2022 ICT Mentorship Episode 2 Elements of a Trade Setup — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00All
- 0:13right, folks. Well, we're here.
- 0:17So, technically, this is the first
- 0:20teaching. Uh, I gave you guys an
- 0:22introduction video, obviously. If you
- 0:23haven't watched that one yet, go to the
- 0:24playlist on my YouTube channel and
- 0:27please watch that one because it'll help
- 0:29at least establish the
- 0:31in my opinion the proper expectations.
- 0:34That way you understand what you're
- 0:35getting involved with here and at least
- 0:38it gives me a chance to kind of like
- 0:39break the ice and show you the contrast
- 0:43of what you may be expecting versus what
- 0:45I intend to deliver.
- 0:48All right, so this first installment is
- 0:49going to be elements to a trade setup.
- 0:52All
- 0:55right. So,
- 0:58coming out of the gate, I just want to
- 0:59let you know that this is predominantly
- 1:01going to be a futures index trading
- 1:05mentorship. Okay?
- 1:08The idea is going to be presented in the
- 1:10scope of paper trading on
- 1:14tradingview.com.
- 1:16But what you're looking at here, this is
- 1:19Thinker Swims live data. These are
- 1:22actual executions I made today. And I
- 1:24want you to compare and contrast with
- 1:26what you see on YouTube and other
- 1:29educators where they'll
- 1:32tout that they can do this, they can do
- 1:34that. But really, I want you to compare
- 1:37and contrast what you see here. All
- 1:39right. So, we're looking at intraday
- 1:41price action for NASDAQ E- Mini futures.
- 1:46And this is actually uh the the main
- 1:49focus of this mentorship. Okay. Um, I
- 1:52believe that this market is worth
- 1:57studying. I believe it is not just
- 1:58limited to NASDAQ, but I believe it's
- 2:02useful
- 2:04to learn as a
- 2:07trader that views obviously the E- mini
- 2:09S&P, the E- mini Dow future, and the E-
- 2:13mini NASDAQ. Now, the E- mini NASDAQ is
- 2:15a little bit faster, a little bit more
- 2:17aggressive.
- 2:19And
- 2:20even with that, you can still trade it.
- 2:22So,
- 2:24I want you to think about what it means
- 2:27to watch price action and understand
- 2:29what it's likely to do before it does
- 2:31it. Now, I'm not promising you're going
- 2:33to be able to do that right out of the
- 2:34gate. What I'm going to show you is the
- 2:38compare and contrast to how I can trade
- 2:41versus what I'm promising to teach you
- 2:44in this mentorship. How to find specific
- 2:46setups in your demo account, okay? Or
- 2:49your paper trading account. I'm not
- 2:51trying to entice you to trade with live
- 2:53funds, okay? So that way we know this
- 2:55going in.
- 2:57The teachings will be predominantly
- 2:59through the scope of tradingview.com's
- 3:01paper trading module or just hindsight
- 3:05data. Now, I already know some of you
- 3:08are, oh, here we go, the hindsight guy.
- 3:10[laughter]
- 3:11Well, what you're looking at here is
- 3:13actually live executions from today.
- 3:16Okay? And I want you to think about if
- 3:18you were able to trade a micro account
- 3:22and you were trading the NASDAQ and you
- 3:26were able to capture just one of these
- 3:29moves. Which one would you like to
- 3:32learn how to find? Obviously, you
- 3:34probably look at this and think, well,
- 3:35I'd like to do all of them, but I want
- 3:37you to think about which one really
- 3:39stands out
- 3:41off the entire chart. And this is a one
- 3:43minute chart. Which one really stands
- 3:46out? I'll give you a moment. You can
- 3:48pause the video and unpause it when
- 3:49you're ready.
- 3:53Some of you folks never ever pause it.
- 3:57All right. So, obviously we can see how
- 3:59the market moves from here. Okay. Two
- 4:03orders executed here. Whenever you see
- 4:05this, this is actually a reversal. So if
- 4:09there is a trade on long, it'll reverse
- 4:13and take you the other direction. Okay?
- 4:15And then this one here, this is a
- 4:17reversal as well.
- 4:20Then a another close, and then another
- 4:24long entry, the exit, a short entry, and
- 4:28then the cover. Okay? I'd like for you
- 4:31to consider what it would take for you
- 4:32to find consistency and how many
- 4:35handles, how many full
- 4:38handle moves in an index futures
- 4:41contract that would satisfy you. When I
- 4:44say a handle, that's essentially four
- 4:46ticks, the minimum fluctuation in these
- 4:49markets. An example would be if you were
- 4:52trading the E- Mini S&P and you were
- 4:54trading obviously the 4450
- 4:58level and you went long. If it went to
- 5:004451, that's a full handle, okay? Or
- 5:02four ticks or four times $12.50 50s or
- 5:06$50 per handle. The NASDAQ is $20 per
- 5:10handle. So, it's slightly different, but
- 5:13it's faster. It moves a lot more. Lot
- 5:16more handles, a lot more aggression.
- 5:19Now, it doesn't always move faster.
- 5:22Sometimes we'll have a lethargic price
- 5:25action in this indicy or another out of
- 5:28the three. That would be the S&P, the
- 5:31NASDAQ, and the Dow.
- 5:34I personally don't trade the Dow that
- 5:36much, but there's a lot of my students
- 5:38that love trading the YM, but YM is the
- 5:41symbol for the futures contract. And
- 5:43these three markets have the luxury for
- 5:47you that may not have the capability to
- 5:49put up to like $17,000
- 5:51margin if you were going to trade one
- 5:52full contract of the NASDAQ futures. Um,
- 5:55most brokers, unless you're using a
- 5:56discount broker, they're going to
- 5:58require you to have deep pockets in
- 5:59sense that you're going to have that
- 6:00about $17,000 and about 12,000 and a
- 6:04half for an E- mini S&P full futures
- 6:07contract. Okay,
- 6:09you take basically
- 6:12a fraction of that and you can trade a
- 6:15micro on each one of these markets, but
- 6:17obviously it reduces the number of the
- 6:21tick multiplier because you're trading
- 6:23with a lot less technically leverage.
