766. 23:16timing of this meeting and its core
  767. 23:18motivation. It is October 2026, exactly
  768. 23:21one year away from the CCP's next
  769. 23:23quinquennial National Congress, the
  770. 23:25major party congress expected to grant
  771. 23:28Xi Jinping a fourth term.
  772. 23:30>> So, this is essentially a precursor
  773. 23:32battle.
  774. 23:32>> Exactly. While this 5th Plenary Session
  775. 23:35appears to be a routine meeting on the
  776. 23:37surface, it is effectively a massive
  777. 23:39cadre interview and high-intensity
  778. 23:41stress test for next year’s CCP power
  779. 23:43core, namely the Politburo and the
  780. 23:45current seven-member Politburo Standing
  781. 23:47Committee. Moreover, the core theme of
  782. 23:49this meeting has been set by the top
  783. 23:50leadership as "comprehensively
  784. 23:52governing the party with strict
  785. 23:53discipline.""
  786. 23:54>> Comprehensively governing the party
  787. 23:55with strict discipline"—this sounds
  788. 23:57like a boss sending out a mass email
  789. 23:59before a meeting with the cold subject
  790. 24:00line "Time to settle accounts." Does
  791. 24:02this suggest that despite years of
  792. 24:04anti-corruption efforts, the top brass
  793. 24:05still feels that subordinate officials
  794. 24:07are not clean enough, or perhaps not
  795. 24:09obedient enough?
  796. 24:10>> It indeed reflects an anxiety in
  797. 24:11governance; fighting corruption and
  798. 24:13rectifying discipline remain the areas
  799. 24:14where the top leadership invests the
  800. 24:16most energy, yet they are also the most
  801. 24:18difficult to eradicate completely.
  802. 24:19Therefore, participants at the Jingxi
  803. 24:21Hotel are not just discussing national
  804. 24:23policy; their personal conduct,
  805. 24:25integrity, past decision-making history
  806. 24:27, and even their loyalty to the top
  807. 24:29Party leader will be placed under a
  808. 24:31microscope for extremely rigorous
  809. 24:32scrutiny.
  810. 24:33>> In other words, even every move made in
  811. 24:35the past will be brought out for close
  812. 24:36scrutiny.
  813. 24:37>> Absolutely.
  814. 24:37>> In other words, even every move made in
  815. 24:39the past will be brought out for close
  816. 24:41scrutiny.
  817. 24:41>> Absolutely. If we look at the timeline
  818. 24:44over a longer period, the plenary
  819. 24:45sessions held a year before the party
  820. 24:47congress often signal earth-shattering
  821. 24:49political moves. For instance, the 2016
  822. 24:51plenary session officially established
  823. 24:53Xi Jinping’s core status within the
  824. 24:55party center, which paved the way for
  825. 24:57him to later abolish presidential term
  826. 24:59limits.
  827. 25:00>> Uh-huh. By 2022, again in the year
  828. 25:02before a leadership transition, the
  829. 25:03plenary session further elevated his
  830. 25:05political and ideological status to a
  831. 25:07historical height on par with CPC
  832. 25:09founder Mao Zedong and the chief
  833. 25:10architect of reform and opening, Deng
  834. 25:12Xiaoping.
  835. 25:13>> So every plenary session the year
  836. 25:15before a transition inevitably brings
  837. 25:17major shifts in power structure.
  838. 25:20Following this historical context to
  839. 25:22project the 2026 plenary session, is
  840. 25:24the outside world already speculating
  841. 25:26about new political signals or new
  842. 25:28power titles?
  843. 25:30>> Currently, many international observers
  844. 25:32and think tanks are indeed closely
  845. 25:33watching a potential indicator: whether
  846. 25:35this meeting will float a proposal to
  847. 25:37restore the title of Party Chairman.
  848. 25:39>> Party Chairman? The last time that was
  849. 25:41used was during the Mao era, right? Yes
  850. 25:43, that was a long time ago. If such a
  851. 25:45discussion or proposal truly arises
  852. 25:46during this meeting, it would be the
  853. 25:48strongest symbol of further absolute
  854. 25:50power concentration, even surpassing
  855. 25:51previous frameworks.
  856. 25:52>> Right, let’s break down the practical
  857. 25:54operational mechanisms of this
  858. 25:56mysterious meeting. You just said over
  859. 25:58300 committee members are locked in a
  860. 26:00Soviet-style hotel without mobile
  861. 26:01phones for four days. What is their
  862. 26:03specific schedule? It's impossible for
  863. 26:05300 people to sit in rows listening to
  864. 26:07speeches for four straight days. That
  865. 26:08wouldn't just be inefficient, it
  866. 26:10wouldn't reveal anyone's competence.
  867. 26:11The entire meeting process has a very
  868. 26:13strict and precise institutional design
  869. 26:15. The opening of the meeting features
  870. 26:16Xi Jinping himself, representing the
  871. 26:18Politburo, delivering a work report for
  872. 26:20the past year to all Central Committee
  873. 26:21members. He then delivers a key speech,
  874. 26:23detailing the core agenda of the
  875. 26:25meeting, which concerns decisions on
  876. 26:27policy direction.
  877. 26:28>> So this is a one-way top-down briefing?
  878. 26:31>> Yes, to ensure everyone receives the
  879. 26:33same message. The following segment is
  880. 26:35the "killing field" that truly tests
  881. 26:37the survival wisdom of officials: the
  882. 26:39300-plus attendees are split into about
  883. 26:4110 small groups for group discussions.
  884. 26:43>> How are these group discussions divided
  885. 26:45?
  886. 26:45>> These groups are usually divided by
  887. 26:47sector. For example, there is a group
  888. 26:49for the military, a group for local
  889. 26:50leaders from provinces and cities, and
  890. 26:52a group for executives from large
  891. 26:54state-owned enterprises. They must
  892. 26:55discuss the reports and decisions they
  893. 26:57just heard within these closed-door
  894. 26:58group meetings.
  895. 27:01>> I am genuinely curious about this: in a
  896. 27:03high-pressure environment where every
  897. 27:05word is recorded, how can you have any
  898. 27:07sort of meaningful discussion? If we
  899. 27:10look at historical records, these small
  900. 27:12group meetings in the early days
  901. 27:14sometimes involved truly heated debates
  902. 27:16over ideology or specific economic
  903. 27:18policies, even to the point of slamming
  904. 27:20tables. So, are they still challenging
  905. 27:22high-level decisions in these small
  906. 27:24group meetings now?
  907. 27:25>> Well, that era is completely over; this
  908. 27:27is the most significant change in the
  909. 27:29current political landscape. In today's
  910. 27:31small group meetings, there is
  911. 27:32absolutely no such thing as heated
  912. 27:34debate or policy challenges.
  913. 27:36>> Then what on earth are they discussing?
  914. 27:38>> Every delegate’s primary task is to
  915. 27:40express their clear and firm support
  916. 27:42for the party leader's status and their
  917. 27:45absolute approval of the report, but
  918. 27:47the mechanism here is very subtle; it
  919. 27:49is not something you can just get away
  920. 27:51with easily—why is it not simple to
  921. 27:53just agree? If it were me, I would just
  922. 27:56nod throughout the meeting and say, "
  923. 27:58Yes, this report is written perfectly,
  924. 28:00I completely agree and firmly support
  925. 28:02it." Wouldn't that be a safe way to get
  926. 28:04through it?
  927. 28:06>> If you really did that, you would
  928. 28:07probably disappear from next year’s
  929. 28:09promotion list and might even face the
  930. 28:11risk of being sidelined. In recent
  931. 28:13years, the top leadership has
  932. 28:14continuously issued stern internal
  933. 28:16warnings; they are extremely repulsed
  934. 28:18by officials engaging in blatant
  935. 28:19sycophancy, self-promotion, or rote
  936. 28:21memorization. Like a parrot soullessly
  937. 28:23echoing party slogans.
  938. 28:25>> Wow, you can't kiss up, and you can't
  939. 28:27be a teleprompter either. So how are
  940. 28:29they supposed to perform?
  941. 28:30>> The challenge officials face is that
  942. 28:32they must express their loyalty in an
  943. 28:34extremely refined, profound, and even
  944. 28:36creative way that incorporates personal
  945. 28:38insight. This is a high-difficulty
  946. 28:40political performance art; you must
  947. 28:42demonstrate that you have internalized
  948. 28:44the top leader's thoughts into your own
  949. 28:46field, rather than just reciting a
  950. 28:47script.
  951. 28:48>> That is literally hell-level difficulty
  952. 28:50. You cannot look like you are sucking
  953. 28:52up, but you must hit the mark precisely
  954. 28:54; you cannot act like a reader, but you
  955. 28:56must absolutely not deviate from any
  956. 28:58framework of the official narrative.
  957. 29:00What exactly are they hoping for by
  958. 29:02struggling so cautiously?
  959. 29:03>> What they are hoping for is to be seen;
  960. 29:05for these discussions, specialized
  961. 29:07clerks compile a daily summary for the
  962. 29:09top leadership every single day.
  963. 29:11They’re trying to make it onto that
  964. 29:13daily "highlight" list, right?
  965. 29:14>> Exactly. If your remarks are nuanced
  966. 29:16just right, there’s a chance you'll
  967. 29:18be written into this summary. More
  968. 29:19importantly, Xi Jinping usually visits
  969. 29:21the various group discussion sites in
  970. 29:23person, accompanied by other members of
  971. 29:25the Politburo Standing Committee.
  972. 29:26>> Like a boss coming down to practice
  973. 29:28walk-around management.
  974. 29:29>> Right, if you can deliver a speech the
  975. 29:31moment the top leader enters the room
  976. 29:33that is neither haughty nor humble,
  977. 29:34insightful, and perfectly aligned with
  978. 29:36the party's ideology, you’ve
  979. 29:38essentially passed the ultimate job
  980. 29:40interview. Conversely, if you perform
  981. 29:43poorly, or if your past record isn't
  982. 29:45clean, this meeting could mark the end
  983. 29:47of your political career. This brings
  984. 29:50us to a set of truly astonishing
  985. 29:51figures mentioned in this article. In
  986. 29:54this Central Committee alone, 20 formal
  987. 29:56members have been purged so far.
  988. 29:59>> That is an incredibly high number.
  989. 30:01>> Exactly, and it even includes three
  990. 30:03high-ranking members of the Politburo.
  991. 30:05The entire Central Committee now has
  992. 30:07eight vacant seats waiting to be filled
  993. 30:09; the attrition rate is terrifying.
  994. 30:11>> These numbers concretely illustrate the
  995. 30:13massive political impact of this purge.
  996. 30:15A report from the Asia Society Policy
  997. 30:17Institute offers a pessimistic
  998. 30:19prediction, suggesting that as many as
  999. 30:2115 more members could face dismissal at
  1000. 30:23this Third Plenary Session, which shows
  1001. 30:25that the scale and speed of the power
  1002. 30:27core's turnover are accelerating. 15
  1003. 30:29more might have to leave? The pressure
  1004. 30:31is immense. However, compared to the
  1005. 30:33vacancies in the Central Committee,
  1006. 30:35data from another area is even more
  1007. 30:37shocking: the highest military
  1008. 30:39decision-making body that effectively
  1009. 30:41controls China's massive army. That is,
  1010. 30:43the Central Military Commission.
  1011. 30:45>> Yes, I was truly stunned when I saw
  1012. 30:47those figures. The original composition
  1013. 30:51of the Central Military Commission,
  1014. 30:53following an unprecedented purge of
  1015. 30:55senior military officials—where five
  1016. 30:57core members were removed at once—now
  1017. 30:59leaves only Xi Jinping himself and one
  1018. 31:01other general. The highest command
  1019. 31:04committee overseeing the nation's armed
  1020. 31:06forces is now effectively operating
  1021. 31:08with only two members.
  1022. 31:10>> That is indeed highly unusual.
  1023. 31:12>> It completely subverts our
  1024. 31:13understanding of the stability of a
  1025. 31:15modern military command system. What
  1026. 31:17exactly is the logic behind this?
  1027. 31:19>> It echoes the core discourse of this
  1028. 31:21meeting regarding "caging power within
  1029. 31:23the system." In recent speeches, the
  1030. 31:25top leadership has explicitly
  1031. 31:27identified several types of threat
  1032. 31:28targets they intend to purge.
