2022 ICT Mentorship Episode 2 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:13all right folks well we're
- 0:16here so technically this is the first
- 0:20teaching uh I gave you guys an in
- 0:21introduction video obviously if you
- 0:23haven't watched that one yet go to the
- 0:24playlist on my YouTube channel and
- 0:27please watch that one because it'll help
- 0:28at least establish the in my opinion the
- 0:32proper expectations that way you
- 0:35understand what you're getting involved
- 0:35with here and at least it gives me a
- 0:38chance to kind of like break the ice and
- 0:41show you the contrast of what you may be
- 0:44expecting versus what I intend to
- 0:46deliver all right so this first
- 0:48installment is going to be elements to a
- 0:50trade
- 0:54setup all right
- 0:57so coming out of the gate I just want to
- 0:59let you know this is predominantly going
- 1:01to be a Futures index trading mentorship
- 1:07okay the idea is going to be presented
- 1:10in the scope of paper trading on
- 1:14tradingview.com
- 1:15but what you're looking at here this is
- 1:19thinker swims live data these are actual
- 1:22executions I made today and I want you
- 1:24to compare and contrast with what you
- 1:27see on YouTube and other educat where
- 1:31they'll tout that they can do this and
- 1:33they can do that but really I want you
- 1:36to compare and contrast what you see
- 1:38here all right so we're looking at
- 1:41intraday price action for Nasdaq e- mini
- 1:45Futures and this is actually uh the the
- 1:48main focus of this mentorship okay um I
- 1:52believe that this Market is worth
- 1:56studying I believe it is not just
- 1:58limited to NASDAQ but I believe it's
- 2:03useful to learn as
- 2:06a Trader that views obviously the e-
- 2:09mini S&P the e- mini Dow future and the
- 2:12e- mini NASDAQ now e- mini NASDAQ is a
- 2:15little bit faster a little bit more
- 2:18aggressive
- 2:19and even with that you can still trade
- 2:22it
- 2:23so I want you to think
- 2:25about what it means to watch price
- 2:28action and understand what it's likely
- 2:30to do before it does it now I'm not
- 2:32promising you're going to be able to do
- 2:33that right out of the gate what I'm
- 2:35going to show you is the compare and
- 2:38contrast to how I can trade versus what
- 2:42I'm promising to teach you in this
- 2:44mentorship how to find specific setups
- 2:47in your demo account okay or your paper
- 2:49trading account I'm not trying to entice
- 2:52you to trade with live funds okay so
- 2:53that way we know this going
- 2:56in the teachings will be predominantly
- 2:59through the school scope of
- 3:00tradingview.com paper trading module or
- 3:04just hindsight data now I already know
- 3:07some of you are oh here we go the
- 3:09hindsight
- 3:10guy well what you're looking at here is
- 3:13actually live executions from today okay
- 3:16and I want you to think about if you
- 3:18were able to trade a micro account and
- 3:22you were trading the Naas deck and you
- 3:26were able to capture just one of these
- 3:29moves which one would you like
- 3:31to learn how to find obviously you
- 3:34probably look at this and think well I'd
- 3:35like to do all of them but I want you to
- 3:37think about which one really stands
- 3:40out off the entire chart and this is a
- 3:43one minute chart which one really stands
- 3:46out I'll give you a moment you can pause
- 3:48the video and unpause it when you're
- 3:52ready some of you folks never ever pause
- 3:56it all right so obviously we can see how
- 3:59the Market moves from here okay two
- 4:03orders executed here whenever you see
- 4:05this this is actually a reversal so if
- 4:09there is a trade on long it'll reverse
- 4:12and take you the other direction okay
- 4:15and then this one here this is a
- 4:17reversal as
- 4:19well then another another close and then
- 4:23another long entry the exit a short
- 4:28entry and then the cover okay I'd like
- 4:31for you to consider what it would take
- 4:32for you to find consistency and how many
- 4:35handles how many
- 4:37full handle moves in an index Futures
- 4:41Contract that would satisfy you and when
- 4:44I say a handle that's essentially four
- 4:46ticks the minimum fluctuation in these
- 4:49markets an example would be if you were
- 4:52trading the EM S&P and you were trading
- 4:54obviously the
- 4:574450 level and you went long if it went
- 4:59to
- 5:004451 that's a full handle okay or four
- 5:02ticks or four * $12.50 or $50 per handle
- 5:08the nas deck is $20 per handle so it's
- 5:11slightly different but it's faster it
- 5:14moves a lot more lot more handles a lot
- 5:16more
- 5:18aggression now it doesn't always move
- 5:21faster sometimes we'll have a lethargic
- 5:25price action in this Indy or another out
- 5:28of the three that would be the S&P the
- 5:31NASDAQ and the
- 5:33Dow I personally don't trade the Dow
- 5:36that much but there's a lot of my
- 5:37students that love trading the ym but ym
- 5:41is the symbol for the Futures Contract
- 5:42and these three markets have the luxury
- 5:46for you that may not have the capability
- 5:49to put up to like
- 5:50$177,000 margin if you were going to
- 5:52trade one full contract of the NASDAQ
- 5:54futures most Brokers unless you're using
- 5:56a discount broker they're going to
- 5:57require you to have Deep Pockets and
- 5:59sense that you're going to have that
- 6:00about $177,000 and about 12,000 and a
- 6:04half for an e- Min S&P for Futures
- 6:06Contract okay you take
- 6:11basically a fraction of that and you can
- 6:14trade a micro on each one of these
- 6:16markets but obviously it reduces the
- 6:19number of the tick multiplier because
- 6:22you're trading with a lot less
- 6:24technically
- 6:25leverage so I'm going to get into all
- 6:27that but I just kind of like want to
- 6:30begin the
- 6:31conversation informally but also to kind
- 6:34of like show you what it is that I do
- 6:38versus what other people do okay
- 6:42so I'm not trying
- 6:44to you know point my finger at anyone in
- 6:47particular but if you look around on
- 6:49YouTube there are people out there that
- 6:51try to make a big stink about themselves
- 6:54and they'll try to
- 6:56show results that may or may not be real
- 6:59I'm not here to disparage that they
- 7:01could be actually trading a live account
- 7:03I don't personally care but anyone that
- 7:05trades on think or Swim they can
- 7:06recognize this chart right
- 7:08away I posted a results and updated uh
- 7:12reflection on the Thinker swim or TDM a
- 7:15trade account and it's on my community
- 7:18tab I promise I won't beat you up too
- 7:21much with the community tab but that's
- 7:22my way of reaching out to you so if you