- 6:26So, I'm going to get into all that, but
- 6:28I just kind of like want to begin the
- 6:31conversation informally, but also just
- 6:34kind of like show you what it is that I
- 6:36do versus
- 6:39what other people do. Okay? So,
- 6:43I'm not trying to,
- 6:45you know, point my finger at anyone in
- 6:47particular, but if you look around on
- 6:49YouTube, there are people out there that
- 6:52try to make a big stink about themselves
- 6:54and they'll try to show
- 6:57results that may or may not be real. I'm
- 6:59not here to disparage that. They could
- 7:01be actually trading a live account. I
- 7:03don't personally care, but anyone that
- 7:05trades on Think or Swim, they can
- 7:06recognize this chart right away. I
- 7:09posted a results and updated u
- 7:12reflection on the thinker swim or TDM
- 7:15air trade account and it's on my
- 7:18community tab. I promise I won't beat
- 7:20you up too much with the community tab,
- 7:22but that's my way of reaching out to
- 7:24you. So, if you subscribe to the channel
- 7:26and then when you subscribe to the
- 7:28channel, you want to toggle all
- 7:31notifications. You want to click that
- 7:33little uh I think it's like a bell icon
- 7:35and then all notifications. That way,
- 7:38anytime I post on my community tab,
- 7:40it'll let you know. Otherwise, it won't
- 7:41let you know. So, it's it's my
- 7:43replacement to Twitter, which in my
- 7:44opinion sucks.
- 7:48So, if we look at the eb and flow of all
- 7:52this here,
- 7:54where the market's trading up and
- 7:57between here and here, it's not a small
- 8:02number of handles. It's a pretty
- 8:04respectful amount of handles. It's not
- 8:07a couple a handful and then up here it's
- 8:10a reversal and then it comes back down
- 8:13and I buy it back here in reverse. So,
- 8:15I'm selling short here
- 8:18and I'm buying long here.
- 8:22740 to 720. That's 20 handles. Going
- 8:26long here at 720. I'm abbreviating the
- 8:29number just for brevity sake. Getting
- 8:32out at 732, 12 handles. Then going long
- 8:37here
- 8:40756 and then getting out at 784 and a
- 8:44half then going short at 798 and
- 8:48covering at 675.
- 8:51So I'll ask you which one of these
- 8:53trades do you think is the one that you
- 8:55want to learn? Again putting all aside
- 8:58the idea that you would probably want to
- 9:00do all these but I'm not promising you
- 9:02that. Okay. I'm going to take you into
- 9:07how to find this setup here.
- 9:10Notice the number of handles. I'm not
- 9:12promising you're gonna get this many
- 9:13handles, but the setups and the logic
- 9:16behind it will help you find these types
- 9:18of frameworks. Framework is the
- 9:21foundation to a trading model. So, you
- 9:24have to have an understanding what it is
- 9:25you're looking for. And that's really
- 9:27the only thing I'm introducing tonight
- 9:28is the idea of what it is I'm promising
- 9:32to educate you with. So that way you can
- 9:34go in and find these setups on your own.
- 9:36You will not need to be a slave to some
- 9:40kind of blackbox system. You don't need
- 9:43to be a part of some kind of signal
- 9:45generating gimmick. You don't need to be
- 9:48a part of a signal service. You can find
- 9:50these on your own independent. That's
- 9:53exactly what I'm trying to frame in all
- 9:55of my students. I do that with my
- 9:56mentorship students that paid me for
- 9:58education. Now here you are in my
- 10:00YouTube channel. I'm telling you the
- 10:02same thing. I'm teaching independence.
- 10:04That way, you're not requiring any
- 10:06handholding by me. Once you understand
- 10:08the rules and you go through the
- 10:10processes and things I'm going to teach
- 10:11you how to practice with, you will not
- 10:14need anything except for the chart
- 10:16itself. That's it. And that's how in my
- 10:20opinion, and you can argue with this if
- 10:22you want, but I could care less if you
- 10:24could. Any of you would challenge the
- 10:25idea that independent thinking is not
- 10:27the best way of doing it. You want to be
- 10:29able to be unshackled. Okay. And if
- 10:31you're part of a signal service or if
- 10:33you're part of a a approach that
- 10:35requires you to use a
- 10:38blackbox system, you're kind of held
- 10:40captive, aren't you? So, if you look at
- 10:43this, this chart
- 10:46is clean. Except for these little
- 10:48bubbles actually show you the
- 10:50transactions. You don't really get any
- 10:53kind of well
- 10:58distortion from your reading of price
- 11:01action. I don't have a lot of graffiti
- 11:04on the chart. Okay. But the main
- 11:05takeaway here is I want you to
- 11:06understand that I don't hunt for three
- 11:09to five handles and consider that
- 11:10legendary. Okay. Now, can you be
- 11:14profitable if you take high frequency
- 11:17trades and you do those types of trades?
- 11:19Absolutely. That's what alos do.
- 11:21Algorithms do that. But I'm trying to
- 11:24show you by contrast that there is a way
- 11:27that you can find setups that are
- 11:29outside that parameter of very small
- 11:33little handles and doing lots of
- 11:35contracts. So if you're looking at this
- 11:36here and this was say your trading and
- 11:40you're trading a NASDAQ micro account,
- 11:43you're not making a lot of money on
- 11:44these swings. Okay? I'm not making a lot
- 11:48of money on these swings, but I'm able
- 11:50to find these swings and it's not these
- 11:53small little increments. Okay? I'm going
- 11:57to teach you skill sets that focus
- 11:59primarily on this. Okay? You want to
- 12:01find a nice price leg intraday. I'm not
- 12:05promising you how to buy, sell short,
- 12:08buy, sell short, buy, sell short. That's
- 12:11that's mine, okay? I'm not teaching
- 12:13that. And I know some of you like, "Oh,
- 12:15you're a jerk. you're this, you're that,
- 12:16whatever. I didn't promise that. That's
- 12:18why I set the stage in the first
- 12:20introduction video, so that way we know
- 12:22what it is I'm teaching you. If anyone
- 12:25of you here don't want to learn how to
- 12:27take this type of trade, you're welcome
- 12:28to not continue and turn this video off
- 12:30and go watch whoever, okay? But I think
- 12:34if you give it a chance, you'll find
- 12:36some amazing things that bring clarity
- 12:39to reading price action.
- 12:43>> [snorts]
- 12:43>> All right. So, we're looking at the
- 12:45NASDAQ futures March delivery contract.
- 12:48And this is a Trading View chart. And if
- 12:50you've never used tradingview.com, the
- 12:52way you would pull this symbol up is NQ
- 12:56H2022.
- 12:58Okay? And this is a weekly chart. And I
- 13:01want you to think about each week before
- 13:04the new trading week begins, preferably
- 13:07on the weekend. Okay?
- 13:09The idea is you want to try to get a
- 13:11read on what you think that next weekly
- 13:13candle is going to do. Is it going to go
- 13:15higher or is it going to go lower?
- 13:18You're not trying to predict the close
- 13:20of the weekly candle. That's important.
- 13:23Okay? You just want to see before this
- 13:25weekly candle opened up, all we had was
- 13:28this indecisive candle. Okay? Do you
- 13:31think that this candle that would have
- 13:33formed and opened here is more likely to
- 13:36go higher or lower?
