$15 Trillion Money-Making Machine | How BlackRock Became Too Powerful to Ignore — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Larry Fink, the guy running BlackRock,
- 0:02>> [music]
- 0:02>> is really the president of the United
- 0:04States if we look at the kind of
- 0:05influence he's got. Wait a minute. These
- 0:08guys essentially have a monopoly. Well,
- 0:10how big is BlackRock?
- 0:13>> Ladies and gentlemen, BlackRock is the
- 0:15most powerful, and according to US
- 0:17politicians, the most evil company in
- 0:19the world.
- 0:21>> [music]
- 0:23>> BlackRock, the largest asset manager in
- 0:25the world.
- 0:26>> [music]
- 0:27>> He can get a meeting with any company on
- 0:30the planet.
- 0:32>> [music]
- 0:32>> Jensen Huang built Nvidia from scratch,
- 0:35and today he owns 3.7% of Nvidia. But
- 0:38BlackRock, BlackRock owns 8.02%.
- 0:41Steve Jobs owns less than 1% of Apple,
- 0:44but BlackRock owns 7.97% of Apple. Bill
- 0:47Gates owns 1.34% of Microsoft, but
- 0:50BlackRock owns 8.18% of Microsoft. And
- 0:53just like this, the big three, which
- 0:54includes BlackRock, State Street, and
- 0:57Vanguard, they own a huge stake in
- 0:59almost every S&P 500 company. And
- 1:02BlackRock alone controls over 15
- 1:04trillion dollars in assets. Do you
- 1:06realize how much 15 trillion dollars is?
- 1:08>> [music]
- 1:09>> It is more than the GDP of India, Japan,
- 1:11and France combined. And BlackRock is a
- 1:13company that never made a chip. They
- 1:15never made a phone. They have no
- 1:17factory, and they've never made a
- 1:18physical product in their existence. But
- 1:21even then, a failed banker somehow
- 1:23turned it into the most powerful company
- 1:25on Earth. So powerful that the US
- 1:27government itself is now afraid of
- 1:29BlackRock.
- 1:30>> BlackRock is an extremely dangerous
- 1:33company. [music]
- 1:33>> What Larry Fink and BlackRock have done,
- 1:35they are trying to suppress investment
- 1:37in the fossil fuel industry in America.
- 1:41>> The question is, how did a company that
- 1:43make nothing end up owning everything?
- 1:45Why is the US government itself afraid
- 1:47of a failed banker's idea? And what does
- 1:49it teach us about the dirty secret of
- 1:51American capitalism? But before we get
- 1:53into that story, I have something very
- 1:54important to tell you. Just like
- 1:55BlackRock, even you can own a piece of
- 1:57Nvidia, Apple, Google, Meta, and even
- 1:59BlackRock itself, sitting right here in
- 2:01India. And here's why every Indian
- 2:02investor needs to hear this. In 2010, $1
- 2:05cost you 45 rupees. Today, it's over 90.
- 2:07So, even when your Indian portfolio is
- 2:09doing well in rupees, your global
- 2:10purchasing power is silently leaking
- 2:12every single year. And it's not just
- 2:14currency. The US and Indian markets move
- 2:16on completely different cycles. Some
- 2:18years India wins, some years US wins.
- 2:20So, betting your entire portfolio on
- 2:22just one economy is a risk that most
- 2:24people don't even realize they're
- 2:25taking. This is where Vested comes in to
- 2:27help you. It lets you invest in Nvidia,
- 2:29Apple, Google, Microsoft, Meta, and
- 2:31BlackRock, which are companies that
- 2:32aren't even listed in India. So, if you
- 2:34want to be a part of their growth
- 2:35journey, Vested is one of the simplest
- 2:37ways to do it from India. And starting
- 2:39with Vested is super easy. Your KYC
- 2:41happens right inside the Vested app via
- 2:43DigiLocker, and that too in just a few
- 2:45minutes. NRIs can open accounts, too,
- 2:47and not just resident Indians. The best
- 2:49part is you don't even need a US bank
- 2:51account. Your money moves through bank
- 2:52integrations straight from your existing
- 2:54Indian account. Once you're in, you can
- 2:56access to 10,000 plus US stocks and
- 2:57ETFs, fractional investing starting at
- 2:59just $1, and India-compliant tax reports
- 3:02built in for effortless filing. And if
- 3:04picking individual stocks isn't your
- 3:05thing, Vested also offers curated
- 3:07managed portfolios built by experts,
- 3:09where you can access themes like AI,
- 3:11semiconductor, blockchain, genomics, and
- 3:13more. You also get access to global
- 3:15funds that give you diversified exposure
- 3:17across sectors and geographies, managed
- 3:19by the world's top fund managers like
- 3:21BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard,
- 3:23Fidelity, and more. So, if you want to
- 3:25diversify beyond India using a safe and
- 3:27regulated platform, check out Vested
- 3:29from the link in the description.