- 7:25subscribe to the channel and then when
- 7:27you subscribe to the channel you want to
- 7:29toggle all notifications you want to
- 7:32click that little uh I think it's like a
- 7:34bell icon and then all notifications
- 7:37that way anytime I post my community tab
- 7:39it'll let you know otherwise it won't
- 7:41let you know so it's it's my replacement
- 7:43to Twitter which in my opinion
- 7:46sucks so if we look at the EB and flow
- 7:52of all this
- 7:53here where the Market's trading up and
- 7:57between here and here
- 8:00it's not a small number of handles it's
- 8:03a pretty respectful amount of handles
- 8:06it's not a couple it's not a handful and
- 8:09then up here it's a reversal and it
- 8:12comes back down and I buy it back here
- 8:14in Reverse so I'm selling short
- 8:17here and I'm buying long
- 8:21here 740 the 720 that's 20 handles going
- 8:26long here at 720 I'm abbreviating the
- 8:29number just for brevity sake getting out
- 8:32at 732 12
- 8:35handles then going along
- 8:39here 756 and then getting out at 784 A2
- 8:44then going short at
- 8:47798 and covering at
- 8:50675 so I'll ask you which one of these
- 8:53trades do you think is the one that you
- 8:55want to learn again putting all
- 8:57aside the idea that you you probably
- 9:00want to do all of these but I'm not
- 9:02promising you that okay I'm going to
- 9:04take you
- 9:06into how to find this setup
- 9:09here notice the number of handles I'm
- 9:12not promising you're going to get this
- 9:13many handles but the setups and the
- 9:15logic behind it will help you find these
- 9:18types of Frameworks framework is the
- 9:21foundation to a trading model so you
- 9:24have to have an understanding what is
- 9:25you're looking for and that's really the
- 9:27only thing I'm introducing tonight is
- 9:28the idea of what it is I'm promising to
- 9:32educate you with so that way you can go
- 9:34in and find these setups on your own you
- 9:36will not need to be a slave to some kind
- 9:40of blackbox system you don't need to be
- 9:43a part of some kind of signal generating
- 9:46gimmick you don't need to be a part of a
- 9:48signal service you can find these on
- 9:50your own independent that's exactly what
- 9:53I'm trying to frame in all of my
- 9:55students I do that with my mentorship
- 9:56students that paid me for education now
- 9:59here you are in my YouTube channel I'm
- 10:01telling you the same thing I'm teaching
- 10:04Independence that way you're not
- 10:05requiring any handholding by me once you
- 10:08understand the rules and you go through
- 10:09the processes and things I'm going to
- 10:11teach you how to practice with you will
- 10:13not need anything except for the chart
- 10:16itself that's it and that's how in my
- 10:20opinion and you can argue with this if
- 10:22you want but I could care less if you
- 10:23could any of you would challenge the
- 10:25idea that independent thinking is not
- 10:27the best way of doing it you want to be
- 10:29able to be Unshackled okay and if you're
- 10:31part of a signal service or if you're
- 10:33part of a approach that requires you to
- 10:36use a blackbox system you're kind of
- 10:40held captive aren't you so if you look
- 10:43at this this
- 10:45chart is clean except for these little
- 10:48bubbles actually show you the
- 10:50transactions you don't really get any
- 10:53kind
- 10:54of
- 10:57well distortion from your reading of
- 11:01price action I don't have a lot of
- 11:03graffiti on the chart okay but the main
- 11:05takeaway here is I want you to
- 11:06understand that I don't hunt for three
- 11:09to five handles and consider that
- 11:11legendary okay now can you be profitable
- 11:15if you take high frequency trades and
- 11:18you do those types of Trades absolutely
- 11:20that's what Algos do algorithms do that
- 11:23but I'm trying to show you by contrast
- 11:26that there is a way that you can find
- 11:28setups that are outside that parameter
- 11:31of very small little handles and doing
- 11:34lots of contracts so if you're looking
- 11:36at this here and this was say you're
- 11:38trading and you're trading a NASDAQ
- 11:41micro account you're not making a lot of
- 11:44money on these swings okay I'm not
- 11:47making a lot of money on these swings
- 11:49but I'm able to find these swings and
- 11:52it's not these small little increments
- 11:55okay I'm going to teach you skill sets
- 11:58that Focus primary arily on this okay
- 12:01you want to find a nice price leg
- 12:03intraday I'm not promising you how to
- 12:06buy sell short Buy sell short Buy sell
- 12:09short that's that's mine okay I'm not
- 12:13teaching that and I somebody like oh
- 12:15you're a jerk you're this you're that
- 12:16whatever I didn't promise that that's
- 12:18why I set the stage in the first
- 12:20introduction video so that way we know
- 12:22what it is I'm teaching you if anyone of
- 12:25you here don't want to learn how to take
- 12:27this type of trade you're welcome to not
- 12:29continue and turn this video off and go
- 12:30watch whoever okay but I think if you
- 12:35give it a chance you'll find some
- 12:37amazing things that bring Clarity to
- 12:39reading price
- 12:42action all right so we're looking at the
- 12:45NASDAQ futures March delivery contract
- 12:48and this is a trading view chart and if
- 12:50you've never used tradingview.com the
- 12:52way you would pull this symbol up is
- 12:54NQ
- 12:57h222 okay and and this is a weekly chart
- 13:01and I want you to think about each week
- 13:04before the new trading week begins
- 13:06preferably on the weekend okay the idea
- 13:10is you want to try to get a read on what
- 13:11you think that next weekly candle is
- 13:14going to do is it going to go higher or
- 13:16is it going to go lower you're not
- 13:18trying to predict the close of the
- 13:21weekly candle that's important okay you
- 13:23just want to see before this weekly
- 13:26candle opened up all we had was this IND
- 13:29candle okay do you think that this
- 13:32candle that would have formed and opened
- 13:34here is more likely to go higher or
- 13:39lower obviously with the benefit of
- 13:42hindsight here but I can tell you all of
- 13:44my students know we've been looking for
- 13:45lower prices and I'll just give you a
- 13:47quick short list as the reasons why
- 13:49number one seasonality okay seasonal
- 13:51Tendencies it tends to go down around
- 13:53this time anyway we also have
- 13:56discussions about how the fed's going to
- 13:58raise interest rates stock market does
- 14:00not like that we're also in earnings
- 14:02season there's a lot of volatility
- 14:04because of earnings and those factors
- 14:08plus the underlying tone of the
- 14:09marketplace which I'll show you when we
