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2 Monster Trades. 1 Boring Strategy. — Transcript

by The Rumers · 1,295 words · 177 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Last week, I caught these two monster
  2. 0:03trades, and it came down to using only
  3. 0:05one simple box, but not the way most
  4. 0:09people use it. But, here's the thing
  5. 0:11that makes me really sad. The majority
  6. 0:14of the traders out there completely
  7. 0:16ignored this move. Instead, they were
  8. 0:19stuck on the 1-minute chart, chasing
  9. 0:21candles,
  10. 0:22>> [music]
  11. 0:22>> and fixating on every little small move
  12. 0:25just to end up donating money to the
  13. 0:28market. And I get it because I used to
  14. 0:30trade the exact same way. I thought more
  15. 0:33screen time, more analysis, more trades
  16. 0:36meant more profits. But, in reality, I
  17. 0:39wasn't trading a strategy. I was just
  18. 0:42reacting to noise. And everything
  19. 0:44changed when I stopped focusing on every
  20. 0:46candle and started focusing on areas
  21. 0:50where price is most likely to react. Let
  22. 0:52me show you what I mean. This box right
  23. 0:54here is the only thing I look at. And I
  24. 0:57call it the box strategy. And it's based
  25. 1:00on one stupid, idea. The price usually
  26. 1:03reacts between the previous swing high
  27. 1:06and the previous swing low. That's it.
  28. 1:09No magic, no complicated indicators.
  29. 1:12Just understanding where buyers and
  30. 1:14sellers are most likely sitting. It's
  31. 1:16super easy, but unfortunately, a lot of
  32. 1:18people are still doing it wrong. So,
  33. 1:21here's how I find these levels. Let's
  34. 1:23set this up. First, you want to switch
  35. 1:25to the 1-hour chart. This is my higher
  36. 1:28time frame bias, and this is where I
  37. 1:31draw my liquidity zones. Next, take a
  38. 1:33look to the left and see where is the
  39. 1:35previous swing high and swing low on
  40. 1:38that chart. As we can see here, this was
  41. 1:41the high, and this right here was the
  42. 1:44low. So, now I'm going to box in that
  43. 1:47area, just like that. And this box is my
  44. 1:50map for the day. And here are the simple
  45. 1:53rules. If the price reaches the the part
  46. 1:55of the box, I'm only looking to buy. In
  47. 1:59this case, my target is the upper part
  48. 2:01of the box. If the price reaches the
  49. 2:04upper part of the box, I'm only looking
  50. 2:06to sell and I'm targeting the lower part
  51. 2:09of the box. If the price is in the
  52. 2:11middle, I do nothing. This is where most
  53. 2:14traders get chopped up. I'm only
  54. 2:16interested in the edges of this box.
  55. 2:19Now, before you roll your eyes and you
  56. 2:21think, but what happens if we break out
  57. 2:23of the box? Because this will happen
  58. 2:25quite a lot. Don't worry, I will go
  59. 2:27through the exact situation and show you
  60. 2:30what to do in a case like that just in a
  61. 2:32moment. Now, once I have my levels
  62. 2:35marked on the 1-hour chart, I drop down
  63. 2:37to the 15-minute chart. This is where I
  64. 2:40look for my confirmation and this is the
  65. 2:42step that most traders completely skip.
  66. 2:45They enter too early or too late and
  67. 2:47then blame the strategy. So, let me show
  68. 2:49you the exact setup. Now, price comes
  69. 2:52down into the lower part of the box.
  70. 2:54What would you do here? Buy or sell? If
  71. 2:57you said buy, you already got this.
  72. 2:59You're on the right track. But, I'm
  73. 3:00going to be honest with you. This drop
  74. 3:02right here looks aggressive and scary.
  75. 3:05And the truth is, most traders would see
  76. 3:07that and they would start panicking.
  77. 3:09They would think the market is dropping
  78. 3:11lower, it's breaking down and they would
  79. 3:13even start opening short positions
  80. 3:16straight into that support where big
  81. 3:18buyers are sitting with their buy
  82. 3:20orders. And this is the trap. So, what I
  83. 3:23want to see first is buyers stepping in
  84. 3:26and my favorite pitchfork candlestick
  85. 3:28formation. Watch this carefully. A few
  86. 3:30aggressive emotional red candles
  87. 3:33straight into the lower part of the box.
