12 Years of Trading Knowledge in 2 Hours - Umar Ashraf — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00welcome everyone back to Chart Fanatics the go-to channel for all the very best strategy and concept
- 0:06breakdowns with the very best traders in the world Talking of which today we have a very very special
- 0:11guest He is a eight figure verified trader the founder of Tradezella It's the one and only Umar
- 0:19Ashra What is going on RZ Absolute pleasure Thank you for being here Finally being on this show I've
- 0:25been seeing it for such a long time and I'm like you know what This is the place to be This is the
- 0:30place for every trader to come to to get real raw education And um you know just before we begin I
- 0:36love what you're doing I love what you're sharing the trading community Uh you know with the other
- 0:40channel and then also with this channel I think traders are not understanding how much free value
- 0:45and good value you're putting out So I appreciate that a lot Thank you man I appreciate you and
- 0:49appreciate you being here You know um today we're going to be doing a five-step process from
- 0:53beginner trader novice trader to expert trader I don't think there's anyone better to be able
- 0:57to help us do that And uh you again very thankful for the kind words But where should we begin Like
- 1:02where's the first step All right cool So what I want to do is I want to go through this like
- 1:06five-step process So it's like let's say one two three four and five And this five-step process is
- 1:15there to help a trader go from basically someone that has no idea what he or she's doing to a point
- 1:21of getting to a comfortable consistency point of view Right now when I get to this point this point
- 1:28does not mean you start making so much money It does not mean that you are a millionaire trader
- 1:34It just means at this point you have a consistent repeatable process where you know how much to you
- 1:40know increase bet size you know what trades to take you know what days to be aggressive what days
- 1:44not to be aggressive and you have a really system system and dial down process right That's the goal
- 1:50we want to get to And this goal once again should not relate to a money goal So before I go into
- 1:56like this five-step process there's a few truths I think traders must understand before they go
- 2:01onto this journey And I'm going to go under the assumption that someone is starting today and
- 2:06they're like at this like stage zero stage one uh of wanting to become a trader And for me anytime
- 2:13someone enters this stage and before they kind of go to the end there are a few set of truths that
- 2:18they must accept and fully understand And if they understand and accept that at this stage it makes
- 2:23the next few stages a lot more easier Yes Right So let me explain what those steps are or what those
- 2:31things are First th this is for people let's say depending on wherever you are in your stage even
- 2:36I think if you're in let's say stage two or stage three or stage four or even stage five I think
- 2:43most people in stage five or four understand these truths because I think without this you kind of
- 2:48won't get it Um so what is truth number one before you go on this journey of becoming a consistently
- 2:57profitable trader that has a system uh that is repeatable that is understandable uh that you
- 3:03can scale up or scale down as you want The first thing is understanding when you're in this stage
- 3:08is trading is not easy right And and and this I know it's like sounds very cliche and you hear
- 3:14it you don't hear it but I think understanding this truth is so important Uh because I think
- 3:19most people that are on stage one and two go into like oh trading is going to be easy I'm
- 3:22going to be this millionaire trader in day two day three day four And I think knowing right here that
- 3:28hey this thing that I'm about to do is very hard It's going to be extremely difficult and accepting
- 3:33what you're walking into kind of makes it easy Why Because as you go through this journey and it gets
- 3:39harder and harder and harder you start knowing well I know what I signed up for I know this is
- 3:43going to be hard I know what I was going to accept But then if you go into this and you're like well
- 3:47when I go on Instagram or I go on these platforms and I see someone having this and having that and
- 3:52making so much money why am I not able to do it These processes get very very hard for you That's
- 3:57number one Number two thing that we want to accept and we want to kind of really nail down is our
- 4:02goal in these in this whole process is not making money This is not our goal We are not trying to
- 4:14make money And I know it sounds crazy when people watch this They're like "What do you mean we're
- 4:18not trying to make money?" We want to accept that We do not want to track our progress here off the
- 4:24dollar sign If we go into this process that I I'm going to dive into and we start looking at
- 4:29the dollar sign and we're like well I'm in process three and I'm unprofitable it's not working That's
- 4:35the not that's not the right metric And I'll get into the metrics So we're not looking at
- 4:39making money here That is not our goal If we do everything right in these stages properly this
- 4:45dollar sign will come knocking on your door and it it'll show up Yeah On its own without you even
- 4:50chasing it Right So we chase the process As we get better and better at the process and we get better
- 4:55at trading this part comes on its own right Just the byproduct of the the work and the the focus on
- 5:03the right things Yes Yes And then that that just kind of creates like a mental shift right I think
- 5:08I I think even me when I first started trading I went into like make wanting to make money wanting
- 5:12to make money wanting to make money and then you set money goals right This year I want to make
- 5:16this much money right where I started switching my goals to like this year I want to be able to
- 5:21identify the good versus bad trades to take This year I want to be able to identify what trades
- 5:26I should increase risk or decrease risk This year I or this month I want to get good at identifying
- 5:31this setup Yes Right So when you start doing that you start you know having this consistent element
- 5:37of like making money which comes on its own Right The third thing is in this whole process we are
- 5:44only going to control the things we can control The things that are in our control we will focus
- 5:50on So whatever we can control we will put our focus in that We cannot control what is going
- 5:56to happen to the market But what can we control right That comes down to we can control our risk
- 6:02right So it's like when I see traders in stage 1 two three or any stage right that are like oh my
- 6:06god I lost more money than I planned Why Mhm Like it's it's just a simple concept Why It's something
- 6:13you can control How much you put into a trade you can control What trades you take your quality of
- 6:19trades that you take is something you can control right Your setups that you execute on is something
- 6:26you can control The days you trade is something you you can control Your emotional element also
- 6:31something you should be able to control right So our job here is to control focus on the things we
- 6:37can control I cannot control what Trump's going to tweet right So if I get into a trade and the
- 6:43trade goes the opposite way and it was because of this unknown variable that I had no control
- 6:49over I have to let that go Hey guys just a very very quick one If you're enjoying this playbook
- 6:54and you want to get it sent directly to you make sure to go on chart fanatics.com put your email
- 6:59in and every episode we drop we will send you a direct PDF breaking down this exact playbook or
- 7:06alternatively also the playbooks will be put all together with the rules over on trade zella That
- 7:12is an incredible collaboration So if you want to actually add the playbook to your trade zella make
- 7:16sure you go check that out as well But let's get back into this episode And then I think one of the
- 7:21last things is understanding this part which is very important is that in trading there is
- 7:27no aha moment Interesting like like so I've been trading for 11 12 years now I don't have that like
- 7:38at all And what I mean by no aha moment is just because I've made money last year just because I
- 7:45made money yesterday that's just just because I made money last month I know does not equate to
- 7:51me automatically making money the next month Yeah So trading is a game You have to show up every
- 7:56single day You have to have a good process You have to be able to adjust the process as needed
- 8:00You have to be able to adjust to market conditions and if you're able to do that you will have the
- 8:05best chance of making money consistently But if I go "Oh my god I figured it out." And the reason I
- 8:11say that is because I noticed when traders go from stage one to stage two to stage three in
- 8:17this stage they have those periods of feeling that aha moment And what happens is when they
- 8:22get to that moment of you know hey I I figured it out Boom They go down Yeah Hey I figured it out
- 8:29Boom Even for me there's so many times where I'm like "Oh I figured it out." And you know I end up
- 8:35having a 20% draw down 15% draw down in a trade or on my account And it's when you realize like
- 8:42"Hey I can start getting from stage a to two to three to four and five And even when I'm at stage
- 8:48five it doesn't mean I've made it It just means now I have this process that I understand really
- 8:54deeply And I have to control that process and I have to keep focusing on that process and I have
- 8:59to adjust it as the market starts adjusting and I need to know where to apply where to take a step
- 9:04back and if I'm able to do that this will show up Yeah No definitely and you know what I really
- 9:10love about especially the aha moment because I think that that is what a lot of traders assume
- 9:14happens Um there's like a click or light bulb moment where everything changes not realizing
- 9:20that nothing changes you just get better as you say on the focus element for sure Um and you
- 9:26probably understand that it's not easy and you're probably not focused on the dollar amount So as
- 9:30a combination of all of these things as you say the dollar amount sorts itself out and you accept
- 9:36there's no aha moment So you recognize the focus of your performance your process your routines
- 9:43uh a lot of the time sometimes outside of actual trading itself so that you're prepared to be to
- 9:48be focused when necessary Yeah Yeah So so I that's I think accepting because for me for I think six
- 9:54years seven years I've chased this aha moment I was like why I get it but then I lose it I get
- 9:59it then I lose it I get it then I lose it And then you know I think in year six or seven whatever it
- 10:04was I I sat down and I'm like wait there's never really this moment that we get right and then the
- 10:11last thing right understanding this part Now this applies to some people and it may not apply to
- 10:18some people depending on what stage you're at but you have to understand psychology in trading is
- 10:24overrated Mhm Right And like emotions are a thing I'm not saying emotions aren't a thing right But
- 10:31this is overrated I I write really bad Emotions are really overrated And the reason I say that
- 10:37is because your emotions are a battle for us to take when we get somewhere here right It's like
- 10:44in stage three and four That's where we start dealing with emotions before we get to emotions
- 10:50And once again I I emphasize on this because I see traders in stage one or stage two and they go "I'm
- 10:55not profitable because I can't get my emotions in check." And I'm like "Well your emotions should
- 11:00not be in effect in stage one and two This is when you're building up skills." And when you're
- 11:05building up skills your size shouldn't be large enough for it to impact your emotions Yeah Right
- 11:10So it's like when you're in stage one two and partially shifting to three This is where like
- 11:14your size right needs to be the least amount So like how much you're risking your capital amount
- 11:19This is where it's like the least amount and then it slowly starts picking up somewhere here So the
- 11:25reason I say emotions are overrated it applies a lot to stage 1 2 3 But then obviously once
- 11:30you pass those stages this is one of the battles that we have to deal with which we'll get into
- 11:36the into these stages But I think if you're in stage one two three this should not be there
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- 13:43available Become an Apex trader today Now let's get back to the episode Would you say that what
- 13:48the problem is is that people use it as a crutch They use it as almost an excuse for why they're
- 13:52not performing well versus actually identifying like they don't have edge or they're oversizing
- 13:58or they're making these what you would call like novice mistakes which is why it's down here at
- 14:03the sort of phase one and two but a lot of the time people kind of trap themselves here because
- 14:07they'll just constantly point to psychology Yeah And there's no one really can help with that
- 14:11because unless you start to really identify edge Yeah So so because it's easier to blame psychology
- 14:17right It's easier to say like there's so many traders that I've I've come across They'll say
- 14:22you know it's I know how to trade but it's my emotions And I'm like okay what's your playbook
- 14:27What's your strategy Walk me through it Has it been proven Have you tested it enough And they're
- 14:32like no Then how do you know it's your emotions Cuz when I trade I get this and I feel that And
- 14:35I'm like yeah So how about we work backwards How about if you feel that and this is for anyone
- 14:40that feels that So let's say this is strategy and let's say this is emotions Your strategy needs to
- 14:46be focused first and your emotions or let's say capital needs to be low right Not even here It
- 14:52needs to be low and then your capital picks up when your strategy becomes more repeatable So
- 14:59capital needs to be minimum your position sizing So for example if you're risking $50 a trade and
- 15:05let's say losing $50 a trade doesn't really bother you it's going to allow you to operate
- 15:09your strategy a lot more effective effectively But now if let's say losing 5K of trades going
- 15:14to like shift you up and down you don't have a good strate even if you have the best strategy in
- 15:18the world your emotions will hijack your process Yeah And and that's why capital placement and when
- 15:23to increase size and when to take certain trades becomes important here and not here because what
- 15:28we want to do here is we want to develop on stage one two and partially three And then when we go
- 15:33from three to four that's when we want to start adjusting size This is like these stages and
- 15:38you know I'll get into it in a bit is like this is where we start making money This is where we
- 15:41start taking proper bet sizes Here's where we build the foundation And while we're building
- 15:46foundation we don't want to have emotions We don't want to make our life harder So we reduce position
- 15:51sizing We reduce risk So this part does not hijack this process No I love that I think from what I'm
- 15:57hearing as well and just general observation is that a lot of the people in phase one and two are
- 16:03essentially trying to take things from the more expert stages and trying to apply them early on
- 16:08Yes Which isn't the right formula Yes Yeah Yeah And then that's where all of this not easy Money
- 16:14is not our goal Control the things you can control There's no aha moment Emotions overrated All kick
- 16:19in to the final thing which this whole process of a to five is a slow marathon Mhm Right That's the
- 16:27last thing I want to just touch on before we go into this Trading is a marathon It's not a
- 16:32sprint And the reason I want to emphasize that on people is because everyone watching and I want you