- 3:36This is a story that dates back to
- 3:371980s. During this time, a banker named
- 3:39Larry Fink was known as the king of Wall
- 3:41Street because he designed a
- 3:42money-printing machine. Now, look how
- 3:44bankers make money from thin air. Larry
- 3:47Fink saw that the banks had a unique
- 3:49problem.
- 3:49>> [music]
- 3:50>> After lending 100 million dollars in
- 3:51home loans, they had to wait for 30
- 3:53years to get the money back. So, he used
- 3:55an instrument called collateralized
- 3:57mortgage obligations. [music] Let me
- 3:58explain how it works and you will know
- 4:00how the Wall Street bankers make
- 4:01millions of dollars.
- 4:03>> [music]
- 4:03>> Let's say there is a stack of 30-year
- 4:05home loans paying 9% interest on a
- 4:07principal of $100 million collectively.
- 4:10[music] Now, as a Wall Street packager,
- 4:12we can split these $100 million into 100
- 4:14units so that [music]
- 4:16if a buyer buys one unit of this bond
- 4:18for $1 million,
- 4:19when the family pays their EMI to the
- 4:21bank, the buyer can get 9% interest or
- 4:24[music] $90,000 in their first year and
- 4:27they keep getting the principal amount
- 4:29as [music] the families keep paying
- 4:30their EMIs. So, it's a bond, but its
- 4:33underlying asset is a home loan. So,
- 4:35this pool collectively generates $9
- 4:37million of interest in year one plus
- 4:39principal as the family repays the loan.
- 4:42But, the problem with home loans is that
- 4:44[music] nobody knows when the principal
- 4:45comes back because sometimes people
- 4:47might default on home loans. And [music]
- 4:49this is where Larry Fink designed a
- 4:51genius strategy. He cut this asset into
- 4:53three parts. So, instead of selling
- 4:55everyone an equal slice of the loans,
- 4:58>> [music]
- 4:58>> he sold three bonds with a payment
- 5:00queue. For example, bond A has a size of
- 5:02$50 million,
- 5:04but only paid 6% interest. Bond B had a
- 5:07size of $30 million
- 5:09and paid 7% interest. And lastly, bond C
- 5:12had a size of $20 million paying 8%
- 5:15interest.
- 5:16>> [music]
- 5:16>> So, now every time a homeowner pays
- 5:18their principal, the money first goes to
- 5:21bond A. That is why [music] they are the
- 5:23safest. As a result, they also get the
- 5:25lowest interest. After bond A is fully
- 5:28paid for, the money goes to bond B and
- 5:31then it goes to bond C. [music] So, if
- 5:33you look at this arrangement, bond C
- 5:34holders take the maximum risk because if
- 5:37anybody defaults, they are the first
- 5:39ones to lose money. As a result, they
- 5:41also get the highest interest rate in
- 5:43the queue, which is 8%. So, if you do
- 5:45the math at $100 million,
- 5:47bonds A, B, and C together earn $6.7
- 5:51million in interest. Whereas, if you
- 5:54remember the math of homeowners, [music]
- 5:55they are paying $9 million in interest.
- 5:58So, this remaining $2 million was Fink's
- 6:00pure profit. So, yeah, that's [music]
- 6:02how bankers in Wall Street make millions
- 6:04of dollars by just restructuring math
- 6:06without making a single physical
- 6:08product. And that is why this money
- 6:10[music] was a money printing machine.