  88. 3:36We even broke straight through the box
  89. 3:38just enough to grab people's stops. And
  90. 3:41then suddenly, one green candle. That
  91. 3:44green candle tells me selling pressure
  92. 3:46might be over and buyers are stepping in
  93. 3:49ready to reverse the price. So, my entry
  94. 3:51happens as soon as the next candle
  95. 3:53starts taking the high of this green
  96. 3:56candle and the stop loss is slightly
  97. 3:58below. Now that we've got the
  98. 4:00confirmation, I'm in that trade and
  99. 4:02moving the stop loss slightly
  100. 4:04underneath. Now once the price start
  101. 4:06moving significantly in my favor, I
  102. 4:09start moving my stop loss above my entry
  103. 4:12and slowly trailing it step by step and
  104. 4:15locking in profits. As we can see, the
  105. 4:18market broke straight through our box
  106. 4:20and it continues further higher and
  107. 4:23because it already made such a nice
  108. 4:24move, I'm just going to go ahead and
  109. 4:27book these profits and call it a day.
  110. 4:29Now let's go ahead and see what happens
  111. 4:30if we break out of the box. What to do
  112. 4:33in that situation? So, let's take a look
  113. 4:35at this chart. This right here is the ES
  114. 4:38futures and the one-hour chart. And
  115. 4:41remember, we want to box in the previous
  116. 4:43swing high and swing low on that time
  117. 4:47frame. So, as you can see, this right
  118. 4:49here was a previous high and this seems
  119. 4:51to become a previous low, which is by
  120. 4:53the way also a breakout area. So now
  121. 4:57we're going to box in these two zones.
  122. 5:00And as you can see, the price shoots
  123. 5:02immediately straight through our upper
  124. 5:04zone of the box. And that happens quite
  125. 5:07a lot, especially in a bullish market.
  126. 5:10So, what do we do next? We don't want to
  127. 5:12start forcing trades or looking for
  128. 5:14shorts. We want to wait for the price to
  129. 5:16calm down and to build a new structure.
  130. 5:19In a few hours later, the price is back
  131. 5:21down into our breakout area. So, this
  132. 5:24breakout area becomes our new structure.
  133. 5:27We want to go with the trend and look
  134. 5:29for long setups at that zone. Now I'm
  135. 5:33going to switch down to the 15-minute
  136. 5:34chart. And on the 15-minute chart, we
  137. 5:36have our pitchfork candlestick
  138. 5:38confirmation. We have four red candles
  139. 5:41right into our new structure, which we
  140. 5:44want to use for longs because we want to
  141. 5:46go with the trend. So, what I'm waiting
  142. 5:48for now is the next candlestick to go
  143. 5:50above the high of this candle. This is
  144. 5:53going to be my entry, and my stop loss
  145. 5:55is going to be placed just below. Now
  146. 5:57that I got my confirmation, I'm in this
  147. 5:59trade, and my stop loss is slightly
  148. 6:02underneath. Now, my first target is the
  149. 6:05previous high right here. Because I
  150. 6:07don't know if the price is going to
  151. 6:09reverse or continue higher, what I like
  152. 6:12doing in cases like that is just moving
  153. 6:14my stop loss above my entry and booking
  154. 6:17partial profits. In this case, I'm going
  155. 6:20to close half of my position and let the
  156. 6:22remainder of the position go. As we can
  157. 6:24see, I booked partial profits already,
  158. 6:27and the market continues further higher.
  159. 6:29Therefore, I'm going to move the stop
  160. 6:31loss tighter, because I don't want to
  161. 6:33give back any more of my profits. And as
  162. 6:35you can see, the remainder of my
  163. 6:37position was hit, and I'm out of this
  164. 6:39trade for a nice profit. And that is the
  165. 6:42exact way I use the box strategy in
  166. 6:45trending and bull markets, especially
  167. 6:48when trading the ES or NQ futures, which
  168. 6:51are designed to go up and go up 75 to
  169. 6:5480% of the time. I rather prefer to
  170. 6:57stick with the trend. Now, if you want
  171. 6:59to know the exact liquidity areas, each
  172. 7:02week I send our gains guide in video
  173. 7:04format. Feel free to check that out.
  174. 7:06It's right in the description below.
  175. 7:08Thank you so much for watching, and I
  176. 7:10cannot wait to see you back here on our
  177. 7:12channel again.

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