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01 Module 1 NAS100 Big Picture Concepts, Timings, HTF Coil — Transcript

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0:06Hello traders, welcome to the ACB master
0:09class, the ain't coming back trade
0:11setups. Hopefully after this master
0:14class webinar, you will be having a
0:18clear thorough understanding of the
0:21opportunities. Whether you're trading
0:24one specific market or following a small
0:26basket of instruments hunting out these
0:29setups, the purpose of the master class
0:32is to help traders understand and
0:34identify the highest probability days on
0:37any market for parabolic explosive trade
0:40setups. regardless if you trade one
0:42market or multiple markets hunting the
0:45same setups. Now these are the setups
0:48that we uh can look at uh being in these
0:52positions and they will go to the close
0:54of the day in most cases. Now the main
0:57focus is going to be understanding the
0:59higher time frames. We're going to go in
1:00depth through multiple markets and
1:03understanding the monthly cycle, week 1,
1:05week 2, week three, and week four and
1:08high probability signal days throughout
1:11that month. But understanding when a new
1:13month starts, how price can behave and
1:17offer traders
1:19opportunities for the high close of the
1:22month or low close of the month if a
1:23market is about to go on a range
1:26expansion. Now, we're also going to go
1:29in depth into three higher or three
1:31lower closes and understanding the
1:34importance of that to identify these
1:36high probability days. And in a lot of
1:38cases, these will occur on a Tuesday or
1:41a
1:42Thursday. So, we can have extremes
1:44forming in our month on a Tuesday or a
1:47Thursday. And we're going to be uh going
1:50into that as well, understanding the
1:52patience of letting a template set up
1:55when we have a new week starting. if we
1:58don't already have a signal or an
2:00opportunity on a particular market and
2:03using our lower time frames for entries
2:05and what we're going to be going through
2:08is the EMA coil which will help traders
2:11identify and uh remove analysis
2:14paralysis but aligning all the time
2:16frames for these setups. Now the big
2:20picture is just understanding uh looking
2:22at daily charts on any instrument the
2:25opportunity and the understanding to
2:26identify markets when they break out.
2:29Now that's going to be a big thrust in
2:32this presentation understanding when
2:34markets break out. They only do three
2:37things. They will continue to trend or
2:40they will fail and reverse. And some of
2:43these opportunities are going to give us
2:45violent reversals or violent explosive
2:49continuations. And when we look at
2:51different markets, they have different
2:52characteristics. And we'll talk about
2:54that as well. Just in simple terms, when
2:57we have a new month, it's a new timing
2:59cycle for various reasons. Uh they can
3:02lock in their books. Larger players may
3:04take new positions or be holding their
3:06positions. But we're going to talk about
3:09the front side of the month and the back
3:12side of the month. We have a new month
3:13beginning week 1, week two, week three,
3:17and week four. Now throughout that
3:20monthly cycle, we will have non-farm
3:23payrolls, we will have CPI, we will have
3:26FOMC. And on these particular days, we
3:29are going to be looking to either not
3:32trade at all on those days because
3:34everything is based on the closing
3:36price.
3:37What we are looking for though are
3:40signal days. We can have three higher
3:43closes. We can have three lower closes.
3:46And these can help us identify extremes
3:49in a new month and also signal days.
3:52We'll have our first green days and just
3:55keeping things simple. So, there are
3:57going to be months that aren't as
3:58opportunistic as other months, but we
4:01can still have fantastic days within
4:03that month that offer us explosive
4:06parabolic opportunities. Now, remember,
4:08we can be looking at a different basket
4:11of instruments for optimal signals. Uh,
4:14one or two of these a week in any market
4:17are enough to significantly compound
4:19your account. And what we don't want to
4:21be doing is trying to trade every day.
4:23You'll notice that these markets are all
4:26staying inside of previous days range.
4:28Not until a market breaks out do we
4:30potentially get a signal day. And often
4:33some of these larger range days are
4:36driven by news catalyst uh movement
4:39which is why I talk about FOMC
4:42uh CPI non-farm payrolls are days
4:45potentially to avoid or if we are going
4:48to be positioned in line with an
4:50existing move already waiting for after
4:52that news and not potentially taking on
4:56as large a position. Uh but when we get
4:59scalable opportunities where there is no
5:01fundamental news and we're starting a
5:03new month, we now may have an
5:05opportunity to position ourselves at the
5:08beginning of a larger move. And when
5:10some of these markets take off and we
5:13have positions in those markets, they
5:15may go on for 2 or 3 days. The whole
5:18point of this is not getting caught into
5:21chop and and trading in markets where
5:24it's going to be
5:25constantly going back and forth against
5:28you. Even if you're in the right move,
5:30you've got a nail and bail constantly.
5:32And so we're looking for the highest
5:34probability opportunities. And when a
5:36new month begins or when it's ending, we
5:39can see these opportunities present for
5:42either larger scalable opportunities
5:44over the course of the month or large
5:47all-in days where these opportunities
5:50will present. Most importantly though, I
5:53want to just walk through the
5:54understanding of when a market breaks
5:56out. When a market breaks out, we have
5:59three higher closes in this particular
6:02case. One, two, three to the high. an
6:05inside or a narrow range day and a
6:08reversal collapse back into the opening
6:12range of the month. So, we have a market
6:14that's broken out and reversed,
6:17consolidated, and continued to trade
6:20higher. We have our extreme in place
6:24one, two, three higher closes. So just
6:27coming back and and uh thinking bigger
6:30picture. We we broke out. We traded
6:32higher that reversed but we dumped down
6:35before continuing the long position
6:38move. The market broke out and reversed
6:41and again dumping down heading into the
6:44new month. We have three higher closes
6:47again for a dump day into the breakout
6:52into our close and breakout. And then we
6:55have our three lower closes again. Now I
6:57want to identify something for traders.
6:59We have three lower closes. We have our
7:01initial 1, two, three sideways inside of
7:04our large range bull candle that's in
7:06breakout. But then we also have three
7:09closes successively in
7:12breakout. Three successive closes and
7:15breakout. Breaking out, consolidating,
7:18breaking out, consolidating, and
7:20breaking out a third time. That third
7:23close in breakout now is the potential
7:25opportunity where traders are looking
7:27for the reversal. This reversal day
7:30occurred on a Tuesday. So coming back to
7:33understanding uh Tuesday and Thursday
7:35can be very high probability days. But
7:37whenever we get three closes and
7:39breakout and we are at the high or low
7:43close of the month which occurred on a
7:46Thursday, Friday reversed and gave us
7:48our first red day in a market that
7:51continues to make higher highs and
7:54closing in breakout again and then a
7:57large reversal collapse back into the
8:00breakout. So emphasizing two situations.
8:04Number one, the three higher closes,
8:06three lower closes after a market breaks
8:09out, but we're still inside of the
8:11range. So we've got a breakout day and
8:13then the consolidation into the new
8:15month, a reversal day. And that breakout
8:19starts our count again. 1 2 three lower
8:22closes. A first green day engulfment of
8:25our third lower close. and the explosive
8:29move back through the high of the
8:31previous month. One close and breakout,
8:34two closes and breakout,
8:36consolidating, consolidating. It's not
8:38broken out of the high and then a third
8:40close and breakout that consolidates
8:43again giving us the reversal day setup
8:46which we'll be going through in depth.
8:48The most important thing right now is
8:50understanding the new timing and
8:53understanding three higher and lower
8:56closes and differentiating that from
8:58three successive closes in breakout.
9:02Whenever a market closes and breakout
9:04and consolidates, we can count three
9:07three lower closes. An explosive
9:09breakout day. 1 2 3 and then another
9:13explosive long day back up to the high
9:15of the pin. One, two, three. Two higher
9:19closes and a first red day. As the new
9:23month starts, new month, new timing
9:25cycle. And we have one, two, 3 months
9:29closing in
9:31breakout. That market trades back
9:34through that higher low after the the
9:36breakout from the previous month was
9:38made. And that level now can be
9:40significant as the market may continue
9:43to break down. So we have a breakout,
9:46one, two, three lower
9:49closes, a counter trend day, and a
9:52continuation, one, two, three lower
9:55closes again, a breakout day, another
9:59reversal day. So we have a market
10:01closing, a breakout, and a counter trend
10:04day. Remember, this is still breaking
10:07down, making lower lows and lower highs.
10:10So this countertrend bullish counter
10:12trend day again is a signal day when a
10:16market closes in breakout as it makes
10:19lower highs and lower lows. It may offer
10:21us the continuation setup in our session
10:25to continue that move down high of date
10:28reversal depending on which session that
10:30showed up in. But for the simp simple
10:32understanding right now, I want to walk
10:34through these daily charts to emphasize
10:37to traders getting used to seeing three
10:40higher and lower closes and markets when
10:43they close in breakout whether they're
10:45closing in breakout against a move or
10:49closing in breakout with a move. Now, as
10:52this market works its way down, we have
10:54one counter trend day, two counter trend
10:57days, and a pin hammer at the low of the
11:00month, which could become a first green
11:03day setup. Now, you'll also notice we've
11:07taken out the low of the previous month.
11:10We've broken through the low of the
11:11previous month. So, high of month, we
11:14look for first red days. Low of month,
11:16we're looking for first green days. Now
11:18you'll you'll understand again I'm I'm
11:21we're using end of day closing price
11:23here. These are daily charts. So nothing
11:26happens until the day closes. Those are
11:29the signal days. If you're trading
11:31inside on smaller time frames each day,
11:34you run the risk of getting chopped up
11:36in volatile markets. Whereas when we
11:38wait for these closes to occur, we have
11:41high probability setups coming off of
11:44higher time frame signals and closing
11:48and
11:49breakout. So we've cleared through lower
11:53high of day levels and again a signal
11:55day market closing in breakout for a
11:58potential reversal in a market that
12:01broke down. large day. Large day trading
12:05back into our first green day and now
12:08potentially a green day signal to resume
12:12the move back up into the close of the
12:15month. Now you'll notice again at the
12:17close of the month we have 1 2 3 days in
12:21breakouts and it continues again into a
12:24fourth day closing in breakout. Now,
12:27what I'm uh most importantly trying to
12:29emphasize to traders is that you don't
12:31have to be trading inside before when a
12:33new month starts. You don't have to be
12:35trading inside trying to uh get one of
12:39these moves. We have 4 days in
12:42consolidation. We have a an what Al
12:44Brooks would call an IOI pattern, an
12:46outside day on the first day, but the
12:48market then closes in
12:50breakout. Closes in breakout. One, two,
12:54three lower closes. Then we have an
12:56inside day which also can now be a first
13:00green day. Whenever we are at the
13:03highest closing price of the month and
13:06we have this second hit to the high
13:09again, highest closing price of the
13:11month or lowest closing price of the
13:12month. We may now have a day that sets
13:16up for a parabolic reversal opportunity.
13:20What's important is identifying these on
13:23the larger time frame and getting away
13:26from trading inside every day without an
13:29awareness of the larger template that's
13:32in place, the monthly cycle. So, we come
13:35into our closing range of the month and
13:37we get a first green day and a market
13:40closing in breakout. Three higher closes
13:43again closing out the month. three
13:45higher closes, a consolidation, and a
13:48dump day that closes in breakouts. So,
13:51an extreme, a breakout day, and then
13:54we're looking for three lower closes
13:58from that extreme, recognizing that
14:01these three closes are underneath of the
14:04high close that forms the extreme. We'll
14:06see different variations of that. Where
14:09is the low close of the month? Well,
14:11after our breakout day, our low close of
14:14the month is down at that large range
14:18breakout day. And just mentally
14:20repeating to traders thinking week 1,
14:23week 2, week three, week
14:25four. And we get into week two and we
14:28have 1, two, three higher closes in
14:31breakout and then a first red day
14:34signal. Market closes in breakout and an
14:38inside day. Now, I just want to repeat
14:40as we go through this and identify the
14:42days. There may not be a setup in the
14:45session that you're trading. So, for
14:46example, uh this is the NASDAQ. We can
14:49go to New York and the market's already
14:51descended out or been moving. Uh but you
14:54don't want to be counter trending a
14:56market now that is potentially reversing
14:59and heading back in the other direction.
15:02just understanding when the when the
15:04setup presents with the higher time
15:06frame thesis, we will get our
15:08opportunities. Uh chasing the move or uh
15:12trying to get into the market and it's
15:15not actually set up in that session. The
15:17market may move in an earlier session.
15:18It might be broken out. It might be too
15:21far away. It might be trapping shorts
15:23down low. Whatever that may be, we're
15:25looking for the opportunity in our
15:27session. But understanding the bigger
15:28template each day will help us identify
15:31when that opportunity presents in our
15:34session. Now again remembering you may
15:37be following three or four markets and
15:40targeting one or two setups a week that
15:44are scalable in size. And when they're
15:47scalable in size and they're going to a
15:49close, these are the types of
15:51opportunities that you can set and
15:53forget. you'll be able to take a trade,
15:55put your stop in place, and walk away.
15:57As opposed to trading each day where
16:00we're in a consolidation and the markets
16:02break out and pull back and there's
16:04wicks everywhere, where they're nailing
16:06bales, we get these little two-day
16:08counter trends in a market that's broken
16:10out. We may now have an all-in
16:13opportunity when we get to our session
16:15for a hold till close trade setup. The
16:18market may explode on major red news.
16:21could be non-farm payrolls can be taken
16:24up for 3 days. It could already be
16:26broken out and continuing to to trade
16:29outside of our window. But when we get
16:31that opportunity in our session, these
16:34are the market setups that when they
16:37coil and explode in that direction of
16:41where they're not coming back, they're
16:43hold close trade setups. Now, often when
16:46we get markets like this, traders uh
16:48will see the first red day and be
16:51constantly trying to trade against that.
16:53And we can see where we have an example
16:55of three lower closes, a first red day
16:58and three lower closes and then a
17:01vertical move and the market that closes
17:03in breakout. Now, we're we're closing in
17:07breakout against higher time frame
17:09buyers. So, again, the market has broken
17:12out. We now have a market that's broken
17:13out. It's not a failed breakout or a
17:16false break. This market has broken out
17:18and continued to trade higher. So again,
17:21an example of where if we have a short
17:24trade, we're trading that into the
17:26breakout, taking the money and running.