- 6:13But, you know what? Ironically, this is
- 6:15also the thing that killed Larry Fink's
- 6:17reputation. Now, most people think the
- 6:19risk is when the home loans aren't paid.
- 6:21But, the problem with this instrument
- 6:22was the complete opposite. People
- 6:24actually paid their home loans so early
- 6:26that the [music] interest completely
- 6:28vanished. In simple words, let's say a
- 6:30family called Millers borrowed $200,000
- 6:33at 9% interest for 30 years. Their EMI
- 6:36comes out to be $1,609
- 6:38a month. Now, Fink's pool bought this
- 6:41loan and now collects [music] $1,609
- 6:44every month from the Millers. But, a
- 6:46year later, there's another bank around
- 6:48the corner that starts offering fresh
- 6:50loans at just 7% interest. So, what will
- 6:53the Millers do? The Millers will take a
- 6:55new loan of $198,634 [music]
- 6:58at
- 7:01go to the old bank, and pay off the old
- 7:03loan in full and walk out so that
- 7:06>> [music]
- 7:06>> they can now start paying their EMI at
- 7:087% interest.
- 7:10So, do you realize what just happened?
- 7:12The 9% interest stream that was supposed
- 7:14to run for 30 years completely vanished.
- 7:17That is how Fink lost $100 million and
- 7:19eventually got fired. This is when he
- 7:21realized the importance of risk
- 7:23prediction. And he saw
- 7:24>> [music]
- 7:24>> that every other trader in Wall Street
- 7:26is making the same mistake. When the
- 7:28Latin American debt crisis broke out in
- 7:30the 1980s, bankers lost money. When the
- 7:32dot-com bubble happened, investors lost
- 7:34money. When the 2008 crisis happened,
- 7:37bankers lost everything. And strangely,
- 7:39no economist, no analyst, or no banker
- 7:42could [music] ever predict a crash. In
- 7:44fact, even the closure of the Strait of
- 7:46Hormuz shook up the market and caused
- 7:48the bankers trillions of dollars. So, he
- 7:51sat down to understand, why do Wall
- 7:53Street's smartest traders make such a
- 7:55stupid mistake?
- 7:56>> [music]
- 7:56>> And he found the answer in 1988. So, in
- 7:581988, Fink and seven partners started a
- 8:01company inside Blackstone Group's office
- 8:03in New York and called it Blackstone
- 8:05Financial Management, later to be
- 8:07renamed as BlackRock.
- 8:10And they built a magical risk machine in
- 8:12BlackRock. You know what they did? They
- 8:15kept on collecting as much data as they
- 8:17possibly can and as [music] many
- 8:19variables as they possibly can. This
- 8:21included something as simple as an oil
- 8:23crash all the way to wars and even
- 8:26tsunamis. And they ran a program to
- 8:28understand how each of these disasters
- 8:30will affect bonds, loans, credit
- 8:32histories, interest rates, and millions
- 8:34of market data points.
- 8:36This software is even today known as one
- 8:38of the greatest softwares ever built by
- 8:40mankind. And this software, funnily, is
- 8:42called Aladdin.
- 8:46>> Massive computerized [music]
- 8:47system called Aladdin.
- 8:49>> I still believe there there is no one no
- 8:51other organization can do what Aladdin
- 8:53does today.
- 8:55>> It becomes the brain and beating heart
- 8:58of Larry's new empire.
- 9:03>> [music]
- 9:03>> In simple words, Aladdin is like ChatGPT
- 9:06but for market predictions. So, if you
- 9:08ask the software, what happens to your
- 9:09portfolio if the interest rates rise,
- 9:11what happens [music] to your portfolio
- 9:12if oil price collapses, or what happens
- 9:15to the portfolio if the borrowers stop
- 9:16paying, it will give you the most
- 9:18accurate information possible so that
- 9:20you can make your bets accordingly. And
- 9:23guess what? All they needed to gain
- 9:25relevance and trust in the market was a
- 9:27goddamn recession. And you know what?
- 9:30God actually gifted them a recession in
- 9:322008.
- 9:36>> 2008 was a tumultuous year for the
- 9:38economy.
- 9:39>> It was the worst day on Wall Street
- 9:41[music] since the crash of 1987.
