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1 Minute Fibonacci Scalping Strategy Backtested 100 TIMES — Transcript

by The Moving Average · 1,689 words · 242 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Fib retracements work so often, and I'm
  2. 0:02going to show you exactly why. I'm also
  3. 0:04going to show you how to mark them up
  4. 0:06properly, when they don't work, and why.
  5. 0:09And I'll even show you 100 back tested
  6. 0:12trades from London session all the way
  7. 0:14through to New York session. No fluff,
  8. 0:17just straight up data, the entire
  9. 0:19strategy with step-by-step instructions.
  10. 0:21It's the way trading education should
  11. 0:23be. Fibonacci levels aren't magic.
  12. 0:26They're just math. But they work because
  13. 0:28millions of traders watch them. The 0.5
  14. 0:30and the 618 levels show up again and
  15. 0:34again because they're areas of natural
  16. 0:37human behavior. Hesitation, pullback,
  17. 0:41and re-entry. When price impulsively
  18. 0:43moves in one direction, it rarely goes
  19. 0:46straight up or down. It pulls back. And
  20. 0:49those pullbacks often land inside of
  21. 0:52this golden pocket. That's where
  22. 0:54liquidity builds. That's where big
  23. 0:57traders enter and that's where we
  24. 1:00strike. Now, let me walk you through
  25. 1:02exactly how I draw Fibonacci
  26. 1:04retracements step by step. Here is your
  27. 1:07checklist. Please make a screenshot of
  28. 1:10this. Identify the impulse move. Swing
  29. 1:13low to swing high in an uptrend or swing
  30. 1:17high to swing low in a downtrend.
  31. 1:21Confirm the break of structure. Draw the
  32. 1:24fib tool from the start of the move to
  33. 1:26the end of the move. Wait for price to
  34. 1:28pull back into the 0.5 to 618 zone. Look
  35. 1:33for entry triggers, candle patterns,
  36. 1:36continuation wicks, engulfing setups, or
  37. 1:40set a limit order at that 618 level.
  38. 1:43However, here is the golden rule. Never
  39. 1:46draw fib setups in a choppy range. You
  40. 1:50need a clear impulse, a structure break,
  41. 1:53and an obvious trend. If you don't see
  42. 1:55it, skip the trade. This is exactly when
  43. 1:59fibs fail. Just like every tool,
  44. 2:02Fibonacci fails sometimes, usually in
  45. 2:05these three scenarios. Scenario one, no
  46. 2:08clear trend. If price is sideways,
  47. 2:11you're drawing fib levels on noise.
  48. 2:14Scenario number two is going to be news
  49. 2:17events. Major spikes can ignore all
  50. 2:20levels. You'll see this occasionally
  51. 2:22with a 100 pip candle. And scenario
  52. 2:25three, low volume times. Outside of
  53. 2:29London or New York session, price is
  54. 2:32pretty sluggish and fake outs are very
  55. 2:34common. So here's the rule. Only trade
  56. 2:37Fibonacci during the high volume
  57. 2:40sessions, London open to New York close.
  58. 2:43Anything outside of that, you're
  59. 2:46gambling, not trading. Here is the exact
  60. 2:48setup that you're looking for and
  61. 2:50exactly how to set up a Fibonacci
  62. 2:52retracement tool. First of all, you are
  63. 2:54looking for a trending market. You want
  64. 2:56price to be going in either direction
  65. 2:58and not flat. On the left hand side, you
  66. 3:00will see a toolbar. The third icon down
  67. 3:03is your fib tools. The first option is
  68. 3:06going to be fib retracement. Put a star
  69. 3:08next to it so that it shows up in your
  70. 3:10favorites toolbar. Now the things that
  71. 3:12you want to focus on is the market
  72. 3:14structure, the high points and the low
  73. 3:16points and you want to include the wicks
  74. 3:19in these low points because that is
  75. 3:21going to be your market structure. So as
  76. 3:24you can see this right here did not
  77. 3:27break the previous structure. There was
  78. 3:28no candle closure below it. You have to
  79. 3:30wait for an impulse move that breaks
  80. 3:33structure and you have to watch this
  81. 3:35move play out until the price starts
  82. 3:39retracing heavily. You want a heavy
  83. 3:41retracement and you want to take your
  84. 3:43Fibonacci retracement tool from the top
  85. 3:46of that move to the bottom of that move
  86. 3:50in a downtrend. These are my settings
  87. 3:52for the Fibonacci retracement tool. I
  88. 3:54have six levels marked out. The 0ero,
  89. 3:57the 0.5,
  90. 3:59the 1, the 0.618,
  91. 4:03the negative 0.5, and the -1. Everything
  92. 4:07else is turned off. No trend line, no
  93. 4:11extend lines left. I've also removed the
  94. 4:14background just to make it very clean.