- 14:10get into the daily chart it
- 14:13just well it's heavy and this is where
- 14:16it was going to draw to okay did I
- 14:19expect this entire range to be delivered
- 14:21in one week no that's not important the
- 14:24point is I'm expecting the weekly candle
- 14:27to expand on the lower end okay okay or
- 14:29go down and gravitate towards this low
- 14:32which it hasn't broken yet but I think
- 14:34that's what we're probably going to aim
- 14:35for on Sunday's opening going into
- 14:36Monday's trading so that's where I think
- 14:39it's drawing
- 14:40to and that's the component I want you
- 14:43to focus on with your analysis what is
- 14:45the market likely to draw to when I say
- 14:47draw to think of it as price being a
- 14:53paperclip okay and then you you have
- 14:56this magnetic impulse that specifically
- 14:59price levels and seasonality okay
- 15:03will put on price it'll cause price to
- 15:07gravitate towards certain levels and the
- 15:09measure of speed and magnitude that it
- 15:11moves to get to these levels you learn
- 15:14that over experience that's not
- 15:16something I can transfer it's something
- 15:18you have to practice and see and study
- 15:20and you get a rhythm for it okay every
- 15:22educator knows what I mean by that and
- 15:24every student that's been trained
- 15:25successfully by any other educator will
- 15:27not understand exactly what I mean by
- 15:29that you just get a feel for it it's
- 15:31experience there's no way of defining
- 15:32outside of
- 15:34that in the early stages of your
- 15:36development you want to at least try to
- 15:38focus your attention on where that
- 15:40Weekly candle is going to do now here's
- 15:42the thing it may start the first half of
- 15:44the week or maybe just one day expand
- 15:47lower and if you get a setup in that
- 15:49that's it you're done that's how you
- 15:52start working towards consistency no
- 15:54student ever should try to trade every
- 15:57single session every single day because
- 16:00the only thing you're doing is building
- 16:03an expectation that you're going to be
- 16:04able to do this every single day
- 16:05profitably and then if you do get a run
- 16:08of profitability soon as you get a
- 16:10losing trade it's going to blow your
- 16:12mind and you're going to want to correct
- 16:14it quickly and you're going to start
- 16:16making irrational decisions and then you
- 16:18enter that loser cycle I've talked about
- 16:20many times in the YouTube channel so the
- 16:23only thing you're looking for is a
- 16:25likely movement higher or lower based on
- 16:28on the weekly candle okay that's all
- 16:30you're
- 16:31doing that sets your initial bias for
- 16:34the
- 16:35week on the daily chart you're looking
- 16:37for swing highs and swing lows to get
- 16:38your liquidity and majority of your
- 16:42trading and the draw on liquidity what
- 16:46makes the market go higher or lower it's
- 16:48predominantly found on this time frame
- 16:51okay so majority of your analysis should
- 16:53really be linked to this time frame
- 16:55right here you have to have an
- 16:57assumption
- 16:59whether you're going to be expecting
- 17:00that Weekly candle to expand higher or
- 17:02lower that's your weekly bi but then you
- 17:04have to go into the daily chart and
- 17:06figure out basically where you are in
- 17:08the grand scheme of things on that
- 17:09Weekly range expanding higher or
- 17:12lower because we're looking for lower
- 17:14prices and we're looking for
- 17:16weakness the expectation is we want to
- 17:18see every short-term
- 17:21low like this would be a shortterm low
- 17:23this will be a short-term low and
- 17:25underneath those lows there's going to
- 17:26be sell stops okay that's liquidity
- 17:30when I say learn to start looking for
- 17:33where the Market's going to draw to it's
- 17:35drawing to one of two things okay it's
- 17:39drawing to stops which is liquidity or
- 17:42it's running to an imbalance now what's
- 17:45that
- 17:46mean above old highs buy stops below old
- 17:51lows sell
- 17:53stops imbalances is something like this
- 17:56over here where we have one single
- 17:58candle pass higher and the previous
- 18:00candle's high is here and the next
- 18:02candle's low is here so it only went up
- 18:04one candle nothing moved down the
- 18:06overlap with that same delivery on that
- 18:08price candle there so in other words
- 18:11that's an imbalance it's only going
- 18:13higher and nothing else is here to
- 18:17offset that and efficiently deliver
- 18:19price on the opposite end now you
- 18:22probably heard of the theory auction
- 18:23Theory okay and folks hear me try to
- 18:28communicate some of these things and
- 18:30they'll run away with oh he's just
- 18:31talking about auction Theory and it's
- 18:32not just like when they see me do a
- 18:35rectangle or a box on chart and you'll
- 18:37see one in this video it's not supply
- 18:39and demand okay it's just what it is
- 18:42you'll see it and you'll know right away
- 18:43after you've been with me for a couple
- 18:45weeks that this is entirely unique and
- 18:47there's nothing else like it and I'm
- 18:49certain majority of you are going to
- 18:51fall in love with this
- 18:52model so we're looking for lower prices
- 18:55we're looking for an expansion I'm using
- 18:57the benefit of hindsight but I can
- 18:58promise you
- 18:59again this was discussed we were looking
- 19:01for lower prices in my paid group and if
- 19:03I did not say that I have a lot of
- 19:05students that are making YouTube
- 19:06channels they are welcome to come out
- 19:08and say I'm a liar so we're looking at
- 19:12the daily chart we're going to drop down
- 19:13into the hourly chart okay now what I
- 19:16have here is a framework for looking at
- 19:19the weekly range on an hourly chart so
- 19:21all I did was beginning on midnight New
- 19:24York time Monday's candle and then
- 19:28Friday's close and in the beginning of
- 19:30Friday's trading at midnight okay now
- 19:33what I'm delineating here is the fact
- 19:35that we had a nice selloff on
- 19:38Thursday and the market went into
- 19:39consolidation
- 19:41overnight notice what happens here on
- 19:44Friday this is that old low in the daily
- 19:46chart that's what we're thinking or
- 19:49assuming that it's going to draw to
- 19:51because that daily chart there's lots of
- 19:53liquidity and large fund Traders large
- 19:57institutional Traders
- 19:59institutional mindset investors will be
- 20:03looking at these old lows and old highs
- 20:07and liquidity providers will be looking
- 20:10to take business in around these same
- 20:13levels so if we know that this level