- 9:46>> The biggest banks on earth were dying
- 9:47because of the exact same family of
- 9:49instruments that Fink pioneered, which
- 9:51was mortgage-backed securities.
- 9:54These mortgage-backed securities were
- 9:55sliced into bonds just like bond A, B,
- 9:58and C. And in 2008, homeowners stopped
- 10:01paying EMI and all these bonds started
- 10:03failing. Now, look at the problem
- 10:05statement. If you remember, a bank
- 10:07basically collates
- 10:08>> [music]
- 10:08>> 5,000 home loans together into a hundred
- 10:11million-dollar bond. And then, they sell
- 10:13it to the investors in three [music]
- 10:14tiers: bond A, B, and C. But the problem
- 10:17was the banks had no idea which of those
- 10:20[music] 5,000 home loans were actually
- 10:22risky. Yes, the banks had no idea which
- 10:25of those people will default. Why?
- 10:27[music] Because home prices were
- 10:28crashing, the stock market was crashing,
- 10:30companies were going bankrupt, people
- 10:32were losing jobs, and borrowers were
- 10:34actually walking away from their own
- 10:36homes. So, how could they predict who
- 10:38would pay the home loan and who
- 10:40wouldn't?
- 10:41And this is where Fink's Aladdin became
- 10:43a magical tool for the American economy.
- 10:46You remember what I told you about it?
- 10:47It can tell you what will happen if a
- 10:49recession happens like ChatGPT can tell
- 10:51you about today's news. Because Aladdin
- 10:53had 20 years of context data and
- 10:56variables. So, guess what? The American
- 10:58government itself called BlackRock to
- 11:00fix this loan crisis so that they could
- 11:02identify which loans are bad loans and
- 11:04which loans need to be written off.
- 11:06And when BlackRock solved this problem
- 11:08for the government of America, it went
- 11:10from one trillion dollars in assets
- 11:11under management to three trillion
- 11:13dollars in assets under management. That
- 11:15is how BlackRock won the trust of
- 11:17America. And this is where Fink's team
- 11:19built one of the most powerful financial
- 11:21machines in human history. You know what
- 11:23they [music] did? They bought a company
- 11:25called iShares and got their hands on a
- 11:27financial instrument called ETFs.
- 11:28[music]
- 11:29ETF stands for exchange-traded funds.
- 11:32I'll explain what ETF is and how it
- 11:33works, but as of now, look at what Larry
- 11:35Fink spotted. For decades in America and
- 11:38in India, the middle class plan was
- 11:41absolutely simple. You hand your money
- 11:43to a fund manager in a mutual fund. She
- 11:45picks the winners. You pay her a 1.5%
- 11:47fee whether she wins or she loses. So,
- 11:50if you start with $11,000 at a 2% fee,
- 11:52that's $220 in year one. But over 30
- 11:55years, as your corpus grows to $174,494
- 11:59at a 2% fee, you have already paid
- 12:02$79,310.
- 12:04Now, although 2% looks very little,
- 12:06there was just one problem. Most of the
- 12:08time, the comparison for a fund's
- 12:10performance is done with S&P 500. But
- 12:13the problem is, if the S&P 500 gives you
- 12:15a 10% return and your fund manager gives
- 12:17you a 15% return, he'll be considered an
- 12:19absolute genius. But if he gave you a
- 12:229.5% return, he'll be considered a
- 12:25complete failure.
- 12:27And the fun fact is, over 15 years,
- 12:29almost 90% of American fund managers
- 12:32failed to beat the S&P 500. So, a bunch
- 12:35of investors said, "If S&P 500 is the
- 12:38benchmark, why not just copy the S&P
- 12:41500?" That is how the concept of index
- 12:45fund or later called ETF was born.
- 12:48Now, here's how ETF actually works. You
- 12:50see, the S&P 500 is basically the list
- 12:52of 500 of the largest publicly traded
- 12:55companies in the United States. So,
- 12:56let's say today that list starts like
- 12:58this: Nvidia 7.29%, Apple 6.55%, and so
- 13:02on and so forth. Now, the fund
- 13:04completely copies this list. So, if you
- 13:06hand the ETF $10,000, there is no
- 13:08meeting and nobody reads a balance
- 13:10sheet. A simple program divides your
- 13:12money by those exact percentage points.