17:28But the monthly cycle now, we have a
17:30market that's broken out, closed and
17:33breakout, and continuing to trade higher
17:36into the close of the month. We close
17:39and break out. We get our consolidation
17:42and we get a first green day inside day
17:45setup right into the close of the new
17:48month. A 4-day coil into the first
17:51trading day of the new month with first
17:53green day at the low of the month for
17:56the explosive reversal starting off the
17:59new month new timing cycle. First place
18:02they go back to is the high of the
18:05previous month. And just stepping back
18:07again and looking at the higher time
18:09frame dump and pump template. New month,
18:13new timing cycle, new setup opportunity.
18:16And just in simple terms, understanding
18:18that if traders were trading end of day
18:20and positioning themselves in the
18:23markets based on taking positions,
18:26smaller positions, we still can identify
18:28one bar stops at the extremes. when we
18:33spot market opportunities for these
18:35reversals back to the other side of the
18:37range. Now, we have a market that's
18:39broken out again and we can look for
18:42three consecutive closes in breakout to
18:47potentially identify either a reversal
18:50opportunity or to wait and sit on our
18:54hands if this market is going to
18:55continue to
18:57trend into the close of the month. We
18:59wait and we look for the three lower
19:03closes. Again, big thing to realize is
19:05that just because we get three
19:07successive closes and breakout that this
19:09market does not have to necessarily
19:11offer us a reversal range trading day.
19:14So traders are trying to counter trend
19:16this, but this market has broken out now
19:19and now we wait for the new timing
19:21cycle. Now, there may be some nail and
19:23bales in there if traders decide to do
19:25that, but we're trading back down into
19:28the breakout when the new month begins.
19:30The easy money may be to trade with the
19:33trend, especially in the indexes.
19:36Indexes long-term continue to go higher.
19:39Funds are forced to continuously buy
19:42with their retirement fund money every
19:44month into these indexes, the larger
19:46indexes. And so the thesis, underlying
19:49thesis is that when we get a down
19:50closing month, a counter trend month or
19:53two successive down closing months, we
19:56may now be gearing up for an explosive
19:58continuation move on the US markets. We
20:02get a breakout again of the new month
20:05and the market again. We count three. 1
20:082 3 consolidation 1 2 3 reversal day 1 2
20:153. So we have an inside day and then 1 2
20:183 to the high again. New month, new
20:20timing cycle. We have a first red day
20:23that closes and breakout the following
20:25day into our new month. One big range
20:29breakout day. Two, three lower closes
20:33into our new month. We get a first green
20:35day and that market resumes, goes up,
20:39coils sideways, and explodes back
20:41through the high of day level again.
20:44sorry high of month level again. But
20:45you'll notice on the way it goes 1 2
20:48three closes and breakout before going
20:50into consolidation and we have 1 2 3
20:55narrow two double inside day, a double
20:57inside day from the playbook. A larger
21:00outside day, a counter trend day with a
21:03lower high, lower low, but we're inside
21:05of the breakout. So remember this market
21:08has already given three lower closes. we
21:11have our breakout candle. So breakout
21:15candle is still intact. They've pinned
21:17down into that before closing back in
21:19range. This is one large consolidation
21:22sideways. And you'll remember the phrase
21:24where I talk about uh when a market
21:27coils sideways underneath of the high of
21:30month, high of day, high of week level
21:32or on top of uh low of week, low of day,
21:35low of month level. It's potentially
21:38preparing for a large explosive move.
21:41Just coming back to counting with
21:42threes. One, two, three. Closes and
21:44breakout. One, two, three. Double inside
21:46day. 1 2 3 exploding back in line with
21:51our original first green day explosive
21:53move and continuing the breakout through
21:57the hive month. So, we have one close
21:59and breakout, two closes and breakout,
22:02consolidation, and a third close in
22:05breakout. Again we get a first red day
22:07signal. So coming back to understanding
22:09that when the market comes out of an
22:12explosive breakout like this and we can
22:14now see that these months are closing
22:16successively higher not necessarily
22:19wanting to be looking for a large
22:22counter trend reversal. Remember the
22:24timing cycle. We get a market then that
22:26closes and breakout long again at the
22:29high close of the month. high close of
22:32month and we see a reversal day come off
22:35of that before the month ends and we
22:38start a new month new timing cycle. Now
22:42counter trend days are more important to
22:45understand when a market's broken out
22:46like this. We have a consolidation. So a
22:49down closing day in a market that's
22:51broken out again another signal for a
22:53potential
22:54continuation.
22:56Breakout one two breaks out a third time
23:00to the high. So we have our breakout of
23:01the high of the month consolidation
23:04breakout again 1 day 2-day counter trend
23:07and a third break closing at the high
23:10close of the month in our last week of
23:13the month last trading week 1 week two
23:16week three and week four closing out the
23:19month new month we see one two three
23:23higher closes a one-day counter trend a
23:28breakout of the high of month level. So
23:31we have one, two, and a third breakout,
23:34but now a new breakout and one, two,
23:37three higher closes, high close of the
23:39month level. Now, right now, uh, we're
23:42walking through on the daily chart
23:45identifying this in hindsight, but most
23:47importantly, we will look at
23:49specifically how these markets will set
23:52up if they are reversals, but more
23:54importantly, understanding the
23:55difference between a breakout in a
23:57market that's already dumped down and
23:59coiled, an explosive breakout in an
24:01index, new timing cycle. We continue to
24:04coil and break higher, but we're
24:06trapping longs up near the high of the
24:08month as we break out. And when we see
24:11these types of high closes, three higher
24:14closes after in a breakout, immediately
24:17after a breakout, how does price behave
24:19on the day? We'll be looking at those
24:21specific days where setups are coiled
24:25sideways or there's a news release and
24:28it breaks one of the extremes, but coils
24:30into our timing window. We're going to
24:32be going through timing and
24:35understanding 4hour
24:37rotations. But that market pulls back
24:39into the breakout again. One inside day,
24:43a breakout candle, a breakout candle
24:46against our high bull bear reversal. And
24:51again, another potential signal of where
24:54a market may be giving us a reversal
24:57trade setup. We're trading back into the
25:00peak formation. It's broken out, closed
25:03in breakout against that first red day
25:07reversal. And you'll notice on the
25:09higher time frame, we have one
25:11breakdown, a second breakdown, an inside
25:14day, and a third breakdown back into our
25:18opening range candle, and our low bear
25:22from the closing range of the month. So,
25:23our first green day signal at the low of
25:26the month level or into our low of month
25:28level may be a valid continuation for
25:32the long trade setup. And just coming
25:36back to reinforcing week one, week two.
25:39So, week one, week two, we break out, we
25:42make higher highs, higher highs in a
25:46market that's closed in breakout long.
25:48We've dumped down first green day an
25:51explosive move heading into the closing
25:54range of the month. And you'll see again
25:55we have one,
25:57two, three lower closes heading into the
26:00close of the month. Now hopefully uh
26:02after we go through this
26:04instrument, you'll have the the firm
26:07understanding of three higher closes,
26:09three closes and breakout and three
26:11lower closes, the significance of them
26:13when they present and just stepping back
26:16and sitting on your hands, not worried
26:18about catching every little move each
26:20day, but focusing on where the real
26:22opportunities are that are scalable and
26:24then aligning yourself with the stronger
26:27underlying thesis that could be in
26:29place. So if we're counter trending uh
26:32against a strongly bullish market uh we
26:35can count we can count counter trend
26:37days and look for continuations. We can
26:40look for reversal setups when they
26:43properly present. But more importantly
26:46not just trying to trade off the
26:48extremes every day and getting caught
26:50into a market that could potentially
26:52just be in consolidation sideways. New
26:55month starts. We have one, two closes
26:59and breakout and a first red day. So
27:02even though it's a first red day, this
27:03close the we have a close and breakout,
27:05these are all still higher closes from
27:07the breakout 1 2 and three. First red
27:10day gives us a first red day reversal
27:13setup on the day. Uh whether that
27:15occurred in the US window or not doesn't
27:18matter with then we have our inside day.
27:20We've broken out of the high of the
27:22month level heading into the new month.
27:26Again, another month that closed in
27:28breakout from the previous month. Now,
27:30we see more volatility coming into this
27:33month at the extremes, which is a
27:36telltale sign now that we may be getting
27:38near the end of this move. So, counting
27:42again, one, two, three lower closes from
27:45our first red day at the high of month
27:47level. And just repeating that that is
27:50the high close of the month once it
27:52takes out that wick. High close of the
27:53month, first red day, and then one, two,
27:57three lower closes, a higher high in
28:00consolidation, and a first green day pin
28:04hammer heading into week three for an
28:08explosive three higher closes in
28:11breakout. Our inside pin hammer candle
28:15inside of our 3-day consolidation. and
28:17then one, two closes and breakout at the
28:21extreme. 1, two, three higher closes
28:23coming out of consolidation. Heading
28:25into the closing range of the month, we
28:27get a first red day signal, but we're
28:29counter trending again. A market that
28:32has been continuously making higher
28:35closes and breakout each month. But new
28:38month, new timing cycle. We get a first
28:40red day pin hammer opportunity
28:43potentially setting up for the reversal
28:45back into our breakout. Consolidating in
28:48that last week, an outside day pin
28:51hammer. How does price behave on the
28:53day? So, new timing cycle, new month.
28:55We're not doing anything at all until a
28:59level is broken. We have a new month,
29:01new timing cycle. We now have market
29:04that closed in breakout in the new
29:07month. Closed in breakout, an inside
29:10day, a large range pin collapsing day.
29:14You'll notice again from the first day,
29:16one two three lower closes and a great
29:21variation now of we have an inside day
29:24or a bullish close from our extreme. We
29:26count one, two, three closes and the
29:30last one a close and breakout. one close
29:33and breakout in the middle and a third
29:36clo bullish close in breakout at the
29:39extreme down into our opening range
29:42candle where the market initially broke
29:45down from. So we have higher time frames
29:47selling over here made lower lows and
29:51that put in our initial low of the new
29:54month. We have a market that's one
29:56higher close, two higher closes in
29:59breakout and inside day. We'll call that
30:01a second higher close and a third large
30:04range day closing in and breakout an
30:06opportune setup potentially for the
30:09reversal trade. And just using some
30:12simple things from previous playbook
30:15understanding high bull from the
30:17previous month. We may now be looking at
30:19a month that closed and breakout in the
30:22previous month. But we may may be
30:24looking at a month now that is going to
30:26be a down closing month. We get our
30:29large range reversal. That market opens
30:32into the new week. We get a large pin
30:34hammer and a breakout of our opening
30:37range. Break out of our opening range.
30:40One day counter trend collapsing 1 2 3
30:46potentially to our low close of the
30:48month level. We get an inside day at our
30:51low close. Now this is a new uh our
30:55inside day is a new week. So this is a
30:57Friday closing at the extreme. And
31:00you'll notice if we just look to the
31:02left, we've taken out the low of month
31:06level. We've cleared out that low of
31:07month level. Remember, we had breakout
31:09traders in the market from the previous
31:11month and markets that had been closing
31:13in breakouts successfully each month. We
31:16saw that breakdown at the start of the
31:18new month and then the collapse down to
31:22the low of the previous
31:24month. Inside day, we're heading into
31:26the closing range of the week. First
31:29green day potentially setting up new
31:32month, sorry, new week. And the same
31:34thing happens again. We get one close
31:36and breakout, second close and breakout
31:39and consolidation. Arguably a third
31:41close and breakout heading into the
31:43close of the month. Three closes in
31:46breakout. Three closes and breakout
31:48potentially setting up for a reversal
31:50day. A large range reversal day. And
31:53this last closing price at the high and
31:56breakout is a Monday. And our large
31:58reversal day is a Tuesday. And then our
32:02new month starts. We have a new month
32:03new timing cycle. We have a bullish
32:07green day into our low first green day
32:11of the month.
32:13How does price behave on the day? So, we
32:15have a Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday down
32:18low and
32:19Thursday potentially offering us a first
32:23green day reversal setup into the new
32:25month new timing cycle after dumping
32:28down into our peak formation low of the
32:31month level. Now, remember, we had a
32:34market that had been closing higher
32:36successively month after month. When we
32:39have a counter trend, a down closing
32:41month, we may now be seeing a market
32:44offering us an opportunity to resume
32:48that bullish direction. So, this is an
32:50example of where if a market gives us
32:52that opportunity and we have positions
32:54in the market or we're obviously we're
32:57going to be looking at entering in on
32:59the smaller time frame. But if traders
33:01were looking at this as a potential
33:04larger dump and pump continuation over
33:07the higher time frames, they may want to
33:10leave a trailer in the market. So we
33:13have our Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, low
33:16of month, new month, low of week and
33:20reversal on Thursday and the explosive
33:24continuation on Friday. The week closes
33:28in breakout long. The week closes in
33:32breakout long in a smaller dump and pump
33:37template into the new week, new month.
33:40And that market continues to trade
33:42higher. One, two, three higher closes in
33:45breakout. Three higher closes and
33:47breakout. A lower high, lower low.
33:49Again, traders will look at calling this
33:51a first red day, a one-day counter trend
33:54potentially inside day. and the
33:56continuation for the explosive move back
34:00to the high of the previous month. So
34:03recognize when we have counter trend
34:05days versus a first red day or first
34:08green day a one day counter trend an
34:11inside day the continuation one two we
34:15we have a traders again may see this as
34:17a first red day one two counter trend
34:20and then explosive one two three days to
34:24the high again 3 days to the high range
34:28reversal day is a Thursday
34:30again Friday and then Monday into the
34:33new week closing in breakout Monday,
34:36Tuesday at the high of our month. Our
34:38high closing price of the month. That's
34:41our high close of the month. Now, we're
34:43heading into the closing week of the
34:46month, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday
34:48reversal. And remember, some of these
34:50large range days may be driven by uh
34:53high impact news releases. Uh but when
34:56we go through these in in smaller
34:58detail, we'll be looking at exactly how
35:00these should set up when we get a large
35:03range day opportunity. But we go one,
35:05two, three lower
35:07closes before closing out the month
35:11breakout. One, two, three lower closes.
