抢夺全球热钱:美股代币化的新“阳谋”与争议 | 101 Weekly — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00What? The US stock market has hit a new high again?
- 0:02Nvidia's market value has exceeded 4 trillion US dollars?
- 0:03Bitcoin has also hit a new record high?
- 0:05The market has been really crazy recently.
- 0:07My friends around me are all discussing
- 0:09whether the US stock market will continue to rise?
- 0:11If it can rise again,
- 0:12where will the driving force come from?
- 0:14There are actually two very popular narrative lines
- 0:15on Wall Street now .
- 0:16One is of course AI and technology,
- 0:19and the other is the tokenization of
- 0:21US stocks. Will the so-called "tokenization of US stocks"
- 0:22become an important force driving the market?
- 0:24I think this is a conspiracy of the United States' entire "on-chain financial war"
- 0:27. I think there are still many people who don't realize this.
- 0:30Let's first briefly explain
- 0:32what is the tokenization
- 0:33of US stocks . Tokenization
- 0:35means introducing real-world assets
- 0:37such as stocks, bonds, real estate, etc.
- 0:39to the blockchain.
- 0:41For example, the recently popular RWA (Real World Asset) in Hong Kong
- 0:45is to convert real-world assets
- 0:46into digital tokens that can be traded on the chain.
- 0:48"Securities tokenization"
- 0:50is a blockchain trading asset where the token value is linked to the underlying equity.
- 0:53You may ask
- 0:54what problem tokenization solves?
- 0:56Traditional U.S. stock investment
- 0:57has high thresholds, geographical restrictions, trading hours and other pain points.
- 1:01After tokenization,
- 1:03stock transactions are almost instantaneous,
- 1:04with very little intermediary fees
- 1:05and can be traded 24 hours a day
- 1:08. At the same time, if it is a reliable model,
- 1:09its underlying must be real stocks
- 1:11, and they are held by regulated financial institutions
- 1:14and issued tokens at a 1:1 ratio.
- 1:16This model ensures the correspondence between tokens and real assets. At
- 1:21the end of June ,
- 1:21a very important milestone event occurred
- 1:23in the great wave of U.S. stock tokenization.
- 1:26Robinhood, a popular online brokerage firm that was once famous for "retail investors vs. Wall Street",
- 1:28began to announce
- 1:30in the beautiful Cannes, France that
- 1:31it would provide U.S. stock tokenization trading services
- 1:34to European retail investors.
- 1:35That is to say,
- 1:36you can Through Robinhood
- 1:37, you can use Euros or stablecoins
- 1:39to buy tokenized stocks such as
- 1:40Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, and Microsoft.
- 1:42There are more than 200 US stocks and ETFs covered here.
- 1:45They are on-chain and can be traded 24
- 1:46hours a day, 5 days a week on weekdays. You
- 1:48don’t have to wait for the exchange to open,
- 1:49and there is no handling fee
- 1:50, only a 0.1% foreign exchange conversion fee.
- 1:53And it’s not just listed companies in the secondary market.
- 1:55Robinhood has further set its sights on unicorns in the primary market,
- 1:57claiming to provide retail investors
- 2:00with shares of unlisted companies such as OpenAI and SpaceX for trading.
- 2:03This has ignited a new wave of "US stock tokenization",
- 2:05and Robinhood's own stock price has soared as a result,
- 2:07tripling in the past three months.
- 2:11Why? Why is this important?
- 2:12Because Robinhood can be said to have pushed a large number of users onto the chain
- 2:15through the "tokenization of US stocks",
- 2:17and the blockchain world has been looking forward to this large-scale popularization
- 2:20because it is possible
- 2:21to reconstruct a new global financial system on the chain
- 2:24to become the infrastructure supporting various financial services,
- 2:26from payment, transactions to deposits.
- 2:28In the
- 2:29payment link, you have seen the widespread application of stablecoins
- 2:33. However, Robinhood's radical products have also received some opposition.
- 2:37For example, OpenAI immediately poured cold water
- 2:39and issued a statement saying that
- 2:40the tokens provided by Robinhood are not real company equity
- 2:43. OpenAI does not approve of this issuance.