  1033. 31:30>> Which targets?
  1034. 31:31>> The first type is the so-called "nice
  1035. 31:33guys"—officials who, to protect their
  1036. 31:35own careers and reputations, turn a
  1037. 31:37blind eye to corruption or inefficiency
  1038. 31:40among their subordinates rather than
  1039. 31:42offend anyone. These people are seen as
  1040. 31:44stumbling blocks to reform. Those who
  1041. 31:46only know how to smooth things over.
  1042. 31:48What about the second type?
  1043. 31:49>> The second type is the "two-faced"
  1044. 31:51person, who appears absolutely loyal to
  1045. 31:53the party and full of dogma on the
  1046. 31:55surface, but privately harbors liberal
  1047. 31:57views and acts against central policies
  1048. 31:59. The third type is the revolving door
  1049. 32:01between politics and business, namely
  1050. 32:02those power-seekers who use political
  1051. 32:04influence to gain huge private profits
  1052. 32:06in the business world, forming interest
  1053. 32:08groups. This makes me think, isn't this
  1054. 32:10exactly like Logan Roy from the
  1055. 32:12American series Succession? That
  1056. 32:14controlling patriarch. A researcher at
  1057. 32:17the Asia Society Policy Institute also
  1058. 32:18happens to point out a similar state of
  1059. 32:20affairs in this article. This power
  1060. 32:22structure and the leader's
  1061. 32:24psychological defenses are simply
  1062. 32:25identical to the plot of the show.
  1063. 32:27>> This pop culture metaphor captures the
  1064. 32:29essence of the problem. Just like Logan
  1065. 32:31Roy in the show, this leader controls
  1066. 32:34an extremely vast and complex empire;
  1067. 32:36he possesses absolute, unchallengeable
  1068. 32:38command, but when power is concentrated
  1069. 32:40to the extreme, it inevitably comes
  1070. 32:42with deep loneliness and suspicion.
  1071. 32:45>> Because the people below are all acting
  1072. 32:47based on the boss's mood. Exactly, he
  1073. 32:50is forever dissatisfied and
  1074. 32:52disappointed with the competence and
  1075. 32:53loyalty of his subordinates; he is
  1076. 32:55constantly suspecting that they are
  1077. 32:57fooling him or working behind his back.
  1078. 33:00>> Because in Logan Roy's eyes, he is
  1079. 33:02surrounded by a bunch of mediocrities
  1080. 33:04waiting to divide the estate, whose
  1081. 33:06ambitions far exceed their abilities.
  1082. 33:08The report also points out a core
  1083. 33:09psychological state: in this leader's
  1084. 33:11worldview, he believes that the only
  1085. 33:13person in the entire party worth
  1086. 33:15emulating and the only diligent example
  1087. 33:17who meets the perfect standard is one
  1088. 33:19person.
  1089. 33:20>> That is his younger self.
  1090. 33:22>> Yes, this is truly a pinnacle of power
  1091. 33:24that is incredibly strong, yet makes
  1092. 33:26all the officials below feel utterly
  1093. 33:28hopeless.
  1094. 33:29>> Now, let’s move on to the fourth
  1095. 33:31article. Does China really prioritize
  1096. 33:33the speed of AI development over safety
  1097. 33:35?
  1098. 33:36>> Hmm. Recently, a police officer named
  1099. 33:39Guo Tao has gone viral on the Chinese
  1100. 33:41internet; he made an anti-scam
  1101. 33:43promotional video with a very catchy
  1102. 33:45slogan: "Hold the golden three seconds,
  1103. 33:47protect your wallet."
  1104. 33:48>> Oh, that slogan is quite catchy.
  1105. 33:51>> Right, it's actually teaching everyone
  1106. 33:53how to deal with the now-common AI
  1107. 33:54voice cloning scams. Because now,
  1108. 33:56criminals only need to record you
  1109. 33:58saying "Hello" when you answer the
  1110. 33:59phone to synthesize your voice with AI
  1111. 34:01in a very short time, and then call
  1112. 34:03your friends and family to trick them
  1113. 34:05into transferring money. Wow, that's
  1114. 34:06really hard to defend against.
  1115. 34:08>> So Officer Guo Tao suggests that when
  1116. 34:09you receive a call from a stranger,
  1117. 34:11stay silent for three seconds to see if
  1118. 34:13the person on the other end is real.
  1119. 34:14You must have received or heard of
  1120. 34:16similar scam calls before, too. This
  1121. 34:18relatable, everyday scenario actually
  1122. 34:20highlights one of the most urgent and
  1123. 34:21anxious questions in the global tech
  1124. 34:23world right now.
  1125. 34:24>> That is, in the face of AI, this
  1126. 34:26charging beast, what kind of attitude
  1127. 34:27is China actually taking toward its
  1128. 34:29emergence?
  1129. 34:30>> Exactly. If we look at this from an
  1130. 34:32international perspective, the outside
  1131. 34:34world's default view of China is often
  1132. 34:35filled with doubt and caution. For
  1133. 34:38instance, the current US President
  1134. 34:40Trump publicly asserted last month that
  1135. 34:42to win the tech race and defeat the US,
  1136. 34:44China would absolutely do nothing to
  1137. 34:46regulate AI. Does Trump mean they will
  1138. 34:49just completely leave it alone?
  1139. 34:51>> Yes, he believes China will let AI grow
  1140. 34:54unchecked in exchange for absolute
  1141. 34:55technical superiority, and if we look
  1142. 34:57at polling data, it seems to confirm
  1143. 34:59this fearless attitude. Gallup polls
  1144. 35:02show that a staggering 93%of Chinese
  1145. 35:04respondents are extremely optimistic
  1146. 35:06about AI development, believing it will
  1147. 35:09make the country stronger.
  1148. 35:10>> 93%? That ratio is way too high! In
  1149. 35:13contrast, the optimism rate among US
  1150. 35:16respondents is only 36%. Furthermore,
  1151. 35:18when the US has repeatedly called for
  1152. 35:20the world to slow down the development
  1153. 35:22of advanced AI models, China's Ministry
  1154. 35:24of Foreign Affairs responded very
  1155. 35:25harshly, dismissing the US remarks as
  1156. 35:27fear-mongering.
  1157. 35:28>> Wait, that doesn't make any sense at
  1158. 35:30all. We all know that to achieve
  1159. 35:32national strategic goals, China
  1160. 35:34sometimes ignores traditional rules and
  1161. 35:36charges ahead. So, Trump's conclusion
  1162. 35:38and this 93%optimism rate paint a very
  1163. 35:41intuitive picture: China doesn't care
  1164. 35:43if AI goes out of control; they only
  1165. 35:45care about winning. But this article
  1166. 35:47says that this is entirely a myth held
  1167. 35:49by the outside world. The report even
  1168. 35:51states that China has invested enormous
  1169. 35:53effort into establishing AI safety
  1170. 35:54standards.
  1171. 35:55>> That is indeed the case.
  1172. 35:56>> But could this just be a PR piece
  1173. 35:58written for foreigners that isn't
  1174. 35:59actually strictly enforced? If we shift
  1175. 36:02our perspective and think about the
  1176. 36:03underlying logic of this regime's
  1177. 36:05survival, you'll realize it's
  1178. 36:06definitely not just PR. Imagine this: a
  1179. 36:09state apparatus that has spent
  1180. 36:10countless resources for years,
  1181. 36:12exhausting every technical means,
  1182. 36:14dedicated to placing the entire virtual
  1183. 36:16cyberspace under absolute control.
  1184. 36:18>> You mean the very famous Great Firewall
  1185. 36:20. Exactly. A system that views the open
  1186. 36:25internet as a potential threat to its
  1187. 36:27survival and successfully built the
  1188. 36:28world's most rigorous firewall—how
  1189. 36:30could it suddenly choose to throw its
  1190. 36:32hands up and let the even more
  1191. 36:34disruptive, more powerful, and more
  1192. 36:35unpredictable AI technology grow wild?
  1193. 36:40It is absolutely contradictory in terms
  1194. 36:42of ruling logic.
  1195. 36:43>> I see, that does sound unreasonable
  1196. 36:45when you put it that way. As experts at
  1197. 36:47Beijing consulting firms have pointed
  1198. 36:49out, China is not only not
  1199. 36:50laissez-faire, but has actually
  1200. 36:52established the world's strictest set
  1201. 36:54of AI regulations.
  1202. 36:55>> This truly shatters many people's
  1203. 36:57preconceptions. Since it's not a
  1204. 36:59hands-off approach, let's break down
  1205. 37:01exactly how far their AI safety
  1206. 37:03governance framework, updated in
  1207. 37:05September 2026, really goes. What
  1208. 37:07specific, unimaginable details are
  1209. 37:09regulated within it?
  1210. 37:11>> The level of detail in this framework
  1211. 37:13is staggering; it divides the potential
  1212. 37:15threats of AI into three major
  1213. 37:17categories, listing a total of 54
  1214. 37:19specific risks.
  1215. 37:20>> 54 types? That classification is far
  1216. 37:22too granular. Yes, the first category
  1217. 37:24is intrinsic risk—what Silicon Valley
  1218. 37:26fears most: the model itself spiraling
  1219. 37:28out of control, hallucinating, or
  1220. 37:30behaving unpredictably. The second
  1221. 37:31category is application risk, which
  1222. 37:33covers criminal activities like the
  1223. 37:35aforementioned voice-cloning fraud and
  1224. 37:37the generation of fake news.
  1225. 37:38>> And what about the third category?
  1226. 37:40>> The third category involves deeper
  1227. 37:41systemic risks, such as AI displacing
  1228. 37:44human labor en masse leading to
  1229. 37:45unemployment, or causing social
  1230. 37:47alienation. But what makes this
  1231. 37:50framework most striking is the
  1232. 37:51mandatory requirement to set up "human
  1233. 37:53checkpoints" within the systems.
  1234. 37:55>> Human checkpoints? What is the concept
  1235. 37:57behind that? It means that when an AI
  1236. 38:00agent executes tasks, searches for data
  1237. 38:02, or makes decisions online, it must be
  1238. 38:05intercepted and reviewed by real humans
  1239. 38:07at specific nodes. Once a human
  1240. 38:09reviewer finds an issue with the
  1241. 38:11AI-generated content, they have the
  1242. 38:13authority—and the obligation—to
  1243. 38:15manually terminate the AI's operation
  1244. 38:17immediately. Setting up human
  1245. 38:19checkpoints sounds like forcing a
  1246. 38:21manual emergency brake lever into a
  1247. 38:23fully automated nuclear power plant;
  1248. 38:26this would surely be a massive drag on
  1249. 38:28computational efficiency. This leads to
  1250. 38:31a deeper question: Since both China and
  1251. 38:33the US are worried about AI risks, how
  1252. 38:35do Beijing's concerns fundamentally
  1253. 38:37differ from the anxieties of Silicon
  1254. 38:39Valley tech giants? Isn't everyone just
  1255. 38:41afraid that AI will destroy humanity?
  1256. 38:43>> Actually, the nature of these fears is
  1257. 38:45completely different. A large part of
  1258. 38:48Silicon Valley's fear is based on
  1259. 38:50sci-fi assumptions; they fear that AI
  1260. 38:52intelligence will eventually surpass
  1261. 38:54humans and take over its own
  1262. 38:56evolutionary process. It is an anxiety
  1263. 38:58about a doomsday scenario where the
  1264. 39:00creator is destroyed by the creation.
  1265. 39:02>> Like the "Terminator" script.
  1266. 39:04>> Exactly, but China's ruling class,
  1267. 39:06especially the perspective of Xi
  1268. 39:08Jinping himself, is entirely different;
  1269. 39:11he views AI as a tool with the same
  1270. 39:13nature as the steam engine, electricity
  1271. 39:15, or the internet.
  1272. 39:17>> It's just a tool.
  1273. 39:18>> Yes, in their materialist philosophical
  1274. 39:20view, while tools can bring about
  1275. 39:22massive social change, tools are
  1276. 39:24ultimately just tools. They can be
  1277. 39:26mastered by mortals and governed by
  1278. 39:27state power; it is absolutely
  1279. 39:29impossible for them to escape the
  1280. 39:30regime's control.