- 16:36guys to think about this for a second If you've been trading for two years you've been trading
- 16:40for three years even if you've been trading for a year how many people that have been watching have
- 16:44rushed into trying to make money in three months have rushed into making money in six months And
- 16:49what what that does right and I've seen this so many times and it like frustrates me So I'll give
- 16:54you an example of like two traders that I've seen two types of traders right There's trader
- 16:59one let's say both of them started in 2021 right And this is trader two also started in 2021 right
- 17:08Trader one you know rushes the process goes back to zero Russia's the process goes back to zero
- 17:14Russia's the process goes back to zero Russia's the process goes back to zero What happens here
- 17:20They blow their account they lose their funded account something whatever it is and then they
- 17:24go back to zero And then they repeat the cycle Yeah You go to 2025 they're still here Yeah But
- 17:30in this window of four years they've had success many successes But those many successes were
- 17:37not built on strong foundation So it's like imagine building a 50story building with no
- 17:41strong foundation Anytime there's anything bad that happens the building's going to collapse
- 17:45Yeah So what these traders do and I'm confident that 60 70 80% of people watching are in this
- 17:51cycle they don't have a strong base Then trader number two who builds a strong base doesn't get
- 17:57this phase of hype or excitement or success until maybe year one or maybe like even year two or
- 18:03year three And then this trader obviously the the path doesn't look like that but the trajectory is
- 18:09a lot higher Why Because this person has spent such a long time in this like flat stage right
- 18:16And in this flat stage they develop themselves Yeah And then the hard part about this stage and
- 18:21the reason people have a hard time being here is you'll look at someone that you started trading
- 18:25with or someone that started the same time as you and you're like well he or she made money
- 18:29today and I did not Yeah So I need to do what he or she's doing Well what they don't know is just
- 18:33to kind of go off your point is that you're here in this flat stage doing the right thing focusing
- 18:38on your skill sets and building those skills Let's say you're here in this moment but what
- 18:43you're seeing over here is this guy Yeah Here Yes Not knowing that a month later or two months later
- 18:49he's here while you're still here building your skills Um and then like you say you're comparing
- 18:53to this person I need to be doing that And then you start making changes and start basically
- 18:58formulating this sort of journey which you don't want to be doing And like you said though rightly
- 19:01so because I was in this journey I remember and you know so many traders I've spoken to
- 19:05have been in that journey still in that journey And uh it's almost a trap because those moments
- 19:11those peaks just trick you into thinking you're doing the right thing Yeah And I I know people
- 19:16that are in that in four years right I I I look at their stuff I look at their stats I look at
- 19:20their performance And it's like hey you haven't been able to break out of this bubble Like you've
- 19:25made no pro progress You feel like you've made progress but you really haven't But this person
- 19:29like I I have an example of of of a trader that I know personally right Uh his name is Jay right And
- 19:35uh I think he started trading in 2020 or 2021 Mh And he was unprofitable for 9 months 10 months
- 19:4312 months And I use him as an example really like all the time because his journey was exactly this
- 19:48Like I think for 9 months he was unprofitable And you know when I say unprofitable I don't mean like
- 19:53he's losing his life savings or anything I'm just you know he's flat he's losing some money he's
- 19:57making some money He's here Yeah for like 9 months right But he's red Like if he his account started
- 20:01here he's like under but not massively And I think it was 2021 his account starts like picking up
- 20:07picking up picking up whatever We're in 2025 And I think recently he had his first 100K trade Wow
- 20:14Right This guy who was in this period for 9 months you know and when he got out of the period after
- 20:209 months it wasn't that he started making a lot of money but he like after 9 months it like up
- 20:23down up down you know good process good systems He had his first 100k day and that day like and the
- 20:29special thing about this day that I want to talk about it's not that he made the 100k is this day
- 20:33is repeatable there is a process behind it it's not by random he can do it again he had a 50k day
- 20:4070k a day this process h this this dollar value has a process behind it right it has a process
- 20:47behind it very different than this person also making 100k this day 100k this day but there's
- 20:51no process behind it there's no systems there there's nothing that can make it repeatable
- 20:56And and this person even though let's say it took them longer in some people's eyes he has something
- 21:02that he has a strong foundation on where he is in stage four to five and he has a system he can
- 21:07repeat Yes This person does not cuz even with this person making 100k down here they're going to lose
- 21:12100k Exactly Or lose more than 100k Yeah So then in the again the danger of social media and danger
- 21:19of just being in the space is you'll see this the making you won't see this And there's a lot more
- 21:25of this than there's of that Yeah That's that's the other part All right Cool Cool All right Let's
- 21:31dive into all of the stages and the steps and the cool part Right And this is something where like I
- 21:38can confident confidently say I think if people give this follow those five principles give it
- 21:44time right apply the right strategies and you know figure out what the right strategies are for them
- 21:50they'll have the highest probability at being profitable like like I'm so confident and I've
- 21:56seen it happen but even people that are watching out of like 10,000 people let's say less than 50
- 22:04people are going to actually do this Yeah but the ones that do do it they'll have a have a have a
- 22:08good route Here are some of the things I want to focus on all of these areas right Minus the bad
- 22:15handwriting Uh okay So let's assume everyone is in novice Even if you're not in you're in
- 22:19developing you're intermediate you think you're advanced you're in pro Let's just start from the
- 22:23beginning right So there's elements that I think in every stage that are important right So it's
- 22:28like for example uh your risk your risk here to let's say developing let's say this is where it
- 22:34starts at zero developing you go from like a one to two intermediate when you start experimenting
- 22:40you can maybe go from like three to five and then this is where kind of the scaling of risk becomes
- 22:46like the goal this is where we focus on risk right this is where like the risk component becomes more
- 22:52important here risk is something we like nudge with and I'll kind of get into uh get into that
- 22:58This is where when you go to novice and developing intermediate this is where like your knowledge of
- 23:03trading has to be focused on So you're like focus on this part of skills is the biggest focus point
- 23:10is here Not that the focus point of developing skills goes down here but it's like when you get
- 23:15to this range your skills should kind of be good And what I what I mean by skills I'm talking about
- 23:21you know you should be able to understand market dynamics You should have playbooks you should have
- 23:25setups you should understand what moves the market you should understand uh what days to trade what
- 23:29days not to trade You should have those levels of skills focused down there Yeah Uh same thing with
- 23:35size Your size in these kind of three stages stays the same right Up or down not a lot And
- 23:43same thing here your risk you can start adjusting This is where dynamic risk kicks in Right And then
- 23:51experiment Right I think this is once again where you experiment the most Yeah Right And then this
- 23:58is where you have a good process This is where you should be good Okay So it's just kind of
- 24:04putting where focus goes in where focus doesn't go in And then I think a little bit I think the
- 24:09another last one would probably be psychology And I think psychology automatically plays a
- 24:14role with dynamic and plays a role with you know risk So this is where these are like the
- 24:19two places where if I was to pick where psychology comes in right it's here and here So like you you
- 24:27start making the gap from intermediate to here is like the first phase where you should have
- 24:31psychological gaps You should have emotional like your emotions where it should hijack your process
- 24:36or start to hijack it Right Not saying like that's what we want but it should show up here It should
- 24:41not show up in stage one It should not show up in stage two If your emotions show up in stage
- 24:45one or two that means you're risking too much Your size is way too high than what you should be doing
- 24:51from a trader point of view So in just looking at this kind of framework stage one stage two
- 24:56stage three your risk stays consistent You're not having dynamic risk And what do I mean by dynamic
- 25:02risk is you're not risking like you're not going in one trade risking $100 and the the A+ setup
- 25:07you're going to say well now on this A+ setup I will risk 300 That dynamic element you have
- 25:12to have enough screen time You have to have enough uh skills to be able to increase that dynamic risk
- 25:17Uh and then once you start doing dynamic risk that's where like this part really comes in the
- 25:22emotional element right I'm just going to put emotions right Emotions come in And that's okay
- 25:27That becomes like the next devil that we have to deal with But we want to deal with this part first
- 25:32And what is this part that we want to deal with That's what I want to like focus on first Um so
- 25:37once again the whole framework here you guys can just kind of understand it Experiment in
- 25:42stage 1 two three three we start leaning away Like three is typically like the split part in mo most
- 25:46cases right But one and two is where we just start throwing stuff at the wall We start getting a feel
- 25:52of the market We start getting an understanding of what that is And now I want to walk you guys
- 25:56through stage one to two what you should be doing in stage one what you should be doing in stage two
- 26:01and how all of that should look All right so let's talk about stage one really quick What everyone
- 26:05should be doing on this stage and what they want to kind of understand Now when you guys start you
- 26:12know remembering that you won't know everything is fine So let's say let's say let's call it stage
- 26:16one right stage one this is like novous traders right novous traders okay so in stage one this is
- 26:29where once again we know absolutely nothing Uh you want to go here with the blank state Uh if
- 26:35you go into the stage thinking this is the way how things are done and you go in with a closed mind
- 26:40it'll make things a little bit harder Here's where we want to have the market we're trading right I
- 26:45think everyone getting into the market should know what they want to trade right So one thing
- 26:50I'm not the biggest fan of is like I think when people are in the developing stages they go I'm
- 26:55going to trade crypto and then I'm going to trade futures then I'm going to trade forex and then
- 26:58I'm going to trade options And it's like no let's pick one market Let's understand that market and
- 27:04let's understand how we want to trade that So for example in this situation let's just say we pick
- 27:10futures just for argument sake right I am trading let's say ES S&P 500 trading NQ right that's what
- 27:19I want to trade that's the market um trading let's say New York session right this is New York time
- 27:27for anyone that is not familiar uh that's the market I want to trade so that makes things clear
- 27:32second thing is I want to start knowing okay how Do I want to trade Do I want to scalp right Do I
- 27:39want to like day trade Do I want to hold trades you know from couple of seconds to a couple of
- 27:44minutes Or do I want to hold trades longer than just a few seconds two minutes right So it's like
- 27:48understanding what type of approach I want to take right And and by the way what you pick here is not
- 27:55concrete So because you say you want to scalp you might get into stage one and you might say "Ah
- 28:00actually I don't want to scalp anymore It's not for me I'm not really good on my feet as quickly
- 28:04as possible Yeah I need something a little bit slower and that's okay The idea here is once again
- 28:09we can experiment on the stage We can play around with the stage Um that's that The next thing is
- 28:14you you want to there's two approaches right You can either paper paper trade here right And and
- 28:20this depends if you're completely new you have no background know anything paper trade get familiar
- 28:24with trading get familiar with the markets uh get familiar with your platform buy stuff sell stuff
- 28:30whatever If you're past that stuff right which which I think everyone should you know move on
- 28:35from at at a certain point you want to use real money and a very small amount right Like start
- 28:43with I don't know $1,000 or two 2K or 3K I don't think you should go in with more than that Very
- 28:49small amount Yeah Right Put that capital in to to the market And this is after the fact that you've
- 28:56paper traded you've understood the market you understood what works what doesn't work how the
- 28:59platform works and you kind of have a good idea then obviously do that Uh and then from there you
- 29:04want to start building a process right And I'll kind of go into the process a little bit Uh the
- 29:09idea of a process here guys is you won't have everything perfect Yeah And and I think this is
- 29:16what people forget is they think that the thing that they select early on is what they have to
- 29:20stick to And that's why early on I recommended that in stage one two and three we have a lot
- 29:25of experimentation And experimentation obviously starts going down afterwards Yeah But we want to
- 29:30have a process that we can adjust here And the reason we want to have a process and we want to
- 29:36have data tracking here is because we then know what our problem is Yes What people do is because
- 29:42they don't have a process and they don't have data tracking of their process when they get to
- 29:46let's say stage three right They don't know what is making them do that They don't know if it's a
- 29:54bad setup They don't know if it's their selection of trades They don't know if their size They don't
- 29:58know if it's emotions They they have no idea So they go back into this place again Yeah So if we
- 30:04start building this from day one which will build out together and we start altering it based on how
- 30:09we want to trade and what we want to do it'll make our life a million times easier Yes Right
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- 31:44today Now let's get back to the episode That's essentially just the essential framework right And
- 31:50then obviously when you have this you want to have risk I think risk less than 1% per account do even
- 31:570.5% when you start out What does that mean That means if you're if you have let's say a $1,000
- 32:03account you're risking like I don't know what what is 1% on I'm blank $10 $10 right You're risking
- 32:11$10 per trade That doesn't mean you're investing $10 That means if you are wrong you will lose
- 32:16$10 You can invest a,000 You can invest $2,000 Especially if you're trading futures you'll have
- 32:20margin and so on But if you're wrong you lose $10 Maybe you lose $20 Maybe whatever the case is So
- 32:26you you can maybe go to you know micros You don't have to trade ES You can maybe trade micros You