- 13:15So, $729 will go to Nvidia, $655 will go
- 13:18to Apple, and so on and so forth.
- 13:20Eventually, you will own a piece of all
- 13:22500 companies in the exact [music]
- 13:24proportion as the index says. So, now,
- 13:27if the S&P 500 goes up by 5%, your
- 13:29portfolio also goes up by 5% and you're
- 13:31very happy because you've practically
- 13:33done what 90% of the fund managers fail
- 13:35to do. But, if the S&P 500 goes down by
- 13:3810%, you're completely okay with it
- 13:41because the entire market is anyways
- 13:42down.
- 13:43Now, the game-changing thing about ETFs
- 13:45is that you're not paying for the
- 13:46brilliance of a fund manager. You are
- 13:48simply paying a program to blindly
- 13:50shuffle your money in a pattern, which
- 13:53is why while the active funds charge you
- 13:551.5% fee, the index ETF only charge you
- 13:590.03%. [music]
- 14:01At $10,000, the difference is $150 and
- 14:05$3. At a million dollars, that
- 14:08difference is [music] $15,000
- 14:10versus $300.
- 14:13That is how ETFs work. And this is what
- 14:16Larry Fink bet on way before anybody
- 14:18else at his skill. And after 2008, he
- 14:21already had the trust of America. So,
- 14:23you know what he did? In 2008, he bought
- 14:25iShares, the biggest ETF business on the
- 14:27planet. America fell in love with ETFs
- 14:29and as Americans invested in BlackRock's
- 14:31ETFs, BlackRock got $6 trillion in ETFs
- 14:35and $15 trillion in total assets [music]
- 14:38under management. So, do you realize
- 14:40BlackRock has $6 trillion
- 14:42with a 0.03% commission running on
- 14:45autopilot. That is how BlackRock became
- 14:48a money-making machine. And every dollar
- 14:51invested in their S&P 500 bought them a
- 14:54stake in Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and
- 14:57497 [music]
- 14:58of the most powerful companies on Earth.
- 15:01That is how BlackRock today owns 8.18%
- 15:04of Microsoft, 8.02% of Nvidia, 6.69%
- 15:07[music]
- 15:08of Google, and 7.75% of Coca-Cola, and
- 15:12so on and so [music] forth. This is the
- 15:13magic of ETFs that got them enormous
- 15:15stake in the Fortune 500 companies. So,
- 15:18now the question over here is the story
- 15:19so far seems pretty good. A failed
- 15:21banker found a gap in the market, built
- 15:23a trillion-dollar company, became a
- 15:24billionaire, end of story. [music]
- 15:27Then the question is, why is BlackRock
- 15:29being called evil, and why are the
- 15:31American politicians so [music]
- 15:32concerned about BlackRock? Well, as it
- 15:34turns out, BlackRock isn't alone. There
- 15:36are two more companies called Vanguard
- 15:38and State Street. Together, these three
- 15:40companies roughly control 72% of every
- 15:44equity ETF dollar in America. In fact,
- 15:47[music] Cambridge researchers found that
- 15:49they're the single largest shareholder
- 15:50in 438 of America's 500 [music]
- 15:54biggest companies. I repeat, they're the
- 15:56largest shareholders in 438 of America's
- 16:00500 biggest companies.
- 16:01>> [music]
- 16:01>> And as such large shareholders, they
- 16:03also get voting rights, and with voting
- 16:05rights comes the extraordinary power to
- 16:07bend the markets for profits. Now,
- 16:09listen [music] to this. On 27th of
- 16:11November, 2024, the Attorney General of
- 16:14Texas and [music] 10 other states sued
- 16:16all three companies for a strange case.
- 16:18These three firms held massive stakes in
- 16:20seven of America's nine major coal
- 16:22producers. This included 30% in Peabody
- 16:24Energy and 34% in Arch Resources. These
- 16:27are the two biggest coal producers
- 16:29[music] in America. On top of that, they
- 16:31owned big stakes in the power companies
- 16:33that burn that coal. They have 24% of
- 16:35Duke Energy, 26% of Vistra, and 24% of
- 16:38American Electric Power. And lastly,
- 16:40amongst the big tech companies that end
- 16:42up buying all this energy, they own
- 16:44major stakes in Microsoft and Amazon.