35:14And you'll notice that that large
35:16pin comes back and gets traders who were
35:19long on the bullish explosive move into
35:23the breakout of the previous five month
35:25level. Now just coming back to simple
35:27stuff that month made a higher high.
35:30Higher high could be the setup for a
35:32dump and pump. Three lower closes,
35:35consolidation, a higher high and a first
35:37green day again. First green day. 1 2 3
35:40sideways first green day. So we're not
35:42trading every day. We were waiting for
35:44signals, indications from the market,
35:46and we got a first green day and that
35:48exploded back through the high of the
35:50month. One 2-day counter trend, an
35:53outside day, but a breakout. And again,
35:56traders need to understand that seeing a
36:00a down closing day into a strong market
36:03is not a first red day setup, but
36:06understand that a counter trend can
36:07offer us the potential opportunity. 1 2
36:113 inside day. We have an outside day and
36:14then an inside day for a possible
36:17continuation trade if that is the setup
36:20that traders are already positioning or
36:22they're holding a trailer. The
36:24confidence to hold that position again
36:27breaking out 1
36:322
36:33three one two three in breakout. So
36:37we're in a strongly moving market.
36:38Obviously, some of these gaps are from
36:40contract rollovers, but counting three.
36:441 2 3 1 2 consolidation three explosive
36:50coil and a reversal at the high of month
36:53high closing price of the month level.
36:56So, when the market's in breakout, these
36:58consolidations are are higher closes,
37:00but they're inside of the original close
37:02and breakout. and then the continuation
37:04one two three closes in breakout a
37:08reversal one two three lower closes. So
37:11we've started our new month in a market
37:12that again closed in breakout and
37:15continued to trade higher. First green
37:18day at the beginning of the month. First
37:20green day uh in inside of our three
37:22lower closes and right at our close of
37:25the month we've made higher highs inside
37:28higher high. A little 3-day dump and
37:30pump for the continuation back through
37:33the high of the month. 1 2 3 and then a
37:38new week Monday, Monday, Tuesday,
37:40Wednesday high close of the month and a
37:43Thursday monkey hammer reversal back
37:46into the breakout. You'll notice again
37:48that breakout continued higher into the
37:50new week with space for a beautiful
37:53reversal collapse on Thursday. And then
37:57we head into our new week, week one,
38:00week two, week three, this now first red
38:02day. We're trading up into a large range
38:06reversal candle. We get a lower low and
38:10a red day signal. One, two higher
38:14closes, three higher closes from the
38:17extreme reversal, but it's a first red
38:20day signal. So, we've had our large
38:22range day down, made lower lows for the
38:26pump, one higher close, two higher
38:29close. We're looking for a third higher
38:30close. And it is, but it's a first red
38:32day signal. First red day signal. So, we
38:36have Monday, Tuesday, and a Wednesday
38:40reversal collapsing back into the
38:43breakout. Now we may again have a month
38:45that potentially could be continuing to
38:49trade lower and closing as a down
38:52closing month. That market continues to
38:55break down and takes out the low of
38:57month level closing in breakout on the
39:01Friday. We get a one bar counter trend
39:04and a first red day signal again in our
39:07new week.
39:09So, we have a market. This is an area
39:11again where traders might identify with
39:13this as as a first green day. And they
39:16potentially may be true, but we're in a
39:18market now that has had large range
39:20collapses, closed and breakout, a pump
39:24day, and a first red day signal. Now,
39:27the most important thing is is how does
39:29price behave on the following day?
39:30Obviously, there's a gap here, but we
39:33have a a market that collapsed down.
39:36That may have been on major red news.
39:38Uh, but this market continues to trade
39:41lower into the next week. And you'll
39:45notice one, two, consolidation, three
39:48closes in breakout before an explosive
39:52reversal. So thesis heading into this if
39:55there's a setup there uh the low close
39:58of the month three closes and breakout
40:00putting in the low close of the month.
40:02We'll keep walking through this but I
40:04want to make sure that uh traders have
40:07this reinforced in so ingrained to them.
40:11The three lower closes, the three higher
40:13closes, the three closes and breakouts,
40:15the beginning of a new month, first
40:17green days, first red days. We have a
40:20large range reversal day closing out the
40:23month in a downward moving month that
40:26may potentially offer us a setup on the
40:30new month. Remember, we've collapsed
40:32down. We're higher time frame sellers
40:34now in the market. We've put a low close
40:37of month in place. An explosive reversal
40:39again potentially might have been on
40:41major red news. And then the
40:44continuation, new timing cycle, new
40:46month, a market that breaks
40:49out, closes and breakout through the low
40:53of month level. 1 2 three lower closes
40:58again. Breakout 1, two, three, new
41:00month, new timing cycle, three lower
41:02closes. An explosive reversal engulfing
41:07all three lower closes. Now, potentially
41:08that could be our first green day, even
41:10though it's a large range day. 1 2 three
41:14higher closes. What I'm emphasizing here
41:16is often just counting to three and
41:18being patient and waiting for a market
41:21to coil can offer us huge all-in range
41:25expansion type days. And recognizing
41:28when a market closes and breakout where
41:32we can have an explosive move,
41:36consolidation, explosive move,
41:39consolidation, and a third explosive
41:42move. 1 2 3 to the high, high close of
41:46the month potentially in place. We have
41:48a first red day in an explosive market.
41:51Now that's taken out the high of month
41:54established on day one. Day one in our
41:57new month close and breakout at the
42:00extreme. Again, this close at the
42:02extreme is a Wednesday and our large
42:04reversal day is a
42:07Thursday.
42:09Week two, week
42:12three reversal first red day. Now back
42:16inside of the range, an inside day and
42:19the continuation back down into the
42:22breakout. And you'll count again. 1 2
42:26three lower closes ending the week. We
42:29close the month with one two three
42:32higher closes back up into our high of
42:34month level that the breakout failed at
42:38into our new month. Three higher closes
42:40again and a large range all-in collapse
42:45after our small highest close. a huge
42:50all-in day, a breakout day, and then
42:52one, two, three lower closes. Now,
42:55remember, this isn't about trying to
42:57trade every single day. We're looking at
43:00where the market is going to help us
43:03identify the right days to trade on. So,
43:05we have market that goes into breakout
43:071, two, three lower closes, an inside
43:10day reversal, new month, new timing
43:12cycle, trading back down into the peak
43:15formation from the previous month. in a
43:17down closing month. We have a one month
43:20down. We have a month now that made
43:23lower lows but closed back inside of the
43:26previous month's
43:28range. Broke down inside day. A first
43:32green day signal. A first green day
43:35signal or inside day and a market that's
43:37pinned down before reversing and
43:40exploding and closing on top of the
43:43original breakout. Now, if this breakout
43:45is failing and this market now, new
43:47month, new timing cycle, week 1, week
43:49two, we could be going back up to the
43:53high of the previous month. A larger
43:56dump and pump setup. This inside day is
44:00a Monday. We have a Monday, Tuesday,
44:02Wednesday pinned down to the low of day
44:05level. Thursday, Friday ending the week
44:091 2 3 closes in breakout. There's a
44:13small gap here, but just uh recognizing
44:15we see some sideways price action,
44:18higher highs. These are snow plows
44:20potentially and uh then the explosive
44:23move through the high of month level.
44:25Little counter trend, a one day counter
44:28trend day. So recognizing again first
44:30red days versus one day counter trends
44:34and then one, two, three closes in
44:38breakout in our closing week of the
44:41month. So just reinforcing the
44:44importance of understanding week 1, week
44:462, week three, week four, opening week,
44:49closing week, high close of the month,
44:52low close of the month. We see our first
44:56red day into the closing few days of the
45:00month off the highest closing price
45:02after three closes in breakout. a lower
45:06low, a lower low and lower high into our
45:09first trading day of the month. Again,
45:12potentially a day that gave us a
45:15fantastic collapse day back into higher
45:18level longs. 1 2 3 first red day, lower
45:21low. That's the example of where a first
45:24red day can take a day to consolidate
45:29before collapsing. Now we'll be going
45:32back through these uh on a smaller time
45:34frame but just emphasizing understanding
45:36the importance of timing levels behavior
45:39of price. We have a month now that has
45:44closed higher made higher
45:47highs. We're on top of the breakout that
45:50failed originally in the previous month.
45:53We have our breakout day, an inside day,
45:58one two, three lower
46:01closes, a breakout
46:04day, and another close. And if you look
46:07at the month now, we have one down
46:08closing day, two down closing days, a
46:12breakout in the long direction, and a
46:14third closing day. Our low closing price
46:18of the month may be in place. We have
46:22had no lower closes. That may be the low
46:26closing price of the month. This is a
46:28Monday, Tuesday, Monday, Tuesday. So
46:30again, day two typically expands the
46:33range. And I mentioned earlier that
46:35Tuesday on the front side of a a week,
46:37front side of a month can also be where
46:40we see fantastic all-in range expansion
46:44days. Similar to Thursday on the back
46:46side of the week and that market closes
46:49in
46:51breakout closes and breakout we have one
46:54close and breakout two close and
46:56breakouts sideways and a third close in
47:00breakout taking out the high of month
47:02level. The third close and breakout is a
47:04Monday and a Tuesday reversal. Tuesday
47:08reversal that closes in breakout of the
47:11high bull candle. And again, we have
47:14one, two, three lower closes. A first
47:17green day signal. Monday, Tuesday,
47:20Wednesday, Thursday, first green day.
47:23Getting into a narrower range. We're
47:25trading back up into
47:28our first red day reversal. One of the
47:32easy things to do is just project that
47:33across. We have other time frame sellers
47:35in here. And then we have one, two,
47:38three higher closes from our first green
47:41day. And this is where traders, if
47:43you're trading in here, recognizing uh
47:45that this is jamming you up into a
47:48higher time frame selling large range
47:51first red day candle. 1 2 3 higher
47:55highs, consolidation, a red day, and a
47:58vertical collapse through all these
48:01higher level longs. a pump and dump over
48:04the course of the week. Monday, Tuesday,
48:08Wednesday, inside day on Thursday.
48:11Again, we're heading into the closing
48:13range of the week. Inside day, first
48:15green day one, two, inside day again.
48:20Three closing breakout, high close of
48:25the month, closing range of the week.
48:27Monday, Tuesday, high close of the
48:29month. Wednesday, first red day again
48:32and a all-in collapse on Thursday,
48:35taking out the previous low of week
48:41level. Friday forms our first trading
48:44day of the month and a pullback inside
48:48of our large range collapse. And again,
48:50if we just project our low close of the
48:52month across from the first trading day
48:55of the month, you'll notice again we
48:56have one, two, three lower closes from
49:01our breakdown and an engulfing first
49:05green day, beginning of a new month. So,
49:07we have three lower closes locking in
49:09the low of month into our first week low
49:13close of month level. Then a first green
49:14day signal potentially offering traders
49:20that parabolic explosive move heading
49:22back to the high of month level. So
49:26looking at that closing range again, a
49:28dump consolidation pump
49:32template and one close and breakout, two
49:36closes and breakout and a third close
49:39and breakout outside of the high of
49:41month level. We have close and breakout
49:45at the extreme 1 2 3 outside of the hive
49:48of month level. An outside day
49:51potentially giving us a first red day
49:53signal. But we have a more important
49:56signal after that outside day and that
49:58is the lower low following the outside
50:02day candle. So we have our outside day
50:05one two three lower closes and lower
50:09low. Now, just in simple terms, this
50:12market uh breaks down, but if you're
50:15trading end of day, we talked about this
50:17earlier in the video, but uh where a
50:19market starts to break down larger time
50:22frames, if traders were trading end of
50:24day, this is no different. It's a one
50:26one day stop. Now obviously uh with size
50:30on these markets that's difficult for a
50:33smaller trader but for traders who are
50:34trading smaller positions over longer
50:37time frames it's the same type of setup.
50:40Three lower closes a break of that level
50:42can be a limit order with a stop in
50:44place. Thesis being now that the
50:46breakout is about to fail and they're
50:48heading back down into the range. So we
50:53have our one two three higher closes and
50:55breakout. We have Monday, Tuesday,
50:57Wednesday, three lower closes and then
51:00Thursday the explosive breakout and
51:04continuation on Friday back into the
51:08breakout from week one, week 1, week
51:11two, week three collapses back down
51:14inside. Same thing again. Inside day,
51:17first green day. Now, just recognizing
51:21this doesn't mean that there's a setup.
51:23So, when we follow these markets across,
51:26it's always about how it sets up on the
51:29day. Now, some traders are going to be
51:31uh still attracted to trading at the
51:33extremes. I'm looking for coils and
51:36coils on the day for explosive range
51:40expansion opportunity. So, when markets
51:42are auctioning back and forth prior to a
51:44session or they make large moves in a
51:46session, those aren't the the setups
51:48that I'm looking for. I'm looking for a
51:50market that coils sideways in a narrow
51:52range prior to the open of the market.
51:56Uh but we still week one, week two, week
51:58three, we have our engulfment of our
52:00inside day. That market's one close and
52:04breakout.
52:06Two and a third close higher before
52:11closing out the week. A reversal day
52:12back into the breakout. So we have one
52:15close and breakout consolidation, a
52:17higher close consolidation, new week,
52:20and then a high close of that week back
52:24inside of our breakdown. So projecting
52:27we're just getting jammed inside of a
52:29range into the close of the week. So
52:32this may have offered us a nice reversal
52:33day on the day, but recognize we're
52:36trading in a narrow range now and our
52:38riskreward gets a lot tighter. think new
52:42month, new timing cycle may see a new
52:45explosive opportunity. We head into our
52:48new month. We have an inside day and
52:50then a first green day potentially
52:53closing out the month as we head into
52:56the first trading day of the new month.
52:59When we see this setting up into a coil
53:02and we get a first green day and a
53:04potential coil into our first day of the
53:07month, this whole sideways coil inside
53:10of that range can now be potentially
53:13preparing for an explosive move which we
53:16see one two three closes and
53:20breakout counter trend day. Another
53:23close and breakout one two days back
53:26into the breakout. So again, if traders
53:29were looking for a first red day, they
53:31may have had a nail and bail or it may
53:32have been a messy day to trade, but we
53:35have a market now that's one day counter
53:37trend close and breakout one two-day
53:40counter trend. And you'll notice neither
53:42one of those days have broken out.