- 32:31can start adjusting to have the least amount of risk possible Now the the problem here is people
- 32:36will say "Well Omar how will I make money?" Once again going back to my point early on we're not
- 32:41trying to make money The reason we want to have the least amount of risk is because we do not want
- 32:47to we want to be able to take the most amount of trades and be wrong and still be alive Yeah
- 32:52Because capital is the most important thing in the market And without capital we cannot trade Yeah So
- 32:57that's why this thing we have to protect And while we're in stage one two and a little bit of three
- 33:01we want to risk the least amount So if we're wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong we can survive to see
- 33:06another day That's why the idea of making money in these stages is not something we should focus
- 33:12on Definitely And you know just to go back to the left side here you know the experimentation I feel
- 33:18like is missing There are people who experiment but I think they will go into it through some
- 33:23sort of educational route or some YouTube video whatever it may be Yeah Um and they come across
- 33:28let's say the market's chosen for them in a sense The pair and the the asset the trade is chosen for
- 33:33them The style is chosen for them because of and again it's not necessarily their fault but it's
- 33:38actually going back to as you said understanding the expectation knowing that it's not going to
- 33:42be easy that once you actually have the correct expectation then you can have the right mindset
- 33:48and do the right things versus if you don't if you kind of allow yourself just to kind of find
- 33:52yourself into the trading industry and then just kind of following the same sort of journey that
- 33:57most people do which we already pointed out is that boom and bust constantly you'll just find
- 34:01yourself there where if you want to make those changes which I think is the whole purpose of this
- 34:05video here is to go through these stages for you to really elevate and allow you to sort of really
- 34:09become more self-aware is that regardless of how you come in you need to understand this element
- 34:15here You know the market you choose You know you might have come into it on FX right In the UK
- 34:21that's pretty much how most people come across trading FX but you never know You might come
- 34:24in and realize okay FX isn't that efficient It's not really the most regulated and it's not really
- 34:29centralized I want futures sounds better Okay And then from there you then pick your the futures
- 34:35instrument You then pick the style Then you pick you you paper trade or you have a smaller account
- 34:40And that experimentation is so necessary to build your repetitions But as you pointed out like
- 34:45really really minimize the risk It's not about making money It's about building your reps Because
- 34:50I think if anything a lot of people obviously because they don't do this yes they blow up two
- 34:56three times very early on And that's kind of their expectation of trading versus if they've actually
- 35:00trained themselves to take losses but maybe lose 10% But that was over you know 20 30 40 trades
- 35:08they've actually told themselves actually if I do this right I can still be in the game and I think
- 35:12that's a huge difference in mindset Yes And and that to your point is exactly what it is because
- 35:17you start even though it's not money that for some people it may not burn them but you get familiar
- 35:22with this process right like hey I'll lose 10 10 and then I'll have a trade I'll make 30 I'll
- 35:27lose a 555 and I'll have a trade I'll make 40 So those setups come and then you start knowing trade
- 35:32selection and setup selection and then you're like wow if I have this process and I follow it long
- 35:36enough I will make money Yeah Right And I think doing that in stage one and two and that's why
- 35:41the least amount of money it's important because I see people in the stage they're like no I don't
- 35:44really care about a thousand I want to do more I want to like feel it And then they lose it
- 35:48and then they do it again They lose it They do it again And then it's like you get in this mindset
- 35:52of wanting to make that money back which is like the worst place to be And that's like not where
- 35:57I think any trader should focus on That becomes like a I call it like a revolving door You know
- 36:01it just doesn't end because just as we you had the illustration before with the 100k examples that's
- 36:07exactly what happens You'll be up and you'll let's say if overall in your journey you've lost 20K
- 36:12Yeah And you're up 10 right now The first thing that's going to go through your head is I just
- 36:17need to make 10 more and break even Yes And then you lose that 10 now you're 30k down Right And you
- 36:22just repeat that over and over Yeah And something I want to add on to this is if someone is in stage
- 36:25three or four and I know they're like I don't want to watch the stage one video I think going back to
- 36:29the basics of stuff is very important because it allows you to rebuild up the foundation better
- 36:33Right So even for me when my trading breaks sometimes I go back mentally stage one I'm
- 36:37like okay like what am I missing here What am I doing wrong Like what do I need to do to you know
- 36:41refix the stuff Is there something broken Like for example with the Trump market now market's
- 36:45very different getting adjusted to it requires a new approach new process new understanding of how
- 36:50to kind of you know set up game plans Sometimes you can't have biases for the day because the bias
- 36:55can change Uh so so going back to ground ground uh you know stage one mentally for a day or two
- 37:00and just building yourself back up I think is also very important Definitely Cool Cool So
- 37:05yeah So that's that's a little bit stage one I'll go into the process and then obviously I think in
- 37:09stage one like what is the goal we're trying to do Like let me just put the goal like the objective
- 37:14the the the goal of stage one that we're trying to do is we're building our foundation right Oh
- 37:19[ __ ] Foundation right I wrote it wrong Uh we're building our foundation right We're building our
- 37:29process and we're getting educated here right And there's two types of education right And I think
- 37:34early on we get like videos and like you know you want to buy something online you watch this video
- 37:40and a lot of other videos on this channel uh books and whatever the case is you can do that
- 37:44on education And then I think the second one is like screen time Yeah Yeah Right Screen time This
- 37:51is the most important education in the world This is good to build the foundation This is where it
- 37:56gets more and more So the way this correlation works is early on your screen time starts high
- 38:02I mean your video education starts high and your video education goes down Your screen time starts
- 38:07average and then your screen time goes up Right So that's like where the correlation happens So stage
- 38:11one we are building a good foundation of learning We want to know what we what we need to learn
- 38:16uh you know market dynamics what moves the market uh you know setups technical
- 38:20uh stuff whatever the case is Getting all of that together to dive into our process which
- 38:25we'll go into stage two in a bit Right now what does that process look like And I think this is
- 38:29the important part before we go into stage two And stage two I'll talk a little bit about setups and
- 38:33I'll talk about strategies and you know how to kind of do that Uh but the process is what we
- 38:41care about So in trading there's a few things that are not negotiables for us There's things that we
- 38:48want to really understand and we want to really kind of uh identify right So there's pre-market
- 38:56right Game plan So every day you guys go into a day you should have the following session notes
- 39:06right You have your pre-market game plan So this is before you start trading your session
- 39:10You have a game plan There's like your actual trade notes Let's call it live trading right
- 39:18And then you have your post market analysis Post market analysis right So once again you have a
- 39:30pre-market game plan your live trading notes uh and then you have your postmarket analysis This
- 39:36is kind of like a little bit of manual work Yeah And then from this then you have like your trade
- 39:42data right and I want to help you understand what that kind of looks like So pre-market game plan
- 39:48So what do we want to do every day is before you go into any session you want to have a game plan
- 39:53that approaches that particular session So what would that game plan look like So for
- 39:58example let's say tomorrow is Monday I would say for Monday my game plan I am watching ES right
- 40:08uh as I'm watching actually before I even go into ES when I go into my game plan I'm looking at all
- 40:12the economic events economic events that possibly have moved the market last week and are moving the
- 40:21market So it's like last week and this week and the reason I say last week is because I want to
- 40:28have this foundation of what moved the markets what is the sentiment of the market uh and what
- 40:32is happening this week Mhm Once again guys because we are in stage one you will screw up really bad
- 40:38here You will not get this right You will have bad analysis You would not you will miss stuff This is
- 40:44okay This is why stage one This is why like for me a lot of times I've learned so much from just
- 40:49an economic point of view by observing the market watching the market taking notes on it going back
- 40:53to it Yeah Then it's the game plan of like the setups and the trades So for example if you're
- 40:58watching ES right Your game plan could be what is it you're watching with ES I'm watching these are
- 41:04my levels This is maybe my bias with the S&P 500 Uh if we break this level this is the trade I'm
- 41:12looking for This is like my key inflection points right Uh this is where my supply is This is where
- 41:18my demand is Uh this is just kind of the framework for this particular name or it could be the market
- 41:24And you kind of go off that So you make that whole pre-market game plan Once again this is something
- 41:29that I think it's better to add more and then cut down than to like have nothing Yeah Because here
- 41:34you want to write your thoughts and your thoughts could also be something as like I think the market
- 41:40is going to go up today because of this That's okay And the reason that's okay is because when
- 41:43you write that on Monday and then you review it at the end of the day you're like "Oh [ __ ] I
- 41:48missed this." Yes You go to Tuesday you go back to Monday and you you compare you start looking
- 41:52at what you're missing here you start going "Well my game plan was to do this on ES but I missed the
- 41:58economic event that was coming at 10 a.m I was looking to trade this week but Powell speaks on
- 42:04Wednesday." And typically I've noticed when Powell speaks the market gets gets very flat Yeah Oh wow
- 42:11I start You start noticing these clues and I can tell you these clues as much as possible You can
- 42:15you know someone else can tell you you can watch a YouTube video and you'll have the foundation
- 42:18But it's like when you write these things down and you observe them Yeah they stick with you a
- 42:23lot more Right So for me a lot of times like my trade selection and my day selection came
- 42:28a lot from those reps of like oh well this week you know we have earnings coming up market when
- 42:33there's earnings season doesn't really move but the names start moving after earnings Yeah So
- 42:40for example Tesla has earnings right right now like currently while we're shooting this earning
- 42:44season's going on Um me I'm not trading names around earning season I'm now looking a day or
- 42:51two after maybe the day after depending on the move and I start formulating trades then Yeah
- 42:57Right And that comes from having a plan having your live trade notes and postmarket analysis
- 43:03which I'll get into and adjusting this as per the sessions keep going because this will give
- 43:09you a lot of value of your thinking pattern like everyone here has their own way of processing data
- 43:15like this is let's say data everyone connects it differently The only way you'll know how you're
- 43:20connecting it and how you're connecting it right or wrong is by doing this repeated process over
- 43:24and over again especially in stage one two and three Yeah And obviously we're going to continue
- 43:28this on all stages but these stages where you will have the biggest learning No definitely Cuz
- 43:33the the one thing that really stands out to me as you said is writing it down Not only do you sort
- 43:37of remember it and you sort of more deep learn it but also to assume that you're going to remember
- 43:42it just in your mind every single day Like you might remember the first day maybe Yeah Most of
- 43:47the time when once the market's alive and you're sat there everything you planned out and thought
- 43:52in your head is gone So like this process of actually creating a game plan writing it down it's
- 43:57uh you know simple simple step but so powerful because once you have a collection of this you'll
- 44:03be able to pick up on the fact that okay as you mentioned economic event you know you missed it
- 44:08but then my analysis was correct Okay or economic event I plan not to trade I took a trade I've
- 44:15taken an L Yes once you start collecting these over time especially in stage one then you're
- 44:20it's almost like not speeding up the journey but at least it's doing the right steps for you to
- 44:24be able to review keep a record of of everything that's going on And that's what's going to build
- 44:30the reps You know that's where that's where your better decision- making your clearer decision-
- 44:36making will come from versus what most people do and I know I did it in the beginning as well is it
- 44:41just everything's in here and you think I I'll remember you forget the trade you took in the
- 44:46morning sometimes if you if you going overboard and that's just not good cuz then you have no
- 44:51reflection at all of what happened at the start what was my actual plan what was what my actual
- 44:55thoughts and same with the postmarket analysis you know if you're not doing that you just you're
- 45:00never learning are you no of course and and that's why I said this this part is very like be open to
- 45:05making mistakes this like we're experimenting here right and I think for people that are
- 45:09think they are in stage two and three come back here again and and experiment experiment of like
- 45:14getting this part right getting the one the floor right second doing it consistently and then third
- 45:20finding things to take away from it right And and if you intentionally do that day after day
- 45:27one you will get very in tune with the market and two you will find so many things out and you will
- 45:32learn more that will stick with you consistently Yeah Right So that's that's one Then live trading
- 45:37notes So this is something I think becomes like this is very powerful So like there's a few ways
- 45:42to do this One you can screen record Yes Yeah Right So like I screen record like I use Loom and
- 45:47I screen record my session like I'll talk over it sometimes Um or second something that also helps
- 45:53me is typing Interesting Or writing like you can you can write and like I'll give you an example
- 45:59of like how I write stuff and what I do and like I'm telling you it's legit a game changer It's
- 46:04like it it helps more on like stage three when emotions start coming in But the idea of writing
- 46:11is like I'll do like five minute check-ins if I'm like in like draw down and I'm really
- 46:16struggling But typically I'll do like 15 minute check-ins And what I mean by that is if I start
- 46:21trading at 9:30 a.m Yeah All right At like 9:45 right I'll have like my first check-in and like
- 46:31just set an alarm on your phone like go off every 15 minutes and like write what do I see What do I
