YT YouTube2Text

YouTube2Text → Transcripts → 2022 Election Results | Complete Destruction.

2022 Election Results | Complete Destruction. — Transcript

by Meet Kevin · 44,838 words · 6,706 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Open in transcriber Summarize with AI Download SRT/VTT

Full transcript

0:01welcome to election night
0:042022 Republican Brit defeats Democrat
0:08Boyd in race of four Republican held U.S
0:11seat in Alabama Republican incumbent
0:14Rubio defeats the Democratic Challenger
0:17of Miami uh Republican Mullen defeats
0:21Democrat Kendra horn in race for
0:23Republican held U.S Senate seat
0:25Republican incumbent defeats Democratic
0:27Challenger Madison horn in race for
0:30senate seat in Oklahoma and Republican
0:32DeSantis wins re-election against
0:34Democratic Chris uh Charlie Chris of um
0:38of Florida's governor race wow we got
0:41lots of numbers that literally just came
0:43in this is uh this is going to be a
0:45pretty interesting night but so far it's
0:48been Republicans across the board
0:51cleaning up here there was a lot of an
0:53expectation of of an expectation that
0:55we're going to see this and obviously
0:58this election night is is a big deal
0:59because it is very likely to give us a
1:02quite uh quite a divided government and
1:05uh a divided government oftentimes is uh
1:09is deemed beneficial for uh for stocks
1:12uh which is great because uh you know
1:15the government can't mess stuff up more
1:17than they already have
1:19uh but let's go ahead and listen in to
1:21uh some of the the polls as they start
1:24closing here let's listen in Blumenthal
1:26in Connecticut has a lead in his home
1:28state this one also too early to call
1:30interesting in Maryland Senator Chris
1:32Van Hollen will win his race defeating
1:34GOP candidate Chris Chaffee and we can
1:37also call the Alabama Senate race where
1:39Republican Katie Britt is projected to
1:41win she takes over the seat from Senator
1:43Shelby she looks pretty close there are
1:45you sure you're ready to go yeah we're
1:46ready
1:47Chief of Staff she was his chief of
1:49staff two races in Oklahoma both too
1:52early to call but both Republican
1:54candidates lead at this point in the
1:55first James Langford fighting for a
1:57second full term and in the special
2:00election Republican Mark Wayne Mullen is
2:02helping is hoping to replace General
2:04senator Jim inhofe all right so let's
2:07take a look at the balance of power as
2:09we see it 34 38 again the white are the
2:12ones we haven't yet called majority is
2:1451 it stands now at 50 50. uh so we'll
2:18be tracking that all night moving to the
2:19governor's races in Florida the Fox News
2:21decision desk projects GOP Governor Ron
2:24DeSantis will defeat Charlie Crist again
2:27the margins here are eye-popping wow
2:30talk about all of that and just it's
2:32it's such a crush I mean that is such
2:35that's over by by over a million votes
2:37it's just destruction
2:39have a long lasting ramifications that
2:41Brit will fill us in on in a moment
2:43let's take a look at Pennsylvania
2:44governor race Josh Shapiro has a very
2:46strong lead there against Doug mastriano
2:48this one is also too early to call
2:51there's three percent let's go ahead and
2:54take a look at uh just getting sort of a
2:56balance as they say of power together
2:58right here so we can get caught up so uh
3:00here's what we've got we've got economy
3:02and inflation being obviously the big
3:05topics that almost every news agency is
3:08talking about uh obviously I mean those
3:11are those are the big issues right now
3:12and inflation is really at the top of
3:14all of that right if inflation goes away
3:16the economy is going to start booming
3:17again so uh right now we've got
3:20uh let's see here Full House results
3:23full Senate results let's go ahead and
3:24take a look at our Senate results here
3:25what we've got uh so these are those
3:28reporting so far or or that are being
3:31called and uh we do have a republican uh
3:36yeah okay well I want to uh win okay
3:38Oklahoma's being called Alabama South
3:41Carolina Kentucky wow that's that's a
3:45pretty nice margin there Rand Paul
3:47kicking uh uh Charles Booker's uh you
3:51know attempt to take over here yeah uh
3:54Rand Paul obviously being the incumbent
3:55let's see if we've had any flips I want
3:57to start looking for flips so you've got
3:59the incumbent over here uh the little
4:01asterisk connects to their name implies
4:03or suggests that they're the incumbent
4:04so up in the Northeast it looks like
4:07you've got
4:08uh mostly the Democratic control
4:10maintained that you had previously want
4:13to find flips I think it's a little too
4:15early to see those yet
4:17over here look at that in Alabama I mean
4:20that's just a crush for the senate seat
4:22here 75 well but then again less one
4:24less than one percent of votes in how
4:26are they calling it already I wonder uh
4:28we'll see anyway uh okay how's our
4:31forecast here let's see let's get
4:35set up
4:38and then we've got the house
4:42okay so here's here the New York Times
4:44is barely actually calling any of these
4:46these cold polls are just getting
4:47started to close uh really Florida is
4:50where we're starting to get that the the
4:52actual numbers in yet I wonder if we can
4:54get a little bit closer in on Florida
4:55here on the times or we'll pop on over
4:57yeah there we go times usually does a
4:59pretty decent job so let's pull up the
5:01Florida map and see what we got here
5:04Florida all right so the election
5:06results for Florida let's take a dive
5:09here so I grew up by the way in Broward
5:11County Broward County uh is a Marco
5:15Rubio's District
5:17and uh in this section it actually looks
5:21like you've got a democratic flip here
5:25you've got
5:28that's very interesting look at that you
5:30got Marco Rubio
5:32is he gonna lose a seat
5:34hold on a sec
5:36this is a
5:38uh sorry this is just Broward County
5:40right because let me let me get my let
5:43me get everything straight here Marco
5:45Rubio's not losing a seat he is uh not
5:48only very likely to win for the state
5:50this is for the state seat this is the
5:51Senate not the house let's make that
5:53very clear it's just uh that in Broward
5:56County uh he apparently doesn't get many
5:58votes as well as in Palm Beach County
6:00but the rest of the state he's cleaning
6:02up very very clearly
6:04so you've got uh let's see most of these
6:08areas reporting over 50 percent of the
6:10votes in already Miami used to be pretty
6:14Democratic and you've got to flip over
6:17here in Miami that's what's actually
6:20quite interesting here you could see
6:23Marco Rubio is at 53 that's a pretty
6:26nice margin there for Marco Rubio now
6:28you've got
6:30seven percent of a margin towards a
6:33republican which what you've previously
6:35had in Miami was substantially larger
6:39margins for Democrats so you've got that
6:41flip here because that whole South
6:42Florida area I used to remember when I
6:44grew up as a child this was generally a
6:46lot more blue this has become a lot more
6:48red
6:49you've got Tampa over here as well
6:5353-46 similar margins to Miami
6:57Orlando area going blue
7:02uh those Statewide with 76 percent of
7:05the votes in Marco Rubio's pulling at
7:0855.6 seats
7:14and that's on Senate
7:17let's swing to
7:20we saw DeSantis win or we those results
7:23just came out at five and that was
7:25expected
7:32let's pop in over here for a moment
7:34let's just see what we got take over the
7:36conversation tomorrow no matter what the
7:38rest of the night holds this is a huge
7:40sea change and as uh Dana said as Carl
7:43remembers you know this is a situation
7:46that I think we could never have
7:48anticipated even a few years ago to see
7:50Miami-Dade come in the way that it did
7:53it just is an indictment they're even
7:55talking about Miami just the other side
7:57but of the White House's approach to
7:59this election if you were focused on
8:01issues that were on social media issues
8:03like abortion guns climate Etc I think
8:07he lost the force for the trees you were
8:09paying attention to issues that might
8:11matter to your Progressive base online
8:12but they're not present at the kitchen
8:14table you know something I was reading a
8:16little bit this morning was actually
8:18that uh older individuals and Men
8:21weren't really showing up for Democrats
8:25this time around and that's a
8:27demographic Democrats were really hoping
8:29would come out and be inspired by for
8:31example the potential abortion overturn
8:34via the Supreme Court and how that's now
8:37essentially been sent over to the states
8:39uh Roe v Wade something that was deemed
8:41Untouchable getting overturned uh and
8:44now the decision to allow abortion or
8:46not again being sent to the states and
8:48so a lot of Democrats thought that was
8:51going to be a tool for turning out
8:54everyone in the party whether those are
8:57older individuals or those are men and
9:00both of those did not come out under the
9:03abortion costs that just wasn't enough
9:05and it really seems like what people
9:08care most about right now as as we see
9:11just everywhere is just inflation and I
9:14don't believe
9:15and then we're seeing this in the
9:17results here I don't believe markets or
9:21uh the polls the way the polls are
9:24coming in are suggesting that there's
9:26much faith in Democrats complete control
9:28and their ability to actually
9:30handle the inflation crisis that we're
9:32facing let's keep listening here
9:37we're trying for Republican
9:39can kill Hispanic better
9:42president but you do use his terminology
9:44[Laughter]
9:51I got a few more updates coming in
9:52Republican wins house seed in Florida's
9:5513th flipping the district okay we got a
9:57flip in Florida just came in seconds ago
10:00you've got a house seat flip uh that
10:03already gives Republicans up one here uh
10:06well another one uh you've got
10:09that is the Anna Paulina Luna winning
10:12the house seat in Florida's 13th
10:14District flipping the district then
10:16you've got Blumenthal Republican
10:18incumbent defeating I'm sorry Democratic
10:21incumbent Blumenthal defeating
10:23Republican Challenger so did not get
10:25that senate seat flip in Connecticut for
10:28Republicans Democratic incumbent
10:30Duckworth defeats Republican Challenger
10:33for the senate seat in Illinois
10:36Republican incumbent defeats Democratic
10:38Challenger Madison horn these are AP
10:40calls right now or AP projections
10:48let's see okay
10:51gold studies near one month Peak ahead
10:54of U.S inflation data inflation data
10:56coming out Thursday morning 5 30 a.m
10:57we'll be live for that obviously
10:59as the congresswoman from Florida former
11:03police chief from Orlando uh it's not
11:05close and in some of these counties it's
11:07it's equal or greater than desantis's
11:10spread okay let's head over to Bill
11:11hemmer back where we stand uh so far
11:13yeah I'm gonna stir the pot here in a
11:15little bit so give me a moment okay I
11:16just want to set it up the right way and
11:18then you guys can all have a stab at it
11:19when we're done here okay uh talking
11:21about Florida I I don't want to overlook
11:23it keep in mind when we began this night
11:26okay
11:27Republican leadership thought they had
11:29to flip four seats in Florida right uh
11:32or pick up four okay so you had four to
11:35four called for Republicans Florida
11:37seven called for Republicans
11:39um kellyanne he beat me to it this is
11:40Florida 13 right here this is Anna
11:43Paulina Luna about 99 and she's gonna
11:45win uh based on this right here so that
11:47would be a flip that is Charlie Crystal
11:49C2 right now is being defeated by Ron
11:52desanton to the governor's level I would
11:55also Point your attention to Florida 15.
11:57so this is just east of Tampa all right
12:00right now on Laura Lee who used to work
12:02for Ron DeSantis is now leading cone uh
12:05easily now about 96 percent in that is
12:08what they call a new open seat based on
12:11the census Florida gained a seat and
12:13Republicans are going to pick up there
12:14as well the point I'm making here is
12:16that if if you need it four you got four
12:19now the question is can your incumbents
12:21all across the country hang on and I'm
12:24going to end this report with one
12:25thought on there but before I leave
12:27Florida
12:28just want to show you what's happening
12:30here okay so this is Rubio all right and
12:33this is Rubio in Miami-Dade let me get
12:35this set up the right way okay sorry
12:37clear that boom boom boom boom we're at
12:40Miami Dade Rubio is at 53.4 remember
12:44that was a big spread we just talked
12:46about that as well I want to point this
12:47out this election is not really getting
12:51great turnout the New York Board of
12:54Elections at least suggests that we're
12:56at only about 67 percent of the turnout
12:59at least in their area that we had in
13:022018 now who knows maybe maybe a lot of
13:05people out of the the New York City this
13:06New York City to clarify uh uh I don't
13:09know after did people leave and not come
13:11back after covet but uh the New York
13:13City Board of Elections says about 1.4
13:16million voters have been to a polling
13:18station down from 2.1 million in 2018
13:22however there are still
13:24a few hours left so who knows maybe that
13:27could change a little bit
13:30other candidates on the ticket okay
13:32Edison research projects that
13:33Republicans have picked up a net three
13:36House Seats previously held by democrats
13:39with 375 out of four uh 135 races not
13:42called yet
13:44or maybe you keep below that margin and
13:46don't come out a winner but I just want
13:47to share this with the audience here is
13:50Walker Statewide at about 30 percent at
13:5350 at 43 percent now here is Camp and
13:57Abrams
13:58so again you see the difference right
14:0047.4 and he's right around 43 so he's he
14:05stayed at that margin guys of about four
14:08to four and a half no more than five but
14:10there was a separation of of about 4.5
14:12points between what Kemp is doing and
14:16the governor's race and what Herschel
14:17Walker is doing at the senate race and
14:19maybe in the end that matters so just
14:21keep an eye on that now I mentioned
14:22these incumbents and I'm going to come
14:24back to this right here just to complete
14:26the play as we say I'll come back to the
14:28center a moment here remember
14:29Republicans are trying to hang on to
14:30their incumbents otherwise all the gains
14:32you're making in Florida don't matter
14:34this is Ohio one that's my hometown
14:36that's Cincinnati Steve Shabbat he is a
14:40political cockroach in all the best
14:42sense and that he wins races that people
14:44don't expect him to win they chopped up
14:46his district they gave him a big part of
14:48the city of Cincinnati this District
14:50really runs against him and with about a
14:52third of the vote in he is trailing so
14:54if Greg landsman holds on and beats
14:56Steve shaba that would be one of those
14:58flips now that's I'm gonna just throw in
15:01here that Democrats have gotten two more
15:03Governor seats looks like Democrats are
15:05winning the governor seats in Maryland
15:06and Massachusetts
15:08those were previously Republican uh
15:12moderate seats so moderate Republicans
15:14were sending those those are now damn
15:15flip to Dem in Cleveland I could go on
15:18for about three more hours but my time
15:19is up because they told me to rap three
15:21times
15:23shortly we'll be talking Ohio all right
15:25so let's go to Tucker Carlson who you've
15:28got some folks now saying uh Florida is
15:30no longer looking like a swing state a
15:33big Florida resident you have you know
15:36spend a lot of time there we've got
15:37double digit wins for the governor Ron
15:40DeSantis and also Marco Rubio and a huge
15:43night when you look at what has
15:44transformed in Miami-Dade County what
15:46are you thinking Tucker well I think
15:48that's it's Miami-Dade County that
15:50really jumps out at you DeSantis lost it
15:52by a lot four years ago he's winning it
15:55pretty solidly it looks like right now
15:56so what you're looking at is a
15:58realignment of Voters and I really think
16:01we're undervaluing the extent to which
16:04BLM the Democratic party going all in
16:07for the black lives matter movement in
16:09the summer of 2020 really moved Hispanic
16:12voters to the Republican side I think it
16:14shows up in polling results nobody wants
16:16to say it but it's absolutely amazing
16:18Republicans just flip Florida's Seventh
16:20District I mean if tomorrow morning we
16:22wake up and these numbers in Miami-Dade
16:25and Texas are real and possibly in
16:27Arizona then I think you're looking at
16:29at really a different Democratic
16:31coalition
16:32what do you make of the numbers Tucker
16:34that we're seeing out of Pennsylvania
16:35that that Senate race is really really
16:37close and it could be a long time before
16:38we call okay apparently
16:41um Elon Musk has been selling some
16:42shares of Tesla uh breaking this is uh
16:46actually quite interesting just got a
16:48note on this let me see if I can get the
16:50SEC filing but I just got a notification
16:53that Elon is apparently uh
16:56selling some Tesla what do you selling
16:59Elon let's find out
17:04I'm going to try to get some answers on
17:06exactly some details on that but it does
17:08look like musk has reported some sales
17:10of Tesla stock these are Dominion voting
17:12machines but it almost doesn't matter
17:14electronic voting machines didn't allow
17:16people to vote apparently and that
17:19whatever you think of it the cause of it
17:20it shakes people's faith in the system
17:22that is an actual threat to democracy
17:25and it points up the core problem which
17:27is we're not really very serious about
17:29democracy if we're using electronic
17:31voting machines or if we're not
17:32requiring photo ID to vote we could have
17:36secure elections we don't because a
17:38small number of people don't want them
17:39but until we do you're going to have
17:41these moments where everybody in the
17:43country fears volatility because one
17:47side doesn't believe the result is real
17:49and you've seen it on both sides I mean
17:50you saw yesterday Democrats suggesting
17:52that electronic voting machines could
17:54okay it looks like the Elon Musk sales
17:56were on the 4th of November a lot of
17:59sales on the 4th of November
18:01I'm trying to get these blown up here so
18:05I can get you
18:07a screenshot of these it looks like Elon
18:10Musk sold shares between
18:12215 really all the way down to two
18:17or three
18:24uh yeah let's see here
18:27all right I got him this this is quite a
18:29bit
18:31it doesn't give us a I'm gonna I'm gonna
18:33try to add these all up manually but we
18:35do have musk selling shares of Tesla
18:38on the 4th of November that means we
18:40might have more share sales coming
18:42getting disclosed over the next few days
18:44here that's quite interesting
18:47uh Elon Musk sold shares of Tesla
18:51November
18:52uh fourth more sales likely to be
18:55reported over the next few days
19:01all right let's add this up really quick
19:05so let's see what we got here
19:10foreign wasn't expecting to cover this
19:13on Election night a kind of interesting
19:15timing but we do want to do a quick
19:18little summary here of
19:20how many shares were sold and I want you
19:22to be able to see that as well so let's
19:24do this together really quick
19:28here we go quick add up here we have 485
19:3478 you've got
19:37998-114 you could probably just copy and
19:39paste this but honestly
19:41it's going to be quicker I think just to
19:43write this out 2 6 oh or not I can't see
19:47it
19:48there we go
19:50oh yeah yeah Elon no wonder the darn
19:53thing has been crashing
19:55there we go
19:57it's because he's selling
19:59eight six five two eight
20:01uh 997-997-104-148678
20:09people thought he was going to close
20:10before or sell more shares before the
20:13Twitter acquisition
20:14but looks like he dumped right
20:16afterwards so let's just quickly get
20:18this uh added up here and then we'll go
20:21back to election results I just want to
20:22see how many shares
20:2593045 and then we have one more
20:29uh
20:34yeah here we go
20:45all right there it is
20:48last sales were here
20:5290493 one nine one nine six six one
20:58two four nine five eight oh two four
21:00four five six one so this adds up to
21:07quickly come on it's formula where'd
21:11they move the formula there it is some
21:14he sold
21:169.6 million shares if the average was
21:19about let's say about 207 that would
21:23work out to about two billion dollars
21:25two billion dollars about worth of sales
21:28that's remarkable so all right we'll
21:30come back to this
21:33help us Serve the People of you let's
21:35flip around here
21:38all right Fox let's go to let's see what
21:41CNN's got to say
21:44so let's go back to 2020. and let's look
21:47at the presidential race come with me
21:48here the presidential race When Donald
21:50Trump comes they go here
21:52you see why yeah right so the Latrobe
21:55Westmoreland County that's where Oz is
21:57standing in front of Trump's plane with
21:59Trump trying to turn out vote because he
22:01needs to run it up in Trump country
22:03Pennsylvania where was he last night he
22:05was over here
22:07I'm down from Allentown you come down
22:09here he was in Pennsburg which is right
22:11here just south of Lehigh County about
22:1325 miles from Doylestown which is the
22:15county seat of Bucks County right so
22:17let's go back to the senate race when
22:19in 2016 when Pat Toomey who has this
22:23senate seat won re-election right he
22:25lost Montgomery County but again the
22:27margins look at that right look at the
22:28margins there for Pat Toomey very same
22:30year in the presidential race look at
22:32the margins for Hillary Clinton right so
22:34Pat Toomey was much more competitive in
22:36the suburbs than Donald Trump back in
22:382018 and Pat Toomey won Bucks County
22:41right we don't have any votes in Bucks
22:42County yet watch this one tonight if
22:44memadize can keep this one this is the
22:46more Blue Collar of the Suburban callers
22:49you know this better than I do of the
22:50caller counties of Montgomery
22:52right around Philadelphia Montgomery
22:54County Bucks County you come down here
22:55as well to Delaware County and you come
22:57back here just to look I keep telling
22:59you it's Delco Delco right I said that
23:01last time because you told me to on
23:02television Twitter loved it but you come
23:04back to the results now of where we are
23:06this is very early uh go but this is
23:08where we're gonna watch yeah it's going
23:09to be right here absolutely can always
23:11win or run about even here and can he
23:14get closer here than Donald Trump did
23:16against Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden
23:18because this is why right here is why
23:20Joe Biden won the Commonwealth Hillary
23:22Clinton just lost it and Joe Biden won
23:24it right here yeah and it'll be
23:26interesting to see you again as we're
23:27looking in Georgia the ticket splitting
23:30it'll be interesting to see the people
23:31that vote for the Attorney General Josh
23:33Shapiro who's a Democrat uh but then
23:35cross the aisle and vote for let's see
23:38this is this is what county I just
23:40switched it over this is just the state
23:41this is this is uh we don't we obviously
23:44we do not expect this to be the result
23:45right it will be interesting to see how
23:47many people vote for Shapiro and then
23:49vote for Oz for Senate uh because that
23:51will be a phenomenon as well like the
23:53reverse of what we're seeing in Germany
23:54and that will be we will look here and
23:57we will look up here Northampton County
23:58Luzerne County
24:00Lehigh County and then the Philadelphia
24:02Suburban counties to see if you get
24:03ticket splitting in the governor's race
24:05like we like we're beginning to see in
24:07Georgia and we'll see if we see it when
24:09we get more results in Ohio but that
24:11race the governor's race there is called
24:12my mom's from North Carolina can we
24:14check that out we have to come to Senate
24:16it looks like Elon has a second filing
24:19that's up to 19.5 million shares of
24:22Tesla 45. again I gotta figure most of
24:25this is still early though but yes it's
24:26pretty disproportionately now if you're
24:28Democrat looking at this map you know
24:29you're saying okay Mecklenburg County
24:31that's number one we're running it up
24:33that's great it's 50 of the vote the
24:35challenge for Ted Budd is he's not going
24:37to win Mecklenburg County the challenge
24:39is to narrow that margin some because
24:40it's the number one County it's almost
24:4211 of the state population this is
24:44Charlotte and then up here again suburbs
24:47and you get to more it gets more
24:49exorbitant as it goes out that's why it
24:51gets more competitive right and here are
24:52the Democrat it's blue but the Democrats
24:54do well in the close-in suburbs if you
24:56went Precinct it's all the margins
24:57because she's gonna have to do better in
24:59in that county but you'd get more red
25:01out there so then you come up you come
25:02up to Raleigh this is where this is
25:04where Democrats have High Hopes about
25:06North Carolina why because they win the
25:08African-American vote they win younger
25:09voters and they win college educated
25:11voters and you have the Research
25:12Triangle up here which is why Democrats
25:15keep saying we're going to flip North
25:16Carolina we're going to make it a blue
25:17State as opposed to a lean's red State
25:19even though it has a Democratic governor
25:20right now you would say it leans red and
25:22she's running up again or this is well
25:24that's 67 right there running it up in
25:27Durham this is the sixth largest of the
25:28hundred counties in North Carolina so
25:30you're looking at a very competitive
25:31race as it comes in I would just wait
25:33we're 53 now let's see if that number
25:35holds up when we get above 60. let's
25:37bring in David Nintendo share slump
25:39after switch sales projection is cut
25:42seeing here in North Carolina and what
25:44we're not seeing David yeah Jake your
25:45presumption about uh this being a lot of
25:48early vote is correct I want to show you
25:49here Sherry Beasley obviously now has
25:511.1 million votes in this rate to Ted
25:54buds 971
25:56000 votes we've got 53 of the vote in
26:00the estimated vote is in uh how much of
26:03this is pre-election early vote 96 and
26:06as we've been talking about uh the
26:08pre-election early vote absentee vote
26:10that tends to favor Democrats Democrats
26:12participate in that early voting in more
26:15robust numbers than Republicans at the
26:17end of the day we think in North
26:19Carolina only 55 is going to to be free
26:23election vote so right now most of what
26:26you're seeing there is pre-election I
26:28just want to show you this one other
26:29board that we can break down the
26:32different kinds of votes so among male
26:35voters Sherry Beasley has a 46
26:38percentage point lead over Ted bud and
26:41there's still about a quarter of the
26:42mail vote to be counted early in person
26:45she has a much narrower lead 6.2 percent
26:49and most of that is already in what
26:51you're looking at but look at where Ted
26:53Bud's campaign is focused on right now
26:55he has a
26:5737.6 lead on Election Day vote and
27:0295.6 of it still is waiting to be
27:06counted Jake so all right we're gonna
27:07pull down on this Pennsylvania let's see
27:09here uh slower to recover from the
27:12pandemic higher level of unemployment
27:15trying to get some uh see if we get some
27:17results coming in here
27:19Democrat wins in Massachusetts uh first
27:23woman and uh okay Mara Haley is the
27:27first woman and openly gay Governor to
27:30win Massachusetts
27:31that just came in
27:39Alabama Republican Katie Britt
27:42was elected
27:43to the seat her retiring ex-boss is
27:46giving up after 36 years
27:55one thing to note about Florida if you
27:58remember and I just see so much talk
28:00about Florida here one of the things to
28:02remember about Florida is Florida's
28:05DeSantis was probably one of the first
28:07Governors to really push for uh no
28:10vaccine mandates and and actually just
28:12being open for a lot of uh of the
28:17pandemic relative to like uh uh
28:20California which was locked down for a
28:22lot substantially longer uh some gave
28:25him therefore the nickname death Santa
28:27says they attributed uh the uh more
28:30lacks covet policies to covet deaths
28:33obviously a lot of that ends up getting
28:35debated and we can compare per cap
28:37statistics I might do that but let me
28:39see if I have some other updates here
28:45okay not quite yet let's listen in here
28:47for a moment
28:48Allegheny County the old Connor lamb
28:50District you know you could see this
28:52really playing out I think in a way that
28:54could be prove very beneficial for
28:56republicans in the house and again
28:58you're just you're seeing the impact of
28:59the last two years whether it's the
29:01black lives matter movement or covid and
29:04you're seeing this enormous change in
29:05the State of Florida I think about a
29:07cover of the New York Post a month or so
29:09ago 50 000 people you know moving
29:12leaving New York so that's going to be
29:14interesting when we look at the New York
29:15vote and see what happened you know when
29:17those disgruntled people all left that
29:18may be a factor in this Freedom
29:22we are 38 seconds away from uh some next
29:25race calls uh and awaiting results from
29:29Key Battleground States we as you see
29:32are getting raw vote totals added to our
29:34Fox News voter analysis which enables us
29:36and the decision desk to make some of
29:38these calls we are also tracking a lot
29:40of these house races remember
29:42Republicans need five to take control
29:45and it's looking like a good night for
29:47the Republicans as we look at it now
29:49across the country but we're going to be
29:51following it throughout the night here
29:53we go the countdown is on eight seconds
29:55to the next calls on the east coast and
29:59one place where a governor's race is
30:02probably going to be called
30:048 30 on the East Coast 7 30 in Arkansas
30:06where polls are now closed in the senate
30:10race there we can project that Senator
30:12John boosman will return to the upper
30:14chamber for a third term defeating
30:16Democrat Natalie James meanwhile
30:19Republican candidate and former White
30:21House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee
30:23Sanders is projected to win the
30:25governor's race she replaces term
30:27limited Republican Governor ASA
30:29Hutchinson and obviously Sarah Sanders
30:32known well uh here press secretary at
30:35the White House and the former Governor
30:37of Arkansas yeah she did not have any
30:40problem uh winning that race it's a huge
30:43win for Sarah Huckabee Sanders uh in
30:46Arkansas tonight in just a couple of
30:48reasons is that we got in there and
30:49we're waiting for more of these poll
30:51numbers to come in and more raw vote to
30:53come in as well we want to go to Grady
30:55Trimble
30:57let's go to Grady Channel let's go to
30:59Grady Trimble who is standing by he is
31:01at Senator Ron Johnson's Campaign
31:03Headquarters this is a race we haven't
31:05really talked about yet tonight
31:08um he's in Kina Wisconsin as Ron Johnson
31:11tries to seek another term in the Senate
31:13hi Grady
31:15hi Martha Senator Ron Johnson told us
31:18this evening he's feeling cautiously
31:19optimistic about his chances in this
31:21race but no doubt it's going to be a
31:24close one between the Republican
31:25incumbent and his Progressive Challenger
31:28lieutenant governor Mandela Barnes I
31:30spoke to voters in Oshkosh today who
31:33were voting at the same polling place
31:34where Johnson cast his ballot this
31:36morning and every single one of them
31:38told me their number one issue is
31:40inflation and the economy and Johnson
31:42blames Barnes and democrats for higher
31:45prices as well as a rise in crime in
31:47some of Wisconsin's largest cities but
31:50Barnes is going to be counting on voters
31:52in those cities specifically Milwaukee
31:54and Madison to carry him tonight and in
31:58the governor's race between Democratic
32:00governor Tony Evers and Republican
32:03businessman Tim Michaels very prominent
32:05in the badger state that could be even
32:07closer than the senate race polls here
32:10in Wisconsin closed in about 30 minutes
32:12Brett and Martha but this is not a state
32:14that's known for quick vote counts so it
32:17could be a long one here and for all of
32:19the campaigns that we're following
32:20tonight Freddie thank you we'll check
32:22back with you in a little bit later
32:23tonight over to Colorado now Democratic
32:25senator Michael Bennett the incumbent is
32:27hoping to fend off a challenge from
32:28Republicans I'm going to jump on over
32:30here just to get us the answer on what I
32:33was talking about regarding uh covet
32:35handling in California versus Florida I
32:39think it's quite interesting take a look
32:41at it here this is the covid-19 death
32:45toll since January 2020 per 100
32:49000 people per age group and uh when you
32:53divide the number of deaths in Florida
32:56by those in California we actually
32:59notice is fewer old people uh died in
33:03Florida than in California however
33:06substantially more younger individuals
33:09died uh in in Florida relative to
33:14California though these numbers are much
33:15smaller right I mean you can't really
33:17count you know one death per thousand
33:20over here and and see a multiple so I
33:22would really jump to probably here the
33:2535 to 40 group about 33 more deaths in
33:29Florida 45 to 50 group about 15 percent
33:33more deaths but look at the numbers for
33:37uh covet deaths per 100 000 over here
33:40for the higher ages and for the higher
33:42age group where you have substantially
33:44larger numbers you actually had less
33:46deaths in Florida uh per hundred
33:49thousand than in California that's
33:52pretty remarkable you'd think that you
33:54would see some kind of really
33:56substantial difference in in the two
33:59different policies but you actually
34:00really didn't see that I'm going to tell
34:02you I recommend you take a screenshot of
34:03that as well I'm taking a screenshot I
34:04think that's pretty pretty interesting
34:06uh because you know a five percent
34:08difference there on uh
34:11uh 3 000 on on the highest age group
34:14there 85 Plus 3029 minus
34:172876 that's 153 more deaths in
34:21California than in Florida per every 100
34:24000. I mean that already wipes out uh
34:27all of the one two 44 age group right uh
34:33and uh it wipes out all of that so
34:35you're really only talking about these
34:37age groups here 45 to 85 and
34:41I can't I couldn't tell you that
34:43Florida's uh
34:44uh you know
34:47policies
34:49were by any means substantially worse
34:51here than in California based on these
34:53numbers at least uh assuming these
34:55numbers are correct this is in a
34:56Bloomberg piece here so uh but but a
34:59fascinating chart and and I think this
35:00is something that's going to come up a
35:02lot in the
35:04um
35:052024 presidential election
35:12yeah and these are coveted deaths right
35:14per 100
35:16000 so it's population agnostic when you
35:19do per 100
35:20000 population doesn't matter uh in in
35:23that case so quite interesting
35:27all right
35:29older Floridians are different from
35:31their peers in California in that so
35:33many of them are from other states and
35:36retired to Florida with warm weather
35:39these transplants are on balance surely
35:41more active and affluent than stay in
35:45state retirees and can afford better
35:47Medical Care aha quite an interesting
35:50potential difference that you have a
35:52more active group of elderly potential
35:54people in Florida because if you're
35:56older Florida's the place to go I used
35:59to live in Florida I really like Florida
36:00uh hurricane just canceled my flight to
36:03Florida though dang it
36:05hurricane Nicole apparently all right
36:07let's see what other results we're
36:08getting here on uh election night
36:12in Ohio that is a red leaning State he's
36:15run a campaign and the race is not over
36:17so I'm going to say Iran he's run a
36:19campaign on uh China's October CPI just
36:22came out by the way inflation 2.1
36:24percent in China uh month over month 0.1
36:28percent
36:29however food CPI is up seven percent
36:32non-food is only up 1.1 percent
36:35in China
36:37so if you don't want inflation
36:39China is the place to be I guess
36:41I've been argue Republicans for how you
36:43run to represent everyday hard-working
36:45Americans kellyanne talked about the the
36:47the the the uh relief that Biden wants
36:50to give to student loan forgiveness I
36:51would happen to agree with you I don't
36:53think that was the right thing to do Tim
36:54has said that Tim has said that he
36:56doesn't believe that Joe Biden should
36:57run again in 2024. you're not finding a
37:00lot of Republicans who are saying whom
37:01they want to run or not running you're
37:02certainly not finding Democrats say that
37:04I pushed back just a little bit on
37:05something my friend Tucker said about
37:06black lives matter I don't know how that
37:08matters in his campaign at all I think
37:10the reason they were doing so well in
37:11Florida is because Ron DeSantis got
37:13schools back open he got bridges built
37:15he got people back in their homes he got
37:17electricity back going you could be blue
37:19in running this country you could be
37:21yellow and running this country and get
37:22elected and re-elected on those issues
37:24furthermore Hispanic voters they want us
37:26to talk about economic growth and
37:27helping their kids be better in their
37:30lives and they than they have been in
37:31theirs here in America that's what
37:33Democrats have to have to get back to
37:35and finally Democrats win or lose
37:36tonight with the reset the liberal
37:39leaning left-leaning people in our party
37:41may have good intentions but their
37:43ability to implement let alone come up
37:44with good proposals has proved lacking
37:46and tonight I think we're going to see
37:48more and more of that kind of result
37:51You Know Carl I'm looking at Ohio as
37:53well here and maybe we can get a look at
37:55where the vote is is still outstanding
37:58and it's interesting we did a town hall
38:00discussion with Tim Ryan and JD Vance
38:02just about a week ago and one of the
38:05things that Tim Ryan has complained
38:07about is that the party abandoned him
38:09and that he was not given the money that
38:11he needed to run this race because he
38:13had distance himself a lot from Joe
38:16Biden and also because they thought they
38:19didn't have a chance in Ohio yeah by the
38:21way so far it looks like the s p Futures
38:24are trading slightly positive uh
38:27following some of these uh winds in
38:29Florida for republicans
38:31be involved in uh do also some some
38:34things that I think are just sort of
38:36worth tracking as we go around it does
38:39look like
38:40Pennsylvania is a big goal for Democrats
38:44so I would write down uh uh that a
38:47democratic goal is a Pennsylvania win
38:53and they want to
38:56let's see what do we have here here's a
38:58note also suggesting uh keeping Ron
39:02Johnson
39:04in Wisconsin
39:05and then holding the other seat so Ron
39:07Johnson Wisconsin
39:09win Pennsylvania
39:12and hold the other seats
39:15that would get you
39:1752 seats
39:21and then then ideally uh according to
39:24this year uh it would as they say
39:27neutralize Cinema and mansion
39:31I don't know if they're gonna pull that
39:32off we'll see obviously it looks like
39:34the house is leaning towards flipping
39:36with somewhere around I believe predict
39:38it was reporting somewhere around a 95
39:40percent chance let's see though
39:42predictive predicted we have the CEO on
39:45the channel they're pretty cool because
39:48uh compared to regular polls people are
39:51actually putting money where their mouth
39:52is
39:55we'll see what comes in
39:58a big Republican but tonight interviewed
40:01on television asked about the candidates
40:04that he'd endorsed Mr Trump said quote
40:07this is a this is a quote I've seen the
40:09video he said this quote well I think if
40:11they win I should get all the credit if
40:13they lose I should not be blamed at all
40:15he was kidding
40:20has a Democratic senator Sharon Brown he
40:23gets reelected pretty handily
40:25and that's not ticket slitting so much
40:26as they go for people who
40:28talk about their issues um if Tim Ryan
40:30is the future of the democratic party in
40:32the road map Joe Biden oh yeah here we
40:34go look at this predicted map this is
40:36really interesting and I want to compare
40:38to see how right this ends up being
40:40which party will win the house in 2022
40:4592 cents Republican
40:49uh obviously this doesn't add up to 100
40:51here but 92 percent likely Republican uh
40:54eight eightish percent Democratic
40:55interesting
40:57uh Senate control is a lot more split
41:00Democrats though only sitting with about
41:02a 40 chance per predicted uh in their
41:06poll models
41:07let's see if they had Florida in here
41:09since it would be quite interesting to
41:10see what
41:12these folks were betting
41:17Wisconsin that's the one we want to pay
41:19attention to uh as well Ron Johnson is
41:22he going to lose his C
41:25Presidential nominee for the GOP these
41:28are some bets going forward to 2024.