53:44They're inside of the the bull candle.
53:48An explosive continuation. So we have
53:50one, two, three closes and breakout, an
53:54inside day, and a continuation exploding
53:57to the high. Obviously, we have a gap
53:59here. We have an inside day at the high
54:02close of the month after it's broken out
54:06higher. This large range day down was
54:09the
54:10FOMC. Large range day back down into our
54:13breakout, an inside day. One, two, three
54:19lower closes from our extreme. A large
54:22pin hammer outside day, an inside day
54:26again, and then an explosive breakout
54:30candle back into our FOMC collapse and
54:34another first red day signal into our
54:37larger death candle. That market broke
54:41down back into our breakout pin hammer.
54:45first trading day of the month. We have
54:47a breakout candle continues to break out
54:50one, two, three lower closes into our
54:53first trading day of the month. So, just
54:56to point out to traders, yes, we have
54:58more lower closes and three, but we
54:59closed and breakout successively before
55:02consolidating. So, we have our breakout
55:05just prior to the last day of the month.
55:09pins up and then consolidates inside
55:12inside of the wicks. One, two, three
55:14lower closes closing out the month. Then
55:17an explosive first green day into our
55:21bearish selloff. Remember we had a large
55:23FOMC or sorry uh yeah FOMC collapse and
55:28then the breakdown into the closing
55:30range of the month. Another close-in
55:32breakout into our
55:35collapse. Front side of the the month,
55:37new week close-in
55:40breakout potential fantastic reversal
55:43setup. Then we have one, two, three
55:46lower closes after breaking out and a
55:50explosive continuation again taking out
55:52the low of month level. Break out 1 2
55:563 consolidation pins through the low of
55:59the month. Explosive reversal on CPI
56:03yesterday. Explosive reversal on CPI.
56:06Potentially our low close of the month
56:09is now in place. We start our count
56:11again. We have a closein breakout.
56:15Starting this move off. We've closed
56:18outside of the candle below and we're
56:22potentially now clearing
56:24through these lower closes. and we start
56:29our count again. So hopefully going back
56:31through that uh number one we talked
56:33about uh three lower closes, three
56:37higher closes, closes in breakout, but
56:40just being patient and understanding
56:42when a market is actually potentially
56:45making a false break when it's breaking
56:48out and having a counter trend day for
56:51continuation. Not necessarily trading
56:53any of that. Just waiting for setups to
56:57occur. Not counter trending days where
57:00we could be uh potentially counter
57:02trending the explosive move, but also
57:04not worried about trading days where
57:06we're in consolidation where there's
57:09wicks on both sides and getting chopped
57:11up in both directions. often letting a
57:14market break out first and then watching
57:18how that market sets up for either
57:21opportunities for reversals or not doing
57:24anything at all and looking at other
57:26instruments where markets have
57:28potentially either consolidated and are
57:30setting up into your session or they've
57:34closed in breakout and offering traders
57:36either continuation or reversal trade
57:38setup opportunities. Now, you can go
57:41back through any daily chart and go bar
57:46by bar, monthtomonth, and see the same
57:47setups uh over any instrument. But I
57:50hope that sort of clarified things on
57:53this particular market. We're going to
57:54go through a few others. But let's take
57:56a look now at some of the setups when
57:59these markets gave us signals. So, we
58:02can start back uh in August and we'll
58:04take a look at uh the month of August,
58:07September, and we can look at the first
58:10green day and how these markets set up
58:13over that week. Now, this is the uh
58:16NASDAQ 100 hourly chart. And we had our
58:19first green day signal. Um then we had
58:22our beginning of our new that was our
58:25our Monday, the breakout candle is our
58:28Monday. And that market traded back up
58:30into that collapse that came down
58:33through week two. Now when we go to our
58:36other hourly chart, we can see our first
58:39green day Monday, closed in breakout. So
58:42you'll notice the move began in London
58:44and then we had volatility outside.
58:46Breakout traders are already in the
58:48market. So not a reversal setup. Now I'm
58:51not interested in trading any of these.
58:52But if you were trading this, remember
58:54we had a first green day signal and then
58:57that market has made higher highs and
58:58dumped down into the hive of day level.
59:03So breakout traders are already in the
59:05market and we'll just demonstrate that
59:07here so that traders understand breakout
59:11traders are in the market. This is a 1
59:13hour chart. So worst case scenario, a
59:15trader could take a position with a stop
59:17below that 1 hour candle and not worry
59:20about any of this volatility.
59:22this market breaks out and closes in
59:25breakout. Now again the next day we have
59:27breakout traders triggered into the
59:30markets and you'll notice similar to the
59:33previous day except they come back and
59:35stop these traders out. It stays in
59:38consolidation in the close. So uh
59:41traders are trying to short the high and
59:43I'm not doing anything until I get a
59:45setup. Now, what I mean by that is that
59:48we have potentially three closes and
59:51breakouts setting up into Thursday where
59:54you've got Monday close, Tuesday closes
59:58in range, but we also still have two
1:00:00days in breakout now outside of Friday's
1:00:04first green day level. So, the we've
1:00:08broken out of Friday's level. Now, we
1:00:11don't know what this is going to do or
1:00:12how it's going to set up, but uh I'm not
1:00:14interested in counter trending a
1:00:16breakout coming out of a first green
1:00:18day. So, this is where I'm emphasizing
1:00:20to traders. Um now, certain traders,
1:00:22they'll they'll nail and bill. They'll
1:00:24they'll trade these moves. I'm looking
1:00:25at the larger range expansion ACB
1:00:29templates. We're looking for setups that
1:00:31aren't coming back that are scalable in
1:00:34size. that market explodes and breaks
1:00:37out again in our US
1:00:40window. So, we'll talk about timing here
1:00:42in a second. That's our 10:00 a.m.
1:00:45candle breaking
1:00:47out and continues to trade higher,
1:00:51closing in breakout back into our level
1:00:56from the
1:00:5816th, breaks out again on Thursday
1:01:02before coiling sideways. Now, we're
1:01:06going to talk about this uh in a in a
1:01:08little bit as well, but the 4hour
1:01:10rotation, the market's broken out at the
1:01:13extreme in a market now that is
1:01:15potentially going to offer us a reversal
1:01:17setup. The new 4hour
1:01:20rotation on the indexes, metals, uh,
1:01:26energies begins at 6:00 a.m. Now 10:00
1:01:30a.m., our 10 a.m. candle has broken out
1:01:33already up high. They're forcing the US
1:01:36session traders to buy high. This may
1:01:38have been a major red news explosive
1:01:41move coming out of our US window on
1:01:44Wednesday. flash manufacturing PMI at a4
1:01:49to 10 on Wednesday. Uh and then after
1:01:52that explosive move on the news, that
1:01:55market continued to trade
1:01:58higher. But the new 4hour rotation
1:02:02starts at 6:00 a.m. Now, this is where
1:02:05traders will often miss this move
1:02:08because they're thinking 9:30 a.m. New
1:02:11York time. I want to reinforce the
1:02:14understanding we have two pin hammers at
1:02:16the high of the day and that market
1:02:18breaks down below those lows on top of
1:02:22closing price and inside hour and then a
1:02:25pin hammer closing right at 8:00.
1:02:27There's 8:30 unemployment numbers on the
1:02:31back side of the week after this
1:02:33explosive move. But our 4hour rotation
1:02:37now we'll look at the 4hour chart in a
1:02:38moment on this chart is giving us a one
1:02:41bar stop. A one bar stop as the markets
1:02:45about to open. That candle closes at
1:02:488:00. We have our 4hour candle now at
1:02:51the
1:02:52extreme reversing meaning that our new
1:02:554hour candle is going to be opening
1:02:58possibly back inside of the range as we
1:03:01saw on
1:03:03Wednesday's reversal. Our new 4hour is
1:03:06going to be opening up down inside which
1:03:09means uh possibly the institutions
1:03:12whatever they're loading up up top.
1:03:15They're loading their positions up up
1:03:17top and then dumping it into retail to
1:03:20have a worse fill price as this
1:03:22collapses. Maybe, maybe they are, maybe
1:03:24they aren't, but the opportunity to sell
1:03:27high is been given to us in a range
1:03:31expansion monkey hammer template. This
1:03:35is the monkey hammer high of week to the
1:03:40breakout of Friday's level. an allin ACB
1:03:46template. These are the setups that I'm
1:03:49hunting. Reversals off of wicks on daily
1:03:52charts are not. Now remember, this
1:03:54market closed in breakouts out of a
1:03:56first green day. One, two, three higher
1:04:02closes from the extreme. Three higher
1:04:05closes in breakout from the extreme
1:04:08taking out a previous high of week
1:04:12level. for the all-in collapse back into
1:04:16the breakout. Timing is critical. Most
1:04:19traders will not get this trade because
1:04:22they are going to wait until 9:30 and
1:04:25this market is already running away.
1:04:28Now, when we look at this on the 4hour
1:04:30chart, number one, we can see that the
1:04:32high of weak level was taken out. And
1:04:36let's just go back to some really a
1:04:39simple understanding. 1, two, three
1:04:43closes in breakouts. And as we closed
1:04:46out the week, we
1:04:48have one, two, three lower closes and a
1:04:53consolidation into the close of the the
1:04:58week. So we have three lower closes on
1:05:01top of our breakout. Thsis can be now
1:05:05that that is our low close of the month
1:05:08in place. the low close low close of the
1:05:10month in place and our monkey hammer
1:05:12template gave us higher
1:05:15highs. Higher highs as we head into the
1:05:19closing week of the month. And what do
1:05:23we see on our closing week of the month?
1:05:25We have 1, two, three higher closes.
1:05:28Three higher closes into our closing
1:05:32week of the month. The new month starts
1:05:35and the closing high close of the month
1:05:38closing out the month setting up for a
1:05:40reversal. We have our lower
1:05:45low for the pump into our high closing
1:05:49price of the month for our rotation time
1:05:53and a 10:00 a.m. collapse.
1:05:56Day 1, day two, day three, Monday,
1:06:00Tuesday, Wednesday, collapse at 10:00
1:06:03a.m. Again, there may be major red news
1:06:05on that day. ISM services, but we now
1:06:08have our reversal back into our
1:06:11breakout, new month, new timing cycle.
1:06:12So, the news collapses and then 1 2 3
1:06:18reversal. So, we have our closing week,
1:06:22our closing range of the week now with
1:06:25potentially the low close of the new
1:06:27month in place. So, again, we can use
1:06:30the 4hour timings if we're going to
1:06:32enter into trades for these moves to
1:06:35accelerate. This market reversed 10:00
1:06:38a.m. on Thursday and then closed out the
1:06:42week. So, Thursday, our reversal day at
1:06:46the extreme, low close of the month may
1:06:49be in place as we head into week two.
1:06:54Now, week two takes out the high close
1:06:57of August and again the opening range
1:07:00goes higher opening range and then dumps
1:07:04down one two three closes back to the
1:07:09high close of the month. So, we have our
1:07:12low close of the month in place. The
1:07:16market's gone up now and made a high
1:07:19close of the month on Thursday heading
1:07:22into Friday in the closing range of the
1:07:26week. Now, this market began its
1:07:28collapse in the London session, engulfed
1:07:31at the high close of the month, and then
1:07:33our 6 a.m. candle begins to collapse. 6
1:07:37a.m. candle begins to collapse. So our
1:07:404hour reversal has already started as we
1:07:42head into
1:07:43our US session timing window. So traders
1:07:48are waiting for 9:30. But 9:30 is over
1:07:51here. Now we have an opportunity now to
1:07:53enter into a coil aligning ourselves
1:07:56with the higher time frame driving this
1:07:58move. So when I use this coil, these
1:08:00EMAs represent all the higher time
1:08:02frames aligning. And when we coil inside
1:08:05of those, I'm adding into these markets.
1:08:08Once this collapses and it's running
1:08:10into the open, I will let this go till
1:08:13close. We have just the situation here
1:08:16now to as our 8 a.m. window is starting
1:08:21to have scalable opportunity with very
1:08:24tight risk. And once that market breaks
1:08:26down, setting our profit target or
1:08:28holding it till close, putting our stop
1:08:31to break even and walking away. There is
1:08:33nothing to do on this setup. There's
1:08:36nothing to do in this setup. Remember,
1:08:37it closed in breakout at the high
1:08:40closing price of the month. The high
1:08:43closing price of the month for an all-in
1:08:46collapse back down to the close of the
1:08:50day. Let's zoom in on this so traders
1:08:52have an idea. We We get our our 6 a.m.
1:08:55candle's already started. So, our
1:08:58thesis, we're inside of all of our EMAs.
1:09:00We get our pump at 8:00 a.m. Our pump,
1:09:04our consolidation anywhere in here or
1:09:07here before 9:00 a.m. before 9:00 a.m.
1:09:11with uh news at 8:30 and 10:00 a.m. UFM
1:09:16at 10:00 a.m. and Empire State
1:09:18Manufacturing Index. So even if I just
1:09:20want to start after the news, after the
1:09:23news at 8:30 knowing that this now this
1:09:26market is going to use the news as a
1:09:29catalyst. So remember, we can get in at
1:09:338:35 into this market with a one bar
1:09:36stop. This market's either going to just
1:09:39continue to fall, this is after the
1:09:41news, and fall into the 10:00 a.m. news,
1:09:44which it did, and collapse. But our
1:09:47larger template tells us this is the ACB
1:09:52setup, hold till close. It's not coming
1:09:54back. Walking away, locking in a minimum
1:09:59profit as a break even or taking some
1:10:03off but letting this market fully run to
1:10:06the close. Now, that was our setup right
1:10:09here, our high close of the month.
1:10:11Remember, we went up and closed at the
1:10:13high of the month before collapsing
1:10:16down. Now, this is where traders can
1:10:18make a decision. and they they may see
1:10:20the larger template in place for the
1:10:24move back down to the low of the month
1:10:27and leave a trailer a smaller trailer in
1:10:29place or align themselves with that
1:10:32thesis still being in play. 1 2 three
1:10:37lower closes back inside of our
1:10:40breakout. So, we had our breakout that
1:10:42failed and we're now back inside of that
1:10:46potentially targeting where our
1:10:48explosive move out of that first green
1:10:50day took place. But this market
1:10:52continued to break down and remembering
1:10:55that that month closed as a down month
1:10:58after successive closes in breakout. So,
1:11:01we had a month that made a lower
1:11:04low and then pumped up to the high into
1:11:08the peak formation high from the
1:11:10previous month before breaking down.