  1281. 39:31>> In other words, the U.S. feels it is
  1282. 39:33creating a god, hence it is filled with
  1283. 39:35awe and fear; China feels it is merely
  1284. 39:37building a super engine, and as long as
  1285. 39:39the steering wheel and brakes remain
  1286. 39:41firmly in the Party's hands, there is
  1287. 39:42nothing to fear. And precisely because
  1288. 39:44China is currently a few months behind
  1289. 39:46the U.S. at the cutting edge of AI
  1290. 39:48technology, such as in model parameter
  1291. 39:49counts and computing power, they have
  1292. 39:51even less reason—and are unwilling—
  1293. 39:53to comply with U.S. calls to hit the
  1294. 39:55brakes.
  1295. 39:55>> Exactly right. In their view, the U.S.
  1296. 39:58calling for a pause is simply a selfish
  1297. 40:00strategy to maintain its own lead. A
  1298. 40:03deeper reason lies in China's soft
  1299. 40:05regulation, which emphasizes state
  1300. 40:07leadership and features a strong
  1301. 40:09paternalistic style, extending beyond
  1302. 40:11technical safety into the moral realm.
  1303. 40:14>> What do you mean by the moral realm?
  1304. 40:15>> For instance, their new regulations
  1305. 40:17explicitly prohibit companies from
  1306. 40:19providing virtual lover or virtual
  1307. 40:21friend AI services to minors. Because
  1308. 40:22it does not align with the social
  1309. 40:24values promoted by the authorities.
  1310. 40:26>> Oh, that is quite overreaching; even a
  1311. 40:28high schooler can't have a virtual
  1312. 40:29romance with an AI. But if I were the
  1313. 40:32boss of an AI startup in China, seeing
  1314. 40:34these 54 risk categories and various
  1315. 40:36moral red lines, I would surely feel
  1316. 40:38paralyzed. Isn't this kind of
  1317. 40:41micromanagement actually having a
  1318. 40:42counterproductive effect on the
  1319. 40:44industry?
  1320. 40:45>> It has indeed caused a serious chilling
  1321. 40:47effect. In the U.S., because government
  1322. 40:49regulation is relatively loose, we see
  1323. 40:51many tech companies taking the
  1324. 40:53initiative to spend huge sums on
  1325. 40:54evaluating model risks and even
  1326. 40:56lobbying the government to set
  1327. 40:58standards, but a consulting firm in
  1328. 41:00Beijing, Concordia AI, recently
  1329. 41:01conducted a review.
  1330. 41:03>> What was the result?
  1331. 41:03>> They examined ten leading Chinese
  1332. 41:05companies that recently released AI
  1333. 41:07models and found that, surprisingly,
  1334. 41:09only five had publicly released safety
  1335. 41:11assessment reports.
  1336. 41:12>> Wait, only half? Under the strictest
  1337. 41:15regulatory framework in the world,
  1338. 41:16companies are actually less proactive
  1339. 41:18in doing safety assessments? What kind
  1340. 41:20of absurd logic is that?
  1341. 41:21>> This is the extreme passivity brought
  1342. 41:23about by paternalistic governance.
  1343. 41:25Companies become extremely conservative
  1344. 41:27; their mindset shifts to: since the
  1345. 41:29Party and government will eventually
  1346. 41:31set meticulous rules, I shouldn't do
  1347. 41:32anything extra to avoid making mistakes
  1348. 41:34.
  1349. 41:34>> It’s a "pass the buck" mentality—
  1350. 41:36waiting for the regulations before
  1351. 41:38taking action.
  1352. 41:38>> Exactly. I am just waiting for clear
  1353. 41:40instructions from the top. I’ll hit
  1354. 41:42the brakes when you tell me to; if you
  1355. 41:44haven't regulated a risk, I’ll
  1356. 41:45pretend I don't see it. This mindset of
  1357. 41:47waiting for instructions from above
  1358. 41:49creates massive blind spots in AI, a
  1359. 41:51field where technology evolves far
  1360. 41:53faster than regulators can anticipate.
  1361. 41:55Beyond this passivity, the article
  1362. 41:57highlights a major point of
  1363. 41:58international contention: open-weight
  1364. 42:00models, or what we commonly call
  1365. 42:02open-source models. The outside world,
  1366. 42:05especially the US, is very worried
  1367. 42:07about China developing so many open
  1368. 42:09models, as they can be downloaded and
  1369. 42:11modified by anyone, making them easy
  1370. 42:13for hackers or terrorists to abuse. How
  1371. 42:16does the Chinese AI community counter
  1372. 42:18this?
  1373. 42:19>> The Chinese AI community’s
  1374. 42:20counterargument is sharp; they see it
  1375. 42:22as pure American double standards,
  1376. 42:24pointing out that having access to
  1377. 42:26these open models actually helps China
  1378. 42:28defend against malicious attacks
  1379. 42:29launched by closed US models.
  1380. 42:31>> Are there any specific examples?
  1381. 42:33>> Yes, they cited a real case where
  1382. 42:35OpenAI tools were exploited by
  1383. 42:37malicious actors to infiltrate the
  1384. 42:38well-known AI platform, Hugging Face.
  1385. 42:41Chinese engineers emphasize that
  1386. 42:42without the collective wisdom of the
  1387. 42:44global open-source community to find
  1388. 42:45vulnerabilities, relying solely on
  1389. 42:47closed systems makes it hard to defend
  1390. 42:49against these new types of attacks.
  1391. 42:50>> In other words, open-source has become
  1392. 42:52a form of crowdsourced defense
  1393. 42:54mechanism.
  1394. 42:55>> Exactly. But while the industry defends
  1395. 42:57it this way, the Chinese government
  1396. 42:59isn't just letting it be; they are
  1397. 43:01currently establishing stricter review
  1398. 43:03mechanisms for open models to ensure
  1399. 43:05any new model passes rigorous safety
  1400. 43:07tests before public release. So, if we
  1401. 43:10tie all the threads from these two
  1402. 43:12articles together, it leaves us with a
  1403. 43:14lingering question to ponder. If you
  1404. 43:16run various benchmark tests, China’s
  1405. 43:18AI models might indeed be a few months
  1406. 43:20behind the US in computational
  1407. 43:21performance and cutting-edge innovation
  1408. 43:23. But in another arena—risk
  1409. 43:25management, regulatory framework design
  1410. 43:27, social control, and the establishment
  1411. 43:29of red lines and warning mechanisms—
  1412. 43:31this is undoubtedly where the Chinese
  1413. 43:33government excels. When a country maxes
  1414. 43:35out its ability to control risk, is it
  1415. 43:37the secret weapon that helps them win
  1416. 43:39the tech race, or will it become a
  1417. 43:41noose that strangles innovation?
  1418. 43:43>> That concludes the content of this
  1419. 43:44article.
  1420. 43:45>> Now, let’s move on to the fifth
  1421. 43:47article. Indonesia’s populist
  1422. 43:49experiment is shaking.
  1423. 43:51>> This article is quite shocking; it’s
  1424. 43:53as if Indonesia is currently facing a
  1425. 43:55perfect storm.
  1426. 43:56>> Indeed, honestly, if we look at the
  1427. 43:59data, just recently—on October 16,
  1428. 44:012026—Indonesia’s main stock market
  1429. 44:04index plummeted nearly 12%in a single
  1430. 44:06day.
  1431. 44:06>> Wow, 12%in a single day is a total
  1432. 44:09meltdown.
  1433. 44:10>> That’s right, and if you look at the
  1434. 44:12longer term, the index has plummeted 40
  1435. 44:14%since the start of this year.
  1436. 44:16>> 40%—that’s not just some ordinary
  1437. 44:18market correction anymore. Exactly,
  1438. 44:20making Indonesia the worst-performing
  1439. 44:22stock market globally this year. The
  1440. 44:25most obvious interpretation is that
  1441. 44:27foreign investors are fleeing this
  1442. 44:28former rising star, right?
  1443. 44:30>> It looks like an exit of foreign
  1444. 44:32capital on the surface, but if you dig
  1445. 44:34deeper, the real fatal blow is actually
  1446. 44:36the flight of domestic capital.
  1447. 44:38>> You mean capital from local enterprises
  1448. 44:40? Yes. Foreigners might leave due to
  1449. 44:42global interest rates or short-term
  1450. 44:44hedging, but Indonesia's current
  1451. 44:45problem is that regulatory uncertainty
  1452. 44:47and a lack of transparency have shaken
  1453. 44:49the nation's foundation.
  1454. 44:51>> Indeed.
  1455. 44:51>> We’ve observed that many local ethnic
  1456. 44:53Chinese tycoons are actively moving
  1457. 44:55massive amounts of capital offshore;
  1458. 44:57they’re afraid to invest domestically
  1459. 44:58.
  1460. 44:59>> Why is that happening?
  1461. 45:00>> Because they are extremely worried
  1462. 45:01about being extorted by President
  1463. 45:03Prabowo’s government or facing undue
  1464. 45:05pressure.
  1465. 45:05>> Wow, that’s serious. Exactly. Think
  1466. 45:08about it: when a country's own
  1467. 45:10entrepreneurs are too afraid to take
  1468. 45:12money out of the safe, the bloodletting
  1469. 45:14in the real economy is far worse than
  1470. 45:16the capital flight shown on paper.
  1471. 45:18>> True, and this economic panic has
  1472. 45:20already been reflected quite concretely
  1473. 45:22in the political data.
  1474. 45:23>> Mm-hmm.
  1475. 45:24>> Look at President Prabowo’s approval
  1476. 45:25ratings; they’ve experienced a
  1477. 45:27landslide collapse.
  1478. 45:28>> A brutal drop, right?
  1479. 45:29>> Beyond brutal. Back in November 2025,
  1480. 45:32his approval rating hit an all-time
  1481. 45:34high of 81%.
  1482. 45:35>> Yes, that’s very high. But now it has
  1483. 45:37plummeted to just 45%.
  1484. 45:39>> Wow, cut in half.
  1485. 45:40>> Yes. But from a professional polling
  1486. 45:43perspective, 45%is actually considered
  1487. 45:45passing in some Western democracies—
  1488. 45:47it could even win re-election. Is this
  1489. 45:50number really that bad in Indonesia?
  1490. 45:52>> You can’t use Western standards to
  1491. 45:54judge Indonesia. In Indonesian social
  1492. 45:57and political culture, respondents are
  1493. 45:59usually very shy about giving harsh
  1494. 46:00negative evaluations of the incumbent
  1495. 46:02leader. Oh, so it's a cultural
  1496. 46:05phenomenon, then?
  1497. 46:06>> Yes, exactly. So when the approval
  1498. 46:08rating drops to 45%, it’s effectively
  1499. 46:10an all-time low.
  1500. 46:11>> Meaning the public is truly furious.
  1501. 46:14>> Yes, it shows that everyone's anger has
  1502. 46:15broken through those cultural
  1503. 46:17constraints. But we must clarify one
  1504. 46:19thing: the core spark for this public
  1505. 46:21grievance isn't the political
  1506. 46:22high-pressure rule everyone imagines,
  1507. 46:24but a much more practical survival
  1508. 46:26issue—runaway inflation. You've hit
  1509. 46:29the point; the soaring prices of daily
  1510. 46:30essentials are the final straw that
  1511. 46:32breaks the camel's back.
  1512. 46:33>> Right.
  1513. 46:35>> But ironically, a large part of this is
  1514. 46:37completely outside Prabowo’s control.
  1515. 46:40>> Yeah, macroeconomic issues, right?
  1516. 46:42>> Exactly. Look at the conflict between
  1517. 46:44the U.S. and Iran; it pushed up
  1518. 46:46international oil prices, causing
  1519. 46:47Indonesia’s fuel import costs to
  1520. 46:49skyrocket.
  1521. 46:49>> Hmm, and climate issues too.
  1522. 46:51>> Yes, the strong El Niño phenomenon
  1523. 46:53caused climate anomalies, hitting
  1524. 46:54agricultural output hard. There’s a
  1525. 46:56staggering statistic here regarding
  1526. 46:58those bird's eye chilies that define
  1527. 46:59Indonesian cuisine.