41:33anything on Florida Karen bass 84 chance
41:38to win versus the Republican in the LA
41:41mayoral election we'll see what happens
41:43there that's going to be one to watch
41:45see if I can find Florida at all just FL
41:48here we go which party will win the
41:51Florida Senate race 99 likely uh
41:54Republican and look at that well I think
41:55what happens is after the results come
41:57out people trade it to to the guarantee
42:00let me see if that's the case sometimes
42:02you can kind of track a little um
42:05some of these they have charts where you
42:07can sort of track attract what uh
42:10the market was thinking Nasdaq futures
42:13up about a half percent now by the way
42:15let's go back in over here
42:16they've been voting for democrats for 50
42:18years and they crossed over to vote for
42:20Donald Trump and that that was really
42:22the first sign that night when I was
42:24watching this thing heck I'll take you
42:26back there well now this is 2020. and
42:28you see what Trump did these are borders
42:30oh yeah just quickly look at this 97 96
42:33chance for DeSantis the entire time so
42:36that was pretty much that hasn't changed
42:37Ashtabula you see where he is he was 60
42:40for Trump down here in Trumbull counties
42:42better than 50 percent there and
42:45Mahoning County which is Youngstown it's
42:47tighter but
42:49um still it came out of Victor there in
42:51Mahoning County Columbiana
42:53not as many voters there but still 71 so
42:57come back here now to 20 what year are
43:00we in 2022 he said and okay so this is
43:05how it's breaking down all right so up
43:07in the same part of the state that I
43:09just showed you yeah you see how blue it
43:11is okay let's just go in here and see
43:13how many okay you're at a quarter of the
43:15votes Ryan has a slight lead there
43:19you're at 30 a third of the vote here
43:21he's 260 percent there nothing from
43:24Mahoning let's pop over here just just
43:26one
43:27winning those counties uh great question
43:30let me check that I haven't gone there
43:32so far with seven percent of the votes
43:34in uh Democrat fetterman in Pennsylvania
43:36has a large early lead only seven
43:39percent of the votes in but like it's
43:41like 80 to 20 here in terms of results
43:43here's Stark County dewine want to start
43:46counting like this is like Tim Ryan's
43:48I'd say that's yeah that's where he's
43:51from right he's at 56 so all right we're
43:53going to keep breaking in northeastern
43:54Ohio you got it we'll dig into it thank
43:56you we love that no no that was
43:58beautiful you know Ohio brilliant it was
44:01broken on it even Dana likes it
44:03results from Key Florida house races we
44:07can call now Maria Salazar this is
44:09Florida 27 she is a winner down there in
44:13Florida and the balance of power in the
44:14house we can take a look at and it's a
44:16big win I mean it's not small uh you can
44:19see 34-19 we're going to be ticking
44:21through all of these seats again the
44:23majority is 218. we have a lot of white
44:26to take care of there red blue
44:29about to fill in we got all night keep
44:31it right back
44:33all right we'll flip
44:36foreign
44:38way there we go we'll flip back and
44:41forth a little bit between the two
44:43Zona that's coming up after a break stay
44:45with us okay they also have a break all
44:47right no problem we'll keep flipping we
44:48got we got plenty of things
44:51there we go
44:53hey just although I do love Forensic
44:55Files what amount to small kind of
44:58normal distortions in the in the
45:00electoral process over the course of the
45:01day into something that seems more
45:03nefarious than it is yeah it's the
45:04second thing Rachel um you know with
45:06this stuff they take a grain of Truth
45:08which is you know there were a couple of
45:10uh vote tabulation boxes that were
45:12malfunctioning and they took a video of
45:15a person announcing this to the group
45:16they say basically you know just wait in
45:17line uh or put it in that third box and
45:20we'll deal with it later they will be
45:22adjudicated they will be hand counted at
45:23the end of the day uh but that wasn't
45:25enough for some people on the internet
45:27who had to then wildly
45:30um hypothesize about what was really
45:31going on with the ballots because that's
45:33what goes on in this space you got to
45:34remember the backdrop of this Rachel
45:36which is that there is this very big
45:37documentary in the pro-trump internet
45:39called by the way we should put
45:40documentary in quotes there there was a
45:42film called 2000 mules by Dinesh D'Souza
45:45uh that alleges very ridiculously that
45:49there are what he calls mules people
45:51dropping off things into ballot boxes
45:53and all of these things uh fake votes
45:55all throughout the country it's been
45:56widely and continuously discredited and
45:59debunked a good one from this weekend
46:00was from John Oliver if you want to
46:02watch one of those uh you know that is
46:04really taken hold in an underground this
46:07guy's a little exhausting honestly I'm
46:09gonna go jump with y'all Let's uh let's
46:11do a little bit of a peek
46:14oh you know I I know they're not the
46:16most loved by everyone but they do have
46:19a pretty decent tracker here the nyt so
46:23really big service now ad all right so
46:27what do we got over here so let's look
46:29at how the Oh who remembers the little
46:31the the needles the needles oh my gosh
46:34remember this uh when did we do this
46:37this was January uh is it a 21 I think
46:41it was January 21 uh we were doing this
46:44with Georgia anyway so uh chance of
46:46Senate control is actually
46:51about to lean towards Dems but uh still
46:55in the toss-up territory
46:58and according to nyt we're about a 75
47:02chance of house control
47:04for
47:06uh Republicans now that's very different
47:09from what we see on the predicted model
47:12the predicted model has
47:15about a 92 percent chance of Republican
47:18control of the house and if we go to
47:20predictit.org we'll let that load their
47:22website is just getting hammered right
47:24now it takes forever to load uh they the
47:27house control was about 60 so you do
47:30have about it it's somewhat aligns with
47:32what we're seeing on these although the
47:34Republican control
47:36uh sorry that
47:38yeah no sorry the Senate control was a
47:40little bit more of a toss-up just like
47:41what we're seeing over here let's get
47:42the actual numbers
47:43which party will win the Senate oh look
47:45they've updated their front here so this
47:47is predicted
47:50uh let's actually get the elections
47:52though rather than this
47:55here we go so GOP Senate seats after
47:58midterm this is a number
48:0250 or 51. let's see who will control the
48:06Senate here so right now the trade for
48:08Senate control is 64 cents I write that
48:12in so we're going to write this down for
48:13predicted so we've got 60 as of because
48:16this changes minute by minute as of 548
48:19Eastern or um Pacific time where it's 64
48:22cents Republican
48:24for the house I'm sorry for the Senate I
48:26keep messing those up and then the house
48:2992 cents right now
48:31for Republican I wonder if that's moved
48:34after those wins
48:37in Florida and we can look at this by
48:40peeking at the chart and see if we can
48:43get a little bit of insight once it
48:45loads it predicted is again slammed uh
48:49it's actually kind of fun placing bets
48:50over here but there's a limit to how
48:52much you can bet I think it's like 800
48:53bucks or something like that at a time
48:55all right so
48:58the odds here
49:01if anything the odds have actually
49:03increased a little bit that Democrats uh
49:06would have a little bit you've got some
49:07betting over the last few days that has
49:09pushed Dems up a little bit and
49:11Republicans down a little bit but it's
49:13been pretty consistent around 90 likely
49:16to be a republican-controlled house per
49:19predictive
49:20jump over here again Senate forecast in
49:23detail
49:24uh really estimated Senate seats right
49:28now sitting at 50 50.
49:33now we're looking at some of the more
49:35potentially split uh races over here
49:38these are the key Senate races
49:44chance the Senate control is still
49:45sitting at 62 percent for a republic uh
49:49for for Democrats oh that's interesting
49:53because uh predicted has the opposite
49:56so we'll see who's right the New York
49:58Times will predicted and when we got a
50:00house
50:01again leaning 76 chance of Republican
50:04control
50:05all right
50:08let's listen in a little more over here
50:10to some of these election officials the
50:12level of security they now have to have
50:13in place in Arizona they have plastic
50:15Jersey barriers plastic big plastic
50:17barriers around the elections office
50:19they have plain clothes police officers
50:21they said they were going to have them
50:23at every polling site I mean this is the
50:25Harvest Right of the seeds sown by Trump
50:28and if you are wondering how all those
50:30as Joy put it those election deniers
50:32from the top to the bottom of the ballot
50:34in Arizona are doing we don't know yet
50:36because polls are still
50:37polls are still open in Arizona they
50:40close in about 10 minutes and so we're
50:42going to take a quick break here so we
50:43can come back get you those poll
50:44closings right at the top of the hour
50:46we've got we don't take breaks around
50:47here we'll go to Forensic Files no there
50:50we go something over here
50:51foreign
50:55s are in a very tight race now fetterman
50:58has been actively reaching out
50:59specifically to White non-college voters
51:01hoping to win them over but as you can
51:03see a majority of them are actually
51:05choosing Oz at this point in our
51:07analysis veteran supporters on the other
51:09hand interesting Warnock right now is
51:11down to 50.5 percent that's a Democrat
51:16he's only at 50.5 percent in Georgia
51:19he's got to get at least 50 percent to
51:21avoid a runoff
51:24so that got really tight
51:27let's see if I can get some more numbers
51:29on that
51:30mounted accurately seven and ten say
51:32they feel good about that less than a
51:34third have their concerns now turning
51:37back to our national results this is an
51:39unsettling finding nearly six and ten
51:41think light for the next generation of
51:44Americans it's actually going to be
51:45worse than life today and that's a
51:47pretty gloomy electorate for incumbents
51:49a whole lot more to come in just minutes
51:52Shannon thank you thank you Shannon yeah
51:55take a peek at this here's the Georgia
51:57map Atlanta and its surrounding or area
52:01obviously pretty blue Warnock is from
52:05Savannah but look at this folks I mean
52:08Herschel Walker is at 48 percent
52:12and uh Warnock is is at basically 50.5
52:15percent so
52:18looking at the votes we're only and this
52:21is where you look and you go wow like
52:23every vote actually does matter look at
52:26that spread we're talking about 38
52:30000 votes here approximately a 38 000
52:33vote difference if this Chase Oliver guy
52:36the libertarian dude weren't taking 36
52:39000 votes maybe he'd be closer but
52:41warnox barely got a lead over Herschel
52:44Walker wow that's incredible
52:52somebody here says they'd love to hear
52:54my take as to why I don't trust binance
52:56uh you know if you watch a video that I
52:59just posted on the channel about uh two
53:02hours ago and you go to about the last
53:0512 minutes of the video you'll see
53:08exactly why I don't trust Finance
53:10because I go into detail I go through a
53:13report
53:14that uh you know that makes me nervous
53:17it's just wonderful it could be wrong
53:18but it was it was a collection of a lot
53:21of information on binance I thought it
53:22was actually very very uh a very good
53:24report so I'd recommend watching that
53:26I also recommend you get life insurance
53:28in as little as five minutes by going to
53:30metcaven.com life did you know you could
53:32Apple pay or Android pay for it so
53:34convenient Lauren and I have it we Apple
53:36pay uh for it and Android pay for it
53:40actually both I've got an Android
53:42I'm like a one month user of an Android
53:44now I still an apple person but I'm I'm
53:48on both teams now anyway all right let's
53:51keep getting to election coverage
53:54supported a lot of borrowing and
53:55spending throwing fuel on the fire which
53:57has caused the price of everything to go
53:59up now we have to remember Biden said
54:01that he wouldn't raise taxes on the
54:02middle class but if you're a family
54:03right now dealing with the grocery
54:05prices and the energy prices certainly
54:06you feel like your taxes have gone up a
54:08lot because the cost of living a good
54:10life in this country has gone up a lot
54:12so you can see Republicans gave that an
54:14a independence of B well Democrats and F
54:17I think Republicans and independents
54:18really agree that inflation is an issue
54:21Democrats are saying it's not just here
54:23in the United States it's a global issue
54:24we can't address it here it's not
54:25necessarily uh and and I know from
54:27talking with our audience tonight that
54:29that feels like abdication it feels like
54:31the Democrats aren't necessarily hearing
54:33the message and coming up with the
54:34policy to match it all right let's move
54:36we'll keep hearing directly from voters
54:38tonight right now let's go back to Brett
54:40and Martha Ferris thank you so much
54:42let's bring in our panel again uh you
54:44know we want to look at the state of
54:45North Carolina that those numbers are
54:47still filtering in Bill's going to put
54:49it up on the board but kellyanne you
54:50were talking to some folks about the
54:52early vote there not only there but it
54:54will cross the country what that means
54:55for Democrats yes and as we've seen
54:57everywhere Brett the early vote really
54:59favors Democrats they're over performing
55:01the early vote and I think if you're
55:02motivated to vote against Republicans or
55:07for the Democrats in North Carolina you
55:09can start pretty early
55:11um it's unclear if the Democrats have
55:13cannibalized their election day vote
55:14they say that Ted bot is up about 83 000
55:17on Election Day and should make up the
55:19difference but this is tighter than some
55:20people expected
55:21um Chuck Schumer I think is my friend
55:23Harold Ford Jr mentioned all right uh AP
55:26update on the Senate Georgia Democrat
55:29Warnock barely leads Republican Walker
55:3150.5 percent to 47.8 we just saw that
55:34only 43 percent of the vote counted
55:36though in Ohio Tim Ryan leads Republican
55:40Vance
55:4155-47 that's a house seat remember uh
55:45Tim Ryan I posted his I reposted one of
55:47his tick tocks a long time ago it's
55:50during the stimulus days he would uh he
55:52did the uh what is it I'm bored in the
55:54house I'm in the house board and how
55:56anyway
55:58um I don't know why I remember that
55:59North Carolina Democrat Beasley very
56:01narrowly leading Republican Bud 50.4
56:04these are close races 50.4 versus 47.8 I
56:09mean that's like a Warnock versus walk
56:11or Herschel Walker Pennsylvania
56:13fetterman leading Oz uh with five
56:16percent in by 76.8 to 21 I mean that's a
56:21huge spread but but again only five
56:23percent counted New Hampshire
56:26is 60.6 versus 37.3 14 of ballots
56:31counted leaning towards Dem for New
56:33Hampshire
56:36Reuters reporting prepare for government
56:38gridlock as Republicans are seen gaining
56:41in the U.S midterms that's a Reuters
56:45update just in
56:48uh looks like Warnock Walker just now
56:50getting a little bit tighter
56:53a lot of tight races it's gonna be a
56:55nail biter in some areas
56:58very little discussion about National
57:00Security and terrorism uh this is the
57:03one of the first elections in a while
57:04that we don't have a position in
57:05Afghanistan
57:07let's listen to over here
57:10with the answer by the way what's that
57:13Trey Gowdy had the answer
57:16probably known as press yeah but it's
57:18not time to vote yet so stand by okay
57:20let me take this off let me let me see
57:22what county this is this is Davey County
57:24all right no votes are in well what
57:26happened two years ago at the
57:28presidential level well Trump was a big
57:30winner in that county picked up about 12
57:3214 000 votes total raw here we are 11
57:37000 five they'll do the math for me so
57:39that's out there let me come back out
57:41here a moment
57:42and let me do the oh shoot it did not
57:46that screaming was so weird
57:54but anyways he was in town so he really
57:57comes across he's a farmer
57:58and he's kind of an understated guy and
58:00his ads were apparently not that
58:02exciting and Beasley is she's a
58:05well-respected judge in North Carolina
58:07one thing that's really happened in
58:09these cities though is the amount of
58:10people who have moved into Raleigh and
58:13Charlotte in that whole area there that
58:15has changed that population a lot we
58:16were talking about how many people left
58:18New England or New York for Florida and
58:21how that might have changed some things
58:22there North Carolina it might not happen
58:24this time around but those pivot
58:25counties that kellyanne mentioned in
58:27those urban areas are ones to watch in
58:29North Carolina look it's not only where
58:31the votes are but just remember again we
58:33this is our our Blue Wave Red Wave you
58:35know blue Mirage red Mirage the votes
58:38that you're seeing here are
58:39predominantly virtually all of the early
58:42vote is going to be the mail-in ballots
58:44because they start processing them when
58:46they come in they announce them early
58:47we've seen this before Tom Tillis was
58:50behind in his races won by you know a
58:53small number of you know several tens of
58:55thousands of votes because the late vote
58:57to come in is the vote that's being cast
58:58on election day just to recue Florida
59:01was a hold Ohio were watching very
59:04closely that's a republican defense Brit
59:07Pennsylvania also a republican seat
59:09they're trying to hold on to as is North
59:12Carolina yeah and I've got the I have
59:14now for you the political comment of the
59:17evening okay maybe of all time some is
59:19saying over on MSNBC that the gop's
59:23dominance in Florida is all about
59:24gerrymandering
59:27well that's a pretty good trip that's a
59:30story they will tell themselves drawing
59:32the districts all right fine uh let's go
59:35look at uh the Bloomberg uh election
59:37results here Republicans need a net gain
59:40of just one seat to win the Senate this
59:43is true because we know that we're 50 50
59:46in the Senate right we know that Kirsten
59:49Cinema and Joe manchin have uh
59:52essentially been the the two positions
59:56that some folks have called closet
59:58Republicans uh and uh they they have uh
1:00:02really held up a lot of the democratic
1:00:04priorities which many people say you
1:00:06know what this is actually a good thing
1:00:07let me just get alert hold on here in
1:00:09Battleground State of Arizona where
1:00:11Democratic senator Mark Kelly and
1:00:13Republican venture capitalist Blake
1:00:15Masters are in a very tight race over to
1:00:18Wisconsin incumbent Republican uh
1:00:20Senator Ron Johnson Democratic
1:00:22lieutenant governor Mandela oh hold on I
1:00:24just got an update here we got
1:00:25Republican incumbent uh uh Moran defeats
1:00:30Democrat Challenger Holland and race for
1:00:33U.S Senate seat in Kansas
1:00:35so the Republican holds a seat in Kansas
1:00:37that's not a flip Democratic incumbent
1:00:40Schumer Chuck Schumer defeats the
1:00:42Republican Challenger in New York and
1:00:44Republican incumbent John thune defeats
1:00:48Democratic Challenger for Senate so no
1:00:51flips there those are some recent holds
1:00:53uh those numbers just now coming through
1:00:55here
1:00:58if we flip over here
1:01:02to house
1:01:05Republicans need to pick up six seats to
1:01:09win the house
1:01:10Democrats currently hold 220 to 212 for
1:01:14republicans
1:01:17three seats vacant Republicans have won
1:01:1950 races so far 361 not yet called all
1:01:23right so we'll pay attention
1:01:31and so far no net gains yet oh whoa whoa
1:01:35look at that in Georgia I think Herschel
1:01:38Walker just flipped them Walker just
1:01:41flipped Warnock no way
1:01:44dude that would be a net gain right
1:01:47there uh I mean we don't know unless a
1:01:49republican somewhere else loses but
1:01:52that's incredible let me look at this uh
1:01:54the New York Times sheet and see if
1:01:57they've updated to that as well
1:02:01Georgia uh oh yeah we just got like four
1:02:04more percent yeah oh my gosh there it is
1:02:0849.1 to 49. Warnock oh whoa Herschel
1:02:13just flipped Warnock oh we'll see if
1:02:17that stays oh my gosh wow that's going
1:02:21to be really interesting Oz is lagging
1:02:24we got 9.7 percent in over here in
1:02:27Pennsylvania
1:02:30wow
1:02:35all right let's keep listening
1:02:39Kelly are locked in a very tight race
1:02:41Democrats had a lot of hopes about
1:02:43Kansas in Minnesota the governor's race
1:02:46Democratic incumbent Tim Waltz has a
1:02:48lead against his Republican Challenger
1:02:50Scott Jensen and in New Mexico not
1:02:52enough data yet to call this race as a
1:02:54showdown between the Democratic
1:02:56incumbent Michelle Lujan Grissom and
1:02:59Republican candidate Mark ancetti and to
1:03:01the Rocky Mountains and in Colorado
1:03:03incumbent Governor Jared Polis will
1:03:05defeat GOP candidate Heidi Ganahl in
1:03:09South Dakota not enough data to project
1:03:10the winner of the governor's race
1:03:11between incoming Chrissy gnome and
1:03:13Democratic Challenger Jamie Smith but
1:03:15gnome does lead at this hour let's go to
1:03:18Iowa where we can project that
1:03:20Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds will
1:03:22return to the Governor's Mansion for a
1:03:25second term and in Nebraska Republican
1:03:27Jim pillan is in the lead again too
1:03:29early to call finally in Wyoming where
1:03:31there are a lot of disquietal people
1:03:33apparently according to our Fox News
1:03:34voter analysis we're projecting that
1:03:37Republican Governor just flipped back uh
1:03:39we have a walker actually we just got a
1:03:42big Democratic vote dump uh they must
1:03:45have taken out the suitcase I'm sorry I
1:03:47didn't say that uh but anyway uh Warnock
1:03:50now back in the lead with 51.7 versus
1:03:55Walkers 46.5 that was a big dump that
1:03:58just came in now 53 percent in but that
1:04:01was a quite that was quite a large move
1:04:02here on Bloomberg let me see if yeah yep
1:04:05that that flip back here showing up on
1:04:07the New York Times as well
1:04:09okay uh I want to clarify that Tim Ryan
1:04:13I I told you he did that video I'm in
1:04:16the house I'm in the house board right
1:04:17he is a representative and he is now
1:04:21running for Senate in Ohio
1:04:25Hoven Republican incumbent Hoven defeats
1:04:28Democratic Challenger Christensen in
1:04:31North Dakota
1:04:34judge rejects Republican requests to
1:04:37extend voting in Maricopa County Arizona
1:04:40after vote count machine issues oh here
1:04:44we go again
1:04:46foreign
1:04:51maybe it
1:04:52stays the same do you think that message
1:04:54is the one they're going to take away
1:04:55from this election
1:04:57I worry no I think that there will be a
1:05:00lot of people who said oh well we got
1:05:01this right one in the end you really got
1:05:03lucky there is a way to threaten the
1:05:04needle on multiple fronts you should
1:05:06never be a candidate that's only talking
1:05:08about one thing or one or two things
1:05:09that frankly are ranking well below the
1:05:11other thing that people are saying that
1:05:13they're concerned about
1:05:14um I think that people may have been
1:05:16able to change course in the last couple
1:05:18of weeks and pull it off like a Kathy
1:05:19hokel for instance here
1:05:21um but if you listen to people like
1:05:22Elisa slotkin who's in a tough race in
1:05:24Michigan there
1:05:25um when she says we didn't have a
1:05:27cohesive economic message as a party
1:05:29that's something that you take home
1:05:30especially going to a presidential
1:05:32election when President Biden is going
1:05:34to have to defend his record over the
1:05:36four years
1:05:37Josh let's take a look at at Ohio again
1:05:39because more numbers are coming in in
1:05:41those races that we have talked about a
1:05:43lot in 2 7 and 10. and we're seeing as
1:05:46we get more vote there and maybe bill
1:05:48can pull that up for us as well while we
1:05:50talk about it
1:05:51um that that there's a very nice spread
1:05:53for yesterday Vega and also uh for the
1:05:56candidate who is running against Elaine
1:05:58against Loria uh Jennifer kiggins
1:06:01Jennifer yeah in Virginia
1:06:03I'm sorry he's going I'm sorry Virginia
1:06:06he's got it okay so we have two really
1:06:09interesting races here spamberger and
1:06:11Vega and then we have Lauria and
1:06:12Jennifer kiggins who you know
1:06:14Republicans have been enormously
1:06:16enthusiastic about as a candidate and
1:06:18she seems to be doing quite well yeah in
1:06:20Virginia like these states that don't
1:06:22have a senate race that don't have a big
1:06:24governor's race Republicans are doing
1:06:25really well
1:06:27um I'm seeing a mixed bag politically
1:06:29huge night for republicans in Florida
1:06:31this is a political tsunami oh yeah
1:06:33Marjorie Taylor green winning
1:06:35re-election to the house in Georgia's
1:06:3714th
1:06:38it's just come out to give his
1:06:40acceptance speech Let's watch a little
1:06:42bit of this
1:06:44remember DeSantis is probably prepping
1:06:46for 24 presidential run
1:06:54Boulevard State for the citizens of the
1:06:56United States and above all for the
1:06:59cause of Freedom we saw freedom in our
1:07:02very way of life and so many other
1:07:04jurisdictions in this country Wither on
1:07:07the vine Florida held the line
1:07:11[Applause]
1:07:16we chose facts over fear we chose
1:07:19education over indoctrination
1:07:25we chose Law and Order over rioting and
1:07:29disorder
1:07:31powerful National issues here sanity
1:07:34when the world went mad we stood as the
1:07:37Citadel of freedom for people across
1:07:40this country and indeed across the world
1:07:45strong we faced attacks we took the hits
1:07:50we weathered the storms
1:07:53but we stood our ground we did not back
1:07:57down we had the conviction to guide us
1:08:00and we had the courage to lead we made
1:08:04promises
1:08:04[Applause]
1:08:10we made promises to the people of
1:08:13Florida and we have delivered on those
1:08:16promises
1:08:17[Applause]
1:08:21and so today after four years the people
1:08:26have delivered their verdict freedom is
1:08:30here to stay
1:08:31[Applause]
1:08:40[Music]
1:08:44USA chance here there you go there's
1:08:46that DeSantis 24 coming
1:08:48thank you
1:08:50now thanks to the overwhelming support
1:08:54of the people of Florida we not only won
1:08:57election we have Rewritten the political
1:09:00map
1:09:01[Applause]
1:09:05thank you for honoring us with a win for
1:09:09the ages
1:09:10[Applause]
1:09:13I want to thank all of our campaign
1:09:15staff from campaign manager Genera pack
1:09:18down this was the best run campaign in
1:09:22the history of Florida politics
1:09:24[Applause]
1:09:29I want to thank all of our wonderful
1:09:32volunteers who worked so hard to get out
1:09:35the vote your support means the world
1:09:37the Casey and I God bless you and thank
1:09:40you
1:09:41Senate control just popped up a couple
1:09:43cents on predicted for republicans
1:09:46when you got a great record to run on
1:09:52it's that we saw unless I had
1:09:55outstanding Personnel working in the
1:09:57executive office of the governor as well
1:09:59as heading state agencies these folks
1:10:02worked hard to implement our agenda they
1:10:04believed in our agenda and the results
1:10:06have been historic thank you for your
1:10:09support and work
1:10:14thank you to Miami-Dade County
1:10:19now that's a direct slam there on
1:10:21Democrats given that Republicans flipped
1:10:23uh right there and have given to santis
1:10:25uh the win in Miami-Dade which is very
1:10:29rare
1:10:31rare to see Republicans do that well
1:10:34rare to see a republican win in Miami in
1:10:37Miami-Dade County
1:10:39it's apparent that the this election we
1:10:41will have garnered a significant number
1:10:43of votes from people who may not have
1:10:45voted for me four years ago and I just
1:10:47want to let you know I am honored to
1:10:49have earned your trust and your support
1:10:51over these four years
1:10:54powerful
1:10:55[Applause]
1:10:57and most important of all
1:11:00thank you to the greatest first lady in
1:11:04all 50 states
1:11:05[Applause]
1:11:13for being a great wife giving unwavering
1:11:17support being a tremendous mother to our
1:11:20three young children and serving as an
1:11:23example for women throughout this state
1:11:25especially going through the Battle of
1:11:28cancer she is remarkable
1:11:38foreign
1:11:48[Applause]
1:11:55now today is the culmination of the two
1:11:582022 fall elections but in reality
1:12:01Americans have been voting for many
1:12:03years now they've been voting with their
1:12:05feet and the results of that behavior
1:12:08has been just as Stark as our Landslide
1:12:11Victory today states and cities governed
1:12:14by leftist politicians have seen crimes
1:12:18Skyrocket they've seen their taxpayers
1:12:20abuse they've seen medical
1:12:22authoritarianism imposed and they've
1:12:25seen American principles discarded the
1:12:28woke agenda has caused millions of
1:12:31Americans to leave these jurisdictions
1:12:33for greener pastures
1:12:35foreign
1:12:40control the Senate
1:12:43and 93 for Republican control of the
1:12:46house it's moving up it's moving towards
1:12:48Republican
1:12:50we have embraced Freedom we have
1:12:53maintained Law and Order we have
1:12:56protected the rights of parents we have
1:12:59respected our taxpayers and we reject
1:13:02woke ideology
1:13:05Governor Abbott just won re-election
1:13:07against the Democrat in Texas
1:13:10legislature we fight the woke in the
1:13:13schools we fight the woke and the
1:13:15corporations we will never ever
1:13:16surrender to the woke mob Florida is
1:13:20where wolf goes to die oh wow that's
1:13:24powerful you know
1:13:25um Florida just uh introduced thanks to
1:13:28DeSantis one of the uh First Financial
1:13:30education uh uh plans for schools it's
1:13:33actually really really smart I mean I
1:13:35ran a governor campaign in California on
1:13:37getting Financial education in schools
1:13:39California's broken though
1:13:43we set out a vision we executed on that
1:13:47vision and we produced historic results
1:13:50and the people of this state have
1:13:53responded in record fashion
1:13:55[Applause]
1:13:59now while our country flounders due to
1:14:03failed leadership in Washington Florida
1:14:05is on the right track
1:14:08[Applause]
1:14:11I believe the survival of the American
1:14:13experiment requires a Revival of true
1:14:17American principles Florida has proved
1:14:21that it can be done we offer
1:14:25we offer a ray of hope that better days
1:14:29still lie ahead I am proud of our
1:14:33achievements in this state I am honored
1:14:35by your support and I look forward to
1:14:38the road ahead I have fought the good
1:14:41fight I have finished the race in this
1:14:44first term and I have kept the faith
1:14:47[Applause]
1:14:52we've accomplished more than anybody
1:14:54thought possible four years ago but
1:14:57we've got so much more to do and I have
1:15:00only begun to fight God bless you all
1:15:03thank you very much thank you for a
1:15:06historic Landslide victory
1:15:11Ron DeSantis the major winner one
1:15:14winning re-election for governor in
1:15:16Florida Brit do you want to weigh in
1:15:18about other things well I would say that
1:15:20you know he's out he sees this as a
1:15:22moment he knows what the consequences of
1:15:24this is politically not just in the
1:15:25State of Florida but for his own
1:15:26personal Ambitions and they got pretty
1:15:28well reflected and there you see the
1:15:31family was a big part of the campaign
1:15:33his wife went through a battle of cancer
1:15:36and uh former TV broadcaster herself and
1:15:39a big asset on that campaign Ron
1:15:41DeSantis winning in places that other
1:15:43Florida Governors have not won as
1:15:45Republicans since Jeb Bush in 2002. now
1:15:49we've got some calls to make in the
1:15:50first of the two Oklahoma Oklahoma
1:15:52Senate races this year Fox News can
1:15:54project the GOP Senator James Lankford
1:15:57will win the second full-term in office
1:15:59and in the special election we project
1:16:01that Republican Mark Wayne Mullen will
1:16:04defeat Democrat Kendra horn moving to
1:16:06Connecticut where Democratic senator the
1:16:08incumbent Richard Blumenthal wins the
1:16:10third term by defeating a republican
1:16:12businesswoman Leora Levy over to Texas
