1 Minute Fibonacci Scalping Strategy Backtested 100 TIMES — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Fib retracements work so often, and I'm
- 0:02going to show you exactly why. I'm also
- 0:04going to show you how to mark them up
- 0:06properly, when they don't work, and why.
- 0:09And I'll even show you 100 back tested
- 0:12trades from London session all the way
- 0:14through to New York session. No fluff,
- 0:17just straight up data, the entire
- 0:19strategy with step-by-step instructions.
- 0:21It's the way trading education should
- 0:23be. Fibonacci levels aren't magic.
- 0:26They're just math. But they work because
- 0:28millions of traders watch them. The 0.5
- 0:30and the 618 levels show up again and
- 0:34again because they're areas of natural
- 0:37human behavior. Hesitation, pullback,
- 0:41and re-entry. When price impulsively
- 0:43moves in one direction, it rarely goes
- 0:46straight up or down. It pulls back. And
- 0:49those pullbacks often land inside of
- 0:52this golden pocket. That's where
- 0:54liquidity builds. That's where big
- 0:57traders enter and that's where we
- 1:00strike. Now, let me walk you through
- 1:02exactly how I draw Fibonacci
- 1:04retracements step by step. Here is your
- 1:07checklist. Please make a screenshot of
- 1:10this. Identify the impulse move. Swing
- 1:13low to swing high in an uptrend or swing
- 1:17high to swing low in a downtrend.
- 1:21Confirm the break of structure. Draw the
- 1:24fib tool from the start of the move to
- 1:26the end of the move. Wait for price to
- 1:28pull back into the 0.5 to 618 zone. Look
- 1:33for entry triggers, candle patterns,
- 1:36continuation wicks, engulfing setups, or
- 1:40set a limit order at that 618 level.
- 1:43However, here is the golden rule. Never
- 1:46draw fib setups in a choppy range. You
- 1:50need a clear impulse, a structure break,
- 1:53and an obvious trend. If you don't see
- 1:55it, skip the trade. This is exactly when
- 1:59fibs fail. Just like every tool,
- 2:02Fibonacci fails sometimes, usually in
- 2:05these three scenarios. Scenario one, no
- 2:08clear trend. If price is sideways,
- 2:11you're drawing fib levels on noise.
- 2:14Scenario number two is going to be news
- 2:17events. Major spikes can ignore all
- 2:20levels. You'll see this occasionally
- 2:22with a 100 pip candle. And scenario
- 2:25three, low volume times. Outside of
- 2:29London or New York session, price is
- 2:32pretty sluggish and fake outs are very
- 2:34common. So here's the rule. Only trade
- 2:37Fibonacci during the high volume
- 2:40sessions, London open to New York close.
- 2:43Anything outside of that, you're
- 2:46gambling, not trading. Here is the exact
- 2:48setup that you're looking for and
- 2:50exactly how to set up a Fibonacci
- 2:52retracement tool. First of all, you are
- 2:54looking for a trending market. You want
- 2:56price to be going in either direction
- 2:58and not flat. On the left hand side, you
- 3:00will see a toolbar. The third icon down
- 3:03is your fib tools. The first option is
- 3:06going to be fib retracement. Put a star
- 3:08next to it so that it shows up in your
- 3:10favorites toolbar. Now the things that
- 3:12you want to focus on is the market
- 3:14structure, the high points and the low
- 3:16points and you want to include the wicks
- 3:19in these low points because that is
- 3:21going to be your market structure. So as
- 3:24you can see this right here did not
- 3:27break the previous structure. There was
- 3:28no candle closure below it. You have to
- 3:30wait for an impulse move that breaks
- 3:33structure and you have to watch this
- 3:35move play out until the price starts
- 3:39retracing heavily. You want a heavy
- 3:41retracement and you want to take your
- 3:43Fibonacci retracement tool from the top
- 3:46of that move to the bottom of that move
- 3:50in a downtrend. These are my settings
- 3:52for the Fibonacci retracement tool. I
- 3:54have six levels marked out. The 0ero,
- 3:57the 0.5,
- 3:59the 1, the 0.618,
- 4:03the negative 0.5, and the -1. Everything
- 4:07else is turned off. No trend line, no
- 4:11extend lines left. I've also removed the
- 4:14background just to make it very clean.
- 4:17As far as the levels and the text, I
- 4:19have them set as values and to the
- 4:21right. That way, the levels show up
- 4:23right here on the right hand side of my
- 4:25fib tool. And the only area that I'm
- 4:27focusing on, I've changed the color to
- 4:29orange so that I can clearly see it. The
- 4:33best way to do this is to set limit
- 4:35orders. You set a limit order at the 618
- 4:38with a stop-loss just above the one and
- 4:40a takerit at the previous structure.
- 4:43That will give you a 1:1.6
- 4:46risk-to-reward ratio. And keep in mind
- 4:48the time this is literally at the start
- 4:52of the mixed session for New York in
- 4:55between London and New York session.