1:11:13Now, this market has traded back down to
1:11:15the low of the previous month. We had
1:11:17our three higher closes closing out the
1:11:20month. We'll follow that across. Just
1:11:22step back and look at the hourly chart
1:11:24again. We see the lower low beginning to
1:11:27pump up, close and break out at the high
1:11:29close of the month. Then we have 1, two,
1:11:33three lower closes and lower lows in the
1:11:37new week. Lower lows in the new week.
1:11:41Now, looking ahead on the calendar, we
1:11:43had the FOMC. So, if traders are
1:11:46confident that this could potentially
1:11:48now be the high of the month and they're
1:11:50leaving a trailer, there's nothing to do
1:11:52except manage their risk on that
1:11:56profitable position. And we can either
1:11:58leave that at the extreme with the
1:12:00confidence after this lower low, this
1:12:03market on FOMC is going to continue to
1:12:06trade lower. It continues to break down.
1:12:08Now, when traders aren't in this trade,
1:12:11there's nothing to do here. We just have
1:12:13a market that's continuing to break out
1:12:15and go lower. So, if it breaks out,
1:12:18we're counting
1:12:20closes. Break out. 1 2 three lower
1:12:24closes. This market is still continuing
1:12:27to go down. Now, we're into week three,
1:12:30the closing range. Now, the last week
1:12:33heading into the last week of the month.
1:12:35And we go one in breakout, two first
1:12:40green
1:12:41day potentially. Now we have the low
1:12:44close of the month in place. Week 1,
1:12:48week 2, week three, and week four. Low
1:12:52close of month after our first green day
1:12:56signal. And if that's our extreme
1:12:58closing out the month, we can now go
1:13:01back and look at our daily chart. we can
1:13:04get three higher closes. And this is
1:13:06where we see our three higher closes.
1:13:08I'll just highlight that here for
1:13:09traders. Three higher closes closing out
1:13:13the month. Close and
1:13:18breakout 1, two, and three. Monday's
1:13:22opening range is a pump day. And we have
1:13:26our pin hammer closing. That's our 6
1:13:30a.m. This is a 1 hour chart. 6:00 a.m.
1:13:32pin hammer. So again, an early entry if
1:13:35traders were to take that cuz the pump
1:13:39candle on the second hour, the 9:00 a.m.
1:13:42hour. But just understanding if you take
1:13:45that
1:13:45trade and you're allowing yourself to
1:13:49get in early on that 4hour thesis, the
1:13:524hour rotation of time. Remember, we
1:13:55have our high close into a downward
1:13:58moving month. We have our engulfment and
1:14:00we have a pin hammer. It's a one bar
1:14:02stop with the thesis that once it breaks
1:14:06the low of day level, we will go to
1:14:08break even and walk away with the thesis
1:14:12being we could be targeting now back to
1:14:15the low of the month. It's a new month,
1:14:17new timing cycle or close of the day.
1:14:19whatever traders are comfortable taking
1:14:21the bulk of that off after clearing a
1:14:24level but having a one bar stop aligning
1:14:27ourselves with that 4hour cycle. Now we
1:14:31had major red news on the day uh jolts
1:14:34openings and the close of the 4hour
1:14:38candle I'll just highlight
1:14:40that and just emphasizing to traders uh
1:14:43were underneath of closing price. So,
1:14:46we've pumped up, coiled sideways. We had
1:14:49our entry on the smaller time frame, but
1:14:51we have major red news. If we wait for
1:14:5410:00 a.m. now, we have an opportunity
1:14:56to position ourselves in the market even
1:14:59with using a 4hour chart as an entry
1:15:04maximum stop or even the opening price
1:15:07and entering in on our smaller time
1:15:10frame at 10:00 a.m. Now, when we go to
1:15:14our smaller time frame, our 5-minute
1:15:16chart, we can see that we have an
1:15:18opportunity now to enter into an
1:15:21existing short position. If we had
1:15:24gotten in early, there was no news on
1:15:26that 1 hour chart. And this is the stop
1:15:29hunt back up after the news. And then we
1:15:34have our opportunity, a one bar stop
1:15:35where it was 10:00 a.m. news that
1:15:38collapsed. That's the Jolts job opening.
1:15:41uh but a first bar or first bounce on
1:15:45the one minute chart may have allowed
1:15:48traders to enter into this trade. The
1:15:50point of me demonstrating this though is
1:15:52to emphasize to you understanding
1:15:55timings. The 4hour rotation had already
1:15:59rolled over. And if you just go back
1:16:01through all your 4hour charts on any
1:16:04instrument, you'll see each week that
1:16:07one of these extremes is put in by a
1:16:094hour candle. Now, timings wise, when
1:16:12does that align with our session? Now,
1:16:15this pin hammer
1:16:17engulfment closes as the 10:00 a.m.
1:16:21candle is about to open. 10 a.m. candle
1:16:24is about to open. Again, this is the
1:16:26NASDAQ for the explosive reversal. The
1:16:30following day, we have Monday up high.
1:16:33Uh again, remember new month, new month,
1:16:36that's the high close of the month.
1:16:37They've dumped down into the previous
1:16:40low of month level and potentially now
1:16:42have put the low closing price of the
1:16:47month in place heading into the close of
1:16:51week one which typically will end on a
1:16:55non-farm payrolls release. So now we
1:16:58have our low close of the month thesis
1:17:01in place. This may have offered traders
1:17:04a a trade on the day in that session
1:17:0610:00 a.m. New York session again.
1:17:08Beautiful explosive move. Uh but we'll
1:17:11look at non-farm payrolls now after the
1:17:15non-farm payrolls release. We have our
1:17:174hour rotation uh in place. And this is
1:17:20another example of where traders had the
1:17:23opportunity to enter into an existing
1:17:274hour candle move prior to the New York
1:17:31open. And there was major red news in
1:17:33the session. We can still manage our
1:17:35risk or be one and done before the news
1:17:38with an opportunity before the session
1:17:40begins. Understanding the rotation of
1:17:42the 4hour cycle. We're down low. We've
1:17:46dumped down. And if I use my all-time
1:17:48frame EMA coil again, that 7 a.m.
1:17:52opportunity just below closing price. So
1:17:55remember, low close of the month. We're
1:17:57coiling on top of other time frames. now
1:18:00rolling over. Our 4hour rotation is in
1:18:02place and this market gives a beautiful
1:18:05opportunity to position ourselves with
1:18:07either uh a set and forget. So we can
1:18:10manage our risk. We can position
1:18:12ourselves at closing price. So I'm not
1:18:15worried about candles. I'm worried about
1:18:17levels and I can still manage my risk
1:18:20aligning myself with that higher time
1:18:22frame. placing a a stop below that
1:18:25extreme at closing price uh for an entry
1:18:28or or better below closing price at
1:18:31better or if I'm going to scale into
1:18:33this and get out be out before major red
1:18:36news. Now, when we go to non-farm
1:18:38payrolls, we have our thesis in place
1:18:40that we're potentially now locked in the
1:18:42low close of the month, but we need to
1:18:44wait for payrolls to be released. it
1:18:47spikes right down into that level before
1:18:50coiling and our 10 a.m. gives a
1:18:52beautiful engulfment candle in a
1:18:55sideways coil. Now, obviously, traders
1:18:58can position themselves inside of that
1:19:01coil with a one bar stop, aligning
1:19:03ourselves with that higher time frame in
1:19:05a market now, week one, that's
1:19:07potentially going to expand the range
1:19:10after non-farm payrolls back through the
1:19:12high of the week. we we go back to our
1:19:15uh daily chart. I'll just highlight this
1:19:17for traders. Our non-farm payrolls day,
1:19:19we had lower highs heading into the
1:19:22close of the month, meaning we're down
1:19:24low into the low close of the month and
1:19:28the previous low of month level. So, if
1:19:30we just project that across, thesis is
1:19:32that they're going to jam people in on
1:19:34payrolls. and they gave us a beautiful
1:19:36coil after the news in our 3 hour
1:19:40aligning ourselves again with that 4hour
1:19:43rotation. So we have our non-farm
1:19:45payrolls release that 4hour candle
1:19:48closes at 9:59 we have our low close of
1:19:52the month potentially in place heading
1:19:54into payrolls. We wait for the news to
1:19:57be released and wait for that new 4hour
1:20:00rotation to start. We get a beautiful
1:20:03coil for the explosive move back through
1:20:06the high of the week. You'll also just
1:20:08have a notice, a visual notice. One
1:20:11large leg down, one, two, three lower
1:20:14closes, and then payrolls. And we've got
1:20:18one close and breakout, two close and
1:20:20breakout, three closes and breakout
1:20:23after non-farm payrolls, the new 4hour
1:20:25rotation, a coil and explosive move from
1:20:28low of week to high of week on a
1:20:30non-farm payrolls Friday. Now, I want to
1:20:33visually just keep showing traders the
1:20:36same things on a smaller time frame.
1:20:39Monday's opening range, we have a
1:20:41close-in breakout. Week two, expanding
1:20:43the range. The week closed in breakout,
1:20:47two closes in breakout and a third close
1:20:50in
1:20:51breakout. Okay, Monday, Tuesday,
1:20:54Wednesday, we potentially may have had
1:20:57news on this day, the 12th of October.
1:21:00We did we had CPI. When we have high
1:21:02impact news like that, we can see a
1:21:05second day trade, which I talk about in
1:21:07the playbook. any major high impact news
1:21:10uh CPI FOMC
1:21:13uh we can have a second day followth
1:21:16through and you'll notice that the large
1:21:18collapsing candle on Friday after a
1:21:21Thursday CPI is our 10:00 a.m. 4hour
1:21:26candle 10:00 a.m. 4hour candle again
1:21:29aligning ourselves with the uh 4hour
1:21:32rotation and the 6 a.m. candle has
1:21:35closed against the CPI candle in
1:21:39breakout in a market now that is thesis
1:21:43pump and dump into the close of the
1:21:46week. High close of the month may now be
1:21:50in place. Now I want to paint the
1:21:52picture for traders um of when I talk
1:21:55about hunting setups. So all these other
1:21:57types of opportunities are your decision
1:22:00to trade or not. Uh I'm looking for
1:22:03ideally three closes in breakout at the
1:22:07front of a month, the middle of a month,
1:22:09any any instrument. I look for this
1:22:11template anywhere, three higher closes
1:22:14in breakout. Ideally, no major red news
1:22:17on a Thursday. Uh we saw that this week
1:22:21in a follow-th through Japanese yen.
1:22:23These pro these processes apply to any
1:22:26instrument in any session cuz if you
1:22:28understand the timings major red news or
1:22:31the template. So we just follow this
1:22:32through pump day on uh new week pump
1:22:37day lower closes and then Thursday the
1:22:41collapse into the close of the week. Uh
1:22:43we have a 4hour chart here and we can go
1:22:47down to our smaller time frame to align
1:22:49ourselves with these setups. If that is
1:22:53the setup that you are hunting once a
1:22:55market uh goes into breakout. So for
1:22:58example, we close the week back in the
1:23:00range after three closes and breakout.
1:23:02We pump up into our death candle and we
1:23:08have a larger range of sellers where
1:23:10sellers came into the market and we can
1:23:13now have a thesis that the high close of
1:23:15the month is in place and identify
1:23:19setups if and when they present with the
1:23:21timing rotation of the 4hour cycle. So
1:23:25if the high of the week is now in place,
1:23:27we're making lower lows and lower
1:23:30closes. lower low pump one two and a
1:23:3410:00 a.m. reversal for the collapse
1:23:37into the close of the week. Week one,
1:23:41week two, week three. Now week four
1:23:45potentially closing out the month. We
1:23:48get our one, two higher closes into our
1:23:52downward closing month. A pump up, pump
1:23:56up, and a roll
1:23:58over. and the market is collapsing into
1:24:01the US window. So again, uh we have our
1:24:044hour pin high of the week already in
1:24:07place. If this market's already running
1:24:09away, well, I may not be trading it. So
1:24:11again, getting away from trying to chase
1:24:13everything and waiting for that 3CIB
1:24:16template, which may have shown up on a
1:24:18different instrument. We may have had
1:24:21one more day or a first red day close
1:24:24and an opportunity to sell high up here,
1:24:28but we didn't. it kept collapsing down
1:24:30and then the thesis can be in the
1:24:31closing range of the week now that
1:24:33they're putting the low close of the
1:24:36month in place. Let's just step back and
1:24:40look at this. So we have week
1:24:43one, week one, this is a 4hour chart.
1:24:47Week two,
1:24:493CIB. Week three, a first red week,
1:24:52lower lows and the pump and dump into
1:24:56the close of the month. Week one, week
1:24:59two, week three, and week four. A
1:25:02typical pump and dump template. And our
1:25:06thesis again can be uh attached to these
1:25:10three higher closes, three lower closes,
1:25:13three closes in breakouts. We're looking
1:25:15at our daily chart and same things apply
1:25:19as we went through in the first part of
1:25:21this video. The pump up first red day,
1:25:24the three higher closes and then the
1:25:27dump down into the close of the month
1:25:31and a first green day heading into the
1:25:33new month and that process starts again.
1:25:36So if we aren't sure or we don't have a
1:25:38setup just in instead of just trying to
1:25:41trade at the extremes number one
1:25:43aligning ourselves with the timing and
1:25:46understanding are we in a trending
1:25:48situation week one uh non-farm payrolls
1:25:51typically in that first or second week
1:25:54we have our non-farm payrolls candle on
1:25:57this is a 4hour chart again. So, we've
1:26:00started that from our first green day,
1:26:03aligning ourselves with that higher time
1:26:05frame heading into Wednesday, the
1:26:08midpoint range of the week. We can take
1:26:10a look at that. We have our 1 hour
1:26:12chart. We have a new month starting. So,
1:26:14we have our first green day low close of
1:26:16the month is in place from October
1:26:20potentially. We're heading into the new
1:26:22month on the Wednesday. Remember what I
1:26:24said about uh on
1:26:26Monday? Higher highs or lower lows can
1:26:30give us a thesis for dump and pump or
1:26:33pump and dump day 1, day two, day three.