  1528. 47:00>> What happened to the bird's eye chilies
  1529. 47:02?
  1530. 47:02>> Their price has surged by 76.5%compared
  1531. 47:04to the same period last year.
  1532. 47:06>> Wow, 76.5%? That’s absurd.
  1533. 47:09>> It really is. And it’s not just
  1534. 47:11chilies; chicken, eggs, and rice have
  1535. 47:13all seen price hikes across the board.
  1536. 47:15>> For the average person, bird's eye
  1537. 47:17chilies aren't a luxury; they are an
  1538. 47:19essential item on the dinner table
  1539. 47:21every day. When people can no longer
  1540. 47:22afford these things, it’s not just
  1541. 47:24inflation—it’s a survival crisis.
  1542. 47:26>> Exactly, and that is the dilemma
  1543. 47:28populists most often face once they
  1544. 47:30take power. Prabowo came to power on
  1545. 47:32the back of extremely high-profile
  1546. 47:34populist policies.
  1547. 47:35>> Hmm, like his famous free school lunch
  1548. 47:37program.
  1549. 47:38>> Yes, and his promise to build 80,000
  1550. 47:40state-run rural cooperatives nationwide
  1551. 47:42.
  1552. 47:42>> But reality is cruel; to cover those
  1553. 47:44expensive fuel subsidies we just
  1554. 47:46mentioned, the budgets for these plans
  1555. 47:48have already shrunk significantly. So
  1556. 47:50now, public resentment is boiling, his
  1557. 47:51original campaign promises are broken,
  1558. 47:53and he must come up with something new
  1559. 47:55to appease the voters.
  1560. 47:56>> His team has rolled out a new plan,
  1561. 47:58right?
  1562. 47:58>> They have, and it’s even more
  1563. 48:00controversial. On October 13th, the
  1564. 48:02president's brother proposed a free
  1565. 48:04mobile phone program for everyone.
  1566. 48:06>> Free phones?
  1567. 48:07>> Yes, not just hardware; they also want
  1568. 48:09to mandate linking them to free bank
  1569. 48:12accounts. They claim it’s to
  1570. 48:14integrate Indonesia’s vast low-income
  1571. 48:16population into the formal financial
  1572. 48:18system. That sounds...
  1573. 48:20>> I have to strongly question this. With
  1574. 48:22foreign capital fleeing and inflation
  1575. 48:24so high, Indonesia’s fiscal state is
  1576. 48:25already fragile. Isn’t handing out
  1577. 48:27free phones a form of fiscal suicide,
  1578. 48:29like drinking poison to quench one's
  1579. 48:31thirst?
  1580. 48:31>> Your skepticism hits the nail on the
  1581. 48:33head. From an economic standpoint, this
  1582. 48:35is a total disaster. To put it plainly,
  1583. 48:37this policy is just buying today's
  1584. 48:38votes with future national debt.
  1585. 48:40>> Truly. Without real tax revenue or
  1586. 48:42productivity growth to support it,
  1587. 48:44continuing to expand such reckless
  1588. 48:45fiscal spending will inevitably lead to
  1589. 48:47a sovereign credit rating downgrade and
  1590. 48:49trigger even worse hyperinflation.
  1591. 48:50>> Then why would they still go through
  1592. 48:52with this?
  1593. 48:52>> That’s the logic of political
  1594. 48:54maneuvering. Prabowo’s team knows
  1595. 48:55full well that when economic pressure
  1596. 48:57cannot be relieved, social discontent
  1597. 48:59could trigger street protests at any
  1598. 49:00time, so they are essentially buying
  1599. 49:02time with these policies.
  1600. 49:03>> Speaking of street protests, this
  1601. 49:05really is Prabowo’s deepest nightmare
  1602. 49:07. Let’s take a look at the tense
  1603. 49:08atmosphere on the streets of Indonesia
  1604. 49:10right now.
  1605. 49:10>> Hmm.
  1606. 49:11>> On October 4th, a student movement
  1607. 49:12leader who was organizing a protest
  1608. 49:14against the second anniversary of
  1609. 49:15Prabowo’s inauguration was actually
  1610. 49:16beaten by unidentified individuals on
  1611. 49:18the streets of Jakarta.
  1612. 49:19>> Wow, that carries a very strong message
  1613. 49:21of warning.
  1614. 49:21>> Yes. Although the police claim they are
  1615. 49:23investigating, there has been zero
  1616. 49:24progress so far. This has directly
  1617. 49:26created a powerful chilling effect in
  1618. 49:28society.
  1619. 49:28>> Indeed.
  1620. 49:29>> Then, on October 20th, the day of the
  1621. 49:31two-year anniversary, the government
  1622. 49:33deployed as many as 9,500 police
  1623. 49:35officers in Jakarta to guard the city.
  1624. 49:38>> Right, that’s almost a martial-law
  1625. 49:40level of police force. But how many
  1626. 49:41people actually showed up? Only a few
  1627. 49:43hundred students.
  1628. 49:44>> Isn't that completely disproportionate
  1629. 49:46suppression?
  1630. 49:47>> Exactly, it fully exposes the ruler’s
  1631. 49:49fear.
  1632. 49:50>> Actually, Prabowo’s fear of the "
  1633. 49:52streets" has deep historical roots.
  1634. 49:54>> How so?
  1635. 49:55>> You have to realize that his
  1636. 49:56father-in-law, the former Indonesian
  1637. 49:58dictator Suharto, was forced out of
  1638. 50:00power in 1998 by overwhelming mass
  1639. 50:02protests.
  1640. 50:02>> Yes, that part of history is very
  1641. 50:04famous. More importantly, when Prabowo
  1642. 50:07was a special forces commander between
  1643. 50:091997 and 1998, he personally
  1644. 50:10participated in operations to kidnap
  1645. 50:12student activists.
  1646. 50:14>> Wow, so this dark history makes him
  1647. 50:15well aware of the destructive power of
  1648. 50:17mass movements.
  1649. 50:18>> Exactly, and this brings us to
  1650. 50:19Indonesia’s biggest constitutional
  1651. 50:21crisis right now.
  1652. 50:22>> You mean the rift in the political
  1653. 50:23alliance between Prabowo and the former
  1654. 50:25president, Jokowi? Yes, isn't
  1655. 50:27Jokowi’s son the vice president now?
  1656. 50:29If the conflict between both sides
  1657. 50:31continues to escalate, and Prabowo
  1658. 50:32assesses that he cannot win reelection
  1659. 50:34in 2029 under the current direct
  1660. 50:35election system, what do you think he
  1661. 50:37will do?
  1662. 50:37>> Could he amend the constitution?
  1663. 50:39>> Some analysts suggest it is highly
  1664. 50:40likely he would force a constitutional
  1665. 50:42amendment, abolish the direct
  1666. 50:43presidential election system, and roll
  1667. 50:44the electoral method back to how it was
  1668. 50:46before 2004.
  1669. 50:47>> Switching to a parliamentary system to
  1670. 50:48elect the president.
  1671. 50:49>> Correct, but that is an extremely
  1672. 50:51dangerous political gamble. If he
  1673. 50:53really deprives the public of their
  1674. 50:54right to vote directly, he would
  1675. 50:56absolutely be lighting the very fire he
  1676. 50:58fears most.
  1677. 50:59>> It would definitely trigger the largest
  1678. 51:00street protests in modern Indonesian
  1679. 51:02history. That is the irony of populism:
  1680. 51:04using promises to appease the masses to
  1681. 51:06gain power, only to turn around and
  1682. 51:07strip those same masses of their rights
  1683. 51:09to maintain control when faced with
  1684. 51:11economic reality, ultimately pushing
  1685. 51:12the country into a downward spiral.
  1686. 51:14>> Next, let's move on to the sixth
  1687. 51:16article. Not just solving the stray dog
  1688. 51:18problem. Well, the perspective of this
  1689. 51:20piece is completely different; we are
  1690. 51:22shifting from political turmoil to a
  1691. 51:24public health miracle in the Himalayas.
  1692. 51:26>> Yes, if you were to walk from the
  1693. 51:28Indian border into a Bhutanese town
  1694. 51:29right now, the street scenes might look
  1695. 51:32similar, but you would notice a very
  1696. 51:33unique phenomenon.
  1697. 51:35>> What phenomenon?
  1698. 51:36>> It’s that every stray dog on the
  1699. 51:37streets of Bhutan has a very distinct
  1700. 51:39little notch on its ear. Oh, isn't that
  1701. 51:42a scar from the stray dogs fighting?
  1702. 51:44>> No, no, that’s a mark made by the
  1703. 51:46local government to show the dog has
  1704. 51:48been spayed or neutered and has also
  1705. 51:50received a rabies vaccination.
  1706. 51:52>> Wow, behind this little notch is
  1707. 51:53actually an amazing national-level
  1708. 51:55public health network.
  1709. 51:57>> Really?
  1710. 51:57>> Because Bhutan hasn't just neutered all
  1711. 51:59the stray dogs in the country; they
  1712. 52:01also provide completely free medical
  1713. 52:02care and vaccinations for anyone bitten
  1714. 52:04by a dog.
  1715. 52:05>> Completely free? That’s no small feat
  1716. 52:07. Yes, these two policies combined have
  1717. 52:09allowed Bhutan to reach a milestone in
  1718. 52:11international public health that is
  1719. 52:13hard to surpass; they are now one of
  1720. 52:14only three countries in the world to
  1721. 52:16have successfully eliminated
  1722. 52:18dog-mediated human rabies.
  1723. 52:19>> Wow, so when was their last case of a
  1724. 52:22human dying from rabies?
  1725. 52:23>> It stopped back in 2023.
  1726. 52:25>> This achievement is truly remarkable.
  1727. 52:27We can see how difficult it is by
  1728. 52:28comparing it to the dire situations in
  1729. 52:30neighboring countries.
  1730. 52:31>> Yes, India, for instance, is quite
  1731. 52:33tragic.
  1732. 52:33>> Exactly, in India, located in South
  1733. 52:35Asia, rabies is basically a nightmare,
  1734. 52:37with an estimated 5,700 people losing
  1735. 52:39their lives to the disease every year.
  1736. 52:41>> 5,700 people, and since the fatality
  1737. 52:43rate once symptoms appear is nearly 100
  1738. 52:45%, this is a massive burden on any
  1739. 52:47country's healthcare system.
  1740. 52:49>> That's right. So why was Bhutan, a
  1741. 52:50country with not-so-abundant resources,
  1742. 52:52able to completely solve this problem?
  1743. 52:54>> Actually, their success is no accident;
  1744. 52:56they went through a very long and
  1745. 52:57unsuccessful detour in the past. How so
  1746. 52:59?
  1747. 53:00>> Looking back to the 1980s, the
  1748. 53:01Bhutanese government followed the
  1749. 53:02strong recommendations of the World
  1750. 53:04Health Organization to cull stray dogs
  1751. 53:06using tranquilizer guns or by mixing a
  1752. 53:08highly toxic poison called strychnine
  1753. 53:09into meat.
  1754. 53:10>> From a Western public health management
  1755. 53:12perspective, culling is the fastest way
  1756. 53:13, right?
  1757. 53:14>> It is the fastest, but they completely
  1758. 53:16ignored the local cultural context.
  1759. 53:18>> Right, that approach just didn't work
  1760. 53:19in Bhutan. Bhutan’s state religion is
  1761. 53:21Buddhism, and non-killing is the most
  1762. 53:23fundamental belief in their society.
  1763. 53:25>> Exactly. So, this kind of cruel culling
  1764. 53:27not only angers the public and makes
  1765. 53:29policies hard to push, but from an
  1766. 53:30ecological perspective, it is also a
  1767. 53:32complete failure.
  1768. 53:33>> How so?
  1769. 53:34>> Think about it: once you poison the
  1770. 53:35dogs in an area, the ecological niche
  1771. 53:37opens up, and dogs from nearby will
  1772. 53:38immediately migrate over to breed and
  1773. 53:40fill the gap.
  1774. 53:41>> Oh, so the more they cull stray dogs,
  1775. 53:42the more their numbers increase instead
  1776. 53:44of decrease.