- 13:40Obviously, with the benefit of hindsight
- 13:42here, but I can tell you all of my
- 13:44students know we've been looking for
- 13:45lower prices and I'll just give you a
- 13:47quick short list as the reasons why.
- 13:49Number one, seasonality. Okay, seasonal
- 13:51tendencies. It tends to go down around
- 13:53this time anyway. We also have
- 13:56discussions about how the Fed's going to
- 13:58raise interest rates. stock market does
- 14:00not like that. We're also in earnings
- 14:02season. There's a lot of volatility
- 14:04because of earnings and those factors
- 14:08plus the underlying tone of the
- 14:10marketplace which I'll show you when we
- 14:11get into the daily chart. It just well
- 14:14it's heavy and this is where it was
- 14:16going to draw to. Okay. Did I expect
- 14:19this entire range to be delivered in one
- 14:21week? No, that's not important. The
- 14:24point is I'm expecting the weekly candle
- 14:27to expand on the lower end. Okay. Or go
- 14:29down and gravitate towards this low,
- 14:32which it hasn't broken yet, but I think
- 14:34that's what we're probably going to aim
- 14:35for on Sunday's opening going into
- 14:36Monday's trading. So, that's where I
- 14:38think it's drawing to,
- 14:41and that's the component I want you to
- 14:43focus on with your analysis. What is the
- 14:46market likely to draw to? When I say
- 14:48draw to, think of it as
- 14:51price being a paperclip, okay? And then
- 14:55you you have this magnetic impulse that
- 14:58specific price levels and seasonality,
- 15:02okay, will
- 15:04put on price. It'll cause price to
- 15:07gravitate towards certain levels. And
- 15:09the measure of speed and magnitude that
- 15:12it moves to get to these levels, you
- 15:14learn that over experience. That's not
- 15:16something I can transfer. It's something
- 15:18you have to practice and see and study
- 15:20and you get a rhythm for it. Okay? Every
- 15:22educator knows what I mean by that and
- 15:24every student that's been trained
- 15:25successfully by any other educator will
- 15:28not understand exactly what I mean by
- 15:29that. You just get a feel for it. It's
- 15:31experience. There's no way of defining
- 15:32outside of that.
- 15:35In the early stages of your development,
- 15:37you want to at least try to focus your
- 15:39attention on where that weekly candle is
- 15:41going to do. Now, here's the thing. It
- 15:43may start the first half of the week or
- 15:45maybe just one day expand lower. And if
- 15:48you get a setup in that, that's it.
- 15:50You're done.
- 15:51That's how you start working towards
- 15:53consistency. No student ever should try
- 15:56to trade every single session, every
- 15:59single day because the only thing you're
- 16:01doing is building an expectation that
- 16:04you're going to be able to do this every
- 16:05single day profitably. And then if you
- 16:07do get a run of profitability, soon as
- 16:10you get a losing trade, it's going to
- 16:11blow your mind and you're going to want
- 16:13to correct it quickly and you're going
- 16:15to start making irrational decisions and
- 16:17then you enter that loser cycle I've
- 16:19talked about many times in the YouTube
- 16:21channel. So the only thing you're
- 16:23looking for is a likely
- 16:27movement higher or lower based on the
- 16:29weekly candle. Okay, that's all you're
- 16:31doing. That sets your initial bias for
- 16:34the week.
- 16:36On the daily chart, you're looking for
- 16:37swing highs and swing lows to get your
- 16:39liquidity. And majority of your trading
- 16:43and the draw on liquidity, what makes
- 16:46the market go higher or lower, it's
- 16:48predominantly found on this time frame.
- 16:51Okay? So, majority of your analysis
- 16:53should really be linked to this time
- 16:55frame right here. You have to have an
- 16:57assumption
- 16:59whether you're going to be expecting
- 17:00that weekly candle to expand higher or
- 17:02lower. That's your weekly bias. But then
- 17:04you have to go into the daily chart and
- 17:06figure out basically where you are in
- 17:08the grand scheme of things on that
- 17:09weekly range expanding higher or lower
- 17:13because we're looking for lower prices
- 17:14and we're looking for weakness.
- 17:17The expectation is we want to see every
- 17:19short-term low
- 17:22like this would be a short-term low.
- 17:23This will be a short-term low and
- 17:25underneath those lows is going to be
- 17:26sell stops. Okay, that's liquidity.
- 17:30When I say learn to start looking for
- 17:33where the market's going to draw to,
- 17:35it's drawing to one of two things. Okay?
- 17:38It's drawing to stops, which is
- 17:40liquidity, or it's running to an
- 17:43imbalance. Now, what's that mean?
- 17:47Above old highs, buy stops. Below old
- 17:51lows, sell stops.
- 17:54imbalances is something like this over
- 17:56here where we have one single candle
- 17:58pass higher and the previous candle's
- 18:00high is here and the next candle's low
- 18:02is here. So it only went up one candle,
- 18:05nothing moved down the overlap with that
- 18:07same delivery on that price candle
- 18:10there. So in other words, that's an
- 18:12imbalance. It's only going higher and
- 18:14nothing else is here to offset that and
- 18:18efficiently deliver price on the
- 18:20opposite end. Now, you probably heard of
- 18:22the theory auction theory, okay? And
- 18:26folks hear me try to communicate some of
- 18:29these things and they'll run away with,
- 18:31"Oh, he's just talking about auction
- 18:32theory." And it's not. Just like when
- 18:34they see me do a rectangle or a box on a
- 18:36chart, and you'll see one in this video.
- 18:38It's not supply and demand, okay? It's
- 18:40just what it is. You'll see it and
- 18:43you'll know right away after you've been
- 18:44with me for a couple weeks that this is
- 18:46entirely unique and there's nothing else
- 18:48like it. And I'm certain majority of you
- 18:51are going to fall in love with this
- 18:52model.
- 18:53So, we're looking for lower prices.
- 18:55We're looking for an expansion. I'm
- 18:57using the benefit of hindsight, but I
- 18:58can promise you again, this was
- 19:00discussed. We were looking for lower
- 19:02prices in my paid group. And if I did
- 19:04not say that, I have a lot of students
- 19:06that are making YouTube channels. They
- 19:07are welcome to come out and say I'm a
- 19:08liar. So, we're looking at the daily
- 19:12chart. We're going to drop down into the
- 19:14hourly chart. Okay. Okay. Now, what I
- 19:16have here is a framework for looking at
- 19:19the weekly range on an hourly chart. So,
- 19:21all I did was beginning on midnight New
- 19:24York time, Monday's candle, and then
- 19:28Friday's close, and then the beginning
- 19:30of Friday's trading at midnight. Okay.
- 19:32Now, what I'm delineating here is the
- 19:35fact that we had a nice sell-off on
- 19:37Thursday
- 19:38and the market went into consolidation
- 19:40overnight.