- 2:44But then again, the reason
- 2:45why OpenAI poured cold water is that
- 2:47the core The reason is that the interests behind the primary market are different.
- 2:49OpenAI has not yet gone public,
- 2:51so it is necessary to keep the pricing power of the company's valuation firmly in its own hands.
- 2:55Because once the equity in the primary market
- 2:57becomes a semi-public state similar to stock trading,
- 2:59first of all, because the trading volume is small and
- 3:01there are few equity shares that can be circulated in the market,
- 3:03it is easy to rise and fall sharply.
- 3:05If the company develops well, it is
- 3:06easy to be hyped up to a sky-high price.
- 3:07Once the company has any problems
- 3:09, it will plummet suddenly.
- 3:11The business of a startup is of course not so stable
- 3:13, so if the rhythm is misplaced
- 3:15, it will affect the pricing of the next round of valuation.
- 3:17Musk
- 3:18did not clearly respond to his attitude,
- 3:21but replied under OpenAI's statement
- 3:24: "Your equity is "fake"
- 3:26Your "equity" is fake,
- 3:28so if you want to do the unlisted primary market,
- 3:31the situation will be more complicated
- 3:32, but there is no big problem in the secondary market of US
- 3:34stocks. Therefore, we have also seen the recent surge in the tokenization of US stocks.
- 3:38The background of Robinhood's entry into tokenized assets
- 3:40is that the entire cryptocurrency field is in full swing.
- 3:42On the one hand, the price of Bitcoin continues to hit
- 3:45new highs, and the trading volume of stablecoins has also repeatedly broken new highs.
- 3:47On the other hand, with the strong promotion of the Trump administration,
- 3:49Congress is also seeking legislation
- 3:50to make cryptocurrency a part of the mainstream financial system.
- 3:53According to a report by Boston Consulting, it is predicted
- 3:56that by 2033
- 3:57, the size of the tokenized asset market
- 3:58may grow to 18.9 trillion US dollars.
- 4:01In fact, with the rapid breakthrough in RWA supervision today ,
- 4:04the market is no longer satisfied with the returns of treasury tokens.
- 4:07Many people want to switch to more flexible stock tokens.
- 4:10This direction is almost a consensus between traditional financial institutions and cryptocurrency institutions.
- 4:13You must know that
- 4:14it is not just Coinbase and other crypto institutions that are promoting supervision now.
- 4:17Many traditional financial institutions
- 4:19are also rushing into the market.
- 4:20For example, BlackRock, the world's largest asset management institution,
- 4:23participated in the IPO of Circle, the issuer of USDC stablecoin ,
- 4:27and acquired 10% of the shares.
- 4:29What does BlackRock want to do?
- 4:30One explanation is
- 4:31that USDC holds more than $40 billion in U.S. Treasury reserves.
- 4:35BlackRock can use this to tie its U.S. Treasury tokenization business
- 4:38to stablecoins.
- 4:39On the other hand
- 4:40, BlackRock
- 4:41launched its first "on-chain money fund" BUIDL
- 4:43last year . Each BUIDL token is anchored to $1.
- 4:45100% invested in cash,
- 4:46short-term U.S. Treasury bonds. These low-risk
- 4:48, dollar-denominated assets
- 4:49ensure principal stability and low volatility.
- 4:51The annualized return is about 3-5%.
- 4:53The returns are directly airdropped into investors' crypto wallets.
- 4:56In addition to BlackRock,
- 4:57JPMorgan Chase, the world's largest bank by market value,
- 4:59is also running into the market.
- 5:00Last month, it released its own JPMD,
- 5:03which is a tokenized deposit.
- 5:04It is a bit like a stablecoin
- 5:05, but it is not a stablecoin.
- 5:06JPMD's deposit tokens are
- 5:08issued directly on the public blockchain
- 5:10by regulated banks ,
- 5:12with the bank's reserves as the backing. The tokens that support
- 5:14these transactions can be transferred and cleared between blockchain networks, and
- 5:17exchange cryptocurrencies or payments.
- 5:19An important significance of JPMD is that
- 5:20it is a traditional bank
- 5:22trying to issue digital assets such as tokens
- 5:23without giving up compliance.