- 46:37think Hey I'm looking at Tesla Tesla looks like a good long above 252 I'm watching that Or I could
- 46:44say "Hey I'm in Tesla long here This is why I'm long My stop is here." Right And what that does
- 46:49is one it allows you to see what your thinking process is when you're in the markets Because a
- 46:55lot of times what you guys will see you'll have a plan and then your actual trades differ from your
- 46:59plan and you'll go "Whoa what the hell Why can I not follow a simple plan?" And then second you'll
- 47:05start seeing when you do your postmarket analysis like wow why was I going long in Tesla This has
- 47:11happened to me probably like four months ago Like I took notes I looked at it aftermarket and when I
- 47:17looked at this I go this makes absolutely no sense Like why was I taking this side of the trade And
- 47:25it's like when you are in this moment you know trading at times does get a little bit confusing
- 47:30You do start overthinking Emotions do become a part of it Like a lot of things happen here
- 47:35And the the idea of the po postmarket analysis is one you're looking at your pre-market game
- 47:39plan You're looking at what did you get You're looking at your game plan for the day in terms of
- 47:44the trade and the selection what you were going to do how you executed that what your execution
- 47:50looked like and then analyzing that at the end from a thought process point of view Yes Right
- 47:55And then the other thing that goes into stage one and everything we're doing in stage one guys this
- 47:59is something we're doing until stage five This part doesn't stop Like this is part of the process
- 48:03right Is like rules you set and all that happens when you go from stage 1 2 3 4 5 is like these
- 48:09processes get more defined They get more easier They get repeatable And this is what I was saying
- 48:13early on When you have this the process becomes very repeatable So going to rules as I mentioned
- 48:19earlier we want to control things we can control So like some rules I have is like I don't like to
- 48:24trade past 11 a.m Eastern time So like that's when I end my trading session So that's like a
- 48:29rule I have I think for everyone else starting too I think if you're trading US markets I don't think
- 48:34you should sit in front of your computer for like 10 hours trying to trade especially early on You
- 48:39guys early on will have more You will learn not even early on later on You will learn more off
- 48:45the screen than on the screen consistently If you spend 3 hours on the screen and you spend three
- 48:50hours off the screen looking at what your thought process was you'll learn more than sitting in
- 48:54front of a screen for six hours right Do you feel like that comes down to the fact that when they're
- 49:00on the screen a lot of the time they're wanting you know they're not really clear anyway There's
- 49:06a lot of chaos going on A lot of the time they're probably again taking information from someone
- 49:10else Um so therefore it's kind of like influence decision versus if you're focused off the screen
- 49:19you know on on your your trading their trading their decisions what they've done what they
- 49:24control essentially what what you said earlier Um that's why it has such a more profound impact on
- 49:30the trader because it's actually what's within their control It's actually what they've done
- 49:35versus just what the market's done Yeah Why the markets moved sideways Why the market reacted to
- 49:41this area This is much more important and powerful because this is directly your track record if you
- 49:48will your actions within the market Yeah Yeah No exactly I think it comes down to one I think after
- 49:53a certain point like the US market doesn't really move as fluidly right Like typically after 11 12
- 50:00you know action starts dying down Second I think you get you know mentally we don't have mostly we
- 50:06don't have the mental capacity to sit in front of a computer for four or five hours and make really
- 50:10high important choices over and over again and execute at a high level So that execution quality
- 50:16after time goes down because our brains get tired Uh and then I think third is you know just I think
- 50:21overall we don't need like the idea of trading in my opinion is freedom right Like that's why
- 50:25you want to do it But if you're chained down to your screen for 10 hours then you're not really
- 50:29making any pro uh progress It makes no sense Yes Right So to me it's like hey if you have
- 50:33this rule of getting off by 11 or 12 let's say even 12 I think early on is fine Um you kind
- 50:38of limit your trade selection Also if you if you end until 4 p.m what starts happening throughout
- 50:44the day Mentally if you're sitting in front of your computer for 6 hours and you don't take a
- 50:48trade it's very easy to say "I've been here for 6 hours I've been here for seven hours I made $0
- 50:55let me take a trade Right It's the same concept of going to work and not getting paid So it's
- 50:59like you're going to work and you don't get paid for seven hours So you your trade trades that you
- 51:04start taking in hour four five six just it's easier for you to take them which lead to like
- 51:09overtrading and bad trades Yeah it does Yeah Right So yeah So there's rules So like for example 11
- 51:14a.m end uh I think in stage one having like cut off rules Uh I think another rule is like I need
- 51:20to be at my desk one hour before the market opens All right Um I think that just kind of
- 51:27keeps things consistent And you know something to keep in mind everyone loves that trading you don't
- 51:32have a boss You don't have anyone looking over you But that's also a really big con cuz I think most
- 51:37people need that structure Yeah So I think setting that structure up for yourself and following it is
- 51:41really important Uh and then I think the next one is like how much you're risking right Hey
- 51:46I'm risking let's say I I'm not allowed to lose no more than $50 per trade Yeah Following that
- 51:52and making that especially in this stage making that really consistent Uh making sure that you
- 51:57are doing stage one stage two stage three of your notes every single day And like this could be just
- 52:04your basic rules right This is it Uh I I need to have a game plan I need to be in front of my
- 52:10computer 1 hour before Uh I need 11:00 a.m I end risk no more than $50 Uh even trade count I think
- 52:17early on limit your trade count Limit yourself to like maybe three max trades a day No more than
- 52:22three Yeah Um I think what that does is I think when you limit yourself to a few trades you you're
- 52:27more cautious of like well I only have three trades today Let me use them wisely Mhm Right
- 52:34And you know the other flip side of this is like you'll hear traders say "Well what if you have
- 52:38a very good day and the market's moving and you should take 10 12 trades." And I'm like "Yeah I
- 52:42agree to with that but stage one." Stage one Yeah Mhm That's not what we're focused on I love what
- 52:47you said there as well Um in terms of traders are just by themselves you know like traditional prop
- 52:53firms for example or these professionals or even traders from the past they were either in pits
- 52:58or if it's traditional prop firm they have like trader pods they have risk managers like all these
- 53:02different facilities almost you know interactions before a trader places a trade you know and it's
- 53:11just crazy how different that is I think most traders like the average viewer here doesn't
- 53:16even know that exists Yeah So all they know is that that sort of being alone It's not a problem
- 53:21It's more so going back to one of the beginning points is understanding what you're signing up for
- 53:26And really if you're going to do this right you need to be your own risk manager You need to be
- 53:30your own accountability You need to be your own mentor if you will Um and that's hard A lot of
- 53:35people find that difficult Well that's why I think the way you've mapped this out is to facilitate
- 53:40um a natural progression of having all those things for yourself Yeah Yeah No exactly I
- 53:45think it comes down to that you know extremely important And then in this stage once again our
- 53:50main goal is to have a process have rules and and get as much as learning as possible Watch YouTube
- 53:55videos read books get a good understanding of the market you've selected and kind of you know just
- 54:00get really comfortable with the plat platform you're using Get really comfortable with with
- 54:04trading overall here is once again we're not trying to make money We're not having these you
- 54:08know insanely complex approaches or strategies or none of that It's just getting comfortable
- 54:13with the market with a a good process and good rules right Uh now we go to stage two right So
- 54:20this is where you start hitting developing stage right So once again guys this process the rules
- 54:27they stay It's not this is not stage contingent It's not like oh we only do it in stage one No
- 54:31you do this forever I've been trading for 10 12 11 years I do this The best trading floors in
- 54:37the world All of them have a process All of them have have pre-market notes All of them have live
- 54:42trading notes All of them have postmarket analysis They they have rules They have all of these things
- 54:46Even people that have making 30 40 50 million a year have processes in place Right So now let's
- 54:52go to stage two So stage two is this is where we start taking everything from stage one right
- 54:58And we start going to building strategies So this is like we're like developing right We're like a
- 55:07developing trader Yeah So strategy/playbooks like the goal here is for us to build playbooks So what
- 55:14should you have by now What should you have And like stage one typically is like two weeks to four
- 55:21weeks It's not a long period you're in right These are the stages that end up being long So stage one
- 55:26you're like two weeks to four weeks It's a lot of experimentation It's a lot of comfortability It's
- 55:30a lot of just learning Some people might be in it for two months It just depends on how well you can
- 55:34read the market right Uh and understand the market Not even read the market but understand the market
- 55:39This stage is typically longer I've seen the stage from like 2 to 3 months right So like 60 to 90
- 55:46days Uh the the the simple goal here is now to start building our playbooks building a strategy
- 55:54So like we we want to have an approach right And then the way this approach kicks in is if you have
- 56:00that healthy process that you built and you have healthy rules and you limit your risk amount and
- 56:05you you know know the right things you're doing on a day-to-day basis and you follow that for a
- 56:09month straight Yeah You go to stage two If you didn't do that for a month straight you you're
- 56:12not mentally you shouldn't go to stage two Right Stay there Here we just want to build a playbook
- 56:18So let's go a little bit into playbooks Right So building this comes a lot down to the strategy
- 56:26the approaches cuz I know there's like ICT SMC there's like orderflow uh there's like so many
- 56:32different ways to trade And the one thing I want to say right away is there is no one way to trade
- 56:39Mhm So I I I won't come on here and I won't say like like I I'm not I'm not going to be
- 56:45that person that says I I don't trade ICT but I won't say ICT is bad We have Jade Cap who trades
- 56:52it Yeah And he had his 2 whatever million payout It's crazy I know So like there's there's I don't
- 56:58want to say there's strategies that are bad If if the strategy you have is proven it is tested and
- 57:04makes sense and all you have to do is scale up Mhm Go with that But get rid of the idea that you know
- 57:09I want to pick one strategy and that's the best strategy and this is the worst strategy and also
- 57:14we don't want to strategy hop I think what happens is people don't have like you know strategy hop
- 57:18So for me like I trade with orderflow right I have a few different strategies and playbooks
- 57:24Uh let's say I have like my opening drive opening drive I have my morning top setup
- 57:34And another video me and you can go really deep into is this whole orderflow thing because I think
- 57:40a lot of people want you know if people are down if you guys like give this a like or thumbs up or
- 57:45whatever If you guys we can yeah hit subscribe now Um we can do like a whole like 2-hour thing
- 57:52on order flow cuz this is like this is probably a three-hour video I think Uh and then we can
- 57:57go into like deeper setups right But there's there there's approaches So so the idea that
- 58:00I'm trying to create here is like you need to know what your approach to the market is what
- 58:05your market understanding is and then your setups come Yes I can have my let's say I talk about my
- 58:12morning setup and what I use in my morning setup is I use orderflow as one of the tools or one of
- 58:17the approaches I have for reading the market and you don't do that but you're trying to take my
- 58:22playbook and you're trying to apply my playbook and I see that happening right so it's like even
- 58:26when you're seeing someone's playbook someone's strategy you have to understand what is the thesis
- 58:30of this playbook what are they what are they trying to understand so for like orderflow like
- 58:34even eliminating this word this is basically just the action between buyers and sellers Mhm So I'm
- 58:42just looking at the auction to identify strength and weakness and I'm looking at these setups to
- 58:48identify who is more in control in just simple theory So when I go to let's say I don't know ICT
- 58:53for example what are they looking at What is their basis What is their approach And then what are the
- 58:58playbooks or setups that come under here right What is the playbook that comes under here So
- 59:03it's like if you are watching someone's video on this channel for example which I think by the way
- 59:08is I'm I'm not even saying it cuz I'm biased but actually I think this is probably the best YouTube
- 59:13channel out there And I'll tell you why Because I think you get to see people's playbooks You
- 59:17get to see actual strategies which honestly like genuinely is like insane Like like no joke I think
- 59:23that's nuts I'm surprised you pulled it off Yeah No I think I think that's insane Um but yeah so
- 59:29it it comes down to that So I think the thing I'm trying to get into here number one is like first
- 59:34you can't just have a a naked playbook You have to know what concepts does this playbook represent
- 59:40What concepts does this strategy represent That would make sense because you need to understand
- 59:45like if there's a morning top uh setup which I'll kind of explain in a bit Why does this go up or
- 59:51down Right And once you understand why it goes up or down or what is the reasoning we're looking for
- 59:56and that derives from this or that derives from this or whatever that is it gives you a better
- 1:00:03understanding So that's why in stage two as we're developing we are trying to understand and this
- 1:00:09goes into like this concept of like patterns right just to kind of take up some space just to make
- 1:00:15this up It's like when people see patterns right It's like they'll say they they'll see a pattern
- 1:00:20where it's like "Oh well you know um I hate thinking about patterns but let's say you have
- 1:00:25a head and shoulders You have you have a double top pattern right Or a head and shoulders right
- 1:00:30Whatever pattern there is." And they're like "Oh well you know if we hit the top twice that means
- 1:00:36the trade's going to go down." And it's like no I think that's very stupid to think about it from
- 1:00:43that approach The approach to think about it is to understand well why did it reject here What
- 1:00:50is going on here What happened around here What is the direction and sentiment So for example if you
- 1:00:56take a trade right Let's say let's say this is all you see But you take a trade that opens up really
- 1:01:00strong Mhm Pulls back has strength here continues Will you short that Probably not Mhm You'll