1:16:14and the governor's race where we can now
1:16:16project that Governor Greg Abbott will
1:16:19remain in the Governor's Mansion for a
1:16:21third term he defeats high-profile
1:16:23Democratic candidate Beto O'Rourke a lot
1:16:25will be there a lot will be said about
1:16:28this uh this race because this is uh
1:16:30multiple efforts on the part of Beto
1:16:32O'Rourke multiple efforts and multiple
1:16:35tens of millions of millions of dollars
1:16:38and a lot of focus on federal work as a
1:16:41candidate Brit O'Rourke is becoming the
1:16:43Charlie Christ of Texas
1:16:45exactly I'm sorry but I don't know who
1:16:48you're talking about Robert Francis was
1:16:50Robert Francis O'Rourke and uh not not
1:16:53that other phony name yeah I mean he's
1:16:54gone from the cover of Vanity Fair
1:16:57magazine and this shining hope of the
1:16:59Democrat Party Jessica you know your
1:17:01thoughts on what has happened to to Beto
1:17:03O'Rourke is he does this seal the deal
1:17:05is he is he done now in politics or not
1:17:08Never Say Never with these things but I
1:17:10think if the evening goes as I expected
1:17:12to for Stacey Abrams as well
1:17:15um that there's going to be a lot of
1:17:16soul-searching about you know where
1:17:17you're dumping your money when you go on
1:17:19act blue right there are a lot of people
1:17:21whose races are a lot act blue is where
1:17:23you raise money when you're a Democrat
1:17:24and so they're basically talking about
1:17:25where do you you know spend your your
1:17:27raise
1:17:29could go that maybe that extra money
1:17:32going to Maggie Hassan it looks it looks
1:17:34expected there in New Hampshire
1:17:35defending Nevada things like that giving
1:17:37more money in a Pennsylvania maybe to
1:17:39Tim Ryan who had to go it alone without
1:17:41Chuck Schumer's support
1:17:43um at the end there and you know these
1:17:45are celebrity candidates I think that
1:17:47there have been incredible messaging
1:17:48moments that kind of have rallied the
1:17:50Democratic base and made you really
1:17:52focus on the issues that matter to us as
1:17:54a party but they are seemingly just not
1:17:57great candidates to win Statewide office
1:17:59and I hope people will take stock of
1:18:01that okay we can also project that
1:18:02Democratic governor Dan McKee will win
1:18:05the First full term in office defeating
1:18:07another GOP businesswoman Ashley Klaus
1:18:09and over to Connecticut where Democrat
1:18:12incumbent Ned Lamont will defeat GOP
1:18:14candidate Bob stepanowski and finally in
1:18:17the great state of New Hampshire we can
1:18:18project that Republican Governor Chris
1:18:20sununu will win a fourth term and Dana
1:18:23he's been on the show with you a number
1:18:25of times with you and Bill uh he also
1:18:28possibly has other ambitions well he
1:18:30might so there was a heavy attempt to
1:18:32recruit him to run for the senate in New
1:18:35Hampshire and he didn't want to do that
1:18:36and and I can't understand you know when
1:18:38you're he had been Governor you are the
1:18:41executive of your state you're the CEO
1:18:42of your state he loves New Hampshire and
1:18:44he thought why would I want to go to
1:18:46Washington and be one of a hundred and
1:18:48not get anything done he wanted to sting
1:18:49his teeth into things I don't know if he
1:18:51actually has ambition to run for
1:18:53president
1:18:54um but of course that that decision
1:18:56doesn't need to be made for a little
1:18:58while unless we're talking sooner than
1:19:00later with Britain but you know you
1:19:03mentioned earlier and this and how it
1:19:05plays with that Senate race and whether
1:19:07it affects that it definitely should I
1:19:10mean when you get these Republican
1:19:12Governors winning by decisive margins
1:19:15you know the hope if you're a republican
1:19:17is popping popping over absolutely so we
1:19:20move over to Michigan again uh this has
1:19:23been a competitive race as well we're
1:19:24only at 11 of the vote uh you're
1:19:26watching the map I just for me it's just
1:19:28is the map filling in as one word expect
1:19:30and you look at it and answers yes we'll
1:19:32see somewhere out here you know Kent
1:19:34County Grand Rapids out this way if
1:19:36Republicans do well here they're
1:19:37competitive Statewide but it's only
1:19:39three percent of the vote we'll see how
1:19:40this plays out and then you come over
1:19:42here this election will be decided Wayne
1:19:44County is Detroit which is down here I
1:19:46skipped it because we have zero votes in
1:19:48it's 18 of the vote in Detroit tends to
1:19:51come in a little bit later in the other
1:19:52part of the state this is where they'll
1:19:54it'll be fascinating Oakland County if
1:19:56you go back 25 years this is a more
1:19:57Republican suburb but it is this is
1:19:59where you have your upscale college
1:20:01educated voters who have become more and
1:20:02more democratic UH 60 that's what
1:20:05Gretchen Whitmer needs to do it's only
1:20:0640 percent and then we'll wait for here
1:20:08this is Macomb County like Bucks County
1:20:10where you're from this is the more
1:20:12blue-collar uh just north of suburbs
1:20:15when you come up here and we'll see how
1:20:17this one comes in Donald Trump did well
1:20:20in Macomb County uh if you go back to
1:20:22the 1980s this is where all the studies
1:20:24were done uh the Democratic postal right
1:20:26Reagan democrats so we'll watch we have
1:20:28a long way to go in Michigan so as you
1:20:30move out here you come this way let's
1:20:32pop over a little get out thinking they
1:20:34couldn't vote this issue of abortion a
1:20:37women's rights make decisions about her
1:20:38own body is an animating issue and I
1:20:40think the young people were just tuned
1:20:41in so for all the people that said all
1:20:43these things about young people across
1:20:44America they didn't care they weren't
1:20:46going to vote young people are showing
1:20:48up in key places and I think it's going
1:20:50to be a story we talk about going
1:20:52forward I have a point of personal
1:20:53privilege real quick I want to give a
1:20:54shout out to Wes Moore first elected
1:20:57African-American only the third for
1:20:59governor of the United States history 20
1:21:01years ago tonight I won for lieutenant
1:21:03governor breaking that barrier as a
1:21:05first African-American one of two of
1:21:08State uh governorships including
1:21:10Massachusetts that have flipped
1:21:11according to our calls so far someone
1:21:13Sanders Townsend Claire mccaskill
1:21:14Michael Steele thank you all for your
1:21:15insights Rachel back to you I just want
1:21:18to make clear that despite Mr Steele's
1:21:20comments there NBC News has not made a
1:21:22projection in the Maryland governors
1:21:23race that race is currently
1:21:25characterized as too early to compliment
1:21:27what the local papers are reporting I
1:21:30hear you but it's my responsibility to
1:21:32keep us together
1:21:34too early to call with Wes Moore leading
1:21:37is our official projection yeah because
1:21:38if they mess up on these calls by the
1:21:41way they get big old lawsuits happened a
1:21:43lot in the last election too
1:21:45uh I also please move your face Square
1:21:48bottom right you want me in the bottom
1:21:49right somebody was mad I was in the
1:21:51bottom left what what corner should I be
1:21:54in all right I'm going to run a poll
1:21:56oh
1:21:58one of the options just be like no face
1:22:00[Laughter]
1:22:03oh
1:22:04see what corner should I be in up left
1:22:10up right
1:22:13uh
1:22:16Autumn left
1:22:18bottom right all right I'm just gonna
1:22:20ask the community everybody should be
1:22:22able to vote in this the poll is up so
1:22:23if you could let me know where I should
1:22:25stick my face and I'll uh consider doing
1:22:29what the majority does
1:22:30notice how I said consider because
1:22:34now ultimately I still get to choose
1:22:38oh but uh
1:22:39we'll see
1:22:41all right let's flip around here what
1:22:43does CNN have for us
1:22:45what happens to the governor Visa be the
1:22:47Senate candidate in Colorado they are
1:22:49both of the same party uh then we can uh
1:22:52shares in Chinese property developers
1:22:54soar on latest support from Beijing
1:22:57good so far Jake only in Democratic
1:23:00areas but the governor's race is again
1:23:01always critical for state issues all the
1:23:04more important because of threats to
1:23:05democracy and Supreme Court sending
1:23:07abortion rights back to the States all
1:23:09right John King thanks so much and CNN
1:23:10has some more projections right now CNN
1:23:13is projecting that incumbent Senator
1:23:15John Bozeman from Arkansas will be
1:23:18re-elected he defeats Natalie James in
1:23:21Vermont CNN projects that Congressman
1:23:23Peter Welch will get the promotion and
1:23:26become the next senator from the state
1:23:28of Vermont in an open seat to feeding
1:23:30Gerald Malloy let's take a look at the
1:23:32overall balance of power in the 100 seat
1:23:34U.S Senate Democrats currently control
1:23:3538 seats Republicans currently control
1:23:3839 seats 20 three seats are remaining we
1:23:42also have a key race alert that we're
1:23:44going to go to Casey hunt right now
1:23:45Casey that's right Jake we're going to
1:23:47take a quick spin through all of these
1:23:48races for you we've got a whole bunch of
1:23:50vote in we got Raphael Warnock sitting
1:23:52at 51 right now in Georgia
1:23:5547.2 he is of course right right now
1:23:58above that critical threshold to avoid a
1:24:01runoff we're going to be keeping close
1:24:02tabs we've seen this move back and forth
1:24:04here in the last hour so this is like a
1:24:06worthless poll 1800 of you out of like
1:24:09the 10 000 of you watching have not
1:24:12really helped me much here
1:24:13they're all like it's like 25 across the
1:24:16board oh here we go it's updating now a
1:24:18little bit top right looks like it's
1:24:19taking the lead okay if you don't like
1:24:21top right make sure you vote if you do
1:24:23like top right make sure you vote
1:24:27sitting at fifty percent to Sherry
1:24:30Beasley's 48 percent this is actually a
1:24:33little bit of a wider lead than we've
1:24:34seen at some points on this race tonight
1:24:35we've got 72 percent in uh in of the
1:24:38vote in in North Carolina all right
1:24:41let's move now to New Hampshire where
1:24:43we've got Maggie Hassan saying 57.8
1:24:45percent are we right here in the middle
1:24:46sitting at 40.9 smart Republicans and
1:24:50Democrats that I'm talking to who are
1:24:52looking at these numbers say Hassan is
1:24:53in a very strong position at this hour
1:24:55but of course we only have 30 of the
1:24:57votes we'll keep an eye on that one now
1:25:00let's go out to Colorado this again a
1:25:02reach for Republicans Michael Bennett at
1:25:0558.6 percent to Joe O'Day the
1:25:07Republicans 39.2 at this time but of
1:25:11course we do need to know where the
1:25:12votes are coming at 40 of them so far
1:25:16now let's check in on Wisconsin expected
1:25:18to be one of the tightest races on the
1:25:20map tonight so take these numbers with a
1:25:22grain of salt Mandela Barnes and the
1:25:24early vote out from 70 ahead of Ron
1:25:26Johnson the incumbent Republican who
1:25:28sits at 29.8 percent right now I'm sure
1:25:31John King can explain to us why it looks
1:25:33that way uh there's about four percent
1:25:35of the vote in right now in Wisconsin
1:25:36now I want to check in on Iowa another
1:25:39unexpected place on the map but there
1:25:42was an Iowa poll linking a cycle from a
1:25:45very trustworthy holster out there that
1:25:47showed Chuck Grassley the incumbent
1:25:49Republican in a tight race with Democrat
1:25:51Michael Franken and some early returns
1:25:53show Franken out ahead 58.3 percent
1:25:5741.6 but there is very little vote in in
1:26:01Iowa at this hour we only have 11
1:26:02percent in let's also dip in on
1:26:05Pennsylvania where John fetterman the
1:26:06Democrats at 60.5 percent these numbers
1:26:09are moving in real time so Dr Mehmet Oz
1:26:11is 37 this is another situation where
1:26:14they're going to count votes very slowly
1:26:16this is one where there's already
1:26:17litigation challenges questions about
1:26:19how these votes are going to be counted
1:26:20and we expect that's going to go late
1:26:22into the night 17 okay we just got uh an
1:26:25update on Warnock and Walker 62 percent
1:26:29of the vote in you've got Walker at 47
1:26:32Warnock at 51. it's pretty close right
1:26:36there
1:26:39building on the earlier lead he had on
1:26:42better O'Rourke the former Congressman
1:26:43149 000 votes ahead for the two-term
1:26:47two-time governor of Texas 52 percent of
1:26:50the vote in there let's take a look at
1:26:51the state of Georgia Brian Kemp right
1:26:54now with 111 000 vote advantage over
1:26:57Stacy Abrams 66 percent of the vote in
1:27:00notably he is above that 50 threshold
1:27:02meaning he could potentially avoid a
1:27:04runoff if this holds Sarah Huckabee
1:27:07Sanders elected Arkansas's first female
1:27:09governor
1:27:11state of Michigan incumbent Democrat
1:27:13Gretchen Whitmer locked in this tough
1:27:14re-election battle with conservative
1:27:16commentator former TV host Tudor Dixon a
1:27:1942 thousand vote Advantage for Whitmer
1:27:21roughly an eight percent lead right now
1:27:23still very early with only 12 percent of
1:27:25the vote in let's get an update for you
1:27:27from Pennsylvania they're the Attorney
1:27:29General Josh Shapiro is nearly a 300 000
1:27:32vote advantage over Doug mastriano one
1:27:35of the most extreme candidates you are
1:27:37going to see on the board tonight 17 of
1:27:39the vote in in the Commonwealth of
1:27:41Pennsylvania won that our Jake Tapper
1:27:43knows very well Jake all right Boris
1:27:45thanks so much let's take a look uh at
1:27:47this governor's race right now in
1:27:48Pennsylvania uh Joshua the the sitting
1:27:52attorney general running before Governor
1:27:54against a state legislator named Doug
1:27:56mastriano the Boris uh just aptly
1:27:58described what's going on here so you're
1:28:00watching fills in more votes coming in
1:28:01as you say it's a nearly 300 000 vote
1:28:03lead for Josh Shapiro at the moment who
1:28:05was favored in the late polls in this
1:28:07race but oh we just saw the Republican
1:28:09control of Senate fall a little bit the
1:28:12potential for that in the predicted
1:28:14betting Market this was up to 64 to 70
1:28:17percent I think what happened is the
1:28:19Iowa numbers started coming in
1:28:21suggesting that there could be a
1:28:24Democrat who flips
1:28:26uh the uh the Republican incumbent in
1:28:30Iowa uh so this is going to be something
1:28:32that we're going to want to start paying
1:28:33attention to here right now showing just
1:28:36two percent of votes in
1:28:39with uh let me see if Bloomberg gives us
1:28:42a little bit more yeah
1:28:45okay let's go to uh no we won't send it
1:28:48we won't send for Iowa
1:28:50all right let's see what we have here
1:28:52Iowa oh
1:28:54where is it here we go Iowa no they're
1:28:57only reporting about two percent or 1.5
1:29:00percent of the whole vote it's pretty
1:29:01pretty split over here but it does look
1:29:04like that's starting to move the
1:29:05Republican odds of Senate control down a
1:29:08little bit for the Senate still pretty
1:29:11certain on that house flip
1:29:17yeah
1:29:18uh the needles by the way shut down on
1:29:22New on the New York Times actually
1:29:24surprised by that they say uh that the
1:29:27needles are gone because of some kind of
1:29:28issue in Louisiana
1:29:30and that quite odd
1:29:32what issue in Louisiana like leave leave
1:29:34the needles there we like the needles
1:29:37that's why we come here
1:29:38come here for needles
1:29:40that doesn't sound right
1:29:43just gonna slowly go back to the TV here
1:29:46running behind underperforming his
1:29:48Democratic ticket mate if you will
1:29:49they're both Statewide office holders by
1:29:52the way Josh Shapiro the Attorney
1:29:53General of the Commonwealth of
1:29:54Pennsylvania John Federman the
1:29:55lieutenant governor so they both have
1:29:57won Statewide before uh you see 60 if
1:30:01you round that up to 38 if you round
1:30:03that up again there has been no
1:30:04indication that this race would be
1:30:06anything like that we expect this race
1:30:07to be very competitive we're still shy
1:30:10of 20 of the overall vote 60 to 34 as it
1:30:13goes up now I just want to check again
1:30:14uh just one of my favorite places to
1:30:16always look and again this is early vote
1:30:19Josh Shapiro was way up in Northampton
1:30:20County John Federman is as well he may
1:30:22well win Northampton County often the
1:30:24person who wins Oz is just getting
1:30:26reamed up there this is for the senate
1:30:30race
1:30:33which tells me Jake that we're looking
1:30:34in Pennsylvania and fetterman is
1:30:37with with 20 percent of the votes in
1:30:39fetterman's at 59 percent
1:30:42the Oz is at 39 percent
1:30:46this is not determinative but John
1:30:48Federman 59.6 percent of the vote Josh
1:30:51Shapiro who's running for governor on
1:30:52the same ticket uh he's at 64.4 Shapiro
1:30:56running about five percentage points
1:30:58ahead uh and also when it comes to Oz Oz
1:31:00running about five percentage points
1:31:02ahead of the Republican running for
1:31:03governor just two very different races
1:31:05ticket Splitters let's find out what
1:31:06this vote is though it's about around us
1:31:08but David Italian David this is 19 of
1:31:11the of the vote in the Commonwealth of
1:31:13Pennsylvania is reporting what is this
1:31:1419 yeah so as you guys are saying it is
1:31:17it is an early vote situation here so
1:31:20roughly half
1:31:21of what we're seeing in Pennsylvania 49
1:31:24of that current vote is pre-election
1:31:26early vote so that that may be helping
1:31:29boost fetterman to this 600 000 vote
1:31:31totally is that right now versus Oz 385
1:31:35000. we expect at the end of the day
1:31:39for the share of the overall vote that
1:31:41is going to be early vote to be about
1:31:43half that we think it's going to be 25
1:31:46of the overall vote at the end of the
1:31:49day so right now as a proportion of the
1:31:51vote that early vote is sort of double
1:31:53in size and that is what is giving uh
1:31:56fetterman uh giving Shapiro uh these
1:31:59larger advantages than you'd expect
1:32:00that's actually a really interesting
1:32:02point by CNN that possibly this could
1:32:04flip uh because remember Democrats we we
1:32:07hear this time and time again this is
1:32:09just like old news at this point the
1:32:11Democrats tend to vote by mail and vote
1:32:12early right
1:32:14early but right still if you're the
1:32:16Democrats you know that you're
1:32:17Democratic incumbent Holland Van Hollen
1:32:21defeats Republican Challenger Chris
1:32:24Chaffee in race for U.S Senate in
1:32:27Maryland so no flip in Maryland
1:32:31and anywhere the percentage we thought
1:32:32we needed in the early vote that's
1:32:34that's what's going on the headquarters
1:32:35now they understand there's a long way
1:32:37to go and the numbers are going to
1:32:38change and the percentages are going to
1:32:39change but they do know what their
1:32:40target was in every County so that's
1:32:43what you're going through as this vote
1:32:44comes in you say the needles are back I
1:32:46love it when there are needles here we
1:32:48go nothing I mean I'm from California
1:32:50nothing I like more here they are we've
1:32:53got a toss-up still on Senate control uh
1:32:57this uh 74 of Republican control in the
1:33:00house this actually dropped a little bit
1:33:02this was 75 percent I believe the last
1:33:04time we checked you know what I'm going
1:33:06to do to just keep myself fact checked
1:33:08here is I'm going to make a little note
1:33:10for the needles and we're going to go 6
1:33:1233 p.m we're going to say 74 house nyt
1:33:16needles uh Republican and then still
1:33:19toss up there on Senate
1:33:21the Senate uh control still listed as
1:33:26toss-up what do they have for I'd like
1:33:28to see the Oz race
1:33:30so Iowa where are you
1:33:35Iowa
1:33:3995 Republican Grassley Plus 17.
1:33:43okay
1:33:45what do they see here estimate of final
1:33:47vote okay so they think
1:33:50Grassley is going to win Iowa
1:33:54let me look at iol right now
1:33:57Iowa coming in at uh Grassley being the
1:34:01Republican
1:34:03but right now the Democrat is ahead so
1:34:06we're paying attention to to the senate
1:34:08race here
1:34:09and the New York Times is providing a 95
1:34:12chance that Iowa is going to end up
1:34:14going to Grassley even though he's
1:34:15lagging right now
1:34:18looks like the tighter races here are
1:34:24uh the tightest races seem to be Nevada
1:34:27Pennsylvania
1:34:29with fetterman fetterman over here
1:34:32and Walker they actually have a slight
1:34:36uh lean the New York Times is estimating
1:34:39that Walker is actually going to win
1:34:43uh over Warnock
1:34:46and uh 65 percent of the votes are in
1:34:49now it's it's merged it's getting closer
1:34:51again we're now at 50 Warnock 48 Walker
1:34:54but this is so tight I mean we're 50 000
1:34:57votes apart over here John Hoven picking
1:35:00up North Dakota John thune the incumbent
1:35:02uh picking up uh South Dakota with the
1:35:06classic 69 percent of the votes U.S
1:35:10Senate race in Colorado Democratic
1:35:12incumbent Michael Bennett defeats
1:35:15Republican Challenger Joe odeya
1:35:21and remember we did have a Beat by
1:35:23Abbott for the governor race in Florida
1:35:30all right
1:35:32we have
1:35:33let's see here
1:35:37Bozeman Arkansas Oklahoma James Lankford
1:35:4166 percent South Carolina Tim Scott we
1:35:46have how's Ryan where's Tim Ryan Tim Tim
1:35:48Ryan Tim Ryan Tim Ryan lagging wow uh
1:35:53that's actually interesting now all of a
1:35:55sudden we're leaning Republican with
1:35:56Advance at 52 52 percent of the votes in
1:36:00and Tim Ryan potentially going to lose
1:36:02his Senate race which would mean he'd be
1:36:04out of Congress because he's in a house
1:36:06right now that's interesting Ohio now
1:36:10what was the prediction for Ohio Ohio
1:36:12gate actually did give Vance the
1:36:15potential here to succeed over Tim Ryan
1:36:17wow
1:36:19uh and then watching that race with Dr
1:36:22Oz over here in Pennsylvania 24 of the
1:36:25votes in I I mean we're still seeing
1:36:28fetterman kick his butt right now
1:36:31let's listen in over here for a moment
1:36:40and I was on the ground with him last
1:36:41night in Montgomery County I feel really
1:36:43good but it is going to be a very tight
1:36:44Race by the way I installed a coffee
1:36:46machine right here I just have to reach
1:36:49over and so I just made myself a new
1:36:51coffee you know look I didn't even have
1:36:54to get up I didn't even have to ask
1:36:55anybody to get it for me it's like you
1:36:57know
1:36:58don't need any more employees you just
1:37:00put the coffee machine in the room
1:37:02nobody has to get coffee for you
1:37:05my friend I want to say morning because
1:37:06I've been up since this morning here in
1:37:08Georgia and the reason why we're here
1:37:10guys Martha you know we've been doing
1:37:11these focus groups all across the
1:37:13country we were here for the primary and
1:37:15as you know that looks like a place I
1:37:17want to be right now that looks fun I'd
1:37:19rather be there than drinking coffee
1:37:22you're in that primary and when you talk
1:37:24with the people the reason why they went
1:37:26with Kemp is because they say they know
1:37:29the guy they believe that they he fought
1:37:31for them during covet he's good on the
1:37:33economy gave them a a deduction when it
1:37:36comes to the gas tax and there is people
1:37:38here right here to tell me about Kim so
1:37:40tell me why you're supporting them uh
1:37:42tonight Brian Camp he's pro-business
1:37:45whenever the schools were shut down
1:37:47Brian was the first person to lift the
1:37:49mass mandates Brian helps Georgia and
1:37:53Georgians grow so tell me that there was
1:37:55a big this big race now between Warnock
1:37:57as well as Walker and it's close but
1:38:01it's not that close between Camp so so
1:38:04tell me why that's the case here in
1:38:05Georgia well I think the Democrats ran a
1:38:08good campaign against uh Walker but it's
1:38:11not a person wow the the predicted odds
1:38:15just got crushed for the Senate look at
1:38:17that Senate control Republican down to
1:38:2055 cents that's a big update right there
1:38:24so uh as of now 6 38 so we go from we
1:38:28were at 70 cents just not that long ago
1:38:31now all of a sudden we're at 55 cents so
1:38:3355 here on Republican control uh whereas
1:38:38the house
1:38:40is let me give it a refresh just to make
1:38:42sure are sitting at night yes still
1:38:44sitting at 90 percent at 6 38 94
1:38:48Republicans that is down from the 92 we
1:38:51had
1:38:53uh let's look at the Bloomberg tracker
1:38:55let's see what we have here
1:38:59Bloomberg tracker shows oh look at that
1:39:02Warnock Herschel Walker now whoa within
1:39:059 000 votes of each other
1:39:08whoa look at how close that is now 62
1:39:12percent of the vote total in we've got
1:39:15uh Warnock now at 49.9 and Walker at
1:39:2048.9 wow Pennsylvania with Dr Oz still
1:39:25sitting at a 42-9 oh we just got a
1:39:28little vote dump there there we go okay
1:39:30still about the same 42.9 for Oz and
1:39:3354.74 phenomen Ohio Tim Ryan lagging uh
1:39:40Vance now ahead
1:39:43okay Chuck Schumer we already know he
1:39:46won
1:39:48Tim Scott South Carolina
1:39:52Florida Rubio
1:39:54oh look at that Walker Walker ahead now
1:39:57walk her ahead again by a thousand votes
1:40:00right now
1:40:02let's hop on over
1:40:05here for a moment
1:40:07Advantage Republican when it comes to
1:40:08capturing the net five to take the house
1:40:10all right John King thanks so much and
1:40:12we have some projections for you right
1:40:14now CNN has three projections one of
1:40:17them is a pretty significant one so you
1:40:18know it's projecting that incumbent
1:40:19Democratic senator Michael Bennett will
1:40:22be re-elected defeating Joe O'Day
1:40:24Republicans had a lot of hopes a lot of
1:40:27hopes that Joe O'Day was going to be
1:40:28able to pick off Bennett in purple
1:40:30Colorado they fell short which indicates
1:40:33that this is not necessarily going to be
1:40:35the kind of night the kind of great
1:40:37night Republicans were expecting two
1:40:39other projections in Maryland the
1:40:41Democratic senator Chris Van Hollen will
1:40:44be reelected CNN projects defeating
1:40:46Chris Chaffey Republican and in North
1:40:48Dakota CNN is protecting the former
1:40:50Governor and current Senator John Hoven
1:40:52will be re-elected defeating Democrat
1:40:54Katrina Christensen the balance of power
1:40:56in the U.S Senate as you know 100 Senate
1:40:59seats Democrats currently have 40
1:41:01Republicans currently have 40. there are
1:41:0320 seats remaining that's what we're
1:41:04going to be doing for the rest of the
1:41:06night and perhaps a few more days after
1:41:08that Republicans of course remember need
1:41:10to pick up one net Democratic seat in
1:41:13order to regain control of the U.S
1:41:15Senate we have Governors races of course
1:41:17now as well and Boris Sanchez has some
1:41:20projections there Jake a trio of
1:41:22projections and three victories for
1:41:24Democrats beginning with history being
1:41:26made in Maryland Wes Moore who had never
1:41:28been elected to public office in his
1:41:30life will become the first black
1:41:32governor of the state of Maryland as he
1:41:34defeats election denier Dan Cox another
1:41:37historic win in Massachusetts for
1:41:39Democrats Maura Healy in another pickup
1:41:42for Democrats she becomes the first
1:41:44woman elected governor of Massachusetts
1:41:45and the first openly lesbian governor in
1:41:49the history of the United States as she
1:41:51defeats election denier Jeff deal
1:41:53meantime the first openly gay governor
1:41:56in U.S history will win re-election in
1:41:58Colorado in Colorado Jared Polis defeats
1:42:01heidegunal a republican on Herschel
1:42:03Walker now about 3 000 votes uh 2
1:42:05800-ish votes ahead ahead of Warnock
1:42:08this is a very close race in Georgia
1:42:11uh Ohio Vance is ahead by 80 000 votes
1:42:15uh that's a leaning Republican now uh 26
1:42:19in on the fetterman Oz is still a lead
1:42:21by fetterman though again that early
1:42:23voting could be potentially giving him a
1:42:25little bit of an edge
1:42:3056 of the vote in in the state of Texas
1:42:33an update now for Michigan this tough
1:42:36re-election battle for incumbent
1:42:37Democrat Gretchen Whitmer she stands
1:42:39roughly in the same place where she was
1:42:41when we last checked in on Michigan a 40
1:42:44000 vote advantage against former TV
1:42:46host and conservative commentator Tudor
1:42:48Dixon only 13 percent of the vote in in
1:42:50Michigan let's take a look at a true
1:42:53toss-up Joe Biden won the state of
1:42:54Wisconsin in 2020 buying eyelash only
1:42:57about 20 000 votes Tony Evers the
1:43:00incumbent Democrat right now holding on
1:43:01to a 76 000 vote advantage over Tim
1:43:04Michaels with 21 of the vote in in
1:43:06Wisconsin we want to send it over to
1:43:08Dana Bash now who has some analysis for
1:43:10us Dennis thanks so much for us and that
1:43:13number that you showed in Wisconsin
1:43:14there are so many uh races there that
1:43:17we're watching tonight such a
1:43:18Battleground but let's go back to the
1:43:20pair of Firsts that Boris was talking
1:43:23about Governor's Mansions you're going
1:43:25to have a democrat in the governor's
1:43:26mansion again and in Maryland in Mass
1:43:29excuse me in Massachusetts in Maryland
1:43:31Maryland is because we're local we see
1:43:35the signs everywhere talk about Westmore
1:43:37and the importance of it well look
1:43:39there's a lot of history that is going
1:43:40that could be made tonight I think these
1:43:42are two big ones but especially for
1:43:44Democrats in Massachusetts the first uh
1:43:47openly gay governor in that state but
1:43:49the first lesbian in the entire country
1:43:51there could be actually a second tonight
1:43:53if Tina kotak wins in the state of
1:43:55Oregon uh but that's a significant
1:43:57moment for the state of Massachusetts
1:43:59that Governor's Mansion returning to
1:44:01Democrats but in Maryland uh in Westmore
1:44:05I think what you're seeing okay it looks
1:44:06like we just got another projection here
1:44:08Edison research projecting that
1:44:09Republicans
1:44:11have picked off a net four House Seats
1:44:14previously held uh that is the that is a
1:44:18new projection Edison was at three
1:44:21earlier so this is Edison research
1:44:23let's see here
1:44:25there you can see it see me a little
1:44:27better that way there we go all right uh
1:44:30Edison research again reporting uh four
1:44:33net house seat gains of four Republicans
1:44:37as a prediction as of 6 44 PM California
1:44:40time that is up from three about an hour
1:44:43ago
1:44:45and Republicans need
1:44:49for let me double check that let's go
1:44:52over here to doomberg
1:44:58I'm sorry Republicans need to pick up
1:45:00six in the 2022 election to win the
1:45:03house
1:45:04and let's see how that means we are now
1:45:06tightening on predicted
1:45:10now at 55 let's Let It refresh here
1:45:14don't want to say too early
1:45:16predicted for Republican control was 55
1:45:20cents I was back up to now 59 cents you
1:45:23see a lot of volatility here on the
1:45:25Senate so now at 59 cents versus look at
1:45:28that the house odds dropping after that
1:45:30Edison research coming in
1:45:32so that is
1:45:35now we're at 89 cents
1:45:39for Republican just about seven minutes
1:45:41since we last checked
1:45:44and we're at again 59 cents we were up
1:45:49to 70 at one point here for Republican
1:45:51control
1:45:52see how this keeps moving we can also
1:45:54look at the needles here from The New
1:45:56York Times
1:45:57New York Times needles showing us 74
1:46:00chance Republican for the house
1:46:04Senate's still too close to call
1:46:10black governor of Maryland another deep
1:46:13blue State a few barriers Big Broke
1:46:16tonight we may see how the national race
1:46:18goes but uh in in a couple of very blue
1:46:22States a couple of very impressive blue
1:46:25candidates okay back over to Jake thanks
1:46:29so much Danica Herschel Walker now up
1:46:31about 28
1:46:33000 of votes he's at 49.5 versus
1:46:35warnock's 48.6
1:46:41Lieutenant Tom hudner Jesse Brown
1:46:43critics are praising devotion Glenn
1:46:46Calvin Jonathan Matrix Deliver come on
1:46:48there we go ballot is is it what America
1:46:51wants to be what it will be uh and if
1:46:54you think about President Obama for
1:46:56instance who said there's no such thing
1:46:57as pulling yourself up by the bootstraps
1:46:59almost every single thing that we're
1:47:01seeing right now is a repudiation of
1:47:04free money of government being able to
1:47:06do what you should be doing for yourself