- 19:42Notice what happens here on Friday. This
- 19:45is that old low on the daily chart.
- 19:47That's what we're thinking or assuming
- 19:49that it's going to draw to because that
- 19:52daily chart there's lots of liquidity
- 19:54and large fund traders, large
- 19:57institutional traders, institutional
- 20:00mindset investors will be looking at
- 20:03these old lows and old highs and
- 20:08liquidity providers will be looking to
- 20:10take business in around these same
- 20:13levels. So, if we know that this level
- 20:16down here is the old daily low, and
- 20:19again, let me take you back up to the
- 20:20chart on the daily chart. That's this
- 20:22low right here. Okay? By dropping down
- 20:24into the hourly chart, that level is
- 20:26here. All I'm doing is transposing those
- 20:29daily levels right to this hourly chart.
- 20:32The entire week has been bearish. Okay?
- 20:35It's been going lower since the
- 20:37beginning. Then, we had consolidation in
- 20:40here.
- 20:41The market creates this short-term high
- 20:44and this short-term low. What rests
- 20:46above that short-term high, if you've
- 20:48taken notes and been paying attention,
- 20:49it's buy stops. What's resting below
- 20:52this low here? Sell stops. Watch
- 20:55closely. The market trades down
- 20:58initially and takes out the sell stops.
- 21:01Why would it do that? First,
- 21:04this is inducing shorts. Okay? So it
- 21:07engineers liquidity even if
- 21:11the idea is that they want to take the
- 21:14market down to this level. If it's been
- 21:16consolidating,
- 21:19I like to see them do this type of move
- 21:21here where it drops down first. It's
- 21:24kind of like a sucker play. Anybody that
- 21:26has a sell stop below here, they want to
- 21:27sell on weakness. They're going to get
- 21:30tripped into the marketplace. So now
- 21:31they're triggered in short and then they
- 21:33start doing a run against those traders
- 21:36and against those that were already
- 21:39short from this high. So what are they
- 21:41doing? The market's being driven higher
- 21:44and the algorithms are going to attack
- 21:46that buy stop liquidity pool. Why would
- 21:48they want to do that? Number one, it's
- 21:50going to punish those individuals here
- 21:52that went short.
- 21:54When it drives above this high here, it
- 21:58sends all those spy stops into
- 22:02market orders flooding the marketplace.
- 22:04That gives a huge influx of willing
- 22:08buyers at a high price, which is the
- 22:10perfect counterparty to smart money that
- 22:13wants to sell at a high price. Remember,
- 22:15the market wants to go down here. So
- 22:17when it dries up to here, those buy
- 22:21stops are the counterparty or the other
- 22:23side of a smart money trader that's
- 22:26wanting to go short because they're
- 22:28going to sell short. They got to sell it
- 22:30to somebody wants to buy at a high
- 22:31price. That's why the market does this.
- 22:34Okay, in your notes, you want to record
- 22:37anytime a significant price move lower
- 22:40is expected, always anticipate some
- 22:42measure of a stop hunt on buy stops or a
- 22:45short-term high being taken out.
- 22:46Obviously, it's reversed when you're
- 22:49looking for higher prices. Generally,
- 22:52you'll see a short-term low taken out
- 22:54and sell stops taken before you see a
- 22:56very pronounced rally higher.
- 23:00Don't take my word for it. Go through to
- 23:02your charts and you'll see it's actually
- 23:03occurring almost on a daily basis. So,
- 23:06we're going to drop down into a
- 23:0815-minute time frame. So that same old
- 23:11low level down here and that high I just
- 23:14mentioned on the hourly chart and the
- 23:15low on the hourly chart is now been
- 23:18defined with a small little line
- 23:19segment. Okay. So we have a trend line
- 23:21here and a trend line here. That's the
- 23:24extent of a trend line. That's it. I
- 23:25only use them to highlight to my
- 23:27students. These levels are not on my
- 23:29chart. I'm watching a naked chart. Okay.
- 23:34you while you're developing, you should
- 23:36have these levels drawn out on your
- 23:37chart because it helps you build and
- 23:40ingrain the idea that this is where
- 23:41liquidity is. It keeps you focused on
- 23:43that because it's easy to look at all
- 23:45these candles forming if you have the
- 23:47luxury of watching it in life and you
- 23:49can lose sight of where you are and you
- 23:51once you lose your bearings it's really
- 23:54confusing and this helps you keep those
- 23:56bearings in mind and what do I mean by
- 23:58that? Well, I mentioned how the market
- 24:00dropped down initially and that takes
- 24:02the sell stops out. So, sellside
- 24:05liquidity has been attacked. Traders are
- 24:08now tripped in going short if they sold
- 24:10on a break trying to be a breakout
- 24:12artist. And then the algorithms go right
- 24:14back up to an area where it's been
- 24:16cleanly delivered relative equal highs.
- 24:19See how this high here right before it
- 24:20dropped is basically the same high here.
- 24:23Notice that. So retail traders see this
- 24:26and they trust it as what? Resistance.
- 24:30So the books always say put your buy
- 24:33stop if you're going to go short right
- 24:35above a clear level of resistance. Well,
- 24:38these levels work for a short period of
- 24:40time, but majority of the time you see
- 24:43this event right here. And this is how I
- 24:44teach my students to go in there and
- 24:46look for those types of events. Because
- 24:47what did I just tell you moments ago
- 24:49about looking for significant price
- 24:51moves? Before there's a significant
- 24:53price move of any real magnitude or
- 24:55importance,
- 24:57generally there's going to be a stop
- 24:58hunt that takes place right before that
- 25:01price delivery occurs. So what does it
- 25:03look like? You have relative equal
- 25:05highs. This high and this high. The
- 25:07market goes up when we're what? We're
- 25:09expecting lower prices on that weekly
- 25:11chart. We're on the last day of the
- 25:12week. It's already been heavy. It's
- 25:14weak. And the only thing it's been doing
- 25:16is consolidate. And the first thing it
- 25:18did was broke out to the downside.
- 25:20tripping what traders in a breakout to
- 25:23go short. So now they have traders
- 25:26caught on the wrong side offside and now
- 25:28they want to take the market up here
- 25:30where those buy stops are going to be
- 25:32resting for those that were smart enough
- 25:33to sell short here or here and didn't
- 25:36get out below here. So the larger pool
- 25:39of liquidity is going to be resting here
- 25:42because it's in sync with the downtrend.