- 20:16down here is the old daily low and again
- 20:19let me take it back up to the chart on
- 20:20the daily chart that's this low right
- 20:22here okay by dropping down into the
- 20:24hourly chart at levels here all I'm
- 20:26doing is transposing those daily levels
- 20:30right to this hourly
- 20:31chart the entire week has been
- 20:34bearish okay it's been going lower since
- 20:36the beginning then we had consolidation
- 20:39in
- 20:40here the market creates this short-term
- 20:43high in this short-term low what rests
- 20:46above that short-term high if you've
- 20:48taken notes and been paying attention
- 20:49it's buy stops what's resting below this
- 20:52low Here Sell stops watch closely the
- 20:57market trades down initially
- 20:59and takes out the cell stops why would
- 21:01it do that
- 21:03first this is inducing shorts okay so it
- 21:06Engineers liquidity even
- 21:10if the idea is that they want to take
- 21:14the market down to this level if it's
- 21:16been
- 21:18consolidating I like to see them do this
- 21:20type of move here where it drops down
- 21:22first it's kind of like a sucker play
- 21:25anybody has a sell stop below here they
- 21:27want to sell on weakness
- 21:29they're going to get tripped into the
- 21:30marketplace so now they're triggered in
- 21:32short and then they start doing a run
- 21:34against those Traders and against those
- 21:38that were already short from this high
- 21:40so what are they doing the Market's
- 21:42being driven higher and the algorithms
- 21:45going to attack that buy stock liquidity
- 21:47pool why would they want to do that
- 21:50number one it's going to punish those
- 21:51individuals here that went
- 21:53short when it drives Above This High
- 21:57here it sends all those spy stops into
- 22:01Market orders flooding the marketplace
- 22:04that gives a huge influx of willing
- 22:08buyers at a high price which is the
- 22:10perfect counterparty to Smart money that
- 22:13wants to sell at a high price remember
- 22:15the market wants to go down here so when
- 22:18it dries up to here those buy stops are
- 22:21the counterparty or the other side of a
- 22:24smart money Trader that's wanting to go
- 22:27short because they're going to sell
- 22:28short they got to sell it to somebody
- 22:30wants to buy it at a high price that's
- 22:32why the market does this okay in your
- 22:35notes you want to record anytime a
- 22:37significant price move lower is expected
- 22:41always anticipate some measure of a stop
- 22:43hunt on buy stops or a short-term High
- 22:45being taken out obviously it's reversed
- 22:48when you're looking for higher prices
- 22:51generally you'll see a shortterm low
- 22:53taken out and sell stops taken before
- 22:55you see a very pronounced rally High
- 22:59higher don't take my word for it go
- 23:01through your charts and you'll see it's
- 23:03actually occurring almost on a daily
- 23:05basis so we're going to drop down into a
- 23:0815-minute time frame so that same old
- 23:11low level down here and that high I just
- 23:14mentioned on the hourly chart and the
- 23:15low on the hourly chart is now been
- 23:18defined with a small little line segment
- 23:20okay so we have a trend line here and a
- 23:22trend line here that's the extent of a
- 23:24trend line that's it I only use them to
- 23:26highlight to my students these levels
- 23:28are not on my chart I'm watching a naked
- 23:31chart
- 23:32okay you while you're developing you
- 23:35should have these levels drawn out in
- 23:37your chart because it helps you build
- 23:39and ingrain the idea that this is where
- 23:41liquidity is it keeps you focused on
- 23:43that because it's easy to look at all
- 23:45these candles forming if you have the
- 23:47luxury of watching it in life and you
- 23:49can lose sight of where you are and mean
- 23:51once you lose your bearings it's really
- 23:54confusing and this helps you keep those
- 23:56bearings in mind and what do I mean by
- 23:58that well I mentioned how the market
- 24:00dropped down initially and that takes
- 24:02the sell stops out so sell side
- 24:05liquidity has been attacked Traders are
- 24:08now tripped in going short if they sold
- 24:10on a break trying to be a breakout
- 24:12artist and then the algorithms go right
- 24:14back up to an area where it's been
- 24:16cleanly delivered relative equal highs
- 24:19see how this High here right before it
- 24:20dropped is basically the same high here
- 24:23notice that so retail Traders see this
- 24:26and they trust it as what
- 24:29resistance so the books always say put
- 24:32your buy stop if you're going to go
- 24:34short right above and clear level of
- 24:37resistance well these levels work for a
- 24:39short period of time but majority of the
- 24:42time you see this event right here and
- 24:44this is how I teach my students to go in
- 24:45there and look for those types of events
- 24:47because what did I just tell you a
- 24:48moments ago about looking for
- 24:50significant price moves before there's a
- 24:52significant price move of any real
- 24:54magnitude or
- 24:56importance generally there's going to be
- 24:58a hunt that takes place right before
- 25:00that price delivery occurs so what does
- 25:03it look like you have relative equal
- 25:05highs this high and this High the market
- 25:07goes up when we're what we're expecting
- 25:09lower prices on that Weekly chart we're
- 25:11on the last day of the week it's already
- 25:13been heavy it's weak and the only thing
- 25:15it's been doing is consolidate and the
- 25:18first thing it did was broke out to the
- 25:19downside tripping what traders in a
- 25:22breakout to go short so now they have
- 25:25Traders caught on the wrong side offs
- 25:27side and now they want to take the
- 25:29market up here where those buy stops are
- 25:31going to be resting for those that were
- 25:32smart enough to sell short here or here
- 25:36and didn't get out below here so the
- 25:39larger pool of liquidity is going to be
- 25:40resting here because it's in sync with
- 25:43the downtrend and everybody that was
- 25:45short the day
- 25:46before they seen this High form and once
- 25:49it broke below this low here they all
- 25:51rushed and Trail their stop loss right
- 25:53above that and I understand if you're
- 25:56new and you think well this is easy to
- 25:58explain in hindsight but I want to
- 26:00remind you go back and look at the first
- 26:01slide I showed you those were actual
- 26:03entries that's a live account through
- 26:05thinker swim Charles swab that was the
- 26:08clearing firm that did the broker side
- 26:10of the business okay so I'm not showing
- 26:13you a demo account I'm not showing you