1:47:08I know it's a wonky word but modern
1:47:10monetary Theory they were going to make
1:47:12this a Main Street phrase just two
1:47:15months ago Business Insider said what is
1:47:16modern monetary Theory understanding the
1:47:19alternative economic theory that's
1:47:20becoming more mainstream they tried to
1:47:22make it mainstream what did they do
1:47:24instead we've had real wages that have
1:47:26been down every single month since that
1:47:281.9 trillion has gone into effect 3.5
1:47:31percent loss in real wages by the way
1:47:33compare that to president trump it was
1:47:35up seven percent even President Obama
1:47:37was up three percent we just started on
1:47:38Monday credit card our credit card debt
1:47:411.1 trillion dollars that's up 19 since
1:47:44the uh free money went into effect when
1:47:47this election really is about is behind
1:47:49the scenes you have two ideologies one
1:47:51that believes in America can pull itself
1:47:52up by the bootstraps the other one
1:47:54that's given up on America a long time
1:47:56ago and that one is losing so Maria you
1:48:00know with regard to what Larry said and
1:48:03turning up on the spigots it's a very
1:48:05that's a hard turn for the president who
1:48:07just two days ago was up on a stage
1:48:10saying that we're going to end all the
1:48:12drilling in this country yeah so you
1:48:14know I I can't imagine politically how
1:48:17you sort of turn that corner and
1:48:19suddenly say well you know this
1:48:21obviously isn't working we're going to
1:48:22give it a shot it could come from
1:48:24through legislation I mean I know Kevin
1:48:26McCarthy says he wants to make that a
1:48:27priority but how would that work well I
1:48:29think that's the point of the night
1:48:31you're right look I think that he's not
1:48:33going to do that without a fight but if
1:48:36you do see uh the leadership coming from
1:48:38the Republicans that is exactly what you
1:48:40all see I think Larry used the right
1:48:42word in terms of shackles taking the
1:48:44shackles off uh energy but it's not just
1:48:46energy it's the shackles of over
1:48:49regulation and that goes throughout
1:48:51business so that's certainly something
1:48:53that will get loosened up in a victory
1:48:56for the GOP I think you've got a good
1:48:58news bad news story playing out here
1:49:00tonight the good news is is that we are
1:49:03seeing some serious victories that will
1:49:05affect this climate change agenda the
1:49:07Republicans will push back and they will
1:49:09try to expand fossil fuel first results
1:49:12by the way expected in 11 minutes from
1:49:14Arizona and Nevada
1:49:18fossil fuel area so that's a good news
1:49:21part of the story also good news is the
1:49:23fact that they will push back on the
1:49:25fiscal irresponsibility and we will stop
1:49:28the out of control spending and the five
1:49:30plus trillion dollars in borrowing that
1:49:32has already occurred the bad news part
1:49:34of this story is that a lot of damage
1:49:36has been done and we are already looking
1:49:39at 2023 being a very tested and weak
1:49:41time for the economy uh and and you look
1:49:44at the stock market all the time Charles
1:49:45let's look at some tech names the major
1:49:48tech companies are trading down while
1:49:50the S P 500 is trading up what does that
1:49:53tell you that tells you that you are
1:49:54looking at a week holiday season to come
1:49:56you're looking at an environment where
1:49:59we're going to see layoffs in technology
1:50:00we're going to see a weaker period for
1:50:03Tech it also has to do with regulation
1:50:05I'll just end with where we were earlier
1:50:08in the show Republican Phil Scott wins
1:50:11re-election in Vermont per Associated
1:50:13Press
1:50:15Anna West Virginia Republicans pick up
1:50:17House Seats
1:50:19uh let's see Republicans
1:50:22okay this is the Edison research we
1:50:24already talked about the four seats
1:50:26we'll see if they get to the sixth win
1:50:27control of the house
1:50:29well a map to a repudiation of all the
1:50:33big government socialism undertaken by
1:50:35President Biden and he will have to
1:50:37listen to those election returns it may
1:50:40not be easy my colleagues are correct on
1:50:42that Donald Trump escalating his rivalry
1:50:45with DeSantis warning that he would
1:50:47expose damaging information if the
1:50:50Florida governor were to challenge him
1:50:52in the 2024 presidential election what
1:50:55if he runs he could hurt himself very
1:50:58badly
1:50:59I would tell you things about him that
1:51:02won't be very flattering I know more
1:51:05about him than anybody
1:51:07other than perhaps his wife
1:51:08[Laughter]
1:51:12this is a lot less there you go that's
1:51:15good too Charles
1:51:19so just Jan we have some new projections
1:51:21for you in Colorado Democratic senator
1:51:23Michael Bennett will defeat Republican
1:51:26businessman Joe O'Day this is a race
1:51:28that a lot of people thought oday might
1:51:30pull a surprise on Chris Christie just
1:51:32said the other day he thought this would
1:51:33be perhaps the surprise of the night and
1:51:35that one has not gone Mr O'Day it was
1:51:38uphill there for a day I mean Colorado
1:51:40has been a bluish State he had some good
1:51:43moments in debates businessman Outsider
1:51:46construction owner of a construction
1:51:48company Bennett a senator who used to be
1:51:52the superintendent of Denver schools uh
1:51:54will pull this out
1:51:56um Walking Away Away really one of the
1:51:58governor's races were following in South
1:52:00Dakota we can now project that
1:52:02Republican Governor Christie gnome will
1:52:04win a second term defeating Democrat
1:52:06Jamie Smith and she's talked about other
1:52:08aspirations at least hinted at them
1:52:11other people have talked about them for
1:52:12her yeah there was some reporting that
1:52:14was out there that that was a tight race
1:52:15so the numbers did not certainly do not
1:52:18back that up to you want enormously we
1:52:20are just minutes away from the next
1:52:22round of poll closings and those are in
1:52:24Montana Nevada big Center race there
1:52:27Utah Senate race we've been following
1:52:29there Harris Faulkner is talking with
1:52:31voters on the issues driving them to The
1:52:34Ballot Box we absolutely are we're back
1:52:37with the voters Associated Press is
1:52:39calling a uh yes on legalizing marijuana
1:52:42for 21 years and older individuals in a
1:52:46ballot initiative in Maryland
1:52:48Americans are concerned about crime
1:52:50cities towns neighborhoods seeing a
1:52:52spike in violence John Hoven defeats
1:52:54Democratic Challenger Katrina Chris
1:52:57gianson
1:52:59and Senate race in North Dakota
1:53:04years ago
1:53:06that's every single hand that's gone up
1:53:10let's get into this crime turned out to
1:53:12be the top issue just like it is in this
1:53:14studio the race for a New York Governor
1:53:17it's making a difference they're
1:53:18potentially Democratic incumbent Kathy
1:53:20hokel seeing her double-digit lead over
1:53:23Republican Congressman Lee zeldon
1:53:25evaporate in the last few weeks now
1:53:27watch the lines on your screen as We
1:53:29Gather the voters reaction real time to
1:53:31congressman zeldin
1:53:35safe again I'm running to take back our
1:53:38streets and to support unapologetically
1:53:40our men and women in law enforcement
1:53:43this is about all of us together
1:53:45Republicans Democrats Independents as
1:53:47New Yorkers to make sure our streets are
1:53:49safe again to make sure our Subways are
1:53:52safe again this is our opportunity
1:53:55all right talk to me about the reaction
1:53:57there the grades they gave it yeah so
1:53:59you can see there that Democrat line
1:54:00blue line which you wouldn't expect to
1:54:02be very favorable was a C4 on this
1:54:04message Republicans that Redline gave an
1:54:06a The Gray Line independence of B what
1:54:09people really want to be hearing is a
1:54:11candidate who is going to address and
1:54:13not dismiss crime you know what I'm
1:54:15going to call an audible here and go
1:54:16over to Kimani who is from New Jersey I
1:54:19think you're at Rutgers right
1:54:21um what congressional reporter reporting
1:54:24from Wisconsin that a 38 year old man
1:54:26was just arrested for threatening poll
1:54:28staff with a knife demanding that they
1:54:30stop the voting in West Bend West Bend
1:54:33Police Department
1:54:35okay it the crime is such a bipartisan
1:54:39issue it affects everyone in their
1:54:41everyday lives and I think that we need
1:54:44leaders to change the rhetoric in um in
1:54:49politics because well this is your party
1:54:51it is yeah yeah if we can if we can get
1:54:55bipartisan support AOC wins her New York
1:54:58District per Associated Press and in the
1:55:02FBI and other police agencies are
1:55:04working overtime because they have to
1:55:06keep up with politically motivated
1:55:07violence and that's a type of crime
1:55:09that's been missing well look on the
1:55:11ground what people are experiencing
1:55:13every day is more of a situation of like
1:55:16here in New York City the mayor just
1:55:18it's saying that it's a perception of
1:55:19crime and not looking at what people are
1:55:22really feeling I know PJ you're on on
1:55:24this side and and you have your feelings
1:55:26about crime latest Herschel Walker tiny
1:55:30lead Now 49.5 versus 48.6 64 of votes in
1:55:35Vance is beating Tim Ryan 42-8 in Ohio
1:55:40we've got North Carolina Republican Bud
1:55:43ahead of democrat Beasley Pennsylvania
1:55:4630 amphetterman still leading
1:55:4953-44.6 that seems like it narrowed a
1:55:51little bit and Wisconsin only four
1:55:53percent in with Barnes pulling ahead of
1:55:56Johnson
1:55:59Let's uh see if we can look at some of
1:56:01the sticks together here let's see let's
1:56:04see if the needles and predicted have
1:56:06moved at all
1:56:1473 for Republican uh chance over here in
1:56:19house
1:56:22that has a slight decline again for
1:56:25house control and uh still toss-up on
1:56:29Republican it's going to come down to
1:56:30like one seed it's gonna be ridiculous
1:56:32it's gonna be super close let's look at
1:56:35the actual votes I want to see
1:56:37especially that walk or move here
1:56:39because that's a big Senate race over
1:56:41here uh 71 in now Walker ahead Walker
1:56:46ahead by about 30 000 right now
1:56:51thirty thousand
1:56:58grassly lagging though he's the
1:57:01incumbent he's still the one who's
1:57:03likely to win uh but he's the Republican
1:57:06incumbent and and he's tentatively
1:57:08lagging 43 versus 57 and 15 of the
1:57:13worlds are it votes are in Dr Oz at 46
1:57:16lagging by about what is that 130
1:57:21000 votes here that's
1:57:23pretty decent lag right now we'll see
1:57:25how that that moves
1:57:31we're going to be getting in about two
1:57:33minutes numbers from uh Arizona and
1:57:36Nevada
1:57:38looking at where the races are really
1:57:41close right now
1:57:43here are the closest races
1:57:46with uh a likely lead for Democrats in
1:57:50Arizona Pennsylvania Nevada even Georgia
1:57:53leading for Walker Republican per New
1:57:56York Times this seems like it's it's
1:57:58narrowed a little bit these are your
1:57:59toss-ups and then you got 24 toss-ups
1:58:02over here in house races
1:58:09um cup
1:58:15yeah we are now two minutes away from
1:58:17some of the first results
1:58:20for one uh Governor Kemp let me let me
1:58:22turn this off from Nevada and Arizona
1:58:25Governor Kemp is over performing
1:58:27Herschel Walker where Democrats live and
1:58:29we're dead we're votes overwhelming you
1:58:31might say he's getting blown out here
1:58:33yes he is he is getting blown out here
1:58:35but margins matter in close races so
1:58:37look at Brian Kemp with 28 of the vote
1:58:39in Fulton County the most populous
1:58:40county in the state county Joe Biden won
1:58:42by 46 points more than 46 points Brian
1:58:45Kemp's getting 28 percent
1:58:47Herschel Walker's getting 23 23 so that
1:58:50that's where the in terms of where the
1:58:52people live in a democratic area in a
1:58:54large area that's one way to look at it
1:58:56but it's also happening out here I'm
1:58:58just going to pick a random rural County
1:59:00in Georgia this is Wilcox County it's
1:59:02tiny it's less than one percent of the
1:59:03vote but look at Herschel Walker getting
1:59:0674 of the vote there and and Raphael
1:59:09Warner getting 25 if you round that up
1:59:11then you come over here to the
1:59:12governor's race Brian Kemp getting a
1:59:13point or two higher and Stacey Abrams
1:59:16lower so Herschel Raphael Warnock is
1:59:19getting a few more votes in these very
1:59:21white rural counties he's over
1:59:23performing Stacey Abrams in these areas
1:59:24it makes a difference in a close race
1:59:26you might say it's only 50 votes here or
1:59:28100 votes there uh when you get in the
1:59:30quick note here it looks like on predict
1:59:32it's a senate race we're back to 66
1:59:35percent for Senate control to
1:59:37Republicans this briefly dipped to as
1:59:40low as 55 cents cents percent roughly
1:59:44about the same uh and now we're back to
1:59:4666 just uh one minute before the numbers
1:59:51start coming out of Nevada and Arizona
1:59:54Governor Jake it matters the margins
1:59:56matter it sure does John King thanks so
1:59:58much voting is about to end in three
2:00:00more States including Nevada another key
2:00:03Battleground that could tip the scale in
2:00:05the fight for the control of the U.S
2:00:07Senate if you have a key race alert for
2:00:09you now it is too early to call the U.S
2:00:12Senate race in Nevada between Senator
2:00:14Cortez Masco and Mr laxoff Adam laxalt
2:00:18is too early to call we do not have any
2:00:20information for you there to project in
2:00:22terms of Utah between incumbent
2:00:24Republican senator Mike Lee and his
2:00:26Challenger independent Evan McMullen
2:00:28also too early to call the balance of
2:00:30power in the U.S Senate as we've been
2:00:32telling you all night this is key there
2:00:34are 40 Democratic senators we are back
2:00:37to 40 I'm sorry just 4 000 votes apart
2:00:41between Walker and Warnock uh
2:00:44Pennsylvania
2:00:45is narrowing uh Oz catching up he's at
2:00:4946 versus 51 percent Vance 53 versus 47
2:00:54percent Iowa Chuck Grassley incumbent
2:00:58Republicans still lagging this is going
2:01:00to give Democrats a lot of Hope right
2:01:02here
2:01:04you've got what's another one Wisconsin
2:01:06over here Ron Johnson Republican lagging
2:01:09by about two percent he's also the
2:01:12incumbent and he's expected to win
2:01:15uh however he is presently lagging
2:01:19Republicans late in the game a big
2:01:21influx of cash there he defeats
2:01:23Democratic Challenger Joy Hofmeister to
2:01:25earn a return trip to the governor's
2:01:27mansion in Oklahoma an update now from
2:01:29the state of Vermont in a state that Joe
2:01:32Biden won by a considerable margin
2:01:34Republican Governor Phil Scott earns
2:01:36another four years he is the only
2:01:38Republican holding on to Statewide
2:01:40office in that state as he defeats
2:01:42Progressive educator Brenda Siegel a
2:01:44number of key race alerts to bring you
2:01:46now beginning in the state of Texas
2:01:47Republican incumbent Greg Abbott
2:01:49building on his lead he's now 368
2:01:52thousand votes ahead of Beto O'Rourke
2:01:54he's already been called to win though
2:01:57our state let's get a look at Michigan
2:01:58right now Gretchen Whitmer roughly the
2:02:01same place maybe a Slimmer Advantage
2:02:03than the last time we checked in on her
2:02:05contest with Tudor Dixon 36 000 votes
2:02:07ahead for the Democratic incumbent with
2:02:0916 percent of the vote in an update now
2:02:12again from Georgia Brian Kemp there 247
2:02:16000 votes ahead of Stacy Abrams notable
2:02:18in this rematch last time around Kemp
2:02:21only won by about 50 000 votes this is a
2:02:23much bigger lead and as you just saw he
2:02:25added another thousand votes to that
2:02:27Advantage with 77 percent of the vote in
2:02:29in Georgia we finish with Wisconsin the
2:02:32key race alert there 85 000 votes
2:02:34separating these two candidates Tony uh
2:02:37we are seeing this needle move down
2:02:39towards toss-up for the chance of
2:02:42winning house control now down to 72
2:02:44percent it kind of keeps ticking down
2:02:46for house control still I mean Senate
2:02:49honestly it's gonna come down it's going
2:02:51to be 51.49 is my guess
2:02:54which is where we've been talking about
2:02:56all night Rafael we're not back in the
2:02:58lead by point one percent look at that
2:03:002300 or so votes separating Warnock from
2:03:04Herschel Walker at this hour we've got
2:03:0677 of the vote in but I think it's very
2:03:08obvious to everybody watching this could
2:03:10go either way let's take a look at
2:03:12Wisconsin we obviously just saw what
2:03:15Boris was pointing out it's similar on
2:03:17the Senate side Mandela Barnes the
2:03:19Democrats sitting at 51.8 but that is
2:03:22not as strong as the gubernatorial
2:03:24candidate Ron Johnson the incumbent
2:03:25Republican at 48 we expect this to be
2:03:28one of the closest Senate contests
2:03:30throughout the night we've only got 34
2:03:32of the vote in so keep watching that one
2:03:34Pennsylvania let's check back in this
2:03:37has changed pretty dramatically since
2:03:38the last time we really looked at it
2:03:39John fetterman is now at 52.1 percent
2:03:42Amendment Oz is catching up
2:03:45substantially over here but still about
2:03:47150 000 vote difference uh also Nevada
2:03:50Senate Democrat Catherine masto is at
2:03:53real risk of losing her seat to
2:03:55Republican Adam lack salt former he's a
2:03:59former State Attorney General and the
2:04:01grandson of the previous Nevada senator
2:04:04and seems like he is a pretty pro-trump
2:04:11abortion's a big issue over there we'll
2:04:13see
2:04:18Democrat Jared Polis wins reelection for
2:04:21governor in Colorado
2:04:23we saw that called a little bit ago
2:04:31two small Pennsylvania counties or 95
2:04:34plus percent reported and fetterman uh
2:04:38looks like yeah is holding in both of
2:04:43those so far uh Dr Oz getting 34 of
2:04:46votes whereas Trump got 44 and in
2:04:50another County that was for Forest
2:04:52County and in Elk County Oz at 37 versus
2:04:54Trump 45. so you are seeing
2:04:57uh Oz not performing as well as Trump
2:05:01in a couple of those counties that have
2:05:04essentially fully reported
2:05:06there so so things could still change uh
2:05:09but I will say Democrats are saying good
2:05:10things about New Hampshire right now on
2:05:12the Senate side Jay well it's a nice
2:05:14state of course they're saying nice
2:05:15things let's take a look at the balance
2:05:17of power uh right now in the competitive
2:05:20seats remember we're looking at 82
2:05:22competitive House Seats we're not going
2:05:24to look at all 435. they're 82
2:05:26competitive ones of those 82. there are
2:05:2951 competitive seats that we think are
2:05:31too early to call right now in those 51
2:05:34Democrats are leading in 39 of them
2:05:37Republicans are leading in 12 of them
2:05:39it's early we do not know that this is
2:05:41going to be determinative but Walker 3
2:05:44300 votes ahead 71 percent in Grassley
2:05:4844 only 25 percent of the votes in Tim
2:05:52Ryan losing his lead here down to 47 in
2:05:56pence in Ohio rather and in Pennsylvania
2:05:58oh it's getting close it's getting close
2:06:01look at this one when we jump over here
2:06:03look at Pennsylvania 51 fetterman and
2:06:06that uh 150 000 votes spread has now
2:06:09narrowed to only about eighty thousand
2:06:11votes between uh fetterman and Oz it's
2:06:15getting pretty tight
2:06:18getting juicy
2:06:20all right
2:06:23but then we come down and again
2:06:24Washington DC is here we come down in
2:06:26the spamberger race she has now pulled
2:06:27ahead narrowly ahead but 4863 votes with
2:06:3198 percent of the vote in estimated vote
2:06:33in so still some County to do so what
2:06:35happened here remember last time we were
2:06:37here we didn't have many votes from
2:06:38Prince William County this is the
2:06:40largest population base in the district
2:06:42it also happens to be the most
2:06:44democratic area closest to Washington
2:06:46D.C and look at this yes
2:06:49still more votes to come yeah from the
2:06:52most democratic area of the district Joe
2:06:54Biden carried this County by 32 points
2:06:57and there you have it right there she's
2:06:58counting carrying it by 32 33 points so
2:07:01this County Performing so you when you
2:07:03pull back out again Democrats are
2:07:05looking at these house races filling in
2:07:07and what you do see is the Democrats are
2:07:09very competitive is it enough to keep a
2:07:11republican majority that's a much bigger
2:07:13question and we'll walk through the
2:07:14night because Republicans only need a
2:07:16net gain of five but in terms of
2:07:18Democrats fighting tough in the
2:07:20competitive districts you see it right
2:07:22here a lot of red here in the district
2:07:24as you look for Vega but the people the
2:07:25largest population center of the
2:07:27district is right here and so uh again
2:07:30we have to finish the count here but
2:07:31we're up to 98 you come out I just want
2:07:33to come down south to the Laurier
2:07:35District which is the this is the
2:07:37much more competitive District she has
2:07:39narrowed Gloria has narrowed this but
2:07:41she's still down nine points or ten
2:07:42points if you round up the Republican
2:07:44candidates and kiggins it's gotten a
2:07:45little bit tighter as things have come
2:07:47in you're seeing it on the county level
2:07:48here as it breaks up throughout the
2:07:50district uh this will be an area people
2:07:52study Oz now just 60 000 votes away from
2:07:56taking the lead in Pennsylvania
2:07:58competitive map again if you're
2:07:59Democrats and Republicans looking at
2:08:01Virginia saying we're going to get at
2:08:02least two of those three at the moment
2:08:04you're thinking okay maybe we can keep
2:08:05it to just one uh this is a footnote I
2:08:08want to make because it's early I don't
2:08:09want to draw any conclusions here but
2:08:11you this district has gotten a lot of
2:08:12attention in recent days because Sean
2:08:14Maloney is not just a democratic
2:08:15incumbent from New York he's the head of
2:08:18the Democratic Congressional Campaign
2:08:19Committee he's the head of the
2:08:20fundraising arm to help Democrats try to
2:08:22keep the majority at the moment he's
2:08:24losing in his district I want to turn
2:08:26off the county line for a minute just to
2:08:27show you the district here you're in the
2:08:29Hudson Valley a little bit Northwest of
2:08:31New York City uh losing at the moment
2:08:33but it's only nine percent so this is
2:08:35one of those races Republicans would
2:08:36love this they consider this if they can
2:08:38get it a trophy because he's the
2:08:40campaign committee chairman but it is
2:08:42very very early and again in the other
2:08:44competitive districts in New York
2:08:46early for them too so that could change
2:08:48but Democrats ahead Democrats still
2:08:49holding both in New Hampshire Democrats
2:08:51holding that seat in Rhode Island I
2:08:53talked about we're not done yet but
2:08:54they're leading Democrats this is
2:08:55another one we haven't talked about all
2:08:57night long Republicans were hoping uh to
2:08:59pick up you talked about New England
2:09:00earlier hoping to pick up a democratic
2:09:02seat in Connecticut only 10 of the vote
2:09:04but the Democratic incumbent ahead at
2:09:06the moment vice president Kamala Harris
2:09:08was dispatched to uh Western Connecticut
2:09:10a few weeks ago early uh October uh to
2:09:14Buck up uh Democratic turnout uh in this
2:09:17area uh and
2:09:21the male ballots being the most
2:09:23democratic friendly so I think there's a
2:09:25chunk of votes in in a very big and
2:09:28Democratic friendly County that will be
2:09:30counted late in the night that could
2:09:33help Barnes here you see him running
2:09:34short of Biden's number
2:09:36um what made the difference remember
2:09:38this state in 2020 it was a trump 16
2:09:40state it was Biden 2020 and the margin
2:09:43was 20 000 votes in 2020. where Donald
2:09:46Trump lost the ground a couple places
2:09:49but the key is what they call the wow
2:09:50counties there's three Ozaukee I'm doing
2:09:53my order here Washington in Waukesha
2:09:55Waukesha Ozaki Washington the Grassley
2:09:58getting closer now in Iowa Grassley with
2:10:0131 reporting at 48 52 for Franken Oz at
2:10:0846 this Gap widening again with another
2:10:11vote dump here widening to about 124
2:10:15000 votes uh again in fetterman's edge
2:10:19here uh Vance polling solidly now ahead
2:10:23with 220 000 more votes over Tim Ryan in
2:10:27Ohio
2:10:28we've got
2:10:31let's see here Georgia here's that
2:10:34Herschel Walker now about 12 000 votes
2:10:37ahead of Warnock remember Warnock is the
2:10:40incumbent right now so uh this uh this
2:10:43could be a flip for the senate in
2:10:45Georgia
2:10:48house race there's a house race the
2:10:51Third District in Wisconsin Democrats
2:10:54trying to hold Trump wanted it's big I
2:10:55think we just got some vote out of
2:10:58Arizona so I'm just going to shift over
2:10:59here yeah 40 reported Arizona now
2:11:02because in Arizona when the vote comes
2:11:04in it comes in fast holy cow this is
2:11:06what I mean by the vote coming in uh
2:11:07yeah we've now got more than 40 percent
2:11:09of the vote in in Arizona's uh uh in
2:11:13Arizona Senate race here he's the
2:11:15incumbent uh Kelly's got a hold for
2:11:17Democrats and so far he's got a 15 lead
2:11:2050 of the vote more Arizona and you can
2:11:23see here what happens is they release
2:11:26first in one giant batch the vote the
2:11:29the early vote the male vote that was
2:11:32returned generally by like the Saturday
2:11:34before the election okay that's what
2:11:36happens that was that's what comes
2:11:38that's the First suitcase County then
2:11:40for the rest of the night they report
2:11:42out the same day vote and then tomorrow
2:11:44and later on we're going to get the late
2:11:46arriving early vote so to take a look
2:11:49here Kelly leading 59-39 in this initial
2:11:53report out of Maricopa County I have
2:11:55written down here with the initial
2:11:56report out of Maricopa County was
2:11:59in 2020 and I'm trying to find it
2:12:04it was this looks ridiculous the initial
2:12:07report out of Maricopa County in 2020
2:12:11was Biden by 10 uh in the initial report
2:12:14coming out of Maricopa County here in
2:12:172022 is a 20 points now I would the one
2:12:20thing I would caution you on is that
2:12:222020 number when Biden led the initial
2:12:25count by 10 in Maricopa it was a much
2:12:29larger share of votes uh it was 71 of
2:12:33the total vote in the county this is
2:12:34this is a little bit more than half of
2:12:36the vote so there's there's the
2:12:37possibility here that uh that there's
2:12:40more room for Masters to make up we keep
2:12:42seeing this this needle fall here on New
2:12:45York Times
2:12:46uh look at this you've got 71 chance
2:12:49that Republicans control the house here
2:12:51uh you know everybody's always been
2:12:53talking about this uh this this wave of
2:12:55Republicans winning but imagine
2:12:57Democrats retain full control the
2:12:59Market's gonna have a heart attack
2:13:01Republican gen kiggins wins U.S House
2:13:05seat in Virginia second beating
2:13:07incumbent Democrat hey there is a house
2:13:10seat that flips to Republicans we've got
2:13:13to flip
2:13:14Democratic incumbent Tammy Duckworth
2:13:17defeats Republican Challenger Kathy
2:13:19salvee
2:13:20and race for U.S Senate seat in Illinois
2:13:22so we do have a house flip there in
2:13:25Virginia's second
2:13:27it's like a uh red flip
2:13:30I wonder if that's going to move our
2:13:31needles at all
2:13:34still 71 let's see what predicted is
2:13:37saying for Republican Senate control now
2:13:41at 50 oh wait no whoa whoa this flipped
2:13:44Democratic control 58 for the Senate
2:13:48and uh house control for Republicans
2:13:52sitting at just 87 cents slipping so you
2:13:56are seeing as these results start coming
2:13:58in some of that enthusiasm waning a
2:14:00little bit although this needle now
2:14:02moving again did this just move back
2:14:03from 71 to 72 I think so it did needle
2:14:07move back to 72 percent let's look at
2:14:09the
2:14:12final
2:14:13uh or I should say the last not the
2:14:16final uh last reads here Georgia still
2:14:1972 percent reporting we are at 49.3
2:14:22Walker that's putting at us at about an
2:14:2518
2:14:26000 vote lead
2:14:28Ted Bud uh winning uh well not I mean
2:14:32we're 87 86 percent of votes and Ted Bud
2:14:35looks like it's going to be a beat for
2:14:38Republican here over uh Beasley we've
2:14:42got Ohio
2:14:44again spreading in favor of Republican
2:14:46Vance
2:14:48fetterman still ahead of Oz by about a
2:14:51hundred twenty thousand votes with uh
2:14:53with with 45 percent in Chuck Grassley
2:14:56narrowing in 37 versus that 51 percent
2:15:02uh for the Democrat
2:15:09like to go to our friend Simone Sanders
2:15:11Townsend former Chief spokesperson for
2:15:13vice president Kamala Harris Simone I
2:15:15know that you've been talking to sources
2:15:16on the ground in Wisconsin we're
2:15:17obviously watching that Senate race and
2:15:20also that that Governor's race very
2:15:21closely what are you hearing from your
2:15:23sources Republican Schmidt defeats
2:15:25Democrat valancing a race for
2:15:27republican-held U.S Senate seat in
2:15:30Missouri
2:15:31Republican defeating Democrats in
2:15:34Missouri
2:15:35Democrats in the state spent a lot of
2:15:38time and effort to turn out to increase
2:15:40turnouts particularly among young people
2:15:42and black voters and women those were
2:15:43some of the Targets in Milwaukee for
2:15:46example a black voter turnout is up I
2:15:48believe they said over 123 percent at
2:15:51this time in the last midterm election
2:15:53young people up 300 percent across the
2:15:56state they've seen lots of great turnout
2:15:58over the long lines on college campuses
2:16:01University of Madison uh UW and Eau
2:16:04Claire in Milwaukee so people are
2:16:07feeling emboldened but they do caution
2:16:09it is going to be a long night now
2:16:11Mandela Barnes campaign has said that
2:16:12they and Mandela Barnes told me himself
2:16:14that he is used to being the underdog
2:16:16here and he's fine that people have
2:16:18maybe counted him out but they're still
2:16:19quite competitive and I think that we
2:16:21are currently seeing that in the numbers
2:16:22again it's still a long night Milwaukee
2:16:24will take a long time to count because
2:16:26different municipalities count
2:16:28differently it is not a centralized
2:16:29count and then Dane County again where
2:16:31Madison is is still coming in but they
2:16:33feel good and I have long since said
2:16:35Rachel that I do think that it's not
2:16:37Pennsylvania that is the most flippable
2:16:39seat for Democrats it is actually
2:16:41Wisconsin
2:16:42and Simone in terms of looking at those
2:16:45two races simultaneously anything that
2:16:48you're hearing out of the state anything
2:16:49you know about these races and the way
2:16:51they're being run what can you tell us
2:16:52about Synergy between the Mandela Barnes
2:16:55campaign and the Tony Evers campaign
2:16:57because we're obviously getting reports
2:16:59of votes from the same precincts in the
2:17:01same part of the states but there's a
2:17:02split with Evers coming in at a higher
2:17:04percentage of the vote than Barnes has
2:17:06at this point is there Synergy between
2:17:08the two kids no look at how tight this
2:17:10race here is between spanberger and Vega
2:17:13and Virginia's seventh leaning now
2:17:17Democrat but 95 percent of the votes in
2:17:2051-49 that's pretty dang tight and
2:17:24that's a Democrat incumbent holding on
2:17:27to their seat tentatively uh probably
2:17:30going to stay that way with 95 in but
2:17:33we'll see it
2:17:36Michael Bennett uh a Democrat winning
2:17:39Senate race in Colorado
2:17:42a negative ad so the
2:17:45best to account for something I will
2:17:46tell you though let's go ahead and flip
2:17:48channels here
2:17:49let's get back to try to see a little
2:17:52balance get a little mix of both there
2:17:54we go from a republican-led House and
2:17:57Senate a recognition that they were sent
2:17:59there to get a job done and I think
2:18:00they'll go do it Governor um you know
2:18:03you bass around the country a lot of
2:18:04people ask the question after you do
2:18:06that you have aspirations for a
2:18:09different office after your term Limited
2:18:11in Virginia
2:18:14well I've been very very focused on
2:18:17November the 8th and supporting great
2:18:19candidates and really helping folks that
2:18:22are standing for these values that are
2:18:24most important of making sure that the
2:18:26economy is is delivering for our our
2:18:29citizens and and not a headwind against