- 25:44And everybody that was short the day
- 25:45before,
- 25:47they seen this high form and once it
- 25:49broke below this low here, they all
- 25:51rushed and trailed their stop loss right
- 25:53above that. And I understand if you're
- 25:56new and you think, well, this is easy to
- 25:58explain in hindsight, but I want to
- 26:00remind you, go back and look at the
- 26:01first slide I showed you. Those were
- 26:03actual entries. That's a live account
- 26:05through thinker swim Charles Swab. That
- 26:08was the clearing firm that did the
- 26:09broker side of the business. Okay? So,
- 26:13I'm not showing you a demo account. I'm
- 26:14not showing you paper trading. That
- 26:16those were real entries, okay? They were
- 26:19real reversals, the whole business. But
- 26:20the main thing was I showed you that
- 26:22larger trade. This is going to be the
- 26:24framework that I'm teaching you how to
- 26:26find it, okay? But this pool of
- 26:28liquidity, once this occurs, you want to
- 26:31drop down to your lower time frames and
- 26:32start looking for something specific.
- 26:34And let's go into these lower time
- 26:35frames and find out what that is.
- 26:38Okay, here's a two-minute chart. Why a
- 26:40two-minute chart? Well, 2 minute, 1
- 26:43minute or 3 minute or five. Five minute
- 26:46still has a lot of room for imbalances
- 26:49to occur underneath that time frame. And
- 26:51what I mean by that, the 1 minute, 2
- 26:54minute, 3 minute chart tends to be the
- 26:58best for finding the imbalances for
- 27:01indices. Okay, don't take my word for
- 27:03that. Okay, if you're looking for high
- 27:04frequency setups intraday, the one, two,
- 27:06or three minute chart are just
- 27:09beautiful. They just offer a real good
- 27:11clarity. The reason why because the high
- 27:14frequency trading algorithms are
- 27:16operating on nothing really higher than
- 27:183 minutes, but majority of the time
- 27:20they're like seconds. Okay? 15-second,
- 27:2330-cond, 45sec, 60-cond intervals, okay?
- 27:26And what they're looking for are these
- 27:28small little imbalances. And what does
- 27:30that look like? Well, we had that run on
- 27:33the buy stops here. Okay? Remember that
- 27:35old high here, the old high here, old
- 27:38high here. it runs right on through
- 27:40that. Once this occurs on that higher
- 27:43time frame, 15-inut time frame,
- 27:46you want to drop down to the lower time
- 27:48frames. And I'm using the two-minute
- 27:49chart because this is exactly what I was
- 27:50using to find that imbalance and trade
- 27:53off of it. Okay?
- 27:56The market creates a short-term low here
- 27:58and then it breaks below that. This is
- 28:00key. This is called a break in market
- 28:03structure. Now the foundations and
- 28:05underlying framework is we're in a
- 28:07market that's what weekly bearish. We're
- 28:11expecting that weekly candle to expand
- 28:12lower. It's been expanding all week. So
- 28:15we have momentum on our side.
- 28:18We have a consolidation that's occurred
- 28:21and we had to pull liquidity engineered
- 28:22with these relative equal highs and the
- 28:24market broke out to the downside first
- 28:26and then they ran on the highs. So once
- 28:30it went here, we don't rush in there and
- 28:32just go short because it went above old
- 28:34highs. We're looking for some specific
- 28:36signature that tips its hand to you,
- 28:39okay? And I promise you, when you start
- 28:41going through your charts, and it's
- 28:42going to be homework for you, you're
- 28:43going to see this occurring almost every
- 28:45single day. And if it's not doing it
- 28:47this way, it's doing it the opposite
- 28:48direction as a buy. Okay? Again, don't
- 28:50take my word for it. You're going to be
- 28:52flabbergasted. You like that?
- 28:54flabbergasted when you see how many
- 28:56times this thing forms every single
- 28:59week. Okay, it's many times throughout
- 29:02the intraday charts it creates this type
- 29:04of move. But it runs the stops, then we
- 29:07have a short-term low and then it breaks
- 29:09below it. So now we have a break in
- 29:10market structure. Okay, once this low is
- 29:13broken, you're going to look for this
- 29:16little area here. That's that imbalance
- 29:18I mentioned in the beginning, right? So,
- 29:20what's happening is the market's going
- 29:21to go right up inside that area there,
- 29:24and that's where you want to sell. Now,
- 29:26if you don't sell there, you can drop
- 29:28down to a lower time frame, one minute
- 29:30chart. If this was a three-minute chart,
- 29:31you can go down to one minute chart and
- 29:33look for that to occur on that time
- 29:35frame as well. And it many times will
- 29:37form, if you're looking at a lower time
- 29:38frame, like say this was a 5-minute
- 29:40chart and you looked at a one minute
- 29:41chart, you'd find one down in here. It's
- 29:43a matter of scaling down in your time
- 29:45frames because once you have an
- 29:47underlying premise to the market now
- 29:50likely to go lower, it becomes an easy
- 29:53thing to look for these types of things.
- 29:55So in your chart, once you're developing
- 29:59this idea and and learning it, you're
- 30:01going to highlight this candle's low,
- 30:03this candle's high. And this right here
- 30:04is what I teach my students as a fair
- 30:06value gap. Okay? You don't have that in
- 30:09books, okay? You don't have any of that
- 30:10kind of stuff out there. It's something
- 30:11I introduced back in 2016 and obviously
- 30:16a lot of people discovered how good it
- 30:18is and they try to make courses with it.
- 30:20But I'm going to not touch that right
- 30:23here. But [snorts] the idea is once it
- 30:26go up into that imbalance there and once
- 30:28it does that soon as it enters that area
- 30:32the algorithm that delivers price. Now
- 30:36some of you may not know what that means
- 30:38and some of you may not even agree with
- 30:39it. You may think that this is made up
- 30:42or it's contrived. I promise you, if you
- 30:44spend time with this, you're going to
- 30:46quickly come to the conclusion that
- 30:47there absolutely is an algorithm and
- 30:49it's manipulating the markets every
- 30:51single day. Every single tick, it's
- 30:53completely controlled. Okay? Period.
- 30:55You're led to believe it's buying and
- 30:57selling pressure. Now, if I go back and
- 30:59use that analogy where it went down here
- 31:01first, then go up here. Some of you may
- 31:03argue, see, that's the buying and
- 31:05selling pressure. No, it's not. It's
- 31:06liquidity. Now, you may argue and say,
- 31:08"Well, we're arguing semantics." No, I'm
- 31:11telling you what's going on. This is the
- 31:12logic. This is how these markets book.
- 31:14Okay?
- 31:16Once you see these patterns over and
- 31:18over and over again, it's very easy to
- 31:21execute on them. But the impulse to want
- 31:23to do it the first time you see it
- 31:25because you watch this video, that is
- 31:27going to be problematic for you. So,
- 31:29you're gonna have to do a certain number
- 31:31of weeks and months of back testing.
- 31:33There's no escaping that. You have to do
- 31:35it. any skill set, any teacher,
- 31:38educator, system, whatever, okay?