- 5:26Many people originally believed that
- 5:27cryptocurrencies are decentralized,
- 5:28which is definitely incompatible with the centralized design of traditional financial institutions.
- 5:31But in fact, the integration between traditional finance and decentralized infrastructure
- 5:35has begun.
- 5:36When we talked with many people in the industry,
- 5:38they believed that
- 5:39one of the most direct impacts of the tokenization of U.S. stocks
- 5:41is to further siphon global capital
- 5:43to the United States
- 5:43and to help solve the problem of Americanized debt to a certain extent.
- 5:46Many people think that Americanized debt is stable currency
- 5:49, but I want to say that
- 5:50the United States is actually a combination of
- 5:52the first step is stable currency,
- 5:54and the second step is actually everything on the chain (STO).
- 5:56I think this will be implemented within two years.
- 5:59I think that if countries want to counter the future on-chain hegemony of the United States,
- 6:02you should not only consider the issue of stablecoins.
- 6:05On the contrary, stablecoins alone will not work.
- 6:09Because now we have entered an era of harming neighbors.
- 6:12It is no longer the era of good discussions among countries.
- 6:14Now everyone is robbing each other of money.
- 6:16We must know that there is some hot money on the chain in the world.
- 6:19Some big money mainly comes from Europe and the United States that want to avoid taxes.
- 6:22This money does exist
- 6:23because it never wants to enter this exchange
- 6:25and never wants to do any KYC (know your customer).
- 6:28Then there is some big money, which is Chinese money,
- 6:30Korean money,
- 6:30Russian money
- 6:31, and even Turkish money, etc.
- 6:34These big money are international hot money that
- 6:38all countries in the world want to grab.
- 6:41Major countries,
- 6:42you just say that I will create my own stablecoin to counter the US dollar stablecoin,
- 6:46but I have not kept up with the era of everything being on the chain.
- 6:49In fact, you have also failed
- 6:50because all the hot money on the chain has been snatched away by American assets.
- 6:53I think this The Trump administration's conspiracy
- 6:56is to put everything on the blockchain
- 6:57to grab the hot money on the global chain.
- 6:58So if you don't issue assets yourself,
- 7:00the money will definitely be snatched away by American assets.
- 7:03The GENIUS Genius Act has just been passed in the United States.
- 7:06This bill aims to strengthen the status of the US dollar in the digital financial era.
- 7:10The tokenized products of institutions such as BlackRock
- 7:12are essentially
- 7:14packaging various products linked to the US dollar into "digital dollar assets"
- 7:16to siphon funds from other places through the global liquidity of blockchain.
- 7:19For "global southern countries", for
- 7:21example, countries like Argentina, which have serious currency inflation,
- 7:24do not have many good investment targets,
- 7:25and their currencies are depreciating every day.
- 7:27Many people are very eager to invest in US stocks.
- 7:28There are also some regions subject to financial sanctions
- 7:30and some capital controls.
- 7:32These may produce siphon effects.
- 7:35Therefore, behind tokenization
- 7:37is not only a technological and market change
- 7:39, but also a global financial competition.
- 7:42Everyone is scrambling to grab land.
- 7:43Finally
- 7:44, there must be some friends who are very curious
- 7:45about how Robinhood plays the tokenization of US stocks?
- 7:48Simply put,
- 7:49after the user places an order,
- 7:50the system will actually buy a share of stock in the traditional market
- 7:53and the broker will hold it in custody.
- 7:55At the same time, Robinhood will mint a corresponding token on the blockchain and
- 7:58place it in the user's account.
- 8:00Its value is completely synchronized with the actual stock.
- 8:03When
- 8:03the underlying stock is sold,
- 8:05the token is also sold, the token is destroyed,
- 8:06and the proceeds are returned to the user.
- 8:07What Robinhood provides to users in Europe
- 8:10is a CFD similar to the one launched by Bybit before,
- 8:14but with the EU's MiFID II
- 8:16securities license,
- 8:18it is fully compliant.
- 8:19In addition, he also holds the stock in the United States,
- 8:22but it is not mapped.
- 8:23You can understand that the part he holds is a mirror. The
- 8:26other part is held by himself
- 8:27to hedge his CFD (contract for difference) exposure.