1:26:36We have higher highs on day two again.
1:26:39And we have a beautiful coil. Three
1:26:41higher closes. First green day and three
1:26:44higher closes. Remember what I said
1:26:47about counting to three and letting that
1:26:50market coil. uh
1:26:52breakout, new month, new week, one, two,
1:26:57three higher closes into the new month
1:27:00on day one of the new month. Now, we had
1:27:038:30 and 10:00 a.m. major red news. Uh
1:27:07and this market uh is an opportunity for
1:27:10traders either to have a small starter
1:27:12in line and looking for a news catalyst
1:27:15trade, a continuation into our 9:00 a.m.
1:27:19hour. Again, you can still manage your
1:27:20risk after the news or after our 10:00
1:27:23a.m. news, taking a position and just
1:27:26putting your stop in place and walking
1:27:28away with the thesis that day one. We we
1:27:31looked at the 4 hour. We've looked at
1:27:33the daily. Day one, this may be the low
1:27:36close of the month. It's day one. This
1:27:38month may now be going on an explosive
1:27:41reversal. So, using maybe smaller size
1:27:44but holding for longer. But we went
1:27:47through the 4 hour, the 1 hour, the
1:27:49daily chart. First green day template
1:27:53coming out of a consolidated coil at the
1:27:56low of month level. An explosive move on
1:28:01day one into the new month and that
1:28:05followed through all the way back
1:28:07through to the high of the previous
1:28:08month. Remember what I said about
1:28:10counter trend months. We had a down
1:28:12closing month in
1:28:14August, a down closing month in
1:28:18September, and a down closing month in
1:28:22October. Three lower monthly closes.
1:28:26Now, there's a lot of major red news on
1:28:28this calendar. And again, just following
1:28:31this across the EMAs representing the
1:28:34higher time frames, we have this market
1:28:39continuing and making higher closes. The
1:28:42volatility increases as we get up
1:28:44higher. If we go back to our daily
1:28:46chart, we can't see that, but we have
1:28:48another breakout candle and and we have
1:28:51remember what I said about counter
1:28:53trend. We have a market that's reversed
1:28:54up near the high giving a close and
1:28:57breakout, but it's actually inside of
1:28:58the breakout candle. And then we head
1:29:01into the 10th before we get there. This
1:29:03is our large breakout candle again. So,
1:29:06a beautiful coil sideways at closing
1:29:08price. All time frames
1:29:11aligned. So, basically, this is just one
1:29:13large trend trade back towards the
1:29:15highs. We haven't taken out that high.
1:29:17We go 7 8. There's our small day. And
1:29:21here's our counter trend day. Okay. So
1:29:22again, if traders want to lock in
1:29:24profits or if they've left a small
1:29:26trailer in place, you notice the
1:29:28volatility and the market moves
1:29:31later. But then we have our follow-th
1:29:33through day after our down closing day
1:29:36and breakout, a counter trend day
1:29:39against our higher time frame buying. A
1:29:42beautiful coil aligning ourselves with
1:29:44the thesis of exploding back through the
1:29:47high of month level in our 10:00 a.m.
1:29:50hour. So again, an early entry in 4hour
1:29:53alignment when the overall time frame is
1:29:56up and we looked at that 4hour chart.
1:29:59Remember, we can enter into a higher
1:30:01time frame setup in that
1:30:03earlier 6 a.m. candle if that setup is
1:30:06there. Now we're closing out the week.
1:30:09It's Friday. This is the closing range
1:30:11of the week. Thesis is this trade now is
1:30:14going to go till close of the day. Close
1:30:17of the week. We have Monday, Tuesday,
1:30:20Wednesday, higher highs, a reversal
1:30:22underneath the high inside of our
1:30:24breakout candle and then free cash
1:30:28Friday, another beautiful coil. Now, I
1:30:30personally like to take the money off. I
1:30:32don't hold positions, but that explosive
1:30:36sideways coil is where traders have the
1:30:39opportunity again aligning themselves
1:30:41with that higher time frame
1:30:43thesis of where they're going to coil
1:30:47sideways and explode back through those
1:30:51highs. Three lower monthly closes and
1:30:55then the explosive reversal and
1:30:58continuation in the long direction. And
1:31:00no, noticing how we have these breakout
1:31:02candles. We don't want to be looking to
1:31:05counter trend that strong breakout.
1:31:07However, when we have one-day counter
1:31:10trends, we can look for that sideways
1:31:14parabolic opportunity again the
1:31:16following day. So, we'll take a look at
1:31:18that. We have the 11th, sorry, the 10th.
1:31:22The 11th is our pullback day. The 13th,
1:31:25that's a Monday. That's a Monday. This
1:31:27counter trend day is a Monday. There's
1:31:29no major red news on the calendar on
1:31:31this day. So, if this move spooked
1:31:33people, that's okay. We can wait until
1:31:36this market pulls back and coils in our
1:31:39new 4hour window. Our new 4hour window
1:31:42again, just if we blow this up, the
1:31:44importance of timing, understanding
1:31:46timing. And when that new 4hour window
1:31:48starts, we have an opportunity to
1:31:50position ourselves in the coil pin
1:31:52hammer
1:31:53consolidation for that continuation hold
1:31:57till close trade thesis. More
1:32:00importantly though, looking for the
1:32:02templates. So three closes and breakout.
1:32:05Well, we're obviously uh not going to
1:32:07have that. We're in a market now that's
1:32:08in breakout. Uh and but this may offer
1:32:11us individual opportunities to continue
1:32:15with that move for nail and bail trade
1:32:18setups with the higher time frames
1:32:20driving that move. As we get to the end
1:32:22of that last week thesis again, high
1:32:26closing price of the month may be in
1:32:29place. Sit on our hands and let the new
1:32:31month open up. looking for three lower
1:32:36closes back into the breakout from the
1:32:40previous month. So often on a non-farm
1:32:43payrolls week, I can look at uh cross
1:32:46currency rate pairs. Uh but on a
1:32:48non-farm payrolls week, thesis always is
1:32:51potentially that they may be putting in
1:32:52one of the extremes, a high or low close
1:32:55of the month. And all we need to do is
1:32:57look left.
1:32:59Look left for higher highs dumping down
1:33:03on week
1:33:05one. First green day, a first green day,
1:33:08which means our low close of the month
1:33:10may be in place. Now remember, this is
1:33:13just one index. So if I'm looking for
1:33:16three closes and breakout, uh I need to
1:33:18let that market break out. I'm not
1:33:20trying to trade these. I really want to
1:33:22emphasize that. I'm not trying to trade
1:33:23these movements or the extremes. That's
1:33:26not the setups that I'm looking for. I'm
1:33:28looking for the monkey hammer. But when
1:33:30I can build my thesis that one of these
1:33:32extremes is in place and it does break
1:33:34out, now I'm going to start looking for
1:33:35that monkey hammer if I can't find it on
1:33:37a different instrument. That market
1:33:39trades lower though. It makes higher
1:33:41highs on Wednesday before dumping down
1:33:44into our low close month level. But we
1:33:48may have our extreme in place. So we
1:33:51have our first trading day of the month
1:33:56was on Friday. It was an inside day.
1:33:59Higher highs on
1:34:02Wednesday. Thesis is dump and pump.
1:34:04Non-farm payrolls Friday. They go
1:34:07higher. So remember, I'm not trading
1:34:08this. I'm I'm letting the market set up.
1:34:10We have our non-farm payrolls release.
1:34:13So now our thesis can be that the low
1:34:16close of the month is in place. non-farm
1:34:20payrolls. There's a gap probably
1:34:22contract rollover, but now we
1:34:23potentially have our low of month in
1:34:27place that market coils and gives a
1:34:29beautiful parabolic explosive move on
1:34:32Monday, day one. Now, we have all time
1:34:36frames behind this move. We have a gap
1:34:38on this chart, but it's the same on all
1:34:40the charts. But again, an opportunity, a
1:34:42one bar stop at the New York open if
1:34:44traders were looking for the range
1:34:46expansion trade. beautiful coil. When we
1:34:50get sideways coils into all the EMAs,
1:34:53that coil is where I want to position
1:34:56myself at the open. If it was on a 6 am
1:35:00rollover candle, I don't mean at 6 am,
1:35:02but on the 6 am 4hour candle, the same
1:35:05opportunities can occur heading into the
1:35:07US window where we have an early entry
1:35:10opportunity when we've come off one of
1:35:12the extremes as we demonstrated on that
1:35:154hour chart. But an explosive
1:35:17opportunity on Monday, day one, a day
1:35:20one runner expanding the range on week
1:35:24two. Now, when the market's going higher
1:35:28and we're trading into the new month and
1:35:31we continue to make higher highs, higher
1:35:33lows, and we're putting in higher
1:35:36closes, well, then the thesis is that
1:35:38the the high close of the month is not
1:35:41in place
1:35:42yet. The high close of the month is not
1:35:44in place. So, as we go higher, week two,
1:35:47week two goes
1:35:49higher. Closing in breakout, we continue
1:35:51to go
1:35:53higher. Monday opening range close and
1:35:56breakout. Tuesday o uh expands the range
1:35:59closes and breakout. It's an
1:36:01FOMC an FOMC Wednesday high close of the
1:36:07month so far. And we have a beautiful
1:36:11two bar reversal heading into FOMC. Now,
1:36:13I'm not suggesting to trade FOMC, but it
1:36:15has the same result on this particular
1:36:19template as the monkey hammer as the
1:36:22monkey hammer. So, high close of the
1:36:24month, they've pumped it up. We get our
1:36:26two bar reversal. Obviously, if traders
1:36:28were going to trade that after first
1:36:29bar, after a two-part release, that's
1:36:31entirely up to them. I don't typically
1:36:33trade FOMC, but you'll notice when it's
1:36:36a Wednesday, they can resume the move
1:36:40back up. When it's Thursday, it's
1:36:42typically going to be the high of month
1:36:45or low of month close backside of the
1:36:48week. There's a big difference between a
1:36:50Wednesday large move and a Thursday
1:36:54large move. So we begin our march back
1:36:57up after FOMC which made lower
1:37:01lows. Lower lows. Remember I'm the ideal
1:37:04template is three higher closes high
1:37:07close of the month. Three CIB high close
1:37:10of the month. And sometimes we won't get
1:37:14three CIB. we will get three 2cib and a
1:37:18signal day. A signal day first red day
1:37:22at the high close of the month on the
1:37:25last week of the month in this
1:37:28particular case heading into the closing
1:37:30range of the year when we have that
1:37:33collapse from the first red day again
1:37:3510:00 a.m. 10:00 a.m. which starts a new
1:37:384hour candle. So when the 4hour candle
1:37:41closes down we're in breakout now. We're
1:37:44in breakout now, but 4hour candle is
1:37:47down. We'll look at that in a second.
1:37:48So, if you're trading this and you align
1:37:50yourself with the 4our time
1:37:53frame, this allows traders to position
1:37:56themselves again on the smaller time
1:37:58frame. This is the 1 hour chart with a
1:38:00one bar stop. And as you finesse that
1:38:03even better on the 5minute, we'll take a
1:38:05look at this in a moment. That's the
1:38:07London session getting this move. the
1:38:10second day continuation, first red day
1:38:13collapse, but it started with the 4hour
1:38:1710:00 a.m. cycle. And thesis being is
1:38:19that it actually started on the
1:38:22Wednesday, sorry, the Thursday at the
1:38:266:00 a.m. rollover on the 4hour candle.
1:38:31This market broke down and the new 4hour
1:38:34candle started right here. Again,
1:38:38another example of where traders had the
1:38:41opportunity to position themselves at
1:38:44the 9:00 a.m. open, the 10, the 8:00
1:38:47a.m. close on this particular pin hammer
1:38:50engulfment prior to the New York open.
1:38:52So 9:30 sometimes is not necessarily uh
1:38:57the time to be entering into these
1:38:59markets. They're worse fills. They're
1:39:00harder to trade. You're inside of the
1:39:01volatility. The institutions have
1:39:03already taken their positions. It's a
1:39:05one bar stop. There's no greater risk
1:39:08associated with this. It's it's a one
1:39:10bar stop. Now, thesis again, they've
1:39:12they've put wicks or you can wait and
1:39:15trade on that pop up in there or take a
1:39:18starter position with managing your risk
1:39:21on a small starter and then as that
1:39:23market proceeds to confirm your thesis,
1:39:26either add to it or just leave that
1:39:28position in and potentially add to it
1:39:31the following day, whatever traders are
1:39:34comfortable with. Or don't trade it at
1:39:35all. But 3CIB high close of the month
1:39:394hour rotation at the extremes. 4hour
1:39:44rotation at the extremes. If we blow
1:39:47this up again, we can see our large
1:39:50candle. We got our daily chart. We're
1:39:52heading into the close of the month,
1:39:55closing range of the month. We have our
1:39:5810:00 a.m. after our 6:00 a.m. candle
1:40:04closes. 10:00 a.m. inside of our smaller
1:40:076 a.m. candle on top of closing price.
1:40:10The new week, the new Monday, day one,
1:40:13we have our London
1:40:164hour pin hammer
1:40:18candle allowing traders again just even
1:40:21if you're using the 4hour chart, the
1:40:244hour chart doesn't matter. We're
1:40:26aligning ourselves with these higher
1:40:28time frames. One, two, three. First red
1:40:32day. Three higher closes. First red day
1:40:36signal. High close of the month. The
1:40:38pump and dump template. New week, new
1:40:42timing cycle, new month. We start to
1:40:45auction lower. One, two, three lower
1:40:49closes. Closing out the week with a
1:40:51first green day. This could be the low
1:40:54close of the month. non-farm payrolls
1:40:57Friday pinning up and closing as a first
1:41:01green day. So, we had an explosive move
1:41:04on the 6 a.m. 4hour candle on the
1:41:07Monday. When we look at this on our 1
1:41:09hour chart, we have our first green day,
1:41:11but a beautiful coil. So, again, another
1:41:13example of being able to enter into the
1:41:17market on that time rotation. No major
1:41:20red news on the calendar. This is a 1
1:41:23hour chart. First green day trade. If we
1:41:25go to our 5minute, an absolutely
1:41:27perfect, beautiful five-star scalable
1:41:31coil. No major red news on the calendar.