  1777. 53:45>> Exactly, which is why they changed
  1778. 53:47their approach in 2009, switching to a
  1779. 53:49more humane method of
  1780. 53:51trap-neuter-vaccinate-release. The 2009
  1781. 53:53shift was morally correct, but from an
  1782. 53:56epidemiological perspective, the
  1783. 53:57execution at the time was far from
  1784. 53:59sufficient.
  1785. 54:00>> Is it because of the coverage rate?
  1786. 54:02>> Yes. Over the next nine years, even
  1787. 54:04though they handled as many as 92,000
  1788. 54:06stray dogs, it exposed a public health
  1789. 54:08blind spot: to break the chain of
  1790. 54:10infection, the overall vaccine coverage
  1791. 54:12must cross the 70%threshold.
  1792. 54:14>> What if it's not enough?
  1793. 54:15>> If you don't reach 70%, the virus will
  1794. 54:17continue to mutate and spread within
  1795. 54:19the remaining 30%to 40%of the
  1796. 54:21population. So, during those nine years
  1797. 54:23, even though Bhutan invested a massive
  1798. 54:24amount of resources, the coverage rate
  1799. 54:26remained stagnant at a low level.
  1800. 54:27>> That means all the previous efforts
  1801. 54:29were almost for nothing. It’s like
  1802. 54:31building a dam to stop a flood; if you
  1803. 54:32only build it to 60%of the required
  1804. 54:34height, the water will still overflow,
  1805. 54:36making the construction effectively
  1806. 54:38useless.
  1807. 54:38>> That’s a very accurate analogy.
  1808. 54:40>> So, how did Bhutan finally break
  1809. 54:42through this last and most difficult
  1810. 54:44bottleneck?
  1811. 54:44>> The real turning point happened in 2021
  1812. 54:46, when the King of Bhutan personally
  1813. 54:48issued a royal decree.
  1814. 54:50>> The King personally gave the order? Yes
  1815. 54:51, and this wasn't just a verbal appeal;
  1816. 54:53it was a legally binding executive
  1817. 54:55order requiring the thorough
  1818. 54:56sterilization of all free-roaming dogs
  1819. 54:58in the country in a professional and
  1820. 55:00humane way. To accomplish this, the
  1821. 55:02government mobilized a national
  1822. 55:03volunteer force of 9,000 people.
  1823. 55:05>> Wow, 9,000 volunteers? Bhutan doesn't
  1824. 55:08have a huge population; that
  1825. 55:09mobilization ratio is truly astonishing
  1826. 55:11.
  1827. 55:12>> It is indeed astonishing. They weren't
  1828. 55:14just out on the streets catching dogs;
  1829. 55:15their core work involved precise data
  1830. 55:17tracking and record-keeping, as well as
  1831. 55:18going deep into every community to
  1832. 55:20communicate and mobilize. It was
  1833. 55:21effectively a combination of top-level
  1834. 55:23political resolve and grassroots
  1835. 55:25community infiltration.
  1836. 55:26>> That's right. Under this level of
  1837. 55:27execution, in less than two years, the
  1838. 55:29national vaccination coverage for stray
  1839. 55:31dogs in Bhutan surpassed 90%, far
  1840. 55:33exceeding that 70%threshold.
  1841. 55:34>> That is really impressive. The value of
  1842. 55:36this case study extends far beyond
  1843. 55:38national borders. For countries like
  1844. 55:40Bangladesh and India, which have
  1845. 55:41millions of stray dogs, this is truly a
  1846. 55:43perfect policy demonstration.
  1847. 55:45>> It really is. Instead of spreading the
  1848. 55:47budget nationwide for ineffective
  1849. 55:48results, it is better to concentrate
  1850. 55:50resources and adopt a strategy of
  1851. 55:52gradual, area-by-area eradication.
  1852. 55:53Doesn't this prove that as long as
  1853. 55:55execution can precisely cross the
  1854. 55:57critical threshold of epidemiology,
  1855. 55:58even resource-constrained nations can
  1856. 56:00solve the most thorny problems?
  1857. 56:02>> Indeed, that is true.
  1858. 56:03>> Next, let's move on to the seventh
  1859. 56:05article: the U.S. attacking the
  1860. 56:07International Criminal Court, leaving
  1861. 56:09Japan—well, for this article, we need
  1862. 56:11to broaden our perspective and look at
  1863. 56:13a geopolitical storm shaking the global
  1864. 56:16legal order.
  1865. 56:17>> Well, for this article, we need to
  1866. 56:18broaden our perspective and look at a
  1867. 56:20geopolitical storm shaking the global
  1868. 56:22legal order.
  1869. 56:24>> The date is October 9, 2026, right?
  1870. 56:27>> Yes, the U.S. Secretary of State
  1871. 56:29released an extremely hostile statement
  1872. 56:31, directly announcing that the U.S.
  1873. 56:33would dismantle the International
  1874. 56:35Criminal Court.
  1875. 56:36>> Wow, that is a very strong statement,
  1876. 56:38because in the eyes of the current
  1877. 56:39Trump administration, the jurisdiction
  1878. 56:41of this international court is a
  1879. 56:43tangible threat to U.S. national
  1880. 56:44sovereignty.
  1881. 56:45>> Honestly, this is by no means typical
  1882. 56:47political rhetoric; it is essentially a
  1883. 56:49financial hit warrant with devastating
  1884. 56:51consequences.
  1885. 56:51>> Exactly.
  1886. 56:52>> The U.S. government has set a timeline;
  1887. 56:55this sanction will take full effect in
  1888. 56:57180 days, and the measures are
  1889. 56:59extremely harsh. What do they intend to
  1890. 57:01do?
  1891. 57:02>> They plan to fully freeze all of the
  1892. 57:04ICC's assets within the United States
  1893. 57:06and strictly prohibit any U.S.
  1894. 57:08companies or banks from conducting
  1895. 57:10business with the court.
  1896. 57:11>> Wow, we all know that financial
  1897. 57:13settlement is currently highly
  1898. 57:14dependent on the U.S. system. Is this
  1899. 57:16move effectively cutting the jugular of
  1900. 57:18the International Criminal Court?
  1901. 57:19>> Yes, this is a major geopolitical
  1902. 57:21bombshell. But what’s interesting and
  1903. 57:24ironic is that the one suffering the
  1904. 57:26most from this explosion isn't actually
  1905. 57:28the court itself, but Japan, America's
  1906. 57:30core ally in Asia.
  1907. 57:31>> Japan is truly trapped in an extreme
  1908. 57:33dilemma right now. Let’s break down
  1909. 57:35Japan’s contradiction. Financially
  1910. 57:37and diplomatically, Japan is actually
  1911. 57:39the largest single donor to the
  1912. 57:41International Criminal Court.
  1913. 57:42>> Yes, they cover as much as 15%of the
  1914. 57:44annual budget.
  1915. 57:45>> Furthermore, since World War II,
  1916. 57:47Japan’s diplomatic strategy has held
  1917. 57:48the rules-based international legal
  1918. 57:50order as its highest guiding principle,
  1919. 57:52yet for national security, Japan relies
  1920. 57:54entirely on the U.S. nuclear umbrella
  1921. 57:55and military alliance.
  1922. 57:56>> Right, when your greatest security
  1923. 57:58guarantor decides to destroy the
  1924. 57:59international legal institution
  1925. 58:01you’ve poured the most effort into,
  1926. 58:02that sense of being torn apart is truly
  1927. 58:04unbearable.
  1928. 58:05>> And to make this contradiction even
  1929. 58:06more dramatic, the current President of
  1930. 58:08the International Criminal Court is a
  1931. 58:10Japanese judge, Tomoko Akane.
  1932. 58:11>> Judge Akane's current predicament is
  1933. 58:13the perfect reflection of the cruel
  1934. 58:15reality of international politics.
  1935. 58:16Indeed, in 2023, after he led the
  1936. 58:18effort to issue an arrest warrant for
  1937. 58:19the Russian president, he was
  1938. 58:20immediately placed on Russia's global
  1939. 58:22wanted list.
  1940. 58:23>> Then, in August 2026, he was directly
  1941. 58:24sanctioned by the U.S. government
  1942. 58:26because Washington opposed the court's
  1943. 58:27investigations into its allies.
  1944. 58:29>> It means he is effectively being
  1945. 58:30pursued by both major powers, the U.S.
  1946. 58:31and Russia, at the same time.
  1947. 58:33>> That’s right, and he himself has
  1948. 58:34issued a stern warning: once the U.S.
  1949. 58:36financial sanctions against the court
  1950. 58:38take effect in 180 days, the worst-case
  1951. 58:39scenario is that the court will be
  1952. 58:41forced to shut down because it can no
  1953. 58:43longer pay salaries or operating
  1954. 58:44expenses. This immense external
  1955. 58:46pressure has triggered a political
  1956. 58:47crisis within Japan.
  1957. 58:49>> How has Japan responded?
  1958. 58:50>> When the U.S. first imposed sanctions
  1959. 58:52on Akane in August, the initial
  1960. 58:54reaction from current Prime Minister
  1961. 58:55Sanae Takaichi was incredibly weak; she
  1962. 58:57only stated publicly that the sanctions
  1963. 59:00were "very regrettable."
  1964. 59:01>> Just like that? No demand for them to
  1965. 59:02be withdrawn?
  1966. 59:03>> Absolutely none. Her attempt to please
  1967. 59:05both sides immediately ignited outrage
  1968. 59:07across Japan, with even former Defense
  1969. 59:08Minister Gen Nakatani from within the
  1970. 59:10ruling party publicly criticizing
  1971. 59:11Takaichi for being too subservient to
  1972. 59:13the U.S. The public backlash must have
  1973. 59:15been staggering, right? It was huge.
  1974. 59:17Akane taught at Ritsumeikan University
  1975. 59:19from 2005 to 2008, and his former
  1976. 59:20students launched a nationwide petition
  1977. 59:22, collecting 174,000 signatures of
  1978. 59:24support in a short time.
  1979. 59:26>> 174,000 signatures. Yes, and one
  1980. 59:28student named Yosuke Shamoto made a
  1981. 59:30statement that accurately hit Japan’s
  1982. 59:31strategic pain point. He said, "For
  1983. 59:33Japan, this is not about idealism; it
  1984. 59:35is a real security issue. Japan cannot
  1985. 59:37rely solely on military force to
  1986. 59:39protect itself, so we absolutely need a
  1987. 59:41rules-based international order."
  1988. 59:43>> That student was remarkably insightful.
  1989. 59:45Japan is surrounded by hostile nations
  1990. 59:47with nuclear weapons. If the
  1991. 59:48international rule of law is destroyed
  1992. 59:49by powerful states, Japan’s situation
  1993. 59:51becomes extremely dangerous. Exactly.
  1994. 59:53Faced with such overwhelming pressure,
  1995. 59:55Takaichi was forced to adjust her
  1996. 59:57stance.
  1997. 59:58>> What did she do?
  1998. 59:58>> During the UN General Assembly in New
  1999. 1:00:00York in September, she raised this
  2000. 1:00:02sensitive issue directly with President
  2001. 1:00:04Trump and even led Japan in a bold
  2002. 1:00:05diplomatic move: joining the other G7
  2003. 1:00:07nations—excluding the U.S.—in
  2004. 1:00:09signing a joint statement in support of
  2005. 1:00:10the International Criminal Court.
  2006. 1:00:12>> Wow, but even if the statement was
  2007. 1:00:14signed, it doesn't solve the
  2008. 1:00:15substantive crisis of the sanctions
  2009. 1:00:17taking effect in 180 days, does it?
  2010. 1:00:18Indeed, which is why some scholars have
  2011. 1:00:20proposed a technical solution. For
  2012. 1:00:22instance, scholar Christopher Lamont
  2013. 1:00:24suggests Japan should use this 180-day
  2014. 1:00:25buffer to work with other nations to
  2015. 1:00:27establish an independent financing
  2016. 1:00:29mechanism completely outside the U.S.
  2017. 1:00:31financial system, ensuring funds can
  2018. 1:00:32still reach the court.
  2019. 1:00:33>> Wait, as a professional analyst, I must
  2020. 1:00:35immediately point out the fatal danger
  2021. 1:00:37in this solution.
  2022. 1:00:38>> How so?