2:18:31uh them keeping their hard-earned money
2:18:33and making sure that parents are
2:18:35represented not just at the table but at
2:18:37the head of the table in the in that law
2:18:39enforcement is supported and not
2:18:41demeaned these are basic kitchen table
2:18:43concerns and this is where we've been
2:18:45focused yeah I believe it sounds like
2:18:46we've been thinking in Virginia and
2:18:48deliver and deliver
2:18:49by the way as these election results are
2:18:52coming in you can see Bitcoin uh
2:18:54dropping there for a moment uh under 18
2:18:58000 for just a moment in the last few
2:19:00minutes here we're on the minute chart
2:19:02right here you can see BTC climbing but
2:19:04looks like potentially some some either
2:19:06liquidations or something just here in
2:19:08the last three minutes uh now we are
2:19:10getting a little bit of a push right now
2:19:1218-2 uh I'm sure Bitcoin is reacting to
2:19:16at least some element of what's
2:19:18happening in the uh election cycle so
2:19:23we'll keep an eye on BTC here as sort of
2:19:25a little bit of a tell as what risk
2:19:28assets are doing uh futures or stock
2:19:31futures are kind of flat right now Tech
2:19:34Futures are sitting at only 0.08 to the
2:19:37upside uh
2:19:39um S P 500 and down 30 actually slightly
2:19:43negative
2:19:440.03.13 to the downside so some of the
2:19:48some of that Red Wave optimism starting
2:19:50to wane at least slightly
2:19:54let's keep listening in here
2:19:56standing and on top of that his
2:19:58management of the of the hurricane if
2:20:01you contrast that with the covid
2:20:02management from the white house uh was
2:20:04was was spot on so I think you've got
2:20:07you've got a a package there you know I
2:20:09think Laura said the future Republic of
2:20:11the Republican his party is in Florida I
2:20:12think she's right Mark what do you think
2:20:14the message of tonight is so far well I
2:20:16think so far it's a shift to the
2:20:18Republicans but not a wave I think the
2:20:21house gets a clear rebuke for
2:20:22overspending inflation and the economy
2:20:25but I also think that on the Senate the
2:20:28particularly the Trump candidates are
2:20:30struggling and I I to me this looked
2:20:32like Florida was an a real wave for the
2:20:35Republicans an affirmation of DeSantis
2:20:38as a potential Republican presidential
2:20:40candidate and I think this puts Donald
2:20:42Trump in a very difficult position so
2:20:45Mark we talked about closing messages
2:20:47and in previous interviews you've you
2:20:49questioned the Democrats closing
2:20:52um with threats to democracy talking
2:20:55about abortion off of the ROV way
2:20:57decision overturn but now when you look
2:21:00at these numbers now do you think that
2:21:02that worked no I I don't think it worked
2:21:05it's not like I think the Democrats are
2:21:06going to come out of this with seats
2:21:09look I always think messages that bring
2:21:11the country together that win swing
2:21:13voters are better messages for the long
2:21:15term it's how you ultimately win
2:21:17presidential races I think Democrats
2:21:20rallied their base they avoided some
2:21:22really difficult issues but Republican
2:21:24Kim Reynolds wins re-election in Iowa's
2:21:28governor race
2:21:29just as divided as it was before and
2:21:32this is not going to be resolved you
2:21:34know the poll the voters said they don't
2:21:36want Joe Biden or Donald Trump running
2:21:38for president the country wants to move
2:21:40forward and until they get to move
2:21:42forward they're going to be very evenly
2:21:44divided and that's what I think we're
2:21:46seeing well yeah most how's that message
2:21:48heard at the White House I mean look I
2:21:52I Mark here
2:21:53we've gone like gone are the days where
2:21:56we would see these major pendulum swings
2:21:59we're seeing a pendulum nudge right I
2:22:03mean let's get another update over here
2:22:04uh I do want to just give if you have
2:22:07any questions feel free to ask I'm going
2:22:08to open up uh for just a moment just in
2:22:11case while we wait in between uh getting
2:22:13some uh what's it called um
2:22:16election results
2:22:18we will open up the chat
2:22:21okay Alexa shut up
2:22:23not exactly sure why she's starting to
2:22:26talk but anyway let's go ahead and take
2:22:27a get some updates here uh I do want to
2:22:29just uh I'm opening up the chat just for
2:22:31a moment uh in case you have any
2:22:32questions about the new course that I've
2:22:35launched Elite Hustlers University it
2:22:37drops on Black Friday you could get in
2:22:39the pre-sale now so it gets you special
2:22:41early bird pricing uh it's actually the
2:22:44lowest price course we have it's going
2:22:46to be some incredible value it does uh
2:22:48come with a monthly component to it as
2:22:51well so it's different from some of the
2:22:52other courses where uh there's uh this
2:22:56is all about increasing your income and
2:22:57analyzing people's income uh on uh on a
2:23:01daily basis with new lectures on a daily
2:23:03basis uh for analysis and also weekly
2:23:07live streams uh once a week live streams
2:23:10that'll be separate from the course
2:23:11member live streams uh doing Q a for
2:23:14entrepreneurs and this would be rather
2:23:15whether you're an employee or
2:23:17self-employed the elite Hustlers
2:23:19University is all about increasing your
2:23:21income so make sure to check that out
2:23:23the link link is down below along with
2:23:25obviously the courses I'm building your
2:23:26wealth through either real estate or
2:23:28Property Management being a real estate
2:23:29agent stocks and the psychology of money
2:23:31so let's go ahead and get the latest
2:23:34here the latest we have
2:23:36here is uh we have Georgia now 74 in
2:23:41with Herschel Walker up by about 30
2:23:46000 up by about 30 000 right here on uh
2:23:49on on Georgia we've got Iowa Grassley
2:23:53flips uh we were waiting for that to
2:23:56happen a grassly flip and we have gotten
2:23:59it 42 percent of the votes in
2:24:06you've got Ohio Vance well ahead now
2:24:10with an eight percent spread over Tim
2:24:13Ryan and fetterman still beating Oz uh
2:24:17by about a five percent spread right now
2:24:19still about 150 000 votes though
2:24:22[Music]
2:24:40all right let's hop back on over and see
2:24:42what we got uh here uh naming this is
2:24:46this is the elite Hustlers University I
2:24:49I hear somebody else has a Hustlers
2:24:51University this is this is the elite
2:24:53version where we've got some amazing
2:24:55lectures from Kevin on the Blackboard uh
2:24:58they're really good they're really
2:25:00really good lectures about increasing
2:25:02your income and it's a bargain you use
2:25:04that Black Friday coupon down below it's
2:25:05real it's really a bargain all those
2:25:07lectures will be uh live on Black Friday
2:25:10uh and uh get in before uh get in during
2:25:13the pre-sale uh and and you'll have the
2:25:15best pricing it's really incredible so
2:25:17uh all right let's uh let's listen in
2:25:19here what else we have here
2:25:21oh yeah let's do the needles one more
2:25:23time let's see if I think they moved
2:25:24down to 71 again
2:25:29best company for a personal loan you
2:25:31know I personally if I needed to get a
2:25:33personal loan I have never used them but
2:25:34I would give Sofi a try you know not
2:25:37sponsored by them don't invest in their
2:25:39company but um
2:25:41you know I would I would give them a try
2:25:43for they're doing a lot of personal
2:25:44loans right now
2:25:49yeah I I I don't know anything about
2:25:51this other Hustlers University I'm not
2:25:53going to comment on it all I know is I
2:25:55got Elite hustlas and uh it's it's gonna
2:25:58be incredible uh it already is and
2:26:00you're all gonna love it I'm very
2:26:01confident of that
2:26:03if you see him change the White House
2:26:05however
2:26:06then I think all bets are off
2:26:10um look I mean I think the president's
2:26:11already started signaling what he's
2:26:12going to want to talk about and we'll
2:26:14see what he does come out I mean they
2:26:17say he's going to make a statement
2:26:18tomorrow right I think I heard that so I
2:26:20think we'll start to to see some tea
2:26:22leaves there
2:26:24I think part of it depends on what the
2:26:25new Republican majority in the house
2:26:27does as well though look at that but
2:26:29what do you think the president's going
2:26:30to do
2:26:31yes all of the elite Hustlers live
2:26:34streams will be archived as well so that
2:26:35way if you can't make it to those live
2:26:37streams you'll get all of those uh in an
2:26:39archive yes uh and uh if you're a member
2:26:42of stocks uh and the real estate groups
2:26:44those that is separate from the elite
2:26:46Hustlers uh but uh if you're a course
2:26:48member you can tag me in Discord for the
2:26:50member coupon code or just email me if
2:26:53you want a custom bundle or you have any
2:26:55questions send an email to Kevin meet
2:26:58kevin.com we'll get you taken care of so
2:27:00if you want to bundle up uh you want us
2:27:02to make you a custom bundle uh for
2:27:05courses or you have any questions just
2:27:07Kevin mekevin.com we'll take care of you
2:27:11uh the wealth course is actually uh
2:27:14getting completely remade uh all of
2:27:17those wealth course lectures will be
2:27:19present but the wealth course has been
2:27:20turned into the elite Hustlers course
2:27:22with a complete remake uh and and a
2:27:25substantial amount of hours of new
2:27:27content filling in some gaps I wasn't
2:27:29really happy with what I had done uh the
2:27:31first time around so I really wanted to
2:27:34make the course substantially better so
2:27:36whoever's part of the wealth course
2:27:37already has has lifetime access to that
2:27:40would be the last all right let's uh
2:27:43let's get some more news here we won and
2:27:46now he's running again so that's that's
2:27:48the third time and he may have to run
2:27:49again in a month December 6th that's
2:27:51just the way it is we'll see how this
2:27:52one plays out so where is the question
2:27:55is where is Abram's underperforming
2:27:56Warnock
2:27:58and it's not in as many places right
2:27:59it's not as many places because it's the
2:28:01percentages it's the percentages but I
2:28:03mean it's not as many places if you come
2:28:05in and look at it it's I'm sorry it's
2:28:07it's in every it's everywhere in the
2:28:09sense that she's running she's running
2:28:10behind him because nothing changes right
2:28:11so again and so the point the point so I
2:28:14was distracted because the point I was
2:28:15going to make is you come in here and
2:28:17you think okay Senator warnock's getting
2:28:19blown out here right and he is and he is
2:28:21but in close races to your point about
2:28:23you know Brian Kemp popular conservative
2:28:25governor who's doing okay in the
2:28:28Democratic areas okay not horrific right
2:28:30not horrific right but he's doing okay
2:28:32and then you come out here where
2:28:34Herschel Walker's getting 65 you say
2:28:36well that we are at 76 now by the way
2:28:39for uh Georgia Herschel Walker's pulled
2:28:43ahead by uh quite a bit 0.8 he's up by
2:28:47about 25 000 votes right now
2:28:51you've got Iowa's grassly up four
2:28:54percent fettermen still up four percent
2:28:56over Oz about half the votes in vance
2:28:59winning in Ohio
2:29:01no new information yet on Arizona
2:29:04Louisiana John Kennedy Republican
2:29:07incumbent at 66 I mean just
2:29:10sweeping
2:29:11let's look at the needles to see if the
2:29:13needles have adjusted at all
2:29:18thank you next is reminding you to like
2:29:20the Stream
2:29:23lead Hustler is only like 299 bucks
2:29:26there's a monthly component after that
2:29:28you want to be part of that but
2:29:30otherwise the lectures the pre-sale is a
2:29:34really good deal right now
2:29:38Senate forecast still got the needle
2:29:40sitting at uh a toss-up uh not a 71 here
2:29:44for
2:29:46house control and looking at the three
2:29:48toss-ups still leading fetterman 2.4 for
2:29:53Pennsylvania we'll see the toss-up
2:29:55Nevada will be a toss-up that that will
2:29:57be important for Senate control Georgia
2:29:59obviously is going to be a big one we'll
2:30:01see what happens here
2:30:07yeah I don't know this Andrew guy but uh
2:30:09I don't think he qualified for entrance
2:30:12just kidding
2:30:14uh okay so let's look at predict it
2:30:23yeah it's a really good deal like 299
2:30:25for for what you're gonna get it's
2:30:27really really it's like an amazing Black
2:30:29Friday deal
2:30:32uh all right
2:30:3567 chance of Democratic Senate control
2:30:38on predicted that's a big move uh I mean
2:30:42this is a big flip-flop so the Senate
2:30:46was at at 55 cents uh at 6 38 we're now
2:30:51at 7 31 and we're at 67 Dems only 37
2:30:58cents Republican on predicted and if we
2:31:01go to the house we're only at 82 cents
2:31:05uh that's down from now 89 cents less
2:31:08than an hour about 45 minutes ago we
2:31:10were at 89 cents now we're at 82 for
2:31:14Republican uh we've got the Hong Kong
2:31:18Hang Seng Tech index down two percent as
2:31:23this uh this Red Wave isn't as deep as
2:31:26expected
2:31:28I think a lot of folks were expecting a
2:31:31big big big big big big sweep and uh and
2:31:36and you're not seeing that yet
2:31:41thanks
2:31:42that's a good one all right let's listen
2:31:45in over here no and we we did it in the
2:31:47presidential race yeah we did in the
2:31:49runoffs
2:31:51CPI is a significant impact in terms of
2:31:54concern at least we don't know exactly
2:31:55how it's impacted turnout just yet but
2:31:57while it's been rain and high winds here
2:32:00up to the North near Reno heavy snow has
2:32:02been falling throughout the day now to
2:32:04get into a little Dynamic of this race
2:32:06here it's really really interesting
2:32:07we're here in Clark County uh home of
2:32:09Las Vegas and this is an area where
2:32:11Democrats spend a whole lot of time and
2:32:13effort including incumbent Senator
2:32:15Catherine Cortez if you already have the
2:32:17path to wealth course you do not need to
2:32:19buy the elite Hustlers you will
2:32:21automatically get that on Black Friday
2:32:23but then you go to the 15 rural counties
2:32:26and that is where Republican Challenger
2:32:28Adam laxle he has really put his Focus
2:32:30hoping that high turnout in those areas
2:32:32would help offset losses in Washoe and
2:32:35in Clark County but we've seen something
2:32:37really fascinating coming out of washu
2:32:39County those vote totals or at least the
2:32:41turnout totals that we've seen
2:32:43throughout the day Republicans had
2:32:45outnumbered Democrats two and a half
2:32:46times in washu County so the dependence
2:32:49on those rural counties for lack salt
2:32:51really may not be as as large as as he
2:32:54had once expected but we have another
2:32:56issue here when you look at turnout I
2:32:58mean we have early voting but also these
2:33:00mail-in ballots in this state you could
2:33:02postmark your mail-in ballot buy today
2:33:04it will still count or you could have
2:33:06the option to drop it off in person and
2:33:09in some of those cases those mail-in
2:33:11ballots will not be counted tonight it
2:33:13could take up to seven days guys
2:33:16okay quick shout out to Chris uh
2:33:20Christina Nicholas Matthew uh all and
2:33:24Antonio and Eric for signing up for
2:33:26courses awesome happy to have you aboard
2:33:28uh the Attorney General uh has run a
2:33:32pretty strong race uh he's running well
2:33:34ahead of the Senate candidate there
2:33:36lieutenant governor Federman we can make
2:33:38this call there was a concern about uh
2:33:41mastriano and in Republican circles but
2:33:43Democrats remember
2:33:45spent a lot of money putting mastriano
2:33:47uh supporting him in the primary one of
2:33:50several candidates around the country
2:33:51that they did that to Shapiro though uh
2:33:54to his credit ran a pretty tight race uh
2:33:57one in which a lot of luminaries came in
2:34:00Republican needle now down to just 70
2:34:02percent chance of winning the house
2:34:04where we talk a lot about whether or not
2:34:06there's a split
2:34:07decision between that voters have
2:34:10between Shapiro and Dr Mehmet Oz in that
2:34:13race uh we've got a ways to go before we
2:34:15can get to any decision there but uh
2:34:17mastriano obviously uh did not could not
2:34:20stand up to the challenge of Josh
2:34:22Shapiro who was uh very middle of the
2:34:25road and was was very well liked in the
2:34:27state of Pennsylvania he's 56 to 42 in
2:34:31that race
2:34:32so let's bring in Republican Tim Scott
2:34:34who has had a very good night and will
2:34:37serve another term in the United States
2:34:39Senate he has been a very popular
2:34:42Senator and uh also one who gets a lot
2:34:45of attention on the net yes the other
2:34:47courses still include lifetime access to
2:34:49the live streams so stock psychology
2:34:52money real estate those those get you
2:34:54lifetime access to the finance live
2:34:57streams that we do every morning those
2:34:59are separate from the Hustler lives
2:35:01and the ongoing Hustler content those
2:35:04are separate
2:35:06okay Edison research projects that
2:35:09Republicans have picked up five net
2:35:12House Seats that is now up from their
2:35:15research of four uh at 644 so we're at 7
2:35:1935 Edison research coming in net five
2:35:23House Seats to Republicans per Edison
2:35:25research Republican Eric Schmidt defeats
2:35:29Democrat Trudy Bush Valentine Valentine
2:35:32in race for Republican held U.S Senate
2:35:34seat so that is uh maintaining
2:35:37the Republican seat
2:35:42um try yeah uh Senator why was it so
2:35:45close
2:35:46[Laughter]
2:35:49that's a great question I didn't do all
2:35:51that I should have done uh 62-37 is way
2:35:54too close from my perspective I agree
2:35:56with you Trey uh thank you for
2:35:59uh
2:36:01yeah
2:36:03do you have anything else you want to
2:36:05ask him
2:36:06I am not going to ask you what they're
2:36:08asking me which what your future plans
2:36:10are my guess is just to go to bed and
2:36:12get some sleep is that are those your
2:36:14future plans
2:36:15well actually I think you made you made
2:36:18a strong announcement earlier and I want
2:36:20to make it clear that you had a you were
2:36:22100 right one of the things I have in my
2:36:24future is buying the Dallas Cowboys
2:36:28there you go hey Senator as you bounced
2:36:30around the country and you were very
2:36:31popular surrogate for a lot of
2:36:33candidates we asked this to Virginia
2:36:35governor yonkin what what did you see
2:36:37coming back as far as the issues and
2:36:39what do you take from that to if
2:36:42Republicans control the Senate what you
2:36:44all are going to do with a Democratic
2:36:46president
2:36:48yeah but the one thing we have to do is
2:36:50create the contrast between the Biden
2:36:52Administration and common sense so if
2:36:55you think about the fact that we have
2:36:56enough energy resources in this country
2:36:59to be energy independent we should focus
2:37:02on that as a priority you think about 19
2:37:05months of inflation outpacing pay
2:37:08increases that means that Biden has
2:37:11delivered a pay cut to the American
2:37:13people eight months eight months over
2:37:17eight percent
2:37:18devastating impact for people who grew
2:37:21up like I did in a single parent
2:37:23household working paycheck to paycheck
2:37:26we can turn the spigot off slow down the
2:37:29spending in Washington that means your
2:37:32pay check will go up because inflation
2:37:35will go down we have to secure our
2:37:37borders if we are serious about American
2:37:40Security we have to stop the flow of
2:37:43fentanyl across our Southern border we
2:37:46also have to make sure that we do not
2:37:48find 98 more people on the terrorist
2:37:51watch list crossing our Southern border
2:37:53so finding a way to create an impediment
2:37:56on our Southern border is one of the
2:37:58fastest ways for us to prove to the
2:38:00American people we're listening so you
2:38:03know as we look across the state right
2:38:06now across the country right now there's
2:38:08still this question about whether or not
2:38:09there is a red wave this evening and it
2:38:12seems to be a bit tempered at least at
2:38:14this moment and if that is the case why
2:38:17do you think that is
2:38:20well there's no doubt that all the polls
2:38:22came out last week last two weeks
2:38:25suggesting that we were heading in the
2:38:27right direction I said across the
2:38:30country keep the pedal to the metal I
2:38:33think it's premature for us to figure
2:38:34out whether it's a red wave or not I
2:38:37would suggest that we should continue to
2:38:39focus on those Battleground States the
2:38:41good news is the states that were in
2:38:42question Georgia
2:38:44uh North Carolina Wisconsin Ohio we're
2:38:48still in really good positions there
2:38:50Pennsylvania I I'm still very optimistic
2:38:52and then the pickup States you think
2:38:54about where we are going to be in Nevada
2:38:56and Arizona State in Arizona I think we
2:38:59still have a strong chance to finish
2:39:01strong Senator Scott we appreciate your
2:39:03time and you can cue the people behind
2:39:04you
2:39:06okay let's hear from the people behind
2:39:08me
2:39:09all right have a good night sir
2:39:12thank you let's head over to uh bill
2:39:15hemmer with the latest uh a couple
2:39:18things I'm noticing as the needle Falls
2:39:21of the likelihood of Republicans getting
2:39:23this house control I am seeing BTC slip
2:39:27and Trend down here as uh uh you know
2:39:31the the election night here progresses
2:39:35we'll see what happens but uh yeah that
2:39:38that uh needle was pretty confidently
2:39:41about 75 percent uh on uh
2:39:45Republican win of the house with the New
2:39:49York Times needles it's actually just
2:39:51popped up again it fell down to 71 it
2:39:55just moved up to 73 so you're really
2:39:59seeing that that lean is getting super
2:40:01super tight there 18 toss-ups left in
2:40:06the house races
2:40:09got two big toss-ups Nevada and Georgia
2:40:11here in uh in the Senate races
2:40:15let's look at the predicted polls
2:40:17predicted Poll for Senate shows
2:40:19Democratic control was at 67 cents now
2:40:21at
2:40:23let's see you know while that loads
2:40:25let's load this 67 cents now at
2:40:30Elmo
2:40:31come on predicted 65 cents so actually a
2:40:35little bit of a tightening there towards
2:40:36Republicans 82 cents here on a potential
2:40:41for winning the house it's been roughly
2:40:42stable here
2:40:44we go back to the Chart now let's see
2:40:48here
2:40:49back onto the chart we are at let's
2:40:52select this load
2:40:5577 in on Georgia Herschel Walker ahead
2:40:59by 17
2:41:02000 votes
2:41:03this is uh 27 000 votes sorry it's
2:41:06pretty dang close Iowa Grassley nice
2:41:09lead here now six percent this flip flop
2:41:12from those early mail-in mail-in ballots
2:41:14same thing with Tim Ryan Tim Ryan had a
2:41:17big lead and we kind of saw this in in
2:41:20uh you know prior elections as well the
2:41:22Republican numbers really start moving
2:41:25up after uh you know those those later
2:41:29actual physical votes come in as opposed
2:41:31to the mail and balance which tend to
2:41:34lean uh Democrat
2:41:39it's now being called by NBC that
2:41:42grassly defeats Franken in Iowa that's
2:41:47right here the New York Times has not
2:41:49called that yet however NBC just now
2:41:52calling that
2:41:54uh also yep there's NBC calling that
2:41:58taking a peek here we've got
2:42:01NBC News projecting yep
2:42:05looking here at Advance
2:42:0854 percent
2:42:10eight percent lead Pennsylvania
2:42:12fetterman uh laws just can't close this
2:42:15Gap it's still another 110 000 votes 59
2:42:18reported can't get that Gap closed
2:42:22needles also
2:42:24see if we got any more movement here in
2:42:26the needles after we just got a couple
2:42:27calls
2:42:3074 okay moving back to Republican this
2:42:34is this is the nail biter uh somebody
2:42:37indicating here that Politico shows
2:42:39Warnock ahead let's give uh Politico a
2:42:43peek
2:42:44and see who's reporting more votes at
2:42:47the moment why there might be a
2:42:49difference here tight race for Senate
2:42:56all right come on
2:42:58let's see here so if you go to Politico
2:43:01you see actually
2:43:03now you see Herschel Walker ahead here
2:43:0472 percent of the votes in so similar
2:43:07here Walker ahead Grassley again has
2:43:10been called by NBC
2:43:17all right uh okay incumbent
2:43:20David's wins re-election to house seat
2:43:23in Kansas's third this is an incumbent
2:43:27Democrat according to Edison research
2:43:32you'll notice I say that again because
2:43:35we said it earlier but each state does
2:43:37it differently than how they counted and
2:43:39what goes first and Pennsylvania
2:43:41accounts the mail-in ballots that they
2:43:43got and began working at 7 A.M this
2:43:46morning which tend to be more Democrat
2:43:48those get reported early and then they
2:43:51then they begin moving the ballots from
2:43:53that were cast today which tend to be
2:43:55more Republican wow okay so Carl here we
2:43:57go this is Chester County just mentioned
2:43:58is the collar counters around
2:44:00Philadelphia oz of 44 right what was
2:44:03Trump doing Trump was doing 40 right
2:44:06okay so you're one for one Carl let's
2:44:09move around here to Montgomery County
2:44:12wow with 30 percent in Oz it 20 here was
2:44:17Trump two years ago all right so he's
2:44:19got some work to do but again a lot of
2:44:21that vote is still on point twenty
2:44:22percent
2:44:23to get to 30 and go back when it gets to
2:44:2640 and the gap between the two is going
2:44:28to narrow the question is how rapidly
2:44:30can Oz move up as the day as the
2:44:32election day vote show up and uh is it
2:44:35enough to close the gap you want to
2:44:37weigh in
2:44:38no I think I think it's it's true it's
2:44:40all about the Philadelphia suburbs Oz
2:44:42knew that that's where he centered his
2:44:44campaign and he's obviously not running
2:44:47away with it we're going to be here long
2:44:48into the night as to whether how this
2:44:50race is decided I would also point out
2:44:52that in Pennsylvania they don't even
2:44:54begin the process of verifying the
2:44:58mail-in ballot so they've got a until
2:45:00seven envelope make sure it has a date
2:45:02on it which was a big issue in the
2:45:04primary in Pennsylvania as well
2:45:06and verify them before they even begin
2:45:08the process of running them all through
2:45:10the machine yeah
2:45:11obviously they they do look at them to
2:45:13make certain that the exterior the
2:45:15envelope meets the conditions of having
2:45:17been signed and dated right because each
2:45:19election Authority has responsibility to
2:45:21alert the voter you got a mistake with
2:45:23your ballot you got to come and cure it
2:45:25then they've got some time to go do that
2:45:27yeah well but they they do that as it as
2:45:29it arrives but they can't open the
2:45:31ballot and do all the stuff you need to
2:45:33do until 7 A.M on on Tuesday morning
2:45:36we're at the fetterman campaign filed
2:45:37these laws CNN projects Virginia
2:45:39Democrat incumbent representative uh uh
2:45:43luria has lost her election bid to
2:45:46Republican Jen Higgins this is a
2:45:49Virginia incumbent this would be a flip
2:45:53to Republican this would be one of the
2:45:55House Seats flipping
2:45:59spanberger
2:46:01Democrat
2:46:02uh pushed her party to promote more
2:46:05moderate policies Democrats are not
2:46:08having an awesome night but it does
2:46:10indicate that it may not be as horrible
2:46:13as thought yeah this is kind of what
2:46:14we're seeing it's not as big of a sweep
2:46:17as thought
2:46:24um
2:46:25ultra competitive Congressional race
2:46:27between Democratic incumbent Tom uh
2:46:31malinowski yep and uh King Jr and the
2:46:35Garden State let's see here his Elite
2:46:39slipping somewhat 54 to 45
2:46:50Philadelphia
2:46:51inquires uh one of Philadelphia the
2:46:54Philadelphia inquires reporters is
2:46:56suggesting that Dr Oz has the potential
2:46:59of moving ahead if he does well in the
2:47:01Philadelphia suburbs we'll see about
2:47:04that because right now he's kind of been
2:47:05lagging
2:47:07Let's uh let's get a little Refresh on
2:47:09the numbers here
2:47:13so
2:47:15George is still sitting at 77 percent
2:47:19grassley's been called in Iowa Ohio is
2:47:23going to be Vance we're at 85 in
2:47:25fetterman this is narrowing Oz Oz and
2:47:29fetterman now I mean it's it's
2:47:31vacillated a lot here what is that about
2:47:3396 000 votes apart
2:47:37Utah's got one percent in 50 in for
2:47:41Arizona pretty dang leaning towards the
2:47:45incumbent over here
2:47:46uh Democrat
2:47:49let's get a needle update and a
2:47:51predicted update let's see here
2:47:54uh huh
2:47:57needle 74 percent
2:48:00for Republicans on house
2:48:04predicted poll Democrats 67 Senate
2:48:08control 88 house house moving back up
2:48:12yeah the states to watch right now are
2:48:14Georgia
2:48:15Arizona uh and to some degree
2:48:18Pennsylvania though it doesn't look like
2:48:21Oz is going to be able to pull through
2:48:23here but you're gonna have a big Senate
2:48:25swing on these air this Arizona and
2:48:27Georgia that those are gonna be the big
2:48:29ones
2:48:30uh and uh looking for potentially up to
2:48:33five I'm sorry six flips for the house
2:48:38uh for Republicans to gain house control
2:48:41that would be six net pickups
2:48:45uh needed for house control
2:48:48and you can see some of these close uh
2:48:50races here Texas is 28th New York 19
2:48:55got uh actually a lot of blue in control
2:48:58over here uh in in some of these early
2:49:00ones
2:49:02a lot a lot of blue leads over here look
2:49:05at that blue blue blue blue
2:49:07uh
2:49:08uh blue blue blue you've got a red over
2:49:11here in New York uh so New York 17th
2:49:17but a lot of those races to watch
2:49:19looking blue right now so again not this
2:49:21really big red wave uh a lot of folks
2:49:26were really hoping for uh that is uh
2:49:29leaving Bitcoin vacillating a little bit
2:49:31although it did just move up about a
2:49:33percent
2:49:34got a little bit of a move here on risk
2:49:36assets uh just popping off of that 18-1
2:49:39now sitting closer to about 18 two and a
2:49:42half
2:49:47incumbent Democratic incumbent Maggie
2:49:50Hassan defeats Republican Challenger
2:49:51Donald Bullock
2:49:54and race for U.S Senate seat in New
2:49:56Hampshire
2:49:59for all you uh politics Watchers stay
2:50:02with us America's future taking shape
2:50:04before our very nope I won't
2:50:07so no matter what you do online with
2:50:09starting speeds of ain't gonna be here
2:50:11either then
2:50:14no no
2:50:16a statement from we're not doing the
2:50:19devil I think we need those memes we
2:50:21need a meme of two Rachel's like the
2:50:23Spiderman meme where they're like facing
2:50:25each other we need to be a Rachel and a
2:50:27Rachel I can just actually just hear
2:50:28myself
2:50:34if we're still here Chase Oliver down in
2:50:37Georgia yeah he's the like 43-43 this
2:50:42could come down to Georgia and the
2:50:44libertarian who's pulling two points can
2:50:46we put up the two board on the okay well
2:50:49it's a three board it has to be so right
2:50:51now this is 83 percent in
2:50:53neither Walker nor Warnock is at 50
2:50:56percent
2:50:58this is considered to be too close to
2:51:00call the reason Mr Oliver is there even
2:51:03though he doesn't have a chance is
2:51:04because when he does have a chance of
2:51:05doing is denying either candidate the
2:51:07chance to get to 50 and if neither of
2:51:09them gets to 50 there's another election
2:51:11on the sixth uh
2:51:16December 6th which very well could
2:51:18decide control and it will come down to
2:51:20that that guy Chase Oliver who was not I
2:51:22mean well we don't know at this stage
2:51:24but the the weirdness of all of it yeah
2:51:27I mean well just to make it even worse I
2:51:29mean there's a possibility just talking
2:51:30with folks in New Hampshire I mean in
2:51:32Nevada that that one might come down to
2:51:36some issues as well that that raises
2:51:38very sluggish and there's some issues
2:51:40with mail so if that also becomes a kind
2:51:43I mean you could literally have two
2:51:44races in this cycle that are you know
2:51:47remember when that happened with Al
2:51:49Franken it took six months you're out
2:51:52don't even see it
2:51:55yeah take it back okay they're two me's
2:51:57now and one of them
2:51:59our friend Chris Hayes is with the
2:52:01political insiders right now boy has a
2:52:03lot happened in the last 20 minutes or
2:52:05so uh Chris we want to hear from you
2:52:07guys on this um lot has happened I'm
2:52:09processing it all here with David ploff
2:52:11jensaki and Michael Steele uh where
2:52:14should we start let's start on Shapiro
2:52:16yeah which
2:52:18um I think you know the polling