- 1:01:08probably assume that hey the transactions and the activity that's happening here is a lot stronger
- 1:01:12than there It makes more sense to go long It doesn't make sense to close your eyes and say "Oh
- 1:01:18it's a it's a double top pattern Let me go short." So that same concept of like questioning things
- 1:01:23and making it logical goes into your playbooks And I think a lot of people that are even in stage
- 1:01:28three or some even in stage four I don't think they question these things and they go "Oh I saw
- 1:01:33a bull flag so I went short I went long." Mhm And I'm like that's not a good enough reason to take a
- 1:01:39trade Yeah You need to give a reason of that bull flag And you have to understand in playbooks and
- 1:01:44in market conditions there's a lot of different stuff that play a role Like if you have a day
- 1:01:50where there's a lot of fear in the market or you have a week where there's a lot of fear or
- 1:01:54negative sentiment right Let's say the sentiment is negative right Negative sentiment Typically
- 1:02:02most setups that are going to work for that day or for that period are going to be on the downside
- 1:02:06They're not going to be on the upside uh setups So it's looking at there's a sentiment that's
- 1:02:11what's driving the market and that's what adds on to these playbooks or these kind of patterns that
- 1:02:17I think a lot of people talk about and you have to be able to identify that with events Now if I
- 1:02:22see let's say I see a really good setup happening right And this is where you know stage one kind of
- 1:02:27kicks in a little bit and we have to combine it with stage two If I see like a really good setup
- 1:02:32and let's say Powell is speaking in two hours I don't care how good that setup is I'm not touching
- 1:02:38it personally I there's just too many unknowns there I don't want to touch it So that's where you
- 1:02:43start combining You start having a playbook and then you start questioning it with understandings
- 1:02:47of like okay I have this good playbook Yes Right The this is the market sentiment This is what
- 1:02:53where the playbook's underlying concept makes sense This is what this playbook makes sense to
- 1:02:58this is what this playbook looks for These are the things that need to make sense And then that helps
- 1:03:03with once again trade selection day selection you know it helps you with dynamic risk Once we
- 1:03:09get to that stage you start knowing what days to increase size reduce size You start knowing what
- 1:03:14trades to increase size and reduce size on You start knowing what trades to really execute on and
- 1:03:18what trades to kind of avoid Right So that's where the dynamical understanding of this is very very
- 1:03:23important Mhm No I think it's so important because as you mentioned near the beginning there if you
- 1:03:29just freestyle then you're never going to learn You're not going to understand where the mistakes
- 1:03:34are what you're doing right what you're doing wrong By having an actual playbook and being able
- 1:03:39to sort of differentiate your trades because most people aren't going to just have one They will
- 1:03:44have different factors that means you know maybe different times different uh market whatever it
- 1:03:49may be um you're able then to collect the data and stats of that particular yes performance and then
- 1:03:56be able to understand maybe out of the the free here let's say like morning top the opening drive
- 1:04:00order flow maybe you know Trump's come in the markets have changed suddenly the opening drive
- 1:04:05isn't performing that well yes you know then to pause that bench that focus on what maybe morning
- 1:04:10top is you absolutely hammering great you know stats great strike rate let's go you know let's go
- 1:04:15focus on that yeah know exactly and I think when you have that kind of conceptual understanding It
- 1:04:22makes it a lot more easier for you right So that's why for me having those days and trade selections
- 1:04:26makes the most amount of sense for me So like now going into let's say a playbook right So this is
- 1:04:32where the developing thing is And once again we're still stage two and part partly stage three is
- 1:04:38still experimenting So it's like we can experiment here So if we pick this doesn't mean this is what
- 1:04:42we stick with forever Um if we pick this we want to continuously have this in the back of our minds
- 1:04:47You want to ask this why question over and over again right Still at this point that money is not
- 1:04:52important Yeah money is not important Make sure to add that in there right So the concept here
- 1:04:57is why like why like for example morning drive and simple simple thing right or let's say the
- 1:05:02morning top What I'm looking for is let's say the market closes here the day before the next day we
- 1:05:08gap lower and we open we open up on the first 10 20 30 minutes I look for some weakness and
- 1:05:14I look to short that on the downside Now if I show you that what I don't want people to do is
- 1:05:20I don't want people to go into this setup and anytime they see a similar action they go and
- 1:05:26short it Yeah You want to understand the why Okay What differentiates a setup where the same thing
- 1:05:33happens but what differentiates this moment to weak or strong Mhm Right What showcases on give
- 1:05:41or take order flow What showcases on price action What showcases to me Right what what identifies
- 1:05:47as weak or what identifies as strong in those two scenarios Yeah What are other economic or market
- 1:05:53events right That also play a big factor here For example let's say I take two setups right And
- 1:06:01let's say with the morning top setup this setup is what makes sense Market closes here the day before
- 1:06:06Next day it opens up lower It picks up It flats And now we have the same thing from the day before
- 1:06:13What's the difference between both There's a lot of things that could be different ones One one
- 1:06:17as mentioned the strength of let's say the buyers or sellers that you could read on orderfall Maybe
- 1:06:22let's say something on price action Maybe on this one we do have a big economic event coming out
- 1:06:28Maybe we do have Powell speaking Maybe we have Trump speaking Maybe there's something happening
- 1:06:33in the near future that this one I'm not really as comfortable as taking maybe to this one This
- 1:06:39one I may be comfortable taking Even if the action on the tape or the action on price action looks
- 1:06:45relatively uh similar because I'm factoring this in and the reason I bring these points
- 1:06:50in is because when you guys are developing your playbooks there's very cool concept that comes in
- 1:06:56here and this goes with everyone's playbook right so even if you're watching any of the playbook
- 1:07:01videos on this channel go back and do this exercise this will make things so much clear for
- 1:07:07you because when you understand a strategy from a deep point and you can really understand the other
- 1:07:14elements that influence it or may influence it You start having better execution You start knowing
- 1:07:21like a lot of trades where even I have big size I don't feel emotion And the reason I don't feel
- 1:07:26emotion not that I don't feel emotion all the time there's days I'm like a complete wreck by the way
- 1:07:30right Uh there's but there's trades I I I trade and it's so flawless and my emotions do not become
- 1:07:35a part of it because I understand the strategy or the playbook and the event so well and I'm
- 1:07:42comfortable and the last thing I'm thinking about is losing money because I'm very comfortable in
- 1:07:46the trade and if I'm wrong I know what I'm going to lose So the emotions don't hijack because I
- 1:07:50have a lot of reps and comfortability of understanding that playbook So when you
- 1:07:55see someone explain a playbook and talk about something what you should do is you can go back
- 1:07:59and you can back test it Yes So what what's what's this concept mean So for example going back to a
- 1:08:08morning top setup let's just say let's make let's say let's make rules for it Okay let's say we
- 1:08:16take this And this goes once again for every other playbook video you see go back spend time because
- 1:08:21this time that you spend on it it's going to help and improve your whole um philosophy of that setup
- 1:08:26or philosophy of what is happening in that current period So for this what am I looking for Let's say
- 1:08:31I'm looking for a gap down right Let's just make rules right This is my rules For this I'm looking
- 1:08:37for a gap down What does this mean That the market opens lower than yesterday's close So for example
- 1:08:44if let's say yesterday market closed at I don't know 4,000 right at 4 p.m Today at 9:30 a.m it
- 1:08:50opens up at I don't know 3980 It just opens up lower right That's what I want to see I want
- 1:08:55to see a gap down Second is this setup for me is usually within the first hour max maybe let's say
- 1:09:045 minutes to an hour This is when I'm looking at this I'm not looking at this 2 hours or 3 hours in
- 1:09:09So I think having an idea of time is also very important to know when I'm looking for this So
- 1:09:14when I do go back in time and I do test this this is what I'm essentially looking for Yes Right
- 1:09:20Second is what is my entry criteria What do I need to see This is not really my entry criteria This
- 1:09:25is more so like my trade setup or environment This is what you need to see to be get to that point
- 1:09:30Market gaps down It gaps down lower than you know a key level Uh this is the time period I'm trading
- 1:09:35it in So what is my entry criteria for this particular setup Uh I'm looking for a move on the
- 1:09:40upside upside move And I'm looking typically no follow through Now what does this mean Right This
- 1:09:51is once again the whole why We want to keep asking why Everything is why no follow through This
- 1:09:57concept of no follow through essentially means that you know we'll see a move that goes up The
- 1:10:03volume isn't that strong You're not seeing a surge in volume you're not seeing a surge in activity
- 1:10:08and you know the the conceptual understanding when you look at order flow uh and you kind of start
- 1:10:13understanding the tape is if price starts moving up and you're not seeing activity increase a lot
- 1:10:17of times it's typically not a lot of strong buyers behind it there's not a lot of activity there's
- 1:10:21not a lot of interest behind it that's driving price higher so that's like the first thing I'd
- 1:10:25want to see of like okay there's no follow-through that's my first entry criteria my second entry
- 1:10:30criteria is once there's no follow-through do we start seeing the action slow down Do we start
- 1:10:37seeing a little bit selling pressure So two things that I've seen is I'll see selling pressure kick
- 1:10:42in right It can be light or I'll see activity slow down Mhm And what do I mean by activity slow down
- 1:10:49So sometimes I'll see you know we open up we open up okay maybe not the strongest or even
- 1:10:56if let's say we do open up a little bit strong and then once we kind of start hitting this flat
- 1:11:01area price gets flat And once price gets flat around here uh activity slows down And what do
- 1:11:07I look for activity when activity slows down Uh the tape slows down We we stop seeing aggressive
- 1:11:13buyers come in Uh there's no one aggressively you know filling the ask over and over again The same
- 1:11:19way we saw that there once that starts happening if we are at let's say a key level an inflection
- 1:11:24point that's where we're moved into For me that's where I start looking for the short This is a
- 1:11:30short trade So I'm for my morning top I'm looking for a downside play So that short play is what I
- 1:11:36look into Now for me to take this trade my risk has to make sense right So meaning like hey if I
- 1:11:44take this trade am I positioned accordingly that if I'm wrong I'm comfortable in what I lose If I'm
- 1:11:50right is there money for me to be made If that makes sense I'm good to go Right now it's once
- 1:11:55again there's a few things we have to think about here And the reason I'm factoring these few things
- 1:11:59in is because I want people to understand how to think through playbooks and how to think through
- 1:12:05strategies Mh Right What what matters here There's a few things So there's there recently I think two
- 1:12:12weeks ago from the time of shooting there was a day that morning top setup like it it kind of
- 1:12:17presented itself very similar I didn't take it And I'll tell you why I didn't take it Because
- 1:12:21for 3 4 days the market's been selling off selling off selling off selling off And I was like okay I
- 1:12:26think right now the market is maybe overextended I'm seeing something similar happen but market's
- 1:12:32been so like we've been having big gap up days big gap down days And I'm like last thing I want to do
- 1:12:37is be caught up in this like irregular activity And I was like I decide I decide not to take it
- 1:12:43And that day what happened is we this is where we closed the day before We gapped down we moved
- 1:12:47up we moved down and then we rallied up Right So that's where the selection of like economic
- 1:12:54events selection of you know the last few days of what what's happening in the market play a role
- 1:12:59because now but now if we're selling off for four or five days we're overextended Yeah Do I really
- 1:13:05want to take a short trade on an overextended day Yeah I'm like ah this the trade looks good but
- 1:13:10like I can live with missing this one out Yeah Is the is the idea Not that I don't think it's going
- 1:13:16to work I'm okay with missing this one out I'm okay with not putting and even if I do take that
- 1:13:21trade and this is where like stage three and four and kind of kick in with dynamic risk My risk on
- 1:13:25this is not as aggressive Yeah No So like in that sense you're identifying factors that could remove
- 1:13:34certain attributes to the trade that you actually want to take So rather than it being say let's
- 1:13:37say you know you graded a A+ suddenly downgraded to an A and therefore you with discretion you're
- 1:13:43saying okay I don't really feel that this trade is the best one for me to take risk being st
- 1:13:58it never really matters in terms of like we're focused on it but that byproduct only comes from
- 1:14:02building those reps Exactly Exactly And then when when you have this foundation what it allows you
- 1:14:07to do is now I know what I'm looking for Right So now I know hey I'm looking for the first 5
- 1:14:11minute to an hour in open I'm looking at let's say I don't know ES or I'm looking at Tesla or
- 1:14:15whatever it is I can go back in time to let's say the last three years and I can go through every
- 1:14:21single day Write out my game plan spend time on like hey the market gap down the first 5 minutes
- 1:14:28to 1 hour Here's my entry criteria Would I take the trade No Yes No Take that build data around
- 1:14:34it And now I maybe in three years I maybe got I don't know 50 trades Now I have 50 trades Some I
- 1:14:41made money some I lost money that I can go through I'm like okay let me go through this individually
- 1:14:44Let me spend time This is where the time element kicks in right What this does is you can now you
- 1:14:50go back in time you back test you build your reps you get familiar with the market you get familiar
- 1:14:53with what's working what's not working Once you get really familiar with that now imagine what
- 1:14:58happens in real time of a trade that you've back tested for three years I mean a three-year time
- 1:15:02period over and over again you get so comfortable in seeing these moves that you know how to execute
- 1:15:07it when to execute it when it may work when it may not work And obviously not everything is
- 1:15:11going to be in the same environment but you get more comfortable And that's where when you get
- 1:15:16this any kind of strategy the idea to go back in time and back test it play with it have the strong
- 1:15:22understanding I think is is is something that every trader in stage two should be doing right