- 31:40Whatever they're going to give you,
- 31:42there's going to be some kind of growing
- 31:43period where you have to trial and
- 31:45error, fix the problems that you have
- 31:48about yourself. And I've literally taken
- 31:50your attention to a very specific
- 31:52framework and setup. Notice that some of
- 31:54you may think I'm still talking too
- 31:55much, but I'm taking you right into the
- 31:57heart of the matter. This is what it
- 31:59looks like. This is what you're looking
- 32:00for. Okay? These are the fingerprints of
- 32:02that setup.
- 32:05these repeat.
- 32:07So, if you know what they are and what
- 32:09those components are that make up this
- 32:10setup,
- 32:12you'll be able to find them. But focus
- 32:15on the imbalance after the market
- 32:17structure breaks. So, this big candle
- 32:19here, it breaks down.
- 32:21Look at the next candle. It opens and
- 32:23trades higher and stops right there. So,
- 32:25from this candle's low and this candle's
- 32:26high, when this candle starts trading,
- 32:28soon as it opens and it runs right up
- 32:30into that, that's a short. You can go
- 32:32right in there, sell short, be done.
- 32:34Now, where is your stop going to be?
- 32:37Well, you can put it above this high
- 32:39here, or you can put it above this
- 32:41candle's high, whichever your risk
- 32:44parameters allow for. Okay. Um, if
- 32:46you're trading the micro, which is
- 32:49again, it's not a lot of money per tick.
- 32:51So, the multiplier for that is very,
- 32:53very small. If you trade the larger full
- 32:57futures contract, and if it moves 100
- 32:58points
- 33:00and they can do it real quick, it can
- 33:02burn you pretty bad. So, you may have
- 33:05the leverage to trade with a discount
- 33:07broker, okay? You may have the initial
- 33:09margin to trade with a discount broker,
- 33:11but you may not have the wherewithal and
- 33:13the skill set to navigate this market.
- 33:15And that's the only thing I'm trying to
- 33:18provide here as an alternative because
- 33:20there's a lot of individuals out there
- 33:21that will promote the idea that you can
- 33:23go out there with discount broker and
- 33:24just clean up. Yeah, if you know what
- 33:26you're doing, but you don't need a
- 33:29discount broker to be profitable. Okay,
- 33:33looking at this further, we're going to
- 33:35look at the logic in here. And I want
- 33:36you to think about after this forms and
- 33:39you see that as your choice setup or
- 33:41entry. If it starts to move lower,
- 33:44you can still get in it. There's no
- 33:47reason not to think that, you know, you
- 33:49can't get in it here or in here. It's
- 33:53close to or in close proximity to where
- 33:55that area is as an entry. Once we take
- 33:58out a low though, once that occurs, then
- 34:00it becomes a matter of you're chasing
- 34:03price. And if you try to get in,
- 34:04especially if you like use a market
- 34:05order, you may see it trade right to
- 34:08this low and say, "Okay, now I believe
- 34:10it's going to go down." You put a market
- 34:11order and sell short. And then slippage
- 34:12gets you down here. That creates a
- 34:14larger area of risk that you have to
- 34:16assume. And it's just it's problematic.
- 34:18You want to learn to trust going short
- 34:19when the market's going higher. And that
- 34:22feels scary at first, but once you start
- 34:23seeing this pattern form, it becomes
- 34:26easy to trust it. And in fact that you
- 34:28want to be doing that. You want to be
- 34:29selling short expecting lower prices
- 34:33right when the candle's going up. And
- 34:35retail traders can't grasp that many
- 34:37times. It's just like it goes against
- 34:39the logic because they think I got to
- 34:41have confirmation. All the books say I
- 34:43have to have confirmation. And that's
- 34:45somebody that's coming in late. That's
- 34:47someone that doesn't have read price.
- 34:49They can't really follow it. And usually
- 34:51they're the people that will trade short
- 34:53with additional shell you sell stops.
- 34:55they'll put sell stops below the
- 34:56marketplace and then that's the momentum
- 34:58entry for them and it's kind of like a
- 34:59no-brainer in fast markets it yeah it
- 35:02works but if you don't know what you're
- 35:03doing you try to do that in a market
- 35:05that's consolidating or about to reverse
- 35:07it hands you your backside. Okay. So, if
- 35:12you're looking at this framework here
- 35:13and we've taken the buy stops, we have
- 35:14our entry pattern here. What would you
- 35:17be looking for as a downside objective?
- 35:20Well, I'm going to teach you the
- 35:23liquidity matrix. Okay? And sounds
- 35:25pretty cool, sounds neat and all that,
- 35:27but watch what it is. This here is your
- 35:29range. This is the low of the day, and
- 35:32this is the high of the day thus far.
- 35:34So, if we take that range and split it
- 35:36from the low to the high to get the
- 35:38midpoint, all of this can be determined
- 35:39by a simple 50 level on a Fibonacci. So,
- 35:42you drag your fib from this high down to
- 35:44that low or vice versa and have your 50
- 35:47level highlighted. Then, anything above
- 35:50that 50 level, this is referred to from
- 35:53an algorithmic stance as a premium
- 35:56market. It means it's expensive. Now,
- 35:59markets can stay in a premium for a
- 36:00while and not go to a discount, which
- 36:03would be below the 50 point. Okay? 50%.
- 36:06Anything down here is a discount.
- 36:09If you're bearish, if you're ever going
- 36:10short, you want to look at the previous
- 36:12range. Where are you at inside that
- 36:14range? So, when this formed here, that
- 36:17little fair value gap, once that formed,
- 36:21you're thinking, okay, we are in a
- 36:23premium. So algorithms will want want to
- 36:26go to a discount. That's the opposing
- 36:29side of the marketplace. So if it's
- 36:31going short here, it's driving the
- 36:33market lower. What does that mean? The
- 36:35algorithm is going to start pricing
- 36:37lower. You can have all the buyers in
- 36:39the world come in. If the algorithm is
- 36:41in a sell program and it's going lower,
- 36:43it does not matter. It's going to repric
- 36:45lower and lower. And then what will
- 36:47happen is those buyers that may come in
- 36:49with a huge influx of volume, they're
- 36:51going to get crushed and they get
- 36:53squeezed. You ever hear that term, oh,
- 36:54this is a bear squeeze. This is a bull
- 36:56squeeze. All that is an excuse for them
- 36:58not to know why the algorithm is doing
- 37:00what it's doing. That's it. That's all
- 37:01it is. It's an out. Okay? I'm telling
- 37:03you, this is what's really going on. So,
- 37:06the market's moving from this premium
- 37:07high, this specific entry point to a
- 37:11level below the 50 of this range, this
- 37:14low and this high. Now, I want you to
- 37:18again go back and rewind the video once
- 37:20we're done and look at that execution.