- 26:15paper trading that those were real
- 26:17entries okay they were real reversals
- 26:19the whole business but the main thing
- 26:21was I showed you that larger trade this
- 26:23is going to be the framework that I'm
- 26:25teaching you how to find it okay but
- 26:27this pool of liquidity once this occurs
- 26:30you want to drop down to your lower time
- 26:32frames and start looking for something
- 26:33specific and let's go into those lower
- 26:35time frames and find out what that
- 26:37is okay here's a two-minute chart why a
- 26:40two-minute chart well 2 minute 1 minute
- 26:43or 3 minute or five five minutes still
- 26:46has a lot of room for imbalances to
- 26:49occur underneath that time frame and
- 26:51what do I mean by that the one minute 2
- 26:54minute 3 minute chart tends to be the
- 26:58best for finding the imbalances for
- 27:01indices okay don't take my word for that
- 27:03okay if you're looking for high
- 27:04frequency setups intraday the one two or
- 27:073 minute chart are just beautiful they
- 27:10just offer a real good Clarity the
- 27:12reason why because the high frequency
- 27:14trading algorithms are operating on
- 27:17nothing really higher than 3 minutes
- 27:19majority of the time they're like
- 27:20seconds okay 15c 30 second 45 second 60c
- 27:25intervals okay and what they're looking
- 27:27for are these small little imbalances
- 27:30and what does that look like well we
- 27:32have that run on the buy stops here okay
- 27:34remember that old high here the old high
- 27:37here old high here it runs right on
- 27:39through that once this occurs on that
- 27:43higher time frame 15-minute time
- 27:45frame you want to drop down to the lower
- 27:47time frames and I'm using the two-minute
- 27:49chart because this is exactly what I was
- 27:50using to find that imbalance and trade
- 27:53off of it
- 27:55okay the market creates a short-term low
- 27:57here here and then it breaks below that
- 28:00this is key this is called a break in
- 28:02Market structure now the foundations and
- 28:05underlying framework is we're in a
- 28:07market that's what weekly bearish we're
- 28:10expecting that Weekly candle to expand
- 28:12lower it's been expanding all week so we
- 28:15have momentum on our
- 28:17side we have a consolidation that's
- 28:20occurred and we had a pull liquidity
- 28:22engineered with these relative equal
- 28:23highs and the market broke out to the
- 28:25downside first and then they ran on the
- 28:28highs so once it went here we don't rush
- 28:31in there just go short because it went
- 28:33above old highs we're looking for some
- 28:36specific signature that tips its hand to
- 28:38you okay and I promise you when you
- 28:40start going through your charts and it's
- 28:41going to be homework for you you're
- 28:43going to see this occurring almost every
- 28:45single day and if it's not doing it this
- 28:47way it's doing it the opposite direction
- 28:48as a buy okay again don't take my word
- 28:51for it you're going to be flabbergasted
- 28:53you like that flabbergasted when you see
- 28:56how many times this thing forms every
- 28:58single week okay it's many times
- 29:01throughout the intraday charts it
- 29:03creates this type of move but it runs
- 29:06the stops then we have a short-term low
- 29:08and then it breaks below it so now we
- 29:10have a Breakin Market structure okay
- 29:12once this low is broken you're going to
- 29:15look for this little area here that's
- 29:17that imbalance I mentioned in the
- 29:18beginning right so what's happening is
- 29:21the Market's going to go right up inside
- 29:22that area there and that's where you
- 29:25want to sell now if you don't sell there
- 29:28you can drop down to a lower time frame
- 29:29one minute chart if this was a 3 minute
- 29:31chart you can go down to a one minute
- 29:32chart and look for that to occur on that
- 29:34time frame as well and it many times
- 29:36will form if you're looking at a lower
- 29:38time frame like say this was a 5-minute
- 29:40chart and you looked at a one minute
- 29:41chart you'd find one down in here it's a
- 29:43matter of scaling down in your time
- 29:45frames because once you have an
- 29:47underlying premise to the market now
- 29:50likely to go lower it becomes an easy
- 29:53thing to look for these types of things
- 29:55so in your chart once you're developing
- 29:59this idea and and learning it you're
- 30:01going to highlight this candle's low
- 30:03this candle's high and this right here
- 30:04is what I teach my students as a fair
- 30:06value Gap okay you don't have those in
- 30:09books okay you don't have any of that
- 30:10kind of stuff out there it's something I
- 30:12introduced back in
- 30:142016 and obviously a lot of people
- 30:17discovered how good it is and they try
- 30:19to make courses with it but I'm going to
- 30:22not touch that right here but the idea
- 30:25is once it go up into that imbalance
- 30:27there and once it does that soon as it
- 30:30enters that
- 30:31area the algorithm that delivers price
- 30:36now some of you may not know what that
- 30:37means and some of you may not even agree
- 30:39with it you may think that this is made
- 30:41up or it's contrived I promise you if
- 30:44you spend time with this you're going to
- 30:45quickly come to the conclusion that
- 30:47there absolutely is an algorithm and
- 30:49it's manipulating the markets every
- 30:51single day every single tick it's
- 30:53completely controlled okay period you're
- 30:56led to believe it's buying and selling
- 30:57pressure now if I go back and use that
- 30:59analogy where it went down here first
- 31:01then go up here some of you may argue
- 31:03see that's the buying and selling
- 31:05pressure no it's not it's liquidity now
- 31:07you may argue and say well we're arguing
- 31:09semantics no I'm telling you what's
- 31:11going on this is the logic this is how
- 31:13these markets book
- 31:15okay once you see these patterns over
- 31:18and over and over again it's very easy
- 31:21to execute on them but the impulse to
- 31:23want to do it the first time you see it
- 31:24because you watch this video that is
- 31:27going to be problematic for you so
- 31:29you're going to have to do a certain
- 31:30number of weeks and months of back
- 31:32testing there's no escaping that you
- 31:34have to do it any skill set any teacher
- 31:37educator system whatever okay whatever
- 31:40they're going to give you there's going
- 31:42to be some kind of growing period where
- 31:44you have to trial and error fix the
- 31:47problems that you have about yourself
- 31:49and I've literally taken your attention
- 31:51to a very specific framework and setup
- 31:53notice that some of you may think I'm