- 1:15:28That's why you'll see like traders in stage four or five really don't back test They kind of have
- 1:15:32things down and they have the they have enough experience and reps to do to execute stuff But
- 1:15:37I think when you're in stage two like why not accelerate your learning curve and try it And
- 1:15:42you might try this and you might say it doesn't work It doesn't make sense Okay go to another one
- 1:15:45Go to another one But have the proper foundational understanding of what this strategy means Like if
- 1:15:51I give you these rules like your question should be what does this mean It's essentially means we
- 1:15:57gap down market is weak market tries to make his first leg up first leg up isn't being able to have
- 1:16:02any follow-through that continuation of selloff happens but the action is seen on market trying
- 1:16:07to push up If market gaps down and it pushes down we typically get that recovery Yeah I want to see
- 1:16:14the market trying a little bit and if it does try you start flushing There's also this other
- 1:16:19thing with like the morning top setup that I see Uh the market opens at 9:30 a.m which is something
- 1:16:25I'll drop here Sometimes the market doesn't really open at 9:30 a.m Why It doesn't make
- 1:16:31sense right It doesn't Yeah Yeah Sometimes the market doesn't open at 9:30 a.m I mean
- 1:16:36there's what happens is so a so sometimes there's there there's particular days that some orders
- 1:16:42need to get filled really large orders So those orders cannot get filled right on the open So a
- 1:16:47lot of traders on the floor uh a lot of let's say institutions that need to kind of offload
- 1:16:522 million shares three million shares They're like they'll sell it to send it to someone on
- 1:16:56the floor and they're like I need to offload this on the open Mhm They're not going to do
- 1:16:59it on the open and they're like "Shit we need to wait a little bit." And you'll see action
- 1:17:04picks up and then 937 938 941 is when they start offloading and then the price starts dumping So
- 1:17:09when you see that happen that's where that big sell pressure comes in from I got you Okay So
- 1:17:14that's also something like I start looking into Mhm So it's like when we do our playbook video
- 1:17:20I'll show you examples of that of like when it happened and how I' I've read that and there's
- 1:17:25times where I see that happen and from like a dynamic risk risk point of view I kid you not
- 1:17:31I just all in all just like heavy in and I those are days I have big trades These are like those
- 1:17:38anomalies of finding things in the market that you see consistently and when you see it consistently
- 1:17:42enough making money from the markets becomes a lot easier because it's like that one setup one
- 1:17:48trade you see it happen it's repeated what's the difference of me making a thousand or 100 thousand
- 1:17:53more size going with more size that's right yeah so once you have the playbooks the process
- 1:17:59um and you build the reps yes you start to really identify certain nuances certain things that are
- 1:18:05a bit more unique and that's where your unique edge comes in which then builds your A star and
- 1:18:10A+ and that's where the dynamic sizing starts to step in once you build those reps Of course
- 1:18:14at this stage though doing these processes are so important to be a well-rounded trader and to build
- 1:18:19your confidence most of all because without that confidence you're never going to be able to handle
- 1:18:24size or be able to stay consistent Um because all it takes is a loss or a few losses to knock that
- 1:18:30confidence if it's not built with the as you said earlier with the the diagram you know the strong
- 1:18:34foundation Yeah Yeah So that's why it's like this is where I think traders need to spend a lot of
- 1:18:40time off the screen That's what I was saying Like they're more valuable of doing this and building
- 1:18:45data collection around these setups over and over again than to go back in time sit in front of a
- 1:18:50screen for 9 hours The 9 hours isn't really going to show them any value But if they start looking
- 1:18:54at this consistently they're like "Okay this makes sense That makes sense I understand the good part
- 1:18:59the bad part." And they start developing the playbook They start developing the strategy
- 1:19:02And it's not just developing this It's other stuff that we develop too But this at this stage is like
- 1:19:07the key thing that we want to spend time on And I and and I've seen people get out of this in 30
- 1:19:11days right It just depends on how intentionally you can get reps in and how much you can absorb
- 1:19:16from getting those reps in Uh and I've seen people in this for like 6 months I can imagine So
- 1:19:21that's why two to three month time period I think being in this period uh developing your playbooks
- 1:19:26combining your processes with your playbooks when you find these processes let's say morning top
- 1:19:30that's a setup you're focused on Applying it in the real market executing it taking that real data
- 1:19:35combining with the back testing data and just kind of working through that for two to three months
- 1:19:40um will give you a real strong foundation Definitely No definitely And I think that's
- 1:19:45what a lot of traders miss Well a lot of traders skip stage one and two all together I think a
- 1:19:50lot of traders don't like a lot of traders do but for or fortunately sorry that they'll be able to
- 1:19:56really hopefully reflect and just say okay now's a chance cuz it's not like the time periods are
- 1:20:00long especially like stage one and two between those two if you add them together it's not a
- 1:20:04lot long time if you do the work yeah but the problem here so far is like it's not a long but
- 1:20:10people go well I could take a trade in one month and I can make that money why would I do that and
- 1:20:15that's that was that's why in the beginning I went through those key points for you to accept
- 1:20:20You can either go through that cycle for 5 years or you can commit to this stage now and
- 1:20:23get out of that cycle in 5 years That's on you Most people go through cycle one naturally but
- 1:20:28it's like get out of it as quickly as possible Go to the stage Yeah Recognize it and make changes
- 1:20:32Yeah Yeah Let's take a break for a minute there guys cuz I want to tell you about our incredible
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- 1:23:14every single week The link for propertrader.com is in the description below Now let's get back to the
- 1:23:20episode Right cool So this is this is mostly you know a lot of stage two is is is you know applying
- 1:23:27um you know it's a lot of it is just developing right this is not we're not scaling up we're not
- 1:23:31really doing we're you know looking at playbooks we're back testing uh we're we're we're taking
- 1:23:38we're taking some real trades right uh we're we're we're making sure we can follow our rules right
- 1:23:45like these things should be tackled here like if you have rules you should follow them right
- 1:23:49uh you have your you know pre-market game plan You have your you know live game plan You have
- 1:23:55your postmarket game plan Like you're doing this on a day You're doing your weekly recaps
- 1:23:59You're doing your daily recaps You have daily You have weekly right And now while you're also doing
- 1:24:05this something you want to do is you want to track all your data right You want to track everything
- 1:24:11in terms of your trade So like I'll give you an example Uh two good ways to track stuff is
- 1:24:17you want to track everything in R multiple right And I think once you build that mentality now it
- 1:24:22makes things a lot easier Uh you want to look at trades from our point of view So every trade that
- 1:24:26you look at you don't want to look at did I win or did I lose Was it a win or was it a loss You
- 1:24:33don't want to look at that This is not something you want to look at You want to look at R So what
- 1:24:38does R in the simplest term mean is if you are taking a trade and let's say you buy the trade at
- 1:24:45$10 right Let's say you buy one share at 10 Now before you buy the trade you should know that
- 1:24:51hey if this trade goes to nine I'm going to exit Okay Right So that means if it goes to nine I'm
- 1:24:58going to lose $1 Mhm So every trade you go into you should have that risk element combined Now
- 1:25:03if this trade you lose $1 you lost one R Mhm Okay Let me rewrite that You lost -1R Now if
- 1:25:15this trade ends up going to $12 right because you made $2 and you were going to lose $1 if you were
- 1:25:23wrong you had a 2:1 riskreward ratio meaning you made $2 you risked one so you had a 2R Does that
- 1:25:32make sense 100% Yeah So it's just dividing the potential loss to what you made Yeah Right Now
- 1:25:39if you were going to lose $1 but you end up losing $8 what do you think happens What does your R go
- 1:25:49to You have a well zero -2R Yeah that is a problem Now now it's like [ __ ] why do I have a negative
- 1:25:56-2R You shouldn't be losing more than negative 1R Mhm Right So when you go into this whole tracking
- 1:26:01element is one tracking from a R point of view What are things you want to start tracking Right
- 1:26:06Because now now you start building this foundation of things that you start tracking One I think
- 1:26:10is R Uh in R the second thing you want to start tracking and this is something that I see people
- 1:26:17uh you know mess up as well is how effective is your stop loss right Like if if if you show me 30
- 1:26:24trades and I ask you well how effective was your stop loss You should have an answer for me where
- 1:26:28it's like what do I mean by effective where it's like if you buy a trade here and that's your stop
- 1:26:35How many times does this happen Right If that happens a lot your stop is maybe too tight
- 1:26:40right But now it's like that's where you have to start knowing like is my stop too tight Is my stop
- 1:26:47improving Right Uh what is my draw down per trade How fast or slow am I going into draw down How
- 1:26:54fast or slow am I making money Like if I go into a trade what starts happening Is my entry right too
- 1:27:01early Is my entry too late Right Like what starts happening here Is my exit too early Is my exit too
- 1:27:13late How many of these happen Right Uh what are the times I'm taking my trades in My best trades
- 1:27:21my worst trades right And because your emotions should not play a role here because you're trading
- 1:27:25with the least amount of money you should be able to experiment this with real money data
- 1:27:29right real money of like seeing these patterns seeing hey are your stop loss hitting How early
- 1:27:34are you taking your trades Uh are you following your max loss rule Like if you say you're going to
- 1:27:39lose $50 are you following that Which you should right This these are things like the rules thing
- 1:27:44like the faster you're able to follow these things the faster you'll be able to get out of the stage
- 1:27:47right If you can't follow this never mentally go to the next right How fast how how effectively are
- 1:27:53you following this Right The times that you said you're going to trade your rules is that being
- 1:27:57followed Then like the setups that you said you're going to trade right Setups are you your playbooks
- 1:28:03are you executing them based on the follow rules right Then in terms of your findings what are
- 1:28:09your findings right Findings in terms of like hey this is what I learned about the market This is
- 1:28:13what I learned about market dynamic This is what I learned moves the market All of these things And
- 1:28:18what you should do when you do your weekly review you should put all of these things into a into
- 1:28:22a document and you should write it out Hey this week these are things I learned And I learned like
- 1:28:26[ __ ] when Powell does talk market does move Oh I learned when you know every first Friday of the
- 1:28:31month we have job reports and market cares about job report I learned that when Trump tweets market
- 1:28:37goes crazy right Like you start picking up on those things and then you you do that on a week-
- 1:28:42toeek basis to a month-to-month basis You start noticing your problems and then your goals you
- 1:28:47know early on when I said goals are not money your goals start shifting right Instead of it being
- 1:28:52money it starts going "What are my goals?" Right your goals start becoming I have a bad R multiple
- 1:29:00right So my goal is to make my R multiple improve How do I improve it I have many trades where I
- 1:29:10lose more than negative 1 R What does that mean That means I don't follow my stop loss Yes So I
- 1:29:15need to make sure I start following my stop That's one of my goals for this week I need to make sure
- 1:29:24I follow losing only $50 per trade I realize that when I do make money I immediately go into my
- 1:29:30second trade So I rush my second trade So this is where you start having those processes into this
- 1:29:36developing stage of like okay this is the problems This is working this is what's not working was to
- 1:29:41your point earlier in terms of stage two or even stage one but particularly sorry stage two is as
- 1:29:48we just mentioned with Trump for example like you might have been trading last year and then
- 1:29:52coming into this year the markets have changed and therefore you might have to come back to do
- 1:29:56this stage again even if you've been at stage five for example for the last two three years because
- 1:30:02the playbook might not be working or you might need to start tweaking some of the R multiple the
- 1:30:07the risk maybe amount or the the the ticker that you're trading or reviewing the days and the times
- 1:30:13etc because there's such a shift in the market Yes Um so like this is a uni as you said earlier
- 1:30:18a universal stage but so integral and it's not something that you do once you know it's something
- 1:30:24that you have to do to begin with to really build your your uh stamina as a trader your resilience
- 1:30:29as a trader your confidence and your systems and your processes your playbooks But it is
- 1:30:34something that if you've done it correctly one time it's something you're going to lean on in
- 1:30:38the future You know as market conditions change as you you know need to review your performance
- 1:30:43potentially You you might have had a bad quarter and you need to review that performance And this
- 1:30:47is essentially where you're going to come back to Yeah So that a lot of here is just developing this
- 1:30:50thing And like I said the the the big thing here is just data collection right Uh and then once you
- 1:30:58have data collection and you start knowing the mistakes you're making you start building your
- 1:31:02playbooks you start making the mistakes and you start applying it is where we start going to like
- 1:31:06this like optimization/intermediate stage right This is where we start really applying and we
- 1:31:13start optimizing the things that we've done which is like stage three right This is where you should
- 1:31:19be an intermediate trader Yes not making money but you should have your playbooks established
- 1:31:25You should have back tested for you know a good amount of time and you should have built a good
- 1:31:28foundation of the markets You should have your rules and these rules will adjust as time goes
- 1:31:32on And as you start saying well you know what not until 11:00 a.m Let me do it to 12 You might say
- 1:31:38uh you know instead of taking three trades I'm going to take five I tend to take more trades
- 1:31:42and I get one to two winning trades Um you might adjust something with your process here and this
- 1:31:47is all open Like this is not something I want to be so opinionated on but this is just a framework
- 1:31:51that you should follow But by here you should have enough data of yourself Yeah Of the mistakes
- 1:32:00you make of the things that you're doing good the things that you're doing bad such as your
- 1:32:04bad or multiple You move up your stop too much Uh you don't follow your stop for example You
- 1:32:09don't follow your risk amount Um maybe you choke your trade and you mismanage it Yeah You mismanage