- 37:23page where I showed you my entries going
- 37:25back and forth, up and down, up and
- 37:26down, and where I got out at, where I
- 37:29got in at. Okay, I want you to think
- 37:32about what below this level here, the 50
- 37:35level. What is resting below here?
- 37:42Sell stops. So now, think about the idea
- 37:45of someone like you and I that would see
- 37:48this ideal entry as a short. We have to
- 37:50sell to get in that short. How do we get
- 37:53out of that short? We got to buy it back
- 37:55or cover it by buying.
- 37:58Well, we're going to find willing
- 38:00sellers at a low price relative to this
- 38:02point here. They're willing already
- 38:04sitting down there with their sell stops
- 38:06right below that low.
- 38:08Now, look closely. What else resides
- 38:11right near that low?
- 38:15Do you see it? Pause the video before I
- 38:17show it to you because it kind of ruins
- 38:19the experience because if you find it
- 38:21and I don't tell it, it feels good.
- 38:25Right there is that imbalance I
- 38:27mentioned. Okay, it's only one single
- 38:29candle passing up and the previous
- 38:32candle's high and the next candle's low.
- 38:33That area right there is an imbalance.
- 38:36From this area here, it went down below
- 38:38the 50 level and attacked these sell
- 38:41stops and completely closed in this
- 38:44imbalance. So every point of this
- 38:45candle's high to this candle's low, that
- 38:48range with the candle only going up,
- 38:51that's a buy side imbalance.
- 38:56It has to have an equal delivery to be
- 38:59efficiently priced and booked by the
- 39:01algorithm. It goes down and completely
- 39:03closes it back in with down movement.
- 39:05Notice the candle on this here opens and
- 39:07then trades down. So it fulfills its
- 39:09role of balancing the buy side offering
- 39:12now the sell side offering. So that is
- 39:14an efficiently delivered price move.
- 39:17Precision elements from the entry here
- 39:20down to here. Everything else after that
- 39:22for the rest of the day I didn't care
- 39:24about. Even though I had an objective of
- 39:26that old daily low, I wasn't expecting
- 39:29it to run into this particular day. And
- 39:33that's why I didn't participate anymore
- 39:34the rest of the day. In hindsight, I
- 39:36wish I would have left a small position
- 39:38on and just let it go. But you're going
- 39:41to have that. You're never going to be
- 39:42right about everything all the time,
- 39:43every single day. You're going to leave
- 39:45things on the table. You're going to get
- 39:46in too early. You're going to hold too
- 39:48long. You're not going to buy enough or
- 39:50you're not going to sell enough. There's
- 39:51always going to be some reasons why you
- 39:52didn't do something right. So, don't
- 39:53beat yourself up about it. Okay? But if
- 39:55you can find elements like this
- 39:57repeating in the price action, can you
- 39:59agree with me that that is amazing
- 40:02precision? And this is the logic I used
- 40:05to do that trade. the very trade that I
- 40:08showed you that was the largest one in
- 40:10the example of saying which one would
- 40:11you rather learn how to do.
- 40:14I basically just handed you an ATM
- 40:16machine. Okay,
- 40:19this repeats every single week. Every
- 40:24single week. Now, I want you to count
- 40:26the number of the handles in this move.
- 40:30Let's say you got in at uh well, this
- 40:32say you got in at 800 14,800. it started
- 40:36to go down. You trust it. Okay, we're
- 40:38going to go short. Ideally, you want to
- 40:40enter as it goes into that, but it's
- 40:41going to take time for you to trust
- 40:42that.
- 40:44But let's say you got in at 14,800.
- 40:48If you got out down here, like I did, I
- 40:50exited as it went right to the top of
- 40:51that range right here. This range here,
- 40:55that's the top of it. Once it went below
- 40:57that, that was it for me. That closed
- 41:00the trade.
- 41:02Is that five handles? Is that 10
- 41:04handles? Is that 20 handles? Is that 30
- 41:06handles? Is that 50 handles?
- 41:11No,
- 41:12it's overund and some.
- 41:15Now,
- 41:18let's assume for a moment that you get
- 41:21good at this or I get the inclination
- 41:24that I want to go to some kind of a deep
- 41:26discount broker and I go in and I do
- 41:29trades like this and I'm putting on 15
- 41:31to 25
- 41:32full futures contracts. What do you
- 41:35think the results are going to be?
- 41:40[snorts and laughter]
- 41:41Yep.
- 41:42So,
- 41:44not everything is going to be easy right
- 41:47away. And you're not going to be able to
- 41:49see these things happen just because you
- 41:51sit in front of the charts. You have to
- 41:53study and you have to practice. And by
- 41:55experience of looking at old moves and
- 41:57watching real price action as best as
- 41:59you can. And if you can't watch it live,
- 42:01Trading View has a replay button where
- 42:04you can watch the candles kind of form,
- 42:06but they're they're little stilted
- 42:09because it's not completely painting the
- 42:12candle. Okay? And you can't practice
- 42:14with entering like that. You can only
- 42:16just study how price moved and
- 42:19gravitated towards certain levels. It's
- 42:21the best thing you can have if you if
- 42:23you at least consider doing that much,
- 42:26that's good. But if you really want to
- 42:28take it to the next level and say you're
- 42:29running a business or if you're going to
- 42:31school or you have a job and you can't
- 42:33watch the time frame around the opening
- 42:36of the index futures and I like watching
- 42:40it around 8:30 in the morning, New York
- 42:42local time to 11:00. There's usually a
- 42:44setup in there that I'm going to be able
- 42:45to find. Obviously, you've seen I did
- 42:47multiple setups and executions today,
- 42:49but the point is this. That's like that
- 42:51sweet little spot in the morning that I
- 42:53focus on. I teach that in this YouTube
- 42:55channel. I teach it in my paid
- 42:58mentorship group. So, you're getting
- 43:01real stuff here. It's not something that
- 43:03was contrived. I didn't just make it up
- 43:04because this day worked out in my favor.
- 43:06My students recognize these things also.
- 43:09And
- 43:11these are simple elements that repeat.
- 43:14What you're looking for is a run on
- 43:15liquidity, buy stops or sell stops. If
- 43:18you're bearish, you're looking for buy
- 43:21stops to be ran. Then a break-in market
- 43:23structure lower, a short-term low being
- 43:25broken. That's what it looks like right
- 43:26here. Short-term swing low. We have a
- 43:28candle high, I'm sorry, a candle higher
- 43:31to the left with it with its low here.