- 31:55still talking too much but I'm taking
- 31:56you right into the heart of the matter
- 31:58this is what it looks like this is what
- 32:00you're looking for okay these are the
- 32:02Fingerprints of that
- 32:04setup these
- 32:06repeat so if you know what they are and
- 32:09what those components are that make up
- 32:10this
- 32:11setup you'll be able to find them but
- 32:14focus on the imbalance after the market
- 32:17structure breaks so this big candle here
- 32:19it breaks
- 32:20down look at the next candle it opens
- 32:23and trades higher and stops right there
- 32:25so from this candle's low and this
- 32:26candle's High when this candle starts
- 32:28trading soon as it opens and it runs
- 32:30right up into that that's a short you
- 32:31can go right in there and sell short be
- 32:33done now where's your stock going to be
- 32:37well you can put it above this High here
- 32:40or you can put it above this candle's
- 32:42High whichever your risk parameters
- 32:44allow for okay um if you're trading the
- 32:48micro which is again it's not a lot of
- 32:50money per tip so the multiplier for that
- 32:52is very very small if you trade the
- 32:56larger full Futures cont cont and if it
- 32:58moves 100
- 32:59points and it can do it real quick it
- 33:02can burn you pretty bad so you may have
- 33:05the leverage to trade with a discount
- 33:07broker okay you may have the initial
- 33:09margin to trade with a discount broker
- 33:11but you may not have the wherewithal and
- 33:13the skill set to navigate this market
- 33:15and that's the only thing I'm trying to
- 33:17provide here as an alternative because
- 33:19there's a lot of individuals outs there
- 33:21that will promote the idea that you can
- 33:22go out there with a discount broker and
- 33:24just clean up yeah if you know what
- 33:26you're doing but you don't need a
- 33:29discount broker to be profitable
- 33:32okay looking at this further we're going
- 33:35to look at the logic in here and I want
- 33:36you to think about after this forms and
- 33:39you see that as your choice setup or
- 33:41entry if it starts to move lower you can
- 33:45still get in it there's no reason not to
- 33:48think that you know you can't get in it
- 33:49here or in here it's close to or in
- 33:54close proximity to where that area is as
- 33:56an entry once we take out a low though
- 33:59once that occurs then it becomes a
- 34:02matter of your chasing price and if you
- 34:03try to get in especially if you like
- 34:04using Market order you may see it trade
- 34:07right to this low and say okay now I
- 34:09believe it's going to go down you put a
- 34:10market order in the sell short then
- 34:12slippage gets you down here that creates
- 34:14a larger area of risk that you have to
- 34:16assume and it's just it's problematic
- 34:18you want to learn to trust going short
- 34:19when the Market's going higher and that
- 34:21feels scary at first but once you start
- 34:23seeing this pattern form it becomes easy
- 34:26to trust it and in in fact that you want
- 34:28to be doing that you want to be selling
- 34:30short expecting lower prices right when
- 34:33the candle's going up and Retail Traders
- 34:36can't grasp that many times it's just
- 34:38like it goes against the logic because
- 34:40they think I got to have confirmation
- 34:42all the books say I have to have
- 34:43confirmation and that's somebody that's
- 34:45coming in late that's someone that
- 34:47doesn't have a read price they can't
- 34:49really follow it and usually they're the
- 34:51people that will trade short with
- 34:53additional shell you know sell stops
- 34:55they'll put sell stops below the
- 34:56marketplace and then that's a momentum
- 34:58entry for them and it's kind of like a
- 34:59no-brainer in fast markets it yeah it
- 35:01works but if you don't know what you're
- 35:03doing you try to do that in a market
- 35:05that's consolidating or about the
- 35:06reverse it hands you your backside okay
- 35:10so if you're looking at this framework
- 35:13here and we've taken the buy stots we
- 35:14have our entry pattern here what would
- 35:16you be looking for as a downside
- 35:19objective well I'm going to teach you
- 35:22the liquidity Matrix okay and sounds
- 35:25pretty cool sounds neat and all that but
- 35:27watch what it is this here is your range
- 35:30this is the low of the day and this is
- 35:32the high of the day thus far so if we
- 35:35take that range and split it from the
- 35:36low to the high to get the midpoint all
- 35:39this can be determined by a simple 50
- 35:40level on a Fibonacci so you drag your
- 35:42Fib from this high down to that low or
- 35:44vice versa and have your 50 level
- 35:47highlighted then anything above that 50
- 35:50level this is referred to from an
- 35:53algorithmic stance as a premium Market
- 35:56it means is expensive now markets can
- 35:59stay in a premium for a while and not go
- 36:02to a discount which would be below the
- 36:0450 point okay 50% anything down here is
- 36:07a
- 36:08discount if you're bearish if you're
- 36:10ever going short you want to look at the
- 36:11previous range where are you at inside
- 36:14that range so when this formed here that
- 36:16little fair value Gap once that
- 36:20formed you're thinking okay we are in a
- 36:23premium so algorithms will want want to
- 36:26go to a discount that's the opposing
- 36:29side of the marketplace so if it's going
- 36:31short here it's driving the market lower
- 36:34what does that mean the algorithm is
- 36:35going to start pricing lower you can
- 36:38have all the buyers in the world come in
- 36:40if the algorithm is in a sell program
- 36:42and it's going lower it does not matter
- 36:44it's going to repic lower and lower and
- 36:46lower and then what will happen is those
- 36:48buyers that may come in with a huge
- 36:49influx of volume they're going to get
- 36:51crushed and they get squeezed you ever
- 36:53hear that term oh this is a bear squeeze
- 36:55this is a bull squeeze all that is an
- 36:58excuse for them not to know why the
- 36:59algorithm is doing what it's doing
- 37:00that's it that's all it is it's an out
- 37:02okay I'm telling you this is what's
- 37:04really going on so the Market's moving
- 37:06from this premium high this specific
- 37:09entry point to a level below the 50 of
- 37:13this range this low and this high now I
- 37:17want you to again go back and Rewind the
- 37:19video once we're done and look at that
- 37:22execution page where I showed you my
- 37:24entries going back and forth up and down
- 37:26up and down and where I got out at where
- 37:28I got in at okay I want you to think
- 37:32about what below this level here the 50
- 37:35level what is resting below