  95. 4:17As far as the levels and the text, I
  96. 4:19have them set as values and to the
  97. 4:21right. That way, the levels show up
  98. 4:23right here on the right hand side of my
  99. 4:25fib tool. And the only area that I'm
  100. 4:27focusing on, I've changed the color to
  101. 4:29orange so that I can clearly see it. The
  102. 4:33best way to do this is to set limit
  103. 4:35orders. You set a limit order at the 618
  104. 4:38with a stop-loss just above the one and
  105. 4:40a takerit at the previous structure.
  106. 4:43That will give you a 1:1.6
  107. 4:46risk-to-reward ratio. And keep in mind
  108. 4:48the time this is literally at the start
  109. 4:52of the mixed session for New York in
  110. 4:55between London and New York session.
  111. 4:57High volume, high volatility will give
  112. 5:00you good momentum swings. And to
  113. 5:03understand why you should avoid news
  114. 5:05events, it's because there is no clear
  115. 5:08structure when you see a monstrous
  116. 5:10candle like this. So if you're trading
  117. 5:13casually in the markets and the price is
  118. 5:15just moving down slowly and then you see
  119. 5:17one of these, you know that it was a
  120. 5:18news event. Now let's do the same
  121. 5:20example in an uptrend. We had previous
  122. 5:23structure here and we had an impulse
  123. 5:26move that broke the previous structure.
  124. 5:28Again, just take your Fibonacci tool and
  125. 5:30draw it from the bottom of the impulse
  126. 5:32move up to the top of the impulse move.
  127. 5:35As you're waiting for price to retrace,
  128. 5:38you look for the Fibonacci gold zone
  129. 5:39pocket. If you had a long position set
  130. 5:42up from the 618 with a takerit at the
  131. 5:45previous high and a stop loss below the
  132. 5:47one level, you would have missed your
  133. 5:49entry here. But that's okay. The best
  134. 5:51trades are going to be at the 0 618
  135. 5:53because if you set it at the 0.5, you
  136. 5:55will get a worse risk-to-reward closer
  137. 5:58to a one to one. The setup is very, very
  138. 6:00simple. In an uptrend, it's very simple.
  139. 6:02Price is making higher highs and higher
  140. 6:06lows. You wait for an impulse move to
  141. 6:09break the previous structure. You mark
  142. 6:11up your Fibonacci tool from the higher
  143. 6:13low to the higher high. You wait for it
  144. 6:15to get into the gold zone to create a
  145. 6:17new higher low. And the safest trade is
  146. 6:19always going to be targeting the
  147. 6:21previous high. Yes, the price goes up
  148. 6:23sometimes, but if you want to be safe
  149. 6:25and consistent, this is the one you
  150. 6:26should be targeting. Over the past week,
  151. 6:28I back tested this strategy on EuroUSD
  152. 6:33100 times from the London open through
  153. 6:36to the New York close. Let's jump onto
  154. 6:38the charts and I'm going to show you
  155. 6:40every single one of these. So, as you
  156. 6:42can see, every single one of these
  157. 6:44trades was during the London session to
  158. 6:47New York session. The reason this is so
  159. 6:49important is because there is high
  160. 6:53volume during these sessions. When
  161. 6:55Europe is awake, they're trading the
  162. 6:57London session. Banks, financial
  163. 7:00institutions, hedge funds, and traders
  164. 7:02are all causing volume and volatility in
  165. 7:06the markets causing these market
  166. 7:08structure moves where we see swings up
  167. 7:11and swings down while still holding the
  168. 7:14market structure. Higher highs and
  169. 7:17higher lows in an uptrend and lower
  170. 7:19highs and lower lows in a downtrend.