- 43:33Then you have the low of this candle and
- 43:35the next candle's higher low than this
- 43:36one. So, you have a swing low formed. If
- 43:39you have that and then you have a break
- 43:40below that, if it happens that creates a
- 43:44gap like this, that's what you're
- 43:46looking for. When it trades up into
- 43:48that, you can go short. Or if you want
- 43:50to use sell stops, you can use a sell
- 43:53stop in this candle here in this. Let it
- 43:55trip you in and then use the high of
- 43:58that candle as your stop. That may be
- 44:00too wide for you. But I I mentioned the
- 44:02logic around this is you're using a
- 44:04micro. Okay, micros aren't that big of a
- 44:06deal. It's not a lot of money. Okay,
- 44:08you're not risking a full futures
- 44:09leverage. It's very very small. So, if
- 44:13you're looking at these types of setups
- 44:16and you can find them forming repeatedly
- 44:20over and over and over again and you
- 44:22study them, you're going to see that you
- 44:24don't need to get these little five
- 44:27handle moves, these little 10 handle
- 44:29moves. You can make a living doing that.
- 44:32Don't get me wrong. I'm not trying to
- 44:33say that people cannot be profitable and
- 44:36wildly profitable, but when you learn
- 44:38how to do something like this and you're
- 44:41able to pull down this number of handles
- 44:45and then you have sound money
- 44:47management,
- 44:49nothing compares to it, folks. These are
- 44:51the things that I use when you watched
- 44:53on when I was on Twitter and I ran up
- 44:55the demo accounts really high. These are
- 44:58the types of setups I was using. these
- 45:00types of setups. And as the account
- 45:02grew, it was more demo account leverage.
- 45:05Well, I'm not using a demo account right
- 45:07now. I'm showing you with a Thinker
- 45:09Swim. And anybody that knows Thinker
- 45:11Swim, when I'm showing you those
- 45:12screenshots, the paper trading shows as
- 45:15orange. Everything on that page is
- 45:17orange. When it's a live account, it's
- 45:19green. Okay. Also, here's the rub. With
- 45:24a demo account, it's just demo demo demo
- 45:26demo. Okay. I'm not trying to promote
- 45:29the idea that you're going to get rich.
- 45:33Notice that account hasn't gone bonkers.
- 45:35It hasn't ran up to a million dollars
- 45:37because this mentorship is to hopefully
- 45:40inspire you to pick up a skill that if
- 45:43you deem it useful and you decide at
- 45:46your own discretion and your own timing
- 45:48and you assume that risk on your own,
- 45:50because I'm not going to tell you to do
- 45:51this. If you decide to get really good
- 45:53at this and you put money behind it,
- 45:56that's a skill set that could, I'm not
- 45:58promising, but it could alleviate some
- 46:00of the problems with what I believe is
- 46:02coming in terms of financial hardship,
- 46:04not just in America, but everywhere.
- 46:06Jobs are getting harder and harder to
- 46:08have. The economy is a mess. So, how do
- 46:11we answer that? How do we get another
- 46:13income stream coming in? This is, in my
- 46:16opinion, this is one of the ways that
- 46:17you can at least investigate the idea of
- 46:19doing it. All right. So, I'm going to
- 46:20give you some homework in closing.
- 46:23I want you to go through all of the E-
- 46:26mini futures contract charts, okay? Just
- 46:28like I showed you here, these time
- 46:29frames. Go back and look at the
- 46:31presentation and see what the time
- 46:33frames I gave you. Listen to what I gave
- 46:35you in terms of audio commentary.
- 46:37That is enough. In fact, I gave you a
- 46:40ton. And it may have your head spinning
- 46:43if you're brand new to me or if you're
- 46:45brand new to technical analysis or
- 46:47trading. You may feel like, man, this is
- 46:48too fast. Do not send me an email. I
- 46:51promise you, the lessons I have planned
- 46:53will help eliminate and answer majority
- 46:55of the things you're going to ask. Just
- 46:58try to study and keep up with the pace
- 47:00that I'm going to put you through, which
- 47:01isn't going to be all that bad. But as
- 47:05we progress deeper into the teachings,
- 47:08many of the questions that are going to
- 47:10come up or when you start going into the
- 47:12homework assignment where you're looking
- 47:13at old data, an inday chart is anything
- 47:15less than a daily chart. So like a 4
- 47:17hour chart that's intraday. 1 hour chart
- 47:19that's intraday. Five minute, three
- 47:21minute, two minute, one minute, all
- 47:22those time frames are intraday. What
- 47:25you're going to be looking for are
- 47:27breaks in market structure after a pool
- 47:29of liquidity. Okay? Buy stops or sell
- 47:30stops have been taken in an opposing
- 47:34direction of your weekly expected range.
- 47:38In other words, are you expecting higher
- 47:39prices or lower prices on weekly range?
- 47:41So if you're looking for lower prices,
- 47:42your focus is on a run above an old
- 47:45high.
- 47:46Once that forms, then you're looking for
- 47:49a break in market structure on a lower
- 47:50time frame. Once that occurs and you
- 47:53have an imbalance, that's your trigger.
- 47:55Okay? And then you split that range that
- 47:58was created. Find out where the 50% is
- 48:00is. And then if you're selling short,
- 48:03you want to find something like an old
- 48:04low or an imbalance to aim for as your
- 48:08target. And you want to get the closest
- 48:10target. Don't try to get fancy and say,
- 48:12"Okay, well, I think it's going to go
- 48:13down to that lowest low." and try to use
- 48:15that for your exit because sometimes
- 48:17these markets can deny you that. So
- 48:21lowhanging fruit is how I teach. You
- 48:23want to have the easiest target and then
- 48:25allow the market to go further and you
- 48:28just not be a part of it. It's okay. Is
- 48:31is 125 130 handles in an index not good
- 48:34enough?
- 48:36I think it's good enough, but I'm
- 48:38probably just biased. But the homework
- 48:40assignment is again you going through
- 48:42the charts using the logic I framed in
- 48:45this introduction lesson looking for
- 48:47break and market structure. I also have
- 48:48lessons in this YouTube channel that
- 48:50talks about market structure breaks and
- 48:51things like that. And then you're going
- 48:53to look for the imbalance in price which
- 48:54is that fair value cap. Then you're
- 48:57going to determine where an opposing
- 48:59higher low resides. Then log and back
- 49:02test the number of handles you see in
- 49:03hindsight examples. In other words, how
- 49:05much did it offer? and you're going to
- 49:08get a collection of doing that. The next
- 49:10lesson, I'm actually going to show you
- 49:11how to go back into the charts and look
- 49:14for them, how to log them in your
- 49:16journal, and give you more insights
- 49:18about how you can find these setups that
- 49:20repeat every single week. Okay, so
- 49:23again, I'm going to build on this
- 49:24foundation in the next episode. The next
- 49:26episode will be next Tuesday, and the
- 49:28time upload will be 10 o'clock New York
- 49:30local time. Hopefully, you've enjoyed
- 49:32this one. Until I talk to you next time,
- 49:33I wish you good luck and good trading.
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