2:52:21expectation was that he would win yeah
2:52:23but the call this early in the night has
2:52:26to leave Democrats feeling pretty good
2:52:28yeah he ran a great race and he's
2:52:30actually a Democrat that a lot of
2:52:32democrats should watch because he rent
2:52:34was running such a good race and was you
2:52:36know so ahead for so long I don't know
2:52:38that a lot of people tuned in closely
2:52:40but it's good for other Democrats
2:52:43running in Pennsylvania hey it's Circle
2:52:45back sacky she's at MSNBC now look she
2:52:48got a gig
2:52:49different so we were just talking about
2:52:51this than what we all thought this night
2:52:53was going to look like I agree with you
2:52:55say more about that well I think early
2:52:57on should you get a spray tan
2:52:59I I wanna I I can't I don't know I'm
2:53:02gonna change the channel
2:53:04I I thought we were done with circle
2:53:06back sackie
2:53:08I'm I'm a I'm a circle back to Fox
2:53:12included
2:53:14oh country might have looked like it's
2:53:17quiet they're all still a commercial
2:53:18over here
2:53:20all right I'll hop in over here for a
2:53:23moment let's see what we got on times
2:53:26so uh still 77 reported over in Georgia
2:53:30Grassley 10 lead Vance basically a nine
2:53:34percent lead over here fetterman this is
2:53:36getting tight look at that 50 to 48
2:53:39right now with 66 percent of the votes
2:53:42in that's a nailed by the race and Oz is
2:53:45is picking up
2:53:51looking at Atlanta Warnock is just
2:53:55absolutely destroying Walker
2:54:04Republican Vance defeats Tim Ryan for
2:54:07Ohio now called by Edison research
2:54:11Vermont voters back measure securing
2:54:15abortion rights in the state's
2:54:16Constitution
2:54:23all right
2:54:26tonight they are not getting Virginia
2:54:28seven
2:54:31um we are still watching this I'm sorry
2:54:33we're not going to call that yet this is
2:54:35the other one Virginia 10. uh this is
2:54:37the Jennifer wexton race and this is
2:54:39more of a reach uh bill hemmer because
2:54:41these are the three that really are
2:54:43we're watching closely
2:54:45we put all the key races to the left
2:54:47side of the map here and these were the
2:54:49three we're watching here in in Virginia
2:54:51when they turned blue as Democrat when
2:54:53they turn redis Republican and Virginia
2:54:55seven spanberger has done something that
2:54:58is uh you know she's a good candidate uh
2:55:00you you give it to her after 2018 tough
2:55:03race down around Richmond another tough
2:55:05race in 2020 and she's able to beat
2:55:07yesterday Vega was a was a good
2:55:09candidate law enforcement background uh
2:55:12she was good on the stump very
2:55:13enthusiastic worked super hard uh but
2:55:16spanberger is able to hold her off let
2:55:17me just click down here but we have not
2:55:19called Virginia two yet I know some
2:55:22others have out there but maybe you know
2:55:24this 10-point lead stands up here no we
2:55:27did not call it it's not called what we
2:55:29what we did call is Virginia 10 he
2:55:31conceded that is what we're hung cow so
2:55:34now we have two Democrat wins in
2:55:37Virginia and we're waiting on Virginia
2:55:39two The Elaine lawyer and it looks like
2:55:42it looks like Higgins is in a real good
2:55:44spot right now to to win this I mean
2:55:46this is where we are right just about 80
2:55:48percent of the vote in she's up 10
2:55:49points so in all likelihood but when we
2:55:53started tonight we had these three big
2:55:55races there in Virginia it looks like at
2:55:57the moment the Democrats have a good
2:55:59chance of hanging on to two of the three
2:56:00uh which I know will not make Kevin
2:56:02McCarthy happy but we'll see what
2:56:04happens in other places across of course
2:56:06that Virginia might be a state where
2:56:08Republican pickups would signal a wave
2:56:11right and then no we they may win the
2:56:15luria race right crickets may win she's
2:56:17ahead yes but the other two look like
2:56:19they've gone the other way so that tells
2:56:21us something about across the country or
2:56:22or doesn't tell us well exactly across
2:56:25the country how we read it let's go down
2:56:27to Washington we've got Guy Benson Marie
2:56:29harf uh add them to the conversation
2:56:32um guy let me start with you I mean just
2:56:34reacting to this uh Virginia news uh you
2:56:37were following this very closely all
2:56:39three of those races what this means uh
2:56:42and it does look like the GOP is heading
2:56:44towards the House Majority but we just
2:56:45don't know how big yeah Virginia two is
2:56:48a majority maker type district for
2:56:49Republicans seven and ten would have
2:56:51been wave makers and tsunami makers
2:56:54respectively but it looks like the
2:56:55Democrats have held on to both of those
2:56:57districts so so far the evening Brett
2:57:00big picture for me is a tale of Florida
2:57:02and everything else epic epic night so
2:57:05far for the Republicans in Florida
2:57:07shocking margins 20 points almost for
2:57:09Ron DeSantis is unfathomable and a lot
2:57:12of the heavy lifting so far in terms of
2:57:14house gains coming in Florida for the
2:57:16Republicans everywhere else it's looking
2:57:17like a dog fight if there's a national
2:57:20wave building for the Republicans it
2:57:22hasn't quite materialized yet it might
2:57:24do so later into the evening but you
2:57:27know a big blowout Red Wave early on not
2:57:30happening
2:57:31Marie welcome good to have you with us
2:57:34your thoughts as you watch this develop
2:57:36you know as we've talked about a lot you
2:57:38know does Virginia give a message for
2:57:40the rest of the country or not
2:57:42Republican John Kennedy wins reelection
2:57:44in Louisiana now called I'm pretty happy
2:57:48with the results in every place we were
2:57:50concerned that would really you know
2:57:52indicate a red wave we're just not
2:57:55seeing it even places like New Hampshire
2:57:57where it looks like Maggie Hassan will
2:57:59hold on uh those are good signs
2:58:01particularly in the Senate and I again
2:58:03as guy said we may get more of a wave
2:58:06the further we get into the evening but
2:58:08it's just not there yet that is true
2:58:10that is also true you got to keep that
2:58:12in mind that that vote by mail ballot
2:58:15really makes you think you're not
2:58:17getting the Red Wave because that early
2:58:19voting is just yeah Florida was good for
2:58:21Republicans but you know so far it's
2:58:24just like you got some really close
2:58:25races here and Democrats holding on to
2:58:27some stuff uh you know uh 79 said now
2:58:31Herschel Walker ahead by four tenths of
2:58:33a percent uh up about 12 000 votes in
2:58:37Georgia
2:58:38Ohio's Vance that's a slam dunk Tim Ryan
2:58:41was leading looks like Tim Ryan is not
2:58:44only not staying in the house but he's
2:58:45out of this it's not getting into the
2:58:47Senate either whoa look at that
2:58:49narrowing what do we got over here 67
2:58:51percent of votes in you've got a two
2:58:53percent spread between fetterman and Oz
2:58:55over here but that's still almost 80 000
2:58:58votes of a difference
2:59:00Arizona still pretty clearly damn right
2:59:03now but again mostly just those early
2:59:05vote by mail ballots counted
2:59:07it could be a massive night for the
2:59:09Republicans across the country that
2:59:11one's not going to pan out Maggie Hassan
2:59:13who I think on paper was very vulnerable
2:59:15uh breathed the sigh of relief tonight
2:59:17she didn't have a terribly strong
2:59:19opponent so they're going to hold that
2:59:21seat the Democrats are dog fighting
2:59:23Pennsylvania and then you look out west
2:59:24I think that's where a lot of the action
2:59:26is going to end up in Nevada in Arizona
2:59:29of course and then I hate to already
2:59:32float this possibility but might the
2:59:35groundhog come out and show us four more
2:59:37weeks of a campaign in that Georgia
2:59:40Senate race it could go for Walker
2:59:42tonight or it might go to a runoff for
2:59:44December 6th potentially again with
2:59:47Senate control on the line that's
2:59:49something I'm watching guy Marie thank
2:59:51you so much we are counting down to the
2:59:53top of the hour and the close of polls
2:59:56that's right here we go with our 11 p.m
2:59:58Eastern Time calls 11 o'clock in New
3:00:01York and the polls have just closed in
3:00:04four more States let's start in
3:00:06Washington where Democratic incumbent
3:00:08Patty Murray has a lead over Republican
3:00:11Challenger Tiffany Smiley this has been
3:00:13a very closely watched race a lot of
3:00:17late money coming in to try to save
3:00:19Patty Murray in this race Tiffany Smiley
3:00:22has been seen as a very strong candidate
3:00:24for Republicans out there so no call on
3:00:27that one as of yet in California
3:00:29Democratic senator Alex Padilla is
3:00:31projected to win his first full-term
3:00:33defeating Republican mark muser let's go
3:00:36to Oregon where we can project that
3:00:37Democratic Senator Ron Wyden has won his
3:00:40fifth term in office he defeated
3:00:42candidate Joe Ray Perkins Idaho
3:00:44Republican senator Mike crapo has also
3:00:47retained his seat as we look at the
3:00:50balance of power in the Senate now and
3:00:53there are fewer white seats there 45 to
3:00:5544 again the majority is 51. really
3:00:59Republicans wanted to have the long shot
3:01:01win in Don Bolduc in New Hampshire but
3:01:05they still have a way a path to the
3:01:07majority tonight in the Oregon
3:01:09governor's race Tina kotec is locked in
3:01:12a tight race with rival Christine Drazen
3:01:15this is another area that Republicans
3:01:17have been looking to to see if there can
3:01:19be an upset in Oregon it's a three-way
3:01:22race there's also an independent
3:01:23candidate involved in this so too close
3:01:25to call there we can't project that
3:01:27Democratic governor Gavin Newsom will
3:01:28easily win another term just one year
3:01:31after he survived a recall and obviously
3:01:33there's a lot of whispers about his yeah
3:01:35possible Ambitions after California
3:01:38governor but we'll see finally in the
3:01:40Idaho governor's race Republican
3:01:41incumbent Brown he's going to be in that
3:01:432024 race I believe unless Biden tells
3:01:47them no the Democratic party they do
3:01:48that nonsense race and and bringing in
3:01:51some of our guests on This Dana this is
3:01:54an area where there was a lot of
3:01:56enthusiasm for Republicans looking at
3:01:58Don boldick that he was coming from
3:02:00behind and he certainly had that kind of
3:02:02energy that uh that sometimes you see
3:02:05exhibited by somebody who can close very
3:02:08well in a race this is not even close so
3:02:11we had governor sununu who just won his
3:02:14re-election in New Hampshire on
3:02:15America's Newsroom yesterday and he was
3:02:17very bullish and he was of course I
3:02:20understand all politicians say of course
3:02:22we're going to win but Chris Nunu it was
3:02:24somebody who said oh yeah you know he
3:02:25knows that state like the back of his
3:02:27hands like we're going to win this so I
3:02:29I'm not I think Republicans will have
3:02:31some soul searching to do here because
3:02:33when there was a primary where both all
3:02:36the candidates got beat up on the
3:02:38Republican side and Bolduc wins and this
3:02:40was somebody who the Democrats wanted to
3:02:42win yeah he's a trump guy yeah this is
3:02:45the first race we've called involving a
3:02:47trump back Senate candidate I think it
3:02:49is yes and it's also somebody who the
3:02:51Democrats helped they helped helped him
3:02:53win yeah so the primary and then they
3:02:55got real nervous because Maggie Hassan
3:02:57and Luke has to look like she might lose
3:02:59incumbents are hard to beat the last two
3:03:01percent is very hard to get but it seems
3:03:03that Bolduc even lost quite handily and
3:03:06so some of that information is just not
3:03:08there I'm just thinking too about how a
3:03:09lot of questions are swirling about
3:03:12polling and about conservatives
3:03:14Republicans maybe not being as
3:03:15responsible okay Oz is only about 54 000
3:03:19seats behind right now 54 000 seats
3:03:22behind in Pennsylvania that's narrowing
3:03:24a lot
3:03:27Padilla I mean
3:03:29I think that it's it's so hard to win as
3:03:31a republican in California crapo Idaho
3:03:35I don't think we were really expecting
3:03:36any kind of changes here
3:03:39grassly this should be called on the New
3:03:42York Times it's got a 12 spread Advance
3:03:44this should be called on the times uh
3:03:47that's that's nothing right now uh
3:03:49really the ones we're watching here
3:03:50Pennsylvania Georgia if we get a runoff
3:03:53in Georgia I think that's if you don't
3:03:55get at least 50 you get a runoff over
3:03:57here
3:03:58it's gonna be just like January 2021
3:04:00remember who remembers who was here
3:04:02January 5th 2021 when we were doing the
3:04:05needles to see uh uh who would win
3:04:08uh in in Georgia
3:04:11to see what control would be and if
3:04:13Democrats would be able to push through
3:04:15that two thousand dollar stimulus check
3:04:16remember which ended up being fourteen
3:04:18hundred dollars and Joe Biden called it
3:04:20the Roundup
3:04:21anyway 73 on the needles for leaning
3:04:25Republican
3:04:31thank you next thank you
3:04:33JG thanks man thanks for being here
3:04:38all right let's see what the predicted
3:04:39polls are showing
3:04:41Senate control and Republican control
3:04:43what do we have 58 chance Democratic
3:04:47Senate
3:04:4888 chance house for or based on
3:04:51predicted really the Senate one has been
3:04:54moving a lot here
3:04:56okay we just got a call incumbent
3:04:58Democrat winning house seed in Ohio's
3:05:01ninth
3:05:03Republican Kemp Governor winning
3:05:05re-election against Democrat Abrams
3:05:08Georgia's governor race
3:05:12okay
3:05:15pop back over here
3:05:19oh let's listen to Huckabee for a sec
3:05:34that no matter how it turned out
3:05:36Arkansas was going to make history
3:05:38tonight
3:05:39[Applause]
3:05:46[Music]
3:05:47to serve as Arkansas's 47th governor
3:05:51anniversity of November
3:05:53[Applause]
3:06:01also like to say it will be the first to
3:06:03my knowledge your father your daughter
3:06:06[Applause]
3:06:11I like to say I think my dad's the best
3:06:14Governor Arkansas
3:06:16members of the country has ever seen and
3:06:20I'm hoping to take that title away from
3:06:22you pretty soon
3:06:25nice nice
3:06:27all right
3:06:30yeah so nothing yet here from Nevada
3:06:32waiting uh someone here from Australia
3:06:35wondering if we could explain how this
3:06:37works yeah so so basically uh the stock
3:06:40market wants
3:06:43Republicans the conservatives to either
3:06:46win the house the senate or both
3:06:50if they do
3:06:52they can stop Joe Biden from basically
3:06:56doing anything
3:06:58with the exception of things that are
3:06:59obviously negotiated in bipartisanship
3:07:02the benefit that's deemed for the stock
3:07:05market there is that when there's
3:07:07gridlock little can get done and so
3:07:10that's good potentially because you
3:07:12can't get restrictive policies passed
3:07:14you can't get inflationary policies
3:07:16passed you basically just do nothing
3:07:18that's a less potential uh you know
3:07:21taxes uh less regulation uh it's
3:07:25basically just pause
3:07:27the inflation reduction act has already
3:07:29passed so we're expecting that to be a a
3:07:31positive for energy companies next year
3:07:34Tesla and phase whatever
3:07:36uh Bitcoin and risk assets will
3:07:39obviously be reacting to this election
3:07:41pretty closely so so we'll watch these
3:07:43pretty tightly but uh yeah big big
3:07:46trends that we really have to watch
3:07:47right now are uh Pennsylvania Georgia
3:07:52Nevada which we don't even have numbers
3:07:54for yet those those are gonna be the big
3:07:55Senate ones and uh so far
3:08:00House Seats I believe the house right
3:08:03now has needs six seats to go Republican
3:08:07and they gotta hold six I think they've
3:08:09they've flipped five but who knows they
3:08:12could also get flipped in some other
3:08:13seats so we'll see what happens a little
3:08:15harder to track the house there but
3:08:17we'll pay attention on that and then uh
3:08:20just looking at the numbers now we're at
3:08:2284 reported in Georgia and the Herschel
3:08:25Walker numbers uh still at about a 20
3:08:29000 spread here 18 000 votes spread very
3:08:32very very tight race
3:08:33Ohio is going to be Vance Iowa just got
3:08:36updated called for Grassley uh the
3:08:39fetterman Oz runoff or or a campaign
3:08:42here 71 percent of votes in we're
3:08:44looking at like a 46 000 vote spread
3:08:48it's getting so tight between fetterman
3:08:50and Oz here
3:08:52Utah looking uh Republican with about 14
3:08:56in but that is an incumbent as well
3:08:58Democratic incumbent here in Arizona
3:09:03uh so we'll keep watching
3:09:07dollars trying to save a seat in Ohio
3:09:09the Rob Portman won by 20 points that is
3:09:11all Republican territory currently held
3:09:13Republican territory so in order to have
3:09:16the status quoante they have to run the
3:09:18table and win all four of those of those
3:09:20races if they lose one of them like in
3:09:22Pennsylvania that means they have to
3:09:23pick one up in Nevada Arizona uh Georgia
3:09:26New Hampshire now is off the table
3:09:28Washington state in order to keep a
3:09:3050-50 Senate so there's a huge
3:09:33opportunity cost because we spend 32
3:09:36million dollars to save that seed in
3:09:38Ohio that is money that could have been
3:09:40spent in Arizona that's money that could
3:09:41have been spent New Hampshire that's
3:09:42money that could have been spent in
3:09:43Washington state to try and help Tiffany
3:09:45Smiley with an upset so there's a huge
3:09:47opportunity cost in picking these
3:09:48candidates who were running far behind
3:09:52the governors in their states who were
3:09:53running by you know anywhere from 8 to
3:09:5520 points
3:09:56um and and because we had to spend that
3:09:58money we're now looking at a possibility
3:10:00of keeping either a 50 50 senate or
3:10:03maybe just barely missing or losing a
3:10:05seat I mean this is a this is a it's a
3:10:07it's a lesson that the Republican party
3:10:09is going to have to look at how this
3:10:10finally shapes out hey Bill can we uh do
3:10:12a little what if
3:10:14they try
3:10:15[Laughter]
3:10:17a little risky is it risky I can screw
3:10:20it up
3:10:22let's give it a shot
3:10:24I'll tell you what we'll do Brett if you
3:10:26guys all play along we'll do it okay
3:10:29one two three
3:10:31all right yeah album Destin that's right
3:10:34I mean you know let's jump on over here
3:10:36to open over 90 defective shingrix is a
3:10:40hello
3:10:42outstanding vote in this district is
3:10:44from the biggest he's from Westchester
3:10:46County which is the most democratic
3:10:48friendly part of it so we'll see what
3:10:50the remaining votes what happens there
3:10:51uh we showed you Rhode Island two
3:10:53Republicans were very excited about this
3:10:5592 percent of the vote uh and you can
3:10:58see Alan Fung still running three points
3:11:00behind right there Henry Cuellar
3:11:02conservative Democrat from Deep South
3:11:04Texas again this is one of those
3:11:05districts that really moved heavily
3:11:06toward Trump but Cuellar getting some
3:11:08good numbers encouraging numbers for him
3:11:10out of there we do have one call now
3:11:12here of these vulnerable Democratic
3:11:14seats it just came in the last few
3:11:16minutes this is the Virginia Beach area
3:11:18the second district this goes to
3:11:19Republicans so that's a sixth gain for
3:11:22Republicans that we've we've shown you
3:11:24but keep this in mind at the start of
3:11:26the night you said there were three
3:11:28tiers to Virginia we said that the
3:11:30second district was kind of the Baseline
3:11:32Republicans on just the kind of like uh
3:11:34okay night would get Virginia two and
3:11:37nothing else on a good night they'd get
3:11:39Virginia to Virginia seven on a great
3:11:41night to get Virginia 2 Virginia 7
3:11:43Virginia Tech they're going to get
3:11:44Virginia two so that tells you the kind
3:11:46of night overall it's been yeah that's a
3:11:48flip by the way Jen kiggins winning U.S
3:11:52House seat in Virginia second district
3:11:54is a beat over the incumbent Democrat
3:11:57that is another flip for republicans
3:12:01offense there's a couple others too that
3:12:03were are surprises that we should add to
3:12:04this list and we'll add to this list but
3:12:06this is where Democrats are on offense
3:12:07and where they can have the opportunity
3:12:09to offset those gains that I just showed
3:12:12you or some of those gains that I just
3:12:13showed you so for instance take a look
3:12:15at Illinois's 13th District this one was
3:12:18redrawn used to be a republican held
3:12:20District Illinois Democrats were
3:12:22aggressive with the redistricting and
3:12:23you can see the Democrat with more than
3:12:2560 percent of the votes leading here
3:12:27this District as it was redrawn is a
3:12:29Biden plus 11 District if this holds as
3:12:32a democratic as a democratic win it's a
3:12:35pickup it offsets one of those
3:12:37Republican gains I showed you this if it
3:12:40holds and it's now a 14 point Advantage
3:12:42for Hillary Sultan over John Gibbs in
3:12:43Michigan's Third District would be a
3:12:45democratic pickup remember this is the
3:12:47district where Republicans ousted Peter
3:12:49Meyer the pro-impement Republican in the
3:12:52primary replaced him with the pro charm
3:12:54Gibbs this would be a pickup for
3:12:55Democrats would offset what I was just
3:12:57showing you earlier Texas 34 this is
3:13:00where over this summer Myra Flores again
3:13:03Deep South Texas trended away from the
3:13:06Democrats in 2020 this summer Myra
3:13:08Flores won a special election in so she
3:13:11is the incumbent in this District
3:13:12Vicente Gonzalez actually is a member of
3:13:15Congress who's was redrawn and moved
3:13:18into this District so this is a
3:13:20republican seat right now that has two
3:13:22Republicans running in uh running in it
3:13:24so this would be if Gonzalez holds on
3:13:27here this would be a game for Democrats
3:13:29that would potentially offset a loss we
3:13:31were just showing you in the 15th
3:13:32District look at Ohio's First District
3:13:35we're getting up to 90 percent of the
3:13:36vote in here Cincinnati City Councilman
3:13:38Greg landsman continues to lead Steve
3:13:41Shabbat again District redrawn here
3:13:43Cincinnati based we could take a look at
3:13:46what's still to come in this District
3:13:47the Republican area basically all in
3:13:50Cincinnati still votes to come and
3:13:52landsman is ahead these everything I'm
3:13:55showing you here would be a democratic
3:13:56game we haven't even North Carolina 13
3:13:59is coming right down to the Y higher but
3:14:01the Democrat ahead by two points with 90
3:14:03percent counted we have you know New
3:14:05Mexico too 77 percent of the vote this
3:14:09was the redraw in New Mexico was also
3:14:12very aggressive this was a very
3:14:13Republican District that was redrawn to
3:14:16become a Biden plus six District Yvette
3:14:18Harold's the Republican incumbent and
3:14:20look at this with more than three
3:14:21quarters of the vote in Yvette Harold
3:14:23Harrell is trailing in the tally right
3:14:25now again these these would all be
3:14:27Democratic pickups by the way you've
3:14:29probably got most the results coming in
3:14:32within the next 45 minutes I'd say so
3:14:35far are if they hold huge if there would
3:14:40offset those Republican games that we
3:14:42already showed you on the first page and
3:14:44so what becomes key at this point and
3:14:46what's starting to come into Focus I
3:14:47think is first of all how important in
3:14:49the next couple of hours those races in
3:14:52New York are five demo Democratic held
3:14:55seats where I think we're gonna get a
3:14:57lot of information the next couple of
3:14:58hours can Democrats hold those seats and
3:15:01the other major piece of this if
3:15:03Democrats can emerge from that without
3:15:05suffering too much damage California is
3:15:08a is a place where Democrats you can see
3:15:10it right here one two three four four
3:15:15Republican districts in California one
3:15:19by Joe Biden so if the Democrats can get
3:15:22through the next couple of hours and
3:15:25have those Republican gains you know in
3:15:27single digits they would have a chance
3:15:29at control of the house and you really
3:15:31would look at an election that's coming
3:15:34down to can they pick off these
3:15:36Democrats these Republican held seats
3:15:38out in California and I'd warn you ahead
3:15:41of time if it does come down to that the
3:15:44count in California really is a slow one
3:15:47it will take it will take weeks and if
3:15:49we're in a situation where this is just
3:15:51a couple of seats these are the
3:15:53districts are they suggesting count
3:15:54California is slow what one other one
3:15:58just because I'm desperately curious
3:15:59before we go can I ask you about
3:16:01Colorado three let's I was curious
3:16:03myself let's and you notice what a
3:16:06surprise that was this we didn't have it
3:16:07on that list there but take a look uh
3:16:09almost nothing has happened since we
3:16:11checked in uh I think they were at 72
3:16:14percent the last time we checked in but
3:16:15it remains basically a four point
3:16:17Advantage for the Democrat Adam Frisch
3:16:19over Lauren bobert and we just break the
3:16:21look at the counties here just gonna say
3:16:23we don't know anything about the what's
3:16:24still outstanding yeah no I mean we have
3:16:26two yes you can show you real grand here
3:16:29this is Trump by 18. you know this is a
3:16:32time and what we've been seeing is that
3:16:34Frisch has been running you know about
3:16:36five six seven points ahead of Biden's
3:16:38number so potentially this could be a
3:16:40good County for him if he runs five six
3:16:43let's go ahead and pull off these house
3:16:45results here for a moment and uh just
3:16:47get a little bit of an overall overview
3:16:48by the way it does look like
3:16:51um the existing
3:16:52um temporary replacement governor in New
3:16:54York has as one her
3:16:56governorship
3:16:59and that is being called now
3:17:02now Georgia had 85 percent reporting the
3:17:06lead for Herschel Walker at 24 000 votes
3:17:09got to get over 50 to avoid that runoff
3:17:12though
3:17:13Oregon's Ron Lyden holding his lead
3:17:17that's not a surprise Pat Murray holding
3:17:19his lead uh a patio sorry Hurley uh not
3:17:23a surprise uh Ohio Vance 54 this was an
3:17:28expectation grassley's win uh this is
3:17:32getting tight uh percentage-wise but
3:17:35again 72 percent of the world vote in
3:17:37Pennsylvania and uh you know you've got
3:17:39a spread here of what 50 40 46 000 uh
3:17:44votes it's it's almost been that same
3:17:47spread for about the last 15-20 minutes
3:17:49here and those votes you know it's they
3:17:52keep coming in but fetterman just is
3:17:54holding that lead above Oz it is a nail
3:17:57biter but it's being held Herschel
3:18:00Walker same spot let's go ahead and look
3:18:03at the needles so the needle now down to
3:18:0672 percent for Republican potential
3:18:09house control could still get a sweep
3:18:12here
3:18:13entirely possible that uh that
3:18:15Republicans take both
3:18:17uh
3:18:18uh not your traditional sweep where
3:18:20where it would be all three but it it is
3:18:22what you can get in the midterm 64 cents
3:18:26though on for a senate uh controlled by
3:18:29democrats on predicted 87 cents for
3:18:33house
3:18:36all right let's see out here they're
3:18:38talking fetterman right now
3:18:40remember just because they want
3:18:42Republican control of the Senate are
3:18:45they going to be excited about coming
3:18:47out and voting for that guy stand alone
3:18:49if the control of the Senate has already
3:18:51been decided
3:18:53so it's heartbreaking to see Sherry
3:18:55Beasley come that close it's
3:18:57heartbreaking that we didn't have the
3:18:59ground game in Ohio and North Carolina
3:19:01that we'd like to see but it just shows
3:19:04us that we can't give up on those dates
3:19:06especially North Carolina because that's
3:19:09a state that should definitely be in
3:19:11play for the presidential overall Rachel
3:19:14it's been a good night for women
3:19:17it's been a bad night for Donald Trump
3:19:19it's interesting with Sherry Beasley too
3:19:22I think we were all talking here I don't
3:19:25know I think it's a little too early to
3:19:26say it's a bad night for Donald Trump uh
3:19:29you know let's see how the night ends up
3:19:32yeah remember he did uh he did give a
3:19:34nice little slam to Ron DeSantis uh
3:19:37threatening to potentially expose Rhonda
3:19:40Sanchez with some inside info if uh Ron
3:19:43Santa sends a running for president
3:19:46let's listen in over here to Fox for a
3:19:48little bit a lot of money losing
3:19:50elections on a night like this when you
3:19:52have what I would describe as a
3:19:55disappointing performance from a number
3:19:57of different uh Republican Senate
3:19:59candidates you wonder how much of that
3:20:01money that flowed into Stacey Abrams
3:20:04coffers incumbent Democrat uh Marcy
3:20:07captor wins re-election to U.S House in
3:20:10Ohio's ninth
3:20:12Democratic incumbent Ron Wyden wins
3:20:17and Oregon
3:20:21times yeah that could be the Difference
3:20:23Maker but I everyone my sources in
3:20:25Georgia told me he got the 54 that meant
3:20:28Walker might get the 50. so I think Fred
3:20:30Britton is something there he's at 49.4
3:20:32right now
3:20:34um Walker in this race 40 we have him at
3:20:3649.1 and the libertarian candidate at 70
3:20:40000. wow that's 5 000 votes apart right
3:20:42now
3:20:43sure can
3:20:44um
3:20:46Jeff says you're saying that okay so
3:20:49you've got estimated about 85 percent is
3:20:51in
3:20:52and Walker is shy of the 50 marker well
3:20:55what I I look at the difference here
3:20:57guys we're talking
3:20:594 400 votes between the two of them do
3:21:02you remember when we didn't have the
3:21:03difference on the on the graphics
3:21:08that's what I've been doing I've been
3:21:10doing mental math
3:21:13it was just ugly
3:21:16um I will play I I would direct the
3:21:18audience of these 16 Metro counties
3:21:20around Atlanta and as we do that here
3:21:24here's what I would say just I mean this
3:21:26rudimentary analysis right now if if our
3:21:28estimated vote in is 85 percent
3:21:30Statewide just keep your keep your eye
3:21:34see if I can do this okay let me try uh
3:21:37hold on a second Colby is suggesting
3:21:39that Ohio was just called uh Ohio is the
3:21:43uh the Vance lead yep uh that's been
3:21:46called 93 of the vote in
3:21:49Oz fetterman 41 000 votes apart Hershel
3:21:545 000 votes ahead these are such tight
3:21:58races and Arizona still haven't gotten
3:22:00any kind of new data dump or uh more
3:22:03suitcases so just waiting
3:22:05we hear south of Atlanta Clayton's
3:22:08almost all the way in
3:22:10fayette's at 80 percent
3:22:12Henry County is almost all the way in
3:22:14you see you see how this is coming in
3:22:17here now Rockdale 99. Newton is 93. did
3:22:21I check this one yeah Gwinnett 48 we'll
3:22:23come back to that one with Warnock the
3:22:26point being sorry and where's Athens
3:22:28um I'm gonna show you that in one second
3:22:31um
3:22:33if Warnock is going to be able to pull
3:22:36this out and get over 50 percent
3:22:38a lot of those votes from the
3:22:40surrounding counties that it's not a lot
3:22:42of boat that's still a lot of Republican
3:22:43Bud defeats Democrat Beasley in
3:22:46Republican held U.S Senate seat so that
3:22:49is staying uh U.S Senate controlled by
3:22:52uh or republican held rather
3:22:55Democratic incumbent
3:22:58Murray defeats Republican Challenger
3:23:00Tiffany
3:23:01in U.S tenancy so no flips here which he
3:23:05played football at Georgia but you can
3:23:06bet a lot of this Georgia red out here
3:23:08is going for Walker what does it look
3:23:10like in terms of how much of that is in
3:23:12and how much is not in those ready in
3:23:14those red areas
3:23:15um I mean I could pop around Brit and uh
3:23:18it might be a little it might be an
3:23:20interesting Clark County is at almost
3:23:21100 percent again those numbers can
3:23:24change too does your purple work no yeah
3:23:27great call okay here we go
3:23:30so most of this as I look at it here is
3:23:34surrounding this Atlanta area here uh
3:23:37and then you got a few others down here
3:23:39in South that's a good I would that's a
3:23:41good tool there shows you not too much
3:23:43in and those more rural areas be a
3:23:45county where it was the purple was more
3:23:48vibrant so you've got you got a lot of
3:23:50vote out there right now okay it appears
3:23:52to be a Walker County president Trump
3:23:54two years ago well look what he did in
3:23:56Walton County okay so you've got some