1:41:34We have our 6 a.m. starting. We can get
1:41:37in early. We can add, we can add, we can
1:41:39add, we can add for an explosive range
1:41:43expansion trade. Now, remember, we had
1:41:45our three lower closes putting in the
1:41:48low close of the month. We had our
1:41:49non-farm payrolls closing as a first
1:41:52green day. And we start our new week
1:41:55off, our new Monday with a beautiful
1:41:59first green day sideways coil. All time
1:42:02frames driving this move. That market
1:42:05closes that 4hour candle at 10:00 a.m.
1:42:08And just for observation, you can see
1:42:11the larger W formation
1:42:17pattern down low. One, two, three lower
1:42:20closes. Beautiful coil in our 6 a.m.
1:42:244hour candle rollover. All the lower
1:42:28level shorts are caught. Now we're into
1:42:31the first full week, first full week of
1:42:35January. January can have five weeks of
1:42:38trading. Uh but we ended December, then
1:42:41January started, we had the first week
1:42:44putting in the low close of the week.
1:42:46Second week now reversing that range.
1:42:49Opening range breakout. Opening range
1:42:53breakout on Monday. A do not counter
1:42:55trend. A day one runner. And we go one,
1:42:59two, three higher closes in a market now
1:43:01on week two that's going higher. This is
1:43:03not a monkey hammer template. We have a
1:43:06market in
1:43:08breakout. We can project that level
1:43:11across. Now just coming back to that. So
1:43:14traders, if you understand the the setup
1:43:17that you had on day one in this larger
1:43:19template, this is an example of where if
1:43:22our thesis is we're going back to the
1:43:24high of week one, the high of the month
1:43:27to be holding on to a five-star
1:43:30opportunity or leaving a trailer in
1:43:32place. Now we go into our new week. We
1:43:35have one, two, three higher closes in
1:43:39consolidation. We still are in
1:43:42consolidation of a
1:43:44larger 4hour box. Again, I'm looking for
1:43:47monkey hammers. I'm not interested in
1:43:49trading this stuff, uh the wicks or
1:43:51anything else. I'm not trying to read
1:43:52price action. I'm looking for low close
1:43:54of the month, high close of the month,
1:43:56three lower closes and breakout, three
1:43:58higher closes and breakout. When we go
1:44:00down to these smaller time frames, the 4
1:44:02hour, 1 hour from the daily, we can see
1:44:04where we don't want to be trying to just
1:44:07take trades. I'm looking for scalable
1:44:10opportunities. We have Monday, Tuesday,
1:44:13Wednesday closing and breakout for the
1:44:17Thursday reversal back in line with our
1:44:214hour template. If traders were going to
1:44:24trend trade this move, week 1, week 2,
1:44:29week three closing in
1:44:32breakout. Week three closing in
1:44:34breakout. So remember the 4hour
1:44:38rotation, this candle at the low of that
1:44:42week, the low of this week on
1:44:45Wednesday is the 10:00 a.m. 4hour
1:44:49candle. Week one, week two reverses.
1:44:53Week three dumping down, giving us a
1:44:57reversal if traders were looking for a
1:44:59reversal trade.
1:45:01timing. New 4hour cycle after the
1:45:04breakout, the close and breakout. Coming
1:45:07back to where that box started
1:45:10from, one leg down, new week, two legs
1:45:15down, three legs down, close and
1:45:18breakout. Looking like a first red day
1:45:21to traders, but we're in a market now
1:45:23that's giving us a reversal setup. First
1:45:27green day close on Thursday. Even though
1:45:30it's up high, it's in breakout. And that
1:45:32market continues to break out and trend
1:45:35on
1:45:36Friday. Don't counter trend a market
1:45:39that's still putting in higher closes.
1:45:42We head
1:45:43into almost the last week, pretty much
1:45:46the full last week. We get one,
1:45:49two, and a first red day signal. But not
1:45:53an ideal
1:45:54template. Not an ideal template. We're
1:45:57trading back into the opening range.
1:45:59Monday's opening range was down. We're
1:46:02trading back into the opening range.
1:46:04We're looking for three CIB pump and
1:46:07dump templates. Now, if traders were
1:46:10looking at shorting this, it's a nail
1:46:12and bail. It's a 10 a.m. rotation. We're
1:46:14on a 4hour chart, so 10 a.m. rotation up
1:46:18high for the collapse back inside on
1:46:21Thursday high of the week. But we had a
1:46:23first red day close, but we're back
1:46:25inside of that range still. They've put
1:46:27a low in place on Monday. They've put a
1:46:30low in place on Monday. Monday's opening
1:46:33range broke out and dumped down and
1:46:35closed where Friday's closing price
1:46:39was near the end of the month now. So
1:46:43come back to our original close and
1:46:45breakout. Close and breakout
1:46:48pullback and a third close in breakout
1:46:53at the high close of the month. That is
1:46:57the high close of the month heading into
1:47:00the last trading day of the month.
1:47:03Another example of where the move
1:47:05started in the earlier 4hour rollover.
1:47:08So, we've got our two bar pattern at the
1:47:10high of the new week in a market that's
1:47:12closed in breakout. Again, that's our
1:47:15third consecutive close and breakout at
1:47:18the
1:47:18extreme. When we look at our smaller
1:47:21time frame with our EMA coil, we have
1:47:22the high closing price of the of the
1:47:26month and we have our 6 a.m. rollover
1:47:29already happening. We're underneath of
1:47:31closing price. thesis is that the high
1:47:33of month is in place. And so I may get
1:47:36in anywhere in here where we coil into
1:47:39our 8 a.m. hour. My worst
1:47:42case maximum stop loss is either going
1:47:45to be at one of these extremes or even
1:47:48at the extreme itself. Just putting a
1:47:50position in the market with a hold till
1:47:52close mentality. Once this market breaks
1:47:56where the pump
1:47:59started and New York opens, allowing
1:48:01that to go to break
1:48:03even and walking away. A hold till close
1:48:07setup with the high close of the month
1:48:10in place. 4hour rotation has already
1:48:12rolled over. So, we're getting in the
1:48:15higher time frame has already started to
1:48:17roll over. They're pumping up. I'll take
1:48:20a position anywhere in here prior to
1:48:239:30. 9:30 opens. 10:00 a.m. opens. I'm
1:48:28at break even and walking away. 10:00
1:48:30a.m. is down here. New 4hour cycle. New
1:48:344hour candle opens and continues to
1:48:37collapse from there. But you cannot
1:48:40counter trend the coil. All time frames
1:48:43are now aligned and they have flipped
1:48:47and are reversing this market into the
1:48:49close of the month. Now I just want to
1:48:51emphasize to traders those EMA coils
1:48:53only
1:48:54apply strictly apply only when there is
1:48:58a setup. I do not use that at any other
1:49:00time. I only use those when I am looking
1:49:03for a market to explode out of a
1:49:06consolidation. Very important to
1:49:08understand that. So also repeating that
1:49:11I'm I'm looking for three successive
1:49:14closes and breakout for monkey hammer
1:49:16templates. And as I've mentioned uh we
1:49:19can see that go one two closes and
1:49:22breakout uh three closes and breakout
1:49:25high close of month reversal and a first
1:49:28red day signal. We can see first green
1:49:30day signals or we can see three closes
1:49:34and breakout for a reversal day. Maybe
1:49:38not necessarily a monkey hammer, but
1:49:40following that back through one, two,
1:49:43three to the high as a new month starts
1:49:46or as a month ends. One, two, three to
1:49:50the low, three lower closes and looking
1:49:52for the
1:49:53explosive reversal or explosive trend
1:49:57trade depending on how price sets up.
1:50:00Now I want to just uh sort of show that
1:50:03the templates are there usually in the
1:50:06third week 3CIB but it can show up in
1:50:08any week but also how timing this is a
1:50:114hour chart again how timing can be
1:50:14affected and the opportunities perhaps
1:50:17for reversals up
1:50:20high prior to the New York open when we
1:50:23are at the extreme the high close of the
1:50:26month or near the end of the month and
1:50:29we've come up for three weeks. Again,
1:50:32this may end as just a weekly session or
1:50:37monkey hammer template and the market
1:50:39can continue to go
1:50:42higher before collapsing. And you'll
1:50:45notice again one, two, three higher
1:50:48closes
1:50:50into our monkey hammer reversal template
1:50:54as we head into the end of a
1:50:57month. 4hour rotations can really help
1:51:00you align yourself uh with that
1:51:02understanding and then positioning
1:51:04yourself with a tight risk and knowing
1:51:07when to hold till close. This is just a
1:51:10fantastic template. Three higher closes
1:51:14again and the opportunity to position
1:51:16yourself in the 6 a.m. 4hour candle. So,
1:51:20uh, that might be at 7:00 a.m., it might
1:51:22be at 8:00 a.m., but when you're on that
1:51:25template, week three, we've had one,
1:51:27week 1, week 2, week three, and three
1:51:29higher closes. So, you know this on a
1:51:31Wednesday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,
1:51:33three higher closes, 1 2 3, a one bar
1:51:38stop, a one bar stop at the extreme on a
1:51:414hour chart. Now, this particular candle
1:51:45is 65 pips. So traders have the
1:51:49opportunity now to maybe finesse that or
1:51:52just take the trade with a smaller
1:51:53position and accept the risk on that
1:51:56trade and walk away. A one bar stop and
1:51:59walk away using the 4hour rotation when
1:52:03we get the three closes in breakouts at
1:52:07the extreme whether it's low close of
1:52:09the month or high close of the month
1:52:11thesis. This is week two in a new week
1:52:15and we we had the opportunity on week
1:52:17two in this particular case 6 a.m. pin
1:52:20hammer the nine uh sorry the 10 a.m.
1:52:22open and
1:52:23collapse monkey hammer template. Three
1:52:26closes and breakout thesis. Again, the
1:52:29closing price, the high close of the
1:52:32month is in place. And then you'll
1:52:35notice one 2 3 first red day in the
1:52:40following week. That was our month
1:52:43close, the close and breakout. That was
1:52:45Wednesday closing in breakout at the
1:52:48extreme. understanding uh when this
1:52:51market is potentially putting a top in
1:52:54place. We have maximum risk in that
1:52:584hour range. We've already got our
1:52:59thesis in place where we're timing our
1:53:01new timing windows about to start. We
1:53:03have a maximum range. And when we get in
1:53:06on our 5-minute chart, we can finesse
1:53:08and tighten up our risk. And this is
1:53:11what it looks like when our market
1:53:13coils. We have our
1:53:164hour rotation happening. The new 10
1:53:19a.m. candle opens. Five-star scalable
1:53:23hold till close opportunity. All time
1:53:26frames align the sideways coil into our
1:53:29EMAs. The EMAs are just a visual to look
1:53:32for all time frames to be aligned. Now,
1:53:36sometimes the 200 is going to lag a
1:53:39little bit because remember it's it's
1:53:41the last one of the bunch over the
1:53:45longer time frame, the 4hour time frame.
1:53:47But we've got that coiled underneath
1:53:5010:00 a.m. rotation. The new 4-hour
1:53:52candle, our 4hour entry, our maximum
1:53:55stop was the 4hour candle, but we can
1:53:58tighten that up now even to one or two
1:54:01bars on our 5-minut chart. Scalable
1:54:04five-star hold to close monkey hammer
1:54:08template. So, as you follow through and
1:54:10and go through your own charts, now I'm
1:54:12mainly done this video on the NASDAQ,
1:54:15but
1:54:16recognizing close and breakout one, two,
1:54:20three lower closes, and understanding
1:54:23how that may now be in a new month, the
1:54:25low close of the month, and how that can
1:54:27help us potentially identify
1:54:29opportunities and the timings of those
1:54:32opportunities, not just waiting till
1:54:349:30 if that trade setup is there. And
1:54:38if there is major red news on the
1:54:40calendar, being patient, letting the
1:54:42market, either putting a small starter
1:54:44in, a very small starter with your risk
1:54:46controlled, or waiting for that new
1:54:484hour rotation to step into the market
1:54:52aligned with all time frames, having a
1:54:55one bar
1:54:59stop, putting your stop-loss in place,
1:55:02and either a profit target or a hold to
1:55:05a close mentality on an ACB template.
1:55:09We're coming off the low close of the
1:55:11month in week one. We had higher highs
1:55:14on our 4hour chart, dumping down,
1:55:17closing in breakout down into our peak
1:55:20formation made at the beginning of the
1:55:23week. Just going back to looking at
1:55:25closing
1:55:26price, we broke out. We we broke out and
1:55:29then 1 2 3 beginning of a new month.
1:55:32three lower closes and the reversal back
1:55:36into the close of the week. And we
1:55:38started it all again. Peak formation
1:55:40down week two. We're heading possibly
1:55:44back to the previous high of
1:55:48week as this market expands the
1:55:51range. Monday's opening range. Tuesday
1:55:55closes and breakout. We have a market
1:55:57now closing and breakout. Closing and
1:56:00breakout again. Coiling sideways.
1:56:02closing and breakout a third time before
1:56:05pumping
1:56:06up. We get our high close of the month
1:56:10and of the
1:56:13week and the close of the 6 a.m. candle.