  2023. 1:00:39>> Establishing a financial channel that
  2024. 1:00:41bypasses the U.S.-led global settlement
  2025. 1:00:42system is something usually done only
  2026. 1:00:44by sanctioned hostile nations.
  2027. 1:00:46>> Indeed. If Japan really took the lead
  2028. 1:00:48in supporting an institution explicitly
  2029. 1:00:49sanctioned by the U.S., Washington
  2030. 1:00:51would certainly view it as a blatant
  2031. 1:00:52challenge to U.S. sanctions.
  2032. 1:00:54>> Right.
  2033. 1:00:54>> Aren't Japan's mega-banks afraid of
  2034. 1:00:56inviting secondary sanctions from the
  2035. 1:00:58U.S.? Once Japanese financial
  2036. 1:00:59institutions are cut off from the U.S.
  2037. 1:01:01dollar, it would be a devastating blow
  2038. 1:01:02to the Japanese economy.
  2039. 1:01:03>> Exactly. This is what's most
  2040. 1:01:05thought-provoking in this storm: the
  2041. 1:01:07U.S. is imposing extreme financial
  2042. 1:01:09sanctions to maintain absolute
  2043. 1:01:11sovereignty, but this approach is
  2044. 1:01:13forcing its closest allies to develop
  2045. 1:01:14and build infrastructure that bypasses
  2046. 1:01:16the U.S. financial system.
  2047. 1:01:19>> That could backfire.
  2048. 1:01:21>> Yes, it might instead accelerate the
  2049. 1:01:23disintegration of the U.S. financial
  2050. 1:01:24hegemony.
  2051. 1:01:25>> It really is a dilemma with no solution
  2052. 1:01:27.
  2053. 1:01:27>> That concludes the content of this
  2054. 1:01:29article.
  2055. 1:01:29>> Next, let's move on to the eighth
  2056. 1:01:31article: India is pouring money and
  2057. 1:01:34concrete into the China-India border.
  2058. 1:01:36Hmm, the perspective of this article is
  2059. 1:01:38really very interesting.
  2060. 1:01:41>> Actually, I'd like to ask everyone to
  2061. 1:01:43imagine a scene with us: imagine you
  2062. 1:01:45are currently in an Indian village
  2063. 1:01:47called Zemithang.
  2064. 1:01:50>> Zemithang sounds like a very remote
  2065. 1:01:52place.
  2066. 1:01:52>> Super remote; it is only about 10
  2067. 1:01:54kilometers away from the China-India
  2068. 1:01:56border. And in terms of daily life, it
  2069. 1:01:58is a village that is Indian through and
  2070. 1:02:00through.
  2071. 1:02:01>> Just the way people live their everyday
  2072. 1:02:03lives, right?
  2073. 1:02:04>> Yes. Local residents chat in Hindi, and
  2074. 1:02:07the village is filled with that
  2075. 1:02:09passionate and spirited Bollywood music
  2076. 1:02:11you know. Full of Indian charm.
  2077. 1:02:14>> Exactly, and every household has an
  2078. 1:02:16Indian flag hanging at their door. But
  2079. 1:02:18if you were a local official working
  2080. 1:02:20there, when you pull out your phone,
  2081. 1:02:22you would discover something super
  2082. 1:02:24absurd.
  2083. 1:02:25>> Oh, what is it?
  2084. 1:02:26>> It's that your phone can't receive any
  2085. 1:02:28Indian telecom signals at all, so it
  2086. 1:02:30automatically searches and ends up
  2087. 1:02:31connecting to the Chinese network. Wow,
  2088. 1:02:33connecting to another country's network
  2089. 1:02:35while in your own country—that's
  2090. 1:02:37really quite embarrassing.
  2091. 1:02:38>> The more exaggerated part is yet to
  2092. 1:02:40come. The time on your phone will also
  2093. 1:02:42automatically switch to Beijing time,
  2094. 1:02:44which is a full two and a half hours
  2095. 1:02:45ahead of the local Indian time where
  2096. 1:02:47you are.
  2097. 1:02:48>> In fact, this phone that automatically
  2098. 1:02:50jumps to Beijing time is the core
  2099. 1:02:51metaphor of this article.
  2100. 1:02:53>> How so?
  2101. 1:02:54>> In this remote Himalayan border region,
  2102. 1:02:56India is currently facing a massive
  2103. 1:02:58infrastructure gap, and that time jump
  2104. 1:03:01acts like a silent alarm. Reminding
  2105. 1:03:03them that they are falling behind in
  2106. 1:03:04progress?
  2107. 1:03:05>> Yes, it's a reminder to India that just
  2108. 1:03:07a few kilometers across the border,
  2109. 1:03:09China has already built a vast and
  2110. 1:03:11pervasive infrastructure network.
  2111. 1:03:13>> Mm, that really is a stark contrast.
  2112. 1:03:16>> Exactly, so this article explores how
  2113. 1:03:18India is currently trying to pour
  2114. 1:03:20massive amounts of capital and concrete
  2115. 1:03:22to reverse this long-standing
  2116. 1:03:24infrastructure disadvantage. It’s
  2117. 1:03:26about wanting to consolidate this
  2118. 1:03:28disputed border region, right?
  2119. 1:03:29>> Exactly. To understand the urgency of
  2120. 1:03:32this infrastructure push, we must look
  2121. 1:03:34at Arunachal Pradesh, known as South
  2122. 1:03:36Tibet to the Chinese.
  2123. 1:03:38>> This place has a unique background; I
  2124. 1:03:40recall the total population here is
  2125. 1:03:42quite small, less than two million
  2126. 1:03:44people.
  2127. 1:03:44>> Yes, not many people, but historically
  2128. 1:03:46this area has always been a powder keg.
  2129. 1:03:48>> In fact, when the Sino-Indian War broke
  2130. 1:03:50out in 1962, this was the primary
  2131. 1:03:52battlefield. At that time, the Chinese
  2132. 1:03:54army drove straight down from the
  2133. 1:03:56mountains, effectively routing the
  2134. 1:03:57Indian forces and occupying parts of
  2135. 1:03:59the region.
  2136. 1:03:59>> Although they eventually withdrew, the
  2137. 1:04:02shadow of that defeat has kept
  2138. 1:04:03relations between China and India here
  2139. 1:04:05in a very tense state.
  2140. 1:04:07>> That’s right, but security analysts
  2141. 1:04:09in the article describe the current
  2142. 1:04:11status quo as an "ugly stability." Now
  2143. 1:04:13that you mention it, that seems strange
  2144. 1:04:15. Since there hasn't been any armed
  2145. 1:04:17conflict in this region since 1975,
  2146. 1:04:20isn't that a good thing?
  2147. 1:04:21>> On the surface, that is correct.
  2148. 1:04:23>> And look, even in 2020, when a serious
  2149. 1:04:26brawl broke out in the Galwan Valley
  2150. 1:04:28about 1,500 kilometers away, this area
  2151. 1:04:31remained calm.
  2152. 1:04:32>> Mm.
  2153. 1:04:33>> So wouldn't this be a highly successful
  2154. 1:04:35peace? Why would analysts use the word
  2155. 1:04:37"ugly" to describe it?
  2156. 1:04:38>> Actually, the surface-level absence of
  2157. 1:04:40gunfire does not necessarily equal true
  2158. 1:04:42peace. How so?
  2159. 1:04:43>> The reason analysts call it an "ugly
  2160. 1:04:45stability" is that this calm is built
  2161. 1:04:47entirely on a highly dense military
  2162. 1:04:49standoff that could trigger a fire at
  2163. 1:04:51any moment.
  2164. 1:04:52>> In other words, everyone is pointing
  2165. 1:04:53guns at each other.
  2166. 1:04:54>> Yes, if you look at the roads leading
  2167. 1:04:56to the border on the Indian side, they
  2168. 1:04:58are packed with military camps on both
  2169. 1:05:00sides.
  2170. 1:05:00>> Wow.
  2171. 1:05:01>> According to estimates, India has
  2172. 1:05:02deployed as many as 90,000 to 120,000
  2173. 1:05:04soldiers in this state of fewer than
  2174. 1:05:06two million people.
  2175. 1:05:07>> 90,000 to 120,000. This
  2176. 1:05:09military-to-civilian ratio is just
  2177. 1:05:11extreme. Isn't it staggering? The
  2178. 1:05:13entire region is essentially one giant
  2179. 1:05:15military camp.
  2180. 1:05:16>> And just this August, local political
  2181. 1:05:18groups accused Chinese personnel of
  2182. 1:05:19crossing the border near Taksing in the
  2183. 1:05:21eastern part of the state.
  2184. 1:05:23>> Although Indian officials later
  2185. 1:05:25dismissed these as rumors, the
  2186. 1:05:26persistent friction and massive troop
  2187. 1:05:28presence indicate that both sides are
  2188. 1:05:30merely maintaining a tense armed
  2189. 1:05:32equilibrium.
  2190. 1:05:33>> Exactly, this isn't genuine stability
  2191. 1:05:35at all.
  2192. 1:05:36>> And that leads to a logically
  2193. 1:05:38counterintuitive question. What
  2194. 1:05:40question?
  2195. 1:05:41>> Since this border region is so
  2196. 1:05:43strategically important and holds
  2197. 1:05:44100,000 troops, why has India barely
  2198. 1:05:46built any roads there over the past few
  2199. 1:05:49decades?
  2200. 1:05:49>> That sounds highly unreasonable, right?
  2201. 1:05:51>> Exactly.
  2202. 1:05:52>> Don't armies rely most on logistics and
  2203. 1:05:54supply lines? Deploying troops into the
  2204. 1:05:56mountains and then not building roads
  2205. 1:05:58for them sounds like a strategic
  2206. 1:06:00blunder.
  2207. 1:06:01>> Actually, this was once considered an
  2208. 1:06:03orthodox strategy by India.
  2209. 1:06:04>> An orthodox strategy? Not building
  2210. 1:06:06roads is a strategy? Yes, it stems from
  2211. 1:06:09the psychological trauma of India's
  2212. 1:06:111962 defeat and a defensive mindset
  2213. 1:06:14based on strategic depth.
  2214. 1:06:16>> Meaning they did it on purpose?
  2215. 1:06:17>> Correct. India’s logic was that when
  2216. 1:06:20facing a China with powerful
  2217. 1:06:21infrastructure capabilities, not
  2218. 1:06:23building roads was the best defense.
  2219. 1:06:24>> Wow, that’s a truly unique way of
  2220. 1:06:27thinking. Their assumption was: if they
  2221. 1:06:29made the roads in Arunachal wide and
  2222. 1:06:31smooth, what would happen if the
  2223. 1:06:33Chinese army invaded again?
  2224. 1:06:34>> Oh, I get it. Those roads would just
  2225. 1:06:37become corridors for the enemy.
  2226. 1:06:38>> Exactly. Such infrastructure would
  2227. 1:06:41become convenient paths for enemy
  2228. 1:06:42armored units to quickly sweep south
  2229. 1:06:44and drive deep into the Indian
  2230. 1:06:45heartland.
  2231. 1:06:47>> So they deliberately kept the area an
  2232. 1:06:49impassable wilderness, essentially
  2233. 1:06:51creating an artificial moat.
  2234. 1:06:54>> Exactly right. But that’s like
  2235. 1:06:56blowing up your own front door and
  2236. 1:06:57hallways just to keep out a thief.
  2237. 1:06:59>> Ha, that’s a very apt metaphor. The
  2238. 1:07:02fatal flaws of this "no-road" defense
  2239. 1:07:05were clearly exposed during the 2020
  2240. 1:07:07Galwan Valley clash.
  2241. 1:07:09>> Indeed, the Galwan clash was definitely
  2242. 1:07:11a huge wake-up call for the Indian
  2243. 1:07:13military. During the standoff, they
  2244. 1:07:15realized that the lack of connectivity
  2245. 1:07:17did less to block the enemy and more to
  2246. 1:07:20severely paralyze their own logistics.
  2247. 1:07:22Right, while your opponent can
  2248. 1:07:24transport troops and heavy artillery to
  2249. 1:07:26the front line within hours via a
  2250. 1:07:28complete road network, what is the
  2251. 1:07:30Indian army doing?