3:23:58vote out there uh for Herschel Walker
3:24:00let me come out here and go back to our
3:24:03purple what do you see on here I see a
3:24:05few down here I see one right along the
3:24:08border here with South Carolina and see
3:24:10what that is that's Columbia County well
3:24:12that sounds familiar doesn't it Walkers
3:24:14is 68 Trump was in that county he was
3:24:18okay so an over performance now uh in
3:24:22this part of the state for Herschel
3:24:24Walker so I I would say right okay that
3:24:27vote is now 1 000 apart it's so close
3:24:30it's about well it's about a 1400
3:24:32difference right now between Walker and
3:24:34and uh Warnock that it's getting so
3:24:37tight fetterman and Oz oh we just got a
3:24:39little bit of a data dump in favor there
3:24:41fetterman uh that was getting really
3:24:43tight but it spread just spread by an
3:24:46additional 24 000 about 64 000 apart
3:24:49right now
3:24:50getting to the point where as our very
3:24:54China lifts lockdown around the area
3:24:56affecting Foxconn AKA iPhone City very
3:25:00much in play with a number of states
3:25:02both out west and in Georgia we'll do
3:25:06this again can you pull up can you pull
3:25:08up New York
3:25:09um 17 and take a look at how Maloney
3:25:12this is like an ordering at a restaurant
3:25:15[Laughter]
3:25:18and the California roll
3:25:21no Mark don't don't order the sushi
3:25:25great question Martha really good this
3:25:27is New York 17 here okay so you're just
3:25:30north of New York City or Hudson Valley
3:25:32uh this is going to win right exactly it
3:25:35looks like Mike Lawler turned out to be
3:25:36a real good candidate and Sean Patrick
3:25:38Maloney's down by about 10 points but
3:25:41about 70 percent of the vote counted I
3:25:43tell you what I find interesting if you
3:25:45move up the Hudson Valley here you go up
3:25:47to New York 18. look what you're seeing
3:25:49here all right Pat Ryan is just hanging
3:25:51on over Colin Schmidt both these guys
3:25:53are veterans Pat Ryan ran and that
3:25:55special election back in August they
3:25:57liked this candidate a lot and I would
3:25:59just say before we get a couple more
3:26:01race calls this is New York 19. Mark
3:26:03molinara has just taken the lead over
3:26:05Riley molinar was the one who lost to
3:26:08Pat Ryan just about three months ago get
3:26:11some race calls right now sir thank you
3:26:12okay so we can project that Michigan
3:26:15Democratic governor Gretchen Whitmer
3:26:17will prevail over Republican Tudor Dixon
3:26:20in that Michigan race very closely
3:26:23watched Dixon was able to close the gap
3:26:25there towards the end but Whitmer has
3:26:28pulled out another term as Governor of
3:26:30Michigan we can also project that New
3:26:32York Governor Kathy hokel will win her
3:26:34first full term in office defeating
3:26:36Republican house Congressman Lee zeldin
3:26:39now this race you couldn't you know
3:26:42project at the beginning that it was
3:26:43going to be as close as it was there
3:26:45were Democrats in this state that were
3:26:47saying this is a done deal and zeldon
3:26:50was going to to win but Kathy hokel
3:26:52pulls it out I will point out that she
3:26:53bought brought in every luminary in the
3:26:56Democratic party including former
3:26:58president Obama former President Clinton
3:27:00uh secretary Clinton the whole panoply
3:27:04you know Brett I just keep wondering
3:27:05what the Florida effect might have been
3:27:07on Lee zeldin a lot of people moved out
3:27:09of New York City and he had to get at
3:27:13least 30 percent I think 1.4 million
3:27:15votes in New York City and that may have
3:27:18been where he fell short I think we lost
3:27:2050 000 residents in New York City in
3:27:23August alone uh and it'll be interesting
3:27:25to see if some of the explosion that we
3:27:27saw in Florida is partly people who are
3:27:29disgruntled and Lefty future is now read
3:27:32by the way uh we've got Dow futures down
3:27:350.22 percent uh we've got uh strong
3:27:39chart here here we go Dow futures down
3:27:41point two three percent s p Futures down
3:27:43point one nine percent as that Futures
3:27:44down Point whoa oh five our bonds bond
3:27:49yields moving up a little bit
3:27:51CPI data Thursday morning 5 30 a.m
3:27:55California time
3:27:56be there be square
3:27:58I'll be there
3:28:00and these awesome ballet races as well
3:28:02be interesting to see what happens with
3:28:03Colin Schmidt and uh Pat Ryan Pat Ryan
3:28:06considered one of the best Democratic
3:28:08candidates that's been out there but
3:28:09Colin Schmidt right on his heels
3:28:11um the other thing is Lee zeldin brought
3:28:15you know he finally was able to get
3:28:16media attention for a really big issue
3:28:19in New York especially in New York City
3:28:21and that is crime in this city and part
3:28:24of what you see in Long Island and the
3:28:26Hudson Valley is a they come into New
3:28:29York to work and their children come
3:28:32here to work or their children are
3:28:33living here and they're upset about it
3:28:34and they're worried a little bit of a
3:28:37shame I think for Lee zeldin that he
3:28:39gave it that much of a shot now there is
3:28:42a senate race in a couple of years I
3:28:46believe in New York I think I have that
3:28:48right
3:28:49um he's shown that he can at least get a
3:28:50foothold uh he had never won state would
3:28:53have never run in a Statewide race
3:28:54before maybe he will try to give it
3:28:56another shot there was one other race in
3:28:57New York that bill was showing because I
3:28:59like this Canada up there um Lauren
3:29:02Singletary and New York 25 this is at
3:29:05Rochester one of the highest crime rate
3:29:08flip-flop Burger held on right slotkin's
3:29:11another one of those front line
3:29:12Democrats this is a Democrat zero plus
3:29:14nine it's a 50 50 District children won
3:29:16it by less than one percentage Point by
3:29:19these lines so you're looking at this
3:29:20you're saying Red County Red County Red
3:29:22County this is a very Republican County
3:29:25by 20 points but it's a small County
3:29:27population-wise most of the people in
3:29:29this District live here they live in
3:29:31Ingham County nice Rise by the way here
3:29:34in BTC look at that BTC now push into 18
3:29:39300. nice Trend up here from some of
3:29:42that pain we had just about an hour and
3:29:4515 minutes ago
3:29:48oh we'll see how this Trends lucid's
3:29:51doing great by the way it's actually a
3:29:53very good car
3:29:55I mean it's it's no Tesla with the
3:29:56self-driving right
3:29:59Edison research still projecting a net
3:30:01five seats for Republicans that is uh
3:30:05short of these six potentially needed to
3:30:08flip the house though it does seem like
3:30:12we're still getting a big push
3:30:16or the needles are at least still
3:30:18leaning towards Republican control of
3:30:20the house yeah it's back up to 74 that
3:30:24needle has been bobbing around 71
3:30:25percent to 74 so we'll see what happens
3:30:28here
3:30:30let's do a quick little predicted uh
3:30:32check in here so
3:30:36yeah uh predicted 86 chance on House
3:30:40Republicans
3:30:4267 chance Democrats control the Senate
3:30:47quick Refresh on the times chart here
3:30:50times chart shows uh Warnock and Walker
3:30:55within 700 votes of each other
3:30:59700 votes apart this is insane
3:31:02and you got Pennsylvania here
3:31:05you got uh Oz close again 41 000 votes
3:31:10apart 77 of the votes in Arizona uh this
3:31:15is actually tightening look at that uh
3:31:17well is it now I think it's been 58.40
3:31:20and we still haven't actually really
3:31:21gotten a good good push of data here
3:31:23just sort of that early voting data
3:31:25coming in
3:31:27all right keep going here through the
3:31:29building blocks if you're trying to
3:31:30think we'll stand by for CNN projection
3:31:32they say these front line Democrats who
3:31:34are in the tough districts they're going
3:31:36to watch especially as we get closer to
3:31:38knowing calling more races in the East
3:31:40and coming out to the west and so you
3:31:42see more light races out here we'll
3:31:44continue to count them again Republicans
3:31:46favor to take the House Majority but
3:31:48you're looking at this map right now
3:31:49Jake and it is incredibly competitive
3:31:51the Democrats fighting tenaciously at
3:31:53least to limit that that's right John
3:31:55and we have some more projections for
3:31:57you for the U.S Senate CNN for Jackson
3:31:59Washington State incumbent Democratic
3:32:01senator Patty Murray will hold on to her
3:32:03seat defeating a challenge from
3:32:05Republican Tiffany Smiley Patty Murray
3:32:08senator Patty Murray re-elected CNN
3:32:10projects and then just south of
3:32:12Washington in Oregon CNN projection
3:32:14incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden
3:32:16will defeat a Challenge from Joe Ray
3:32:18Perkins so that's two Democratic seats
3:32:21held on where does that leave us in the
3:32:23balance of power obviously you know 100
3:32:25seats right now we have Democrats with
3:32:2746 of them we're probably applicants
3:32:29with 46 of them eight seats remaining
3:32:32remember Republicans just need to pick
3:32:34up one net Democratic seat in order to
3:32:36rest control of the U.S Senate right now
3:32:39it's 46-46 and John King Big Picture
3:32:42let's look at the US Senate here we have
3:32:4448 Democrats leading one in a republican
3:32:47seat that's Pennsylvania 49 Republicans
3:32:50leading one in a democratic seat that's
3:32:52Georgia
3:32:53right and so let's come back to this
3:32:55let's listen to uh Pennsylvania's
3:32:56Governor here
3:33:07and determination and willingness to
3:33:11work for it every single day it's almost
3:33:14like he's trying to channel his Ron
3:33:16DeSantis a little bit
3:33:17[Applause]
3:33:22well my name was all about
3:33:26it was always yours it was always your
3:33:30futures that were on the line right here
3:33:35and indeed I believe this governor's
3:33:37race was a test of each of us to decide
3:33:41what kind of comical what kind of
3:33:43country do we want to live in
3:33:47all right we got a little bit of
3:33:49widening again for fetterman not looking
3:33:52great for us here although again still
3:33:54that rural area let's go ahead and take
3:33:55a look at that rural area because I
3:33:57think this is really this is going to be
3:33:59one of those races that um you know if
3:34:01Oz could pull it off
3:34:04uh it's it's gonna be a and the same
3:34:07thing for Walker if they can pull off a
3:34:09republican win here
3:34:11you could pretty much uh confirm a
3:34:13senate controlled by Republicans but uh
3:34:17let's see what we got here so where are
3:34:20some low votes
3:34:23I mean it really looks like most of
3:34:25these areas are 85 Plus in uh 95 percent
3:34:29here we go we've got a beaver beaver
3:34:31County 77 and voting for Oz lower
3:34:35population Erie County over here pretty
3:34:37dang split
3:34:39uh what do we have here Center County 95
3:34:43votes in 76 in for fetterman over Oz and
3:34:47uh dolphin Dolphin County
3:34:51uh Lehigh County you've got uh fetterman
3:34:55just crushing us over here on the coast
3:34:57like Philadelphia seems like Oz has like
3:35:00no votes look at that fetterman at 81
3:35:03versus Oz at 18 it's getting destroyed
3:35:06in Philadelphia and all of this East
3:35:08Coast right here
3:35:09just not doing well much more clearly
3:35:13liberal over here on this side much more
3:35:15blue
3:35:17uh okay
3:35:19let's see here I've got any latest stay
3:35:22Arizona still sitting at 50 coming in a
3:35:24little slow here
3:35:26a little slow for Arizona
3:35:2886 here Walker still ahead by about 700
3:35:33votes Not much got another percent over
3:35:35here and uh
3:35:38still about uh Now 60 65 66 000 votes
3:35:42apart between fetterman and Oz uh
3:35:45widening again in favor of fetterman
3:35:48uh let's look at the needle again
3:35:50remember if you have questions
3:35:52uh or uh want a custom bundle for the
3:35:56programs on building your wealth
3:35:57including building your Revenue now via
3:35:59the a new course on Elite Hustlers make
3:36:02sure to email Kevin meet kevin.com
3:36:04needle at 74 but yeah we'll take care of
3:36:08you Kevin at me kevin.com if you got
3:36:10bundle requests or questions about those
3:36:12courses in that black Friday code link
3:36:14down below Republican odds at 85 cents
3:36:19for the house in 2022 Senate 76 cents
3:36:23Democrat does not look like there's a
3:36:25lot of optimism for for uh
3:36:27uh Republicans to be able to take the
3:36:29Senate wouldn't be surprised
3:36:32I mean it would be it would be quite
3:36:34wild if Democrats kept control of
3:36:35everything we'll see what ends up
3:36:37happening uh that uh that would probably
3:36:40be the worst case scenario for for
3:36:43stocks at least in the short term
3:36:45see how things are moving actually right
3:36:47now so we'll start with BTC
3:36:50BTC actually up eighteen three three
3:36:53five out roughly about where we left it
3:36:56uh Camp fens off Stacy Abrams for a
3:36:59second term in
3:37:02Georgia Dow futures down 0.17 s p
3:37:06Futures down 0.11 NASDAQ futures
3:37:08positive by about .01 kind of nothing
3:37:11yields slightly up
3:37:15all right
3:37:17let's hop on over here
3:37:19it's essentially tracking the
3:37:21presidential race in Cobb County yeah no
3:37:23no Big Red Wave here could have been
3:37:25some complacency honestly it gets 48.
3:37:28this is this this this is one of those
3:37:30counties again if you go California
3:37:31passing a ballot and if initiative in
3:37:34shrining abortion rights in the state
3:37:36constitution 2018 election the suburbs
3:37:39made Nancy Pelosi speaker 2020 they made
3:37:41Joe Biden president you come forward
3:37:43Senate race here that is the challenge
3:37:45of our time without Donald Trump can
3:37:46Republicans become more competitive in
3:37:48the suburbs in Brian Kemps Georgia the
3:37:50answer is yes for him not so much for
3:37:52Herschel Walker where did Newt Gingrich
3:37:54represent former Republican speakers
3:37:55right up in this year the lines have
3:37:57been drawn so much but you're in the
3:37:58same in the same right out here right
3:38:00okay so finally we're looking at
3:38:02Gwinnett County uh they have counted it
3:38:04at this point about 30 30 of the votes
3:38:08they are saying they will not wrap up by
3:38:12midnight tonight so we're waiting to see
3:38:14exactly when they're going to wrap up
3:38:15but of course these are all counties
3:38:17that are leaning uh Democrat so
3:38:20obviously that is going to perhaps shift
3:38:21things as we see these numbers coming in
3:38:23very interesting very interesting and so
3:38:26to that point just you know 56 estimated
3:38:28vote counted in Gwinnett right it's the
3:38:30second largest county in the state it's
3:38:32just shy of nine percent of the vote and
3:38:34so that's why number one it matters when
3:38:36it comes to it's it's a democratic
3:38:38County Warnock will get more votes the
3:38:40question is will you keep that margin
3:38:41the big margin he has now so that you
3:38:44want you watch these come in and you go
3:38:45up from here right you know if you keep
3:38:48this margin in the places where there
3:38:50are more votes uh you're gonna you're
3:38:52gonna move up again I just want to
3:38:54Lindsey Graham's on midterms definitely
3:38:57not a republican wave that's for darn
3:39:00sure he says in more Republican areas
3:39:02where there's a lot of votes out the
3:39:03larger the circle means the larger share
3:39:05of the votes out and you say these
3:39:07little they look almost like polka dots
3:39:08well you know they don't matter but they
3:39:10do they do when you're running up
3:39:12margins like that right you know when
3:39:14you're running at margins like that and
3:39:16so if you keep getting it's a time
3:39:17that's eight thousand votes right you
3:39:19know it's 8 000 votes there so if you
3:39:21add a couple hundred or a couple dozen
3:39:22even in a close race it matters which is
3:39:24why this is a state you know you can
3:39:26look at things you can have Trends The
3:39:28Campaign Headquarters are going through
3:39:29Precinct by Precinct you're looking to
3:39:30race this close with that much left to
3:39:32count you just this is why you brew
3:39:34coffee Biden only won the state by Under
3:39:3712 000 votes in 2020. uh David chalian
3:39:40uh you have some more information at the
3:39:42Battleground desk about where the
3:39:43outstanding vote is yeah or the kind of
3:39:45vote that is outstanding and it gets to
3:39:48the margin issue as well that John was
3:39:50just talking about so again we break it
3:39:53down mail vote early in-person vote
3:39:54election day vote I want to note
3:39:56something here so
3:39:58let me bring in the uncounted vote among
3:40:00the male vote about a quarter of the
3:40:03mail vote is still out and that is a
3:40:0536.5 percent Advantage category for
3:40:09Raphael Warnock so that's significant
3:40:12because a quarter of it is still out
3:40:14um he also has an 8.4 Advantage among
3:40:18early in-person voting but there's very
3:40:20little left of that uh to count here is
3:40:23what I find super interesting Herschel
3:40:26Walker's margin of success over Warnock
3:40:30with election day voters is now at about
3:40:3219.1 percent a little bit lower than we
3:40:36had seen earlier and there was a BTC
3:40:39dropping a little bit at the moment now
3:40:40down to eighteen two Five Guys now it's
3:40:44down to 28.4 percent that remains to be
3:40:46counted and I want to remind everyone
3:40:47I'm going to click off here the election
3:40:49day vote this these two categories of
3:40:51early vote the male early in person
3:40:53combined we expect to be the larger
3:40:56share of the overall vote we expect
3:40:58expect that to make up about 61 percent
3:41:01of the overall vote
3:41:03the election Walker now about 1200 ahead
3:41:07of uh we're not
3:41:09talking about the election day vote that
3:41:12we expect uh that's a little different
3:41:14from what we have here on the CNN screen
3:41:15it looks like 58 actually it looks like
3:41:18CNN has the latest data actually a
3:41:21little bit earlier than the New York
3:41:23Times chart here David's point about the
3:41:25proportion right so the bulk of the vote
3:41:27that's out you know the larger slice
3:41:29warnock's getting the bigger margins and
3:41:31then you see the size of the circles of
3:41:32where where geographically in the state
3:41:35it is that's why if you're in the war
3:41:37not campaign you never want to be behind
3:41:38but there's plenty of votes here there
3:41:40by the proportions David just laid out
3:41:43with the early voting and the mail votes
3:41:44if if it continues if they continue to
3:41:47come in is disproportionately democratic
3:41:50as they are now and you see the size of
3:41:52the circles meaning the share of where
3:41:54he's got the margin the percentages of
3:41:57the different kinds of votes and then
3:41:58you say where are they coming from and
3:42:00you look at this this is not over this
3:42:03this is not over and they're both below
3:42:0450 by the way now we'll see when it
3:42:06comes in I have I have something I want
3:42:08to talk to you about with Pennsylvania
3:42:09yeah but before but before we do that
3:42:11I'm going to throw it to Anderson Cooper
3:42:13uh whose panel who's a gust panel wants
3:42:16to chew over uh all of all of what we've
3:42:18been doing here we finished chewing on
3:42:20the pizza we're now ready on this and
3:42:22God knows what else we've been chewing
3:42:24on a lot of a lot of food here uh Gloria
3:42:26I mean this is not the night
3:42:28a lot of Democrats worried about a lot
3:42:30of Republicans hoped for uh it may be
3:42:33different tomorrow in the morning or in
3:42:35the late afternoon or the next day but
3:42:36tonight it looks different than a lot of
3:42:38people thought people are voting and
3:42:40it's seems to me from looking at this so
3:42:43far
3:42:44that they're voting on their candidates
3:42:47they're actually saying you know I think
3:42:50this person would be a better Senator
3:42:52than that other person and I think you
3:42:55know this a House member would be better
3:42:57than another one it's just looking at
3:42:58the needles we're at 75 chance of
3:43:00Republican control for the house I'm
3:43:03gonna
3:43:03I'm gonna vote
3:43:04straight Republican or you know we don't
3:43:07see a lot of ticket splitting
3:43:08historically in this country I know the
3:43:10state of Montana is kind of famous for
3:43:12that but other than that we don't see
3:43:14that a lot and I think what we're seeing
3:43:17tonight is people uh doing that I mean
3:43:20look at um uh you know look at the State
3:43:23of New Hampshire for example you have
3:43:25very popular Republican uh income of
3:43:28governor and then people uh elected and
3:43:32he was up for reelection sununu and then
3:43:35you had Maggie Hassan winning for Senate
3:43:37so people were splitting their tickets
3:43:40and I think that's what we're seeing
3:43:42yeah I would just say like everyone
3:43:44talked about this early on democracies
3:43:46on the ballot ABC is calling Alabama
3:43:48Senate race for Katie Britt
3:43:53we'll be filling the seat held by
3:43:55Richard Shelby who's retiring after 35
3:43:58years
3:44:00NBC oh okay we already covered that
3:44:03covered that
3:44:05me me
3:44:08all right
3:44:09let's keep going
3:44:12I'm a lot less a lot less optimistic
3:44:15than I was at the beginning this evening
3:44:17but um it is it's uh it's it's a night
3:44:19that's um it's changing and we're gonna
3:44:21see uh we talked about this too what the
3:44:23number Kevin McCarthy has under 20
3:44:26you know we're talking people thought
3:44:27maybe 30 right right if we get 20 I
3:44:30think Republicans would be happy to walk
3:44:31away with a net gain of 20 and and take
3:44:34their ball and go home tomorrow I think
3:44:35yeah I'm sorry well is that I think that
3:44:37big sound that you hear is Democrats
3:44:39having a big sigh of relief across the
3:44:42country because people walk up scared
3:44:43this morning people said my God we've
3:44:46got these election deniers we've got
3:44:47these people who are winking and not at
3:44:49an insurrectionist we've got people who
3:44:51we are afraid if they get in there
3:44:53they're going to do terrible things and
3:44:55we're just going to get Steamroller that
3:44:56was the fear this morning I gotta say
3:44:58man you were the person
3:45:00I don't know saying no you were the
3:45:02birds for days saying the people I'm
3:45:04talking to on the ground are bike
3:45:06knocking on the doors yeah are telling
3:45:08me they're optimistic about it exactly
3:45:10we talked when you were listening to the
3:45:12people on the doors and on the ground
3:45:13what happened was people got scared of
3:45:16those Republican polls saying that that
3:45:18this big title way was coming and people
3:45:20said heck
3:45:21and and let me just you get your
3:45:24attorney I'll give my turn and I will
3:45:26say Arizona is uh from what I'm reading
3:45:28looking to be a very big toss-up that's
3:45:31gonna be a while before we get Arizona's
3:45:34info
3:45:36uh so that's uh in terms of all the data
3:45:39so that's interesting super tight
3:45:41obviously on on the walker uh Warnock
3:45:45and it doesn't look like
3:45:47Dr Oz is gonna make it
3:45:51someone here asking question who guides
3:45:53the gerrymandering red versus blue money
3:45:55or local power well I mean
3:45:58in Most states the legislature
3:46:00determines that
3:46:02and the problem with the legislature is
3:46:05uh you know most often you have
3:46:08commissions that make recommendations
3:46:09and they're kind of like here just vote
3:46:11on this uh so you know and commissions
3:46:15can be
3:46:16you know they're supposed to be
3:46:17independent but they're often uh
3:46:19uh you know
3:46:21of course there's there's typically
3:46:23influence whether that's indirectly or
3:46:26directly through lobbyists or whatever
3:46:27it's it's a giant mess let's just put it
3:46:29that way
3:46:30but yeah generally it would be the
3:46:32legislature in Most states I'd say
3:46:35close to 40 States
3:46:38this is
3:46:43John fetterman uh ahead by about 60 000
3:46:47votes in Pennsylvania with 82 percent in
3:46:50and Georgia 86 in but I think CNN had
3:46:56this moved up to 80 uh um
3:46:58sorry 86 yeah uh they had this moved up
3:47:01to 88 in still a little bit of a walker
3:47:04lead there
3:47:07Democrat Governor
3:47:10Blumenthal defeats Republican Challenger
3:47:12for race for Senate C
3:47:15in Connecticut
3:47:16staying Democratic up here
3:47:19Blumenthal
3:47:21getting cold
3:47:22getting cold around
3:47:26see here how those sticks
3:47:29the needle 74 chance down from 75
3:47:33percent again
3:47:35go into the predicted betting markets
3:47:38what do we have over here we have
3:47:4186
3:47:42on Republicans taking the house
3:47:48oops
3:47:4977 on Democratic control of the Senate
3:47:52and that's obviously what we're paying
3:47:54pretty close attention to in a few of
3:47:56these races let's make sure we have the
3:47:58latest here
3:48:01mm-hmm
3:48:04not quite let me see if I can get
3:48:06Bloomberg to give us a little bit more
3:48:09of the latest on the Senate
3:48:12yeah because Walker yeah we got 88
3:48:14Walker at 49.2 Warnock at 48.a
3:48:19Senate over here
3:48:22what do we have we have yeah here we got
3:48:2687 reported similar to what we see and
3:48:29again uh 62 900 votes more for fetterman
3:48:33over Oz 900 vote lead by Walker and uh
3:48:39right now Kelly is substantially leading
3:48:41Masters but this is another place even
3:48:43though right now it seems like it's a
3:48:45slam dunk for Dems it's actually being
3:48:47considered one of the toss-up States so
3:48:49we'll see
3:48:50uh looks like we just got a little bit
3:48:51more down over here for fetterman
3:48:54no okay no nothing new all right keep
3:48:58listening on him
3:49:00this is this is the time that the
3:49:02Republican party needs to ask themselves
3:49:03are they going to continue to nominate
3:49:05poor can't poor quality candidates to
3:49:08appease Donald Trump he's right now over
3:49:10on his truth social site celebrating the
3:49:13demise of Republicans who lost
3:49:14criticizing Don bolduck a bad candidate
3:49:16Maggie Hassan was a beatable candidate
3:49:18that could have been a pickup for
3:49:19Republicans but solely because of Donald
3:49:21Trump he ended up being the nominee he's
3:49:24celebrating oday a moderate losing in
3:49:26Colorado if you want the Republican
3:49:28party to thrive we've got to just
3:49:30finally speak out and say this man is a
3:49:32loser he lost 2020 he's about to you
3:49:35know he's losing his seats that were
3:49:36winnable this time in time to look
3:49:38toward what the future might look like
3:49:39is there is there another lesson here
3:49:41also which is that people are kind of
3:49:44sick of both parties in so many ways the
3:49:47fact that it wasn't declarative one way
3:49:48or another again we don't know all the
3:49:51results but the people are just saying
3:49:53look I'm going to look at this candidate
3:49:54because yeah the Democrats I don't like
3:49:57I don't like the way they've handled the
3:49:59economy
3:50:00uh but you know the Republicans are
3:50:03threatening democracy and maybe they're
3:50:05figuring you know what I don't like any
3:50:07of these guys
3:50:09I think the ticket splitting is
3:50:11encouraged I've got to go to more
3:50:13Sanchez for a projection
3:50:15yeah Jake two important projections to
3:50:17bring you beginning with the race in New
3:50:20York this race got very close and early
3:50:22at the end but in actuality when the
3:50:24votes were counted it wasn't very close
3:50:26at all incumbent Democrat Kathy hokel
3:50:28winning her first full term in office
3:50:30she took over of course for disgraced
3:50:32former Governor Andrew Cuomo after he
3:50:34resigned she defeats Congressman Lee
3:50:36zeldin to win a first full term in the
3:50:39state of New York next an update for you
3:50:41from the state
3:50:43of Minnesota Tim Waltz the incumbent
3:50:46Democrat projected to win re-election
3:50:47there against Scott Jensen a physician
3:50:50who made some uh dubious claims about
3:50:52the covid-19 vaccine two Democratic
3:50:55incumbents holding on to the governor's
3:50:56mansion in those two now by the way
3:50:58leaning 75 house control Republicans
3:51:04was a
3:51:06Biden one
3:51:07more than once
3:51:09where people were looking and saying is
3:51:11this uh a situation where high crime
3:51:15concern about the economy will actually
3:51:18do in a democrat in a very blue State
3:51:21and the answer tonight is no yeah I mean
3:51:24I think that those issues were very real
3:51:26in this race I think it was maybe closer
3:51:29than the Democrats wanted it to be but
3:51:31at the end of the day the fundamentals
3:51:33of the state of New York kicked in here
3:51:35and Kathy hokel is now an elected
3:51:38governor of that state Democrats Seth
3:51:42expected to win U.S health seed in Rhode
3:51:44Island second that is uh and was a
3:51:49democratic seat
3:51:52fetterman now with 82 percent of the
3:51:54vote still a good 65 spread there looks
3:51:59like that's probably going to go D here
3:52:00and that's now being listed as very
3:52:03likely Democrat for fetterman still
3:52:06toss-up in Georgia it's really going to
3:52:09come down to what ends up happening in
3:52:10Arizona uh it's going to be a hot minute
3:52:13though until uh those numbers come in
3:52:15we'll see what numbers come in in just
3:52:17eight minutes
3:52:18uh midnight East Coast 9 A.M Cali time
3:52:24we thought they were going to and Lee
3:52:26zeldin beat Kathy hokel up on the issue
3:52:29of crime
3:52:31there was some split uh ticket voting
3:52:35here as people going in and saying you
3:52:37know Top Line here this is what I care
3:52:39about inflation
3:52:40yeah
3:52:42the elected government talking the same
3:52:45nonsense
3:52:46finally
3:52:48I agree is Janet Mill she was facing a
3:52:51challenge from former Republican
3:52:53Governor Paul LePage who likes to call
3:52:55himself Trump before there was Trump
3:52:57Janet Mills has beaten Trump before
3:52:59there was Trump Paul LePage falls short
3:53:02in his challenge Janet Mills is
3:53:04re-elected in the great state of Maine
3:53:06and now here's the characterization
3:53:07change this is the Minnesota governor's
3:53:09race this is still described as too
3:53:12early to call this is incumbent Democrat
3:53:14Tim Walls facing Republican Scott Jensen
3:53:17it's still too early to call but Tim
3:53:18Wallace is described as being in the
3:53:20lead in this Minnesota governor's race
3:53:24Chris I you wanted to jump in and ask
3:53:26Steve something and I stopped you from
3:53:28doing it because I had to do that I'm
3:53:28sorry first of all that was remarkable
3:53:31and I don't think I know anything in the
3:53:33world as well as Steve knows the house
3:53:35races yeah like Corey we yeah we got big
3:53:38news yeah okay should we go to you then
3:53:41I'm starting to control
3:53:48goodbye here here's what I'm here's what
3:53:49I wanted to ask you I think at this
3:53:52point in the evening am I correct that
3:53:53Elaine Lauria is the only Democratic
3:53:56incumbent defeated by a republican
3:53:58Challenger we've called malinowski right
3:54:00now looking
3:54:01pretty dicey but at 11 54 I think we've
3:54:05got one Democratic incumbent ousted by a
3:54:09republican Challenger in the house in
3:54:11the house right and here's what I can
3:54:13tell you now our decision desk has been
3:54:15watching all of these districts that
3:54:17I've been running through here running a
3:54:20model trying to come up with a
3:54:22projection for how the house will
3:54:24ultimately end up and the decision desk
3:54:26is now ready to release its model for
3:54:29the house now I want you to remember
3:54:30control of the house is
3:54:33218 seats our decision desks model that
3:54:37they've just released within the last
3:54:39minute is that the Republicans will end
3:54:41up with
3:54:43219 seats but look this is important or
3:54:47minus
3:54:4813. what
3:54:51so this is essentially Landing in our
3:54:55model as a tie at the moment as close as
3:54:58you could get to a tie for house control
3:55:01in our model at midnight on Election
3:55:05night so all of those different tiers
3:55:08that I'm showing you right now and all
3:55:10of the trends that are emerging in the
3:55:12counties and the districts that have
3:55:13been called or we have partial results
3:55:15when you this is like the stupidest
3:55:17projection model I've ever heard of in
3:55:20my life okay guys our model has a
3:55:23projection
3:55:24it's a toss-up
3:55:26[Laughter]
3:55:28well like that was the most worthless
3:55:30hype ever so you need 218 you need 218
3:55:35to have control and they're like guys we
3:55:38have the model
3:55:39it's gonna be 219 Republicans with a
3:55:43margin and error of 13.