- 37:41here cell stops so now think about the
- 37:45idea of Someone Like You and I that
- 37:47would see this ideal entry as a short we
- 37:50have to sell to get in that short how do
- 37:52we get out of that short we got to buy
- 37:55it back or cover it by buying
- 37:58well we're going to find willing sellers
- 38:00at a low price relative to this point
- 38:02here they're willing already sitting
- 38:04down there with their sell stops right
- 38:06below that
- 38:07low now look closely what else resides
- 38:11right near that
- 38:14low do you see it pause the video before
- 38:17I show it to you because it kind of
- 38:18ruins the experience because if you find
- 38:21it and I don't tell it it feels
- 38:24good right there is that imbalance I
- 38:27mentioned
- 38:28okay it's only one single candle passing
- 38:30up and the previous candle's High and
- 38:32the next candle's low that area right
- 38:34there is an imbalance from this area
- 38:36here it went down below the 50 level and
- 38:39attacked these cell stops and completely
- 38:43closed in this imbalance so every point
- 38:45of this candle's High to this candle's
- 38:47low that range with the candle only
- 38:49going up that's a by side
- 38:54imbalance it has to have an equal
- 38:57delivery to be efficiently priced and
- 39:00booked by the algorithm it goes down and
- 39:03completely closes it back in with down
- 39:05movement notice the candle on this here
- 39:06it opens and then trades down so it
- 39:08fulfills its role of balancing the buy
- 39:11side offering now the sells side
- 39:13offering so that is an efficiently
- 39:15delivered price
- 39:16move Precision elements from the entry
- 39:19here down to here everything else after
- 39:22that for the rest of the day I didn't
- 39:23care about even though I had an
- 39:25objective of that old daily low I wasn't
- 39:28expecting it to run into it this
- 39:32particular day and that's why I didn't
- 39:33participate anymore the rest of the day
- 39:35in hindsight I wish I would have left a
- 39:37small position on and just let it go but
- 39:40you're going to have that you're never
- 39:41going to be right about everything all
- 39:43the time every single day you're going
- 39:44to leave things on the table you're
- 39:46going to get in too early you're going
- 39:47to hold too long you're not going to buy
- 39:49enough you're not going to sell enough
- 39:50there's always going to be some reasons
- 39:52why you didn't do something right so
- 39:53don't beat yourself up about it okay but
- 39:55if you can find elements like this
- 39:56repeat in the price action can you agree
- 39:59with me that that is amazing precision
- 40:03and this is the logic I used to do that
- 40:06trade the very trade that I showed you
- 40:08that was the largest one in the example
- 40:10of saying which one would you rather
- 40:11learn how to
- 40:13do I basically just handed you an ATM
- 40:16machine
- 40:18okay this repeats every single week
- 40:23every single week now I want you to
- 40:25count the number of the Handles in this
- 40:29move let's say you got in at uh well
- 40:32this say you got in at 800
- 40:3414,800 it started to go down you trust
- 40:37it okay we're going to go short ideally
- 40:40you want to enter as it goes into that
- 40:41but it's going to take time for you to
- 40:42trust
- 40:43that but let's say you got in at
- 40:4714,800 if you got out down here like I
- 40:49did I exited as it went right to the top
- 40:51of that range right here this range here
- 40:55that's the top of it once went below
- 40:58that that was it for me that closed the
- 41:01trade is that five handles is that 10
- 41:04handles is that 20 handles is that 30
- 41:06handles is that 50
- 41:10handles
- 41:11no it's over 100 and
- 41:14something
- 41:17now let's assume for a moment that you
- 41:20get good at this or I get the
- 41:23inclination that I want to go to some
- 41:25kind of a deep discount broker
- 41:27and I go in I do trades like this and
- 41:29I'm putting on 15 to
- 41:3125 full Futures contracts what do you
- 41:35think the results are going to
- 41:40be yep so not everything is going to be
- 41:46easy right away and you're not going to
- 41:48be able to see these things happen just
- 41:50because you sit in front of the charts
- 41:52you have to study and you have to
- 41:54practice and by experience of looking at
- 41:56Old moves and watching real price action
- 41:58as best as you can if you can't watch it
- 42:00live trading view has a replay button
- 42:03where you can watch the candles kind of
- 42:05form but they're they're little stilted
- 42:09because it's not completely painting the
- 42:12candle okay and you can't practice with
- 42:15entering like that you can only just
- 42:16study how price moved and gravitated
- 42:19towards certain levels it's the best
- 42:21thing you can have if you if you at
- 42:23least consider doing that much that's
- 42:26good but if you really want to take it
- 42:28to the next level and say you're running
- 42:29a business or if you're going to school
- 42:31or you have a job and you can't watch
- 42:33the time frame around the opening of the
- 42:37index Futures and I like watching it
- 42:40around 8:30 in the morning New York
- 42:42local time to 11:00 there's usually a
- 42:44setup in there that I'm going to be able
- 42:45to find obviously You' seen I did
- 42:47multiple setups and executions today but
- 42:49the point is this that's like that sweet
- 42:51little spot in the morning that I focus
- 42:53on I teach that in this YouTube channel
- 42:56I teach it in my my paid mentorship
- 42:59group so you're getting real stuff here
- 43:02it's not something that was contrive I
- 43:03didn't just make it up because this day
- 43:05worked out in my favor my students
- 43:07recognize these things also
- 43:10and these are simple elements that
- 43:13repeat what you're looking for is a run
- 43:15on liquidity buy stops or sell stops if
- 43:18you're bearish you're looking for buy
- 43:21stops to be ran then a break-in Market
- 43:23structure lower a short-term low being
- 43:25broken that's what it looks like right
- 43:26here shortterm swing low we have a
- 43:28candle High I'm sorry a candle higher to
- 43:31the left with with its low here then you
- 43:33have the low of this candle and the next
- 43:35candle's higher low than this one so you
- 43:37have a swing low formed if you have that
- 43:39and then you have a break below that if
- 43:42it happens that creates a gap like this
- 43:46that's what you're looking for when it
- 43:47trades up into that you can go short or
- 43:49if you want to use cell stops you can
- 43:52use a cell stop in this candle here and