  2252. 1:07:31>> The Indian army had to rely on
  2253. 1:07:33helicopter airdrops or slowly transport
  2254. 1:07:35supplies along muddy mountain paths
  2255. 1:07:37with mules.
  2256. 1:07:37>> That’s miserable, and it also leaves
  2257. 1:07:39Indian citizens living in the border
  2258. 1:07:41regions in a state of extreme isolation
  2259. 1:07:43.
  2260. 1:07:43>> Meanwhile, on the other side of the
  2261. 1:07:45border, China has been busy with
  2262. 1:07:46massive construction, building hundreds
  2263. 1:07:49of dual-use facilities for both
  2264. 1:07:50military and civilian purposes. This
  2265. 1:07:52has essentially forced India to
  2266. 1:07:54completely abandon its old defensive
  2267. 1:07:56mindset.
  2268. 1:07:57>> Exactly, which is why India's defense
  2269. 1:07:59strategy has made a 180-degree turn:
  2270. 1:08:01from "not building roads is defense" to
  2271. 1:08:04"connectivity is deterrence.""
  2272. 1:08:06>> Connectivity is deterrence"—that's a
  2273. 1:08:08great way to put it. No wonder the
  2274. 1:08:09Ministry of Defense is now frantically
  2275. 1:08:11building hundreds of kilometers of
  2276. 1:08:12roads.
  2277. 1:08:13>> Yes, and the most iconic project among
  2278. 1:08:15them is the Sela Tunnel.
  2279. 1:08:17>> Oh, is this tunnel that important?
  2280. 1:08:19>> Extremely important. From an
  2281. 1:08:20engineering and logistical perspective,
  2282. 1:08:23this tunnel solves a critical problem.
  2283. 1:08:25In the past, whenever winter arrived,
  2284. 1:08:27heavy snow would completely block the
  2285. 1:08:29road to the region's largest town,
  2286. 1:08:30Tawang.
  2287. 1:08:31>> Meaning the military would be isolated
  2288. 1:08:33in the snowy mountains for the entire
  2289. 1:08:34winter?
  2290. 1:08:35>> That's right. Now, with this tunnel,
  2291. 1:08:37even in the harshest weather, armored
  2292. 1:08:39vehicles and supply convoys can reach
  2293. 1:08:41the front lines year-round.
  2294. 1:08:43>> Wow, that's a huge breakthrough. But
  2295. 1:08:45besides roads, I heard that water
  2296. 1:08:47resources and energy infrastructure
  2297. 1:08:48have also become a battlefield for
  2298. 1:08:50their rivalry.
  2299. 1:08:51>> Yes, because the rivers in Arunachal
  2300. 1:08:53Pradesh hold immense potential for
  2301. 1:08:55hydroelectric power.
  2302. 1:08:57>> To control these water resources and
  2303. 1:08:59counter China’s dam-building and
  2304. 1:09:00river-throttling upstream, India is now
  2305. 1:09:02planning to build the largest dam in
  2306. 1:09:04its history on the upper reaches of the
  2307. 1:09:06Subansiri River.
  2308. 1:09:08>> Beyond these hardware projects, this
  2309. 1:09:10article also points to a newer
  2310. 1:09:12strategic shift. What is it?
  2311. 1:09:14>> It's the battle for population.
  2312. 1:09:15>> Population?
  2313. 1:09:16>> Yes. Seeing China rapidly expanding
  2314. 1:09:18those border villages in satellite
  2315. 1:09:20imagery, Indian officials realized one
  2316. 1:09:22thing: territory without residents is
  2317. 1:09:24the easiest to be encroached upon.
  2318. 1:09:26>> True, if no one is guarding it, it's
  2319. 1:09:28easily taken away.
  2320. 1:09:29>> That is what prompted the Indian
  2321. 1:09:31government to launch the "Vibrant
  2322. 1:09:33Villages Programme" in 2023. The scale
  2323. 1:09:35of this project is quite astonishing.
  2324. 1:09:37The Indian government has invested 27.1
  2325. 1:09:39billion rupees, which is a budget of
  2326. 1:09:41about 286 million USD.
  2327. 1:09:43>> 286 million USD doesn't sound like that
  2328. 1:09:46much.
  2329. 1:09:47>> It might not seem like much to us, but
  2330. 1:09:49do you know? This amount is actually a
  2331. 1:09:51staggering 6%of the entire GDP of
  2332. 1:09:53Arunachal Pradesh.
  2333. 1:09:54>> 6%? That’s a very high proportion.
  2334. 1:09:57>> Right. Pouring such huge funds into
  2335. 1:09:59border villages is all about preventing
  2336. 1:10:01population outflow. They want to keep
  2337. 1:10:03the locals firmly anchored at the
  2338. 1:10:05border by improving water, electricity,
  2339. 1:10:07and network connectivity.
  2340. 1:10:08>> Exactly. It's about making them human
  2341. 1:10:11shields or sentinels on the front line
  2342. 1:10:13of national sovereignty.
  2343. 1:10:15>> And the military has very cleverly
  2344. 1:10:17combined this infrastructure
  2345. 1:10:18development with domestic nationalist
  2346. 1:10:20sentiment. How do they combine them?
  2347. 1:10:22>> The article describes a very vivid
  2348. 1:10:24scene at the Bum La Pass, at an
  2349. 1:10:26altitude of about 4,600 meters, where
  2350. 1:10:28the military has turned it into a
  2351. 1:10:30tourist attraction for Indians to visit
  2352. 1:10:32.
  2353. 1:10:32>> Wow, border tourism, huh?
  2354. 1:10:35>> Yes, and soldiers take tourists to the
  2355. 1:10:37front line, where they face the
  2356. 1:10:38direction of China and shout, "Long
  2357. 1:10:40live Mother India."
  2358. 1:10:42>> This kind of nationalist tourism not
  2359. 1:10:44only boosts morale but has actually
  2360. 1:10:46brought tangible economic dividends.
  2361. 1:10:48Data shows that Arunachal Pradesh
  2362. 1:10:50achieved a high economic growth rate of
  2363. 1:10:53up to 10%in the 2024-2025 fiscal year,
  2364. 1:10:55ranking among the top in the entire
  2365. 1:10:57country.
  2366. 1:10:58>> But if we delve into the article's
  2367. 1:10:59analysis, we find that when China and
  2368. 1:11:01India implement these infrastructure
  2369. 1:11:03projects, they actually face completely
  2370. 1:11:04different institutional constraints.
  2371. 1:11:06>> Exactly. Even though the economic
  2372. 1:11:08growth rate is high, locals still
  2373. 1:11:10strongly complain that funding is slow
  2374. 1:11:12to arrive or that bureaucracy is too
  2375. 1:11:14heavy. This actually points out the
  2376. 1:11:16fundamental difference in the national
  2377. 1:11:18systems of China and India. Think about
  2378. 1:11:20it: when China decides to build at the
  2379. 1:11:22border, it demonstrates an unrestricted
  2380. 1:11:24national capability.
  2381. 1:11:26>> Yes, if a strategic need arises, they
  2382. 1:11:28can use administrative orders to
  2383. 1:11:30forcibly relocate populations to the
  2384. 1:11:32border to strengthen defenses, which is
  2385. 1:11:34undeniably efficient.
  2386. 1:11:35>> But for India, as a democracy, the road
  2387. 1:11:37to infrastructure development is
  2388. 1:11:39destined to be much bumpier. The
  2389. 1:11:40article summarizes India's dilemma:
  2390. 1:11:42they not only have to deal with a
  2391. 1:11:44massive, layered bureaucracy but also
  2392. 1:11:46face direct pushback from local public
  2393. 1:11:48opinion and civil society.
  2394. 1:11:49>> Just like the large-scale hydropower
  2395. 1:11:51projects mentioned earlier, they are
  2396. 1:11:53currently facing strong protests from
  2397. 1:11:54local residents and environmental
  2398. 1:11:56groups, potentially stalling due to
  2399. 1:11:58this opposition.
  2400. 1:11:59>> India cannot implement projects with
  2401. 1:12:01absolute willpower like China; they
  2402. 1:12:02must constantly compromise between
  2403. 1:12:04national security strategy, local
  2404. 1:12:06interests, and democratic procedures.
  2405. 1:12:08This is, in fact, the underlying
  2406. 1:12:10difference in how the two countries
  2407. 1:12:12operate at the border.
  2408. 1:12:13>> That's right.
  2409. 1:12:14>> Next, let's move to the ninth article:
  2410. 1:12:16"Indian Rights Have Been Eroding for
  2411. 1:12:18Decades."
  2412. 1:12:19>> Mhm, continuing from the Indian
  2413. 1:12:21democratic system just mentioned, this
  2414. 1:12:22article gives us a very deep
  2415. 1:12:24examination of the changes currently
  2416. 1:12:26happening within India.
  2417. 1:12:27>> If we go back to the early days of
  2418. 1:12:29India's founding and open that
  2419. 1:12:30idealism-filled constitution, you will
  2420. 1:12:32see the preamble is full of lofty
  2421. 1:12:34promises for justice, liberty, equality
  2422. 1:12:36, and individual dignity.
  2423. 1:12:38>> Yes, it is written beautifully, and the
  2424. 1:12:40constitution even designed complex
  2425. 1:12:41independent institutions to defend
  2426. 1:12:43these rights.
  2427. 1:12:44>> But the author of the article cruelly
  2428. 1:12:46points out that, almost before the ink
  2429. 1:12:48on the Constitution was dry, India's
  2430. 1:12:50political leaders began dismantling
  2431. 1:12:52these rights step by step through legal
  2432. 1:12:54constitutional amendments.
  2433. 1:12:55>> Let's take a closer look at how these
  2434. 1:12:57rights were systematically and legally
  2435. 1:12:59weakened. Sure, do you have any
  2436. 1:13:01specific examples?
  2437. 1:13:03>> For instance, with the First Amendment,
  2438. 1:13:04the government invented the concept of
  2439. 1:13:06"reasonable restrictions," which was
  2440. 1:13:08essentially a backdoor for censoring
  2441. 1:13:09free speech. Wow, that backdoor was
  2442. 1:13:11opened quite officially.
  2443. 1:13:13>> Exactly, and then came the 24th
  2444. 1:13:14Amendment, which gave Parliament the
  2445. 1:13:16absolute right to amend fundamental
  2446. 1:13:18rights.
  2447. 1:13:19>> That's terrifying, but I think the most
  2448. 1:13:21staggering one was the 42nd Amendment,
  2449. 1:13:24forced through by Indira Gandhi during
  2450. 1:13:26the national emergency in 1976. Oh,
  2451. 1:13:28that was truly outrageous. Not only did
  2452. 1:13:31it curtail rights, but it also
  2453. 1:13:33brilliantly invented the concept of "
  2454. 1:13:35fundamental duties" and wrote them into
  2455. 1:13:37the Constitution.
  2456. 1:13:39>> From a legal standpoint, this was
  2457. 1:13:40effectively telling citizens that their
  2458. 1:13:42rights were no longer God-given.
  2459. 1:13:44>> That's right. Your rights became
  2460. 1:13:46something the state grants you only
  2461. 1:13:48after you have first fulfilled your
  2462. 1:13:50duties to the nation.
  2463. 1:13:51>> This completely inverts the underlying
  2464. 1:13:53logic of democracy.
  2465. 1:13:54>> It really does. This history shows us
  2466. 1:13:57that the erosion of civil rights in
  2467. 1:13:59India didn't start today; it's a
  2468. 1:14:01long-term process that transcends
  2469. 1:14:03parties.
  2470. 1:14:05>> However, the author astutely points out
  2471. 1:14:08that since Modi and his BJP party took
  2472. 1:14:10power in 2014, this mechanism of
  2473. 1:14:12erosion has become more systematic and
  2474. 1:14:14blatant.
  2475. 1:14:15>> According to the article, the
  2476. 1:14:17government has turned investigative
  2477. 1:14:18agencies into political tools used
  2478. 1:14:20specifically to target political rivals
  2479. 1:14:21. Also, Parliament, which is supposed
  2480. 1:14:23to oversee the executive branch, has
  2481. 1:14:24often been reduced to a rubber stamp
  2482. 1:14:26for quickly passing controversial bills
  2483. 1:14:28.