- 4:57High volume, high volatility will give
- 5:00you good momentum swings. And to
- 5:03understand why you should avoid news
- 5:05events, it's because there is no clear
- 5:08structure when you see a monstrous
- 5:10candle like this. So if you're trading
- 5:13casually in the markets and the price is
- 5:15just moving down slowly and then you see
- 5:17one of these, you know that it was a
- 5:18news event. Now let's do the same
- 5:20example in an uptrend. We had previous
- 5:23structure here and we had an impulse
- 5:26move that broke the previous structure.
- 5:28Again, just take your Fibonacci tool and
- 5:30draw it from the bottom of the impulse
- 5:32move up to the top of the impulse move.
- 5:35As you're waiting for price to retrace,
- 5:38you look for the Fibonacci gold zone
- 5:39pocket. If you had a long position set
- 5:42up from the 618 with a takerit at the
- 5:45previous high and a stop loss below the
- 5:47one level, you would have missed your
- 5:49entry here. But that's okay. The best
- 5:51trades are going to be at the 0 618
- 5:53because if you set it at the 0.5, you
- 5:55will get a worse risk-to-reward closer
- 5:58to a one to one. The setup is very, very
- 6:00simple. In an uptrend, it's very simple.
- 6:02Price is making higher highs and higher
- 6:06lows. You wait for an impulse move to
- 6:09break the previous structure. You mark
- 6:11up your Fibonacci tool from the higher
- 6:13low to the higher high. You wait for it
- 6:15to get into the gold zone to create a
- 6:17new higher low. And the safest trade is
- 6:19always going to be targeting the
- 6:21previous high. Yes, the price goes up
- 6:23sometimes, but if you want to be safe
- 6:25and consistent, this is the one you
- 6:26should be targeting. Over the past week,
- 6:28I back tested this strategy on EuroUSD
- 6:33100 times from the London open through
- 6:36to the New York close. Let's jump onto
- 6:38the charts and I'm going to show you
- 6:40every single one of these. So, as you
- 6:42can see, every single one of these
- 6:44trades was during the London session to
- 6:47New York session. The reason this is so
- 6:49important is because there is high
- 6:53volume during these sessions. When
- 6:55Europe is awake, they're trading the
- 6:57London session. Banks, financial
- 7:00institutions, hedge funds, and traders
- 7:02are all causing volume and volatility in
- 7:06the markets causing these market
- 7:08structure moves where we see swings up
- 7:11and swings down while still holding the
- 7:14market structure. Higher highs and
- 7:17higher lows in an uptrend and lower
- 7:19highs and lower lows in a downtrend.
- 7:22These trends follow trend lines
- 7:25religiously. Occasionally there are
- 7:27wicks up and down above and below
- 7:31trapping liquidity, trapping traders,
- 7:34but overall you will see a consistent
- 7:37trend a majority of the time. And using
- 7:40this knowledge, using this market
- 7:43structure, using these Fibonacci setups
- 7:46and this Fibonacci gold zone for a
- 7:49majority of your trades is going to give
- 7:51you the edge that you need in order to
- 7:54be a good trader. Because the only way
- 7:56to make money in the markets is to do
- 7:59something consistently over time. Having
- 8:02a good risk-to-reward ratio, having a
- 8:04good win rate will get you to be
- 8:07profitable. It's plain and simple, but
- 8:10as you can see, most of these trades
- 8:13retrace to the 0.5 or 618. And if you
- 8:16keep your stop loss and your takerit
- 8:19within that range where you're getting a
- 8:211 to 1.5 or a 1 to 1.6 risk-to-reward
- 8:25ratio, you're having substantially more
- 8:27wins than you are losses, causing your
- 8:30account to be profitable over time. As
- 8:33you can see, on some of these days,
- 8:34we've had multiple trade entries. Some
- 8:37of them were losers and some of them
- 8:38were winners. But overall, we tend to
- 8:41end the day profitably. If not the day,
- 8:44then overall the week profitably. These
- 8:46100 back tested trades are simply
- 8:49looking at market structure, trend
- 8:51lines, breaks of structure with
- 8:53Fibonacci retracements back into the
- 8:55gold zone. If you want to test it
- 8:56yourself, then I highly recommend you do
- 8:58that on the thing that you're trading.
- 9:00Whether you're trading gold, whether
- 9:02you're trading indices, whether you're
- 9:03trading a forex pair or a commodity like
- 9:06oil, there are specific things that I
- 9:08want you to look for. And I want you to
- 9:09take a screenshot of this checklist
- 9:11right here. You only want to trade clear
- 9:15trends. The impulse moves that break the
- 9:17structure are going to be your friend.
- 9:19Wait for the retracement and use the 0.5
- 9:22to 618 retracement areas. Avoid choppy
- 9:25ranges. Also, avoid high impact news and
- 9:28avoid areas of low volume. An easy rule
- 9:30of thumb is to just stick to the New
- 9:32York session or the London session. And
- 9:34if you're still struggling getting into
- 9:36a trade because you keep secondguessing
- 9:38yourself, go check out our new earn as
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- 9:43the trade setups so that you can see
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- 9:55to wait 6 months until you can start
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- 10:04hope this video helped you guys out and
- 10:05if you have questions that you want
- 10:06answered in a video response, put them
- 10:09in the comment section down below.
- 10:10Thanks so much for watching and we'll
- 10:11see you in the next one.
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