  171. 7:22These trends follow trend lines
  172. 7:25religiously. Occasionally there are
  173. 7:27wicks up and down above and below
  174. 7:31trapping liquidity, trapping traders,
  175. 7:34but overall you will see a consistent
  176. 7:37trend a majority of the time. And using
  177. 7:40this knowledge, using this market
  178. 7:43structure, using these Fibonacci setups
  179. 7:46and this Fibonacci gold zone for a
  180. 7:49majority of your trades is going to give
  181. 7:51you the edge that you need in order to
  182. 7:54be a good trader. Because the only way
  183. 7:56to make money in the markets is to do
  184. 7:59something consistently over time. Having
  185. 8:02a good risk-to-reward ratio, having a
  186. 8:04good win rate will get you to be
  187. 8:07profitable. It's plain and simple, but
  188. 8:10as you can see, most of these trades
  189. 8:13retrace to the 0.5 or 618. And if you
  190. 8:16keep your stop loss and your takerit
  191. 8:19within that range where you're getting a
  192. 8:211 to 1.5 or a 1 to 1.6 risk-to-reward
  193. 8:25ratio, you're having substantially more
  194. 8:27wins than you are losses, causing your
  195. 8:30account to be profitable over time. As
  196. 8:33you can see, on some of these days,
  197. 8:34we've had multiple trade entries. Some
  198. 8:37of them were losers and some of them
  199. 8:38were winners. But overall, we tend to
  200. 8:41end the day profitably. If not the day,
  201. 8:44then overall the week profitably. These
  202. 8:46100 back tested trades are simply
  203. 8:49looking at market structure, trend
  204. 8:51lines, breaks of structure with
  205. 8:53Fibonacci retracements back into the
  206. 8:55gold zone. If you want to test it
  207. 8:56yourself, then I highly recommend you do
  208. 8:58that on the thing that you're trading.
  209. 9:00Whether you're trading gold, whether
  210. 9:02you're trading indices, whether you're
  211. 9:03trading a forex pair or a commodity like
  212. 9:06oil, there are specific things that I
  213. 9:08want you to look for. And I want you to
  214. 9:09take a screenshot of this checklist
  215. 9:11right here. You only want to trade clear
  216. 9:15trends. The impulse moves that break the
  217. 9:17structure are going to be your friend.
  218. 9:19Wait for the retracement and use the 0.5
  219. 9:22to 618 retracement areas. Avoid choppy
  220. 9:25ranges. Also, avoid high impact news and
  221. 9:28avoid areas of low volume. An easy rule
  222. 9:30of thumb is to just stick to the New
  223. 9:32York session or the London session. And
  224. 9:34if you're still struggling getting into
  225. 9:36a trade because you keep secondguessing
  226. 9:38yourself, go check out our new earn as
  227. 9:40you learn program where we provide you
  228. 9:43the trade setups so that you can see
  229. 9:46what good trades look like and feel like
  230. 9:49to make those profits. And while you're
  231. 9:51executing those trades, you can learn
  232. 9:53about day trading. So now you don't have
  233. 9:55to wait 6 months until you can start
  234. 9:57trading. You can do it from day one as
  235. 9:59you're learning. Check out the earn as
  236. 10:01you learn program at trdf flooror.com. I
  237. 10:04hope this video helped you guys out and
  238. 10:05if you have questions that you want
  239. 10:06answered in a video response, put them
  240. 10:09in the comment section down below.
  241. 10:10Thanks so much for watching and we'll
  242. 10:11see you in the next one.

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