3:55:47I'm like what is it gonna say margin air
3:55:49of like one or two right no 13. oh my
3:55:53God
3:55:55mother so stupid
3:55:57who will control the house I can't
3:56:00officially make that call for the
3:56:02decision desk but duh because your
3:56:04decision desk doesn't even have a model
3:56:05that does anything it's stupid my my son
3:56:08jack could make a model that's better
3:56:10than 219 plus or minus 13. these are
3:56:13targeting and these California races
3:56:16it's extremely extremely hard to Fathom
3:56:20the scenario where any close race in
3:56:22California any remotely close race in
3:56:25California is called tonight especially
3:56:28given what the stakes have now landed at
3:56:31in terms of house control so again we we
3:56:35said at the start of the night I think
3:56:36it was the start of the night that if we
3:56:38landed in a position where Democrats
3:56:40actually had a chance at controlling the
3:56:42House of Representatives and that would
3:56:44mean Landing with 220 221 seats
3:56:47something like that it would necessarily
3:56:50come down to California to defending
3:56:53their vulnerable seats in California
3:56:54into picking off the vulnerable
3:56:57Republicans the potentially vulnerable
3:56:58Republicans in California and that
3:57:00process do you imagine house control
3:57:02coming down to California 18 midterms if
3:57:04you can if you remember that Blue Wave
3:57:07in 2018 grew by a substantial number of
3:57:10seats in the weeks after the November
3:57:12election as the vote count progressed in
3:57:14California so we have election season
3:57:17getting underway in California where
3:57:19you're going to get you're going to get
3:57:21incremental updates in these districts
3:57:23you know every day you're going to get a
3:57:25couple thousand votes different counties
3:57:27different you know it's going to be
3:57:29uneven and it's going to take mean while
3:57:31while MSNBC can't figure it out uh New
3:57:35York Times is actually pushing
3:57:37uh for 76 control here and it does look
3:57:42like we just got another
3:57:45update from Edison research now
3:57:48suggesting that Republicans have picked
3:57:50up four seats previously held by
3:57:52democrats 100 yet to be called that's
3:57:55down from five where they were earlier
3:57:58net four now House Seats to Republicans
3:58:02let's go take a look and see if we've
3:58:04gotten any more data from the Warnock
3:58:06race
3:58:08and uh still say oh a Warnock now behind
3:58:13by about this is a little spread we got
3:58:15here 2200 plus four six six zero six
3:58:20thousand eight hundred about here that
3:58:23uh Herschel Walker's ahead fetterman
3:58:25yeah it's I think that's almost over
3:58:28here well 82 in man I guess you can't
3:58:31really call it yet that's uh still
3:58:33fetterman 50 to 48 with a spread of uh
3:58:37good spread here about 60
3:58:40000 ish uh you've got Ron Johnson
3:58:44Republican Wisconsin this is a toss up
3:58:48State okay 79 percent of votes in 51 if
3:58:52Republicans can get Wisconsin and then
3:58:55like even one of these Pennsylvania and
3:58:57Georgia
3:58:58it's gonna be interesting
3:59:00uh still waiting for votes over here in
3:59:03Arizona we got a house control let's see
3:59:05how those house raises are looking uh
3:59:09very very very low uh results here from
3:59:12California on these house races
3:59:16Let's uh
3:59:18see what the uh likelys or or the
3:59:21toss-ups are let's do that let's jump
3:59:22over to the house forecast
3:59:25and our key house races yeah we can see
3:59:29these over here California is 13th
3:59:34leaning Dem New York 18 pen seven
3:59:40hmm you know about three of them three
3:59:42of the toss-ups are Cali
3:59:44hey you know every seat matters at this
3:59:46point especially when they tell us it's
3:59:48plus or minus 13 over MSNBC that's such
3:59:50a joke
3:59:51all right come on nine o'clock do we get
3:59:54some numbers yet
3:59:55approval rating for Clinton of nearly 70
3:59:57in Democratic gains in that midterm
4:00:00election and in 2002 George W bush
4:00:02carried a 63 approval rating into the
4:00:06election remember it was a year after 9
4:00:0711. there's a lot of unity behind bush
4:00:10in the nation and Republicans managed a
4:00:11gain of eight seats in the House in
4:00:132002. Joe Biden's approval rating in our
4:00:16poll and in just about every other poll
4:00:18it's right around this coming into this
4:00:19election is 44
4:00:22Donald Trump's approval rating in 2018
4:00:25when his party lost 40 seats was 45 in
4:00:28our poll Barack Obama's approval rating
4:00:31when his party lost 63 seats in 2010 was
4:00:34about 43 Bill Clinton's approval rating
4:00:36when his party lost 54 seats in 1994 was
4:00:4046 Biden's number his approval rating
4:00:44was right in the range where presidents
4:00:47are when their party takes it on the
4:00:49chin in midterm elections and you
4:00:51compound that with the attitude towards
4:00:54the economy that is coming through in
4:00:56every poll vote I know it's in our exit
4:00:59poll there's a tighter margin there
4:01:00between economy and abortion but economy
4:01:02still ranks number one and the mood on
4:01:05the economy in our final NBC poll was 81
4:01:08of Voters expressing dissatisfaction
4:01:11with the state of the economy the
4:01:13context for that was the last time that
4:01:15number was that high was 2009 2010 it
4:01:19was the Prelude to Barack Obama and the
4:01:21Democrats getting absolutely clobbered
4:01:24in the 2010 midterm all right
4:01:26um so you've got um
4:01:30I want to just mention here on predict
4:01:32it 83 chance now of democratic control
4:01:35where it's at least at 83 cents I should
4:01:37say and uh Republicans over here at 77
4:01:42cents in house that 77 cents is the
4:01:45lowest I've seen yet
4:01:46for the potential of house control that
4:01:49the New York Times keeps pushing up that
4:01:51potential house control in the needle
4:01:53slightly
4:01:55oh 89 now on Georgia over here Herschel
4:01:58Walker up by about nine thousand and uh
4:02:02Oz whoa
4:02:04whoa that closed in a little bit here uh
4:02:07uh by about
4:02:0940 49 000 spread now it did close in
4:02:14Oz just got a nice little data dump in
4:02:16his favor
4:02:22let's see let's jump on over
4:02:26to the needles
4:02:3075 chance here on Republican control for
4:02:34house but leaning starting to lean a
4:02:37little Democrat here on the potential
4:02:39for Senate control
4:02:42he might have been motivated based on
4:02:43all those poll numbers we showed to vote
4:02:45for the Democratic party of Joe Biden to
4:02:47vote for Biden's policies to vote for
4:02:49what Democrats but you made also you may
4:02:51also be motivated to keep the
4:02:54Republicans from getting power you may
4:02:56be motivated by this kept coming up in
4:02:58our polling this label threats to
4:03:01democracy as an issue that voters were
4:03:03concerned about in our polling it was
4:03:05overwhelmingly Democratic voters who
4:03:07were giving that answer I think one of
4:03:09the questions raised by these results is
4:03:11the looming presence of Donald Trump his
4:03:14fingerprints are all over so many of
4:03:16these Republican candidacies he was in
4:03:19the News on election morning talking
4:03:22about potentially running for president
4:03:23again in 2024 if that's in the minds of
4:03:27of democratic inclined voters who aren't
4:03:29that nuts about Joe Biden that might
4:03:31motivate them to come out and vote that
4:03:33might have motivated them to come out
4:03:34and vote in this election but this this
4:03:36is looking like in terms of the turnout
4:03:39and in terms of the polarization in
4:03:40terms of this house result someone
4:03:42looking like a mini presidential
4:03:43election it looks like the almost
4:03:44identical polarization Chris I know you
4:03:47you want to jump in here I do need to
4:03:48give a couple of characterizations here
4:03:50before we aren't able to move
4:03:52at this hour NBC News can project a
4:03:55winner in the governor's race in
4:03:57Minnesota the Democratic incumbent Tim
4:03:59Walls has been re-elected in the
4:04:01Minnesota governor's race we've also
4:04:04just had polls close in Hawaii in the
4:04:07Hawaii U.S Senate race we've got a
4:04:08democratic incumbent Brian Schatz facing
4:04:11a republican Challenge from Bob
4:04:12McDermott this is too early to call but
4:04:15shots is leading in the Hawaii
4:04:17governor's race
4:04:19the Hawaii governor's race at this hour
4:04:21is too early to call but we can say the
4:04:25Democratic candidate Josh Green is
4:04:27leading in the Hawaii governor's race we
4:04:29also have a Statewide race to tell you
4:04:31about that's of national interest in
4:04:33Michigan the Secretary of State the
4:04:35incumbent Democratic Secretary of State
4:04:37Jocelyn Benson was facing a challenge
4:04:39from a very very right-wing pro-trump
4:04:42candidate on the Republican side named
4:04:44Christina caramel or caramo Jocelyn
4:04:47Benson has been re-elected the incumbent
4:04:49will stay as Secretary of State in the
4:04:51great state of Michigan Chris I I just I
4:04:54mean just to absorb what Steve just said
4:04:56right I mean I walked in here tonight
4:04:58you look at the history I was thinking
4:05:00in my head consensus pick House
4:05:02Republicans pick up 25 seats and that
4:05:04would be
4:05:06a pretty good night for Democrats right
4:05:0863 in 2010. yeah I was thinking 40. it
4:05:12was 53 like that would if if you held it
4:05:15to 25 you would have over performed
4:05:18history by quite a bit right Senate was
4:05:20a different story when Steve says look
4:05:23here's what the history is here's what
4:05:25the numbers are there's some dark matter
4:05:26over here that's moving things around
4:05:29this electorate that doesn't look like
4:05:31the other electorate I would submit
4:05:32Donald Trump is the dark matter and the
4:05:35force field right so yeah this is uh
4:05:38this is really interesting I mean uh
4:05:41it's it's so close
4:05:43and tentatively at least when we look at
4:05:46the needles it's still suggesting the
4:05:48needles are suggested suggesting that is
4:05:50uh this this leaning towards Democrats
4:05:54in the Senate and uh and and only 74
4:05:58chance of uh Republican house it's
4:06:01really um
4:06:03I mean just imagine waking up tomorrow
4:06:05and uh and and Democrats still have full
4:06:07control it it could totally happen and I
4:06:11think you're seeing a little bit of
4:06:13nervousness and some Jitters in the
4:06:14Futures Market uh over that specific
4:06:17potential uh you've got uh okay Dow
4:06:22actually we've seen a little bit tiny
4:06:24little move to Green but it's pretty
4:06:25dang flat nasdaq's up about a quarter of
4:06:27a percent of Futures Dow's uh negative
4:06:29by 0.05 we saw a lot more register uh
4:06:32maybe about 10 minutes ago yields up
4:06:34about one basis point so okay A little
4:06:36mix there Bitcoin 18-2 uh let's see if
4:06:40we got any more insight here when we
4:06:44look on the map on some of those close
4:06:45Senate races
4:06:48so no data yet from Arizona or it's
4:06:51called Pennsylvania 84 in still uh good
4:06:5750 50 60 64 000 lead over here by
4:07:01fetterman again pulling ahead and only a
4:07:05900 vote lead by Walker
4:07:0811 11 here looking for a midterm Market
4:07:11prediction after the settles yeah I mean
4:07:14it's who knows I mean if we if Democrats
4:07:18win all positions here you know that 21
4:07:21corporate tax rate comes back on the
4:07:23table
4:07:25uh or or remove like raising the
4:07:29corporate tax rate that comes back on
4:07:30the table like elections have
4:07:32consequences this is a potentially a big
4:07:35night right corporate tax rates go up
4:07:38during uh during this kind of uh
4:07:40disaster of a market oh
4:07:43uh and remember if Dems get
4:07:4552 seats they'd actually be able to pass
4:07:49stuff without mansion and Cinema
4:07:51oh my gosh they would love that
4:07:54Democrats would love that's the dream
4:07:57scenario is not have to worry about
4:08:00mansion and Cinema
4:08:04um
4:08:06let's listen in here
4:08:07scenario
4:08:09you know I was sitting here thinking I
4:08:10was with Kevin the day he withdrew from
4:08:12the last speaker's right so one of the
4:08:14darkest days for those of us that are
4:08:16friends with Kevin so I think he would
4:08:18take the speakership no matter the
4:08:19margin it is it is true that his life
4:08:23would be more difficult with a smaller
4:08:25margin although Jim Jordan is
4:08:27unquestionably the leader of of what
4:08:31people call the freedom call because
4:08:32he's not the chair but he's the leader
4:08:35um and he's in line to be the chairman
4:08:38of the house Judiciary Committee because
4:08:40he and Kevin do have a good relationship
4:08:42the other thing that has not been
4:08:44mentioned is the committee composition
4:08:45the smaller the margin the smaller your
4:08:48majority on the Committees and and the
4:08:50reason we know Justin amash's name and
4:08:52David schweiker is because they voted
4:08:54against Paul Ryan's budget and Boehner
4:08:57punished them for that so you don't want
4:08:59a One vote majority on the budget
4:09:01committee or Appropriations Committee
4:09:02you want three or four votes so the you
4:09:06know the fame-seeking caucus loses its
4:09:09influence look Kevin will take the
4:09:11speakership no matter the number his
4:09:13life is easier if it's 15 to 20 than if
4:09:16it's 5 to 10. welcome Juan Williams back
4:09:19to the panel uh one there's a lot of
4:09:21bright spots for Democrats tonight to
4:09:24look at obviously Republicans Focus on
4:09:27Florida a since reconstruction there has
4:09:30not been
4:09:31a time when Florida don't doesn't have
4:09:33any Democrats in Statewide office
4:09:35Florida is looking more like Arkansas
4:09:37tonight than it is like Florida of old
4:09:40so how do you judge what you're seeing
4:09:43in some of these races and the result
4:09:45down in Florida
4:09:47well first let me just say in response
4:09:49to Trey that I and I guess a little bit
4:09:52to you too kellyanne I just don't see
4:09:55Kevin McCarthy as Nancy Pelosi and I
4:09:59think Chad program neither do I I I just
4:10:01I just don't exactly
4:10:03I just don't see it he's not going to
4:10:05spend money that yeah he's not gonna
4:10:07he's not you know the prowess the
4:10:09ability to get something done with a
4:10:11narrow margin I think is much more
4:10:13difficult I think that's why we went
4:10:15through Paul Ryan John Boehner and
4:10:17others in trying to do that with the
4:10:19Republican caucus and it's just it's
4:10:21proven very difficult so it's quite a
4:10:24challenge I wish him the best but that's
4:10:25quite a challenge well he'll think how
4:10:27much is he going to be able to do anyway
4:10:28I mean he's got if they only win one
4:10:30house nobody's going to be able to do
4:10:32much of anything
4:10:34so you know that's a problem for Joe
4:10:37Biden though
4:10:39I mean he's going to become irrelevant
4:10:41almost immediately and there's going to
4:10:43be a reckoning in his party as to
4:10:44whether they can even have him run for
4:10:46reelection he wants to why not how is he
4:10:49irrelevant wait a minute he got his a
4:10:51lot of his legislative agenda done in
4:10:53the first two years
4:10:54if if the Senate holds let's say it's a
4:10:5850 50 he still gets the judges he still
4:11:01gets to make an effort in terms of
4:11:04countering efforts a lot of them coming
4:11:06from Freedom caucus people to stop Aid
4:11:09to the Ukraine this is this is a bigger
4:11:11fight yeah Josh you know this is going
4:11:14to be a big headache for Kevin McCarthy
4:11:15this is looking like a ripple not not a
4:11:17wave and the margin that McCarthy's
4:11:19gonna have is going to be hey Marcos
4:11:22welcome aboard yeah so one of the things
4:11:24that uh that we're seeing is uh is is
4:11:27exactly this this idea of like okay hey
4:11:30if if this comes down to California you
4:11:33know if uh Republicans don't pull off
4:11:35any seats uh that they need to get
4:11:38control of the Senate and they lose the
4:11:40Senate uh not that they had it but they
4:11:43don't get the Senate I should say and
4:11:45and then it comes down to a tight race
4:11:46in California which is potentially going
4:11:48to lean uh uh you know more democratic
4:11:54this is not over there's a real
4:11:56potential of uh Democrats holding
4:12:02full control
4:12:03markets
4:12:05might not like that
4:12:07might not we'll see
4:12:11they want gridlock
4:12:14we're not seeing good luck just yet
4:12:16from 2020 was you know it used to be
4:12:18when they were
4:12:20Liberals are certainly moderates in some
4:12:23number in the Republican caucus and
4:12:25centrists in the Democratic caucus that
4:12:27the control by one party the other was
4:12:30not always what it seemed to be because
4:12:32you could pick up votes on the other
4:12:33side on certain issues and you could
4:12:35build coalitions back and forth
4:12:37as polarized as we are now you don't see
4:12:39that anymore what you see is Party Line
4:12:41votes basically and you know some people
4:12:43you'll pick up a few votes maybe but
4:12:45it's it isn't the way it used to be so
4:12:47we had this very narrow win for the
4:12:50Democrats to get control of Congress
4:12:52this last time they had control of the
4:12:54house they got control of the Senate by
4:12:56the narrowest conceivable margin and
4:12:58what did Joe Biden do with that he said
4:13:00mandate right I got I got a mandate I'm
4:13:03going to be FDR I'm I'm gonna I'm gonna
4:13:05I'm an out Obama Obama and that is what
4:13:09led him to the agenda that he that he
4:13:11pursued and to the situation where he
4:13:14and his party find themselves now losing
4:13:15control of that losing control of the
4:13:17house and if they lose it if they lose
4:13:19it narrowly and hold the Senate I think
4:13:20he's going to say mandate yes well
4:13:23mandate for what he can't do nothing
4:13:24well I know that but but the question
4:13:26has always been how much what kind of
4:13:28adjustment would he make if he lost
4:13:30control of one or both houses of the
4:13:32Congress if it goes this way he will be
4:13:34less incented in my you know
4:13:36incentivized in my view uh to change to
4:13:39adjust in the way for example Bill
4:13:40Clinton famously did yeah I think and in
4:13:42fact you know I think that there's
4:13:44pressure on him to do some adjusting
4:13:46you know earlier in the evening uh Brett
4:13:49Baer was saying to me you know what
4:13:50about a statement from the president and
4:13:53I think that now it seems to me he
4:13:55really has to speak to the country one
4:13:58of the things that came to mind as you
4:14:00were talking with is the question here
4:14:02any thoughts on why the Red Wave hasn't
4:14:04materialized you know I don't know
4:14:06sometimes you just you get this you get
4:14:09markets or or uh you know voters or
4:14:12pullers or whatever that believe
4:14:15something is certain going is certainly
4:14:17going to happen I think everybody
4:14:18thought oh for sure Republicans are
4:14:21going to win something you know either
4:14:24the house or Senate and and
4:14:26unfortunately sometimes that can
4:14:27actually dissuade
4:14:29people from actually getting out and
4:14:31voting because they're like ah okay all
4:14:33right the Republicans gonna win and uh
4:14:36you know you you could potentially see
4:14:37people not vote who would have otherwise
4:14:40made a difference and then the election
4:14:41results come out different it's it's
4:14:43like you just you can't trust the polls
4:14:45you know you just learned that election
4:14:47after election if you want to have a say
4:14:50you need to go vote
4:14:52um Herschel Walker now with 89 in
4:14:55sitting again at a 900 or 900 vote lead
4:14:59only uh that's been bobbing around uh
4:15:02the lead over here for fetterman shrunk
4:15:0486 percent in uh still though about 46
4:15:08000 ahead it's going to come down to uh
4:15:11well and then Wisconsin oh Wisconsin
4:15:13Wisconsin leaned heavy here towards Ron
4:15:15Johnson incumbent Democrats really
4:15:18wanted to take that uh seat in Wisconsin
4:15:21and they didn't get it so at least
4:15:25that's what it looks like right now
4:15:28uh you have Pennsylvania okay we said
4:15:32yeah so these two Senate races are gonna
4:15:34be big Pennsylvania Georgia we could end
4:15:36up getting a runoff
4:15:38which will be pretty wild
4:15:40Edison okay wow
4:15:43um Edison research projects that
4:15:45Republicans have picked up a net three
4:15:47House Seats this is it's going the wrong
4:15:50way now you know they
4:15:53um wow yeah let me show you this 9 16
4:15:56net 3 House Seats look at this uh on
4:16:00screen now you can see my iPad where I'm
4:16:02kind of tracking this and at 6 44 or I
4:16:06should say about 5 30 they said
4:16:08Republicans had three Net seats then it
4:16:11went to four net seats at 644. five net
4:16:14seats at 7 35 four so now going back
4:16:18down four at 8 58 and at 9 16 only three
4:16:22they need six
4:16:25not good
4:16:27not so good
4:16:31very interesting
4:16:34and that data just now out so a lot I
4:16:37mean there's there's no clear
4:16:40there's no clear answer as to whether or
4:16:42not we're actually going to get gridlock
4:16:46uh
4:16:48uh these are just ridiculously close and
4:16:50the numbers are coming in so slowly
4:16:53uh and anything could change
4:16:56wild all right listen
4:17:00uh and but Cobb's got a bunch out it was
4:17:03the big counties around big counties
4:17:04around Atlanta but then you go out in
4:17:06the in the Hinterlands and you start to
4:17:08get to some counties that uh you know
4:17:09that are that are there shall we
4:17:12shall we go purple
4:17:14I mean it's after midnight
4:17:17okay so Carl this is what you were just
4:17:21talking about Greater Atlanta
4:17:24uh here's a quick update uh the GOP
4:17:27flipped six House Seats Democrats have
4:17:30flipped two
4:17:32uh so that's a net gain of four so far
4:17:36for Republicans but but it ain't over
4:17:37yet and again they need six
4:17:45um yeah we we looked at this a moment
4:17:46ago too yeah you're right you're under
4:17:4840 of the estimated vote coming in there
4:17:49yeah okay all right so you mentioned
4:17:52Gwinnett we were well below 61 an hour
4:17:56ago now we're above 60 so it appears
4:17:59they're counting votes I know another
4:18:00Network reported that uh they were they
4:18:02were done for the night I don't know if
4:18:03that's true I don't know if we've
4:18:04confirmed that at all uh gwinnett's got
4:18:06a lot of people right uh the cab this is
4:18:09just east of downtown Atlanta you're not
4:18:11even at 75 just yet so point taken Cobb
4:18:15County uh Northwest of the city you're
4:18:17at 72 percent so yeah I mean we we come
4:18:21back to the same thing we talked about
4:18:22what an hour ago these these counties
4:18:25here that surround Atlanta helped
4:18:27determine Statewide racism right now
4:18:29there's uh there's still some
4:18:31outstanding vote can I show you guys
4:18:32something
4:18:35okay I'm gonna do it quickly here Texas
4:18:38Mexican border it's a bit of a stunner
4:18:40right and require has won looks like
4:18:43he's going to win re-election we've got
4:18:44to check mark volume uh big
4:18:46disappointment for Cassie Garcia uh here
4:18:49in Texas 15. uh Republicans felt really
4:18:52good about Monica De La Cruz looks like
4:18:54they're going to win that race here this
4:18:56is Myra Flora she won that special
4:18:57election a couple months ago right now
4:18:59she's trailing by eight points in Texas
4:19:0234 which is down here in Galveston
4:19:05um if I can do one more guys there were
4:19:0710 Republicans in the house who voted to
4:19:09impeach Donald Trump there are two who
4:19:12still have a job today one is Dan
4:19:15Newhouse up here in the state of
4:19:18Washington well look at that he has been
4:19:20confirmed he will go back to Washington
4:19:22new house in that District in the state
4:19:25of Washington and down here in
4:19:27California is the votes trickle into
4:19:29here now this is California 22 a new
4:19:31district for David valadeo come with me
4:19:34here for a second ah come on we almost
4:19:38had it here guys new district from
4:19:40valadeo right now he has a slight lead
4:19:43with 21 reporting you could have two
4:19:46Republicans who voted for impeachment
4:19:49fighting for their political life
4:19:50tonight and you could have them both
4:19:52survive in this election that's really
4:19:55fascinating all right we've got another
4:19:56call we do we have uh Washington which
4:19:58has been a very closely watched race and
4:20:01Patty Murray will return to Washington
4:20:03DC this will be her sixth term she was
4:20:06elected back in
4:20:081988. Tiffany Smiley was definitely
4:20:11someone who Republicans were excited
4:20:13about thought that this could be an
4:20:15upset in a part of the country that
4:20:18normally does not see any you know
4:20:20significant red uh support and she you
4:20:23know I think was a person who's
4:20:24inspiring to a lot of people her husband
4:20:26was blinded uh on duty in Iraq and she
4:20:30worked hard to help him rehabilitate and
4:20:33he became you know an active duty blind
4:20:36serviceman uh which before that had not
4:20:38happened so she um you know is somebody
4:20:41who may have a future in politics
4:20:44um and she held up you know fairly well
4:20:46and gave it a good race but Patty Murray
4:20:48has Prevail a lot of money went into
4:20:50this race late in the game all right we
4:20:52have another call here and that is the
4:20:53Fox News decision desk can call Utah for
4:20:56Senator Mike Lee he will win
4:20:59convincingly in Utah this was considered
4:21:02to be close at one time independent Evan
4:21:05McMullen who was really getting
4:21:06supported from the Democrats and all
4:21:08kinds of democratic money going into
4:21:10that race
4:21:11and this is a win for Senator Mike Lee
4:21:15who returns to the Senate this is
4:21:17obviously a hold and so with that and
4:21:20these two race calls where is our
4:21:22balance of power in the Senate well
4:21:2447-47 majority is 51. remember we
4:21:28started the night at 50 50 with Kamala
4:21:30Harris the vice president breaking the
4:21:32tie Warnock just flipped Warnock just
4:21:35flipped Georgia 90 percent in
4:21:38six white squares we will continue to
4:21:42look for those six white squares after
4:21:44this wow
4:21:47and fetterman still about that forty
4:21:51thousand ahead
4:21:52holy smokes now Ron Johnson's gonna get
4:21:56the Senate here
4:21:58that's the expectation Ron Johnson's
4:22:01gonna get Wisconsin but Democrats are
4:22:03going to get
4:22:04uh Pennsylvania and possibly Georgia
4:22:07here or we'll get a runoff
4:22:09we could end up having a runoff election
4:22:12December 6th and then you're gonna have
4:22:15Donald Trump and everybody pushing uh
4:22:19for for December 6 to determine which
4:22:21way control goes and that actually means
4:22:23we we might not have a decision
4:22:26unless of course house the house control
4:22:28is determined uh you know if the house
4:22:31control gets determined then then it
4:22:33doesn't matter
4:22:35um
4:22:38okay Jefferson uh CNN might have them at
4:22:4392 percent let me see here
4:22:46I like uh I actually like the CNN
4:22:48tracker on the left where they show how
4:22:50many seats you need uh Republicans need
4:22:52one
4:22:53Democratic seat to gain control of the
4:22:55Senate Republicans need 22 competitive
4:22:57seats to get control of the house
4:23:01this is not the night Republicans had
4:23:03hoped for but tomorrow could look
4:23:04different as votes are still being
4:23:05counted yeah no kidding well it's
4:23:07definitely not a slam dunk
4:23:10see if we can get a little bit more
4:23:12detail here in Georgia
4:23:16we are at 92 percent
4:23:19there's Walker in the lead Again by
4:23:22about 15 000 votes
4:23:25so you are getting uh you are getting a
4:23:29little bit of a back and forth
4:23:31let's go to Penn
4:23:33Pennsylvania 39 500 votes ahead
4:23:38and Wisconsin Johnson the incumbent uh
4:23:43leading now we still we're really
4:23:45getting slow numbers here very slow
4:23:48numbers
4:23:49uh for Arizona
4:23:51which that's going to be very important
4:23:54and then of course if we jump to the
4:23:56House Seats pretty important for uh
4:24:00California
4:24:01but uh we'll see let's look at the
4:24:03sticks the needles
4:24:06excuse me
4:24:07by the way after this
4:24:09feel free to email me at kevinme
4:24:12kevin.com if you have any questions
4:24:14about joining the courses the member
4:24:16bundle code the Black Friday coupon code
4:24:18the elite Hustlers course or of course
4:24:22that's again Elite Hustlers is path to
4:24:24wealth and Hustlers together uh that's
4:24:26all about building your income and the
4:24:28other courses are about building your
4:24:30wealth with
4:24:31uh either real estate investing Property
4:24:34Management rental Renovations stocks you
4:24:35name it uh needle here 73 chance of
4:24:39Republican control
4:24:40in the forecast here for the house so uh
4:24:45still greater chance that that
4:24:48you know the Republicans are going to
4:24:50get something but we're at 78 cents on
4:24:53Democratic control for
4:24:55the Senate and if we go to house we're
4:24:58actually up to 84 cents that Republicans
4:25:01are going to get the house so uh looks
4:25:03like with some of those numbers coming
4:25:04in from California
4:25:06there's some enthusiasm that Republicans
4:25:08are going to be able to pull through a
4:25:09couple seats
4:25:13all right yeah well
4:25:16BTC 18-2
4:25:20and if we look at Futures we're sitting
4:25:22at uh green s p by 7.07 uh NASDAQ up
4:25:27about a quarter of a percent down
4:25:28Futures down about 0.05 bond yields
4:25:32roughly flat
4:25:34uh TBD on control though where we're
4:25:37gonna go
4:25:38it's listening over here for a little
4:25:40bit
4:25:40change as we go into the night and in
4:25:43fact we have been told by the Maricopa
4:25:44County elections
4:25:49they do anticipate that by Friday they
4:25:53will have 99 of the vote counted we
4:25:56could be in for a long ride here
4:25:58especially when we're talking about the
4:26:00governor's race we have now heard from
4:26:02both candidates for Governor here in the
4:26:04state of Arizona very different messages
4:26:06here the Democrat Katie Hobbs did Issue
4:26:09a statement and she came out to talk to
4:26:10people at her watch party thanking those
4:26:13who work for her but also defending the
4:26:15sanctity of the election process here
4:26:17we're not going to get uh an answer
4:26:22oh geez
4:26:24um
4:26:25yeah 92 percent on uh Georgia here still
4:26:28and uh 88 there on Penn uh with
4:26:34fetterman 35 000 votes ahead that's
4:26:36narrowing a little bit
4:26:40still 52 on Arizona
4:26:47Max where's your application man where's
4:26:50your intern application looking for
4:26:53interns at metcaven.com jobs Max you're
4:26:57in here every day but but I don't see a
4:26:59video from you
4:27:03yeah what happens to Green stocks
4:27:05tomorrow you know I I don't know that
4:27:08we're going to have an answer uh I mean
4:27:10you know I'll be up early I'll be up in
4:27:13about six hours and we'll see what's
4:27:14going on six yeah but uh
4:27:19this is uh this is a little boring right
4:27:21now because we we just we're not getting
4:27:23updates uh at least uh everything's
4:27:26still just too close numbers are just
4:27:28coming in too slowly here
4:27:30Mitch McConnell oh that's interesting
4:27:34if Republicans take the Senate Mitch
4:27:36McConnell will come back
4:27:39uh to uh Senate majority leader who
4:27:43remembers McConnell McConnell McConnell
4:27:47oh man
4:27:49what if people always call them the
4:27:51turtle
4:27:52that was bad
4:27:55uh politics so nasty
4:27:58anyway
4:28:02when do interns start uh probably I I
4:28:05don't know probably uh
4:28:07actually I'm not I'm not sure
4:28:10um we we are working on on figuring that
4:28:12out it probably
4:28:14uh wouldn't be until after Thanksgiving
4:28:16but uh
4:28:18but TBD that that could change so I
4:28:20would stand by on that
4:28:23um
4:28:25yeah
4:28:28all right
4:28:29take a listen in over here
4:28:31convince Republicans to get on his side
4:28:34he had to shore up his base he was
4:28:37fighting a lot of battles including a uh
4:28:40attack ads from the Democrats based on
4:28:42things that had happened in the past
4:28:44allegations about uh abortions that he
4:28:47of course denied and in fact there were
4:28:49some Republicans that really weren't
4:28:51sure up until last moment I talked to a
4:28:53man in Newton Georgia Eric just signed
4:28:56up for the elite Hustlers University
4:28:58Welcome Aboard we'll see you in there
4:29:01when he went in to vote and it really
4:29:03wasn't until a couple of days ago that
4:29:05he felt okay I made the right choice and
4:29:07I picked the right guy but that's kind
4:29:09of what we've been hearing uh on the
4:29:11ground on the trail here in Georgia so
4:29:14now it's just a wait and see game to see
4:29:15if one of these candidates can actually
4:29:18break that 50 threshold and come out as
4:29:21a winner tonight
4:29:23thank you so much I know there's a bar
4:29:25around there
4:29:27I've never heard of a candidate saying
4:29:30that you know we only have the ballroom
4:29:31until eight seats left to determine
4:29:33control of the Senate you're conditioned
4:29:36to think we're going to do for a runoff
4:29:37so uh we might as well rent the place
4:29:39again tomorrow let's go to Alex Alex
4:29:43there never is right yes
4:29:45um Alex Hoff is joining us now she's at
4:29:47the Lac salt campaign headquarters in
4:29:49Nevada hi Alex
4:29:52hi guys good to be with you yeah still a
4:29:54whole lot of action here tonight and a
4:29:56clear era of excitement and if you look
4:29:57at a place like Washoe County you know
4:30:00why that's very purple highly populated
4:30:02the second most so in the state and it
4:30:04appears right now that Adam lack salt
4:30:06has far exceeded expectations in a
4:30:09county like that that's really up for
4:30:11grabs you never know which way it's
4:30:12going to go but when you look at these
4:30:14days all right I'm bored
4:30:16we're gonna have to check back tomorrow
4:30:19um I will do an update first thing in
4:30:22the morning on where we stand but
4:30:25right now we are still in a situation
4:30:28where Democrats could maintain control
4:30:30and then the corporate tax rates could
4:30:33get hiked you could see more uh you know
4:30:36pressures on oil companies uh and
4:30:39potentially
4:30:40um
4:30:41uh more uh anti-monopoly or or uh you
4:30:46know regulations or big Tech regulations
4:30:49so uh those are all possible things that
4:30:52could come onto the table here over the
4:30:54next couple of years uh potentially more
4:30:57incentive policies for green energy uh
4:31:00which could be good for green stocks but
4:31:03uh especially you know with with the
4:31:04perpetuation of that inflation reduction
4:31:06Act and the energy credits
4:31:09um if we get uh Republican house which
4:31:13could come down to California or we get
4:31:16a Republican Senate then we got gridlock
4:31:19for two years and we just kind of chill
4:31:22so we'll see what happens but uh I I
4:31:25don't think continuing to watch the same
4:31:27thing right now until we get some
4:31:29actually real more results it's gonna
4:31:31make a difference and the fact of the
4:31:33matter is
4:31:34the suitcases tend to go to sleep for a
4:31:36little bit so some more ballots can get
4:31:38stuffed and then by tomorrow we'll just
4:31:40magically have the answers
4:31:43okay but uh by the um I I would expect
4:31:48some time by probably 10 a.m tomorrow
4:31:51morning certainly before CPI uh release
4:31:54on Thursday we'll we'll have more
4:31:57answers so
4:31:58we'll see you then appreciate you all
4:32:00remember email Kevin me kevin.com if you
4:32:02got questions about those courses I'd
4:32:04love to have you uh seriously and email
4:32:06me this tell me why why have you not
4:32:09joined yet uh you know if you're
4:32:10thinking about it and you're like ah I
4:32:13don't know I haven't joined because of
4:32:14this not sure if you know is he gonna
4:32:16help me oh I think I can find it on
4:32:18Google or whatever like the you know the
4:32:20the information which nobody ever says
4:32:22within the course because it's all
4:32:24unique it's it's Kevin's perspective
4:32:27um I want to hear from you so so email
4:32:29me I'll be reading them personally
4:32:30kevin.com thanks goodbye everyone and
4:32:33toppo cheers

About this transcript

This page contains the full transcript of 2022 Election Results | Complete Destruction. by Meet Kevin, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 44,838 words across 6,706 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.

What you can do with it

Use the transcript to take notes, quote the speaker, build a study guide, generate a summary with ChatGPT or Claude via the YouTube Summary tool, or export it as a timed subtitle file with YouTube to SRT. You can also re-open it in the transcriber to choose a caption track available on the video.

Free YouTube transcript tool

YouTube2Text is a free YouTube transcript generator — no signup, no daily limit. Paste any YouTube link and get the full transcript instantly, with timestamps, click-to-jump, caption language selection, AI prompts for ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and exports to TXT, SRT, VTT, or Markdown.