- 8:30Moreover, this CFD (contract for difference) cannot be used to redeem the stocks held on behalf of others.
- 8:33So the two are unrelated. It
- 8:36is more similar to the product launched by bybit some time ago,
- 8:38but it has the underlying stock as a hedge
- 8:41. After my research,
- 8:42I think this method is really impeccable at present. In
- 8:45the future, Robinhood will also carry out the second phase
- 8:47to connect its stock tokens to the permissionless blockchain world.
- 8:50These tokens can be used as a collateral asset.
- 8:53For example, some lending agreements on the chain in the future
- 8:55can use these assets as collateral.
- 8:57If this can be done
- 8:58, there is still a lot of room for imagination.
- 8:59As for transactions in the primary market
- 9:01, Robinhood holds part of OpenAI
- 9:04through an SPV (special purpose vehicle). Equity
- 9:06. Then the rights of SPV are split into tokens on the blockchain.
- 9:10Users can buy and sell these tokens through Robinhood.
- 9:12The price is linked to the value of SPV.
- 9:15Robinhood should have
- 9:18bought a
- 9:20few
- 9:21from some old shareholders of OpenAI or SpaceX . It is not that I am using this thing to trade with you.
- 9:24It is used as an additional investment asset
- 9:25because its main force is still those major US stocks.
- 9:29He hopes that everyone will trade this
- 9:30, but he wants to airdrop some wool.
- 9:32This wool is
- 9:34the fragmentation of OpenAI and SpaceX's equity.
- 9:36Of course, as an emerging brokerage firm, Robinhood
- 9:38has always been accompanied by controversy.
- 9:39For example, although it claims to have 0 commissions
- 9:41, it actually makes money through trading spreads.
- 9:44Your buying and selling prices will be slightly worse than those of other brokers.
- 9:47The same is true in the crypto field,
- 9:49so Robinhood has also been facing investigations and lawsuits.
- 9:52In the past few years,
- 9:53US stock tokenization products have been short-lived,
- 9:56and the most representative one is Mirror The protocol
- 9:58platform provides users with various RWA products
- 10:00in the form of synthetic assets,
- 10:02including tokenized assets of U.S. stocks such as Tesla, Google, Apple, and Microsoft.
- 10:06However, due to supervision, market fluctuations and other reasons
- 10:09, it was a mixed bag at the time
- 10:10and there was hype,
- 10:11so it was temporarily silent.
- 10:13Recently, because the Trump administration strongly supports cryptocurrencies
- 10:16, the chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has also changed from Gary Gensler, who strongly opposes cryptocurrencies, to
- 10:20Paul Atkins, who supports cryptocurrencies.
- 10:23The regulatory environment has changed drastically.
- 10:24The new SEC Chairman Atkins
- 10:26gave two speeches.
- 10:27He said that President Trump’s task indicator for us is
- 10:30to make the United States a global encryption center,
- 10:33but he said that I looked at the Securities Act of 1933.
- 10:35Now we are still guiding the issuance of security tokens
- 10:38in accordance with the Securities Act of more than 100 years ago.
- 10:40It is not suitable for such an era on the chain.
- 10:43Therefore, the SEC’s task is to greatly simplify the issuance process of security tokens.
- 10:47I think it will happen within two years.
- 10:48Once this happens,
- 10:50everyone will issue security tokens
- 10:51because it is obvious that the chain is a much more efficient thing.
- 10:55So I think that the prosperity of everything
- 10:58on the chain, the prosperity of STO,
- 11:00and everyone starting to move to the chain,
- 11:03I think it may be implemented within two years.
- 11:05It depends on the SEC
- 11:06’s simplified process for the issuance of STO security tokens (Fast Track)
- 11:09When will it be launched?
- 11:10Of course, recently not only Robinhood
- 11:12but also cryptocurrency exchanges like Kraken
- 11:14have launched "xStocks" tokenized stock and ETF trading services,
- 11:18covering more than 50 US-listed stocks and ETFs such as Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia.
- 11:24These products all indicate that cryptocurrencies
- 11:25are accelerating their integration with traditional finance and
- 11:27evolving into real investment vehicles
- 11:29. Behind the tokenization of US stocks,
- 11:31there is also a financial war over the dominance of digital currencies.
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