- 43:54this let it trip you in and then use the
- 43:57high of that candle as your stop that
- 43:59may be too wide for you but I I
- 44:01mentioned the logic around this is
- 44:03you're using a micro okay micros aren't
- 44:05that big of a deal it's not a lot of
- 44:07money okay you're not risking a full
- 44:09Futures leverage it's very very small so
- 44:13if you're looking at these types of
- 44:15setups and you can find them forming
- 44:19repeatedly over and over and over again
- 44:21and you study them you're going to see
- 44:24that you don't need to get these little
- 44:26five handle moves these little 10 handle
- 44:29moves you can make a living doing that
- 44:31don't get me wrong I'm not trying to say
- 44:33that people cannot be profitable and
- 44:35wildly profitable but when you learn how
- 44:38to do something like this and you're
- 44:41able to pull down this number of
- 44:45handles and then you have sound money
- 44:48management nothing compares to it folks
- 44:51these are the things that I use when you
- 44:53watched on when I was on Twitter and I
- 44:55ran up the demo accounts really high
- 44:57these are types of setups I was using
- 45:00these types of setups and as the account
- 45:02grew it was more demo account leverage
- 45:05well I'm not using a demo account right
- 45:07now I'm showing you with a think or Swim
- 45:09and anybody that knows think or Swim
- 45:11when I'm showing you those screenshots
- 45:13the paper trading shows as orange
- 45:16everything on that page is orange when
- 45:18it's a live account it's green okay also
- 45:22here's the rub with a demo account it's
- 45:25just demo demo demo demo okay
- 45:27I am not trying to promote the idea that
- 45:31you're going to get rich notice that
- 45:33account hasn't gone Bonkers it hasn't
- 45:35ran up to a million dollars because this
- 45:38mentorship is to hopefully inspire you
- 45:40to pick up a skill that if you deem it
- 45:44useful and you decide at your own
- 45:46discretion and your own timing and you
- 45:48assume that risk on your own because I'm
- 45:50not going to tell you to do this if you
- 45:52decide to get really good at this and
- 45:53you put money behind it that's a skill
- 45:57set that could I'm not promising but it
- 45:59could alleviate some of the problems
- 46:01with what I believe is coming in terms
- 46:03of financial hardship not just in
- 46:05America but everywhere jobs are getting
- 46:07harder and harder to have the economy is
- 46:09a mess so how do we answer that how do
- 46:12we get another income stream coming in
- 46:15this is in my opinion this is one of the
- 46:17ways that you can at least investigate
- 46:18the idea of doing it all right so I'm
- 46:20going to give you some homework in
- 46:22closing I want you to go through all of
- 46:25the e- mini Futures Contract charts okay
- 46:28just like I showed you here these time
- 46:29frames go back and look at the
- 46:31presentation and see what the time
- 46:33frames I gave you listen to what I gave
- 46:35you in terms of audio
- 46:36commentary that is enough in fact I gave
- 46:39you a ton and it may have your head
- 46:42spinning if you're brand new to me or if
- 46:44you're brand new to technical analysis
- 46:46or trading me feel like man is too fast
- 46:49do not send me an email I promise you
- 46:51the lessons I have planned will help
- 46:54eliminate and answer majority of the
- 46:55things you're going to ask
- 46:57just try to study and keep up with the
- 47:00pace that I'm going to put you through
- 47:01which isn't going to be all that bad
- 47:04but as we progress deeper into the
- 47:07teachings many of the questions that are
- 47:09going to come up or when you start going
- 47:11into the homework assignment where
- 47:13you're looking at old data an intraday
- 47:15chart is anything less than a daily
- 47:16chart so like a 4H hour chart that's
- 47:17intraday 1 hour chart that's intraday 5
- 47:20minute 3 minute 2 minute 1 minute all
- 47:22those time frames are intraday what
- 47:25you're going to be looking for are
- 47:27breaks in Market structure after a pool
- 47:28of liquidity okay buy stops or sell
- 47:30stops have been taken in an opposing
- 47:34direction of your weekly expected range
- 47:38in other words are you expecting higher
- 47:39prices or lower prices on the weekly
- 47:40range so if you're looking for lower
- 47:42prices your focus is on a run above an
- 47:45old high once that forms then you're
- 47:48looking for a break- in Market structure
- 47:49on a lower time frame once that occurs
- 47:52and you have an imbalance that's your
- 47:54trigger okay and then you split that
- 47:57range that was created find out where
- 47:59the 50% is and then if you're selling
- 48:02short you want to find something like an
- 48:04old low or an imbalance to aim for as
- 48:07your Target and you want to get the
- 48:09closest Target don't try to get fancy
- 48:12and say okay well I think it's going to
- 48:13go down to that lowest low and try to
- 48:15use that for your exit because sometimes
- 48:17these markets can deny you that so lwh
- 48:21hanging fruit is how I teach you want to
- 48:23have the easiest Target and then allow
- 48:25the market to
- 48:27go farther and you just not be a part of
- 48:29it it's okay is is 125 130 Handles in an
- 48:33index not good
- 48:35enough I think it's good enough but I'm
- 48:38probably just biased but the homework
- 48:40assignment is again you going through
- 48:42the charts using the logic I framed in
- 48:44this introduction lesson looking for
- 48:47Breakin Market structure I also have
- 48:48lessons in this YouTube channel that
- 48:49talks about Market structure breaks and
- 48:51things like that and then you're going
- 48:53to look for the imbalance in price which
- 48:54is that fair value cap then you're going
- 48:57to determine where an opposing high or
- 49:00low resides than log and back test the
- 49:02number of handles you see in hindsight
- 49:04examples and other words how much did it
- 49:06offer and you're going to get a
- 49:08collection of doing that the next lesson
- 49:10I'm actually going to show you how to go
- 49:11back into the charts and look for them
- 49:14how to log them in your journal and give
- 49:18you more insights about how you can find
- 49:19these setups that repeat every single
- 49:21week okay so again I'm going to build on
- 49:24this foundation in the next episode The
- 49:25Next Episode will will be next Tuesday
- 49:27and the time upload will be 10:00 New
- 49:30York local time hopefully you've enjoyed
- 49:32this one until I'll talk to you next
- 49:33time I wish you good luck and good
- 49:34training
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