1:56:18Week one, week two, week three. 1 2
1:56:22three higher closes in a market that has
1:56:25broken out. And our 10:00 a.m. candle
1:56:27opens up. I'll show that. All time
1:56:31frames aligned. We're back inside of a
1:56:34coil. Now, just to demonstrate to
1:56:37traders where we're still outside of
1:56:40some of the EMAs, but we've coiled
1:56:42underneath of our double top and our new
1:56:464hour cycle is breaking down inside of
1:56:49that coil. a vertical move right at
1:56:5210:00
1:56:54a.m. the coil and the continuation into
1:56:57the close of the day. Three higher
1:56:59closes, week three, high closing price
1:57:03of the month is our thesis. And if we
1:57:06just clear this chart now, if we zoom in
1:57:09on this, uh, you'll
1:57:11see where we have the 4hour candle just
1:57:14about to end looking at scaling into
1:57:18this trade. High close of the month
1:57:20thesis is this is going till the close
1:57:23and when we break that level walking
1:57:25away with positions in the money better
1:57:29than break even in case it was to pop
1:57:31back or spike or anything else but
1:57:33walking away set and forget trade setup
1:57:37walking away and letting the market go
1:57:40till the close of the day. Monkey
1:57:42hammer. Now I just want to demonstrate
1:57:44again on this particular chart and
1:57:46emphasize the importance of only using
1:57:49this coil when I have that setup that
1:57:52thesis and that
1:57:55sideways chart movement at the highest
1:57:59or low lowest closing price level. I
1:58:04need that coil only when I'm at the
1:58:06extremes. I do not use that anywhere
1:58:08else unless I am aligned with an
1:58:12explosive first green day, first red day
1:58:15trade and again coming from one of those
1:58:18extremes. Now we can get coils that are
1:58:21not at those
1:58:23extremes or still expanding the range.
1:58:26I'll look at demonstrate one of those
1:58:29right now from the Dow Jones. And we're
1:58:31looking at the uh Dow Jones daily and um
1:58:35this market reversed right from the
1:58:37beginning of the month. So again, we had
1:58:39our low close of the month thesis in
1:58:42place. Uh market pinned up and down on
1:58:45the first day forming a first green day.
1:58:47So we have our new month starting. We
1:58:49have a first green day. We have a market
1:58:51coiling sideways. And again, you'll
1:58:52notice 1 2 3 lower closes and our 10:00
1:58:56a.m. window spiking down and reversing
1:59:00and closing at the end of that 4hour
1:59:02window. If we go to our smaller time
1:59:05frame, we see the market dumps down at
1:59:09the New York open. So, coming back to
1:59:12understanding time rotation, they've put
1:59:13a low in place. If we do anything on
1:59:16this template, we want to be buying low.
1:59:20thesis now is that they've put the low
1:59:22in place on first green day. Paul Tudtor
1:59:26Jones, think of your entry point as last
1:59:27night's close and we have a little pin
1:59:30hammer. This this is an example of where
1:59:33the timing of the shorter time frame. If
1:59:37we look at our 4hour chart, we can see
1:59:39clearly see the 10 a.m. candle reversed.
1:59:42But we see that this market actually put
1:59:44a low in place, then made higher highs
1:59:48inside as that new uh third hour opened
1:59:53and then dumped back down into that peak
1:59:56formation low. So as this market goes 1
2:00:00hour, 2 hour, a third hour reversal
2:00:02inside of that 4hour 10:00 a.m. candle
2:00:05before exploding and closing his first
2:00:06green day. Now I myself am not looking
2:00:09to trade this but we will look at an
2:00:12example as this week unfolded how this
2:00:16gave traders an excellent opportunity.
2:00:19So we come back and look at our daily
2:00:21chart and first thing the market does is
2:00:24it goes to the lower high of the month
2:00:27day 1 day two day three closing in
2:00:29breakout and then starting a new week.
2:00:33Again, the thesis may be on this
2:00:35particular
2:00:36uh week two. If we go back and look at
2:00:39our daily chart, we can look that this
2:00:41now may be in a reversal type template.
2:00:45We're possibly targeting not only the
2:00:48high of the month, but the highs from
2:00:51the dumping down month from the previous
2:00:55month. But more importantly, as as this
2:00:57thesis is aligned, I want to just again
2:00:59demonstrate to traders the importance of
2:01:02the only time that I use these coils are
2:01:06when we have a higher time frame thesis
2:01:08in place. One, two, three higher closes
2:01:13as we head into Thursday and we've
2:01:16closed in breakout. So if I just bring
2:01:19this 4hour chart closer together again,
2:01:22we can project high of weak
2:01:25levels
2:01:27across high of levels across because now
2:01:30we're in a larger dump and pump template
2:01:324hour rotations. This is one of my
2:01:35all-time favorite charts. We have three
2:01:38higher closes and breakout on
2:01:40Wednesday's close, but we're looking at
2:01:43the larger dump and pump template from
2:01:45the previous month, and we're on the
2:01:47front side of a new month. There's no
2:01:50major red news in the New York session,
2:01:52and this to me is as good as it gets.
2:01:56This is an absolutely monster parabolic
2:02:00coil. All time frames driving this move.
2:02:03And when we get these setups on any day,
2:02:07any day, if I get any one of these
2:02:08setups after three higher or three lower
2:02:11closes or on any given day, first green
2:02:13day, first red day, I will take this
2:02:15trade with as much size as I can get on
2:02:18it. But aligning myself with that bigger
2:02:20picture, looking left to see where the
2:02:24money is, those previous weekly highs.
2:02:26We're in the front side of a new month.
2:02:29Day one, day two, day three. Closing in
2:02:31breakout. closing in breakout, a coil
2:02:34sideways, an all-in opportunity. All
2:02:36time frames driving this move, a
2:02:40beautiful three higher close, high close
2:02:42of month. That means the high close of
2:02:44the month is not in place yet. They're
2:02:46still going higher. So, when you have a
2:02:48setup there and you understand timings,
2:02:51we're at the high close of the month and
2:02:55we had a first red day, 4hour cycle. We
2:02:58have an engulfment in our earlier 4hour
2:03:01session. The 6 a.m. candle is a bull
2:03:04trap. 10:00 a.m. opens and starts the
2:03:08dump on the backside of that move. Week
2:03:11one. Week two. Week three blows off
2:03:15putting in our high close of the month
2:03:17into the new week. Coiling sideways the
2:03:1910:00 a.m. collapse all the way back
2:03:22down. The monkey hammer over a couple of
2:03:25weeks again. traders deciding if they
2:03:28want to hold positions. But week three
2:03:31up high, high close of the month, I'd be
2:03:34okay with leaving some of those
2:03:36positions in the market. This is a
2:03:38beautiful trade on the way up, sideways
2:03:41coil, and the reversal on the way down.
2:03:44Now, the difference on looking at the
2:03:46smaller time frame, we can see that the
2:03:49uh 6 a.m. candle closed up. So, this 6
2:03:52a.m. candle closes at the
2:03:56extreme. The new 4hour candle allows
2:04:01traders again to position themselves in
2:04:03the market, place a max stop-loss in
2:04:06place. Now this is an example where
2:04:09maybe traders if they went to break even
2:04:12early would have been stopped out
2:04:14possibly or they take a position they
2:04:18put their stop in place and they walk
2:04:19away and leave it till the close. Now,
2:04:22in this particular day, they've come
2:04:24back up later, and this is rare, but
2:04:27I'll explain that this was an FOMC
2:04:31uh minutes meeting day at 2:00 p.m. So,
2:04:34they've brought it back up there into
2:04:36the FOMC minutes before dropping it down
2:04:3920 minutes after the minutes are
2:04:42released. still having the same effect,
2:04:45but there was an FOMC minutes
2:04:48announcement, not an FOMC statement, but
2:04:52an FOMC release at 2 p.m. And if traders
2:04:56waited for that, aligning themselves
2:04:58again inside of that 4hour rotation in
2:05:02the coil with a one bar stop with a hold
2:05:05till close profit target. Now, I want to
2:05:08just uh repeat a couple of things. Uh
2:05:11this is about understanding the higher
2:05:13time frame setups. I'm not interested in
2:05:14trading every day. Uh I don't try to
2:05:17catch moves or grab the low, grab the
2:05:19high. I'm looking for specific setups.
2:05:20My specific setup that I
2:05:23am looking for every week if I can find
2:05:26it on an instrument is the higher low of
2:05:30the month close with three closes in
2:05:33breakout or three higher closes into the
2:05:36high close or into the low close at the
2:05:40low close of the month or high close of
2:05:42the month. That's the monkey hammer
2:05:43setup. There are high probability signal
2:05:46days, days that close and breakout. But
2:05:48I want to emphasize I am only looking
2:05:51for trades where I can use the coil. The
2:05:55coil is the five minute chart aligning
2:05:59all time frames in line with the higher
2:06:03time frame template setup. Now, walking
2:06:07through the daily charts and
2:06:09understanding the end of the month and
2:06:10the beginning of the month, three higher
2:06:12or lower closes, putting in the low
2:06:15close or high close of the month at the
2:06:17end of a month or even in the beginning
2:06:20of a month where we can get our first
2:06:22green day or first red day depending on
2:06:26the instrument that you're looking at.
2:06:29Now, Tuesdays and Thursdays typically
2:06:31will be the most frequent opportunities
2:06:35for monkey hammers and monkey hammers
2:06:38expanding the range in week two or
2:06:41reversing the range in week three or
2:06:44even the last range of the month. Now,
2:06:47the
2:06:48coil is aligning all the time frames
2:06:52together and I use four EMAs to
2:06:56represent that. the 200, 96, 50, and 20.
2:06:59There is no real specific criteria, but
2:07:03those are close to the same EMA on the
2:07:07longer time frames as they are as the 20
2:07:09is on the five, the higher ones. But it
2:07:11shows me when I have all time frames
2:07:15behind the move. The next most important
2:07:17thing I want to emphasize to traders is
2:07:21the 4hour rotations. The indexes,
2:07:24metals, and energies roll over one hour
2:07:26later than the currencies in crypto. And
2:07:29their rollovers for each 4hour candle
2:07:32will be 6 pm, 1000 p.m., and 2:00 p.m.
2:07:35and the next one at 6:00 a.m., 10:00
2:07:38a.m., and 2:00 a.m. Now, the indexes and
2:07:41metals and energies roll over. They have
2:07:44a 1 hour gap between 5 and 6:00 p.m. New
2:07:46York time where they start trading
2:07:48again. and their rollover times will be
2:07:51at 6:00 p.m. 1000 p.m. and 2:00 a.m.
2:07:55then closing and starting again uh sorry
2:07:59though and 6:00 a.m. 10:00 a.m. 2 p.m.
2:08:01then closing and starting
2:08:03again. The currencies and crypto markets
2:08:06uh start at 5:00 pm, roll over at 900
2:08:10p.m. 1:00 a.m. 5:00
2:08:13a.m. 9:00 a.m. and 1:00 p.m. into the
2:08:16close again and rolling over at 5:00
2:08:18p.m. So there's a 1 hour gap. But as I
2:08:21demonstrated in this video, the
2:08:23importance of understanding those
2:08:25rollover times can align us with the
2:08:29larger move and sometimes offer us
2:08:32tighter risk or better entries. If that
2:08:35move is starting and there's no major
2:08:37red news or putting a starter position
2:08:40in with tight risk before a market can
2:08:43take off into a session open, allowing
2:08:45traders a better fill. if there's major
2:08:48red news, allowing that news to trade
2:08:51and uh take place, but then aligning
2:08:53ourselves with the thesis that's already
2:08:55in place from the 4hour template at the
2:08:59extremes. Now, the indexes and metals
2:09:02and energies roll over. So, they have a
2:09:041 hour gap between 5 and 6:00 p.m. New
2:09:06York time where they start trading
2:09:08again. And their rollover times will be
2:09:11at 6:00 p.m., 10:00 p.m., and 2:00 a.m.
2:09:16then closing and starting again. Uh,
2:09:19sorry, they'll 6:00 a.m., 10:00 a.m.,
2:09:21and 2 p.m., then closing and starting
2:09:22again.
2:09:24The currencies and crypto markets uh
2:09:27start at 5:00 p.m. roll over at 900 p.m.
2:09:311:00 a.m. 5:00
2:09:33a.m. 9:00 a.m. and 1:00 p.m. into the
2:09:37close again and rolling over at 5:00
2:09:38p.m. So there's a 1 hour gap. But as I
2:09:42demonstrated in this video, the
2:09:43importance of understanding those
2:09:45rollover times can align us with the
2:09:49larger move and sometimes offer us
2:09:52tighter risk or better entries. If that
2:09:55move is starting and there's no major
2:09:57red news or putting a starter position
2:10:00in with tight risk before a market can
2:10:03take off into a session open, allowing
2:10:05traders a better fill. if there's major
2:10:08red news, allowing that news to trade
2:10:11and uh take place, but then aligning
2:10:13ourselves with the thesis that's already
2:10:15in place from the 4hour template at the
2:10:19extremes. And sometimes uh when there's
2:10:22news on these instruments, we follow
2:10:24through after the FOMC minutes.
2:10:27Beautiful coil. We have a first red day
2:10:30collapse and a beautiful coil into the
2:10:32New York open. Even on the backside, 10
2:10:35a.m. major red news. template is the the
2:10:37news is the catalyst in 9:30 open 9:45
2:10:42uh flash manufacturing PMI but again the
2:10:46coils here uh the news catalyst so even
2:10:50a first bar trade set up for an
2:10:52explosive move in line with the news
2:10:54catalyst on the backside of the week
2:10:57heading into the close of the day a
2:10:59monster breaking down from the high
2:11:02highest closing price of the month now
2:11:04not all of Our markets are going to
2:11:06trade exactly like the NASDAQ. And the
2:11:08purpose of the master class is to go in
2:11:12depth into the individual markets and
2:11:15look at the opportunities that they have
2:11:17presented and will continue to present.
2:11:19And the ACB model is I'm looking for
2:11:23trades that aren't coming back. And as I
2:11:26mentioned, looking for two to three of
2:11:29those a week are all I need to find.
2:11:33They're scalable. they reproduce on any
2:11:36markets. We'll be going through
2:11:38currencies, metals, the indexes in more
2:11:42depth. I'm going to be adding more
2:11:43material into the master class regarding
2:11:47behavior and mindset of the trader. But
2:11:50these are all scalable opportunities and
2:11:53I'm only focusing on certain setups,
2:11:57certain setups that rinse and repeat
2:11:59that are scalable in size. So hopefully
2:12:02you enjoyed the first module that was on
2:12:06the NASDAQ index which will have similar
2:12:08applications on the other indexes, the
2:12:11other US indexes, but we'll be going in
2:12:14depth in each module and can continue to
2:12:18dive deeper in just understanding the
2:12:21bigger picture of hunting out ACB easy
2:12:25money trading setups that are scalable
2:12:28in size traders. Enjoy your day. We'll
2:12:31see you in the next video.

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