  2484. 1:14:28>> Even worse, the courts, which should
  2485. 1:14:30serve as the final line of defense, now
  2486. 1:14:32display an inexplicable indifference
  2487. 1:14:33toward protecting individual liberties.
  2488. 1:14:35>> Reading this, I actually have a
  2489. 1:14:37significant question.
  2490. 1:14:38>> What do you mean?
  2491. 1:14:39>> If you understand Indian politics,
  2492. 1:14:41you'll find that Indian voters have
  2493. 1:14:43long had an almost numb tolerance for
  2494. 1:14:45the routine corruption or abuse of
  2495. 1:14:47power by politicians.
  2496. 1:14:48>> Mm, that is true. Whether it's legal
  2497. 1:14:51government cash handouts or illegal
  2498. 1:14:53vote-buying by candidates, everyone
  2499. 1:14:54seems to accept these as part of the
  2500. 1:14:56rules of the political game. Exactly.
  2501. 1:14:59So, since voters can tolerate daily
  2502. 1:15:01corruption, why does this article
  2503. 1:15:02specifically point out that great anger
  2504. 1:15:04and street protests are brewing in
  2505. 1:15:06Indian society now?
  2506. 1:15:07>> Actually, this is because the current
  2507. 1:15:09government's actions have crossed the
  2508. 1:15:11most sacred and inviolable bottom line
  2509. 1:15:13of the Indian social contract. What
  2510. 1:15:16bottom line?
  2511. 1:15:16>> You’re right; voters can indeed
  2512. 1:15:18tolerate the arrogance and corruption
  2513. 1:15:20of politicians during their terms. But
  2514. 1:15:22all this tolerance is built upon a
  2515. 1:15:24single major premise.
  2516. 1:15:26>> Oh?
  2517. 1:15:26>> That is the right to punish politicians
  2518. 1:15:28once every five years.
  2519. 1:15:30>> You mean elections.
  2520. 1:15:31>> Right. Mechanically speaking, this is
  2521. 1:15:33the ultimate safety valve that keeps
  2522. 1:15:35Indian democracy functioning. Meaning
  2523. 1:15:37you can be as corrupt as you want, but
  2524. 1:15:39every five years, I can vote you out at
  2525. 1:15:42the ballot box. So, what’s triggering
  2526. 1:15:44the public’s anger now is no longer
  2527. 1:15:45just someone cheating in the game.
  2528. 1:15:47>> Exactly. People have suddenly realized
  2529. 1:15:50the game itself is being rigged; when
  2530. 1:15:52this five-year punishment mechanism is
  2531. 1:15:54threatened with removal, that social
  2532. 1:15:56contract completely breaks down.
  2533. 1:15:58>> Imagine this: you walk to the polling
  2534. 1:16:00station full of anticipation, ready to
  2535. 1:16:02exercise your right once every five
  2536. 1:16:04years, only to be told by election
  2537. 1:16:06officials that your name has been
  2538. 1:16:08legally purged from the system. How
  2539. 1:16:10angry would you be?
  2540. 1:16:11>> Absolutely furious. And that is the
  2541. 1:16:13specific reality currently unfolding in
  2542. 1:16:15India.
  2543. 1:16:15>> Let’s look at a set of shocking
  2544. 1:16:17statistics mentioned in the article.
  2545. 1:16:18>> Go ahead.
  2546. 1:16:20>> Out of India’s nearly one billion
  2547. 1:16:21registered voters, a staggering 130
  2548. 1:16:23million people were kicked off the
  2549. 1:16:25rolls during the most recent "special
  2550. 1:16:27intensive revision."
  2551. 1:16:29>> Wait, 130 million people were kicked
  2552. 1:16:31off?
  2553. 1:16:32>> That’s right.
  2554. 1:16:32>> Although the government’s official
  2555. 1:16:34explanation is that they are just
  2556. 1:16:35cleaning up duplicate registrations and
  2557. 1:16:37deceased individuals. But for a country
  2558. 1:16:40with one billion voters, deleting 130
  2559. 1:16:42million people at once is an
  2560. 1:16:44unfathomable ratio.
  2561. 1:16:46>> Exactly, which is why critics strongly
  2562. 1:16:48suspect this is actually a targeted
  2563. 1:16:50purge of specific demographics.
  2564. 1:16:52>> Which is essentially disenfranchising
  2565. 1:16:54tens of millions of people.
  2566. 1:16:56>> And what has brought this wave of
  2567. 1:16:57skepticism to a boiling point is that
  2568. 1:16:59the referees in charge of this game—
  2569. 1:17:01the Election Commission of India—have
  2570. 1:17:03had their neutrality catastrophically
  2571. 1:17:05destroyed. An investigative report by
  2572. 1:17:08the Indian Express revealed that under
  2573. 1:17:10the leadership of current Election
  2574. 1:17:11Commissioner Kumar, the internal
  2575. 1:17:13decision-making mechanism has developed
  2576. 1:17:15severe cracks. This Kumar is widely
  2577. 1:17:17viewed by protesters as a puppet of the
  2578. 1:17:19ruling party. The report even points
  2579. 1:17:23out that among the three commissioners,
  2580. 1:17:25two have raised at least 14 strong
  2581. 1:17:27objections to decisions led by Kumar.
  2582. 1:17:31Although the commission officially
  2583. 1:17:33denied the report, just imagine—when
  2584. 1:17:35a scandal about internal dissent like
  2585. 1:17:37this is exposed, it absolutely ignites
  2586. 1:17:40the public's fury. This is also the
  2587. 1:17:41reason why the streets of India were
  2588. 1:17:43filled with protesters throughout the
  2589. 1:17:45month of October. In fact, if we
  2590. 1:17:47compare the social contracts between
  2591. 1:17:49the governments and the people of China
  2592. 1:17:52and India through these two articles,
  2593. 1:17:54we will find a stark contrast. The
  2594. 1:17:56analysis points out that the social
  2595. 1:17:58contract faced by the Chinese Communist
  2596. 1:17:59Party is extremely difficult; they must
  2597. 1:18:01constantly and substantially improve
  2598. 1:18:03the people's living standards while
  2599. 1:18:05continuously demonstrating national
  2600. 1:18:06strength on the international stage. It
  2601. 1:18:08is essentially trading these concrete
  2602. 1:18:10political achievements and economic
  2603. 1:18:11growth for the public's promise not to
  2604. 1:18:13interfere in politics. As soon as the
  2605. 1:18:15economy slows down, this contract
  2606. 1:18:17immediately faces pressure. In
  2607. 1:18:18comparison, the article suggests that
  2608. 1:18:20the social contract Indian politicians
  2609. 1:18:22originally had was far too easy to
  2610. 1:18:24fulfill. In what way? They don't need
  2611. 1:18:26to guarantee perpetual high-speed
  2612. 1:18:28economic growth, nor do they need to
  2613. 1:18:29provide perfect infrastructure. Indian
  2614. 1:18:31politicians only need to do one thing:
  2615. 1:18:33pretend to care about the voters once
  2616. 1:18:35every five years, allowing them to vent
  2617. 1:18:38their grievances through the ballot box
  2618. 1:18:40, and they can safely weather the
  2619. 1:18:41crisis. The danger of the current Modi
  2620. 1:18:44administration lies in the fact that
  2621. 1:18:46they seem to be undermining even this
  2622. 1:18:48most basic, minimum threshold. Indeed,
  2623. 1:18:51the author argues this is definitely a
  2624. 1:18:53dangerous gamble for the Modi
  2625. 1:18:55government. Because when you use the
  2626. 1:18:57state apparatus to interfere with
  2627. 1:18:59election integrity and suppress
  2628. 1:19:01protests, you are effectively sealing
  2629. 1:19:03off the country's only exhaust valve.
  2630. 1:19:05Speaking of exhaust valves, we must
  2631. 1:19:07mention that vivid, cautionary metaphor
  2632. 1:19:09at the end of the article. Oh, that
  2633. 1:19:11metaphor is truly fitting. Yes, anyone
  2634. 1:19:14who has ever been in an Indian kitchen
  2635. 1:19:16is familiar with one thing: the
  2636. 1:19:18pressure cooker. Everyone knows its
  2637. 1:19:20physical mechanism; it must
  2638. 1:19:22periodically emit that sharp whistling
  2639. 1:19:24sound to release the high-temperature
  2640. 1:19:26steam accumulating inside to ensure the
  2641. 1:19:28pot remains safe.
  2642. 1:19:29>> Exactly. In the Indian political
  2643. 1:19:32context, when the founding fathers
  2644. 1:19:33drafted the constitution, they were
  2645. 1:19:35well aware that this massive nation,
  2646. 1:19:37filled with religious and ethnic
  2647. 1:19:39tensions, was like a pressure cooker.
  2648. 1:19:41>> That is why they meticulously designed
  2649. 1:19:43these democratic rights and election
  2650. 1:19:45cycles to serve as the nation's safety
  2651. 1:19:46valve. But if you deliberately weld the
  2652. 1:19:48safety valve of a pressure cooker shut,
  2653. 1:19:50preventing it from releasing steam,
  2654. 1:19:51there are only two possible outcomes.
  2655. 1:19:53>> Which two?
  2656. 1:19:54>> First, the safety valve ultimately
  2657. 1:19:55fails under the pressure and ruptures,
  2658. 1:19:57causing scalding steam to spray
  2659. 1:19:59everywhere.
  2660. 1:19:59>> That sounds disastrous. And the second
  2661. 1:20:01one?
  2662. 1:20:02>> The second is that the pressure inside
  2663. 1:20:04continues to climb until a catastrophic
  2664. 1:20:06structural collapse occurs, blowing the
  2665. 1:20:07entire kitchen to pieces.
  2666. 1:20:09>> Wow. This makes one wonder how many
  2667. 1:20:11other democracies in the world today
  2668. 1:20:13are also quietly welding their own
  2669. 1:20:15pressure cooker safety valves shut.
  2670. 1:20:18That concludes the content of this
  2671. 1:20:19article.
  2672. 1:20:20>> Alright, let's quickly recap the wealth
  2673. 1:20:22of content we covered today.
  2674. 1:20:23>> Right, starting from the high-pressure
  2675. 1:20:25control within China, including the
  2676. 1:20:26brutal internal competition for
  2677. 1:20:28university budgets, the demands for
  2678. 1:20:30absolute loyalty, ideological purity,
  2679. 1:20:31political purges, and the strict
  2680. 1:20:33regulation of AI technology.
  2681. 1:20:34>> And the situation in other parts of
  2682. 1:20:36Asia.
  2683. 1:20:36>> Next, we examined the turmoil and
  2684. 1:20:38solutions across Asia. The Indonesian
  2685. 1:20:40president's attempt to change the rules
  2686. 1:20:41to salvage his plummeting poll numbers,
  2687. 1:20:43not only using excellent organizational
  2688. 1:20:45mechanisms to solve the stray dog
  2689. 1:20:46problem, to Japan's painful dilemma
  2690. 1:20:48between the U.S.-Japan alliance and
  2691. 1:20:49international law.
  2692. 1:20:50>> Finally, there is the part about India.
  2693. 1:20:52>> That's right, finally India's military
  2694. 1:20:54buildup at the border, and the ticking
  2695. 1:20:56pressure cooker crisis at home
  2696. 1:20:57triggered by the deletion of 130
  2697. 1:20:58million names from the electoral rolls.
  2698. 1:21:00>> In fact, there is an invisible thread
  2699. 1:21:02connecting these seemingly independent
  2700. 1:21:04events. Today we see governments
  2701. 1:21:06everywhere trying to rewrite the social
  2702. 1:21:08contract with their people, whether by
  2703. 1:21:10demanding absolute loyalty, subsidizing
  2704. 1:21:11support, or simply stripping away
  2705. 1:21:13voting rights.
  2706. 1:21:14>> Hmm, that's really how it is. But the
  2707. 1:21:16real question is, when rulers weld shut
  2708. 1:21:18all the pressure cooker's valves, how
  2709. 1:21:20long can this superficial stability
  2710. 1:21:22actually last? This is a profound
  2711. 1:21:24warning for all of us to reflect upon.
  2712. 1:21:27>> Well said. That concludes today's
  2713. 1:21:31episode of the Haige Book Club, thank
  2714. 1:21:33you all for listening.

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