- 16:46So, if you see, they have the stakes in
- 16:47the miners,
- 16:48>> [music]
- 16:48>> burners, and the buyers at the same
- 16:51time. And here's where the dots connect.
- 16:52Between 2020 and 2021, all three joined
- 16:55the same climate clubs, Net [music] Zero
- 16:57Asset Managers, with BlackRock and State
- 16:59Street also signing on to Climate Action
- 17:00100+, and according to the lawsuit, they
- 17:03used those [music] clubs to signal a
- 17:05shared commitment. And this commitment
- 17:07was to cut coal output by more than 50%
- 17:10by 2030. So, you know what happened?
- 17:12Coal output from these companies fell by
- 17:1419%. Coal prices
- 17:16>> [music]
- 17:16>> rose by 25% and when coal got expensive
- 17:20electricity got expensive and ordinary
- 17:22Americans had to pay more for using the
- 17:24same electricity. This is the reason why
- 17:26the Attorney General's complaint says
- 17:28that these companies constricted supply
- 17:30and enabled the investment companies to
- 17:32produce extraordinary revenue gains. Now
- 17:34the trial is still ongoing [music] but
- 17:36Vanguard has already settled for a 29.5
- 17:38million dollars and even though the
- 17:40final verdict isn't out yet, think about
- 17:42how much power these three companies
- 17:44have on the American economy. So do you
- 17:46realize if this kind of power gets
- 17:47concentrated in just two to three
- 17:49companies, they can practically
- 17:50manipulate any economy. For example, if
- 17:53the same thing happened in the Indian
- 17:54pharma industry, these companies can
- 17:56prevent drug prices from dropping,
- 17:58insurance bills from dropping and health
- 18:00care will become a disaster for the
- 18:01common man. The same could be the case
- 18:03with education where they can push banks
- 18:05to push student loans and universities
- 18:07to hike up prices. By the way, health
- 18:09care and college education are already a
- 18:11disaster for the common man in terms of
- 18:13affordability in the United States of
- 18:15America. And this is where capitalism
- 18:16becomes dangerous. Now there are many
- 18:18such stories but these are all
- 18:19borderline conspiracy theories so I'm
- 18:21not going to get into it but if you take
- 18:23a step back and think about the progress
- 18:25of economy and correlate that directly
- 18:27with the progress of civilization,
- 18:30you will realize something strange about
- 18:31capitalism.
- 18:32In a capitalist economy, a cyclist is
- 18:35bad for the economy and a sick person is
- 18:37great for the economy. Why? Because a
- 18:39cyclist needs no car, no service
- 18:40centers, no medicine, needs no doctors,
- 18:43no surgeries, no tests and he will also
- 18:45consume very less fuel and take less
- 18:47debt. But a sick person, a sick person
- 18:50spends money on medicine, doctors,
- 18:52insurance, surgeries, fuel and loans.
- 18:55So a sick person is great for the
- 18:57economy and a cyclist is bad for the
- 18:59economy.
- 19:00This is when you have to ask yourself,
- 19:02what exactly are you building the
- 19:03economy for? Would you rather have a
- 19:05healthy economy with sick people or a
- 19:07modest economy with healthy people? And
- 19:09when we learn to draw that line as a
- 19:11society, we will draw that line between
- 19:13conscious capitalism and evil
- 19:15capitalism. Because if you just bucket
- 19:17both of them as capitalism, we will
- 19:19never know when we'll cross that line,
- 19:20and life will become very very difficult
- 19:23for common man. So, the economy will be
- 19:25progressing, but the life of a common
- 19:27man will be absolutely disastrous. In
- 19:30the US, in some cases, that is already
- 19:32the case, and I just hope this does not
- 19:34happen in India. This is the dark truth
- 19:37of capitalism that we all need to learn
- 19:40and ensure that our country never gets
- 19:42into. That's all for my side today,
- 19:44guys. If you learned something valuable,
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