- 1:32:15trades Maybe like like by by this point like when you go to stage three like you should know
- 1:32:20your biggest problems Yeah Right Like you should have enough data and good data right That's why
- 1:32:26the one before is data collection And if you have good data on your processes and on your behaviors
- 1:32:32you should be able to know how to fix the problem Because if you don't have good data and you don't
- 1:32:36have good stuff you won't know what problems to fix Yeah Yeah Because I think every trader
- 1:32:40ends up having their own pattern like negative patterns and positive But the ones obviously we
- 1:32:45need to focus on to reduce down are obviously the negatives Yeah And uh you know it could be it's
- 1:32:50a whole different things like normally I think there's reoccurring themes yes with individual
- 1:32:54traders for one person they might be choking the trade another trader might be uh cutting
- 1:32:58off profit too early too much volume too early another trader might be oversizing you know it's
- 1:33:04very unique and that's the problem though because then if you don't do the data collection properly
- 1:33:09yes you can try and remember like you probably do that mistake and be like I've done this before
- 1:33:13but the data can maybe when your data collection is done properly There may be other correlating
- 1:33:20factors to it you know like it might be bad sleep for example It might be that there was some sort
- 1:33:24of market movement the day before but then the next day if you're trying to follow your plan
- 1:33:28you as normal doesn't perform right Uh or the market movement the day before has then caused
- 1:33:34you to be a bit more emotional coming into this day So you make a mistake and that's why that data
- 1:33:38collection is there because to yes to pick up on maybe like hey I keep oversizing for example Yeah
- 1:33:44that might be something you you remember here but the knock-on effect of why you've done that isn't
- 1:33:49something that you're going to constantly be able to collect Yeah And then having that once again
- 1:33:53good data collection allows you to go into your problems allows you to tackle your problems And
- 1:33:57once again by this point you should know all of those problems You should have solutions for them
- 1:34:03and you should start implementing the solutions right And by now like stage three beginning like
- 1:34:09there's the beginning of stage three and then ending before you go to stage four Here's where
- 1:34:13you know the problems and before you even go into stage four you should be able to execute
- 1:34:19your playbooks well You should be able to have a good foundation of your playbooks You should be
- 1:34:23able to have good trade selection You should know all your problems and you should be able to tackle
- 1:34:28them Yeah you're not going to solve all your problems but the idea should look like problem
- 1:34:32fixed problem fixed problem fixed problem fixed So it's like every time you have a problem you have
- 1:34:37this process of a identifying the problem because you have good data collection knowing what the
- 1:34:42problem is on a deep level and knowing how to fix it Yeah And keeping a way that a way of tracking
- 1:34:48that you're fixing it like hey my process is like something that happened with me early on is I used
- 1:34:53to be so biased in my pre-market game plan that I used to miss the real good trades because I
- 1:34:57was so biased in one side I never used to have enough space to allow myself to be flexible I
- 1:35:02was like "Oh I think the market's going to go down today." So I'm looking for shorts Market
- 1:35:05starts rallying I'm not taking longs I'm still shorting So that was a problem I had And the way
- 1:35:09I found that problem out is by doing this process where hey I become so biased right And that bias
- 1:35:16blocks me from taking any other trades So going into this week I need to unblock the bias Going
- 1:35:22into this month I need to unblock the bias And I need to be more flexible And solving some problems
- 1:35:26like this don't happen in one day This could take weeks if not months Yeah It's identifying and then
- 1:35:32actually addressing that Do you feel like it's important to address a specific problem one at
- 1:35:38a time or is it something that you should if you've identified let's say two or three you
- 1:35:42should still tackle two three of them I I I think you can tackle they're typically in the different
- 1:35:47spaces right So like one is like at the same time Yeah One is bias second is like my risk is
- 1:35:52off I can control my risk moving forward too But it's like the problem here isn't you know there's
- 1:35:58three problems here One is identifying problems So it's like if you identify problems you're already
- 1:36:03like ahead of 60% of people because I don't think people can identify problems Well then it's how
- 1:36:09do you tackle them Like what is your approach Like okay if you're biased what do you do Mhm
- 1:36:14Then third is doing it This is like problem people like there's so many traders that'll tell you this
- 1:36:21is my problem Yeah Okay What are you doing to do that I don't know Every time I hit the same thing
- 1:36:26So it's like you need to have that plan and then you need to implement that plan Yeah This is the
- 1:36:30whole like the whole stage three is that and give yourself the time to do it as well Yes And like do
- 1:36:37this 6 months 3 months two months Money doesn't matter The money doesn't matter Exactly Because
- 1:36:43again you know just off the last point but this one in particular the money will come as a byprod
- 1:36:48because this is literally the part where it starts to form Uh because if you then are fixing these
- 1:36:53problems and these mistakes and spending the time to do so yes this will then sort itself out This
- 1:36:58is where you'll start seeing some progression and whatnot but that's still not the goal The
- 1:37:02goal here starts coming into like stage four 100% Right So now this is where we start going to stage
- 1:37:08four And once again you don't you go into these places when you get comfortable There's no like
- 1:37:11I I I don't want to put a hard time limit on it but I also don't want to put a hard kind of pause
- 1:37:17on it either I think this is one of those things you navigate through on your own uh as time starts
- 1:37:22going on right So once we get stage three out of the way we've optimized we've understood our
- 1:37:27problems and we start tackling our problems And you should be able to tackle them And all of these
- 1:37:30problems should be trackable in terms of problem solved problem solved problem solved And until you
- 1:37:36get that healthy feel of doing that repeatedly you don't go into stage four Stage four is this
- 1:37:41is where we start playing the size up game right This is where you start hitting the advanced level
- 1:37:50This could be 6 months later This could be a year later right Does all dependent on you right This
- 1:37:56is where this guy comes in Emotions This is where he is like right there Yeah I can imagine Right
- 1:38:05He starts hijacking everything Uh makes everything a complete mess a complete nonsense right So here
- 1:38:12it it comes down to knowing how to take dynamic risk right I think it's knowing how to increase
- 1:38:20risk and how to be risk on and how to be risk off right this is like very important So once
- 1:38:27again stage four tip people are not in this like even if it takes you a year to get here
- 1:38:32that's okay I would rather people take a year to get here then like you know like get to a point
- 1:38:40of like doing it too fast sizing up blowing their account So like a year a healthy time Now there's
- 1:38:47some things that you go through here Okay so this is one stage that I know many traders are stuck
- 1:38:53at Like I know traders that are profitable they make money but they're like "Every time I size up
- 1:38:57I kind of get stuck on making more money or I get stuck on getting to the next stage." And there's
- 1:39:02kind of a process Like even for me like I'm still trying to size up I've sized up I'm still trying
- 1:39:06to size up You always go through like when you get to four you're always in like four and five You're
- 1:39:10always in four and five You're always in four and five right Five is like you start cruising and
- 1:39:14then when you're ready to size back up you go into four Mhm Right So for me at this particular stage
- 1:39:20u it's identifying a few things and one thing is this part plays a big role It steps in in every
- 1:39:26single category Uh you have to start learning what your emotional triggers are Interesting Yeah Right
- 1:39:33What I think every every traders have unique ones Every trader I think has unique ones Right Uh like
- 1:39:39some people like your ego gets in the way Some people you know they don't like this also gets
- 1:39:45eliminated more If your stage threes don't act good this gets eliminated more This still pops
- 1:39:50up because like naturally we don't want to lose money right We as humans do not want to be in a
- 1:39:54place where we lose money Uh where we're wrong where we look stupid uh especially on a larger
- 1:39:59scale Also on a larger scale whenever you have more money involved you feel the burn Yeah Right A
- 1:40:07lot more Yeah Way more And two three times of this is really bad So here's where you start having new
- 1:40:12rules for risk right So like some rules I have if I have a big trade on the open my second trade I
- 1:40:20usually size down or I I'm more focused on my size on the second trade where I'm more cautious Mhm
- 1:40:27So what I used to do early on is I would have a big trade on the open my second trade is a
- 1:40:31second bigger trade and then I would lose it all Right So it's like knowing what to do during big
- 1:40:38trades knowing what to do during bad trades right There's like and these bad trades and good trades
- 1:40:45become more more important because there's more capital behind it So it's like typically I would
- 1:40:50have a bad trade it's like [ __ ] I risked 30 or 40 grand on a trade If I take a second trade for
- 1:40:57me to make that back I need another big trade Yeah Do I need to go big trade again Like how
- 1:41:01do I dynamically play with my risk at this point Right cuz that's it becomes a pro like a formula
- 1:41:05thing because if you then downsize and that one wins is mine are covered Yes So that's where you
- 1:41:12know knowing where to size up Mhm Right And it's a lot like for people that played poker it's a
- 1:41:18lot like poker right like you'll have hands that are really good and then just because you had a
- 1:41:23you think you had a good hand and it didn't work out doesn't mean the next one when you
- 1:41:26don't have a good hand you go all in again Yeah So it it now it's like the trigger point becomes
- 1:41:31important because you need to know well I need to be patient right and there's this thing of
- 1:41:36sizing up it's like this automatic mental law that happens but the moment you say I'm ready to size
- 1:41:41up right moment you're like I'm ready you get very blinded by trades every trade looks good right
- 1:41:48and then when you go into the trade you're like [ __ ] every trade is not good right so when you
- 1:41:53when you're in this mind mindset of sizing up uh a lot of it is going into like okay just because I
- 1:41:59can size up doesn't mean I should size up So it's very similar to poker Just because you can go all
- 1:42:04in doesn't mean you should go all in on every hand Right So there needs to be rules here in how you
- 1:42:09do it Right So it's like a staircase right So if let's say you're risking $100 a trade you can't go
- 1:42:14and risk one a trade Yeah Because too much of it There's a 10 to1 ratio there Yeah So now you have
- 1:42:20to be right 10 times to recoup that So I usually say like 20 to 30% is a good starting point maybe
- 1:42:28So if you're doing 100 go that 120 130 Yeah Like you because the thing with sizing up it's not like
- 1:42:33you don't just wake up and you size up like like I want to size up and like I want to take bigger
- 1:42:38trades on my day trades and I want to instead of risking like 50K 60K I want to go risk 200K 300K
- 1:42:45but I can't do that on one trade because if I go into a trade tomorrow and I risk 300K my normal
- 1:42:50risk size of 30 to 50K is not going to catch up to that 100 especially if I'm in draw down like it'll
- 1:42:56put me in this really bad bad stage So for me it's like okay well if I'm starting off if I am risking
- 1:43:02let's say 50k I can maybe go to 70 I can maybe go to 90 right and 90 even double sometimes but
- 1:43:08depending on the hand depending on what the hand is presented on that setup I'll start adjusting my
- 1:43:13risk it also sizing up also goes into a little bit of you know your percentage increase Yeah
- 1:43:19right like what that percentage increase is right like I said I think it should be 20 30%
- 1:43:24Uh there's also your how you've been trading right Like historically or not even historically like
- 1:43:31kind of the compounding like um you know if you let's say you've done 50k trade you've already
- 1:43:35won one now you do a 20 30% increase you win that one Yes then you can do another 20 30 you know
- 1:43:41percent increase again there's yeah there's like this whole thing with it right because there's
- 1:43:44this element of like what is your recently how how have you been trading recently and if like
- 1:43:50recently I'm not in draw down fine I have the card to increase my risk when I see a good setup but if
- 1:43:57I'm in draw down you know in stage four in stage four stage five it's a little bit different but
- 1:44:02in stage four if you're in draw down like you're not at expert level with risk right we're in stage
- 1:44:08five you should be an expert level with risk where even if you're in draw down you should be able to
- 1:44:12say I'm in draw down but I see a good handle me going in and that's what like professional traders
- 1:44:16do but at this stage because you're not at the professional level if you're in draw down like
- 1:44:21your like card to risk should be cut down Yeah Some some other rules that I have that I think
- 1:44:26works really well for people is you can take one to two max trades a month Yeah With increased risk
- 1:44:33So it's like this special card that you have that you're like I can only use it twice this month Do
- 1:44:38I use it on this hand Yeah that gives you like they're very selective Yeah So it helps you a
- 1:44:42lot in the early early points in stage four to be very selective on the good trades right And
- 1:44:48then it also depends on markets What's the market condition If you can read the market condition and
- 1:44:52you're getting a good flow with the market sh size up play with size But it's like when Trump came
- 1:44:57into office market shifted people blew accounts everything went up and down Should you size up
- 1:45:03around that time Probably not This is when you should be on like the left side of the spectrum
- 1:45:08of sizing up your game or sizing up you know your positions You should be a little bit more
- 1:45:13cautious So that's where the markets matter How you've been trading matters and then how well you
- 1:45:18increase So now if you increase 20 30% You stay at 20 to 30% for like 2 months Yeah And then if
- 1:45:24you have one to two trades you can increase 20 30% Then you have maybe one where you can increase 50%
- 1:45:31So it becomes very selective of when you do it and you this part's really important because the
- 1:45:38biggest problem I see here with people is I think when they know they can size up they do it either
- 1:45:43too early or they get mentally blocked out on what trades they should size up on They kind of
- 1:45:49hold they failed to pull the trigger and and what what another thing too much as well Do you think
- 1:45:55it it happens too much and on bad trades So I'll give you an example and this has happened with me
- 1:45:58right like countless times like countless times right I take a trade I make money I I go normal
- 1:46:05size okay take another trade I make money normal size [ __ ] why did I go normal size in these
- 1:46:14trades I'm such an idiot why didn't I go more size on this you know what next trade I'm going to go
- 1:46:20more size go in here my emotions block that more size I lose money Yeah Similar pattern The way you
- 1:46:31break that pattern up is every trade or every hand is new Mhm And just because you made money on this
- 1:46:37trade doesn't mean the next setup is good There's this thing that we have and this is where emotions
- 1:46:41hijack Emotions hijack Just because I had a good setup yesterday does not mean I'm going to have a
- 1:46:45good setup tomorrow And does that make that setup better or worse That's a new setup new market new
- 1:46:50everything There's also an element of like your confidence level because emotions comes in So
- 1:46:55let's say your confidence here is like let's say this is a confidence chart and during this trade
- 1:47:00it's here during this trade it naturally goes here during that trade it naturally goes here and when
- 1:47:05it's here is when you lose money Yes Right So so knowing like that's where when you're sizing
- 1:47:10up this emotional meter or emotion meter kind of gets broken Mhm Is there anything you do to sort
- 1:47:18of help do the reset you know in these moments you know whether it's routine based or whether it's
- 1:47:22journaling based or anything like that Yeah So I think for me like I said the the daily journaling
- 1:47:27is very important Like I have daily journals where I'll say you know yesterday's session
- 1:47:31yesterday I missed two trades and because I missed two trades uh I I I know there's a little bit FOMO
- 1:47:36that exists because I missed this big day and I you know didn't execute on it So I need to be a
- 1:47:40little bit cautious and when I look at trades just as a note look at it from a fresh point
- 1:47:44of view right And don't factor in what I lost in yesterday So I think those reminders help
- 1:47:49Uh something else that I do is if I'm on a really good hot streak which is something I
- 1:47:53haven't broken out of yet There are times where I take time off during hot streaks because I've
- 1:48:02had periods in the past where I've been on like a two three week hot streak and a week later I give
- 1:48:07it all back Yeah Like just like not even a week two days I give it back It's just naturally your
- 1:48:13excitement level and your confidence level goes up and up and you get blinded And as you get more
- 1:48:18and more blinded you start taking these stupid trades over and over again and it just kind of
- 1:48:22ultimately kills your performance So for me it's like if I go on this like crazy good streak I
- 1:48:27I'll either step away or I'll size down a little bit and I'll let myself reset right And I think
- 1:48:33when I let myself reset it just allows me to get a lot more comfortable with the overall environment
- 1:48:38It's kind of like this chart you marked out here You know at these moments both on the positive and
- 1:48:44negative you know let's say you've had a really hot streak you're still you're heightened If you
- 1:48:48had a really bad streak is heightened and that's at those heightened moments is where the mistakes
- 1:48:52come in And you know it's so like the filters are down and the the critical thinking are down So by
- 1:48:58taking that break here it allows those emotions to come down before that takes place before that
- 1:49:04crash and burn you know and and that's the main goal of here right in stage four This is this is
- 1:49:08something you'll be in maybe a year or two years itself just being in this stage like you can be in
- 1:49:12this stage for a really really long time like I I think even being here for two years three years I
- 1:49:17know traders that have been trading for 5 years they're still in this stage at this stage you're
- 1:49:21making money Yeah Yeah You you should be making money is the thing you should it's not like you're
- 1:49:25but it's just stage five is where because the thing is stage five is where everyone's goal is
- 1:49:29but they just they don't understand the all the stages we've gone through so far They just don't
- 1:49:33they kind of skip over that Yeah And the thing is goes back to your first point you know on stage
- 1:49:38one or not before stage one but when we were just mapping out expectations having that expectation
- 1:49:43Yeah I speak to so many traders whose goal is to be an eight or nine figure trader but they have no
- 1:49:50idea in terms of what it takes You know thankfully we're mapping it out here but that's it always
- 1:49:54makes me so intrigued in their mindset is that if you have a goal surely you should know what
- 1:50:00it's going to take right versus just assuming you just keep trading Yeah And one day you get there
- 1:50:04Exactly You know and I think having that road map and understanding that is important And the main
- 1:50:08key takeaway at this stage right And this stage is something like you never fully graduate from
- 1:50:13stage four You go from stage four to stage five and then you go back to stage four whenever you
- 1:50:17want to size up And like like even for me like I'm going to go back in stage four as I want to
- 1:50:22size up And then when I get to stage five I'm in that comfortable size and comfortable risk
- 1:50:26uh proportional element of like what I'm risking what I'm you know taking on and so on
- 1:50:30Uh but the main key takeaways on this size is like knowing what that increase size is for you
- 1:50:36right so number one is like knowing hey where do I increase size and what that max size looks like
- 1:50:43right so it's like the max size and then I think the other thing is just knowing this emotional
- 1:50:49meter of yours knowing when you get to the top knowing when you get to the bottom because you
- 1:50:53have the low points like I have days where I have low points and I want to like take every trade
- 1:50:58to make that back and it's like sometimes it's not having the money element of making it back
- 1:51:01It's just it's performance It's and you get this performance thing of like [ __ ] why did I lose
- 1:51:05money Why did I take this stupid trade Like why am I such an idiot You want to wipe the slate clean
- 1:51:11Yeah And that's not typically the best place to be We have to press reset you know Yeah And here
- 1:51:16you have to find your things to to to to do it like like one thing I like that works for me is
- 1:51:21just walking away Yeah Like I I I don't I don't have the emotional control and this is me being
- 1:51:26honest where if I have a bad four trades and you tell me to sit in front of my computer for 5 hours
- 1:51:32and don't take a trade I would not bet on myself to not take a trade I know I would end up taking
- 1:51:38a trade It's just something I know I'm going to do So the way I avoid it is I just walk away I don't
- 1:51:42need to be in front of my computer at that point Uh I know I'll end up taking a trade and I've done
- 1:51:47it countless times So for me to restrict it is I'm not going to fight the urge to not take the trade
- 1:51:51I just won't be in front of my computer Why do I need to be in front of my computer So that's where
- 1:51:56the rules and the guidelines and the things you need to do you know kind of help to to facilitate
- 1:52:02this process Yeah definitely Yeah So this I think I think if most people make it till here I think
- 1:52:07they're good in my opinion I think this is like a healthy place to be in I think I think it's
- 1:52:11like stage four and five right Uh where because I think there there will be some traders where they
- 1:52:17stay at stage four right they don't go to stage five and that's there's nothing wrong with that
- 1:52:21right Um it's about your goal and expectation like like this is where I think Yeah This is where I
- 1:52:28think the healthy spot is Exactly Right I think like inner down here and I think I think here is
- 1:52:33like whenever you want to tap into like you have your comfortable size uh you have your processes
- 1:52:38like at at this point is like let's say your max risk is 10k your average risk is 5k you have your
- 1:52:44five three to five setups you know you're good at understanding your emotional triggers right you
- 1:52:50have a process right uh you can identify setups you can identify markets uh you know when to
- 1:52:58trade when not to trade Right You're like I know when to trade I know when not to trade You can
- 1:53:03repeatedly use this process this framework and you can adjust Right So a lot of times people that are
- 1:53:08even you know here as well but here you're you're kind of in the battle area of like increasing and
- 1:53:13decreasing size But I think at this point is where you have this process during this whole
- 1:53:18time where you can repeatedly make money You can repeatedly adjust to market conditions You
- 1:53:23can know when to take time off You can know when to be aggressive you start having this
- 1:53:27this I I I I do think you know most times you'll hit maybe three years maybe five years for some
- 1:53:32people depends on what whatever it is but I think this is where you can get to and these these time
- 1:53:38frames all depend on how quick you learn how much time you're putting in how intentional you are
- 1:53:43um you know your learning curve uh all of these different stuff like for me honestly I probably
- 1:53:49didn't get here until like year eight I probably didn't get till year eight and and the main key
- 1:53:55takeaway take away from here What you should feel in this and this is what once again when I got to
- 1:53:59year eight is I can do this again I have you know and you know going back to the aha moment that I
- 1:54:05was saying before is you always chase this aha moment but there's never aha moment but there's
- 1:54:09more more so like a process and an ingredients of knowing I can do it again I know that if I stick
- 1:54:15to this long enough and I know if I follow this process I will eventually figure it out So it's
- 1:54:20like even going with this new Trump market that I see a lot of people struggling with If this
- 1:54:24was me in like 2016 I would say "Oh my god am I gonna make money this year Am I gonna do well How
- 1:54:28am I going to deal with this?" But I think now being in 11 12 years I'm like "Okay well I've
- 1:54:33seen this market change countless times This is not the first time It's not the last time."
- 1:54:36I understand when the market shifts this is how I need to approach it and this is what I need to do
- 1:54:41That's the thing So like you you can see the clear differences of those traders who have been through
- 1:54:46some market shifts before like yourself uh versus this is their first time Yeah Right the first time
- 1:54:52uh sort of traders are panicking and sort of emotional and making mistakes kind of confused
- 1:54:57Yes You know will kind of put their projection onto the market of like this is crazy this is is
- 1:55:02it always going to be like this etc Um they don't know how to adapt versus the ones who have been
- 1:55:06through the market conditions they understand right They understand that okay maybe they're
- 1:55:11not going to actively start trading just because you know they understand what's going on It's more
- 1:55:14so that they just know to either step back to reposition reconfigure pause whatever it may be
- 1:55:20Um and that's where like that experience comes in And that's as you said like there isn't an
- 1:55:24aha moment but when you understand the power of process the power of data the power of these
- 1:55:31decisions and these minute details Yeah That's kind of your aha moment you know but it's not
- 1:55:37a one thing and it's not something that click I mean that's the thing Everyone's looking for
- 1:55:41a light bulb moment where it's like whoa I know now And then from this day onwards it's easy you
- 1:55:46know Um and that's the difference And I think this really is highlighted you know these five stages
- 1:55:51especially I'm I'm glad actually we went into you know really really uh big detail in stage one and
- 1:55:57two because that's where I think majority of the audience probably are Um but their goal is to get
- 1:56:01to four and five And if anything you get to see that four and five isn't like really about this
- 1:56:05huge monumental changes is actually the you know step one two and three Exactly And then it's just
- 1:56:10little tweaks then for four and five to really take you to a to a new level you know Yeah And
- 1:56:16and the the like I said the simple thing here is just you have this like four or fivestep process
- 1:56:22that you can do very fluidly in stage five Yeah And no matter what issues and problems you go
- 1:56:26through you can always you know go through it and then hit profit Go through it hit profit
- 1:56:31Go through it hit profit And it's like if you can't do that you have issues in stage one two
- 1:56:35and three And you've not spent enough time And and time is important here because I think what
- 1:56:39people don't get with time is you can't skip any of these because you need to go through
- 1:56:44when market shift You need to go through when you know you're in draw down Like like I always ask
- 1:56:49people traders they're like oh I've been trading for one year and I'm like have you been in draw
- 1:56:53down They're like no not yet I'm like hm okay well we'll talk again when you're in draw down because
- 1:56:57I want to see when you're in draw down I want to see how you react to that I want to see oh you've
- 1:57:00been trading for one year Oh [ __ ] you've been trading such an easy market Like during Biden's
- 1:57:04administration I think the market wasn't hard personally right I think it was a very easy
- 1:57:08trending market for the most part Not all the time So it's like if someone traded in a certain time
- 1:57:12period I don't think they have the experience yet And now those same people that like no I I've got
- 1:57:17it I know people that blew their accounts the last quarter right They they got ultimately
- 1:57:22destroyed I know people that couldn't execute a trade Because what happened last quarter is
- 1:57:26the market sentiment switched so much in a short period of time that people could not adjust to it
- 1:57:31And that's where like people that are in stage five or you know on a higher stage they have the
- 1:57:36time limit of like they have the experience of time which is important to know like I've seen
- 1:57:41this before I know how to do it I've been through a draw down I know how to handle a draw down Uh
- 1:57:45I've been through you know taking a big bet where everything looked right and it went against me
- 1:57:48but it didn't destroy my confidence because I understand the market is you know market switches
- 1:57:52and market's always right So those things like this is why I say like this is like a three to
- 1:57:55five year process even though it took me eight Um but I do think it took me aid cuz I wasted a lot
- 1:58:01of time on stupid stuff right You didn't get the to have this sort of insight right It was that
- 1:58:06and I I do think there's a lot of great things out there of like understanding what a proper
- 1:58:10playbook is how a proper playbook is set Same thing That's why I was saying with this channel
- 1:58:13like when I looked at this channel initially I was like "Holy [ __ ] I look at this from like
- 1:58:17the 18-year-old Omar that's starting out and looking at like seeing everyone's playbooks and
- 1:58:21I can have an opinion on oh that makes sense that doesn't make sense." seeing that is like
- 1:58:25holy [ __ ] that expedites your learning curve so much instead of going through this and then
- 1:58:31when you have a framework and you apply those things in the framework I think it cuts your
- 1:58:35learning curve and point to profitability by 50% Yeah Yeah I love that Well thank you again
- 1:58:40and I'm sure we could have kept going and we definitely have to sit down and do uh you know
- 1:58:44the order flow and one one playbook at least Um but everyone at home drop a comment of your
- 1:58:48biggest takeaway from this episode I know there was so much Any questions you have for myself or
- 1:58:53maybe Umar just drop them in the comments below Links for Umar will be in the description below
- 1:58:58as well Hit subscribe Other episodes are on screen This has been Chart Fanatics Take care
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